1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: dot com, the radio plus mobile LAP and on your radio, 3 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: this is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karen. Moscow's 4 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: docks are rising, trimming the SNP five hundreds weekly decline 5 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: as a rally and crew prices boosted energy producers. We 6 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day. 7 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,919 Speaker 1: On Boloomberg. The SNP five hundred is up six tenths 8 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: per cent or twelve points, to twenty fifty four. Dow 9 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 1: Jones Industrial average up six tenths percent, or a hundred 10 00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: nine points to seventeen thousand, six hundred fifty one. The 11 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:37,520 Speaker 1: nasdacs of half percent or twenty five points to forty 12 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 1: eight seventy three ten. Your treasury down seven thirty seconds, 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: the yield one point seven one percent. The yield on 14 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 1: the two year points seven zero percent. Nim X scrude 15 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: oil up five point three percent or a dollar ninety 16 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: eight to thirty twenty four of arrol Comax gold is 17 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 1: up to ten percent or two dollars twenty cents at 18 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: twelve thirty nine seventy and ounce. The euro and dollar 19 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 1: thirteen ninety The n one oh eight points. It's to 20 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: Federal Reserve Bank of New York. President William Dudley says 21 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 1: uncertainty over the outlook for the U S economy is 22 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: higher than usual, which calls for a conscious and gradual 23 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: approach to interest rate increases. Dudley spoken a speech in 24 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 1: Connecticut City. Graves, head of equity Trading, and Derek ben Dean, 25 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 1: will leave after almost eight years at the firm. And Okay, 26 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: Your Resources and Energy, a company controlled by South African 27 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 1: President Jacob Zuma's friends, the Guptas, said members of the 28 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 1: family resigned from its management and board following a sustained 29 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 1: political attack. And that's a Bloomberg business flash. Tom and 30 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:36,119 Speaker 1: Mike Karen, thanks so much, greatly appreciate we finished strong 31 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: for the week. Folks. We're thrilled to bring you usef 32 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 1: squality of Cantor Fitzgerald right now to give you perspective. 33 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: There's a ranking system on the Bloomberg and it's stunning out. 34 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: USEF has terrific rankings across Amazon, Alphabet, Facebook, LinkedIn and 35 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 1: others as well, he joins us. Now, of course on 36 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 1: the soap opera does your Yahoo. You just have to 37 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: protect you. I want to make clear, folks, there's a 38 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: lot of speculation and rumor in this discussion you have, Well, 39 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,920 Speaker 1: we're Mercer Mayer be involved in these negotiations or she 40 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:14,839 Speaker 1: basically been pushed aside by the board. Hi, Tom, So 41 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 1: my understandings that Marissa Meyer is not involving these negotiations, 42 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:23,679 Speaker 1: not because he got she got pushed out, um by 43 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: the board for any reason other than um, she is 44 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:32,079 Speaker 1: a potential uh bidder um if it comes to having 45 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 1: a couple of private equity guys participates. So that's right 46 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 1: where I wanted to go. I mean, we've got Alphabet 47 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 1: and Play and Verizon in play. You know, I think 48 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: of you and Mark Bhany and all the others that 49 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 1: follow the company. Do you just presume that and I'm 50 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 1: gonna pick David Rubinstein The Carlyles of the world jump in. 51 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: I mean, do you just assume that's gonna happen over 52 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 1: the weekend? It may happen. So remember they actually extended 53 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 1: the deadline to the to the eight team, so these 54 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: bidders have an additional week to think through things. But 55 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: we still think Verizon probably makes them most sense only 56 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 1: because Verizon already owns all they have a strong man 57 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,919 Speaker 1: in uh Tim Armstrong running a o l. In fact, 58 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 1: we remember that Tim has made some overtures to UH Yahoo, 59 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 1: went to Marissa before they got acquired by Verizon to 60 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:27,119 Speaker 1: try to get together, and now under the umbrella Verizon, 61 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: he's got even a stronger hand. But going back to 62 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: UM private equity, Yeah, we think Project Equity could definitely 63 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: be playing a big role. But I don't think they 64 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: can pay as much to review. It's a small company. 65 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 1: Like five billion in revenue is a reached to say 66 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: the least, and I believe that's descending within the plan. 67 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: It's shocking they have a ten percent maybe it's the 68 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: most fifteen percent EVA down margin. What's the excitement, Well, 69 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: the excitement is what you could do with it, right, 70 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: I mean, the company, as you're point, has been melting 71 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 1: ice cube for the last three years plus and Marissa, 72 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: with all the investment that she's made, it hasn't really 73 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 1: pent out all that. Well that said, taken in into 74 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:16,080 Speaker 1: a Verizon that already hasn't a well, UM, taken into 75 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:19,839 Speaker 1: Google or Alphabet, I'm not sure whether that really will happen, 76 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: but theoretically taken into another entity, stripping out a great 77 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: amount of of of uh the costs realizing some synergies 78 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: you could dramatically increase the profitability. This is a company 79 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: that includes way too many people for its size, way 80 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: too many people. Well, one area where they have people 81 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: is yeah who Japan. Verizon says they're willing to talk 82 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: about buying it, But why what would you do with that? 83 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: Um I suspect there are only two things they can do. 84 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:57,799 Speaker 1: They can either uh sell it outright to soft bank, 85 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 1: or they can um distributed to shareholders and let shareholders 86 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: do something with it. But Verizon as an entity strategically, 87 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: there's really nothing there for them. Well, here's the bottom 88 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: line question, and Matt Levine, writing for Bloomberg View today 89 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,839 Speaker 1: really sums it up. The prize in the middle of 90 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 1: this box that is one of those boxes you have 91 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:25,159 Speaker 1: to untangle is the Ali Baba shares. Who gets them 92 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 1: in the end and how do they get there? So 93 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 1: um Ali Baba would not be part at least as 94 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 1: of our understanding. Now Ali Bubba is not part of 95 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: the Verizon negotiations, of the of the Google negotiations, and 96 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 1: certainly not part of the private Equi negotiations. So the 97 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: way it would work is that they the buyer would 98 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: only buy Yahoo Coore. They may buy Yahoo Japan to 99 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: your point um, and then the rest will basically continue 100 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: to trade in the open market as a stub to 101 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 1: Ali Baba the company. So we all just wait for 102 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: them to monetize that. You buy the stock of you 103 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 1: know what's left, and wait for them to sell the 104 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 1: Alabama shairs. Correct well, as a shareholder, you could get 105 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 1: some sort of consideration for your ownership of Yahoo Core 106 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: plus in Japan, and you'd keep a stub. You'd keep 107 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: a share of Ali Babba or some fraction of the 108 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 1: share of Ali Baba based on your ownership. Yes, and 109 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: then you can do anything with it. You can sell 110 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: in the open market or you hope that made the 111 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:35,039 Speaker 1: Ali Bubba and does Major buy back buy it from 112 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 1: you thirty six thirty nine for share? Is there an 113 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:43,200 Speaker 1: arbitrage opportunity here? I understand yourself side and you have 114 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 1: a responsibility to look long term and the measure risk, etcetera, etcetera. 115 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 1: But are you storming around Cantor Fitzgerald today saying we 116 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 1: gotta do this, we gotta do that. We've waited too long, 117 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:57,480 Speaker 1: We've this The Sauba has been going on for two 118 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:00,040 Speaker 1: or three years, and everything every every every time we 119 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 1: thought something was going to happen immediately, it didn't. So 120 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: we're we're holding our breath this time around, because let's 121 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 1: just see if that's in cf A level three guys, 122 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: to hold your breath strategy. What's your Matthew, what's the string? 123 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: Absolutely do things. There's arbitrage because there's really absolutely no 124 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 1: value put on on a core right now, and to 125 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: your point early, it's probably worth somewhere between you know, 126 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: five to seven billion dollars. Okay, what's the CFO do? 127 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 1: I mean my experiences followed the CFO and all this 128 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 1: Ken Goldman would be part of you know, some private 129 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 1: equity coming into compete against Verizon or Google. Correct, that's 130 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 1: my that's that's our understanding. If if if probatly ends 131 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 1: up deciding to to make it okay, don't be a 132 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: stranger somehow. I think we'll talk to you Monday. Used 133 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: to squality, Thank you so much with cancer Fitzgerald A 134 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:55,400 Speaker 1: nice briefing there on. Yeah, I want to make clear, Uh, Mike, 135 00:07:55,880 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: what a train wreck for so long? You know, idea 136 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: of waiting too long? I mean, I guess I could 137 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: lie if my own shares and yeah, hoo, I can 138 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: lie him say I don't own him, but yeah, I'm 139 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 1: pleased to say I never have, you know, I mean 140 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: some people made some money in this thing. Yes, well, 141 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 1: and Matt Levin really sums it up well when you 142 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: always is piece, he also has a great well he's 143 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: talking about Philadelphia seventies sixers in basketball. And then the 144 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: general manager, Sam Hinky, resigned, and he resigned by writing 145 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 1: a resignation letter in the form of a Hedge Fund 146 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: annual letter to its clients, which Matt finds very hilarious. 147 00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 1: But as he points out, um, everybody wants to be 148 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 1: a contrarian these days. And in its simplest form, contrarian 149 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 1: ism is a thing's price goes down and you buy it, 150 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 1: or in the case of many money managers, you buy 151 00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: it it's price goes down, and then you say I 152 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: found deep value in my portfolio. In deep vailue is 153 00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 1: the new phrase. You hear it everywhere. And you know, folks, 154 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: I'm going to go back to the you know, and 155 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 1: and what has been a very strange wreek And we're 156 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: honored by our guests that have appeared with us to 157 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 1: give us wisdom. There's a linear function within all that 158 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 1: we do, whether it's finance or economics. And at the 159 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 1: back end is this mysterious thing epsilon, the Greek letter. 160 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:20,079 Speaker 1: It looks like an e, sort of a rounded E. 161 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: I don't think anybody in the architecture of our system 162 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 1: has a clue what that epsilon is right now. I mean, 163 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: I'm still i Olivier Blanchard said to me today he 164 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 1: does not believe in negative interest rates. That's profound. I mean, 165 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: that's a big deal that a guy like that would 166 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 1: just flat out stated they're not going to fix things. Bizarre. Yeah, well, 167 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: I mean, what are you gonna do? What's your what's 168 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 1: your wisdom? We got retail sales next week, do we 169 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 1: That's gonna be important because they didn't do so well 170 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:00,480 Speaker 1: last but and we also saw car sale US go down, 171 00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 1: So maybe we're going to We're gonna have issues seconds. 172 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: The savings rate is up, Chris Lowe mentioned it earlier. 173 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 1: Is the savings rate up? Good for America? Michael McKee, 174 00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: It's one of those things you got to put in context. 175 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: If it's up and the money is being used to 176 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:22,360 Speaker 1: invest in uh growth, Yes, if it's up and people 177 00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 1: are just basically hiding it under the mattress. No, which 178 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: seems to be the paradox of thrift if everybody says 179 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 1: at once, it's good for each individual and not for 180 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: society as a home. And one of the forty articles 181 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 1: in Japan this weekend mysterious about strong yend. There was 182 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 1: an entire article about I'm gonna guess ten thousand yen 183 00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: notes because so many people are keeping money under the mattress, 184 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:48,680 Speaker 1: because the phrase goes in Japan to show the this 185 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 1: has been a great week. We've had just fantastic guests, 186 00:10:52,679 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 1: all of our team, yes, all of except why you 187 00:10:55,440 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: he did nothing? But other than that, we particularly Lisa 188 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:05,439 Speaker 1: Abramowitz for showing up today from Bloomberg gad Fly We 189 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 1: are produced by Boden as his birthday. I was paid 190 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 1: to say that. Ken follow our global technical director from 191 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: New York Bloomberg Surveillance