Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 1: source for the nation's best fantasy.
Speaker 2: Speculation and advice.
Speaker 1: Now, along with the guys from guatin leagues dot com,
Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul Chargian.
Speaker 3: Welcome to the first round of the playoffs. Yes, we're
Speaker 3: finally here. You've been working for fourteen weeks and now
Speaker 3: it's do or die. Every week counts. We're here to
Speaker 3: help on Paul Charchi and Coast Today, Brian Johnson and
Speaker 3: thor Nystrom. Hey, guys, what's up boys.
Speaker 4: I think everyone has worked very hard, the hardest everyone's
Speaker 4: ever worked in they make the playoffs this year in
Speaker 4: fantasy football, it deals like this year.
Speaker 3: It's been a tough road. Yeah, it has been a
Speaker 3: tough road. If you made it in congratulations. I'll say
Speaker 3: this though. The big mistake that I think people make
Speaker 3: is they get to the playoffs and they feel a
Speaker 3: certain sense of like entitlement that because they they've gotten
Speaker 3: their roster to the playoffs, that done, they don't need
Speaker 3: to do anything anymore. They're gonna just start the guys
Speaker 3: that got you there. You can't stop working now.
Speaker 5: No, this is the wrong time. This is where the
Speaker 5: work begins.
Speaker 3: That's right, So don't feel like you got to just
Speaker 3: go with the guys that got you there. You know,
Speaker 3: were you the one that pivoted to Zamir White you
Speaker 3: know on Thursday night? Those are the kinds of moves
Speaker 3: that are gonna give you playoff wins.
Speaker 2: Correct.
Speaker 3: We're here to help. We're gonna break down all fifteen
Speaker 3: of the remaining games, including the Saturday schedule. We will
Speaker 3: give you the nine players upon whom you can take
Speaker 3: a chance, and we'll answer three tough questions later in
Speaker 3: this show, Brian, let's jump right into the matchups. Pittsburgh
Speaker 3: Steelers taking on the Colts. The one two punch of
Speaker 3: Nase Harris and Jalen Warden were pretty much stopped last week.
Speaker 3: What do you think of the running backs in this
Speaker 3: game against the Colts.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a better matchup this week for Warren and Harris.
Speaker 3: Both should get.
Speaker 4: Decent usage against the Colts, who have yielded the fourth
Speaker 4: and most rush attempts by running backs, and they've allowed
Speaker 4: sixteen total touchdowns to the position. That's the third most
Speaker 4: starting with Warren. Among running backs with one hundred plus carries.
Speaker 4: Warren ranks first in yards per carry, yards after contact
Speaker 4: per carry and mistackles forced per carry, but he continues
Speaker 4: to split time with Harris, who has been less efficient
Speaker 4: but still not bad. No posting decent fantasy numbers. So
Speaker 4: I got to see on both of them, but they're
Speaker 4: gonna continue to eat each other's lunch. So just to
Speaker 4: see for Warren and Harris, and a C for Deontay Johnson,
Speaker 4: and I got George Pickens on the bench, So going
Speaker 4: back to Johnson. Since his return in week seven, Pickens
Speaker 4: has an eighteen percent target share, which is not a lot,
Speaker 4: actually it's kind of bad. And Pickens hasn't scored since
Speaker 4: Week eight, and during that same span, Pickens has topped
Speaker 4: sixty receiving yards just once. So I'm just starting Johnson
Speaker 4: out of these two, who's scored in back to back games.
Speaker 4: And it's a fairly neutral matchup. The Colts allowing nearly
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty yards in a touch per game
Speaker 4: to opposing wide receiver, so I think Johnson's a safer play,
Speaker 4: So I'm off off off Pickins this week. I will
Speaker 4: get Pat Fryer Muth to see the cold steps surrender
Speaker 4: just two tight end touchdowns all season, but they are
Speaker 4: allowing more than five and a half catches and fifty
Speaker 4: five yards per game to the position. So Muth is
Speaker 4: viable in the wasteland. Mitch Trubisky not viable.
Speaker 3: Oh, I don't have my true I don't have my
Speaker 3: sad trombone Ski.
Speaker 4: People, it's it's ingrained in their brains at this point.
Speaker 4: They can hear it already.
Speaker 3: It's sad Trump. We don't have time for it.
Speaker 4: We're not we're not. We're beyond Trubisky. We'll talk about him,
Speaker 4: I probably never again. Continue over to the Colt side,
Speaker 4: Zach Moss. He gets a be as expected. Moss has
Speaker 4: been getting belcow usage with Jonathan Taylor out the last
Speaker 4: two games. He's averaging nineteen touches. Moss is on nearly
Speaker 4: ninety percent of the snaps, but he's only averaging fifty
Speaker 4: seven combo yards with no touchdowns over the last two games.
Speaker 3: Yeah, tough opponents, though, tough opponents.
Speaker 4: A little better matchup here, But just based on volume alone,
Speaker 4: you're gonna start Zach Moss against anyone at this point.
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna give him a bee.
Speaker 4: I don't think he has a upside this week, but
Speaker 4: he should provide a safe B floor or at least
Speaker 4: a C floor over to the wide receivers. Michael Pittman's
Speaker 4: the only one that's getting a starting grade for me.
Speaker 3: For the Colts.
Speaker 4: Pittman is averaging eleven and a half targets over his
Speaker 4: last seven games. He's just been bawling out during that span.
Speaker 4: This is not the best matchup. Pittsburgh hasn't allowed a
Speaker 4: wide receiver touchdown in fourth straight. But Juju Smith, Schuster
Speaker 4: and Jamar Chase both had at least eighty yards against
Speaker 4: the Steelers over the last two weeks, so that should
Speaker 4: be a safe floor for Pittman. So I'm still going
Speaker 4: to give him a bee here. But Josh Downs, he's
Speaker 4: on the bench. His yardage totals over the last five
Speaker 4: thirty two, fourteen, forty three, forty and ten with no touchdowns,
Speaker 4: had a nice run. But he's just a dynasty stash
Speaker 4: right now. All the tight ends are on the bench
Speaker 4: because the Colts deploy four of them, none named Jolannie Woods.
Speaker 4: I'm sorry it's only because of injury, though it's unfortunate.
Speaker 3: And Gardner Minshew.
Speaker 4: I was close to giving him a CE, but with
Speaker 4: elite edge rushers, T J. Watt and Alex high Smith
Speaker 4: expected to play. I just can't you know, I can't
Speaker 4: tell you to sort of Gardner Minshew in the playoffs.
Speaker 3: I don't think I would do it either. That's it
Speaker 3: for that one. Jets take on the Dolphins in what
Speaker 3: could be a significant rain game. Thor are we chasing
Speaker 3: the box score from AFC Offensive Player of the Week
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson. I can't believe that string of words just
Speaker 3: came out of my mouth.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I can't believe I heard it. We're not.
Speaker 6: This is a tougher matchup for Zack Wilson for sure.
Speaker 6: You're alluding to a three hundred one passing yards and
Speaker 6: two touchdowns.
Speaker 5: Against the Texas last week.
Speaker 6: But boy did the Texas have a future a secondary
Speaker 6: which we're gonna be talking about later on. I give
Speaker 6: Wilson a see here because of the tougher match He
Speaker 6: did show something last week. But Dolphins have allowed the
Speaker 6: seventh fewest yards per attempts week ten, so a tougher matchup.
Speaker 6: Like I said, Garrett Wilson, I'm gonna give him a bee.
Speaker 6: He was the biggest benefactor of Zach Wilson's resurgence last week.
Speaker 6: Season high one hundred and eight receiving yards on fourteen targets.
Speaker 6: This is a game script that is going to skew
Speaker 6: very pass heavy. Obviously, the Jets are big underdogs in
Speaker 6: this one, but you know, again tougher match up in
Speaker 6: terms of the on field thing. Miami's allowed the sixth
Speaker 6: most opponent of justin fantasy points to wide receivers this year,
Speaker 6: and contextually very important here to note Jalen Ramsey's been
Speaker 6: balling out since he came back. He's only allowed a
Speaker 6: forty two percent catch rates. It's nothing nuts. Yeah, he's
Speaker 6: not going to be shadowing Wilson here, but they're going
Speaker 6: to be heads up on each other quite a bit
Speaker 6: in this game. You have to dig Garrett Wilson a
Speaker 6: little bit. I give him a bee. Also give a
Speaker 6: B to Breese Hall. Breese Hall fantasy running back fifteen
Speaker 6: so far, number five in yards after contact per attempt.
Speaker 6: The Dolphins are top five though in suppressing explosive runs
Speaker 6: and yards after for the contact since Week nine. So
Speaker 6: we're gonna stick with a B on that one. Moving
Speaker 6: to the Dolphins, I've give to a C in this one.
Speaker 6: Last time he played the Jets, he threw two interceptions.
Speaker 6: The Jets have allowed an NFL low yards per attempts
Speaker 6: since Week eight, and also two has been trending down,
Speaker 6: as you guys know, in terms of fantasy He's been
Speaker 6: QB sixteen or worse in three of his last five games.
Speaker 6: And the Tyreek Hill status, you know, is still up
Speaker 6: in the air. I give Tyreek a beat if he plays,
Speaker 6: but he missed significant time as you guys know, against
Speaker 6: the Titans last week after he injured his ankle in
Speaker 6: the first quarter. Only ended up playing forty six percent
Speaker 6: of the snaps in that game. He said afterwards that
Speaker 6: he wasn't able to cut and change directions like normal.
Speaker 3: And that, by the way, that's his gate, that's his.
Speaker 6: Entire game, and so you take away his yeah, that movement, Yeah,
Speaker 6: that's right. Yeah, it severely hampers him. He has not
Speaker 6: practiced this week. He's officially questionable. Mike McDaniel was talking
Speaker 6: to the media like, don't read too much into him
Speaker 6: not practicing. So you could see him out there, but
Speaker 6: if he does play, you got to curb your enthusiasm
Speaker 6: because it's a tougher matchup against his Jets defense, and
Speaker 6: he's obviously not going to be one hundred percent, so
Speaker 6: b if he plays, I'm giving Jayalen Wattle a bee
Speaker 6: as well in this one. He's going to get pounded
Speaker 6: with the targets if Cheetah is out, but they don't
Speaker 6: ever look at him in the red zone even when
Speaker 6: Cheata's not on the field, So that's cut down on
Speaker 6: Wattle's fantasy value this year, only at eight red zone
Speaker 6: targets all season. The last time against the Jets, though
Speaker 6: he did go eight for eight on targets for one
Speaker 6: hundred and fourteen receiving yards. Devin Auchay and I'm giving
Speaker 6: him a seat if he plays. He's the other big
Speaker 6: one who's up in the air right now with his
Speaker 6: status questionable with a toe injury mispractice on Wednesday. He
Speaker 6: did return Thursday and Friday, but was limited. Workload's going
Speaker 6: to be slash if he does end up going in
Speaker 6: this one. Playable if you're desperate, if you know that
Speaker 6: he's going to be playing in this game, but monitor
Speaker 6: that status. Rocky Moster, I'm going to give him a bee.
Speaker 6: He played sixty four percent of the snaps with twenty
Speaker 6: two touches and one hundred total yards last week, and
Speaker 6: this is a game where there could be Grand Slam
Speaker 6: potential for him if Auchen is out big, if there
Speaker 6: Jets have a run funnel defense. Opponents average more rush
Speaker 6: attempts per game against the Jets and anyone else in
Speaker 6: the NFL, we're given moster to be.
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is up. This is gonna be a tricky matchup.
Speaker 3: I get the feeling one or two Dolphins is going
Speaker 3: to have a down game against a very good defense.
Speaker 3: And guys who Dolphins that carried you into the playoffs
Speaker 3: going to let some people down this week. Agreed, Bret
Speaker 3: Bears take on the Browns, and this is two really,
Speaker 3: really good defenses. And if you think Chicago's not, you're wrong.
Speaker 3: Continue listening on. We'll start at the bare side of
Speaker 3: the ball, though, justin fields better matchup than it appears
Speaker 3: at first glance. Cleveland has a lot of consecutive three
Speaker 3: touchdown passing games. After giving up none of those in
Speaker 3: the first eleven games, the Browns have allowed five quarterback
Speaker 3: rushing touchdowns that's third most in the league, and since
Speaker 3: returning from injury, fields averaging eleven designed runs per game
Speaker 3: seventy four rushing yards per game. We're getting our be
Speaker 3: two rushing production out of justin field, so B grade
Speaker 3: right there. Even though it's a it is generally a
Speaker 3: pretty tough passing matchup, made tougher by the ankle injury
Speaker 3: to DJ Moore. You're gonna want to follow his status
Speaker 3: as a game time decision, but it's a brutal matchup
Speaker 3: against an elite secondary, especially if Denzel Ward, who's questionable,
Speaker 3: can return from his shoulder injury. But even if he can't,
Speaker 3: cornerbacks Martin Emerson and Greg Newsen have played great over
Speaker 3: the last five weeks. They're giving up a less than
Speaker 3: sixty percent catch rate and a forty four passer rating.
Speaker 3: That's it. They've combined to allow zero touchdowns and four
Speaker 3: interceptions over the course of the season. Your glimmer of
Speaker 3: hope here is that Cleveland plays almost exclusively man coverage,
Speaker 3: and DJ Moore is the seventh highest graded wide receiver
Speaker 3: versus man coverage by Pro Football Focus. We've got a
Speaker 3: C grade on DJ Moore, assuming he's able to go.
Speaker 3: Cole Comet clocks in. Only two tight ends have posted
Speaker 3: big games against the Browns. It Commet clocking with the
Speaker 3: C Mark and Andrews and Evan Ingram last week had
Speaker 3: big games against the Rounds. Everybody else has just been duds.
Speaker 3: The other tight ends are averaging one and a half
Speaker 3: catches for seventeen yards a game. I it's nothing.
Speaker 4: Evan Ingram essentially octupled the per game averages. Yeah, catches, yards,
Speaker 4: touchdowns last week unbelievable.
