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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcasts PA All Right,

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Speaker 1: here we.

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Speaker 2: Go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty

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Speaker 2: five fifty and the.

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Speaker 3: Kick is Brock.

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Speaker 4: The Comic Football World, Stunners, Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 5: He stumble and football the latter of turn a Tater

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Speaker 5: on the.

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Speaker 6: EPSID g LA.

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Speaker 3: Table, Off the field the night.

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Speaker 7: By God, it's not the size of the dog in

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Speaker 7: the fighting, it's the size of the fight in all.

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Speaker 6: What's up the generation?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 3: Draft Kings. This is the College Football Fold Season Betting

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Speaker 3: Creepy Part two. I'm stucky and joining me as always

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Speaker 3: my fellow BBOs cost Colin Wilson, and as we will

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Speaker 3: for each and every bowl preview the group of five guys,

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Speaker 3: Mike Calgary's and the one and only josh Aka Duck.

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Speaker 3: If you miss part one, good feedback on it. A

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Speaker 3: bunch of winners on there so far. Hopefully keep it rolling,

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Speaker 3: but there are some games still to be played that

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Speaker 3: we covered on there, including the first playoff game between

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma and Alabama on Friday night. Looks like there's gonna

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Speaker 3: be windy in Norman. Which I think does favor our Oklahoma,

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Speaker 3: so we cover those today. We will cover eight more games,

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Speaker 3: starting with the three Saturday College Football Playoff games, and

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Speaker 3: then we'll cover five other bowl games. Also get Duck's

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Speaker 3: thoughts on the FCS playoffs here. Shortly Bowl Betting Preview

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Speaker 3: Part three we will record on Sunday. We'll have you

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Speaker 3: covered throughout the college football playoff end bowl season. Before

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Speaker 3: we get started, quick plug, check out Playbook at Playbook

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Speaker 3: Saves a lot of time. Make sure you check out

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Speaker 3: Playbook and follow along on Twitter. And before we really

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Speaker 3: get started, I'll throw to myself for a quick word

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Speaker 3: from DraftKings. The Big Bets on Campus podcast is teamed

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Speaker 3: bet five bucks to get two hundred back in bonus bets.

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Speaker 3: If your bet wins, the crown is yours. And by

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Speaker 3: the way, I should mention this podcast is now officially

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Speaker 3: a four father podcast, So congrats to all of us

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Speaker 3: for having sex at least once. I will ask you

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Speaker 3: what is if one If you had to give one

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Speaker 3: piece of advice, I'll go around the horn calvaries.

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Speaker 4: Let's see, I would say in terms of like timing

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Speaker 4: the best once you get in that sweet spot of

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Speaker 4: your kid, you know, sleeping through the night or at

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Speaker 4: least having a reliable sleep schedule, trying to pick the

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Speaker 4: times to be on and give your significant other, just

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Speaker 4: like even just the headspace where no matter what happens,

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Speaker 4: I'm on the kid, timing that up with maybe some

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Speaker 4: West Coast basketball college hoops, or you know, depending on

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Speaker 4: the time of the year, having it fit into your lifestyle.

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Speaker 4: Because that's the biggest difference. Colin Duck and I have

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Speaker 4: been saying it. You know, as you've been expecting. You know,

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Speaker 4: your first along the way, you're going to continue to

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Speaker 4: watch sports NonStop.

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Speaker 3: We know you stuck.

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Speaker 4: You're gonna continue to grind, rte the mac, manifest all

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Speaker 4: the things that we've come to expect and love from you.

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Speaker 4: But it's like, how do you fit that in while

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Speaker 4: also holding a child streaming on your phone, you know,

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Speaker 4: figuring out the screen situation or you know, God forbid

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Speaker 4: down the line when you have to do playdates and

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Speaker 4: things like that, but being able to link it up

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Speaker 4: to the windows of when the games are played, and

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Speaker 4: that way you get credit on both sides. You get

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Speaker 4: credit from mom and you get credit from everyone in

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Speaker 4: degenerate Nation for staying on your grind.

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Speaker 3: I will be opting out of playdates. But yeah, the

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Speaker 3: baby did watch the Bowl games last night with me

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Speaker 3: on the couch. Well, my wife napped, So I don't

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Speaker 3: know if he's gonna fall in love with college football

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Speaker 3: at there watching those two games, but hopefully he can

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Speaker 3: appreciate Bowl season dock what he got for me.

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Speaker 6: I would say, just continue to date your spouse. Now

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Speaker 6: that you have a child.

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Speaker 5: You'll see that so much time and attention in your

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Speaker 5: marriage and in your relationship gets devoted to your child,

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Speaker 5: and so just continue to maintain that sort of real

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Speaker 5: strong connection with your spouse and continue to date them.

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Speaker 5: I don't know if you're gonna have any more kids,

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Speaker 5: but as you continue to have one and done, so yeah,

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Speaker 5: i'd say, just continue to date your spouse and give

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Speaker 5: each other time one on one, protect that time with

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Speaker 5: her colin.

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Speaker 3: You hope it's better than your gassed and more advice.

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Speaker 8: Yeah, gas more was pretty bad.

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Speaker 7: I guess a couple a little bit of word advice

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Speaker 7: for new dads out there, especially if it's your first child.

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Speaker 7: Take it from me. My sons are one year and

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Speaker 7: three days apart, Irish twins. The first time I played

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Speaker 7: husband and wife after my first son, I got pregnant again.

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Speaker 3: I got pregnant again.

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Speaker 7: I did, I carried the baby, I came to full term,

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Speaker 7: and you know, I can't even tell you what it's

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Speaker 7: like to have different sets of formula, different sized diapers,

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Speaker 7: two different sleeping schedules, because when they're a baby, it's

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Speaker 7: like two naps a day. Then it turns into one

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Speaker 7: like that was a mess. If you're one and done,

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Speaker 7: that's great. The only other advice I'd give you is financial.

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Speaker 6: I took one.

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Speaker 7: Hundred dollars a month and just shoved it away, pretending

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Speaker 7: like I didn't even have it. Instead of making a bet,

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Speaker 7: I just threw one hundred dollars away every month into

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Speaker 7: a five twenty nine account for my son. You do

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Speaker 7: the math, it's over twenty one thousand dollars. You get

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Speaker 7: a little growth on it over the span of those years,

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Speaker 7: you basically have a great starter to college education. So

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Speaker 7: pretend like you're just missing one hundred dollars every month,

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Speaker 7: and then pretend like that doesn't exist.

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Speaker 8: And when someone says do you have a college education

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Speaker 8: for your kid? Boom.

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Speaker 7: You didn't even know that hundred was gone every month

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Speaker 7: because it's a bet that you didn't make on South

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Speaker 7: Florida or live Over.

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Speaker 3: Well, imagine how much that college tuition fund could have

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Speaker 3: been if you never bet Army Navy oversh so uh

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Speaker 3: podcast The agree the first agree for these podcasts. But

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Speaker 3: was Washington easy winner? Colin took it on the chin

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Speaker 3: in the head to heads he had the Army Navy over,

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Speaker 3: he had South Florida against US all And I mean, you,

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Speaker 3: I don't know why you wanted to bet gas. You

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Speaker 3: wanted the bet you want to bet South Oorba and

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Speaker 3: Brian Browns the quarterback, not the coach. And then Colin

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Speaker 3: also had Troy against Jacksonville State almost got there to

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Speaker 3: hell Mary, but who knows stuck.

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Speaker 4: They never showed the replay. Maybe he did catch it,

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Speaker 4: Like what was up with that telecast?

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Speaker 3: Unbelievable about Conference to USA two and oh that is.

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Speaker 7: One thing I'd never I thought we were fading them

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Speaker 7: the entire time, and look who showed up.

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Speaker 3: I've yeah, I've had both Conference USA teams so far,

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Speaker 3: and I was like, I'm not going to bet them,

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Speaker 3: so I have a head start. Maybe I should stop

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Speaker 3: while on my head. All right, but before we get

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Speaker 3: to the coachwall playoff doc, we have FCS playoffs on Saturday,

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Speaker 3: starting with the Brawl of the Wild great rivalry between

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Speaker 3: Montana and Montana State. Montana State one on the road

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Speaker 3: earlier this season. I believe thirty one to twenty eight.

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Speaker 3: This game will be in Bozeman, right, yep. If you

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Speaker 3: ever go to Bozeman, one of my favorite breakfast places

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Speaker 3: in the country, Jam, it's amazing.

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Speaker 6: Go there.

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Speaker 3: A fun fact that you told me I read was

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Speaker 3: an FCS team has not won on the road in

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Speaker 3: the semis in ten years? Is that true yet?

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Speaker 6: Yeah?

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Speaker 5: And a good majority of that is due to North

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Speaker 5: Dakota State in their home dominance in the Fargo Doman

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Speaker 5: being in the FCS semis as routinely as they have been.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, we just don't see a lot of these

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Speaker 5: road teams show up and win on the road. This

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Speaker 5: will be a really fun battle. I mean, you couldn't

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Speaker 5: ask for anything more in an FCS semi with brawl

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Speaker 5: the wild two point zero. You look at Montana State

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Speaker 5: last week. They had their way with Stephen F. Austin

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Speaker 5: in the second half. They won the game forty four

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Speaker 5: to twenty eight. You could argue that SFA left three

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Speaker 5: touchdowns out on the field, something Montana is not likely

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Speaker 5: to do here. This Grizz offense is incredible, scoring fifty

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Speaker 5: points in back to back playoff games. Kiah Lee a yacht,

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Speaker 5: seven hundred passing yards in those two games, seven total

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Speaker 5: passing touchdowns. Eli Gillman and the receiver group are playing

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Speaker 5: really well, just really clicking on offense. And I'm not

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Speaker 5: convinced that Montana State is going to be able to

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Speaker 5: shut these guys down the way they're playing right now.

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Speaker 5: You look at the first meeting, Montana threw a pick

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Speaker 5: six and also missed a field goal, had a second

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Speaker 5: one blocked. Really played well despite just one receiver having

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Speaker 5: more than thirty one total receiving yards. I think the

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Speaker 5: Griz offense is going to put up a big point

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Speaker 5: total in this one. I don't know that Montana is

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Speaker 5: going to be able to stop the Bob's rushing attack

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Speaker 5: for a full sixty minutes. This could be one where

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Speaker 5: Montana's defense wears down in the second half. Montana State

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Speaker 5: does that to teams, where they just lean on you

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Speaker 5: and lean on you and then the dam breaks in

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Speaker 5: the fourth quarter. So even with Montana getting their best

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Speaker 5: corner back, their best player in the secondary key on Loud,

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Speaker 5: that should help bolster the pass coverage unit. But I

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Speaker 5: don't necessarily think that we're going to see the defense

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Speaker 5: from Montana really show up here. It's hard to beat

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Speaker 5: a team twice. Montana had chances in the first meeting,

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Speaker 5: but now you're on the road again. A road team

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Speaker 5: hasn't won in the Semis in ten years. Should be

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Speaker 5: back and forth. Are we going to see a seven?

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Speaker 5: I mean we see six and a half now flashing

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Speaker 5: on the board, so could lean Montana's way at seven.

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Speaker 5: But I think this is an over game. I think

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Speaker 5: we'll see both these teams in the thirties.

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Speaker 3: I might have to look at Montana at seven. This

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Speaker 3: coming from someone who knows nothing on bad SCS, So

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Speaker 3: don't take don't take my advice.

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Speaker 8: Take ducks.

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Speaker 3: The other game Villanova with I mean they their defense

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Speaker 3: has been incredible in the college wall play. I though

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Speaker 3: they're about to get blown out. At Tarlatan, they went

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Speaker 3: down fourteen to nothing, places jumping, the cowboys were dancing,

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Speaker 3: and then Nova just slowly grinded their way back and

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Speaker 3: dominated most the rest of the game. And then Illinois State.

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Speaker 3: You have to be impressed with them because they pull

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Speaker 3: off one of the biggest upsets in SCS history. And

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Speaker 3: a lot of times you might see a team, you know,

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Speaker 3: kind of be satisfied with that, and then they go

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Speaker 3: on the road and you'll see them be flat, and

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Speaker 3: but they weren't. They dominated UC Davis and now we

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Speaker 3: have Villanova Illinois State. Is this at Nova? Yeah at

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Speaker 3: no hosting? Wow, who do you like here on the

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Speaker 3: main line?

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Speaker 5: And we've seen this line move pretty significantly. I do

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Speaker 5: think that Illinois State has a really good chance to

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Speaker 5: go on the road win this game. You look at

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Speaker 5: the way that Illinois State's game against UC Davis played out.

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Speaker 5: It was back and forth the entire first quarter, but

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Speaker 5: after going down ten to seven, Illinois State really dominated

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Speaker 5: from that three to four minute mark in the first

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Speaker 5: quarter all the way through the second half, built a

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Speaker 5: forty two to seventeen lead, and then UC Davis to

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Speaker 5: get a couple of garbage touchdowns at the end. Rittenhouse

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Speaker 5: back to playing really good football at quarterback for Illinois

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Speaker 5: State and Ice bounce back after he threw five interceptions

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Speaker 5: against North Dakota State the week before. I expect run

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Speaker 5: heavy action here from Illinois State. They ran the ball

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Speaker 5: seventy percent of their plays against UC Davis. They have

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Speaker 5: several capable backs, but Victor Dawson is going to get

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Speaker 5: the large majority of the carries here Nova. I mean,

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Speaker 5: they just keep winning games that you would think they

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Speaker 5: have no business winning. They were dominated by Lehigh for

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Speaker 5: three still found a way there. And then the way

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Speaker 5: they went down fourteen to nothing against Tarleton State, you

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Speaker 5: could have made a case that the route was on.

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Speaker 5: They were plus twenty seven and a half live at

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Speaker 5: one point in that game. But you know what, they

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Speaker 5: battled back. The defense stuck in there and they completely

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Speaker 5: shut down Tarleton State's passing attack. Sixty percent of the

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Speaker 5: passing yards for Tarleton State happened on two plays and

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Speaker 5: Victor Gabalis was out of rhythm.

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Speaker 6: They had four sacks.

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Speaker 5: It was just a real impressive performance from Villanova in

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Speaker 5: the trenches to completely get Tarlton out of rhythm. You know,

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Speaker 5: they had a little luck at the end there where

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Speaker 5: the receiver caught the pass and couldn't get his foot down.

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Speaker 5: Just a wild ending to that one. I think both

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Speaker 5: these run defenses are going to show up here in

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Speaker 5: limit explosives. They'll be forgiving enough in the run defense

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Speaker 5: department to where these teams are going to continue to

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Speaker 5: want to run the ball. But I would not envision

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Speaker 5: that either offense has a ton of explosive rushing. And

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Speaker 5: I don't think that either one of these quarterbacks is

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Speaker 5: going to wow through the air.

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Speaker 8: Here.

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Speaker 5: Mcquaid's decent quarterback for Villanova, and they hit some pass

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Speaker 5: plays against Tarleton State. But I think Illinois State's coverage

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Speaker 5: unit will play a little better than what Tarlton State did.

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Speaker 6: I think it's an undergame here.

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Speaker 5: I think we'll find that Illinois State will really struggle

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Speaker 5: throwing the ball here. They've got a couple good explosive receivers,

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Speaker 5: but I don't imagine a lot of explosive plays here.

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Speaker 5: It'll be methodical defensive battle. I think the two buttoned

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Speaker 5: up defensive units will control the terms here in a

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Speaker 5: run heavy game. I like under fifty two and a half.

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Speaker 3: More on that later. Let's move on to the official

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Speaker 3: college football Playoff.

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Speaker 9: It's the most wonderful time of the years Belby Tailgater hostings,

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Speaker 9: killed bosses for roastings with people you don't even know,

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Speaker 9: Melby hell Mary's stories and tells of the glories of

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Speaker 9: bowl games from long long ago.

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Speaker 6: It's the most time.

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Speaker 3: Let's start with Miami and Texas A and M. Texas

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Speaker 3: A and M three and a half point favorite at

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Speaker 3: DraftKings total down to forty eight and a half forty

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Speaker 3: eight at some places. This game will kick off at

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Speaker 3: noon Eastern on ABC in College Station. Texas talked about

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Speaker 3: this before home field in these first round games. Jacked

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Speaker 3: up saw that last year with all four teams winning

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Speaker 3: and covering. Texas A and M is one of the

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Speaker 3: best home field advantages in all of college football. I

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Speaker 3: you know, when I first look at this game, a

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Speaker 3: couple I guess I should. I'll go through the notes

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Speaker 3: for everything. Keante Scott, Miami's best corner, looks like he'll

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Speaker 3: be back, last played in Week eleven. He'll be important,

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Speaker 3: so he'll play in the slot a bunch, very versatile.

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Speaker 3: Tamari Brown probably their second best corner. He's questionable. I

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Speaker 3: think he'll play David Blay. Their nose tackles should be

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Speaker 3: good to go Oj Frederic, who was very good as

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Speaker 3: a freshman, not as good this year, but he'll be

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Speaker 3: back at owner. So Miami looks like they'll have their

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Speaker 3: full complement of defenders. Scott is the big name there

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Speaker 3: Texas A and M. Meanwhile, they could get Bryce Anderson.

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Speaker 3: They should get Bryce Anderson back at safety. He last

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Speaker 3: played in Week seven. Scooby Williams should be back. He

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Speaker 3: last played in Week nine. They might help a run

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Speaker 3: defense that has been a bit leaky at times. And

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Speaker 3: then we'll see if Levion Moss can go the Starbuck

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Speaker 3: for A and M who hasn't played since Week seven.

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Speaker 3: He's officially listed as questionable, so one of the reasons

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Speaker 3: why this One of the reasons this game has taken

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Speaker 3: some under money is because of the wind, which might

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Speaker 3: be impactful on Saturday. Let's see the updated forecast. I

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Speaker 3: mean you're looking at sustained as of right now, could

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Speaker 3: change fifteen to twenty miles per hour. That will definitely

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Speaker 3: have a bit of an impact on each passing attack.

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Speaker 3: Miami does a good job generally of preventing explosives. Play

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Speaker 3: a lot of too high thought Scott back in the slot.

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Speaker 3: This is a great trenches battle. By the way, elite

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Speaker 3: offensive line versus lead defensive line on both sides of

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Speaker 3: the ball, Which one of those which one of those

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Speaker 3: elite defensive ends can win Their one on ones that

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Speaker 3: make a splash play I think might end up deciding this.

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Speaker 3: A and M, on the other hand, their defense, great

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Speaker 3: defensive line. They've done a good job of preventing explosives

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Speaker 3: in the passing game. It's the running game where they

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Speaker 3: do give up too many explosives, but don't have to

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Speaker 3: worry about Carson Beck's legs here and Texas. A and

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Speaker 3: M does like to play a bit of man coverage

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Speaker 3: and Miami is not an explosive rushing offense. One of

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Speaker 3: the key, one of the keys to this game, which

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Speaker 3: I could be a differentiator, is the emergence of Pringle

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Speaker 3: at running back. Gerard Pringle, He's the freshman's gotten more

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Speaker 3: carries over the past few games and provided more of

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Speaker 3: an explosive element. Can he hit some explosives here against

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Speaker 3: an A and M defense that has been vulnerable in

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Speaker 3: that department? I mean, this is a guy he had

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Speaker 3: seventeen carries up until November fifteenth, and then he had

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Speaker 3: seventeen carries against NC State for one, sixteen, fourteen against

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Speaker 3: bot Tech, ten against Pitt So he's really coming on,

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Speaker 3: averaging over six yards per carry. Can he hit some explosives?

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Speaker 3: Might be worth a looking the prop market, maybe longest

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Speaker 3: rushover or something at a flat three. I'm in on

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Speaker 3: A and M at home. I think they find a way.

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Speaker 3: I also like the first half under and no Collin's

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Speaker 3: gonna tout that. I think both teams come out. I

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Speaker 3: think they're good matchups for both defenses. I think they're

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Speaker 3: gonna come out slow, run the ball, feel each other out.

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Speaker 3: Miami's generally conservative early on, and I just don't trust

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Speaker 3: them to fully exploit the Texas in and run defense issues,

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Speaker 3: and the Texan and run defense might be better with

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Speaker 3: both Anderson and Williams back. If I don't get to

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Speaker 3: the window on and the wind, which I already mentioned, if

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Speaker 3: I don't get to the window on A and M pregame,

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Speaker 3: I will be looking for them live if they go

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Speaker 3: down in this game or they're down at the half.

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Speaker 3: A and Them has been a great second half team

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Speaker 3: all year. And who do you trust more to make it?

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Speaker 3: Usments Alco or Mario or I should say Mario?

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Speaker 7: Who with the says Mario, and.

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Speaker 3: It's Alco all day. And we've seen Mario below leads

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Speaker 3: with bad time management, bad game management, get way too

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Speaker 3: conservative so many times. So it would not shock me

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Speaker 3: in the least if A and M's down ten going

362
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Speaker 3: into the fourth and comes back to win this game.

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Speaker 3: So I will be looking at A and M live.

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Speaker 3: But did play the first half under? I think anything

365
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Speaker 3: better than twenty four or twenty four or above is fine. Colin,

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Speaker 3: you agree on the first half under?

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Speaker 6: Yeah?

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Speaker 8: Absolutely, first half under.

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Speaker 7: I think there's a lot of things that go into

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Speaker 7: this first off, almost of Jefferson pilot kickoff here in

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Speaker 7: the sec territory at eleven am. If it was eleven

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Speaker 7: forty five, it truly would be Jefferson pilot.

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Speaker 8: I think the.

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Speaker 7: Question is, does call and Kline try and get the

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Speaker 7: run game going because Le'Veon moss is back. Do we

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Speaker 7: defer not say I'm just going to start throwing the ball.

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Speaker 7: Maybe try to get a little ground game going in

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Speaker 7: the scripted portion, which could lead to it being a

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Speaker 7: lot slower. But the Miami defense is elite in the

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Speaker 7: first half. They are third in FBS defensive scoring. They

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Speaker 7: have allowed four point eight points in the first half

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Speaker 7: this season. That is insane. So I agree with you

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Speaker 7: that I think Texas A and wins this game. I

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Speaker 7: would only buy it at three. I don't expect them

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Speaker 7: to have They didn't have any points in the first

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Speaker 7: quarter against Texas. They only had a field goal in

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Speaker 7: the first half against South Carolina. They've been starting off slow.

388
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Speaker 7: The Miami defense has been crazy good in the first half,

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Speaker 7: so I think Texas A NAM.

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Speaker 8: Is going to have to come back in the second half.

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Speaker 7: I think that they can because if you look at

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Speaker 7: the slot position, that is the biggest area where Miami

393
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Speaker 7: is going to struggle. So let me say this I

394
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Speaker 7: am going I already have a fifty to one on

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Speaker 7: Texa anam to win the national title, first bet I

396
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Speaker 7: made after the national title last year. I am probably

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Speaker 7: going to get a little unit down in Miami. But

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Speaker 7: I think Texa and wins this game. For this very reason,

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Speaker 7: Kyante Scott is one of the names listed on Stuckie's

400
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Speaker 7: opt out injury all that that is a huge loss here.

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Speaker 7: Because Mario Krag lines up, Kiantey Scott is back, it's.

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Speaker 3: Good to go.

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00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:01,440
Speaker 8: Getting already gets there. Okay, we'll see.

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Speaker 6: That's huge in the slot.

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Speaker 3: That's one of the reasons I like the under as well, because.

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Speaker 8: Bryce Fitzgerald was not getting it done there.

407
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 3: Now freshman, he's been bad, right.

408
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Speaker 7: So domination in the slot is really what's going to

409
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Speaker 7: get it done here. But again, I think it's slow

410
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Speaker 7: going first half under. I think Texas A and roars back

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Speaker 7: at the end.

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Speaker 6: No, I think Scott.

413
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Speaker 3: Getting Scott back in the slot, particularly for this matchup,

414
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Speaker 3: is enormous because the freshman was going to get torched.

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Speaker 3: It was one of the things that I was watching

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Speaker 3: before I placed that first half under bet.

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Speaker 8: Like Calary Williams, I was gonna say it is Pitts

418
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Speaker 8: Rafael Williams.

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Speaker 6: He's their slot.

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Speaker 7: He went crazy, like all five targets caught, all five

421
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Speaker 7: had explosives mixed in like Kante Scott. That's that's the

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Speaker 7: player to watch on the Miami defense.

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Speaker 3: Yep. Yeah, he's their best corner by far. Calvary's you

424
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Speaker 3: like you like Tony to get in the end zone.

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Speaker 6: I do.

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Speaker 4: It's you know, minus one ten, minus one twenty out

427
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Speaker 4: in the market. The kid is the whole Caines offense

428
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Speaker 4: really the last few games, you know, in the last

429
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Speaker 4: three in particular, he scored in each of them.

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Speaker 3: He had four total touchdowns.

431
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Speaker 4: Thirty one total targets, plus they also got him involved

432
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Speaker 4: in the run game, which when you talk about this win,

433
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Speaker 4: it's important. He had eight additional carries in those two

434
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Speaker 4: games because when you look at it, they're.

435
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Speaker 3: Gonna get out at it returns and the quick game

436
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 3: is so critical.

437
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,520
Speaker 4: The bubble, the tunnel screens, they're gonna put him at

438
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Speaker 4: wildcat quarterback, lots of different touches. So I just see

439
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 4: this as an opportunity for him to get in even

440
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 4: if the wind is problematic. For an he throws fifteen

441
00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 4: yards down the field or more a lot of his

442
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 4: big throws.

443
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 3: You look back at that game.

444
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 4: Against Florida State earlier in the season, hit him on

445
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 4: a quick slant and then all of a sudden, he

446
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,880
Speaker 4: breaks one tackle and he's to the house. So if

447
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 4: Miami has any chance to win this game, I think

448
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 4: he's got across the end zone. And essentially they've just

449
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,640
Speaker 4: been feeding him NonStop against ranked teams this year. When

450
00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:47,840
Speaker 4: you look at their opportunities to impress the Committee, he's

451
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:49,679
Speaker 4: been the focal point. So I think this is going

452
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 4: to be another showcase game for him. And if they

453
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 4: get shut down, then you know, the Canes just aren't competitive.

454
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 4: But I think they'll go down swinging with their best

455
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:57,680
Speaker 4: player gone.

456
00:21:57,680 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 3: I'm putting Miami first half under on our agree board.

457
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,160
Speaker 7: Yeah, absolutely, already have ou on that down to twenty

458
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 7: four too. I don't know what number, rabbit, I mean,

459
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:06,920
Speaker 7: I got it, like twenty four better? Fine, yeah, twenty

460
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 7: four better?

461
00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:11,440
Speaker 3: Uh Doc, nothing here for you, I mean, just real quick.

462
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 5: I do like the way that Miami has played the

463
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 5: last month of the season, and now they get a

464
00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 5: new lease on life getting into the playoff, and so

465
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:21,280
Speaker 5: could start strong here for Miami with that that defense

466
00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 5: is nasty and showing up. I would expect here two

467
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 5: point nine yards per carry on the ground eighth nationally,

468
00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:29,440
Speaker 5: and defensive success R eight twentieth and preventing explosives eighth

469
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 5: in red zone efficiency. I do think that Miami defense

470
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,600
Speaker 5: will show up here ready to go. And you hashed

471
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 5: out some of the A and M run defense numbers.

472
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 5: I do think that Miami does line up and try

473
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 5: and run the ball here. So first half under position

474
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,200
Speaker 5: I would definitely support. It's kind of one of those

475
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 5: old two thousand and seven style handicaps where you get

476
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,200
Speaker 5: that twenty four and a half, you go first half under,

477
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:49,160
Speaker 5: So I do like that.

478
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I imagine this probably closes twenty three and a half.

479
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 2: If you hate ballgames, go listen to ntr'll talk.

480
00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 3: To Lane all mess that's in the afternoon, two Lane.

481
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 3: This is a rematch from a game earlier this year,

482
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:03,400
Speaker 3: oll miss, but I think it was a third close

483
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,639
Speaker 3: to thirteen and a half point favorite and dominated. They

484
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:10,120
Speaker 3: won forty five to ten at home. Now they are

485
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 3: a seventeen and a half point favor total fifty six

486
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:19,479
Speaker 3: and a half. Bryce Bohannon tu Lane receivers doubtfully at

487
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 3: thirty one catches for four hundred and seventeen yards cornerback

488
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:25,480
Speaker 3: for ole Miss. Antonio Kai will see if he can go.

489
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 3: He's questionable. A lot of coaching news in this John

490
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 3: summerl took the Florida job, but he'll stay with the team.

491
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,920
Speaker 3: But I'll distract it. Has he been hard to say?

492
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 3: I think he like tweeted out that he has like

493
00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 3: two jobs, and then Lane Kiffin took the LSU job.

494
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 3: He will not be with the team. Defensive coordinator Pete

495
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 3: Golding has taken over as the new head coach. Offensive

496
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 3: coordinator Charlie Wise Junior will stay with the team. So

497
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 3: I played ole Miss, I needa seventeen or better, but

498
00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 3: I made it eighteen and a half. I played some seventeen.

499
00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:58,399
Speaker 6: The strongest.

500
00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:01,920
Speaker 3: Like if you look at Tulane, like the first meeting,

501
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 3: I mean rest left got benched. I mean, what did

502
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:05,920
Speaker 3: you start off? Ozho of ten and he was just dreadful.

503
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 3: Tu Lane's defense is not good. The strongest part of

504
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,920
Speaker 3: their defense is their pass rush and their defensive line.

505
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 3: They can get after the quarterback, but Chambliss never take

506
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 3: sacks and he's like unpressurable. So I just don't know

507
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 3: how the Tulane back end is going to hold up.

508
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 3: I also imagine, like this is just number one, it's

509
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:29,119
Speaker 3: a home home playoff game. The crowd's going to be

510
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,479
Speaker 3: jack up the home field advantage, and this is like

511
00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:36,120
Speaker 3: a prove it like the lane Kiffin left, like hold

512
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 3: up a middle finger to Lane, like you're gonna get

513
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,400
Speaker 3: some new wrinkles here from the offense. And I think

514
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:42,919
Speaker 3: TWU lanes in a world have hurt. I mean, I

515
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 3: really wish that it was USF for North Texas, which

516
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:49,520
Speaker 3: I think we're better overall teams from the American but

517
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:51,439
Speaker 3: here we are too. Lane. You got to give credit

518
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 3: to some wrong company. But you know, I mean tu lane,

519
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 3: you want to run the ball on O miss. Their

520
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 3: run defenses worse than their A state. They don't get

521
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 3: an elite pressure. But I just don't think that rets

522
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 3: Laf is going to pick them apart. And Tulane's running

523
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:11,480
Speaker 3: game unless rets Laf just goes wild here, I don't

524
00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 3: see them being anything special. I mean I will say

525
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 3: that what's his name has come on a bit. McClure,

526
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 3: the running back for Tulane. He's given them some juice.

527
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 3: I mean, he only got three carries in the first meeting,

528
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 3: he like Pringle, has really come on of late. I

529
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 3: mean he only had what eight carries prior to November fifteenth,

530
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 3: and he had ten for ninety four against fau seven

531
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 3: for one to twenty two against Temple, eleven for sixty

532
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 3: nine against Charlotte. Now, again these are poverty teams. But

533
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:42,719
Speaker 3: then he had twenty two for one to twenty one

534
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 3: against North Texas, so maybe he gives them a little

535
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 3: bit more juice in the run game. But uh yeah,

536
00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 3: I like a little worried about like all this G

537
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 3: five narrative talk, and but I think this is a

538
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:55,240
Speaker 3: good spot for Ole Miss here.

539
00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:57,919
Speaker 6: So I laid it.

540
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 3: I took seventeen meet seventeen or better make it eighteen

541
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 3: and a half. Nothing, not a huge bet, but I

542
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 3: like Ole Mess Colin you agree.

543
00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:06,640
Speaker 7: Yeah, this isn't the G five team you want to back.

544
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 7: It wasn't close the first time, It's not going to

545
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 7: be close this time. There is no shortage of motivation

546
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 7: on the old Miss side. I know it's like impossible

547
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 7: to handicap motivation for Bowl games, but you know, if

548
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,040
Speaker 7: you go on history of home games, you would think

549
00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 7: that the home team would have more of an advantage,

550
00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 7: maybe that we know we'll get more samples to what

551
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 7: we had last year. But these players calling out Lane

552
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 7: Kiffin on Twitter on social media, like Lane Kiffin putting

553
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,399
Speaker 7: out a statement that he was wanting to stick around

554
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 7: and coach the team through the playoff and the players

555
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,760
Speaker 7: wanted me there, and then the starting centers like, no,

556
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:42,440
Speaker 7: you better check that. Sunshine Perkins like no, we didn't.

557
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 7: That's not really what happened.

558
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 6: In the room.

559
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:47,359
Speaker 7: These players are pissed, and I think they got something

560
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:51,040
Speaker 7: to say. And I feel as if they get this

561
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,680
Speaker 7: one game burst of emotions at home from the greatest

562
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:58,080
Speaker 7: season in Mississippi college football history, and they're gonna move

563
00:26:58,119 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 7: on to the Courter finals and lay a dud. But

564
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:03,359
Speaker 7: right here they're absolutely going to nail two Lane to

565
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,399
Speaker 7: the wall again. And Trinidad Chambliss is one of the

566
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 7: most mistake free quarterbacks in college football. It's insane what

567
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 7: this Fair State kid has been able to do. Turnover

568
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:13,919
Speaker 7: worthy play rate of one point eight percent this season

569
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,919
Speaker 7: in three hundred and sixty five dropbacks. You can't rattle

570
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 7: the kid. It's quite amazing. Kawan Lacy like, what is

571
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 7: too gonna be able to tackle this guy there, one

572
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 7: hundred and thirty I think, and broken tackles allowed. He's

573
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 7: forced eighty nine miss tackles. That's like second behind Cam

574
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 7: Cook of anybody in FBS football. He averages three point

575
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 7: three yards after first contact. At least thirty three of

576
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:37,640
Speaker 7: his runs have gone for double digits. I don't see

577
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 7: two Lane stopping that. I don't see anything different than

578
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 7: what happened in this first game than what's gonna happen now.

579
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,200
Speaker 7: And in that first game, Ole Miss had at least

580
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,439
Speaker 7: two first downs on eight of eleven drives.

581
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,159
Speaker 8: Same thing's happening here. This is not the G five

582
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,160
Speaker 8: team you want to back Dock.

583
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,320
Speaker 3: You're on board, Yeah, I am on board.

584
00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 5: I mean I think you look at the path to

585
00:27:57,000 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 5: Tulane and having success moving the ball and scoring touchdowns here.

586
00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:01,440
Speaker 6: I just don't see it.

587
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,200
Speaker 5: Two hundred and eighty two yards in the first meeting,

588
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,359
Speaker 5: four point one yards per play, Retz laugh. In that

589
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:09,120
Speaker 5: first meeting, five out of seventeen fifty six passing yards,

590
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,880
Speaker 5: the lone touchdown for two Lane came in complete garbage time.

591
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:14,840
Speaker 5: The score was forty five to three. They were playing

592
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 5: out the last four minutes and two Lane punched one

593
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 5: and at the end, I think for ole Miss, having

594
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,400
Speaker 5: some continuity with the DC sticking around and coaching that

595
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:26,119
Speaker 5: unit will really pay off with them being able to

596
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 5: just step up and limit what Tu Lane wants to

597
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 5: do here. I also think that we could see two

598
00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 5: lane in situations where they have to be aggressive on

599
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 5: fourth down. They can't settle for field goals. They know

600
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 5: they're going to have to score points to stay in

601
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 5: this one. Man, I don't think it's going to go

602
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 5: very well. I look at the first meeting in that

603
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 5: September game, which was a kind of a bad spot

604
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 5: for ole Miss. They were in an SEC schedule sandwich spot,

605
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 5: and two lane really got up for that game and

606
00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 5: Tu Lane was out gained by three hundred yards. They

607
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 5: have routinely this season benefited from turnover voodoo. Five to

608
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 5: zero against North tex There was crazy since.

609
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 3: They got waxed by UTSA. Over the final five games

610
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 3: of the year, they're plus ten of a plus ten

611
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 3: turnover margin.

612
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:12,479
Speaker 5: Yeah, unsustainable, unable to be predicted, but likely not to

613
00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 5: happen here. I mean, you can make an argument that

614
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 5: there was performances all season. They should have lost East Alabama.

615
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 3: They should have lost.

616
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,959
Speaker 5: South Alabama just not a team that I think is

617
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:24,920
Speaker 5: going to be able to have it in the trenches,

618
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 5: to be able to stay within shouting distance here. I

619
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 5: really don't want to overthink this one. This is a

620
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 5: really good spot for Old Miss to kind of put

621
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,880
Speaker 5: it on this team, lay it even seventeen and a half.

622
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 6: I'm fine.

623
00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 5: And I do also like Twu Lane's team total under

624
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 5: twenty and a half.

625
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:44,800
Speaker 3: And Calvary's you're gonna make this and fully agree and

626
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 3: you're going with an all.

627
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:47,160
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm going with an alt.

628
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 4: I agree with everything that you guys are saying. I

629
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,920
Speaker 4: think this is a statement game for them if there

630
00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 4: ever was when the place is going to be an

631
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 4: absolute zoo in Oxford late twenty seven and a half

632
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 4: on the olt line plus two to sixty on return,

633
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 4: and just reiterate a few things real quick. Tulane got

634
00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 4: smashed in the first meeting because they couldn't throw it

635
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 4: and they couldn't get a stop to save their life. Well,

636
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 4: where all of a sudden and either of those things

637
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 4: is going to be fixed in this game. I think

638
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 4: that redslaf when you look at it, you know, the

639
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 4: best defense that he really faced down the stretch was

640
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 4: East Carolina. They were what fifty fourth in S and

641
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,920
Speaker 4: p SP plus defense and they barely pulled that one

642
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 4: out of the fire.

643
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 3: Twenty six nineteen.

644
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:24,520
Speaker 4: They had to settled for four field goals in that game,

645
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 4: three in the red zone, and that's been a bugaboo

646
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 4: for TWU Lane the entire season. They finished ninety ninth

647
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 4: in red zone touchdown percentage. If you want to pull

648
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 4: an upset, you can't settle for field goals just to

649
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 4: kind of hang around. You got to score and score

650
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,680
Speaker 4: a lot. Because Shambliss, I don't understand really how he's

651
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 4: flown this far under the radar nationally in terms of

652
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 4: the respect. I know that awards season he wasn't going

653
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 4: to be a Heisman finalist, but if you look at

654
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:48,880
Speaker 4: his ten games that he started and then extrapolated that,

655
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 4: so if he had started all twelve, he would have

656
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 4: had just about thirty total touchdowns over forty two hundred

657
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 4: total yards of offense.

658
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:58,000
Speaker 3: This game is an absolute monster. I'm not sure if

659
00:30:58,000 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 3: it was Stuck or Colin who said it.

660
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:02,120
Speaker 4: You can't pressure, you can't get to him because not

661
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,280
Speaker 4: only is he mobile, but also they have so much

662
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 4: in the quick game that is able to get him

663
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 4: out of trouble. You look at his A dot, it's,

664
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:10,959
Speaker 4: you know, about eight and a half, not top sixty

665
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,479
Speaker 4: in the entire country, which sometimes you call upon that

666
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 4: as a bit of a downgrade. I look at as

667
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:18,080
Speaker 4: a way of saying that it's highly unlikely they're going

668
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 4: to rattle him into a turnover worthy play. And once

669
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 4: Tulane is down two scores and it's just on rets

670
00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 4: laps shoulders, I see a disaster breaking out for them.

671
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 4: I think this is going to be a repeat of

672
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 4: the first game where ole Miss won by thirty five,

673
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 4: but they could have won by as many points as

674
00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,360
Speaker 4: they wanted. I think this is a case where they

675
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 4: want to show middle finger to Lane Kiffen out there.

676
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:39,680
Speaker 4: You know in ban Rouge, we're gonna win this one

677
00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:41,720
Speaker 4: by fifty. We didn't need you in the first place.

678
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:46,680
Speaker 7: Way, let's say this, if you think that they smoke

679
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,479
Speaker 7: in this game, like just smoke tou Lane, and then

680
00:31:49,520 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 7: you think Ole Miss lays a dud a day before

681
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 7: the portal opens, like that's even more like Stucky nine

682
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 7: on that recap show Wanted Georgia Futures. This line's up

683
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 7: in the Georgia playoff bracket. I'm telling you, if you

684
00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 7: haven't got a Georgia future in your back pocket, it

685
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 7: looks like a clear semi final path. If you guys

686
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,120
Speaker 7: agree that you think they play a dut the day

687
00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 7: before the portal opens.

688
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 3: Up, I will say, the one thing that I'm really

689
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:15,400
Speaker 3: interested in look seeing is Kiffin was known as being

690
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 3: like super aggressive on fourth downs and just like daff

691
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 3: ef It, go for it a lot. I'm curious to

692
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 3: see what Golding does on fourth downs and what the

693
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 3: fourth down aggressiveness is.

694
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 2: And good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. I'm Keith Jackson. I'll

695
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 2: be calling the play at today's ball game. We have

696
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 2: an afternoon of what college football is all about. It's

697
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 2: the kind of a week that you could really get

698
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 2: yourself a set of white knuckles if you were a

699
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 2: partisan to either one of these teams, because the fever,

700
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,680
Speaker 2: if you will, is so fervent it's almost impossible to measure.

701
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the third and final

702
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 3: college twelveloff game on Saturday between James Madison and Oregon.

703
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 3: Organ is a twenty one point favorite, total down to

704
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 3: forty seven and a half, which makes me sad because

705
00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 3: I didn't get the bet all the unders that I

706
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 3: wanted to. I kind of still like this under No,

707
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 3: it's going past fifty and forty eight, but the way

708
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 3: that so when I look at this game, I think

709
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 3: that I do think that Jamius defense is legit. You

710
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 3: can adjust for opponent. I think this is like a

711
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 3: top twenty, top fifteen type of defense. They'll get a

712
00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:19,920
Speaker 3: manual bush back. It does remain we don't know yet

713
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,640
Speaker 3: on Oregon's receivers. Stewart has been out all year, but

714
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,480
Speaker 3: he was practicing. To Corey and Moore, he's been out.

715
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 3: He was practicing. Yeah, Gary Bryant, he's been out, he's practicing.

716
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 3: I don't know. Oregon has a big game next week,

717
00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 3: assuming they win, so maybe they hold them back. I

718
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 3: don't know, But if the receivers aren't back, they probably

719
00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 3: still lean into like their tight ends and their run game.

720
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 3: I think the Jamu defense can have a respectable enough

721
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:46,920
Speaker 3: effort here. What will probably happen is Oregon will hit

722
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:50,120
Speaker 3: a couple of explosives and that'll be the difference. I mean,

723
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 3: you go back to that Louisville game, because Jami played

724
00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 3: a really easy schedule. But against at Louisville, they they

725
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 3: were up fourteen to six at the end of the

726
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 3: third quarter. Chris Bell, who's going to be a first

727
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:05,239
Speaker 3: round draft pick, he hit a long Moss hit him

728
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 3: for a long touchdown. Then Louisville spuit a defensive touchdown,

729
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 3: and then I think Isaac Browns. Browns like one of

730
00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:15,839
Speaker 3: the house, Yeah, took one of the house is also

731
00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:18,840
Speaker 3: going to play in the NFL, So that's probably what will happen.

732
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 3: Like Oregon will score like a couple of touchdowns on

733
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,799
Speaker 3: on long explosives at some point. But I think the

734
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 3: James Madison defense can battle enough, and then on offense

735
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:31,960
Speaker 3: they're gonna go. They're already super slow. I imagine they're going

736
00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:34,399
Speaker 3: to go super strong trying to condense this game down.

737
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:38,919
Speaker 3: I don't think Oregon's gonna go super fast. So even

738
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 3: at forty seven and a half, I think under is

739
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 3: the look Mike, you are wearing James Madison sweater Christmas

740
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:54,440
Speaker 3: sweater or is it a sweatshirt or a sweater? No,

741
00:34:54,880 --> 00:35:00,960
Speaker 3: Christmas sweater, yeah, Christmas sweater. Jmu. Do they stay within

742
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 3: the number?

743
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 6: I think they do.

744
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 3: I'm taking the twenty one and a half.

745
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 4: I think it's pretty simple when you look at Oregon's

746
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 4: post mortem, at least against the spread, they were eight

747
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 4: and four against the closing number in their eight covers,

748
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 4: two hundred and thirty seven and a half yards per game

749
00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 4: on the ground six point one yards per clip. In

750
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 4: their four losses, that trapped down to one hundred and

751
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,360
Speaker 4: eighty yards per game and a full yard lower in

752
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 4: terms of the yards per carry average.

753
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:24,440
Speaker 6: And James Madison.

754
00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 4: Probably is the best run defense that's ever come from

755
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:28,879
Speaker 4: the G five level. The Dukes allow less than eight

756
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,320
Speaker 4: feet per carry and just seventy six point two yards

757
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:34,840
Speaker 4: per game on the ground, So if they're going to

758
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:38,239
Speaker 4: force Oregon, you know, off of their absolute strength. I

759
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:41,080
Speaker 4: understand that they have monsters in the trench. They have

760
00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:44,080
Speaker 4: blue chip kids all over the place. But Louisville was

761
00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 4: top fifteen in rushing success rate over the course of

762
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 4: the season, and in that particular game, Isaac Brown was

763
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:51,839
Speaker 4: healthy and he was playing. They were a different team

764
00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:53,840
Speaker 4: when he was banged up at separate parts of the season.

765
00:35:54,120 --> 00:35:54,880
Speaker 3: They held them.

766
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:57,560
Speaker 4: Below four yards per carry in that game. I also

767
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 4: look at it in terms of, you know, Chesney and

768
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:04,360
Speaker 4: his success punching up of talking to Duck before the recording.

769
00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 4: If you go back to his Holy Cross days and

770
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:09,040
Speaker 4: you also look at the Power four teams that he's

771
00:36:09,080 --> 00:36:12,440
Speaker 4: coached against at James Madison, there's six games across the

772
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 4: last four years, five and one against the spread. His

773
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:17,799
Speaker 4: only time he didn't cover was against South Dakota State,

774
00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 4: who won the national championship. At the FCS level, they're

775
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 4: catching sixteen or seventeen in that game they lost by

776
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 4: twenty one.

777
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,440
Speaker 3: A game that Duck pointed out, they were really in it.

778
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:27,520
Speaker 4: The box score didn't, you know, and the final score

779
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:30,319
Speaker 4: didn't indicate how close that game was in terms of

780
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 4: punching up. The guy always has his people prepared, and

781
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 4: I agree in terms of the pace and the brand

782
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:38,960
Speaker 4: of football they want to play. They finished one hundred

783
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 4: and twenty second in seconds between plays this season, and

784
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 4: they finished third in time of possession percentage. So if

785
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 4: they want to shrink this game down and their run

786
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 4: defense comes to play and they get a couple opportunities

787
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 4: to get off the field and get some punts, I

788
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,400
Speaker 4: think twenty one and a half is too rich. I mean,

789
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:57,920
Speaker 4: there's other things to consider, but really it comes down

790
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,799
Speaker 4: to me the run defense Chesney's history. He's forty seven

791
00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 4: and eleven straight up in his last fifty eight games,

792
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 4: and those eleven losses he lost by an average of

793
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:08,680
Speaker 4: eight point three points per game. The guy just doesn't

794
00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 4: get blown out very often. I understand everyone's trying to

795
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:14,080
Speaker 4: make this narrative, including Nick Saban about an hour ago.

796
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 4: It's Triple A Baseball trying to play for the World Series.

797
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 4: Somehow Utah beat you Nick in the two thousand and

798
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 4: eight Sugar Bowl. I know that every single loss for

799
00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 4: a Power four team is all we didn't care, we

800
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 4: didn't play hard enough. This is James Madison Super Bowl.

801
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,200
Speaker 4: You're clearly going to get maximum effort.

802
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 3: Their fans are traveling out to the Pacific Northwest.

803
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 4: I think there's a lot to like in terms of

804
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 4: a dog that plays defense and can run. I need

805
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 4: Wayne Knight to do something special in this game.

806
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 3: I agree. I think the game flow in the narrative,

807
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:44,360
Speaker 3: Oregon's going to land some haymakers.

808
00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 4: They're going to have a couple of plays of forty

809
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:48,439
Speaker 4: plus and maybe take it to the house. But wayn

810
00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 4: Knight's a pretty good running back, so I think if

811
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:54,240
Speaker 4: they can do something schematically a lot of sun Belt play.

812
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:55,239
Speaker 3: Duck can attest to this.

813
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:58,239
Speaker 4: Down the stretch, they were not in their bag. They

814
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:00,920
Speaker 4: were playing a lot of vanilla football. Weren't putting a

815
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,080
Speaker 4: ton on taking knees and taking these I mean, to

816
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:07,759
Speaker 4: your you know, chagrin. This is a team that I think,

817
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:10,359
Speaker 4: potentially and you saw in the Louisville game they had

818
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:12,359
Speaker 4: what was a double reverse pass on the first drive

819
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 4: that got dropped. I think they're gonna pull off the

820
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,720
Speaker 4: stops a little bit allah the you know Boise States

821
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 4: to the world when they're punching up against Oklahoma and

822
00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:21,799
Speaker 4: the Festa bal like, this is their opportunity. I think

823
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:23,920
Speaker 4: Chesney's the right coach. I think he's going to go

824
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:25,719
Speaker 4: for it here. So twenty one and a half is

825
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:26,560
Speaker 4: over that key number.

826
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:28,800
Speaker 3: I'll take the points with the Dukes. Yeah. One of

827
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:30,840
Speaker 3: the other reasons I like the under that I failed

828
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 3: to mention because I do think they're going to have

829
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 3: to try to get tricky. Is my biggest concern for

830
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,400
Speaker 3: Jamie because I think the defense can hang around on

831
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 3: a down to down basis is the offensive the line

832
00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 3: might just get destroyed. Like that's my biggest worry against

833
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 3: the Oregon front like this is That's where I think

834
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 3: you're going to see like the biggest difference from when

835
00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:52,319
Speaker 3: you're just watching it like visually, if you knew nothing

836
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 3: about these teams, I think that they're not gonna get

837
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 3: any queshs. Like Louisville also has an elite defensive line,

838
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:01,160
Speaker 3: and Jamie couldn't run the ball. Yeah, I mean it

839
00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:04,120
Speaker 3: was just Sluka like QB power for like three yards

840
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:05,879
Speaker 3: at a time, but their running backs had no room

841
00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:09,360
Speaker 3: and they couldn't block Louisville. That's my biggest concern with

842
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 3: the JMU offense. But I do think this will be

843
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:16,080
Speaker 3: lower scoring, which does lend itself to you know, a

844
00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:20,280
Speaker 3: dog catching three touchdowns plus. And I don't think Oregon

845
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 3: has the incentive to run this up, right, Like if

846
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 3: they win, then you have a big game next week.

847
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:34,320
Speaker 3: And if there's also like these their coordinators have taken

848
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 3: other jobs, Organs, they're staying with the team, but they're

849
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:40,799
Speaker 3: definitely doing other work. So if you're thinking about this,

850
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 3: if you're like balancing, all right, my other jobs, JMU,

851
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 3: but next week Texas Tech, like you're probably you got

852
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 3: to allocate all those resources. You're probably not gonna have

853
00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 3: the most ideal creative game plan here from both coordinators.

854
00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 3: A little narrative street, but duck, what are you saying?

855
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:03,520
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean there's no doubt those coordinators are exerting

856
00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 5: some amount of bandwidth to their new gigs, So there

857
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:06,399
Speaker 5: is something there.

858
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:09,759
Speaker 6: And maybe next week too, and maybe next week too.

859
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:12,759
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean it's just deeper and deeper as they

860
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 5: get into this. It could be more and more tricky

861
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 5: for those two to try to have to be fully

862
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:19,879
Speaker 5: locked in here on this playoff run. I took James

863
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 5: Madison plus twenty one and a half. I think if

864
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:24,240
Speaker 5: these guys score at least two touchdowns, they cover this number.

865
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:28,240
Speaker 5: In no way whatsoever is this going to be easy Oregon.

866
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 5: I went back and watched the Louisville tape and I

867
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:31,719
Speaker 5: looked at it from the all twenty two angles, so

868
00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:34,240
Speaker 5: you could really look at the trench play and Oregon

869
00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:37,719
Speaker 5: is going to get pressure with four down alignment. Barnett

870
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:39,879
Speaker 5: is going to have to get rid of the ball

871
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,560
Speaker 5: quickly in standard passing down situations. They didn't really call

872
00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 5: the game that way against Louisville, but I think maybe

873
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:49,360
Speaker 5: we'll see the pass play selection from the call sheet

874
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,799
Speaker 5: be such to where James Madison can get the ball

875
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:53,320
Speaker 5: out of his hands quickly.

876
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:54,959
Speaker 6: Knowing they're not going to have a lot of time.

877
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 5: They've got to run some counter, they got to go

878
00:40:57,120 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 5: QB power, a little zone read, and they're going to

879
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:02,359
Speaker 5: have to win the war in the trenches on some

880
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:05,439
Speaker 5: of those plays and just achieve three yards on first down,

881
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 5: because if you're in second and long, third and long,

882
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 5: you're playing right into Oregon's hands and it could really

883
00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 5: get jerky for JMU. I think we're gonna have to

884
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 5: see the Dukes pull plays out of the back of

885
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:19,680
Speaker 5: the playbook and run something well.

886
00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 6: I mean I made mention of that too.

887
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:24,439
Speaker 5: I think he's only played fifty five snaps the last

888
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:26,560
Speaker 5: nine weeks, but I think we have to see some

889
00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:29,399
Speaker 5: thirty one personnel out of the pistol. Maybe we see

890
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:32,040
Speaker 5: some Barnett and Sluka on the field. At the same time,

891
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 5: they ran their very first offensive play against Louisville. They

892
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 5: ran a double pass where they threw us a screen

893
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:40,839
Speaker 5: out to the far side to the receiver and all

894
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:42,080
Speaker 5: he had to do was put it on the guy

895
00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 5: across the middle and he was wide open for a

896
00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:46,319
Speaker 5: walk in touchdown and they couldn't make the play. They're

897
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 5: gonna have to do something like that to get one

898
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 5: past the goalie. Maybe take the crowd out of it

899
00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:53,640
Speaker 5: a bit. Maybe they go ahead early and they can

900
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,239
Speaker 5: kind of just try to hang in there. But it's

901
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:58,719
Speaker 5: clearly gonna be truncate the possession count.

902
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 6: Play very very slow. Oh.

903
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 5: I do think that the defense is talented enough to

904
00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 5: at least provide some resistance to Oregon. This is not

905
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:10,560
Speaker 5: gonna be Oregon just lining up and rolling through these

906
00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:12,920
Speaker 5: guys and scoring fifty two halfway through the third quarter

907
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:15,800
Speaker 5: and everyone's laughing like they were when they played Liberty

908
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 5: in the in the Bowl Game a couple of years back.

909
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:21,439
Speaker 5: I do not think that'll be this. But you've got

910
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 5: to win the war in the trenches a little bit,

911
00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:27,799
Speaker 5: even though you are inferior, inferiorly talented. And then you

912
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,200
Speaker 5: know what if they if they can just limit at

913
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,840
Speaker 5: Oregon's explosivity in the past game and on the outside

914
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:34,759
Speaker 5: with their weapons, if they can limit some of that,

915
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:36,840
Speaker 5: I'd say three or four explosive players are less.

916
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 6: Yeah.

917
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:41,160
Speaker 5: JMU is gonna show up defensively in the trenches, and

918
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 5: I think they can compete here with what Oregon wants

919
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:46,399
Speaker 5: to do offensively. So you add all that up. There's

920
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:48,279
Speaker 5: no style points here. You don't need to blow this

921
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:49,960
Speaker 5: team out if you're Oregon. You just need to get

922
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:51,839
Speaker 5: the clock to zeros into the fourth quarter and get

923
00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:54,120
Speaker 5: the hell out of there. I think James Madison can

924
00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:56,000
Speaker 5: keep this one with it. It's an important hook.

925
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 6: But twenty one and a half. I like Jamie.

926
00:42:58,400 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 3: A lot of the G five faders.

927
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:01,800
Speaker 4: They don't want to but how much better is Iowa

928
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 4: than James Madison? Now they would say, like, oh, it's

929
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:07,839
Speaker 4: apples and oranges. They're not even on the same playing field.

930
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,239
Speaker 4: It's like Oregon needed what a field goal in the

931
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:12,480
Speaker 4: last minute to beat Iowa. They went to ot with

932
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:15,319
Speaker 4: Penn State Wisconsin. They played with their food. I know

933
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 4: it was raining, and there's.

934
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:17,320
Speaker 3: Lots of excuses.

935
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 4: There's lots of ways to kind of like tilt the

936
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:21,319
Speaker 4: conversation anyway that you want. I just think it comes

937
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,919
Speaker 4: down to do you believe that this James Madison team

938
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 4: with a historically good run defense and they generate so

939
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,120
Speaker 4: many negative plays. They live in your backfield. They put

940
00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:33,280
Speaker 4: you behind the sticks in the run game. So looking

941
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 4: at that, I guess it's just a question of do

942
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:36,520
Speaker 4: you think because they don't have the.

943
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:38,440
Speaker 3: Blue chips, so they have what three four stars on

944
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:39,240
Speaker 3: the entire roster.

945
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:41,640
Speaker 4: If that's only how you handicap, or that's only how

946
00:43:41,680 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 4: you preview football, then yeah, this will be a sixty

947
00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:46,359
Speaker 4: to three game.

948
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:48,000
Speaker 3: And that's what some people are going with.

949
00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:50,319
Speaker 4: I think I just get a little prickly about it

950
00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:52,600
Speaker 4: because I think the reality is, if you watch James

951
00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:55,239
Speaker 4: Madison play, they're kind of an ideal team to muck

952
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:56,960
Speaker 4: this game up and turn it into a rock fight.

953
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:59,840
Speaker 4: They just need to get lucky a few times in

954
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:02,400
Speaker 4: the pass game and extend some drives. Instead of them

955
00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:04,399
Speaker 4: being three and outs, their seven or eight play drives

956
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:05,160
Speaker 4: that eat up the clock.

957
00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 3: Sneaky key for J and U. These big dogs that

958
00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 3: are overmatch from a Tannel perspective on the road in

959
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 3: high leverage games, in like a game where they would

960
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:18,960
Speaker 3: just want to ugly it up and limit possessions. Patrick

961
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:22,400
Speaker 3: Graya their OSSI punter. I'm telling you, I've seen so

962
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:26,680
Speaker 3: many dogs just die because in these spots, like the punter,

963
00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:31,759
Speaker 3: we'll just chank one. They get one block if they're

964
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 3: getting dominated up front, like he's gotta be good. He's

965
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,799
Speaker 3: very inconsistent. He's gotta have a good day because they

966
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,400
Speaker 3: got they got a field position is gonna be important.

967
00:44:40,640 --> 00:44:42,799
Speaker 3: He can't get one block, he can't get nervous and

968
00:44:42,840 --> 00:44:45,879
Speaker 3: shank one when they're punting from the fifteen and only

969
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:50,399
Speaker 3: goes twenty one yards. So watch the JAMU punter. Gonna

970
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:52,720
Speaker 3: need a big day from Colin. You got an anytime touchdown?

971
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 8: That yere? Yeah?

972
00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 7: But I mean I do like James Madison, so I

973
00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 7: echo everything everybody's saying, but I kind of see this

974
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:00,760
Speaker 7: game a little bit differently. Yesterday the event ability report

975
00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:03,840
Speaker 7: came out and Decoryan Moore, Gary Bryant, Evan Stewart are.

976
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,040
Speaker 8: Listed as questionable. Two of those names.

977
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:08,520
Speaker 7: I'm not surprised they were listed question but Dacoryan Moore

978
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:10,640
Speaker 7: being listed his question, how long is this guy going

979
00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:13,040
Speaker 7: to be listed that way and not playing these games?

980
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:15,440
Speaker 7: And so I start going through my brain and I

981
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:17,200
Speaker 7: already kind of like James Madis because I make this

982
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:18,759
Speaker 7: game like fifteen, and I think if you can get

983
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:20,359
Speaker 7: twenty one and a half, then the game's probably going

984
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:21,759
Speaker 7: to be at thirty five to seven and you're going

985
00:45:21,800 --> 00:45:22,560
Speaker 7: to need that hook.

986
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:26,359
Speaker 8: This feels back door all the way.

987
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:28,279
Speaker 7: But in the back of my mind when I saw

988
00:45:28,320 --> 00:45:32,560
Speaker 7: that availability report, I thought to myself, is this the

989
00:45:32,560 --> 00:45:34,680
Speaker 7: same Morgan team that showed up in the Rose Bowl

990
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 7: and got their ass kicked by an offensive attack that

991
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:40,360
Speaker 7: they weren't expecting whatsoever? Did Dan Lanning take a page

992
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:42,880
Speaker 7: from that? And is he going to sit all of

993
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:44,799
Speaker 7: his wide receivers it doesn't even matter if they've only

994
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:46,759
Speaker 7: got three healthy ones in the entire roster. Are they

995
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:49,080
Speaker 7: going to go straight Jordan Davison and Noah Winnington in

996
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:51,600
Speaker 7: this game and say I can build a two possession

997
00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:54,720
Speaker 7: lead with my running backs, I won't expose one single

998
00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:57,879
Speaker 7: thing with Decoryan Moore, Gary Bryant, and Evan Stewart, two

999
00:45:57,920 --> 00:45:59,920
Speaker 7: of those names on there, like Dacry Moore hasn't played

1000
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:03,480
Speaker 7: like what in a month and Evan Stewart like the

1001
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 7: full boat of playbook you're not going to put out

1002
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 7: against the James Madison defense. So in my opinion, I

1003
00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 7: feel like Dan Lanning is gonna make this game as

1004
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 7: vanilla as possible and James Madison's abstually gonna cover once

1005
00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:15,799
Speaker 7: they get a two possion lead.

1006
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:17,719
Speaker 8: I think We're just going to sit on the ball now.

1007
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 7: As far as the Dukes go with the prop Listen,

1008
00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:22,120
Speaker 7: they run the ball sixty three percent of the time.

1009
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:23,840
Speaker 7: And you're gonna hear a lot about Wayne Night and

1010
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:25,759
Speaker 7: he deserves to be talked about a lot. Three point

1011
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,600
Speaker 7: eight yards after first contact. He forced forty three missed

1012
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 7: tackles this season. But this isn't the top scoring option

1013
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:33,759
Speaker 7: on the team. The quarterback a Lonza Barnett, the third

1014
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:36,120
Speaker 7: he is the top scoring option at Night has nine

1015
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 7: rushing tg tds. Barnett has fourteen next to his twenty

1016
00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:44,560
Speaker 7: one passing tds. The Oregon defense produces a negative play

1017
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:49,040
Speaker 7: against inside zone on one of twenty attempts. They are

1018
00:46:49,120 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 7: never behind the line of scrimmage against teams that run

1019
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:54,840
Speaker 7: inside zone. Ask Iowa right, So Oregon is seventy seventh

1020
00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:57,560
Speaker 7: in defensive finishing drives. Can you believe there are one

1021
00:46:57,640 --> 00:47:00,799
Speaker 7: hundred and twenty six and opponent red zone score? If

1022
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,320
Speaker 7: James Madison can simply get to the forty, they're probably

1023
00:47:03,400 --> 00:47:06,120
Speaker 7: in line for a touchdown. Barnett is the name who's

1024
00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 7: who's gonna get called on the ground. I like a

1025
00:47:08,040 --> 00:47:08,800
Speaker 7: lots of Barnett.

1026
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:09,800
Speaker 8: The third.

1027
00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:12,839
Speaker 7: Anytime touchdown is plus two ten, they're gonna get one,

1028
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:13,760
Speaker 7: maybe two tds.

1029
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:14,400
Speaker 8: And it should be.

1030
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,840
Speaker 4: Barnett to tag onto that Colin you saw because he

1031
00:47:17,920 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 4: came off of an injury. Where really back in August,

1032
00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 4: we were like, it's gonna be Sluke's job in all

1033
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:25,480
Speaker 4: likelihood he ends up starting. He didn't really have the

1034
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:28,279
Speaker 4: full confidence to cut and to move the way that

1035
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 4: makes him a special quarterback until the second half of

1036
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:33,799
Speaker 4: the season, and then the rushing touchdowns started to pile up, So.

1037
00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:34,719
Speaker 3: I like that look a lot.

1038
00:47:35,640 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 7: Did Sluker get paid for the playoff though? Did we

1039
00:47:37,640 --> 00:47:41,760
Speaker 7: check to see if his agent got involved that they zeld.

1040
00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:44,640
Speaker 3: It to his Well foot Well's Faro account, putting Jamu

1041
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:49,359
Speaker 3: on the agree for the podcast preview for our group,

1042
00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 3: I make this nineteen point seven for what it's worth,

1043
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 3: all right, those are the three college football first round

1044
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 3: matchups on Saturday, and if you need a way to

1045
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 3: watch them, let me tell you about Sling TV. With

1046
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:02,600
Speaker 3: Sling TV, you can take control with flexible package options

1047
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:05,440
Speaker 3: of one to three and seven day passes for access

1048
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 3: to thirty plus live channels which include ESPN and TNT,

1049
00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:12,840
Speaker 3: so that covers you for all eleven of the college

1050
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 3: football playoff games. Sling TV will also be a great

1051
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:19,799
Speaker 3: option for some huge upcoming NFL games as well. So

1052
00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:23,640
Speaker 3: with that, let's put together a Saturday all day parlay.

1053
00:48:24,160 --> 00:48:27,200
Speaker 3: You can hang out on the couch all day Saturday,

1054
00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:30,240
Speaker 3: watch the games and sweat this one out with us.

1055
00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:34,479
Speaker 3: Let's go with Miami A and m first half under

1056
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:41,320
Speaker 3: JMU plus the points and lay it with Old Miss

1057
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:45,080
Speaker 3: so first half under to start Ole Miss in the afternoon.

1058
00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:50,120
Speaker 3: JMU in primetime pays around plus six point fifty on DraftKings.

1059
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:53,800
Speaker 3: By the way, if Babaty was being born this weekend instead,

1060
00:48:53,800 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 3: I would have been using sling TV in the hospital.

1061
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:58,240
Speaker 3: A great way to be the popular guy in the hospital,

1062
00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 3: all the doctors and nurses coming to get updates in

1063
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:02,920
Speaker 3: the game. So that is why sling TV is your

1064
00:49:02,920 --> 00:49:06,799
Speaker 3: solution to instant access to live TV starting as low

1065
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:10,719
Speaker 3: as four ninety nine. There isn't a better time to

1066
00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:14,799
Speaker 3: acquaint yourself with one, three, and seven day passes from

1067
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:20,160
Speaker 3: Sling TV. Offer applies to Orange. One day pass restrictions apply.

1068
00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:21,959
Speaker 3: Check out sling TV.

1069
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:28,680
Speaker 5: I'm TVV College team.

1070
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:38,040
Speaker 6: To coaches.

1071
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:43,640
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the five other games we'll cover quickly,

1072
00:49:44,440 --> 00:49:47,880
Speaker 3: starting on Monday with the famous Idaho Potato Bowl between

1073
00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:54,120
Speaker 3: Washington State and Utah State. Pat news here pretty critical.

1074
00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:57,319
Speaker 3: So Utah State. I don't know if there's gonna be

1075
00:49:57,320 --> 00:50:00,960
Speaker 3: more names, but their best receiver, first team All Mountain

1076
00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:06,800
Speaker 3: West Pagan, he will not play. That's big Washington State.

1077
00:50:07,560 --> 00:50:10,000
Speaker 3: They have a bunch of guys in the portal. Their

1078
00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:14,799
Speaker 3: cornerback Kenny Worthy, He's not going to play, but all

1079
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:18,320
Speaker 3: the other guys are, I think, are going to play.

1080
00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:21,200
Speaker 3: And this is like pretty nuanced, but this is one

1081
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:25,880
Speaker 3: of the if you follow my file, you would know this.

1082
00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 3: And so Jimmy Rodgers originally for Washington State, and then

1083
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 3: the Washington State staff last year didn't don't didn't let

1084
00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 3: players in the portal play. So I originally played Utah

1085
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 3: State knowing this, and I knew that there were opt

1086
00:50:41,120 --> 00:50:43,879
Speaker 3: outs coming, so I played Utah State money line when

1087
00:50:44,040 --> 00:50:50,000
Speaker 3: this line first came out. Then Jimmy Rodgers leaves and

1088
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:54,120
Speaker 3: he takes the head coaching job at Iowa State, and

1089
00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 3: for this game, their DC, Jesse Bobbittt is going to

1090
00:50:57,560 --> 00:51:01,359
Speaker 3: be the interim. He changes the team rule and is

1091
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:04,399
Speaker 3: now allowing and everyone in the portal besides those guys

1092
00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:06,720
Speaker 3: who left before Rogers, which is just their backup quarterback

1093
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:10,320
Speaker 3: Potter and their cornerback worthy to play in the bowl game.

1094
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:14,239
Speaker 3: So I bought back and I will be rooting for

1095
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:19,000
Speaker 3: Utah State to win by one or two, hopefully going

1096
00:51:19,040 --> 00:51:21,560
Speaker 3: for too late and get it. I haven't no skin

1097
00:51:21,600 --> 00:51:23,399
Speaker 3: in the game. I don't know if there's more names

1098
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,160
Speaker 3: coming for Utah State. I think that all these guys

1099
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:29,279
Speaker 3: from Washington State are gonna play. I don't know. The

1100
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:32,640
Speaker 3: Washington State defense is probably the best unit in this game,

1101
00:51:33,080 --> 00:51:35,719
Speaker 3: but I think Utah State has the better head coach.

1102
00:51:35,880 --> 00:51:39,160
Speaker 3: They will be feisty playing in the stadium they are

1103
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 3: familiar with. I don't know, so I'll ask you, guys,

1104
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:43,960
Speaker 3: duck what you got here?

1105
00:51:44,520 --> 00:51:46,680
Speaker 5: I mean, I kind of like Utah State Wazoo without

1106
00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 5: their head coach, Bob It is going to Iowa State.

1107
00:51:49,600 --> 00:51:52,359
Speaker 5: His family's already left, so he's kind of influx there.

1108
00:51:52,760 --> 00:51:55,759
Speaker 5: With the bowl game preparation. You know, the portal opt

1109
00:51:55,760 --> 00:51:57,960
Speaker 5: outs have come in and we saw some of this

1110
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:00,440
Speaker 5: last year with Wazoo where they showed up up against

1111
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 5: Syracuse with half a team, and I don't know how

1112
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:06,080
Speaker 5: many of these guys are gonna play. So if you

1113
00:52:06,120 --> 00:52:08,440
Speaker 5: want to wait till fifteen minutes before kickoff, you could

1114
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:10,279
Speaker 5: zev is a dude and he's going to ball out

1115
00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:14,160
Speaker 5: in the bowl game. But some of the receivers they

1116
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:16,160
Speaker 5: entered the portal, Yeah they're allowed to play, but we

1117
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:17,799
Speaker 5: don't know if these guys are going to play or not.

1118
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:20,719
Speaker 5: I think the motivational factor will be on the side

1119
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:23,359
Speaker 5: of Utah State. Bronco gets to a bowl game after

1120
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 5: he didn't get the ball opportunity last year in New

1121
00:52:25,560 --> 00:52:27,520
Speaker 5: Mexico should.

1122
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 6: Have this group really locked in.

1123
00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:32,719
Speaker 5: I think about preseason expectations for UTA State, he showed up.

1124
00:52:32,760 --> 00:52:35,360
Speaker 5: The cupboard was fairly bare. The regular season win total

1125
00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:37,680
Speaker 5: was four and a half. Everyone thought this team was

1126
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:39,439
Speaker 5: going to be a complete turd in the Mountain West,

1127
00:52:39,520 --> 00:52:42,720
Speaker 5: and they ended up being a real feisty group all season.

1128
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:45,399
Speaker 5: And this is exactly where they want to be. They

1129
00:52:45,520 --> 00:52:48,040
Speaker 5: want to participate in this bowl game. We're not going

1130
00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:50,960
Speaker 5: to see a lot of guys I wouldn't anticipate opting

1131
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:51,960
Speaker 5: out for UTA State.

1132
00:52:52,680 --> 00:52:54,719
Speaker 6: I think the ground game is where.

1133
00:52:54,640 --> 00:52:56,919
Speaker 5: Utah State is going to be able to work. They're

1134
00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:59,440
Speaker 5: gonna be able to run the ball with Barnes, Miles,

1135
00:52:59,520 --> 00:53:01,719
Speaker 5: Davis all have a big game, Jacobs will show up.

1136
00:53:01,719 --> 00:53:05,680
Speaker 5: You look at Wazu defensively one sixteenth in rush play

1137
00:53:05,760 --> 00:53:08,480
Speaker 5: success rate given up on d ninety third and explosive

1138
00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:12,160
Speaker 5: rushes given up ninety ninth and defensive havoc. I wonder

1139
00:53:12,200 --> 00:53:15,680
Speaker 5: if Utah State is able to just sustain possession of

1140
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:18,120
Speaker 5: the ball by keeping it on the ground and those

1141
00:53:18,200 --> 00:53:18,960
Speaker 5: drives should.

1142
00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:19,880
Speaker 8: End up in the end zone.

1143
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:24,000
Speaker 5: Wazoo offensively doesn't do really anything over the eye popping

1144
00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:26,759
Speaker 5: one nineteenth in yards per play, one twenty first in

1145
00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:30,520
Speaker 5: yards per rush.

1146
00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:31,600
Speaker 6: Yeah, they really are.

1147
00:53:31,640 --> 00:53:33,880
Speaker 5: And you know, so you could look under if you like,

1148
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:35,880
Speaker 5: if you like that sort of angle as well. But

1149
00:53:36,680 --> 00:53:40,239
Speaker 5: I still do wonder. I think that you'll see a

1150
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:44,640
Speaker 5: situation similar to how the Cure Bowl played out, where

1151
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 5: you had a highly motivated old dominion group. I think

1152
00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:51,400
Speaker 5: this Bowl game will really matter to Utah State and

1153
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:54,680
Speaker 5: to their staff and schematically, I think they'll be able

1154
00:53:54,680 --> 00:53:58,360
Speaker 5: to run the ball consistently for sixty minutes against Wazoo's

1155
00:53:58,360 --> 00:54:00,560
Speaker 5: defense and just be because.

1156
00:54:00,320 --> 00:54:02,480
Speaker 6: These players are allowed to play for Wazoo.

1157
00:54:03,200 --> 00:54:05,479
Speaker 5: I still wonder how many are actually going to suit

1158
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 5: up and we may not know that till half an

1159
00:54:07,120 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 5: hour before game time.

1160
00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 3: So I do think Greta's going to play from what

1161
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:12,880
Speaker 3: I've heard, but we'll see. The Utah State wide receiver

1162
00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 3: loss is big. He was one of the best receivers

1163
00:54:14,680 --> 00:54:19,040
Speaker 3: again in the first team All Conference. I will say

1164
00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 3: Washington State, they travel well. I mean, you have to

1165
00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:26,000
Speaker 3: give them credit for they gave JMU a game in

1166
00:54:26,040 --> 00:54:29,640
Speaker 3: a bad spot with travel. They gave Virginia a game,

1167
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:32,200
Speaker 3: they gave Old Miss a game. I mean they were

1168
00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:34,000
Speaker 3: right there in all of them because of their defense.

1169
00:54:34,600 --> 00:54:36,680
Speaker 3: Uh so you have to give them credit for that. Colin,

1170
00:54:36,800 --> 00:54:39,120
Speaker 3: we're going We're back on the head to head train.

1171
00:54:39,160 --> 00:54:43,360
Speaker 3: You're going against Duck here. You like the coups.

1172
00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:46,200
Speaker 7: I mean, I'm just flashing back to our podcast preseason

1173
00:54:46,239 --> 00:54:48,800
Speaker 7: about how we contemplated Oregon State starting off zero to

1174
00:54:48,920 --> 00:54:51,399
Speaker 7: six in Washington State like being Bowl eligible, and.

1175
00:54:51,360 --> 00:54:51,879
Speaker 8: Here we are.

1176
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:54,080
Speaker 6: Look.

1177
00:54:54,200 --> 00:54:56,840
Speaker 7: I think for me, the fact that Jesse Bobbitt is

1178
00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:59,839
Speaker 7: still there and he's the defensive coordinator for Washington State.

1179
00:55:00,040 --> 00:55:01,840
Speaker 7: Fact that he's still there coaching that is the best

1180
00:55:01,880 --> 00:55:04,920
Speaker 7: aspect of this team. I don't worry about the coaching

1181
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:08,800
Speaker 7: staff getting up and taking off, like Duck said Zebiya

1182
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:10,960
Speaker 7: Kaus as a dude, He's gonna play, He's gonna ball out.

1183
00:55:11,040 --> 00:55:13,680
Speaker 7: Might be enough to beat Utah State's defense, but the

1184
00:55:13,680 --> 00:55:15,880
Speaker 7: four two five of Washington State is one of the

1185
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:18,120
Speaker 7: best pass defenses out there. Their top twenty five in

1186
00:55:18,200 --> 00:55:20,759
Speaker 7: quality and finishing drives. I mean, teams do not get

1187
00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:22,719
Speaker 7: methodicals against them, and they don't do very well when

1188
00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:25,879
Speaker 7: they get close to the end zone. Utah State is

1189
00:55:26,080 --> 00:55:30,040
Speaker 7: so reliant on explosive plays, especially on the ground from

1190
00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:33,279
Speaker 7: Pig Farmer, quarterback Bryce and Barnes, and we already mentioned

1191
00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:34,160
Speaker 7: Miles Davis here.

1192
00:55:34,200 --> 00:55:36,359
Speaker 8: But you know, Washing State's gonna get up the middle

1193
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:36,640
Speaker 8: of the field.

1194
00:55:36,760 --> 00:55:37,399
Speaker 6: It's one of those.

1195
00:55:37,320 --> 00:55:39,600
Speaker 7: Bend don't breaks, Like we're gonna get stiff around the

1196
00:55:39,600 --> 00:55:41,120
Speaker 7: thirty yard line, but we'll give you the middle of

1197
00:55:41,120 --> 00:55:44,279
Speaker 7: the field. They have horrible tackling numbers, but as long

1198
00:55:44,320 --> 00:55:46,680
Speaker 7: as they can stop these explosives from getting to the

1199
00:55:46,800 --> 00:55:49,160
Speaker 7: end zone, Washington State has the much better defense, the

1200
00:55:49,200 --> 00:55:52,279
Speaker 7: much better third downs, much better everything. I trust that

1201
00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:54,239
Speaker 7: side of the ball, and I trust their interim coach

1202
00:55:54,239 --> 00:55:54,919
Speaker 7: who is their DC.

1203
00:55:55,200 --> 00:55:56,359
Speaker 8: So I'm taking Washington State.

1204
00:55:57,000 --> 00:55:59,960
Speaker 1: Gotch want to break the tie I go utest State

1205
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:03,360
Speaker 1: WAZU is just one of the most confounding teams to

1206
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:06,759
Speaker 1: cap throughout the entire season because they had I'm sure

1207
00:56:06,800 --> 00:56:08,800
Speaker 1: the committee would somehow translate their three.

1208
00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:11,520
Speaker 4: Quality losses to Virginia, Ole Miss and James Madison into

1209
00:56:11,520 --> 00:56:13,359
Speaker 4: what a win and a half. I don't know how

1210
00:56:13,360 --> 00:56:16,799
Speaker 4: their formula works, but they were really impressive, and you know,

1211
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:19,719
Speaker 4: traveling across country for most of them. But then also

1212
00:56:19,760 --> 00:56:22,000
Speaker 4: they give up fifty nine points on two separate occasions.

1213
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:25,040
Speaker 4: They lay an absolute egg against Oregon State the first

1214
00:56:25,080 --> 00:56:27,200
Speaker 4: go round. They gets are playing twice in the same season.

1215
00:56:27,520 --> 00:56:29,400
Speaker 4: And then if you want to look at quality losses,

1216
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:32,440
Speaker 4: how different would we view Utah State if they had

1217
00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:35,120
Speaker 4: won that double overtime game against UNLV and the other

1218
00:56:35,200 --> 00:56:39,160
Speaker 4: teams exactly, so it's like and then on top of it,

1219
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:40,799
Speaker 4: they played the other team that was in the Mountain

1220
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:43,480
Speaker 4: West Championship game, Boise, and they lost by one point.

1221
00:56:43,440 --> 00:56:45,760
Speaker 3: And maybe four to end the game and didn't get.

1222
00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:48,120
Speaker 4: It exactly another fifteen seconds. Maybe they get a field

1223
00:56:48,160 --> 00:56:50,680
Speaker 4: goal off, maybe they win that game. So I think

1224
00:56:50,680 --> 00:56:54,160
Speaker 4: they're a little bit closer to being a top four

1225
00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 4: team in the Mountain West this year, I think we

1226
00:56:55,719 --> 00:56:58,200
Speaker 4: can kind of all view them as middle class in.

1227
00:56:58,080 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 3: A G five league.

1228
00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:02,640
Speaker 4: The other part of it is in terms of the

1229
00:57:02,680 --> 00:57:05,040
Speaker 4: Wazoo defense, they did a really good job throughout the

1230
00:57:05,120 --> 00:57:08,160
Speaker 4: entire season containing running quarterbacks, and that concerns me a

1231
00:57:08,160 --> 00:57:10,279
Speaker 4: little bit because obviously we need the pick former to

1232
00:57:10,320 --> 00:57:12,319
Speaker 4: probably run for seventy five yards and have a couple

1233
00:57:12,400 --> 00:57:15,600
Speaker 4: scores in this game. I'm banking on the coaching chaos

1234
00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:19,000
Speaker 4: a little bit and the personnel questions. If you mean

1235
00:57:19,080 --> 00:57:21,440
Speaker 4: Duck said, thirty minutes before you know, kickoff, do we

1236
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:22,280
Speaker 4: know who's suiting up?

1237
00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:23,320
Speaker 6: That's not even enough.

1238
00:57:23,360 --> 00:57:24,959
Speaker 4: You just saw it in some bowl games the last

1239
00:57:24,960 --> 00:57:27,240
Speaker 4: couple of nights, teams just like quit in the third

1240
00:57:27,320 --> 00:57:28,200
Speaker 4: quarter all of a sudden.

1241
00:57:28,240 --> 00:57:30,840
Speaker 3: You can seeam Cook warmed up and then didn't decide

1242
00:57:30,840 --> 00:57:32,800
Speaker 3: to hey, I'm getting in streat clothes. Right.

1243
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:35,000
Speaker 4: So it's like, if Wazoo has a full deck and

1244
00:57:35,040 --> 00:57:36,920
Speaker 4: the coaching staff truly had their head in it the

1245
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:39,600
Speaker 4: whole way, maybe I'm on the wrong side of this.

1246
00:57:39,800 --> 00:57:42,280
Speaker 4: I think there's a higher likelihood than not that one

1247
00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 4: of those things, either the personnel or the coaching staff

1248
00:57:44,680 --> 00:57:47,600
Speaker 4: has their mind in two places. And Barnes gets just

1249
00:57:47,760 --> 00:57:50,400
Speaker 4: enough done. They're not snake bit in another close game.

1250
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:51,840
Speaker 4: So I'm going to go with the Aggies here to

1251
00:57:51,840 --> 00:57:52,360
Speaker 4: win this thing.

1252
00:57:52,800 --> 00:57:55,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, Washington State also benefited from a couple of scheduling

1253
00:57:55,200 --> 00:57:58,120
Speaker 3: spots like Toledo and Lotech going there and just nightmare spots,

1254
00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:01,480
Speaker 3: which but they did really well. But if you are

1255
00:58:01,520 --> 00:58:03,320
Speaker 3: back in Utah State, good luck if they send out

1256
00:58:03,360 --> 00:58:06,600
Speaker 3: the field goal kicker. All right, Moving on to Tuesday,

1257
00:58:06,720 --> 00:58:09,400
Speaker 3: the book of her Tone Bowl a confirmed plane ticket

1258
00:58:09,440 --> 00:58:12,440
Speaker 3: to book a raton Tuesday afternoon, two pm Eastern on

1259
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:16,240
Speaker 3: ESPN between Toledo and Louisville. Louisville's a six and a

1260
00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:20,120
Speaker 3: half point favorite total sitting around forty five at DraftKings.

1261
00:58:21,040 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 3: Lots of news in this one. Toledo transfer portal will

1262
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:27,480
Speaker 3: not play. They're starting d n Malachi Davis leads to

1263
00:58:27,520 --> 00:58:31,080
Speaker 3: team in sacks, they're starting safety Bray Knolls, and they're

1264
00:58:31,320 --> 00:58:37,880
Speaker 3: starting linebacker Chris Dapolonia. From everyone else, sounds like they're

1265
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:40,560
Speaker 3: locked in for Toledo. I mean, Emmanuel McNeil Warren talked

1266
00:58:40,560 --> 00:58:41,840
Speaker 3: about like one of the finish it's gonna be a

1267
00:58:41,840 --> 00:58:43,320
Speaker 3: second round draft pick. He's dealing with a bit of

1268
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:45,000
Speaker 3: a leg injury, so I wouldn't shock me if he

1269
00:58:45,000 --> 00:58:48,480
Speaker 3: didn't play, but he's talking like he's gonna play. Their

1270
00:58:48,520 --> 00:58:52,200
Speaker 3: defense is really good, Toledo. I mean, that's what let's

1271
00:58:52,240 --> 00:58:53,760
Speaker 3: the star of the show for them. They have a

1272
00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:58,160
Speaker 3: really good secondary with Smith, Fuller, Bowers, McNeil Warren. They

1273
00:58:58,160 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 3: obviously won't have awls here, but the secondary can ball.

1274
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:04,960
Speaker 3: The offense bit wonky at time. The running game is

1275
00:59:04,960 --> 00:59:08,360
Speaker 3: better than last year because Chip Tranam was outed to

1276
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:10,840
Speaker 3: the mix. Gives them a little more juice there. Junior

1277
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:13,520
Speaker 3: Vander Ross, he's one, if not the best receiver in

1278
00:59:13,560 --> 00:59:17,280
Speaker 3: the MAC. He's their big time playmaker. It is worth

1279
00:59:17,320 --> 00:59:21,280
Speaker 3: noting now that they will have a backup quarterback here.

1280
00:59:21,320 --> 00:59:25,880
Speaker 3: Their third string Caleb Osborne is expected to start because

1281
00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:31,480
Speaker 3: Tucker Gleeson is doubtful. Their starting left guard is also questionable,

1282
00:59:31,920 --> 00:59:34,000
Speaker 3: but Gleason got hurt in the finale in Central Michigan.

1283
00:59:34,000 --> 00:59:37,120
Speaker 3: They didn't score in the first half. Osborne came in.

1284
00:59:37,160 --> 00:59:37,600
Speaker 8: He went.

1285
00:59:39,080 --> 00:59:40,720
Speaker 3: What five or seven for one hundred and eight yards.

1286
00:59:40,720 --> 00:59:42,440
Speaker 3: I added sixty eight yards on the ground on ten

1287
00:59:42,480 --> 00:59:45,360
Speaker 3: attempts to take away two sacks. He looked good and

1288
00:59:45,400 --> 00:59:50,040
Speaker 3: they outscored Central Michigan twenty one nothing after halftime. Gleason

1289
00:59:50,520 --> 00:59:53,640
Speaker 3: is impossible to handicap. He is like one week he

1290
00:59:53,640 --> 00:59:55,920
Speaker 3: will look incredible. The next week he cannot hit the

1291
00:59:55,960 --> 00:59:59,600
Speaker 3: backside of the barn like it is incredible. How inconsistent

1292
00:59:59,640 --> 01:00:02,840
Speaker 3: he is. Taledo also has a ton of coaching news

1293
01:00:03,440 --> 01:00:08,080
Speaker 3: candled to Yukon so their offensive line coach mikel at

1294
01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:12,360
Speaker 3: Hope called the offense. Their cornerback coach, Perry Elliana will

1295
01:00:12,400 --> 01:00:15,040
Speaker 3: call the defense. Because they lost their defensive coordinator was

1296
01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:17,439
Speaker 3: a very good one, Vince Karis to Syracuse. They lost

1297
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 3: their co defense coordinator and safety coach to Iowa State,

1298
01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:23,600
Speaker 3: Ross Watson. They also lost their special teams coordinator, Stanton Weaver,

1299
01:00:23,760 --> 01:00:25,720
Speaker 3: so you're gonna have some grad assistants having to step

1300
01:00:25,800 --> 01:00:29,160
Speaker 3: up as well. Louisville opt out. Strength of their defense

1301
01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:30,760
Speaker 3: is their defensive line, but they won't have two of

1302
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 3: their best in Conga and Bailey, both of them are out.

1303
01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:36,400
Speaker 3: Miller Moss should play. Chris Bell, one of the best

1304
01:00:36,400 --> 01:00:39,920
Speaker 3: receivers in the country. He's out with an injury slash NFL.

1305
01:00:40,160 --> 01:00:43,240
Speaker 3: I don't think he's actually towards acl Hope. He heals up, well,

1306
01:00:43,360 --> 01:00:46,080
Speaker 3: I don't think he would have played anyway. The running

1307
01:00:46,080 --> 01:00:48,880
Speaker 3: backs for Louisville, we don't know. Brohm came out and

1308
01:00:48,880 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 3: he said he doesn't know. He hopes one can play

1309
01:00:51,160 --> 01:00:53,840
Speaker 3: of Isaac Brown, Key One Brown and Duke Watson. Other

1310
01:00:53,880 --> 01:00:56,560
Speaker 3: potential opt outs for Louisville. Clev Lubin. I think he's

1311
01:00:56,560 --> 01:00:59,040
Speaker 3: gonna play, but he's a stud defensive end. Their safety

1312
01:00:59,040 --> 01:01:01,600
Speaker 3: Antonio Watts, line acker Stanpoorne Clark has also been doing

1313
01:01:01,640 --> 01:01:05,120
Speaker 3: an injury for most of the season. Having said all that,

1314
01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:08,760
Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't think what do you got here?

1315
01:01:09,040 --> 01:01:11,400
Speaker 7: I mean, I got Toledo. I think the number should

1316
01:01:11,400 --> 01:01:12,800
Speaker 7: have been lower in the first place. And I'm not

1317
01:01:12,800 --> 01:01:15,120
Speaker 7: really sure it's a bad thing that Jason Kandal's moved on,

1318
01:01:15,320 --> 01:01:16,800
Speaker 7: right Did you want to put your money behind him

1319
01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:17,480
Speaker 7: another Bowl game?

1320
01:01:17,560 --> 01:01:18,440
Speaker 8: I certainly didn't.

1321
01:01:19,240 --> 01:01:20,920
Speaker 7: So I think the spread is a little bit inflated

1322
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:23,840
Speaker 7: because of all of these aspects. But at the same time,

1323
01:01:24,440 --> 01:01:29,800
Speaker 7: with your interim defensive coordinator being the Corners coach, I

1324
01:01:29,880 --> 01:01:32,880
Speaker 7: just don't expect a huge drop off from the Toledo defense,

1325
01:01:32,880 --> 01:01:34,600
Speaker 7: which is the best unit that.

1326
01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:35,360
Speaker 8: They have right here.

1327
01:01:35,440 --> 01:01:37,960
Speaker 7: So I mean Toledo's top defense and FBS with respect

1328
01:01:38,080 --> 01:01:41,320
Speaker 7: creating contested catch. I mean, they're one of the best

1329
01:01:41,320 --> 01:01:43,360
Speaker 7: in so many different areas that that's going to come

1330
01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:45,280
Speaker 7: into play here. I know Miller Moss is going to play,

1331
01:01:45,320 --> 01:01:47,160
Speaker 7: but what kind of weapons does he have in front

1332
01:01:47,200 --> 01:01:47,480
Speaker 7: of them?

1333
01:01:47,640 --> 01:01:49,400
Speaker 8: What kind of offensive line does he have in front

1334
01:01:49,440 --> 01:01:49,720
Speaker 8: of him?

1335
01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:52,720
Speaker 7: And Miller Moss is ninety seven and passing down success rate,

1336
01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:55,880
Speaker 7: Toledo is the best in the nation shutting down passing downs.

1337
01:01:55,920 --> 01:01:58,680
Speaker 7: Like if Louisville gets behind schedule, they're in trouble here.

1338
01:01:58,680 --> 01:02:01,040
Speaker 7: So I think Toledo keeps it a lot closer and

1339
01:02:01,040 --> 01:02:02,120
Speaker 7: where the curtain market's at.

1340
01:02:03,200 --> 01:02:06,440
Speaker 3: It does feel this does feel like an under to

1341
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:10,280
Speaker 3: me on the surface, like this feels like I could

1342
01:02:10,360 --> 01:02:14,680
Speaker 3: see also one of these teams just like scoring only

1343
01:02:14,720 --> 01:02:17,640
Speaker 3: like seven points and just looking really ugly. But I

1344
01:02:17,640 --> 01:02:20,680
Speaker 3: think both defenses now with complicates things for Me's Louisville's

1345
01:02:20,720 --> 01:02:23,640
Speaker 3: defensive line two of their better players being out, and

1346
01:02:23,640 --> 01:02:28,840
Speaker 3: that's like how they dominated opposing offenses up front. So

1347
01:02:28,960 --> 01:02:30,200
Speaker 3: I don't know. This is one of the I like

1348
01:02:30,240 --> 01:02:32,080
Speaker 3: to have money on most Bowl games, even if I

1349
01:02:32,080 --> 01:02:34,640
Speaker 3: have to put like couch change on something. I have

1350
01:02:35,520 --> 01:02:37,320
Speaker 3: no idea what I'm betting in this one. There's gonna

1351
01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:39,200
Speaker 3: be more news to come, and stay tuned to the

1352
01:02:39,240 --> 01:02:42,200
Speaker 3: action of our gap. If you don't bet on a

1353
01:02:42,280 --> 01:02:47,240
Speaker 3: bowl as the Bowl even exist, duck, you got anything here?

1354
01:02:47,800 --> 01:02:50,200
Speaker 6: I mean, I do Lean Louisville. I'm not against.

1355
01:02:50,280 --> 01:02:52,760
Speaker 5: I don't have a play in pocket, but there could

1356
01:02:52,840 --> 01:02:55,800
Speaker 5: be real problems here with Tucker Gleason not going and

1357
01:02:55,920 --> 01:02:58,600
Speaker 5: John Allen Richter is out for the season as well.

1358
01:02:58,680 --> 01:03:01,200
Speaker 5: So Khaleb Osborne's gonna get the call, and we just

1359
01:03:01,240 --> 01:03:03,560
Speaker 5: don't know with Toledo, is Chip gonna play, Is junior

1360
01:03:03,640 --> 01:03:06,919
Speaker 5: Vander Ross gonna play? Both thousand yard producers there? What's

1361
01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:09,680
Speaker 5: the offensive line gonna look like? What's the secondary gonna

1362
01:03:09,680 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 5: look like for Toledo? Can you imagine if those four

1363
01:03:12,000 --> 01:03:14,240
Speaker 5: guys in the secondary don't show up and then Toledo

1364
01:03:14,280 --> 01:03:16,320
Speaker 5: all of a sudden can't defend the pass, which was

1365
01:03:16,360 --> 01:03:18,720
Speaker 5: the strength of their defense most of the way this season.

1366
01:03:19,680 --> 01:03:20,440
Speaker 6: Yeah, I just don't know.

1367
01:03:20,480 --> 01:03:23,320
Speaker 5: There's so much with the participation report that needs to

1368
01:03:23,320 --> 01:03:26,120
Speaker 5: get sorted out. This is maybe the steam Watch game

1369
01:03:26,160 --> 01:03:28,439
Speaker 5: where you get closer to game, you see the steam moving,

1370
01:03:28,520 --> 01:03:32,560
Speaker 5: you see word go on the participation report, who shows up,

1371
01:03:32,600 --> 01:03:33,440
Speaker 5: who doesn't show up.

1372
01:03:34,480 --> 01:03:37,080
Speaker 6: I'm even fine if this goes to nine and a half.

1373
01:03:36,840 --> 01:03:38,919
Speaker 5: And we see that Steam and all the Toledo guys

1374
01:03:38,920 --> 01:03:41,200
Speaker 5: are sitting out. I'll take Louisville at that point here,

1375
01:03:41,400 --> 01:03:43,160
Speaker 5: because if they don't have their major players in the

1376
01:03:43,160 --> 01:03:46,160
Speaker 5: secondary and if Chip and Junior are out, could be

1377
01:03:46,240 --> 01:03:49,880
Speaker 5: real trouble. Just hard to know what we're gonna get

1378
01:03:49,880 --> 01:03:52,440
Speaker 5: when we've got fifteen to twenty key guys that we

1379
01:03:52,440 --> 01:03:54,720
Speaker 5: don't know if they're gonna play or not. So nothing

1380
01:03:54,760 --> 01:03:57,920
Speaker 5: in pocket right now, but small lean to Louisville.

1381
01:03:58,320 --> 01:03:59,880
Speaker 3: I mean, the Toledo defense is legit.

1382
01:04:00,160 --> 01:04:02,439
Speaker 6: Like you also come a data point two.

1383
01:04:03,080 --> 01:04:06,040
Speaker 5: Toledo was down fifteen in the opener against Kentucky before

1384
01:04:06,040 --> 01:04:08,760
Speaker 5: getting a back door touchdown in garbage time. We know

1385
01:04:08,800 --> 01:04:11,480
Speaker 5: what Louisville did to Kentucky, So coming up.

1386
01:04:12,120 --> 01:04:16,520
Speaker 3: Big special teams events for Louisville worth noting, I will say, yeah.

1387
01:04:16,520 --> 01:04:18,360
Speaker 3: I mean, generally speaking, don't do this every time the

1388
01:04:18,400 --> 01:04:23,960
Speaker 3: following Steam in bull season has been profitable. Historically, Usually

1389
01:04:24,680 --> 01:04:28,400
Speaker 3: it's signal and that there's going to be opt outs,

1390
01:04:28,400 --> 01:04:31,320
Speaker 3: there's leaks, and then the line's going to keep going.

