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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition on the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolez. You can follow me as always on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. We are on Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: We're on YouTube for the video and wherever you get

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Speaker 1: your audio podcast, and we're always being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM. Where tonight you can make that five

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Speaker 1: when a touchdown or any touchdown get scored, we bet

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Speaker 1: a side total or a money line using the promo

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Speaker 1: go Juice one hundred with bet MGM or the other

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Speaker 1: always get it ten buck offer to win one hundred

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Speaker 1: fifty bucks with the promo go Juice one fifty. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so not a great Sunday. My two favorite bets the

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Speaker 1: Patriots plus three and a half in the Browns minus

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Speaker 1: three both go down. Patriots go down in really tough fashion.

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Speaker 1: I will make that bet every time. It's the same

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Speaker 1: bet that I told you I would make that bet

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Speaker 1: every time. With the Patriots at home against the Bucks,

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Speaker 1: they're just not getting the breaks and that's just the

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Speaker 1: way it is. You know, the Patriots could have beaten

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins, they didn't. They could have beaten the Bucks,

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Speaker 1: they didn't. They could have beaten the Cowboys and they didn't.

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Speaker 1: That's sports, man, I mean, that's just that's sports. And

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Speaker 1: we're trying to predict what teams are going to do.

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Speaker 1: And I would take the Patriots plus three and a

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Speaker 1: half every time. And that was just a really unfortunate

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Speaker 1: set of circumstances. And I will say this, Bill Belichick

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Speaker 1: is in trouble with where football is and where he is.

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Speaker 1: He punted way too many times on fourth and one,

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Speaker 1: fourth and two, and then the most egregious in overtime.

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Speaker 1: That game was over. I mean I was on the air,

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Speaker 1: I was on National Radio and Belichick punt and I said,

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Speaker 1: game over. That's it. Patriot defense was so banged up.

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Speaker 1: It's so weird that like when you're watching the game

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Speaker 1: and you know who's in the secondary, and you know

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Speaker 1: who the Cowboys have and Bill Belichick doesn't, that's a

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Speaker 1: very odd place to be to bank on that defense

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Speaker 1: being that tired against that offense where Dak Prescott throws

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Speaker 1: for four hundred and forty five yards. It's the most

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Speaker 1: yardage ever given up by a Belichick defense. And it

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Speaker 1: was predictable, like you knew it was coming, and he

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Speaker 1: did not trust his quarterback and he doesn't trust Mac Jones.

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Speaker 1: That's it. I said, look, do or die, live or

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Speaker 1: die with Mac Jones pick six horrible right next pass,

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Speaker 1: seventy five yard touchdown. If Nelson Aguilar had a pair

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Speaker 1: of hands instead of cinderblocks, maybe the Patriots win that game.

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Speaker 1: Because he had a lot of room on that first down,

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Speaker 1: first down catch and he dropped it. Game went kind

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Speaker 1: of sideways from there for the Patriots. Congrass to the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: If you were on minus three and a half, congrats

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Speaker 1: you were very lucky. But you cash. That's all that matters.

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Speaker 1: And boy, wasn't a big big day for the public.

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Speaker 1: The books got annihilated seven to zero, favorites seven and

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Speaker 1: zero in the open air in the opening slate of games,

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Speaker 1: and just a disaster. I got the Jacksonville pick right.

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Speaker 1: I called that Jags money line. I thought I was

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Speaker 1: gonna be hot today. Yesterday I was like, I woke

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Speaker 1: up bright and early. I predicted on Saturday, Jags win outright,

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Speaker 1: Jags one outright that was part of our circa play.

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Speaker 1: One of my circuit teams went three and two and

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Speaker 1: two and three, and the Jags were the difference between

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Speaker 1: going two and three and three and two three and two,

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Speaker 1: Personal two and three with the Daily Juice team went

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Speaker 1: two to two and one last week. So not a

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Speaker 1: great little run here for us. But it's okay. We'll

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Speaker 1: keep on firing and keep on playing and hopefully things

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Speaker 1: will turn around. So prop bets were a disaster. I

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Speaker 1: missed Dak Sorry, I missed dk Metcalf by two yards,

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Speaker 1: and I missed the Darren Waller had sixty and they

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Speaker 1: corrected it. It was over fifty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: Darren Waller. They corrected it with a spot that they

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Speaker 1: said it was a bad spot. They moved it back

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Speaker 1: a yard and he finished fifty nine yards receiving instead

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Speaker 1: of fifty sixty. So I missed on that prop. So

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Speaker 1: I missed two props by two and a half yards. Yay.

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Speaker 1: That was the day. That's why I got the vikings right,

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Speaker 1: but that took overtime. Almost didn't get that right. And

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Speaker 1: then I got my personal teaser right with the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: and the Packers, but the Wong teaser missed for the

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Speaker 1: first time all year. Wong teaser falls to five and

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Speaker 1: one on the season, so my personal teasers go to

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Speaker 1: two and two or two and three. I think it is, yeah,

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Speaker 1: two and three. I think it is no. Two and

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Speaker 1: two because I took two weeks off two and two

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Speaker 1: for my personal teaser and five and one now on

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Speaker 1: the Wong teaser. So first loss, so just everything was

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Speaker 1: kind of nasty. So down two point one units for Sunday,

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Speaker 1: which sinks, but that's kind of just where we are

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Speaker 1: before I give you the picks today, my first NBA

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Speaker 1: bet of twenty twenty one. Baby, here we go. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna get into that a note for Opening Night, and

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Speaker 1: then I'm gonna have an opportunity for U. I like, well,

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Speaker 1: I've got two bets one baseball, one hockey, and one

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Speaker 1: bet on Monday Night Football. But before I do anything,

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Speaker 1: just a quick update on the fundraiser for my sister

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Speaker 1: in law's boyfriend for raising money for him with him

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Speaker 1: having brain cancer and having a need for treatment that's

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Speaker 1: going to be very expensive. Where we've hit almost thirty

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars. That's over the weekend. That's an incredible number.

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Speaker 1: Or like twenty nine five raised in about seventy two hours. Again,

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Speaker 1: my biggest of thank yous to everyone who's donated one dollar,

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Speaker 1: two dollars, somebody a couple of you guys that don't

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Speaker 1: like five hundred dollars, which is incredible. I mean just wow,

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Speaker 1: absolutely wow. So we've been checking it. My wife is

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Speaker 1: gonna write I think she said she's gonna write every

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Speaker 1: single person who donated a personal letter who put their

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Speaker 1: name attached to it. So I was like, wow, that's

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Speaker 1: a lot of work. There's six hundred people who donated.

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Speaker 1: She's like, I don't care, I'm doing it. So the

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Speaker 1: that tell move my wife is but what you guys

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Speaker 1: have done, So thank you, thank you, thank you for

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Speaker 1: everyone who's helping Darryl. And he posted a really emotional

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Speaker 1: it's on my Twitter account if you go at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. The linked the pin tweet is the fundraiser.

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Speaker 1: But I put his Facebook post underneath me underneath that,

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Speaker 1: and it is a big thank you from Darryl for

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Speaker 1: anyone who doined it. Who's who's helping him out during

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Speaker 1: this during this very troubling, in difficult time in his life.

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Speaker 1: So all right, let's start with Monday Night Football. All right,

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to same game tease this. I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to get involved. I'm just going to bet on

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Speaker 1: what I think is going to happen, all right. The

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills opened up at three and a half point favorites,

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Speaker 1: and everybody hammered this. Okay, I probably would have bet

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Speaker 1: Buffalo at minus three and a half, but it went

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Speaker 1: so quickly to six, and it's pretty much stopped at six.

