WEBVTT - Skipping US Debt Drama And Pride at Work

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Daybreak here for this Thursday, the first

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<v Speaker 1>of June in London. Coming up today to spend your disbelief.

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<v Speaker 2>US House of Representatives avoids theatrics and passes the deathlimit bill, a.

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<v Speaker 1>Tough job bed officials call for a policy skip after

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<v Speaker 1>job opening search.

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<v Speaker 2>This is going to hurt UK executives and a former

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<v Speaker 2>Bank of England rate setter tell us the worst is

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<v Speaker 2>yet to come.

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<v Speaker 3>Cash for ash and taxing times for UK politics. Those

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<v Speaker 3>are the stories we're looking at in today's papers.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm Leanne Gerrins plus Pride in the office. We

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<v Speaker 1>speak to city workers about navigating their LGBT plus identities.

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<v Speaker 4>That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. The business

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<v Speaker 4>news you need to start your day in just one

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<v Speaker 4>fifteen minute podcast on Apple, Spotify, the Bloomberg Business App

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<v Speaker 4>and everywhere you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 2>Good morning.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Stephen Carroll and I'm Caroline Hecker. Here are the

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<v Speaker 1>stories that we're following today.

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<v Speaker 2>The US House of Representatives has passed by partisan legislation

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<v Speaker 2>to suspend its debthlimit until twenty twenty five. The agreement

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<v Speaker 2>won the backing of two thirds of House Republicans an

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<v Speaker 2>important show of confidence in Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Tonight we

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<v Speaker 2>all made history because this is the biggest cut and

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<v Speaker 2>savings this Congress has ever voted for. The bill now

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<v Speaker 2>goes from McCarthy's House to the Democrat controlled Senate, where

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<v Speaker 2>its passage is near certain. Although it will create some

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<v Speaker 2>tough spending changes for some government services, Morgan Stanley economists

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<v Speaker 2>to estimate the entire package will have a quote negligible

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<v Speaker 2>impact on the overall US economy.

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<v Speaker 1>Now the fashionable new word among Fed policymakers is not pause,

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<v Speaker 1>but skip. Federal Reserve Governor Philip Jefferson says that it

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<v Speaker 1>would allow better analysis of the economy.

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<v Speaker 5>A decision to hold our policy rate constant at a

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<v Speaker 5>coming meeting should not be interpreted to mean that we

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<v Speaker 5>have reached the peak rate for this cycle. Indeed, skipping

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<v Speaker 5>a rate hike at a coming meeting would allow the

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<v Speaker 5>committee to see more data before making decisions about the

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<v Speaker 5>extent of additional policy.

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<v Speaker 1>Firming the data Jeffson once is still spooling in. Though

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<v Speaker 1>US job vacancies unexpectedly surged in April to the highest

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<v Speaker 1>level in three months, the numbers set up June's rate

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<v Speaker 1>meeting to be a debate between inflation hawks and officials

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<v Speaker 1>worried about financial strain.

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<v Speaker 2>The former Bank of England policymaker Michael Saunders says the

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<v Speaker 2>UK economy still hasn't whether the worst of the storm now.

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<v Speaker 2>A senior advisor at Oxford Economics, he told us fixed

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<v Speaker 2>rate mortgages have slowed down some of the pain of

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<v Speaker 2>interest rate hikes.

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<v Speaker 6>This is going to be a period in which inflation

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<v Speaker 6>will still be quite high and so real wages will

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<v Speaker 6>be falling. The job plusrate is likely to be going up.

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<v Speaker 6>We haven't yet felt much of the effect of the

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<v Speaker 6>big rises and rates. That pain will come through, and

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<v Speaker 6>it'll come through in the next few quarters.

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<v Speaker 2>And you can hear that full interview with Michael Sandras

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<v Speaker 2>on the Bloomberg UK Politics podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, Saunderson isn't the only one who fears the worst

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<v Speaker 1>is yet to come. British business confidence stabilized at quote

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<v Speaker 1>just below neutral in May, with the executives fearful that

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<v Speaker 1>the shocks hitting the economy are far from over. Bloomberg's

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<v Speaker 1>U and Parts reports.

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<v Speaker 7>Top company bosses are not convinced that the worst is

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<v Speaker 7>over yet for the economy, After five months of increasing optimism,

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<v Speaker 7>a key gauge of sentiment from the Institute of Directors

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<v Speaker 7>edged down one point to a reading of minus six

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<v Speaker 7>that puts confidence levels last felt before Russia's invasion of

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<v Speaker 7>Ukraine last year. The findings published today well feel concerns

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<v Speaker 7>that inflation is weighing on momentum. Firms say they remain

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<v Speaker 7>concerned about labour sources, and only a third of bosses

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<v Speaker 7>believe that inflation has peaked. In London, i'm une pots

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<v Speaker 7>Bloomberg Day Break.

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<v Speaker 2>Europe, around fifty credit Swiss bankers are suing Switzerland's financial

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<v Speaker 2>regulator for rendering their bonuses worthless. A Swiss federal court

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<v Speaker 2>spokesman says they're suing over the right down of so

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<v Speaker 2>called contingent capital awards. The bonuses were based on eighty

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<v Speaker 2>one bonds which were wiped out in the emergency rescue

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<v Speaker 2>of credit Sweese. Those are some of our top stories

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<v Speaker 2>this morning.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, so yesterday, remember we brought you the interview with

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<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan's a Jamie Diamond. Well, there's been a follow

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<v Speaker 1>up to that. He tantalizingly sort of talked about maybe

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<v Speaker 1>serving his country and so of course there is this

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<v Speaker 1>idea of would he go into politics. Bill Ackman says

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<v Speaker 1>that actually Jamie Diamond should run for US president, and

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<v Speaker 1>not in the distant future, but in the twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four cycle. Thought that was quite interesting. Apparently it was

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<v Speaker 1>all over.

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<v Speaker 2>Tweet with friends like these. Yes, who needs bankers? Right, Well,

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<v Speaker 2>that's one of the stories that we're watching. It's also,

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<v Speaker 2>of course the first two June, so it's the start

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<v Speaker 2>of Pride Month, months traditionally to celebrate LBTQ plus identities.

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<v Speaker 2>And actually we have a fascinating conversation coming up a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit later with four workers from across the city

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<v Speaker 2>and financial industries talking about how they navigate their identities

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<v Speaker 2>at work, the importance of things like role models, and

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<v Speaker 2>also what they want to hear from companies during Pride Month.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's coming up a little bit later on.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, absolutely looking forward to listening to that reporting. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>and let's unpack then the story around the US debt ceiling,

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<v Speaker 1>which did pass the House of Representatives by three hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and fourteen to one hundred and seventeen. Bloomberg's John Harney

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<v Speaker 1>joins us now from Washington for the latest. John, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much for staying up late for us, So

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<v Speaker 1>a big relief then for Joe Biden and Kevin McCarthy.

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<v Speaker 1>Does that mean that the crisis is averted now?

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<v Speaker 8>Well, it's maybe not a big relief, it's some relief.

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<v Speaker 8>This still has to go before the upper house, the Senate,

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<v Speaker 8>And while there seems to be a desire to get

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<v Speaker 8>this thing over with, to vote on it relatively quickly,

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<v Speaker 8>remember the deadline or the default deadline. It could come

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<v Speaker 8>as early as Monday. It's not. It's not completely assured.

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<v Speaker 8>So the relief will come when it goes to President

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<v Speaker 8>Biden's desk and he signs this measure.

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<v Speaker 2>Does this help Joe Biden in his re election campaign?

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<v Speaker 2>The fact that he's managed to get a bipartisan deal

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<v Speaker 2>and get it passed at least, as you say, just

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<v Speaker 2>at the House for now, but to get it passed

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<v Speaker 2>through the Republican control House.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, you know, it depends how you know, what happens

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<v Speaker 8>to the economy this will mean, although you know, some

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<v Speaker 8>analysts are saying that it won't have a huge effect overall,

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<v Speaker 8>it could well mean some cutbacks and less money to

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<v Speaker 8>spend if a recession materializes. You know, also, it may

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<v Speaker 8>also weigh in what the Federal Reserve does. Uh? It does?

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<v Speaker 8>It does show uh. He you know, he did demonstrate

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<v Speaker 8>that he once again was willing to forge a deal

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<v Speaker 8>with the other, with the UH opposition party, the Republican Party. However,

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<v Speaker 8>he did it after saying he would not negotiate whatsoever

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<v Speaker 8>on a on a debt ceiling bill. So it remains

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<v Speaker 8>to be seen how all this plays out for both

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<v Speaker 8>President Biden and and the Republicans.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, do you think it does weaken the Republicans at all?

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<v Speaker 8>It Well, Joe Kevin McCarthy Beaker McCarthy spoke tonight and

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<v Speaker 8>and presented it as a great victory. Yeah, he did

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<v Speaker 8>as I as I just said, get President Biden to negotiate,

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<v Speaker 8>and he got the He got the bill passed in

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<v Speaker 8>his in his chamber and got got the billing or

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<v Speaker 8>got a bill passed and forced buying to the table,

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<v Speaker 8>and then got this measure passed after weeks of negotiations. However,

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<v Speaker 8>it got more Democratic votes than Republican votes, paradoxically, and

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<v Speaker 8>and seventy one of his own people, his own members

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<v Speaker 8>of his own party, voted against it. Also on the horizon,

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<v Speaker 8>of course, is the next election and both former President

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<v Speaker 8>Trump and his chief rival Ron DeSantis are in agreement

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<v Speaker 8>that they didn't like this deal. But we'll have to

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<v Speaker 8>see again again. We'll have to see what happens in

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<v Speaker 8>the near future and how how voters respond to it,

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<v Speaker 8>how the donors respond to it, and how the conservative

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<v Speaker 8>commentariat what they think about it.

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<v Speaker 2>This is a bipartisan agreement. It does set the outlines

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<v Speaker 2>for how much the US government can spend until just

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<v Speaker 2>after the next election. Are there con acquienances for where

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<v Speaker 2>policymaking goes from here given the events of recent days.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, certainly, I mean the the federal government will have

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<v Speaker 8>less to spend the this Uh, this deal took away

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<v Speaker 8>from the Internal Revenue Service, the tax uh tax Department

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<v Speaker 8>of the U. S. Treasury.

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<v Speaker 9>Uh.

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<v Speaker 8>There was there was they won't have the money, some

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<v Speaker 8>of the at least some of the money.

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<v Speaker 10>Uh.

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<v Speaker 8>They wanted to have to conduct audits of wealthy people

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<v Speaker 8>who might be of appording taxes that would have brought money.

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<v Speaker 8>So so so Democrats said, uh, created more revenue it Uh,

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<v Speaker 8>you know it. There's there's like and and I guess

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<v Speaker 8>the question is how much you know, just how much

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<v Speaker 8>energy is there left to do a lot more. I mean,

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<v Speaker 8>this was this, this required this, This was the big

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<v Speaker 8>focus of attention in Washington for months now. Really, and

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<v Speaker 8>I guess you have to wonder how much how much

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<v Speaker 8>verb do they have to pursue anything else either either party?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, absolutely, John, I feel like we're asking you the questions,

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<v Speaker 1>but you should be telling us really in your view

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<v Speaker 1>and your experience, what should we take away just very

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<v Speaker 1>briefly from this whole episode so far.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, it shows well, it shows two things. It shows

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<v Speaker 8>just how divided the United States is and its government is,

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<v Speaker 8>and how it is how difficult it is to reach consensus,

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<v Speaker 8>to reach agreement, and you know, and and there's there

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<v Speaker 8>are divisions within the parties. I mean I didn't I

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<v Speaker 8>didn't quite get into this, but there were there were

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<v Speaker 8>There was a lot of grumbling in the Republican Party

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<v Speaker 8>that Kevin McCarthy got a bad you know words, a

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<v Speaker 8>bad deal and they were to even talk of replacing

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<v Speaker 8>him a speaker he only got he only got it

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<v Speaker 8>in January. At the same time, an agreement was made

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<v Speaker 8>the parties. Did you know, as I said, Democrats more

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<v Speaker 8>Democrats voted for this field of Republicans. McCarthy got two

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<v Speaker 8>thirds of his caucus two to say yes. To get

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<v Speaker 8>to yes. He and Biden ultimately agreed. So I guess

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<v Speaker 8>what we can take away from it is something can

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<v Speaker 8>be done.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, John Harney in Washington. As always, we appreciate your

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<v Speaker 2>time and analysis on this story. Now today mark's the

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<v Speaker 2>start of Pride months dedicated to celebrating LGBT plus communities,

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<v Speaker 2>and to mark this, we brought together four people who

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<v Speaker 2>were in the early stages of their careers in finance,

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<v Speaker 2>law and in engineering. It's a fascinating conversation about how

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<v Speaker 2>they navigate their identity at work, but also how important

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<v Speaker 2>policies around diversity and inclusion can be to them. Take

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<v Speaker 2>a lesson.

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<v Speaker 10>My name's Klobe Walley. My pronouns are dai she and

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<v Speaker 10>I'm a data engineer at BP.

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<v Speaker 9>My name is orn Devlin. My pronouns are he him

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<v Speaker 9>and I work within City Global Sourcing Staffing Office.

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<v Speaker 11>I'm Jackie Roaldeger. I'm a litigation lawyer at Hogan Level's International, LLP.

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<v Speaker 11>My pronouns are sheet and her.

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<v Speaker 12>My name is Harry Randall. My pronouns are hear him.

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<v Speaker 12>I'm an associate in the UK Investment Bank at Jeffrey's

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<v Speaker 12>International Limited.

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<v Speaker 9>I have previously worked in organizations where I wouldn't have

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<v Speaker 9>been comfortable in being out in the workplace, and I

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<v Speaker 9>suppose that that was a factor whenever I was looking

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<v Speaker 9>for new roles and new opportunities. I went into the

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<v Speaker 9>recruitment process with insteady knowing where they stood on social issues,

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<v Speaker 9>and that was a key aspect of where I wanted

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<v Speaker 9>to work next.

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<v Speaker 11>When I first entered the legal industry, I was so

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<v Speaker 11>deep in the closet that I could have been mistaken

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<v Speaker 11>for Aslan from the Lion the Witch in the wallsrobe

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<v Speaker 11>complete with the hat. My Monday morning routine typically consisted

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<v Speaker 11>of rehearsing lines on the tube to the much dreaded

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<v Speaker 11>question what did you do at the weekend? Because I

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<v Speaker 11>was terrified that if I revealed too much, I would

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<v Speaker 11>out myself.

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<v Speaker 10>There's this really interesting statistic, actually research on twenty eight

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<v Speaker 10>team that states that over forty percent of young people,

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<v Speaker 10>that's people ages eighteen to twenty five go back in

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<v Speaker 10>the closet and they start their first job. And that

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<v Speaker 10>was definitely my initial experience. As soon as I realized

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<v Speaker 10>that it was a safe space, and as soon as

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<v Speaker 10>I saw other people in the industry, in the office

0:13:20.360 --> 0:13:24.480
<v Speaker 10>at work being out and that being okay, I immediately

0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:28.439
<v Speaker 10>reverted to how I had always been very vocal, very

0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:29.559
<v Speaker 10>active in the community.

0:13:30.120 --> 0:13:32.520
<v Speaker 12>Moving into the workplace was the first time that I

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:34.720
<v Speaker 12>was fully out as a gay man, and I think,

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:38.120
<v Speaker 12>particularly at university, the decision to actually come out was

0:13:38.160 --> 0:13:41.400
<v Speaker 12>something that was taken out of my control because words

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 12>travel quick, So I was very keen to make sure

0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:46.800
<v Speaker 12>that when I moved into the workplace, I was in

0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:49.520
<v Speaker 12>control of that, and I chose on what terms I

0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:52.680
<v Speaker 12>told people. I picked the right conversations at the right time,

0:13:52.760 --> 0:13:57.320
<v Speaker 12>because you will never stop coming out and making sure

0:13:57.360 --> 0:14:00.439
<v Speaker 12>that you feel comfortable doing that around so people is

0:14:00.520 --> 0:14:02.680
<v Speaker 12>driven by role models who have done that in the past.

0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:06.600
<v Speaker 12>You can see from their experience that actually everything turns

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 12>out quite a right.

0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:10.000
<v Speaker 11>When I started as a trainee lister at Clifford Chance,

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 11>I had the privilege of meeting more senior lesbian lawyers,

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:14.480
<v Speaker 11>and you know, they were fine. They'd been at the

0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:16.559
<v Speaker 11>firm throughout their whole career, and that gave me a

0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:19.440
<v Speaker 11>lot of confidence, and I became the firm's LGBTQ app.

0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:20.600
<v Speaker 1>But when I left.

0:14:20.440 --> 0:14:22.240
<v Speaker 11>Clifford chance to go to the US firm. I didn't

0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:23.760
<v Speaker 11>see any role models, and so I went back in

0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:26.800
<v Speaker 11>the closet and it was quite difficult because it's very

0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 11>It is a distraction being in a closet. You're wasting

0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 11>a lot of energy thinking about am I going to

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:34.520
<v Speaker 11>be found out? You know, it's quite CAZy and your answers.

0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 11>You can't really bond the people as well because you're

0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:38.440
<v Speaker 11>sort of hiding things and so normal as I can't

0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:41.040
<v Speaker 11>emphasize the importance of them, because visibility matters. If you

0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:43.120
<v Speaker 11>don't meet people like you, you can start to think

0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:44.440
<v Speaker 11>there's something wrong with the way that you look.

0:14:44.960 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 9>I think when we talk about leadership and role models,

0:14:49.000 --> 0:14:51.400
<v Speaker 9>you know, Sadi has had a milestone moment in a

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:54.680
<v Speaker 9>financial services industry with having Jane Fraser as the first

0:14:55.000 --> 0:14:58.400
<v Speaker 9>female CEO of Wall Street Bank. You know that change

0:14:58.440 --> 0:15:01.840
<v Speaker 9>in that culture, you know, has brought with it representation

0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:05.840
<v Speaker 9>and progress for all marginalized groups and voices within our organization,

0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 9>and in terms of role modeling, we I have various

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 9>senior leaders on the training floor here and now I

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:14.160
<v Speaker 9>am more comfortable in coming out and being out in

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 9>the workplace, which has historically been misogynistic, chauvinistic in sexuality.

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:22.800
<v Speaker 11>It's something that I do take into consideration for everything. Really,

0:15:22.840 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 11>I think the best you and I initiatives do you

0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 11>have an intersectional focus When we look at discrimination. We

0:15:27.560 --> 0:15:31.360
<v Speaker 11>have to consider the fact that characteristics can be complex

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:35.800
<v Speaker 11>and interconnected. So you can't separate my blackness from my

0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:39.560
<v Speaker 11>gender and my sexuality. They're all interwined, and so I

0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 11>may experience homophobia differently to a white woman on account

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 11>of my race, and I may experience racism differently to

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:49.520
<v Speaker 11>a black man on account of my gender. Having those

0:15:49.520 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 11>things in mind is very, very important.

0:15:51.360 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 10>We simply cannot continue to do things the way that

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 10>has always been done because it isn't working anymore right,

0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:03.240
<v Speaker 10>So for the energy and it's more about shifting mindsets

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:08.200
<v Speaker 10>and getting people on board with the fact that change

0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:12.200
<v Speaker 10>has to happen. I think there are in each company,

0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 10>in each business a group of dedicated allies, employees, resource

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.160
<v Speaker 10>networks that are on board with that.

0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 8>I really want to see that happen.

0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 10>But it's about how we bring the rest of the

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 10>industry in and meet them where they're at so that

0:16:28.840 --> 0:16:30.400
<v Speaker 10>we can change together.

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:33.560
<v Speaker 12>What I would love to see from corporates moving forward

0:16:33.600 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 12>is for us to progress as some form of a

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:38.480
<v Speaker 12>dual track process, in that companies have an obligation to

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:42.080
<v Speaker 12>protect all of their employees, be it sexual orientation, gender

0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 12>or other. But I think we also, if we can,

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.160
<v Speaker 12>need to try and use our platform to raise awareness

0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:49.880
<v Speaker 12>outside of our immediate environments. There are a lot of

0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:53.720
<v Speaker 12>people in the world who aren't in as fortunate positions

0:16:53.760 --> 0:16:56.240
<v Speaker 12>as we are to have that voice, to be able

0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:58.120
<v Speaker 12>to express how they feel and how they think, and

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:00.800
<v Speaker 12>actually for some of the decision is being taken out

0:17:00.840 --> 0:17:02.400
<v Speaker 12>of their hands and they don't have a say at all.

0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:06.640
<v Speaker 12>So I would really like to see corporates progressing sort

0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 12>of outside of their immediate as well.

0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:12.080
<v Speaker 2>So that was Harry Randall, Chloe Walley, Jackie Rule, Dagger

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 2>and Oran Devlon speaking to us on day Break Europe.

0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:19.680
<v Speaker 2>Up next, Cash for soda Ash and Taxing Times for

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:21.280
<v Speaker 2>UK Politics.

0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 4>Now the paper review on blue Bird Daybreak Europe, the

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:29.200
<v Speaker 4>news you need to know from today's papers.

0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:32.080
<v Speaker 1>Mostly and go and joins us for more. The Financial

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:35.119
<v Speaker 1>Times has a headline soda Ash Group aims to be

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 1>big fish in London with a seven and a half

0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:41.560
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar valuation target. Oh, it's an IPO for the

0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:42.200
<v Speaker 1>city lean.

0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:45.520
<v Speaker 3>Indeed it is and we did talk about this yesterday,

0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:48.520
<v Speaker 3>but we're going to discuss more in the Financial Times

0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:51.399
<v Speaker 3>because that's a story on the its front page. And

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:54.639
<v Speaker 3>the decision to actually up for London over New York

0:17:55.160 --> 0:17:57.639
<v Speaker 3>comes after a bruising start to the year for the

0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:01.760
<v Speaker 3>London Stock Exchange. So We Soda, which is the world's

0:18:02.200 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 3>largest producer of natural soda ash, has really given the

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:10.119
<v Speaker 3>capital this absolute boost of confidence, which I think it

0:18:10.200 --> 0:18:14.200
<v Speaker 3>desperately needed. IPOs are down eighty percent year on year,

0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:17.359
<v Speaker 3>with only two listings on the main market in the

0:18:17.400 --> 0:18:21.520
<v Speaker 3>first quarter, and that's according to data from e Y Now.

0:18:21.560 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 3>Speaking to the FT, the CEO Alistair Warren said, in

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:29.760
<v Speaker 3>London we can be big fish in a relatively modest

0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:33.680
<v Speaker 3>size pool and fears for the future of the London

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:37.120
<v Speaker 3>market have really deepened. And I know Caroline has been

0:18:37.160 --> 0:18:40.160
<v Speaker 3>speaking about this, and that's after arm the chip designer,

0:18:40.440 --> 0:18:44.359
<v Speaker 3>announced plans to switch its listing to Wall Street, not

0:18:44.520 --> 0:18:48.000
<v Speaker 3>to London, which was a bit of a blow definitely

0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 3>for the city Now and We Soda is a UK

0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:55.679
<v Speaker 3>based group that produces the glass making ingredient. It is

0:18:55.720 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 3>actually controlled by the Turkish media mogul Turgate Sinner and

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:06.080
<v Speaker 3>is targeting evaluation of about seven point five billion dollars

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:06.639
<v Speaker 3>big money.

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:08.679
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, given all the negativity there has been

0:19:08.680 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 2>around listings in London, the comments Alastair Warren definitely worth

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:16.479
<v Speaker 2>noting that they chose London because they're a europe centric business,

0:19:16.520 --> 0:19:18.920
<v Speaker 2>They're a UK based and their founders are resident here,

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:21.440
<v Speaker 2>so perhaps some of the reasons that other companies didn't

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:25.240
<v Speaker 2>find sufficient to be able to choose to list in London.

0:19:25.240 --> 0:19:27.399
<v Speaker 2>And he said that within industrials and extractives, it's a

0:19:27.400 --> 0:19:29.120
<v Speaker 2>good place to be listed, and perhaps that's the point

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:31.280
<v Speaker 2>to take away, is that for this industry it's a

0:19:31.280 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 2>good place to be listed, whereas others have chosen to

0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:33.760
<v Speaker 2>go elsewhere.

0:19:33.880 --> 0:19:36.159
<v Speaker 1>Yes, absolute, and I thought it was interesting that you

0:19:36.200 --> 0:19:38.639
<v Speaker 1>mentioned that Turgay is immediately I mean, he's got a

0:19:38.720 --> 0:19:42.920
<v Speaker 1>massive conglomerate in Turkey, so he spans loads of different industries.

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, such a good story. What about the I

0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 1>news paper And actually there's a bit of back and

0:19:47.880 --> 0:19:50.960
<v Speaker 1>forth about this around taxation, so the IE has this

0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 1>headline labor policy pledges would cost the same as a

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 1>three P rise in income tax analysis show.

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:00.879
<v Speaker 3>So, Caroline, I was just thinking about this. Obviously, labor

0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:03.879
<v Speaker 3>are leading the polls. We've got about a year to elections,

0:20:03.920 --> 0:20:07.920
<v Speaker 3>so it's only fair that newspapers do start scrutinizing their

0:20:07.960 --> 0:20:11.560
<v Speaker 3>policies that they're starting to outline. This is exactly what

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:15.320
<v Speaker 3>the I newspaper has done, and basically the opposition Labor

0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:20.119
<v Speaker 3>parties policy pledges so far would cost the equivalent of

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:22.400
<v Speaker 3>a three pence rise in income tax.

0:20:22.480 --> 0:20:22.640
<v Speaker 10>Now.

0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 3>This is according to this in depth analysis by the newspaper.

0:20:27.440 --> 0:20:29.919
<v Speaker 3>Writing in the paper, the head of the Institute for

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 3>Fiscal Studies, that's Paul Johnson, is warning that the side

0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:37.760
<v Speaker 3>that the party will struggle to meet its spending promises

0:20:38.160 --> 0:20:43.119
<v Speaker 3>without raising taxes. Now, Kirstarmer has promised not to borrow

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:45.639
<v Speaker 3>for day to day spending and to bring down the

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 3>size of the overall public debt as a percentage of GDP.

0:20:50.320 --> 0:20:55.440
<v Speaker 3>But analysis suggests that labor policies will require an additional

0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:59.920
<v Speaker 3>twenty billion pounds of funding every year that is equivalent

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:04.200
<v Speaker 3>to this three pence rise. It's important to say that's

0:21:04.200 --> 0:21:07.960
<v Speaker 3>not happening now. It's all according to analysis. But I

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:10.760
<v Speaker 3>did think that something was really interesting. Something a lot

0:21:10.760 --> 0:21:13.919
<v Speaker 3>of people have been saying about Labor is they haven't

0:21:14.200 --> 0:21:18.680
<v Speaker 3>really you know, talked about their policies and outlined where

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 3>they're going to get the money from. Yes, they've talked

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:24.680
<v Speaker 3>about ending non dom tax status, but people are saying

0:21:24.720 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 3>that's only going to re raise three point two billion pounds.

0:21:27.960 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 1>It's not going to be enough.

0:21:29.640 --> 0:21:33.439
<v Speaker 3>They've not been transparent enough with exactly how they're going

0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:34.760
<v Speaker 3>to raise all this money.

0:21:34.800 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 1>Well, hang on a second. The manifestos have not come

0:21:36.800 --> 0:21:38.760
<v Speaker 1>out yet and there is still up to eighteen months

0:21:38.760 --> 0:21:40.760
<v Speaker 1>before the next general election, so they haven't.

0:21:40.560 --> 0:21:43.440
<v Speaker 3>Detailed and it's always easier when you're in opposition.

0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 2>Well, let's go to the Telegraph next and talk about

0:21:45.520 --> 0:21:48.240
<v Speaker 2>the character that's in government. The Telegraph headline Tories demand

0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:51.680
<v Speaker 2>Richie sonacscrap Morrilly Wrung inheritance tax LA.

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:55.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so the Telegraph has launched this campaign to abolish

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:57.840
<v Speaker 3>the death duty is what they call it, and the

0:21:57.880 --> 0:22:01.000
<v Speaker 3>newspaper says this is a move should be put at

0:22:01.000 --> 0:22:05.439
<v Speaker 3>the heart of the Conservative's next election manifesto. And growing

0:22:05.600 --> 0:22:09.720
<v Speaker 3>fears that Labor is plotting to target savings and assets

0:22:09.760 --> 0:22:13.639
<v Speaker 3>to fund even higher levels of state spending, so pretty

0:22:13.720 --> 0:22:17.159
<v Speaker 3>much intertwined with a story just been talking about and

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 3>how the different parties are going to approach it. Now

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:23.760
<v Speaker 3>more than fifty Conservative MPs are demanding that Rishi Sunak

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:28.320
<v Speaker 3>scraps inheritance tax and they're basically saying the proportion of

0:22:28.400 --> 0:22:32.520
<v Speaker 3>homes under threat from this levee has more than doubled

0:22:32.600 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 3>since the Conservatives came to power. That's what the Telegraph

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:39.240
<v Speaker 3>is saying. I just want to say Former Chancellor Nadim

0:22:39.359 --> 0:22:44.160
<v Speaker 3>Zahawi has been talking and to the newspaper and basically

0:22:44.200 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 3>says this is morally wrong, the inheritance tax and warns

0:22:48.880 --> 0:22:52.160
<v Speaker 3>that it is adding to inflationary pressure to house prices.

0:22:54.000 --> 0:22:56.720
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the

0:22:56.800 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 2>stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond.

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 1>Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple,

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:06.160
<v Speaker 1>Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts.

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:09.200
<v Speaker 2>You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio,

0:23:09.240 --> 0:23:11.960
<v Speaker 2>the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com.

0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Our flagship New York station, is also available on your

0:23:14.800 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 1>Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:21.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm Caroline Hepka and.

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:23.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all

0:23:23.680 --> 0:23:26.080
<v Speaker 2>the news you need to start your day right here

0:23:26.119 --> 0:23:27.119
<v Speaker 2>on Bloomberg Daybreak.

0:23:27.200 --> 0:23:31.680
<v Speaker 8>Europe