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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Spreading the corn ten seconds of aning, so just go

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Speaker 2: show under the basket, Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 3: The truth for the wind.

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Speaker 4: God make a miracle. I'm just up the water. Hit

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Speaker 4: that one from the parking lot. What's up, the general nation?

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 4: Bett MGM. This is the weekend college basketball betting Preview.

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Speaker 4: I'm stuck you enjoining me as always are my BBOC

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Speaker 4: fellow co hosts, Mike Calbres and Mike Randall. Mike and

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Speaker 4: Mike got a lot to to get to today. Excuse me,

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Speaker 4: we have a lot to get to today. We will

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Speaker 4: talk the weekend card. We will add to our futures

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Speaker 4: portfolio with our weekly Futures round table. We will talk

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Speaker 4: some of the marquee games. I mean, what a weekend,

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Speaker 4: this first weekend without football. But we have what four

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Speaker 4: top ten matchups on the card. I mean it's not

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Speaker 4: even including some of the other We got some good

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Speaker 4: mid major matchups, I mean Late Night and Zaga Saint Mary's.

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Speaker 4: It's one of the best college basketball weekend non March

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Speaker 4: cards of the week of the year. So excited to

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Speaker 4: talk to some of those markeee games. And we will

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Speaker 4: start things off though with he takeaways, rants anywhere you

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Speaker 4: want to go with it, Let's throw it to Calbarys first.

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Speaker 4: What he got from the week that was any rants? Takeaways?

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Speaker 4: What do you got?

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Speaker 2: Remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 3: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 2: Okay, you're randing now, baby, I'm ran Why not?

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Speaker 1: You gotta let it out somehow?

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Speaker 2: Quick takeaway. I had a feeling that it was record

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Speaker 2: setting the foul shot disparity between Purdue and Northwestern, and

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Speaker 2: it was. It was the biggest disparity in free throws

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Speaker 2: this century. It's been twenty five years since it's been

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Speaker 2: that lopsided. I like to see the passion from Chris Collins.

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Speaker 2: I didn't know that you could get ejected after the game.

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Speaker 2: That seems preferable, so you may as well blow your

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Speaker 2: stack after a game. And I've always thought that the

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Speaker 2: workplace across the country would be better if one time

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Speaker 2: per year you could get ejected from work just screaming

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Speaker 2: at somebody and then just come back the next day

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Speaker 2: as though it never happened, or do a quick presser

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Speaker 2: and be like, yeah, I let my emotions get the

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Speaker 2: best of me. I screamed to Janis from accounting. I'm

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Speaker 2: back now in terms of actual play. That has me

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Speaker 2: a little bit fired up as well.

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Speaker 4: By way, pre get on any play in that game.

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Speaker 4: There is someone who had Purdue obviously, which was the

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Speaker 4: the incorrect call. Northwestern got them to overtime and lost.

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Speaker 4: I don't know why. Like, the best thing that happened

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Speaker 4: in Northwestern in that game, first of all, was that

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Speaker 4: they couldn't miss a three.

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Speaker 3: Gea.

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Speaker 4: They're shooting like fifty percent in conference play, but there

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Speaker 4: was a million fouls on Purdue. You missed twenty free throws.

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Speaker 4: It was the best thing that happened in Northwestern. Now,

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Speaker 4: the any time down it was either a dunk, it

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Speaker 4: was scoring a will against that defense. The only time

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Speaker 4: they didn't score is when they were missing free throws.

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Speaker 4: They were missing front ends. I mean that captain Northwestern

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Speaker 4: in the game. Anyway, I digressa.

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Speaker 1: Guys, how about Ethan Morton in that game?

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Speaker 3: Twenty minutes, no points, no shot attempts, no rebounds, no assists,

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Speaker 3: no blocks, no steals.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that's hardy. The twenty trillion club, the twenty

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Speaker 2: Trillion Club, unbelievable.

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Speaker 4: Tony Snell special. But yeah he did, Yeah, he did

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Speaker 4: The twenty Trillion Club. Good book if you've never read it.

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Speaker 4: But uh, Gad Calvary started rupting.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually I want to bring it back to

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Speaker 2: what you brought up, I think multiple times now here

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Speaker 2: on the pod stuck, and it's how officials are going

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Speaker 2: to handle Eadie, because you could call a foul on

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Speaker 2: just about any possession where he's being defended hard, just

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Speaker 2: because they go so hard at him and the way

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Speaker 2: that he uses his body and his length, everything kind

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Speaker 2: of looks like contact. I should say. I'm a little

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Speaker 2: bit worried about that in March Madness, not from a

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Speaker 2: we'll Purdue make a deep run or not, but just

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Speaker 2: how much, say, the officials have when the offense is

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Speaker 2: running through eighty. The other thing I wanted to bring

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Speaker 2: up was the eight people right now as Marquette and

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Speaker 2: Kansas both in the top ten. Marquette at eight, Kansas

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Speaker 2: at nine, or maybe I've flipped yuck. That's all I

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Speaker 2: have to say about it, Like we all know what

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Speaker 2: Marquette has and what they don't in terms of a

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Speaker 2: personnel issues and the injuries that they've gone through, but

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Speaker 2: to elevate them all the way back into the top ten.

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Speaker 2: During this win streak. They beat Nova twice yawn, they

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Speaker 2: beat to Paul and they shouldn't even be in a

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Speaker 2: major conference. Seenhall was a nice win, and they win

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Speaker 2: at Saint John's by one. That's where we are with

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Speaker 2: college basketball, where that's enough to just push you right

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Speaker 2: back into the top ten. And then Kansas like have

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Speaker 2: some balls polsters like they're four and three in their

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Speaker 2: last seven losses at UCF, West Virginia and Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: At the very least, i Alowa State, in my opinion,

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Speaker 2: should be ranked ahead of them. And I think now

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Speaker 2: with McCullers in injury and the potential to walk into

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Speaker 2: a buzz saw, they're going to be a home dog

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Speaker 2: on Saturday against Houston. I think this was an opportunity

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Speaker 2: to at least go out on a mini limb. If

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Speaker 2: you're voting in the AP and say Kansas is not

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Speaker 2: a top ten team, because I think generally speaking, unless

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Speaker 2: you're a Jayhawk grad, all of us agree that Kansas

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Speaker 2: is not a top ten team currently. Maybe things will

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Speaker 2: change a little bit, but I feel like they're one

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Speaker 2: bad game from Furfey away from losing to a good

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Speaker 2: team like Houston by double digits. But that's where I

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Speaker 2: want to get the pod started this week.

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Speaker 4: Good stuff there. We'll talk Kansas Houston in just a minute. Randall,

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Speaker 4: what do you got from the week that was?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I got three things for you.

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Speaker 3: First off, can we stop with the melts I've had

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Speaker 3: enough of the freaking melts that occurred. Okay, let's just

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Speaker 3: look at last night Georgia and Mike White just sticking

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Speaker 3: it to me as they always do.

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Speaker 4: Bama, so thanks to keep going.

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Speaker 3: Sorry ridiculous Wake Forrest had that one as well. And

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Speaker 3: then of course Pittsburgh, who couldn't a shot against North

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Speaker 3: Carolina about a month ago, then catches on fire. They

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Speaker 3: take care business. And can we please stop with Virginia.

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Speaker 3: I've had enough of Virginia. If I hear one more

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Speaker 3: Virginia fan, tell me Ryan Dunn is a lottery pick. Guys.

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Speaker 3: The only lottery he's going to is at.

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Speaker 1: The seven eleven.

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Speaker 3: Okay, Yes he's long, Yes he's athletic, he is anemic

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Speaker 3: on offense, can't shoot, not good from the free throw line,

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Speaker 3: and last night just a brutal performance.

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Speaker 1: Against Notre Dame.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I'm ticked off, stuck because they should have covered

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Speaker 3: the twelve and a half, but they threw the pass

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Speaker 3: away and then they found Burton on a three. And

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Speaker 3: then the other thing I want to talk about is

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Speaker 3: North Carolina. Guys, I mean, how about North Carolina. We've

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Speaker 3: talked about this. I know you guys have talked.

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Speaker 1: About as well. I have been.

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Speaker 3: I wanted to fade them against Pittsburgh away. Pittsburgh shoots

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Speaker 3: five for one hundred, they cover away there. Wanted to

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Speaker 3: fade him against Clemson, they'd be Clemson by ten. Want

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Speaker 3: to fade him against North Carolina State, who's.

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Speaker 1: Horrific on offense. Can't fade him there.

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Speaker 3: Want to fade them away at Boston College. They fight

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Speaker 3: their way to the cover in Connie Morgue. Then I

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Speaker 3: want to fade them against Florida State.

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Speaker 1: Can't do it there.

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Speaker 3: So you know what stuck. I jump off to them

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Speaker 3: on Georgia Tech because there is absolutely no reason why

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Speaker 3: Georgia Tech should win that game. You want to look

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Speaker 3: at metrics, you look at anything you want. The only

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Speaker 3: argument you're gonna give me is sleepy spot. And I'm

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Speaker 3: not going to make a pick based on that and

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Speaker 3: what happens David Stotdemeyer crying in the locker room and.

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Speaker 1: North Carolina goes down.

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Speaker 3: So I'm a little bitter because I missed the wedding,

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Speaker 3: but I attended all the funerals.

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Speaker 2: Hey, let's raise the flag, the w flag up to

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Speaker 2: the top of the flag post. Stuck was on it.

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Speaker 2: Stuck was he made sure. I thought we're gonna go

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Speaker 2: through the whole Monday episode and not get to one

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Speaker 2: more fading of North Carolina. But you gotta get credit

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Speaker 2: where credits due. You were there, and I mean you can,

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Speaker 2: you can sell it. It was beyond a sleepy spot.

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Speaker 2: You had some more data points on why the Yellow

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Speaker 2: Jackets were a live dog.

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Speaker 1: Tell me yet Stuck.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, there's the North Carolina. The teams aren't

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Speaker 4: going to keep shooting twenty four It's not a team

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Speaker 4: that takes away the three. And teams are shooting twenty

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Speaker 4: four percent in conference play. And you know you escaped

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Speaker 4: that Farida State game. You had Duke on Dak. They

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Speaker 4: were just kind of slow. Oh on closeouts. They look

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Speaker 4: just disinterested this to start, and they can their guards

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Speaker 4: like you can attack Cadeau. They have some defensive weaknesses.

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Speaker 4: He had five thousand in the second half. But yeah,

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Speaker 4: I mean, I'm not gonna take too much credit for

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Speaker 4: fading North Carolina because I lost a lot more fading

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Speaker 4: them before maybybe I should have Martin Gale and i'd

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Speaker 4: be even I don't do that, by the way, But yeah,

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Speaker 4: Alabama Georgia was ridiculous. I mean, I'm like, all right,

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Speaker 4: Alabama can't shoot it on the road. Georgia's up fifteen

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Speaker 4: to sixteen the entire game, They're up six with five

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Speaker 4: to go, Alabama makes their last seven threes, every free

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Speaker 4: throw and pulls away, And yeah, the melts you gotta get.

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Speaker 4: Every college basketball season, you got to go through a

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Speaker 4: stretch where you're it's always the perfect storm. Ideally you're

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Speaker 4: like capping well and then you're getting some breaks. But

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Speaker 4: there's so much variance in college basketball it's insane. And

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Speaker 4: the markets are much more efficient now, so like the

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Speaker 4: margin are smaller than they used to be. But you

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Speaker 4: have not only like three point shooting variants will trump anything.

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Speaker 4: It doesn't matter how well you cap the game, how

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Speaker 4: what closing line value got. You go six for twenty eight,

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Speaker 4: you're gonna lose but any of the late game variants too.

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Speaker 4: You know. So the last two weeks, I've had some

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Speaker 4: shitty calls and shitty capping, but also I can't It's

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Speaker 4: I can't buy a last a last second cover a

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Speaker 4: shot to cover you even Georgia coming down to shoot

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Speaker 4: the three. No, I think I've had eleven straight that

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Speaker 4: I've not got or the other team has got the

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Speaker 4: only time my team's over the past two weeks, and

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Speaker 4: this all evens out. But again, we're just ranting. The

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Speaker 4: only time that I've had my teams make shots are

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Speaker 4: dogs that force overtime when I don't want them to.

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Speaker 4: And I'm like, I'm just looking like i'd Florida last night.

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Speaker 4: I'm like, all right, we're good. Walder Clayton makes the three.

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Speaker 4: I'm like, you gotta be kidding me. I gotta sweat

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Speaker 4: this over. Kina Utah State against Boise on Saturday, they

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Speaker 4: take it the off a miss free throw, take at

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Speaker 4: the distance, force over time, and when you're starving for wins,

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Speaker 4: you're like, oh my god, I gotta sweat this dog

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Speaker 4: in ot now. I'm done. Luckily both held on to

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Speaker 4: the cover, but some essen's like that you just bitch

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Speaker 4: a little bit ran and then move on. Generally all

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Speaker 4: evens out. This podcast is probably desentded by bettm gm

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Speaker 4: All right, let's get to some of well, you know,

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Speaker 4: let's get some of the Markey games and that will do

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Speaker 4: futures roundtable. Then get to the weekend mentioned Kansas Houston.

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Speaker 4: You know, obviously no lines are out right now. Ken

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Speaker 4: Pop projects Houston as a five point favorite. It would

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Speaker 4: probably be three to four more likely, maybe even lower.

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Speaker 4: I mean, these home dog spots are getting shaded heavily

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Speaker 4: this year, regardless. I think personally that so with Houston,

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Speaker 4: you have to you have to move the ball and

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Speaker 4: you have to hit threes and then you have to

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Speaker 4: hit the defensive glass. Kansas is in an elite defensive

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Speaker 4: rebounding team, but they can compete there. My concern is mccullor.

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Speaker 4: I think that he's he's extremely important in this matchup

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Speaker 4: because number one, you need his shooting, like in order

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Speaker 4: to beat this, you know, the trapping style of Houston.

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Speaker 4: You gotta just swing the ball, move it, and you

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Speaker 4: know you have that secondary scoring mccullor shooting that he'll

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Speaker 4: have to hit some threes here and then his defense too.

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Speaker 4: Like Kansas, Yes, they looked impressive against Who Cares, Oklahoma

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Speaker 4: State talking about having a horrendous year, but you have Houston. Like,

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Speaker 4: my one problem with Houston is their offense can get

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Speaker 4: very drowty for lack of a better word, it's it

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Speaker 4: did just goes into extreme. They don't take great shots.

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Speaker 4: They're extremely reliant on just their guards creating. Now a

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Speaker 4: lot of times that's just who Cares throw it up,

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Speaker 4: and then their best offense is get the get the

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Speaker 4: offensive rebound. They're an elite offensive rebounding team, but they

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Speaker 4: just there. They ask their guards, you know, shed and

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Speaker 4: prior to create and then just take tough They take

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Speaker 4: tough shots, but they're tough shot makers, but in this game,

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Speaker 4: if you don't have a color, mccullor is a very

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Speaker 4: underrated on ball defender, you can hunt, you know, and

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Speaker 4: Marco Jackson is lost out there. Johnny Furfey's not covering anybody.

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Speaker 4: I mean, he's he's nice to have out there for

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Speaker 4: this matchup. He's gotta make some threes. But without mccullors shooting,

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Speaker 4: and then you know his defense, and there's d Kansas

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Speaker 4: doesn't have depth. So like against a physical team like Houston,

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Speaker 4: I worry about fouls too, and then Houston's not gonna

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Speaker 4: let you get out in transition. They're not gonna let

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Speaker 4: you work in the post, and that's really what Kansas

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Speaker 4: wants to do. You know. They work through Dickinson a lot,

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Speaker 4: and they and they're always an elite transition offense. So

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Speaker 4: uh yeah, I think mccullors is. Mccollor is. His status

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Speaker 4: is very important to the game, so it's hard for

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Speaker 4: me to make a call without knowing if he's going

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Speaker 4: to player or not. So I think he's super important

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Speaker 4: for this particular matchup. Cobys will start to do you

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Speaker 4: any quick thoughts on Kansas Houston.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, in general. If I can get four, I'm going

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Speaker 2: to play the Kougs here. Evan Maya has a top

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Speaker 2: twenty five most impactful defenders list in the entire country.

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Speaker 2: Guess how many Kogs are on that list. Four Shedd

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Speaker 2: is number one in the country, then Javier Francis number two.

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Speaker 2: They're obviously the best defense according to Ken Palm, they

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Speaker 2: could be the best defense since twenty nineteen Texas Tech

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Speaker 2: used them to get all the way to the title game,

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Speaker 2: or go back to twenty fifteen Kentucky. They're in that class,

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Speaker 2: which is incredible, and they've been reliable on the road.

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Speaker 2: They go to BYU, they hold them to sixty eight.

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Speaker 2: They held Texas to sixty five in regulation. On Monday,

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Speaker 2: they beat Dayton by fourteen. I think that they just

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Speaker 2: have a lot of impressive wins against teams that should

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Speaker 2: be able to push them offensively. And my take on

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Speaker 2: it is mccullory's gonna play, but he's going to be

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Speaker 2: limited with that bone bruise, and like when you get

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Speaker 2: into some of the one on one matchups, is for

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Speaker 2: if you really going to shoot fifty percent in conference play,

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Speaker 2: like from three point range, because he's done that since

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Speaker 2: being added to the starting lineup, and I think that's

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Speaker 2: really propping up. It's like a Potempkin village with this

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Speaker 2: Kansas offense. Like, I think they're just about ready to

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Speaker 2: fall off a cliff, and if they do, if they

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Speaker 2: don't play at a high level offensively. Since January first,

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Speaker 2: the ranks sixty fifth in adjusted defensive efficiency by Torbick.

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Speaker 2: I think that's a key indicator as well. Hopefully I

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Speaker 2: got a better game out of Crier. He's kind of

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Speaker 2: been in a bit of a mini slump. It's been

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Speaker 2: too much you know, usage and shots coming out of shed.

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Speaker 2: If he can, you know, ramp that down closer to

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Speaker 2: ten shots a game as opposed to fifteen or seventeen,

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Speaker 2: I think that's that's better.

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Speaker 3: For Houston, right, Audy thoughts here, Yeah, the key is

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Speaker 3: going to be Hunter Dickinson. Sometimes you get good Hunter Dickinson,

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Speaker 3: he can go for twenty and twenty, and sometimes you

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Speaker 3: get hundred Dickinson and gets a little passive. Those bigs

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Speaker 3: on Houston are going to be able to push him around.

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Speaker 3: He has to step up and play well. It is

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Speaker 3: very hard for me to lay if this ends up

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Speaker 3: being four and a half or five and I get

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Speaker 3: it at four. I think, Mike, that's a key number

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Speaker 3: because if it gets to four and a half or five,

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Speaker 3: I know mccullor is limited and they don't have a

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Speaker 3: lot of depth, but you realize Kansas really needs this

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Speaker 3: game if they have any hope whatsoever of winning the

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Speaker 3: Big Twelve, because if they end up losing this game

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Speaker 3: and they go to five and four, you're gonna have

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Speaker 3: Houston now at seven and two, Iowa stay two losses,

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Speaker 3: Texas Tech, TCU still lurking Baylor. So I mean, I

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Speaker 3: think they are looking at this game. This is critical

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Speaker 3: if they want to win the Big Twelve. They don't

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Speaker 3: have a lot of depth, but like you said, stuck,

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Speaker 3: Houston can get a little stagnant on offense and they

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Speaker 3: can have these droughts. I think the key is mccullor,

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Speaker 3: if he's gonna play. I think we need a big

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Speaker 3: time performance from Dickinson. If he struggles against the athletic bigs,

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Speaker 3: it's going to be a problem. This is a tough

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Speaker 3: spot here for guys. When's the last time we're gonna

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Speaker 3: fade Kansas getting four and a half at home. It's

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Speaker 3: just such a questionable game, but it's gonna be a

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Speaker 3: great matchup. I lean Houston to win the game, but

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Speaker 3: I want to see the number four take a side.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, well, Houston was just four and a half at Texas.

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Speaker 4: Like these home dog spots, they're priced, so I mean,

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Speaker 4: it's crazy the way that their price is here. So

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Speaker 4: I would if I had a guess, this will probably

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Speaker 4: be like two and a half. We'll see, that's where

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Speaker 4: these things are opening this year, So I wouldn't be

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Speaker 4: shocked if Kansas opens to like plus two and a

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Speaker 4: half at home. Kansas, this will be a game where

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Speaker 4: you have one of the best home court advantages in college.

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Speaker 4: And Houston is a team that we just talked about goes,

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Speaker 4: you know, through droughts. We saw that against Texas right

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Speaker 4: on the road. They were up about eleven at the half.

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Speaker 4: They're also not a great free throw shooting team, so

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Speaker 4: this will be an opportunity if the line is super

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Speaker 4: low that you know, if Kansas gets down eight to ten,

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Speaker 4: good live betting opportunity because they can get back into

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Speaker 4: they'll get the other They'll they'll be runs in this game.

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Speaker 4: And when Houston is missing, even know they do a

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Speaker 4: really good job preventing transition Kansas can will still get

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Speaker 4: out and get some easy buckets in transition. They're just

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Speaker 4: that good when they can run, so I can. There'll

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Speaker 4: be some like ten oh Kansas runs in this game.

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Speaker 4: You know, if they get down, I'll be looking to

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Speaker 4: feed them live good good live betting matchups, a lot

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Speaker 4: of these Big twelve matchups are Let's go to the

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Speaker 4: ACC and we have one of the best rivalries in

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Speaker 4: sports with Duke North Carolina. This should be a good one.

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Speaker 4: North Kunta sitting at the top of the league at

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Speaker 4: nine and one, but Dukes at seven and two. They

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Speaker 4: can tie them the lost column here and would have

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Speaker 4: a leg up with a win at North Carolina, and

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Speaker 4: then they would host North Carolina in the finales. If

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Speaker 4: you sweep them, you just got to stay one back.

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Speaker 4: They'd be in position to really take the ACC regular

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Speaker 4: season title. And Duke's up to upcoming schedules notre Name

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Speaker 4: at home, Boston College at home, with Forest at home. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: that's pretty manageable schedule coming up all the way up

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Speaker 4: until they played in North Carolina. I look some tricky

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Speaker 4: road spots, but Duke Carolina, if I had a guess

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Speaker 4: here with this line, will be Carolina minus four and

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Speaker 4: a half four maybe lower, but kempom projects is at

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Speaker 4: six North Carolina coming off of that loss against Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 4: They're still running pretty well from you know, with three

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Speaker 4: point defense. Teams are still shooting insane twenty six point

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Speaker 4: eight percent. That's not gonna last forever. Although North Carolina's

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Speaker 4: perimeter defense is improved. When I look at this matchup,

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Speaker 4: I'm looking, I mean, the kempound projected total is one

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Speaker 4: fifty two. I would love to bet an under there.

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Speaker 4: Last year when these two teams played, now obviously they're

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Speaker 4: both different, but they the score were sixty two fifty

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Speaker 4: seven and sixty three point fifty seven. And North Carolina

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Speaker 4: wants to play fast, and you know, Duke is kind

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Speaker 4: of middle of the pack. But both of these teams

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Speaker 4: do a really good job on the defensive glass, which

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Speaker 4: is important, and they do a good job of preventing

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Speaker 4: do it. They do excel in transition defense. So I

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Speaker 4: don't think there's gonna be a lot of easy buckets

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Speaker 4: up and down. And this is like a huge game

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Speaker 4: in the ACC. There's a lot of young players on

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Speaker 4: both teams that both teams rely on, so you could

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Speaker 4: see some nerves, and I think this game will start

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Speaker 4: out super slow. So yeah, I'm gonna be looking under

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Speaker 4: if this opens a little bit too high. But Randall,

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Speaker 4: let me throw it to you first. What are you

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Speaker 4: singing in Duke qunc. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: If you were to ask me if I get one

400
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Speaker 3: stat from you for this game to protect it, it would

401
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Speaker 3: be Jeremy Roach. Roach was hurt for a little bit,

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Speaker 3: came back and looked played really well Virginia Tech. Duke

403
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Speaker 3: has struggled at Virginia Tech. Went four or five from

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Speaker 3: three point range, sixteen points. I think the bigs on

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Speaker 3: North Carolina are going to match the bigs on Duke.

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Speaker 3: I grew with you, stuck. I think and under is

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Speaker 3: a great play. But like you said, there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of young players. It's just you know RJ. Davis is

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Speaker 3: going to show up.

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Speaker 1: You know RJ.

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Speaker 3: Davis playing at a first team All American level can

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Speaker 3: get to the basket. He's a great shooter. The guy

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Speaker 3: I need to know is Roach. If Roach is going

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Speaker 3: to play well, I think Duke hangs in the entire

415
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Speaker 3: time here. I think that North Carolina waiting for some regression.

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Speaker 3: We saw that happen in the last matchup, but Roach

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Speaker 3: is the key because Davis is just a special player.

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Speaker 1: He's going to be ready to go.

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Speaker 3: Philipowski hasn't been great against other solid bigs. So there's

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Speaker 3: Bay coth As ingram As, a couple guys there. So

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Speaker 3: I think the key is going.

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Speaker 1: To be the perimeter play.

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Speaker 3: We need a big game for Proctor and a big

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Speaker 3: game for Roach and to keep it close. But if

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Speaker 3: I don't think I'm getting that, the play is going

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Speaker 3: to be North Carolina bounce back spot at home because

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Speaker 3: Davis is otherworldly right now.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, he's amazing. Duke eighth percentile and transition opportunities allowed,

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Speaker 4: so they've rarely got any teams get out in transition,

430
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:06,560
Speaker 4: which is super important against North Carolina, who really just

431
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 4: wants to get out and push whenever they have the

432
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:12,320
Speaker 4: opportunity to do so. And I mean there are eighty

433
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 4: six percent island transition opportunities, so and both teams really

434
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:22,160
Speaker 4: can get after it on I mean North Carolina specifically

435
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,560
Speaker 4: in the offensive glass, but I think Duke can compete

436
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:28,240
Speaker 4: there to prevent some second chance opportunities. There is some

437
00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 4: push and pull here with Duke is shooting like out,

438
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 4: you know, over forty in lead play and North Carolina

439
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:40,159
Speaker 4: opponents are shooting like twenty six percent. What gives? I

440
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:42,200
Speaker 4: do think that Jeremy Roach is not a forty eight

441
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:46,120
Speaker 4: three point shooter, So like some of the Duke's kind

442
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,360
Speaker 4: of shooting over their heads, and then opponents are kind

443
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 4: of not hitting open shots against North Carolina. I think

444
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 4: that there are some opportunities for Duke in pick and

445
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:57,880
Speaker 4: roll in the half court to kind of get bay

446
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 4: caought in conflict. So I agree it's kind of a

447
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 4: bounce back spot for North Carolina, but I see some

448
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 4: opportunities for Duke here. I just get bay Kot. What

449
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 4: Baycot do you get? Is a question I asked before

450
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:15,639
Speaker 4: ever North Carolina game. I guess Georgia Tech, they're they're benching.

451
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 4: He's sitting on this on the bench for eight minute

452
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:21,000
Speaker 4: stretches in the second half, looks as interested. You know,

453
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 4: he obviously has his limitations when you can get him moving,

454
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 4: you know, with screens and get him switched off onto

455
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:31,240
Speaker 4: a smaller guard. But like, do you get like the

456
00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 4: angry Baycot that can dominate for stretches or the one

457
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 4: that just goes away. That's that's a big question, and

458
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 4: that'll come March, like, what Baycot do you get will

459
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 4: determine how far North Carolina goes. You know, R. J.

460
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 4: Davis is going to show up on a nightly basis,

461
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 4: and you just have to hope Caddo keeps getting better.

462
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:48,200
Speaker 4: What are you seeing here?

463
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 2: Calgary's Yeah, I'm going to join you on the under.

464
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 2: I think that's Duke's past the victory. You mentioned their tempo.

465
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,119
Speaker 2: There're one hundred and seventy ninth in a justice tempo.

466
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 2: According to Ken Palm, that's a huge differential based on

467
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,119
Speaker 2: the way that North Carolina wants to play all all

468
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 2: their advanced metrics in terms of transition opportunities allowed. I

469
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 2: think that's the way that they're going to go. But

470
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,600
Speaker 2: if it does turn into a half court battle, I

471
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 2: think they're going to run into some really skilled bigs

472
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,879
Speaker 2: from North Carolina that I think are playing well together.

473
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 2: And that's the question of how Bacott and Ingram would

474
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 2: mesh together. They've certainly answered that in a positive fashion.

475
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 2: So if I were to play this, I think I'm

476
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 2: going to pass on the side and just go with under.

477
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 1: Yeah.

478
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 4: I mentioned Duke eight percentile and transition opportunities allowed. North

479
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:34,160
Speaker 4: Carolina ninth percentile, ninety ninth percentile and transition defense efficiency,

480
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 4: so neither of these teams will give up easy baskets

481
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 4: the other way. And then I think that both of

482
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:43,919
Speaker 4: these teams can also compete on the defensive glass to

483
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 4: prevent easy second chance opportunities, So like it's going to

484
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 4: be defensive rebound and then slow up the court. No

485
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 4: easy buckets the other way, since both they're so good

486
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 4: at limiting teams in transition, which sets up and then

487
00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 4: you might have some tight shootings and nerves, which I

488
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 4: think sets up for an under. But we'll talk about

489
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 4: this more on the live show BBOC Live Show ten

490
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 4: thirty EEM Eastern with myself, Greg Waddell and both Mike

491
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 4: and Mike. We will tweet out that link. It'll be

492
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 4: in the action over capen on YouTube. And one final

493
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 4: game Kentucky Tennessee. So this game became much more interesting

494
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,840
Speaker 4: because both teams maybe got caught looking ahead a little bit.

495
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,159
Speaker 4: Tennessee loses it home to South kinda shout out to

496
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,920
Speaker 4: South Carolina by the way, team is just you got

497
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 4: study back now too, and they're just tough. They're tough

498
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:37,119
Speaker 4: as nails. I didn't think they would be anywhere close

499
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:41,439
Speaker 4: to this good. But they've knocked off Kentucky. Now, then

500
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,640
Speaker 4: they went at Tennessee. Not an easy thing to do.

501
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 4: Goes on South Carolina stuck.

502
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 2: You know, there's seven to two straight up as an underdog. Now,

503
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 2: I think it's time to give Lamont Paris the credit

504
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,639
Speaker 2: he deserves, like even just the higher in general. I

505
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 2: was bullsh on because if Chattanooga makes one more shot,

506
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:00,439
Speaker 2: I think it was Malachi Smith missed a the buzzer

507
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 2: against Illinois. They would have been one of those Cinderella

508
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:05,360
Speaker 2: teams a couple of years ago. I think his profile

509
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 2: would have been a lot better. But shock quality has

510
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,040
Speaker 2: his team ranked top fifty in both offensive and defensive

511
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 2: adjusted efficiency. I don't think it's you know, just all

512
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,399
Speaker 2: pure luck that they are where they are at this

513
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:17,679
Speaker 2: point in the SEC race, and I think a win

514
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:20,280
Speaker 2: laid that validates that. I think everyone's very quick to

515
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,159
Speaker 2: jump to Tennessee was looking ahead. Tennessee didn't take them

516
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 2: seriously like South Carolina is doing the work, and they

517
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 2: have a really good coach in my opinion, so I

518
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:29,720
Speaker 2: think they deserve a little extra love.

519
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, they'll they grind the game down, control the tempo

520
00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:40,719
Speaker 4: and they will defend you. So yeah, they're very well coached,

521
00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 4: and it's I think it's I think it's the NCAA

522
00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 4: tournament team. Randall, you're gonna be fading South Carolina Georgia.

523
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 4: I'm an under guy, Mike White on Saturday.

524
00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, well let's let's hold off on South Carolina

525
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:58,119
Speaker 1: stuff because it may bring them up a little bit

526
00:25:58,160 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 1: later in the pot.

527
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,439
Speaker 4: All right, so let me throw it to you. Then

528
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,159
Speaker 4: here Tennessee, Kentucky, we will first of all, so I

529
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:05,840
Speaker 4: than Kentucky. By the way, as I mentioned earlier, they

530
00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:09,879
Speaker 4: lost to Florida, didn't foul up three, Dillingham missed a

531
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,480
Speaker 4: free throw late. They Kentucky still hasn't had a full

532
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:15,159
Speaker 4: roster this year, which will hear a lot. Wagner was

533
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 4: out on Wednesday night, so we'll see if he can go.

534
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 4: I think him for depth. I mean you saw Dillingham

535
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 4: has been dealing with it as he was battling cramps

536
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,200
Speaker 4: at the end, and you know you're play an overtime game.

537
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 4: I will say with Tennessee, there's a couple of things

538
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 4: that I like the matchup for Kentucky in that Kentucky's

539
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:39,639
Speaker 4: pick and roll defense has been very bad, so one

540
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,159
Speaker 4: of the reasons I bet Florida against them twice. But

541
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,840
Speaker 4: Tennessee Brick Barnes has done it sometimes, but usually he's

542
00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:47,400
Speaker 4: like flex motion type guy, doesn't really run pick and roll.

543
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,359
Speaker 4: He's had a couple of games where he's done it

544
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 4: heavier this year, but not a heavy pick and roll offense.

545
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 4: So it's easier for Kentucky to defend. And I will

546
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 4: say this Tennessee defense has taken a major step back

547
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:02,679
Speaker 4: to year. It's still very good. So you would have

548
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,720
Speaker 4: like Phillips and Coonwall, you would have Jordan James. I

549
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:08,639
Speaker 4: do think they were big inside you just couldn't get anything.

550
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 4: But now you're like connects at the three and the

551
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 4: rest of the defense has really suffered. Even like Jordan

552
00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 4: Gainey's not a good defender either and he gets run.

553
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:21,119
Speaker 4: So you have these guys that especially connect higher offensive ceiling,

554
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 4: but their defensive metrics are are worse, and specifically in transition.

555
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:33,480
Speaker 4: Tennessee's transition defense last year ninety nine percentile this year eighteen.

556
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 4: So you can get them in transition. And that's where

557
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:41,040
Speaker 4: I mean Kentucky's just so deadly and Tennessee's half court defense,

558
00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,880
Speaker 4: it's still very good. They still have great defenders all

559
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 4: over the place. It's not as good as it was

560
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 4: last year, but Kentucky just has a great individual all

561
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:54,080
Speaker 4: around offensive players. Now Kentucky also has weaknesses on defense.

562
00:27:54,760 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 4: Reeves plays no defense whatsoever. So I think Wagner's status

563
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:03,160
Speaker 4: this is important here for depth for some on ball defense.

564
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:05,880
Speaker 4: This game probably is going to be around a pick.

565
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 4: If I had guess, I'm gonna be looking potentially at

566
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 4: Kentucky in some form or fashion. I think it's a

567
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 4: decent matchup for them, and this Kentucky, this Tennessee defense

568
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,479
Speaker 4: now has has some holes that might not that most

569
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:20,479
Speaker 4: people might not realize yet. But Randall, let me throw

570
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 4: it to you. When you see Kentucky Tennessee.

571
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, this game is on neutral court, stuck. I would

572
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 3: really like Tennessee, which is why I think they're just

573
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 3: built for a great tournament team. But for the same

574
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,439
Speaker 3: reason Kentucky at home now, listen, Rick Barnes has had success.

575
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 3: He won there in twenty twenty he won there in

576
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:35,879
Speaker 3: twenty twenty one, But their defense is not at that

577
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:37,639
Speaker 3: elite level, like you said, and that's what they're going

578
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,280
Speaker 3: to have to have here to win on the road.

579
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 3: Tennessee on the road this year, played away Mississippi State loss,

580
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 3: played Georgia away. That game was back and forth. They

581
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 3: pulled away at the end. Vanderbilt even Varnevelt.

582
00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 1: Made a run.

583
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: So they have been great on the road. The defense

584
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 3: has to be elite. Connect would have to have a

585
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 3: big game. It's just a lot of ass for a

586
00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:58,400
Speaker 3: game at Kentucky, in a game that Kentucky really has

587
00:28:58,440 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 3: to be ready to go and have coming off the

588
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 3: lost to Florida and two of their last three. It's

589
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 3: just a heavy ask. But if this game was on

590
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 3: a neutral site, remember last year Tennessee played Duke and

591
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 3: was fantastic against him in the tournament. If this was

592
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 3: on a neutral site, I probably go Tennessee.

593
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 4: I will say the Kentucky home court advantage is so overrated.

594
00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 4: It it's good, but it's not like like Rupp is

595
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 4: not a the tickets down low like I could I

596
00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 4: could tell you my in laws have like we're on

597
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 4: this like there were they might. The UK were like donors,

598
00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 4: they were like you have to be on this list,

599
00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 4: and they're like number four million whatever. There's like people

600
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 4: that are oil money that are like number one too.

601
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:39,960
Speaker 4: All these old people have all all this old money,

602
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 4: has all the the the seats down below. Right, It's

603
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 4: not like there's no it's not all kids going crazy.

604
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 4: So you know, it's it looks like a Morga times. Kentucky.

605
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 4: You get it together, rub they gottat, they gotta for

606
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 4: these huge games. Fuck the donors. Just let say, you know,

607
00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:02,120
Speaker 4: first come, first serve. I think Arkansas did this, say

608
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 4: didn't they? Well, that's because no one's going to their

609
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 4: games anymore. Muscling against Kentucky, he said, everyone once the

610
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 4: game starts, everyone can come down from up top. That's

611
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 4: what you need. You need the people up top. You

612
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 4: need the true real rowity Kentucky fans. Anyway, I just

613
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 4: noticed that, like against Florida, they couldn't put them away

614
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 4: because and it's just I was watching on TV. I'm like,

615
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,920
Speaker 4: this place is it's so so quiet. Sometimes it's not

616
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 4: true like rabid college kids all around down low near

617
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:32,240
Speaker 4: the basket at brumpt and it's like big and it's

618
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 4: a big arena. It's not like you're very intimate college

619
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 4: home court advantage that you think of. Anyway, I digress, So,

620
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 4: how what are you see in your calaries.

621
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 2: I mean, at this point I trust all and connect.

622
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 2: Since January tenth, he's averaging thirty two six boards, one

623
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 2: and a half stocks per game. But now that we're

624
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 2: into February, we're only one month away from March, I

625
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,880
Speaker 2: can bring up how little I trust Rick Barnes. You know,

626
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,800
Speaker 2: when it comes to playing quality teams down the stretch,

627
00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 2: my brain just tells me automatically, like fade him, and

628
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 2: regardless of what I'm seeing, like ten palm number two

629
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 2: in defense, I'm fading it. Like Dalton Connects making every shot,

630
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 2: I'm fading it. Twenty six trips to the NCAA tournament

631
00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:12,960
Speaker 2: for Barnes, twelve first round exits. He's coached up twenty

632
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 2: five plus win teams in Knoxville, Like I can't even

633
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 2: count at this I think he's got six of them,

634
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 2: never made the Elite eight. So in this spot, even

635
00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 2: though there's clear issues with Kentucky on the defensive glass,

636
00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 2: big Z is not the addition that they hoped you

637
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:28,680
Speaker 2: would be. And you know, maybe they work him into

638
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 2: the rotation more and he's more impactful on the glass,

639
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:33,440
Speaker 2: but we haven't seen it yet. Despite all those things,

640
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna take Kentucky in this game, and it

641
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:39,000
Speaker 2: really just comes down to Tennessee. When the going gets

642
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 2: tough against the absolute elites in the SEC and also

643
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 2: in the country, I'm just going to give the benefit

644
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 2: of the doubts to the other quality coach and coach

645
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 2: Kyle here.

646
00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, on Jenswer's come on defensively for Kentucky of late,

647
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 4: but you can still bully them a bit, which is

648
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 4: a little bit of my concern with Tennessee because Tennessee

649
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 4: is some dudes down loud. You saw that with Samuel

650
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 4: and Handgotten last night with Florida, like they could be

651
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 4: bullied a little bit on the post in the post,

652
00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 4: so I worry about that a little bit, but I

653
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 4: think the Tucky will pull this out anyway. Good stuff there.

654
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 4: We'll talk about all three games again on the live

655
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 4: show Saturday morning, where we'll have actual lines and updated

656
00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 4: injury info because most of those games we have some

657
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 4: key injuries to watch to make sure you tune in there.

658
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:29,320
Speaker 4: But let's move on to our Futures Roundtable, one of

659
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 4: my favorite segments each week. So far, we have Saint

660
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,800
Speaker 4: John's to make the final four, Kentucky to win the

661
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:44,560
Speaker 4: national title, Texas A and M to make the Final four,

662
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 4: Houston to win the Big Twelve their favorites. Now, that's

663
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 4: probably our best tickets so far value wise, but I'm

664
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 4: not upset with any of the tickets that we have.

665
00:32:55,560 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 4: It's time to add a fifth today. Let me it's

666
00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:05,640
Speaker 4: up a coin, see what to start with? Call out

667
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 4: in the air and on the Super Bowl Calgary's you

668
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:15,280
Speaker 4: called heads of jails fails it is tails. Would you

669
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 4: like to receive or defer to Randall?

670
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 2: I like to go first because I assume you guys

671
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 2: are gonna have the same pick again, so I want

672
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 2: to get ahead of this and build up a little

673
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 2: of my own momentum. I'm gonna go ahead with New

674
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 2: Mexico to win the Mountain West Conference at three to one.

675
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:32,959
Speaker 2: They're a game and a half back with nine to play.

676
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 2: And the reason why I like the Lobos here coming

677
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 2: off a loss against Boise State, is that Utah State,

678
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 2: who's in first place right now, Here's for their next

679
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,120
Speaker 2: five games at San Diego State home against Nevada home

680
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 2: against Boise at Colorado State. I think there's a chance

681
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,400
Speaker 2: that they could split those two. And if that's the case,

682
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 2: then I think, you know, you can make an argument

683
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 2: that the Lobos or Boise have a puncher's chance to

684
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 2: win this thing. And at three to one, I still

685
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 2: love what they have in their starting lineup. The Nathan

686
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:03,719
Speaker 2: ken Palm top forty in both offensive and defensive efficiency.

687
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 2: They play with tempo. We know what they have at

688
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 2: the pit. Boise State also has roadies against Colorado State

689
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 2: and Utah State in the next ten days, so there's

690
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:13,919
Speaker 2: two teams that they have to step over to get here.

691
00:34:14,200 --> 00:34:16,200
Speaker 2: But I think the schedule ramps up in such a

692
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 2: way that it's realistic that the Lobos could go ahead

693
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,280
Speaker 2: and come from behind, as I mentioned, with nine games

694
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 2: left and win this conference.

695
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 4: All right, going out west cuts to Boise State impressive

696
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,319
Speaker 4: win in the pit, which is never easy to do,

697
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 4: especially with the way that New Mexico is playing. Randall

698
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:41,560
Speaker 4: with Calbery's selecting to receive You're now, I mean.

699
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:42,880
Speaker 3: I don't know what else we have to see about

700
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 3: South Carolina. South Carolina plus twenty five hundred to make

701
00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 3: the final four. They take care of business against Kentucky.

702
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,359
Speaker 3: They take care of business against Tennessee. Now I thought

703
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 3: about picking him to win the SEC, but there's some

704
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:57,960
Speaker 3: tough games all burn away, they have Mississippi away, they

705
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 3: have Texas A and M. But this team shows us

706
00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:04,000
Speaker 3: everything that you would need. Great coach. He's put pit

707
00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:07,760
Speaker 3: players together who've transferred and they beat Tennessee with Michie

708
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:10,759
Speaker 3: Johnson having three points and going oh of three from

709
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,520
Speaker 3: two point range and basically oh of eight from the field. Here,

710
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 3: this team is dangerous. The big man inside Mac who

711
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 3: is the transfer from Wafford, does not get into foul trouble.

712
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 3: They're disciplined, they're unselfish. I heard Paris after the game say,

713
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 3: you know, they really aren't selfish. They just hit the

714
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:27,719
Speaker 3: open man. Love this team. I've been impressed at what

715
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 3: they've done. I was slow to get on them, but

716
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,120
Speaker 3: they controlled pace, They defend the three pointer.

717
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:33,840
Speaker 1: Their offense at three point.

718
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:35,760
Speaker 3: Shooting is getting them and listen, they'll go as Michie

719
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 3: Johnson goes. But they have beaten Kentucky by seventeen at

720
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 3: home and beat Tennessee away in a game that Michie

721
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 3: Johnson was one of a from the field. That's all

722
00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,520
Speaker 3: I need to see guys, South Carolina again. I love

723
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 3: the SEC. He talked about that a couple podcasts Ago.

724
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:52,360
Speaker 3: I'm going with South Carolina plus twenty five hundred to

725
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:53,399
Speaker 3: make the final four.

726
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:53,920
Speaker 1: I'm buying.

727
00:35:55,440 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, Michie Johnson, who is the Kentucky Killer. Whenever he

728
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 4: plays Kentucky goes absolutely off. I mean against Missouri had

729
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 4: no points and I had Missouri fortunately had a decent

730
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,680
Speaker 4: number to push some and lost some others. But he

731
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 4: got but used his bench at that game, like he

732
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:12,920
Speaker 4: just were like, all right, you gotta at the end

733
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 4: of the game. So like they've showed some good depth

734
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 4: when he when he's off being able to win. And

735
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 4: you mentioned they're very comfortable in the half court. A

736
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 4: lot of times in the tournament, these games slow down

737
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,560
Speaker 4: to a crawl, which, uh South KNA will be more

738
00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:30,839
Speaker 4: than comfortable operating in. Uh So, I'm up, I'm gonna go.

739
00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with the one I already bet myself.

740
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 4: It's the same price I think best out there is

741
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:43,120
Speaker 4: twenty five to one. I'm gonna go. This is probably

742
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 4: these are probably the ugliest options we've had all year.

743
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:47,879
Speaker 4: We have South Kna to make the final four, New

744
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 4: Mexico at three to one to win the Mountain West,

745
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 4: and we're gonna go Colorado to make the Final four

746
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:57,399
Speaker 4: twenty five to one. I you know, maybe you can wait.

747
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:02,279
Speaker 4: They play Utah this week, maybe you can. If they

748
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:04,760
Speaker 4: lose that game, you can get a slightly better price.

749
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:07,839
Speaker 4: But they play at they have a big revenge game.

750
00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 4: They are an awful spot with some injuries, and they

751
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:11,879
Speaker 4: played Arizona un lost by fifty. I think they pick

752
00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:16,960
Speaker 4: off Arizona next week at home, and then it's like UCLA,

753
00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:20,840
Speaker 4: USU USC Utah at home, call at home Stanford, and

754
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,399
Speaker 4: then close out with the Oregon trip. That Arizona game

755
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:25,919
Speaker 4: is huge, like just for their stock and where they're

756
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 4: going to go next week at home. But basically all

757
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 4: that I'm doing here is I'm buying this team's just ceiling.

758
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 4: They have three potential NBA guys. You have my guy Lampkin.

759
00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 4: They are you know, they can shoot, but they also

760
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:43,560
Speaker 4: can offensive rebound that they don't They don't need to

761
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 4: have a great shooting day like now. They can be zoned. Yeah,

762
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 4: if you can keep them out of transition, things get

763
00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:51,719
Speaker 4: the So they need specific types of matchups to get

764
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:53,600
Speaker 4: to the Final four. But you're getting twenty five to

765
00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:56,400
Speaker 4: one with three potential NBA guys there's a ton of

766
00:37:56,440 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 4: talent here, so I'm basically just buying the ceiling. It's

767
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 4: a team check on high that you'll see them in

768
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 4: the look incredible some games and then some games you'll

769
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 4: not be impressed. But I think that they can continue

770
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 4: to keep improving and I'm just buying the upside here

771
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 4: with all the talent. So those are the three options.

772
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:23,960
Speaker 4: Choice one is New Mexico to win the Mountain West.

773
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 4: Choice two is South Carolina to go to the Final four.

774
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:37,120
Speaker 4: Choice three is Colorado to go to the Final four.

775
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 4: Pause to evaluate. I'm just going to check these Mountain

776
00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:41,320
Speaker 4: West standings.

777
00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:43,279
Speaker 2: I mean I can fill here real quick. Not to

778
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:47,759
Speaker 2: swing anybody's vote, I agree with the Stock's assessment on

779
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,359
Speaker 2: Colorado ceiling. I should point out that the deepest run

780
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 2: they've made was the Sweet sixteen in nineteen sixty nine,

781
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 2: so it's been a solid fifty five years since they've

782
00:38:58,120 --> 00:38:59,280
Speaker 2: made it to the second weekend.

783
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:02,839
Speaker 4: Every fifty five years Colorado makes a run.

784
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 2: I mean, that's the the age old you know sentiment.

785
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 4: So I agree. That's if you've ever been to Boulder,

786
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:09,719
Speaker 4: that's what it's like. It says that on the bars,

787
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:13,319
Speaker 4: every fifty five years. We make our run, all right,

788
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:20,719
Speaker 4: five four three two one oh overruled, I was overruled.

789
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:25,200
Speaker 4: We have two votes for two South Carolina to make

790
00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:29,240
Speaker 4: the final four. Calbarys I. Basically, I'll tell you my reasoning.

791
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 4: I wanted some New Mexico exposure, and I just felt

792
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:36,279
Speaker 4: like we are buying I'm becoming a believer in South

793
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:38,440
Speaker 4: Cound but we are buying with South Carolina at the

794
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 4: potential peak of their market. But maybe we're not. But

795
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:45,480
Speaker 4: and I wanted. I've been saying I wanted a piece

796
00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:48,279
Speaker 4: in New Mexico and I didn't get one, which is

797
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,719
Speaker 4: why I went there. But explain why you went with

798
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 4: uh South Carolina? Because you you wrote ultimately deciding it

799
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 4: to Futures Final four. Why'd you go South Counta over

800
00:39:56,560 --> 00:39:59,520
Speaker 4: Colorado decides it's been fifty five years?

801
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 2: Well, I think kind of the throwaway line you had

802
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:06,800
Speaker 2: about South Carolina in the tournament winning those half court

803
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:10,080
Speaker 2: grind them out kind of games, I'm just picturing it.

804
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,440
Speaker 2: And as I mentioned earlier in the show, like I

805
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:15,400
Speaker 2: love the coach. I think they're proving it through the

806
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:19,080
Speaker 2: grind of the SEC schedule and on top of it,

807
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:22,120
Speaker 2: like there's a path forward, and South Carolina has done

808
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:24,880
Speaker 2: it themselves in the last ten years to make the

809
00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:27,839
Speaker 2: Final four with more of a defensive centric team. Now

810
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:29,919
Speaker 2: they're gonna have to get lucky with some three point

811
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:33,560
Speaker 2: variants to win those four games to get there. But

812
00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:36,280
Speaker 2: I think the number is just good enough in my minds,

813
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:39,840
Speaker 2: and they control their destiny in that regard, as opposed

814
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:42,920
Speaker 2: to my play with New Mexico, where I'm so bullish,

815
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 2: you know, more so maybe than anyone else here on

816
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:49,160
Speaker 2: the show talking about the Lobos. But they still need

817
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:52,160
Speaker 2: things outside of their own control to happen. They need

818
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,680
Speaker 2: both Boise and Utah State to stub their toe ahead

819
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 2: of them just have an opportunity to go ahead and

820
00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:00,960
Speaker 2: win the conference. So that reason, I think I'm gonna

821
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 2: go ahead with the twenty five to one.

822
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,920
Speaker 4: All right, good stuff. So we had at South Carolina

823
00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:08,000
Speaker 4: to make the final four, Well, that means George is

824
00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 4: loot on Saturday with the Randall curse. So everyone everyone

825
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,479
Speaker 4: going back Georgia on Saturday in the game that should

826
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 4: be around the pick and stuck.

827
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 3: Even that Miami game from Saturday got way too close.

828
00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:23,319
Speaker 4: They were up a time. Oh you're lucky, Pit Pit

829
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:27,279
Speaker 4: shot early and then foul. Oh my god, they were

830
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:29,360
Speaker 4: up like ten. I was like, I was watching that

831
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:31,799
Speaker 4: game for you. I was like, he's got it ten,

832
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 4: like two to go, and then I'm watching these other games.

833
00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 4: I look back and I'm like, Pitt has the ball

834
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:39,000
Speaker 4: down two and I thought they were going to hold

835
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:40,840
Speaker 4: for the last shot. And they took an awful shot

836
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,239
Speaker 4: with like four seconds left and then fouled and luckily.

837
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 5: Miami hit boo. Yeah, Miami made that way too close

838
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,360
Speaker 5: for comfort. All right, let's move on to the weekend.

839
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:56,200
Speaker 5: We'll talk some weekend spots. Anything's in play Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

840
00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 5: I'll start one off and I'll throw it to uh Calabarista,

841
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 5: get his thoughts because it's an A ten, and then

842
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:04,480
Speaker 5: you can get your one. I'm gonna be looking at

843
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,719
Speaker 5: Lasal potentially against Saint Joe's at home.

844
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:09,520
Speaker 4: I mean Saint Jose. I don't think he's swept them

845
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 4: in nine years. This is a pretty heated rivalry. Saint

846
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 4: Jos blew them out in the first matchup, but it's

847
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:19,640
Speaker 4: not a terrible matchup for LaSalle Saint Jose. Also, I

848
00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 4: was dating on deck. I know this is a big

849
00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:25,560
Speaker 4: five rivalry. But Saint Jo's very compact defense. But Lasal

850
00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 4: does nothing at the room their jump shooters. You gotta

851
00:42:29,120 --> 00:42:31,279
Speaker 4: hope that they make some threes here. There's some some

852
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,680
Speaker 4: stats to suggest some positive regression there. Saint Jose played

853
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 4: a lot of teams that have had injuries like that,

854
00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 4: I think six or seven throughout the season. Like I

855
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 4: remember that Tucanne. They played a really shorthanded Ducane, but

856
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 4: they had a bunch of other teams that they played

857
00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:48,879
Speaker 4: with guards out. Saint Jose's won three or four sins

858
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:53,120
Speaker 4: blowing out LaSalle, but three all three came by commnd

859
00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:55,520
Speaker 4: five points. His team that just don't go up twenty

860
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:57,879
Speaker 4: will blow a twenty point lead. They'll come back very

861
00:42:57,960 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 4: jeck and hide. But I don't think it's the worst

862
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,160
Speaker 4: matchup for La Salas also does a good job of

863
00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:06,800
Speaker 4: taking away the three. I worry about the glass for Lasal,

864
00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:11,120
Speaker 4: smaller team, but I think this is probably the bottom

865
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:14,879
Speaker 4: of the market on LaSalle and prevenge spot big five game,

866
00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:18,200
Speaker 4: these teams usually split. I'll be looking at Lasal noon

867
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:21,880
Speaker 4: in tom Gola Calbarys. You agree that I do agree.

868
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:22,880
Speaker 4: I think that's a good spot.

869
00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:26,040
Speaker 2: I watched the Alta George Mason game earlier this week,

870
00:43:26,080 --> 00:43:28,680
Speaker 2: and they had a great game plan for Reynolds. I

871
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 2: think if Lasal can just do a carbon copy of

872
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:34,640
Speaker 2: that and really keep him off a spot and you know,

873
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 2: less of those catch and shoot opportunities when he had

874
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:39,839
Speaker 2: to put it on the floor, he almost lost them

875
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:42,480
Speaker 2: in the game, essentially going baseline stepping out of bounds.

876
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,279
Speaker 2: They had multiple turnovers in the last ninety seconds of

877
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 2: the game and they you know, blew what would have

878
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 2: been maybe a comfortable six to seven point win and

879
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,240
Speaker 2: it turns into a two point win. So I agree.

880
00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:55,839
Speaker 2: I think Saint Jose is right on the cusp of

881
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:58,120
Speaker 2: being a team that can maybe be on the bubble

882
00:43:58,440 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 2: or a team that could finish ninth in the eight.

883
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,319
Speaker 2: I think that's how high variance they are. So you

884
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 2: may as well go ahead and cash in on some

885
00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:05,759
Speaker 2: value on a team that is jeck On Hyde as

886
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:06,360
Speaker 2: you put it.

887
00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, super high versteo, which is why I would I

888
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:12,000
Speaker 4: prefer them as a dog out of favor. All right,

889
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 4: Coby's what you got? All Right?

890
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 2: We mentioned the Houston game, so I'm gonna pass go

891
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:21,040
Speaker 2: past that. I'm gonna go to the America East Bayhamton

892
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:24,359
Speaker 2: traveling to Vermont's projections here in like the thirteen to

893
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 2: fifteen point range for the Catamounts. The Catamounts are really

894
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:29,919
Speaker 2: taking flight after a slow starts of the season. They've

895
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 2: won six straight, three in a row on the road.

896
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,480
Speaker 2: They covered their last four easily, and they don't take

897
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:37,799
Speaker 2: their foot off the gas in general because of you know,

898
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 2: the way that they play, but also in terms of

899
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,239
Speaker 2: the scheduling and the standings in the America East. They

900
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 2: can't because UMass, Lowell and Brian are just one game

901
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:47,279
Speaker 2: back in the race for the conference title at least

902
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:49,720
Speaker 2: in the regular season. And then when you look historically,

903
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:51,319
Speaker 2: this is a game that I just auto bet every

904
00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:54,680
Speaker 2: year because they beat the breaks off Binghamton time and

905
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 2: time again. Last season they played him three times, beat

906
00:44:57,080 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 2: him by twenty five to eleven and twenty two year

907
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 2: before that one seventeen and thirty two. Binghamson hasn't beat

908
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,719
Speaker 2: them since twenty fifteen, and they've lost the last ten

909
00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:08,800
Speaker 2: by twenty four points per game. And this is you know,

910
00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 2: knowing that I did my full due diligence at the

911
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:14,400
Speaker 2: Action Network, we have an America East expert, Tanner McGrath,

912
00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:17,000
Speaker 2: who is arguably the greatest handicapper to ever come out

913
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:20,520
Speaker 2: of McGill University up North. He got on the phone

914
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:22,960
Speaker 2: and sent a text to head coach John Becker, who

915
00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 2: did an interview with during the offseason, and asked him,

916
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:28,120
Speaker 2: has there been a differential in terms of your preparation

917
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:31,280
Speaker 2: now the America East went from a Wednesday Saturday conference

918
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 2: schedule to Thursday Saturday, And he said, yes, as a

919
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 2: matter of fact, there is. I'm playing more guys and

920
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,440
Speaker 2: I think it's made the difference. Nine Catamounts play fourteen

921
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:42,000
Speaker 2: minutes or more per game. That depth has meant a

922
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 2: lot to them in those second games of the week,

923
00:45:44,280 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 2: and because of that, I think they're going to run

924
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:47,799
Speaker 2: away in the second half from the Bears. I'd lay

925
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:49,239
Speaker 2: up to sixteen in this game.

926
00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 4: Shout out Tanner and yeah Becker, amazing coach. What do

927
00:45:52,680 --> 00:45:53,399
Speaker 4: you got right?

928
00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:55,680
Speaker 1: Yeah? I haven't bought iona all year.

929
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,799
Speaker 3: They were second in the MAC preseason poll and I

930
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:01,160
Speaker 3: just thought that was very over rated. Now, look, IWA

931
00:46:01,239 --> 00:46:04,000
Speaker 3: can have these incredible three point shooting games where they're

932
00:46:04,040 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 3: absolutely lights out, but they still are not a good

933
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 3: team on interior defense, and they are not good from

934
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:11,920
Speaker 3: the free throw line sixty five point eight percent. I

935
00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:15,960
Speaker 3: think Fairfield's better. I've watched Fairfield. They're very solid, playing

936
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 3: well balanced. Had a tough loss at home to Quinnipiac,

937
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:20,600
Speaker 3: so they're going to be chomping at the bit here.

938
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:23,160
Speaker 3: They do make their free throw as they forced turnovers.

939
00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 3: Chris Casey has done a real nice job with the Stags.

940
00:46:25,560 --> 00:46:27,600
Speaker 3: Don't like Iona. The only thing I'm married about, guys

941
00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:29,600
Speaker 3: if Iona goes crazy from three point range. But you

942
00:46:29,600 --> 00:46:31,759
Speaker 3: know there's a lot of variants in that. As long

943
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 3: as I doesn't go nuts. I think Fairfield wins this

944
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:35,879
Speaker 3: game out right here, This is on Friday night. Line

945
00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:37,640
Speaker 3: would be about three or four. I would take the

946
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:39,600
Speaker 3: points there, no problem. I like Fairfield on the road

947
00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:40,200
Speaker 3: against Iona.

948
00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 4: All right, get some matt Ac action in let's how

949
00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 4: about our Johnny's at noon on Saturday. This Connecticut team

950
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 4: is scary when fully healthy, but I don't think they'll

951
00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:52,640
Speaker 4: be I don't think Caravan's gonna play. We'll see. I

952
00:46:52,640 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 4: mean his ankle was swollen up. They put him back

953
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:58,880
Speaker 4: out there. They said he was seventy percent in the

954
00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:03,640
Speaker 4: second half. Is coming, but like it's a bad ankle. Injury,

955
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:05,759
Speaker 4: it's gonna be worse the next day. So I doubt

956
00:47:05,760 --> 00:47:07,040
Speaker 4: they play him or he's not gonna be at one

957
00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:09,960
Speaker 4: hundred percent. Defense drops off a lot when he's not

958
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 4: out there. If you look at some of the metrics

959
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:15,320
Speaker 4: just on a box score, some of the advanced metrics

960
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,960
Speaker 4: and box score efficiency, you probably get to get. I mean,

961
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 4: you can go smaller. They try to think what they

962
00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:22,480
Speaker 4: would do without Caravan. I mean you could put Sampson

963
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 4: Johnson in there. Then your offense is here, your spacing

964
00:47:24,560 --> 00:47:28,920
Speaker 4: gets messed up. You can go smaller. I guess you

965
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:33,880
Speaker 4: could put like Castle at the four and Spencer at

966
00:47:33,160 --> 00:47:36,880
Speaker 4: the three. More diarra. The rotation is gonna be messed up.

967
00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:38,960
Speaker 4: Their defense and either their defensive ceiling is gonna be

968
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:44,040
Speaker 4: lower where their offensive ceiling without Caravan is playing extremely well. Eve,

969
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:47,120
Speaker 4: You've got Jalen Storters like a replacement level defender. He

970
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:50,319
Speaker 4: might even have to play more at the four. So

971
00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:52,360
Speaker 4: I don't think that you Kin will be fully healthy.

972
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:54,880
Speaker 4: Saint John's off of a bad loss at Savior. They

973
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:56,800
Speaker 4: caught it was just a bad spot for Saint John's.

974
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,360
Speaker 4: Savior just got embarrassed by Yukon. Think Saint John's is

975
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:03,520
Speaker 4: maybe peaking up head, but this Yukon team, how do

976
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 4: you beat them? I mean, look, Saint John's went Clinton

977
00:48:06,600 --> 00:48:08,719
Speaker 4: didn't play in the first matchup, which is huge because

978
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:10,880
Speaker 4: you basal just can't get anything in the post against them,

979
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:13,799
Speaker 4: which gonna make life difficult on Soriano here. But you

980
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:16,800
Speaker 4: have to disrupt all their motion, you have to disrupt

981
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:20,160
Speaker 4: all their screening action in the half court, because it's amazing.

982
00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 4: I mean, it's dizzying to watch. Saint John's can do

983
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:26,279
Speaker 4: that with their matchup zone and their pressure. Like the

984
00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:30,799
Speaker 4: two weakest areas for Connecticut for me is you could

985
00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:33,839
Speaker 4: turn them over a bit at times their guards, and

986
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,080
Speaker 4: you can get on the offensive glass because they're very

987
00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:38,640
Speaker 4: aggressive defensively. So I think those are two pass for

988
00:48:38,640 --> 00:48:40,759
Speaker 4: Saint John's. They can you look at Saint John's with

989
00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:44,960
Speaker 4: cutting action, screening action. Defense teams just don't really get

990
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,880
Speaker 4: to run that against them because of how their defense

991
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:50,720
Speaker 4: is structured. So I think Saint John's can actually disrupt

992
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 4: what ucon wants to do. They can get on the

993
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 4: offensive glass. You got to hope that they make some threes.

994
00:48:56,239 --> 00:48:59,239
Speaker 4: It's not a great Saint John's shooting team, but uh,

995
00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:03,319
Speaker 4: you know, just Connecticut team does do a tremendous job

996
00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:06,240
Speaker 4: of taking away the three. But you're at home juice

997
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:10,920
Speaker 4: spot catching probably three four. I'll be looking at Saint

998
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:13,239
Speaker 4: John's here, I think with that, especially if Caravan can't

999
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 4: go the defense for Saint John's, I think you can

1000
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,319
Speaker 4: have success here. I think it's a good spot here

1001
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:19,880
Speaker 4: against Yukon Randall, we throw it to you for your

1002
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 4: second Eddie. Do you have faith in the Johnny's here

1003
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:22,440
Speaker 4: in the spot?

1004
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:23,000
Speaker 1: Oh?

1005
00:49:23,040 --> 00:49:23,799
Speaker 4: I do? Yeah?

1006
00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:26,520
Speaker 1: Really frustrated he stuck. They had that Xavier game.

1007
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:28,799
Speaker 3: You can't let Quincy Alaveri be wide open for two

1008
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:32,160
Speaker 3: consecutive three poorners with two minutes left. That's what killed them. Though, Yeah,

1009
00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:33,879
Speaker 3: I do have faith. I love the Saint John's team.

1010
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 3: I'm going on Saturday. Indiana State always has trouble with Drake.

1011
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:40,480
Speaker 3: I just think now's the time. This is a payback

1012
00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:44,200
Speaker 3: spot here. Drake beat Indiana State at home eighty nine

1013
00:49:44,239 --> 00:49:47,360
Speaker 3: to seventy eight back on Wednesday, January tenth. This Indiana

1014
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,319
Speaker 3: State team can really separate. The Sycamores can have a

1015
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:52,880
Speaker 3: two game lead in the Missouri Valley. If they get this,

1016
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:56,000
Speaker 3: they're just so superior in offense. They're great on the boards,

1017
00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:58,520
Speaker 3: and I've been looking to fade Drake. Also Indiana State

1018
00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 3: this year seven and one at home against the spread.

1019
00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:03,560
Speaker 3: I just think it's their time. I think Drake has

1020
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:05,759
Speaker 3: been that the power team in this conference for a

1021
00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 3: long time. Indiana State, their offense is superior. They've played

1022
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:12,160
Speaker 3: some tough games. They have a payback spot now they're home.

1023
00:50:12,360 --> 00:50:14,560
Speaker 3: They got the winover Belmont was a close one, but

1024
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:16,920
Speaker 3: they covered it. They beat Bradley at home, ninety five

1025
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:19,880
Speaker 3: eighty six in overtime. I'm gonna take them and whatever

1026
00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:22,160
Speaker 3: the number is, five, whatever ends being, I'm gonna lay it.

1027
00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:24,759
Speaker 3: I think Indiana State finally gets over the hump here

1028
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:27,680
Speaker 3: which Draken takes control in the Missouri Valley.

1029
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:30,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Auburn Land five against the old miss

1030
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:33,400
Speaker 2: on the road. We finally had a Denver Jones sighting

1031
00:50:33,640 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 2: who played well in Auburn's last game. He goes for

1032
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:38,759
Speaker 2: nineteen Baker Mazzara off the bench, gives them eleven. That's

1033
00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:40,880
Speaker 2: all I'm asking for. I'm not asking for them to

1034
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:43,440
Speaker 2: move mountains in terms of their backward Just give me

1035
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:46,439
Speaker 2: some consistent scoring. I needed to see it at least

1036
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:48,759
Speaker 2: once to buy into the potential of them doing it

1037
00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:51,600
Speaker 2: against a team with the pulse. Old Miss certainly has

1038
00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:54,080
Speaker 2: a pulse, but they have liabilities. They're not that strong

1039
00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:56,480
Speaker 2: in the glass, and when they don't knock down threes,

1040
00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:58,440
Speaker 2: they can be in trouble. When they played Auburn in

1041
00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:00,520
Speaker 2: a twenty three point loss on the road, shot four

1042
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:03,680
Speaker 2: for seventeen. Auburn is eighteenth nationally and defending the three

1043
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:07,359
Speaker 2: third in opponent shooting percentage allowed overall, so I think

1044
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:10,360
Speaker 2: the Tiger defense can really kind of squeeze the life

1045
00:51:10,360 --> 00:51:12,600
Speaker 2: out of this rebel team. And then in addition to

1046
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 2: that twenty three point loss, they also lost by twenty

1047
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:16,880
Speaker 2: six to Tennessee. So I think when they've stepped up

1048
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:20,279
Speaker 2: significantly in terms of competition, they've been exposed a little bit.

1049
00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:22,720
Speaker 2: I wouldn't go as far as the call Old Miss frauds,

1050
00:51:22,719 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 2: but at this point, I think their overall win loss

1051
00:51:25,160 --> 00:51:27,719
Speaker 2: record is not commensurate with the quality that they're putting

1052
00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 2: on the court. So I'm gonna go ahead and take

1053
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:30,200
Speaker 2: the Tigers. I'd lay up to five.

1054
00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:32,440
Speaker 4: I'm gonna people are gonna hate me for this, but

1055
00:51:32,480 --> 00:51:36,759
Speaker 4: I'm probably gonna fad. Northwestern against Minnesota at home. I

1056
00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:38,799
Speaker 4: think Payn will be back. They've had a week off

1057
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:43,080
Speaker 4: here week to rest up prepare for this game. Northwestern

1058
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:46,279
Speaker 4: just in another overtime battle. I mean everyone again played

1059
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:49,400
Speaker 4: forty minutes. Northwestern is a good team with good guards.

1060
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:53,799
Speaker 4: Boo boo is amazing. They're not gonna shoot forty five

1061
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:56,840
Speaker 4: percent from three in league play all year in the

1062
00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 4: Big Town, I'm sorry. And they can't defend. They don't

1063
00:51:59,680 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 4: defend anyone. It's the worst rated defense in the league.

1064
00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:05,160
Speaker 4: They foul too much. If you just hold on to

1065
00:52:05,200 --> 00:52:09,040
Speaker 4: the ball, you're gonna score. Minnesota should dominate the offensive

1066
00:52:09,040 --> 00:52:12,120
Speaker 4: glass here. They should live at the line. Minnesota shooting

1067
00:52:13,120 --> 00:52:16,520
Speaker 4: twenty eight percent from three in league play, Northwestern forty four.

1068
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 4: You want to talk about shooting aggression, they're shooting Northwestern

1069
00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:24,240
Speaker 4: shooting one point three. They're scoring one point three points

1070
00:52:24,280 --> 00:52:27,520
Speaker 4: per possession on guarded jump shots like that is not

1071
00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 4: gonna last forever. So I think it's a great spot

1072
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:34,319
Speaker 4: Northwestern gave. They're all seam not with not a lot

1073
00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:35,879
Speaker 4: of depth and legs are also going to give out

1074
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:38,319
Speaker 4: to the So yeah, I think it's a good spot

1075
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:41,400
Speaker 4: to back North Minnesota at home, Branda, what else you

1076
00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:42,440
Speaker 4: got last one?

1077
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:44,160
Speaker 1: I got here, I hit it last week. I'll stay

1078
00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:47,080
Speaker 1: with it. Cornell against Tarvard is pronounced colonel.

1079
00:52:47,120 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 4: It's the highest rank in the military. It's pronounced Cornell.

1080
00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:52,920
Speaker 4: It's the highest rank in the IVY League.

1081
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:56,720
Speaker 3: Cornell plays back to back. They destroyed Princeton at home

1082
00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:57,439
Speaker 3: last week.

1083
00:52:57,520 --> 00:52:57,960
Speaker 1: Great win.

1084
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:01,840
Speaker 3: They have Dartmouth on so that should be no problem.

1085
00:53:01,880 --> 00:53:04,000
Speaker 3: And then they have a battle against Harvard, who swept

1086
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:06,839
Speaker 3: them last year. Harvard is not the same team. They've

1087
00:53:06,880 --> 00:53:09,880
Speaker 3: lost three or four. They got crushed at home by Yale.

1088
00:53:10,080 --> 00:53:13,080
Speaker 3: They have an upstar Columbia team that's actually playing very well.

1089
00:53:13,120 --> 00:53:15,160
Speaker 3: They play fast, they have guards, they can shoot it.

1090
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:17,560
Speaker 3: So that's gonna be a tough battle at home against Columbia.

1091
00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:19,839
Speaker 3: Twenty four hours later, here comes Cornell, who I think

1092
00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 3: is the best team in the IVY, elite inside the arc,

1093
00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:23,640
Speaker 3: fast paced.

1094
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:25,280
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna take care of business. Harvefie.

1095
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:27,120
Speaker 3: Let's go two for two in the IVY with Cornell

1096
00:53:27,560 --> 00:53:29,040
Speaker 3: at Harvard on Saturday.

1097
00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 4: Let me go. I'll go rapid fire here with a

1098
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:35,120
Speaker 4: bunch of other spots. I circled Texas potentially at TCU.

1099
00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:38,359
Speaker 4: Texas really good limiting teams in transition and defending at

1100
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:40,440
Speaker 4: the rim. You can get to the room against them,

1101
00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:43,080
Speaker 4: but that's key against TCU. So I think this is

1102
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:44,719
Speaker 4: probably the peak of the market on tc I'll be

1103
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:46,600
Speaker 4: looking at the Longhorns on the road. If I can

1104
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:49,280
Speaker 4: get a good number. Morgan State, let's go some meak.

1105
00:53:49,360 --> 00:53:52,960
Speaker 4: They're finally healthy. Winston Tabs is healthy. They had some

1106
00:53:53,000 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 4: injuries earlier in the season. They're at South Carolina State.

1107
00:53:55,160 --> 00:53:58,080
Speaker 4: This game will be why do you watch? There'd be

1108
00:53:58,080 --> 00:53:59,879
Speaker 4: a ton of free throws. South Carolina State can't shoot

1109
00:53:59,880 --> 00:54:02,160
Speaker 4: them bad favor Morgan State. I think we'll have value there.

1110
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 4: Do we fade Boise after that big win? They come

1111
00:54:05,520 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 4: home against air Force. Poise is not a team I love.

1112
00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:10,440
Speaker 4: Is a favorite. Skame will be a grinder against air

1113
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:12,800
Speaker 4: Force at home. Probably get an inflated price in a

1114
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:16,839
Speaker 4: bad spot. Boise State, I think is what Colorado State

1115
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:19,480
Speaker 4: on deck to air Force can shoot. They'll make enough

1116
00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 4: to rease here. Do I think at least stay within

1117
00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:25,000
Speaker 4: the number. Maryland against Michigan State. Maryland's playing better lately.

1118
00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:28,480
Speaker 4: I think if we get a good number here, Maryland's

1119
00:54:28,480 --> 00:54:30,879
Speaker 4: defense is playing really well. Be hard for Michigan State

1120
00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:33,359
Speaker 4: to extend. I think Maryland can stay within the number

1121
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:35,319
Speaker 4: they should have. They could have easily beat Michigan State

1122
00:54:35,520 --> 00:54:37,319
Speaker 4: in the first meeting. Game went right down to the wire.

1123
00:54:38,160 --> 00:54:40,520
Speaker 4: Been looking to fade Charlotte, but man, I trust their

1124
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 4: defense is good and they press a lot. They have

1125
00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:47,640
Speaker 4: good rim protection on the back end. But in East Carolina,

1126
00:54:47,640 --> 00:54:50,280
Speaker 4: I was maybe looking to buy here, but East Carolina's

1127
00:54:50,280 --> 00:54:52,880
Speaker 4: press numbers are hard. So whenever you want to fade Charlotte,

1128
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:55,200
Speaker 4: look at heavy other team's performed against the press, or

1129
00:54:55,239 --> 00:54:56,600
Speaker 4: if they have guards that can handle the ball.

1130
00:54:57,080 --> 00:54:59,640
Speaker 2: Question here for you stuck. Can the gals go into

1131
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:03,279
Speaker 2: spoken beat the Zags essentially knocked them out of the

1132
00:55:03,280 --> 00:55:06,239
Speaker 2: out large, you know, conversation at the kennel. Can they

1133
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:08,919
Speaker 2: finally get it done? Because they've clearly been a better team.

1134
00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:11,680
Speaker 2: They've flipped a switch Saint Mary's as you know, since

1135
00:55:12,120 --> 00:55:14,480
Speaker 2: I guess you know, mid December, they've just looked like

1136
00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:16,800
Speaker 2: a different program. Do you think they get it done?

1137
00:55:17,080 --> 00:55:18,400
Speaker 4: I think they can. Yeah. I think it'll go right

1138
00:55:18,440 --> 00:55:19,840
Speaker 4: down to the war. I'll be looking the back of

1139
00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:22,000
Speaker 4: the dog gon Zach is playing better lately, but I

1140
00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:24,960
Speaker 4: think Saint Mary's figured it out there. They're rolling of

1141
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:28,120
Speaker 4: late two more. Maybe Texas A and M at home

1142
00:55:28,160 --> 00:55:31,000
Speaker 4: against Florida get them at a cheap price. Sex an

1143
00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:32,960
Speaker 4: M is eventually gonna make some shots. They'll keep fart

1144
00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:37,320
Speaker 4: off the offensive glass. Georgia State against Troy, Troy's I

1145
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:39,640
Speaker 4: think it surprisingly. I think seven and one in league played,

1146
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:41,400
Speaker 4: but they played a super easy schedule. They're one and

1147
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 4: seven on the road. They're only win on the road

1148
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:45,759
Speaker 4: is against the Coastal Carolina. Georgia State matches up well.

1149
00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:49,080
Speaker 4: They don't turn it over Toroy press's they've been. Georgia

1150
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:51,480
Speaker 4: State's press numbers are good. They're good at the defensive glass.

1151
00:55:51,520 --> 00:55:54,319
Speaker 4: That's huge against Troy, and they defend the three and

1152
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 4: they hit their three throws. You're gonna get to the

1153
00:55:55,680 --> 00:55:57,040
Speaker 4: line A ton against True A good match up for

1154
00:55:57,080 --> 00:55:59,000
Speaker 4: Georgia State. I'm hoping george State doesn't get ap State

1155
00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:01,560
Speaker 4: tonight to suck some of that value. I think it's

1156
00:56:01,560 --> 00:56:04,680
Speaker 4: tied to the half and then one final one Utah Valley,

1157
00:56:05,880 --> 00:56:09,399
Speaker 4: assuming Grand Canyon today gets a revenge against Seattle. Tough trade.

1158
00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:11,160
Speaker 4: It's always tough to play Utah Valley. I think they're

1159
00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:12,799
Speaker 4: like twelve and three gets a spread and league play

1160
00:56:13,200 --> 00:56:16,200
Speaker 4: on these quick turnaround games. Grand Canyon at the end,

1161
00:56:16,200 --> 00:56:17,959
Speaker 4: they had one of the biggest beats of the years.

1162
00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:21,160
Speaker 4: Grand Canyon had a dunk at this kid had the ball.

1163
00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:23,200
Speaker 4: They were laying twelve I think twelve and a half

1164
00:56:23,320 --> 00:56:27,600
Speaker 4: to Utah Valley at home earlier this season. Kid for

1165
00:56:27,680 --> 00:56:30,160
Speaker 4: Grand Canyon had the ball, it was sitting under the

1166
00:56:30,160 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 4: basket and looked at his teammate. It was just an

1167
00:56:32,640 --> 00:56:34,239
Speaker 4: outlet pass and then he's like, what should I do?

1168
00:56:34,280 --> 00:56:35,880
Speaker 4: And then he just decides that he just dunks it

1169
00:56:35,960 --> 00:56:38,360
Speaker 4: and hangs on the room as time expires. They actually

1170
00:56:38,360 --> 00:56:40,400
Speaker 4: covered because of it, and then there was like a

1171
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:44,600
Speaker 4: scuffle at mid court. So but Utah Utah ally has

1172
00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:46,520
Speaker 4: been very good in the spot. It's this will be

1173
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:48,640
Speaker 4: a tough travel spot for Grand Canyon if they get

1174
00:56:48,640 --> 00:56:50,359
Speaker 4: the revenge of a Seattle. If you look at Grand

1175
00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:54,320
Speaker 4: Canyon's games, they're good, but they are in board spots.

1176
00:56:54,520 --> 00:56:56,560
Speaker 4: They are down by like fifteen in all these games

1177
00:56:56,560 --> 00:57:00,640
Speaker 4: in the first half. So yeah, I think Utah value

1178
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:04,319
Speaker 4: Utah Valley's offense should be better than it is. I

1179
00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:06,439
Speaker 4: don't think I'm in I look at some of their

1180
00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:08,600
Speaker 4: Their defense is very good. They will turn you over,

1181
00:57:09,040 --> 00:57:11,480
Speaker 4: which is how you can beat Grand Canyon. At Grand

1182
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:14,760
Speaker 4: Canyon like a thirty percent turnover rate in the first meeting.

1183
00:57:15,360 --> 00:57:20,280
Speaker 4: But Utah Valley they're shooting twenty five percent from three. Like,

1184
00:57:20,560 --> 00:57:22,240
Speaker 4: let me look at this. Who was I looking at

1185
00:57:22,880 --> 00:57:27,000
Speaker 4: Drake Allen is at last year he was thirty seven

1186
00:57:27,040 --> 00:57:30,400
Speaker 4: percent three point shooter. He's four of thirty four this year.

1187
00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:34,160
Speaker 4: They cannot make a shot. So it's a it's a

1188
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:37,200
Speaker 4: horrific offense to watch. But there I think, like I

1189
00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:39,040
Speaker 4: just look at some of the profiles of their players

1190
00:57:39,040 --> 00:57:42,160
Speaker 4: and I'm like, thirty seven percent three point shooters don't

1191
00:57:42,200 --> 00:57:45,760
Speaker 4: just shoot eleven percent for a year. So there's there's

1192
00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:48,880
Speaker 4: like they have a couple of those guys, but potentially

1193
00:57:48,920 --> 00:57:50,400
Speaker 4: gets about there. All right, I'll stop rambling. I have

1194
00:57:50,480 --> 00:57:52,640
Speaker 4: a piece up on actually work dot com Action Network

1195
00:57:52,840 --> 00:57:55,400
Speaker 4: at with some other spots, and as I mentioned earlier,

1196
00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:58,760
Speaker 4: we will have our live show ten thirty one Eastern

1197
00:57:59,080 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 4: on Xen on the app. But thanks for tuning in.

1198
00:58:01,440 --> 00:58:04,800
Speaker 4: Thanks as always to Mike and Mike for joining me

1199
00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:06,960
Speaker 4: next to our producer David on the back end. Most importantly,

1200
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:09,720
Speaker 4: thanks to all of you for tuning in. Did some

1201
00:58:09,760 --> 00:58:13,960
Speaker 4: giveaways last week. Make sure you leave a five star

1202
00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:15,920
Speaker 4: review if you can if you haven't already, and we

1203
00:58:15,960 --> 00:58:17,720
Speaker 4: will do some giveaways in a couple of weeks from now.

1204
00:58:17,880 --> 00:58:20,200
Speaker 4: Say whatever you want. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe,

1205
00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:22,800
Speaker 4: tel Friend, telling enemy, thanks for tuning in. Give up

1206
00:58:22,800 --> 00:58:23,920
Speaker 4: on all of your wagers this weekend.

1207
00:58:23,920 --> 00:58:38,280
Speaker 6: We'll see you Saturday morning for the live show Cheers.

1208
00:58:40,040 --> 00:58:44,560
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1209
00:58:44,560 --> 00:58:47,360
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1210
00:58:47,400 --> 00:58:50,520
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