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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Peultz. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt, and we are back following a two

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Speaker 2: and one night, a profitable night for us to start

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Speaker 2: the week. The Mariners run line, they all over the

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Speaker 2: Padres nine to six.

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Speaker 1: On the wind.

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Speaker 2: The Brewers get a late run to get us to

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Speaker 2: the run line seven to five to win. There for

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Speaker 2: the Brewers, the Nats and the Yankees. That was the

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Speaker 2: bad bed of the day. That game flew over ten

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Speaker 2: to five finals, So way wrong on that bed, but

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Speaker 2: right on the other two up with plus money one

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Speaker 2: point two units with a two in one day here

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Speaker 2: on Monday, So good start for us here on the week.

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Speaker 2: As we approach what will be a very busy college

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Speaker 2: football weekend, we have games starting on Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday,

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Speaker 2: all in college football. Looking forward to getting after every

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Speaker 2: one of those. And I will be in Massachusetts for

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Speaker 2: the long weekend, so I'm looking forward to being able

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Speaker 2: to fire on some books that are there New Hampshire.

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Speaker 2: After that, having a chance to jump onto New Hampshire stuff.

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Speaker 2: So looking forward to everything happening on the next couple

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Speaker 2: of days. But for now, we're going to continue with

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Speaker 2: the baseball. So it's baseball Monday, baseball Tuesday, maybe baseball Wednesday,

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Speaker 2: but then Thursday we go heavy into college football and

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Speaker 2: we start to drift away from the baseball. Although I

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Speaker 2: will say this, I don't want to drift too far

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Speaker 2: away from Major League Baseball because let's see if we

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Speaker 2: have an updated tracker here on Major League Baseball. So

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Speaker 2: we are, yeah, up to date as of today, so

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Speaker 2: that's we don't have the actual No, the record is

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Speaker 2: to date, but the will wins and losses on a

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Speaker 2: unit perspective is not updated, so the up twenty six

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Speaker 2: units is not accurate, but the actual bet totals are

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Speaker 2: so Major League Baseball. We are now eighty eight and

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Speaker 2: seventy two in Major League Baseball this year, so we're

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Speaker 2: up about thirteen units in Major League Baseball. So I

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Speaker 2: don't want to really, you know, get away from that

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Speaker 2: because last year in college football, you know, we were okay.

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Speaker 2: In twenty twenty five, we went eight and four with

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Speaker 2: the bets that were made in January in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: We won three point seven units during the playoffs in

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Speaker 2: twenty five, but our twenty four college football betting was

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Speaker 2: not good.

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Speaker 1: We were I guess I was wrong.

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Speaker 2: I was sixty eight and sixty five in twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 2: up five point sixty five units. Okay, it was really

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Speaker 2: college basketball. I guess that's where I'm right. That's where

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Speaker 2: that's where I really had had a rough year last year. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I was down ten units in college basketball last year.

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Speaker 2: I was one oh four and one oh nine in

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Speaker 2: college basketball last year. So that was in twenty four,

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Speaker 2: So that was really brtal College football is pretty good actually,

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Speaker 2: So hopefully we continue to going with college football here

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Speaker 2: today or this week and for this season. So off

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Speaker 2: to a decent start in college football, nothing too outstanding,

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Speaker 2: but we will continue obviously firing on college football as

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Speaker 2: we head towards this week. Before we get into the

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Speaker 2: picks for today, let's talk about the TJ. Hockinson signed helmet.

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Speaker 2: This will be given away in about a week and

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Speaker 2: a half after the Labor Day holiday.

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Speaker 1: We'll give this away.

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Speaker 2: So if you have not subscribed to the Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel, you should one hundred percent do that, right

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Speaker 2: now comment on this video. That's all you have to do.

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Speaker 2: Any comment works and you are in for the TJ.

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Speaker 2: Hockinson signed Vikings helmet. Subscribe, comment and you are good

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Speaker 2: to go with us. All right, let's start with the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox and their game against the Orioles. The Orioles

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Speaker 2: are throwing Kyle Bradish. Kyle Bradish has not pitched since

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Speaker 2: June of last year. He's coming back from Tommy John

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Speaker 2: surgery fourteen months off.

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Speaker 1: What will he look like?

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Speaker 2: No idea. Lucas Giolito is going for the Red Sox.

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Speaker 2: He is four and one with a three point sixty

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Speaker 2: five ERA on the road of posing betting averages two

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Speaker 2: fifteen twenty five earn runs and sixty one and two

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Speaker 2: thirds innings worth of work. Last time out against the Yankees,

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Speaker 2: a six to three win, he went four and two

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Speaker 2: thirds with three earned runs. Lost the Padres. That game,

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Speaker 2: he went four and two thirds four earned runs, but

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Speaker 2: they went five to four in extras and lost five

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Speaker 2: to four. But against the Twins he went six to

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Speaker 2: one earned run one got the team won the game.

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Speaker 1: There beat the Phillies.

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Speaker 2: Wasn't great in that game, but five urn runs in

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Speaker 2: four inning for the team won the game nine to eight.

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Speaker 2: On the road, Gielido has been solid. I'm backing the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox at a relatively cheap price, knowing that who

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Speaker 2: knows what Kyle British will look like, who knows how

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Speaker 2: many pitches Kyle Bradish will throw. The Red Sox won

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Speaker 2: four to three last night on a three run home

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Speaker 2: run by Jared Durant.

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Speaker 1: They're still not scoring very much.

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Speaker 2: I don't mind the under in this game, but I've

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Speaker 2: got no idea what Bratish is gonna look like. And

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Speaker 2: for that reason, I'm taking the Red Sox on the

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Speaker 2: money line. It's a pick them. The books don't know

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Speaker 2: what to do. They're just telling the pros. You tell

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Speaker 2: us what to play in, what the line should be,

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Speaker 2: because we don't.

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Speaker 1: Know what Kyle British is gonna look like.

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Speaker 2: So I got a Red Sox team that's fighting for

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Speaker 2: a playoff Berth. I got an Orioles team that's going nowhere.

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Speaker 2: Their fans are furious. They're throwing a guy again who

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Speaker 2: hasn't pitched in fourteen months. I'm fading the Orioles. I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the Red Sox. Call it a homer play. I know, right, right, there.

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Speaker 2: You know sign behind me would say, Okay, I'm a

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Speaker 2: Red Sox fan, because I am, but I just think

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Speaker 2: it's a good move to take the Red Sox against

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Speaker 2: the Orioles given what Kyle Bradosh is looking like right now,

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Speaker 2: which we have no idea what he'll look like coming

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Speaker 2: back after a fourteen month layoff.

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Speaker 1: He was great before.

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Speaker 2: The injury, one of the best pitchers in the American

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Speaker 2: League before the injury.

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Speaker 1: But you know this is now after the injury. What

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Speaker 1: will he look like? I have no idea.

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Speaker 2: Red Sox money line for one point one units second bet.

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Speaker 2: Let's go to the Yankees. Yankees taking on the Washington Nationals.

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Speaker 2: Yankees doing two one to two games in a row,

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Speaker 2: and the Yankees are facing McKenzie Gore, who's five and

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Speaker 2: twelve with a four point one to one EIRA. What

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Speaker 2: do the Yankees do against lefties?

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Speaker 1: They mashed them.

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Speaker 2: The Yankees RBIs fourth in baseball with one hundred and

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Speaker 2: seventy six home runs. They're fourth in baseball with fifty

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Speaker 2: batting average. They are third. They've bet two to sixty

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Speaker 2: against lefties and Mackenzie Gore has not been great. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Mackenzie Gore at home four point seven to three ERA

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Speaker 2: two and six record, a posing batting average of two

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Speaker 2: for the two. He has given up ten home runs

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Speaker 2: at home in sixty four and two thirds innings worth

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Speaker 2: of work. That is bad news when you face the Yankees.

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Speaker 2: And this lineup for New York now the Yankees at home, well, sorry,

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Speaker 2: that's his home record.

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Speaker 1: Sorry.

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Speaker 2: Mackenzie Gore on the road a three point five to

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Speaker 2: nine ERA, a three and six mark for him, a

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Speaker 2: posing betting average two sixty three, nine home runs given

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Speaker 2: up in seventy seven and two third innings worth of work.

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Speaker 2: Not not much better for Mackenzie Gore. And you have

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Speaker 2: Louis Heel on the other side going for the Yankees.

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Speaker 2: Heel at home is a two point six to one ERA.

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Speaker 2: He's pitched two games at homes. It's coming back from injury,

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Speaker 2: but both of them have been very good. Ten and

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Speaker 2: a third innings worth of work, three earned runs and

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Speaker 2: posting matting average of two fifty six for Heel. He

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Speaker 2: pitched against the Red Sox. He'd lost that game six

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Speaker 2: to three. He went five innings, gave up one earned run.

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Speaker 2: Was not his fault. It's Gore on the road. It's

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Speaker 2: the Nationals, who are twenty seven and thirty nine on

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Speaker 2: the road. It's minus one eighty on the Yankees. So

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Speaker 2: much like yesterday when we took the Brewers at home

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Speaker 2: laying the run line, We're gonna do the same thing

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Speaker 2: here with the Yankees. We're gonna take a shot at

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Speaker 2: plus one twenty on the Yankees laying one and a

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Speaker 2: half runs against the Washington Nationals. With Mackenzie Gore and

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Speaker 2: the left handed pitcher going, Let's expect these Yankee bats

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Speaker 2: to keep hammering Nationals pitching. They scored ten runs or

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Speaker 2: up ten nothing before they won the game ten to five.

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Speaker 2: But Yankees crushed yesterday. Let's do it again. Yankees on

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Speaker 2: the run line at plus one twenty. And finally for us,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go and look at the Guardians and what

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Speaker 2: the Guardians. We haven't met many Guardians games because I'm

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Speaker 2: not really high on the Guardians. However, the Guardians are

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Speaker 2: playing the Tampa Bay Rays and the Guardians have lost.

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Speaker 2: They lost nothing in the first game in the game yesterday,

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Speaker 2: in the first game of the series, and they're thirty

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Speaker 2: one and thirty two at home. The Guardians are a

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Speaker 2: team where they're not mostly gonna make the playoffs. They've

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Speaker 2: lost six games in a row. They're frustrated. They've been

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Speaker 2: shut out for three consecutive games. Ten nothing, five to nothing,

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Speaker 2: nine nothing. Okay, they've lost. They've lost six games in

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Speaker 2: a row. Things couldn't be worse. Well, there's an adage

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Speaker 2: when it comes to and professionals do this all the time,

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Speaker 2: when you get a great price no matter what happened

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Speaker 2: the game before. We're betting baseball, which really, yes, momentum

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Speaker 2: is a thing, but sometimes it's not. Okay, Parker Missic

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Speaker 2: is going now. This guy's had one start so far

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Speaker 2: in the big leagues. He's a left handed starting pitching

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Speaker 2: for the Guardians. He was decent in the one start

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Speaker 2: at Arizona. He went six and two thirds, one earned run,

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Speaker 2: one earned run.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me. They lost the game three to two extras.

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Speaker 2: The Rays are throwing a guy who we have faded

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Speaker 2: a lot in Shane Bass. Shane Bass, and this is

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Speaker 2: not a typo.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Since the beginning of July, the Rays have won a

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Speaker 2: total of one game in which he has started, a

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Speaker 2: five to four win at the Angels. Every other game

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Speaker 2: dating back to the twenty seventh of June, they have lost.

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Speaker 2: His ERA in July was five point four. His ZRA

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Speaker 2: in August is even worse. It's nine. In nineteen innings

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Speaker 2: worth of work, he's given up nineteen earned runs. When

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Speaker 2: a team gets shut out for three straight games, at

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Speaker 2: some point Major League Baseball hitters get angry, they get mad,

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Speaker 2: and they bust against it. Now you can say, bet

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Speaker 2: the streak, Matt, bet against this Guardians team, but it's

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Speaker 2: a pretty cheap price for a team at home to

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Speaker 2: go ahead and get a win for the Guardians who

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Speaker 2: are desperate. The Rays, on the other side have won

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Speaker 2: three games in a row. So I'm betting against what

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Speaker 2: I normally do here. But I just look at Shane

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Speaker 2: Baz and say, you're eight and ten. I got a

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Speaker 2: kid pitcher, lefty who hasn't done very much. We don't

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Speaker 2: know what really he is or what he looks like.

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Speaker 2: And I have a raised team that you know is

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Speaker 2: a middle of the pack team when it comes to

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Speaker 2: hitting lefties, that they're okay at lefties. They're not like

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Speaker 2: anything to go, Oh my gosh, look out here comes Tampa.

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Speaker 2: From a from a batting average perspective, from an RBI perspective,

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Speaker 2: They're a middle of the pack. From a home run perspective,

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Speaker 2: they are, you know, pretty much middle of the pack.

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Speaker 2: You know, they have nothing to jump up and down about.

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Speaker 2: They're just kind of right there in the middle. An

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Speaker 2: average team hitting lefties, average team batting against lefties, and

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Speaker 2: you have a kid in missing that. We don't know

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Speaker 2: how a whole lot about, but I know about Bass.

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Speaker 2: Six games in a row, lost for the Guardians, three

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Speaker 2: straight shutouts. I'm gonna go super contrarian and I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: take the Guardians here to win this game. Take the

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Speaker 2: Guardians on the money line at minus one fifteen. It's

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Speaker 2: a cheap price. Three bets for us here today. Guardians

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Speaker 2: money line at minus one fifteen, Yankees run line at

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Speaker 2: plus one twenty, and the Red Sox money line at

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Speaker 2: minus one ten. Those are our plays for Tuesday. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Parol. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever

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Speaker 2: you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice