1 00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:06,600 Speaker 1: This is a breaking news update from Bloomberg instant reaction 2 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: and analysis from our three thousand journalists and analysts around 3 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: the world. 4 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 2: President Trump announced his Liberation Day tariffs. It turns out 5 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 2: they're even bigger than the smooth Holy tariffs at the 6 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,080 Speaker 2: beginning of the Great Depression. The move drew this reaction 7 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 2: from Bob Michael, the chief investment officer at JP Morgan 8 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:26,600 Speaker 2: Investment Management. 9 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 3: Given as how tariffs stand as they were announced, that's 10 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 3: going to push the US economy into recession. They're dramatic. 11 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 3: Its attacks on businesses and households. It's going to cause 12 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 3: them to retrench. It's worse than most expectations. I think 13 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:50,639 Speaker 3: the caveat is we don't know what the policy response 14 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 3: will look like. We still have until April ninth for 15 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 3: the majority of the tariffs to be enacted, so there 16 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 3: could be a lot of negotiation. 17 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 2: Seema Sean about global investors, looks at prices and growth 18 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 2: the terrors, she says will bring the worst of both worlds. 19 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 4: The part which is probably most concerning for investors is 20 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 4: the announcement yesterday is very styflationary, and we know from 21 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 4: looking at previous regime, previous market movements over history that 22 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:21,479 Speaker 4: stackflation is typically the regime where rarely does any asset 23 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 4: class do particularly well. 24 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 2: Doug Irwin, John French, professor at dartminth says the idea 25 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 2: that terroriffs will bring jobs back to the US is 26 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 2: a false home. 27 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 5: Even if we bring back some of the factories to 28 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 5: produce these things, because the cost of importing is much higher, 29 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 5: the jobs probably won't follow. Even with textiles and apparel, 30 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 5: a lot can be automated. And so when we think 31 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 5: about the steel industry, which has always been near and 32 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 5: dear to the President's heart, in the nineteen eighties, it 33 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 5: took ten worker hours to produce a ton of steel. 34 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 5: Now it takes one. We're producing just as much steel, 35 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 5: but we just need many fewer workers because and the 36 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 5: type of workers that we need to produce steel has 37 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 5: changed from blue collar to white collar, from hard labor 38 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 5: to engineer monitoring equipment, and so the whole nature of 39 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 5: the economy has changed. So we're not in the twentieth 40 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 5: century anymore. We're in the twenty first century, and to 41 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 5: go back to the nineteenth century is going to be 42 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 5: really hard pull. And that's why the markets are reacting 43 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 5: the way they are. 44 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 2: A Wall Street legend. At at your Denny Research, the 45 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 2: man who famously coined the term bond vigilante, had this 46 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 2: message for the administration on behalf of the stock market vigilantes. 47 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 5: I'd like to say, mister President, take down this tariff wall. 48 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:31,079 Speaker 2: This is the most absurd policy that one could possibly imagine, 49 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 2: and it's a disaster for the economy. 50 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 5: It's a disaster for the stock market. 51 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 2: And I think the pushback on the administration from the 52 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,679 Speaker 2: stock market vigilantes is already quite intense. 53 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 5: This is turning out to be not Liberation Day plus one, 54 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 5: It's turning out to be D Day in the on 55 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 5: Wall Street