1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:05,119 Speaker 1: Live from our nation's camera. How do we reopen this economy? 2 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: The latest on how this pandemic is impacting farmers. What 3 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:11,480 Speaker 1: does this do? From the United States relationship with China? 4 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sound On, The insiders, the influencers, the inside. We're 5 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 1: responding to this crisis and manufacturers are stepping up like 6 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: never before. You're looking at seveny Kennedys for different duct teams. 7 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:26,160 Speaker 1: How do we make sure a pandemic of this sale 8 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 1: never happens again? This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin 9 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: Surrelate on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f 10 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: m h D two Long Weekend Alert. We get the 11 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: latest on an optimistic job to day for Maddie Doubler 12 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: and the latest on the US China front with Mark Ross, 13 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: plus a special exclusive interview with d n C Chairman 14 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:51,959 Speaker 1: and the former Labor Secretary Tom Perez, as well as 15 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: my exclusive interview with the Under Secretary of State for 16 00:00:55,160 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: Economic Affairs Keith Kroc. Some optimistic jobs numbers on the 17 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: economic front. Did you see this? President Trump taking a 18 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:09,960 Speaker 1: victory lap of sorts after the jobs gains smashed estimates 19 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: last month as the lockdown's ease. While initial unemployment filings 20 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: for the last week, we're less than impressive. The unemployment rate, folks, 21 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: declined to eleven point one percent from thirteen point three 22 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: percent just within the last month. Now, remember the consensus 23 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 1: was twelve point five percent. So I mean that is 24 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 1: that is really a full nearly percentage point and a 25 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:38,480 Speaker 1: half declined from what the economists thought was going to happen. 26 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:42,200 Speaker 1: So the unemployment rate eleven point one percent, again, that's 27 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: a decline from thirteen point three and that was enough 28 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: to have President Trump feeling very very optimistic. But and 29 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,200 Speaker 1: you know, I'm a I'm an optimist, but we gotta 30 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: be real as well. And that is before all of 31 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: the U states have started did some some additional closures, 32 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: you know what I mean. I mean, we've got you know, 33 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 1: upticks in California and Arizona and Texas, New York. Remember 34 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: they're doing the in the enforced face mask rule in Pennsylvania. 35 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 1: But the stock market liked it, you know, they were 36 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 1: still very optimistic. U s stocks jumped on better than 37 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:22,679 Speaker 1: expected jobs data, though gains were tempered somewhat by coronavirus 38 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:26,399 Speaker 1: concerns reading from the Bloomberg terminal. The SMP five hundreds 39 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: rally extended for a fourth day, and the nazdacs set 40 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: another record. Treasuries were little changed, with ten year yields 41 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 1: hovering around point six seven per cent. And that is 42 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 1: where I begin my exclusive interview tonight with Democratic National 43 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 1: Committee Chairman Tom Perez. Remember, prior to taking this position, 44 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:51,639 Speaker 1: he served in the Obama administration as the Labor Secretary, 45 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: so he knows all about these job numbers, and I 46 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 1: wanted to know whether or not the economy is recovering 47 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: fast enough and secure enough for his liking. Take a listen, 48 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 1: we won't have a recovery until we fixed the pandemic. Kevin, Uh, 49 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 1: that's the reality. I want people to get back to 50 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 1: work as soon as possible, and I'm heartened that people 51 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 1: were getting back to work. The challenge we have here 52 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 1: is that until we fix the pandemic and and really 53 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 1: do it at scale, we're going to continue to see 54 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 1: record unemployment numbers. The the job report last month with 55 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:31,079 Speaker 1: the numbers were driven largely by leisure in hospitality that 56 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: drove about the job growth and the unemployment rate and 57 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: leisure in hospitality went down to point nine per cent. 58 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: And we these numbers don't capture what's been happening over 59 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: the last few days with the pandemic picking up. You're 60 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: seeing other leisure in hospitality and other businesses having to 61 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 1: shut back down. And so until we fix this pandemic, 62 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 1: we're still going to be in big trouble. We're still 63 00:03:56,720 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 1: down fourteen point seven million jobs. Said February. You look 64 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: at the first time claims for unemployment again released today, 65 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: we are at the fifteenth week in a row where 66 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: the claims are more than twice what they were at 67 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 1: the highest levels of the Great Recession. So I want 68 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 1: to get people back to work. We all want to 69 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 1: get people back to work, but this president is completely 70 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 1: failed handling of the pandemic is going to make that 71 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: really hard. Well, that's what I want to follow up 72 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 1: with you on because the President has made a case 73 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: that in order to get the economy back on track, 74 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: there has to be some type of reopening. But former 75 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 1: Vice President Joe Biden has argued that in order for 76 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 1: there to be a recovery, the virus has to be 77 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 1: under control. How do you reconciled that, especially at a 78 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 1: time in which you're seeing in some states another uptick 79 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 1: in the number of cases of COVID nineteen. How do 80 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 1: you convince the business community, convince main street even that 81 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 1: that has to happen before we can get to a recovery. Well, 82 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 1: I mean you talk to restaurant on tours and I 83 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: you know, I talked to one business person now and 84 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 1: they said something like, we're just trying to figure out 85 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: what we're gonna do next week, what we're gonna do tomorrow. Uh, 86 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:14,680 Speaker 1: there's no certainty here because there's no plan this president. 87 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: When when you ignore science, I mean, a mask is 88 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:22,720 Speaker 1: not a political statement, A mask is a public health imperative, 89 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 1: and the president has ignored that. So if you had 90 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: leadership from Washington that was setting forth with clarity what 91 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: we have to do, and this president is not doing it, 92 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: we could get the economy rolling sooner. Look at other 93 00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 1: industrialized countries that have flattened the curve in meaningful ways 94 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: because they took it seriously. This president hasn't taken it seriously. 95 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:48,720 Speaker 1: We can I ask you too. I want to ask 96 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 1: you two more questions, especially from a policy standpoint. It's 97 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: something you and I have talked about before. When you 98 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 1: look at what has happened going on in the UK. 99 00:05:55,800 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: Boris Johnson has actually just approved another round of infrastructure 100 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:04,279 Speaker 1: your stimulus in order to get the UK back to 101 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 1: help the UK economy. I'm wondering if you think that 102 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: there is an appetite here ahead of the election for 103 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 1: there to be a major infrastructure package that Democrats would 104 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: be able to get on board, but that or if 105 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 1: it's going to have to wait until after November three, 106 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: I think what we have to do is pass the 107 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 1: Hero's Act. That's a major investment. Republican and Democratic governors 108 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 1: are calling for aid for state and local government. I 109 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:31,600 Speaker 1: live in the state of Maryland. We have a Republican governor. 110 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: He's the head of the National Governor's Association. He's calling 111 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 1: for the President United States two pass aid for state 112 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 1: and local governments. I agree with that that has to happen. 113 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:47,479 Speaker 1: The Hero's Act contains really important coverage. People who lose 114 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 1: their job lose their healthcare. There's this thing called cobra. 115 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: You can continue to pay for your healthcare when you're unemployed, 116 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 1: but people can't afford to pay the cobra. It's very expensive. 117 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: The Hero's Act has a provision to cover your Cobra 118 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: pay People are gonna lose their unemployment in the end 119 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: of July unless something's done. That's what we need to do. 120 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 1: Pass the Heroes at well and ahead of the August 121 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 1: re says you mentioned on the point. And this this 122 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 1: is the final question that I have for you, sir, 123 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: especially with minority communities, especially with lower socio economic individuals 124 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: in this country. They have been disproportionately affected from an 125 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: economic standpoint as a result of this recession. What can 126 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: be done from Congress before August or just even in 127 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: the short term from a congressional angle, in order to 128 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: provide liquidity to these small businesses and also some benefits 129 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: for these Americans. Well. The unemployment rate for Latinos at 130 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: the end of the Obama Biden administration was five point 131 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 1: nine percent. Today it's fourteen point five percent, to half 132 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: times larger. The unemployment rate for African Americans at the 133 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: end of the Obama Biden administration with seven point eight percent. 134 00:07:56,640 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 1: Now it's double that today. Uh. The coronavirus has hit 135 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: African American and Latino communities and Native American communities in 136 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 1: a huge way. And what's the president's reactions. Let's undo 137 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 1: the Affordable Care Act, Let's not support aid through the 138 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: Heroes Act, let's make it harder for small businesses to 139 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:23,800 Speaker 1: access p p P. You have story after story after 140 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 1: story of small and minority owned businesses who couldn't access 141 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 1: the program, while this president won't even release data on 142 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: the big recipients because they're always buddies. We need a 143 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: targeted program that assists in the Heroes Act again, would 144 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:46,160 Speaker 1: provide remarkably important relief that would help minority communities, minority 145 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 1: business owners get back on their feet. Um people of 146 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 1: color who disproportionately have pre existing conditions and other comorbidities. 147 00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: They need access to healthcare, and we have a president 148 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: that's trying to put a fork in access to healthcare 149 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: is bailed leadership. We what we have to do is 150 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 1: at the ballot box in November, Kevin. That's where we're 151 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 1: gonna have to solve these challenges because this president has 152 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:17,320 Speaker 1: been absolutely ineffective throughout this journey. That was Democratic National 153 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:20,840 Speaker 1: Committee Chairman Tom Perez. He of course, also served as 154 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 1: the Labor Secretary in the Obama administration. Coming up, we 155 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: check in with Keith Croc who is the Under Secretary 156 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: of State for Economic Affairs. We talk all things five G, 157 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 1: Huawei and Europe. Working with the United States against the 158 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:40,319 Speaker 1: Communist Party of China on economic affairs. Download the Bloomberg 159 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:42,719 Speaker 1: son On podcast on Apple, it tunes, at Bloomberg dot com, 160 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 1: or by downloading the Bloomberg Business App. You can also 161 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:48,079 Speaker 1: find me on Radio dot com, I Heart Radio, and Spotify. 162 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:51,559 Speaker 1: And remember, tune into Bloomberg Television this weekend to celebrate 163 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 1: the fourth of July, where we'll be ringing it in 164 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 1: with the Boston Pops. Who doesn't love the Boston Paps. 165 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:02,439 Speaker 1: That's the fourth folks. He's say, be safe, celebrate America. 166 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 1: If you're listening to Bloomberg, have one. This is Bloomberg's 167 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: sound On with Kevin Surreley on Bloomberg and one oh 168 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 1: five point seven f M HD two. I was talking 169 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:26,959 Speaker 1: to Chicken Cerelli today. That's my mom, Chicken CEREALI back 170 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:29,679 Speaker 1: in Delko and she was like, Kevin, I just want 171 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 1: a hot dog with sauerkraut. And I said, say, Mom, 172 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:36,079 Speaker 1: have one. It's the fourth of July. I don't care 173 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: what you eat, what you don't eat, but you deserve 174 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 1: to have a hamburg and a hot dog for the 175 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: fourth of July. It is gonna be a really, really, 176 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 1: really nice weekend this weekend. If you live in d 177 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 1: C or New York City, you probably have been here 178 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 1: in the fireworks for a couple of weeks now. They've 179 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 1: been setting them off. But let's not forget, of course, um, 180 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: those who serve our country this weekend, and let's try 181 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:03,840 Speaker 1: to keep them in mind as well. Dog Tag Bakeries 182 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 1: back open. They are back open, you know. Of course, 183 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:10,040 Speaker 1: they're in Georgetown, and they partner with Georgetown University and 184 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:16,040 Speaker 1: they run a financial financial literacy financial financial literacy program 185 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 1: to educate folks and veterans and their families too. Um, 186 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 1: start small businesses, Start small businesses. All right, My next 187 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: exclusive interview tonight is with Keith Crock and we were 188 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: talking all things about Hong Kong, which was a huge 189 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:36,680 Speaker 1: story this week, as well as Huawei because Secretary of 190 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: State Bike Pompeo is saying that the United States collectively 191 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: has been able to turn a corner and convincing some 192 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:46,480 Speaker 1: U S allies to stop relying so much on Huawei 193 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: Chinese Huawei to develop five G platforms. We also talked 194 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 1: about how to secure not just the international supply chain, 195 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: but the domestic supply chain and some new sanctions that 196 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 1: have been placed against the Communist Party of China for 197 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 1: their treatment of the Weaker's people in the concentration camp. So, 198 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: without further ado, here is Keith Crock, the under Secretary 199 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 1: of State Affairs a disastrous decision. Uh. You know this 200 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: is to eviscerate Hong Kong's freedoms uh and imposing uh 201 00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:26,320 Speaker 1: draconian national security measures. And you know, if you look 202 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:31,040 Speaker 1: at uh this legislation that's been enacted, it is taken 203 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:35,559 Speaker 1: away all freedoms, including freedom of the press. They're basically 204 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: bringing in their forces. Uh. The reaction is really disastrous, 205 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:44,720 Speaker 1: and I think, UM, a lot of companies are really 206 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 1: worried because I think it's the clause number thirty three, 207 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: uh that they actually can take non residents and as 208 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:56,559 Speaker 1: you know, uh they can take you know, they can 209 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:58,560 Speaker 1: take it back to China where there's no rule of law. 210 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: So I think it Uh. It's been such a great Uh, 211 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: it's been a shining success for China with the two 212 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,199 Speaker 1: party system and now it's a one party system. And 213 00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 1: I think, you know with this, what what has happened 214 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 1: by breaking this Sino British declaration is um, you know, 215 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:26,439 Speaker 1: they only got twenty three years instead of fifty. And 216 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 1: and it gets down to the back to this issue 217 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:32,960 Speaker 1: with the Chinese Communist Party of Trust you know w 218 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 1: t O, w h O, the United Nations. So you 219 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 1: know that highlighted on top of the pandemic. It's you know, 220 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:45,559 Speaker 1: how can you trust them for anything? Secretary Pompeo as 221 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: well as Secretary Minution issuing some supply chain business advisory 222 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 1: as it relates to the weaker camps and the supply chains. 223 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:57,720 Speaker 1: What how will that impact you US businesses? By the way, 224 00:13:57,800 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 1: you know that business advisory, Kevin, and it goes to 225 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:08,240 Speaker 1: anybody who's partnering, UH, investing, buying goods, supporting UH from 226 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 1: UH you know products through the forced labor camps in 227 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 1: Shing Jong. And these are some of the most serious 228 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 1: acts of human rights abuse since World War Two. UH. 229 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 1: You know, the whole purpose of this is to force 230 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 1: UH minority UH Groups three announced their religion UH and 231 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 1: embrace c c p I ideology. UH. You know in 232 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 1: Silicon Valley we say corporate responsibility and social responsibility, and 233 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: today that means refusing to participate in human rights violations 234 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 1: and deals. And I think transparency is a key to 235 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 1: making the difference. UM, you know, it's a fundamental business 236 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:58,280 Speaker 1: principle that UH, transparency is visibility, and visibility leads into accountability. 237 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 1: It's a magical concept. So I think by shining a 238 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 1: light on these business advisories as well as coupled with 239 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: the thirty three Chinese firms now on the entity list 240 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 1: with sanctions, many of them are the ones that are 241 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: doing business in shing Jong, it is incumbent for boards 242 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: of directors, doct analysis, supply chains, for financial institutions. UM, 243 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 1: it's their duty to establish gardens principles investing in companies 244 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: that violate human rights. And I think even more than that, 245 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,080 Speaker 1: it's a moral duty, a finuciary duty to divest from 246 00:15:36,120 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: these companies. So pension funds, university and down lets, UH, 247 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 1: emerging index funds, mutual funds, ensuredies, venture capitals, companies should 248 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 1: disclose what Chinese companies are investing in and often that 249 00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 1: American business will will do the right thing. That's what's 250 00:15:57,200 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 1: going on. That's what's going on as it relates to 251 00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 1: the weaker concepts Asian camps. Now, I want to ask 252 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 1: you about five G because Secretary Pumpeto also recently said 253 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 1: that the US had really turned the tide as it 254 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 1: relates to Fawei working with allies. What did he mean 255 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 1: by that and how has the US been able to 256 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: do that? Kevin, the tide has turned towards trusted five 257 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: G vendors and against wahwe And I think that's the 258 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: citizens of the world are waking up to the danger 259 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 1: of the CCP surveillance state. On top of the pandemic 260 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 1: UH Hong Kong Shing Jong which UH, the skirmish at 261 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 1: the Indian border and UH. In February, Watwey announced that 262 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 1: they had closed five G deals UH best we can see, 263 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 1: it's down to less than a couple dozen UM, and 264 00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:55,760 Speaker 1: I think they're just evaporating. That's Keith Croc. He serves 265 00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 1: as the Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs at 266 00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 1: the State's Department and and honestly feel it's the name 267 00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 1: that I don't think many people realize, but he is 268 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:04,680 Speaker 1: really one of the driving forces on the issue of 269 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 1: five G, on the issue of dealing with Huawei UH 270 00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:10,719 Speaker 1: in terms of advising UH Secretary Pumpeo. He also has 271 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:14,159 Speaker 1: deep ties to Silicon Valley as well as to the 272 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:17,919 Speaker 1: manufacturing portion of the country. He's taken several companies, public 273 00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: and whatnot. So he's really one of those insiders that 274 00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:24,160 Speaker 1: we're thrilled to be able to interview because it really 275 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:28,080 Speaker 1: offers a behind the scenes look at what's actually happening 276 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 1: in terms of geopolitical policy, especially on something so important 277 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: as five Chief. Uh so, yeah, all right, coming on next, 278 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:39,439 Speaker 1: we talk all things politics and policy and twenty with 279 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 1: Mark Ross and Matti Duppler. Job's day. Can have a 280 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,679 Speaker 1: job to day without Matti Duppler. And usually it's on Friday. 281 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: I guess it's it's Thursday, but it's technically Friday. Just 282 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 1: a friend of the minor folks. I have off tomorrow, 283 00:17:50,760 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 1: as does a lot of my Bomber colleagues. It is 284 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 1: an official company holiday, you know, so we're gonna enjoy it. 285 00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: Maybe I'll have a hot dog. Keep a lack right here. 286 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,359 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Surreley, Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 287 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Radio. Shoutouts to Christine Brobotta, Matt Tew Shirley 288 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 1: for all of their hard work on the program. Keep 289 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:15,439 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg. Sound On with 290 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:19,639 Speaker 1: Kevin Surreley on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven 291 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 1: f m h D two. What's your favorite Fourth of 292 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 1: July song? Do you go with Proud to Be an American? 293 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 1: A classic? Where do you go with Miley Cyrus Party 294 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:37,440 Speaker 1: in the USA? Or maybe Perry Katie Perry Firework? Matti Duppler, 295 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 1: founder of Forward Strategy, Senior Fellow at the National Taxpayers Union, 296 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,919 Speaker 1: former Coalitions director for the House Republican Conference. What's on 297 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: your Fourth of July playlist? You know, I'm a Katie 298 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 1: Perry fan, Kevin, It's hard for me to say that 299 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: Katy Perry is not top of the Fourth of July playlist? 300 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:59,639 Speaker 1: All right? But like what else? I like any pop up? 301 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:01,920 Speaker 1: You know this? It's like I So my fourth or 302 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 1: Juy playlist is like anything that gets the party going, 303 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 1: put people in a good mood. So it's John my 304 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 1: Run playlist, part of like John Mellencamp, part of you 305 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 1: know some country on there. I am from wisconsinbody a 306 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:17,200 Speaker 1: lot of country fans in my family. It's a classic. Next, 307 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,360 Speaker 1: but I gets the party going. Did you ever hear 308 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:23,440 Speaker 1: the mash up Party in the USA with um Biggie 309 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 1: Small's um No? But I would love to all right, 310 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 1: I'll text you it. It's um notorious b I G 311 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,959 Speaker 1: mashed up with Miley Cyrus party in the USA. Anyway, 312 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:36,640 Speaker 1: it's about amazing. It's a bobcause the kids said, Maddie go, 313 00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: Job's Day beating expectations, Um day. Well, you know, the 314 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 1: expectations were all over the place because we didn't know 315 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:45,960 Speaker 1: which way this was going to go. Four point eight millions, 316 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,640 Speaker 1: don't I'm smacked up in the middle of expectations. Four 317 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:51,399 Speaker 1: point eight million jobs added in June. That brings the 318 00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:54,919 Speaker 1: unemployment rate down to eleven point one percent. You know, 319 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 1: great numbers. We like to see months over months more 320 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:02,040 Speaker 1: jobs coming online. But here's the deal with this job survey. 321 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: It happens the week including the twelfth of the month, 322 00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:07,640 Speaker 1: so it's the middle of the month, which was before 323 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,879 Speaker 1: we started see infection rate spiking again. It was before 324 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:14,159 Speaker 1: we started to see states pause on the reopenings. So 325 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,960 Speaker 1: I think it's it's entirely possible that in July we 326 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 1: see numbers start to stagnate a little bit. Now, today 327 00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 1: was a double whammy and job you know that, right, Kevin. 328 00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 1: We both got the early Job's Day report, but we 329 00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 1: also got the unemployment claims, which I think indicates that 330 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 1: we still have a long way ago, because we see 331 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:33,040 Speaker 1: a plot towing a little bit of those unemployment plans. 332 00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 1: We're averaging about one point five million new claims a week, 333 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 1: which is intolerably high. And when you add in those 334 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 1: states that are still getting their pandemic unemployment a system 335 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:48,200 Speaker 1: accounts online, those are the accounts created by the Cares Act. 336 00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: We've got over thirty one million people who are claiming 337 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,879 Speaker 1: unemployment benefits still, so we have a long way to 338 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,560 Speaker 1: go before we can say we are fully in the 339 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 1: throes of our recovery. We spoke about this with George 340 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 1: c Yes today of vandel Capital when he came on 341 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 1: the program, and I want to put the question to you, 342 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,959 Speaker 1: which is the expectation now, is that the stepped up 343 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:12,440 Speaker 1: recovery will begin in Q three Q four November three 344 00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,439 Speaker 1: obviously the big Washington d C. Political date, But the 345 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,600 Speaker 1: timing of the recovery and when it really starts to 346 00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:22,240 Speaker 1: accelerate and taper off is going to be crucial to 347 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,719 Speaker 1: the psychology of the independent voter heading into the polls 348 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,120 Speaker 1: on November three. My question to you, Maddie Doppler, as 349 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 1: someone who really knows. Uh. The juxtaposition of the economics 350 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:36,680 Speaker 1: and the politics, uh, and the policy really driving behind 351 00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: all of this is our economists. Did economist factor in 352 00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 1: an uptick in coronavirus cases in some of these in 353 00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 1: some of these states? In other words, were they were 354 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:53,400 Speaker 1: Is this following some type of plan? I mean, when 355 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:55,719 Speaker 1: when all of this was happening and we saw New 356 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,760 Speaker 1: York City as the epicenter, we knew that the virus 357 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:01,439 Speaker 1: was going to trickle throughout the country. So were they 358 00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:05,680 Speaker 1: able to predict this or did it catch people off guard? Well? 359 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,480 Speaker 1: So here's what I would say is that in a 360 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 1: typical election cycle, right about now is when voters ideas 361 00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: about the economy would start to crystallize. I think that's 362 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:16,439 Speaker 1: completely out the window. I think people are very much 363 00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:20,399 Speaker 1: in a wait and see um uh stance right now, 364 00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,359 Speaker 1: because I think you're right that there was a recognition 365 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:27,199 Speaker 1: from voters that New York was different than say what 366 00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 1: we're seeing in Texas in Florida. Now, I'm not I 367 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,680 Speaker 1: think it's going to take a couple more weeks before 368 00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 1: there is a position that I think will be reflecting 369 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 1: in the political parlance, which is like whether or not 370 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 1: this is a result of people acting irresponsibly, or just 371 00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:48,880 Speaker 1: that when says reopened, we knew that infestional race would 372 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:50,640 Speaker 1: rise as well. Now we have, we have to keep 373 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,439 Speaker 1: that in mind. I think that that's important, which is 374 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,520 Speaker 1: that the whole reason we put the country in lockdown 375 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:56,399 Speaker 1: was to flatten the curve, which we did do. We 376 00:22:56,400 --> 00:23:00,159 Speaker 1: didn't want to overwhelm hospitals. The product of opening up 377 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 1: the economy was that more infections would happen. The question, 378 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,359 Speaker 1: and we'll know this in the next couple of weeks, 379 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 1: is that if the infections happened too quickly and they 380 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,200 Speaker 1: become too severe, and then we end up back where 381 00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: we were scared we were going to be to begin with, 382 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 1: which is with our hospitals overwhelmed and with the infection 383 00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,119 Speaker 1: rate getting far and above what it would be just 384 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 1: with you know, a tolerable testing rate. So you know, 385 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 1: I don't think those questions can be answered yet right now. 386 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 1: I think myself, as someone who looks at the economic data, 387 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,440 Speaker 1: is looking between the June data and the July data 388 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:32,359 Speaker 1: as being really the moment where it's going to be. 389 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:34,600 Speaker 1: I don't want to say the inflection point, but it's 390 00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 1: going to be very very important to the economic narrative 391 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,679 Speaker 1: headed into November. If it seems like the wheels have 392 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,639 Speaker 1: come off the train when it comes to getting sets reopened, 393 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,440 Speaker 1: that's going to be very, very difficult for the president 394 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,680 Speaker 1: had been to November. I want to bring in Mark 395 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 1: Ross is the founder of iCal Global and business communication 396 00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:55,080 Speaker 1: strategist working at the intersection of globalization and politics, and 397 00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: Mark I want to pick up on this point that 398 00:23:56,760 --> 00:24:01,159 Speaker 1: Maddie has said about how the business community has focused 399 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: not on the number of cases but on the number 400 00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:07,639 Speaker 1: of hospitalizations, because really what's driving the markets, and this 401 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 1: is nuanced, what's driving the markets and the uncertainty is 402 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,679 Speaker 1: the number of hospital beds that are filled in the 403 00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 1: hospitals and how prepared the hospitals are, because that is 404 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 1: what is driving the information and the data pertaining to 405 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,240 Speaker 1: whether or not there is a closure. It's not the 406 00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,720 Speaker 1: number of cases that are reported, it's the number of hospitalizations. 407 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,720 Speaker 1: And there's a difference, is there not? Yeah? I know 408 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,719 Speaker 1: this has always been like a kind of classic input problem, right, 409 00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:34,679 Speaker 1: I mean, just a simple how many you're spot on 410 00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 1: the how many beds are available, how many people conductors 411 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:42,160 Speaker 1: successfully treat and the problem with this virus in particular, 412 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 1: is the length of the disease could be anywhere from 413 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,399 Speaker 1: two to three weeks passive and four weeks or some patients. 