1
00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:12,040
Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

2
00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,360
Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning edition of

3
00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,960
Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. I'm your host, Matt perral Teach

4
00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,000
Speaker 2: here each and every morning for the Daily Juice being

5
00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,400
Speaker 2: brought to you by your friends at BETMGM. You guys

6
00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:26,040
Speaker 2: will find this podcast wherever you get your podcasts, on

7
00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,280
Speaker 2: YouTube for video and on Bettingpros dot com. Each and

8
00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,960
Speaker 2: every single morning, we are here after a three and

9
00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:36,000
Speaker 2: one night on Monday night football, the over comes in

10
00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:41,400
Speaker 2: for one full unit. Look, I'm going to ask something

11
00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:45,440
Speaker 2: of all of you who are if you're going to

12
00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,519
Speaker 2: trail my bets, Okay, you don't have to. You can

13
00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,559
Speaker 2: fade whatever you want, but do me a favor. Do

14
00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:57,040
Speaker 2: not write me DMS and messages in the first quarter anymore.

15
00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:03,800
Speaker 2: I'm getting annoyed. Okay, a first quarter means nothing. Really,

16
00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:07,360
Speaker 2: it was seven to nothing the Ravens in the first quarter,

17
00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:09,800
Speaker 2: and I was getting people who were writing to me

18
00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:13,280
Speaker 2: on the Discord channel and writing to me on Twitter. Ah, Man,

19
00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:17,960
Speaker 2: the Overs dead. This sucks. Really the Over's dead.

20
00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:18,880
Speaker 1: Huh?

21
00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,240
Speaker 2: Well, the over didn't just hit it cleared it by

22
00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:26,760
Speaker 2: a mile. Raider games and overs get used to betting

23
00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,800
Speaker 2: them We're gonna bet them for a while. They can score. Guys,

24
00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,600
Speaker 2: they have an offense. There's gonna force feed Darren Waller too.

25
00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:35,759
Speaker 2: I want what are the books gonna do for Darren

26
00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:37,199
Speaker 2: Waller targets next week?

27
00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:38,759
Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, what.

28
00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,440
Speaker 2: Did he end up with? Like twenty It was crazy.

29
00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,360
Speaker 2: They just threw it to him every time, but his

30
00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:46,160
Speaker 2: prop went way over. It could have hit, like in

31
00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:47,960
Speaker 2: the first quarter if he hung onto a couple of

32
00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,440
Speaker 2: the passes that he dropped. But he goes over the

33
00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:52,800
Speaker 2: prop sixty eight and a half yards. That's over. That

34
00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:54,760
Speaker 2: cash is for a quarter unit. I told you just

35
00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:56,560
Speaker 2: one big play for Henry Ruggs, and then he got

36
00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,680
Speaker 2: one big play late in the game to set up

37
00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,960
Speaker 2: that game tying touchdown the fourth of the game in overtime,

38
00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:03,720
Speaker 2: Ruggs got it, So that was great. So we got

39
00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:05,920
Speaker 2: Hendry Ruggs over thirty five and a half yurs receiving,

40
00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,080
Speaker 2: so we go two and zero on the props. We

41
00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:11,280
Speaker 2: came back with a play on the Ravens minus three

42
00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:11,800
Speaker 2: and a half.

43
00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:14,040
Speaker 1: Okay. I talked about this in the.

44
00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:17,520
Speaker 2: Latest episode of The Sharp's Report with Sean Lockhart aka

45
00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:19,440
Speaker 2: Papa Bear is going to be the guest this week

46
00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:22,040
Speaker 2: that will be out on Wednesday morning where you get

47
00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,160
Speaker 2: your podcasts. We talked a little bit about this, but

48
00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,080
Speaker 2: I'll talk about it now here, just real quick, because

49
00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:27,960
Speaker 2: I learned a big lesson and I'm kind of annoyed

50
00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:28,520
Speaker 2: with myself.

51
00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:30,160
Speaker 1: There were two things that bothered me.

52
00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:33,640
Speaker 2: The first DraftKings put out information that was incorrect about

53
00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:34,560
Speaker 2: where the money was.