1391
01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:34,840
Speaker 3: And then sometimes when there's opt outs and a bunch

1392
01:04:34,880 --> 01:04:36,840
Speaker 3: of news, that's a signal that the team really isn't

1393
01:04:36,840 --> 01:04:38,880
Speaker 3: locked in. And then a lot of times the number

1394
01:04:38,920 --> 01:04:42,440
Speaker 3: doesn't even matter whereas compared to the regular season where

1395
01:04:42,480 --> 01:04:45,400
Speaker 3: it does, where you know, if it moves three points,

1396
01:04:45,480 --> 01:04:50,360
Speaker 3: if you bought back, you're profitable over time, not necessarily

1397
01:04:50,360 --> 01:04:52,080
Speaker 3: the case in bull season. I mean, we've already had

1398
01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:55,240
Speaker 3: what I mean, I just saw what did is that

1399
01:04:55,280 --> 01:04:57,320
Speaker 3: the Navy or Army just hit ten. I just got

1400
01:04:57,320 --> 01:05:02,400
Speaker 3: a notification Army, Army just hit. Then Navy's out the seven. So,

1401
01:05:03,520 --> 01:05:07,760
Speaker 3: by the way, lines come out every year, if you

1402
01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:10,600
Speaker 3: learn nothing else from me. Ever, and I've been saying

1403
01:05:10,640 --> 01:05:12,440
Speaker 3: this for eight years, since we've been doing this, I've

1404
01:05:12,480 --> 01:05:16,600
Speaker 3: been betting for way longer. Service academies are seventy percent

1405
01:05:16,600 --> 01:05:18,840
Speaker 3: against this pred since nineteen ninety. In bowl games, they

1406
01:05:18,840 --> 01:05:21,360
Speaker 3: always show up. There's gonna be no opt outs. Just

1407
01:05:21,400 --> 01:05:24,440
Speaker 3: when mines come out, bet Service academies and they're probably

1408
01:05:24,440 --> 01:05:27,200
Speaker 3: gonna cover the clothes, and then the close is probably

1409
01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:30,720
Speaker 3: gonna be like ten points worse than the open. So

1410
01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:32,080
Speaker 3: you're passing here at Calgaries.

1411
01:05:32,480 --> 01:05:35,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, this has all the flavor of the last NFL

1412
01:05:35,080 --> 01:05:37,680
Speaker 4: preseason game, Like we don't know who's gonna play, we

1413
01:05:37,680 --> 01:05:39,840
Speaker 4: don't know how long they're gonna play, we don't know

1414
01:05:40,360 --> 01:05:43,680
Speaker 4: who's calling plays in some cases, and coaching and everything else.

1415
01:05:43,760 --> 01:05:46,840
Speaker 3: Like let's just get to the next bowl game, all right,

1416
01:05:46,920 --> 01:05:51,600
Speaker 3: Well let's do that. Uh, Southern Miss and Western Kentucky.

1417
01:05:51,600 --> 01:05:55,920
Speaker 3: This is the Disappointment Bowl. Both of these teams stumbled

1418
01:05:55,920 --> 01:06:00,360
Speaker 3: down the stretch and after I having chain answers to

1419
01:06:00,400 --> 01:06:03,120
Speaker 3: go to their conference championship games, and Southern Miss lost

1420
01:06:03,160 --> 01:06:06,680
Speaker 3: three straight. Western Kentucky lost two straight, although one was

1421
01:06:06,680 --> 01:06:12,000
Speaker 3: a hard fought game at LSU. This game, let me see, well,

1422
01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:15,800
Speaker 3: I'll go through news first. Western Kentucky transferportal doesn't really

1423
01:06:15,800 --> 01:06:17,880
Speaker 3: matter help them. Usually that's all his players play. But

1424
01:06:18,320 --> 01:06:21,560
Speaker 3: they had a cornerback and a running back Flowers at

1425
01:06:21,600 --> 01:06:23,480
Speaker 3: corner right who's not a starter but played over two

1426
01:06:23,520 --> 01:06:27,600
Speaker 3: hundred snaps no real injuries worth noting. Southern Miss Josh

1427
01:06:27,680 --> 01:06:29,520
Speaker 3: Moten their corner he's going to play in the NFL.

1428
01:06:29,720 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 3: He actually came out and said, like where brothers were playing,

1429
01:06:32,080 --> 01:06:33,439
Speaker 3: So I think he's going to play, but he could

1430
01:06:33,480 --> 01:06:36,400
Speaker 3: opt out. They're left tackle Blake bustered. He missed the finale.

1431
01:06:37,520 --> 01:06:42,000
Speaker 3: Charles Huff took the Memphis job, which does increase the

1432
01:06:42,040 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 3: chance of opt outs.

1433
01:06:43,520 --> 01:06:43,840
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1434
01:06:43,840 --> 01:06:45,560
Speaker 3: I mean last year they had to cancel the Bowl

1435
01:06:45,880 --> 01:06:48,000
Speaker 3: because he left and they had no no one left.

1436
01:06:48,040 --> 01:06:50,040
Speaker 3: Speaking of Army line movements, I think I had Army

1437
01:06:50,080 --> 01:06:51,760
Speaker 3: minus seven in that game. He was got out the

1438
01:06:51,800 --> 01:06:55,280
Speaker 3: eighteen and a half was going to close twenty one. Sadly,

1439
01:06:55,760 --> 01:07:00,000
Speaker 3: Marshall quit oftense coordinator Blake Anderson. He's going to be

1440
01:07:00,040 --> 01:07:02,240
Speaker 3: interim coach and it'll take over as head coach next season.

1441
01:07:02,280 --> 01:07:04,840
Speaker 3: Anderson has not been great Bowl games historically. I think

1442
01:07:04,840 --> 01:07:08,560
Speaker 3: he's three and six against the spread. Well, when I

1443
01:07:08,560 --> 01:07:12,840
Speaker 3: look at this game, these two teams are let me

1444
01:07:12,840 --> 01:07:20,560
Speaker 3: look at the updated spread here, Western Kentucky five and

1445
01:07:20,560 --> 01:07:23,560
Speaker 3: a half point favorite, total fifty seven and a half.

1446
01:07:24,880 --> 01:07:30,360
Speaker 3: Pace is gonna be there for sure. But I so

1447
01:07:30,440 --> 01:07:33,640
Speaker 3: there's gonna be a fast paced game. But I don't know.

1448
01:07:34,600 --> 01:07:36,600
Speaker 3: So if you break down these teams, they're kind of

1449
01:07:36,640 --> 01:07:40,560
Speaker 3: similar in that Western Kentucky doesn't give up a lot

1450
01:07:41,320 --> 01:07:44,240
Speaker 3: of pass explosives, but they give up a ton of

1451
01:07:44,280 --> 01:07:47,600
Speaker 3: run explosives. But Southern miss might be the least rush

1452
01:07:47,640 --> 01:07:50,560
Speaker 3: exploded rush run explosive team in the country. I mean

1453
01:07:50,600 --> 01:07:52,680
Speaker 3: who they just handed to. Who's the running back Pittman

1454
01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:55,440
Speaker 3: who just like plods along for three yards? They might

1455
01:07:55,440 --> 01:07:58,640
Speaker 3: not have a twenty yard run on the season. Southern

1456
01:07:58,720 --> 01:08:01,400
Speaker 3: Miss also does their strength as their secondary. They do

1457
01:08:01,440 --> 01:08:04,400
Speaker 3: a good job of limiting pass explosives, but you can

1458
01:08:04,840 --> 01:08:07,640
Speaker 3: get tons of run explosives on them. But Western Kentucky

1459
01:08:08,000 --> 01:08:13,720
Speaker 3: has no rush explosiveness, so and Western Kentucky's offense in

1460
01:08:13,760 --> 01:08:16,559
Speaker 3: general is not explosive, right. They'd want to like dank

1461
01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,639
Speaker 3: and dunk and work the ball down the field. They

1462
01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:22,200
Speaker 3: it is worth any Western Kentucky had two quarterbacks this year.

1463
01:08:23,120 --> 01:08:25,559
Speaker 3: They started with mcgiver and then they went to Tisdale.

1464
01:08:25,600 --> 01:08:27,439
Speaker 3: I have them rated the same. I think all of

1465
01:08:27,439 --> 01:08:29,360
Speaker 3: their events stats are the same, and I can't find

1466
01:08:29,360 --> 01:08:31,240
Speaker 3: any difference between the two, So I don't really think

1467
01:08:31,280 --> 01:08:31,799
Speaker 3: it matters.

1468
01:08:32,680 --> 01:08:32,880
Speaker 8: Duck.

1469
01:08:32,920 --> 01:08:34,080
Speaker 3: I'll go to you first. What are you seeing here?

1470
01:08:34,080 --> 01:08:36,839
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky and Southern Miss.

1471
01:08:37,200 --> 01:08:38,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I would lean over here. Should be

1472
01:08:39,000 --> 01:08:41,160
Speaker 5: a fun matchup. I would imagine two teams that are

1473
01:08:41,160 --> 01:08:44,120
Speaker 5: pretty motivated to be there. I'm not sure that either

1474
01:08:44,240 --> 01:08:47,120
Speaker 5: defense is really going to secure a lot of stops,

1475
01:08:47,200 --> 01:08:50,680
Speaker 5: and we should have a pretty good quarterback battle here

1476
01:08:50,680 --> 01:08:52,360
Speaker 5: between Tisdale and Braylan Braxon.

1477
01:08:52,640 --> 01:08:54,760
Speaker 3: Both teams might be healthier by the way, because he

1478
01:08:54,800 --> 01:08:56,600
Speaker 3: was dealing with an injury down the stretch.

1479
01:08:57,320 --> 01:08:59,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, and really cost that team too, Like he was

1480
01:08:59,760 --> 01:09:02,080
Speaker 5: not playing against Texas State and was still hurt against

1481
01:09:02,080 --> 01:09:04,200
Speaker 5: South Alabama and they kind of shut that one down.

1482
01:09:04,200 --> 01:09:06,160
Speaker 5: And then now you try to come back in the

1483
01:09:06,160 --> 01:09:08,400
Speaker 5: finale against Troy, and it's just hard for those teams

1484
01:09:08,400 --> 01:09:10,160
Speaker 5: to switch it on and off that late in the season.

1485
01:09:10,960 --> 01:09:13,559
Speaker 5: But you know, anyway, so the pace will be there.

1486
01:09:13,600 --> 01:09:17,559
Speaker 5: Southern Miss eleventh nationally and offensive operating tempo Western Kentucky

1487
01:09:17,600 --> 01:09:21,639
Speaker 5: thirty third. You look at Southern Miss, Okay, it's securing

1488
01:09:21,680 --> 01:09:23,800
Speaker 5: the explosive pass plays, but I don't know that Western

1489
01:09:23,840 --> 01:09:25,960
Speaker 5: Kentucky's going to give that up. And I don't know

1490
01:09:25,960 --> 01:09:28,040
Speaker 5: if Braxton's going to run the ball on the ground.

1491
01:09:28,240 --> 01:09:30,280
Speaker 5: That's how you're gonna gash Western Kentucky is by doing

1492
01:09:30,280 --> 01:09:33,200
Speaker 5: it on the ground. Southern Miss not necessarily equipped to

1493
01:09:33,240 --> 01:09:38,519
Speaker 5: do that. Western Kentucky historically plays in these higher scoring

1494
01:09:38,600 --> 01:09:40,320
Speaker 5: bowl games, and they have done.

1495
01:09:40,120 --> 01:09:41,960
Speaker 6: A little bit of kind of pulling the.

1496
01:09:41,880 --> 01:09:44,240
Speaker 5: Wool over your eyes with the opt outs not opt outs,

1497
01:09:44,240 --> 01:09:45,800
Speaker 5: players aren't going to set out and then they all

1498
01:09:45,800 --> 01:09:47,840
Speaker 5: decide to show up. They've done that year after year,

1499
01:09:47,920 --> 01:09:50,040
Speaker 5: so hard to know what to get here. And I

1500
01:09:50,080 --> 01:09:54,200
Speaker 5: will say this, we've seen teams in Bowl season already

1501
01:09:54,200 --> 01:09:57,000
Speaker 5: this year that have been participating with half a staff,

1502
01:09:57,320 --> 01:09:59,479
Speaker 5: and they play like they're playing without a staff. So

1503
01:10:00,000 --> 01:10:01,639
Speaker 5: you might get some weird stuff in this one, which

1504
01:10:01,680 --> 01:10:03,880
Speaker 5: is kind of keeping me off the total. But strength

1505
01:10:03,880 --> 01:10:05,120
Speaker 5: on strength, i'd lean over.

1506
01:10:05,800 --> 01:10:08,400
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky's special teams advantage and I didn't mention this

1507
01:10:08,560 --> 01:10:12,000
Speaker 3: is we'll we played on a fast track at the Superdome.

1508
01:10:12,040 --> 01:10:17,160
Speaker 3: It's the New Orleans Bowl, the New Orleans Bowl in Louisiana. Colin,

1509
01:10:17,360 --> 01:10:18,200
Speaker 3: you got anything here?

1510
01:10:18,560 --> 01:10:20,200
Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, just to echo a little bit.

1511
01:10:20,280 --> 01:10:23,760
Speaker 7: I mean Western Kentucky's twenty fourth and special teams s

1512
01:10:23,800 --> 01:10:25,800
Speaker 7: P plus tell me how important special teams have been

1513
01:10:25,840 --> 01:10:27,639
Speaker 7: With a few Bowl games that we've seen so far,

1514
01:10:27,680 --> 01:10:31,920
Speaker 7: I've got punt returners dropping punts and long snappers.

1515
01:10:31,439 --> 01:10:33,360
Speaker 8: Trying to retrieve and run for touchdowns. I've never seen

1516
01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:34,320
Speaker 8: that before in my life.

1517
01:10:34,400 --> 01:10:36,120
Speaker 3: What happened to Grammatica? By the way, I knew the

1518
01:10:36,400 --> 01:10:38,120
Speaker 3: Old Dominion is the worst kicking game in the country,

1519
01:10:38,160 --> 01:10:43,040
Speaker 3: but the Grammatica, he just.

1520
01:10:40,680 --> 01:10:43,559
Speaker 8: All just killed me. I have no answers for grammat

1521
01:10:43,640 --> 01:10:44,080
Speaker 8: for one of.

1522
01:10:44,040 --> 01:10:48,519
Speaker 7: The many grammaticas Western Kentucky here. I mean, their defense

1523
01:10:48,640 --> 01:10:51,280
Speaker 7: is much better. I mean they have a huge advantage

1524
01:10:51,280 --> 01:10:55,040
Speaker 7: in third downs, defending explosives and their eleventh and defensive

1525
01:10:55,040 --> 01:10:56,800
Speaker 7: finishing drives. And then you want to go up against

1526
01:10:56,840 --> 01:10:58,799
Speaker 7: an offense, and I know that we said the Braylen

1527
01:10:58,840 --> 01:11:02,000
Speaker 7: Braxman could be healthy here, but now Blake Anderson's completely

1528
01:11:02,000 --> 01:11:03,640
Speaker 7: in charge of this offense, so we know it's going

1529
01:11:03,720 --> 01:11:06,080
Speaker 7: to be the same moled of what they've done. I mean,

1530
01:11:06,200 --> 01:11:09,840
Speaker 7: Southern Miss completely petered out down the stretch, blew all

1531
01:11:09,880 --> 01:11:12,639
Speaker 7: of our forty to one tickets, and in their final

1532
01:11:13,080 --> 01:11:17,040
Speaker 7: thirty six offensive possessions they had two explosive drives.

1533
01:11:17,439 --> 01:11:17,840
Speaker 8: That's it.

1534
01:11:18,080 --> 01:11:21,000
Speaker 7: That's a drive that is ten yards per play, two

1535
01:11:21,280 --> 01:11:25,000
Speaker 7: out of thirty six. I'm taking Western Kentucky here, a

1536
01:11:25,040 --> 01:11:28,719
Speaker 7: major special teams advantage, defensive advantage by the goal line.

1537
01:11:29,320 --> 01:11:30,400
Speaker 8: I'm not even questioning it.

1538
01:11:30,400 --> 01:11:33,560
Speaker 7: Because the Southern Miss, the coaching staff is splintered, the

1539
01:11:33,560 --> 01:11:35,320
Speaker 7: team is splintered, and if they are. If the kids

1540
01:11:35,360 --> 01:11:37,080
Speaker 7: are playing, it's because they're trying to increase.

1541
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:37,960
Speaker 8: How much they're worth in the portal.

1542
01:11:38,600 --> 01:11:40,080
Speaker 7: Oh, by the way, Southern miss one hundred and thirty

1543
01:11:40,120 --> 01:11:43,640
Speaker 7: third strength to schedule like they're it's I can't even

1544
01:11:43,640 --> 01:11:44,920
Speaker 7: believe I had a ticket Autum all season.

1545
01:11:44,960 --> 01:11:45,840
Speaker 8: Had to have a straight face.

1546
01:11:46,680 --> 01:11:48,320
Speaker 3: The one thing I will say if you're kind of

1547
01:11:48,360 --> 01:11:53,840
Speaker 3: poking holes in Western Kentucky is although Conference USA is

1548
01:11:53,840 --> 01:11:57,479
Speaker 3: a wagon, like if I were to poke holes in them,

1549
01:11:57,880 --> 01:12:01,880
Speaker 3: they because its not a misdn't play anyone either. But

1550
01:12:01,960 --> 01:12:04,720
Speaker 3: if you look at Western Kentucky's wins, right, they had

1551
01:12:04,720 --> 01:12:08,519
Speaker 3: a miracle over Lattec, they should have lost. They needed

1552
01:12:08,520 --> 01:12:10,320
Speaker 3: like a fourth and ten and they wanted overtime by

1553
01:12:10,360 --> 01:12:12,720
Speaker 3: one on a two point conversion. They should have lost

1554
01:12:12,720 --> 01:12:15,120
Speaker 3: the Delaware They had all kinds of flukey plays in

1555
01:12:15,160 --> 01:12:15,559
Speaker 3: that game.

1556
01:12:15,600 --> 01:12:16,240
Speaker 6: They should have lost.

1557
01:12:16,240 --> 01:12:18,240
Speaker 3: The Missouri State Clark got hurt and didn't play in

1558
01:12:18,240 --> 01:12:19,960
Speaker 3: the second half. They were out gained and so only

1559
01:12:20,000 --> 01:12:23,599
Speaker 3: won by five. They also were outgained by Nevada at home,

1560
01:12:23,600 --> 01:12:25,840
Speaker 3: I believe, but what they won by fifteen, so they're

1561
01:12:25,840 --> 01:12:30,560
Speaker 3: only legit wins on the season where Sam Houston North Alabama, Nevada,

1562
01:12:33,080 --> 01:12:36,360
Speaker 3: New Mexico State, and Middle Tennessee. Like that's the that

1563
01:12:36,520 --> 01:12:39,960
Speaker 3: is an ugly batch. Now, they did play at ALSU

1564
01:12:40,040 --> 01:12:42,599
Speaker 3: really well. I do like certain aspects of their defense,

1565
01:12:43,560 --> 01:12:48,759
Speaker 3: although they don't get much pressure, but it's a feisty group. Calbaryes.

1566
01:12:48,840 --> 01:12:50,680
Speaker 3: You like the over here, Yeah, I going.

1567
01:12:50,640 --> 01:12:53,519
Speaker 4: To go over I feel like the whole trends of boldseason.

1568
01:12:53,560 --> 01:12:55,519
Speaker 4: It's like, why don't we just bet, you know, under

1569
01:12:55,560 --> 01:12:57,439
Speaker 4: across the board? But I like over here because of

1570
01:12:57,479 --> 01:13:00,280
Speaker 4: the pace. I also think Southern Missus defense just fell

1571
01:13:00,320 --> 01:13:02,599
Speaker 4: off a cliff forty one to Texas State, forty two

1572
01:13:02,640 --> 01:13:05,320
Speaker 4: to South Alabama, four hundred and twenty eight total yards

1573
01:13:05,360 --> 01:13:07,720
Speaker 4: allowed to Troy an offense I didn't really respect. And

1574
01:13:07,720 --> 01:13:10,160
Speaker 4: that's with Josh Moden. I think he should opt out,

1575
01:13:10,240 --> 01:13:12,320
Speaker 4: just go start, you know, getting ready for the NFL Draft.

