1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,800 Speaker 1: Gentlemen, more memories are made when you're there for live 2 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: NFL action and when you need tickets, our friends at 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: Ticketmaster have got you covered. As the official marketplace of 4 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: the NFL, Ticketmaster gives you more ways to find your 5 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 1: perfect seat. 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Find tickets today at ticketmaster dot com. 13 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:41,560 Speaker 3: Slash NFL The Action Network Podcast. 14 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 4: I'm just about that action also. 15 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 2: All right, here we go from throwing your job, we're 16 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 2: sitting it to cash. 17 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 5: We see most gambles when they go to gamble, they 18 00:00:57,760 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 5: go swim. 19 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 2: That's in'dible, big bank, small banks. I like to make. 20 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 3: Money, all right. 21 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 4: This is the ultimate combie if you want to ball. 22 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 5: And we are way. 23 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, presented by Bat MGM. 24 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,680 Speaker 4: I'm Jill Glance. I'm joined by Evan abras Our, research 25 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 4: director here at the Action Network. Each and every week, 26 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 4: we're gonna dive into all the Sunday NFL action for 27 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:29,400 Speaker 4: Week four. Brandon Anderson will have his hot reads later 28 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 4: in the show, and Patrick Everson from Vegas Insider is 29 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 4: gonna give us an update on how sportsbooks in Vegas 30 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 4: did today and how they fared for NFL Sunday. But first, 31 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 4: let's talk about Monday Night football. Evan, Let's look at 32 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,399 Speaker 4: Seahawks Giants. Seahawks are two and a half point favorites 33 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 4: you over under at forty seven and a half. It 34 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 4: is going to be at MetLife now. From an offensive standpoint, 35 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 4: I'm not sure, Evan, how the Giants are gonna keep 36 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 4: up with the Seahawks. They play man coverage at top 37 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 4: right in the NFL. They blitz out a high rate 38 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 4: that's not usually a good for a passing offense like Seattle. 39 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 4: For guys like DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Gino has 40 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,640 Speaker 4: done well against pressure so far in his career, and 41 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 4: the Giants they're missing Andrew Thomas and Saquon Barkley. This 42 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 4: isn't good. You know, I probably lean to the over 43 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 4: in this game, but I think because we're getting it 44 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 4: under three. I might even lean to the Seahawks, how 45 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 4: are you looking at this game? 46 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 2: Yeah? Sure? So Gino returns home once a jet now 47 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 2: going back to Metlive stadiums. Who's used to the arena, 48 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 2: used to the place, used to the city. I mean, honestly, 49 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 2: when you look at the situation, I believe also Seattle's 50 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 2: getting back Jamal Adams. I believe in that scenario was 51 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 2: practiced all week. So I mean, they're getting healthier, they 52 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 2: look better, The Giants are on amend. Their defense looks 53 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 2: atrocious this season so far, So I think Seattle seems 54 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 2: to be the right side. Giants opened as the favorite 55 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 2: early when the line opened. I believe even the previous week. 56 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 2: Now Seattle moving to the favorite. And of course, I 57 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 2: mean the trend everyone kind of talks about with Daniel Jones. 58 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 2: He's one and twelve straight up, five and eight against 59 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 2: a spread at night in his career. He's worst quarterback 60 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 2: last twenty thirty years in that spot. He's even zero 61 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 2: to five straight up at home in primetime, losing three 62 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 2: times to Dallas, Tampa Bay, and Pittsburgh. So just not 63 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 2: a great spot for him in terms of like an 64 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 2: actual bet on this one. I'm gonna go with one 65 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 2: of my first touchdown anytime touchdown guys, Kobe Parkinson, dis. 66 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 4: Lan's question Seattle. 67 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:32,359 Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, so Disley's questionable, fans a little banged up. 68 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 2: Parkinson leads Seattle actually in snaps for tight ends, even 69 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 2: ahead of fans, so I think, you know, even equal 70 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 2: red zone targets. So I think he has some good value. 71 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 2: I think, you know, we like Seattle to win the game, 72 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 2: maybe score a little bit more points, so kind of 73 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 2: like that situation for him. 74 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:49,119 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think this is going to be a little 75 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 4: bit of a back and forth game, but I do 76 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 4: think you're right that New York is gonna probably have 77 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 4: to lean a little more on the passing side of things. 78 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 4: Matt Brady did look okay against San franciscolast week. He'll 79 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 4: be serviceable, but he's not. Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones 80 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 4: will eventually take off here or there. But even against 81 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 4: San Francisco, he didn't really get it going. So because 82 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 4: of that, I'm looking on the passing side. I'm looking 83 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 4: at a touchdown scorer in this game as well, but 84 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 4: I'm gonna be looking at Isaiah Hodgins because he's around 85 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 4: plus four hundred to score. He's the only Giants receiver 86 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 4: with a touchdown this season and last year. If you 87 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 4: remember when we were hanging out in New York Wildcard game, 88 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 4: Isaiah Hodgens was a cash cow for the end of 89 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 4: the year, scored touchdowns in four of the last five games. 90 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 4: And the Seahawks secondary, they are getting Jamal Adams back, 91 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 4: but they are still a little dinged up. You know, 92 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 4: We've got a lot of injuries and that's why so 93 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 4: far this year they've allowed the second most catches, yards 94 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 4: and touchdowns to wide receivers. So I think Isaiah Hodgens 95 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 4: would be a guy that I would bet on if 96 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 4: I'm betting touchdown scores for the Giants. But for the Seahawks, 97 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 4: I think you can't go wrong with either DK Metcalf 98 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 4: or Tyler Lockett because of the defense. The defense that 99 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,479 Speaker 4: the Giants employ. If you're gonna play a lot of 100 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 4: man defense, those two guys pretty much kill man defense. 101 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,279 Speaker 4: Tyler Lockett is who I would probably lean to because 102 00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:03,559 Speaker 4: you are getting a little bit better odds around plus 103 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 4: one eighty as opposed to around plus one thirty for DK, 104 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,480 Speaker 4: and he does lead the Seahawks and red zone targets already, 105 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 4: so I think Lockett and Hodgens would be the two 106 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 4: guys for touchdown scores that I would look at, and 107 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 4: you're looking at Parkinson for first touchdown and anytime touchdown. 108 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 2: I even think the future. One other thing on this, 109 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 2: the future schedule for both teams a little fascinating. So 110 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 2: Seattle has a bye following week, which I actually kind 111 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 2: of look at as a bit of an advantage, big 112 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 2: primetime game, good situation by coming up, so kind of 113 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 2: like Seattle leaven More with that. And then Giants, Jesus Man, 114 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 2: they go to Miami and. 115 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 4: Then to Buffalo. So schedule man'd well, was a big 116 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:40,720 Speaker 4: one for them. 117 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 2: This is a big one. Well. 118 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 4: The one thing, the one note I would say if 119 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,040 Speaker 4: you are looking for just a little outside the box prop, 120 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 4: if you're looking for something like an interception prop. For example, 121 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 4: road quarterbacks in primetime have thrown an interception so far 122 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 4: this season in ten of thirteen games, so Gino Smith 123 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 4: he's around plus one thirty to throw an interception. The 124 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:02,279 Speaker 4: Giants have yet to an interception this season, so it 125 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:04,599 Speaker 4: is something worth considering. But again, don't bet it. Just 126 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 4: for that, do a little bit more research before you 127 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 4: commit to that. All right, let's talk about Sunday favorites 128 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 4: eleven and three straight up, nine and four and one 129 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 4: against the spread entry Sunday Night Football totals eight and 130 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 4: six to the under though evan entering Sunday Night football. 131 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, under is profitable three or four weeks so far, 132 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:25,840 Speaker 2: and here's the stat So obviously eight and six going 133 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:28,040 Speaker 2: into Sunday Night football. Kind of see how that goes. 134 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 2: But in the last twenty one NFL regular season weeks, 135 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 2: there have only been three where there were more overs 136 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,600 Speaker 2: than unders for full game totals. So we've really seen 137 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 2: a crazy run when it comes to unders, and you know, 138 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 2: small ledge so far this week. 139 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 4: So also, another thing that we talked about off air 140 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 4: is public sides. So Action Network does track some handle 141 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:50,479 Speaker 4: and tickets that come in for all the games. Public sides. 142 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 4: How did they do today? 143 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:54,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, so it seems like a lot of people across 144 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 2: the Action Network did pretty well today, and so did 145 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:59,919 Speaker 2: the public if you follow the Action Network sides, because 146 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 2: the top public sides went nine and oh straight up. 147 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 2: Now these are ats sides, so spread sides, but we're 148 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 2: talking money lines initially nine and oh straight up and 149 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 2: seven to one and one against the spread. Now, obviously 150 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 2: one of them was Kansas City, so we'll see how 151 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 2: that goes on Sunday Night football. But good week for 152 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 2: the public so far. 153 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 4: So the Dolphins. I thought that they would have been 154 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 4: a very popular dog coming into the week, but it 155 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 4: sounds like Buffalo ended up being more of the public 156 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 4: Darling and Dolphins Bills the first half at least build 157 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 4: up to being the game of the year, but the 158 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 4: second half, and really most of the second quarter was 159 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 4: just all Bills touchdowns. Bills went forty eight to twenty 160 00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 4: over the Dolphins. Bills cover easily, as two and a 161 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 4: half point home favorites you over under a fifty one 162 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 4: and a half, that goes over easily. I found the 163 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 4: Ats splits for two as a starter to be a 164 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 4: little alarming because he's thirteen and five against the spread 165 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 4: at home, but when he goes on the road, he's 166 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 4: nine ten and one against the spread. Now he is 167 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 4: coming back home against the Giants and we five. They've 168 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 4: got three of the three of their next four in Miami. 169 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 4: But we talked about this last week. Josh Allen fifty 170 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 4: eight wins in his career and are part of me 171 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 4: fifty nine wins, and forty five of those fifty nine 172 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 4: wins have been by a touchdown or more so, when 173 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 4: they win, they win big. 174 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, And my two Josh Allen stats, and I feel 175 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 2: like these are the two that kind of encompass what 176 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 2: we just saw today. Ten and two straight up versus 177 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 2: the Dolphins in his career and eighteen and four straight 178 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 2: up in his last twenty two verse the AFCAST domine 179 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 2: Division usually dominates Miami. Miami was red red hot, which 180 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 2: I'll give a stat in a second, which I think 181 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:37,160 Speaker 2: is really good. But the other one with Josh second 182 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 2: half ats fifty three thirty two and three sixty two, 183 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 2: sixty three percent. He is second of two hundred and 184 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 2: forty nine quarterbacks and three and one this year, So 185 00:08:47,320 --> 00:08:49,959 Speaker 2: Bill's won the second half today, continued to roll and 186 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 2: three and one and again sixty three percent career, So 187 00:08:53,920 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 2: two crazy ones for Josh. I mean, listen, the one 188 00:08:57,240 --> 00:08:58,960 Speaker 2: thing I think we talked about earlier in the week 189 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 2: when it was the Dolphins was two had been sacked once, 190 00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 2: just once game pressured on just eight dropbacks, and he 191 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,199 Speaker 2: was sacked four times today kind of ended up being 192 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 2: the difference. And listen, Miami went three of thirteen on 193 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 2: third and fourth down. Great job by Buffalo's defense, And 194 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 2: here's that stat. So teams averaging six plus yards per 195 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 2: play in game four or later thirty five and fifty 196 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:27,199 Speaker 2: seven against the spread since twenty nineteen. So usually when 197 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,200 Speaker 2: he has the hot teams, they you know, they come 198 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 2: back to the mean right. 199 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 4: Well, And as much credit as I want to give 200 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:33,960 Speaker 4: to Josh Allen because they mean he did throw for 201 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 4: three touchdowns and rush for another. The Bills defense was 202 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 4: really good today, forced a lot of turnovers. They did 203 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 4: a great job at shutting down Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddell, 204 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,319 Speaker 4: especially in the first half, and so many fumbles. Matt 205 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 4: Mlono was everywhere in this game. But two, it just 206 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 4: had a brutal pick in the third quarter two and 207 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:54,079 Speaker 4: that led to a couple sacks as well. And they 208 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 4: were zero and three on fourth down as well. So 209 00:09:56,160 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 4: that is now Buffalo's eight straight win at home the 210 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,720 Speaker 4: Miami Dolphins. Now, that game had a lot of ripple 211 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 4: effects for different futures markets. So we talked about it 212 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 4: last week about how tool was the favorite for MVP 213 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 4: Tyreek Hill was the favorite for Offensive Player of the Year, 214 00:10:10,760 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 4: Mike McDaniel was the favorite for Coach of the Year. 215 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:17,319 Speaker 4: All of those likely shifted more towards Buffalo today, And 216 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 4: not that it's really like a dent in the armor. 217 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 4: We could definitely see a Miami bounce back. There's plenty 218 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:25,840 Speaker 4: of opportunities as the season goes, but it did show that, 219 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 4: you know, Buffalo is still just a notch above Miami 220 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 4: in this point here. Now that because of the ripple 221 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,240 Speaker 4: effects of that game, that was obviously the game that 222 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:37,719 Speaker 4: felt like it had the most impact, But to me, 223 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 4: the game that had the most fun today was Broncos Bears. 224 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,319 Speaker 4: I cannot believe that the Broncos are in the A 225 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 4: Bloc back to back weeks on this show because the 226 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 4: Broncos they win thirty one to twenty eight total goes 227 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 4: over at forty seven and a half. The Broncos is 228 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,679 Speaker 4: two and a half point favorites, just cover with that 229 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:57,920 Speaker 4: late field goal, and the Bears now one to twelve 230 00:10:58,040 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 4: against the spread in their last thirteen games. And the 231 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 4: Bears have lost i believe, fourteen consecutive games now they've 232 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 4: allowed twenty five or more points in all of them. 233 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 2: Yikes. So Fields five and twenty four straight up eight 234 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:13,319 Speaker 2: twenty and one against the spread, one eight and one 235 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 2: in his last ten. It just he looked good early, 236 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 2: which says way more about the Broncos defense than it 237 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:23,160 Speaker 2: does about anything else. Broncos have allowed now the fifth 238 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 2: most points through four games all time. 239 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 4: That's insane, man, insane. 