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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I'm Chad Moment, Chief content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am joining as I am for every episode my

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Speaker 1: favorite two hours of the week when I get to

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Speaker 1: be with my bff, my companion, my compadre, professional better

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Hello. Saw him in Hello Chad. Here we

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Speaker 1: are buddy. Week eleven. We're getting through it. Man. I

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Speaker 1: felt like I was a little bit worried about what

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Speaker 1: the recording was going to be like the other day,

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Speaker 1: because you know, we didn't have a great week and

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Speaker 1: you wanted to buy and I wasn't in the headspace

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Speaker 1: for it. And now we're come back and we're gonna

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Speaker 1: turn around. We're gonna have a great week. We've moved on.

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Speaker 1: We totally moved on. That's you know what. Not only

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Speaker 1: are you a good friend, you're a professional. We move on.

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Speaker 1: So to remind people today, we will do our big

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Speaker 1: balls better the week, we will finalize the games that

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Speaker 1: we love the most. For our final five reminder. Following

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Speaker 1: the award winning Action Network app see where we land

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Speaker 1: officially by noon on Sunday, see what we end up loving.

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Speaker 1: Simon and I will talk on Sunday after we record

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Speaker 1: Convince Me, which you can watch in the Action Network app.

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Speaker 1: You can watch it on YouTube, you can watch it

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Speaker 1: on the Twitter at Action Network HQ. We will do.

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Speaker 1: I'll remind everybody that our Fox sold bet this week.

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Speaker 1: Pats minus three. Still a couple of minus threes out there,

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Speaker 1: but it's moving, Simon says, Cowboys minus one that's been moving.

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Speaker 1: Executive Decision Texans plus three and a half that's been moving.

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Speaker 1: We gotta get to some screw trowlette. We gotta get

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Speaker 1: to the money line round robin before we get to anything.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to it. Shop calls hello, who's there? I'm

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Speaker 1: talking Yeah, And another week of a couple of guys

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Speaker 1: telling us what we're doing wrong, and then a couple

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Speaker 1: of guys saying how they love our picks. So to

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Speaker 1: know in surprise, Oh, I guess to some people surprised

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Speaker 1: they love the Cowboys new coming in. This was gonna

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Speaker 1: be a professional play. Got a little scared off, right.

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Speaker 1: I took the number of minus two and a shot

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Speaker 1: all the way down to minus one. I go oh man,

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Speaker 1: I might be misreading this one and making a huge mistake,

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Speaker 1: but I think the information I'd be getting is good.

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Speaker 1: Got early word that they had injuries to their offensive line,

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Speaker 1: got early word that Justice Jefferson might be a little

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Speaker 1: banged up again. Still thinks he's gonna play. That's a

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Speaker 1: huge advantage, right, the number one receiver, I guess you

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Speaker 1: could say number two receiver and football behind Tyry Kill.

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Speaker 1: He's a little banged up. That's a concern if you're

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Speaker 1: a Vikings team going up against the Dallas team that, yeah,

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Speaker 1: they have a good secondary, especially there with Dick's UM.

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Speaker 1: That's the game I feel like we're gonna talk about.

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Speaker 1: We like Dallas. The professionals like Dallas. The public. We

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Speaker 1: already knew they're gonna be over Minnesota. They'll tease Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: It's just one of those numbers they love, right. It's

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Speaker 1: a gift the sports books give people every week to

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Speaker 1: give you the plus one and a half on certain games.

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Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, let me take that up to seven

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Speaker 1: and a half on the teas or no brainer. Play

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Speaker 1: um usually as a trap, so but this week I

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Speaker 1: was definitely on that one early. UM. It's nice to

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Speaker 1: hear the professionals like it as well. Um, a game

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Speaker 1: that we we didn't talk much about, but we both um, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we liked. We both liked the side in It was

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Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Cinci game. Heard from multiple professionals, they like

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Speaker 1: they really like Pittsburgh again this week. They like him

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Speaker 1: as a dog in this position. They liked him my

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Speaker 1: home as a dog. But Tomlin, I can't go against

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Speaker 1: I understand where they're coming from, but to me that

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Speaker 1: since he just feels like a smart play where you know,

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Speaker 1: this is a team that can move the ball up

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Speaker 1: and down the field on most teams. Again, I get it,

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Speaker 1: J J. Watts back that offensive line has issues for

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Speaker 1: since You, but I just can't get there with them.

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Speaker 1: And the fact the numbers come down so much. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we can talk about coming up on the show, but

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Speaker 1: if I got the three and a half three, how

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Speaker 1: do I not take since You there? So it's definitely

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Speaker 1: interesting the numbers come from five and a half the five. Um,

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Speaker 1: that's really smart. Professional money coming in on it again.

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Speaker 1: Another game we'll talk about the Houston. We thought we

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Speaker 1: thought when we talked about thought was gonna pros verse

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Speaker 1: Joe's game. The ticket accounts not as spared as I

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Speaker 1: thought it was gonna be. I thought it was gonna

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Speaker 1: be way more tickets on Washington. I thought the public

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Speaker 1: bill over that one. But it's not as far off

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Speaker 1: as you think. But the money is definitely slanted towards

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Speaker 1: this Houston team, which again talked to a couple of

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Speaker 1: different guys that really like Houston this week at three

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Speaker 1: three and a half. I like it at three and

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Speaker 1: a half. I don't know if I love it as

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Speaker 1: much at three. I still think it's a good number,

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Speaker 1: but three and a half feels like the smart number

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Speaker 1: in that game. I could just see it being a

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Speaker 1: field goal game, right. I feel like that's that's what

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Speaker 1: most of us project out with Houston. They'll have a lead,

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Speaker 1: they just don't want to protect these leads, so they're

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Speaker 1: up by two. If if the game's tied, you just

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Speaker 1: assume Houston loses that one. So interesting of the erupt

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Speaker 1: of the tickets are on the Commanders to your point

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Speaker 1: of the money on the Texas. Yeah, and I honestly

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Speaker 1: think that's from two groups, Like I just I know

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Speaker 1: one group that came in really heavy. I don't even know,

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Speaker 1: not not today, but like I would say, twenty four hours.