1576
01:13:12,479 --> 01:13:15,439
Speaker 4: There's nothing left to prepare for in terms of your

1577
01:13:15,439 --> 01:13:18,160
Speaker 4: college experience. This bowl game doesn't have a whole lot

1578
01:13:18,160 --> 01:13:21,679
Speaker 4: of trappings or prestige. And I'll push back a tiny

1579
01:13:21,680 --> 01:13:24,800
Speaker 4: bit on the quarterback switch. I think Tisdale has at

1580
01:13:24,880 --> 01:13:27,479
Speaker 4: least he has a mystery box ceiling. Mc iver has

1581
01:13:27,479 --> 01:13:29,640
Speaker 4: been playing since like twenty seventeen, we know who he

1582
01:13:29,800 --> 01:13:32,920
Speaker 4: was Tizdelle. Being a freshman, he's throwing together three straight

1583
01:13:32,960 --> 01:13:35,680
Speaker 4: starts where he had over three hundred total yards. So

1584
01:13:35,720 --> 01:13:37,360
Speaker 4: I think he can give a little someone extra in

1585
01:13:37,439 --> 01:13:40,040
Speaker 4: the run game and then Blake Anderson, you know, taking

1586
01:13:40,120 --> 01:13:42,800
Speaker 4: over this program now he has full creative control. I

1587
01:13:42,800 --> 01:13:45,559
Speaker 4: think this is a showcase opportunity for kids, you know

1588
01:13:45,600 --> 01:13:47,880
Speaker 4: that are coming to the portal to say, this is

1589
01:13:47,880 --> 01:13:49,519
Speaker 4: what my offense is going to look like in twenty

1590
01:13:49,560 --> 01:13:51,400
Speaker 4: twenty six. Don't you want to be a part of it,

1591
01:13:51,439 --> 01:13:53,880
Speaker 4: Because if you look at it, as Colin just pointed out,

1592
01:13:54,040 --> 01:13:56,200
Speaker 4: not a whole lot of recent tape that would excite

1593
01:13:56,200 --> 01:13:58,760
Speaker 4: somebody to say, I'm going to leave some money on

1594
01:13:58,800 --> 01:14:00,559
Speaker 4: the table and go to Hattie's birth to play for

1595
01:14:00,600 --> 01:14:02,680
Speaker 4: this offense. So I think there's a chance for him

1596
01:14:02,680 --> 01:14:05,559
Speaker 4: to be in his bag against a Western Kentucky defense

1597
01:14:05,560 --> 01:14:07,559
Speaker 4: that they do a lot of things well, but they don't.

1598
01:14:07,360 --> 01:14:09,000
Speaker 3: Tackle very well. One of the worst in conference.

1599
01:14:09,040 --> 01:14:10,920
Speaker 4: You was, say, one hundred and eighteenth in the country

1600
01:14:11,040 --> 01:14:13,800
Speaker 4: in that regard per PFF. So I look at it,

1601
01:14:13,920 --> 01:14:18,200
Speaker 4: you know, as these two teams potentially could take advantage

1602
01:14:18,200 --> 01:14:21,040
Speaker 4: of some defenses that faddened up on not the best

1603
01:14:21,040 --> 01:14:22,360
Speaker 4: schedules you just mentioned.

1604
01:14:22,400 --> 01:14:22,840
Speaker 3: It stuck.

1605
01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:25,800
Speaker 4: Like the best passing offense that Western faced really in

1606
01:14:25,800 --> 01:14:28,400
Speaker 4: the last two months was Delaware and Minikuchi threw for

1607
01:14:28,400 --> 01:14:30,479
Speaker 4: three hundred and fourteen yards. So I think the pace

1608
01:14:30,560 --> 01:14:32,800
Speaker 4: is going to give us the opportunities. We'll see if

1609
01:14:32,880 --> 01:14:35,240
Speaker 4: these offenses can get it going in the right direction.

1610
01:14:35,320 --> 01:14:37,479
Speaker 4: But I think these defenses may be just a little

1611
01:14:37,520 --> 01:14:40,840
Speaker 4: bit overrated in their metrics because of the opponents they faced.

1612
01:14:41,360 --> 01:14:43,799
Speaker 3: By the way, quick teaser for next episode, speaking of overs,

1613
01:14:43,920 --> 01:14:47,479
Speaker 3: as long as UTSA offense is healthy, I think Utsafiu

1614
01:14:47,520 --> 01:14:49,760
Speaker 3: flies over. If I use the whole secondary is going

1615
01:14:49,800 --> 01:14:52,080
Speaker 3: to be out. It sounds like Utsa's entire defense is

1616
01:14:52,080 --> 01:14:54,760
Speaker 3: going to be out. But we'll speak on that game next.

1617
01:14:54,880 --> 01:14:56,920
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the Fristco Bowl Tuesday, December twenty third,

1618
01:14:56,960 --> 01:15:00,679
Speaker 3: nine pm Eastern or ESPN. Big news here between Ohio

1619
01:15:00,720 --> 01:15:05,960
Speaker 3: and unlv is. Ohio has fired their coach, Brian Smith

1620
01:15:06,120 --> 01:15:09,559
Speaker 3: for hoarding alcohol and drinking on the job. It sounds

1621
01:15:09,600 --> 01:15:13,439
Speaker 3: like they said it was activities that reflect unfavorably on

1622
01:15:13,479 --> 01:15:16,760
Speaker 3: the university. Defensive coordinator John Howser will take over as

1623
01:15:17,240 --> 01:15:20,320
Speaker 3: interim head coach. We've seen you Nov take some money

1624
01:15:20,360 --> 01:15:22,000
Speaker 3: out to a six and a half point favorite.

1625
01:15:21,760 --> 01:15:25,520
Speaker 6: Over is ticked up to sixty four.

1626
01:15:25,479 --> 01:15:28,360
Speaker 3: And a half. Not a lot of opt out or

1627
01:15:28,400 --> 01:15:31,519
Speaker 3: injury news as of right now. Michael Molnar Ohio's linebacker.

1628
01:15:31,520 --> 01:15:34,559
Speaker 3: He's been out since week nine, but not much now

1629
01:15:34,560 --> 01:15:36,960
Speaker 3: because they we'll probably have some more news coming up.

1630
01:15:37,080 --> 01:15:41,559
Speaker 3: But who likes anything here? I got nothing as of now.

1631
01:15:41,560 --> 01:15:44,040
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll fade Ohio one last time for the road.

1632
01:15:44,520 --> 01:15:47,320
Speaker 3: If you liked the first half over yeah.

1633
01:15:47,200 --> 01:15:48,840
Speaker 7: First half over here. I didn't think ULV was going

1634
01:15:48,880 --> 01:15:50,360
Speaker 7: to be able to get stopped anyways. But now the

1635
01:15:50,400 --> 01:15:51,760
Speaker 7: Brian Smith is gone, you're going to.

1636
01:15:51,800 --> 01:15:53,400
Speaker 8: See and think about it.

1637
01:15:53,400 --> 01:15:55,400
Speaker 7: He's been on staff since twenty twenty two, right he

1638
01:15:55,479 --> 01:15:58,160
Speaker 7: was calling plays for Tim Alvin and so who is

1639
01:15:58,200 --> 01:15:58,439
Speaker 7: going to.

1640
01:15:58,439 --> 01:15:59,439
Speaker 8: Call these plays? Well?

1641
01:15:59,520 --> 01:16:01,680
Speaker 7: I believe even their scripted portion, that they're gonna be

1642
01:16:01,720 --> 01:16:03,680
Speaker 7: able to get points on the board of park and

1643
01:16:03,680 --> 01:16:06,080
Speaker 7: to borrow and sea ben Gera, which the both should

1644
01:16:06,080 --> 01:16:08,759
Speaker 7: be able to attack this UNLV that just app attack

1645
01:16:08,800 --> 01:16:11,480
Speaker 7: the UNLB defense that cannot defend the run whatsoever.

1646
01:16:11,640 --> 01:16:13,599
Speaker 8: Like they're terrible stuff.

1647
01:16:13,640 --> 01:16:17,000
Speaker 7: Rate lineyards EPA, it's all bad and UNLV has those

1648
01:16:17,000 --> 01:16:20,440
Speaker 7: same advantages on offense a clanderas should cook here in standardowns.

1649
01:16:20,439 --> 01:16:23,479
Speaker 7: You know, these top twenty and explosives and standardowns exact

1650
01:16:23,520 --> 01:16:25,920
Speaker 7: opposite of what Ohio's defense does. So I think UNLV

1651
01:16:26,520 --> 01:16:30,320
Speaker 7: gets chunk yardage quick, fast, scoring fast, and I think

1652
01:16:30,360 --> 01:16:33,880
Speaker 7: Ohio can at least answer. I think Ohio tails off

1653
01:16:33,880 --> 01:16:35,920
Speaker 7: in the second half just from the fact of will

1654
01:16:35,960 --> 01:16:38,040
Speaker 7: they be able to change the game plan a little bit?

1655
01:16:38,040 --> 01:16:40,080
Speaker 7: Will they be able to make adjustments on the fly

1656
01:16:40,200 --> 01:16:42,800
Speaker 7: without Brian Smith there, especially since he's the only one

1657
01:16:42,840 --> 01:16:43,679
Speaker 7: I think that's called.

1658
01:16:43,520 --> 01:16:44,759
Speaker 8: Plays for the last three years.

1659
01:16:44,760 --> 01:16:46,280
Speaker 7: So I do like the first half over and then

1660
01:16:46,320 --> 01:16:48,360
Speaker 7: after that at some point I'll be looking to dive

1661
01:16:48,400 --> 01:16:49,679
Speaker 7: in and grab you UNLV live.

1662
01:16:50,400 --> 01:16:53,559
Speaker 3: Maybe U and lv's dumb enough not to double chase

1663
01:16:53,560 --> 01:16:57,719
Speaker 3: Hendrix because when teams do that, the Ohio passing offense craters.

1664
01:16:57,960 --> 01:16:59,280
Speaker 3: Did doc do you said there's an update on the

1665
01:16:59,280 --> 01:17:00,920
Speaker 3: coaching situation than the last half hour.

1666
01:17:02,120 --> 01:17:05,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, So it sounds like reports from people that are

1667
01:17:05,360 --> 01:17:07,840
Speaker 5: close to the program have confirmed that he was terminated

1668
01:17:07,920 --> 01:17:11,560
Speaker 5: because of an inappropriate relationship with a female staffer.

1669
01:17:11,560 --> 01:17:12,920
Speaker 8: Not because of drinking on the job.

1670
01:17:13,439 --> 01:17:16,600
Speaker 5: Not because of drinking after his shift was over. It

1671
01:17:16,640 --> 01:17:18,040
Speaker 5: was after games, after.

1672
01:17:18,520 --> 01:17:20,040
Speaker 3: Little little after shifting.

1673
01:17:20,400 --> 01:17:24,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, Colin, where is your side piece red alarmed to

1674
01:17:24,360 --> 01:17:24,840
Speaker 4: start paying?

1675
01:17:25,600 --> 01:17:26,679
Speaker 6: Yeah, we need to hear that again.

1676
01:17:27,160 --> 01:17:31,759
Speaker 8: You have maction side pieces. I didn't even know that exists.

1677
01:17:31,760 --> 01:17:32,879
Speaker 8: There's no one in the stands.

1678
01:17:32,880 --> 01:17:33,400
Speaker 6: Who are you.

1679
01:17:34,720 --> 01:17:39,879
Speaker 4: Goodness going around in the roust belt manu Athens?

1680
01:17:39,920 --> 01:17:40,160
Speaker 6: Good?

1681
01:17:40,720 --> 01:17:40,960
Speaker 3: Good?

1682
01:17:41,040 --> 01:17:41,320
Speaker 8: Uh?

1683
01:17:41,439 --> 01:17:44,080
Speaker 3: Party town, I've heard good college party town.

1684
01:17:44,560 --> 01:17:49,800
Speaker 7: Stop sleeping with state paid employees that are under your supervision.

1685
01:17:49,880 --> 01:17:54,400
Speaker 7: Stop sleeping with them. There's so much other pussy out there.

1686
01:17:54,479 --> 01:17:55,240
Speaker 6: Quit sleeping with.

1687
01:17:55,200 --> 01:17:56,559
Speaker 8: People that are paid by the state.

1688
01:17:57,439 --> 01:17:57,960
Speaker 3: Stop.

1689
01:17:58,760 --> 01:18:00,320
Speaker 8: I beg you in the name of Ano.

1690
01:18:00,760 --> 01:18:01,120
Speaker 2: Stop.

1691
01:18:01,760 --> 01:18:04,080
Speaker 3: Colin Wilson had the pussy patrol.

1692
01:18:04,360 --> 01:18:07,200
Speaker 6: I don't want to hear no more talking about pushy.

1693
01:18:06,520 --> 01:18:11,919
Speaker 1: Albrey's you like, UNLV, gotta give me a second here, Yeah, UNLV,

1694
01:18:12,160 --> 01:18:14,320
Speaker 1: I'll lay the points six and a half.

1695
01:18:15,000 --> 01:18:17,439
Speaker 3: Let me not bury the lead here. Disarray for Ohio

1696
01:18:17,560 --> 01:18:19,840
Speaker 3: and this coaching staff on.

1697
01:18:19,800 --> 01:18:20,360
Speaker 6: The other side.

1698
01:18:20,720 --> 01:18:22,760
Speaker 8: You know moll were undressed.

1699
01:18:23,120 --> 01:18:26,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, mull In seven and three in bowl games.

1700
01:18:26,680 --> 01:18:28,840
Speaker 4: He's somebody who cares about it gets you know, his

1701
01:18:28,920 --> 01:18:30,799
Speaker 4: guy's focus growing in the same direction.

1702
01:18:31,000 --> 01:18:32,519
Speaker 3: I mean, it's one of the reasons I like Bronco

1703
01:18:32,600 --> 01:18:34,559
Speaker 3: earlier in the show with Utah State. He also has

1704
01:18:34,600 --> 01:18:36,200
Speaker 3: seven Bowl wins Ohio.

1705
01:18:36,320 --> 01:18:37,559
Speaker 4: By the way, you know to do a post more

1706
01:18:37,560 --> 01:18:39,479
Speaker 4: of them on the whole season started with so much promise,

1707
01:18:39,560 --> 01:18:42,640
Speaker 4: near upset of Rutgers, upset West Virginia, and then the

1708
01:18:42,640 --> 01:18:45,400
Speaker 4: bottom fell out. I mean Parker Navarro completely fell apart

1709
01:18:45,400 --> 01:18:46,040
Speaker 4: as a passer.

1710
01:18:46,479 --> 01:18:49,120
Speaker 3: Was it injury, was it play calling? Was a loss of.

1711
01:18:49,080 --> 01:18:51,400
Speaker 4: Confidence because you look at the last month of the season,

1712
01:18:51,680 --> 01:18:55,360
Speaker 4: his completion percentage dipped to forty five percent, three tds,

1713
01:18:55,439 --> 01:18:58,439
Speaker 4: three picks. I mean, if it wasn't for all the

1714
01:18:58,479 --> 01:19:00,120
Speaker 4: work that he does on the ground, the offense to

1715
01:19:00,200 --> 01:19:03,080
Speaker 4: completely cratered. So can U n LV keep them in

1716
01:19:03,160 --> 01:19:05,240
Speaker 4: the pocket and prevent that The numbers would say no

1717
01:19:05,600 --> 01:19:08,240
Speaker 4: in terms of what they've done, you know, run defense

1718
01:19:08,280 --> 01:19:11,200
Speaker 4: wise this season, but everything else they got more respectable

1719
01:19:11,200 --> 01:19:13,000
Speaker 4: as the season went on. They finished sixty third and

1720
01:19:13,040 --> 01:19:15,959
Speaker 4: a halfo twenty first in pass rush, sixty fifth in coverage.

1721
01:19:16,040 --> 01:19:18,360
Speaker 4: So this game flow, if they can jump out and

1722
01:19:18,479 --> 01:19:20,840
Speaker 4: make it a game script where Ohio has to pass

1723
01:19:20,880 --> 01:19:23,559
Speaker 4: the football, I think they can run away from these guys.

1724
01:19:24,000 --> 01:19:26,679
Speaker 4: So really, all I'm asking for from the ReBs defense

1725
01:19:26,720 --> 01:19:29,519
Speaker 4: here is like three punts, you know, fall on a fumble,

1726
01:19:29,560 --> 01:19:31,599
Speaker 4: get a tipped interception, hold them to a field goal

1727
01:19:31,640 --> 01:19:33,600
Speaker 4: attempt in the red zone. I'm not asking for the

1728
01:19:33,600 --> 01:19:35,519
Speaker 4: world here. I think the offense will do the rest.

1729
01:19:35,560 --> 01:19:36,679
Speaker 4: I'll lay the six and a half.

1730
01:19:36,720 --> 01:19:38,680
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna win by double digits. Well, how

1731
01:19:38,680 --> 01:19:41,080
Speaker 3: those special teams are also disaster. They cannot kick field

1732
01:19:41,160 --> 01:19:44,320
Speaker 3: They're incapable of kicking field goals, which could lead to

1733
01:19:44,320 --> 01:19:48,719
Speaker 3: a couple failed drives. By the way, was fitting news here.

1734
01:19:50,120 --> 01:19:53,160
Speaker 3: My file never sleeps talking about Washington State leading rusher

1735
01:19:53,320 --> 01:19:55,320
Speaker 3: just hit the portal and will not play in the Bowl.

1736
01:19:55,400 --> 01:19:58,360
Speaker 3: Four ease, Let's move on to the final game, one

1737
01:19:58,360 --> 01:20:03,320
Speaker 3: of my favorites, the Hawaii bo Christmas Eve between Hawaii

1738
01:20:03,880 --> 01:20:06,759
Speaker 3: and Cal. Nick Rolovich will lead Cal and we'll return

1739
01:20:06,880 --> 01:20:09,559
Speaker 3: to Hawaii. It looks like Cal is going to be

1740
01:20:09,960 --> 01:20:11,920
Speaker 3: like close to little strength. They have a couple of

1741
01:20:11,960 --> 01:20:14,720
Speaker 3: injuries Masses. Their corner is the Stuttle get drafted. He

1742
01:20:14,760 --> 01:20:18,160
Speaker 3: might opt out, but I haven't heard anything Hawaii Jackson Harris.

1743
01:20:18,160 --> 01:20:19,800
Speaker 3: That's a big loss of wide receiver at forty nine

1744
01:20:19,840 --> 01:20:22,040
Speaker 3: catches for nine hundred and sixty three yards and twelve touchdowns.

1745
01:20:22,080 --> 01:20:26,280
Speaker 3: He had the portal a couple injuries for Hawaii wide receiver, corner,

1746
01:20:26,280 --> 01:20:31,000
Speaker 3: and linebacker. Stay tuned for updates on the Action Network.

1747
01:20:31,040 --> 01:20:34,200
Speaker 3: Cheap next week. Early next week will have more of

1748
01:20:34,240 --> 01:20:35,800
Speaker 3: a lens into what's going on there. This will be

1749
01:20:35,800 --> 01:20:39,360
Speaker 3: a home game for Hawaii and this is basically a

1750
01:20:39,439 --> 01:20:41,840
Speaker 3: coin flip game on the spread. You guys are all

1751
01:20:41,880 --> 01:20:44,120
Speaker 3: going to make cases for the Bows. Who wants to

1752
01:20:44,120 --> 01:20:44,920
Speaker 3: start well?

1753
01:20:44,960 --> 01:20:47,320
Speaker 8: First off, you have to state what it is. Your

1754
01:20:47,400 --> 01:20:48,800
Speaker 8: Christmas Eve drink is going to be.

1755
01:20:49,000 --> 01:20:52,679
Speaker 7: I am into a nineteen eighty nine Aventage, Glenn Morangi

1756
01:20:52,760 --> 01:20:55,880
Speaker 7: Scotch single cube, big fat que. Get the Hawaii Bowl

1757
01:20:55,880 --> 01:20:57,920
Speaker 7: going because I needed it last year when San Jose

1758
01:20:58,000 --> 01:21:02,519
Speaker 7: State went to what five overtimes? This game is always

1759
01:21:02,560 --> 01:21:06,320
Speaker 7: a drinking event, like even back to Zach Wilson propelling

1760
01:21:06,400 --> 01:21:09,840
Speaker 7: himself like a helicopter and somehow not crossing the goal line.

1761
01:21:09,920 --> 01:21:12,880
Speaker 7: That costs me money to listen, I'm going Hawaii here.

1762
01:21:13,240 --> 01:21:15,120
Speaker 7: The question is which quarterback is going to have more

1763
01:21:15,160 --> 01:21:15,599
Speaker 7: success here?

1764
01:21:15,680 --> 01:21:16,000
Speaker 8: JKA.

1765
01:21:16,120 --> 01:21:19,680
Speaker 3: Can we all name our drinks? I'm a I will

1766
01:21:19,720 --> 01:21:26,240
Speaker 3: either do white Russians or eggnog spike degnog, just something

1767
01:21:26,360 --> 01:21:29,479
Speaker 3: feels right for Christmas Eve watching the Hawaii bottle. I'll

1768
01:21:29,479 --> 01:21:31,760
Speaker 3: have a robe on I kind of like the dude,

1769
01:21:31,800 --> 01:21:34,920
Speaker 3: and then I'll have some white Russians or some spikedgnog.

1770
01:21:35,400 --> 01:21:38,639
Speaker 3: So yeah, douck drink a choice for the Hawaii ball

1771
01:21:38,640 --> 01:21:39,440
Speaker 3: on Christmas.

1772
01:21:39,200 --> 01:21:42,559
Speaker 5: Eve, jamis and ginger ale. And then I like eggnog too.

1773
01:21:42,600 --> 01:21:44,759
Speaker 5: You get the spiced rum in there with the eggnog,

1774
01:21:44,760 --> 01:21:47,839
Speaker 5: a little cinnamon stick, stir the drink there on Christmas

1775
01:21:47,880 --> 01:21:50,679
Speaker 5: Eve opening up Christmas gifts and got the Hawaii bowl

1776
01:21:50,720 --> 01:21:53,000
Speaker 5: on every TV in the house that he just absolutely

1777
01:21:53,000 --> 01:21:53,680
Speaker 5: cannot beat it.

1778
01:21:54,000 --> 01:21:57,080
Speaker 3: I will say, way better than egnog is that I

1779
01:21:57,120 --> 01:22:00,519
Speaker 3: became really friendly with this mechanic who my car to

1780
01:22:01,320 --> 01:22:04,760
Speaker 3: and like we became like really friendly. Puerto Rican guy

1781
01:22:05,160 --> 01:22:10,920
Speaker 3: would make homemade coquito and would give me bottles around

1782
01:22:10,960 --> 01:22:14,280
Speaker 3: the holidays. That stuff is dangerous. My wife made some.

1783
01:22:14,800 --> 01:22:16,120
Speaker 3: I might have to get her to make some more.

1784
01:22:16,200 --> 01:22:20,200
Speaker 3: That is some dangerous stuff. It's like a it's a

1785
01:22:20,240 --> 01:22:25,320
Speaker 3: Puerto Rican like coconut and rum drink. It's unbelievable, very

1786
01:22:25,400 --> 01:22:30,519
Speaker 3: dangerous at Calvarys Hawaii Bowl drink of choice, frozen whiskey sour,

1787
01:22:30,960 --> 01:22:33,040
Speaker 3: a couple of those. I'm doing the seven fish dinner.

1788
01:22:33,439 --> 01:22:35,480
Speaker 3: My yeah, I have some fish.

1789
01:22:35,520 --> 01:22:38,679
Speaker 4: My Italian ancestors would be rolling over in their grave

1790
01:22:38,720 --> 01:22:40,439
Speaker 4: because I'm subbing out some of like you know, the

1791
01:22:40,439 --> 01:22:42,559
Speaker 4: traditional like the smelts. I bring in like you know,

1792
01:22:42,880 --> 01:22:46,080
Speaker 4: a little bit of ahi, tuna, tartar, like you know,

1793
01:22:46,120 --> 01:22:48,479
Speaker 4: all kinds of like different stuff that barely should qualify

1794
01:22:48,560 --> 01:22:51,400
Speaker 4: as traditional Italian seven fish dinners.

1795
01:22:51,400 --> 01:22:53,479
Speaker 3: But we're hitting it a lot of shellfish as well.

1796
01:22:53,479 --> 01:22:56,160
Speaker 4: But the whiskey sours will power me through the Hawaii

1797
01:22:56,160 --> 01:22:57,759
Speaker 4: Bowl come back to the bows.

1798
01:22:58,080 --> 01:22:58,280
Speaker 6: Yeah.

1799
01:22:58,320 --> 01:23:00,880
Speaker 7: I mean, I think you have to ask yourself which

1800
01:23:00,920 --> 01:23:03,920
Speaker 7: quarterback is going to have more success, And I think

1801
01:23:03,960 --> 01:23:06,080
Speaker 7: there's a bunch of things that are pointing towards Hawaii.

1802
01:23:06,080 --> 01:23:08,240
Speaker 7: He because Jks is going to face the Hawaii defense

1803
01:23:08,600 --> 01:23:11,000
Speaker 7: that's inside the top forty and creating a contested catch

1804
01:23:11,360 --> 01:23:13,960
Speaker 7: and in PFF coverage grading, so a little bit tougher

1805
01:23:13,960 --> 01:23:16,920
Speaker 7: of a path for him, where Mika Alejandro really all

1806
01:23:17,000 --> 01:23:19,560
Speaker 7: cal the defense has as a top twenty five inefficiency

1807
01:23:19,920 --> 01:23:22,120
Speaker 7: from a success rate standpoint. I don't know if why's

1808
01:23:22,120 --> 01:23:23,439
Speaker 7: going be able to get down. But it's not really

1809
01:23:23,520 --> 01:23:26,400
Speaker 7: their offense. They're more of creating chunk plays, and the

1810
01:23:26,439 --> 01:23:29,000
Speaker 7: differences comes in the coverages that they're going to face.

1811
01:23:29,320 --> 01:23:31,719
Speaker 7: Jks is going to see a ton of quarters coverage,

1812
01:23:31,720 --> 01:23:34,080
Speaker 7: which he was about forty nine percent success rate against,

1813
01:23:34,280 --> 01:23:36,040
Speaker 7: and Alohado is going to see cover three, which he

1814
01:23:36,240 --> 01:23:39,439
Speaker 7: just blasted this year fifty five percent success rate. There

1815
01:23:39,520 --> 01:23:42,040
Speaker 7: is I hate to harp on this, but it's been

1816
01:23:42,080 --> 01:23:44,439
Speaker 7: important in the Bowl game so far. There is a

1817
01:23:44,640 --> 01:23:47,719
Speaker 7: massive difference in special teams here, all in favor of Hawaii.

1818
01:23:47,760 --> 01:23:49,639
Speaker 3: Whi is the best kick in the country besides Stake

1819
01:23:49,680 --> 01:23:52,080
Speaker 3: Sandaldot the home give me the buck he missed this year.

1820
01:23:52,120 --> 01:23:54,920
Speaker 3: By the way, my only concern for Hawaii is you

1821
01:23:54,960 --> 01:23:56,760
Speaker 3: want to run on cal and Hawaii doesn't really run

1822
01:23:56,760 --> 01:23:59,559
Speaker 3: the ball like Col's run defense is pitiful. Talk you

1823
01:23:59,600 --> 01:24:02,800
Speaker 3: like Whi and Chang, who's been very good as a

1824
01:24:02,800 --> 01:24:05,840
Speaker 3: home dog on the island. This total's come down a

1825
01:24:05,840 --> 01:24:07,920
Speaker 3: bit for what it's worth as well, but duck, you

1826
01:24:08,000 --> 01:24:09,960
Speaker 3: liked the bows as well I do.

1827
01:24:10,040 --> 01:24:13,160
Speaker 5: And you know, Hawaii doesn't have a real explosive rush attack,

1828
01:24:13,160 --> 01:24:15,360
Speaker 5: but they've at least committed to attempting to run the

1829
01:24:15,360 --> 01:24:17,240
Speaker 5: ball a little bit more this season as opposed to

1830
01:24:17,280 --> 01:24:20,479
Speaker 5: prior seasons where they abandoned the run entirely fair. You

1831
01:24:20,640 --> 01:24:25,439
Speaker 5: talk about a spot first Bowl game during the Timmy

1832
01:24:25,520 --> 01:24:30,120
Speaker 5: Chang tenure. This fan base has been starved for winning football.

1833
01:24:30,400 --> 01:24:32,360
Speaker 5: There was a lot of flak for Timmy Chang not

1834
01:24:32,439 --> 01:24:34,679
Speaker 5: getting over the hump. The run and shoot wasn't running

1835
01:24:34,680 --> 01:24:37,599
Speaker 5: and shooting. And this team hasn't played this Bowl game

1836
01:24:37,640 --> 01:24:39,840
Speaker 5: since twenty nineteen. They were in one and then it

1837
01:24:39,880 --> 01:24:43,240
Speaker 5: was canceled. And these guys on Christmas Eve in front

1838
01:24:43,240 --> 01:24:46,320
Speaker 5: of their home fans to show up and play football

1839
01:24:46,360 --> 01:24:48,920
Speaker 5: one last time for their seniors. This is all this

1840
01:24:49,000 --> 01:24:51,880
Speaker 5: team can talk about. The Brada hood everything else. This

1841
01:24:51,960 --> 01:24:55,360
Speaker 5: play doesn't come without risk, right, Jackson Harris is significant

1842
01:24:55,439 --> 01:24:59,559
Speaker 5: loss at receiver. Nick Senecal is hurt and he's another

1843
01:24:59,640 --> 01:25:02,599
Speaker 5: key p in the past game here. But I expect

1844
01:25:02,640 --> 01:25:08,240
Speaker 5: the atmosphere to be electric. I expect Hawaii to show

1845
01:25:08,360 --> 01:25:11,000
Speaker 5: up fully engage their defense, and you talked about the

1846
01:25:11,040 --> 01:25:15,360
Speaker 5: defensive prowess much much better at home this season, real

1847
01:25:15,479 --> 01:25:18,519
Speaker 5: strong defensive team at home. You know, there's another fun

1848
01:25:18,560 --> 01:25:21,439
Speaker 5: element to this, which is Nick Rolovich comes back to Hawaii.

1849
01:25:21,479 --> 01:25:24,720
Speaker 5: He replaced Timmy Chang at quarterback way back when and

1850
01:25:24,720 --> 01:25:27,840
Speaker 5: then took over head coach at Hawaii. Had some fun teams,

1851
01:25:27,920 --> 01:25:32,679
Speaker 5: but he comes back here. Schematically is probably an even game,

1852
01:25:32,760 --> 01:25:36,040
Speaker 5: but I think special teams will be a big difference here.

1853
01:25:36,080 --> 01:25:38,280
Speaker 5: You talk about punt coverage, you talk about the Tokyo

1854
01:25:38,400 --> 01:25:42,120
Speaker 5: tow and nailing field goals. He can drill field goals

1855
01:25:42,160 --> 01:25:45,840
Speaker 5: from really comfortably anywhere inside of about fifty four, so

1856
01:25:46,320 --> 01:25:49,360
Speaker 5: really good special teams advantage. I expect Micah Alohado to

1857
01:25:49,400 --> 01:25:51,759
Speaker 5: play really, really well in this game. I like Hawaii

1858
01:25:51,920 --> 01:25:54,800
Speaker 5: at home. Christmas Eve, get the Scotch, get the gin,

1859
01:25:54,960 --> 01:25:57,200
Speaker 5: get whatever you want. Sip this one while you're opening

1860
01:25:57,280 --> 01:25:59,080
Speaker 5: up Christmas gifts. This is gonna be a fun game.

1861
01:25:59,280 --> 01:26:02,400
Speaker 7: And you know that naco A Booster Club is going

1862
01:26:02,400 --> 01:26:04,800
Speaker 7: to Rollovich's hotel the night before and saying, okay, in

1863
01:26:04,840 --> 01:26:06,639
Speaker 7: the fourth quarter, we need this to happen here.

1864
01:26:06,479 --> 01:26:08,719
Speaker 3: You go, well, yeah, there. Also, it is worth noting

1865
01:26:09,040 --> 01:26:12,320
Speaker 3: ton of Lula could be some wins. You want to

1866
01:26:12,400 --> 01:26:15,000
Speaker 3: check that closer to the game, But it actually looks

1867
01:26:15,000 --> 01:26:16,800
Speaker 3: like as of right now, there's like twenty mile an

1868
01:26:16,840 --> 01:26:19,040
Speaker 3: hour wins. Maybe that's why the totals come down a bit,

1869
01:26:20,560 --> 01:26:22,960
Speaker 3: but still too early to tell. There you you also

1870
01:26:22,960 --> 01:26:24,880
Speaker 3: are on the bows Calgaries.

1871
01:26:24,760 --> 01:26:25,360
Speaker 6: I am duck.

1872
01:26:25,439 --> 01:26:27,080
Speaker 3: I thought you were going to finish with the haka there.

1873
01:26:27,320 --> 01:26:29,320
Speaker 4: It was like a pregame speech getting me fired up

1874
01:26:29,360 --> 01:26:32,880
Speaker 4: for a Rainbow Warrior football. I mean, I'll say this,

1875
01:26:33,120 --> 01:26:36,040
Speaker 4: the loss of Jackson Senecal that doesn't make me feel great.

1876
01:26:36,040 --> 01:26:38,400
Speaker 4: But they do bring back three receivers or bring into

1877
01:26:38,439 --> 01:26:40,280
Speaker 4: this game, I should say, three receivers who had at

1878
01:26:40,360 --> 01:26:43,320
Speaker 4: least thirty receptions this year in Ashlock, White, Papunu so

1879
01:26:43,800 --> 01:26:46,519
Speaker 4: with one hundred percent healthy Alijado. This is a guy

1880
01:26:46,560 --> 01:26:48,719
Speaker 4: who you know, had four games with three hundred plus

1881
01:26:48,720 --> 01:26:50,519
Speaker 4: through the air in Mountain West play. He led the

1882
01:26:50,520 --> 01:26:54,679
Speaker 4: conference with sixty six percent completions, nineteen passing touchdowns, another

1883
01:26:54,720 --> 01:26:56,840
Speaker 4: one on the ground. He was everything he was cracked

1884
01:26:56,880 --> 01:26:58,600
Speaker 4: up to be when he was healthy. And we know

1885
01:26:58,680 --> 01:26:59,920
Speaker 4: he's going to be healthy in this game.

1886
01:27:00,360 --> 01:27:01,679
Speaker 6: And if this was any.

1887
01:27:01,560 --> 01:27:03,960
Speaker 4: Power for team rolling in that could run the football,

1888
01:27:04,040 --> 01:27:06,680
Speaker 4: I'd have my concerns. We actually thought in the preseason

1889
01:27:06,720 --> 01:27:09,040
Speaker 4: that Hawaii in the trench and in the front seven

1890
01:27:09,240 --> 01:27:11,280
Speaker 4: could be a little bit stout. They were not, but

1891
01:27:11,360 --> 01:27:13,519
Speaker 4: Col's offensive line can't move a blocking slid there. One

1892
01:27:13,560 --> 01:27:15,960
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty eighth in lineyards. They gave up running

1893
01:27:16,000 --> 01:27:17,559
Speaker 4: it all together, one hundred and twenty ninth.

1894
01:27:17,439 --> 01:27:18,040
Speaker 3: In run rate.

1895
01:27:18,320 --> 01:27:23,400
Speaker 4: JKS is super promising flashes that program savior kind of energy.

1896
01:27:23,479 --> 01:27:25,200
Speaker 3: I hope that they can keep them in the Bay Area.

1897
01:27:25,439 --> 01:27:27,519
Speaker 4: I know that it sounds like they're working on it

1898
01:27:27,640 --> 01:27:30,280
Speaker 4: or but I mean, crazy things happen, and there's certainly

1899
01:27:30,320 --> 01:27:33,880
Speaker 4: a lot of quarterbacks starved programs with deep pockets around

1900
01:27:33,920 --> 01:27:35,960
Speaker 4: the country. If they can keep them, that's great. He

1901
01:27:36,080 --> 01:27:38,200
Speaker 4: is going to be thrown into Hawaii secondary. Those thirty

1902
01:27:38,200 --> 01:27:40,000
Speaker 4: six and coverage and twenty ninth in pass rush, So

1903
01:27:40,040 --> 01:27:41,160
Speaker 4: I think that's a pretty good combo.

1904
01:27:41,479 --> 01:27:42,599
Speaker 6: I'll finish it sacks.

1905
01:27:42,680 --> 01:27:46,200
Speaker 3: JKS will take sacks and exactly, and I'll finish it

1906
01:27:46,200 --> 01:27:46,519
Speaker 3: off with.

1907
01:27:46,520 --> 01:27:48,640
Speaker 4: Us Chang on the island ten and four in his

1908
01:27:48,720 --> 01:27:52,080
Speaker 4: last fourteen, twelve and two against the spread.

1909
01:27:52,439 --> 01:27:54,160
Speaker 3: Give me the Rainbow Warriors. I think they win this

1910
01:27:54,200 --> 01:27:56,080
Speaker 3: one out right, all right. Before we get out of

1911
01:27:56,080 --> 01:28:01,840
Speaker 3: here are DraftKings Bowl Betting preview pod or Part one.

1912
01:28:02,479 --> 01:28:06,040
Speaker 3: We have ODU and Jacksonville State already in the window.

1913
01:28:06,040 --> 01:28:08,320
Speaker 3: I think it was fifteen to one. We also have

1914
01:28:08,360 --> 01:28:11,760
Speaker 3: Oklahoma left and Missouri State. By the time you listen

1915
01:28:11,760 --> 01:28:13,080
Speaker 3: to this, you'll probably know there was all plus one

1916
01:28:13,080 --> 01:28:15,960
Speaker 3: and f which I believe will cast because Arkansas State's

1917
01:28:15,960 --> 01:28:19,200
Speaker 3: gonna win by one like they do every game. So

1918
01:28:19,560 --> 01:28:22,400
Speaker 3: for this week, for this part, I should say we're

1919
01:28:22,439 --> 01:28:27,280
Speaker 3: going Colins contribution, Hawaii money line, Duck going he did

1920
01:28:27,320 --> 01:28:29,080
Speaker 3: have Hawaii money line, but was generous enough to get

1921
01:28:29,080 --> 01:28:31,559
Speaker 3: the Colms, So we'll put in an FCS and TREYM.

1922
01:28:31,600 --> 01:28:34,800
Speaker 3: We're going with Villanova Illinois State under fifty two and

1923
01:28:34,800 --> 01:28:36,439
Speaker 3: a half. Talked about that at the top of the show.

1924
01:28:36,960 --> 01:28:40,599
Speaker 3: Calvary's going with Ole miss laying the points, and I'm

1925
01:28:40,600 --> 01:28:43,040
Speaker 3: gonna go Texas A and M money line at home,

1926
01:28:43,640 --> 01:28:46,799
Speaker 3: Mario will mess it up plus ten fifty. On DraftKings,

1927
01:28:46,840 --> 01:28:48,759
Speaker 3: we'll drop a link in the podcast and YouTube description

1928
01:28:49,200 --> 01:28:51,040
Speaker 3: if you want to follow along. We'll also tweet it out.

1929
01:28:51,400 --> 01:28:52,960
Speaker 3: Go use that LinkedIn. Simply add the bet to your

1930
01:28:53,000 --> 01:28:55,640
Speaker 3: bets of the DraftKings and let's get it home. The

1931
01:28:55,760 --> 01:28:59,519
Speaker 3: crown is yours. Also, we'll be aact with our live

1932
01:28:59,520 --> 01:29:03,040
Speaker 3: show and again on Sunday for part three of our

1933
01:29:03,040 --> 01:29:06,360
Speaker 3: Bold Season previews. Makes you subscribe once Scrap Scrabtail, friantone

1934
01:29:06,439 --> 01:29:08,599
Speaker 3: Enemy be a five star review if you can really

1935
01:29:08,600 --> 01:29:10,200
Speaker 3: helps us out and again if you want to tell

1936
01:29:10,200 --> 01:29:11,439
Speaker 3: any of the bets that we discussed today, look at

1937
01:29:11,439 --> 01:29:13,200
Speaker 3: the quick sliplink in the video and podcast description, or

1938
01:29:13,280 --> 01:29:15,840
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1939
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1940
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1941
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1942
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1943
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1946
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1949
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