240 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 2: See you hear that, And then I give you this one, 241 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 2: which to me kind of just presents how bad they've 242 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:37,200 Speaker 2: actually been compared to that. One hundred of one hundred 243 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:40,840 Speaker 2: and twenty eight is opposing quarterbacks this season against the 244 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:44,840 Speaker 2: Broncos seventy eight point one percent. That's the highest through 245 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 2: four games all time. So they're just not stopping anyone. 246 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 2: They've looked. They've made every quarterback look like the best quarterback. 247 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 2: And now they get the Jets next week, so uh, 248 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:58,120 Speaker 2: we're gon we're gonna see how that goes. That feels like, 249 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:01,679 Speaker 2: you know, one force meeting a opposite force. 250 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:05,360 Speaker 4: But yeah, it's no joke that they make quarterbacks look 251 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 4: all pro. Justin Fields looked all pro today. He only 252 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 4: had one in completion at halftime and three passing touchdowns. 253 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:14,840 Speaker 4: They were up twenty eight to seven. Midway through the 254 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 4: third quarter, you know what I mean. And then the 255 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 4: mistakes they start piling up, and they have the game 256 00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 4: in hand. You know, they allowed that fumble six to 257 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 4: be able to tie the game. Okay, we're moving the 258 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 4: ball down the field. Fourth and one on the Broncos, 259 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:33,679 Speaker 4: twenty five ninety seconds left, and Iberflus calls a Khalil 260 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 4: Herbert run to try and get the first down instead 261 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 4: of taking the field goal. And you know, Russell Wilson, 262 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 4: let's see if you could do a two minute drill. 263 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 4: I don't think you can. But you know, the greatest 264 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 4: running quarterback of all time, you don't give it to 265 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 4: him in this spot. I know that that's a little 266 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:49,640 Speaker 4: bit of viperbole, but again he is that good of 267 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 4: a running quarterback. And then the Broncos they come down, 268 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:56,199 Speaker 4: they get that goal ahead field goal. Another shit decision 269 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 4: by Justin Fields with a game ending interception with a 270 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:02,200 Speaker 4: sloppy pass the middle. Now, Evan, more memories are made 271 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,560 Speaker 4: when you're there for live NFL action, and when you 272 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 4: need tickets, our friends at Ticketmaster have got you covered. 273 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 4: As the official marketplace of the NFL. Ticketmaster gives you 274 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 4: more ways to find your perfect seat. Their interactive seat 275 00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 4: map gives you three hundred and sixty three hundred and 276 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,560 Speaker 4: sixty degree previews of your section to make sure you 277 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:21,320 Speaker 4: have the best view of those pivotal plays and if 278 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 4: your plans change. Ticketmaster gives you more flexibility to sell 279 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:27,680 Speaker 4: or transfer your tickets, plus mobile tickets make getting in 280 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 4: on a game day of breeze, and you can even 281 00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 4: customize your Ticketmaster app to rep your team's colors. Fine 282 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 4: tickets today at ticketmaster dot com slash NFL Now. Typically 283 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 4: this is when we go to Brandon Anderson for his 284 00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 4: hot read. But he is under the weather. His voice 285 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 4: is gone. I've tried to call him. It was just 286 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 4: dead air, you know. So we just texted each other. 287 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 4: But he sent us his notes for his hot read, 288 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 4: and we're gonna break it down for you. The first 289 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 4: pick for his hot read this week, Evan. He is 290 00:13:57,720 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 4: looking at Steelers plus four versus the ravens Now. I'm 291 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 4: paraphrasing here, but this is what he had told me. 292 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 4: This is the easiest hot read of the year. Been 293 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 4: waiting for this all week and he's already bet multiple units. 294 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 4: So don't walk run to go bet on the Steelers. 295 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 4: This is the exact spot that you want them in 296 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 4: Underdogs at home in the division, coming off a loss. 297 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 4: You got the raw Rob Mike tom Wins spot. It 298 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 4: hits almost every trend. There's a lot of trends that 299 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 4: support it that are hitting at over eighty percent, like 300 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 4: home dogs at fourteen three and one against the spread, 301 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 4: you know after a seven point loss where they're eight 302 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 4: and one against the spread and the underdog in the 303 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 4: Steelers Ravens matchup is eighteen and two against the spread 304 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:39,920 Speaker 4: since two thousand and five when the spread is three 305 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 4: and a half or more. So for him, this is 306 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 4: a Steers spot all day. Now. I did ask him 307 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 4: what about Kenny Pickett? He said, not worried because a 308 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 4: lot of the metrics for Kenny Pickett. And if you 309 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:53,560 Speaker 4: watch that Houston Texans game, we're going to talk about 310 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 4: that game in a second. Worse than Zach Wilson, So 311 00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 4: Trubisky it is. It's all about the spot for him. 312 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 4: Steeers US four. What's your thoughts on that? Evan? Do 313 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 4: you like Steers plus four posting the Ravens next week? 314 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 2: Man, it really does absolutely nail like seven or eight 315 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 2: big trends that usually end up falling Tomlin's way, the 316 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 2: over three, the like, Brandon just kind of nailed it 317 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 2: all on the head that it really it really is. 318 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 2: But then I say to myself, Man, if it's Mitch Trubisky, 319 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:30,120 Speaker 2: I don't know if I could pull the trigger on 320 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 2: that as quickly as he did. I mean, I actually 321 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:35,000 Speaker 2: looked it up. So when we had talked about this before, 322 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,360 Speaker 2: he was like, I don't care if it's Mitch. I 323 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 2: don't care if it's Kenny. We're all good. 324 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 4: Mitch. 325 00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 2: Mitch started four games with Pittsburgh. It hasn't been awful. 326 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 2: He's actually been within like one score in all four games. 327 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 2: It's it hasn't been I think as bad as the 328 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 2: picture we've seen before based off of what we remember. 329 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 2: So maybe Brandon's onto something. But this would be a 330 00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:58,520 Speaker 2: scenario where I would be a little gunshot. But listen, 331 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 2: Baltimore looked great right Pittsburgh. 332 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 4: This was Brandon. This is the hot read, this is 333 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:04,680 Speaker 4: the one thing that this is his bread and butter man. 334 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 4: So it doesn't matter if it's Mitch Trubisky, doesn't matter 335 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 4: if it's Nathan Peterman. It's the spot you're gonna be like, 336 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 4: forget about the quarterback. We're gonna go after the Steelers 337 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:17,120 Speaker 4: in this matchup, all right. Next one, looking at the 338 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 4: Eagles versus the Rams, he likes Eagles minus four and 339 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 4: a half. Now. He feels that Eagles are just going 340 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:24,640 Speaker 4: to dominate the way they've done since the start of 341 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 4: last season in the trenches. The Rams their bottom five 342 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 4: offensive line, they've got really no chance likely against Jalen Carter. 343 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 4: You know, Fletcher Cox. That whole Eagles defensive line, the 344 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:41,440 Speaker 4: Eagles edge rushers is son Reddick, you know. So he said, 345 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 4: think about the way that Monday Night football was versus 346 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 4: the Bengals where Stafford had no shot. This is kind 347 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 4: of what he's expecting here, especially because Stafford, like he 348 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 4: got it out. We'll talk about that game here in 349 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 4: a second. But he's dealing with a bit of a 350 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 4: hip injury. There's a chance that if it's not him, 351 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:58,880 Speaker 4: that we could get Brett ripion. But if it is Stafford, 352 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 4: we're gonna be dealing with an injury here. And so 353 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 4: for him, Eagles minus four and a half is where 354 00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:06,160 Speaker 4: he is laying his money for a second hot read. 355 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:07,640 Speaker 2: All I got to say is if you can find 356 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 2: the four and a half I'm all about it. I 357 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:11,360 Speaker 2: see it kind of raising in the market. So four 358 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 2: and a half's a fantastic number. It's a unique spot, right, 359 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 2: Philly undefeated, Rams haven't lost a game against the spread, 360 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 2: so you kind of have two interesting forces coming up 361 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,240 Speaker 2: against each other. I did look it up earlier, so 362 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:26,920 Speaker 2: Rams would be third team in the last decade who 363 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 2: were undefeated against the spread and a home underdog this 364 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 2: late in the season, so it's a really rare spot. 365 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:35,680 Speaker 2: You don't seem to see it happen, but Rams coming 366 00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:38,119 Speaker 2: off a big game, Philly coming off kind of a 367 00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 2: not so good game where they kind of squeaked it out. 368 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 2: I see it, I understand it, so I'm good with it. 369 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 4: Steelers plus four, Eagles minus four and a half. That 370 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:50,680 Speaker 4: is Brendon Anderson's hot read going into Week five. Let's 371 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 4: talk about that Rams Colts game. Rams win twenty nine 372 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 4: to twenty three in overtime. The total does go over 373 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,320 Speaker 4: at forty five and a half with that late touchdown 374 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 4: in overtime, which was very clutch. Rams minus one and 375 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,159 Speaker 4: a half as well. They do win in this spot, 376 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,400 Speaker 4: and as you alluded to, Rams moved three to zero 377 00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 4: to one against the spread this season, and the Colts 378 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 4: now have lost their sixth straight game at home. 379 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:18,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess from a Rams perspective, Holy Pooka is 380 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 2: kind of thespective. 381 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:21,720 Speaker 4: Looks like a legit wide receiver. One. 382 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, unbelievable most receptions first four career games, nine more 383 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:30,960 Speaker 2: than ang Kwon Bolden. Most receiving yards too. And also, 384 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 2: I mean before Stafford's injury, like he looked good. Like 385 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,280 Speaker 2: he's top two or three in passing yards this year. 386 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 2: I guess the one issue would be he's only got 387 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 2: believe three passing touchdowns. 388 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 4: But I mean that was a betteran ot drive by 389 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 4: Stafford though, right, Like, Yeah, the way that he was 390 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 4: able to just kind of manage the clock get that 391 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 4: nikoua walk off touchdown. To me, I'm not sure if 392 00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:54,120 Speaker 4: Brett Ripian is pulling that off. That's a Matt Stafford 393 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,399 Speaker 4: type of play. And again, the one thing that I 394 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:57,920 Speaker 4: think we need to give credit to is the Rams 395 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:01,119 Speaker 4: and they're drafting of finding Puka Nakua, finding a Kyen 396 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,919 Speaker 4: Williams who looks like Todd Gurley two point zero. He 397 00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,680 Speaker 4: now has six touchdowns in three games. But the other 398 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:08,479 Speaker 4: thing I want to give credit to is the Colts 399 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 4: because just hanging around. They were down twenty three to 400 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 4: nothing in the third quarter. It reminded me a lot 401 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 4: of that Ravens game where they were just hanging around 402 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 4: and Richardson looked pretty good. In the second half. He 403 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,439 Speaker 4: had a rushing touchdown, drove him down the field to 404 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 4: tie it, got the two point convert. The defense off 405 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:26,679 Speaker 4: the Colts that really tightened up and locked down in 406 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 4: the second half. But again attrition. It's the second overtime 407 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 4: game in a week back to back. I alluded to 408 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 4: that Stafford drive. It just was one of those I'll 409 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:38,200 Speaker 4: pick you a part. It reminded me of that drive 410 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,400 Speaker 4: when they got to Cooper Cup in the Super Bowl 411 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,439 Speaker 4: against the Bengals. It reminded me of being able to 412 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 4: be that efficient and just picking a part of defense. 413 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 5: Right. 414 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 2: Forty third career game winning drive in the fourth quarter overtime, 415 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:49,200 Speaker 2: which is now the most in the end of the league. 416 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,160 Speaker 2: Tends to do this frequently, and if he's not hurt, 417 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 2: I think it's you know, I think they're a good 418 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:56,560 Speaker 2: team going forward. I think they're much better than people 419 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:57,399 Speaker 2: that made them out to be. 420 00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 4: All right, Commanders Eagles. Eagles win third four to thirty 421 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 4: one in overtime total goes over a forty three Eagles 422 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 4: minus nine does not cover because the Commanders come in 423 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 4: for a second year in a row and cover it 424 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 4: the link. They didn't get the outright win like they 425 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:14,840 Speaker 4: did last year. But I mean the Commanders, they came 426 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 4: up strong early, like, took a nice early lead, but 427 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 4: then Swift and Brown picked them apart as the game 428 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 4: was going. But the one thing, remember I brought up 429 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,400 Speaker 4: those late flags of quarterbacks stretching for that fourth down 430 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,159 Speaker 4: or stretching for that first down. That happened again in 431 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,160 Speaker 4: this game. And that really pisses me off because Hall 432 00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:35,120 Speaker 4: escapes on third down in the fourth quarter, he's stretching 433 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 4: for the first down, and the Eagles hit him hard. 434 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 4: That's a fifteen yard penalty. And the guy hit him 435 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 4: while he was in bounds. It wasn't like with justin 436 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 4: Herbert and Tillery in the in the afternoon slot where 437 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 4: it was completely agree just where Herbert is two steps 438 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:50,440 Speaker 4: out of bounds, like they threw him out of the 439 00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,399 Speaker 4: game because of how bad of a hit that was. 440 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:56,160 Speaker 4: But you know, just that really bugged me about that game, 441 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 4: is that and just in general with seeing quarterback stretch 442 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,200 Speaker 4: for the first down. If you're a runner, you can 443 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,439 Speaker 4: get hit. I don't care how hard it was. It 444 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:06,000 Speaker 4: just because the fact that you stretch for and you're 445 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,880 Speaker 4: a quarterback should not absolve you from taking a hit 446 00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 4: in the game of football. Now, aj Brown almost I 447 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 4: think kind of cost them the game in a way. 448 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 4: He had that. I thought it was a walk off 449 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 4: touchdown when he gets that and then he gets that 450 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 4: taunting call at the end puts the ball right at 451 00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 4: the commander's defender's feet and that's a fifteen yard penalty 452 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 4: for taunting that. And Sam Howe gets in position, they 453 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 4: come down and score, and even though he was getting 454 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 4: like beat up, he got sacked like three times on 455 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 4: the fourth quarter. 456 00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 2: You have to talk about this. This was like in 457 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 2: huge bold letters in my notes Riverboat Ron like, I 458 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,199 Speaker 2: feel like, from my point of view, you got to 459 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,760 Speaker 2: go for two there. You're the underdog in this situation. 460 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 2: You don't want to see over time. It's in your nickname. 461 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:51,240 Speaker 2: It's I was so upset. I even had I had 462 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,120 Speaker 2: Philly in a few things just to win the game, 463 00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,160 Speaker 2: and I even wanted them to go for it because 464 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 2: to me, it was just the wrong the right move, 465 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 2: but there. 466 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:00,920 Speaker 4: Are commander's better You didn't care because you were gonna 467 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,680 Speaker 4: cover anyway if it went to overtime. But I'm sure 468 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 4: there was probably somebody out there with a Commander's money 469 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,360 Speaker 4: line ticket looking at how they played against them last 470 00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 4: year and how they match up with them. But I 471 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,760 Speaker 4: don't know. I don't know analytics wise, Yes, I do 472 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,400 Speaker 4: think the Commander should have went for it for two. 473 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:18,800 Speaker 4: But if they missed it, you know exactly what we 474 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 4: would probably be doing in every talking head would be 475 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,920 Speaker 4: the next day talking about what a horrible decision blah 476 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,439 Speaker 4: but like and just it would be the an analytics 477 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 4: referendum all day Monday about it it to it. 478 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:31,520 Speaker 2: But I will add this since you mentioned it before. 479 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 2: So How's been sacked twenty four times through four games, 480 00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 2: most in the NFL, but more importantly third most all time, 481 00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 2: behind David Carr twice. When you're on a list with 482 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:43,560 Speaker 2: David Carr, that is not a good sack list to 483 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 2: be on. 484 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 4: So no, that's just fast track to get being a 485 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 4: brother quarterback, Very fast tracked. 486 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,960 Speaker 2: And then Jalen Hurts twenty three and one straight up 487 00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:53,199 Speaker 2: in his last twenty four starts as a favorite. So 488 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:56,520 Speaker 2: guy just doesn't doesn't doesn't lose at all, doesn't find 489 00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 2: a way to lose, and a fun trend. So Washington 490 00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:02,919 Speaker 2: and Tennessee and Tennessee we'll talk about for a second 491 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 2: a little bit, but very very bad. The week before 492 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,800 Speaker 2: we scored three points or less. Those teams now seventy 493 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 2: seven and forty eight ats the next week, so and 494 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,359 Speaker 2: both those teams went over their team totals. So good bounce. 495 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:18,600 Speaker 4: Back Vikings Panthers. Vikings win twenty one to thirteen, the 496 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 4: under forty six and a half hits. But the Vikings 497 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,959 Speaker 4: do cover as four and a half point favorites, and 498 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,440 Speaker 4: they do win a one score game. The eleven wins 499 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,639 Speaker 4: last year in one score games, and then if you 500 00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 4: include that playoff loss against the Giants along with the 501 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,760 Speaker 4: first three games this year, they had four straight losses 502 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 4: of one score games. To me, that's not really the story. 503 00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 4: I feel like that's the Vikings story every week. The 504 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:44,120 Speaker 4: story to me is Frank Breich and this Panthers defense 505 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 4: and just in general, this overall team, because they are 506 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,120 Speaker 4: one and nine straight up now in his last ten 507 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 4: games as a coach. Yeah, and two and seven to 508 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,040 Speaker 4: one against the spread as a home underdog. So I'm 509 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:57,000 Speaker 4: a little worried about where the Panthers are going because 510 00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:00,879 Speaker 4: Bryce Young just doesn't look like he just doesn't look it, 511 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:03,360 Speaker 4: man Like, he had sacks on third and fourth down 512 00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:05,159 Speaker 4: on a key drive in the fourth quarter where they 513 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 4: could have had a chance to tie the game, And 514 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 4: there's just horrific quarterback decisions all through this. I mean 515 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 4: there were two defensive scores as well in this game too, 516 00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 4: which the fact that underbetters were probably just cursing that. 517 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 4: It's like, how is points coming from this? Just random 518 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,640 Speaker 4: scores here? But yeah, I feel like the Panthers they've 519 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,800 Speaker 4: got a world hurt coming and it would really shock 520 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 4: me if they don't go two and fifteenth this year. 521 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 2: Yeah. I could go in a soliloquy right now on 522 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:40,560 Speaker 2: how bad Carolina's situation is currently between Bryce Richardson and Stroud. Bryce, 523 00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:43,359 Speaker 2: as I think many people have predicted, doesn't look like 524 00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,880 Speaker 2: the right choice, even though you probably say they had 525 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 2: to make it. He just, I mean, he just doesn't 526 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 2: look as good. So that's one. He's thirty third of 527 00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 2: thirty four quarterbacks in EPA per play Zach is last. 528 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:58,359 Speaker 2: Stroud is fourteenth Richardson's nineteenth for perspective, and really the 529 00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 2: one that nails me is Rice five point eight average 530 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 2: yards per death target so basically air yards. You know 531 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 2: what that number was today? Three point two, three point. 532 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:11,840 Speaker 4: The Vikings defense, who lets anybody score on them at 533 00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,199 Speaker 4: this rate? Like, so yeah, it's been a brutal go 534 00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,360 Speaker 4: for the Panthers, who who owe their first round pick 535 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:21,120 Speaker 4: to the Bears. So yes, unrears, I could be looking 536 00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:22,640 Speaker 4: at two top five picks. 537 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,240 Speaker 2: I think about this with Carolina. They play at Detroit 538 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,280 Speaker 2: and at Miami. They're plus eight and a half next week. 539 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 2: The Lions haven't been this big of a favorite since 540 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 2: like twenty seventeen. 541 00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 4: Falcons Jaguars played in London. You could call this the 542 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,359 Speaker 4: Toy Story Bowl if you wanted to. Jaguars win twenty 543 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:42,280 Speaker 4: three to seven. Jags do cover his three point favorites. 544 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 4: The under forty two and a half hits, and that's 545 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:49,959 Speaker 4: because Desmond Ritter is not an NFL quarterback. Two interceptions 546 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 4: and a fumble. The under has now hit in the 547 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:56,840 Speaker 4: last five Jaguars games in London. They've got the Bills 548 00:25:56,840 --> 00:26:00,040 Speaker 4: coming next week and they'll be the road team. I 549 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 4: guess in that instance. But honestly, I feel like the 550 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:04,639 Speaker 4: Jaguars just did what they had to do. They coasted 551 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 4: to a win and they let Richard hand them the game. 552 00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:10,160 Speaker 4: And you could see though that the Jaguars, even though 553 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:14,280 Speaker 4: they're two to one, there's still a tier below Kansas 554 00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:17,760 Speaker 4: City and Buffalo in the AFC SO and now Buffalo 555 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,119 Speaker 4: coming into to London, that's going to be a pretty 556 00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 4: good game. But if it's any indication of what we 557 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,640 Speaker 4: just saw against Miami, it's going to be a long 558 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:25,960 Speaker 4: day for Jacksonville. 559 00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, first team ever to play those back to back 560 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:32,719 Speaker 2: games in London for Jacksonville. And it's worth noting overseas 561 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 2: favorites thirty nine and one straight up, twenty six and 562 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:39,679 Speaker 2: fourteen against the spread after the Jaguars won today and 563 00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 2: covered pretty bad. From Ridder's point of view, you mentioned it, 564 00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:45,720 Speaker 2: he just doesn't look like a pro quarterback the fun 565 00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:48,120 Speaker 2: stat and maybe going forward we'll see if it continues. 566 00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,639 Speaker 2: Oh to eight against the first half spread in his 567 00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:55,040 Speaker 2: NFL career, can't start fast, can't come from behind. The 568 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:57,919 Speaker 2: Arthur Smith schemes are off. You've got a ton of 569 00:26:57,920 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 2: offensive weapons, and you can't figure out what to do 570 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 2: with your quarterback. But the interesting thing is they face 571 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:06,359 Speaker 2: Houston next week and no bye week, so probably not 572 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:10,560 Speaker 2: the best scenario for Atlanta, so interesting, interesting spot for Houston. 573 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 2: I'm looking right now, Atlanta's minus two and a half, 574 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:16,920 Speaker 2: minus three at home. So of course Ritter never lost 575 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,560 Speaker 2: at home in his life. College en pros is that 576 00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:20,960 Speaker 2: we've heard that one before. 577 00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:24,639 Speaker 4: Yeah, well, if I was running the Falcons, I'd be 578 00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,439 Speaker 4: getting Taylor Heinike in there right now. Yeah, we got 579 00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 4: a bunch of blowouts to go through. Ravens. Brown's Ravens 580 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:34,280 Speaker 4: win twenty eight to three underhits easily at thirty eight 581 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 4: and a half. It's worth noting this was Brown's minus 582 00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:40,080 Speaker 4: two until Sunday morning, and then this moved to Ravens 583 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,000 Speaker 4: minus two and a half because of Deshaun Watson being 584 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:46,159 Speaker 4: ruled out during Thompson Robinson comes in as the starter. 585 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 4: Did not look like a starting quarterback of the NFL. 586 00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:52,119 Speaker 4: Three interceptions and now Lamar Jackson. We talked about this 587 00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:54,399 Speaker 4: last week two and fourteen against the spread, when he 588 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:56,480 Speaker 4: is a favorite of three points or more since the 589 00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,879 Speaker 4: start of twenty twenty one, but in that sweet spot 590 00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 4: where he is a favorite betwe between three or less 591 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,440 Speaker 4: seventeen and six against the spread. So just something to 592 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,200 Speaker 4: keep in mind. You ever see Lamar in that short favorite, 593 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:08,919 Speaker 4: that's the time that you really want to look at 594 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 4: him here. Bengals Titans. Titans win twenty seven to three 595 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,880 Speaker 4: total goes under Bengals two and a half point favorites, 596 00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:20,400 Speaker 4: didn't even show any fight. The under hits at forty 597 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,000 Speaker 4: one and a half. Mike rabel As the dog moves 598 00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:26,119 Speaker 4: to twenty eight eighteen and one against the spread. I 599 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:27,760 Speaker 4: don't really want to talk too much about this game. 600 00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:30,120 Speaker 4: This is kind of an evergreen, like we could almost 601 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,920 Speaker 4: throw in what we talked about in week two in 602 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:35,879 Speaker 4: week one, you know it just shoehorned this into the 603 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 4: show and just say what you saw there. That's pretty 604 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:41,360 Speaker 4: much what happened today. The first half was bad, second 605 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,520 Speaker 4: half was even worse. So t Higgins goes out, it 606 00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:47,160 Speaker 4: was just awful to watch. And I don't really have 607 00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:50,520 Speaker 4: much else to say about the Bengals until Burrow is right, 608 00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 4: and until I see a game with Joe Burrow looking right, 609 00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 4: I don't want to really talk about the Cincinnati Bengals 610 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 4: as a contender. 611 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 2: I mean, in the a. I'll say this, three offensive 612 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,760 Speaker 2: touchdowns through four games in the NFL. Something looks wrong 613 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:05,720 Speaker 2: with Joe and they're at Arizona next week. Line open six, 614 00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 2: starting to move down. Arizona's looked very competent, so we'll 615 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:10,720 Speaker 2: see how that goes. 616 00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:15,040 Speaker 4: Steelers Texans. Texans win thirty to six. Total does go 617 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 4: under the Steelers as road favorites three and a half 618 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,800 Speaker 4: point favorites, they lose out right along with the under 619 00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 4: hitting at forty one and a half. Mike Tomlin road 620 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 4: unders though one of the best cash cows of all 621 00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 4: time fifty seven percent of all time when he's on 622 00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,000 Speaker 4: the road, total goes under as when he's the coach 623 00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 4: of the Steelers. It's the most profitable for any coach 624 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,760 Speaker 4: over the last twenty years. Now, we talked about CJ. 625 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,600 Speaker 4: Stroud and this rookie of the Year class. If you 626 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:41,400 Speaker 4: were listening last week, I hope that you got in 627 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 4: on Stroud rookie of the year at five to one, 628 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,880 Speaker 4: because now you might have missed your window because he 629 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,120 Speaker 4: looks like the real deal. It was the first home 630 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:52,560 Speaker 4: win for the Texans since Boxing Day of twenty twenty one. 631 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:55,440 Speaker 4: I mean, Demiko Ryans probably should be up there right 632 00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:57,040 Speaker 4: now for front runner for Coach of the Year. 633 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 2: I'll say one more on that one Stroud offensive Rookie 634 00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:02,360 Speaker 2: the Year favorite now plus one seventy five And here's 635 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:03,680 Speaker 2: your stat if you want to, if you want to 636 00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,760 Speaker 2: put Straud on a great list most pass attempts through 637 00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 2: four games with no interceptions Breeze, Brady Mahomes, Peyton, CJ. Stroud. 638 00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 4: Yes, and even doing that as a rookie though, I 639 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 4: think that's the one thing that's really impressive. You know, 640 00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,080 Speaker 4: four games, it's played some pretty tough teams, yet to 641 00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 4: throw an interception. Looks very competent. The future is bright. 642 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 4: In Houston, Buccaneers Saints, Bucks win twenty six to nine 643 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 4: total goes under a forty one and a half and 644 00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:35,720 Speaker 4: the Saints lose outright as four and a half point favorites. 645 00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 4: Derek Carr as a favorite in his career seventeen thirty 646 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 4: two and two against the spread, So that means that 647 00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 4: if you faded him every time he is a favorite, 648 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:48,880 Speaker 4: you would win sixty seven percent of the time. 649 00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:51,640 Speaker 2: It's similar with Jamis, so no matter who they put 650 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 2: back there, don't bet him as a favorite. That's gotta 651 00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:55,000 Speaker 2: be the rule. 652 00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 4: To me, what was crazy is they had that twenty 653 00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 4: point streak going since since the middle of last season, 654 00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:03,080 Speaker 4: where no opponent had scored more than twenty points on them, 655 00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,440 Speaker 4: and that streak gets broken today and it was done 656 00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:09,080 Speaker 4: by an offense led by Baker Mayfield. And Baker is 657 00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,480 Speaker 4: just such a hot and cold quarterback. Like one game 658 00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:13,680 Speaker 4: like against the Vikings or this way he can look 659 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 4: like a stud or then you know there's some low points, 660 00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:18,280 Speaker 4: like how he looked with Carolina last year, or how 661 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,160 Speaker 4: he looked like against the Eagles, you know. So to me, 662 00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,480 Speaker 4: I'm just I'm not really ready to take anything away 663 00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,320 Speaker 4: from the Buccaneers as a threat in the NFC, But 664 00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 4: I will say that there are games sometimes where Baker 665 00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 4: can win you a game. Raiders Chargers. This one probably 666 00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:35,400 Speaker 4: deserves a little more time than we're gonna give it, 667 00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:38,920 Speaker 4: but honestly, it's just Chargers just charging. Chargers win twenty 668 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,920 Speaker 4: four to seventeen. The Raiders do cover though, as seven 669 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,880 Speaker 4: and a half point underdogs, and the underhits at forty 670 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:48,280 Speaker 4: eight and a half, six sacks from Khalil Mack just 671 00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:51,160 Speaker 4: taking down Aidan O'Connell pretty much a whole game but 672 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:54,360 Speaker 4: this was such a Charger game. Because Herbert hurts his 673 00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:57,320 Speaker 4: hand earlier in the game, you think that he's gonna 674 00:31:57,320 --> 00:31:59,640 Speaker 4: probably lead the game. He's probably got like a broken finger. 675 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,000 Speaker 4: But Staley has him doing quarterback runs from Shatka and 676 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,160 Speaker 4: then fourth down with three and a half to go, 677 00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:08,520 Speaker 4: and I'm not going against the fourth down decision. It's 678 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:10,760 Speaker 4: the fourth down play. A lot of these times when 679 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,360 Speaker 4: these coaches go for fourth down and the analytics back 680 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,920 Speaker 4: it up, of course, let's do it. But they always 681 00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:19,239 Speaker 4: picked these horrible plays, like these draw plays or these 682 00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 4: screen basses that are dead to rights as soon as 683 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,760 Speaker 4: they try to do it. And the Chargers, i mean, 684 00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:25,880 Speaker 4: they tried to give the game away again. Last five 685 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,960 Speaker 4: drives to end the game, three punts, an interception, turnover 686 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 4: on downs, and then they finally converted to get a 687 00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:36,000 Speaker 4: first down. But yeah, this one was just back and forth. 688 00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:38,760 Speaker 4: If you were sitting there with the Raiders ticket, congratulations, 689 00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,200 Speaker 4: but it was this close to falling out of your hands. 690 00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:46,680 Speaker 4: And kudos to you for the Chargers for not covering again. 691 00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,600 Speaker 4: It's incredible how these games go. Cardinals forty nine, Ers 692 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 4: nine Ers win thirty five to sixteen. This was a route. 693 00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:57,120 Speaker 4: I mean, Christian McCaffrey scored four touchdowns in this game. 694 00:32:57,120 --> 00:33:00,120 Speaker 4: He up scored the Cardinals by himself. But honestly, I 695 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 4: think I might love this Cardinals team. Jonathan Gannon's the 696 00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:05,200 Speaker 4: top three coach of the Year candidate, even though I 697 00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,920 Speaker 4: think the team is one and three, But to me, 698 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,800 Speaker 4: they were an earth touchdown catch away from covering this 699 00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:14,680 Speaker 4: fourteen as well, so the fact that they are they're 700 00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 4: three and one against the spread, but they were so 701 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 4: close to being at four And oh, finally we're gonna 702 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,800 Speaker 4: end it with this Patriots Cowboys. Cowboys win thirty eight 703 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 4: to three. Cowboys cover easily as six point favorites, and 704 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:29,040 Speaker 4: the underhits at forty three and a half. This game 705 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:32,520 Speaker 4: was over by halftime. Mac Jones did the quarterback faux 706 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:35,960 Speaker 4: pa where he throws it across his body. Easy picked six. 707 00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:38,479 Speaker 4: That's coming off a fumble six from Leyton vander esh 708 00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 4: Earlier in the game, we had a Bailey's appy appearance. 709 00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:44,520 Speaker 4: It was just a bad outing for the Patriots. The 710 00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:47,040 Speaker 4: Cowboys really haven't had to do anything offensively all year. 711 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,120 Speaker 4: But I'm going to just leave you with this question. 712 00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 4: Do the Patriots you were on this first. You were 713 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,040 Speaker 4: one of the people who said Patriots are done. I'm out, 714 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 4: They're gonna finish last in the AFC East. Are you 715 00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:59,040 Speaker 4: out on Mac Jones and you want Bailey Zappy now 716 00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,040 Speaker 4: in as the starter if you're supporting that notion. 717 00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:04,600 Speaker 2: As a gambler, with the amount of money that I 718 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 2: have against New England, I'd like Mac to stay put. 719 00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:10,480 Speaker 2: I'd like him to continue to play quarterback, but as 720 00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 2: a Patriots fan, I probably would rather see Zappy. You 721 00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 2: know what you have with Mac? It's been really bad. Listen. 722 00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,240 Speaker 2: He's lost twelve straight starts against the spread as an underdog. 723 00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,560 Speaker 2: The Patriots have scored twenty points or less in their 724 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:25,800 Speaker 2: first four games for the first time since two thousand. 725 00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,600 Speaker 2: His average depth to target is atrocious. I mean, he 726 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 2: should be replaced. They should find another option now. The 727 00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 2: one thing I will say their defense stellar stellar, stellar, stellar. 728 00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:39,160 Speaker 2: But Christian Gonzalez was injured today, believe Judan was injured 729 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:42,560 Speaker 2: long term, both very very large injuries and now they 730 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,600 Speaker 2: play New Orleans coming up, so that's a pretty tough game. 731 00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,680 Speaker 4: The Action Network podcast is presented by bet MGM used 732 00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 4: bonus code Action when signing up to get up to 733 00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:54,520 Speaker 4: fifteen hundred dollars paid back in bonus bets if your 734 00:34:54,560 --> 00:35:03,800 Speaker 4: first bet loses. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Io, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 735 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:08,960 Speaker 4: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. 736 00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,080 Speaker 4: Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older. 737 00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:15,719 Speaker 4: Gambing problem called one eight hundred gambler. We welcome in 738 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,840 Speaker 4: Patrick Everson from Vegas Insider. He was boots on the 739 00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:23,680 Speaker 4: ground in Las Vegas today, many different sports books and Patrick, 740 00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:26,320 Speaker 4: what's the vibe in Vegas today? How did the books 741 00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:26,960 Speaker 4: do overall? 742 00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:27,880 Speaker 5: Well? 743 00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:29,759 Speaker 3: I mean, I'll tell you it was looking early like 744 00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:31,279 Speaker 3: they were going to do really well early in the 745 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,720 Speaker 3: early games when Washington got off to a good start 746 00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 3: and when Chicago got off to a very good start 747 00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:40,520 Speaker 3: against Denver. Washington much more so than than Chicago, but still, 748 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:42,839 Speaker 3: you know, when you're starting to get some of these 749 00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 3: underdogs that are winning outright. 750 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 5: But it didn't turn out that way. 751 00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:51,239 Speaker 3: And as it turned out for the books in that 752 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,479 Speaker 3: game that Eagles Commander's game was really a key game. 753 00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:56,480 Speaker 3: But you know, kind of on both sides for the 754 00:35:56,480 --> 00:36:00,520 Speaker 3: book for the books, and that is because the Eagles 755 00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:03,000 Speaker 3: didn't cover, and obviously the public was definitely on. 756 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,799 Speaker 5: The Eagles, so the books did well to that. 757 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,760 Speaker 3: But the Eagles getting their act together coming back ultimately 758 00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:12,760 Speaker 3: winning that game kept alive all the money line parlays 759 00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:15,799 Speaker 3: and teasers that were running to Philadelphia, and then the 760 00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 3: favorites did really well in the afternoon to keep in 761 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,200 Speaker 3: the later kicks to keep them going, and you know, 762 00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,880 Speaker 3: and that all rolls into Sunday night, and we're talking 763 00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 3: during Sunday night, so we'll have to see how that 764 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:28,799 Speaker 3: turns out. But it was it was kind of a 765 00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:30,880 Speaker 3: mixed bag, I would say, for the books and the betters. 766 00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:34,040 Speaker 3: And I think the betters certainly were happy to you know, 767 00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:36,880 Speaker 3: so many public betters in the NFL do the NFL 768 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:41,200 Speaker 3: money line parlays, do the teasers, so the Eagles certainly 769 00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:42,840 Speaker 3: kept those alive by getting out of there. 770 00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:44,400 Speaker 4: With a win. That one had a little bit of 771 00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:49,040 Speaker 4: an impact for the books. But Chargers Raiders, now Raiders 772 00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,120 Speaker 4: weren't at home. They were playing in LA, but they 773 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:54,280 Speaker 4: were seven and a half point home underdogs with Aidan 774 00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,720 Speaker 4: O'Connell at quarterback and were able to cover their last 775 00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,920 Speaker 4: minute with some of the last minute plays, did the 776 00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:01,600 Speaker 4: pub will end up getting a little bit of a 777 00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:03,720 Speaker 4: win on that, especially local Vegas betters. 778 00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 5: I think the local Vegas betterers did. 779 00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,720 Speaker 3: They usually come in on the Raiders, although the Raiders 780 00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:10,480 Speaker 3: have you know, even they they've kind of struggled in 781 00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:12,240 Speaker 3: there a couple of years here, so sometimes the bloom 782 00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,200 Speaker 3: is off the roads. But generally speaking, uh, there's there's 783 00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:17,120 Speaker 3: pretty good crowds at the local books. And I was 784 00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:22,400 Speaker 3: at a very local book for that game, you know. Uh, 785 00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:25,040 Speaker 3: And and then there was certainly a good Raiders crowd 786 00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:26,719 Speaker 3: in there, as there always is at these at the 787 00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,480 Speaker 3: at these books around town. So uh, that certainly was 788 00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:32,719 Speaker 3: uh that that certainly was one that that probably worked 789 00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 3: out well, getting getting. 790 00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:35,239 Speaker 5: The cover with the rookie quarterback. 