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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: We're officially into football weather with a calendar flipping to November,

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Speaker 1: which means we've got our week eleven early picks and

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Speaker 1: line movement predictions for the top ten games on the

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Speaker 1: slate coming your way. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and

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Speaker 1: I'm joined by someone who is also personally victimized by

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Speaker 1: the YouTube TV ESPN dispute. But don't worry, folks, he

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Speaker 1: still got that Fubo subscription on lock Baby.

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Speaker 2: He's Scott Bogman. Boggs.

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Speaker 1: How are you after another wild weekend of college ball

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Speaker 1: that was certainly seen by fewer viewers and gamblers than usual.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, look, weird week. This week is also another weird one.

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Speaker 3: I said it was gonna be the Vegas get back week.

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Speaker 3: Gunner Stockton, Oh man, I hate that stuff. I hate

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Speaker 3: kneeling on the one. It makes me so mad. But look,

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Speaker 3: none of it matters. Texas b Vandy Back in the

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Speaker 3: national picture, Arch Manning looked great. He looked like the

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Speaker 3: guy that we were, the prince that was promised before

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Speaker 3: the season. So yeah, I'm very excited about college football currently.

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Speaker 3: Long rangs Abba bye week. I might sleep in on Saturday.

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Speaker 3: I won't, but you know, maybe up to kickoff. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's gonna it's gonna be another fun one like it

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Speaker 3: always is.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm excited for it.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully we get a little bit of resolution so I

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Speaker 1: can see the full lot.

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Speaker 2: Man a game, because real bummer about that, man like.

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Speaker 1: It was the one weekend that I was finally get

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Speaker 1: getting together with both my brothers, first Saturday of the year,

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Speaker 1: my younger brother leaving for the State Police Academy next week. So,

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Speaker 1: man like, what an absolute bummer? None of the big

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Speaker 1: games that we got to watch my big bros. A

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Speaker 1: Texas fan like you, So we missed the Vandy Texas game.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't even watch Georgia Florida or the G five

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Speaker 1: game of the week, North Texas Navy.

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Speaker 2: So maybe I saved myself a little bit of heartbreaking.

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Speaker 2: I got to.

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Speaker 3: Because we were on that North Texas Navy over and Georgia.

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Speaker 3: But so you save yourself a little issue, But I

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Speaker 3: would I would rather see it. Man. Don't you know

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Speaker 3: two massive companies arguing with each other over who needs

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Speaker 3: more money? Come on? Yeah, right, and we're the ones

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Speaker 3: to get host so.

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Speaker 2: Smart people figure it out. Come on.

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Speaker 1: And I'm also excited for today's program Boggers, because it

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Speaker 1: looks like this will recap all the Week ten action

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Speaker 1: the betting risers the betting followers also gonna give everyone

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Speaker 1: an early handicap of the top ten games for Week eleven.

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Speaker 1: And as always, shout to everyone who frequenting the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel and the audio feeds so far this fall.

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Speaker 2: These these freeway support us.

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Speaker 1: Please give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy

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Speaker 1: this type of content, and also make sure you subscribe

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Speaker 1: to miss a moment of the college football and NFL

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Speaker 1: betting coverage coming your way for the rest of the season.

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Speaker 2: And let's go ahead and jump in.

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Speaker 1: But before we do, I wanted to make a quick

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Speaker 1: announcement that the winner of the sign Nick Chubb's Brown's

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Speaker 1: Helmet giveaway is Jonah.

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Speaker 2: Gora Tas Jonah. Congratulations.

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Speaker 1: maybe even Goutierras. I'm not totally sure the pronunciation on that,

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Speaker 1: but all I know is that you won this swee

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Speaker 1: We will be getting in touch with you to get

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Speaker 1: you that prize, so stay on the lookout for our emails,

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Speaker 1: DMS things like that. And also if you want a

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Speaker 2: Or see subscribe to our social media handles.

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Speaker 1: We're at Betting Pros on x and TikTok and at

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Speaker 1: the more entries you're gonna receive, and we will announce

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Speaker 1: a winner right here on the channel. So make sure

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Speaker 1: you ring the bell so you can be alert to win.

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Speaker 1: New episodes are up and acclaim your prize if you

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Speaker 1: are that lucky winner. Now, in case you miss any

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Speaker 1: of the week ten action, which I'm sure a lot

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Speaker 1: of you did, let's recap what went down on the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night UTSA. They upset g five playoff bid contender

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Speaker 1: two lane of forty eight twenty six. I saw the

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Speaker 1: comments giving me a little bit of crap on that pick.

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Speaker 2: I apologized. I called off the green wave.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that was a look ahead, it was it was

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Speaker 3: get to that. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yes.

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Speaker 1: And also on Friday night too, Bill Belichick North Carolina

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Speaker 1: they take down Syracuse twenty seven to ten. So good

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Speaker 1: look for Belichick in the gang down there. And we

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Speaker 1: also had number one Ohio State shutting down Penn State

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Speaker 1: in the second half to win thirty eight to fourteen.

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Speaker 2: I got my hopes.

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Speaker 1: So just a little bit there in the first half.

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Speaker 1: Fogs a turnover into a touchdown late in that one.

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Speaker 1: But Ohio State does what Ohio State does. And number

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Speaker 1: two Indiana they dispose of Maryland fifty five to ten.

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Speaker 1: We heard some rumors there might be a coaching change

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Speaker 1: there for the Terrapins, but that is not the case.

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Speaker 2: They're sticking packed.

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Speaker 1: And we also saw North Texas soaring past eighty thirty

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Speaker 1: one seventeen. Duke continues Clemson's disappointing season, winning forty six

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Speaker 1: to forty five. Number five Georgia they win twenty four

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Speaker 1: chwoo twenty against the Florida Gators failed to cover with

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Speaker 1: that gunnerstock to kneel down. Number seven Ole Miss wins

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Speaker 1: and covers against South Carolina as well. And then we

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Speaker 1: saw NC State NC State. I knew it was a

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Speaker 1: trappy game, box, but they end the perfect season. They

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Speaker 1: ruined my cash out opportunity for the Jordia Tech Yellow Jackets,

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Speaker 1: winning forty eight to thirty six, and that acc clash there.

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Speaker 1: We also had number twenty Texas hold off number nine

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Speaker 1: Vanderbilt and that late surge they had thirty four to

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Speaker 1: thirty one. SMU takes down number ten Miami as well,

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Speaker 1: Chrystal Ball being christopall baby, and then number thirteen Texas

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Speaker 1: Tech proved they still got it, taking down Kansas State

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Speaker 1: forty three to twenty Number eighteen Oklahoma. They get out

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Speaker 1: of Knoxville a winner thirty three to twenty seven over

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Speaker 1: number fourteen Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Number twenty four Utah.

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Speaker 1: They dominated number seventeen cincinnaty forty five seventeen.

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Speaker 2: I know you were high on the utes last week.

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Speaker 1: And then Fresno State beats down Boise State thirty seven

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Speaker 1: to thirty two seven to shake up the Mount West

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Speaker 1: standings a little bit and then Kentucky beats Auburn ten

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Speaker 1: to three, leading to the firing of Hugh free So, boy,

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Speaker 1: who were the betting risers and the fallers?

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Speaker 2: Aside from Hugh Freeze his pocketbook.

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Speaker 3: I mean Boise State lost their quarterback. That's why they

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Speaker 3: got beat so bad. And Fresno State, it's just one

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Speaker 3: of those dangerous teams that very well disciplined, very well

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Speaker 3: Coach matt Ends coming over from USC is a very

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Speaker 3: good head coach, so excited to see what Presno State

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Speaker 3: has in the future. But that is why Boise State

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Speaker 3: lost that game. I was shocked. Oklahoma beat down Tennessee

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Speaker 3: so bad. It really was not a close game, and

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Speaker 3: they scored at the end. I almost got the same

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Speaker 3: kneel down from Gunner Stockton at the one. I almost

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Speaker 3: had happen to me. Yeah, in that Tennessee Oklahoma game too,

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Speaker 3: because Oklahoma broke it and the kneeled it at the one.

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Speaker 3: But then said asscrew it, let's uh, let's you know

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Speaker 3: upset Josh hipel a little bit more and pushed it

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Speaker 3: in and then Tennessee scored again, So I got that

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Speaker 3: over going away, which made me very happy. Miami losing

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Speaker 3: to SMU maybe the least surprising thing on the you

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Speaker 3: know a weekend of a couple surprises. But we knew

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Speaker 3: Christa Ball was going to choke. It's just that's the

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Speaker 3: way that that Chrystal ball is christ Of Ball. It

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Speaker 3: drops one of these every single year. We see it

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Speaker 3: all the time. It's kind of the opposite of Mark Stoops.

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Speaker 3: It feels like at Kentucky Mark Stoops bowse up on

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Speaker 3: a game won every single year, and like they did

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Speaker 3: against Texas, like they did against Georgia last year. You know,

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Speaker 3: it's kind of the opposite effect. But you know christ

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Speaker 3: Of Ball is going down at some point, and he did. Man,

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Speaker 3: I was really surprised if Texas Tech looks so good

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Speaker 3: because Baron Morton was just one hundred percent right. So

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Speaker 3: they just went in and whooped Kansas State. That was

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Speaker 3: a one week great defensive performance from Kansas State and

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Speaker 3: that was over against Texas Tech. So Texas Tech back

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Speaker 3: to being probably the best team in the Big twelve

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Speaker 3: here in my opinion. Yes, your Georgia Tech team. They

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Speaker 3: even did what I thought. I was like, look if

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Speaker 3: they can pass on NC State, I think they're gonna win.

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Speaker 3: That defense is what didn't come through for them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: NC State was great. They just ran right over Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 3: So not even close there, Georgia the kneel down at

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Speaker 3: the one? What are we doing? Aren't there a lot

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Speaker 3: of Georgia fans that needed that cover score? Come on, man,

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Speaker 3: you know, get.

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Speaker 2: Us, take us at least. Yeah, come on.

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Speaker 3: Did you see the tweet from Duke football at Clemson?

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Speaker 2: No?

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Speaker 3: No, they put the spirit logo on the stadium and

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Speaker 3: said Death Valley at night. Huh So, yeah, that was

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Speaker 3: something along those lines that was fantastic. Navy couldn't move

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Speaker 3: the ball against North Texas. We'll get into that in

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Speaker 3: a little bit. Indiana is just continuing to dominate, and

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Speaker 3: there are rumors that when these playoffs, you know, rankings

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Speaker 3: come out later today as you're listening to this, Indiana

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Speaker 3: is going to be the number one team in Ohio

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Speaker 3: State's going to be number two because of the resume.

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Speaker 3: So I don't know if that's going to be true,

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Speaker 3: but that is the rumblings that we're hearing late Monday

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Speaker 3: as we record this. So Indiana might be your number

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Speaker 3: one team after this week. Ohio State's Ohio State. I

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Speaker 3: do not care about North Carolina beating Syracuse. Syracuse one

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Speaker 3: of the more beat up teams in the country.

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Speaker 1: I still happy for Tar Heel fans and Bill Belichick.

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Speaker 1: It's been a roughie year for them.

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Speaker 3: I do not care about Bill Pelichick's stupid feelings at all.

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Speaker 3: As a Steelers fan, I could care less. So he

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Speaker 3: needs to go. He hasn't been a good coach since

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Speaker 3: Brady left, which means maybe he was never as good

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Speaker 3: as they thought. You know, he was always a good

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Speaker 3: coach and one of the best coaches ever, but probably

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Speaker 3: not to the level. I just think about that. Coaching

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Speaker 3: in football in general, I think you're as good as

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Speaker 3: the players on your field. I think you can make

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Speaker 3: it work. But it's easier to screw it up than

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Speaker 3: it is to make it work, which is what makes

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Speaker 3: Sigg such a great coach. Right, You come into James Madison,

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Speaker 3: make it great. You go to Indiana, you make it great.

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Speaker 3: So if you had him with amazing players, you know

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Speaker 3: what would he do if he was at Florida l

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Speaker 3: We won't find out because he got that extension, but

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Speaker 3: maybe in his next signing. But yeah, I mean, it

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Speaker 3: was a weird week. It was a Vegas get back week,

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Speaker 3: I was happy to go four and five instead of

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Speaker 3: you know, three and six, So I was happy about that,

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Speaker 3: but made more money than I lost this week again,

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Speaker 3: so even though my record wasn't as good. So we

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Speaker 3: like that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm really excited to see how the first look

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Speaker 1: at the College Football Playoff turns out. And I think

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Speaker 1: we're starting to get to a point where the ACC,

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Speaker 1: how it's shaking out. We might only get one team

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Speaker 1: out of that conference, right, Like, that's kind of seeing

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Speaker 1: how it's it's gonna play out with Georgia Tech losing

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Speaker 1: that whether it's Louisville, whether it's Georgia Tech, or whether.

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Speaker 2: It's someone else out of that conference. I just don't know.

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Speaker 3: I don't know very narrow path to getting two teams.

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Speaker 3: So I think, yeah, I think it's gonna be whoever

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Speaker 3: the ACC title the AEC champ is is probably gonna

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Speaker 3: be the team they have in the playoff.

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Speaker 1: And I think the G five starting to become a

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Speaker 1: bit clearer too. It feels like it's really Memphis or

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Speaker 1: North Texas or South Florida out of the American or

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Speaker 1: maybe JMU out of the Sunbelt. I'm hearing a lot

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Speaker 1: of chirps out of the Sunbelt backers that hey, the

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Speaker 1: Sunbelt justice goes the American I don't think it is,

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Speaker 1: but still I think it's really a race between those

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Speaker 1: four so teams right now.

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Speaker 3: For me, wants to get beat by twenty in the

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Speaker 3: out of the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Yep, we'll see, we'll see what happens and bogs. Let's

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Speaker 2: go ahead and let's jump right into the games.

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Speaker 1: And let's start on Friday with the top team in

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Speaker 1: this week's G five media rankings, the twenty second ranked

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Speaker 1: Memphis Tigers, who are laying six to seven points against

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Speaker 1: the two lane Green Wave. I called off two lane

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Speaker 1: last week. Apologies out there to the Green Wave backers

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Speaker 1: and supporters. They were upset at Utsa forty eight twenty six,

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Speaker 1: falling two six and two straight up three four and

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Speaker 1: one ats as well. In that game, quarterback Jake Retzov

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Speaker 1: he was benched after throwing two picks and the Green Wave.

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Speaker 1: They now fall to eighty second in scoring offense and

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Speaker 1: their defense outside the top one hundred in total yards allowed.

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Speaker 1: Memphis they are currently eight and one straight up four

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Speaker 1: four and one ats, coming off back to back wins

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Speaker 1: and covers at Rice and against USF the week prior,

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Speaker 1: as well. Their quarterback Brendon Lewis, who was banged up

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Speaker 1: a few weeks ago, currently leading the American in passing

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Speaker 1: completion percentage sixty nine point one percent. Their wide receiver

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Speaker 1: Cortes Bram also leading the conference with seven touchdowns, giving

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Speaker 1: the Tigers the twelfth ranked scoring offense. Boggs, this is

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Speaker 1: a game that Memphis won by ten last year, but

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Speaker 1: feels really really up for grabs this season, specifically with

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Speaker 1: all the conference championship implications on the line. Do you

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Speaker 1: have an early read on it, because I do not.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we've seen both these teams do the

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Speaker 3: look ahead game right Absolutely. We saw Memphis do it

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Speaker 3: in UAB in the middle of October, and Jilane just

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Speaker 3: did it last week with UTSA. Looking ahead to this

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Speaker 3: Memphis matchup. You mentioned how Retz Laugh was benched against

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Speaker 3: UTSA after two picks fourteen for twenty eight one hundred

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Speaker 3: and ninety eight yards, a touchdown and a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: And looked like Gino Smith out there just like once

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Speaker 1: he got down man, he ran.

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Speaker 3: Well seven for sixty eighty score. But both of these

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Speaker 3: teams are built around their quarterback you mentioned as well

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Speaker 3: with Brendan Lewis, and the only game that Memphis has

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Speaker 3: lost is also the only game they haven't covered, and

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Speaker 3: that was when Brendan Lewis got hurt in that UAB game.

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Speaker 3: That was the game that they lost. And you remember

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Speaker 3: UAB scored a lot of points after Lewis went down,

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Speaker 3: so they just couldn't move the ball after that. Then

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Speaker 3: I thought Brendan Lewis wasn't going to play the following

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Speaker 3: week because he didn't meet with the media. Well, he

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Speaker 3: shut me up. Not only did he play, but they

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Speaker 3: also came back and beat USF in that game. So

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Speaker 3: I think the bigger issue for Tulane last week was

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Speaker 3: not the quarterback. It was the defense. They gave up

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Speaker 3: five hundred and twenty three yards three hundred ninety one

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Speaker 3: passing a UTSA quarterback Owo McCown season high and passing

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Speaker 3: before this facing Tulane was two hundred and thirty eight

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Speaker 3: yards against Incarnate Word so goodness, he went thirty one

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Speaker 3: of thirty three for three hundred and seventy yards and

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Speaker 3: four touchdowns in that game against Tulane. I think the

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Speaker 3: defense is the problem. It's not Ret's laugh. I don't

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Speaker 3: care that he was benched. He's gonna start in this game.

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Speaker 3: He's probably gonna play. Well, we're showing lots of value

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Speaker 3: towards Memphis right now. This is the first game and

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Speaker 3: only game that I have a ticket on right now,

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Speaker 3: and it is for the Memphis Tigers.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Man, if I knew Josh mccowns sun was gonna

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Speaker 1: look like that out there, I don't know if I

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Speaker 1: would have backed as heavily as I did last week,

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Speaker 1: because well, who.

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Speaker 3: Know his season hie before that was two and thirty

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Speaker 3: eight against an FCS team.

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Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, they're a run.

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Speaker 3: First team UTSA. So, but they did it with the

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Speaker 3: passing because Tulane was not ready for it.

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Speaker 1: Leading rusher in the conference they have in that backfield.

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Speaker 1: So and it felt like at times towards the end

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Speaker 1: of that game that they didn't even need him. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think Memphis is the correct side. I'm gonna pull

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Speaker 1: off on that one and maybe, wait, maybe there's a

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Speaker 1: total I would get invested with there, like a Memphis

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Speaker 1: team over something. That might be the way I try

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Speaker 1: to get something in on Friday. We know there'll probably

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Speaker 1: be some boost out there from hard Rock and some

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Speaker 1: other books as well that you can potentially lighten that

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Speaker 1: investment and boost your winning there. So also on Friday, Bogs,

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Speaker 1: we have the five to three Northwestern Wildcats who are

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Speaker 1: catching between fourteen and fifteen points against the twenty th

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Speaker 1: ranked USC Trojans. Northwestern is off the bye in their

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Speaker 1: five game winning streak was snapped in Nebraska. Still they've

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Speaker 1: covered in five straight to get the five to two

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Speaker 1: and one Ats. This team is predicated really on running

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Speaker 1: the ball effectively, twenty ninth in the nation in rushing

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Speaker 1: and also playing pretty dang good defense as well, thirteenth

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Speaker 1: in scoring, nineteenth in total yards allowed.

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Speaker 2: USC.

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Speaker 1: They are off that comeback win in Nebraska and now

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Speaker 1: in potential look ahead spot with Iowa and Oregon up deck.

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Speaker 2: Up on deck next here quarterback Jane Mayeva.

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Speaker 1: He's been great still leads the conference in passing yards

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Speaker 1: per game, putting them second in total offense in the country.

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Speaker 1: We also have their wide receiver Mikai Lemon, who has

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Speaker 1: slowed down a little bit as late, but still sitting

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Speaker 1: third in.

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Speaker 2: The conference right now in reception.

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Speaker 1: So, Scott Bogwin, do you have a play in this

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Speaker 1: one against two teams that are going head to head

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Speaker 1: in the Big Ten, and one of them that got

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Speaker 1: our boy, James Franklin fired.

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Speaker 3: I kind of like the under in this game. Northwestern

345
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Speaker 3: open up on the road against Tulane. Right, they look

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Speaker 3: downright embarrassing. You remember that game Week one? It was awful,

347
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Speaker 3: they couldn't catch anything. Turns out that was one of

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Speaker 3: two against the spread losses that they had all season,

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Speaker 3: along with the UCLA and then they had to push

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Speaker 3: two weeks ago with Nebraska, but that wasn't a loss.

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Speaker 3: USC is even against the spread and on over unders.

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Speaker 3: They're at home, and we were showing value towards USC.

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Speaker 3: But I'm a little skeptical. Northwestern has beaten the spread

354
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Speaker 3: against Oregon. They beat Penn State on the road straight up.

355
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Speaker 3: They pushed on the road against Nebraska and beat UCLA,

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Speaker 3: which looks like a much more impressive win. Now sure, sure,

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Speaker 3: oh yeah, I think I like the under even though

358
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Speaker 3: we're showing more value towards the line here. USC should

359
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Speaker 3: win this game, and they should win by double digits.

360
00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,280
Speaker 3: They're at home, and even though the offense was garbage

361
00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,400
Speaker 3: against Nebraska, they played well on defense before they knocked

362
00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:01,840
Speaker 3: even before we're knocking Roll out of the game. I

363
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:05,080
Speaker 3: think Preston Stone is incredibly hard to put your money behind.

364
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,680
Speaker 3: But I like the passing defense of Northwestern, the fact

365
00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:10,359
Speaker 3: that the Trojan's defense has been strong. So I just

366
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Speaker 3: think the current state of the way both these teams

367
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Speaker 3: are playing, I think the under is probably the best

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Speaker 3: bet here. I don't like that we're showing value towards

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Speaker 3: USC because Northwestern has been covering some of these larger spreads,

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Speaker 3: But I also don't want to trust Preston Stone and

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Speaker 3: Northwestern going across the country to USC. So I think

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Speaker 3: in terms of the side, I'm definitely a stay away.

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Speaker 3: I don't want to mess with it points. I think

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Speaker 3: the under is the play in this game, and I

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00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:39,000
Speaker 3: think it's gonna go up. So this is what I'm

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00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:40,840
Speaker 3: gonna wait to take. That's why I said I only

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00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,639
Speaker 3: have the one ticket so far, and it is on Memphis.

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00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:45,760
Speaker 3: I'm gonna wait and see if this total ticks up

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Speaker 3: because I think a lot of people love to see

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00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,040
Speaker 3: the offense from USC and expect them to play better

381
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Speaker 3: because Maiva really was not good against Nebraska.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and if that total does tick up there and

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Speaker 1: Speaking of Penn State, we have the ninny Lyons who

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00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:39,920
Speaker 1: are fourteen and a half two sixteen and a half

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00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,560
Speaker 1: point dogs against the number two Indiana Hoosios coming into

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Speaker 1: Happy Valley Penns date of course, just three and five

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Speaker 1: this season, zero to five and.

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Speaker 2: Big ten play.

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Speaker 1: They did just score fourteen points on the nation's best

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Speaker 1: defense though in the first half of Saturday's game, before

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Speaker 1: being shut out in the second half against the Buck guys,

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00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:00,720
Speaker 1: and the backfield seems to have completely he flipped her

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Speaker 1: Bob and we now have k Tron Allen, who out

433
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,720
Speaker 1: touched Nick Singleton twenty three to nine in that game

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00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:09,119
Speaker 1: against Ohio State. After being way more effective all season

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00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,360
Speaker 1: long still than any Lions, just one in seven ats,

436
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,240
Speaker 1: one of the country's worst records against the spread, and

437
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:17,639
Speaker 1: not being able to get their opponent off the field

438
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:21,840
Speaker 1: and also stopping the big plays has really hurt this defense.

439
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,440
Speaker 1: Indiana Absolute Wagon wen't just say much about them. They're

440
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 1: actually on the verge of cashing my team total win

441
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:29,880
Speaker 1: ticket and I have them over nine and a half

442
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,679
Speaker 1: wins at plus one to eighteen, so very happy about that.

443
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 1: They're nine to zero straight up six and three ats

444
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,840
Speaker 1: as well. Fernando Mendoza, while he's still a little bit

445
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:42,640
Speaker 1: on my naughty list here heading into the Christmas season,

446
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 1: for what he did against Iowa plus two thirty win

447
00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 1: the Heisman, leading the Hoosiers to the top scoring offense

448
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,639
Speaker 1: in the third rank scoring offense as well or the

449
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:55,280
Speaker 1: third rank total offense as well, and they also have

450
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,880
Speaker 1: the third rank scoring defense in the seventh ranked total

451
00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:00,560
Speaker 1: defense allow no team other than or again to put

452
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 1: up over fifteen points on them, and if you remember

453
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 1: the Ducks, only twenty points scored in that game. So, Bogman,

454
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 1: is this a spot where we see signetti? Let Penn

455
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,879
Speaker 1: State know what they missed out on and drum another

456
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:13,120
Speaker 1: mediocre Big ten team?

457
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 3: I think so. I think they win big here. But

458
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:19,400
Speaker 3: I'm gonna do the world of favor. I'm not gonna

459
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 3: bet this game, and I'll tell you why. It's because

460
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 3: this team is six and three against the spread. Indiana, Okay,

461
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 3: I've lost my two bets that I placed on them,

462
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:33,920
Speaker 3: Odieu Well Dominion and Iowa. Those were my two games

463
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,520
Speaker 3: that where I bet them, and those were two of

464
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,640
Speaker 3: the three they didn't cover. The other one was they

465
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,120
Speaker 3: only won by twenty four against Michigan State and didn't

466
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 3: cover their twenty six and a half. So that was

467
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 3: the only other game that they did not cover. So

468
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:49,560
Speaker 3: they're covering big spreads here, and look, you know, I

469
00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 3: don't think we're getting the full quit from Penn State,

470
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,880
Speaker 3: but I think things like k Tron Allen playing over

471
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 3: Nicholas Singleton, you just you're gonna have depth charts moves

472
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,600
Speaker 3: like that for guys that want to play versus guys

473
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,800
Speaker 3: that are going through the motions at this point, right,

474
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 3: So you kind of have to suss that out, and

475
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:10,239
Speaker 3: obviously they haven't. But look, I'll say this for you.

476
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,960
Speaker 3: Seth fourteen points is double how much Texas put on

477
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 3: Ohio State, right, so here you go, Yeah, we only

478
00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 3: let them score fourteen, but you know that was that's

479
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,320
Speaker 3: the difference there. But we could not move the ball.

480
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 3: But Grunkemeyer was nineteen of twenty eight, but for only

481
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,160
Speaker 3: one hundred and forty five yards and a pick two

482
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:31,159
Speaker 3: hundred yards of offense. They just look pathetic. Indiana is

483
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,920
Speaker 3: not only nine to zero, but they're six and three

484
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 3: against the spread. As I mentioned in, Penn State is

485
00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 3: one in seven against the spread, obviously favoring a lot

486
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,760
Speaker 3: of those games that they outright lost. But Penn State

487
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 3: might you know, keep it close for the first half

488
00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 3: like they did against Ohio State. But I don't think

489
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 3: after that that they're going to make any proper adjustments

490
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 3: in Indiana roles in the second half. So I'm going

491
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 3: to be on the Hoosiers big here, but I'm going

492
00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:58,160
Speaker 3: to do the world a favor and not put money

493
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 3: on it so that Indiana can cover. So that is

494
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 3: me helping everyone else. You're welcome.

495
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would usually not want to get invested with

496
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 2: a road team laying this many points in Happy Valley.

497
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,679
Speaker 2: But right now, the weather for Saturday, we're looking between

498
00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 2: forty and fifty degrees at kickoff Bogman, So I just

499
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 2: don't think there's.

500
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:18,760
Speaker 1: Gonna be that many people in the stadium. Like I

501
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:20,879
Speaker 1: think people are kind of over at this point. You know,

502
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:22,199
Speaker 1: we're all already at that.

503
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,239
Speaker 2: You know, November midterms are coming up for a lot

504
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 2: of these students, they're hitting the books. So I don't know,

505
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 2: I don't know. I think I think we're you know.

506
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: Not gonna have a lot of not have a lot

507
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 1: of crowd in this game, not have a lot of

508
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 1: defense to stop for Nando Mendozo. So I think I

509
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,400
Speaker 1: probably will end up laying the points against Penn State,

510
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 1: and that's something I like to do.

511
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:44,199
Speaker 2: But here you are you like money? So yeah, I

512
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 2: do that, I do and uh.

513
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,399
Speaker 1: Next up, we've got the fifth rank Georgia Bulldogs in

514
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 1: Starkville to battle the five and four Mississippi State Bulldogs.

515
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 1: As seven and a half two eight and a half

516
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:57,679
Speaker 1: point favorites UGA, they were trailing Florida for most of

517
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 1: the world's largest outdoor outdoor cocktail party, but end up

518
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 1: coming back not covering, putting them seven and one straight

519
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,720
Speaker 1: up three and five ATS this season. The pass rush

520
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 1: still an absolute major concern, averaging just one sack per game.

521
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 1: We've talked about it all season long, one hundred and

522
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:15,760
Speaker 1: thirty first in pass rush and also when you look

523
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,240
Speaker 1: at their offensive skill players, they've come on of lee.

524
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:20,199
Speaker 1: I think that's really what's carrying this team here. The

525
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,640
Speaker 1: running back Chauncey Bowens, he's been great. Zachariah Branch coming

526
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 1: over from USC last year, he's finally starting to.

527
00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 2: Pick up the pace as well.

528
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:31,120
Speaker 1: Mississippi State, though that come off back to back SEC shootouts,

529
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 1: getting the win and cover against Arkansas last week to

530
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 1: move to eight and one ATS, just one of four

531
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,919
Speaker 1: teams with a record of that good or better this season.

532
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 1: They do have fluff bothwell back in the backfield. Also

533
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 1: wide receivers Brendan Thompson and Anthony Evans the third, they've

534
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:48,879
Speaker 1: been fantastic. I know You've had a lot of props

535
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,879
Speaker 1: cash on him so far this season and currently leading

536
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,680
Speaker 1: the SEC in receptions is Anthony Evans the third with

537
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,359
Speaker 1: fifty two. So really like what the Bulldogs have been doing.

538
00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:02,639
Speaker 1: Their biggest weakness though, is their rushing defense and time possessions.

539
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 1: So will Georgia capitalize on that and win by over

540
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 1: a touchdown in the spot bogs?

541
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 3: I don't think so. Georgia has started week or slow.

542
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,880
Speaker 3: Every single week. Georgia hasn't been great at starting these games,

543
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,240
Speaker 3: specifically on the road. They were losing to Tennessee and

544
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 3: Auburn at halftime on the road, and then they were

545
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,199
Speaker 3: tied in this neutral site game against Florida. Right, Mississippi

546
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:29,639
Speaker 3: State is also desperate for one win to become Bowl eligible.

547
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 3: But listen to this schedule with these three games, it's Georgia,

548
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:40,440
Speaker 3: it's Missouri and Ole miss who they're not winning any

549
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:42,399
Speaker 3: of those games. I don't think they might.

550
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:44,960
Speaker 2: Be Missouri if without prep roll up, maybe.

551
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 3: That is a possibility. I think as All just might

552
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 3: be better, but we'll see definitely not better at this

553
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 3: stage in his career, right So, I think you're gonna

554
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 3: see their best effort. They want to get to a bowl,

555
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 3: they want to be bowl eligible and get into a bowl,

556
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 3: so I think you're gonna see their best staffor they

557
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,399
Speaker 3: lost in overtime to Tennessee at home. They should have

558
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:07,040
Speaker 3: beat Texas, and they did beat Arizona State before Arizona

559
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,199
Speaker 3: State was Crazy injured, so I don't think they can

560
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 3: win this game. But with Georgia starting slow on the

561
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:16,639
Speaker 3: road Starkfield being crazy and loud as they are, I

562
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,679
Speaker 3: like Mississippi State to cover at home, and maybe a

563
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:22,560
Speaker 3: first half cover is a better play as well, So

564
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 3: I like, Yeah, I like Mississippi State in this game

565
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 3: at home to cover the spread. But it's a lean.

566
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 3: I think this this might come down. There's a lot

567
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 3: of money towards Mississippi State right now, but I think

568
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 3: once you get the Georgia backers, it's probably not gonna

569
00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 3: move too much from where it is right now. I

570
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,120
Speaker 3: would like it to move out a little bit more.

571
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:46,720
Speaker 3: I'd like to see eight and a half or nine

572
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,080
Speaker 3: and a half in this game because Georgia is a

573
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:51,199
Speaker 3: much better team in terms of roster strength and just

574
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:54,919
Speaker 3: history specifically in a game like this, but this is

575
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:56,560
Speaker 3: going to be a close one. I think most likely

576
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:58,640
Speaker 3: is you You know, you save your best for Old

577
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 3: Miss in that rivalry game, but at home, you got

578
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:05,359
Speaker 3: to throw your best effort out there. So I think

579
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:07,680
Speaker 3: Georgia gets everything they can handle fro Mississippi State, but

580
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 3: I still think they win.

581
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 2: I like the first half cover.

582
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 1: I think that's the maybe sharp play in this one,

583
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 1: just because, like you said, Uga get off to slow starts,

584
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 1: and usually I'm to rally back for wins and sometimes

585
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 1: covers when they don't kneel it at the one.

586
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 2: But that is a different rant.

587
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:26,919
Speaker 1: Let's move forward here to a top ten matchup in

588
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:30,200
Speaker 1: Lubbock where control for the Big twelve is on the line.

589
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 1: The ninth ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders are ten to

590
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,960
Speaker 1: ten and a half point home favorites against the undefeated

591
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,119
Speaker 1: and eighth ranked BYU Cougars.

592
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 2: That's likely because Tech.

593
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 1: Is coming off just an absolute smacking of Kansas State

594
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,119
Speaker 1: to get to eight and one straight up seven and

595
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: two ats as well. Quarterback Baron Morton he was back

596
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: buzzing last week, but it was really the Tech defense

597
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: forcing five turnovers of the Wildcats and running backs Cameron

598
00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 1: Dicky and Jacoby Williams, who were doing most of the

599
00:27:56,960 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 1: heavy lifting on Saturday. Tech still sits third in scoring offense,

600
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 1: fifth in scoring defense, featuring the nation's best running defense,

601
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,000
Speaker 1: and that might be an issue for the Cougars, who

602
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 1: are a top fifteen rushing offense, scoring at the nineteenth

603
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:14,840
Speaker 1: highest clip because of it. BYU, though, they are coming

604
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: in here and they are having three straight wins in

605
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:19,919
Speaker 1: the Big twelve to get to this point six and

606
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 1: two ats Bogs. How do you think this line shifts

607
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 1: throughout the week? Because the key number of nine and

608
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:27,359
Speaker 1: a half has already gone if you want in Tech.

609
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 1: It just feels like a really really big number for

610
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: two really good teams and one being undefeated.

611
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 3: I think Texas Tech should win this game by three touchdowns?

612
00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 3: Will I bet it absolutely not. There's a weird miracle

613
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,920
Speaker 3: Mormon magic happening for BYU right now, and I don't

614
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,520
Speaker 3: want to mess with it. Sure, I think this is

615
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 3: where there's streak ends. I think it has to be

616
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 3: on the road against the number one rushing defense in

617
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 3: the country. Seriously, BYU has had a less than fifty

618
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:02,840
Speaker 3: percent win expectancy Against Utah it was, you know, fifty

619
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 3: two percent, and then Iowa State had a eighty three

620
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 3: percent winning expensive expectancy in that last game that BYU

621
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 3: won going away because of the weird bounces that they

622
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:15,239
Speaker 3: got in that game, they should not have won. They

623
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:18,239
Speaker 3: were dominated in that game, but they ended up winning it.

624
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,320
Speaker 3: It's just the way that it's been going for them.

625
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 3: They're coming off the bye week. Texas Tech reset expectations

626
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 3: after missing Baron Morton for a few weeks and then

627
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 3: absolutely smashing Kansas State forty three to twenty. They won

628
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 3: by twenty three points. That put up four hundred and

629
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 3: thirty six yards of offense. BYU has been rolling. They've

630
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 3: been doing it all year. I just don't think they're

631
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 3: going to be able to stand up to Texas Tech

632
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 3: in this game. I don't love the double digitus spread

633
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 3: though I can't stand it. I would love to see

634
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 3: it get to eight and a half seven and a half,

635
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,920
Speaker 3: but as you said, it has already moved out towards

636
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 3: Texas Tech. I'm gonna lean towards the Red Raiders here,

637
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 3: but I'm not gonna mess with it because I don't

638
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 3: know whatever juju is happening with BYU right now, it

639
00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:03,400
Speaker 3: is it's working for them, and they were expected to

640
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,400
Speaker 3: be the worst team in the Big Twelve this year

641
00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:09,240
Speaker 3: after letting Retslav go late in the process. BYU was

642
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 3: supposed to be one of the worst teams in the

643
00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 3: Big twelve and they are now one of the best

644
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 3: teams in the Big twelve. But I do not think

645
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:17,480
Speaker 3: they are going to be able to hang with Texas

646
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 3: Tech on the road.

647
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 2: So funny how that happens two years in a row

648
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:21,480
Speaker 2: in the midges.

649
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 3: You're really for BYU twice. Yeah, yeah, yep.

650
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 2: Guys.

651
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:28,560
Speaker 1: If you want to track your bets, stay accountable and

652
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:32,040
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663
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 1: Slash Premium at three point thirty in Iowa City, It's

664
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 1: an elimination game in the Big Ten championship race, with

665
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 1: the number six Oregon Ducks sitting between five and a

666
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 1: half and six and a half point road favorites over

667
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 1: the six and two Iowa Hawkeys. Bad weather sloppy play

668
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 1: that led to the Ducks not covering the last time

669
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,960
Speaker 1: out against the Wisconsin Badgers, dropping them to just five

670
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 1: and three ATS, but Dan Lannings Ducks still remain top

671
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:31,720
Speaker 1: five in scoring offense six and scoring defense, featuring the

672
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 1: nation's top passing defense and also throwing the ball necessarily.

673
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 2: Is an Iowa strength anyways, There one.

674
00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 1: Hundred and thirty second in passing offense under FCS transfer

675
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:47,360
Speaker 1: quarterback Mark Gronowski. They are thirty ninth in a rushing offense,

676
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:51,280
Speaker 1: second in total defense, creating a pretty suffocating ball controlling

677
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 1: style of play. This is the first matchup since Oregon

678
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:57,680
Speaker 1: has joined the conference between the Hawkeys and the Ducks.

679
00:31:57,720 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 1: So how do you see it playing out this go round?

680
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 3: Yeah? I don't like this game very much. How did

681
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 3: Iowa lose to Iowa State?

682
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:05,560
Speaker 1: Man?

683
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:09,240
Speaker 3: I just still that went backfis me rivalry game whatever,

684
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 3: But yeah, I'm went there a lean that Oregon should

685
00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 3: win this game. But I'll be honest, I can't back

686
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 3: Oregon because the Hawkeye has already got me once this

687
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 3: year at home at home. This defense, that is it, man,

688
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 3: this should be Oregon walking away. I think in you know,

689
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 3: when you're playing out the scenarios in your head of

690
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 3: how this game is going to go, I think the

691
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 3: most likely scenario is Oregon gets up big, you know,

692
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 3: even if not big, fourteen nothing, fourteen to three at

693
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 3: halftime or something like that, right, and then you just

694
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 3: hit the crap out of them because they have to

695
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:45,000
Speaker 3: pass the ball and they cannot protect Ronowski against Oregon.

696
00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 3: I doubt when he has to throw the ball. They

697
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 3: haven't thrown the ball well at all. But is Oregon

698
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 3: going to be able to just go in and score it? Will?

699
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 3: I mean this. Iowa is second in ten plus yard

700
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 3: plays allowed, They're second in total defense, They're fourth in

701
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 3: scoring defense. They're fifth in passing and tenth in rushing

702
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 3: and opponent's red zone scoring percentage. Their top ten in

703
00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 3: the defense is real, specifically at home for Iowa. I

704
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:16,920
Speaker 3: just don't think they can hang with the Ducks. But

705
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 3: I thought they just couldn't hang with Indiana either, So

706
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 3: I'm gonna stay away from this game. Everything in my

707
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 3: brain says Oregon, Oregon, organ But I've lost money doing

708
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 3: this before because look, Indiana's blown out everybody. They went

709
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,960
Speaker 3: into Iowa and one twenty to fifteen they had the

710
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 3: weird I mean, your worst beat of the year with

711
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 3: the safety thing life right right, so they had that

712
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 3: as well. So I just can't. I'm not going to

713
00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 3: back the Ducks this week. I would lean towards Iowa

714
00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:53,840
Speaker 3: in this spot, but I hate it. Everything in my

715
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 3: brain says Oregon should walk away winning this game by

716
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 3: a lot, but it just doesn't happen at Iowa.

717
00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm seeing mius two hundred money line for the

718
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,600
Speaker 1: Ducks rolling around right now. So maybe if I can

719
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,360
Speaker 1: find a boost to get that down to even like

720
00:34:06,360 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 1: a minus one fifty or a minus one fifty five,

721
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:12,879
Speaker 1: I'd probably drink that or potentially just parlay that with something.

722
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:14,239
Speaker 2: That's probably the way I would go because I do

723
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 2: agree with you.

724
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:17,359
Speaker 1: I do like the Ducks, but I don't like them

725
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 1: anything more than a point or two, just based off

726
00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:22,680
Speaker 1: what happened to me with Mendoza and crew just a

727
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:23,439
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago.

728
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,879
Speaker 2: So let's go ahead, let's keep it moving.

729
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 1: Let's get back into SEC country where it's the third

730
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:31,839
Speaker 1: ranked Texas A and m Aggie's coming into Colombia as

731
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 1: seven to seven and a half point road favorites against the

732
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:38,439
Speaker 1: nineteenth ranked Missouri Tigers. Before the bye, Mike Elko's men,

733
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 1: they went into Death Valley, they got Brian Kelly fired

734
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,480
Speaker 1: with a forty nine to twenty five win over LSU,

735
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 1: moving the A and m Aggie's two eight and oh

736
00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 1: straight up four and four ats on the season. The

737
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 1: Aggies are currently tied with Bama at the top of

738
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 1: the SEC standings. Their quarterback Marcel Reid is looking like

739
00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:59,080
Speaker 1: a legitimate Heisman candidate, sitting right now at plus eight fifty.

740
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:02,320
Speaker 1: He's got a scoring at the eleventh highest clip, sitting

741
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 1: top thirty five in both passing and rushing, so very

742
00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:09,280
Speaker 1: balanced offense. The defense still has been quite an issue,

743
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:12,279
Speaker 1: sixteenth in scoring, but they are leading the nation in

744
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:16,800
Speaker 1: sacks per game and opponent third down conversion rate. Missouri, meanwhile,

745
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 1: they're coming off that by coming in at five and

746
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:21,959
Speaker 1: two straight up and ats, but now in his life

747
00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 1: without Bo Pribola. Keep in mind, they also lost another

748
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 1: one of their starting quarterbacks early in the season to

749
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 1: an injury. Rebuilo is out for the year with that

750
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 1: torn acl So that's going to leave Matt Zohlers under center.

751
00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 1: He is a freshman, and he does still have Doak

752
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:40,359
Speaker 1: Walker Award candidate Ahmad Hardy in the backfield, who leads

753
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:43,000
Speaker 1: the SEC in rushing. They also have a top five

754
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:46,279
Speaker 1: total defense there in Missou. Boggs, I know it's gonna

755
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:49,359
Speaker 1: be a roundy environment, but I think I do want

756
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:51,280
Speaker 1: to lay the points here with A and M, specifically

757
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 1: against Zolers in his first start.

758
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 3: What about you, Yeah, I mean, I don't think that

759
00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 3: I came back to Missouri after what I saw against

760
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 3: Auburn and Vanderbilt on the right, right, like this is

761
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 3: this game's at home and everything, but they were absolutely

762
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 3: dominated along the line when they were on offense, and

763
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,520
Speaker 3: they just couldn't get anything rolling. Now, Texas A and

764
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 3: M's defense doesn't team to really match well with Missouri.

765
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:16,080
Speaker 3: The Tigers have been way better at home. They prefer

766
00:36:16,160 --> 00:36:19,359
Speaker 3: to the run the ball with hardy first anyway, right

767
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:23,520
Speaker 3: and the Texas A and M rushing defense is thirty

768
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 3: third in the country. They're passing defense is forty fourth.

769
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:29,800
Speaker 3: They're way better on offense specifically right now. The Aggie's

770
00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 3: offense in October was absolutely on fire, you know, thirty one,

771
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:38,840
Speaker 3: thirty four, forty five, and forty nine against LSU. The

772
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:43,320
Speaker 3: Aggie's defense peaked against Mississippi State, but has since rendered

773
00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 3: forty two to Arkansas twenty five last week to a

774
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:49,920
Speaker 3: gross LSU offense that ended up firing Brian Kelly. So

775
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 3: I like the over, and I want to wait because

776
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,719
Speaker 3: I want to see which way the line goes. I

777
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:57,960
Speaker 3: think it's already ticked down a point if I'm not mistaken,

778
00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 3: to forty eight and a half here. These teams, they're

779
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,000
Speaker 3: close in roster strength but similar in time of possession

780
00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 3: total offense. But I think Texas A and M gets up.

781
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,840
Speaker 3: They force Missouri to pass, and then they start hitting

782
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:13,759
Speaker 3: the the Jesus out of zolars, which causes turnovers, and

783
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 3: I think that ends up in a Texas A and

784
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,759
Speaker 3: M win. But this game could easily be a close one.

785
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 3: I just like I know A and M is going

786
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 3: to score. They just have scored on pretty much everybody

787
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 3: this year. It's what is Missouri going to do with Zolars.

788
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:28,040
Speaker 3: I think they're going to be able to move the

789
00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:29,600
Speaker 3: ball a little bit against A and M. I think

790
00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 3: this is one of those A and M like Arkansas

791
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 3: forty five to forty two. This one with a true freshman,

792
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 3: first star blah blah blah, but he's coming off a

793
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 3: bye week. Let's make it, you know whatever, thirty one

794
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:46,279
Speaker 3: to seventeen, thirty one to twenty one, thirty one to

795
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 3: twenty four, something like that. This game is supposed to

796
00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 3: be tight. I think A and M is going to score.

797
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,080
Speaker 3: If it's going to be tight like this, that means

798
00:37:53,080 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 3: Missouri is going to score a little bit as well.

799
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:56,479
Speaker 3: So I like the over in this game.

800
00:37:56,640 --> 00:38:00,080
Speaker 1: We've also got a really interesting SEC clash in Nashville well,

801
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:04,280
Speaker 1: with the fifteenth ranked Vandermilt Commodorees currently sitting as seven

802
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 1: to seven and a half point home favorites against the

803
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 1: four and five Auburn Tigers. Auburn they will be on

804
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,240
Speaker 1: the dead cat bounce after parting ways with Hugh Freeze

805
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 1: after a few seasons. There currently sitting three and six

806
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:19,879
Speaker 1: after losing out right to the Kentucky Wildcats as ten

807
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites, So haven't been good against

808
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,640
Speaker 1: the spread this season. The Tigers also in the middle

809
00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 1: of a quarterback controversy after benching Jackson Arnold last week.

810
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:34,520
Speaker 1: We saw our former Stanford quarterback Ashton Daniels out there,

811
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 1: and as you know many of us probably guests not

812
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 1: much better Vandy. Vandy got beat by Texas last week

813
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:44,640
Speaker 1: as three and a half point home favorites, but they

814
00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:46,560
Speaker 1: did all they could to mount a comeback and then

815
00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 1: one Diego Pavia probably out of the Heisman conversation now,

816
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:53,840
Speaker 1: but the Kami's still sitting thirteenth and scoring offense. Also

817
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 1: have a pretty strong defense, mostly struggling to stop the

818
00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 1: pass and to limit big plays, as we saw Ryan

819
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 1: go uh To take one to the house right off

820
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 1: the rip there. So Boggs, we got bit by the

821
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:08,520
Speaker 1: dead cat bounce last week in that Florida Georgia game.

822
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 1: Are you willing to go against it in this spot

823
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 1: with the Commodores.

824
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:15,120
Speaker 3: Look, the big question is are we going to get that?

825
00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:19,840
Speaker 3: And this offense has been so unbelievably horrific, But the

826
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 3: Tigers have also faced the fifth hardest strength to schedule

827
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:27,000
Speaker 3: this season. I think if you had a coach that

828
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 3: wasn't Hugh Freeze, that that coach might still be there

829
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:34,520
Speaker 3: this season. You free should have been fired before the

830
00:39:34,560 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 3: season started. He should not have come into this year

831
00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 3: because I don't think this year was really his fault.

832
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 3: He was part of the tame Ducky. It's Jackson Arnold

833
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,800
Speaker 3: that is the problem this year. And Ashton Daniels, like

834
00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:48,959
Speaker 3: you mentioned, is not much better. That is your real

835
00:39:49,040 --> 00:39:54,280
Speaker 3: problem because everywhere else you have a great defense, great defense.

836
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 2: Us for Stephen Core in the nation, maybe.

837
00:39:56,719 --> 00:39:59,279
Speaker 3: Probably in the SEC at least, like one of the best.

838
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 3: I mean, Ohio State's pretty good.

839
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:03,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I think.

840
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,720
Speaker 3: One of the better ones in the country and probably

841
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:07,400
Speaker 3: the best in the SEC. But nobody could get in

842
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:10,680
Speaker 3: the damn ball. That's the problem with them. That that

843
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 3: is the problem. They ended up benching him and starting

844
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 3: ash Daniels. Like you said later in that game, will

845
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 3: the offense be more free and likely to succeed now

846
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:24,280
Speaker 3: that the pressure is off. That's a big question. Probably.

847
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 3: But also Vandy did get stomped last week. They never

848
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:29,759
Speaker 3: quit fighting. That is the thing that you're gonna get

849
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:32,600
Speaker 3: from Vandy is they're never gonna quit fighting, So this

850
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,240
Speaker 3: might be they might be out of the race Auburn,

851
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,399
Speaker 3: but I don't expect them to quit. However, I do

852
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:40,360
Speaker 3: expect this line to open up, and the higher it gets,

853
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:44,320
Speaker 3: the better Auburn is going to. Look, it's actually gone

854
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:47,480
Speaker 3: down one point now, from seven and a half to

855
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:48,360
Speaker 3: six and a half.

856
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 2: So oh, there is six and a half out there now.

857
00:40:51,080 --> 00:40:53,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, right before we started, I was double checking these

858
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:55,440
Speaker 3: and six and a half seems to be the line

859
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,480
Speaker 3: in this kind now, So I'm probably not gonna touch

860
00:40:58,520 --> 00:40:59,799
Speaker 3: it at six and a half. If it gets back

861
00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:01,160
Speaker 3: out seven and a half or eight and a half,

862
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 3: nine and a half, or if you want to alt

863
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:04,879
Speaker 3: line it that way to more than a touchdown, I'll

864
00:41:04,880 --> 00:41:06,640
Speaker 3: take Auburn because I don't think we get the quit.

865
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 3: The pressure is off now they can play a little

866
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 3: more free. And if if I'm the interim head coach here,

867
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:14,239
Speaker 3: I'm just saying, look, let's go back to Dart or

868
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:18,240
Speaker 3: at dart let's go back to Jacksonville Jackson the wrong Jackson.

869
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 3: Let's go let's go back to Jackson Arnold and just

870
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:24,480
Speaker 3: see if we're not structuring him and being so rigid.

871
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:27,520
Speaker 3: If he plays a little bit better, that's probably what

872
00:41:27,560 --> 00:41:29,920
Speaker 3: I would do. But if they go to Ashton Daniels,

873
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 3: there is not a chance I would take Auburn in

874
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 3: this game. So let's wait to see what quarterback they

875
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,399
Speaker 3: announce if we get one, and you know, to see

876
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:39,960
Speaker 3: what's going on here. I think for the most part,

877
00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:42,080
Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna stay away from this one. But if

878
00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:43,400
Speaker 3: this gets up to eight and a half nine and

879
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:46,040
Speaker 3: a half in Vandy's favor, I'll probably go back on

880
00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 3: the Surrey here or on Auburn here. Excuse me.

881
00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 1: The annual Navy Notre Dame game is about to go

882
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:54,920
Speaker 1: down in the primetime slate, with the tenth ranked Fighting

883
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 1: Irish laying between twenty five and a half and twenty

884
00:41:58,120 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 1: six and a half points on the.

885
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:02,120
Speaker 2: Seven one midshipman Navy.

886
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:04,240
Speaker 1: They just picked up their first loss of the season

887
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 1: last week to North Texas, but they actually have not

888
00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:10,520
Speaker 1: covered against the spreads since Week three. Their eighty second

889
00:42:10,640 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 1: ranked total defense has allowed four straight teams to go

890
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,359
Speaker 1: over thirty one points. And like, there's some pretty bad

891
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 1: teams in there. There's Air Force, there's Temple and not

892
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 1: the best offenses and teams in general, and their top

893
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:24,600
Speaker 1: ranked rushing offense could only find the end zone twice

894
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:27,000
Speaker 1: against the Me and Green last week, which was really

895
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:30,680
Speaker 1: letting everyone score. Notre Dame they are in off a

896
00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 1: twenty five to ten win over Boston College, did fail

897
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:35,840
Speaker 1: to cover in that game, falling to just three and

898
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 1: five ats.

899
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 2: There's this season. They're running back though.

900
00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:41,840
Speaker 1: Jeremiah Love, He's starting to pick up some real steam here,

901
00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:44,520
Speaker 1: starting to mix it up in this Heisman conversation a bit,

902
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 1: averaging one hundred and thirty eight rushing yards one point

903
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:51,280
Speaker 1: five touchdowns per game over the past four weeks. Boggs,

904
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,759
Speaker 1: Will Navy be able to slow him down? And this

905
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:57,240
Speaker 1: fourteenth ranked scoring offense of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

906
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 3: I think this might be too many points for Notre

907
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:00,160
Speaker 3: Dame to cover in Snavy.

908
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:03,280
Speaker 2: That's It's well, I wasn't expected to be this many.

909
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:05,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I mean either, like we put this one

910
00:43:06,719 --> 00:43:10,439
Speaker 3: on the sheet of games year half twenty maybe, yeah,

911
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:13,360
Speaker 3: seventeen and a half to twenty. I think that is

912
00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:15,520
Speaker 3: probably a little bit more appropriate. Like I thought twenty

913
00:43:15,600 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 3: and a half was as high as we go, Like

914
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 3: three touchdowns less than three touchdowns. I think that is

915
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 3: where I kind of expected this to be. So, you know,

916
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 3: I don't was maybe looking past unt in that game,

917
00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 3: do you think like I don't think you can.

918
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 1: I don't think you can with the conference championship and

919
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: the implications that had, so I don't know. I just

920
00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:38,680
Speaker 1: feel like they didn't show up for once, Like they're

921
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:40,719
Speaker 1: like Horvath was not good in that game.

922
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 2: Neither was any of the running backs really effective.

923
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:45,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're never really in that game. They got shut

924
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:46,880
Speaker 3: down in the red zone. They got there, they had

925
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 3: eight penalties, right, But Notre Dame only really has a

926
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:51,800
Speaker 3: one impressive win against USC and then they had the

927
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,680
Speaker 3: close losses to Miami and Texas A and m Probably

928
00:43:54,719 --> 00:43:57,080
Speaker 3: their next most impressive games is because they were close

929
00:43:57,120 --> 00:43:59,839
Speaker 3: to beating those teams. I think that they're way better

930
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:02,279
Speaker 3: than Navy, but I think twenty five points, it's just

931
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:04,479
Speaker 3: the bottom line there is that's too many points to cover.

932
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:08,080
Speaker 3: So I'll lean on Navy here, but I don't really

933
00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 3: trust them after that gross performance that we saw against

934
00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:14,279
Speaker 3: North Texas, and I you know, I also understand the

935
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:17,439
Speaker 3: logic that says Navy or Notre Dame is way better

936
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 3: than North Texas, so they should beat the Bejesus out

937
00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 3: of Navy here. So I get that. I just don't

938
00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:26,440
Speaker 3: think I want to put my dollars behind it, so

939
00:44:27,200 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 3: I'll lean towards Navy because it's too many points. To me,

940
00:44:29,680 --> 00:44:32,799
Speaker 3: I'm really not been so impressed with what Notre Dame

941
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:35,000
Speaker 3: has done. I don't care if you win out the

942
00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:37,960
Speaker 3: rest of your schedule when you you know have this,

943
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 3: The rest of this crap is schedule, right, you beat

944
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:42,799
Speaker 3: one ring team and usc you lost the other two,

945
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 3: Your schedule needs to be harder if you want to

946
00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:47,360
Speaker 3: be taken seriously. So I don't really I'm kind of

947
00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:50,160
Speaker 3: glad maybe lost last week so Notre Dame couldn't stop

948
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:53,759
Speaker 3: their undefeated season here. So yeah, I want nothing to

949
00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 3: do with Notre Dame.

950
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I maybe would look at a Navy team total over.

951
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 1: I know, even though they getting gotten blown out a

952
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 1: couple times by Notre Dame, they continue to usually put

953
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:06,839
Speaker 1: up points in this game, even if it's not a ton.

954
00:45:06,920 --> 00:45:09,160
Speaker 1: So depending on that team total over, like if it's

955
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 1: fourteen and a half, maybe seventeen and a half points,

956
00:45:11,560 --> 00:45:14,080
Speaker 1: I've maybe mess around with that. Potentially that would be

957
00:45:14,120 --> 00:45:17,120
Speaker 1: something I would look forward to, just because Notre Dame's defense.

958
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 1: I mean, they're getting better, but they're still not good.

959
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:21,720
Speaker 1: So that's kind of kind of my take. But again,

960
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:23,160
Speaker 1: take that out with a grain of salt, because I'm

961
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:25,440
Speaker 1: owing to picking Navy games.

962
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:27,239
Speaker 2: So far I've Notre Dame.

963
00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:30,840
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, let's go ahead, though. Let's round of

964
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 1: the program with another SEC headliner coming in the prime

965
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:37,120
Speaker 1: time slate with the number four Alabama Crimson Tide. They're

966
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:41,200
Speaker 1: hosting the five and three LSU Tigers as nine and

967
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 1: a half two ten and a half point favorites. LSU

968
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:47,080
Speaker 1: also won the dead cat pounce after firing Brian Kelly

969
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 1: ahead of their bye weekend, losing three of their last

970
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:54,280
Speaker 1: four SEC matchups. They'll try to get this offense going

971
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,920
Speaker 1: that Garrett Nasmyers somehow led to the sixty fourth or

972
00:45:57,960 --> 00:46:01,920
Speaker 1: eighty fourth excuse me, ranked score offense. The roster strength

973
00:46:02,000 --> 00:46:04,640
Speaker 1: is there, the total defense is still strong as well,

974
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:07,160
Speaker 1: but we'll see if interim head coach and running back

975
00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:10,319
Speaker 1: coach Frank Wilson the third can figure out something on

976
00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:13,919
Speaker 1: offense here because it just has not been good. They're

977
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:17,040
Speaker 1: currently three and five ats this season as well.

978
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:17,560
Speaker 2: Bama.

979
00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:21,000
Speaker 1: They're coming off to buy as well, seven straight wins

980
00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:23,040
Speaker 1: to get to seven and one straight up five and

981
00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:27,240
Speaker 1: three ats Ty Simpson. This guy's making NFL caliber throws

982
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 1: all season long outside of that Florida State game. The

983
00:46:30,120 --> 00:46:33,360
Speaker 1: defense slowly also getting into shape, ranking twentieth and scoring

984
00:46:33,560 --> 00:46:37,000
Speaker 1: twenty fourth in yards allowed. So Bugs, this is another

985
00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:41,600
Speaker 1: one that feels somewhat trappy from a spread perspective, just

986
00:46:41,640 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 1: because of the dead cat bounce. So I'm off it.

987
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:46,399
Speaker 1: But do you see any value out there, either on

988
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 1: the Tide or on the Tigers.

989
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,920
Speaker 3: Maybe I think I'm with you. I think you know

990
00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 3: you have dead cat bounce versus Alabama with a bye week, right,

991
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:59,600
Speaker 3: That's a tough decision to make there, but we are

992
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 3: showing I value to LSU. Obviously a lot of pressure

993
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,800
Speaker 3: is off and they only need one more win to

994
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:08,160
Speaker 3: get to a Bowl. But I would I think the

995
00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:10,120
Speaker 3: thing that I want to see more for LSU is

996
00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:14,400
Speaker 3: the offensive line shake up after nearly getting Nussmeyer killed.

997
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:17,160
Speaker 3: Cash is how I'm sure you saw that hit when

998
00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 3: he decked nuss Smyer to start that game. That was

999
00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:22,160
Speaker 3: the tone setter of that game. There was no way

1000
00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:24,719
Speaker 3: else he was gonna come back after nus Smeyer gets

1001
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:27,560
Speaker 3: decked play four. So I think you're gonna see a

1002
00:47:27,680 --> 00:47:30,000
Speaker 3: mix up of some of these guys that are kind

1003
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,120
Speaker 3: of on quick watch. And that's the thing, is like,

1004
00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:35,840
Speaker 3: do we get LSU with the number one roster strength

1005
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:38,400
Speaker 3: coming into this season? Do we get them playing free

1006
00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:40,520
Speaker 3: and easy? The pressure is off, the you know, the

1007
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 3: devil is dead, all of that, Brian Kelly is gone.

1008
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:45,680
Speaker 3: We don't have to deal with all of that nonsense.

1009
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:51,240
Speaker 3: That's Charlatan anymore, or is it. I mean, these guys

1010
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,880
Speaker 3: are transferring, you know, we don't like what's going on

1011
00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:59,160
Speaker 3: with this program. Somebody Yeah, yeah, So I'm not really sure.

1012
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:01,680
Speaker 3: I would think you play for pride against Alabama, right,

1013
00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,520
Speaker 3: I think that is kind of where I go landing

1014
00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:06,880
Speaker 3: on this is we play for pride against Alabama, and

1015
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,680
Speaker 3: I'm not sure. I'm not sure it matters though, with

1016
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:12,520
Speaker 3: the way Simpson has been playing in Alabama, get any

1017
00:48:12,600 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 3: extra week and coming off. I think the worst thing

1018
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:19,160
Speaker 3: that could have happened for LSU was South Carolina had

1019
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:21,960
Speaker 3: a really good chance to win that game and embarrassed

1020
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:25,720
Speaker 3: Alabama in the last game they played. So I think,

1021
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:28,480
Speaker 3: you know, all things considered, I'm going to lean towards

1022
00:48:28,520 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 3: the tide here, but I want to see which way

1023
00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 3: this line goes. I'm going to wait and see. If

1024
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:36,640
Speaker 3: it ticks down towards Alabama, I'll be more likely to

1025
00:48:36,680 --> 00:48:39,080
Speaker 3: take them, but if it gets closer to two touchdowns,

1026
00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:42,520
Speaker 3: I'll probably take LSU because of the dead cat bounce.

1027
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:46,360
Speaker 3: So this week not my favorite week set, I'll say though.

1028
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:48,840
Speaker 3: A lot of really close games, a lot of weird

1029
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:52,319
Speaker 3: scenarios for these games, and we haven't even got into

1030
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:55,200
Speaker 3: proper weather reports yet this time of year either, so

1031
00:48:55,800 --> 00:48:59,040
Speaker 3: you know, a Wednesday we could be changing our tune

1032
00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:01,400
Speaker 3: in a couple of these matchs. So this is a

1033
00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:04,799
Speaker 3: very weird week. The lines are gonna shift, I feel

1034
00:49:04,840 --> 00:49:07,279
Speaker 3: like a decent amount, specifically in some of these games

1035
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:10,600
Speaker 3: where the head coach was fired Auburn and LSU. But

1036
00:49:11,360 --> 00:49:15,120
Speaker 3: I think at the end of the day roll tide. Yeah.

1037
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,279
Speaker 1: I agree with you about the slate, and it's just

1038
00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:19,920
Speaker 1: kind of that time of year where some upsets still brewing.

1039
00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:22,120
Speaker 1: We have a couple of dead cat bounces here on

1040
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:25,000
Speaker 1: this slate of games that we picked out specifically here

1041
00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:26,720
Speaker 1: as well, So just keep going.

1042
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 3: On watch a lot of these teams as well. So yep,

1043
00:49:30,080 --> 00:49:30,800
Speaker 3: that's where we're.

1044
00:49:30,680 --> 00:49:32,480
Speaker 1: At, all right, and that's going to do it for

1045
00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:34,600
Speaker 1: us on this episode of the Betting.

1046
00:49:34,320 --> 00:49:35,719
Speaker 2: Pros College Football Show.

1047
00:49:36,040 --> 00:49:38,320
Speaker 1: Let us know down in the comments below your favorite

1048
00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:40,799
Speaker 1: Week eleven picks, and while you're here, make sure you're

1049
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:43,560
Speaker 1: smashing that like Bunton and subscribing to the channel if

1050
00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:46,280
Speaker 1: you're new. Also be sure to download the Betting Pros

1051
00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:49,279
Speaker 1: app and sink your books today For Scott Bogman, I've

1052
00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:51,800
Speaker 1: seth Wilcock take care of y'all.

1053
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:54,440
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

1054
00:49:54,480 --> 00:49:56,880
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

1055
00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:59,960
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1056
00:50:00,160 --> 00:50:03,200
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1057
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:05,120
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1058
00:50:05,560 --> 00:50:06,600
Speaker 2: Also subscribe to our

1059
00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:09,480
Speaker 5: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros