1 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Thursday? Welcome into 2 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: the latest edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. I'm your host, 3 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: Matt perelt to every single morning here on bettingpros dot com, 4 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: always with the video on YouTube and the audio wherever 5 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: you get your audio podcast. You guys, have an offer 6 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 1: from BETMGM. It's a five dollars offer Juice one hundred 7 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: the promo code for new users. A touchdown gets scored, 8 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 1: you bet on either side Colts or the Jets tonight 9 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: and you win one hundred dollars automatically with it. When 10 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: a touchdown gets scored, just one touchdown, you win one 11 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:40,599 Speaker 1: hundred bucks thanks to bet MGM Juice one hundred dot 12 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:43,479 Speaker 1: promo code. Five dollar wager wins you that coming up 13 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:46,720 Speaker 1: here tonight for Thursday Night football. All right, so last 14 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:49,520 Speaker 1: night was a winning night. We won one point five units. 15 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: Last night we go three and ozho on our half 16 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 1: unit bets. We get the plus money with the Oilers 17 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: and the puck line against the Predators at plus one twenty. 18 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: Some of you got plus one thirty. I got plus 19 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: one twenty. That we get both maction games. Right, So 20 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: now where we go to three and one for Maction games, 21 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 1: which is nice. We get the cover for Ken State, 22 00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: we get the over for Central Michigan and Western Michigan. 23 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: I had an overplay on that Central on that Kent 24 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: State game as well, so that was nice. Got a 25 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: little money back after going one and two yesterday, wind 26 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 1: up going three and oh on mac football coming up 27 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 1: here tonight for myself, two and oh on the pod. 28 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: That's good. So three and oh on our half unit 29 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: and then our quarter unit. Bets all missed by just 30 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: a little. James Harden scored sixteen points. We played them 31 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 1: over twenty the prop bet cheat sheet was right on, 32 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 1: just a little bit short, and then we took the 33 00:01:38,480 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: over for Bradley Beal to score over twenty seven and 34 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: a half points. He scored twenty five. So we come 35 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:46,559 Speaker 1: up just a little short there, three point shive cashing 36 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 1: with Bradley Beal and four points short of cashing for 37 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: or for I guess five points short cashing for James 38 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: Harden who scored no zero points in the first half. 39 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: For James Harden sixteen in the second zero points, Like 40 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: give me anything in the first stelf what a cash. 41 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: So unfortunately we drop a half unit there otherwise it 42 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: would have been a really nice night with a five 43 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 1: and zero mark and well over over two units being won. 44 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 1: But instead we wind up getting ourselves down one point 45 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 1: five units or sorry, up one point five units for 46 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:15,920 Speaker 1: the pod on a Wednesday. So we haven't had a 47 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 1: big winner like that or a really good night like 48 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: that for a couple of days. So that was good 49 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: to get that, all right. So here's where I'm going 50 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 1: for today, And I don't need to explain a ton 51 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: into this because I'm going to tell you right now 52 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: that I hate this. This night on Thursday Night Football, 53 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 1: I hate. I will be involved with some player props. 54 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:34,080 Speaker 1: I'm probably taking the Michael Pittman over receiving yards just 55 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: I want to make sure that everyone's in and there's 56 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: nothing really kind of funky going on. So we'll bet 57 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 1: the player props in the Discord channel for the game tonight, 58 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: and maybe a couple of NBA props as well, maybe 59 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: an NBA play in the Discord channel as we kind 60 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 1: of roll through the games. But I've got to play 61 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 1: on Thursday Night football, and I got to play on 62 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,959 Speaker 1: the college game tonight as well for a half a 63 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,679 Speaker 1: unit between Georgia State and Louisiana. But let's start with 64 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: the Colts and the Jets and Mike White now coming 65 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: back line ten and a half. Look ahead line was 66 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 1: fourteen fourteen and a half, and now it's ten and 67 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: a half. So obviously, the performance by Mike White throwing 68 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,360 Speaker 1: for four hundred yards against the Bengals has everybody jumping 69 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: up and down. I was tempted to just take the 70 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 1: plus ten and a half and just say, all right, 71 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 1: Jets plus ten and a half. I lean that way, 72 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 1: but I don't love it. And a couple of reason 73 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 1: why I don't love it. The Jets are gonna be 74 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 1: without still one of their key wide receivers in Corey Davis. 75 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: The Jets haven't won a road game in like forever, 76 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: and this is a Colts team that now knows that. 77 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: The Titans, after their win over Tennessee last weekend, they've 78 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: got a real shot here with the injury to Derrick Henry, 79 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: and they're in primetime. It's a short week at home. 80 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: Bad Jets team, bad Jets team on the road. So 81 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: what do I think is most likely going to happen? 82 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: I think the Jets turned back into a pumpkin. That's 83 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 1: most likely what's going to happen. However, the defense for 84 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: the Jets is pretty good. Defensive lines pretty good. Carson 85 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 1: Wentz is Carson Wentz. So do I want to lay 86 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: double digits at home with Carson Wentz? No? I do not. 87 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 1: Do I think Mike White in that offense they will score? No, 88 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: I do not. You start looking at the numbers here 89 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 1: for the Jets and just what they have done this season. Now, 90 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 1: a lot of this is with with Zach Wilson and 91 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: not with Mike White. But I mean the offense is 92 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 1: averaging sixteen point three points per game. Last week was 93 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 1: a total anomaly. Maybe a huge corner. Maybe they turned 94 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: a corner, or maybe the Bengals just didn't prep for 95 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: Mike White properly. Possible thirtieth in the league for the 96 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: New York Jets. Indianapolis averaging are giving up twenty two 97 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 1: point nine points per game. That's fourteenth best in the league. 98 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 1: Not bad. This team gives up only eight yards rushing 99 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 1: per sorry four yards rushing per rush attempt. That's eighth 100 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 1: best in the NFL. Jets can't run the ball three 101 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: point six yards per rush. They've thrown the ball all right, 102 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: but that was last week overall in the season six 103 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:56,280 Speaker 1: point two yards per pass play. That's twenty seventh in 104 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:58,839 Speaker 1: the NFL. But you can throw on Indy. India's defense 105 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,039 Speaker 1: giving up seven point six yards for pass play, that's 106 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: twenty seventh in the NFL. Teams are throwing against them 107 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 1: a lot. They're giving up thirty two pass tempts per game, 108 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: that's seventh most in the NFL. So teams like to 109 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,240 Speaker 1: throw two hundred and forty yards per game through the 110 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: air fifteenth best, or two hundred and forty three yards 111 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: fifteenth Right in the middle of there. On the other 112 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 1: side in Napolis, they want to run the football right obviously, 113 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor run the ball roun the ball. I'm not 114 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:23,679 Speaker 1: going to follow any of these over Jonathan Taylor rushing 115 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 1: props because if Jets defensive line plays, they could stop 116 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: the run. Four point six yards per rush for Indy, 117 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: seventh best, but the Jets defense giving up four yards 118 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: per rush, also seventh best in the NFL. But the 119 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 1: passing game six point seven yards per pass play. Carson 120 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: Wentz likes to throw, and we know he throws interceptions 121 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: and turns the ball over, but twenty first best you 122 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 1: can throw in the Jets, Like, we know, seven point 123 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 1: four yards per pass play. That is twenty third in 124 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 1: the NFL. They're giving up two hundred and seventy five 125 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 1: yards per pass up, sorry, per game through the air. 126 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 1: That's twenty seventh in the NFL. That's not good. And 127 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: we know the Jets turn the football over an absolute ton, right, 128 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a huge problem for them. Jets. They 129 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:04,840 Speaker 1: throw on average an interception five percent of the time 130 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 1: on pass plays. That's dead last in the NFL. The 131 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 1: vast majority of that is being thrown by Zach Wilson. 132 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:13,239 Speaker 1: But in the first half, Mike White threw two picks 133 00:06:13,440 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 1: that the Bengals did not take advantage of. They scored 134 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 1: one touchdown on those two picks, turn the ball over 135 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: inside the red zone getting stopped on downs. That game 136 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,679 Speaker 1: might have gone differently if since he had taken advantage 137 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 1: of that in the first half. We know the Jets 138 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: turned the football over, but I mean, look, so do 139 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: the Colts. The Colts turn the ball over with interceptions 140 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:36,119 Speaker 1: one point four It's okay, it's seventh in the NFL, 141 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,039 Speaker 1: so it's not horrible. But they do give the football 142 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 1: away on average one point two times per game that's 143 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 1: not good. That's middle of the pack, fourteenth bets in 144 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,280 Speaker 1: the NFL. They do take the football away pretty good though, 145 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 1: two point two takeaways a game. That's number two in 146 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,559 Speaker 1: the NFL. So they turned them all over a little, 147 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:51,679 Speaker 1: but they turn them ball over by their opponent a lot, 148 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:54,119 Speaker 1: which I think really does factor in here to this game. 149 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:56,720 Speaker 1: Here's what I'm going to do, all right. I don't 150 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 1: like laying double digits on Thursday for anybody for that matter. 151 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 1: I don't think this is gonna be a shootout, all right. 152 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 1: The total for this game is forty six and a half, 153 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: all right. I'm going to tease this game up, and 154 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease this game up, and I'm gonna go 155 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 1: to from forty six and a half up to fifty 156 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: one and a half, and I'm gonna take the under. Okay, 157 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the ten and a half and I'm 158 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 1: gonna tease it down to four and a half and 159 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Indianapolis minus four and a half at 160 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 1: home against the Jets. I think there's a real possibility 161 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 1: this game ends like twenty to ten or twenty to 162 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: thirteen or twenty four thirteen, somewhere in that range. I 163 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:43,840 Speaker 1: don't know how many points the Jets are going to score, Okay, 164 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 1: it concerns me I would rather be able to pull 165 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: this down to three, clearly, right, that would be a 166 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 1: better opportunity to get this down below you know, the 167 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: key number of seven and three. But we're gonna pull 168 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: it down below seven and below six. So in case 169 00:07:57,560 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: this game goes to overtime, we can still have a 170 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: chance to cash the ticket as long as the game 171 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: stays under fifty one and a half. Okay, same game 172 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 1: teaser Thursday Night Football one unit minus one twenty okay, 173 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 1: minus one twenty same game teaser. We're going Jets Colts 174 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 1: under fifty one and a half minus four and a 175 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: half for Indianapolis for one unit. Okay, maybe a prop 176 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: bet or two in this game. Other thing coming later 177 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 1: on in the Discord channel bettingpros dot COM's last chat, 178 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:30,679 Speaker 1: or the link which is underneath me here on YouTube 179 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 1: if you're watching on video half a unit play in 180 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: college football, let's talk about Louisiana up against Georgia States. 181 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 1: All right, So Georgia State's five and three to the 182 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 1: numbers so far this year, they've covered their last three games, 183 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:47,840 Speaker 1: four of their last five. Okay, it's like, huh okay, 184 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: Georgia State coming along here not bet last time out 185 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 1: against Georgia Southern six point favorites, one by seven, against 186 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: Texas State ten point favorites, one by twelve, Louisiana Monroe 187 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: fifteen point favorites, they won by thirty four. On the 188 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 1: other side, you have Louisiana three and five to the number. 189 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 1: They are three and one at home, however, and when 190 00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:14,199 Speaker 1: they were at home last game against Texas State, twenty 191 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:17,839 Speaker 1: one point favorites, they won by forty five. Against Appalachian 192 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: State catching four and a half, they won by twenty eight. 193 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: Against Ohio they were laying nineteen points, they won by 194 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: thirty five. They're laying twelve points here tonight up against 195 00:09:29,920 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: Georgia State. There's been some movement to Georgia State to 196 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 1: drop it down from twelve and a half to twelve, 197 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 1: but I don't really understand why. To be quite honest, 198 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: this Georgia State offense only scores twenty three point nine 199 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: points in game. That's eighty sevens in the country. They're 200 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,959 Speaker 1: going up against an offense for Louisiana that scores thirty 201 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 1: two point seven points per game. That's top thirty in 202 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: the country. They are top forty in yards per play. 203 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 1: They are top ten in yards per rush five point 204 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:01,560 Speaker 1: six yards per rush. It's not bad stopping the run, 205 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 1: but they do give up one hundred and seventy yards 206 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 1: per game on the ground. Louisiana rushes for two hundred 207 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:09,080 Speaker 1: and twenty five yards per game on the ground. That's 208 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 1: eleventh best in the country. Two hundred and four yards 209 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:15,360 Speaker 1: passing per game for Louisiana two hundred and thirty five, sorry, 210 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty three yards passing per game given 211 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: up by Georgia State. On the other side, it's hard 212 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:23,800 Speaker 1: to throw on Louisiana. Only one hundred and eighty five 213 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: yards per game given up through the air. That's fifteenth, sorry, 214 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: fourteenth best in the country. And this is an offense 215 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:33,120 Speaker 1: that doesn't throw the ball all that much. Six point 216 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,240 Speaker 1: four yards per pass play. It's one hundred and six 217 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 1: in the country. But they like to run the football 218 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 1: five point one yards per rush, but Louisiana can stop 219 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:42,599 Speaker 1: the run. Four yards per rush given up. They'll like 220 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 1: give up one hundred and fifty three yards per game 221 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 1: two hundred and twenty four yards per game for Georgia State. 222 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: So both teams like to run the football. But I 223 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 1: got a home team that is scoring more up against 224 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 1: a defense it's only giving up eighteen point six points 225 00:10:56,840 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 1: per game. I think Louisiana's defense is better. I wouldn't 226 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: mind to play on the under here. At fifty three 227 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: and a half, I think that's possible. I don't know 228 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:07,079 Speaker 1: how many points Georgia State's going to score. I mean, 229 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 1: maybe seventeen, maybe twenty. I thought about maybe looking at 230 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: team totals here, but I just think I want to 231 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: stay away from it. On a Thursday night, that funky 232 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 1: thing's gonna happen. And honestly, I think Louisiana could run 233 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:20,440 Speaker 1: away with this. As I mentioned in the beginning, they 234 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 1: have won these games by doublegit favorites. They've won it 235 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 1: by like big points. Okay, they have really dominated here 236 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: at home when they're laying points, and that concerns me 237 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: a little bit. One by forty five, twenty eight and 238 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 1: thirty five, laying nineteen, catching four and a half and 239 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 1: laying twenty one. So I'm a little concerned about saying, 240 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: all right, let's just go ahead and take the under. 241 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:42,680 Speaker 1: In this game, because we now know what Louisiana's offense 242 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 1: is capable of doing in certain games. So I'm a 243 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 1: touch concerned about that. And Louisiana right now is an 244 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 1: under machine where they've gone one in seven to the over, 245 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: but five and three Georgia State to the over. So 246 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 1: I'm a little HEAs to kind of jump in there 247 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: and say, all right, let's just ride this Louisiana under 248 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 1: even though I think Louisiana has a chance to really 249 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 1: slow down this Georgia State offense a lot and hold 250 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,719 Speaker 1: them to maybe ten fourteen points, and on the other 251 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:14,320 Speaker 1: side they score thirty thirty five points. I'd rather avoid 252 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,960 Speaker 1: the total and just take a fourteen point win here. 253 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the twelve points for a half a 254 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:22,720 Speaker 1: unit Louisiana at home against Georgia State games on ESPN. 255 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 1: Let's take a half a unit minus twelve under fourteen, 256 00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 1: which I like. Minus twelve for Louisiana kind of a funky, 257 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 1: weird number. But let's just go a seventeen fourteen, seven 258 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:36,079 Speaker 1: point win for Louisiana and call it a day. Louisiana 259 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 1: minus twelve at home against Georgia State for a half units. 260 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:43,079 Speaker 1: All right, So same game teaser for the Thursday night 261 00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: football game, we're going Colt to minus four and a 262 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: half and the under fifty one and a half, and 263 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 1: then we're going Louisiana minus twelve in the Thursday night game. 264 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: Half a unit on the college game, full unit for 265 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:57,199 Speaker 1: the NFL. Same game teaser. We'll have some prop bets 266 00:12:57,200 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 1: coming up either NBA NFL. We'll go with it. I'm 267 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 1: gonna take a from hockey, although I would look at 268 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:04,960 Speaker 1: that Golden Knights game. Golden Knights should not be favored 269 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 1: against anybody right now. I don't know what's going on 270 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 1: with that, but they're so banged up and they're on 271 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 1: the road here again tonight and the Golden Knights or 272 00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: at Ottawa. I know Ottawa was bad, but it's hockey 273 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: and get plus money. Taking Ottawa to beat the Golden 274 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:19,959 Speaker 1: Knights tonight may not be a bad opportunity to jump 275 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:22,560 Speaker 1: in with that. Will eyeballow that number of how those 276 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: numbers go and see who's in net and whatnot? And 277 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 1: I thought about taking the Islanders over the Canadians. Maybe 278 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 1: I'll have personal play on the Islanders. Maybe a personal 279 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,160 Speaker 1: play on the under five and a half for that 280 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: with New York against Montreal here tonight, but nothing on 281 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: hockey at the moment for me. Here to go with hockey, 282 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 1: but or NBA for that matter. Hawks props maybe John 283 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 1: Collins back to back for the Atlanta Hawks. Hawks looked 284 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:50,440 Speaker 1: bad again. Hawks defensively they had they were good early 285 00:13:50,440 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 1: in the year. Hawks are not good right now defensively, 286 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:55,280 Speaker 1: so maybe more stuff to come later on today in 287 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 1: the Discord channel Bettingpros dot com slash chat to get 288 00:13:57,800 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 1: in minus Matt Parol. To follow me on Twitter at 289 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 1: sports dot com Matt. Every morning it's the Daily Juice 290 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 1: podcast right here on Bettingpros dot com