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Speaker 1: Twenty hours ago, I got a text about a group

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Speaker 1: hitting that number heavy. Not all the books, right, but

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Speaker 1: I just saw as soon as I checked the action app,

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Speaker 1: I saw a bunch of threes across the board, so

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Speaker 1: it was three and a half's all morning And then

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Speaker 1: I really literally got this text. I looked and it

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Speaker 1: was like all these threes just shifted, so clearly there

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Speaker 1: there's a people taking a heavy position. I liked it already,

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Speaker 1: like me and Chad both already better earlier in the week.

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Speaker 1: I've continued to bet it at three and a half. Um,

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Speaker 1: hopefully you're listening to this on Friday, you can still

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Speaker 1: get the three now, because to me, that's that's a

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Speaker 1: key number in this kind of matchup. So the last one, again,

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Speaker 1: I don't think we're talking about much because I don't

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Speaker 1: want to take the Bears. Um Atlanta. Atlanta was minus

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Speaker 1: three all week. The professionals are coming heavy on that. Again.

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Speaker 1: It's the strength versus a weakness, and the fact that

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Speaker 1: Land wants to run the ball and the Bears can't

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Speaker 1: stop the run. I think again, that's what these guys

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Speaker 1: are gonna be betting. Chad's gonna talk about it, maybe

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Speaker 1: that he likes it at three and a half of

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Speaker 1: the Bears hard or argue against that. I've seen all

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Speaker 1: the Lanta's games this year. Right, It's a team I

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Speaker 1: really been on. They play close games and that's a

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Speaker 1: huge key number three and a half. So I would

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Speaker 1: prefer Atlanta minus three if you can't find out your

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Speaker 1: book and all you have is a three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate it taking the Bears, but to me,

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Speaker 1: I would just pass on that game. So um, it's

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Speaker 1: just interesally. The professionals they like that Atlanta team that

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Speaker 1: bounce back spot here. I think they're on oh and

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Speaker 1: three straight a t S streak after starting six and

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Speaker 1: oh um, I think they think the values come back

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Speaker 1: around on this Atlanta team. All right, we know people

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Speaker 1: are big balls. We're gonna get to that. Uh. A

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Speaker 1: couple of games that are floating around it, and we

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Speaker 1: touched it just now on a lot of the games

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Speaker 1: that we had zeroed in on the other day that

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Speaker 1: we still like. Full disclosure, most of these games, Simon

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Speaker 1: and I have bet at some point during the week. Um,

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Speaker 1: I haven't bet the Bears because I'm still waiting on

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Speaker 1: a three and a half. I haven't bet Atlanta a

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Speaker 1: couple of games that I do want to get to though,

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about the Cowboys because that is one

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Speaker 1: that is so interesting. At what point do you think

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Speaker 1: the Vikings go from being a mediocre team that's getting

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Speaker 1: lucky to a good team that keeps itself in a

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Speaker 1: position to win and makes its own breaks. Because right

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Speaker 1: now they're on what they're they're eating one. Uh. Last

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Speaker 1: week they had the what what we would catalog as

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Speaker 1: the luckiest win in the NFL since two thousand four

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Speaker 1: based on their win probability throughout the game, and the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys like, we're playing the inflation, you know, we're playing

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Speaker 1: the defense. We're playing the Vikings being bigged up and

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Speaker 1: that we think they're lucky. At what point do we

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Speaker 1: change our calculus on the Vikings. I feel like we've

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Speaker 1: been nailing the Vikings all season since that we know

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Speaker 1: exactly what they are. It's like a team that if

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Speaker 1: they're a bigger favorite, we kind of faded when they're

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Speaker 1: at home at one o'clock. I usually buy in on it.

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Speaker 1: This is a nice little sweet spot where it's a

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Speaker 1: four thirty start, So it's like you know, it's the

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Speaker 1: in between where it's like, all right, at least I

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Speaker 1: don't have to just bindly bet the Vikings at home here.

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Speaker 1: But the biggest thing about me then me saying they're

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Speaker 1: not a pretender is like, again, you can go back

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Speaker 1: and watch that game. Kirk's Yes, we say it all

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Speaker 1: the time. He has these moments, he's really dumb moments

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Speaker 1: of you know, either taking the sack or making bad throws.

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Speaker 1: But he also has these throws where it's like, you know,

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Speaker 1: you see Kirk's talent right to that level, and we've

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Speaker 1: seen it this year. He's had I think it's up

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Speaker 1: to five games now where he's come back or whatever,

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Speaker 1: had a game winning drive in the fourth quarter. That's

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Speaker 1: a big deal if you're if you're a fan of

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Speaker 1: the Vikings or you're someone has the futures on the

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Speaker 1: Vikings where it's like, okay, to me, they have that

201
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Speaker 1: division wrapped up. I just don't see them falling off

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Speaker 1: a cliff here end the season, even though they are

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Speaker 1: due for regression. Um, Like I just talked about, the

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Speaker 1: one score game thing is real, like the best teams.

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Speaker 1: The best team last year in one score games was

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Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders this year, they're the worst team

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Speaker 1: in one score games. That's how it is. It's just

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Speaker 1: like eventually these things turn. Maybe it won't be this year,

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Speaker 1: and maybe the Vikings will keep pulling off these miracles. Um.