54
00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:36,400
Speaker 1: They had money. They had a.

55
00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:38,880
Speaker 2: Stat of a graphic that was out that showed massive

56
00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:42,000
Speaker 2: liability all the money on the Raiders coming in, and

57
00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,560
Speaker 2: the number came down. So I thought that was a

58
00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:48,080
Speaker 2: line move due to the Raiders coming down, and so

59
00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:51,320
Speaker 2: it went closed at three. Okay, I was waiting for three.

60
00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:53,400
Speaker 2: I didn't get it. I bet three and a half.

61
00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:55,800
Speaker 2: I had to teach my class. I say four o'clock,

62
00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:57,840
Speaker 2: so I had to bet it at four o'clock. By

63
00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,520
Speaker 2: four point thirty the number specific time, the number had

64
00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,320
Speaker 2: dropped to three. Everybody was betting the Raiders, betting the Raiders,

65
00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:05,119
Speaker 2: betting the Raiders, and the books had to go to three.

66
00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,120
Speaker 2: They didn't want to, but they did. I'm not sure

67
00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:09,519
Speaker 2: if they got any buyback on the Ravens at three

68
00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,120
Speaker 2: for the Raiders but I really liked the Raiders all week.

69
00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:15,920
Speaker 2: In fact, for my circa picks, I was going to

70
00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,639
Speaker 2: take the Raiders at plus four. I got talked out

71
00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,400
Speaker 2: of it. Nobody else wanted to trail me for the

72
00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:24,280
Speaker 2: Daily Juice team. By the way, my five picks. If

73
00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,280
Speaker 2: we had just played my five picks in the circa,

74
00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,160
Speaker 2: I went five and oh. Indeed, Ez he can back

75
00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,480
Speaker 2: me up on this because I posted to him. I

76
00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,200
Speaker 2: told him here would be my five picks. I would

77
00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:39,280
Speaker 2: have gone five and ol, so at least I know

78
00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:41,200
Speaker 2: I'm seeing the board right. For the circa, out of

79
00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,800
Speaker 2: the Gate went four and one because Washington was the

80
00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,000
Speaker 2: team that Papa Bear, who happens to be my partner.

81
00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:48,360
Speaker 2: He's the guest this week on the Sharp Support, but

82
00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:51,800
Speaker 2: he's my partner in the In the circa, we went.

83
00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:53,600
Speaker 1: Four and one because we had Washington, but I went

84
00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:54,600
Speaker 1: five and one. I didn't like.

85
00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:56,400
Speaker 2: I went five and oh, I didn't like Washington. We

86
00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:58,560
Speaker 2: went two and three because we bet the packers. I

87
00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:01,560
Speaker 2: faded that with the Saints and went with Washington. That

88
00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,920
Speaker 2: didn't cash either, and then I forget who else we

89
00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:06,560
Speaker 2: had in that it didn't cash, But two and three

90
00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:07,880
Speaker 2: I would have gone five and oh if we just

91
00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:12,040
Speaker 2: played my personal picks for the for both teams the

92
00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,920
Speaker 2: Daily Juice A team and for the team for pushing

93
00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:17,040
Speaker 2: the odds as well in the circum million. But so

94
00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:20,720
Speaker 2: I like the Raiders all week, so I got this information. Hmm, okay,

95
00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:22,080
Speaker 2: a lot of people are on the Raiders.

96
00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:22,760
Speaker 1: I don't like this.

97
00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:26,520
Speaker 2: Then ESPN Stats and Information comes out and says that

98
00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,680
Speaker 2: over the weekend, eleven and four is what underdogs went,

99
00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:33,800
Speaker 2: including eight of them winning outright. If the Raiders had

100
00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:36,719
Speaker 2: won the game or covered, it would have been a

101
00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,960
Speaker 2: twelve and four start for underdogs, the best start in

102
00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:44,000
Speaker 2: Week one for underdogs against the number in the Super

103
00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:48,039
Speaker 2: Bowl era of the NFL. Okay, nineteen sixty okay, a

104
00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:52,680
Speaker 2: long time ago. Oh my, I hate that. So I'm thinking, okay,

105
00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:55,719
Speaker 2: money on the Raiders. Everyone's seeing that trend, everyone's betting

106
00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,599
Speaker 2: that trend. Let's fade that trend. So that's why I

107
00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,920
Speaker 2: bet the Ravens minus three and a half. I had

108
00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,160
Speaker 2: liked the Raiders plus four all week, and then I

109
00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:05,800
Speaker 2: took the Ravens mins three and a half only for

110
00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:08,520
Speaker 2: half a unit, but I took it because I thought

111
00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:11,839
Speaker 2: that information from DraftKings Zacher. It wasn't Draft Kins had

112
00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:15,600
Speaker 2: a mistake that wasn't right. The morning their morning number

113
00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:19,000
Speaker 2: was wrong. I posted every morning in the Discord channel

114
00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,640
Speaker 2: it was wrong. In reality, they were heavy on the Ravens.

115
00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:26,520
Speaker 2: They needed the Raiders here in Vegas, yeah, they needed

116
00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:30,919
Speaker 2: the Ravens, but everywhere else needed the Raiders. And what happened,

117
00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:34,560
Speaker 2: walk off overtime win for the Raiders, which, by the way,

118
00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:39,200
Speaker 2: for our over six and a half wins for the Raiders. Yeah,

119
00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:43,200
Speaker 2: that's what we're after there. That's a huge win on

120
00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:45,719
Speaker 2: Monday Night football. And I've been telling you guys this

121
00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:48,719
Speaker 2: when it was my favorite bet going into the NFL year.

122
00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:51,400
Speaker 2: The Raiders are going to win eight games, the same

123
00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:53,039
Speaker 2: way that I sat here and told you that the

124
00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,520
Speaker 2: Boston Red Sox were going to win at least eighty games,

125
00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,120
Speaker 2: if not eighty five, eighty six, eighty seven, the Boston

126
00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:01,040
Speaker 2: Red Sox were going to go over seven nine and

127
00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,479
Speaker 2: a half wins. They're already there, the same confidence I

128
00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:06,760
Speaker 2: had going into the Raiders, where the Raiders are going

129
00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,640
Speaker 2: to win seven games or more. Okay, I like eight

130
00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:12,320
Speaker 2: six and a half, so what I bet, But they're

131
00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,120
Speaker 2: going to win eight nine games. Okay, they just won

132
00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,240
Speaker 2: one and no one really thought that they were gonna

133
00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:17,640
Speaker 2: win that game.

134
00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:18,719
Speaker 1: But they were a home dog.

135
00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:22,680
Speaker 2: So in the NFL, twelve and four home dogs, and

136
00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,520
Speaker 2: nine of them won the game outright. How about that

137
00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:33,040
Speaker 2: nine outright wins. It's crazy. But I'm really mad because

138
00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,120
Speaker 2: I could have swept. If I didn't just listen to myself,

139
00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:37,039
Speaker 2: I could have swept. We could have gone four. Now

140
00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:39,640
Speaker 2: instead we're up nearly a full unit. Instead of being

141
00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,039
Speaker 2: up we would have been up two units. I'm up

142
00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,560
Speaker 2: nearly one unit, so like point nine. So okay, it's

143
00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:47,560
Speaker 2: a winning day. It's a good way to end the

144
00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,479
Speaker 2: week because essentially we end the week the Friday, Saturday

145
00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,320
Speaker 2: Sunday we end up okay, we end up actually making

146
00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:55,599
Speaker 2: money for the weekend because of the way we finished

147
00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:58,360
Speaker 2: on Monday. So Friday was down the juice. Saturday was

148
00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:00,000
Speaker 2: down the juice, but it was a half a unit.

149
00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,360
Speaker 2: So we come back with a point nine win. So

150
00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:05,200
Speaker 2: for the weekend we're up point four unit. It's nothing exciting,

151
00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,880
Speaker 2: but we're winning. That's better than losing. So here we go.

152
00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:09,479
Speaker 1: All right, so what are we doing today?

153
00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,920
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you my first two college football Week

154
00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:15,840
Speaker 2: three bets today to keep college football fifteen five and

155
00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:18,320
Speaker 2: one in college football. We're gonna keep going with college

156
00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:21,000
Speaker 2: football here because I want some good numbers. Let's bet

157
00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,160
Speaker 2: it early in the week to get the best numbers.

158
00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:25,440
Speaker 2: And then I've got one baseball bet for you guys

159
00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:27,360
Speaker 2: coming up here today for a half a unit, because

160
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,600
Speaker 2: I've got to give you something for today. I'm gonna

161
00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,200
Speaker 2: bet with you and we're gonna jump in together just

162
00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:34,800
Speaker 2: because it's a baseball game and I don't want to

163
00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:37,480
Speaker 2: bet baseball, but finally in a bet one baseball game today,

164
00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,360
Speaker 2: and maybe I'll come back with a proper too. But man,

165
00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:44,240
Speaker 2: this is the first real letdown. Tuesdays are ruh because

166
00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:46,600
Speaker 2: we don't have Mac football on Wednesdays yet. We don't

167
00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,240
Speaker 2: have Mac football on Thursdays yet, or even on Tuesdays yet.

168
00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,040
Speaker 2: We just don't have that yet. That's coming, but not,

169
00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,680
Speaker 2: you know, our first college games, not until I think

170
00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:55,920
Speaker 2: Friday this week.

171
00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:56,680
Speaker 1: I think that's right.

172
00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:58,800
Speaker 2: So it's kind of a bummer. But I'm gonna give

173
00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:00,440
Speaker 2: you two plays there in the one bay, Okay, So

174
00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:02,680
Speaker 2: let's start with the baseball play and then I'll give

175
00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:04,840
Speaker 2: you the football playces. Okay, so let's talk about the

176
00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:07,080
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go back to a team. I like betting

177
00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:09,800
Speaker 2: on San Francisco team. I like betting on, and frankly,

178
00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:12,440
Speaker 2: I just think the Padres are done and they're throwing

179
00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:16,160
Speaker 2: Jake Arietta, Anthony de Sclafani going on the their side

180
00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,040
Speaker 2: eleven and six, three point three three year right against Arietta.

181
00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:22,840
Speaker 2: He just isn't any good. The Giants have won games

182
00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:25,160
Speaker 2: nine to one. They got beat by the Padres the

183
00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:27,440
Speaker 2: game before that eleven to one, but they've won seven

184
00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:31,640
Speaker 2: to one, five, four, seven to one. In of the

185
00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,920
Speaker 2: last five games they've played, the Giants have won four

186
00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:38,480
Speaker 2: of them. They're four and one against them since this

187
00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:42,280
Speaker 2: swoon has started. Have you seen that the Padres are

188
00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,920
Speaker 2: seventy four and sixty nine, They're thirty and thirty eight

189
00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:49,760
Speaker 2: on the road. They're nearly they could end under five

190
00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:50,680
Speaker 2: hundred this year.

191
00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:51,640
Speaker 1: It's crazy.

192
00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,679
Speaker 2: The Giants are forty six and twenty three at home.

193
00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:58,400
Speaker 2: They're just killing people. They just won nine to one

194
00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:01,040
Speaker 2: last night against San Diego. I think the Padres just

195
00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:03,640
Speaker 2: want to be done. And frankly, I mean, if you

196
00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:06,400
Speaker 2: look at the way the Giants are being chased by

197
00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:07,040
Speaker 2: the Dodgers.

198
00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:09,559
Speaker 1: Every one of these games are important to them.

199
00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:12,520
Speaker 2: Every one of these wins will be important to them,

200
00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,520
Speaker 2: one just for winning the division, but also trying to

201
00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:19,920
Speaker 2: have the best record. And they've already clinched a playoff spot,

202
00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,760
Speaker 2: but no way if they clinched the division, So they

203
00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:24,880
Speaker 2: got to get after this. And I mean technically they

204
00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:27,280
Speaker 2: could still be a wildcard team if they're not comfortable.

205
00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:31,719
Speaker 2: So the run line is plus money. It's plus one

206
00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,720
Speaker 2: twenty on the run line for the Giants for half

207
00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,320
Speaker 2: a unit. I'm jumping on the Giants to keep the

208
00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,239
Speaker 2: misery train going with the Padres.

209
00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,560
Speaker 1: They're done. There are seasons over. Let's just go with

210
00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:44,200
Speaker 1: the Padre with the Dodgers.

211
00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:46,199
Speaker 2: Sorry, with the Giants here to keep themselves in front

212
00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:48,680
Speaker 2: of the Dodgers, who won five to one yesterday against

213
00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:53,400
Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks. Run line Giants DraftKings has is a plus

214
00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:54,880
Speaker 2: one twenty. You can jump on it right now if

215
00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:58,679
Speaker 2: you like run line Giants plus one twenty against the

216
00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:01,160
Speaker 2: Padres is for a half unit. Is our first and

217
00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:04,320
Speaker 2: only baseball play of the day. Okay, half a unit there,

218
00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:07,480
Speaker 2: let's talk about two full unit plays. Let's start with

219
00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:12,440
Speaker 2: a late game on Saturday between Arizona State and BYU. Yes,

220
00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,840
Speaker 2: I'm going back to BYU. Arizona State's on the road

221
00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:18,880
Speaker 2: BYU at home again. It's the third consecutive game for

222
00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:22,760
Speaker 2: the Cougars in up against Pac twelve opponents. They beat Arizona,

223
00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,120
Speaker 2: they beat Utah. Here they go try to make it

224
00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:29,440
Speaker 2: three for three at home in provo. Cougars are a

225
00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:33,559
Speaker 2: home dog again. They were laying seven to Utah. They

226
00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:35,800
Speaker 2: won the game outright, They're laying three and a half

227
00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:40,600
Speaker 2: points here to Arizona State right now. Arizona State is

228
00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,840
Speaker 2: an offense that's looking pretty good. They're averaging thirty nine

229
00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:48,280
Speaker 2: points per game BYU, their defense only giving up about

230
00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:51,600
Speaker 2: sixteen points per game. It's not easy to run the

231
00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:54,520
Speaker 2: ball on these Cougars. Not easy to throw the ball

232
00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,520
Speaker 2: either on these Cougars. But this offense for the Sun

233
00:10:57,559 --> 00:11:00,880
Speaker 2: Devils is very good. This defense for the Sun Devils

234
00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:03,880
Speaker 2: is sneaky. They're only giving up twelve points per game

235
00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:04,240
Speaker 2: right now.

236
00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:04,480
Speaker 1: Now.

237
00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:06,680
Speaker 2: Part of that is level of competition. They just played

238
00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:10,480
Speaker 2: up against UNLV. That didn't cover against UNLV. In fact,

239
00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:14,160
Speaker 2: Arizona State is zero to two this year. Against the spread,

240
00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:17,640
Speaker 2: the Cougars only average only allowed four point six yards

241
00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,040
Speaker 2: per rush, that's top one hundred. But the Sun Devils

242
00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:21,920
Speaker 2: are eighteenth best and running the football right now five

243
00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:25,199
Speaker 2: point nine yards per carry. Again, it's where they're playing,

244
00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:27,840
Speaker 2: who they're playing up against, but they have the fifteenth

245
00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:31,400
Speaker 2: ranked rushing offense in college football in FBS right now.

246
00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,480
Speaker 2: With that two hundred and fifty six yards on the ground,

247
00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:37,120
Speaker 2: They've got some talented guys who can move the football now.

248
00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:41,200
Speaker 2: Arizona State's defense I think is better than people think

249
00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:43,080
Speaker 2: this year, and I think Herm Edwards has a team

250
00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:45,480
Speaker 2: that he thinks can compete to win the Pac twelve.

251
00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:48,720
Speaker 2: Sun Devils are a team that I think is flying

252
00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:51,680
Speaker 2: a little bit under the radar. And I love fading

253
00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:58,000
Speaker 2: teams off of monster emotional victories BYU at home after

254
00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:02,160
Speaker 2: beating Utah storm the field, how do you get back

255
00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:05,480
Speaker 2: up again up against Arizona State? Like, where are you

256
00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:08,760
Speaker 2: mentally going into this game? I don't think they're gonna

257
00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:10,800
Speaker 2: be there. ESPN's putting the game on TV. It's a

258
00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,760
Speaker 2: late nine game on Saturday night, ten to fifteen Eastern time,

259
00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,800
Speaker 2: so it's a late night close of your football season football,

260
00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:21,000
Speaker 2: Week three. But I think Jayden Daniels is a guy

261
00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:23,040
Speaker 2: who's gonna be able to put up some numbers here.

262
00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:25,719
Speaker 2: He's thrown for three hundred and seven yards so far

263
00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,600
Speaker 2: this year, is completing seventy three percent of his passes. Again,

264
00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,360
Speaker 2: it's a level of competition, but he's got some real

265
00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:34,360
Speaker 2: weapons to throw to. And I just think this defense

266
00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:39,080
Speaker 2: for Arizona State is gonna make Jaron Hall's life difficult.

267
00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:42,240
Speaker 2: And I know that they ran the ball really well

268
00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,160
Speaker 2: and they threw the ball really well against Utah's defense.

269
00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:48,280
Speaker 2: But there was so much emotion going into that losing

270
00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,839
Speaker 2: streak nine consecutive years. They were so desperate to do that.

271
00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:55,439
Speaker 2: They stormed the field numbers three and a half. Look,

272
00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,920
Speaker 2: I'm taking Arizona State Arizona State to snap this two

273
00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,360
Speaker 2: game win streak for EYU. I don't think they go

274
00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,360
Speaker 2: three for three against Pac twelve teams. I think Arizona

275
00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:06,600
Speaker 2: State's the best team they've played so far, and I

276
00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:08,920
Speaker 2: think Arizona State it's gonna show it. For that matter,

277
00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:11,720
Speaker 2: Arizona State miles three and a half for a full unit.

278
00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:15,200
Speaker 2: Do not buy points in college football, Okay, do not

279
00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:18,480
Speaker 2: buy points in college football. Lay the three and a half,

280
00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:19,640
Speaker 2: Lay the four if.

281
00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:21,599
Speaker 1: You have to. I think you're gonna be okay. I

282
00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:21,880
Speaker 1: don't know.

283
00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:23,880
Speaker 2: I'd probably bet this all over to six. Okay, but

284
00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:26,040
Speaker 2: you know I got three and a half. Go ahead

285
00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,000
Speaker 2: and drop it in. Bet MGM was at three and

286
00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:29,880
Speaker 2: a half. You can get on bet MGM here. Use

287
00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:32,200
Speaker 2: the bet MGM offer if you'd like on this the

288
00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:34,880
Speaker 2: bet MGM offer that you guys, it's always available to

289
00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:37,400
Speaker 2: you want to hop on. It is a available for

290
00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:39,959
Speaker 2: new users. You bet ten dollars on any event. You're

291
00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:42,480
Speaker 2: gonna win one hundred and fifty dollars in credits regards

292
00:13:42,520 --> 00:13:44,920
Speaker 2: of the outcome using the promo code Juice one fifty

293
00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:47,280
Speaker 2: it's always above me here on YouTube to go into it.

294
00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:50,199
Speaker 2: Bet ten bucks to win one fifty on any event

295
00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:54,360
Speaker 2: with the promo code Juice one fifty Okay, Juice one

296
00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:56,920
Speaker 2: fifty ten buck bet you win one hundred fifty bucks

297
00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:59,240
Speaker 2: from bet mgm. You can use it for this game

298
00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,679
Speaker 2: if you'd like. On air Zone State in BYU, I'm

299
00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:03,520
Speaker 2: laying the three and a half on the road for

300
00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:05,280
Speaker 2: Arizona State up against.

301
00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,360
Speaker 1: BYU for one full unit.

302
00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:10,640
Speaker 2: The second play that I like a lot, and I

303
00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:15,080
Speaker 2: am going to fade Indiana here up against Cincinnati. I

304
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:18,800
Speaker 2: like Desmond Ritter a lot. Okay, desmin Ter is completing

305
00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:21,080
Speaker 2: eighty percent of his passes. Part of it is who

306
00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,760
Speaker 2: they're playing. Okay, I understand it. But whenever you have

307
00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:26,400
Speaker 2: a program like Cincinnati that goes on the road to

308
00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:28,880
Speaker 2: a Big ten team, in particular, with a team like

309
00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:32,640
Speaker 2: Cincinnati who's about to go to the Big twelve, everyone's watching,

310
00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:36,680
Speaker 2: everyone's wondering, are you legitimate? Can you do it? BYU

311
00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:39,000
Speaker 2: just had their big win to say, Okay, we're coming

312
00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:40,600
Speaker 2: in the Big twelve. Look what we're doing to pack

313
00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:43,720
Speaker 2: twelve schools. This is the chance for Cincinnati to beat

314
00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:45,520
Speaker 2: up on a Big ten team.

315
00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:46,600
Speaker 1: And I get it.

316
00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:49,560
Speaker 2: There are some stats that go against Cincinnati here in

317
00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:51,840
Speaker 2: terms of taking on Big ten teams on the road.

318
00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:56,000
Speaker 2: Last week against Idaho, finally that offense showed up and

319
00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:58,600
Speaker 2: Michael Pennock junior played the way he's supposed to be playing,

320
00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:00,840
Speaker 2: and they blew out a bad you know, a kind

321
00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,520
Speaker 2: of a crummy Idaho team six and two last year

322
00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:06,520
Speaker 2: under Tom Allen, returning seventeen starters, but they lost to

323
00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,920
Speaker 2: Iowa badly. Then they bounced back and rid themselves of

324
00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:13,080
Speaker 2: that bad loss. But now they're taking on Cincinnati. The

325
00:15:13,160 --> 00:15:16,760
Speaker 2: last time since they played, they won forty two seven

326
00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,640
Speaker 2: against Murray State. Okay, you know they didn't cover, but

327
00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:22,600
Speaker 2: who cares. The Bearcats have been favored, you know, by

328
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,280
Speaker 2: three times this season and they've only covered one of

329
00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:30,280
Speaker 2: those spreads. I just think this is a opportunity at

330
00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:32,600
Speaker 2: two to zero four. I guess it would be two

331
00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:35,360
Speaker 2: times they've been favored by three points. The line is

332
00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,080
Speaker 2: three and a half. It opened at three, it's now

333
00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:40,480
Speaker 2: three and a half. I hate the fact, don't buy

334
00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:42,920
Speaker 2: the point. I would much rather have three here on

335
00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:46,240
Speaker 2: this with a road contest. But I do think that

336
00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:49,320
Speaker 2: the Bearcats are going to score here. And the Hoosiers

337
00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:52,720
Speaker 2: defense is not great. Okay, we saw it with Iowa.

338
00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:56,480
Speaker 2: Iowa moved the football on Indiana. I think Desmond Mittering

339
00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:59,160
Speaker 2: Company they're going to move the football a ton here.

340
00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:01,520
Speaker 2: I think that Bears are going to force turnovers for

341
00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,600
Speaker 2: Michael Pennix. That was the big problem up against Iowa.

342
00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:07,880
Speaker 2: He threw three interceptions. I just think this is going

343
00:16:07,920 --> 00:16:11,200
Speaker 2: to be a turnover opportunity for the Cincinnati Bearcats defense.

344
00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:13,600
Speaker 2: I think it's going to be probably a low scoring game.

345
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:18,600
Speaker 2: But I Indiana has hit two overs so far this year.

346
00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:20,440
Speaker 2: But I just I don't think that this is going

347
00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:22,760
Speaker 2: to be a high scoring game. I think Sanai's gonna score,

348
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:26,560
Speaker 2: but they're going to stop Indiana's offense. And look, if

349
00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:28,640
Speaker 2: there's gonna be a close game at all, it's gonna

350
00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:31,040
Speaker 2: be Indiana's defense surprising Cincinnati's try.

351
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:32,400
Speaker 1: To keep them out of the end zone.

352
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:36,160
Speaker 2: But I think Rismon Ridders got some real great weapons

353
00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,360
Speaker 2: to throw to. Ford's a good running back that they

354
00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,240
Speaker 2: can go to, turn around get the ball to. I

355
00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:44,160
Speaker 2: just think Cincinnati is a better team. This is an

356
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:48,040
Speaker 2: early start, twelve noon start on Saturday morning. ESPN's got

357
00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:51,400
Speaker 2: the broadcast from Bloomington, Indiana. I think Cincinnati's got a

358
00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:53,960
Speaker 2: chance to kind of announce themselves a little bit here

359
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,240
Speaker 2: and put up a number on a big ten team

360
00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:58,760
Speaker 2: and say, look, Ridder's got a chance to be in

361
00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:01,720
Speaker 2: the Heisman conversation, and he's not gonna blow it. He's

362
00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:03,360
Speaker 2: got a chance to go and put up some big

363
00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,960
Speaker 2: numbers and show out a little bit and show off

364
00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:06,480
Speaker 2: a little bit.

365
00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,119
Speaker 1: Again, it's an early time, so.

366
00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:10,240
Speaker 2: At nine am my time on Saturday, so it's an

367
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,040
Speaker 2: early start time for this game. This will be the

368
00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:15,520
Speaker 2: first game that I'll be watching. But forty five points

369
00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:18,280
Speaker 2: per game for Cincinnati. My guess is they come in

370
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,280
Speaker 2: somewhere around that and do exactly what they have been

371
00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:24,480
Speaker 2: doing to so many teams. They beat Miami, Ohio forty

372
00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 2: nine to fourteen. They beat Murray State forty two seven.

373
00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:30,399
Speaker 2: I'm not sure that Indiana is much better than those teams.

374
00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:31,760
Speaker 2: To be quite honest, I don't know. I don't know

375
00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,199
Speaker 2: how good Indiana is. Thirty four to six loss to Iowa,

376
00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:36,200
Speaker 2: fifty six to fourteen win over Idaho.

377
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,720
Speaker 1: Again, Indiana was one of my teams coming into the year.

378
00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:41,080
Speaker 1: I'm off them.

379
00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,880
Speaker 2: Cincinnati, big win, lay the three and a half Bearcats

380
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,359
Speaker 2: on the road, beat up on the Hoosiers. Okay, so

381
00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:51,760
Speaker 2: three plays run line Giants against the Padres at plus

382
00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:55,320
Speaker 2: one twenty for a half a unit. Arizona State minus

383
00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:57,960
Speaker 2: three and a half up against BYU on the road

384
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,520
Speaker 2: in Provo late night Saturday night, one full unit on

385
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,200
Speaker 2: Arizona State minus three and a half, and we're going

386
00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:06,960
Speaker 2: minus three and a half. Cincinnati on the road at

387
00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:11,679
Speaker 2: Indiana Road favorites difficult, but I think better football teams

388
00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:14,800
Speaker 2: going on the road hostile environments, but I do think

389
00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:16,760
Speaker 2: they have a chance to go and showcase just based

390
00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 2: upon town alone. I like Cincinnati, I like Arizona State

391
00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:22,919
Speaker 2: laying the three and a half points, not big lines

392
00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:25,439
Speaker 2: that we're laying here with the better football team, so

393
00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,320
Speaker 2: I'm comfortable doing it. Those are the plays coming up

394
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,520
Speaker 2: here for today. My name is Matt Parult. You guys

395
00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter at sports dot Matt. Each

396
00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:35,120
Speaker 2: and other morning, it's the Deli Juice Podcast being brought

397
00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:48,880
Speaker 2: to you by BETTMGM right here on bettingpros dot com.