414 00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 1: So you're looking at a disease that is it takes 415 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,439 Speaker 1: up a lot of resources to cure the patients, so 416 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:57,359 Speaker 1: to speak. I think it's also interesting about businesses. You know, 417 00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 1: businesses Is that the right word in some ways? Right? 418 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,399 Speaker 1: You have multinationals which have a totally different footprint and 419 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 1: kind of business outlook is opposed to kind of smaller, 420 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 1: medium sized businesses or even your local you know, MoMA 421 00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:14,560 Speaker 1: pop restaurant. Um, I think business generally is kind of 422 00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: the wrong word because I think each each business has 423 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:19,359 Speaker 1: a special outlook as I try to figure out how 424 00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 1: to mouve forward, Maddie, come in there, pick it up there. Well, 425 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,680 Speaker 1: So it's interesting, Um, I was actually thinking about this earlier. 426 00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:30,200 Speaker 1: Remember how the last essentially two years, whenever we got 427 00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:32,720 Speaker 1: a really positive jobs report, all of a sudden, we 428 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:35,440 Speaker 1: have a negative market reaction because the notion would be, 429 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,480 Speaker 1: oh my god, the said's going to raise rap because 430 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,800 Speaker 1: the economy is too strong. It's that ying and yang 431 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:41,560 Speaker 1: of whether or not you can hit the sweet spot 432 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,200 Speaker 1: on the data for the FRED to do what's good 433 00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:46,639 Speaker 1: for equities. I think we're seeing a little bit of 434 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,800 Speaker 1: that now here too, which Kevin, I think you were 435 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 1: right to call it nuance when it comes to the 436 00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 1: speculation from the corporate side of things on what coronavirus 437 00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: is going to do. What's not nuance, in my opinion, 438 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 1: is what's going to happen to the political conversation. I mean, 439 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 1: I think it's pretty obvious right now that the President 440 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:04,640 Speaker 1: is likely going to try to claim success in any 441 00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:08,280 Speaker 1: way possible. Biden and the Democrats are going to say 442 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 1: this is a disaster. Both are essentially strong arguments we 443 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:15,679 Speaker 1: wouldn't know, but for you know, you can't know what 444 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,200 Speaker 1: doesn't happen. UM. So I think that it's important to 445 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:21,359 Speaker 1: keep in mind those metrics that both myself and Market 446 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 1: talked about, which is can the infrastructure that we have 447 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 1: in place handle the infections that are happening. That is 448 00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,440 Speaker 1: an important question that each locality and state needs to 449 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:32,560 Speaker 1: be answering, I think, um, and then we need to 450 00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 1: know kind of like what the runway is on that. 451 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,440 Speaker 1: I think that the frustration for Americans right now is 452 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,119 Speaker 1: they just don't see there's no end in sight to 453 00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:43,119 Speaker 1: this back and forth about whether we're shutdown or opening 454 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 1: and whether or not we're doing in the correct manner, 455 00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:47,199 Speaker 1: and Mark the market correct me if I'm wrong. The 456 00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 1: markets want stimulus, and so I think there's also a 457 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,960 Speaker 1: lot of that going on that as the coronavirus cases 458 00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 1: UH continue to increase and as more states shut down, 459 00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,199 Speaker 1: does that not increase the likelihood for some of those 460 00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:01,919 Speaker 1: steps of cover plicans on getting more economic stimulus for 461 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 1: that to to actually come to fruition. Yeah. I think 462 00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:08,800 Speaker 1: the federal government, to side European Central Bank, anybody with 463 00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 1: any kind of responsibilities, made it pretty clear that they're 464 00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 1: gonna do whatever it takes to support President Trump said 465 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,760 Speaker 1: that in an interview with Fox Business, he said that 466 00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:22,560 Speaker 1: he wants to have some type of bipartisan UH economic stimulus. 467 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: Not to mention UH Treasury Secretary Monution and Larry Cudlow 468 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 1: telling our very own Jonathan Farrow, my buddy Jonathan Farrell 469 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Surveillance, saying that economic stimulus was something that was 470 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,919 Speaker 1: definitely in the cards. All right, Mark Ross, Maddie Doppler 471 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: stayed right there, because I want to ask you about 472 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:40,640 Speaker 1: twenty as well as the timing of that potential economic stimulus. 473 00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,320 Speaker 1: Download Bloomberg som On podcast on Appalachians and Bloomberg dot Com, 474 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:45,120 Speaker 1: or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. You can also 475 00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,640 Speaker 1: find me on Radio dot Com, I Heart Radio and Spotify. 476 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:51,159 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Surreally, Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 477 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:54,200 Speaker 1: from Bloomberg Radio. Mark, what is your fourth July song? 478 00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,880 Speaker 1: You have like ten seconds, so you know a lot 479 00:27:57,880 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 1: of you two, a lot of new order, a lot 480 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 1: of who isn't even an American band? Oh my gosh, Mark, 481 00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 1: and I love YouTube. They're my all type favorite band. 482 00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:06,679 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna ask you again after the jump. I'm 483 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:30,400 Speaker 1: Kevin Surlier listening to Bloomberg nine and I want Living 484 00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: in America. I love it. It's gonna listen to that 485 00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,480 Speaker 1: for the rest of the show. I'm Kevin Sireli Chief 486 00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:44,240 Speaker 1: watching the correspondence to Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. 487 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 1: Happy early fourth of July, folks. Remember you can tune 488 00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:50,560 Speaker 1: into Bloomberg Television, which is gonna have um special on 489 00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:54,960 Speaker 1: the fourth of July with the Boston Pops. Who doesn't 490 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 1: love the Boston Pops? Am I right? You can watch 491 00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:01,520 Speaker 1: the great Fireworks, the greatest Fireworks play. I don't know. 492 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:05,400 Speaker 1: I think Philly does. Hey, Philadelphia my hometown, the birthplace 493 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:09,880 Speaker 1: of democracy, of freedom folks. I was asking Mark Ross 494 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:12,520 Speaker 1: what his favorite Fourth of July song was, and he said, 495 00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: you too. You choose my all time favorite Bandit is 496 00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:18,320 Speaker 1: the intro song to the Bluebird Radio sound on show. However, 497 00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:20,760 Speaker 1: they are an Irish band, so I'm gonna try again. 498 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 1: Mark of Charicle Global, go ahead, I'll recover inside Bruce Springsteen. 499 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,680 Speaker 1: That's a good one, all right. And Mattie Douppler's here. She, 500 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 1: of course, was the former constructor for the House Republican 501 00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,720 Speaker 1: Conference and we're thrilled to have her. Mattie, what was 502 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:38,480 Speaker 1: your favorite? You said firework by Katy Perry by Katy Perry. 503 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 1: But now I've been thinking about it. I love me 504 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:44,480 Speaker 1: since CCR on fourth or July. But also mean American 505 00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:48,920 Speaker 1: Boy by a stealin Kanye. Oh, that's a great one. 506 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 1: That's good, so I asked production. Nicholas Falco says, Living 507 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:59,080 Speaker 1: in America by James Brown. Not surely not. Shirley said, honestly, 508 00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:03,720 Speaker 1: were Wolves London by Warren Zeven. I have no idea 509 00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:05,800 Speaker 1: what that song is. Yeah, okay, good, I'm not the 510 00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 1: only one further saying that I am a dork. And 511 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 1: Barradas says, Christine Barradas is under the under the boardwalk 512 00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: from the drifters. That's yeah, Charlie, you're not. And then 513 00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:30,760 Speaker 1: Charlie Vollmer said, nothing competes with Ray Charles America the beautiful. Okay, Charlie, 514 00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 1: you win, all right? Anyway, all right, twenty twenty. Size 515 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 1: it up, Maddie, start with you. What does President Trump 516 00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:41,080 Speaker 1: have to do to turn this around? Aout the fourth 517 00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 1: of July, this is when folks are starting to pay attention. 518 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,160 Speaker 1: What's he gotta do? Okay, So let me be very clear. 519 00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,680 Speaker 1: I don't think that. I mean, this is this is 520 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,520 Speaker 1: obviously a very by challenge for the president. But I'm 521 00:30:51,520 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 1: currently in northern Wisconsin. I am in Trump country right now, 522 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 1: and the people who think the president has got their 523 00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,480 Speaker 1: back continue going to think that, and that's the whole 524 00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,920 Speaker 1: reason they put Trump in office to begin with. And 525 00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:06,720 Speaker 1: I cannot stress this enough. The more time I spend 526 00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 1: out in the Midwest, the more I realize what an 527 00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:13,720 Speaker 1: indictment is of the establishment, regardless of political party. I mean, 528 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 1: the fact that Trump is unorthodox on policy is one thing, 529 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,400 Speaker 1: but he's also an unorthodox character in the way he 530 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:24,719 Speaker 1: comports himself. Right, Um, But that's like Americans like that. 531 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:27,239 Speaker 1: They like someone who's talking straight with them, and that's 532 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:29,080 Speaker 1: what I think they get from Trump. So that is 533 00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,040 Speaker 1: never going to change. No matter what the circumstances are. 534 00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 1: Americans are still gonna find this authenticity they think they 535 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 1: have with the president as being the number one most 536 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: compelling thing, um and why they put an office to 537 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 1: begin with. So, you know, frankly, I think that it's 538 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,480 Speaker 1: it's really more of a question of what Joe Biden 539 00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:50,440 Speaker 1: does to lose the race. You know, if he continued, 540 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:53,760 Speaker 1: if I should say continued, if he gets painted as 541 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:57,320 Speaker 1: the archetype of a politician from Washington, I think that's 542 00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 1: really the nail in the coffin for him. All right, 543 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: mark us your turn. I think Trump has to give 544 00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 1: a legitimate reason why he should be president for four 545 00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,120 Speaker 1: more years. He really hasn't laid out the second term agenda. 546 00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,840 Speaker 1: It's unclear to me. Let him and his team really 547 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,120 Speaker 1: want to accomplish if they get four more years. But 548 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 1: the challenge for the selection as well for Trump is 549 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 1: it's basically a referendum on him. I mean, voters are 550 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,920 Speaker 1: asked themselves, do we really want four more years of 551 00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:27,920 Speaker 1: captain chaos, crazy tweet, boradic behavior and no no agenda. 552 00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,480 Speaker 1: And I think that's a huge hurdle to suddenly come 553 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:32,200 Speaker 1: out of the fourth of July and say here's my 554 00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 1: plan for going forward. Um. Certainly the Biden people have 555 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,680 Speaker 1: been very successful, have made any mistakes, people like Joe, 556 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:45,200 Speaker 1: it's all very favorable. Um, but can Trump really give 557 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,600 Speaker 1: a reason for four more years? Like the jury is 558 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:50,680 Speaker 1: still out on that. What about Biden go ahead and 559 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 1: no matic ahead? Yeah, I just couldn't jump in real quick. 560 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,160 Speaker 1: And I was gonna say it is pretty remarkable even 561 00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 1: though you've got thirty million people quecting some form unemployment 562 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:03,000 Speaker 1: insure and you've got the SNP only down five and 563 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 1: a half percent for the year. So you gotta imagine 564 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:10,560 Speaker 1: people are looking at that saying, you know, as if 565 00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:13,520 Speaker 1: the job lost is still right now are somewhat contained. 566 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 1: It's still a lot of people who think they're on 567 00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 1: temporary laff who are gonna go back to work. The 568 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 1: question is whether or not those temporaries trying into permanent, 569 00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:22,120 Speaker 1: which we saw a little bit of a move today, 570 00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:24,440 Speaker 1: But you know, I think that a lot of the 571 00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 1: country is still thinking, my personal circumstances look pretty good. 572 00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,880 Speaker 1: If you're a retiree, you're a pensioner, and the SNP 573 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:32,880 Speaker 1: is only down five point five percent or in the 574 00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:36,680 Speaker 1: throws of a pandemic, is that econmic question gets a 575 00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:38,960 Speaker 1: little less serious for you the closer we get to November. 576 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 1: And I think that's probably the calculus a lot of 577 00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,360 Speaker 1: Americans are making, all right, and Mark, what about Joe Biden, 578 00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:44,960 Speaker 1: I mean sized him up as we had in the 579 00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:47,680 Speaker 1: fourth of July. Yeah, so we're eighteen weeks away from 580 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:51,320 Speaker 1: the election on November three. The DNC conventions in seven weeks. 581 00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:52,800 Speaker 1: So if you if you break it up this in 582 00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:56,360 Speaker 1: the threes, right, there's basically a six or three six weeks. 583 00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,040 Speaker 1: You can presume that Joe Biden is gonna have a 584 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,800 Speaker 1: a you know, d n K PNC convention. He's gonna 585 00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:05,280 Speaker 1: have very successful launch about his u VP candidate, So 586 00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:08,760 Speaker 1: he should win the next sprint, um get a series 587 00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:12,480 Speaker 1: of debates in September, and then Kenny survived. Can be 588 00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 1: certainly expected some kind of students onslought a lot of 589 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,840 Speaker 1: Trump negative ads, etcetera in the final third of the campaign. 590 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,239 Speaker 1: And the thing is, everybody knows Joe Biden. There's no surprises. 591 00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,719 Speaker 1: He's been around for a long time, and I think 592 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:26,399 Speaker 1: if he can make the case, I'm gonna put together 593 00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 1: a credible team to move the country forward and that 594 00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:32,800 Speaker 1: I'm your off ramp off the Trump train, so to speak. 595 00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:35,719 Speaker 1: Um Biden should be successful even if he plays the 596 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:41,279 Speaker 1: same Maddie you know again, Presidential politics are coalition politics. 597 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,400 Speaker 1: So the question for Joe Biden is whether or not 598 00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:47,040 Speaker 1: he can assemble the coalition that at least mimics the 599 00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:52,200 Speaker 1: Obama coalition enough that it can combat the Trump coalition. 600 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 1: And that was always the appeal of Joe Biden was 601 00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:56,480 Speaker 1: that he was the one who would get you know, 602 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 1: those Trump voters, those blue collar workers who turned Republican 603 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:01,680 Speaker 1: for the first time in thirty years because they liked 604 00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:05,319 Speaker 1: the way Trump was finally talking to them. I am 605 00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:08,480 Speaker 1: not convinced that Joe Biden just being Joe Biden is 606 00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:10,800 Speaker 1: enough to do that, because he also has to combat 607 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,680 Speaker 1: the fact that there's going to be an apathy on 608 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 1: the left, on the the you know, the the left flank, 609 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:18,759 Speaker 1: the same problem the Hillary couldn't had with people just 610 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,040 Speaker 1: not really want to go out to vote for her. 611 00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:24,719 Speaker 1: They stay home. That coal listen to me, is still 612 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,920 Speaker 1: somewhat tenuous for Joe Biden to be able to beat 613 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:31,839 Speaker 1: the Trump coalition. I find it fascinating because even at 614 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,040 Speaker 1: the cross tabs, Trumps still doing well on the issue 615 00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:41,399 Speaker 1: of the economy, which defies conventional historical context. And I think, 616 00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:43,560 Speaker 1: you know, we've got a couple of unknowns. We don't 617 00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:46,120 Speaker 1: know who Biden's gonna pick for for VP. You know, 618 00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:48,640 Speaker 1: I was talking with some Biden World sources earlier today, 619 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,799 Speaker 1: and you know, they're they feel that they're that they're really, 620 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:53,560 Speaker 1: you know, having a good summer. I mean, by all 621 00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:55,880 Speaker 1: accounts they are. But I think it it really is 622 00:35:55,880 --> 00:36:00,000 Speaker 1: going to be fascinating just to see so many unknowns, 623 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:04,880 Speaker 1: and especially where independent voters go on on the economy. Right, 624 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:06,399 Speaker 1: we have to keep it quick, We have to keep 625 00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:08,080 Speaker 1: it very quick. But I do want to bring back 626 00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,680 Speaker 1: one of my favorite segments before the pandemic, which was 627 00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:14,000 Speaker 1: What's on your radar? Very quickly, in like a couple 628 00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 1: of seconds, mark what's on your radar? I think the 629 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:20,760 Speaker 1: interesting that happens week Over in India, they banned fifty 630 00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:25,320 Speaker 1: yes as some more retaliation for the skirmis in the 631 00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 1: Himalayas is also TikTok technology. Hey, if you're listening, that's 632 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:32,440 Speaker 1: a brilliant one. And I want to make and I'm 633 00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:33,880 Speaker 1: sorry to cut you off and we just we're pressed 634 00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:36,960 Speaker 1: for time. That's my fault. But if you're listening, folks, 635 00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:39,360 Speaker 1: TikTok has banned in India because it's because of the 636 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 1: it's it's ruled by the Chinese. Brilliant mark um and 637 00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:45,840 Speaker 1: Keith Croc actually told us about that as well yesterday. Uh, maddie, 638 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:50,120 Speaker 1: what's on your radar? Just real quick? There's a agency 639 00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,759 Speaker 1: in the Miority Business Development Agency and Commerce. I just 640 00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 1: found this out. Their whole mission in existence of Nixon 641 00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:57,600 Speaker 1: is to help my owning own business owners. So if 642 00:36:57,600 --> 00:36:59,879 Speaker 1: you're my owniting, own business owner, get in touch with them. 643 00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:02,160 Speaker 1: Got tons of great resources for you. You You know what 644 00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,799 Speaker 1: I'm gonna say. What's on my radar is Doc Tag 645 00:37:04,840 --> 00:37:09,080 Speaker 1: Bakery because of all the great works and they just 646 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:11,920 Speaker 1: reopened and um, I don't know, they're they're my buddies 647 00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,560 Speaker 1: over there, um and they do such great work. So 648 00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 1: if you need a couple of iced coffee this weekend, 649 00:37:19,200 --> 00:37:22,680 Speaker 1: take it over. Happy fourth, Mattie, Happy fourth, Mark. Appreciate 650 00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:24,120 Speaker 1: your time, and I'm gonna end it early so we 651 00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:26,000 Speaker 1: can listen to this beautiful song. Happy fourth of July. 652 00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:28,120 Speaker 1: Thank you to everyone who said serving our country and 653 00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:30,279 Speaker 1: has served our country and Kevin's really you're listening to 654 00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:40,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine one from True s