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Speaker 1: Hey guys. How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Pearl.

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Speaker 2: You guys can following me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt and this podcast being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by DraftKings Back. We didn't have an awful night.

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Speaker 2: It wasn't a good night, but it wasn't an awful night.

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Speaker 2: Kind of a wonky day. Some anti trends like the

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Speaker 2: Boston Celtics, which I'll get to here in just one second.

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Speaker 2: Celtics won and cover, but their first half team total

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Speaker 2: went under we played that. I'll explain what happened with

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Speaker 2: that in a second. But then like San Jose won

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Speaker 2: in hockey their first win of the year, so congratulations

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Speaker 2: to San Jose forgetting that w The Toronto Maple Leafs

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Speaker 2: gave Winnipeg their first loss of the year.

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Speaker 1: So they lost.

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Speaker 2: So if you bet trends, like you know, Winnipeg eight,

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Speaker 2: you know a win they lost Channose was seven and two.

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Speaker 1: I believe if them to lose, they did not.

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Speaker 2: They won the game outright, so you know, kind of

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Speaker 2: an anti trend night. So here's what happened. So I

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Speaker 2: was going to put the Celtics team total on the

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Speaker 2: Betting pros app, which we've been doing that a lot,

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Speaker 2: just putting a play on the Betting pros app. So

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Speaker 2: that play was supposed to go on it, but then

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Speaker 2: we realized that the app is not set up for

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Speaker 2: first half team totals in the NBA yet. So because

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Speaker 2: that happened, I had to put it on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 2: which kind of cursed it, and I probably shouldn't have

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Speaker 2: played it at all, but I did, and I played it,

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Speaker 2: and so that ended up killing the day unfortunately. So

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Speaker 2: Giants the teaser hits one of the few things I

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Speaker 2: am consistently winning, and that is the same game Prime

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Speaker 2: time teaser that comes in with the Giants plus twelve.

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Speaker 2: They lost by eight over thirty easy. Sun's money line

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Speaker 2: comes in. They beat the Lakers by five, they won

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Speaker 2: and they covered actually, but Son's money line comes in

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Speaker 2: one two units there, Vegas beat Calgary five nothing. We

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Speaker 2: get one goal there. It's a winning night, but we

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Speaker 2: don't five nothing. And then Celtics team total comes in.

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Speaker 2: Boston scored fifty three points and then they went on

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Speaker 2: to go ahead and just house the Bucks one and

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Speaker 2: covered Boston's now four and oh straight up and four

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Speaker 2: and oh against the spread, defending their championship. So they're

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Speaker 2: off to a very good start. So that's a bet,

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Speaker 2: by the way, that we're gonna just bet it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to make it official every night, but

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Speaker 2: just play it until it goes underwater. Right right now,

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Speaker 2: it's three and one, so just play it, and let's

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Speaker 2: just see what happens after a couple of weeks and

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Speaker 2: how the books will adjust. So you know, tonight was

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Speaker 2: a night where Milwaukee really slowed the tempo down. Boston

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Speaker 2: missed a bunch of threes in the first half. They

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Speaker 2: made those threes in the second half, but they outlasted

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Speaker 2: the Bucks. And just you know, right now, Boston has

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Speaker 2: played the Bucks, Boston has played the Knicks, have not

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Speaker 2: played Philly yet, but that'll happen at some point point

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Speaker 2: in the near future, so we'll get that and knock

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Speaker 2: that out. So it is an interesting situation for I

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Speaker 2: think the Celtics and other teams defending championships. When you

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Speaker 2: have everyone's attention and you go out there and perform

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Speaker 2: and you overperform what the books think you're going to do,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna make up a quick adjustments. Gonna be some

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Speaker 2: big adjustments coming, so we may need to play unders

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Speaker 2: at some point with Boston. For for for now that

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Speaker 2: we're playing Team Total over Boston in the first half.

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Speaker 2: Didn't come in last night, but three and one so

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Speaker 2: far on that. This podcast is being brought to you

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Speaker 2: slash promos. All right, let's talk some basketball tonight. First, well,

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Speaker 2: I got three bets in three sports, NBA, NHL, college football.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with the Nuggets and the Nets. The Nuggets

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Speaker 2: played last night on the road at Toronto. Now, the

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Speaker 2: Nets haven't been horrible so far this year. They were

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Speaker 2: on the road against Atlanta, they lost by four, but

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Speaker 2: they fought hard. They lost to Orlando, they got killed

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Speaker 2: in that game by fifteen. But they came back home

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Speaker 2: and they beat the Milwaukee Bucks one fifth teen oneh two.

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Speaker 2: That's a thirteen point margin. They beat Milwaukee by a

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Speaker 2: bigger margin in their last game than the Celtics did

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Speaker 2: last night. Denver comes in Denver has not been great.

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Speaker 2: They've played an overtime game last night in Toronto, a

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Speaker 2: one to twenty seven one five win for the for

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Speaker 2: the Nuggets up against the Raptors. So you're on a

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Speaker 2: back to back, you're up against a team that's been

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Speaker 2: playing fairly well and Cam Thomas has looked pretty good

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Speaker 2: here in the early part of the year for the

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Speaker 2: Nets at home. I'm gonna take the points here home dog.

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Speaker 2: I think Nets could win the game outright, but I'll

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Speaker 2: just take the points here. We're gonna take five and

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Speaker 2: a half with the Nets Nets plus five and a

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Speaker 2: half against the Denver Nuggets, going against them on a

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Speaker 2: back to back on the road and having a chance

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Speaker 2: for Denver uh brather for Brooklyn to get a win

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Speaker 2: here potentially, but to play hard fresher legs. I'm taking

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Speaker 2: the Nets at plus five and a half up against

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Speaker 2: the Nuggets tonight for one point one units to hockey

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Speaker 2: we go, and the Bruins taking on the Philadelphia Flyers.

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Speaker 2: The Bruins on the year are six and three to

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Speaker 2: the over. The Flyers on the year are also six

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Speaker 2: and three to the over. The Bruins are four and

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Speaker 2: one to the over at home this year on the

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Speaker 2: road Philadelphia is also four and one. I don't get

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Speaker 2: why this number is six. I just I might be

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Speaker 2: way wrong. I was wrong last night. I was right

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Speaker 2: with the Golden Knights. I was wrong with Calgary five.

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Speaker 2: Nothing was the final we played over six. It's six again.

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Speaker 2: Jeremy Swayman is projected to be in net and Samuel

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Speaker 2: Rison is projected to be in net for the Flyers.

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Speaker 2: If we get this is the number one goaltenders, but

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Speaker 2: seven to five in the last game, five goals given

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Speaker 2: up against the Minister Wild for Arson, and then you've

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Speaker 2: got four goals against the Capitals. He gave up three

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Speaker 2: goals against Vangcouz gave up. On the home stand, he

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Speaker 2: gave up twelve goals in three games on the road.

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Speaker 2: The first three games on the road against Vancouver a

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Speaker 2: three to two shutout, give two goals there against Edmonton

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Speaker 2: a four to three loss in overtime, he gave up

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Speaker 2: four and then he played in relief in a six

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Speaker 2: to four loss to Seattle back on the seventeenth of October. Look,

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Speaker 2: the Bruins, Swayman can step up and do big things.

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Speaker 2: But Swayman hasn't been great. Okay, let's just call a

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Speaker 2: spade a spade. He hasn't been great. This total is six.

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Speaker 2: I'm playing over. I don't trust either one of these

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Speaker 2: goaltenders here Bruins, and the Bruins are at home on

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Speaker 2: overteam and Flyers on the road are an over team.

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Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and jump on the over over six

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Speaker 2: at minus one ten for one point one units. Don't

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Speaker 2: I don't get the number. I don't get how it's

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Speaker 2: six flat. That's amazing to me. I could be dead wrong.

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Speaker 2: I was wrong last night on hockey. Maybe I'm dead

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Speaker 2: wrong again. But that seems to be extremely low, to

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Speaker 2: be quite honest with that. So six teams too low.

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Speaker 2: We're going with over six Bruins and the Flyers. And

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Speaker 2: finally to college football with Louisiana on the road up

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Speaker 2: against Texas State. This total is fifty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's been coming down numbers.

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Speaker 1: Four.

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Speaker 2: Louisiana is hot. They are six and one overall. They

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Speaker 2: are three to zero in the Fun Belt Conference. They

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Speaker 2: have won big games on the road against Southern Miss,

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Speaker 2: against Appalachian State at home, against Coastal Carolina on the road.

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Speaker 1: This team.

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Speaker 2: Their only loss comes to against two Lane where they

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Speaker 2: lost forty one to thirty three. They've won four games

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Speaker 2: in a row, six and one, and look, Texas State's

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Speaker 2: not bad. Okay, They're four and three overall. They're two

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Speaker 2: to one in the conference.

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Speaker 1: So far. This team can score.

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Speaker 2: I mean they beat Sorry, they lost to Old Dominion

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Speaker 2: twenty four to fourteen in their last game. And that's

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Speaker 2: a game where we were looking at ODEU. Texas State

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Speaker 2: wins there. Sorry lost that game. They beat Arkansas State

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Speaker 2: forty one nine. They lost to Troy. I'm sorry to

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Speaker 2: beat Troy thirty eight to seventeen. They lost to Sam

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Speaker 2: Houston forty to thirty nine. That's their one conference loss.

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Speaker 2: No so old dominion is same Houston. They lost to

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Speaker 2: them on a neutral That game was played, That game

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Speaker 2: was played where exactly that was oh in Houston, that

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Speaker 2: was played at NRG Stadium. They lost Arizona State thirty

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Speaker 2: one to twenty eight. Played them tough. They beat UTSA

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Speaker 2: forty nine to ten. They beat Lamar thirty four to

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Speaker 2: twenty seven. This is a three point game. In my mind,

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Speaker 2: this is going to be a tight football game. I'm

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Speaker 2: psyched to watch this. I think this is going to

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Speaker 2: be a game where we're going to be glued to

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Speaker 2: the end. And so in this situation, I want the

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Speaker 2: points number is four. Louisiana is three and four overall,

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Speaker 2: ats As is Texas State. But Louisiana is three and

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Speaker 2: one away from home. ATS Texas State is two and two.

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Speaker 2: As I said last time out against Old Dominion, they

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Speaker 2: were laying ten and a half. They lost by ten.

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Speaker 2: For Texas State versus Coastal Carolina, they were l six

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Speaker 2: and a half. Louisiana was and they won by ten

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Speaker 2: on the road, back to back road trips for Louisiana,

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Speaker 2: but I'll take the points. Give me Louisiana plus four

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Speaker 2: for one point one units. So plays for today, Nets

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Speaker 2: taking on the Nuggets, who are on a back to back.

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Speaker 2: We're taking the points with the Nets at plus five

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Speaker 2: and a half, Bruins flyers over six in a game

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Speaker 2: that I think both coltenders won't have great games in

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Speaker 2: Louisiana plus four on the road here against Texas Texas State,

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Speaker 2: excuse me for one point one units there for Louisiana.

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Speaker 2: So three bets in three sports. Somebody asked me the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel, like Matt, what are you doing with money line?

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Speaker 2: I'm only like the Suns are an example of this,

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Speaker 2: like last night, right, we could have laid two and

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Speaker 2: a half. We could have laid three, could have laid

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Speaker 2: three and a half, could lad four, could have laid

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Speaker 2: four and a half. I number ran, they covered every number.

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Speaker 2: They're one by five. I don't want to lay numbers,

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Speaker 2: so I'll bet money line, but when I can take points,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't make a lot of sense to me to

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Speaker 2: take money line. You can should always sprinkle money line

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Speaker 2: when I give you a bet. If you're trailing a

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Speaker 2: bet with a dog at plus whatever plus four plus

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Speaker 2: five one hundred percent, sprinkle money line, but like ten

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Speaker 2: percent of your bet.

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Speaker 1: Right, so you're betting one hundred dollars, you're gonna bet

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Speaker 1: ten dollars on the money line. Okay, So don't I

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Speaker 1: feel like you have to do that.

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Speaker 2: But I think you should do that because if I'm

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Speaker 2: if I think a dog's going to cover, they can

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Speaker 2: probably win the game.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So that's why I come in and I take these numbers,

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Speaker 2: and I say, okay, I'm taking the points at MIE

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Speaker 2: one ten, but sprinkling money line as well. When we're

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Speaker 2: laying favorites, I'm most likely going to bet money line

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Speaker 2: more often than not. I'm not interested in laying points

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Speaker 2: for a little while. I'll lay up to mis one

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Speaker 2: to eighty on the money line if I'm comfortable and

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Speaker 2: I like it. So that's the difference. Someone said, how

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Speaker 2: are you doing with your moneyline place? Well, the sun

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Speaker 2: hits on one money line last night, and I wasn't

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Speaker 2: sweating right if you would laid four and a half,

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Speaker 2: that was a you know, bullet sweat type of game.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to do that right now. I just

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Speaker 2: want to bet money lines. Sons came in some cash,

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Speaker 2: two dogs taking the points sprinkle money line with the

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Speaker 2: nets and Louisiana. But officially we're going plus five and

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Speaker 2: a half of the nets and plus four there with

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Speaker 2: Louisiana and the over in the Bruins game. Min's Matt

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Speaker 2: Perrault following US all Socials ad Sports Talk Matt. Every morning,

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Speaker 2: it's The Diligence Podcast presented by Draftings