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Speaker 1: I just as someone that's just going off the pure

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Speaker 1: data in the math, it's like, Okay, the Vikings are

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Speaker 1: very talented team. I just don't think there are a

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Speaker 1: top three, top four team in the NFC. And like, again,

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Speaker 1: that's nothing to take away from them. It's more about

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Speaker 1: their defense. Again, they're not as good as as people

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Speaker 1: you're giving them credit for. It's like I've seen it

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Speaker 1: where their d line has played well and I give

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Speaker 1: them credit for that, but their secondary has major issues.

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Speaker 1: On offense, again, Kirk is played incredibly. We're gonna see

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Speaker 1: it this week. They might have major trouble on that

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Speaker 1: offensive line with these injuries they have. So again in

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Speaker 1: Minnesota team, I think they have a ton of talent.

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Speaker 1: It's all gonna come back in the end of this

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Speaker 1: head coach where it's like I've liked what they've done.

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Speaker 1: They put Kirk in good positions, but you just talked

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Speaker 1: about they've been on the luckier teams all season. So

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Speaker 1: I don't want to say bad things about Minnesota because

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Speaker 1: they have played so well. But this is just like

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Speaker 1: a typical spot where even if they win this game, right,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna over adjust or like, okay, now they

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Speaker 1: are for real top two team, because I try not

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Speaker 1: to overadjust those things. I just on paper, I look

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Speaker 1: at this Cowboys team as they are better across the board.

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Speaker 1: They match up very well across the board against the

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Speaker 1: Minnesota teams. So just going off the matchups, that's where

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Speaker 1: I like this. And then I'm playing the value of

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Speaker 1: the number. I have this at three, it's minus one.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm taking the number. Again, if this was

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Speaker 1: three and a half, I'd be all over in Minnesota's

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Speaker 1: a home dog. At three and a half, that would

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Speaker 1: be an amazing number. Maybe you can think about them

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Speaker 1: at my plus three, but at plus one and a half,

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Speaker 1: I think it's a bad number. And that's why I'm

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Speaker 1: taking Dallas here. So I'm trying not to overthink it

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Speaker 1: because I do think Minnesota is a good team. Um,

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Speaker 1: it's just just a good spot to take a Dallas team.

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Speaker 1: That again, the public is just simply often this is

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Speaker 1: a truly a professional game. The pros are the ones

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Speaker 1: betting this game. The public will be all over in

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Speaker 1: Minnesota in this matchup. Vikings getting the bets, Cowboys getting

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Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of the money. Yeah, and again we're

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Speaker 1: not always right. Chat Chat says all the time, like,

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Speaker 1: we get you wrong all the time. But it's just

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Speaker 1: this is a game that pros will take a stance

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Speaker 1: on just because they have the same number as I do.

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Speaker 1: It's like this is a mitch a mismatch and a

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Speaker 1: good matchup for this Dallas team. I still love the Cowboys. Uh,

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Speaker 1: we still love the Texans at plus three and a half. Um,

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Speaker 1: we think think Stucky. Listening to Stucky and Raybone this

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Speaker 1: morning on the Action Network podcast, we were already on

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Speaker 1: the Texans. Uh. Stucky was talking about how much he

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Speaker 1: liked the Texans, and we had all the right theories

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Speaker 1: on It's sort of the inflation um the luck factor

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Speaker 1: for the for the Commanders in that game, some bad turnovers,

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Speaker 1: some bad calls, like they were the better team, but

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Speaker 1: they still got outgained on a yards perplay basis. The

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Speaker 1: Texans outgained the Giants on the yards perplay basis. They

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Speaker 1: outplayed the Giants on the yards per play basis. I

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Speaker 1: will reiterate what I said the other day for red

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Speaker 1: zone possessions in the Texans. Two turnovers, two field goals.

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Speaker 1: So they are they they were the better team on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: They didn't cover. Now they get to go home, they

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Speaker 1: get a that we get the inflationary bounce on the Commanders.

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Speaker 1: So now it's a three and a half. I come on, people,

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Speaker 1: just do the right thing. Take the Texans. That's all

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Speaker 1: we're asking. We're just asking you to be some goddamn professionals.

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Speaker 1: It's another pros Joe's game. We talked about and the

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Speaker 1: Commanders on the Texans, and I was right there with Chat, right,

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Speaker 1: I love this game. Sunday night, right when this number

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Speaker 1: came out, I was like, all right, this would be

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Speaker 1: a good number. I'll wait, get the three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully it gets there. Throw a little bit on it.

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Speaker 1: Me and Chat I think we talked Tuesday morning, but

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Speaker 1: still three. And then before um we did our show,

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Speaker 1: jumped up a three and a half. That's when I

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Speaker 1: was like, all right, I gotta grab that number. Surprised

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Speaker 1: to hear that are two different groups really loved this

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Speaker 1: game and they're betting heavy money on this game where

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I try to stay away from the

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Speaker 1: worst teams of football because you never know when teams

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Speaker 1: have given up, right, when teams have just simply given up.

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Speaker 1: And we saw Brandon Cooks, who was a captain of

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Speaker 1: their team, he was stripped of his captaincy for this

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Speaker 1: Houston team. Again, this is the guy that people would

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Speaker 1: talk highly about. He got burned out from losing, Like

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Speaker 1: that's a real thing. So that's my only worry with

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Speaker 1: this Houston team is that they could be they could

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Speaker 1: be cooked, right, they could have given up and just

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Speaker 1: tuning out. Love you Smith. At this point, that's a

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Speaker 1: major risk when you're taking this kind of game and

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Speaker 1: this kind of number. But line test people, I'm like, again,

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Speaker 1: I'm begging you, this is just a professional bet. You

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Speaker 1: have to take the three and a half. It's overinflated

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Speaker 1: line like Chad just talked about, games would be closer

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Speaker 1: to I don't know, say one or two. The fact

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Speaker 1: that it's three and a half at this point, it's

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Speaker 1: been bet up that high just because of what Washington

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Speaker 1: did on Monday night. It's too much. Um, Washington is

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Speaker 1: not not the kind of team that blows teams out.

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Speaker 1: We've just seen it all year. They let teams back

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Speaker 1: and they play close games. So three and a half,

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Speaker 1: it's just a no brainer, smart number. We will die

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Speaker 1: on this hill, especially our contest. I know bringing out

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Speaker 1: a three and a half hopefully, UM, I have to

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Speaker 1: take It's just a no brainer play, you have to

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Speaker 1: take it. We love the Texans for the contest. We

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Speaker 1: love the Cowboys. I think we'll get a one or

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Speaker 1: one and a half for the Cowboys. UM, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the New Orleans sense. We liked him the other

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Speaker 1: day at minus four. We didn't know Stafford was playing.

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Speaker 1: Stafford practiced today or practice yesterday. You said before we

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Speaker 1: came on, you heard he had been cleared and he

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Speaker 1: will be playing this weekend. The number is now down

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Speaker 1: to three. UM, I still love the Sins. I don't

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Speaker 1: care who's playing quarterback for the Rams. Yeah, it's just

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Speaker 1: interesting that you know the professionals like Stafford and they

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Speaker 1: came and have you on this Rams team. Where the

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Speaker 1: issue to me is the Rams O line just keeps

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Speaker 1: getting worse and worse every week. They keep losing guys. Um,

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Speaker 1: they can't argument that guys this week lasts this week,

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Speaker 1: the Saints don't get that much pressure. Um, I think

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Speaker 1: they've improved as the season is going along. Here again,

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Speaker 1: they've had weird matchups where you know, you have to

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Speaker 1: throw out that Atlanta game because I was on Atlanta game.

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Speaker 1: All they did was run the ball, so of course

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Speaker 1: they didn't get any pressures in that game. Um, I

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Speaker 1: just I don't really overreact to it. But Chad is

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Speaker 1: dead on, Like, if if I could get a three

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Speaker 1: in the contest, I'll take that. With the Saints team

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Speaker 1: at home in a matchup against a Rams team that

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Speaker 1: just has major issues across the board. Throw on top

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Speaker 1: of that, they just lost Cooper Cup. I can't get

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Speaker 1: over that. And I feel like the books aren't reacting

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Speaker 1: enough to that that info, Like Stafford is really worth

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Speaker 1: a point and a half at one point, what's Cooper

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Speaker 1: Cup worth three points? Like seriously, And I'm like, Cooper

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Speaker 1: Cup is there is of their offense exactly and at

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Speaker 1: one point it was fifty percent of it. So it's

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Speaker 1: just it's a major, major deal. I think the books

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Speaker 1: are factory into it. So hopefully we get a good

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Speaker 1: number of the contest of those four or four and

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Speaker 1: a half off the locked at that number yesterday I

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Speaker 1: passed on that, but at three, I would love to

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Speaker 1: put that number, and that's just a good number for

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Speaker 1: a home team and Saints that worst case, I've seen

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Can we talk about the Indianapolis Colts in

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00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:58,479
Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles, please? Because right now, right now, the

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Speaker 1: Colts are all of a sudden, a seven point under

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Speaker 1: dubbed I. I'm starting to feel strongly about the Colts

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Speaker 1: because Jordan Davis not playing for the Eagles. As far

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Speaker 1: as they know, he will not be playing. That troubles me.

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Speaker 1: If the dominant defensive alignement for the Eagles is Fletcher Cox.

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00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:25,960
Speaker 1: We saw what happened when he had to play at

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Speaker 1: a ton of game, ton of plays on Monday night.

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Speaker 1: The Colts can be a better running team than Washington.

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00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan, I like having him back under center in

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Speaker 1: this kind of contest, going on the road, winning by

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00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:47,320
Speaker 1: a touchdown in the NFL. That's fucking hard, you know

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Speaker 1: it is again everything you said, it's like, it's it's

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00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 1: one of those I'll walk away from him most likely,

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00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,399
Speaker 1: but I don't know. Come Sunday, I feel like I

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00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 1: might be able to convince you to take the six

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's just to me, the biggest discrepancy

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Speaker 1: is the head coaching position. Like the coaching for the

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Speaker 1: Eagles to me is so much better than what the

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Speaker 1: Colts have. And you know, we can say it all

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Speaker 1: we wanted about last week, the I'm winning in that spot,

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Speaker 1: I still believe it has more to do with the

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Speaker 1: Raiders than anything else. And again, the Raiders were in

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Speaker 1: that game, but they were winning twenty nineteen and they

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Speaker 1: had the ball and you know, Derek Carr, you could argue,

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Speaker 1: one of the worst qbs in football right now, gave

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Speaker 1: the ball back to the Colts, which they took it

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Speaker 1: down the field and score. So looking at this matchup,

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Speaker 1: do we see Hurts having another bad game? Again, he

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Speaker 1: didn't know that bad of a game last week, but

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Speaker 1: the team just said as a whole, I just don't

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Speaker 1: see it. The Eagles to me, are just a well

427
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:41,800
Speaker 1: coached team. Defensively, they got embarrassed. We've seen historically teams

428
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 1: that get embarrassed tend to bounce back. But Chad's right,

429
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,200
Speaker 1: they're one of the worst ranks run defenses in football.

430
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,639
Speaker 1: And Jordan Davis is not coming back and Fletcher Cox,

431
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 1: who Yeah, I hate to say it as an Eagles fan,

432
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:57,159
Speaker 1: he's just not that good anymore. And the man had

433
00:21:57,160 --> 00:22:00,760
Speaker 1: to play seventies snaps in a football game last week. Um.

434
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,399
Speaker 1: They interviewed him, I think it was yesterday about how

435
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 1: he felt, and he said he felt like ship. He

436
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 1: said his whole body hurt. And it's like, well, Chad

437
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 1: just nailed it. They gotta turn around a short week

438
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 1: and now he's gotta play a bunch of snaps again.

439
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,560
Speaker 1: That's a big issue. So I wish I'd come in

440
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 1: confidantly be like, no, you take the fucking Eagles here,

441
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 1: this is the play. Chad's probably right. I'm probably being

442
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:21,720
Speaker 1: a little blinded here, um by the mismatch and the

443
00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:25,199
Speaker 1: coaching staffs. But I just I can't. I cannot be

444
00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 1: talking to the colts at this number. Seven and a half. Eight.

445
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:30,919
Speaker 1: You pique my interest, But it was eight and a

446
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 1: half Sunday night, was eight Monday morning, moved to seven

447
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 1: and a half by Tuesday morning, and then seven by

448
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:40,919
Speaker 1: time or six I think six and a half by

449
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: the time we did our show. Clearly professionals are with

450
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 1: Chat like that's pro money keep coming in, moving that

451
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 1: number um. Definitely an interesting game this week. Uh, I said,

452
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 1: Chad's probably be on the right side of the professionals.

453
00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:55,919
Speaker 1: But at six and a half, I already kind of

454
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:59,400
Speaker 1: made a position on this Eagles team. You know what

455
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 1: that's to be? Are you doing it together? Right? We're

456
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,640
Speaker 1: not gonna agree on every game. We have to make compromises.

457
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 1: We're in a relationship. At the end of the day,

458
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 1: I think we make more correct decisions together. Uh. And

459
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,719
Speaker 1: if this ends up not being one, so be it.

460
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,159
Speaker 1: That's the world we live in. Yeah. And again, if

461
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 1: you if you come to me Tuesday, I mean Sunday

462
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 1: morning and it's seven and a half in our contest,

463
00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:24,439
Speaker 1: and you're like, guy, I fucking love the Colts. It's

464
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:27,440
Speaker 1: one of my favorite two. I wouldn't say no because

465
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,159
Speaker 1: to me, everything we just talked about the truth. It's like,

466
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: if they can then get a lead, the Colts and

467
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,440
Speaker 1: they can run the ball with last year's best running

468
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:37,399
Speaker 1: back in football Jonathan Taylor, who looks like he's kind

469
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 1: of getting back into form here, that's a huge deal. Like,

470
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 1: that's a team that can control the clock against an

471
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 1: Eagles team that we've seen struggle in second half this year, So, um,

472
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:48,760
Speaker 1: I get what your head's at again, seven and a

473
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,120
Speaker 1: half would be the number for me at seven. Still

474
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:55,359
Speaker 1: kind of leaning towards the Eagles. Chargers plus six we

475
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:58,640
Speaker 1: said on we said on Tuesday, taking the plus seven,

476
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 1: they're now plus six getting send you five percent of

477
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 1: the money. That's why the numbers moving down. Um do

478
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,000
Speaker 1: we not like him at six in the contest? We

479
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 1: like him at six and a half. I am not

480
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 1: a buyer on the Chiefs as a near touchdown favorite.

481
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 1: They don't do well in these games. Patrick Mahomes does

482
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:24,879
Speaker 1: not cover at big numbers. The Chargers are supposed to

483
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 1: get Keenan Allen back, maybe Mike Williams back. Um, I

484
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 1: we like the Chargers as dogs at big numbers. The

485
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:37,160
Speaker 1: variants plays to their favor Yeah, it's all about where

486
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:40,639
Speaker 1: the numbers at for our contest. But in real life people,

487
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:42,399
Speaker 1: you might get sick of the saying this because they

488
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:45,199
Speaker 1: burned us last week the Jaguar. But more than that

489
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 1: touchdown favorite or even I think it's three and a

490
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 1: half favorite. He's right, that's that's what That's what it is.

491
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,240
Speaker 1: He's below a t s and there's a reason for that.

492
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 1: It's an inflated line backed off my home. So um yeah,

493
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,200
Speaker 1: I love the I love the Chargers. It just is

494
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 1: always scary when Chad says all this money is coming

495
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,760
Speaker 1: in against my homes, um, because it's usually where he

496
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:12,639
Speaker 1: bites you. Like again, my homes is that talented. The

497
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 1: books know what they're doing. They're flirting with us line

498
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 1: here right, we saw it dropped down a five and

499
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,399
Speaker 1: a half, then it jumped up to six. They're just

500
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 1: like us. They're trying to dictate what's gonna happen here

501
00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 1: with this Keenan Allen, Mike Williams News, because that's a

502
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,119
Speaker 1: big deal again, the secondary, you can look it up.

503
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 1: They have a small secondary in the Chiefs. If you

504
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: get two big body receivers, that's that's so huge for

505
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:33,160
Speaker 1: this Chargers team that on third down, that's where they've

506
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 1: struggled again, Mike Williams, Keenan Allen, if you go back

507
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,159
Speaker 1: and watch film, they are exactly who he looks for

508
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,399
Speaker 1: on third down this year. What has he been doing, Herbert?

509
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,879
Speaker 1: Were those guys out checking it down to Austin Ekeler?

510
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:47,879
Speaker 1: That doesn't work again, amazing fantasy football, but Austin Ekeler

511
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 1: is not picking up those first downs like he would

512
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 1: if he had these two big receivers. So if you

513
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 1: missed the good numbers again, six and a half seven,

514
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:58,080
Speaker 1: I get if you want to take the six, But

515
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: to me, I I would wait, you wait, wait and

516
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 1: see if it's gonna Mike Williams or Keenan Allen here. Um,

517
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,439
Speaker 1: if me Chad do get words today morning that they

518
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:07,879
Speaker 1: are gonna be playing and we get six and a

519
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 1: half in our contest, I'm gonna have to put that in.

520
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 1: That's that's too big of a number of division of

521
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 1: match a division matchup between these two teams here, especially

522
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 1: when the Chargers, no, this is it right, they need

523
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 1: to win this game if they have any chance in

524
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 1: this division, which I've written them off. I don't think

525
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:23,880
Speaker 1: they have a chance in this division, but this would

526
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:27,200
Speaker 1: flip that. Then then winning this game would totally uh

527
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 1: throw people into this division where they would actually have

528
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 1: a chance at winning it. So to me, this is

529
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:34,640
Speaker 1: gonna mean more to this Chargers team. Um wait, wait

530
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 1: on the number though, again, major major, major news of

531
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 1: those two receivers play. I didn't wait on the number.

532
00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:45,760
Speaker 1: You got You got the seven, though, didn't you? I

533
00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: got it? At six. Uh yeah, I mean I got

534
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,159
Speaker 1: the seven. So that's why I feel comfortable waiting or

535
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:54,159
Speaker 1: even six and a half, you got that, I feel comfortable.

536
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,160
Speaker 1: But yeah, if you're scared, I just want to grab

537
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:57,719
Speaker 1: the six just to be safe, because I do think

538
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: i'll drop right as soon as those two guys get clear,

539
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 1: it will drop the go ahead and grab it. Um. Again,

540
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 1: it feels like the Cleveland game we talked about Cleveland,

541
00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 1: Buffalo blindly just grabbed day and a half because we

542
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 1: knew the snow was coming. That taught me way more snow,

543
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 1: apparently telling you be three to six feet now, which

544
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 1: that's good for them, but just two towns over they're

545
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 1: literally getting fift of snow. So this is ever evolving. Um,

546
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 1: people asking about that game is gonna be canceled to

547
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:25,440
Speaker 1: Chad everything you read these people on Buffalo, these maniacs.

548
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 1: They say that it's the snow is the day before,

549
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 1: So it's not like the snow will be affect in

550
00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 1: that game. It's the cancelation would be are people gonna

551
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 1: be able to get to the game. Um? So that

552
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: was pretty funny reading all these comments online about this

553
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 1: Buffalo game, because it's just tough, fast people up there.

554
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 1: There's like, listen, we've had worse snow storms like this.

555
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:48,920
Speaker 1: We've made the Bills game. UM yeah, I again, as

556
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 1: much as I would love um for this game, you're

557
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 1: playing the snow. It seems like it's gonna be the

558
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 1: kind of thing where it's the snow the day before,

559
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 1: so you know it won't be that terrible during the game.

560
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 1: I love the over though. If that's true and there's

561
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:02,679
Speaker 1: not gonna be snow and they're not gonna be crazy

562
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 1: ship happening during the game, take that value and take

563
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 1: the over. Um already grabbed it at forty one and

564
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 1: a half forty one, it's at the forty two and

565
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 1: a half of a bunch of books key number. I'd

566
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:14,200
Speaker 1: still grab it there. You could see it if it's

567
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:15,919
Speaker 1: clear day. If it's a clear sunny day and it's

568
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:19,400
Speaker 1: snow to ton the day before, who cares, Like that's

569
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 1: perfect weather for josh Onen to throw in against a

570
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 1: horrible Cleveland defense that you know, we just saw them

571
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 1: to get it up by in Miami. We've seen the

572
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:28,199
Speaker 1: Bills be able to get run on and we had

573
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,680
Speaker 1: Nick Chubbin Town, so a low total in the game

574
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: that you assume would be highest scorning without bad weather.

575
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: I'd grab it now. Call it a snover. Snover, we

576
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 1: got a snow over. Um okay, alright. We talked about

577
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:45,720
Speaker 1: the Chargers, we talked about the Cowboys, we talked about

578
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,400
Speaker 1: the Texans. We talked a little bit about the Saints,

579
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 1: which are now down to three in some places. Um uh, Pats,

580
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 1: if we can get three in the contest, we still

581
00:28:56,680 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 1: like that, um green alflets carry off three and a

582
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 1: half of the Pats, I don't think so. Okay, yeah,

583
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,280
Speaker 1: because because I told you, I make it four four

584
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,480
Speaker 1: and a half, so I think there's still good value

585
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 1: on that number. We have not come up with the

586
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 1: big balls yet, and I kind of was hoping to

587
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 1: convince you that the Colts could be our big balls

588
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,760
Speaker 1: better the week. But it doesn't sound like I can't

589
00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 1: and now because I let you do it. Last week,

590
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:24,000
Speaker 1: I wanted to be Pittsburgh, so I was too easy

591
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: and he took the Jaguars, and I got a lot

592
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,080
Speaker 1: of hate about I need to start standing firm against Chad.

593
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 1: I was like, I like the Jaguars last week, though,

594
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:34,880
Speaker 1: what am I gonna do here? It's hard When he

595
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 1: says big balls, and I like the game. I mean,

596
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 1: if you want, brother, we're gonna go big balls. No,

597
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:44,120
Speaker 1: I can't do it. No, I guess it would be

598
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 1: the Chargers, right, Yeah, I was just gonna say, the

599
00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:49,479
Speaker 1: only other option is the Chargers, Like I was gonna say,

600
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 1: that's the only one that truly is making me feel sick.

601
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 1: It just sucks that it's at six, But I guess

602
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 1: at the same time, it's a good number. So for

603
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,040
Speaker 1: big balls, I would do the six. It's just here's

604
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 1: what I would say. Does it take big balls to

605
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:05,720
Speaker 1: bet the Bengals at three and a half? I don't

606
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,200
Speaker 1: to get your team, Pittsburgh, it does. It takes big

607
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 1: balls to bet a road favorite of more than a

608
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: field goal in a divisional game when the wise guys

609
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 1: are on the Steelers. Big balls just about betting underdogs.

610
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 1: It's do you have the fucking cohonis to go against

611
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 1: the pros, Go against the pros, to bet a not

612
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 1: perfect number because you've got conviction that you are on

613
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 1: the right side of history. Here, sure I'll do it.

614
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,160
Speaker 1: I mean I feel sick in my stomach, feel sick

615
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 1: to my stomach doing it. So unless you must be right,

616
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:40,840
Speaker 1: must take a sicker you feel the bigger the bet

617
00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 1: we're going since minus three and a half? Yeah, going

618
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 1: against our boy, Chris. Oh yeah, we're going against Raybon.

619
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 1: We're we're saying since, let's confirm we I don't want

620
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 1: to be overly enthusiastic and convince you here. I told

621
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 1: you that a proser on Pittsburgh this week. Like, I

622
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 1: had a couple of calls and I said to them,

623
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 1: what we're saying right now? It's like, all right, keep

624
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 1: bending it. Let me get three and a half. It's

625
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 1: three and a half. Vanduel, I gotta be a man

626
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 1: of my word. Chat, I'm with you on it. We're

627
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 1: doing looking Bengals Bengals big balls better than we care.

628
00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 1: I'm not in a hotel this week. I can screen

629
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 1: it from the top of my fucking lungs. Cincinnati Bengals,

630
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: big balls better. The week's still a lot up in

631
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 1: the air. Yeah, and again, a lot can change, like

632
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 1: Sunday morning. Again, we didn't really talk about it. Chad

633
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 1: loves forty Niners. I want to take Arizona if they're

634
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:43,160
Speaker 1: down to their third string quarterback. I will be joining

635
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: Chat on the forty Niners and again. If it's seven

636
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 1: and a half eight in our contest, um, I'm happy

637
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 1: to put that in. I'd make that number ten. It's

638
00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 1: the third stringer in there, so big deal. Again. Talked

639
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 1: to a bunch of me amigos down in Mexico. They're

640
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 1: all going to the game. They're all forty Niners fans.

641
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:00,480
Speaker 1: They said, it's about to be a fucking party. So

642
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:02,360
Speaker 1: do you want to know what the real people in

643
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 1: Mexico City and uh in Mexico are doing. They are

644
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,720
Speaker 1: going to spots fans and they're going to party. So true,

645
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 1: so so true. All right, we did big balls. Talked

646
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 1: about a lot of games. I don't know that we've narratified,

647
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:28,320
Speaker 1: but I think in the category if people are getting

648
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 1: six or seven, we like, yeah, like the Texans, the Paths,

649
00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, the Chargers, the Browns a little bit, the Bengals.

650
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: We we like. Saints at minus three we really like.

651
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, like, if it's down to six and a

652
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 1: half seven, the Browns and we got eight and a

653
00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 1: half eight in the contest, we'll probably have to Yeah,

654
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: we probably have to do it. Yeah, we'd have to

655
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: do it. All right, let's talk about our money line.

656
00:32:56,960 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 1: Round robin parlay and then we gotta do some scooch roulette.

657
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: Dog your dog, Your dog Dog. I did not like

658
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 1: this week Like last week. I feel like we had

659
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 1: three three games that were just like good money lines.

660
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 1: We did three. Uh, we had three winners last week.

661
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: We had the Commanders we had I know, we had

662
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 1: the Vikings. The Vikings we have someone else, I think Pittsburgh.

663
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:31,560
Speaker 1: We'll start off easy Bears, no brainer, like that's one

664
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,760
Speaker 1: of those again. If you got at three, I would

665
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 1: just take them money line there. I just I could

666
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 1: either see them one in this game or losing by

667
00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 1: two touchdowns. That's how the Bears have been this season

668
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 1: and up and down team. Give me the Bears is

669
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 1: our first leg game. We didn't even touch on, a

670
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:47,480
Speaker 1: game I didn't getting much info from pros about so

671
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:49,160
Speaker 1: I didn't really have a feel for. I think everyone's

672
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 1: a little scared off in the professional community of this

673
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:54,960
Speaker 1: Giant's team. But Detroit feels like a smart side, but

674
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 1: a smart side of sense. I'm just gonna take their moneyline.

675
00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna mess with the points here. We're on

676
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 1: the stinkier games this week, So start off with the Bears.

677
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:07,040
Speaker 1: Give me Detroit. I know chat, I wants to do it.

678
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:09,400
Speaker 1: I can't do it. I can't and say it, but

679
00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: I'll have to say it. Colts, we were in the

680
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:14,479
Speaker 1: mind Melde right there. You said it at the exact

681
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 1: same time. I knew it, though. It's just you and

682
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,800
Speaker 1: you're spot on about It's like teams go through different

683
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 1: periods in the season where they just dropped games. We've

684
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:23,919
Speaker 1: seen it. We just saw with the Bills. The Bills

685
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 1: have dropped two games that ship no. I'm projecting out

686
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 1: so I'm losing the Jets and then Minnesota at home.

687
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:32,160
Speaker 1: It's just that's wonky parts of the season that could

688
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 1: be easily be the Eagles. You're dropping again, Washington dropping

689
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,280
Speaker 1: a game with the Colts. Give me Houston, no brainer.

690
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 1: We love him at home and a bounce back spot

691
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:43,360
Speaker 1: here and top of alf Our big balls Chargers outright

692
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,719
Speaker 1: win again. It's not our big balls beat since he

693
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 1: is our big balls bat. You're right the Chargers should

694
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:54,680
Speaker 1: be in this money line, Parlotte, You're I will I

695
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,440
Speaker 1: will listen because I wrote, I wrote, I wrote Chargers

696
00:34:57,480 --> 00:34:59,000
Speaker 1: and big balls and I forgot to cross it out.

697
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:02,360
Speaker 1: You're right? Is it because you want Chargers in big balls. No,

698
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:04,800
Speaker 1: I'm going with either of them. They're both to me

699
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,040
Speaker 1: or take huge balls. They both make me feel sick.

700
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:13,920
Speaker 1: Fucking balls. Do you want, brother? I want scoocher let.

701
00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 1: Last week, Um I did. I had the Steelers. You

702
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:25,480
Speaker 1: had denver Um. Last night, I got a tax for

703
00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:28,719
Speaker 1: old school, the old school fans of the Odds, the

704
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:33,160
Speaker 1: old school fans of the Behind the Bets podcast at ESPN,

705
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:35,879
Speaker 1: and then the buffet with Scooch. One of the main

706
00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 1: characters in the Odds. He was the Golden Boy. His

707
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,840
Speaker 1: name is Jim Corona. Jim Corona is now a massive

708
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:46,680
Speaker 1: executive in Vegas, has been for a long time. He

709
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:50,239
Speaker 1: was sort of the apprentice bookmaker to Bob Scucci and

710
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 1: Joe Lupo at the Stardust in the late nineties. When

711
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:56,520
Speaker 1: I was doing the book The Odds and I love

712
00:35:56,600 --> 00:36:00,040
Speaker 1: Jim Corona, he texted me. He texted Bob SCOOCHI ne

713
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:04,399
Speaker 1: texta Joe Lupo last night because someone had asked him

714
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 1: to sign a copy of The Odds. Uh So, shout

715
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,359
Speaker 1: out to Scooch, Shout out to Jim coronas got shout

716
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 1: out to Joe Lupo. Yeah, as we play this latest

717
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 1: round of scooch Roulette, when all hope is lost, all

718
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:28,960
Speaker 1: that's left is relief. Let's play scooch Rolette. It's so ugly.

719
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,800
Speaker 1: I feel like I chose the Texans for exact decision.

720
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 1: I'll take the Chargers plus six. There you go. I'm

721
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,399
Speaker 1: all in. I have to do it. I don't even

722
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:41,400
Speaker 1: have a choice. Give me Dallas minus one and one

723
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:43,719
Speaker 1: and a half. I'm all in on this week. It

724
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 1: might be your biggest bet of the year. Yeah, it's

725
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:47,839
Speaker 1: shaping up that way I got. And it's the worst

726
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,400
Speaker 1: because now I can't sleep, like I won't starting Friday,

727
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 1: will not be able to sleep. It's just there's just

728
00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 1: too much on the line. But it's Um, I feel good,

729
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:58,320
Speaker 1: I honestly do, like I just love this spot for

730
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,080
Speaker 1: this Dallas team. So got to keep under wraps. Don't

731
00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:04,520
Speaker 1: want the bad farm up. But um going within scooch Roulette,

732
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 1: need to win. Where we are right now, my one

733
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:11,320
Speaker 1: of my seven. I'm six and four in scooch Roulette.

734
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 1: You are seven and three in scooch Roulette. Listen, neck

735
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,640
Speaker 1: and neck right now, I started off hot, you had

736
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 1: a little bit of a run. We're both coming off

737
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 1: hot right now. So six and four, seven and three. Yeah,

738
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:29,239
Speaker 1: the little thing we like to call cheating, but not really,

739
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 1: it's just smart betting. I just rode Seattle a little.

740
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 1: I just I just saw I saw Seattle a getting

741
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:36,920
Speaker 1: hot here. I was just like, you know what, I'm

742
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:38,839
Speaker 1: just gonna ride them in the scoot roulette and uh

743
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 1: it served me. Will winds are winds? All right? I

744
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:46,239
Speaker 1: think we've done it all. Next week. Next week we

745
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:48,959
Speaker 1: have a normal episode on Tuesday, and we are off

746
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:52,400
Speaker 1: on Thursday, because, as Mett Mitchell says, nobody's fucking Lizzes

747
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:56,960
Speaker 1: in the podcasts Thursday and Friday of Thanksgiving week, and

748
00:37:57,120 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 1: those looking to join us on app odd willing it

749
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:05,239
Speaker 1: will work, we will be on a PM Eastern on

750
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 1: Tuesday where they can catch us though, where they can

751
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:10,400
Speaker 1: catch us on Thursday and Sunday. You can catch us

752
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 1: on Thursday and Sunday. And convinced me a nice job,

753
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:17,239
Speaker 1: Simon Jesus Christ. I can't believe that, like this is

754
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 1: only your third or fourth year doing it. There are

755
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 1: people who have been doing this for twenty years or

756
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: thirty years like me, who would forget to tell people

757
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:26,880
Speaker 1: where to catch us watch a sun Convinced Me Me,

758
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:30,239
Speaker 1: Simon Raybond, Coroner, jenra Vl, Samantha Paviti. We have a

759
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:33,959
Speaker 1: Thursday episode Action Network HQ on Twitter, in the app,

760
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:37,240
Speaker 1: on YouTube, and then we have a Sunday episode eleven

761
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 1: a m. Eastern Catch us. It'll be awesome. We'll be

762
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,200
Speaker 1: doing a lot of talking about gambling as we do.

763
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 1: And uh download us from Apple podcasts, from Spotify, wherever

764
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:50,720
Speaker 1: you get your podcasts. Don't forget rate review, subscribe five stars,

765
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:54,440
Speaker 1: say whatever you want feedback as a gift until next time.

766
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,960
Speaker 1: For Simon Hunter, for Matt Mitchell, the greatest producer ever,

767
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:01,440
Speaker 1: cares about you guys more than you know. I'm Chad Nolman.

768
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:07,600
Speaker 1: Love you. M m m hm