791 00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:38,239 Speaker 3: But uh, but I did hear from at that same 792 00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:40,560 Speaker 3: at that same book, uh, you know, the head oddsmaker 793 00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:43,480 Speaker 3: there told me that, look, it was a really well 794 00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:47,000 Speaker 3: back game both ways, and that there were really even 795 00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 3: though you've got the home audience here, people were still 796 00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:51,640 Speaker 3: kind of sprinkling the Chargers in. As we discussed a 797 00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:55,520 Speaker 3: little bit earlier, they're money line parlays and teasers, maybe 798 00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:57,360 Speaker 3: not taking the Chargers, taking the Raiders on the spread, 799 00:37:57,360 --> 00:37:57,840 Speaker 3: and maybe. 800 00:37:57,680 --> 00:37:59,960 Speaker 5: Taking the Chargers for their bunny line parlays and teas. 801 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:03,440 Speaker 3: So it was kind of a maybe a mixed bag 802 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:05,760 Speaker 3: result there for the for the betters and the books, 803 00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:08,280 Speaker 3: just in similar to you know, kind of what happened 804 00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:09,440 Speaker 3: with the Commanders and the Eagles. 805 00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,080 Speaker 4: So so another game too, though, is we talked about 806 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:14,080 Speaker 4: this last week Cardinals. They were three and zero against 807 00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:16,920 Speaker 4: the spread. They were getting such a discrepancy on tickets 808 00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,120 Speaker 4: and handle. I think you even mentioned it was around 809 00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:22,760 Speaker 4: five to one for the Cowboys last week. Now coming 810 00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:26,160 Speaker 4: in as fourteen point underdogs. Did sportsbooks see a lot 811 00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:28,760 Speaker 4: more action on the Cardinals this time around, especially hanging 812 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:29,560 Speaker 4: such a big number. 813 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,680 Speaker 3: They did, they saw it was significantly closer. I'm not 814 00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:34,160 Speaker 3: sure if I there were there were a couple of 815 00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:36,680 Speaker 3: books where there was actually even a couple of oddsmakers 816 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:38,880 Speaker 3: spoken where there was actually a little bit more tickets 817 00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:41,400 Speaker 3: and money on the Cardinals, which was surprising. I know 818 00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:43,799 Speaker 3: what bet MGM, it was close, it was, it was 819 00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:45,640 Speaker 3: closer to two way action. I think it might have 820 00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:48,799 Speaker 3: been really close on ticket count at bet MGM a 821 00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:53,560 Speaker 3: little bit more money on uh On on forty nine ers, 822 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:57,799 Speaker 3: which is to be expected. You know they're right now, 823 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:00,000 Speaker 3: they're among the favorites, if not the favorite at most 824 00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:01,359 Speaker 3: sportsbooks to win the Super Bowl. 825 00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:02,279 Speaker 4: So a little bit. 826 00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:03,920 Speaker 3: More money on the Niners, but not nearly as tilted 827 00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:05,560 Speaker 3: toward the Niners as you might have expected for a 828 00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:07,680 Speaker 3: public team that's had a couple of very good seasons 829 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:09,279 Speaker 3: and is off to a really good start this year. 830 00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:12,480 Speaker 3: People definitely did start to notice this week and really 831 00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,440 Speaker 3: probably should have got there with the Cardinals. The Cardinals 832 00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:17,239 Speaker 3: probably should have gotten a four to zero against the 833 00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:19,880 Speaker 3: spread came just a little bit away. 834 00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:22,840 Speaker 4: He had it, and yeah, it was. It was that 835 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,080 Speaker 4: margin of era. Was that close to just signing that ticket, 836 00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,040 Speaker 4: of whether or not that would have been a push 837 00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:31,800 Speaker 4: or not. Let's talk about Monday Night football, Seahawks and Giants. 838 00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,120 Speaker 4: Seahawks are two and a half point favorites. Is this 839 00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,080 Speaker 4: game getting in a lot of action on either side? 840 00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:36,839 Speaker 5: It has. 841 00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:38,920 Speaker 3: It's certainly gotten some interest and I know it. At 842 00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:42,239 Speaker 3: Benham Jam going into Sunday, tickets were about three to 843 00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:46,080 Speaker 3: one on the spread on the road Seahawks with about 844 00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:49,160 Speaker 3: fifty eight percent of money following that, so about three 845 00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:52,879 Speaker 3: to one tickets three to two money Giants. Third, there's 846 00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:54,920 Speaker 3: definitely a little bloom ofuth the Rows, not just with 847 00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,320 Speaker 3: the Giants, but because the Giants are playing their third 848 00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:59,799 Speaker 3: primetime game in four weeks, and in the previous two 849 00:39:59,800 --> 00:40:02,400 Speaker 3: prime time games they're ower and too straight up against 850 00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:06,160 Speaker 3: the spread, So I think that's certainly factoring into it. 851 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,440 Speaker 3: But I wouldn't be surprised to see the Giants get 852 00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:11,239 Speaker 3: a you know, get a go tomorrow. The New York, 853 00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:15,000 Speaker 3: New Jersey market is just so massive and they'll be 854 00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:17,440 Speaker 3: you know, especially if they can. If they hit up 855 00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:20,919 Speaker 3: cashing some tickets on the Jets, they might be ready 856 00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:22,759 Speaker 3: to reload on on the Giants a little bit for 857 00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:23,640 Speaker 3: Monday Night football. 858 00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:25,839 Speaker 5: So I wouldn't be surprised if it's a two way game. 859 00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,479 Speaker 3: But the short favorite scene a little bit of money 860 00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:31,080 Speaker 3: for sure, and the Giants, with that massive market and 861 00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:34,279 Speaker 3: at a big public backing, will probably get plenty of 862 00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:35,080 Speaker 3: activity as well. 863 00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:36,640 Speaker 4: All right, Patrick, let's get you out of here on 864 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,960 Speaker 4: this one. We're looking at week five. Brandon Anderson, for example, 865 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 4: already is recommending to get in on the Steelers as 866 00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:47,759 Speaker 4: well as getting in on the Eagles spreads early. Some 867 00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:51,240 Speaker 4: of those may have seen some movement already from your pov. 868 00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:52,840 Speaker 4: Have you are you seeing any game next week that 869 00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,480 Speaker 4: has already saw some movement? Let's address that Eagles game. 870 00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 3: Haven't seen movement from one odds maker that I reached 871 00:40:57,520 --> 00:41:00,640 Speaker 3: out to tonight, but he said, it's been and Eagles 872 00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:03,839 Speaker 3: and over so far, and I think we'll see that continue. 873 00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:06,520 Speaker 3: And he noted a Rams upset win will most likely 874 00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,880 Speaker 3: be our best outcome here. So they are seeing some 875 00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:11,000 Speaker 3: early Eagles money, So Evan maybe right on top of 876 00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:14,720 Speaker 3: that where that number may bee maybe heading north. Another 877 00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,120 Speaker 3: game that's certainly interesting, Probably the most interesting game is 878 00:41:17,120 --> 00:41:20,319 Speaker 3: the Cowboys nine Ers Sunday Night Football that with this 879 00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:22,680 Speaker 3: particular odds maker opened nine Ers three and a half, 880 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:26,040 Speaker 3: already up to four, but once they got to four, 881 00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:28,359 Speaker 3: they were already seeing resistance. He said, we started seeing 882 00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:31,239 Speaker 3: some Cowboys bets come in on Dallas plus four. He 883 00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:34,799 Speaker 3: thinks Dallas will be a trendy dog in Week five at. 884 00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:36,320 Speaker 5: San Francisco on Sunday Night Football. 885 00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:38,879 Speaker 3: But the Niners are very good, as we talked about 886 00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:41,280 Speaker 3: just a few moments ago, and he said San Francisco 887 00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:44,560 Speaker 3: always gets good action, so this should be a really 888 00:41:44,600 --> 00:41:45,839 Speaker 3: interesting game on. 889 00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:47,560 Speaker 5: Sunday night with two very public teams. 890 00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,440 Speaker 4: Patrick Everson from Vegas Insider, thanks for joining. We'll talk 891 00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,640 Speaker 4: to you again next week. You bet have a good week, 892 00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:54,080 Speaker 4: all right, Well that'll do it. I want to thank 893 00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:57,319 Speaker 4: everybody for listening to the Action Network podcast presented by 894 00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:01,360 Speaker 4: Bett MGM. Enjoy the Monday night ballgame between the Giants 895 00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:03,880 Speaker 4: and the Seahawks, and keep an eye over all of 896 00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:11,799 Speaker 4: our week five NFL podcasts right here on the Action Network. 897 00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:28,360 Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 898 00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:31,200 Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 899 00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:34,320 Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler