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Speaker 1: What's up, guys. How are you welcome into the Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault, and you were getting unfiltered direct postgame reaction

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Speaker 1: to getting kicked in the nuts so hard that I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure I'm going to be able to get through

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Speaker 1: this fifteen minute podcast. That was the worst beat of

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Speaker 1: the year. Now, it would have been a push, but

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Speaker 1: that was the worst beat of the year. Now, I

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Speaker 1: had the Ravens minus one and a half. I didn't

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Speaker 1: really care who won that game. Talked about it yesterday

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Speaker 1: right here on the Daily Juice Podcast, brought to you

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Speaker 1: by BETMGM on bettingpros dot com. I'm so distraught, I'm

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Speaker 1: forgetting the intro to this podcast because I am that

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Speaker 1: irate and blood boiling. I mean, look, no, I'm not

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Speaker 1: even irate. I'm just dumbfounded. I'm dead. I'm just dead inside,

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Speaker 1: That's what I just I can't even get mad at

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Speaker 1: the Browns for stupid laterals. Do you understand that if

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Speaker 1: the ball is fielded on the kickoff, the game's over.

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Speaker 1: The fact that it went into the end zone and

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Speaker 1: they got it for a touchback was the very reason

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Speaker 1: why the lateral play happened, and then they threw the

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Speaker 1: ball backwards into the end zone, and then whoever the

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Speaker 1: hell that was that ran out of the back of

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Speaker 1: the end zone and the two points happens, and the

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Speaker 1: push doesn't happen, and we spent three hours of our

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Speaker 1: lives watching a football game only to watch some football

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Speaker 1: player run out of the back of the end zone

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Speaker 1: to burn us. Now I knew better because I was

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Speaker 1: I told you yesterday, right. I have the Ravens at

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Speaker 1: minus one and a half in both the DraftKings contests

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Speaker 1: and the Circa. I'm trying to win one hundred and

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Speaker 1: eighty seven thousand dollars with the Circa fifth Core or

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter poll for the Circa. It's a five

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Speaker 1: week run five and oh last week four and one,

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Speaker 1: now four and one with Dan Harrison the DraftKings. So

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Speaker 1: the play didn't affect me for the contests. But I

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Speaker 1: had assumed that we were going to get our money

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Speaker 1: back on the half a unit for the for the Ramps,

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Speaker 1: for the Browns to push on a three Tucker's field

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Speaker 1: goal tuck on What the hell just happened? How did

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Speaker 1: that happen? Like? How did that? Oh? Boy. Yeah. So

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Speaker 1: on the Discord chat last night, we had over two

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Speaker 1: hundred people in there at one point in time towards

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Speaker 1: the end, and we were all sweating that game. Now,

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Speaker 1: I made the mistake on the teaser under stupid play.

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Speaker 1: Forty seven two right, eighty nine points got scored. Yeah, no,

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Speaker 1: the total was forty four and a half and they

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Speaker 1: doubled it. That was college football in the NFL. But

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Speaker 1: give the Browns credit, give Baker credit. They did everything.

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Speaker 1: They made the plays. Lamar Jackson goes in there, has

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Speaker 1: to go to the bathroom. Hey, we've all been there, right,

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Speaker 1: we know what that feels like. And you got to

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Speaker 1: kind of, you know, empty the dumb truck there. And

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Speaker 1: then you get back on the football field. You throw

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Speaker 1: a touchdown and team goes up. There's a minute forty

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Speaker 1: left though, Baker goes down the field. Baker goes touchdown, boom,

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Speaker 1: and everyone went, oh, too much time, can't stop that offense.

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Speaker 1: Defense is tired. They go down the field long field goal.

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Speaker 1: Tucker is money as money can be. Field goal, good

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Speaker 1: game over two seconds left, We're good, right. That's how

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Speaker 1: that was supposed to play out. We were supposed to

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Speaker 1: go one two and one on the night. One bet

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Speaker 1: that we got right was a nice one point twenty

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Speaker 1: five units because the Pepperdine game canceled. This is why

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Speaker 1: the Discord Chat's very important. When games are canceled like that,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna fire something else. That's what we did. If

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Speaker 1: you're in there and you're on there, I hit at everyone.

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Speaker 1: There are over fifteen hundred people who are signed up

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Speaker 1: for the discord Chat, so you've got a little notification saying, hey,

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Speaker 1: here's a bet Lamar Jackson touchdown at plus one eighty five.

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Speaker 1: I bet it. I hit it, and that would would

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Speaker 1: have been great, right point twenty five units. So it's,

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Speaker 1: you know, nice little payoff. It does limit the bleeding

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Speaker 1: a little bit from the you know ins instead of

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Speaker 1: being down two units here, I'm down one point five

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Speaker 1: or whatever it is. But that should have been just

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Speaker 1: a one unit down night. That should have just been

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Speaker 1: the creating game we got wrong and the teaser we

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Speaker 1: got wrong. That's what that day should have been. So

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Speaker 1: I can't I again. This is why I talk about

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Speaker 1: one flat wagering and two what comes around goes around.

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Speaker 1: Because we hit last Sunday, we hit two bets that

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Speaker 1: we had no business hitting the Raiders against the Jets.

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Speaker 1: Do you remember that? Remember the zero blitz? Remember that play?

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Speaker 1: Right if you had the Jets money line or you

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Speaker 1: had the Jets, you know, if you if you teased

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Speaker 1: it up with the Jets udle, But if just the

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Speaker 1: Jets money line, you know you felt like, oh my gosh,

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Speaker 1: I was going to cash that big ticket. Or if

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Speaker 1: the guy that had the twenty five bucks on the

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Speaker 1: Jets on the Jets to beat the Raiders for their

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Speaker 1: first win, that would have paid out like two thousand dollars.

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Speaker 1: That's horrible. It's a horrible beat. This is what we

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Speaker 1: talk about. It evens out because that game, the Raider game,

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Speaker 1: and the fumble by Deshaun Watson against the Colts that

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Speaker 1: got us to win for the Colts. I mean, those

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Speaker 1: are plays that just shouldn't happen, right, Those are just

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Speaker 1: plays that in football should not happen. But they both

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Speaker 1: went our way in week number thirteen, So in week

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Speaker 1: fourteen we get a horrible, bad beat. That's why you

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Speaker 1: keep track. That's why it's important after football to go

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Speaker 1: back and make notes about what happened in plays that

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Speaker 1: went your way, in plays that went against you because

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Speaker 1: eventually they're going to even out. It's just how it is.

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Speaker 1: It's what makes this fun. Right. It sucks right now

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Speaker 1: and it really stings and it's not fun and I'm

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Speaker 1: not happy either, But I mean, you know, what can

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Speaker 1: you do? So it's a three I'm sorry, one in

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Speaker 1: three day. So we went one in four, No, one

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Speaker 1: in three, one in four, one in three, right. I

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Speaker 1: think that's what we've gone so far if you include

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Speaker 1: the prop bets. Went two and two with the prop bets.

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Speaker 1: So it's you know, not great, okay. But one thing

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Speaker 1: I want to pass along. Somebody was ranting at me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter last night during the game about getting the

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Speaker 1: creating game wrong, and I had to remind this person that, look, okay,

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Speaker 1: the Jay's played well in the first half. They played

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Speaker 1: horribly in the second half. Marquette one game outright bad

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Speaker 1: loss for the Blue Jays at home against the divisional

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Speaker 1: against the conference opponent. It's a bad, bad loss. Jay's

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Speaker 1: played badly. I don't think the Jays are a top

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Speaker 1: ten team, okay. I think they're overrated. I love creaton okay.

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Speaker 1: I am a diehard Blue Jay guy. I love Greg McDermott,

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Speaker 1: I love the program. I love everything to do with

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Speaker 1: Blue Jay basketball, but I'm also gonna be honest. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're that good, and I think they're a

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Speaker 1: bit overrated. And I think people are believing about Tye

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Speaker 1: Alexander and he's no longer there. They don't have a killer.

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Speaker 1: Creighton doesn't have a killer. They've got a bunch of

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Speaker 1: really good players. And I like Marcos Segarowski, I really do.

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Speaker 1: He's not a killer. He's not gonna take over the

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Speaker 1: game the way that Titean Alexander did last year. And

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Speaker 1: they are allowing guys like Mahoney to shoot way too

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Speaker 1: much and that's got to be rectified. They're young and

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Speaker 1: in different spots. They're young in the post, and that's

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Speaker 1: a problem in the Big East. And I don't think

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Speaker 1: the Jays are all that good. I think when they

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Speaker 1: shoot the three and bad luck is going off, okay, maybe,

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Speaker 1: but they go like they did in the second half

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Speaker 1: and they get bodied up. I mean they were. They

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Speaker 1: were up eleven at the break and then they were

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Speaker 1: down nine very fast as they start the second half.

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Speaker 1: So that's something to watch for the Blue Jays against

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Speaker 1: teams with powerful front courts and who play gritty basketball.

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Speaker 1: I'm cringing against Villanova. What that score is going to

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Speaker 1: be like for the Blue Jays. That's gonna get ugly

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Speaker 1: against Villanova this year. But so that's an l lesson learned.

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Speaker 1: I like the Pepperdine play COVID nineteen problems at U

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Speaker 1: and LV, so that knocked out the Pepperdine game. That's

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Speaker 1: why we brought in Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown prop to

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Speaker 1: make up for that good thing I did because it

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Speaker 1: got us a win that we desperately needed at plus

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Speaker 1: one eighty five. So that was good. Everything else not

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Speaker 1: so good. But hey again, if you added up going

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Speaker 1: back over the last fourteen days, we're still up. And

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Speaker 1: that's the whole point of this. So someone back to

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Speaker 1: the guy on Twitter saying I've lost way too much

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Speaker 1: money over the last three days following your place, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I understand that I do, because if you jumped in

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Speaker 1: last week and bet three days where I went six

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Speaker 1: and one, six and oh and three and oh, you

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Speaker 1: probably thought I was you know, not tore Damis. You

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Speaker 1: probably thought I was a god. You're like, oh my god,

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Speaker 1: this guy's nuts. What are you talking about? He's knocking down,

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Speaker 1: he's fifteen and one. Look at my bankroll. That's not

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Speaker 1: what we do here. So yes, we commiserate together when

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Speaker 1: we lose. But if you're not in this for the

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Speaker 1: long haul, then I don't think you should come at me,

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Speaker 1: all right, because what I preach is about the waves,

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Speaker 1: it's about the long term. It's about the ups and

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Speaker 1: the downs and commiserating together as a community. If you

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Speaker 1: don't want any part of that. If you want a

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Speaker 1: quick fix, fine, there's plenty of places to go for that.

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Speaker 1: And you're never gonna win this. You're never gonna win,

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Speaker 1: and you're never gonna be able to withstand the bad times.

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Speaker 1: Your bankroll will be gone and you will be another

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Speaker 1: story for the sports books talking about how they padded

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Speaker 1: their bottom line. Okay, that's the what we try to do.

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Speaker 1: Fifty four percent is what we're trying to do. Okay,

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Speaker 1: fifty four percent is our goal. Is that easy to do?

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Speaker 1: Hell no, that's not easy to do. That's incredibly hard

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Speaker 1: to do. And if we recognize that and we understand that, well,

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Speaker 1: then we understand that I'm now three thirty and three

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Speaker 1: oh four. Okay, that's my record. Make Baking Picks officially

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Speaker 1: on the daily juice. Three hundred and thirty wins and

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Speaker 1: three hundred and four losses. We're up about fifteen units

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Speaker 1: for historically going back to July the eighth, if you

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Speaker 1: played everything all right, We've got some future wagers that

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Speaker 1: are going to cash, which will be nice. The Rams

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Speaker 1: hopefully win the West. Steelers are hopefully going to win

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Speaker 1: the division, although with that Browns loss, that was big

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Speaker 1: for the Steelers plus one point fifteen to win the division,

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Speaker 1: so hopefully they get the ship righted and go win

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Speaker 1: the division. But Rams cash that cash the Steelers, the

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Speaker 1: under for the Jets, catch the over for Tampa or

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Speaker 1: sorry for not Tampa over for the Titans, nine and

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Speaker 1: a half wins, the under for the Jets, and the

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Speaker 1: over for the Raiders. That's what I'm thinking. I'm over

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Speaker 1: the Raiders. So like, those are all tickets to sitting

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Speaker 1: there to wait and be cashed, right, so we'll go.

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Speaker 1: You know, got five winning tickets sitting there that will

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Speaker 1: be plus money on a lot of them. So that's great.

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Speaker 1: So we'll building up the bank roll once the year

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Speaker 1: is over. Once the regular season's over in a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks, so you know, we are long term. We

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Speaker 1: are in this for the long term. Am I crushed today?

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Speaker 1: Am I disgruntled today? Yes? I am disgruntled today. Does

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Speaker 1: it hurt that I have to gamble on sports today? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: I probably should take the day off. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: really light today. I've got two plays, both of half

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Speaker 1: a unit. Okay, I got one unit in play. Not

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Speaker 1: gonna go crazy, not gonna go nuts today. But for

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Speaker 1: Thursday night, you've got a good game coming up. You

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Speaker 1: got the Raiders and the Chargers here in Las Vegas.

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia or one hundred nine with it in Indiana.

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Speaker 1: All right, so two plays to talk about today, both

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Speaker 1: in college basketball. Let's start with Furman against Alabama. Now,

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Speaker 1: we've made money on Bama this year already, and this

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Speaker 1: is an interesting matchup because at first glance, I was like,

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Speaker 1: Furman is minus is plus five against Alabama on the road.

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Speaker 1: That didn't look right to me. I was like, hold

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Speaker 1: on a second, that seems to be a really low number.

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Speaker 1: And then I started to kind of poke around, and

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Speaker 1: Furhman's pretty good. Furman might be live here to go

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Speaker 1: in and have, you know, give Alabama some trouble. Alabama

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Speaker 1: is two and three to the under or against the over,

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Speaker 1: two and three here so far this year. But Furman

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Speaker 1: is two and one on the over. Some of these numbers.

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Speaker 1: When we start looking at the offensive matchups here, Furman

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Speaker 1: can score. They're scoring eighty one point seven points per game,

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Speaker 1: Alabama scoring seventy five points per game. Alabama likes to

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Speaker 1: shoot a lot of threes. Now they're not hitting as

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Speaker 1: many threes as you would like. They're hitting twenty nine

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Speaker 1: point one percent. However, Furman is hitting thirty six point

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Speaker 1: nine percent. Of their threes. The total in this game

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Speaker 1: is one hundred, is one fifty and a half, one

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Speaker 1: fifty and a half for Furman in Alabama, and I

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Speaker 1: bet the over here. I think we're gonna see a

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Speaker 1: lot of offense. I think Alabama's gonna get open shots.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a back and forth battle. I

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Speaker 1: think we're gonna see points in this game, and I

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Speaker 1: don't think we'll see a ton of defense. Both Verman

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Speaker 1: and Alabama both are giving up, you know, sixty six

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Speaker 1: and sixty nine point six points per game respectively here,

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Speaker 1: and Verman's got some players who can really fill it up.

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Speaker 1: I expect offense. Bama's not great defensively, not huge either.

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Speaker 1: Both teams like to running gun. Both teams like to

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Speaker 1: fire a lot of threes. I'm gonna expect a lot

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Speaker 1: of threes, and neither team plays great defense either. Thirty

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Speaker 1: two point eight percent of the threes defended for Alabama

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Speaker 1: twenty nine point eight percent defended for Furman. So they

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Speaker 1: don't guard the three point line very well, nor does Alabama.

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Speaker 1: They both like to three and shoot it. So let's

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Speaker 1: take some points here, Furman Alabama. We're taking the over

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Speaker 1: one point fifty and a half here for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit. And on the other side, let's talk about

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Speaker 1: Iowa State at home against Kansas States. So here we are,

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Speaker 1: and I'm very curious to see what happens with Kansas

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Speaker 1: State on the road for the first time against Iowa State. Now,

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Speaker 1: Iowa State is oh and three against the number. They've

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Speaker 1: won one game, they've lost two. Kansas State is oh

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Speaker 1: to five against the number. They have won two games,

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Speaker 1: they've lost four, but they've not covered in any of them,

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Speaker 1: including at home laying ten and a half against Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee they won by one. They've lost to UNLV by ten.

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Speaker 1: They've lost to UMKC by the they won the game

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Speaker 1: by four. They were faired by nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: lost against Drake by ten. So we've made money this

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Speaker 1: year twice betting against Kansas State. Now they're on the

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Speaker 1: road at Iowa State. Iowa State wants to get rid

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Speaker 1: of that disgusting taste in their mouth af they're losing

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Speaker 1: by twenty eight to Iowa. I think they bounced back here.

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Speaker 1: I think they've got more offense. I laid the eight

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Speaker 1: and a half points here with Iowa State against Kansas State,

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Speaker 1: and I know it's going to be a defensive battle,

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Speaker 1: and it may get a little bit ugly. It may

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Speaker 1: be kind of a tight, tight game here late. But

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Speaker 1: I just think Iowa State's going to be really mad

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Speaker 1: and they want to get after it and get a

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Speaker 1: w and they want to go and get some open shots.

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Speaker 1: Because that's what Iowa State is gonna have with Kansas State.

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Speaker 1: They give up a ton of open shots. They do

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Speaker 1: not play well defensively. I mean, they're giving up just

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Speaker 1: way too many easy shots. Fifty four point four percent

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Speaker 1: shooting from two they're giving up. Kansastate is giving up

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Speaker 1: thirty seven point six percent shooting from three. That's two

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty fourth and two hundred and fifty to

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Speaker 1: forty fifth in the country right now. For Kansas State,

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Speaker 1: they may be a defensive team, but they don't play defense.

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Speaker 1: They also can't score to save their lives. Okay, they're

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Speaker 1: averaging about sixty five points per game, that is two

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Speaker 1: hundred and forty third in the country. Iowa States averaging

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Speaker 1: seventy nine points seven points per game given up, which

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Speaker 1: is not great. So maybe that's a good start, a

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Speaker 1: chance for Kannstate to get them offense going. But Kansas

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Speaker 1: State's scoring seventy or sorry, Iowa State scoring seventy five

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Speaker 1: points per game. Case State's giving up seventy one point

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Speaker 1: four points per game. You can't have a negative point

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Speaker 1: differential like this. You can't average scoring sixty four point

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Speaker 1: eight points per game in giving up seventy one point

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Speaker 1: four just doesn't work. I'm gonna take Iowa State for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit cyclones big here today up against

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Speaker 1: Kansas State. So just one unit in play. Two half

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Speaker 1: unit plays college basketball over Alabama and Furman. One fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half and minus eight and a half for

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Speaker 1: Iowa State at home against Kansas State. What a day,

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Speaker 1: What a day, What a rough rough night last night

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Speaker 1: it was for us. Commiserating is fun with you guys.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate and letting you guys. I appreciate you guys.

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Speaker 1: Let me do that. My name is Matt perrault a

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We've got a lot

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Speaker 1: of football to come this week, guys. We got Thursday,

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Speaker 1: We've got two games on Saturday in the NFL. We

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Speaker 1: have a monster card in college football to get into.

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Speaker 1: So let's just kind of tiptoe here through the tulips.

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Speaker 1: Keep the bank roll healthy, and then let's look to

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Speaker 1: unload this weekend on Saturday and Sunday, because there are

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Speaker 1: some great games in both pro and college football coming up,

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Speaker 1: and it's one of our last big college football weekends,

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Speaker 1: so we got to be heavily invested, heavily involved with

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Speaker 1: a bunch of different games coming up on Saturday, and

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Speaker 1: then Week fifteen in the NFL obviously will be heavily committed,

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Speaker 1: heavily involved. My name is Matt Paroltz on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Every morning you know where you'll find

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Speaker 1: me right here on the Daily Juice on Vettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com sponsored by BETEMGM