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Speaker 1: That's been the pushback resistance from the professionals at six.

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Speaker 1: The reason is this, Buffalo's run defense has looked pretty

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Speaker 1: good this year. But if you go back, I can

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Speaker 1: look at who Buffalo has faced so Buffalo. Here are

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Speaker 1: the teams that the Buffalo Bills have faced so far

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one. Pittsburgh Steelers, Miami Dolphins, Washington Football Team,

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Speaker 1: Houston Texans, and the KC Chiefs. The running offenses get this,

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh thirty first, Miami thirty seconds, the Washington Football team sixteenth,

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Speaker 1: and then the Chiefs are not bad. The Chiefs are seventh,

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Speaker 1: but the Chiefs got down so early they really weren't

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Speaker 1: running the football. And the Houston Texans, who are twenty eighth, Okay.

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Speaker 1: So the rush offenses in the NFL that the Buffalo

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Speaker 1: Bills defense have faced so far this year thirty two,

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Speaker 1: thirty one, twenty eight, sixteen and seven. All Right, so

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Speaker 1: before you go, oh my gosh, Pittsburgh's rush defense is

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Speaker 1: so good, Okay, they're about to face the number three

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Speaker 1: rush offense in the NFL is the Tennessee Titans at

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Speaker 1: home catching six points. It is Dereck Henry, all right,

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Speaker 1: who is averaging around one hundred fifty yards per game.

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Speaker 1: And I think this is a grinder game. This is

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Speaker 1: a game a keep away, all right. I don't like

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Speaker 1: that Titans defense and anybody else. Okay, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: deny that at all. Not a fan of the Titans defense.

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Speaker 1: But I think when you look at the Titans and

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Speaker 1: you look at the running attack, it's really this bet

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Speaker 1: is coming down to Derreck Henry and Derek Henry's ability

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Speaker 1: to pick up first downs to keep that Buffalo Bill's

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Speaker 1: offense on the sidelines. And look, I made this bet

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Speaker 1: before you know. I made this bet yesterday when it

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Speaker 1: came to what happens when some of these guys are

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Speaker 1: rocket ships when it comes to their MVP. It was

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Speaker 1: Kyler Murray and Josh Allen. Right, that's the race. Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 1: shut me up. I faded Kyler Murray. I thought he'd

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Speaker 1: come back down to Earth did the opposite, right. He

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Speaker 1: was unbelievable. Brown's got crushed out of that gate. And

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Speaker 1: really it was on Baker Mayfield. Baker was at home,

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Speaker 1: and I thought, okay, here he goes no same logic,

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Speaker 1: maybe the same outcome. You want to fade this, go

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Speaker 1: right ahead, Okay, but I'm taking the six points here.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the home dog. I love home dogs in primetime.

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Speaker 1: I love getting six points. The Titans are a team.

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Speaker 1: I bet they're over on win totals this season at

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. I've been on this Titans team.

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Speaker 1: So I'm going to stay with the Titans here for

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Speaker 1: a little while and hope the Titans prove me right

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Speaker 1: here by having an opportunity to run the football, play

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Speaker 1: some defense well enough, don't get annihilated, and just play

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Speaker 1: keep away. They're getting Julio Jones back, which is big. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's important. They're supposed to get Bud Dupre back, which

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Speaker 1: is going to be important. And look, I know the

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Speaker 1: Bills on paper are a very good team. We don't

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Speaker 1: play this on paper. They lost Week one to the

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers. We've seen them lay eggs and be taken

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Speaker 1: care of by physical teams. Need the Titans to play physical,

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Speaker 1: need the home team to be really good and to

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Speaker 1: run the football. Plus six Titans. One unit, not playing

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Speaker 1: around anything else, not teasing it, not playing the total.

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Speaker 1: Just Titans plus six. That's it, all right, Titans plus

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Speaker 1: six at home lose the game by a field goal

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Speaker 1: in overtime, like what happened tonight with Pittsburgh's win, not

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Speaker 1: covering the five points. They were a home favorite at

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Speaker 1: minus five and they didn't cover it. Both my circle

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Speaker 1: teams got that pick wrong and I was like, man

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Speaker 1: a fourteen nothing and a half time great and then they

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Speaker 1: fell in their face. So one unit Titans plus six

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Speaker 1: to keep this game closer than six points. Okay, one

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Speaker 1: unit on that. If it rises, you get a better

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Speaker 1: number than that. That's awesome. Six and a half, seven,

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Speaker 1: all all those numbers are all great. I have a

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Speaker 1: feeling this number is going down. Just my gut tells

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Speaker 1: me this number is going down. Okay, So let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the Canucks and the Flyers. Here's a funny thing.

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Speaker 1: I was not going to bet hockey. And then somebody

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Speaker 1: jumped into my DMS and said, Matt, do you know

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Speaker 1: the Kraken are going to play their six game in

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Speaker 1: a row here on the road. You should fade the

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia Flyers. You should take the krack In. Sorry, you

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Speaker 1: take Philadelphia to beat the krack In here tonight because

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Speaker 1: the krack Inn are on the road. And I was like, hmm,

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Speaker 1: it's kind of an interesting thought, right, because the Kraken

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Speaker 1: are one to one in one. They played a game

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Speaker 1: on the road, their final regular season game was on

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Speaker 1: the road. Then they came to Vegas and they they

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Speaker 1: took on Vegas and they're one one in one and

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Speaker 1: they're coming off their first ever win on the year.

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Speaker 1: The Flyers have played one game. Flyers are zer zero

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Speaker 1: to one. They lost to the Canucks in a shootout.

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Speaker 1: They give up four goals in the second period of

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Speaker 1: that game. They scored one in the first period, four

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Speaker 1: goals in the second period, and then Philly went one

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Speaker 1: to one in two and then the shootout, Canucks got

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Speaker 1: two goals in Canucks got the extra point and they

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Speaker 1: won in the shootout. So when you look at the

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Speaker 1: defense for Philadelphia and kind of where they have been.

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Speaker 1: It's wild. This is only their second game. In the

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Speaker 1: first game, they gave up five goals five four really

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Speaker 1: four goals, and then the over in the shootout five to

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Speaker 1: for the final for the Canucks to win this game.

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Speaker 1: The Kraken have been impressive, and you guys know, I

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Speaker 1: like their lineup. I like Philip Grubauer. I like what

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Speaker 1: I've seen out of the Kraken here and they're on

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Speaker 1: the road. They're catching plus one point twenty and I

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Speaker 1: just think the Kraken are worth a half a unit

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Speaker 1: Flyer here on this up against the Flyers, who I

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Speaker 1: don't like, and they don't play defense. I don't like

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Speaker 1: their goaltending. I don't like Carry Heart's goaltending. And you

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Speaker 1: have a chance for the Kraken who come in who

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Speaker 1: play a defensive style. And yes, I know they've been

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Speaker 1: on the road, but they haven't had any home game.

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Speaker 1: This is all kind of like normal for them, Like

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Speaker 1: this isn't I don't think this is any big shocker

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Speaker 1: to them, like, oh my gosh, we're still on the road.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're just kind of like part of the

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Speaker 1: traveling circus. They knew they were going to be part

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Speaker 1: of this traveling circus coming up early, and so I

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Speaker 1: mean this is a team that, yeah, they started this

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Speaker 1: back in the final preseason game. They took on Nashville

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Speaker 1: on the road, then Columbus and then sorry, it was

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Speaker 1: first Vegas. The preseason was they took on Yeah, first

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Speaker 1: it was it was Vancouver on the road. Then they

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Speaker 1: went to the regular season to Vegas, to Nashville, to Columbus.

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Speaker 1: They'll play Philadelphia tonight and then Tuesday they played New Jersey. Now,

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Speaker 1: the Jersey game might be the one that you faded

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Speaker 1: because they're going home for a four game stretch and

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Speaker 1: their first ever home opener coming up on Saturday. So

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Speaker 1: maybe the Jersey game is where the logic clicks in

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Speaker 1: and says they're going to be tired. I don't think

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Speaker 1: you're gonna be tired here against Philadelphia. They just lost

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Speaker 1: to Columbus two to one in overtime. They've played a

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Speaker 1: four to three loss to Vegas for to three win

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Speaker 1: at Nashville, two of the harder places to play in

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Speaker 1: all the NHL. At Columbus, hard place to play, decent

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Speaker 1: team lost two to one in overtime and now Philadelphia,

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Speaker 1: who I don't like and I haven't liked for a

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Speaker 1: long time, and I'm getting plus money on the Kraken.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking half a unit. I'm going Seattle plus one

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Speaker 1: twenty for a half a year unit here for Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: and Seattle. That game is on ESPN Plus at seven

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern Time, cracking to get their second winever number two.

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Speaker 1: Take the other half of unit. Where am I going? Well,

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Speaker 1: we're going to baseball Red Sox Astros. All right, so

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Speaker 1: we've seen in both games the overs come in. All right,

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Speaker 1: Red Sox are going to Fenway Park, and you have

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Speaker 1: Erod on the mound for the Red Sox. I don't

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Speaker 1: like Erot at all tonight, I mean not at all.

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Speaker 1: I think he probably has a quick leash. I probably

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Speaker 1: would have bet the Astros in the first five if

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Speaker 1: I didn't think that the Red Sox would yank e

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Speaker 1: Rod quickly tonight, which I think that they will series

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Speaker 1: tied at one. And I think the Red Sox are

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Speaker 1: going to get hit. I just you know they're gonna

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Speaker 1: get hit. But Crickety is also going to get hit,

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Speaker 1: and Liquidity is also going to get hit hit, And

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Speaker 1: I think the Red Sox are going to score four

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Speaker 1: or five runs themselves. I think the totals nine. I

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Speaker 1: think over the last twenty two games, the over is

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Speaker 1: sixteen to five and one at Fenway Park. Okay, this

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Speaker 1: is a hitters ballpark. These are two lineups that love

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Speaker 1: to mash, and I just think we're getting the over.

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Speaker 1: I think over nine runs. You could say, well, it's

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Speaker 1: it's a bullpen game that helps us. Okay. You get

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Speaker 1: into the bullpen for the Astros, that helps the over.

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Speaker 1: You get into the bullpen for the Red Sox, that

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Speaker 1: helps the over. I just don't think these teams are

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Speaker 1: gonna play low scoring games. I think the lineups are

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Speaker 1: too good and too deep, and I mean both these

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Speaker 1: teams are scoring over six runs per game here in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. I'm going over nine. Mine's one ten. Red

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Speaker 1: Sox over nine against the Astros for a half a unit. Okay.

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Speaker 1: So that leads us to Tuesday night. Now, on tomorrow's podcast,

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Speaker 1: I will give you my NBA future bets that I

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Speaker 1: have made. I'm gonna finish them up on Monday today

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Speaker 1: and then i'll give them you coming up on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: Still kicking around some different ideas I gave out three

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Speaker 1: for the NHL. I'll give out three or so for

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Speaker 1: the NBA coming up here. I like doing future wagers,

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Speaker 1: so we'll get into. But there is one game that

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Speaker 1: I want to get into, and because the number is moving. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I saw this number at three and a half after

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Speaker 1: I bet it, and it's the Warriors against the Lakers,

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Speaker 1: with the Warriors catching four. Look, we don't know exactly

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Speaker 1: what the Warriors are gonna look like here. Obviously we've

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Speaker 1: got to take a look at, you know, coming back

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Speaker 1: and how are these teams gonna look. And we're gonna

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Speaker 1: see how the Warriors are gonna look. Okay, a lot

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Speaker 1: of people are going to be on the Lakers, but

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Speaker 1: the first move here was on the Warriors. Okay. I

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Speaker 1: think this is Steph Curry pouring it on, and I

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Speaker 1: think the Lakers are going to take some time to

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Speaker 1: come around here. I don't think the Lakers feel like

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Speaker 1: they're all that nervous about what they need to do

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Speaker 1: here early on. Yeah it's the opener. Yeah it's the

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Speaker 1: home opener, but maybe Lebron takes over in the latter part.

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Speaker 1: That's why getting it over three is important. I got

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Speaker 1: it at four. I think it's a one possession game.

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Speaker 1: Straight up, I think this isna come down to the wire.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a barn burner. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a chance to watch some of the best offensive talent

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Speaker 1: in the game go at it. And I just think

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Speaker 1: this Warrior team, the second unit for the Warriors, should

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Speaker 1: have an advantage over the older second unit for the Lakers.

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Speaker 1: And I know it's early in the year, but I

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Speaker 1: just think there's gonna be some chemistry things need to

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Speaker 1: be worked out with these Lakers, and they always tend

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Speaker 1: to start kind of slow, and there's so many new faces.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you gotta see what Mellow looks like, and

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Speaker 1: you gotta see what Russell Westbrook looks like. I just

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Speaker 1: think everybody's gonna come in and be like, absolutely bet

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Speaker 1: the over. Bet the Lakers are gonna run around. Lakers

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Speaker 1: play defense, right, So I don't like betting the totals early.

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Speaker 1: I want to see what the Lakers look like. But

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Speaker 1: the Warriors have so much offensive firepower. I think the

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Speaker 1: war is gonna win the game personally, But I took

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Speaker 1: the four points one unit on this all right, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna come out of the gates normally, I kind of

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Speaker 1: tiptoe into the NBA. I really like this. I really

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Speaker 1: like four plus four for the Warriors to kind of

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Speaker 1: re announce Golden State, get a chance to kind of

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Speaker 1: flex or muscles here a little bit right out of

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Speaker 1: the gate, saying Okay, yeah, we were down last year,

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Speaker 1: but here we come. I'm I'm going Warriors plus four

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Speaker 1: for one unit on opening night. Get it over three. Okay,

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Speaker 1: three and a half is fine. Three I don't love

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Speaker 1: under three. I don't love it at all. This thing

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Speaker 1: might go off as a pick. I mean, to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest, it may end up going off as a pick.

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Speaker 1: But there's going to be Laker money on Tuesday. Early on.

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Speaker 1: Laker money will show up, so maybe it'll drive this

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Speaker 1: number back up over three. But I just took it

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Speaker 1: because I don't want to miss the best number. Warriors

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Speaker 1: plus four for one unit on NBA opening nights is

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Speaker 1: where I'm jumping on here. And I think the Warrior

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Speaker 1: the Lakers early in the year may be a fade

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Speaker 1: until they work out some of their kinks and their

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Speaker 1: second unit rotations and all the new players come together.

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Speaker 1: So I'll take Steve Kerr, I'll take the Warriors here.

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Speaker 1: I'll say Curry and Company to win, but I'll take

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Speaker 1: the four points for one unit plus four Warriors, all right.

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Speaker 1: So for Monday night, the card is Titans plus six

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Speaker 1: one unit, cracking money line plus one twenty half a

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Speaker 1: unit it red Sox Astros over nine minus one ten

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Speaker 1: half a unit, and then, excuse me, on Tuesday, we're

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Speaker 1: going full unit for the Warriors plus four more NBA.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me, excuse me more NBA coming up here. On Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: we'll do our future bets for the NBA, with Opening

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Speaker 1: Night starting for the NBA. Minus Matt Parol's following me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each today morning, it's

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast, always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM