WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2021 NFL MegaPod Conference Championships Preview 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.600 Check it down man now down Man Thursday morning, January 0:00:12.240 --> 0:00:15.239 twenty and twenty one. Is that a pound room though 0:00:15.280 --> 0:00:18.480 that was yesterday? It's kill Alexander. This is a mega pod, 0:00:18.520 --> 0:00:21.320 the Beating the Book megapod for Championship Week in the 0:00:21.480 --> 0:00:24.079 National Football League. We do not have Mike Palm on 0:00:24.079 --> 0:00:27.640 the show today. Uh, Mikey are our staple right here 0:00:27.680 --> 0:00:30.560 alongside at the D where we broadcast live from here, Uh, 0:00:30.600 --> 0:00:32.960 the D downtown in Las Vegas. Mikey is in a 0:00:33.159 --> 0:00:37.600 four hour budget meeting. Um that that does not sound 0:00:37.640 --> 0:00:41.159 fun at all. I'm gonna check every line item for 0:00:41.200 --> 0:00:43.920 four hours. Todd Wishnev is here, the other staple of 0:00:43.960 --> 0:00:46.040 the show from his mom's cork attic in Pittsburgh, PA. 0:00:46.120 --> 0:00:51.160 How you doing, Toddy? Hi? Hi? Todd has his face 0:00:51.200 --> 0:00:53.280 turned to the left because he's sweating it under not 0:00:53.360 --> 0:00:57.040 really a sweat so far. Valencia Knowlsasuna in La Liga 0:00:57.600 --> 0:01:00.440 nil nil through twenty minutes? Make it through twenty in minutes? 0:01:01.160 --> 0:01:03.480 What's the under here? Two and a half? No? I 0:01:03.520 --> 0:01:07.120 bet the team total moses soon under under a half 0:01:07.200 --> 0:01:09.920 plus one sixty. But don't take anything I say about 0:01:09.920 --> 0:01:12.080 soccer seriously because I don't know a darn thing about it, 0:01:12.160 --> 0:01:13.680 you know, I don't think anybody was. I don't think 0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:16.720 anybody was. And so we have two guests today, which 0:01:16.760 --> 0:01:18.760 we love because we we go through all of the 0:01:18.800 --> 0:01:21.240 guests we had during the regular season and we only 0:01:21.280 --> 0:01:24.040 want the best for the playoffs. So we have to 0:01:24.160 --> 0:01:27.480 today from Canada, and he will tell us from exactly 0:01:27.480 --> 0:01:29.880 wearing Canada, because I can't remember what he already told me. 0:01:29.920 --> 0:01:33.400 They are snowed in from the Simple Handicap podcast, which 0:01:33.440 --> 0:01:36.040 is just a phenomenal podcast. Is Adam churn Off, How 0:01:36.080 --> 0:01:40.040 you doing? Adam doing well? And it is Southern Alberta 0:01:40.240 --> 0:01:43.880 And snowed in is an understatement which snow are we talking? 0:01:45.280 --> 0:01:47.240 It's it's a good amount of snow, but it's that 0:01:47.360 --> 0:01:49.360 kind of sort of like melted for a few days 0:01:49.360 --> 0:01:51.680 and then froze over. So it's like a combination of 0:01:51.760 --> 0:01:54.480 like the really hard ice, but it's the type of 0:01:54.480 --> 0:01:56.840 ice where you slip, it's like jagged enough that it'll 0:01:56.880 --> 0:02:00.200 it'll it'll leave you on the injured reserved US for 0:02:00.240 --> 0:02:01.920 a week or two. So you can't really leave the 0:02:01.960 --> 0:02:06.880 house to to uh liberally no, and if you do, 0:02:06.920 --> 0:02:09.200 you gotta kind of hunt down the sidewalks, but it's 0:02:09.280 --> 0:02:11.320 kind of hit on miss and on which ones will 0:02:11.320 --> 0:02:13.160 be clear and stuff. But it's just a giant mess 0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:15.320 right now. Wow, Southern Alberta just for those of us 0:02:15.680 --> 0:02:18.720 ridiculous Americans who don't know Canadian geography, Like, how many 0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:23.360 miles away from Edmonton, Alberta? Is that about two and 0:02:23.400 --> 0:02:26.600 a half hours south of Edmonton, about ten minutes outside 0:02:26.600 --> 0:02:29.280 of Calgary, so a few hours north of If you 0:02:29.320 --> 0:02:31.960 go to the northernmost point in Montana and then drive 0:02:32.000 --> 0:02:34.760 for about four hours, you'll kind of get to where 0:02:34.760 --> 0:02:36.799 I am. Wow. All right, now, I know you're you're 0:02:36.840 --> 0:02:40.160 watching while Todd is watching Loliga, You're watching lpg A 0:02:40.320 --> 0:02:43.480 golf and can you stay there? Well? And the reason 0:02:43.560 --> 0:02:47.000 is a good one though, Yeah, because the PGA in 0:02:47.320 --> 0:02:50.640 Januine February they do these ridiculous multiple course events and 0:02:50.680 --> 0:02:52.919 I just find them in absolute pain to price and 0:02:53.040 --> 0:02:55.600 come up with anything good for matchups because they split 0:02:55.639 --> 0:02:57.639 the early and late waves between the courses and it 0:02:57.760 --> 0:03:00.080 just becomes a headache. So for for the better a 0:03:00.160 --> 0:03:03.160 part of January and February until the PGA gets in 0:03:03.240 --> 0:03:07.240 a regular schedule. I mixed in some euro Tour and LPGA. 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:10.519 So this morning in Florida. I love it. Here's a 0:03:10.520 --> 0:03:13.080 guy who doesn't hesitate betting on golf. It's my co 0:03:13.240 --> 0:03:16.440 host on Primetime Action on MSG plus. You know when 0:03:16.480 --> 0:03:19.760 we're on MSG plus, it's Matt Brown. How you doing MATEO, 0:03:20.440 --> 0:03:23.040 I'm doing well. I'm doing well. I mean this is uh. 0:03:23.160 --> 0:03:24.520 You know, you and I've talked about it a couple 0:03:24.520 --> 0:03:27.200 of different times. It really doesn't matter who comes out 0:03:27.360 --> 0:03:28.919 on top of either one of these games. Is gonna 0:03:28.919 --> 0:03:30.680 be a super Bowl that I'm gonna be looking forward to. 0:03:31.120 --> 0:03:34.080 We got narratives out the wazoo no matter how it 0:03:34.160 --> 0:03:37.160 ends up. So uh, this is a fun weekend regardless. 0:03:37.560 --> 0:03:39.560 Nothing ever goes in the Wazoo. You ever notice that 0:03:39.560 --> 0:03:41.560 it's all about out there? Wo Let's start with it. 0:03:41.600 --> 0:03:43.400 Tampa Bay, Green Bay. When we talk about these, we'll 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:47.240 talk about stuff that happened last week as well. Pardon me, 0:03:47.680 --> 0:03:52.360 I'm emotional. Green Bay is a Green Bay right now 0:03:52.400 --> 0:03:54.240 as we do this, and we're doing this again on 0:03:54.600 --> 0:03:57.280 Thursday morning. Let me have my internet. But Green Bay 0:03:57.360 --> 0:04:01.720 is a three let's call it extra juice three point favorite. 0:04:01.720 --> 0:04:03.560 With extra Juice, there are three and a half but 0:04:03.600 --> 0:04:07.080 let's call it minus three minus one five is consensus 0:04:07.480 --> 0:04:10.400 total fifty one and a half. Tampa Bay is here 0:04:10.440 --> 0:04:15.720 by virtue of their plus four in turnover win driven 0:04:15.800 --> 0:04:18.680 win over the New Orleans Saints at New Orleans last week. 0:04:18.720 --> 0:04:21.560 Thirty to twenty. Three of those four turnovers that the 0:04:21.560 --> 0:04:25.560 Saints committed led directly to scores touchdowns that is by 0:04:25.600 --> 0:04:28.039 the Buccaneers. The fourth actually just ended the game, so 0:04:28.040 --> 0:04:30.000 they didn't get a chance to capitalize on that one. 0:04:30.160 --> 0:04:31.760 But that was really the story of the game in 0:04:31.800 --> 0:04:34.360 Green Bay. Is here they're thirty two to eighteen win 0:04:34.440 --> 0:04:38.159 over the Rams, covering in the process, um really maybe 0:04:38.200 --> 0:04:41.200 just to simplify the better football team, and the Rams 0:04:41.200 --> 0:04:44.800 were diminished. Aaron Donald was not his true self. That 0:04:44.880 --> 0:04:48.200 was obviously huge in that game. The Cooper Cup absence, 0:04:48.480 --> 0:04:51.640 which we learned of officially ninety minutes before that game, 0:04:51.960 --> 0:04:53.640 that was huge. That moved the line from six and 0:04:53.640 --> 0:04:56.560 a half to seven right before game time. So that's 0:04:56.560 --> 0:04:58.400 what we have here, Tampa Bay at Green Bay, as 0:04:58.440 --> 0:05:00.360 Chris Bourman used to call it, the Bay of pay 0:05:00.600 --> 0:05:03.040 Green Bay three point favorites with extra juice fifty one 0:05:03.040 --> 0:05:05.279 and a half, Adam, because you have the most snow. 0:05:05.720 --> 0:05:08.919 We start with you, how do you see this? So 0:05:09.000 --> 0:05:11.839 there are a lot of parallels, I think between both 0:05:11.880 --> 0:05:14.400 of these games, because each of the championship games have 0:05:15.160 --> 0:05:17.240 a pretty clear anchor to the matchup of the two 0:05:17.240 --> 0:05:19.200 teams playing earlier in the season that I think a 0:05:19.240 --> 0:05:22.040 lot of people have a reference point. And then there's 0:05:22.080 --> 0:05:25.560 also what we saw last in both of these games 0:05:25.800 --> 0:05:28.120 last weekend with all four of the teams, and so, 0:05:28.600 --> 0:05:31.120 like you mentioned, the Buccaneers obviously benefited from a lot 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:35.039 of turnovers um but like I look at that game 0:05:35.120 --> 0:05:37.480 and I was holding a Buck's money line ticket, and 0:05:37.560 --> 0:05:40.400 when they were down twenty thirteen and the Saints were 0:05:40.480 --> 0:05:44.440 driving across midfield late in the third quarter, I thought 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:47.120 I was dead because up to that point, like Brady 0:05:47.200 --> 0:05:49.880 was not moving to football. Their third down play calling 0:05:50.080 --> 0:05:53.680 was bizarre, and like it was the Saints that were 0:05:53.720 --> 0:05:56.400 really clicking. They were across midfields forty five and then 0:05:56.400 --> 0:05:59.440 the fumble happens, and from that point on the game 0:05:59.600 --> 0:06:02.080 entirely turned around. And so I could those turnovers led 0:06:02.080 --> 0:06:05.080 to points and the Buccaneers ultimately end up getting that win. 0:06:05.320 --> 0:06:08.640 But I think somewhat sort of overshadowed in this is 0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:12.280 the last two games in the playoffs, like the Buccaneers, 0:06:12.640 --> 0:06:15.599 as you well know, against Washington that was Heineke's first 0:06:15.640 --> 0:06:18.880 ever start, and like there were wide receivers running wide 0:06:18.920 --> 0:06:22.560 open all game long against this Buccaneer secondary, and it's 0:06:22.560 --> 0:06:24.880 a Buccaneer secondary that in the second half of the 0:06:24.920 --> 0:06:28.520 season really regrets. Defensively, for the first half of the season, 0:06:28.560 --> 0:06:31.760 they were top eight in both pass and rush defensive 0:06:31.800 --> 0:06:34.120 success rate down the stretch. In the second half of 0:06:34.160 --> 0:06:36.359 the season, including the playoffs, all the way down to 0:06:36.480 --> 0:06:40.240 seventeenth against the past and against the rush, which is 0:06:40.240 --> 0:06:43.480 a significant step back. And I can't help but feel 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:47.880 the Packers offense, as great as it has been all season, 0:06:48.600 --> 0:06:51.200 is still like a little bit under priced, Like we've 0:06:51.200 --> 0:06:53.120 seen the market move against him now for a couple 0:06:53.160 --> 0:06:56.080 of consecutive weeks. And I don't know if that's like 0:06:56.520 --> 0:06:59.240 part of the hesitancy that we've sort of learned from 0:06:59.240 --> 0:07:01.760 Green Bay the last few seasons, especially last year, where 0:07:01.760 --> 0:07:03.840 they were that team in the playoffs that had all 0:07:03.839 --> 0:07:06.720 the one score victories. They had everybody looking for reasons 0:07:06.760 --> 0:07:09.320 to ultimately oppose them. And now we're sort of in 0:07:09.480 --> 0:07:11.640 a spot where they may be treated the same. But 0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:15.160 to me, it's a team that's done everything as well 0:07:15.200 --> 0:07:17.520 as you can expect from a team. And Gil, you 0:07:17.600 --> 0:07:20.840 had Alan on your show to talk college basketball like 0:07:20.880 --> 0:07:23.520 for the first time, like two years ago, and I 0:07:23.560 --> 0:07:25.640 was listening to and something that he said that has 0:07:25.680 --> 0:07:28.640 always sort of stuck with me is how we evaluate 0:07:28.720 --> 0:07:32.640 teams who get out to big leads early versus teams 0:07:32.640 --> 0:07:35.360 that end up winning and have results going their way 0:07:35.440 --> 0:07:37.640 because of things that happened late. And he was making 0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:39.440 the case that the team that gets out to a 0:07:39.520 --> 0:07:42.680 lead early tends to be more valuable in the better 0:07:42.720 --> 0:07:45.520 team than teams that are winning games but doing so 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:48.680 in tight contests are coming from behind late. The Packers 0:07:48.720 --> 0:07:51.760 this season, in all but one game, have got out 0:07:51.800 --> 0:07:54.960 to a double digit lead at some point. In fourteen 0:07:55.520 --> 0:07:58.880 of the seventeen games it had a double digit lead 0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:02.320 in the first half or after the first drive in 0:08:02.360 --> 0:08:04.680 the third quarter. And so like, it's a team that 0:08:04.760 --> 0:08:07.680 has relied on the script with La fleur a ton 0:08:08.080 --> 0:08:10.600 since he's been the head coach, and they're extremely good 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:13.080 at executing it. And I look at the Buccaneers with bowls, 0:08:13.120 --> 0:08:16.400 they're super predictable in their game planning, and that's why 0:08:16.440 --> 0:08:19.320 their bottom eight in the league for first half points 0:08:18.920 --> 0:08:22.320 allowed and first half yards per played allowed. So it's 0:08:22.320 --> 0:08:24.480 a spot where I think the Packers have seen them before. 0:08:24.600 --> 0:08:26.920 They got out to a double digit lead despite losing 0:08:26.920 --> 0:08:30.360 by in that first matchup. I think the Packers get 0:08:30.360 --> 0:08:32.920 out to an early lead. It's road game number three 0:08:33.000 --> 0:08:35.000 in a row for the Bucks on the road, and 0:08:35.040 --> 0:08:37.080 I think that the Packers ultimately hold on to that 0:08:37.120 --> 0:08:39.040 and the reluctance of the back door I don't think 0:08:39.160 --> 0:08:42.160 is necessarily here, despite how good Brady and the Bucks 0:08:42.200 --> 0:08:44.480 offense may seem, because I think that they have more 0:08:44.520 --> 0:08:46.079 issues than we're sort of being led on to be. 0:08:46.160 --> 0:08:48.240 So I'm pretty happy here to take the Packers at 0:08:48.280 --> 0:08:50.480 minus three where that number came down to, and I 0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:51.800 would be happy to take them at three and a 0:08:51.840 --> 0:08:53.560 half even money if you can get that this morning. 0:08:53.640 --> 0:08:55.560 Are you also doing a first half bet based on 0:08:55.600 --> 0:08:57.800 what you were just saying at him? Yeah, they're like 0:08:57.800 --> 0:09:00.120 two and a half right now, so anything less than three, 0:09:00.200 --> 0:09:01.800 I think it's worthwhile. And if you're getting them in 0:09:01.840 --> 0:09:04.080 the first quarter to it's certainly worth to look as well. 0:09:04.120 --> 0:09:05.920 But I think how however you want to play it. 0:09:05.960 --> 0:09:07.520 If you want to double it up between the first 0:09:07.559 --> 0:09:09.080 half in the full game, or you want to play 0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:11.880 just the first half. Um, either ways, more than fine. 0:09:11.960 --> 0:09:14.439 But I'm happy to have both in the accounts. I 0:09:14.520 --> 0:09:16.959 am doing both of those things myself. By the way, 0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:19.199 I just want to thank you for for your recollection 0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:22.520 of that Alan Boston interview and only remembering that part 0:09:22.559 --> 0:09:25.800 of it because I think it went off the rails 0:09:26.320 --> 0:09:28.880 a couple of times, if not, um if not four 0:09:28.960 --> 0:09:32.440 times on that particular episode. Always love having him on, 0:09:32.520 --> 0:09:34.600 but he does either their nuggets like that that definitely 0:09:34.600 --> 0:09:38.480 stick in one's brain. Matt Brown, uh co host a 0:09:38.559 --> 0:09:42.320 prime time Action on MSG Plus, who joined us really 0:09:42.360 --> 0:09:45.280 early in this football season. Your thoughts on Tampa Bay 0:09:45.280 --> 0:09:48.840 Green Bay, Sir? Yeah, I mean, like Adam said, I mean, 0:09:48.880 --> 0:09:51.480 we do have the games in week six to go 0:09:51.520 --> 0:09:53.480 and look back, and you know, I'm sure everybody here's 0:09:53.559 --> 0:09:55.760 has gone back and look at those and you know, 0:09:55.920 --> 0:09:58.480 you look at the individual statistics of these you know, 0:09:58.720 --> 0:10:01.280 four awesome quarterbacks in four of the five top rated 0:10:01.320 --> 0:10:03.880 quarterbacks according to Pro Football Focus on the whole season, 0:10:04.160 --> 0:10:05.920 and here we are at the end of the year, 0:10:06.000 --> 0:10:08.600 and four of those five are still alive here, and 0:10:08.760 --> 0:10:12.680 you know it basically was all four quarterbacks the worst 0:10:12.679 --> 0:10:16.640 statistical output essentially the entire season. Rodgers sixteen of thirty 0:10:16.640 --> 0:10:19.800 five hundred and sixty, no touchdowns, two interceptions, and and 0:10:19.920 --> 0:10:21.559 one of the things that when you really dig into 0:10:21.559 --> 0:10:23.600 that was the fact that he was sacked four times 0:10:23.600 --> 0:10:26.440 in that game. He was hit thirteen times in that game. 0:10:26.480 --> 0:10:30.120 They blitzed him on twenty one of his dropbacks, and 0:10:30.360 --> 0:10:33.680 that was the real difference maker here. Now, what we 0:10:33.720 --> 0:10:35.600 have to try to decide is that was that just 0:10:35.679 --> 0:10:39.440 a complete and utter operation that Rogers was bothered so 0:10:39.520 --> 0:10:42.679 much by all of that pressure because he is actually 0:10:43.000 --> 0:10:45.120 you know, you look at this Bucks defense. They're gonna 0:10:45.120 --> 0:10:49.040 blitz again. They blitz forty you know, forty two overt 0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:51.240 of the time, right, so they're they're going to come 0:10:51.280 --> 0:10:54.160 after him yet again. But you look at Rogers and 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:57.720 he is actually one of the very best guys against 0:10:57.720 --> 0:11:01.200 the blitz. There is, I mean an eight seven PF 0:11:01.280 --> 0:11:03.720 grade against the bliss that was third best in the 0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:06.240 NFL over the course of the season, fifth best passer 0:11:06.320 --> 0:11:08.960 rating against the blitz on the season as well. So 0:11:09.160 --> 0:11:11.080 I think a lot of this is gonna come down to, 0:11:12.120 --> 0:11:14.280 is that was that what we saw in week six, 0:11:14.280 --> 0:11:16.040 And I tend to believe it was a little bit 0:11:16.240 --> 0:11:18.640 of an aberration that, you know, him having such a 0:11:18.679 --> 0:11:21.480 horrible game against the pressure, because again, his his career 0:11:21.559 --> 0:11:24.800 and this season has proven that he can handle the pressure, 0:11:24.880 --> 0:11:26.400 that he can handle the blitz, that he's going to 0:11:26.400 --> 0:11:28.920 be able to be okay in this And then you 0:11:28.960 --> 0:11:30.480 kind of look back at the other thing and Brady 0:11:30.679 --> 0:11:34.120 unspectacularly goes for one six in that one, but he 0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:37.640 was not sacked. He was only hit four times in 0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:39.760 that game. And we know Brady can't run out of 0:11:39.800 --> 0:11:41.600 site in half an hour. But the thing is, if 0:11:41.600 --> 0:11:44.480 you give him time, he's still a good quarterback, one 0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:47.680 of the very best on the season, and with additional 0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:50.000 weapons in this one as well, a guy named Antonio 0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:53.000 Brown is also on this team. Now, um, I think 0:11:53.040 --> 0:11:55.840 it's gonna be difficult for them to get shut down 0:11:56.559 --> 0:11:58.400 in this game. I think the other thing that we 0:11:58.520 --> 0:12:01.080 might see a little bit early which will be really 0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:04.720 out of the ordinary for this Bucks team. But you know, 0:12:04.760 --> 0:12:06.440 one of the things I do think we might see 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:09.480 a little bit of the run game a little bit 0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:12.480 more early in this game. So it does make me wonder, 0:12:12.880 --> 0:12:15.079 you know, the Packers run a ton of dime defense, 0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:17.480 and so with that, could we see them try to 0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:20.400 take advantage of that with the two headed running back monster, 0:12:20.480 --> 0:12:23.600 with Ronald Jones back healthy and Leonard for Nette being 0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:25.640 able to uh to to you know, really kind of 0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:27.640 come on here towards the end of the season for 0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:30.000 this team. So do they try to take advantage of 0:12:30.000 --> 0:12:32.040 that dime coverage and run the ball a little bit 0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:34.720 more early and and and that's one of the things 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:36.280 I'll be looking at early as well to kind of 0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:39.200 see if there's some in game opportunities with that as well. 0:12:39.240 --> 0:12:41.120 But I mean, you know, into the day, I see 0:12:41.160 --> 0:12:43.640 this as a very very very tight game. If you're 0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:46.079 gonna give me, you know, if you're gonna give me 0:12:46.120 --> 0:12:48.360 a hook on this game, um, I'm gonna take it. 0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:50.640 With the bucks. I like three and a half when 0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:53.320 it was at four. As you know, Gil, I thought 0:12:53.360 --> 0:12:55.160 I had a four in my account. I didn't swoop 0:12:55.200 --> 0:12:58.160 back in and and take it. I did have a bucks. 0:12:58.400 --> 0:13:00.600 I do have bucks up to ten uh in a 0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:03.439 teaser with the with the bills as well, So um, 0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:07.000 I like that as well in this one. And you know, 0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:09.679 from just another thing, you know, I met a lot 0:13:09.679 --> 0:13:12.040 of props from a prop betting standpoint here, if you 0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:16.199 do think that this is a if you do think 0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:19.920 that this is a very efficient Packers offensive performance in 0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:23.520 this game, the rushing total for Aaron Rodgers is thirteen 0:13:23.520 --> 0:13:25.080 and a half or fourteen and a half depending on 0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:27.000 which book that you look at out there. He only 0:13:27.000 --> 0:13:30.000 got to fourteen yards rushing three different times this season. 0:13:30.120 --> 0:13:33.920 Both of those were in games where the it was 0:13:33.920 --> 0:13:37.400 super super tightly contested. And you know, Aaron Rodgers is 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:38.840 that type of guy. If he's gotta go get it, 0:13:38.840 --> 0:13:41.120 he'll go get it. But outside of that, he only 0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:44.880 made it to fourteen yards three different times this year. So, um, 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:47.240 just you know, by the body of work here, there's 0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:49.960 never designed Aaron Rodgers run plays, right, So that's always 0:13:49.960 --> 0:13:52.920 going to be some sort of scramble situation. So I 0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:56.480 have pretty heavy lean to the under on Rogers rushing 0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:59.319 prop as well. Alright, So and and and just to clarify, 0:13:59.400 --> 0:14:02.319 so you have Tampa Bay in a teaser in pocket 0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:06.440 right now? Okay, Um, a couple of things. One Matt 0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.440 Lafleur's game plan against the Rams like we should. That 0:14:09.440 --> 0:14:12.240 that was amazing to me that that he was just 0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:15.560 like we are running at these guys. And maybe you 0:14:15.559 --> 0:14:17.559 know when we talk about Coach of the Year candidates 0:14:17.559 --> 0:14:22.360 and and rightfully so McDermott and Stefanski. Um, you know, 0:14:22.440 --> 0:14:25.640 Matt Lafleur never gets any juice because he's got Aaron Rodgers. 0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:27.720 So it's you know, it's our knee jerk not to 0:14:27.720 --> 0:14:30.640 give him credit. But I mean that guy's scripts at 0:14:30.680 --> 0:14:32.880 the beginning of the games are great. The the other 0:14:32.880 --> 0:14:34.640 thing is and and I want to you know, when 0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:36.560 you bring up the notion of these two championship games 0:14:36.560 --> 0:14:39.280 and we actually have a prior this year in both 0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:41.520 of these matchups, and we were going through it, and 0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:43.360 you know, we have a week to talk about these 0:14:43.360 --> 0:14:45.040 two games, so and all the different media we do, 0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:46.960 we we have to remember what we have and have 0:14:47.040 --> 0:14:48.800 not said. But but here on the on the podcast, 0:14:48.880 --> 0:14:51.440 we haven't said it. I think we all agree like 0:14:51.520 --> 0:14:55.480 those games don't mean a whole lot to these handicaps. 0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:57.320 Maybe they do. We'll get to Kansas City Buffalo next, 0:14:57.440 --> 0:15:00.160 but when we're going back the Green Bay Tampa Bay game, 0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:03.080 these were both week six, Like I think most people 0:15:03.120 --> 0:15:05.400 remember that because the Packers were up tending. Nothing was 0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:07.440 the pick six, then subsequent to it was almost another 0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:09.640 pick says, they took it to the two. Next thing 0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:11.400 you knew, it was thirteen to tend and then thirty 0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:13.720 eight to ten. It was the weirdest game, but that 0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:16.600 Buffalo Kansas City game. And I figured this out on 0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:18.880 eras Jason and I were going through this on a 0:15:19.000 --> 0:15:23.520 Numbers game. It was that postponed game because the Bills 0:15:24.040 --> 0:15:26.560 had a had a game with the Titans pushed back 0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:29.280 to Tuesday. Remember that was when the NFL was postponing 0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:31.520 games and the Titans had the outbreak. So because the 0:15:31.520 --> 0:15:33.920 Bills had to play on Tuesday, that previously scheduled Bills 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:35.920 Chiefs game from two days later on a Thursday got 0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:37.880 pushed to the early game Monday, and it was like 0:15:37.880 --> 0:15:42.760 two o'clock Pacific. I remember not one second of that game, 0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:46.320 which is really interesting because you remember the whole game actually, 0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:49.440 and I have a whole thing about it, do you. Yes, 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:52.560 Todd Wish and everybody was, okay, Todd, give us Tampa 0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:55.920 Bay Green Bay first before we do all that. Um 0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:58.720 Tampa Bay, Green Bay. I think I agree with Matt. 0:15:58.800 --> 0:16:00.480 I think the first game was an a ration. The 0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:03.080 Packers were doing the Packers thing up ten nothing like 0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:05.440 you just said. The two picks in the game just 0:16:05.560 --> 0:16:08.920 turned very radically and weird. The thing I like the 0:16:09.000 --> 0:16:12.400 most in this game actually is the team total over 0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:15.440 twenty seven and a half for the Packers, because if 0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:21.080 Taylor Heineke um of uh Washington football fame can put 0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:24.600 up twenty three on your defense, and if Daniel Jones 0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:28.040 can put up points on your defense, and even Drew 0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:31.280 Brees was gonna be putting up points on your defense 0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:34.240 with no arm I think, um, there's no reason why 0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:36.560 Aaron Rodgers can't get the twenty seven and a half. 0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:38.360 So I like the team total over and and if 0:16:38.360 --> 0:16:40.920 you don't have access to team totals, I would probably 0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.000 take the game over as well, because I don't see 0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:46.160 the Buccaneers stopping this Packer offense. I mean, they just 0:16:46.640 --> 0:16:50.200 made the Rams look, you know, mediocre, and I don't 0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:53.360 see how they're not going to a Buccaneers defense, which 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:57.120 I think is maybe slightly above average. If that, I 0:16:57.120 --> 0:16:59.320 mean that was really a gift game. Let's be honest. 0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:01.360 I had the Bucking is plus three, and as Adam 0:17:01.440 --> 0:17:03.840 was talking about, as they're going down the field up 0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:06.159 twenty to thirteen, I'm like, okay, that's a loser. And 0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:08.680 then they fumble given the touchdown and get the other touchdown. 0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:11.080 I was, and then I took when it got to twenty, 0:17:11.160 --> 0:17:13.480 I took Saints the other way, going for the middle 0:17:13.520 --> 0:17:16.000 because I didn't trust the Buccaneers. So you know, I 0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:18.680 don't trust the Buccaneers. I will say this, the Packers 0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.159 let Jared goth go up and down the field. The 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:24.000 Packers have really not been such a great defensive team 0:17:24.040 --> 0:17:26.120 either this year. They just get out to these huge 0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:28.959 leads because their offense never doesn't score. So to me, 0:17:29.240 --> 0:17:31.480 I like the Packers team total over. But I also 0:17:31.520 --> 0:17:34.239 like the game over because I gotta think that the 0:17:34.240 --> 0:17:37.439 Packers defense, you know, it's gonna give up some points. 0:17:37.440 --> 0:17:40.240 So I could easily see this being like thirty four 0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:44.440 twenty one or thirty five twenty four, something like that. 0:17:44.920 --> 0:17:47.640 Um especially a lot of Packers games, they get up 0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:49.960 way ahead and then they start giving you back door 0:17:50.000 --> 0:17:52.680 touchdowns all day long. If you remember the Bears game, 0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:54.800 they were a bazillion and they gave up back door 0:17:54.840 --> 0:17:57.920 touchdowns every Lion's game is like that. But I definitely 0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:01.240 think the over is worth a look, uh in this 0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:04.159 game and and team total Packers over is the other thing. 0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:06.400 Packers do have moments, right, we're talking about that late. 0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:07.960 I don't know if it was Week fifteen or sixteen, 0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:10.040 they played Carolina. They were way up at the half 0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:12.399 and then they kind of just stopped playing football. And 0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:17.080 Carolina had a great to do in every game. They 0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:18.479 do it in every game. If you look at their 0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:20.719 entire schedule that it's like Adam was saying, they're up 0:18:20.880 --> 0:18:22.760 huge and then they just go to sleep and give 0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:26.680 back toor touchdowns like crazy. Um. The other thing I 0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:28.840 think that that's unique about this is just this this 0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:32.040 offense from the buck does present at least a unique 0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:35.720 kind of look for any defense with three I think 0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:39.160 unquestioned you could say stud receivers, and then you also 0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:41.480 have the kind of the duel tight end threat there 0:18:41.480 --> 0:18:43.240 in Brighton Gronk. I mean, Gronk had one of his 0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:46.080 best games of the season against this Packers team, had 0:18:46.119 --> 0:18:48.520 seventy eight yards. He had seventy eight of bradies hundred 0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:51.320 sixty six passing yards in the first game. Now, again, 0:18:51.880 --> 0:18:53.960 was that in abiration this when you look at how 0:18:53.960 --> 0:18:56.960 the Packers have really fared against linebacker, I mean, have 0:18:57.080 --> 0:18:58.920 fared against tight ends over the course of the sea 0:18:58.920 --> 0:19:01.159 and they've actually done very very well. But one of 0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:02.680 the things that the Bucks did is they were lining 0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:05.119 Gronk up out wide like he was going up against 0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:08.119 corners in that game and had a touchdown against the 0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:10.840 corner in that game as well, And so given them 0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:12.919 kind of different looks with all of that. Now you 0:19:12.960 --> 0:19:15.639 add in Antonio Brown into the fold and Gire Alexander, 0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:18.840 the stud of all studs when it comes to corners, uh, 0:19:18.880 --> 0:19:20.880 you know, over the last couple of seasons, can only 0:19:20.960 --> 0:19:23.840 cover one of those guys, right, And so that's why 0:19:24.080 --> 0:19:27.320 another thing that's Packers defense that has been very very 0:19:27.320 --> 0:19:30.320 well since week thirteen is they've really did start to 0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:32.440 kind of turn things around. Eighth in you know, eighth 0:19:32.440 --> 0:19:35.080 in yards per attempt against their fifth and passer rating 0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:38.800 against uh second in ProFootball Focus coverage grade since week 0:19:38.840 --> 0:19:42.760 thirteen as well. But Jaire Alexander, again, most teams don't 0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:45.960 have two legitimate options in the past game, and certainly 0:19:46.000 --> 0:19:49.880 don't have three legitimate options in the past game as well, 0:19:49.920 --> 0:19:52.200 and so I do think that this Buck's offense presents 0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:55.959 at least a unique kind of circumstance for the Packers 0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:58.600 defense as well. It's an interesting point. One last thing 0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:00.720 I'd had to the total too, so to jump in 0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:04.959 would be like last week the Saints and Bucks, Like 0:20:05.040 --> 0:20:08.080 there was very sharp money over forty eight and a half, 0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:10.320 over forty nine, over forty nine and a half that 0:20:10.400 --> 0:20:12.399 got up to fifty three and a half, so like 0:20:12.440 --> 0:20:16.160 it was a significant movement for any playoff game, even 0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:19.119 a regular season game at that and it fell right 0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:20.680 in the middle. So a lot of people were very 0:20:20.680 --> 0:20:23.600 happy about that. But like, we're looking at a game 0:20:23.680 --> 0:20:25.959 this week that's a point and a half above an 0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:29.160 average total for the season, and it's two point shy 0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:32.040 of where that game closed. And like I would just 0:20:32.080 --> 0:20:34.320 simply look at these teams and say, do the Saints 0:20:34.320 --> 0:20:37.199 have a better defense than the Green Bay Packers? And 0:20:37.240 --> 0:20:40.480 I think the answer probably would lean towards yes. And 0:20:40.520 --> 0:20:42.840 then I would say, do the Packers have a better 0:20:43.119 --> 0:20:46.920 The Packers have a better offense then the Saints, And 0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:49.760 I don't think anybody is going to dispute that, And 0:20:49.800 --> 0:20:53.840 so you're you're kind of getting the counterpart to that 0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:55.680 would be, like does it look different when it's played 0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:58.560 outside versus being played inside of the dome, But like 0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:02.439 you're getting a better offer with a lesser defense in 0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:06.040 a game that's now priced a little bit shorter coming 0:21:06.080 --> 0:21:09.000 off the back of a move that was extremely significant 0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:12.080 a week ago. Like I would agree that this numbers 0:21:12.280 --> 0:21:14.440 maybe just a little bit light on the toll. Todd 0:21:14.480 --> 0:21:16.399 got a little upset just now, also soon to put 0:21:16.480 --> 0:21:20.080 the biscuit in the basket. I just wanted to say 0:21:20.080 --> 0:21:24.200 one other thing as I'm getting upset. Camp Acres ran 0:21:24.560 --> 0:21:26.919 eighteen carries for ninety yards, and I don't care what 0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:29.320 the stats are, because you know the stats in NFL 0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:34.240 LIE but there was holes, gigantic holes for him against 0:21:34.240 --> 0:21:37.800 the Green Bay defense. So again that's another reason why 0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:39.960 if Tampa Bay is able to run and take some 0:21:40.000 --> 0:21:42.840 pressure off Brady, I just think the overhears is just 0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:46.240 the best play in my opinion. I just one last 0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:49.159 thing about this. I you know, Adam was saying how 0:21:49.280 --> 0:21:51.960 something that Alan Boston said lingered, something like Las Vegas 0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:54.520 Chris said last week lingered in my head, And I'm 0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:56.400 not sure if he said it on the podcast or afterwards, 0:21:56.440 --> 0:21:59.000 but he was saying, one of his you know, hallmarks 0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:02.879 of success in these contests in the NFL, UH this 0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:07.720 year and in past years, is having his own UH 0:22:07.920 --> 0:22:11.520 is relying on other people to use the rankings of 0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:14.639 of certain sites and to you know, he has his 0:22:14.680 --> 0:22:17.119 own and obviously to exploit those differences. In the Tampa 0:22:17.160 --> 0:22:19.280 Bay Buccaneers are the biggest example of that. He said, 0:22:19.280 --> 0:22:21.520 this year we're a site like Football Outsiders, and we 0:22:21.520 --> 0:22:23.000 love Aaron shots and Aaron comes on the show all 0:22:23.040 --> 0:22:25.240 the time. But I think there's no question that most people, 0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:28.199 most people, maybe not all people, most people think that 0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:32.359 perhaps they've overrated the Buccaneers all year in terms of 0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:36.080 d v o A as a top four team, UH 0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:39.000 for most of the season, with some fluctuation, but they 0:22:39.000 --> 0:22:41.720 were up there, like well above what most people would 0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:43.560 have them. And Chris was saying, he goes, you know, 0:22:43.720 --> 0:22:46.760 I've kind of used that to my advantage. Um, look 0:22:46.800 --> 0:22:51.440 all the all the reasons stated. Obviously, Brady is Brady, 0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:54.399 and UH, they've got weapons, and that defense came to 0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:55.960 play last week. But I'm not sure there was anything 0:22:55.960 --> 0:22:58.160 I saw last week because of that plus four turnover 0:22:58.240 --> 0:23:02.760 ratio that Bucks the Las Vegas Chris sentiment. That's somehow 0:23:02.880 --> 0:23:06.280 that over rating by uh by Football Outsiders was in 0:23:06.400 --> 0:23:11.399 any way, um in any way uh you know, mitigated, 0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:14.159 you know, because it was just an aberrational kind of 0:23:14.160 --> 0:23:16.679 game with those turnovers. So it's an interesting thing and 0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:18.440 it just lingers in my head. But anyway, you put 0:23:18.440 --> 0:23:20.840 all that in the wash. We have some overs, we 0:23:20.880 --> 0:23:23.280 have some Tampa Bay teasers, we got some Green Bay sentiment. 0:23:24.200 --> 0:23:25.680 Go with what you will there. I'm on a Green 0:23:25.680 --> 0:23:28.720 Bay first, Yes, I'm sorry and and Gil like you know. 0:23:28.800 --> 0:23:30.679 The only thing about that that d b o A 0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:32.399 is very high on the on the Bucks team, but 0:23:32.440 --> 0:23:34.760 it is corroborated about Pro Football Focus as well. I 0:23:34.800 --> 0:23:36.880 get you know, another another site that we I think 0:23:36.920 --> 0:23:39.280 respect as far as what they do over there. I 0:23:39.280 --> 0:23:42.440 mean number six overall offense, numbers two pass offense, number 0:23:42.440 --> 0:23:45.080 eleven rush offense on the defensive side, the number five 0:23:45.119 --> 0:23:47.840 overall defense, number four against the past, number eleven against 0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:50.800 the rush. So while the numbers are in the rankings 0:23:50.800 --> 0:23:52.440 are high on d B o A, it is it's 0:23:52.480 --> 0:23:55.119 also backed up by you know, Pro Football Focus and 0:23:55.359 --> 0:23:58.720 what they do as well. Yeah, it's a great I agree, 0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:01.520 with Tampa Bay being, you know, that high on offense, 0:24:01.560 --> 0:24:04.200 but they're not. You really think they're that high on defense? 0:24:04.840 --> 0:24:07.199 Defense there. I mean you look at their games, they 0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:10.160 don't look you know, much better than a touch better 0:24:10.200 --> 0:24:13.920 than average. I mean Taylor Heineck was just making them 0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:16.680 look silly. I mean it was ridiculous. How wide open. 0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:19.760 I mean, that's a that's a that's a Washington deef offense. 0:24:19.840 --> 0:24:23.080 That is literally me and you could play quarterback better 0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:25.600 than some of those guys. It's unbelievable. You look at 0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:28.440 the Atlanta game. Atlanta moves up and down against them, 0:24:28.480 --> 0:24:32.080 Minnesota moved on in Kansas City obviously move against everybody. 0:24:32.119 --> 0:24:34.520 But I mean who did they really play? New Orleans 0:24:34.800 --> 0:24:37.399 scored a ton on them. Who who are they playing 0:24:37.440 --> 0:24:41.240 that they're so great on defense? I I don't see it. Yeah, 0:24:41.240 --> 0:24:43.040 I mean the Taylor Heinekey thing. They play that game 0:24:43.080 --> 0:24:46.320 about Devin White, I think that's a fairly big downgrade 0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:48.560 for a rushing quarterback like Heineke. I mean, Devon White 0:24:48.600 --> 0:24:51.120 runs a you know, four or five five and two 0:24:51.200 --> 0:24:54.240 hundred and fifty five pounds and create some havoc for 0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:56.280 for a guy trying to run for all those trying 0:24:56.280 --> 0:24:58.640 to run for all those yards and things like that. So, um, 0:24:59.240 --> 0:25:01.919 I take that a little bit with with a great assault. 0:25:01.920 --> 0:25:03.560 But yeah, I mean, look, they're they're the number one 0:25:03.560 --> 0:25:05.400 team against the run all year long. They only give 0:25:05.480 --> 0:25:07.239 up eighty one yards a game on the ground, and 0:25:07.280 --> 0:25:09.359 so you know, some of these teams just have to 0:25:09.440 --> 0:25:11.880 go to the past. And if you're throwing a ton, 0:25:12.320 --> 0:25:14.679 you're naturally are going to move the ball, you know 0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:16.760 a little bit better and stuff like that. How efficient 0:25:16.840 --> 0:25:18.800 is it when you become a one dimensional team? That's 0:25:18.880 --> 0:25:22.040 up for debate, But um, you know something to consider 0:25:22.080 --> 0:25:23.760 from from the defensive side as well. There for the 0:25:23.800 --> 0:25:26.000 Bucks to answer your question about d v O A. 0:25:26.080 --> 0:25:27.960 And for the Bucks specifically though, was that they were 0:25:27.960 --> 0:25:30.800 second offensively if I'm not mistaken six defensively you know 0:25:30.800 --> 0:25:33.639 where they suck with special teams, which is the most 0:25:33.680 --> 0:25:36.000 devolnable thing from a year to year. They were twenty eight, 0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:38.840 but you know where the Packers were, So it kind 0:25:38.880 --> 0:25:41.000 of just negates itself. But that's that's when they gave 0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:43.040 up two big punt returns to one of them that 0:25:43.160 --> 0:25:45.760 counted against the dude. As you guys were talking about 0:25:45.760 --> 0:25:48.800 your your Tampa Bay positions. You know, I had New 0:25:48.920 --> 0:25:53.960 Orleans basically in money line situations, and that Jared Cook fumble. 0:25:54.040 --> 0:25:55.600 Like every time you guys said, oh, we thought we 0:25:55.600 --> 0:25:57.280 were dead, it's like I'm there was the opposite of that, 0:25:57.320 --> 0:26:01.040 I'm just dying. Just they it's him Deonte Harris. They 0:26:01.040 --> 0:26:02.960 only came up with three points off both of those 0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:05.760 part returns, the second negated by a penalty. But it's 0:26:05.800 --> 0:26:09.639 just like uh, brutal. Okay, let's move to the second game, 0:26:09.720 --> 0:26:13.479 Kansas City and Buffalo. Kansas City is favored by three. Uh, 0:26:13.480 --> 0:26:16.360 the total is a little higher here fifty four. We 0:26:16.480 --> 0:26:19.520 still don't know officially, unless something happened to the first 0:26:19.520 --> 0:26:21.840 part of this podcast. We still don't know officially if 0:26:21.840 --> 0:26:25.800 Patrick Mahomes is playing. Um, Patrick Mahomes, who obviously had 0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:29.400 a a banged up toe. Let's go with banged up 0:26:29.400 --> 0:26:33.720 as the medical explanation of this, prior to Andy Reid 0:26:33.840 --> 0:26:36.359 calling a, Hey, you know the guy we have that 0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:38.879 cheat code, the greatest player in the NFL with the 0:26:38.880 --> 0:26:41.159 banging up toe. Let's have him roll out here to 0:26:41.200 --> 0:26:44.800 the right and he uh, he got tackled, uh and 0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:47.040 uh we never saw him again. He was Woozy on 0:26:47.080 --> 0:26:49.720 his way up. He didn't come back the rest of 0:26:49.720 --> 0:26:53.800 the game, and the Chiefs held on for seventeen victory 0:26:53.840 --> 0:26:57.240 over the Browns. So, um, we don't know if it's 0:26:57.240 --> 0:27:00.320 Mahomes yet. The line where it is assumed is that 0:27:00.400 --> 0:27:04.919 we will see Mahomes. Um but again not official. And 0:27:05.520 --> 0:27:08.679 it's again Buffalo coming off a win against Baltimore in 0:27:08.720 --> 0:27:11.680 which really they relied on a pick six and then 0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:15.119 a Lamar Jackson concussion two plays later which knocked him 0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:17.359 out of the game. The pick six change changed a 0:27:17.480 --> 0:27:20.560 ten to three game, which at the worst for Baltimore 0:27:20.600 --> 0:27:23.480 should have been ten to six. Instead, Tarren Johnson a 0:27:23.600 --> 0:27:26.399 hundred and one yards of the house great played by 0:27:26.440 --> 0:27:29.000 Dradavious White getting in front of Lamar Jackson on the 0:27:29.040 --> 0:27:31.760 run back, and then Tyler Huntley couldn't get the Ravens 0:27:31.800 --> 0:27:33.400 quite in the end zone, j K. Dobbins dropped the ball. 0:27:33.400 --> 0:27:35.399 So the seventeen two three that's how Buffalo gets to 0:27:35.440 --> 0:27:39.879 its first DNFC championship since nineteen twenty seven years. Kansas 0:27:39.920 --> 0:27:44.399 City gets there not only overcoming the Mahomes injury, but 0:27:44.520 --> 0:27:47.000 Kevin Stefanski did not have his greatest day ever as 0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:51.000 coach made a lot of mistakes, went for one down 0:27:51.080 --> 0:27:54.480 nineteen to nine instead of going for two, challenged a 0:27:54.560 --> 0:27:57.439 Tyree Hill catch from Chad Henny that shouldn't have been challenged, 0:27:57.680 --> 0:28:00.280 lost his first time out of the three. They ended 0:28:00.359 --> 0:28:01.720 up having to use a second time out when they 0:28:01.760 --> 0:28:04.639 got too close to the play cock with five minutes 0:28:04.800 --> 0:28:07.520 plus left. Uh. And so timeouts ended up being the 0:28:07.520 --> 0:28:09.760 story of that game, and then the final sequence. By 0:28:09.760 --> 0:28:11.720 the way, there was a Shard Schard Higgins who could 0:28:11.760 --> 0:28:13.960 forget at the end of the first half with the 0:28:14.080 --> 0:28:16.040 with the with the line minus six and a half 0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:19.000 in the first half, it's sixteen to six, sixteen to three. 0:28:19.040 --> 0:28:22.960 Pardon me, he's going to the house. Uh. Sorenson gets 0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:25.160 there and knocks the ball out, fumbles through the end zone. 0:28:25.200 --> 0:28:27.240 We can debate that. I think it's the strangest rule 0:28:27.240 --> 0:28:30.600 in sports, the dumbest rule. Todd has different thoughts that rule. 0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:36.280 It's the first, makes no sense. There is no better 0:28:36.359 --> 0:28:39.440 rule in sports. It's the best rule. Uh. So that happened, 0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:40.680 and then, of course the chace, so we got to 0:28:40.720 --> 0:28:42.560 debate that for a second. But then the Chad Henny 0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:45.400 sequence at the end. I don't care what anybody says 0:28:45.960 --> 0:28:49.360 we the fourth down play. Fine, you decided to gamble 0:28:50.000 --> 0:28:53.120 high percentage play Chad Handy to Tyree Hill. They got 0:28:53.120 --> 0:28:55.080 it done. Now, if it's incomplete, we're talking about a 0:28:55.080 --> 0:28:57.320 whole different thing, perhaps narrative wise, but it's not the 0:28:57.320 --> 0:28:59.640 fourth down play. I want to talk about second down. 0:28:59.640 --> 0:29:02.200 In third down, second down north of the two minute warning, 0:29:02.760 --> 0:29:05.200 they have no time ounds left. Instead of just running 0:29:05.280 --> 0:29:06.880 and knocking it down to the second to the two 0:29:06.880 --> 0:29:10.040 minute warning, Chad Henny Is drops back to pass. He 0:29:10.080 --> 0:29:13.920 gets bailed out by a sack. Third down again, instead 0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:15.959 of just running it in and you know, punting with 0:29:16.000 --> 0:29:19.840 like one fifteen left, Henny gets flushed out of the pocket, 0:29:19.920 --> 0:29:22.640 runs thirteen yards on a third and fourteen, which allows 0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:25.440 them to go for it on fourth down. Um, it's 0:29:25.480 --> 0:29:28.719 amazing to me that some folks during the week are like, 0:29:28.800 --> 0:29:30.400 oh yeah, but you know, he knew if he was 0:29:30.400 --> 0:29:31.960 flushing out of the pocket he had to run on 0:29:31.960 --> 0:29:33.720 the second now play, he knew he should take a sack. 0:29:34.600 --> 0:29:37.080 People gotta stop with this. If that was Anthony Lynn, 0:29:37.240 --> 0:29:41.240 we would be destroying Andy Reid. Excuse me, Anthony Lynn, 0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:43.960 we would be destroying him. Anthony Lynn to me, excuse me, 0:29:43.960 --> 0:29:47.040 Andy Reid, it seems to me we forgot very quickly. 0:29:47.760 --> 0:29:50.600 We forgot that before he had to Patrick Mahomes, he 0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:53.760 was a clock management nightmare. Well, the minute he didn't 0:29:53.760 --> 0:29:56.640 have Patrick Mahomes again, this happened, and so the chiefs 0:29:56.680 --> 0:29:59.320 overcame all that. So he was both a lunatic and 0:29:59.360 --> 0:30:03.760 a hero the end. To me, Um, but they got by? 0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:06.000 Would you say, but they got by? Go ahead, I'm sorry, 0:30:06.040 --> 0:30:09.200 I'm done. Just before we get into the whole analysis 0:30:09.200 --> 0:30:11.800 of this game. Um, right now, you do you were saying, 0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:15.000 as you were saying, the line was minus three assuming Homes, 0:30:15.040 --> 0:30:17.360 is it really fully assuming the Homes, Because if we 0:30:17.480 --> 0:30:21.840 said right now, probably not fully Mahomes is playing, I 0:30:21.880 --> 0:30:24.000 think it would be a little higher. I agree, it'll 0:30:24.000 --> 0:30:25.840 go to three and a half. It'll go to three 0:30:25.880 --> 0:30:31.240 and a half. Yeahs playing than Mahomes not playing. I 0:30:31.240 --> 0:30:34.280 think that's definitely on that side. But is it's I'm 0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:36.200 just making the point. It's not all the way there. 0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:39.240 I think we agree. Yeah. Anyway, before we get into 0:30:39.280 --> 0:30:41.800 Buffalo at Kansas City again, three points in fifty four 0:30:42.160 --> 0:30:45.600 the total? Was there anything I say that you vehemently 0:30:45.640 --> 0:30:47.280 disagree with First of all, let's do the let's do 0:30:47.320 --> 0:30:50.480 the Richard Higgins fumble through the end zone. Yes, this 0:30:50.560 --> 0:30:54.280 is the stupidest ruling sports todd because there is no 0:30:54.640 --> 0:30:58.600 football logic to it. I agree with that part. Okay, 0:30:58.640 --> 0:31:04.120 so what's your solution. Here's my point. I agree with you. 0:31:04.160 --> 0:31:06.360 It doesn't make sense if you're going to be consistent, like, 0:31:06.440 --> 0:31:08.080 you know, you fumble on the twenty six that goes 0:31:08.120 --> 0:31:09.480 out of bound, you get it at the twenty six. 0:31:09.520 --> 0:31:11.760 You fumble on the thirteen, you get it the thirteen. Here. 0:31:11.800 --> 0:31:13.240 If you fumble with the one, you should get it 0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:16.280 at the one. That's the consistent position. I agree with that. 0:31:16.600 --> 0:31:19.040 The reason I love the rule is the NFL is 0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:22.960 already too offensive a game. It's offense, offense, offense. It's 0:31:23.000 --> 0:31:26.360 almost impossible to stop any good team in the NFL. 0:31:26.720 --> 0:31:30.520 So I love the fact that guys at the three 0:31:30.600 --> 0:31:32.560 yard line have to have in the back of their 0:31:32.600 --> 0:31:36.400 mind be the f careful when you reach for the 0:31:36.440 --> 0:31:38.520 goal line, because if you fumble this ball through the 0:31:38.560 --> 0:31:40.360 ends and we're gonna lose it, which means that there's 0:31:40.400 --> 0:31:42.160 got to be a couple of them were smart enough 0:31:42.200 --> 0:31:44.240 to go you know, what I'm not reaching it because 0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:46.520 it's too dangerous and in a game that is so 0:31:46.640 --> 0:31:50.080 offensive already, and I like a little defense sprinkled into 0:31:50.120 --> 0:31:52.680 my ball games. I like the fact that there's a 0:31:52.720 --> 0:31:56.120 little something there that the defense gets. Finally, something for 0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:59.400 the defense. Everything in the NFL is offense, offense, offense. 0:31:59.520 --> 0:32:03.360 Oh you sniffed on the quarterback past you know, roughing 0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:06.600 the pastor fifteen passing inference? Oh you touch that guy, 0:32:06.640 --> 0:32:11.160 don't past inference. Everything is offense, offense, offense, something for 0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:14.280 the defense, got damn it? And then the guy who 0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:17.280 doesn't extend the ball gets hammered by us the next 0:32:17.400 --> 0:32:20.400 day because he didn't put in the effort to try 0:32:20.440 --> 0:32:23.080 and score a touchdown. And he gives you that, He 0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:26.360 gives you the exact explanation that you just said, because 0:32:26.360 --> 0:32:28.080 you said he's gonna come out and say I didn't 0:32:28.080 --> 0:32:29.560 want to risk bumboat to the end zone. And you 0:32:29.560 --> 0:32:32.240 know what you say, Todd, You say, dammit, you idiot, 0:32:32.280 --> 0:32:34.360 you rate for the end zone and whatever, like I 0:32:34.400 --> 0:32:38.560 needed that touchdown, like you're gonna everybody's complaining about his 0:32:38.640 --> 0:32:42.320 effort at that point, like it's it's a ten yard penalty, 0:32:42.400 --> 0:32:44.600 is what it is you. You you have to take 0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:47.360 the ball back to the ten yard line, and and 0:32:47.360 --> 0:32:51.840 it's totally that's ridiculous. White ten? Why not eight? Why not? Okay? Okay, 0:32:51.840 --> 0:32:55.480 but whatever it is something you know, punitive loss of 0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:57.840 down and you take the ball back to the twenty. 0:32:57.960 --> 0:33:00.080 Whatever the rule is, it should not be changed your 0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:01.760 possession because just if you if you just step back 0:33:01.800 --> 0:33:05.400 from it for a second, just logically speaking, okay, when 0:33:05.440 --> 0:33:08.000 you fumble, okay, but Todd, but hold on, let me 0:33:08.000 --> 0:33:10.120 just make my point if I could, so, if you 0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:12.160 fumble the ball right out of bounds, way you were 0:33:12.160 --> 0:33:14.400 talking matriculating the ball down the field, you stated again 0:33:14.440 --> 0:33:16.480 you get the ball back where you are. What is 0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:21.560 what is just again just stepping back? What is so egregious? 0:33:21.800 --> 0:33:26.400 What is so absolutely horrible? Hold hold on? Hold on, 0:33:26.440 --> 0:33:31.240 hold on? But think about it. It's like that the 0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:35.440 notion that then you would have the audacity to do 0:33:35.480 --> 0:33:39.040 it over the goal line, right, the audacity to try 0:33:39.080 --> 0:33:44.000 to score the football should result in you losing possession. 0:33:44.040 --> 0:33:45.880 Just think of just think about what we're talking about. 0:33:46.120 --> 0:33:54.480 What I agree with you, But you still think you're 0:33:54.520 --> 0:33:58.480 taking this dance, but you're actually serious. He's actually serious, Adam, 0:33:58.560 --> 0:34:02.120 Welcome to the podcast. Is a gil Logically, you're a thousand. 0:34:02.160 --> 0:34:05.000 In fact, logically, should be no penalty. The guy should 0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:06.760 get it at the one yard line, because if you're 0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:09.040 going to be consistent, if you fumble out of bounds, 0:34:09.080 --> 0:34:11.320 it's no big deal. You get it when you fumble 0:34:11.360 --> 0:34:12.920 at the thirty six. You don't get it back at 0:34:12.920 --> 0:34:14.759 the forty six. You get it at the thirty six. 0:34:14.760 --> 0:34:17.000 There's no penalty for fumbling out of bounds. So if 0:34:17.000 --> 0:34:19.240 you fumble out the one yard line, according to your logic, 0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:21.759 and I actually agree with you logically that if you 0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:23.360 fumble out the one yard line you should get it 0:34:23.360 --> 0:34:25.200 at the one yard line. There should be no penalty 0:34:25.239 --> 0:34:27.719 for fumbling into the end zone at all. But if 0:34:27.760 --> 0:34:30.480 you the reason I like it is, as I said, 0:34:30.600 --> 0:34:34.200 it's not a logic thing. It's a little rule, something 0:34:34.320 --> 0:34:37.760 nice for the defense, because they get nothing nice. Nothing 0:34:37.840 --> 0:34:41.279 that ever happens for the defense. Everything. We need more 0:34:41.320 --> 0:34:44.000 points because we need our big crowds to watch the 0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:46.360 NFL game so we can have concerts and halftime with 0:34:46.440 --> 0:34:50.759 Lady Gaga. It's like, come on, you have some goddamn defense. 0:34:50.880 --> 0:34:52.960 I had, you know what else? Is very nice for 0:34:53.000 --> 0:34:55.360 the defense. Is they also get an extra twenty yards 0:34:55.360 --> 0:34:58.839 in addition to that change of possession that they never had, Right, 0:34:58.880 --> 0:35:00.839 they get a touched you back on top of it. 0:35:01.080 --> 0:35:03.759 That's exactly right, Adam. Adam, I would say, you're right, 0:35:03.840 --> 0:35:05.840 they should get into one yard that that is a 0:35:05.840 --> 0:35:07.799 little too far your I agree with you on that 0:35:08.000 --> 0:35:10.160 if I think, but I think that the one is 0:35:10.200 --> 0:35:12.720 a start for sure. Yeah, they're gonna change at least 0:35:12.760 --> 0:35:14.560 part of that. I mean, you're right, that's an extra 0:35:14.680 --> 0:35:17.160 layer to the whole thing. Um. Somebody on Twitter, and 0:35:17.160 --> 0:35:19.520 I apologize because I don't know, I can't remember who 0:35:19.520 --> 0:35:21.520 did it. But he said to me, we're trying to 0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:24.239 think of an equivalent in another sport, right, we like 0:35:24.320 --> 0:35:26.960 took five minutes like what is this? What is this like? 0:35:27.480 --> 0:35:30.319 And and the best he came The best he came 0:35:30.400 --> 0:35:34.080 up with was, imagine it's a baseball game and someone 0:35:34.280 --> 0:35:37.520 hits a shot down the line and it hits the 0:35:37.560 --> 0:35:40.839 foul pole. Not at home, that doesn't go, doesn't go 0:35:41.000 --> 0:35:43.640 you know, in a fair territory, but it hits the 0:35:43.680 --> 0:35:47.279 foul pole. Sorry, buddy, you hit the foul pole. End 0:35:47.280 --> 0:35:49.960 of inning. Other team takes there at bats that the 0:35:50.080 --> 0:35:53.000 closest we could come up with. You know, there is 0:35:53.080 --> 0:35:55.839 one point logically where your thing doesn't fully make sense, 0:35:55.840 --> 0:35:58.600 and this I would like to hear. Here's the only 0:35:58.640 --> 0:36:01.760 thing that doesn't fully make sense. There's a reason guys 0:36:01.800 --> 0:36:04.080 don't stretch the ball from the thirty one to the 0:36:04.120 --> 0:36:07.720 twenty nine because it's too risky to try to stretch 0:36:07.800 --> 0:36:09.960 the ball from the thirty one to twenty nine when 0:36:10.000 --> 0:36:11.800 what are you getting. You're getting two extra yards a 0:36:11.840 --> 0:36:13.759 big deal to drive. You're getting a first down? Though, 0:36:13.760 --> 0:36:17.279 what if you're getting a first down? Okay, So, and 0:36:17.320 --> 0:36:19.239 guys do try to stretch. What you're saying, guys do 0:36:19.280 --> 0:36:21.879 try to stretch the ball. That's true, that's good point. Okay. Look, 0:36:21.920 --> 0:36:23.880 I was just trying to come up with something, a 0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:27.320 shred of something to hang on too for my poor defense. 0:36:27.360 --> 0:36:29.800 And am I wrong about the final sequence with Andy 0:36:29.840 --> 0:36:32.840 Reid that he was both a lunatic a raving lunatic 0:36:32.920 --> 0:36:35.040 on second and third forget fourth down, we can debate. 0:36:35.160 --> 0:36:38.359 That's that's you know, reasonable down on third down. When 0:36:38.440 --> 0:36:41.040 I saw Chad Henny go back to pass, I was like, 0:36:41.560 --> 0:36:44.960 is this for real? Really? Is he really going back 0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:47.319 The only thing I could think is he's telling him 0:36:47.320 --> 0:36:48.960 for Sure to run. But that didn't look like a 0:36:49.000 --> 0:36:51.759 bootleg for Shure to run kind of go back to past. 0:36:51.840 --> 0:36:53.719 That looked like a real go back to past. And 0:36:53.719 --> 0:36:55.759 then he just got lucky that he got flushed out. 0:36:56.080 --> 0:36:58.600 But that was like bizarro world. I was like, is 0:36:58.600 --> 0:37:02.120 he really doing this? Is just crazy? Here's how I know. 0:37:02.239 --> 0:37:04.840 I thought what you said was about how we're only 0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:08.000 mentioning this because the fourth down worked out. I think that, 0:37:08.200 --> 0:37:11.240 to me is the most exhausting part about watching football, 0:37:11.280 --> 0:37:14.760 betting football, then following on Twitter, is it always depends 0:37:14.800 --> 0:37:17.200 on the outcome to how much we're going to criticize 0:37:17.239 --> 0:37:19.480 the coach for making the call. Like if they go 0:37:19.600 --> 0:37:21.560 for it on fourth down or fourth down, it's a 0:37:21.640 --> 0:37:24.560 terrible decision unless it works and then in which case 0:37:24.560 --> 0:37:27.040 it was a terrific decision. There's like so much, so 0:37:27.120 --> 0:37:29.359 much of a push for being aggressive and going for it. 0:37:29.160 --> 0:37:31.759 It's great and we praise everyone when it works, but 0:37:31.800 --> 0:37:34.239 when it doesn't, they just get killed online. So it's 0:37:34.280 --> 0:37:36.239 like a never ending thing. But the only reason we're 0:37:36.239 --> 0:37:38.680 not talking about that second now play call is because 0:37:38.680 --> 0:37:40.920 they got the first down. If it was anything different 0:37:41.120 --> 0:37:43.120 than it just piles up. And we're probably looking at 0:37:43.120 --> 0:37:45.319 other things throughout the game too, but it's that's which 0:37:45.320 --> 0:37:47.279 it's never ending. Yeah, that's why I don't I don't 0:37:47.320 --> 0:37:49.040 focus on the fourth down Pa, because people want to 0:37:49.080 --> 0:37:50.920 talk about that's like, that's not what I'm talking about. 0:37:51.120 --> 0:37:54.080 That's yeah, it's it's it's what to me is the 0:37:54.160 --> 0:37:57.200 unassailable ridiculousness of second and third death and the reason 0:37:57.239 --> 0:38:00.200 that you know, because I heard some people throughout like again, oh, 0:38:00.280 --> 0:38:01.960 he knew that he was supposed to take this sect. 0:38:01.960 --> 0:38:03.719 Oh he knew he's supposed to scrabble. I have Jeff 0:38:03.719 --> 0:38:06.560 Schwartz on the show earlier this week. His brother Mitchell 0:38:06.640 --> 0:38:08.520 plays for the Chiefs, and so you could tell he 0:38:08.600 --> 0:38:10.960 sort of has to navigate these questions a little, or 0:38:10.960 --> 0:38:12.920 at least I'm assuming he does. And he was just 0:38:13.040 --> 0:38:15.640 giggling and laughing because I mean, it's it's really true, 0:38:15.680 --> 0:38:17.960 like if this was another coach. I used Anthony Lynn 0:38:18.000 --> 0:38:20.120 as the poster child, but if this was some other coach, 0:38:20.560 --> 0:38:23.839 I mean, Bill O'Brien could todd. If this was Bill O'Brien, 0:38:24.080 --> 0:38:28.040 we would be murdering him, murdering him but I agree 0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:30.960 with you a thousand percent, and even on the fourth down. 0:38:31.400 --> 0:38:34.600 Even on the fourth down, I still think it's way risk. 0:38:34.640 --> 0:38:37.000 I mean, it's one thing to do with Mahomes, but 0:38:37.080 --> 0:38:39.960 with Chad Henny, that's what is that like an eight 0:38:40.120 --> 0:38:42.360 five percent chance that he makes it? With Chad Henny, 0:38:42.440 --> 0:38:46.960 I would say there's chance, we would. Football people will 0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:51.120 tell you that was a pretty pretty easy. I mean, 0:38:51.160 --> 0:38:53.520 I don't know. I haven't two point three percent, Todd. 0:38:53.520 --> 0:38:55.920 I have no idea what the exact percentages, but whatever 0:38:56.400 --> 0:38:59.319 whatever you put the percentages that you have to take 0:38:59.360 --> 0:39:00.759 it down a little a bit for the fact that 0:39:00.760 --> 0:39:02.880 it's Chad Henny. We just saw the guy throw an 0:39:02.880 --> 0:39:05.720 interception and in the end zone on the drive previous. 0:39:05.760 --> 0:39:08.160 That was about the worst interception I've ever seen in 0:39:08.200 --> 0:39:10.839 any game, let alone a playoff game. So you have 0:39:10.920 --> 0:39:13.640 to be wondering what is going I mean, it's a 0:39:13.640 --> 0:39:16.839 little scary to do that at midfield, and and if 0:39:16.840 --> 0:39:19.640 they punted deep, they have one fifteen to go with 0:39:19.680 --> 0:39:22.719 no time outs. Very difficult to score in that situation. So, 0:39:23.040 --> 0:39:25.879 you know, especially when we talk about Baker Mayfield needs 0:39:25.920 --> 0:39:28.520 play action to you know, to do you know, to 0:39:28.520 --> 0:39:31.160 to be effective and stuff. But yeah, and Stepanski, as 0:39:31.200 --> 0:39:34.920 I said, going for one challenging the Tyreek play, I 0:39:34.920 --> 0:39:37.920 didn't even mention the punt with four three left right. 0:39:37.920 --> 0:39:41.200 That's the most obvious one. The punt four three left 0:39:41.239 --> 0:39:43.200 down five points. They give it up, never see the 0:39:43.200 --> 0:39:45.239 ball again. And then there was a challenge on on 0:39:45.239 --> 0:39:47.239 one drive when they were out down nineteen to ten 0:39:47.440 --> 0:39:50.000 where Mahomes was still in any hit Robinson for a 0:39:50.080 --> 0:39:53.880 first down might have been overturned. They didn't challenge. So 0:39:54.320 --> 0:39:56.520 not not stefancy, like we said, we didn't want a skewer. 0:39:56.600 --> 0:39:58.319 Stefancy can see that a great year, but not his 0:39:58.360 --> 0:40:01.960 best moment either, wasn't There also challenge on Ontarik Hill 0:40:02.040 --> 0:40:04.000 catching the ball. That was what I said before the 0:40:04.040 --> 0:40:06.319 twenty three yarder Tyreek Hill right in front of them. 0:40:06.320 --> 0:40:07.919 They challenged that was they got rid of their first 0:40:07.920 --> 0:40:11.440 time out that way. That was awful. Yes, sorry, Uh, 0:40:11.600 --> 0:40:14.279 you know, as you talked about things that are going on, 0:40:14.520 --> 0:40:16.120 you know while we're while we're doing this, So just 0:40:16.280 --> 0:40:19.919 uh the report out of practice right now, reporters, we're 0:40:19.960 --> 0:40:22.720 at the open portion of the chief's practice. Said Mahomes 0:40:22.719 --> 0:40:25.400 was out there with a helmet on practicing today. Of 0:40:25.400 --> 0:40:28.160 course yesterday they listened him as a full participant and 0:40:28.200 --> 0:40:30.560 then downgraded it too limited. I imagine that was the 0:40:30.640 --> 0:40:33.160 NFL coming in and saying, hey, don't listen to this 0:40:33.280 --> 0:40:36.120 full participant when he's in the freaking concussion protocol like limited, 0:40:36.440 --> 0:40:38.440 Like list him is limited? Like what are you doing? 0:40:38.560 --> 0:40:41.200 Like you know, don't list him as a full participant. Um. 0:40:41.239 --> 0:40:44.959 But he was out there today with helmet on for 0:40:45.080 --> 0:40:48.840 the open portion of Chiefs practice, So that did happen. 0:40:49.360 --> 0:40:52.360 Another thing, The Colts are hiring Nick Sirianni. The I 0:40:52.400 --> 0:40:55.120 mean the the Eagles are hiring Colts offensive coordinator Nick 0:40:55.160 --> 0:40:57.560 Sirianni is their head coach. And what they had home 0:40:57.600 --> 0:41:01.359 to you, gil uh. The Steeler are quote planning to 0:41:01.440 --> 0:41:10.640 sign Dwayne Haskins Steelers on all three of all they 0:41:10.680 --> 0:41:15.160 are they are gonna sign Dwayne Haskets. Wow, in here 0:41:15.280 --> 0:41:17.920 right now, what are you talking about? We don't one 0:41:18.000 --> 0:41:20.959 know Dwayne Haskins on a Pitchburg st like, well, I'd 0:41:21.000 --> 0:41:22.960 rather have that Duck Hodges guy back, give me that 0:41:23.040 --> 0:41:26.600 Duck Hodges Playne Haskets can't even remember the plays, by 0:41:26.640 --> 0:41:28.560 the way, if you do, if you do anything today 0:41:28.560 --> 0:41:32.080 speaking of coach hirings Dan Campbell, who was hired by 0:41:32.080 --> 0:41:34.279 the Detroit Lions Adam, Adam and Manten. I don't know 0:41:34.280 --> 0:41:36.120 if you guys have seen this, but they put out 0:41:36.200 --> 0:41:38.400 there's a twenty Have you seen this, Adam, there's a 0:41:38.480 --> 0:41:42.200 twenty nine? Oh you did already. It's nineteen seconds or 0:41:42.239 --> 0:41:45.120 twenty nine seconds, I can't remember. It's Dan Campbell's opening 0:41:45.160 --> 0:41:49.959 press conference. And he sounds like a knuckle dragging Neanderthal, 0:41:50.080 --> 0:41:53.400 like we're gonna kneecaps, We're gonna be the forceful, We're 0:41:53.400 --> 0:41:55.279 gonna smile at you when you knock us down. And 0:41:55.280 --> 0:41:58.480 I'm thinking to myself, I'm like, the Lions are completely toast, 0:41:59.080 --> 0:42:05.359 Like they just toast on arrival. You thought, I said, 0:42:05.400 --> 0:42:08.239 I'm sure that's the word. You thought. That's right, That's 0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:11.640 exactly what I was gonna say, toast on arrival. Yes, Adam, 0:42:11.640 --> 0:42:14.640 I'm sorry, Adam. Go ahead to two things fascinate me 0:42:14.680 --> 0:42:17.960 about all of this is one, like, sometimes like head 0:42:17.960 --> 0:42:20.160 coaches like Cambell, like they just say the most ridiculous 0:42:20.200 --> 0:42:22.200 things and like that is who they are. But like, 0:42:22.520 --> 0:42:24.279 first of all, how do they get hired and let 0:42:24.280 --> 0:42:28.840 alone signed to six years. What did they do in 0:42:28.880 --> 0:42:32.319 the interview to show one side of it and not 0:42:32.440 --> 0:42:34.279 present this side and then think like, Okay, I'm gonna 0:42:34.320 --> 0:42:36.600 flip back or was it the same? And like they 0:42:36.600 --> 0:42:38.600 got by with it, Like I don't know how that happened, 0:42:38.600 --> 0:42:41.960 I think. And then Chris Spielman probably loves this ship, right, 0:42:42.480 --> 0:42:46.520 Oh my god. And the second thing is like, Matt, 0:42:46.560 --> 0:42:50.799 you said they hired Sirianni in Philadelphia, Like, I don't 0:42:50.880 --> 0:42:55.560 know why teams are obsessed with turning above average, too 0:42:55.560 --> 0:42:59.759 great offensive coordinators into head coaches rather than just keeping 0:42:59.800 --> 0:43:02.439 them is above average the great offensive coordinators, Like why 0:43:02.480 --> 0:43:06.080 can't there just be great offensive coordinators who were terrific 0:43:06.080 --> 0:43:09.239 at their job, great defensive coordinators who were great, and 0:43:09.280 --> 0:43:11.920 they just have guys who are head coaches that manage everything, 0:43:12.280 --> 0:43:14.640 work on putting players in the best position to succeed 0:43:14.680 --> 0:43:16.759 and leave the play calling and all the headache to 0:43:16.800 --> 0:43:18.640 all these other guys. Like but like, we're obsessed with 0:43:18.719 --> 0:43:21.080 trying to turn bron day Ball into a head coach 0:43:21.360 --> 0:43:23.359 when he's probably the best oh CE in the game 0:43:23.480 --> 0:43:26.000 this season because of where he sits and how he 0:43:26.040 --> 0:43:27.920 manages it, rather than putting him on the sideline and 0:43:27.920 --> 0:43:30.080 giving him all these duties, Like why can't guys just 0:43:30.120 --> 0:43:33.440 be great offensive coordinators for teams and call the players 0:43:33.440 --> 0:43:35.640 and do such an important role like they like teams 0:43:35.640 --> 0:43:38.800 are just I think forcing it with somebody's head coach hirings, 0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:43.120 I just I don't get it. That's the North Turner effect. Yeah, 0:43:43.120 --> 0:43:45.239 I said this, and I don't, Adam, I don't know 0:43:45.239 --> 0:43:47.040 if there's any way. I don't know how I would 0:43:47.040 --> 0:43:48.960 do this. But if I were an owner who was 0:43:48.960 --> 0:43:50.480 trying to hire a head coach, and I said this 0:43:50.520 --> 0:43:52.799 on prime TIMEE So forgive me for repeating him. Man, 0:43:52.960 --> 0:43:55.840 But it's somehow in the interview, because what do we 0:43:55.880 --> 0:43:58.440 talk about most besides handy Gabet We talk about their 0:43:58.480 --> 0:44:02.000 gaffs in game. But I would try to ascertain somehow 0:44:02.320 --> 0:44:05.759 how a coach would behave in an in game situation, right, Like, 0:44:05.800 --> 0:44:08.840 who's the Sean McDermott, who gets that he's got to 0:44:08.880 --> 0:44:11.520 call that time out right there to get the refs 0:44:11.560 --> 0:44:14.360 to to actually replay this to see if it was 0:44:14.400 --> 0:44:16.360 a catch or not. Who's the Sean m you know, 0:44:16.400 --> 0:44:19.880 who's that guy? Who's the Bill Belichick Versus who's the 0:44:19.920 --> 0:44:22.600 guy that, you know, I just want a guy who 0:44:23.080 --> 0:44:25.480 is a big picture guy. You can delegate all that 0:44:25.520 --> 0:44:28.160 other stuff, but that's what I want more than anything. 0:44:28.200 --> 0:44:30.000 I don't know how i'd figure that out an interview, 0:44:30.560 --> 0:44:32.439 but that, to me is what I value the most 0:44:32.480 --> 0:44:35.120 at this point because that's a differentiator with these guys. 0:44:35.360 --> 0:44:38.040 Dan Campbell's not I'm not hiring that dude. It's like, 0:44:38.680 --> 0:44:40.560 I'll be like, you're you're great, thanks for the interview. 0:44:41.000 --> 0:44:43.919 You know, like my old my old football coach guy said, look, 0:44:43.920 --> 0:44:46.279 we're gonna run the football. We don't care what the 0:44:46.320 --> 0:44:49.480 other guys are doing. We're just know the world and 0:44:50.000 --> 0:44:53.759 just punch him in the moth. Matt, this is this 0:44:53.840 --> 0:44:57.160 is the Dan Campbell interview. We just alright. As far 0:44:57.200 --> 0:45:00.000 as the game, then Buffalo in Kansas City, Adam Europe. 0:45:02.320 --> 0:45:05.719 So I think very similar to the Bucks and Packers 0:45:05.760 --> 0:45:08.399 in that there was obviously that anchoring game that these 0:45:08.400 --> 0:45:11.480 two teams played much more recently. I think that previous 0:45:11.560 --> 0:45:15.480 matchup has a little more like resemblance of what we 0:45:15.520 --> 0:45:17.640 may see compared to the other game in the NFC, 0:45:17.680 --> 0:45:20.640 where I think both the Bucks and Packers are very different. Um, 0:45:20.680 --> 0:45:23.640 I think the Bills and Chiefs very much similar teams 0:45:23.680 --> 0:45:25.680 to what we saw when they played each other. Um, 0:45:25.719 --> 0:45:28.200 not that long ago, but I would say that the 0:45:28.200 --> 0:45:31.400 parallels here stay the same in the sense that the 0:45:31.480 --> 0:45:36.360 Bills through two playoff games, they've allowed thirteen opponent drives 0:45:36.920 --> 0:45:40.640 inside their own thirty yard line. They've allowed twenty seven 0:45:40.680 --> 0:45:44.080 points on those thirteen drives and scored seven of their own, 0:45:44.120 --> 0:45:47.600 so their in net minus twenty on thirteen drives inside 0:45:47.600 --> 0:45:50.799 of their thirty. Offensively, in the first game against the Colts, 0:45:50.880 --> 0:45:53.200 Josh Allen and the Bills are great against the Ravens. 0:45:53.560 --> 0:45:56.279 They struggled the time, but like they're coming into this 0:45:56.400 --> 0:45:59.920 game on an absolute role against the spread. They've covered 0:46:00.040 --> 0:46:01.960 eight nine in a row. Whatever it is, hottest team 0:46:02.120 --> 0:46:04.560 in the NFL the end the season, that's still carrying on, 0:46:05.520 --> 0:46:09.320 and they're just they're getting these timely plays on defense, 0:46:09.320 --> 0:46:12.799 whether it's the stops inside their thirty in their red zone, 0:46:12.840 --> 0:46:16.160 the fourth down stops that they're generating, the turnovers, the 0:46:16.200 --> 0:46:18.960 pick six, whatever it is, Like, like how long does 0:46:19.000 --> 0:46:22.160 this ultimately go on for before a team makes them pay? 0:46:22.200 --> 0:46:24.480 And I look at the Chiefs, who are inside of 0:46:24.480 --> 0:46:26.480 the red zone among the best in the NFL. They're 0:46:26.520 --> 0:46:31.239 obviously with Mahomes a terrific offense, and Casey comes into 0:46:31.280 --> 0:46:33.680 the game. They haven't covered a game since November one 0:46:33.800 --> 0:46:36.600 against my beloved New York Jet. So, like it's a 0:46:36.680 --> 0:46:38.960 huge contrast in terms of how these two teams are 0:46:38.960 --> 0:46:42.399 being treated. I think the Bills probably for the first 0:46:42.400 --> 0:46:44.560 time in the entire season, hit like the peak of 0:46:44.600 --> 0:46:47.480 their price point against the Colts in the wild card game, 0:46:47.520 --> 0:46:49.759 where there was seven point favorites. That was just the 0:46:49.840 --> 0:46:52.960 second time all season that they were seven point favorites 0:46:53.000 --> 0:46:55.240 in a game, believe it or not, despite how great 0:46:55.239 --> 0:46:57.719 they've been playing. And so I can't help but look 0:46:57.719 --> 0:47:00.959 at this game and say, if either of these sort 0:47:00.960 --> 0:47:04.719 of streaks were reversed or not as existent coming into 0:47:04.719 --> 0:47:06.960 the game, if maybe they were both four and four 0:47:07.000 --> 0:47:09.960 against the spread, or they didn't have these contrasting streaks 0:47:10.000 --> 0:47:12.800 coming in, Like are we looking at Kansas City is 0:47:12.840 --> 0:47:15.359 a much bigger favorite? Like is this a case where 0:47:15.680 --> 0:47:18.680 the number now at three is doing part to obviously 0:47:18.719 --> 0:47:21.200 the Mahomes injury, but like, is it suppressed a little 0:47:21.200 --> 0:47:23.759 bit because of how great Buffalo has been and now 0:47:23.840 --> 0:47:26.200 Kansas City has not been able to cover or spread 0:47:26.200 --> 0:47:28.399 in over two and a half months, Like, how does 0:47:28.440 --> 0:47:30.880 that factor into this number, and how large would it 0:47:30.960 --> 0:47:33.400 be if if those things were reversed or non existent, 0:47:33.400 --> 0:47:36.640 and do those things like really really matter for this matchup? 0:47:36.719 --> 0:47:39.920 And the Chiefs similar to the Packers, Like they're a 0:47:39.960 --> 0:47:42.879 team that despite not covering in a lot of these 0:47:42.920 --> 0:47:45.200 games down the stretch, Like they're out to a huge 0:47:45.280 --> 0:47:47.960 lead against the Buccaneers, they don't end up covering. They're 0:47:47.960 --> 0:47:49.880 out to a huge lead against the Broncos, don't end 0:47:49.960 --> 0:47:52.640 up covering. They're out a huge lead against the Dolphins, 0:47:52.640 --> 0:47:54.760 don't end up covering the same thing with the Saints, 0:47:55.200 --> 0:47:57.560 And then last week again against the Browns, they get 0:47:57.640 --> 0:48:00.160 up by a couple of scores and in Cleveland ends 0:48:00.200 --> 0:48:02.279 up coming back and getting that backdoor cover. So it's 0:48:02.320 --> 0:48:05.360 it's a very similar situation, and I can't help but 0:48:05.480 --> 0:48:09.080 feel that the number could potentially be just a little 0:48:09.120 --> 0:48:11.880 bit low because of the circumstances that bring both of 0:48:11.920 --> 0:48:14.240 these teams into the game. By the way, I forgot 0:48:14.239 --> 0:48:15.640 you were a Jets fan, would you do you want 0:48:15.640 --> 0:48:17.960 to trade for Deshaun badly? Would you make trades for 0:48:18.000 --> 0:48:21.560 Deshaun ask Houston? Whatever they want and give it to 0:48:21.600 --> 0:48:25.040 them without asking questions. I think that is the proper response. 0:48:25.200 --> 0:48:28.200 Deshaun who was number three, as Matt said earlier Pro 0:48:28.280 --> 0:48:31.560 Football Focus quarterbacks, the other four in the top five 0:48:31.840 --> 0:48:36.960 all in championship games. Matt Q. Yeah, so I took 0:48:37.480 --> 0:48:38.799 when this thing got to three and a half, I 0:48:38.800 --> 0:48:40.880 took it on the Bills. If you're gonna give me, 0:48:41.000 --> 0:48:43.160 you know, more to field goal again on this game, 0:48:44.040 --> 0:48:45.719 I'm gonna take it. Listen, you go back to that 0:48:45.760 --> 0:48:48.600 Week six game and you say, like, Okay, is there 0:48:48.600 --> 0:48:50.439 anything we can pull from that? And I think there 0:48:50.520 --> 0:48:52.480 is at least a little bit that we can pull 0:48:52.560 --> 0:48:54.840 from that one. So you look at my homes against 0:48:54.840 --> 0:48:58.640 statistically one of his lower games of the year six, 0:48:58.680 --> 0:49:02.920 that's that's obviously a good completion for twenty five yards passing. 0:49:03.000 --> 0:49:05.799 The big outlier there is you look and you see 0:49:05.960 --> 0:49:08.360 Clyde Edwards, a layer goes for a hundred and sixty 0:49:08.440 --> 0:49:10.880 one yards on the ground on twenty six carries. And 0:49:11.560 --> 0:49:14.640 what you see there is again what I kind of 0:49:14.640 --> 0:49:17.160 talked about last game with this Bills team, and and 0:49:17.160 --> 0:49:19.600 and this isn't a pattern if you go over the 0:49:19.600 --> 0:49:23.880 course of the season, the Bills lull you into wanting 0:49:23.920 --> 0:49:26.919 to run the ball against them because they understand again, 0:49:26.960 --> 0:49:29.000 Sean McDermott, and these guys are smart enough to know 0:49:29.360 --> 0:49:31.600 that running the ball in early downs is not the 0:49:31.640 --> 0:49:34.120 way to win football games in in the NFL. It 0:49:34.200 --> 0:49:37.560 is less efficient. And that is kind of how they 0:49:37.600 --> 0:49:40.160 go about kind of tricking you into doing something that 0:49:40.239 --> 0:49:43.600 you really shouldn't be doing, especially if you're a team 0:49:43.640 --> 0:49:45.440 like the Chiefs. And if you look back at this 0:49:45.480 --> 0:49:49.200 Week six game, the Chiefs ran the ball on percent 0:49:49.360 --> 0:49:52.239 of first and second down plays in that game. The 0:49:52.239 --> 0:49:53.880 Bills just let them do it. There were six or 0:49:53.920 --> 0:49:57.960 fewer players in the box on of the plays on 0:49:58.000 --> 0:50:00.600 the Bills side of the ball and defense because wanted 0:50:01.000 --> 0:50:05.160 Patrick Mahomes to not utilize the Travis Kelsey's in the 0:50:05.239 --> 0:50:07.680 in the Tyree Hills and stuff like that, and utilize 0:50:07.880 --> 0:50:11.600 what he does so incredibly well. Run the ball all day. Eventually, 0:50:11.600 --> 0:50:13.600 it's not gonna work out, and we're going to be 0:50:13.640 --> 0:50:16.040 able to capitalize on that. Now, it didn't work out 0:50:16.040 --> 0:50:18.600 in this game that that that strategy um they were 0:50:18.880 --> 0:50:21.239 they were able to get you know, seven over seven 0:50:21.320 --> 0:50:23.840 yards to carry and and they were incredibly efficient on 0:50:23.880 --> 0:50:25.759 the ground and the Chiefs weren't able to I mean, 0:50:25.800 --> 0:50:28.040 the Bills weren't able to hold them to get it done. 0:50:28.080 --> 0:50:31.440 But I mean, I think that strategy should play here 0:50:31.880 --> 0:50:34.680 yet again. I think they should do that again. Don't 0:50:34.800 --> 0:50:38.080 let Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelsey and Tyree Hill get 0:50:38.120 --> 0:50:40.600 it going against you, play light in the box, let 0:50:40.680 --> 0:50:43.120 him run the ball and and you know, with a 0:50:43.200 --> 0:50:45.920 less than a hundred percent Clyde Edwards Hilaire this time around, 0:50:46.000 --> 0:50:48.600 or Darryl Williams, whatever it might be, whoever gets the 0:50:48.600 --> 0:50:51.200 bulk of the carries for this team. And Alan's not 0:50:51.280 --> 0:50:52.759 going to have as bad a game as he did 0:50:52.800 --> 0:50:55.000 the first game, his worst game of the season by far, 0:50:55.120 --> 0:50:56.920 only a hundred and twenty two yards through the air. 0:50:56.960 --> 0:50:59.279 He did add forty two on the ground, but he 0:50:59.320 --> 0:51:02.080 was under pressure on seventeen of his thirty one dropbacks. 0:51:02.160 --> 0:51:05.600 That's not going to happen again as well. And so 0:51:06.280 --> 0:51:08.120 I think that you kind of look at this as 0:51:08.360 --> 0:51:12.120 Josh Allen's worst game of the year against a creative 0:51:12.160 --> 0:51:15.680 defensive strategy that the Bills are going to uh, you know, 0:51:15.719 --> 0:51:17.880 I think that they're going to use again. And you know, 0:51:18.080 --> 0:51:20.839 is Andy Reid aware of that. Is Andy Reid going 0:51:20.880 --> 0:51:23.800 to counter that by, you know, not running the ball 0:51:23.880 --> 0:51:26.000 and not letting it and not getting sucked into that, 0:51:26.200 --> 0:51:28.439 or if they're gonna hand you the four and five 0:51:28.480 --> 0:51:31.680 yards every time, is it just too good to let go? 0:51:31.840 --> 0:51:35.040 And so I expect some offensive regression from the Bills 0:51:35.080 --> 0:51:36.759 in this game to get back to where they were 0:51:36.800 --> 0:51:39.880 basically the entire rest of the season moving the ball. 0:51:40.000 --> 0:51:43.320 This Chief's defense certainly can be had definitely on the ground, 0:51:43.440 --> 0:51:45.880 and the Bills are a little bit more efficient running 0:51:45.880 --> 0:51:48.080 the ball when they actually do run it, then you 0:51:48.080 --> 0:51:50.520 give it credit for singletary. Actually average is nearly four 0:51:50.560 --> 0:51:52.960 and a half yards a carry on the season. It's 0:51:53.000 --> 0:51:54.920 just that they just don't run bel they just throw 0:51:54.960 --> 0:51:57.520 all the time. Because they're so good at throwing the ball. 0:51:57.520 --> 0:52:00.839 The receiving corps back help completely healthy. The addition of 0:52:01.000 --> 0:52:04.239 an experience of Gabriel Davis, the rookie getting going a 0:52:04.280 --> 0:52:06.400 lot better, uh in this offense as well. So if 0:52:06.400 --> 0:52:07.719 you're gonna give me three in a hook, it's not 0:52:07.719 --> 0:52:10.239 available anymore. I took the three in a hook even 0:52:10.360 --> 0:52:13.040 at the three. I don't hate it. I think the 0:52:13.040 --> 0:52:15.000 Bills can win this game out right. I mean we're 0:52:15.040 --> 0:52:18.040 we're talking about the concussion for Patrick Mahomes, and yeah, 0:52:18.080 --> 0:52:20.480 I mean that that's a big deal for sure, but 0:52:20.560 --> 0:52:22.960 I mean he was hobbling something fierce in that game. 0:52:23.320 --> 0:52:25.680 We I mean, like, this is like even if we 0:52:25.760 --> 0:52:29.160 get him out there, like we're not getting Patrick Malmes 0:52:29.239 --> 0:52:30.879 no matter what I mean, even if it's if whether 0:52:30.920 --> 0:52:32.920 it's the head or it's the foot tow whatever and 0:52:33.000 --> 0:52:36.320 whatever the hell it might be that's going on down there. So, um, 0:52:36.480 --> 0:52:38.520 you give me one of the very best offenses in 0:52:38.560 --> 0:52:41.360 the NFL the entire season long against you know, a 0:52:41.440 --> 0:52:45.840 casey offense that might have a Patrick Mahomes. I understand 0:52:45.920 --> 0:52:48.640 eighty percent, Patrick Mahomes is better than basically every quarterback 0:52:48.640 --> 0:52:51.120 in the NFL. But uh, this, this Bill's team is 0:52:51.400 --> 0:52:53.200 not going to let you get by with any sort 0:52:53.239 --> 0:52:54.920 of lulls. They're going to move the ball, They're going 0:52:54.920 --> 0:52:56.759 to score. So give me the three and a half. 0:52:56.800 --> 0:52:58.279 Give me the three, and like I said, I'll have 0:52:58.320 --> 0:53:01.200 a sprinkle on the Bills money line as well. You're 0:53:01.280 --> 0:53:03.279 you're so right that we could all be focused on 0:53:03.320 --> 0:53:05.879 the wrong Patrick Mahomes injury. I will say that I've 0:53:05.920 --> 0:53:09.400 gotten this cottage industry of I don't want to call 0:53:09.480 --> 0:53:12.239 him Dr Chow disciples because they may be much more 0:53:12.320 --> 0:53:15.080 legit on you know, who have who have contacted like, oh, 0:53:15.160 --> 0:53:16.919 the toe is not a big thing. Oh the toe 0:53:16.960 --> 0:53:19.359 could be a big thing. So who knows. But you're right, 0:53:19.480 --> 0:53:21.879 it was definitely hampering him. I love that you went 0:53:21.920 --> 0:53:24.840 back and watched the two games, the green Bay Tampa 0:53:24.840 --> 0:53:26.720 Bay game in the Buffalo Kansas City game that happened 0:53:26.719 --> 0:53:29.160 in week six. Man. The other thing is, I think 0:53:29.160 --> 0:53:31.719 in the in the end, I'm going to be on 0:53:31.760 --> 0:53:33.520 I'm already on Green Bay, but I'm gonna be on 0:53:33.520 --> 0:53:37.319 Green Bay and Kansas City. Um. I think for me, 0:53:37.400 --> 0:53:38.759 I'm just gonna, you know, if you can beat me, 0:53:38.800 --> 0:53:40.279 if both of those other teams can beat me, tip 0:53:40.280 --> 0:53:42.200 of the cap. But the one thing that I just 0:53:42.280 --> 0:53:44.719 absolutely do not if I if I see this on 0:53:44.760 --> 0:53:47.520 Twitter this weekend, I'm just gonna lose my mind. I hate, 0:53:47.920 --> 0:53:50.040 just as a general rule, when people talk about sharp 0:53:50.120 --> 0:53:51.680 and square and pros and Joe's or whatever the hell 0:53:51.719 --> 0:53:54.680 they're talking about. But please, with these two championship games, 0:53:54.719 --> 0:53:56.600 I don't want to say, oh, the sharp side is this, 0:53:56.680 --> 0:53:59.600 and it's just come on, stop with that this weekend. 0:54:00.040 --> 0:54:02.000 Every I like when they do that stuff. It's just 0:54:02.040 --> 0:54:06.720 so dumb. This week specifically, it will be ridiculous. Alright, 0:54:06.760 --> 0:54:11.480 do now. I watched the first game between the Buffalo 0:54:11.520 --> 0:54:14.360 Bills in the Kansas City Chiefs, very very clearly Hashem 0:54:14.400 --> 0:54:17.360 got involved and screwed me because I had the team 0:54:17.360 --> 0:54:21.080 total first half over Kansas City. If you remember, Kelsey 0:54:21.120 --> 0:54:24.080 made a touchdown in the rain in the back corner 0:54:24.120 --> 0:54:26.200 of the end zone late in the first half and 0:54:26.239 --> 0:54:28.520 then Butcker missed the extra point to screw me on 0:54:28.520 --> 0:54:31.000 my team total. So I remember this game. Uh, and 0:54:31.080 --> 0:54:34.680 Matt Brown has it right. This game. The only thing 0:54:34.760 --> 0:54:38.359 I will say this game was very very interesting, and 0:54:38.520 --> 0:54:41.520 if you remember correctly, I remember watching this game and 0:54:41.560 --> 0:54:45.040 thinking the Bills are saying to them, please take seven 0:54:45.120 --> 0:54:48.360 yards a carry. Please, here you go, take seven yards. 0:54:48.600 --> 0:54:50.600 We do not want to let you beat us with 0:54:50.719 --> 0:54:53.359 the passing game. So Andy Reid said, okay, fine, you're 0:54:53.400 --> 0:54:55.839 gonna give me seven eight yards a carry. I'll just 0:54:55.960 --> 0:54:58.920 keep running the ball. And that's exactly what happened. And 0:54:59.000 --> 0:55:03.239 while McDermott have a good strategy, Matt with doing that 0:55:03.320 --> 0:55:06.440 against most teams it wasn't working that night because they 0:55:06.440 --> 0:55:08.839 were getting seven and eight yards a carry. Now, I'm 0:55:08.880 --> 0:55:11.000 sure that might work against other teams that aren't a 0:55:11.120 --> 0:55:14.239 juggernaut offense like Kansas City. I remember watching this game 0:55:14.280 --> 0:55:17.000 and thinking, there's not a chance in hell the Bills 0:55:17.040 --> 0:55:18.960 can win this game because they're not gonna be able 0:55:19.000 --> 0:55:21.120 to stop him even one time. They're gonna just keep 0:55:21.200 --> 0:55:23.800 letting them drive down the field with these eight yard runs. 0:55:23.920 --> 0:55:27.480 If you remember, Hilaire was getting gashing them every single 0:55:27.520 --> 0:55:29.719 I don't know what he was averaging uh that game, 0:55:29.760 --> 0:55:32.520 but it was something ridiculous the running that they were 0:55:32.520 --> 0:55:34.839 doing in this game. So what the way I want 0:55:34.840 --> 0:55:37.680 to look at this game is I think that if 0:55:37.840 --> 0:55:40.960 especially in the first half, maybe first half, Um, if 0:55:41.000 --> 0:55:43.520 you can get um in game running for first half, 0:55:43.520 --> 0:55:46.200 a lot of places have that. Now if you see that, 0:55:46.200 --> 0:55:48.120 that's what it's gonna be, and the Bills are gonna 0:55:48.360 --> 0:55:51.319 just play everybody back and let them run the ball 0:55:51.360 --> 0:55:53.759 on them again, you might want to take the under 0:55:53.760 --> 0:55:55.360 here because you're gonna see a lot of six and 0:55:55.400 --> 0:55:58.160 seven minute drives because Kansas City will say, fine, give 0:55:58.200 --> 0:56:00.520 us seven yards a carry, no problem. It just eats 0:56:00.520 --> 0:56:03.000 the clock eats the clock, eats the clock, and you 0:56:03.080 --> 0:56:05.920 might want to be looking at that. Um. Now. On 0:56:05.960 --> 0:56:08.520 the other hand, I'm with Gil as far as if 0:56:08.600 --> 0:56:11.120 if you I'm gonna watch this, I'm obviously not gonna 0:56:11.160 --> 0:56:13.880 play a pregame, but I'm gonna watch the first series 0:56:13.960 --> 0:56:16.960 or two and see does Mahomes look like he's okay. 0:56:17.000 --> 0:56:19.560 If he does look like he's okay, I am all 0:56:19.560 --> 0:56:24.000 over Kansas City. The Buffalo defense is fraudulent. I said 0:56:24.000 --> 0:56:26.239 it before the Indianapolis game when I took I went 0:56:26.280 --> 0:56:29.040 against Phil Rivers anonymous meetings, and I go to Phil 0:56:29.120 --> 0:56:31.799 Rivers anonymous games. I went against that, and I bet 0:56:31.840 --> 0:56:34.800 on Phil Rivers plus the six or seven against Indy 0:56:34.880 --> 0:56:38.239 because I know the Buffalo defense is fraudulent. They had 0:56:38.280 --> 0:56:40.000 their numbers go up. And this is why I can't 0:56:40.000 --> 0:56:42.120 stand the d v O A and the s p 0:56:42.320 --> 0:56:47.040 C A and all the difference against I'm against all 0:56:47.080 --> 0:56:50.839 the anybody with initials, okay, because here's the deal. The 0:56:50.840 --> 0:56:54.840 Buffalo defense the first half of the year was not good. 0:56:55.160 --> 0:56:57.480 Look at this. Look at the forty two they gave 0:56:57.560 --> 0:57:00.359 up against Tennessee thirty two to the r MS. They 0:57:00.360 --> 0:57:02.279 give up like a thousand and the second half in 0:57:02.320 --> 0:57:04.239 that game, they were not good. And then all of 0:57:04.280 --> 0:57:06.680 a sudden, they played a couple of teams that just 0:57:06.760 --> 0:57:11.839 stink ola on offense, like San Francisco with Mullen, Pittsburgh Steelers, 0:57:12.680 --> 0:57:16.520 Denver Broncos, New England Patriots don't even have an offense, 0:57:16.560 --> 0:57:19.720 Miami Dolphins, and and everyone's like, oh, well, Buffalo's defense, Yeah, 0:57:19.720 --> 0:57:23.200 it's pretty good. No it's not. It's not good. So 0:57:23.440 --> 0:57:27.120 Kansas City will move if Mahomes is okay. Now, this 0:57:27.240 --> 0:57:29.080 all is an in game play for me because I 0:57:29.120 --> 0:57:31.000 want to see what Mahomes look like. And I also 0:57:31.040 --> 0:57:34.880 like Matt brown point, the foot also is a big problem. Matt, 0:57:34.960 --> 0:57:37.840 that's a freaking great point that everyone's forgetting about. The 0:57:37.880 --> 0:57:41.080 foot is a huge problem. So let's see what happens 0:57:41.080 --> 0:57:43.200 in the first two drives and then we're gonna be 0:57:43.240 --> 0:57:45.480 able to tell right away what's going on here. Are 0:57:45.520 --> 0:57:47.600 we gonna get Andy Reed handing the ball off for 0:57:47.640 --> 0:57:50.640 six seven yards of play? Does Mahomes look okay? If 0:57:50.680 --> 0:57:54.280 there was ever a game that screamed out for in gaming, 0:57:54.520 --> 0:57:55.920 and I think in gaming is the way to go 0:57:55.960 --> 0:57:57.520 on a hundred percent of the games, But if there 0:57:57.600 --> 0:57:59.720 was ever a game that screams out for in game, 0:57:59.800 --> 0:58:03.280 it's this football game. All good points, all good points. 0:58:03.280 --> 0:58:06.040 Did we miss anything, guys? Teaser Matt, You're you're teasing 0:58:06.080 --> 0:58:09.080 both dogs here together. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I've got both 0:58:09.120 --> 0:58:11.200 of them up. I have the Bucks at ten and 0:58:11.240 --> 0:58:14.280 I have the Bills at nine. The only other thing 0:58:14.280 --> 0:58:16.520 about that Week six game, I mean, they did run 0:58:16.560 --> 0:58:19.040 the ball all over the Bills. Matt Mulano was out 0:58:19.080 --> 0:58:23.000 in that game, and so just again there's there are 0:58:23.040 --> 0:58:25.640 these guys that when they're out there, it does affect that. 0:58:25.800 --> 0:58:27.920 Now that's not to say that he's like this complete, 0:58:27.920 --> 0:58:29.840 complete game changer and that's going to mean that they 0:58:29.880 --> 0:58:31.880 can't just run the ball if they will if they 0:58:31.880 --> 0:58:34.560 allow him to do that, but having not having him 0:58:34.600 --> 0:58:38.520 out there certainly was was a factor for the Bills. 0:58:38.960 --> 0:58:41.640 Matt z in against the Colts. Uh, he was in. 0:58:42.400 --> 0:58:44.520 He he he was in about half of the snaps. 0:58:44.560 --> 0:58:47.280 He was trying to come back um from injury there 0:58:47.440 --> 0:58:52.040 and so uh, supposedly he's injured. Supposedly he's uh he's 0:58:52.040 --> 0:58:54.560 healthy for this one. But you know again, but supposedly 0:58:54.600 --> 0:58:56.200 are and Donald was healthy as well, So I mean 0:58:56.240 --> 0:58:58.040 you know, we're you know, we're we gotta deal with 0:58:58.080 --> 0:58:59.960 all that nonsense at this time of year. I mean, 0:59:00.040 --> 0:59:03.640 let's stop that first game. Sorry, sorry, Todd. Let's not 0:59:03.640 --> 0:59:06.000 forget too that that first game was. It was played 0:59:06.000 --> 0:59:08.760 in pouring rains in thirty wins for all four court. 0:59:09.000 --> 0:59:12.000 So I think that influence play calling a ton, But 0:59:12.040 --> 0:59:15.080 it really comes down to how they want to manage 0:59:15.120 --> 0:59:18.120 their safeties against Kansas City. Like Houston and the opener 0:59:18.200 --> 0:59:20.760 played with two deep safeties, and Kansas City did the 0:59:20.760 --> 0:59:22.760 exact same thing where they just they said, Okay, they're 0:59:22.760 --> 0:59:24.880 gonna play like this, and they just walked down the 0:59:24.880 --> 0:59:27.800 field took short games the entire time. Same thing happened 0:59:27.800 --> 0:59:30.720 with the Raiders in the second game. Um happened in 0:59:30.760 --> 0:59:32.920 the Bills game as well. When they chose to do it. 0:59:33.200 --> 0:59:36.280 The Buccaneers played a lot more aggressively. That's why that 0:59:36.320 --> 0:59:38.320 game looked a lot different in terms of how Casey 0:59:38.400 --> 0:59:40.440 was able to move to football. So like, if you're 0:59:40.440 --> 0:59:43.200 looking in play, it doesn't appear like the weather is 0:59:43.240 --> 0:59:45.080 going to be as much of an issue this game, 0:59:45.160 --> 0:59:47.080 certainly not as much as it was in the first meeting, 0:59:47.080 --> 0:59:50.080 where that really impacted the game overall, but like you're 0:59:50.080 --> 0:59:52.880 gonna learn right away how Buffalo is going to choose 0:59:52.920 --> 0:59:55.760 to defend Mahomes and Casey and if it is that 0:59:55.800 --> 0:59:58.040 too deep, look, Kansas City has really gone to sort 0:59:58.040 --> 1:00:00.600 of the same play calling the entire reason when teams 1:00:00.600 --> 1:00:03.400 have chosen to do that. But what is interesting, it's 1:00:03.440 --> 1:00:06.200 like in the repeat games with the Raiders the Texans 1:00:06.360 --> 1:00:08.280 that was essentially a repeat game because they played them 1:00:08.320 --> 1:00:10.720 in the playoffs, um, and then we saw a couple 1:00:10.760 --> 1:00:13.840 of other times as well within the division, they the 1:00:13.880 --> 1:00:16.920 teams that opposed them flip their defensive schemes game to game. 1:00:17.000 --> 1:00:20.560 They no team within the division went the same scheme 1:00:20.680 --> 1:00:23.400 both games. So we might see a bit of a 1:00:23.520 --> 1:00:25.760 change with Buffalo in terms of how they want to 1:00:25.800 --> 1:00:28.520 handle it. Maybe we don't, we're just sort of speculating, 1:00:28.560 --> 1:00:30.920 but if we're looking at sort of the other four 1:00:31.040 --> 1:00:34.720 repeat games, including that Houston one, complete opposites in terms 1:00:34.760 --> 1:00:37.880 of how defenses opposed Kansas City because they of how 1:00:37.880 --> 1:00:43.040 they factored in the first game. So sorry, what's what's 1:00:43.040 --> 1:00:45.040 so great about this game is we get to watch 1:00:45.120 --> 1:00:47.160 the game and then we can bet, and now they 1:00:47.160 --> 1:00:50.600 even which you guys in Vegas don't have, but Fandel, 1:00:51.000 --> 1:00:55.200 they have in game props, don't we know. I couldn't 1:00:55.240 --> 1:00:58.320 theoretically watch this first quarter and see, are they gonna 1:00:58.360 --> 1:01:00.840 just give it to the running back every five seconds? Okay, 1:01:00.840 --> 1:01:02.800 I'm betting that rushing. I know the number is going 1:01:02.880 --> 1:01:05.280 to be inflated, but I don't care inflate the number 1:01:05.320 --> 1:01:07.360 on me. I'll take the over anyways, and it'll still 1:01:07.360 --> 1:01:09.520 get there because you're gonna be able to tell the 1:01:09.600 --> 1:01:12.200 strategy of the as Adam just so pointed out, Matt 1:01:12.240 --> 1:01:15.680 pointed out, my friend Gilly even gets this. And you know, Gilly, 1:01:15.760 --> 1:01:19.320 he's not the brightest bulb in the bunch. Um, I'm 1:01:19.440 --> 1:01:22.920 just kidding, guys, I love Gilly. Um. The point is 1:01:23.040 --> 1:01:25.520 you're gonna get to watch and see. That's why end 1:01:25.520 --> 1:01:29.920 game is so important. Whether whether I'm gonna say, Gil, yeah, 1:01:30.000 --> 1:01:31.560 that's where I was gonna go with that. It's like, yeah, 1:01:31.560 --> 1:01:33.680 I mean, if as far as weather goes, the Kansas 1:01:33.680 --> 1:01:36.320 City is completely clear, Like that's gonna be a perfectly 1:01:36.360 --> 1:01:39.120 fine game in that one. But yeah, in Green Bay, 1:01:39.120 --> 1:01:40.640 it looks like it actually could snow. Now, it does 1:01:40.640 --> 1:01:42.760 look like this could be a snow game. It looks 1:01:42.800 --> 1:01:45.840 like the latest model here has like one to three 1:01:45.840 --> 1:01:48.439 inches of snow on Sunday, might even be a little 1:01:48.440 --> 1:01:50.560 bit of accumulation and stuff like that, but as we know, 1:01:50.960 --> 1:01:53.280 that always looks worse than it actually is because there's 1:01:53.320 --> 1:01:55.000 not gonna be any wind to go along with that. 1:01:55.160 --> 1:01:57.600 So you know who knows, and and Adam, if if 1:01:57.640 --> 1:01:59.640 you like the over, if you y'all both of you 1:01:59.680 --> 1:02:02.000 all like the over, in that game, we might see 1:02:02.000 --> 1:02:04.160 this total falk because people overreact to the snow on 1:02:04.200 --> 1:02:05.840 the damn field, and we might be able to get 1:02:05.840 --> 1:02:08.560 even better and even better number whenever it whenever it 1:02:08.640 --> 1:02:11.040 rolls around. So hopefully it does snow and all they 1:02:11.080 --> 1:02:12.760 talk about is the snow on the field, and then 1:02:12.760 --> 1:02:14.520 we get even better value and taking the over in 1:02:14.560 --> 1:02:17.360 this favor is the flag at the top of the 1:02:17.400 --> 1:02:21.560 stadium that's like four ft above the wind and then 1:02:21.720 --> 1:02:23.840 oh it's windy here, and then you go to field 1:02:23.920 --> 1:02:26.640 level that's beneath the stands and it's nothing. Although I 1:02:26.680 --> 1:02:29.040 will say this man, with that that Buffalo game against 1:02:29.080 --> 1:02:31.120 Baltimore last week, we're like, oh, it's only eight miles 1:02:31.160 --> 1:02:33.280 per hour. And then as soon as that game started, 1:02:33.320 --> 1:02:34.960 alt Michael's was like, if this is eight mile per 1:02:34.960 --> 1:02:38.080 hour winds, I'm an astronaut. And those goalposts were like 1:02:38.200 --> 1:02:42.560 covering the entire game, and and justin, Justin Tucker couldn't 1:02:42.560 --> 1:02:45.480 make field goals. Yeah, but MAT's right, there's you know, 1:02:46.000 --> 1:02:49.200 maybe snow in Green Bay fifty could be rained in 1:02:49.280 --> 1:02:51.600 Kansas City, but yet not close to snow forty four 1:02:51.600 --> 1:02:55.200 degrees expected in Kansas City for the second game. By 1:02:55.200 --> 1:02:57.040 the way, that's fahrenheit at him. For those of you 1:02:57.080 --> 1:03:00.880 who are I got it. Yeah, Adam was making a 1:03:00.920 --> 1:03:03.800 good point that I think that people who know gambling understand, 1:03:03.800 --> 1:03:06.720 which is snow is not as big a factor as wind. 1:03:06.800 --> 1:03:08.760 So just in case people who are a little less 1:03:08.760 --> 1:03:11.160 experienced and understanding what he was trying to say there, 1:03:11.400 --> 1:03:15.080 he was basically saying that snow is sometimes faked into 1:03:15.120 --> 1:03:18.040 people thinking the under when really it can theoretically being 1:03:18.160 --> 1:03:21.040 over because the defensive backs fall down and the receivers 1:03:21.040 --> 1:03:23.680 know where they're going, whereas wind is really an under 1:03:23.720 --> 1:03:25.600 thing because it's much harder to throw the ball. I 1:03:25.640 --> 1:03:28.120 was just that's just a little help out because Adam 1:03:28.200 --> 1:03:30.400 was making good point. I didn't want all the newbies 1:03:30.440 --> 1:03:33.000 not to know what he was saying. Thank you for 1:03:33.040 --> 1:03:35.760 the clarification. I think Matt said it by the way 1:03:35.800 --> 1:03:38.440 that Matt say, it doesn't matter whatever was they were 1:03:38.480 --> 1:03:40.400 both saying. They were both saying it, But my point 1:03:40.480 --> 1:03:42.840 was they I think they were. They were talking like 1:03:42.880 --> 1:03:44.720 I knew exactly what they were saying, but I'm sure 1:03:44.720 --> 1:03:48.120 some people didn't. Alright, you're sweating out your osasuna one 1:03:48.520 --> 1:03:53.919 one nil sixty six. I lost. I had osa suna 1:03:54.000 --> 1:04:00.200 under a half plus one sixty Oh sorry, sorry about um. Okay, uh, 1:04:00.360 --> 1:04:02.520 We've done all we can do. Appreciate it. As always, 1:04:02.520 --> 1:04:04.440 as Matt said at the very beginning, the nice part 1:04:04.480 --> 1:04:07.360 about this is, and again maybe I'm wrong in memory, 1:04:07.680 --> 1:04:10.560 but I don't remember too off at us having four 1:04:10.600 --> 1:04:14.720 teams where no matter the matchup for the Super Bowl. Um, 1:04:14.800 --> 1:04:17.000 whether it's the Bucks versus the Chiefs or Bills, or 1:04:17.000 --> 1:04:19.320 whether it's the Packers. Excuse, but yeah, the Packers versus 1:04:19.320 --> 1:04:22.160 the Chiefs are Bills. Um that all of these spreads, 1:04:22.360 --> 1:04:24.760 you know, we guess them on Primetime Action earlier this week. 1:04:25.400 --> 1:04:29.200 They're all like three or lower, with the Bucks and 1:04:29.280 --> 1:04:31.920 the Bills being as close to a pick them as 1:04:32.000 --> 1:04:34.959 as as there are in all these so it's gonna 1:04:35.000 --> 1:04:37.640 be a great matchup no matter the case. Uh, come 1:04:37.680 --> 1:04:41.520 two weeks from today, next week, Uh, the week off 1:04:41.760 --> 1:04:43.840 not a week off for the podcast. It's our tenth 1:04:43.920 --> 1:04:48.160 annual Vegas Lifestyle podcast, a Man's Guide to send City. 1:04:48.160 --> 1:04:49.800 It's gonna be strange because it was a pandemic year, 1:04:49.840 --> 1:04:51.760 so I don't know how much additions will have, But 1:04:51.800 --> 1:04:54.120 we'll get Mikey back in here and uh we'll talk 1:04:54.160 --> 1:04:55.680 about that, and then of course two weeks from now 1:04:55.760 --> 1:04:58.320 not only take on the super Bowl, but also Super 1:04:58.360 --> 1:05:02.680 Bowl props, the super Bowl edition of that. Can I 1:05:02.760 --> 1:05:05.280 just can I just pimp out my my Twitter feed 1:05:05.320 --> 1:05:09.160 real quick? Okay at t wishnev is my Twitter feed 1:05:09.200 --> 1:05:11.680 t w I s h n e v UM. I 1:05:11.720 --> 1:05:14.440 went back and looked all the way back through November 1:05:14.480 --> 1:05:17.840 twenty this year when college basketball started to see how 1:05:17.880 --> 1:05:20.640 I was doing, and in just the ones that I tweeted, 1:05:20.640 --> 1:05:22.920 because I didn't tweet all my plays, but in my 1:05:23.000 --> 1:05:27.040 college basketball tweets, um I am one seventy one and 1:05:27.120 --> 1:05:30.320 one oh seven, and in game college basketball tweets and 1:05:30.360 --> 1:05:32.840 my football tweets since that time as well, I had 1:05:33.080 --> 1:05:35.680 I broke them out. I'm sixty five and fifty one. 1:05:35.760 --> 1:05:37.840 So if you if you want a good uh, now, 1:05:37.920 --> 1:05:40.320 you also have to endure my tweets where I wind 1:05:40.360 --> 1:05:42.840 like a little baby because something bad happens to me. 1:05:42.920 --> 1:05:45.400 So there is that that comes with it. There's a 1:05:45.400 --> 1:05:48.120 lot of bitching and moaning and crying. But if you 1:05:48.120 --> 1:05:51.000 can handle the bitching and moaning and crying, you can 1:05:51.040 --> 1:05:53.040 get some winner. Something that's kind of the hurdle with you, 1:05:53.120 --> 1:05:54.800 isn't it. That's part of it. Yes, there's gonna be 1:05:54.800 --> 1:05:57.280 a lot of bitching and yeah, Adam, it's the Simple 1:05:57.600 --> 1:05:59.760 Handicap Podcast. Anything else we should know you're in the 1:05:59.800 --> 1:06:03.000 gall off now you're putting out golf stuff. Yeah, first 1:06:03.040 --> 1:06:06.960 year I'm doing golf. I was essentially irrelevant between February 1:06:07.000 --> 1:06:09.280 and September when there was no football. So I'm doing 1:06:09.320 --> 1:06:11.200 it out of out of love for golf and love 1:06:11.240 --> 1:06:13.360 for betting on golf. So that'll be once a week. 1:06:13.480 --> 1:06:15.480 I love it and the Simple Handicap available. We're all 1:06:15.480 --> 1:06:18.640 podcaster attributed Matteo. Besides Primetime Action, did you want to 1:06:18.640 --> 1:06:21.680 plug anything? You don't need to follow me on Twitter. 1:06:22.720 --> 1:06:25.960 Don't worry about it. Yeah, that's bad. I like your 1:06:26.000 --> 1:06:31.640 post on Twitter. That is very Yeah, it's Matt Brown 1:06:31.680 --> 1:06:35.080 him too. There you got Matt Brown, m too. Give 1:06:35.120 --> 1:06:37.280 me all of your hate and vitriol. I'm here for 1:06:37.400 --> 1:06:39.720 He's very comfortable in his own skin. This Matt Brown, 1:06:39.920 --> 1:06:43.160 very comfortable. I love it alright for Adam turning off 1:06:43.160 --> 1:06:45.160 for Matt Brown. Four Todd wish If. Thank you guys, 1:06:45.200 --> 1:06:48.360 appreciated uh NFL Championship around. Good luck with all your 1:06:48.360 --> 1:06:51.240 bets this weekend. Thanks for listening to the megapod. Appreciate it. 1:07:00.680 --> 1:07:00.720 T