Speaker 3: Yeah. Comt has seen at least seven targets in five
Speaker 3: of the past six games, but half of those are
Speaker 3: with Tyler Bagen, who has dumping the ball to him constantly.
Speaker 3: Fields has got a lot more up and down usage
Speaker 3: with Kamet. I still think this is a a playable
Speaker 3: entity here in Parks. They're not a lot of alternatives
Speaker 3: have passed to see great on Comet. We'll talk about
Speaker 3: don to Foreman next segment. Let's go over to the
Speaker 3: Cleveland side. Joe Flacco has been shockingly good. It's funny
Speaker 3: how he walked into this offense and looked more comfortable
Speaker 3: in the Browns offense than the quarterbacks who are there
Speaker 3: all year. For sure, he's thrown for five hundred and
Speaker 3: sixty five yards and five touchdowns, but this is a
Speaker 3: very tough matchup against a massively improved Bear secondary that's
Speaker 3: held their last two quarterbacks they face to less than
Speaker 3: two hundred passing yards and six combined interceptions. This is
Speaker 3: a tricky matchup for Flacco, only a C grade for him.
Speaker 3: Let's talk to his receivers, who all get C grades
Speaker 3: as well, including David and Joko, averaging nearly eight targets
Speaker 3: per game in his last three games, including season highs.
Speaker 3: So Joe Flacco. Since way back in Week seven, the
Speaker 3: Bears are much improved against tight ends, allowing just thirty
Speaker 3: five yards to the position per game. They've given up
Speaker 3: half a touchdown per game, which isn't bad, and that's
Speaker 3: your best reason to start in Joko here and is
Speaker 3: why he still gets a C grade as the prospect
Speaker 3: of a touchdown. Amari Cooper is coming off a fourteen
Speaker 3: target game, but he's going to get lighter usage here
Speaker 3: for sure. He probably gets shadow coverage from emerging elite
Speaker 3: cornerback Jayalen Johnson, who's just turned into a menace, just
Speaker 3: one score all season allowed, and he's giving up a
Speaker 3: forty eight percent catch rate opposing number one outside wideouts,
Speaker 3: having topped fifty seven receiving yards against Chicago since Week two. Wow,
Speaker 3: so fifty seven feels like your absolute max for Amari Cooper,
Speaker 3: and it's why he's just a C grade. Elijah Moore
Speaker 3: comes into the C grade slot receivers avoid Jalen Johnson,
Speaker 3: they fare better than their outside counterparts, although I will
Speaker 3: note I'm on ros Saint Brown just got held to
Speaker 3: a season low last week, so even Elijah were not
Speaker 3: a sure thing. Moore has top forty two yards in
Speaker 3: five straight games, which I like, and he's had the
Speaker 3: upticking usage and better passing frankly from Joe Flacco, but
Speaker 3: he scored just once all season. C grade there, and
Speaker 3: then the last guy I want to talk about, Jerome Ford.
Speaker 3: The Bears have turned into just a fantastic run stuffing defense.
Speaker 3: No back his top seventy six yards all year, although
Speaker 3: both of the Detroit backs said sixty six yards last week.
Speaker 3: I'll mention that Chicago's only given up three rushing touchdowns
Speaker 3: since back in Week three. Ford has cut eight of
Speaker 3: nine targets from Joe Flacco, so I like that. And
Speaker 3: the Bears allow the most receiving yards to opposing running
Speaker 3: backs fifty eight per game. So you start forward in
Speaker 3: PPR formats with a C raid. When we come back,
Speaker 3: take a chance on me nine players not normally in
Speaker 3: your starting lineup. I already tipped my hand for one
Speaker 3: of them. Find out who the other eight are when
Speaker 3: we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Take a chance
Speaker 3: on me. Nine players not normally in your starting lineup.
Speaker 3: Find out who they are right here, beginning at the
Speaker 3: quarterback position, and Brian Johnson take a chance. Forget about it.
Speaker 3: I got Tommy DeVito at the Saints.
Speaker 4: Over here, opposing quarterbacks were averaging around two hundred passing
Speaker 4: yards and one and a half passing touchdowns per against
Speaker 4: the Saints. That's decent production. But the real angle here
Speaker 4: is the rushing. New Orleans has allowed the second most
Speaker 4: rushing yards to quarterbacks. Five of the last six they
Speaker 4: faced have run for at least forty yards. And I'm
Speaker 4: also gonna guess Tommy Dee remembers that the Saints decided
Speaker 4: to pick Jake Hayner over him with the one and
Speaker 4: twenty seventh overall pick in the fourth round. Spike game incoming,
Speaker 4: and let me take this a little further, all right,
Speaker 4: Spike game last week for de Vito against the Packers.
Speaker 4: They took a quarterback, and thor will do all these quarterbacks.
Speaker 4: Then it's the Saints. Yeah, and then Eagles. Everyone he
Speaker 4: faces in the Rams, Eagles, Rams, Eagles, they all took
Speaker 4: a quarterback in the fourth round or later over Tommy DeVito.
Speaker 4: He's going to run the table on all these fools.
Speaker 3: All right, thor you're taking to some quarterback.
Speaker 6: I'm going with Will Levis and this one another guy
Speaker 6: was taking ahead of Tommy DeVito, and I can't believe
Speaker 6: I'm stumping for him here. Levis and the Titans are
Speaker 6: playing the Texans this week. Since Levis got into the
Speaker 6: starting lineup, he's been a fantasy q you know, super
Speaker 6: flex league startable, okay, fringish, you know, twelve.
Speaker 5: Team super flex QB two.
Speaker 6: But there's a possibility that he could be at QB one,
Speaker 6: I think in standard twelve team leagues this week against
Speaker 6: a rans at Texans pass defense. And for anyone out
Speaker 6: there right now who's thinking that is a crazy thing
Speaker 6: to say. Zach Wilson through for three hundred plus yards
Speaker 6: and two touchdowns against his tech Texans secondary last week.
Speaker 5: They're very, very bad.
Speaker 6: The Texans have allowed the second highest yards per attempts
Speaker 6: since Week nine. And the last thing the Titans are
Speaker 6: gonna be wearing those Oilers uniforms.
Speaker 3: You want a piece of that.
Speaker 5: They're gonna looking flashy.
Speaker 4: This week in Houston too. That's like a it's not
Speaker 4: a revenge game. It's like a uniform, just like I
Speaker 4: like that.
Speaker 5: I don't like it.
Speaker 3: I love it, like it, I do it. I like it.
Speaker 3: Matthew Stafford is kind of an obvious pick. I went,
Speaker 3: I went obvious choice here, so just beare me out.
Speaker 3: Washington is the opponent. They're the league's worst pass defense,
Speaker 3: and it's not close. They've allowed the most passing touchdowns thirty.
Speaker 3: With four weeks to go in the season, Washington has
Speaker 3: already allowed more pass touchdowns than thirty one of thirty
Speaker 3: two teams did all of last season. Nine of the
Speaker 3: last ten quarterbacks to face Washington have thrown for multiple touchdowns,
Speaker 3: and the only guy who didn't was Mac Jones, and
Speaker 3: he does not count. After a very slow start, Stafford's
Speaker 3: been red hot four touchdowns, three touchdowns, three touchdowns the
Speaker 3: last three weeks. I think he's an obvious start. In fact,
Speaker 3: I think he's my number five or six fantasy quarterback
Speaker 3: This week. To go to the running back position, Brian.
Speaker 4: I've got Atlanta's Tyler Algier at the Panthers. These teams
Speaker 4: first met back in Week one, and Algier outproduced Bijon
Speaker 4: Robinson Algier at ninety four combo yards and two touchdowns
Speaker 4: on eighteen touches. Bijeon has been getting more of the
Speaker 4: work as of late, as we all know, but there
Speaker 4: should be enough meat on the bone in this very
Speaker 4: juicy matchup, which is going to be played in torrential rain.
Speaker 4: They're saying like two to three inches, Yeah, twenty mile
Speaker 4: prour wins and no one throws on the Panthers anyway,
Speaker 4: who have allowed the most rushing yards and rushing touchdowns
Speaker 4: at running backs. And that's pretty easy to do when
Speaker 4: you've yielded the second most red zone touches to running
Speaker 4: backs and the second most touches in gold to ghost scenarios.
Speaker 3: So Tyler l jeer viable this week? All right, let's
Speaker 3: go to Thori. You take a chance with me running back.
Speaker 3: Let's get another share of those oilers' uniforms. All right,
Speaker 3: We're going with Taj Spears a frequent frequent appearances. I
Speaker 3: think he's old, second only to Baker Mayfield. And take
Speaker 3: a chance on the appearances.
Speaker 6: Home run hitter thirteen touches for one hundred and eighteen
Speaker 6: yards on sixty six percent of the snaps last week.
Speaker 6: There's an opportunity for another good game here. The Texans
Speaker 6: not only have the mediocre run defense, but they're bottom
Speaker 6: ten in the league in receptions allowed and receiving receiving
Speaker 6: yardage allowed. I'm sorry to opposing running backs. Taja has
Speaker 6: been getting some of those receiving looks and he can
Speaker 6: break off any touchdown he gets for a touchdown. The
Speaker 6: game script is also going to be in his favor
Speaker 6: here with the Texans starting Davis Mills and that injury
Speaker 6: decimated wide receiving core.
Speaker 3: Houston's gonna get rolled exactly.
Speaker 6: Yeah, and Spears is going to get the touches, and
Speaker 6: he has been incredible on a per touch basis this year.
Speaker 3: Doctor Foreman is the player who's alluding to last segment.
Speaker 3: Last week, he was the clearback for lead back for
Speaker 3: Chicago fifty five percent snap rate and Rochdown Johnson and
Speaker 3: Khalil Herbert combined for four carries. Since returning from injury
Speaker 3: in Week eleven, Foreman's gotten one hundred percent of the
Speaker 3: team's carries from inside the five yard line and a
Speaker 3: touchdown is a very real possibility here. Cleveland has allowed
Speaker 3: six rushing touchdowns in the last five games. They've also
Speaker 3: started giving up more yards ninety seven running back rushing
Speaker 3: yards per game over the last five weeks. That's a
Speaker 3: much more yielding Brown's run defense than we were used to.
Speaker 3: Let's go to the receivers, Brian, who you got.
Speaker 4: I'm pairing Wandale Robinson with Tommy DeVito at the Saints slot.
Speaker 4: Receivers have been showing up week over week against the Saints.
Speaker 4: Adam Thielen five catches seventy four yards, a Monro Saint
Speaker 4: Brown forty nine yards in a touchdown, Darnell Mooney five
Speaker 4: catches for eighty two yards, Josh Downs seven catches for
Speaker 4: seventy two yards, Christian Kirk six for ninety in a touchdown.
Speaker 4: Robert Woods scored against the Saints. The list goes on
Speaker 4: and on. So wandel Robinson, who's also balling out, Yeah,
Speaker 4: and they're getting the ball in his hands, whether they're
Speaker 4: throwing it to him, handing it off. So I like
Speaker 4: the Vito in Robinson a lot, bearing them.
Speaker 3: Up all right, thor you're taking a chance with me
Speaker 3: wide out.
Speaker 6: I'm going with Broncos wide receiver Jerry Judy and their
Speaker 6: game against the Lions.
Speaker 3: He definitely qualifies by the way he doesn't take it
Speaker 3: down now.
Speaker 6: Yeah, obviously he's been super disappointing, so people out there
Speaker 6: who have him might be like, I'm not doing that.
Speaker 5: All can see it.
Speaker 6: He's wide receiver sixty one and fantasy points per game
Speaker 6: and Jerry Judy is not top seven or sixty receiving
Speaker 6: yards since Week seven. I think he gets there this week, though,
Speaker 6: there's hope because of the matchup.
Speaker 5: Jerry Judy leads the team.
Speaker 6: Even though he's played poorly this year, he still leads
Speaker 6: the Broncos in first read share against single high coverage.
Speaker 6: The Lions play a ton of single high coverage and
Speaker 6: the Lions pass defense has been bad. Also, Judy is
Speaker 6: going to be lined up across from Lion's rookie slot
Speaker 6: Brian Branch, who is allowed pass the rating of over
Speaker 6: one hundred and one this year.
Speaker 3: Wow, yeah, all right, would you guys care to hazard
Speaker 3: a guess Pro Football Focus is highest rated wide receiver
Speaker 3: in the last month.
Speaker 7: Not Jerry Judy, but I like the cal Thor I'm
Speaker 7: not throw the bu Dell Beckham.
Speaker 4: Hey, my peacock off is still alive. Top twenty four
Speaker 4: wide receiver.
Speaker 3: I called it. Yeah, well, I hope you're not close yet.
Speaker 3: Maybe this game will do it. Fourteen targets in two
Speaker 3: games under Joe Flacco, his biggest two game target total
Speaker 3: all season, and over the past five weeks, the Jaguars,
Speaker 3: his opponent, are bottom five in receptions, yards, and touchdowns
Speaker 3: allowed to wide receivers. Some recent blow up games for
Speaker 3: outside wide receivers. Against Jacksonville last week, Amari Cooper fourteen targets,
Speaker 3: seven catches. The previous week, Jamar Chase eleven catches, one
Speaker 3: hundred and forty nine yards touchdown. Previous week Nicocollins one
Speaker 3: hundred four yards touchdown. Odell Beckham feels very safe here
Speaker 3: as somebody would not normally start, but you could this week.
Speaker 3: Let's go back to the matchups. The Atlanta Falcons taking
Speaker 3: on the Carolina Panthers. You told us that you like
Speaker 3: Tyler lg Er already imagine Bjon Robinson. You'll like him
Speaker 3: even better. Yeah, and for many of the same reasons.
Speaker 4: Many of the same reasons. Again, no one throws against Carolina.
Speaker 4: They don't have to. They're so easy to run. Against
Speaker 4: and the weather is going to be a factor. They
Speaker 4: have a really good secondary. They do, yeah, they do.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna fall that if they've got quality
Speaker 3: players in that secondary too. But back to Beijon, he
Speaker 3: gets the A. I just said this.
