WEBVTT - Efforts to Manufacture a COVID-19 Vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're right here every day bringing you the

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>by searching Bloomberg Global News. We want to get to

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<v Speaker 1>our virus update, which we do every day, and we've

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<v Speaker 1>got a great guest to talk about what's going on

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<v Speaker 1>Tonics Pharmaceuticals. It's among several drug companies working on a

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<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen vaccine, So let's get into it with Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Seth leader In his chairman, President CU and founder of

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<v Speaker 1>the New York based specialty pharmaceutical company Tonics. He joins

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone in Massachusetts. Dr Letterman Leaderman, excuse me,

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<v Speaker 1>it's nice to have you here with us. Um I

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<v Speaker 1>want to get into and we want to get into

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<v Speaker 1>what you guys are doing. But I've got to ask

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<v Speaker 1>you about the latest news involving the virus. And we've

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<v Speaker 1>all been talking about the World Health Organization coming out

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<v Speaker 1>and talking about a symptomatic transmission of the virus and saying, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it's very rare. And I know a top w h

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<v Speaker 1>official has now come come back out and kind of

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<v Speaker 1>downplayed her comment. So I don't know, how do you

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<v Speaker 1>make sense of this? Well, first of all, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>very much for having me on the show, and thank

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<v Speaker 1>you for covering the COVID nineteen story so effectively. It's

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<v Speaker 1>important that you know knowledge is power and everyone is

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<v Speaker 1>in this together. Thanks for asking me about the w

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<v Speaker 1>h O recommendations. I would say generally that people should

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<v Speaker 1>air on the side of caution. It's it's hard to know,

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<v Speaker 1>um what's safe and what's not safe, but people making

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<v Speaker 1>individual decisions should be cautious. I think that I find

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<v Speaker 1>some of the information compelling. Being outside is better than

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<v Speaker 1>inside with people. I think that uh, staying six ft apart,

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<v Speaker 1>wearing a mask and hands are all very important. So

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<v Speaker 1>this new thought about asymptomatic transmission. It is something that

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<v Speaker 1>people can put into an equation, but I wouldn't use

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<v Speaker 1>that to engage in any behaviors that don't follow the

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<v Speaker 1>basic tenants. So, as we think about a vaccine, doctor,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it is the thing everyone's looking forward to,

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<v Speaker 1>and in so many ways, you are, as Carol said, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and the think of us think of this help us

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<v Speaker 1>understand what's realistic, what you are seeing and how this development,

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<v Speaker 1>which feels different to those of us who don't normally

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<v Speaker 1>pay so much attention to how vaccines are created, how

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<v Speaker 1>it is or isn't different from what you normally seek. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, I think that there's a remarkable effort

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<v Speaker 1>going on all over the world, many companies, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>really exciting to see how governments, nonprofits, companies have come

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<v Speaker 1>together with the common goal of doing something about this.

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<v Speaker 1>I agree with the general belief that we really can't

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<v Speaker 1>get back to work and back to school, and in

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<v Speaker 1>the same way that we now look back on it's

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<v Speaker 1>called normal until there's a vaccine. So a vaccine is

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<v Speaker 1>very important and one of the exciting aspects of this

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<v Speaker 1>that so many different technologies are being tested. I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's realistic that there will be a vaccine either late

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<v Speaker 1>this year or early next year, but I'm not sure

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<v Speaker 1>that that would be the vaccine that will ultimately win

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<v Speaker 1>market acceptance and the confident of doctors and patients. So

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<v Speaker 1>there's an element of the tortoise in the hair here

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<v Speaker 1>where there are some companies that are very fast out

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<v Speaker 1>of the gate. They have exciting technology, but there are

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<v Speaker 1>other companies like ours that are going more slowly and

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<v Speaker 1>have different technologies. And I think that COVID nine team

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<v Speaker 1>will be with us for a long time, so it

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<v Speaker 1>will be possible to figure out which vaccines are best

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<v Speaker 1>in the public health sense. Explain the science. As you say,

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<v Speaker 1>there's different technologies for the virus, so explain that, because

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<v Speaker 1>you're right there is this huge race going on the

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<v Speaker 1>government is involved to what are the different technologies we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about, you know, and how that affects the efficacy

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<v Speaker 1>of an ultimate vaccine. I think the simplest way to

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<v Speaker 1>do to divide the different vaccine technologies that are out

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<v Speaker 1>there um is to think about the two main components

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<v Speaker 1>of the immune system, and that is either antibodies or

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<v Speaker 1>T cells. And I think that vaccines are designed to

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<v Speaker 1>stimulate either antibody responses or T cell responses. Antibody responses

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<v Speaker 1>are shorter lived and tend to stop an infection from happening,

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<v Speaker 1>and T cell responses are longer lived but tend to

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<v Speaker 1>eliminate an infection after it's happened and also clear the

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<v Speaker 1>bloodstream and the body of the virus. Now, those are

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<v Speaker 1>the extremes. Just about every vaccine will have elements of both.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think that dividing them up into whether something

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<v Speaker 1>is more antibody or more T cell focused is a

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<v Speaker 1>good way to do to divide the many technologies being

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<v Speaker 1>thrown at this. Do we need both or do we

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<v Speaker 1>need the T cells, which to me sounds like a

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<v Speaker 1>bigger deal. Just quickly and then we'll come back and

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<v Speaker 1>talk we need both and um, but but there there

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<v Speaker 1>are flavors within both. But for example, it's probably true

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<v Speaker 1>that an antibody test is a good sign that someone

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<v Speaker 1>has recovered from the illness and as some level of immunity,

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<v Speaker 1>But antibodies without key cells is probably not a solution.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get back to our guest. UM continue to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about what's going on with the virus, and of course,

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<v Speaker 1>the search for a vaccine. Dr Seth Letterman is still

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<v Speaker 1>with US chairman, president, CEO, and founder of Tonics Pharmaceuticals.

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<v Speaker 1>He's on the phone in Massachusetts. So, you know, when

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<v Speaker 1>you kind of take into account UM, Dr Letterman, the

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<v Speaker 1>reopenings that we're seeing, but we're continuing to be vigilant,

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<v Speaker 1>wearing masks and so and so forth, do you feel

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<v Speaker 1>like things are progressing like they should be and in

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<v Speaker 1>a safe way. I'm optimistic, but cautious. The most of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States still has very low levels of in

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<v Speaker 1>fact and exposure. So while some areas like New York

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<v Speaker 1>City um is may be prepared to reopen, it seems

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<v Speaker 1>like the rest of the country has to really pay

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<v Speaker 1>attention to the guidelines of interacting and behaving with appropriate

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<v Speaker 1>caution and so as you look at that UH, and

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<v Speaker 1>also you look at everything that's been going on with

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<v Speaker 1>folks going into UM public spaces, and you think ahead

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of the broader sentiment out there of where

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<v Speaker 1>we are around the virus. We talked about the w

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<v Speaker 1>h OH, we talked about UM, you know, the reopening element.

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<v Speaker 1>How does that all factor into what we need, how

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<v Speaker 1>we need to be acting sort of in the meantime,

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<v Speaker 1>and you said earlier in the conversation, you know that

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<v Speaker 1>that we're not really going to get back to anything

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<v Speaker 1>resembling normal till till there is a vaccine. But we

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<v Speaker 1>don't live in this sort of binary world anymore, and

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<v Speaker 1>so so I do wonder, Um, you know, when you

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<v Speaker 1>think about things like I'm just gonna be very procial here,

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<v Speaker 1>like sports in the fall, you know, whether it's youth

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<v Speaker 1>or professional or college, when you think about people going

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<v Speaker 1>to conferences, all those different things, is that all just

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<v Speaker 1>delayed until there's a vaccine. Well, I think that if

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<v Speaker 1>regardless of this scenario is people are following the guidelines,

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<v Speaker 1>who's staying six ft apart, wear a mask, washing hands regularly,

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of activities can resume there. It's

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<v Speaker 1>it's clear that this is a virus and it's transmitted

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<v Speaker 1>in a certain way by the respiratory route, and if

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<v Speaker 1>people are very cautious, they can protect themselves and others.

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<v Speaker 1>So with that in mind, I think a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>activities can and should reopen. But it's there's a fear

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<v Speaker 1>that people will become complacent or get sloppy, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>something to really guard against. Yeah, and certainly when you

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<v Speaker 1>see pictures as things reopen, you do see people getting sloppy.

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<v Speaker 1>I was reading a story on the Bloomberg about I

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<v Speaker 1>think one of our reporters who took a flight, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, yep, there were certainly social distancing and things

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<v Speaker 1>get in place. But then when there was all of

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<v Speaker 1>a sudden a flight change, like all of a sudden,

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<v Speaker 1>everybody's crammed next to each other, and it's very easy

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<v Speaker 1>to go back to the ways. I do want to

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Letterman, just you guys are working on a vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>So tell us where you are, how, what's the timeline

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<v Speaker 1>you're working on, and and what kind of a vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>it could ultimately be, Oh, thank you. Our vaccine is

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<v Speaker 1>a live replicating vaccine, and that's particular kind of vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>that stimulates T cell immunity. Ours is based on the

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<v Speaker 1>oldest vaccine. It's the same vaccine that eradicated smallpox from

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<v Speaker 1>the world. And the core that we're working on is

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<v Speaker 1>about two hundred and twenty years old, and we're using

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<v Speaker 1>that as a vector to carry a piece of the

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<v Speaker 1>of the COVID nineteen passage in in it, and we

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<v Speaker 1>are we are expecting to be in animal studies in

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<v Speaker 1>the second half of this year, and that will determine

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<v Speaker 1>how quickly we can get into humans. But we're hoping

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<v Speaker 1>it can be in well, here's hoping. I mean, we're

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<v Speaker 1>all looking forward to that in many ways, and as

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<v Speaker 1>you have very well set out, Dr Letterman, it is

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<v Speaker 1>the it is the path back towards something that looks

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<v Speaker 1>much more normal. Dr Steth Letterman is the CEO of

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<v Speaker 1>Tonics Pharmaceuticals, joinings on the phone from Massachusetts. They are,

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<v Speaker 1>of course a clinical stage biopharma company and they're working

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<v Speaker 1>on a vaccine, and I liked what he was able

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<v Speaker 1>to explain to us in terms of the types of

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines that are out there, and there is the most

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<v Speaker 1>concerted effort I think we've certainly seen in our lifetimes

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<v Speaker 1>to eradicate anything. Carol's fair. I hope we stay in

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<v Speaker 1>touch because I thought the science of explaining the different

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<v Speaker 1>because we know that there's a lot of different vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>being worked on UM and I know they just joined

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<v Speaker 1>it had signed a deal to support the manufacturing of

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<v Speaker 1>their vaccine candidate UM. But I'd love to touch base

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<v Speaker 1>as this progressis because certainly UM, I really do feel

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<v Speaker 1>like we get a lot of the science holes filled

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<v Speaker 1>in on what we need to know as um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>individuals who are trying to get back out into our society.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason

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<v Speaker 1>Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. I am really excited to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about this next story and with this reporter, in part because,

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<v Speaker 1>as you know, Carol, you're talking to bureau chief spirit

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<v Speaker 1>chiefs are the best. You're just saying, do the chief thing. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>Natalie Opaco Pearson is our Vancouver bireau chief for Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>She joins us on the phone from that gorgeous city

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<v Speaker 1>and her story. I'm so excited about Shopify because I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>this is a juggernaut in Canada and I really want

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<v Speaker 1>to understand how it's gotten there and what maybe next. Natalie,

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<v Speaker 1>Really nice to have you with us. How are you doing?

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me so tell us about shop if

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<v Speaker 1>I remind us what this is and how it has

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<v Speaker 1>become so important so fast. It's this really odd Canadian

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<v Speaker 1>story that's very big company that a lot of people

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<v Speaker 1>have never heard of. Um, it's remained mostly invisible to consumers,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's it's become the sort of platform of choice

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<v Speaker 1>for any business that wants to get online quickly and cheaply.

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<v Speaker 1>And obviously since the beginning of the year with a

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic that pandemic, there's been a lot of businesses that

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<v Speaker 1>suddenly want to get online very quickly and very cheaply.

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<v Speaker 1>So essentially what it is is, you know, starting with

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<v Speaker 1>a monthly fee of about twenty nine dollars, you can

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<v Speaker 1>set up a virtual shop and everything that's needed to

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<v Speaker 1>run it, so you know, manage things like payments, inventory levels,

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<v Speaker 1>shipping um. And we've seen you know, mega brands from

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<v Speaker 1>like Heins the catchup maker, to Heineken the beer maker

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<v Speaker 1>use there you have their online presence on Shopify down

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<v Speaker 1>to like a small florist in Dublin UM. And one

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<v Speaker 1>thing that's Keita note about Shopify is it's essentially for

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<v Speaker 1>those businesses that don't want to be selling on Amazon.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you want to go online and keep control

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<v Speaker 1>of your online shop in your e commerce presence, you're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna go to something like Shopify and set up you

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<v Speaker 1>set it up on that platform. And so today in

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<v Speaker 1>the US, you know, one of the world's biggest e

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<v Speaker 1>commerce markets. If you're buying anything online, that's not on Amazon.

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<v Speaker 1>It's most likely done on a website that's been powered

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<v Speaker 1>by Shopify, and they've been powered by the lockdown and

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<v Speaker 1>the virus. Right, is a lot of people quickly pivoted

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<v Speaker 1>to digital, that's right. So since the start of the pandemic.

0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:50.360
<v Speaker 1>I think it was their chief technical officer who was

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 1>saying something like they were seeing Black Friday levels of

0:13:52.960 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 1>traffic every day, all these businesses wanting to suddenly set

0:13:56.960 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 1>up an e commerce shop and you know, wanting sample.

0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Actually was Hinz this on fifty year old food brand

0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:08.079
<v Speaker 1>that had resisted selling online for a very long time.

0:14:08.200 --> 0:14:12.000
<v Speaker 1>But in the UK, as British consumers were suddenly struggling

0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:16.080
<v Speaker 1>to find pantry staples, they did this about face. It

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:19.720
<v Speaker 1>was this very speedy e commerce pivot. They they within

0:14:19.800 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 1>a week they had a virtual shop online selling pasta,

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:27.600
<v Speaker 1>hoops and tomato soup and so on, and so that

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:31.280
<v Speaker 1>has been you know, replicated in many geographies. And I

0:14:31.320 --> 0:14:33.840
<v Speaker 1>think you know it was they saw like a sixty

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:37.840
<v Speaker 1>present surge and store creations over a six week period.

0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:41.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's unbelievable to the juggonnaut has become on

0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 1>the public markets. You know, vying with Royal Bank of

0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 1>Canada as the biggest publicly traded company. I mean, it's

0:14:47.560 --> 0:14:50.800
<v Speaker 1>bigger than Uber, right, I mean, which which I feel

0:14:50.880 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 1>is like the thing that like, that's the thing that

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 1>you just have to say to anybody in twenty twenty

0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 1>and that gets their attention. It's crazy and you know,

0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:05.040
<v Speaker 1>speaking for Canadian and it's crazy for Canadians. It's an

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 1>eight nine billion dollar market cap company. Yeah, it's a

0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 1>dressing room off. I mean, you know, it's it helps

0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.760
<v Speaker 1>flop sixty one billion dollars worth of goods in two

0:15:15.800 --> 0:15:19.600
<v Speaker 1>thousand and nineteen. It's you know, it's market value exceeds

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:23.000
<v Speaker 1>that of General Electric, and yet so few people outside

0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:26.920
<v Speaker 1>of Canada have ever even heard of it. So go ahead,

0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 1>Well I was thinking, and so all right, so we

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:30.520
<v Speaker 1>look at Amazon. We all know Amazon, right, we use

0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:33.720
<v Speaker 1>it constantly. You know, does Amazon have to be worried?

0:15:33.800 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, what's what's the difference the biggest difference between

0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 1>these two? Yeah, and that's a great question because I

0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:41.720
<v Speaker 1>think you know, a lot of people who are aware

0:15:41.720 --> 0:15:45.000
<v Speaker 1>of Shopify tend to compare it with Amazon. One one

0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:47.960
<v Speaker 1>key difference is that if you're a merchant and you

0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:51.320
<v Speaker 1>want to sell your stuff online, Amazon might be an

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:53.480
<v Speaker 1>easy choice, but you kind of lose control once you

0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:55.680
<v Speaker 1>put your wares up on Amazon. You're sort of relying

0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 1>on Amazon to get the web traffic to your virtual store,

0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:03.160
<v Speaker 1>and Amazon sort of takes over the fulfillment of those orders.

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:06.520
<v Speaker 1>And what we actually saw during the pandemic was that

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 1>as as Amazon became overwhelmed, UH, it was prioritizing essential goods.

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:16.040
<v Speaker 1>So those merchants who were selling non essential goods were

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:18.800
<v Speaker 1>certainly finding that they were getting orders, but they couldn't

0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:23.680
<v Speaker 1>fulfill them, and so that actually helped direct some traffic

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:26.800
<v Speaker 1>over to Shopify, where you are in control of your

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:30.800
<v Speaker 1>online UH shop. And the other thing to note is

0:16:30.840 --> 0:16:33.480
<v Speaker 1>that you know, Shopify is is much more than just

0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:36.640
<v Speaker 1>selling a few things online, like It's evolved and so

0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:39.960
<v Speaker 1>essentially now it's sort of a one stop shop for

0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:43.480
<v Speaker 1>a business. So during the pandemic, it helped merchants set

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:47.560
<v Speaker 1>up curbside pickup, helped them find ways to set up

0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:51.520
<v Speaker 1>local delivery. It's also expanding social media, so it set

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:54.240
<v Speaker 1>up these partnerships with Facebook and Pinterest because one of

0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 1>the biggest problems for businesses is finding new customers. Especially

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:01.800
<v Speaker 1>if these people aren't walking by your store every day,

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:03.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, how do you find out? How do you

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:06.280
<v Speaker 1>find new customers? So then it's trying to expand. Social

0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:09.840
<v Speaker 1>media is just another way to do online shopping. And

0:17:10.040 --> 0:17:12.480
<v Speaker 1>in the past what we've seen as businesses have to

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:16.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of cobble together different applications to manage these different channels.

0:17:16.680 --> 0:17:19.439
<v Speaker 1>Will Shopify really simplifies that for you. It's saying you

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 1>come to us, we will help you set that all

0:17:21.760 --> 0:17:24.199
<v Speaker 1>up and you can see the entirety of your business

0:17:24.200 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 1>from this one plot. And it's still and it's still

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:31.720
<v Speaker 1>your site, right or is it on Shopify? It's it's Shopify.

0:17:31.840 --> 0:17:34.600
<v Speaker 1>It's sort of the provides the plumbing. But if you

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:36.800
<v Speaker 1>are a consumer you go to that site, you will

0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:39.959
<v Speaker 1>never see Shopify. If you go into the code, it

0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:43.560
<v Speaker 1>looks like, you know, it looks like Victoria Beckham's clothing line,

0:17:43.600 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 1>or it looks like Hinds online store. So, Natalie, before

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 1>we let you go, gotta ask um. Obviously all of

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:54.360
<v Speaker 1>our behavior has changed on the consumer side, and behavior

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:59.000
<v Speaker 1>is clearly changed on the merchant side. How much does

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:03.120
<v Speaker 1>Shopify a need for some version of this to continue?

0:18:03.160 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 1>For this behavior change to continue in order to be

0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:09.520
<v Speaker 1>as successful as it has been. Yeah, and that's a

0:18:09.560 --> 0:18:11.800
<v Speaker 1>great question. I think that's where the skeptics have come

0:18:11.840 --> 0:18:14.040
<v Speaker 1>in because when you look at some of these multiples,

0:18:14.080 --> 0:18:18.160
<v Speaker 1>they're sort of reminiscent of the the Internet boom at

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.920
<v Speaker 1>its frothiest period. You know, it's share prices just totally

0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 1>gone stratospheric um and so what the one big question

0:18:25.880 --> 0:18:29.240
<v Speaker 1>is this rush of merchants that came online. Is that

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:32.720
<v Speaker 1>is that necessarily new demand that's going to sustain or

0:18:32.880 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 1>is it businesses that might have eventually come online anyway?

0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:39.440
<v Speaker 1>So are they sort of his Shopify borrowed from future

0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:42.080
<v Speaker 1>demand so to speak. The other big question is how

0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:44.840
<v Speaker 1>many of the small merchants that have rushed onto Shopify

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:47.439
<v Speaker 1>to set up online shops are going to survive because

0:18:47.440 --> 0:18:50.480
<v Speaker 1>we saw after the global financial crisis thousands of them

0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:54.719
<v Speaker 1>memo recovered and consumers spending may yet collapse. So, you know,

0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:57.439
<v Speaker 1>I think one analyst put it, the Shopify gained a

0:18:57.480 --> 0:19:00.479
<v Speaker 1>lot of mark could share with the pandemic, but it's

0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:04.000
<v Speaker 1>biggest risk may actually be meeting investors expectations, Like it's

0:19:04.000 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 1>a huge amount of pressure to have that enormous share

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 1>price surge. Right, absolutely, Well, it's a great story I

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:12.239
<v Speaker 1>must read. It's on the Bloomberg and on Bloomberg dot

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:15.040
<v Speaker 1>com today, it'll be in the upcoming edition of Bloomberg

0:19:15.119 --> 0:19:18.840
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Natalie Obaco Pierce in Vancouver, bureau chief for Bloomberg.

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>Jos on the phone from Vancouver. Who are listening to

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week, Well, it's time not to dig into

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:29.240
<v Speaker 1>the Small Business Survival Guide. It's an effort that our

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:33.280
<v Speaker 1>colleagues at Bloomberg Business Week have been undertaking. It's very

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:36.440
<v Speaker 1>useful to understand kind of what small businesses are doing

0:19:36.480 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 1>throughout all of this leading the charges to meet you.

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:41.840
<v Speaker 1>Cassani's editor for Bloomberg. She joins us on the phone

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:45.760
<v Speaker 1>from New Jersey. Along with I sat up March. She

0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:49.200
<v Speaker 1>is the owner of Studio Phenomenon Hair salon on the

0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:52.760
<v Speaker 1>phone as well. So Demitra, remind us what you're trying

0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 1>to do here, and you know, it's interesting. This obviously started,

0:19:56.240 --> 0:19:58.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, primarily to look at COVID nineteen in the

0:19:58.840 --> 0:20:02.159
<v Speaker 1>aftermath there, but obviously the world got a lot more

0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:05.280
<v Speaker 1>complicated and a lot more troubling in the past couple

0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:07.520
<v Speaker 1>of weeks. So I wonder how you guys thought about

0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:12.560
<v Speaker 1>that pivot. Sure, hi, Jason, Yeah, we well, of course

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:15.520
<v Speaker 1>we were looking at small businesses through solely the lens

0:20:15.600 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 1>of the of the virus. But even you know, I mean,

0:20:18.920 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>the world is much more complicated today, even if we

0:20:21.840 --> 0:20:24.720
<v Speaker 1>solely look at the virus sort of kind of next stages,

0:20:24.760 --> 0:20:28.600
<v Speaker 1>it's complicated because we're all in reopening phase right New

0:20:28.720 --> 0:20:30.640
<v Speaker 1>York City. The big news of the last two days

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:33.800
<v Speaker 1>has been phase one reopening will eventually move on to

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:37.600
<v Speaker 1>phase two and phase three, combined with social unrest, combined

0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:40.040
<v Speaker 1>with what is happening in the world, how do you

0:20:40.119 --> 0:20:42.240
<v Speaker 1>keep going? Do you have the money to keep going?

0:20:42.440 --> 0:20:45.240
<v Speaker 1>Are your customers going to come back? How can you

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 1>make your customers feel comfortable? So we um Nick liber

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:52.800
<v Speaker 1>Mike colleague, who is a freelance contributor, and I have

0:20:52.880 --> 0:20:55.240
<v Speaker 1>been talking to business owners, and he has been talking

0:20:55.280 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 1>to Asada Marsh as we mentioned about her business in Brooklyn,

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:03.119
<v Speaker 1>and it's a lot more complicated than many of us

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 1>realized when it comes to something like a hair salon. Well,

0:21:06.640 --> 0:21:09.119
<v Speaker 1>and let's bring in a Sada Marsh. She joins us

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:11.600
<v Speaker 1>on the phone in Long Island, as Jason mentioned she's

0:21:11.640 --> 0:21:14.640
<v Speaker 1>owner of Studio Phenomenon Hair Salon. So I just thought

0:21:14.680 --> 0:21:16.600
<v Speaker 1>it talked to us about some of the challenges that

0:21:16.640 --> 0:21:21.119
<v Speaker 1>you're facing, and it's really you know, twofold, minimally, you know,

0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 1>between the virus and then of course the civil protests,

0:21:24.400 --> 0:21:26.639
<v Speaker 1>and you know you are a black business owner. So

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:28.439
<v Speaker 1>tell us about some of the challenges that you are

0:21:28.480 --> 0:21:32.840
<v Speaker 1>seeing firsthand. Okay, well, I'm located in the hottest Brooklyn.

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:35.000
<v Speaker 1>I serve the number of clients per week and have

0:21:35.040 --> 0:21:37.400
<v Speaker 1>a number of individuals in my business space at any

0:21:37.400 --> 0:21:42.800
<v Speaker 1>given time. People are scared political social messaging from respective

0:21:42.880 --> 0:21:45.919
<v Speaker 1>leaders like conflicting. We don't know what to do. Uh.

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:48.840
<v Speaker 1>They need to have some type of economics stay grounds established,

0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:52.520
<v Speaker 1>and things are confused and hard to access. Like for me, UM,

0:21:52.560 --> 0:21:55.679
<v Speaker 1>I have to restructure my entire space. I have to

0:21:56.359 --> 0:21:59.880
<v Speaker 1>lessen the people who work for me, and UM act

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:04.360
<v Speaker 1>really distant from UH. As they say sixty, I say, timty.

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>People don't realize when you come inside of the celant

0:22:07.119 --> 0:22:09.879
<v Speaker 1>or space, you touch everything from the door knob to

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.440
<v Speaker 1>the chair to the bathroom door too. You know, it's

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:15.040
<v Speaker 1>very confusing. It's confusing for me as a business own

0:22:15.119 --> 0:22:19.160
<v Speaker 1>confusing as a client a customer, and my demographic reach

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:22.679
<v Speaker 1>from a seventeen to seventy nine. So I have to

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 1>be very weary of my older clientele because I don't

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:27.919
<v Speaker 1>want them to get sick because they're right at the

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:30.919
<v Speaker 1>at the war zone of the virus affecting them. So

0:22:30.960 --> 0:22:34.199
<v Speaker 1>it's very difficult. You know, I'm at wits end on

0:22:34.359 --> 0:22:37.440
<v Speaker 1>what exactly is real or not. I myself went into

0:22:37.520 --> 0:22:42.199
<v Speaker 1>the COVID nineteen test. It came back negative, and some

0:22:42.240 --> 0:22:44.560
<v Speaker 1>people say it's a negative positive resummer to come back

0:22:44.600 --> 0:22:47.560
<v Speaker 1>negative COVID nineteen, but then they're squad their nose and

0:22:47.560 --> 0:22:50.640
<v Speaker 1>then they come back positive. Whole thing is absolutely confusing.

0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:53.159
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. I mean, each client that comes in,

0:22:53.280 --> 0:22:55.720
<v Speaker 1>I have to mask up myself. I have to give

0:22:55.760 --> 0:22:58.679
<v Speaker 1>them a mask. It's just this whole every day, you know,

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 1>socialization with POOL. It's just it feels like literally I

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:05.680
<v Speaker 1>have to retrain myself. It's like learning how to read

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:08.600
<v Speaker 1>or do uh first or second grade math. You have

0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 1>to retrain everything that you thought was normal um to

0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:15.280
<v Speaker 1>make it the norm. Right. So I decided just shifting

0:23:15.280 --> 0:23:17.439
<v Speaker 1>gears slightly. I mean, so you're in the process of

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:20.480
<v Speaker 1>doing all of this, and then you know, here comes

0:23:20.520 --> 0:23:22.680
<v Speaker 1>the last two weeks which have totally turned the world

0:23:22.840 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 1>upside down. And I wonder how you view that, you know,

0:23:26.760 --> 0:23:30.040
<v Speaker 1>as a as a resident, as a business owner, but

0:23:30.200 --> 0:23:34.959
<v Speaker 1>also as a human being and candidly as a mother. Right, well,

0:23:35.440 --> 0:23:38.320
<v Speaker 1>it's hard as a business owner. I like, I shut

0:23:38.359 --> 0:23:40.840
<v Speaker 1>my place down in March because it was it was

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:43.680
<v Speaker 1>so many mixed messages that were going on. You I'm

0:23:43.720 --> 0:23:47.240
<v Speaker 1>a news watch of CNN, MSNBC. I watched the news

0:23:47.280 --> 0:23:49.359
<v Speaker 1>just to know current events and things that have happened

0:23:49.359 --> 0:23:51.600
<v Speaker 1>in the world today. So it went from from the

0:23:51.680 --> 0:23:54.359
<v Speaker 1>higher up the president, this virus is nothing, so oh

0:23:54.400 --> 0:23:56.480
<v Speaker 1>it's only fifteen, so oh it's gonna be gone on

0:23:56.520 --> 0:23:59.040
<v Speaker 1>such and such today. I had to really sit down

0:23:59.080 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 1>and like real lies and tell myself, you know, when

0:24:01.440 --> 0:24:04.120
<v Speaker 1>they said there was possibility of shutting down the Salmant.

0:24:04.160 --> 0:24:06.840
<v Speaker 1>I had to go into thinking moment, as as other

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:10.280
<v Speaker 1>young business owners do. It's the hustle moment, because when

0:24:10.280 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 1>you're a young entrepreneur, everything is about hustle, hustle, hustles.

0:24:13.520 --> 0:24:15.640
<v Speaker 1>So I've been in a business for over twenty years,

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:19.080
<v Speaker 1>so me I had to rethink my situation where I'm

0:24:19.080 --> 0:24:20.760
<v Speaker 1>gonna go, what I'm gonna do, How am I going

0:24:20.800 --> 0:24:23.960
<v Speaker 1>to service my customers. I went from actually doing here

0:24:24.320 --> 0:24:28.440
<v Speaker 1>to making wigs right and trying to get my clients

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:30.879
<v Speaker 1>to buy the piece of wig pieces just until this

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:33.119
<v Speaker 1>entire pandemic is over. So it's you know, you have

0:24:33.280 --> 0:24:35.680
<v Speaker 1>let me think your brain right I started. We unfortunately

0:24:35.680 --> 0:24:37.760
<v Speaker 1>have about forty seconds left, but you do have two

0:24:37.760 --> 0:24:40.280
<v Speaker 1>black sons, and we just want to get your perspective

0:24:40.320 --> 0:24:42.400
<v Speaker 1>of the protest, and we apologize. We really do only

0:24:42.400 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 1>have about forty seconds here. Yes, okay, So as far

0:24:46.359 --> 0:24:49.320
<v Speaker 1>as the protests going along, I'm a very ad I'm sorry.

0:24:49.320 --> 0:24:51.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm a very oddly believer with protests and I stand

0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:53.840
<v Speaker 1>bys on one hundred percent. The only thing that I

0:24:53.880 --> 0:24:56.680
<v Speaker 1>don't like is dismantle of your own community. You can't

0:24:56.720 --> 0:24:59.399
<v Speaker 1>come in protests and destroy your community, destroy your stores,

0:24:59.640 --> 0:25:02.200
<v Speaker 1>destroy in the places that you eat, work and buy

0:25:02.240 --> 0:25:05.200
<v Speaker 1>your food. That it's affecting the older generation. These people

0:25:05.240 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 1>need uh prescription medications from the local pharmacy. They need

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 1>to know where they can go buy the groceries in

0:25:10.840 --> 0:25:12.680
<v Speaker 1>the morning. If you destroy things in your own communities,

0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:15.000
<v Speaker 1>this is no whales to go my people like sounds. Yes,

0:25:15.040 --> 0:25:19.320
<v Speaker 1>they have protested one protest protested in your protested in

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:24.320
<v Speaker 1>mind him, it's a different of demographic. Well, we would listen.

0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:26.080
<v Speaker 1>We're so glad we got time with you, and we

0:25:26.160 --> 0:25:27.879
<v Speaker 1>do wish you well and maybe we can check in

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:30.160
<v Speaker 1>with you again as things hopefully start to go back

0:25:30.560 --> 0:25:33.879
<v Speaker 1>to normal. Asada Marsh, owner of studio Phenomenon Hair Salon,

0:25:34.040 --> 0:25:35.840
<v Speaker 1>on the phone in Long Island, along with our own

0:25:35.840 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News editor, did meet your kess and needy? Im

0:25:42.520 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 1>a journal now that you let me drive? Oh no,

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:51.840
<v Speaker 1>no, no no, no please, I'll do the writing. Let me.

0:25:52.200 --> 0:26:07.760
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive, Just drive the question getrankend. This

0:26:08.119 --> 0:26:11.320
<v Speaker 1>is the drive to the globes to think well dry

0:26:11.480 --> 0:26:16.080
<v Speaker 1>us Jo, Bloomberg Radio, and it's time for the Drive

0:26:16.160 --> 0:26:18.440
<v Speaker 1>to the closes. Joinning this once again, David Deet's President

0:26:18.520 --> 0:26:22.520
<v Speaker 1>and chief investment strategists at Point View Wealth Management, joining

0:26:22.720 --> 0:26:25.640
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Lovely Summit, New Jersey. David, how

0:26:25.800 --> 0:26:28.200
<v Speaker 1>are you? How are you coping with this market that

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:33.040
<v Speaker 1>really can't give us a straight answer? It feels like, well, certainly,

0:26:33.640 --> 0:26:36.480
<v Speaker 1>um people are nervous. At this point. We've seen a

0:26:36.560 --> 0:26:41.000
<v Speaker 1>tremendous jump of close to off the apparent bottom March,

0:26:42.119 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>but of course the headlines are still horrendous. We've just

0:26:44.880 --> 0:26:49.119
<v Speaker 1>been told by the NBR that we are in a

0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:53.200
<v Speaker 1>recession that perhaps started in February. Um, the States, they're

0:26:53.240 --> 0:26:56.919
<v Speaker 1>starting to open up quite slowly, but hotspots are increasing,

0:26:57.040 --> 0:27:00.440
<v Speaker 1>certainly um double digit percentages of people out of work.

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:03.960
<v Speaker 1>So people are trying to balance this tremendous rebound by

0:27:04.040 --> 0:27:08.160
<v Speaker 1>the stock market with some of the most horrendous economic

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:11.879
<v Speaker 1>headlines we've heard in a generation. But so what do

0:27:12.000 --> 0:27:14.560
<v Speaker 1>you choose to focus on, David? You know, are you

0:27:14.960 --> 0:27:17.520
<v Speaker 1>really you know, the equity market tends to look forward,

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:20.359
<v Speaker 1>and I do wonder, um, do you think that's right?

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:22.679
<v Speaker 1>And do you think the trade justifies what we might

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 1>be getting or is it you know, too uncertain. We

0:27:25.359 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>certainly talked to our Bloomberg Economics team, and you know,

0:27:28.640 --> 0:27:32.040
<v Speaker 1>the expectations are not necessarily that high for what we

0:27:32.320 --> 0:27:35.680
<v Speaker 1>might ultimately get, But there's also a wide gap in

0:27:35.880 --> 0:27:39.800
<v Speaker 1>terms of you know, what might happen next. Yeah, absolutely,

0:27:40.000 --> 0:27:42.480
<v Speaker 1>so I think the most important thing for people to

0:27:42.560 --> 0:27:46.480
<v Speaker 1>realize is a medical crisis. Um. And that makes it

0:27:46.560 --> 0:27:50.960
<v Speaker 1>particularly difficult for economists and portfolio managers to get their

0:27:51.080 --> 0:27:55.120
<v Speaker 1>arms around, because that's the province of uh research, scientists

0:27:55.119 --> 0:27:58.200
<v Speaker 1>and so forth. But by all accounts, the silver bullet,

0:27:58.240 --> 0:28:01.640
<v Speaker 1>which is the vaccine, is getting closer and closer. There's

0:28:01.640 --> 0:28:04.199
<v Speaker 1>apparently about a hundred firms worldwide working on it. It's

0:28:04.280 --> 0:28:06.920
<v Speaker 1>becoming like the space race the Chinese we talked to

0:28:07.000 --> 0:28:09.239
<v Speaker 1>what we actually talked to one earlier today, you're right,

0:28:09.400 --> 0:28:10.959
<v Speaker 1>and and then you know, we were trying to get

0:28:11.000 --> 0:28:15.040
<v Speaker 1>to the science behind because it's they're not all the same. Yes,

0:28:15.119 --> 0:28:18.520
<v Speaker 1>So there's there's national pride, there's big bucks. You've got

0:28:19.119 --> 0:28:23.720
<v Speaker 1>three inities by merk Morena's offering, a partnership between Astra

0:28:23.840 --> 0:28:26.399
<v Speaker 1>Zeneca and Oxford University was just received the billion in

0:28:26.520 --> 0:28:28.639
<v Speaker 1>US funding. So I think that's right around the corner.

0:28:29.040 --> 0:28:31.679
<v Speaker 1>That's the silver bullet. But of course the therapeutic if

0:28:31.720 --> 0:28:34.320
<v Speaker 1>we can take death off the table. Gilly Ed's working

0:28:34.359 --> 0:28:37.479
<v Speaker 1>on a great offering there, and each day we're finding

0:28:37.600 --> 0:28:42.040
<v Speaker 1>testing is becoming more plentiful, more available, cheaper um. So

0:28:42.160 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 1>that's one area. The other area is we're seeing just

0:28:44.880 --> 0:28:48.440
<v Speaker 1>the seat change in consumer attitudes. Initially, of course, people

0:28:48.680 --> 0:28:51.080
<v Speaker 1>were scared to death that they should have been from

0:28:51.160 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>the COVID risk, they stayed in their home. Now we're

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:58.880
<v Speaker 1>saying just as much focus on people's economic health and

0:28:58.960 --> 0:29:01.840
<v Speaker 1>their mental health as opposed to the COVID risk. And

0:29:01.920 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 1>they want to get out, they want to get back

0:29:03.920 --> 0:29:06.920
<v Speaker 1>to work, they want to recreate the states all fifty

0:29:06.920 --> 0:29:08.400
<v Speaker 1>of them are now letting them to do that. And

0:29:08.480 --> 0:29:13.520
<v Speaker 1>we've seen great metrics suggesting that people are clamoring to Vegas.

0:29:14.520 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 1>Even air traffic is starting to get better. So those

0:29:17.920 --> 0:29:20.480
<v Speaker 1>those are some fundamentals that are moving in the right direction.

0:29:20.720 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 1>So what are you buying? So what are we buying? So?

0:29:24.120 --> 0:29:28.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, we basically like to to you know,

0:29:29.000 --> 0:29:32.480
<v Speaker 1>is if you are very nervous about the outlook, you

0:29:32.640 --> 0:29:35.480
<v Speaker 1>stick with that stay at home and the secular tech growers.

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:39.320
<v Speaker 1>But on the other hand, if you're more constructive and

0:29:39.560 --> 0:29:44.480
<v Speaker 1>see the benefits of historic policymaker stimulus built from the

0:29:44.520 --> 0:29:48.440
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve and from um Congress, then I think you

0:29:48.600 --> 0:29:52.240
<v Speaker 1>look for some of the blue chip cyclicals. The one

0:29:52.400 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 1>we like best quite frankly is Boeing. And why, first

0:29:56.840 --> 0:29:59.560
<v Speaker 1>of all, you've got that valuation advantage. It was over

0:29:59.640 --> 0:30:02.680
<v Speaker 1>four hundred right now it's just over two hundred. So

0:30:03.560 --> 0:30:06.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, the question is not whether any airline will

0:30:06.920 --> 0:30:09.240
<v Speaker 1>make It is whether people over the next five to

0:30:09.320 --> 0:30:11.640
<v Speaker 1>ten years will want to take to the skies again.

0:30:11.800 --> 0:30:14.640
<v Speaker 1>And we think the answer is yes. You basically got

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:17.840
<v Speaker 1>to duopoly. You've got airbust over in Europe, You've got

0:30:17.920 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 1>Boeing because of the compliance issues, because of the capital required,

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 1>no one else is going to compete with them. And

0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:26.720
<v Speaker 1>we just saw a crash over in Pakistan, unfortunately with

0:30:26.800 --> 0:30:28.960
<v Speaker 1>an Airbus plane, So no one wants to just rely

0:30:29.080 --> 0:30:32.280
<v Speaker 1>on them, and so we think that Boeing ultimately has

0:30:32.880 --> 0:30:35.120
<v Speaker 1>um the upper hand and will benefit. Now it's a

0:30:35.200 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 1>cyclical business, but a backlog of close to five thousand planes.

0:30:39.720 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, David Deet's one of the things I love

0:30:41.920 --> 0:30:44.680
<v Speaker 1>about you is like you you love these down and

0:30:44.760 --> 0:30:48.600
<v Speaker 1>out every now and again. I remember, for almost a

0:30:48.760 --> 0:30:51.160
<v Speaker 1>year or so we're talking about Wells Fargo, you were,

0:30:51.640 --> 0:30:55.360
<v Speaker 1>you were behind them all the way. I do want

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:57.440
<v Speaker 1>to talk to about Coca Cola. You know, that's one

0:30:57.520 --> 0:30:59.160
<v Speaker 1>that I grew up with down in Atlanta, and I

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:02.520
<v Speaker 1>wonder how you feel about it now. So you know,

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:06.240
<v Speaker 1>it's the chicken way to play a rebound. Here's why,

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:09.680
<v Speaker 1>because it is a consumer staple, so no matter how

0:31:09.800 --> 0:31:13.920
<v Speaker 1>bad things get, people will turn to their inexpensive luxury,

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:16.800
<v Speaker 1>which is a nice coat. Unfortunately, they make a little

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:18.600
<v Speaker 1>bit more money when you buy it at a bar

0:31:18.800 --> 0:31:20.880
<v Speaker 1>or a restaurant and when you consume it at home.

0:31:21.360 --> 0:31:23.680
<v Speaker 1>And that's taking their stuck down from sixty into the

0:31:23.760 --> 0:31:26.240
<v Speaker 1>upper forties, which by the way, is only six point

0:31:26.360 --> 0:31:29.120
<v Speaker 1>above where it was twenty two years ago. Um, so

0:31:29.440 --> 0:31:33.080
<v Speaker 1>we think that. And remember Coke is three times the

0:31:33.200 --> 0:31:37.000
<v Speaker 1>size of its nearest competitor in terms of non alcoholic beverages,

0:31:37.440 --> 0:31:41.440
<v Speaker 1>most of the businesses overseas, so it's got a distribution system,

0:31:41.520 --> 0:31:44.000
<v Speaker 1>a high marginal one because it basically they just give

0:31:44.040 --> 0:31:47.280
<v Speaker 1>the provide the concentrate and let others do the bottling

0:31:47.360 --> 0:31:51.200
<v Speaker 1>and and getting it to your door business. And and

0:31:51.600 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 1>so you have a wide wide moat. You've got a

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:57.560
<v Speaker 1>three point two percent dividends. So if things get better,

0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:00.440
<v Speaker 1>we see it drifting up from that forty nine sixty.

0:32:00.560 --> 0:32:04.000
<v Speaker 1>That's game plus your dividend. But if things continue to

0:32:04.080 --> 0:32:08.280
<v Speaker 1>stay tough, because of its size, because of that dividend,

0:32:08.320 --> 0:32:11.040
<v Speaker 1>because of its basically nonstick of coll we think the

0:32:11.120 --> 0:32:13.440
<v Speaker 1>downside risk is low. So I think it's a chicken

0:32:13.560 --> 0:32:17.720
<v Speaker 1>way to take advantage of a general reopening of the economy.

0:32:17.880 --> 0:32:21.080
<v Speaker 1>And again, three percent dividend versus less one percent of

0:32:21.120 --> 0:32:22.800
<v Speaker 1>the ten year treasury. Where are you going to be

0:32:22.880 --> 0:32:25.479
<v Speaker 1>after a couple of years? Hey, one last name, PNC

0:32:25.680 --> 0:32:28.360
<v Speaker 1>Financial is another name that you like, and that's got

0:32:28.400 --> 0:32:33.200
<v Speaker 1>a three point six dividend yield. Stocks down about this

0:32:33.280 --> 0:32:36.680
<v Speaker 1>year y p NC specifically Bursted. They're based obviously out

0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:39.959
<v Speaker 1>in Pittsburgh. Because of the big news, they sold their

0:32:40.040 --> 0:32:44.120
<v Speaker 1>stake in black Rock, so one third approximately other market

0:32:44.400 --> 0:32:48.160
<v Speaker 1>value is now in cash. That means that dividend at

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 1>three point seven percent is sake. That gives them the

0:32:50.600 --> 0:32:53.959
<v Speaker 1>option to buy back stock. It's now about was one

0:32:54.040 --> 0:32:55.600
<v Speaker 1>sixty at the start of the year, so this could

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:58.160
<v Speaker 1>be an opportune time to do that or during the

0:32:58.200 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 1>cat first to make an acquisition. We all know the

0:33:00.720 --> 0:33:04.040
<v Speaker 1>financial stockture um under pressure. So they could go to

0:33:04.120 --> 0:33:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the sun Belt, they could continue in the Midwest where

0:33:06.520 --> 0:33:08.760
<v Speaker 1>they could get some service fintech play. They've got a

0:33:08.840 --> 0:33:11.560
<v Speaker 1>lot of options. You don't have to worry about financial

0:33:11.640 --> 0:33:14.880
<v Speaker 1>stress with PNC because of that successful and timely sale

0:33:15.120 --> 0:33:17.360
<v Speaker 1>of black Rock. Well, the company CEO was making some

0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:20.800
<v Speaker 1>remarks at a Morgan Stanley conference actually today and said

0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:23.640
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna be patient to deploy capital from that sale

0:33:23.680 --> 0:33:26.600
<v Speaker 1>of black Rock. Uh and they said they consider stock

0:33:26.680 --> 0:33:30.560
<v Speaker 1>buybacks quote at the margins, and that will ideally expand geography,

0:33:30.640 --> 0:33:33.680
<v Speaker 1>focus on C and I in real estate. So you're right,

0:33:33.840 --> 0:33:35.320
<v Speaker 1>they've got some breathing room. They've got a lot of

0:33:35.320 --> 0:33:37.520
<v Speaker 1>breathing room, and expand geography sounds a lot like they're

0:33:37.560 --> 0:33:39.800
<v Speaker 1>going to buy another bank. I mean, that's what I

0:33:39.840 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 1>would say. It's like maybe if we want to be

0:33:42.400 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 1>in the South, it's like, we're not gonna open a

0:33:44.000 --> 0:33:46.160
<v Speaker 1>bunch of P ANDC branches and there are some banks

0:33:46.240 --> 0:33:49.840
<v Speaker 1>for sale down there. Good stuff, David Beats, thank you

0:33:50.160 --> 0:33:51.760
<v Speaker 1>so much. Always good to catch up the top of

0:33:51.800 --> 0:33:56.680
<v Speaker 1>the summit. President, Chief Investment Strategists for Point View Wealth Management,

0:33:57.000 --> 0:33:59.440
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for listening to Blueberg Business Week. Download

0:33:59.440 --> 0:34:02.360
<v Speaker 1>the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, Bloomberg dot com, or wherever

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:04.640
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0:34:04.680 --> 0:34:06.720
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0:34:06.800 --> 0:34:10.000
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