Speaker 4: I'm not even going through the stacks all yes, A
Speaker 4: for Bejon Algier was might take a chance on me
Speaker 4: running back. Sadly, Drake London the only starting grade I'm
Speaker 4: giving out in the passing game, so that means Kyle
Speaker 4: Pitts on the bench. Back to London, he looked amazing
Speaker 4: last week, but this is a bad matchup on paper,
Speaker 4: especially with these weather concerns. No one throws on the
Speaker 4: Panthers and they do have a good secondary. That's why
Speaker 4: opposing White House or averaging less than eleven catches per
Speaker 4: game against Carolin, So I can't fault you if you
Speaker 4: have a better for sitting London, if you have a
Speaker 4: better option. But again, not a great matchup, so just
Speaker 4: the softest of seas for London. And obviously Desmond Ritter
Speaker 4: on the bench as well, despite his blow up game
Speaker 4: last week, but that was an anomaly. Over to the
Speaker 4: Carolina side, I just have one starting grade and it's
Speaker 4: on Chuba Hubbard. Hubbard has forty eight carries over his
Speaker 4: last two games for nearly two hundred yards and two touchdowns.
Speaker 4: Belcow usage, but this is a brutal matchup. The Falcons
Speaker 4: still haven't surrendered a rushing touchdown way running back. The
Speaker 4: Ravens have surrendered three, and that's the second fewests.
Speaker 3: Just incredible.
Speaker 4: But Atlanta is middle of the road when it comes
Speaker 4: to rushing and combo yards allowed, so Hubbard should be
Speaker 4: viable if he touched the three yards and touch.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's total.
Speaker 4: He's not an RB one by any means, but he's
Speaker 4: flexworthy this week. And then again, everyone else on the bench,
Speaker 4: even Adam Feelen. That epic run from weeks two through
Speaker 4: six was a long time ago. Week six was the
Speaker 4: last time Feeling scored or topped one hundred yards, and
Speaker 4: the Falcons are vicious against wide receivers, allowing the third
Speaker 4: fewest receptions and yards to the position and Feeling only
Speaker 4: at two catches for twelve scoreless yards in the first meeting.
Speaker 4: So he's on the bench unfortunately, all right with Mingo, Hurst,
Speaker 4: Bryce Young, all those guys, the.
Speaker 3: Guys that you don't care about, thor Houston taking Tennessee.
Speaker 3: You've already touched on this a number of times and
Speaker 3: take a chance on me, but not the Houston side
Speaker 3: With Davis Mills at the helm? Who am I? Is
Speaker 3: there anybody to start here?
Speaker 6: Noah Brown if you need it. If he plays, But
Speaker 6: he's questionable as well with a knee injury. Limited in
Speaker 6: practice this week, and he's been a ghost the past
Speaker 6: two weeks, been a little bit dinged up. But he's
Speaker 6: gonna get all the usage her wide receiver one if
Speaker 6: he targets if he does play, because Nico Collins and
Speaker 6: Tank Dell are both out. But of course he's gonna
Speaker 6: be playing with Davis Mill, So how much will that matter?
Speaker 6: I give So I'm gonna give him a see.
Speaker 5: If he plays.
Speaker 6: Dalton Schultz, I'm gonna give him a see as well.
Speaker 6: We know he is returning to the field after missing
Speaker 6: the last two weeks with a hamstring injury. Schultz was
Speaker 6: taken off the injury reports sore here going to be playing.
Speaker 6: He was a red zone target hawk earlier this season.
Speaker 6: But how many times are the Texans going to reach
Speaker 6: the red zone in this game? But looking my question, Yeah,
Speaker 6: the Titans also allowed the second fewest Fantasy points per
Speaker 6: game to tight ends, so not the best matchup. Motor Singletary,
Speaker 6: I'm going to give him a see. Has supplanted our boy,
Speaker 6: Damian Pierce's lead back. It hurts to say. Singletary had
Speaker 6: sixty five total yards on fifty seven percent of the
Speaker 6: snaps last week. The Titans run defense has been playing
Speaker 6: better recently number two stuff rates since Week ten, so
Speaker 6: it can only give Motor a c. On the Titan side,
Speaker 6: Levis and Spears were might take a chance on me,
Speaker 6: Guys DeAndre Hopkins, I give him an a. In seven
Speaker 6: games with Will Levis, Hopkins is averaging seventy five yards
Speaker 6: and a touchdown per game. He's also been targeted twenty
Speaker 6: four times in the past two games. He's like the
Speaker 6: baby's blanket for Will. Levis and the Texans of course
Speaker 6: have the atrocious pass which we talked about before, and
Speaker 6: also a.
Speaker 3: Revenge game of course too.
Speaker 4: For DeAndre Hopkins exactly, I guess his original team, that's.
Speaker 6: Right, chick at Congquo. We're going to give him a see.
Speaker 6: He's been one of the winners of the Titans. Turning
Speaker 6: to Levis, Chig has two point three yards per route run.
Speaker 6: Since Week ten, the Texans allowed the third most fantasy
Speaker 6: points per game to opposing tight ends to solid matchup
Speaker 6: for Chig, the concern is zero touchdowns this year and
Speaker 6: you're not really targeting him in the red zone, so
Speaker 6: you gotta dig him a little bit for that. And
Speaker 6: then lastly, Derek Henry, I give him a b RB
Speaker 6: twelve and fantasy points per game so far this year.
Speaker 6: Another strong games coming here against the Texans run defense
Speaker 6: that has struggled in recent games. Texans have missed the
Speaker 6: six most tackles per attempts since Week ten, and.
Speaker 4: His history against the Texans is absolutely insane.
Speaker 3: He's scored at least once in like five straight Like no, no,
Speaker 3: he's kind of like, like half of his last five
Speaker 3: performances are two hundred yard rushing performances.
Speaker 5: Yeah, big game could be coming.
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's hope that now. The past is not always
Speaker 3: indicative of the future. But I think he's got one
Speaker 3: more in them, one more in him Garter. Yeah, come on, kay,
Speaker 3: one more time. That'd be great when we come back.
Speaker 3: Vikings versus Panthers. Vikings have Nick Mullins under center. Does
Speaker 3: that help their well breaking news? It helps compare to
Speaker 3: what they've had the past several weeks. How much is
Speaker 3: it enough to help some of the Vikings that you're
Speaker 3: counting on in the playoffs? Find out when we come back.
Speaker 3: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Chargie and Brian Johnson
Speaker 3: thor Nystrom with you. It's the first playoff week. We're
Speaker 3: here to try to help you make the best of it.
Speaker 3: Vikings take on the Bengals. Vikings is going to be
Speaker 3: without excellent right tackle Brian O'Neill. You'll want to be
Speaker 3: thoughtful about how that could impact this offense least a
Speaker 3: little bit. I'm going to start with a player who
Speaker 3: has the potential for an absolutely gigantic game. Can I
Speaker 3: take a guess? Yeah? It is time. It's tie time, right, No,
Speaker 3: you gotta start with Ty Chandler. Charge, fine, I'll start
Speaker 3: with Ty Chandler. I love No, I don't want the
Speaker 3: drug for Ty Midsummer. That's what I thought you would
Speaker 3: have started. All Kevin O'Connell has done is find ways
Speaker 3: to diminish his role, despite Alexander Madison being every bit
Speaker 3: as mundane as I was feared. Madison ruled out Chandler
Speaker 3: presumed starter, but they activated Miles Gaskin on Friday. Now,
Speaker 3: Oh no, I'm nervous. Cincinnati has got a bunch of
Speaker 3: middle of the pack run defense metrics, but they also
Speaker 3: are twenty sixth in run stuff win rate, which could
Speaker 3: suggest that there's a little something to be done here.
Speaker 3: Vikings are not a great run blocking team, but Chandler's
Speaker 3: got a little burst, a little wiggle. Maybe I'll be
Speaker 3: able to get something done anyway. Bengals allow five rushing
Speaker 3: touchdowns in their last five games. I'd love to see
Speaker 3: you getting the end zone here. Chandler is a better
Speaker 3: receiver than Madison. He could chip in four or five
Speaker 3: receptions without Madison on the field at all. So I've
Speaker 3: got a C grade on Chandler. Mostly, I'm more worried
Speaker 3: about Kevin O'Connell than I am about the Bengals. But
Speaker 3: maybe that's just totally ill founded, and we'll find out.
Speaker 3: I hope Chandler touches the ball twenty times. I'd be
Speaker 3: very happy about that. All right. Now, let's go to
Speaker 3: the player sitting out a potentially explosive game for the
Speaker 3: Minnesota Vikings.
Speaker 5: TJ.
Speaker 3: Hockinson. Get a load of this and credit Scott Fish
Speaker 3: for the stat as a starter in San Francisco. Nick
Speaker 3: Mullins average game to George Kittle. He played sixteen games
Speaker 3: in San Francisco. His average game to George Kittle seven catches,
Speaker 3: one hundred yards. Oh baby, If any of that's coming
Speaker 3: to TJ. Hockinson, I'm interested. But you might be saying, well,
Speaker 3: but what about that Bengals defense? How about this Bengals
Speaker 3: have allowed the most yards to opposing tight ends. And
Speaker 3: get a load of the recent games by tight ends
Speaker 3: against the Bengals last week, Moli Cox touchdown. Week before
Speaker 3: Evan Ingram nine catches eighty two yards, first touchdown of
Speaker 3: the year. Week before that, Pat Fryermouth season highs nine
Speaker 3: catches one hundred and twenty yards. Week before that, Mark
Speaker 3: Anders got hurt. Week before that, Dalton Schultz seventy one yards.
Speaker 3: Week before that, Dalton Kincaid ten catches eighty one yards.
Speaker 3: Week before that, George Kittle won one hundred and fifty
Speaker 3: yards against the Bengals.
Speaker 5: TJ.
Speaker 3: Hockinson my highest rated tight end this week. What about
Speaker 3: the rest of the Vikings receivers? Justin Jefferson, He's going
Speaker 3: to play through that chest injury sustained on Josh Dobbs's
Speaker 3: murder pass. Feeling a bit gunshy after last week, but murdered. Yes,
Speaker 3: it was a murder pass. Cincinnati is Pro Football Focus's
Speaker 3: third lowest graded coverage unit, but they do have some talent,
Speaker 3: including veteran cornerback Chidobe Auzier, who has been very good,
Speaker 3: allowing just one touchdown since Week two an average of
Speaker 3: just twenty five yards in his coverage. Nick Mullens comes in,
Speaker 3: obviously that changes things, But get this, Nick Mullins highest
Speaker 3: passer rating on deep balls of longer than twenty yards.
Speaker 3: That makes me optimistic that we're going to get some
Speaker 3: of the down field abilities from Justin Jefferson we haven't
Speaker 3: seen since he and Kirk Cousins were playing together. B
Speaker 3: great for Justin Jefferson, C grade for Jordan Adison. Now
Speaker 3: with Jefferson back, Addison's going to see fewer targets, but
Speaker 3: they'll be better targets because Jefferson's going to be commanding
Speaker 3: a lot better coverage. So that makes Addison kind of
Speaker 3: a do or die home run dart throw kind of
Speaker 3: player against the defense, allowing the highest rate of explosive
Speaker 3: plays over the past five weeks. Cornerback DJ Turner is
Speaker 3: allowed the tenth most yards per game among all cornerbacks.
Speaker 3: Mullins can pass downfield. So Addison, who was giving you
Speaker 3: some deep ball production in the early parts of the
Speaker 3: season with Kirk Cousins, could snap back here with a
Speaker 3: decent game and he's startable. With a C grade for
Speaker 3: Mullins himself, I've got a segrade on him. If I've
Speaker 3: got an A on Hockinson, a B on Jefferson, a
Speaker 3: SEA on Addison, i can't give a bench grade to
Speaker 3: Nick Mullins. I've got to presume he's going to be
Speaker 3: okay here. Every Bengals opposing quarterback has either scored or
Speaker 3: top three hundred passing yards or both, every one of
Speaker 3: them when last starting, which was a while ago. For
Speaker 3: Nick Mullins, as I mentioned, the deep ball was his
Speaker 3: best was his best asset, and I think he's gonna
Speaker 3: get some deep connections here. So a C grade on
Speaker 3: Nick Mullins. Let's go over to the Bengals side. I'm
Speaker 3: gonna start with the running game. Brutal matchup for Joe
Speaker 3: Mixon non DeAndre Swift runners averaging three point two yards
Speaker 3: per carry against Minnesota. If that were apply to a
Speaker 3: full season. If you know DeAndre Swift, that performance didn't exist,
Speaker 3: the Vikings would be the best run defense in the league.
Speaker 3: They also allow only zero point three touchdowns per game
Speaker 3: ground and air to opposing running backs. Similar or even
Speaker 3: better runners than Joe Mixon have been just silenced by
Speaker 3: Minnesota recently, including Josh Jacobs, Javonte Williams, Alvin Kamara, Aaron
Speaker 3: Jones all dud games in recent weeks against the Vikings.
Speaker 3: But Mixon can catch, and the Vikings are getting dinged
Speaker 3: through the air. They've been giving up eight receptions per
Speaker 3: game to opposing runners over the last three weeks. One
Speaker 3: matchup to watch Brian Minnesota Vikings linebacker Ivan Pace. You're
Speaker 3: reigning defensive player of the week. He's undrafted, right, undrafted, insane.
Speaker 3: He has a homecoming game in Cincinnati on his birthday.
Speaker 3: What do you think of that doubleheader defensive homecoming birthday? Yeah?
Speaker 4: I wish I was a more id leagues right now?
Speaker 3: Okay, Joe Mix and c Grade. Let's go to the
Speaker 3: passing game. Obviously, Jake Browning's been It's a fantastic story,
Speaker 3: including a league high eighty eight percent adjusted completion percentage
Speaker 3: over the last three weeks. But this is a tricky matchup.
Speaker 3: Vikings are ranked fourth in pass coverage by Pro Football Focus,
Speaker 3: and they've surrendered multiple passing touchdowns in only two of
Speaker 3: their last eight games. During that span, they've allowed just
Speaker 3: six passing touchdowns to nine interceptions. Now, Browning's rushing might help.
Speaker 3: He's a and that's something. He is a good scrambler
Speaker 3: and he could help out a little bit that way.
Speaker 3: But I can only get you to a B grade
Speaker 3: on Browning. I consider to see here, but I think
Speaker 3: there might be enough between rushing and passing to get
Speaker 3: him up to a B grade. Speaking of B grades,
Speaker 3: Jamar Chase. Even with last week's doug he's still averaging
Speaker 3: a solid eighty six yards under Browning. And despite the
Speaker 3: Vikings d dominating week offenses the last three weeks, lee
Speaker 3: wide receivers are still doing okay. Cam Sutton six yards
Speaker 3: in a score, DJ Moore one hundred and fourteen yards
Speaker 3: on eleven catches. Adams DeVante Adams fifty three yards on
Speaker 3: seven catches seven catches. Good. So yeah, it feels like
Speaker 3: a be great for Chase. He says he's the best
Speaker 3: receiver in this game.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he was asked, I'm gonna paraphrase a little, but
Speaker 4: you know, you and former LSU teammate Justin Jefferson are
Speaker 4: the two best receivers. What do you think about that?
Speaker 4: And he's like, no, I'm the best, the best, I'm
Speaker 4: the best. Here you go, it's gonna be quite the showdown.
Speaker 4: I'm excited.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a little bolt boarding material. Oh yeah for
Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson. T higgins last touchdown was.
Speaker 4: Anybody twenty twenty two, almost week two, week two, week two.
Speaker 3: I got the two part right, Yeah, you're close. Browning
Speaker 3: just doesn't seem to have that rapport for any of
Speaker 3: his receivers outside of Jamar Chase. Higgins has just two
Speaker 3: and three catches in his two games with Browning. Outside
Speaker 3: spots can pay dividends. Against Minnesota, he'd face up against
Speaker 3: the Caleb Evans and Byron Murphy, and you know those
Speaker 3: are favorable matchups. Murphy's allowed the third most touchdowns of
Speaker 3: all cornerbacks, so I've got to see great on Higgins.
Speaker 3: But honestly, his past production would not suggest that that's
Speaker 3: even possible. Here.
Speaker 5: All right, let's get into this IRV Smith revenge game.
Speaker 3: We're not gonna do that I know. I mentioned Browning
Speaker 3: does love his tight ends. Tanner Hudson is if you're
Speaker 3: in a real pinch, that is a possibility. He doesn't
Speaker 3: love Smith, No, nobody loves Smith. Tyler Boyd's on the bench.
Speaker 3: He's done nothing with Browning, and the Vikings are top
Speaker 3: ten and stopping opposing slot receivers. Chase Brown I love
Speaker 3: what we're seeing in splashes of use, but he's not
Speaker 3: getting enough carries and the matchup's difficult. We're gonna talk
Speaker 3: more about Chase Brown later in the show. Let's go
Speaker 3: to the Giants taking on these Saints.
Speaker 4: Brian Yeah, well, dive right into the passing game real
Speaker 4: quick again. Tommy Devitos might take a chance on me quarterback.
Speaker 4: He's gonna be a spicy meet the ball in this one.
Speaker 4: I like Windel Robinson. He's might take a chance on me.
Speaker 4: Wide receiver. Darren Waller expects to play. But you can't
Speaker 4: trust Darren Waller to finish the game.
Speaker 3: No, I need to see a full game.
Speaker 4: So he is on the bench. But Sakwon Barkley is
Speaker 4: not going to give Barkley an a. He's looking great
Speaker 4: as of late, and the Saints run defense has not
Speaker 4: looked great. Over their last three games, New Orleans has
Speaker 4: surrendered five hundred and twenty three combo yards and three
Speaker 4: total touchdowns to running backs. Again, that's over the last
Speaker 4: three games. That's what one hundred and seventy combo yards
Speaker 4: per game they're allowing.
Speaker 3: That's their last three. That's shocking for the Saints that
Speaker 3: normally have a pretty good Yeah, they've fallen off big time.
Speaker 4: So I love Barkley this week with the A over
Speaker 4: to the Saints side, I love their running back not
Speaker 4: quite as much as Barkley, So Alvin Kamara just to
Speaker 4: be Since Week nine, New York has allowed the fifth
Speaker 4: most rushing yards per game, the third highest explosive run rate,
Speaker 4: and the fourth highest yards after.
Speaker 3: Contact per attempt.
Speaker 4: But you know, Barkley, I'm sorry, Yeah, Kamara, it's really
Speaker 4: more about the the air production for him, and the
Speaker 4: Giants have only started one receiving touchdown to running backs.
Speaker 4: But Kamara is not your stereotypical receiving back. His sixty
Speaker 4: three catch are top fifteen among wide receivers, not running backs.
Speaker 4: But I just don't see that the a ceiling for Kamara.
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna give him a B in this matchup
Speaker 4: over to the wide receivers. It gets a little dicey here.
Speaker 4: Chris o'lave. He hasn't practiced all week. They're still calling
Speaker 4: him time questionable.
Speaker 3: If he plays, I will give him a C. If
Speaker 3: he's active.
Speaker 4: The Giants are allowing nearly fifteen catches, one hundred and
Speaker 4: eighty yards and a touchdown per game to opposing wide receivers.
Speaker 4: Those are good numbers for the opposition. So that's why,
Speaker 4: like Rashid Shaheed, either way he gets a CEE is
Speaker 4: expected to make his return from injury. So see for Shaheed,
Speaker 4: see for a Lave. If he plays, if a Lave
Speaker 4: doesn't play, I'm so close to giving Lynn Bowden a C.
Speaker 3: But he's more of your age at at what at Perry, No,
Speaker 3: not at Perry.
Speaker 4: Lynn Bowden has been seeing running more routes, seeing more targets,
Speaker 4: all of that, so but I'm still gonna keep him
Speaker 4: on the bench. But he's a He's a DFS start
Speaker 4: for you out there, for you daily players. Lynn Bowden
Speaker 4: probably in your bare minimum. I like him as a
Speaker 4: cheap option. Taysom Hill expected to make his return to
Speaker 4: but there's there's no analysis you can do on Taysom Hill.
Speaker 4: It's just like you plug him in and pray. So
Speaker 4: I'm not a very religious guy, so he's on the
Speaker 4: bench for me, as is deres Tark the end to
Speaker 4: each of the room.
Speaker 3: Though, all right, Happy holidays, Denver. Bronco's taking on the
Speaker 3: Detroit Lions. I like parts of this Broncos passing game.
Speaker 3: Thor you already told us that Jerry Judy was you
Speaker 3: to take a chance on me wide receiver. What do
Speaker 3: you think about Russell Wilson in this one? I like him.
Speaker 5: I did too. I'm gonna give him a bee.
Speaker 6: I did flirt with an a on but I'm gonna
Speaker 6: stick with the b So the last five games for
Speaker 6: Russell Wilson, He's number two in the NFL and highly
Speaker 6: accurate throw rate, but a part of that is because
Speaker 6: the offense is skewed super conservative to help out the defense.
Speaker 6: One of the reasons that the Broncos have been playing better.
Speaker 6: The Broncos haven't thrown for two hundred yards in seven
Speaker 6: of their last nine games because of that, and eight
Speaker 6: of the last nine Bronco games have gone under the total.
Speaker 6: In Vegas, so you don't get as much scoring, but
Speaker 6: there is an opportunity for a huge game here for
Speaker 6: dangerous script. The game script looks like it could be
Speaker 6: a shootout, and Russell is going to have to throw
Speaker 6: certainly more than he has been. And I mentioned before
Speaker 6: the Lions pass defense has been badly struggling since Week nine.
Speaker 6: That pass defense sixth worst in the NFL and allowing
Speaker 6: passing touchdowns and they've given up the third highest passer
Speaker 6: rating in the NFL. I give Javonte Williams a see
Speaker 6: in this one. He's the RB twenty nine and fantasy
Speaker 6: points per game.
Speaker 3: Because he hasn't scored.
Speaker 6: Doesn't score, Yeah, he does get the solid workload, especially
Speaker 6: last three weeks, been playing sixty to seventy percent of
Speaker 6: the snaps. Not as good of a matchup for him
Speaker 6: against what is a much tougher Lions run defense. On
Speaker 6: their pass defense, Lions have a high tackling have high
Speaker 6: tackling efficiency numbers. They're also number eight and stuff rate
Speaker 6: since the midway point of this season, Cortland Sutton. I
Speaker 6: give him an a Cortland Sutton against single high coverage
Speaker 6: this year, his first redshare jumps all the way up
Speaker 6: to twenty eight percent. Lions are number six in the
Speaker 6: NFL in single I coverage. I was talking about that
Speaker 6: with Judy since the midway point of the season. This
Speaker 6: is also a great matchup for Sutton, same way that
Speaker 6: it was for Judy. Sutton of course on the outside,
Speaker 6: but the Lion's boundary cornerback stink.
Speaker 5: Cameron.
Speaker 6: Sutton has given up one hundred and three passer rating
Speaker 6: this year, Jerry Jacob's given up one hundred and eight
Speaker 6: passer rating against on targets this year, and the Lions
Speaker 6: of AE as a team have allowed the most PPR
Speaker 6: points per target to perimeter wide receivers since week nine.
Speaker 5: Love Courtland Sutton this week.
Speaker 3: I do too. I'm with you. I, you and I
Speaker 3: are in lockstep on every one of those players for
Speaker 3: the Broncos. Love it.
Speaker 5: Jared Goff moving over to the lines. I give him
Speaker 5: a c.
Speaker 6: His volume is dipped here in recent weeks as the
Speaker 6: turnovers have gone up a bit. Goff only has an
Speaker 6: average of thirty attempts to the last two games, and
Speaker 6: this is not a great matchup for him. Since Week nine,
Speaker 6: the Broncos have allowed the fourth lowest passer rating and
Speaker 6: giving up the second fewest passing touchdowns. I'm honorous saying
Speaker 6: brown in part for this reason, I had to toggle
Speaker 6: him down to a B this week. Wide receiver five
Speaker 6: in Fantasy overall season long, but rough game last week,
Speaker 6: as you guys know, only twenty one receiving yards. Another
Speaker 6: down game is coming here. Broncos pass defense. They've allowed
Speaker 6: the lowest PPR points per target to opposing slots, so
Speaker 6: they're particularly good against opposing slots, but a good pass
Speaker 6: defense in general. Sam Laporta Sammy ball game, my boy
Speaker 6: a always tight end three and fantasy points per game
Speaker 6: and an awesome matchup for him too. Broncos are dead
Speaker 6: last in the NFL against tight ends. Sam Laporte is
Speaker 6: going off this week. Denver, by the way, you know,
Speaker 6: you were talking about the other defense as far as
Speaker 6: those tight ends.
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Bengals, they've given up the most yards. I
Speaker 3: believe Denver's giving up the most fantasy points exactly.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 6: And Denver's allowed ten straight tight ends to go over
Speaker 6: thirty receiving yards.
Speaker 5: So you also have the flores falls and ceiling there.
Speaker 6: David Montgomery, I'm giving David Montgomery in a as well.
Speaker 6: Just like ballgame, Montgomery, you have scored a touchdown every
Speaker 6: game he has finished healthy except for one. There's an opportunity,
Speaker 6: of course, for him to score multiple touchdowns in this game.
Speaker 3: There is.
Speaker 5: This also feels like a twenty plus.
Speaker 6: Carry game for Montgomery, and contextually Broncos ranked dead last
Speaker 6: with twenty six Fantasy points per game allowed to opposing
Speaker 6: running backs. I give Jamer Gibbs a B. He's averaging
Speaker 6: eighty three total yards since week ten. The Lion staff
Speaker 6: has figured out how to start using him, get him
Speaker 6: out in space and everything like that, five plus targets
Speaker 6: in the receiving game in three of the last five games.
Speaker 6: The explosive players are coming for Gibbs here. I think
Speaker 6: Broncos are at bottom ten defense in allowing explosive runs.
Speaker 5: We'll give him a bee.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that sounds about it sounds about right. I have
Speaker 3: a's on both of those guys, just the way you
Speaker 3: beat the Broncos on the ground all control. I can
Speaker 3: see both of them having a big game. Jimior Gibbs
Speaker 3: chips and some receptions. Montgomery scores some rushing touchdowns.
Speaker 2: Ah.
Speaker 3: I think they're both sitting on really nice games.
Speaker 6: Here, and their offense have been skewing that way anyway,
Speaker 6: So I totally agree.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, absolutely. Hey, if you'm miasicitedly part of the show,
Speaker 3: you can always get all my play rankings which are
Speaker 3: updated every single day at Guillotine leagues dot com. It's
Speaker 3: completely free. You now can't join at Guillotine League in
Speaker 3: week fifteen, but you know, if you can go to
Speaker 3: the site, you can download the app, get all of
Speaker 3: the player rankings available for free. And maybe you're even
Speaker 3: alive in a Guillotine League, which would be an ideal scenario.
Speaker 3: As well. Our number two of Fantasy Football Weekly and
Speaker 3: three Tough Questions coming up next our number two Fantasy
Speaker 3: Football Weekly. Paul Charchie and Brian Johnson throw an eye
Speaker 3: from with you. You can follow us on Twitter. I
Speaker 3: am at Well, the site formerly known as Twitter. I'm
Speaker 3: at Paul Charchi in Twitter forever. For me, it's Team
Speaker 3: Twitter forever. It's so dumb to change these names. And
Speaker 3: by the way, I've mentioned this on the show one
Speaker 3: other time, HBO, why would you change the name of HBO?
Speaker 3: And then, oh, by the way, like cancel all the
Speaker 3: shows everybody likes, produce no new good shows, so everybody
Speaker 3: hates your new name and they all cancel their subscription.
Speaker 4: Two worst brandings in the history of rebranding, so dumb.
Speaker 3: Anyway, you can follow Brian at bt XJ and thorn
Speaker 3: eystrom Is at thor KU.
Speaker 5: No, you got k at rock Chart.
Speaker 3: All right, let's get into the three tough questions we
Speaker 3: encourage you to play along.
Speaker 2: Tough question number one for.
Speaker 3: Dynasty leaguers, give me somebody available that I can stash
Speaker 3: for next year.
Speaker 4: Brian, Yeah, there's obviously not a lot left out there
Speaker 4: in most leagues, so I'm gonna go I'm gonna speak
Speaker 4: to the super flex or mandatory two quarterback dynasty leaguers
Speaker 4: out there, unless you're in a super deep one. Hendon
Speaker 4: Hooker should be available. Rookie quarterback for the Lions out
Speaker 4: of Tennessee, basically didn't play all year for because of
Speaker 4: a knee injury. I almost want to put Thor on
Speaker 4: the spot because he knows a lot more about Hooker
Speaker 4: than I do. But I'm not saying he's gonna take
Speaker 4: Jared Goff's job, or it's going to be a quarterback
Speaker 4: competition going to the next season. But you never know
Speaker 4: what could happen to Goff and Hooker. Would Hooker have
Speaker 4: been a first second round pick if not for the injury, Thor,
Speaker 4: I think it would have been a second. So why
Speaker 4: not stash him and just see what happens in your
Speaker 4: two quarterback leagues.
Speaker 3: He should be available, all right, he is. I like
Speaker 3: the availability part of that, all right, Thor, give me
Speaker 3: a dynasty for dynasty leaguers. Give me somebody who's largely
Speaker 3: available that I can pick up and stash for next year.
Speaker 6: I'm also going to go with the guy who got
Speaker 6: drafted in April. I'm going with Jets running back Israel
Speaker 6: Abana Conda for this one. I think he could be
Speaker 6: the twenty twenty four Rico Daudo abound A Conda, a
Speaker 6: two hundred and sixteen pounder who had a nine point
Speaker 6: six RATS in otherwids tested ninety six size adjusted percentile
Speaker 6: coming in. He's also a home run hitter. I mean,
Speaker 6: like his calling card is speed. I comped him in
Speaker 6: the pre draft process that Tevin Coleman. Very similar game,
Speaker 6: Like they both run upright, they get you know, once
Speaker 6: they get into space, it's just they're looking for that
Speaker 6: straight line to the goal line and then they just
Speaker 6: want to run as fast as they can. A Bona
Speaker 6: Konda is likely to be the one be back in
Speaker 6: the Jets backfield next year because Dalvin Cook is a
Speaker 6: free agent. Breece Hall will be RB one in that scenario.
Speaker 6: Obviously Breeze went down then if he would be getting
Speaker 6: the bell call role. But I would also say Nathaniel
Speaker 6: Hackett historically has used two running backs. Yeah, good point,
Speaker 6: So a Bona Conna could factor in there. And by
Speaker 6: the way, it's going to be a Jets offense that
Speaker 6: is way, way way better next year because mister Aaron
Speaker 6: Rodgers is coming back and Zach Wilson's going to be
Speaker 6: banished again. So I really like a Bona Coonda For
Speaker 6: Dynasty guys.
Speaker 3: That's an interesting angle. You're kind of selling you that
Speaker 3: they cut Michael Carter, So you know that tells me.
Speaker 3: That tells me that they like Izzy for sure. For
Speaker 3: my answer and we'll call it the correct answer. Well, first,
Speaker 3: Jill Any Woods, who I talk about all the time.
Speaker 3: You know, it's a tragically lost season for him with
Speaker 3: a multiple re injuries to his hamstring, but ultimately Cincinnati
Speaker 3: running back Chase Brown looks great. You know in college
Speaker 3: we saw a compact runner with great balance footwork. He
Speaker 3: had a little bit of burst last year to Illinois,
Speaker 3: Brown ranked second in the country with forty eight explosive plays.
Speaker 3: And we've learned about Brown thanks for his recent upchick
Speaker 3: upticking usage in Cincinnati almost five yards per carry. Dude
Speaker 3: can catch, you know, he caught a bit at Illinois
Speaker 3: as well. He can catch, and you get him into
Speaker 3: space and you got a problem on your hands. Kind
Speaker 3: of like Chase Brown here. If you believe like me,
Speaker 3: Joe Mixon is just like slowly faltering. We don't know.
Speaker 3: It's mix and status for next year, you might not
Speaker 3: even be on this team. Chase Brown could be the
Speaker 3: lead running back for the Bengals with a Joe Burrow
Speaker 3: led offense next season.
Speaker 6: He's a home run hitter for sure. Nine point eight
Speaker 6: ras for Chase Brown in the process this year.
Speaker 3: All right, like that, we'll call that correct.
Speaker 2: An tough question Number two, what's.
Speaker 3: The right tie breaker in the playoffs for two teams
Speaker 3: that tie?
Speaker 6: We begin with thor so I go by standings this
Speaker 6: because I feel like regular season, Yeah, the regular season standings,
Speaker 6: because I feel like the team that finished higher in
Speaker 6: the standings you have the fact a home field advantage, ergo,
Speaker 6: you would get the tiebreaker on this one, so by
Speaker 6: record first them by point score.
Speaker 5: That's always my default tie breaker after record.
Speaker 3: Brian, what's the right tiebreaker for the playoffs when two
Speaker 3: teams have the same score.
Speaker 4: I used to be a points guy because I always
Speaker 4: thought overall points was more indicative of how good your
Speaker 4: team is as opposed to a regular season record where you.
Speaker 3: Can get lucky or unlucky.
Speaker 4: But I'm going to go the route, and I'm not
Speaker 4: in any of these leagues I wish I was, at
Speaker 4: least don't think I am. But with the highest scoring
Speaker 4: bench player. If we were to tie in our week
Speaker 4: fifteen matchup, it's sort of like a hybrid best ball approach,
Speaker 4: So I would go by the highest scoring bench player.
Speaker 4: I feel in the fair Unless you're playing in like
Speaker 4: whole point leagues, it's still hard to tie, but it's
Speaker 4: in edge case scenario. But if it happens, I'm going
Speaker 4: with the highest scoring bench player.
Speaker 3: The most important thing is to have an established tie breaker.
Speaker 3: You probably don't know what Most leagues now score to
Speaker 3: the hundreds place, so it's uncommon. It used to be
Speaker 3: very common. But here's the thing. I've seen friendships end
Speaker 3: over tie breakers in the playoffs because your league didn't
Speaker 3: have a tie breakers set up, it's a bad deal.
Speaker 3: So establish your tiebreaker now if you haven't already now.
Speaker 3: I don't like any tiebreaker involves backups, because your backups
Speaker 3: aren't necessarily there to score points for you. For example,
Speaker 3: if I've got mix in, I want to Chase Brown handcuff,
Speaker 3: and that's the reason Chase Brown's on my team. I
Speaker 3: remember one year, years ago when I wasn't a whole
Speaker 3: points scoring league that we used backups, and so in
Speaker 3: the championship game, I dropped everybody and just had kickers.
Speaker 3: I just had nothing but kickers as my backups to
Speaker 3: get your points, you know, out of my backups. I mean,
Speaker 3: it's just I and the backups. Again, don't like the
Speaker 3: backups the regular season, so throwor to your point, the
Speaker 3: better team was established over the course of the season.
Speaker 3: The regular season record the winning percentage of the overall points.
Speaker 3: But that tells me who was better, not who is
Speaker 3: is better. So to me, it's all about the starters.
Speaker 3: I don't like the backups. I like the regular season.
Speaker 3: I give you the starters in this game this week,
Speaker 3: So how can I measure when we've already tied Thor
Speaker 3: and I have already tied. How can we do it?
Speaker 3: I use most yards of your starters. If you play
Speaker 3: with the kicker and defense, just throw those out. Most
Speaker 3: leagues don't anymore. If you do, just throw those out
Speaker 3: most yards between my starters. Because I'm trying to make
Speaker 3: the best starting lineup, Thors, trying to make the best
Speaker 3: starting lineup. Whoever had the most yards, You've got the
Speaker 3: best team this week?
Speaker 2: Got tough question number three.
Speaker 4: That's too much math for me, it's too much math
Speaker 4: for you.
Speaker 3: Wow, did you go to Arizona State? Is this an
Speaker 3: English Major? Sky? You?
Speaker 1: MA?
Speaker 3: Should should higher seeded playoff teams be allowed to pick
Speaker 3: their opponents? Back to Brian first for this one. No,
Speaker 3: do you get to pick whoever you want to play? No,
Speaker 3: this is weird to me.
Speaker 4: Initi was like, I'm not in a league like this,
Speaker 4: and then I realized, I am in a league like this,
Speaker 4: and we're in the same league. It's a Best Ball
Speaker 4: Empire league, and I am buying for the number one seed,
Speaker 4: So I guess I'll gladly pick my opponent.
Speaker 3: But I don't know. It's just it's a little too
Speaker 3: it's too far off the tracks. For me, whatever analogy,
Speaker 3: metaphor you want to use.
Speaker 4: Just basically, no, I think it's kind of bizarre, but hey,
Speaker 4: I'll take advantage of it if it presented the opportunity.
Speaker 3: But overall I'm against it. I remember when PPR was
Speaker 3: too far off the tracks for people. All right, thor
Speaker 3: should higher seeded playoff teams be allowed to pick their opponents?
Speaker 6: So this is the first time I was ever confronted
Speaker 6: with this idea. I guess I play in two basic
Speaker 6: of leagues. This idea is incredible and it should be
Speaker 6: implemented everywhere for numerous different reasons. First of all, the
Speaker 6: shade potential is absolutely incredible. Number one, uh but but
Speaker 6: number two, I feel like the teams that finish at
Speaker 6: the top, who would have the first picks in it?
Speaker 5: They've earned that.
Speaker 6: Why wouldn't they get to pick their opponent? I I
Speaker 6: love the idea all the way around. All right, I
Speaker 6: have several thoughts. Your first, Okay, some people, the NFL
Speaker 6: doesn't work that way. You don't get I don't care.
Speaker 6: The NFL has nothing to do with this conversation. Yeah, honestly,
Speaker 6: this is you know, this is nothing. No two things alike.
Speaker 6: Second thing, I'm the number one seed. A lot of
Speaker 6: teams that A lot of times the team that you
Speaker 6: know rolled in as the sixth seed or whatever. However,
Speaker 6: man teams you got in, you know that team's hot
Speaker 6: right now. You know it's not like the sixth seed
Speaker 6: right now. It could often because oftentimes still a very
Speaker 6: very good team and not the team that I want
Speaker 6: to get matched up with.
Speaker 3: Yes, I love that it adds new strategy. Now I
Speaker 3: got to like go through all the lineups. I gotta
Speaker 3: do like projected outcomes. I got to try to figure
Speaker 3: out which which opponent is going to be worse and
Speaker 3: then if you still get it wrong. Oh that's why
Speaker 3: it's a given for me. I know it's I will
Speaker 3: picked the wrong team. So I don't want to pick
Speaker 3: the league Brian and I were talking about right now.
Speaker 3: It's an Empire League where if you win back to
Speaker 3: back years, you win this rolling pot and the whole
Speaker 3: thing ends. Last year, I'm in the championship and I've
Speaker 3: got I picked. I get to pick my opponent. It's
Speaker 3: a week before the championship. I guess, so I get
Speaker 3: to pick my opponent. I chose wrong, got the wrong team,
Speaker 3: knocked myself out or else I could, I would have
Speaker 3: won the I would have won the whole thing, and
Speaker 3: if nature just run its course, you would have been
Speaker 3: that champion. I don't know for sure, but probably I
Speaker 3: had a really good team. So anyway, I think it's
Speaker 3: super fun. It adds cool new strategy. It doesn't have
Speaker 3: to be like the NFL. Let's let those highest seated
Speaker 3: team pick their opponents.
Speaker 6: I have a clarification question, would they Would the second
Speaker 6: and third teams be guaranteed to pick or could the
Speaker 6: top team be Like I want the number two seed
Speaker 6: right away?
Speaker 3: Yeah? You could. Yeah, you could do that. Wow. Yeah,
Speaker 3: you don't have to pick like the SEP bottom half.
Speaker 3: You can pick anybody you want if you're a team won.
Speaker 3: I love this idea. It's super fun, isn't it. I
Speaker 3: love this. Yeah, it's a lot of fun. All right,
Speaker 3: let's get back to the matchups. Hey, it's me Bay
Speaker 3: taken on Green Bay. How about Shot White suddenly going
Speaker 3: bellcow on us? I did not see that coming. Over
Speaker 3: the past three weeks, he's averaging twenty carries and he's
Speaker 3: chipping in three receptions per game. He's scored in five
Speaker 3: of the six games. For a guy who was incapable
Speaker 3: of scoring last year and most of this year, Shot
Speaker 3: White turning it around. Green Bay has allowed six rushing
Speaker 3: touchdowns to running backs in their last five games. White
Speaker 3: will be aided by the loss of well potential loss
Speaker 3: of Packers linebacker Kay Walker if he can't go, We're
Speaker 3: going to monitor his status in this one. Packer's own
Speaker 3: of three teams to not allow a receiving touchdown to
Speaker 3: a running back this season, and their scoreless streak goes
Speaker 3: back nineteen games, so they've not given up a receiving
Speaker 3: touchdown for nineteen straight games. So White will not help
Speaker 3: us that way, and that's part of the way. I've
Speaker 3: got a B grade on White instead of an A
Speaker 3: grade on White. To the Packer game, Let's go start
Speaker 3: with Baker Mayfield. Even with quarterbacks Eric Stokes and Jay
Speaker 3: r Alexander injured and then green Bay traded away, Rasuell
Speaker 3: Douglas has been great with the bill. The Packers have
Speaker 3: held opposing passers in check almost every week. No passers
Speaker 3: top two scores all year. Only one is top two
Speaker 3: hundred and sixty yards on the season. Green Bay allowing
Speaker 3: the fourth lowest a dot average distance to throw at
Speaker 3: just seven and see. I just think Baker Mayfield's overall
Speaker 3: upside very limited against what's been a shockingly and shockingly
Speaker 3: competent Packers secondary despite a dearth of talent. Let's go
Speaker 3: to Mike Evans with a weird dud last week. That
Speaker 3: doesn't make sense now unless Alexander Stokes come back. It
Speaker 3: leaves the combo of Valentine and Valentine as you're outside
Speaker 3: cornerbacks once again, and they've been pretty bad over the
Speaker 3: last five weeks. They have bottom fifty PFF coverage grades,
Speaker 3: but they've only given up two scores between them and Evans'
Speaker 3: biggest values is a red zone target, where he's a
Speaker 3: top ten wide receiver target. I can only get you
Speaker 3: to a B grade on Evans in a weirdly tough matchup.
Speaker 3: Here's your sneaky play this week. Chris Godwin is a
Speaker 3: game time decision. He's got a knee injury practiced on Friday,
Speaker 3: but they have said there's still a decent chance he
Speaker 3: won't go. Trey Palmer Burner. Trey, is he ever a Burner? Now?
Speaker 5: He's been?
Speaker 3: He runs, He dominates the slot usage. He runs almost
Speaker 3: two thirds of his plays from the slot. Double the
Speaker 3: slot routes from Evans and Godwin. Packers are getting dominated
Speaker 3: by slot receivers, including when Dale Robinson last week went
Speaker 3: berserk on him. I'm on Rap Saint Brown before that,
Speaker 3: Keenan Allen before that. Slot receivers getting it out.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 3: All those guys are are a lot more polished and
Speaker 3: experienced than Trey Palmer. But you could get a breakout
Speaker 3: game from him. And if you need a dart throw
Speaker 3: Trey Palmer, let's go to the Green Bay side. Jordan
Speaker 3: Love coming off a bad Monday Night game, but his
Speaker 3: prior three games are very good, and the Bucks secondary
Speaker 3: is the ideal recipe for a quick turnaround. The Bucks
Speaker 3: ranked thirty first and passing yards allowed twenty eighth and
Speaker 3: fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. They ranked twenty seventh in
Speaker 3: covers by Pro Football Folk. They've given up a league
Speaker 3: worst six quarterback rushing touchdowns, and Love's mobility could definitely
Speaker 3: factor in here and augment this box score. Be great
Speaker 3: for Jordan Love. I'm starting Jordan Love over Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 3: in one of my guillotine leagues. Who that is gonna be?
Speaker 3: That's Love it if I if the ship goes down
Speaker 3: on that I'm gonna feel pretty bad. All right, Let's
Speaker 3: go to Jayden Reid and Romeo Dobs, both cornerbacks for Tampa.
Speaker 3: Jamel Dean and Carlon Davis are questionable follow their status.
Speaker 3: That leaves something called Zion McCollum as the only healthy
Speaker 3: outside cornerback that plays meaningful snaps, and over the last
Speaker 3: five weeks, he's Pro Football Focus is fifteenth lowest graded cornerback.
Speaker 3: So I love the matchups here, and Reid's getting carries
Speaker 3: about one hundred yards of rushing work in the last month.
Speaker 3: Both Dobbs and Reads viable against a defense that ranks
Speaker 3: thirty first in yards allowed to the position. Drake London
Speaker 3: crushed Tampa last week. They've allowed five one one hundred
Speaker 3: yard receiving performances in their last six games. Game on
Speaker 3: Jaden Reed and Romeo Dobbs with B grades in this one.
Speaker 3: Christian Watson is not expected to play. He is doubtful.
Speaker 3: We don't think he's gonna go in this one. You
Speaker 3: could dart throw at at Wisntavious Wicks, but he's also
Speaker 3: not healthy. Malik Heath he scored last week. You want
Speaker 3: to go that far? Be my gad I don't now
Speaker 3: you know what you can't do very easily on Tampa's
Speaker 3: run the ball, and AJ Dillon's got groin injury, thumb injury,
Speaker 3: Aaron Jones is trying to come back from knee injury.
Speaker 3: It's all bad for me. Tampa's a good run defense,
Speaker 3: they're giving him just three point seven yards per carries
Speaker 3: since Week six, and even heavy volume backs are not
Speaker 3: getting any headway. Even if so, even if Dylan or
Speaker 3: Jones one or the other starts, it doesn't mean that
Speaker 3: they're gonna have any kind of productivity here. Dylan has
Speaker 3: zero top ten finishes this year in Fantasy, and he's
Speaker 3: his average finish. Get this. J Dillon's average Fantasy finish
Speaker 3: running back thirty one, and he's spend the lone starter.
Speaker 3: With Aaron Jones missing most of the year. Jones has
Speaker 3: only two games with more than eleven touches. And my
Speaker 3: fear is every time they give Aaron Jones a bunch
Speaker 3: of work, he gets hurt. So even if Dylan is out,
Speaker 3: I don't think they're gonna give Jones requisite work here,
Speaker 3: so he's on the bench too.
Speaker 4: I don't believe, and producer Brett would know, but I
Speaker 4: don't think the Packers have had all of their offensive
Speaker 4: weapons healthy for no, because Christian Watson missed Week one,
Speaker 4: Aaron Jones got hurt in Week one, and then ever
Speaker 4: since then it's been an.
Speaker 3: Offensive line span. Yeah, Luke Musgrave, he gets hurt at
Speaker 3: I have to scroll several times just to get through
Speaker 3: our injury report that way. Yeah, it's it's bad news.
Speaker 3: Next year, Packers are going to be a tough team.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 3: Love's gonna get better. All the young receivers get better,
Speaker 3: they get into all the injuries of this year, it's
Speaker 3: they're gonna be They're gonna be a handful next year.
Speaker 3: When we come back San Francisco taking on the Arizona Cardinals.
Speaker 3: Deebo Samuel the highest scoring Fantasy wide receiver in the
Speaker 3: last month. Will it continue? He had a zero catch
Speaker 3: game last time these teams met. Find out when we
Speaker 3: come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football weekly playoff week. It's
Speaker 3: also rain week. Lookout for weather a pre kickoff. Anything
Speaker 3: on the East Coast is got weather. And then the
Speaker 3: Monday night er is shaping up in Seattle. Shocking, Seattle
Speaker 3: could have cold rain in December. It's even raining in Minnesota.
Speaker 3: In December.
Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, you gotta look for the win to anything
Speaker 6: over twelve miles per hour statistically, data wise, going back years,
Speaker 6: it affects the passing game, and the higher you get up,
Speaker 6: closer you get to twenty, it starts to really get wonky.
Speaker 3: Yeah, we haven't had a snow situation yet this year,
Speaker 3: which is kind of a bomb. Marks that love snow games,
Speaker 3: But you know, we talk about a lot. You know,
Speaker 3: rain and wind are are bigger threats a lot of
Speaker 3: times than snow, so you know it. You know they're
Speaker 3: all different, but SnO help offenses. In some cases they can.
Speaker 6: Yeah, there's a whole thing of the snow over, but
Speaker 6: you know we're going over on that because it's really
Speaker 6: hard for defenders to get their footing.
Speaker 4: Oh Lashawn McCoy had one of the most epic snow
Speaker 4: game performances of all time. I believe he's with Buffalo.
Speaker 4: It might have been with Philly. I think he's with
Speaker 4: Philly in Buffalo. It's like three feet of snow. No
Speaker 4: one's gonna do anything, but he went off.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll never forget the Tom Brady like fifty two
Speaker 3: pointer he put up on Tennessee in a deep deep
Speaker 3: snow game where everybody was like, oh, I don't know
Speaker 3: if I could if I dare start any Patriots, and
Speaker 3: I just went berserk. And I think the Titans got
Speaker 3: shut out in that game. I would imagine Randy Moss
Speaker 3: helped out with that, right, it might have been that era.
Speaker 3: San Francisco takes on Arizona Brian and as I mentioned
Speaker 3: going into the break, Deebo Samuel played eighty five percent
Speaker 3: of the snaps and no catches in the first one.
Speaker 3: Now he comes in as Fantasy Ball's hottest receiver. Yeah,
Speaker 3: he's on fire.
Speaker 4: Going back a little further against the Cardinals over his
Speaker 4: last two games. So they did play once this year
Speaker 4: in Week four, San Francisco won thirty five to sixteen.
Speaker 4: That was the game Deebo had no catches, But across
Speaker 4: his last two games against the Cardinals, he's total two
Speaker 4: catches for twenty scoreless yards and four carries for ten
Speaker 4: scoreless yards. So history is not on Deebo's side right now.
Speaker 4: But you're not benching Deebo Samuel on the heater that
Speaker 4: he is on. So I got a B on him
Speaker 4: and a B on Brandon Ayukhu had six catches, one
Speaker 4: hundred and forty eight yards in the first meeting, and
Speaker 4: more recently, Ayuk has scored end or topped one hundred
Speaker 4: yards in six straight games. Wow, Ayuk is just an
Speaker 4: absolute steal draft a steal back in August, probably one
Speaker 4: of the top ones at wide receiver. Sticking with the
Speaker 4: passing game over to George Kittle, I almost gave him
Speaker 4: a seed, but I couldn't do it in the tight
Speaker 4: end wastelein. I'm gonna give Kittle a b But Kittle
Speaker 4: had just one catch for nine scoreless yards in the
Speaker 4: first meeting, and the Cardinals have held tight ends under
Speaker 4: forty yards and five straight games, but Arizona has surrendered
Speaker 4: four tight end touchdowns during that same five game span.
Speaker 4: So you're not gonna sit Kittle. You're definitely not sitting
Speaker 4: Brock Purty gonna give him a bee. He attempted just
Speaker 4: twenty one passes in the first meeting, but completed twenty
Speaker 4: of them for two hundred and eighty three yards and
Speaker 4: a touchdown. He also added a short score on the ground.
Speaker 4: Purty is my.
Speaker 3: He's not my number one this week.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's not my real life MVP, but he's Fantasy's MVP.
Speaker 4: To me right now, at least among quarterbacks based on
Speaker 4: where he's drafted. He's he's having a season that Patrick
Speaker 4: Mahomes should be should be having, Purty is, but.
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes isn't having the season that Baker Mayfield's having,
Speaker 3: no or a lot of We won't get into Mahomes
Speaker 3: right now.
Speaker 4: We'll get into a little later, right but up, I
Speaker 4: just had to be on Purty because Christian McCaffery gets
Speaker 4: the fantasy.
Speaker 3: Fonsie a one.
Speaker 4: Seventy seven combo yards and four total touchdowns in the
Speaker 4: first meeting, and we don't have to go into Christian
Speaker 4: McCaffrey anymore. Over to the Cardinals side, starting with James Connor.
Speaker 4: Gonna give him a c Connor has averaged seventeen touches
Speaker 4: since his Week ten return and remains the volume base
Speaker 4: play regardless of matchup. But this should be tough sledding
Speaker 4: against the forty nine ers, who since Week ten have
Speaker 4: the fourth lowest missed tackles per attempt, the second highest
Speaker 4: stuff rate, and have given up the second fewest rushing
Speaker 4: yards per game. But there are injuries on the defensive
Speaker 4: side for San Francisco, They're gonna be without both starting
Speaker 4: defensive tackles Eric Armstead and Javon Hargrave. They'll also be
Speaker 4: missing strong side linebacker or In Berks. He has been
Speaker 4: ruled out, So Connor is still startable with the C
Speaker 4: and Trey McBride, of course is startable.
Speaker 3: Getna give him a bee.
Speaker 4: He only had one catch in the first meeting, but
Speaker 4: that's because zach Ert saw ten targets, so that volume
Speaker 4: should go McBride's way. But a tough matchup on paper.
Speaker 4: But again, the forty nine ers defense is dinged up
Speaker 4: pretty good. But Saffan Cisco allowing less than five catches
Speaker 4: and forty yards per game to opposing tight ends. But
Speaker 4: no way you're gonna sit Trey McBride. There is a
Speaker 4: way you're gonna sit Markis Brown if you have better options.
Speaker 4: I will give him a C grade. Though he had
Speaker 4: seven catches for ninety six yards in the first meeting,
Speaker 4: he should see similar volume in a likely positive game.
Speaker 4: Script for the Carolina passing game, I'm sorry the Cardinals
Speaker 4: passing game. The forty nine Ers have allowed these second
Speaker 4: most receptions to wide receivers and San Francisco starting cornerback
Speaker 4: Tarvarius Ward could miss this game.
Speaker 3: With a groin injury.
Speaker 4: They're saying he's expected to play, still listed as questionable,
Speaker 4: but likely won't be one hundred percent if you play,
Speaker 4: So I will give Brown the starting grade with the Sea,
Speaker 4: and just to see for quarterback Kyler Murray, who has
Speaker 4: been pretty spotty as a passer in his four games
Speaker 4: since returning, as he hasn't thrown for multiple scores yet,
Speaker 4: but his legs have kept him relevant, with a rushing
Speaker 4: touchdown in three of those four games played this year. Again,
Speaker 4: this is a tough matchup, but a lot of injuries
Speaker 4: on the San Francis go side. But one long run
Speaker 4: could save Maury's day. So you're still gonna start him
Speaker 4: with the Sea.
Speaker 3: All right, Washington taking on the Rams store this figures
Speaker 3: will be a one sided affair. Washington's without Brian Robinson,
Speaker 3: who's been ruled out of this game. I don't think
Speaker 3: you are touching any part of the running game because
Speaker 3: the game script's going to be all passes for a
Speaker 3: team that only passes anyway, sure.
Speaker 6: Is, I'm giving your boys Sam Howell a B grade
Speaker 6: in this one, QB seven and fantasy this year, and man, yeah,
Speaker 6: Chargers blowing the horn for him in the offseason, So
Speaker 6: got to give you a credit on that one. Sam
Speaker 6: Howell number one in passing attempts, he is number three
Speaker 6: in airy yards, and the Rams have an average pass defense.
Speaker 6: Howell's guaranteed to have the volume to attack that average defense.
Speaker 5: But give him a bee.
Speaker 6: I will say, if you're in a desperate situation, you
Speaker 6: get started. Antonio Gibson, who stepping into the limelight with
Speaker 6: Brian Robinson out with that hamstring injury. Last week when
Speaker 6: Robinson got injured, Gibson out touched Chris Rodriguez fourteen to
Speaker 6: three before the rookie Rodriguez got the last four.
Speaker 5: Touches in a blowout loss.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 6: I also think Gibson's going to get ample receiving targets
Speaker 6: in this game. Recall at Memphis, Antonio Gibson reever.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 6: Terry McLaurin, I'm gonna give him a C Fantasy's wide
Speaker 6: receiver thirty eight, but he's been trending down. McLaurin is
Speaker 6: not finished as a top thirty six Fantasy receiver in
Speaker 6: any week since Week nine and no touchdowns since Week eve.
Speaker 3: Despite the best quarterbacking of his career, the most prolific
Speaker 3: court and all of them though, though so Howell.
Speaker 4: Sorry didn't like Howell's going off and charged one of
Speaker 4: the greatest calls since I've been on the show by you.
Speaker 4: But how is Howell having such a good year. But McLaurin,
Speaker 4: Jan Dotson, Curtis Samuel, they're all outside like the top thirty.
Speaker 3: Yeah, wide receivers. It's because of the ball distribution, right,
Speaker 3: It's crazy, so many different receivers that no one of
Speaker 3: them is piling up decent stats. Curtis Samuel's been the
Speaker 3: most fantasy relevant of the bunch.
Speaker 5: Especially recently. That's why I'm giving him a bee.
Speaker 6: The work his workload has been increasing as mclaurin's has
Speaker 6: been going down in terms of the target gets. Since
Speaker 6: week twelve, Samuel has a twenty five percent target share
Speaker 6: and a twenty four percent first read share, and he's
Speaker 6: averaging eighty three receiving yards per game during that span.
Speaker 6: John Dodson, sorry to say, you gotta stay on the bench.
Speaker 6: Clear wide receiver three in Washington, widersoft fifty six in fantasy.
Speaker 6: But yeah, he's got to stay on the bench. Logan Thomas,
Speaker 6: though I'm gonna give him a b there's a chance
Speaker 6: for a big bounce back game for him after he
Speaker 6: had only two catches in the last two games combined
Speaker 6: before the bye. But Logan Thomas had five tight end
Speaker 6: one weeks earlier this season, and the Rams are number
Speaker 6: three and fantasy points allowed to tight ends. Moving to
Speaker 6: the Rams, Matthew Stafford, which was charged to take a
Speaker 6: chance on the guy, which I totally agree with. I
Speaker 6: was gonna give him an a in this gad on him. Yeah,
Speaker 6: twenty three plus Fantasy points and three straight. I think
Speaker 6: he gets to four in this one against that horrid
Speaker 6: Washington pass defense. Pooka Nakoa, My boy, I gotta give
Speaker 6: myself the peacock on that one. Great a of course,
Speaker 6: Fantasy's wide receiver eleven Key's.
Speaker 5: Your your Fantasy MVP. Good Nakua and of.
Speaker 6: Course the rookie of the year seven plus targets in
Speaker 6: every single game this year, by the way, needs to
Speaker 6: average eighty six receiving yards per game in the last
Speaker 6: four games to break Jamar Chase's rookie record.
Speaker 5: I think he's top in one hundred in this one.
Speaker 6: Commander's rank dead last in defensive drop back EPA truly
Speaker 6: truly ran to pass defense. Cooper cup I'm also going
Speaker 6: to give him an A in this one because it's
Speaker 6: just such a great matchup. Wide receiver twenty seven in
Speaker 6: Fantasy points per game last two games, averaging seven catches
Speaker 6: for seventy seven yards and a touchdown. Again, awesome matchup
Speaker 6: Wash and particularly for guys coming out of the slot
Speaker 6: like cup Is, Washington is dead last in defending slot
Speaker 6: since the halfway point of the season. Tyler Higby, I'm
Speaker 6: gonna give him a grade seat if he plays. He
Speaker 6: missed last week with the neck injury, has returned to
Speaker 6: practice as a full participant as of Thursday, so I
Speaker 6: expect him to play. But you have to monitor that
Speaker 6: Boomer bust tight end two this week, so I'll give
Speaker 6: him a grade of CE there.
Speaker 5: And then Kyron Williams.
Speaker 6: I've given everyone on the panel credit until Brian at
Speaker 6: this point, Brian, shout out to you for the Kyra
Speaker 6: and Williams one.
Speaker 3: Thank you.
Speaker 6: Great another great a matchup for Kyron in this one.
Speaker 6: He's RB two in Fantasy points per game, averaging one
Speaker 6: hundred and forty three total yards per game. Since his return,
Speaker 6: Washington's run defense has been circling the toilet ever since
Speaker 6: the trades per in particular, if Chase Young and Montes
Speaker 6: sweat anyone can run on them, Kyrin gets dang near
Speaker 6: one hundred percent.
Speaker 5: Of the snaps. He's gonna go off again.
Speaker 3: Chiefs sake on the Patriots. This one take long, although well,
Speaker 3: let me ask you this. Okay, So the Chiefs have
Speaker 3: this weird emotional thing at the end of last week's game.
Speaker 3: Do you think that's going to spark a resurgence? Is
Speaker 3: this like the emotional spark that they needed?
Speaker 5: I don't think so.
Speaker 6: Something seems off with them, and then Mahomes complaining about it.
Speaker 5: It's like, bro, he was clearly offside. What are you
Speaker 5: talking about.
Speaker 3: I didn't like it. I don't think this is going
Speaker 3: to be the spark.
Speaker 5: But some do. They've been winding about it all week too.
Speaker 5: I think move on.
Speaker 4: Travis Kelsey's more, you know, motivated because he couldn't attend
Speaker 4: Taylor Swift's birthday party.
Speaker 3: So now he's really got to make up for that.
Speaker 3: He's like promised for like four touchdowns. I've moved Kelsey
Speaker 3: down to a B grade first time this year. I
Speaker 3: had already moved Mahomes down a couple of times. This
Speaker 3: is the first B grade for Kelsey. Here's why, only
Speaker 3: getting twenty percent of Patrick Mahomes' red zone targets. What
Speaker 3: the hell? Come on? Eighty percents going somewhere other than
Speaker 3: Travis Kelsey. That's absurd. New England's been any lead tight
Speaker 3: end defense this year, allowing the fourth fewest fantasy points
Speaker 3: and tight ends in an average of just twenty nine
Speaker 3: yards to tight ends in the last six games. What's more,
Speaker 3: one tight end has scored against the Patriots all year.
Speaker 3: B grade, Travis Kelcey B grade, Patrick Mahomes. Belichick rallying
Speaker 3: his secondary back to excellent status. They had suffered that
Speaker 3: loss of christ Gonzalez earlier in the year and Matthew
Speaker 3: Judon in the same game, and they struggled for about
Speaker 3: a month. Then this past month or so they've been
Speaker 3: much better. Over the last five weeks. They've given up
Speaker 3: the six fewest passing yards, just one hundred and ninety
Speaker 3: seven per game, and just two passing touchdowns in five weeks.
Speaker 3: That's all Fredyk. It's gone wrong with the Patriots. It's
Speaker 3: not the defense. So just the B grade. I'm Patrick
Speaker 3: Mahomes orshe Rice comes in with a B grade. He's
Speaker 3: hauled in at least seven catches in three straight games.
Speaker 3: He's establishing himself as the go to wide out. He's
Speaker 3: averaging eighty one yards and two scores in those three games.
Speaker 3: Rice's top ten in the league in red zone looks
Speaker 3: with seventeen this year, and he's got a massive seventy
Speaker 3: seven percent completion rate on those red zone passes. But
Speaker 3: the Patriots only give up one passing touchdown per game
Speaker 3: to all positions, Rice runs from the slot the most often,
Speaker 3: where he's going to face off against cornerback Miles Bryant
Speaker 3: in a slightly plus matchup. Bryant gives up an eighty
Speaker 3: two percent catch rate, which is promising B grade Rashee
Speaker 3: Rice and the running games on the bench here in
Speaker 3: part because Clyde Edwards layer and Jerk McKinnon split split carries,
Speaker 3: but also because this just's been a great Patriots run
Speaker 3: defense all year. They ranked third by Pro Football Focus
Speaker 3: fifth and run stuff win rate. Don't start those guys
Speaker 3: on the New England side. There's only one startable player.
Speaker 3: That's Ezekiel Elliott, who got ninety one percent of the
Speaker 3: snaps last week, and with no other running back logging
Speaker 3: or rushing attempt seven straight opponent opposing runners have underperformed
Speaker 3: their season averages against Kansas City, Frankly has not looked good.
Speaker 3: He's averaging just three point seven yards per carry and
Speaker 3: negative rushing yards over expectation. He's eighth worst in yards
Speaker 3: over expectation. The Chiefs allow four point eight yards per carry,
Speaker 3: so there's an opportunity, But I don't love Zeke here,
Speaker 3: and I can only get you to a C grade
Speaker 3: the entire passing games on the bench for the Patriots. Obviously,
Speaker 3: Bailey Zappy looked much improved last week, but Kansas City's
Speaker 3: pass defense is very good, and I see a big
Speaker 3: regression coming. Even if de Mario Douglas returns six of
Speaker 3: the last eight quarterbacks to face Kansas City zero or
Speaker 3: one passing touchdown to leave all those guys nobody's playoff
Speaker 3: worthy from the Patriots passing game.
Speaker 4: The first Monday night football game in history to be
Speaker 4: flexed out of Monday Night, I believe was this game?
Speaker 4: Wasn't I think show how excited should be about this game?
Speaker 3: Yeah? And that's they moved the Chiefs on Monday Night.
Speaker 3: That takes it says a lot. We come back Dallas
Speaker 3: and Buffalo a signature game for this week. Points Galore
Speaker 3: is how it feels. Will find out if Brian agrees
Speaker 3: when we come back. Final segment of the first week
Speaker 3: in the playoffs. Fantasy Football Weekly Back to the matchups,
Speaker 3: including a Biggie Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills. Brian, what
Speaker 3: do you think on this game? Let's start with Tony
Speaker 3: Pollard if you don't mind, no, yeah, let's start going
Speaker 3: in game here. I'm less enthused about him than I
Speaker 3: have in the past few weeks. What do you think? Yeah?
Speaker 4: Not the best matchup for Hollard, but Pollard has salvaged
Speaker 4: his season over the last month. Should have had a
Speaker 4: touchdown for the fourth straight game last week, but was
Speaker 4: vultured by Rico Dowdell yet again. But a tough matchup
Speaker 4: for Pollard here against the Bills, who have only allowed
Speaker 4: two running backs to reach seventy rushing yards over their
Speaker 4: last seven games. But Buffalo has allowed the fourth most
Speaker 4: receptions and receiving yards to running backs.
Speaker 3: So I like that for Pollard. So he gets to
Speaker 3: be obviously.
Speaker 4: Like CD lamb nay love cd A not getting into
Speaker 4: that anymore.
Speaker 3: Don't have to. He's going to flame Tarron Johnson in
Speaker 3: the slots. It's my number one ranked wide receiver this week.
Speaker 4: As for the other wide receivers, Brandon Cooks and Michael Gallup,
Speaker 4: I have them both on the bench, Gallup the more
Speaker 4: obvious bench. Some might consider starting Cooks, but Cooks has
Speaker 4: cooled considerably as of late, and since week nine, Buffalo
Speaker 4: has the fourth highest rate of too high, and since
Speaker 4: week eight against two high, Cooks has disappeared with only
Speaker 4: a seven point four percent target share and zero point
Speaker 4: seventy five yards per route run is not a lot,
Speaker 4: and that's statu is courtesy of Derek Brown the Fantasy
Speaker 4: Pro is a great stat there, So I'm benching Cooks,
Speaker 4: not benching Jake Ferguson, though he gets a be Fergie
Speaker 4: now leads all tight ends in red zone targets, and
Speaker 4: the Bills have yielded the third most red zone targets
Speaker 4: in goal to go scenarios. And the Bills haven't faced
Speaker 4: any tight ends of note recently, so their numbers aren't
Speaker 4: scary except for a guy named Travis Kelsey who they
Speaker 4: saw last week. He saw ten targets for six catches
Speaker 4: eighty three yards. That's hopefully a safe floor for Ferguson
Speaker 4: here and Dak Prescott an A for him. Safety Michael
Speaker 4: Hyde week to week with a neck injury for Buffalo,
Speaker 4: he's unlikely to play. Bodes even better for Dak, so
Speaker 4: an easy A for him. Over to the Buffalo side,
Speaker 4: starting with James Cook, he gets a C. With Joe
Speaker 4: Brady as the new offensive coordinator, Cook has averaged nineteen
Speaker 4: touches for one hundred and fourteen combo yards love it
Speaker 4: per game. He has been on a major upswing, but
Speaker 4: this is a tough matchup the Cowboys allowing only one
Speaker 4: hundred combo yards per game to opposing running backs. That's
Speaker 4: the third fewest. So just a C for Cook and
Speaker 4: just a B for Stefan Diggs. Here's diggs fantasy finishes
Speaker 4: over his last four games.
Speaker 3: This is not good.
Speaker 4: Wide receiver fifty three wide receiver sixteen wide receiver, fifty three,
Speaker 4: wide receiver fifty five. Those are not the fifty burgers
Speaker 4: we are looking for for Stefan Diggs, and unfortunately this
Speaker 4: isn't a bounce back spot necessarily, but saving grace here
Speaker 4: is number one. Wide receivers have had good games against
Speaker 4: Cowboys over the last two weeks. Aj Brown had nine
Speaker 4: catches for ninety four yards, and DK metcalf well, he
Speaker 4: had a great game. He had six catches for one
Speaker 4: hundred and thirty four yards and three touchdowns. Hopefully Digs
Speaker 4: can settle somewhere in the middle of those two stat lines.
Speaker 4: But either way, you're not gonna bench him. Gabe Davis
Speaker 4: gonna give him a C as and see you in
Speaker 4: hell if you start him.
Speaker 3: So that's not a letter grade. That's see.
Speaker 4: You cannot trust Gabe Davis in the playoffs here, so
Speaker 4: he is on the bench. Dalton Kincaid is not though
Speaker 4: to give him a c.
Speaker 3: Ah. I'm worried about him with knocks back. He did nothing.
Speaker 3: Last week.
Speaker 4: He did nothing, but he still ran roughly seventy percent
Speaker 4: of the routes.
Speaker 3: Over the last five games.
Speaker 4: The Cowboys have allowed just thirty seven yards per game
Speaker 4: to opposing tight ends.
Speaker 3: That is not good either.
Speaker 4: But I'm more concerned about the Cowboys than I am
Speaker 4: Dawson Knox. But if you have a better option than Kincaid,
Speaker 4: certainly starred him, but most do not, so I'm still
Speaker 4: gonna give him a C in this shootout. And lastly,
Speaker 4: Josh Allen gets a bee outside of the Gino Smith
Speaker 4: experience in Week thirteen. The Cowboys have surrendered just one,
Speaker 4: just one passing touchdown across their last three games. But
Speaker 4: Allen is going to get it done with his arms
Speaker 4: and legs here.
Speaker 3: But there's hope for that.
Speaker 4: Five of the last six quarterbacks to face Dallas have
Speaker 4: rushed for at least thirty yards and door a touchdown.
Speaker 3: Thor It's always tricky with Lamar Jackson because sometimes the
Speaker 3: Ravens play a great game and then he passes for
Speaker 3: one hundred and eighty yards and he runs for forty
Speaker 3: and he doesn't score any touchdowns and your team sunk.
Speaker 3: But man, Jacksonville's a juicy opponent, and I've got him
Speaker 3: ranked inside my top five at the quarterback position this week.
Speaker 6: I think it's game on, absolutely a big, big, big
Speaker 6: games coming for him. That Jake's allowed the third most
Speaker 6: Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, and Jackson's obviously
Speaker 6: been great. QB one last week in Fantasy also given
Speaker 6: an A to his top receiver, Zave Flowers. Get that
Speaker 6: since Mark Andrews went down, Flowers has run every single
Speaker 6: route that the Ravens have had with an eye opening
Speaker 6: twenty six percent target share. Gotta keep starting him. Is
Speaker 6: jaa likely? I give him a bee. The last two
Speaker 6: weeks he's been tight end eighteen and tight end three
Speaker 6: in Fantasy and this is a great matchup. That jaguarres
Speaker 6: allowed the eighth most Fantasy points per game and the
Speaker 6: second highest yards per reception to opposing tight ends. Keton Mitchell,
Speaker 6: My boy, give him a bee. So it is tough
Speaker 6: to predict to his workload. Last week he only played
Speaker 6: thirty three percent of the snaps, but because he's a
Speaker 6: home run hitter, he accrued the yards anyways. Last week
Speaker 6: he had sixty two total yards and just ridiculou less
Speaker 6: lee efficient six yards after contact per attempt in the
Speaker 6: NFL as a rookie, Wow, he's gonna light up the
Speaker 6: Jaguars because they're they're really bad at what he is
Speaker 6: best at. Jaguars are dead last and explosive run rate
Speaker 6: allowed since week nine, and that's what Keith Don is.
Speaker 6: A home run hitter. Moving over to the Jaggs, Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 6: I got a see grade on him. Ankle injury very
Speaker 6: clearly still hampering him. Can't scramble, can't throw on run.
Speaker 6: You pen him in really can't drive into his throws.
Speaker 6: Lawrence had a brutal forty seven point eight PFF passing
Speaker 6: grade last week, five point one yards per attemp, three interceptions,
Speaker 6: and the matchup is quite bad.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 6: The Ravens allow an NFL low five point six yards
Speaker 6: per attempt and they leave the NFL with forty nine sacks.
Speaker 6: Pretty good combination of that, yeah, exactly. I'm also going
Speaker 6: to give Calvin Ridley a great to see. Only four
Speaker 6: catches for fifty three yards last week. Obviously Lawrence was compromised.
Speaker 6: Gonna be another down game with the Ravens elite pass
Speaker 6: defense coming in here. Ridley will be opposed by Marlin Humphrey,
Speaker 6: the stud. Humphrey is number six in yards allowed per
Speaker 6: coverage snap. So now looking good there. You could start
Speaker 6: Jay Jones if you're desperate. Twenty five percent targets here
Speaker 6: last two games with Christian Kirk out. He also averages
Speaker 6: more than one deep target and one red zone target
Speaker 6: per game, but of course, the Ravens pass defense tempers
Speaker 6: the expectations, as they do for Evan Ingram. I also
Speaker 6: give him a C Fantasy tight end six, and coming
Speaker 6: off a really big week, he's number two in receptions
Speaker 6: at number five in receiving yards among tight ends over
Speaker 6: the entire season, but again bad matchup. Ravens allowed the
Speaker 6: fifth fewest fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. Lastly,
Speaker 6: Travis Etn I give him a b RB six in
Speaker 6: Fantasy for the season.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but lately it's not as good.
Speaker 5: Lately, not as good.
Speaker 6: He's only averaging sixty eight total yards per game since
Speaker 6: Week ten. This is, though, I think, in my opinion,
Speaker 6: a sneaky solid matchup for Etn in this one, just
Speaker 6: because the Jaguars, I think are gonna run funnel to
Speaker 6: avoid that awesome Ravens secondary.
Speaker 3: Yeah, volume will be there for you ten for sure. Yeah,
Speaker 3: just the explosive plays have been the same.
Speaker 1: No.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and it's I don't know if he's just wearing
Speaker 3: down over the course of a long season or whatever
Speaker 3: the case is, but it's that part's been disappointing. The
Speaker 3: Monday night or is Philadelphia at Seahawks rain expected, but
Speaker 3: not much you're gona be able to do about it
Speaker 3: by Monday night.
Speaker 2: A J.
Speaker 3: Brown is an obvious A DeVonta Smith Zoe's a much
Speaker 3: more tricky play over the last five weeks, Seattle's allowed
Speaker 3: the fifth most touchdowns per game to opposing receivers, which
Speaker 3: is good. And Seattle's cornerbacks Trey Brown, Devin Witherspoon already
Speaker 3: Burns all questionable for this game. If they're gonna miss
Speaker 3: you know, it could be game on for DeVonta Smith
Speaker 3: with a really nice game here. What worries me a
Speaker 3: little bit is Dallas Goddard coming back. When Goddard was
Speaker 3: in earlier in the season, Smith wasn't doing much and
Speaker 3: when God it went out Smith's productivity and fantasy points,
Speaker 3: we went way up Goddard's back. That worries me a bit.
Speaker 3: I've got to be grade on Smith. If those cornerbacks
Speaker 3: don't go we d up him to an A. Again,
Speaker 3: it's Monday night. Can't do anything about it at that point,
Speaker 3: but yeah, we duped him to an A in that scenario.
Speaker 3: Dallas Goddard for himself right back to the huge workload.
Speaker 3: He got eighty four percent of the tight end snaps
Speaker 3: last week, but it only materialized into four catches. Second
Speaker 3: game off injury should be better for Dallas Goddard. Seahawks
Speaker 3: are a bottom ten team against tight end receptions and
Speaker 3: tight end yards allowed. Including big games from George Kittle
Speaker 3: Jake Fergus in the past two weeks, Goddard averaging just
Speaker 3: one red zone target per game, and that really caps
Speaker 3: his upside. They just don't throw them anywhere near the stripes.
Speaker 3: So I can only get you to a C grade
Speaker 3: on Dallas Goddard in this one. So where does that
Speaker 3: leave Jalen Hurts. We've talked about everybody else so far
Speaker 3: in the passing game that matters body, he looks increasingly hurt, battered, tired.
Speaker 3: He's thrown zero or one passing touchdown in three of
Speaker 3: the last four games. Fortunately this is I love the
Speaker 3: matchups for aj Brown, I like it for DeVonta Smith.
Speaker 3: I mentioned the injuries to the secondary and three mobile
Speaker 3: quarterbacks to face Seattle, Daniel Jones early in the season,
Speaker 3: Josh Dobbs and then Lamar Jackson all top forty three
Speaker 3: rushing yards. So I've still got a B grade on
Speaker 3: Jalen Hurt. There's a lot of big range of outcomes here,
Speaker 3: and there is some danger with Hurts. This week, let's
Speaker 3: go to DeAndre Swift, quietly murdering fantasy owners the past
Speaker 3: basically two months. He's gone two straight games so without
Speaker 3: a broken tackle. He has not top passed eighty rushing
Speaker 3: yards since Week three. He has one touchdown in his
Speaker 3: last seven games. That's all DeAndre Swift is getting you.
Speaker 3: And I think people have just been thrown him in
Speaker 3: the lineup and just forgetting about it because he's DeAndre
Speaker 3: Swift and he's the starting running back for the Eagles.
Speaker 3: It has not really been working out for him at all. Fortunately,
Speaker 3: Seattle is allowing the six most fantasy points per game
Speaker 3: to opposing backfields. They ranked twenty first in run defense
Speaker 3: by Pro Football Focus. They've allowed twenty eight receptions to
Speaker 3: running backs in their last five games. But they're not
Speaker 3: even thrown to Swift that much anymore. Gainwol's getting more
Speaker 3: catches and they're just not And now with Goddard back,
Speaker 3: that's that many fewer catches to go to Swift. And
Speaker 3: I can only get you to a C grade on
Speaker 3: DeAndre Swift. Let's go over to Seattle, A grade for
Speaker 3: dk Metcalf because of his scoring prowess, and at B
Speaker 3: grade for Tyler Lockett, and I'll talk about both of
Speaker 3: them here. Both excellent matchups against the Eagles formerly formidable
Speaker 3: cornerbacks Darius Slay and James Bradberry Man for two guys
Speaker 3: who were just shut down cornerbacks last year. They've regressed
Speaker 3: all the way down to PFF grades of forty eighth
Speaker 3: and one hundred and second in coverage by Pro Football Focus.
Speaker 3: The Eagles allow the second most yards to wide receivers
Speaker 3: one hundred and ninety three per game. They've allowed multiple
Speaker 3: wide receiver touchdowns and five of the last six, so
Speaker 3: both guys could score. I like both Metcalf and Lockett.
Speaker 3: Lockett's only got the two touchdowns on the season, I think,
Speaker 3: and that's why I can't get him to an A.
Speaker 3: But both you know, Metcalf's a lock a, and I
Speaker 3: like Lockett here too, you know Wels. I like Jackson
Speaker 3: Smith and Jigbo running out of the slot a very
Speaker 3: positive matchup against Bradley Roby. He ranks his Pro Football
Speaker 3: Focuses eighty sixth quarterback cornerback. Although I'll know he is
Speaker 3: not allowed a touchdown in his coverage, so which is good.
Speaker 3: He's played six games no touchdowns allowed. Philadelphia allows the
Speaker 3: most fantasy points to slot receivers. That's why Jackson Smith
Speaker 3: and Jigba b grade on this one. So if I've
Speaker 3: got a's and b's on all the receivers. I gotta
Speaker 3: like Drew Lock and Gino Smith. I've got B grades
Speaker 3: on whoever ends up starting in this game. Six straight
Speaker 3: quarterbacks have thrown multiple touchdowns. Granted most of them the
Speaker 3: really good quarterbacks because he wass have played to Murderer's
Speaker 3: row of teams. Lock through two touchdowns on last week's start,
Speaker 3: and Lock always throws some bad passes. I mean, that's
Speaker 3: part of his deal. He looked pretty good, though, but
Speaker 3: I thought overall he did look pretty good. Game plan
Speaker 3: is going to tilt heavily towards the pass here, so
Speaker 3: if you're in a pinch, and by the way, the
Speaker 3: Eagles see the most pass attempts forty per game. Even
Speaker 3: Drew Lock, you give him forty tries, he's going to
Speaker 3: get you to a couple of touchdowns in this one.
Speaker 3: I like him here. The running backs Zach Sharbonay Kenneth
Speaker 3: Walker splitting touches evenly every week. That's going to continue,
Speaker 3: and it makes it a really risky play against a
Speaker 3: very good Eagles run defense. Since mid October, the only
Speaker 3: running the only running back to score on the Eagles
Speaker 3: is Christian McCaffrey. And that's not Zach Sharbonay and Kenneth
Speaker 3: Walker here. Philly gives up just three point nine yards
Speaker 3: per carry. They haven't allowed a receiving touchdown all year
Speaker 3: to a running back. There's nothing to like from those
Speaker 3: guys here. So you've got them on the bench. Got
Speaker 3: them on the bench. Bends for both guys. If it
Speaker 3: was just one of them, I could see moving one
Speaker 3: to agreed, But splitting it up, I can only get
Speaker 3: you to a seat. Hey, Best of luck in the
Speaker 3: Fantasy Playoffs everybody. Obviously, if you're the kind of listener
Speaker 3: to the show, we want you to win more than
Speaker 3: your opponent, unless that guy's also a listener, And then
Speaker 3: we want you to tie, and then we want you
Speaker 3: to go to the tiebreaker that I gave you and
Speaker 3: three tough questions and the only one I gave you.
Speaker 3: We'll be back next week for Round two of the playoffs. Everybody,
Speaker 3: Best of luck in the first round this week. Talk
Speaker 3: to you soon. Bye bye,