1 00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:04,800 Speaker 1: Welcome back to a very special episode of Playing Buck. 2 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: We are playing the new mayor of New York City's 3 00:00:08,360 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: theme music Zorn Mamdani, the Kami, worthy of the Soviet anthem. 4 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,759 Speaker 1: To be sure, that's the way it is, folks, I'm 5 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 1: wearing red today solidarity with the Kami. Our friend Ry 6 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: Gerdusky joins us. Now, Ryan, we are pouring out some 7 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: vodka shots over here for comrade Mom Donnie Mamdanni and 8 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: his victory. I guess no surprises. What are your biggest 9 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: takeaways from how all this went down in New York, Well, 10 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 1: in New York specifically. 11 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:44,559 Speaker 2: The one thing I really was surprised about was how 12 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 2: much the coalitions changed between the primary and the general. 13 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 2: So in the primary, Cuomo won Hispanic voters and Black 14 00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 2: voters by large margins. And it was and there was 15 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 2: white voters and Asian voters that really turn on him. 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 2: In this election, Cuomo won white voters and Asian voters, 17 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 2: and he'll blacks and Hispanics. Had he performed as well 18 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 2: with blacks and Hispanics in the Bronx, Brooklyn and Queens, 19 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 2: he would have won. So I was pretty surprising. I 20 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:10,399 Speaker 2: actually thought he was going to keep the coalition of 21 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 2: this primary much much closer than he actually did. That 22 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 2: was my biggest takeaway. But she was just the mere 23 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 2: magnitude and size of how many people showed up. It 24 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,839 Speaker 2: was just massive to vote both for and against him. 25 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 2: And then lastly, I guess how much Courtisy was in 26 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: the end, couldn't keep even a flagming of what Republicans 27 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 2: are in the city together. 28 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 3: So how much concern should we have going forward based 29 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,400 Speaker 3: on these results? And let me give you my thesis 30 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 3: and you tell me if I'm a moron in your 31 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 3: mind or. 32 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 2: Not looking at ever? 33 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, looking at the rough margins here, and I know 34 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 3: one is the general election the presidency, which drives out 35 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 3: higher turnout. But six hundred thousand fewer Trump voters voted 36 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 3: in New Jersey this year compared to last year, and 37 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 3: about the same number or fewer in Virginia, six hundred 38 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 3: thousand less. In fact, Trump twenty twenty four got more 39 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 3: votes than Spanberger did yesterday, and more votes substantially than 40 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 3: Cheryl did, both of which got them elected governors. Again, 41 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 3: I know, twenty five versus twenty four, But when I 42 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 3: look at this, Ryan, my concern is will Trump's base 43 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 3: that elected him in twenty twenty four. Will those people 44 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: show up in twenty six and then you can project 45 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 3: it beyond when Trump's not on the ballot in twenty eight. 46 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 3: How durable is this coalition? 47 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 2: Well, I mean at any coalition it does matter a lot, 48 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 2: but who runs it right? And you can look at 49 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 2: the Obama coalition see how long they lasts or aout Obama. 50 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 2: I think the big thing is is that if you 51 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 2: look at the way that this turn happened, right, Jack 52 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 2: Chitarelli was a good candidate, run a solid campaign, and 53 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 2: he built a model of how to win based upon 54 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 2: a twenty twenty one style election results. He got one 55 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 2: hundred and twenty two thousand more votes and he got 56 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 2: four years prior that would have won an election. He's 57 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 2: got more votes than den Murphy did, and he got 58 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 2: more votes I think the most Republicans I think ever did. 59 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 2: I think he won more votes than even Chris Christy 60 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,119 Speaker 2: did when he got sixty percent. He built a platform 61 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,760 Speaker 2: in a campaign that would that would win you a 62 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 2: normal style you know, off off your election. The thing 63 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 2: is we didn't have that normal style off off your election. 64 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 2: Four hundred thousand more people showed up is that there 65 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:28,960 Speaker 2: vote f form. Mikey Sherrol, Mikey Cherrow got eight close 66 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 2: to eighty percent of the Kamala Harris old in Jersey 67 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 2: or eighty one percent in Kamala Harris rode in Jersey, 68 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 2: and Jack Jack Cirelli got seventy percent of the Trump coalition. 69 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 2: That's just not enough. Part of that is to voter enthusiasms, 70 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 2: voter enthusiasm. Part of it is the fact that the 71 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 2: economy it's not a wonderful shape for young people, right, 72 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 2: young people, Hispanic people, people who wanted to elect Trump. 73 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: Have him wave a magic wand have prices go back 74 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 2: to the way that we're in twenty nineteen. Have the economy 75 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 2: Electory at twenty eighteen are deeply frustrated now, you know? 76 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 2: Are they are? They? Should they be frustrated? Should they 77 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 2: be surprised if they can't go back in ten months? No, 78 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 2: they shouldn't. But that's not America, and America wants to 79 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 2: everything instantaneously. In Virginia, Winston's He's ran a bad campaign. 80 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 2: That's why she was down by fifteen points and worse 81 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 2: than every other Republican on the ballot, and that definitely 82 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 2: dragged Republicans down. Furthermore, you also the government shut down, 83 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:25,840 Speaker 2: which deeply affects Virginia, and so you have all those 84 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 2: things mixtured. No one should lose their light, their hair 85 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 2: on fire over this. You know, it's terrible, it's awful. 86 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 2: But if you look at the overall election from Georgia 87 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 2: to racist in Connecticut, the races in Kansas, Republicans are 88 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 2: being trounced up and down the ballot. Democrats are very enthusiastic. 89 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 2: Democrats really want to show that Trump is that Trump 90 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 2: needs to be stopped, and Republicans are complacent. This is 91 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 2: what happens when you hold the White House, is that 92 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 2: the immediate aftermath, the party in power gets complacent. Until 93 00:04:53,600 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 2: we got Glenn Youngkin in twenty twenty one. You can 94 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 2: look at how we got Bob McDonald's in two thousand 95 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 2: and nine. This is just a very frequent thing that happens, 96 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 2: and no one should be like this shows, you know, 97 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 2: the whole Maga agenda is over. That does not show 98 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 2: this whatsoever. 99 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: Ryan Gerdoski with us It's a numbers game. Is this 100 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,240 Speaker 1: podcast on the Klayanbuck network, which you should all check 101 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: out on a plan Buck podcast network which I just said, Ryan, 102 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: if you're looking at this, and I'm either I agree 103 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: with you. I don't think that there's a roadmap to 104 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: all things political that you can draw from what just 105 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 1: happened here, But putting it aside for a second, based 106 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 1: on the data, the demographics, and what we are seeing 107 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 1: not just in these races, but just more broadly, what 108 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: does for the midterms specifically? Right, this is not about 109 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:46,040 Speaker 1: a Trump reelection campaign per se, What does a winning 110 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: Republican strategy look like going into this midterm next year? 111 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: So that they can like, what are the issues, what's 112 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: the messaging? What do you take away from that? 113 00:05:57,960 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 2: Well, I mean prices are a big part of it, 114 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 2: definitely the economy. And I was on your show yesterday, 115 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 2: so the electric prices are a big deal. What I 116 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,279 Speaker 2: think I think the missed opportunity for the Trump White 117 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:11,239 Speaker 2: House and the Trump political shop was they really should 118 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 2: have been working to have their own campaign to really 119 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 2: see they could drive out local pensaity voters in these 120 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:19,919 Speaker 2: off off your cycles and claim those wins. Even focus 121 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 2: on New Jersey and Virginia. They could have done the 122 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 2: races in Pennsylvania or races somewhere else in the country, 123 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:29,479 Speaker 2: but they chose not to. What I think that I 124 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 2: think going forward into this into this next year is 125 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:37,599 Speaker 2: some kind of levity on youth unemployment, which is very high, 126 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 2: especially among recent college graduates. It's very very high. You 127 00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 2: know a lot of colleges who cannot find jobs. That's 128 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 2: a big deal to work somewhere out on just on 129 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:51,839 Speaker 2: trying to reduce the ramifications of inflation that happened over 130 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 2: the last five years. I know that's very hard to do. 131 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 2: I know that food prices are remarkably high and are 132 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 2: staying that way. I guess do whatever you can in 133 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 2: that in that, in that in that in the eighteen 134 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 2: months or a year to figure out how you can 135 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 2: reduce those prices to that working class people feel a 136 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 2: little less of a pinch. And you have Trump beust 137 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 2: to get it back on the road again. It has 138 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 2: to sit they're in start campaigning again to get his 139 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 2: base to show up in big numbers because Democrats, as 140 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 2: I said, Estory, are showing up like it's the presidential elections. 141 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 3: Ryan, is there a line that Democrats just won't cross? 142 00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 3: Because when I see J. Jones win by six and 143 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 3: a half points, widely covered the amount of media that's 144 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 3: covered the Jay Jones. Now, maybe he doesn't get criticized 145 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 3: the same way that a Republican would, but for him 146 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:46,960 Speaker 3: to win by six and a half points was really 147 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 3: the only result I saw last night where I thought 148 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 3: to myself, my goodness, this is this is not a 149 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 3: sign of sanity. 150 00:07:56,800 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, they voted, they've they hate Trump 151 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 2: means more to them than any level of decency, and 152 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 2: that is a guiding light for them. I mean, and 153 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 2: you saw for particularly women, college educated women, hating Trump 154 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 2: is everything to them, right. And I know it's very 155 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 2: uncomfortable for some people to realize, having Cynthia Nixon's of 156 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 2: the world, there are living in this country, but there 157 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:23,559 Speaker 2: are a lot, and they are unlike you know, a 158 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 2: good political friend of mine told me this, Unlike conservatives 159 00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 2: who have Church, QBC and the Republican Party, Democrats only 160 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 2: have The Liberals only have the Democratic Party to fuel 161 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 2: all their frustrations and all their anger in. And I 162 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 2: think that and all their money into and I think 163 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 2: that that is where we're spending a lot of Oh, 164 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:44,839 Speaker 2: they're spending all the time and energy. And I don't 165 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:46,959 Speaker 2: think that J Jones could have J Jones could have 166 00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:51,199 Speaker 2: kicked the dog while saying some exploitive about people, saying 167 00:08:51,240 --> 00:08:54,199 Speaker 2: that I hope you know all people do this or that, 168 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 2: and he still would have won because in part because 169 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 2: when Smithsthears's numbers were so high highly ken and I 170 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 2: said this on the podcast on Numbers Team, if she 171 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 2: wins by double digits, there's no way which is just 172 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 2: loses by double jigits, there's diener way to carry to 173 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:10,840 Speaker 2: stop j Jones from winning the election. 174 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 1: Ryan, how big a deal is Proposition fifties passage out 175 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 1: in californiaf we've mentioned this, We hadn't really because it's 176 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:24,079 Speaker 1: a proposition, right, and it's about redistricting, but it really 177 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 1: does matter. How much does it matter for the mid terms? 178 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot. I mean, you're looking at probably four 179 00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 2: to five seat game for Democrats over there. That really 180 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 2: wipes out what Republicans are doing in Texas, and Democrats 181 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:39,200 Speaker 2: are going to step up in Virginia as well and 182 00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 2: probably draw out two or three Republicans out of Virginia. 183 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,719 Speaker 2: And in the end, from the redistricting thing, I mean, 184 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 2: you may be in a position where, even without New 185 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 2: York or New Jersey changing the map, you may be 186 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,720 Speaker 2: in a position where Democrats and Republicans are basically running 187 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 2: even as they were beforehand. 188 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 3: Okay, so mid the terms are one year from today. 189 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:06,040 Speaker 3: Last year, one year anniversary of Trump's big win. We asked, 190 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:10,559 Speaker 3: you know, how much disposition should there be on expectations 191 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 3: going forward? If you were asked right now, hey, President Trump, 192 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 3: what President Trump said, what should we focus on Ryan 193 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 3: based on the numbers that you have seen to ensure 194 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 3: that Republicans, say, in control of the House and the Senate, 195 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 3: that would be what I would immediately. 196 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 2: I mean, if we're especially we're looking at the Senate 197 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,920 Speaker 2: seats right now and then in critical spring seats, I 198 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,560 Speaker 2: would look at any suite at any district where Trump 199 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,560 Speaker 2: received under five won by less than five points. Right, 200 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,320 Speaker 2: Because even in Virginia, even in the state House, Republicans 201 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 2: stopped the bleeding at about three points. Right, That's all 202 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 2: they got the districts that voted for Trump by three 203 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 2: points and the last or maybe four points the less 204 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 2: they they flipped Democrat, but all the rest of them 205 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 2: stayed Republican. Right, So there wasn't this bleeding where like 206 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 2: Trump plus ten districts loss. So that's important thing to 207 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 2: remember a cavea to remember One. I would sit there 208 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 2: and start really trying to mobilize your your old base 209 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 2: again by trying to make sure that they're engagingly know 210 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 2: when the election is and that takes a year of 211 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 2: political work and it takes you know, hundreds of millions off, 212 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 2: not a billion dollars. Secondly, I would sit there and 213 00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 2: really start trying to focus on easy, deliverable, positive pr 214 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 2: wins that are you know, that are that are there 215 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 2: that they could easily do, and what I would what 216 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 2: I would try, I mean, this is not anything that 217 00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 2: they can't do. Try to get ballid measurements on the 218 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:35,480 Speaker 2: ballot in these critical states ahead of the twenty twenty 219 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 2: six midterms where you could do like English as the 220 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 2: official language ballat mid term to drive up Republican conservative 221 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,679 Speaker 2: independent turning a turnout, because that was a big part 222 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 2: of New Jersey where I was looking at the results 223 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 2: yesterday in Jersey and we're on the phone. When I 224 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:49,960 Speaker 2: was on the phone with you guys, was that the 225 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 2: independent turnout was way down in place like Morris County, 226 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 2: and I was like, these are conservatives that are not 227 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 2: reistered Republican. This is not a good sign So give 228 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 2: the drive, give an give another initiative, another reason to 229 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 2: show up. Try to get ballid measurements on these critical 230 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 2: Spring states and all these states with the critical spring 231 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 2: seats ahead of the twenty twenty six men terms. 232 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 1: Ryan or Duski, everybody appreciate you, my friend, and hopefully 233 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:16,439 Speaker 1: the next time we have you on to talk election 234 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: results will be a little more to celebrate, a little 235 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 1: more for the GOP to get excited about. 236 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, thank you, thank you. 237 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 3: Hate crimes are on the rise, particularly anti Semitic ones. 238 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 3: We see them here in the country, around the world too. 239 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 3: When Jewish communities are threatened as they have been, we 240 00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 3: must take a stand. 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Now you know them as 256 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 3: conservative radio hosts, Now just get to know them as 257 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:37,920 Speaker 3: guys on this Sunday hang podcast with Clay and Buck. 258 00:13:38,160 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 3: Find it in their podcast feed on the iHeartRadio app 259 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:43,359 Speaker 3: or wherever you get your podcasts. 260 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: Oh, welcome back in here to Clay in Buck. Oh, 261 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 1: my friends, a lot of you on a weigh in 262 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 1: on a lot of things. But one thing that we 263 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: mentioned that this unfortunately could be a bit of a problem. 264 00:13:56,640 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 1: Supreme Court looking at Trump's tariffs, which remember a little 265 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 1: bit of review here, we were told they would be 266 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: so bad for the economy. Meanwhile they've been it seems, 267 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:16,599 Speaker 1: hundreds of billions of dollars in the American coffer and 268 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 1: the economy's doing just great, at least when it comes 269 00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 1: to trade, the stock market, investment, things like that. Yes, 270 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: prices are high, but and some people said, well, prices 271 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 1: are going to rise a lot because of terriffs. We 272 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 1: actually haven't seen that. If they've risen, they've risen a 273 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 1: little bit. But that's something that's certainly on everyone's mind, 274 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:40,520 Speaker 1: because if the Supreme Court were to say Trump's tariffs 275 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 1: are unconstitutional, we have a problem. This is cut thirty 276 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 1: three Trump just in Miami, my city. Here, here's what 277 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 1: he's saying. Play it. 278 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 4: One hundred of the jobs have come from the private sector. 279 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 1: Otherwise you don't have a country. 280 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 4: I mean, I love government workers, but if you have 281 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 4: all government workers, you don't have a country, do you. 282 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 4: At the same time, my tariffs are bringing in hundreds 283 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,680 Speaker 4: of billions of dollars in a helping slash the deficit 284 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 4: this year by more than fifty percent. Did you see 285 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 4: those numbers? We're going to be down fifty percent anywhere 286 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 4: from twenty five to fifty, but closer to fifty percent. 287 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 4: To them who would think that one those are big numbers. 288 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: Clay whateveryone thinks of the tariffs if they were to 289 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:27,040 Speaker 1: get undermined by the Supreme or effectively done away with 290 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 1: by the Supreme Court. That's gonna get messy. What do 291 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 1: you even do? 292 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 3: It's it's not dissimilar in my mind back to how 293 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 3: you in birthright citizenship. Sometimes the law has just been 294 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 3: applied for so long and so significantly you would have 295 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 3: to give refunds. It would turn into a real mess. 296 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 3: So a part of me wonders if they could say, hey, 297 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 3: we don't think this is constitutional. But it's also also 298 00:15:56,640 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 3: incredibly difficult for the court to argue to order a 299 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 3: remediation in some way in this perspective, So they could 300 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 3: try to instruct Congress to see if Congress would vote 301 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 3: to give the president the authority right, because this is 302 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 3: really a separation of powers argument. It's does the president 303 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 3: have the power under emergency declarations to put in place tariffs? 304 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:23,680 Speaker 3: This is a big picture analysis, or should with the 305 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 3: power of the purse, Congress have to make a decision 306 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 3: of this magnitude. And so you have all three powers 307 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:35,680 Speaker 3: of separation of power elements here the Court trying to 308 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 3: tell Congress what they should have done and what the 309 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 3: president can't do and deligate those differences. It is somewhat complicated. 310 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 3: To go back we were talking about this off air 311 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 3: and say, oh, by the way, that four hundred billion 312 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 3: dollars that the president has already collected in tariffs roughly 313 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 3: maybe it's three hundred billion now certainly projected towards four 314 00:16:56,960 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 3: hundred it has to somehow be refunded. That's first of 315 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 3: all going to increase the deficit obviously, but also complicated 316 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:08,920 Speaker 3: to figure out how to reassess and reallocate those dollars. 317 00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:13,840 Speaker 3: So this is actually an incredibly significant but also incredibly 318 00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:16,879 Speaker 3: complicated Supreme Court case that was taking place this morning. 319 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:21,200 Speaker 1: How do you think it shakes out, mister lawyer hat Clay. 320 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:23,800 Speaker 3: A part of me thinks that they will say that 321 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 3: the president doesn't have the authority to do it and 322 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 3: try to put a end of year timeline. This is 323 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:33,919 Speaker 3: just totally making it up, right, because I think going 324 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 3: back and taking away the dollars that have already come 325 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,199 Speaker 3: into the government and making the government give refunds is complicated. 326 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 3: The easy out, I would think would be trying to 327 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 3: figure out if there's a congressional bill that could be 328 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:49,520 Speaker 3: passed to rubber stamp what Trump's already done. 329 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 1: One of the smarter investment moves I've made over the 330 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:55,960 Speaker 1: years is the purchase of gold, not just because I 331 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:57,960 Speaker 1: saw a way of as a way of balancing the 332 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:01,200 Speaker 1: value of a declining dollar, but because I thought it 333 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:03,879 Speaker 1: would increase in value. And this year alone, the price 334 00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:07,359 Speaker 1: of gold is up by more than fifty percent. With 335 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 1: lagging inflation still an issue, government debt insurmountable, owning gold 336 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:15,919 Speaker 1: just makes sense. The long term thesis is strong central 337 00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 1: banks the world over have been buying gold all year long. 338 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,240 Speaker 1: That's one of the reasons gold's value has gone up. 339 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,120 Speaker 1: Experts following the price of gold see continue to appreciate 340 00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 1: well into the future. For all these reasons and more. 341 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:28,800 Speaker 1: It's not too late for you to enjoy a great 342 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:32,480 Speaker 1: return yourself. 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Welcome 350 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 1: back into Clay and Buck, Oh my, so much coming 351 00:18:57,080 --> 00:19:00,520 Speaker 1: in here on the stockbacks and on the just everything 352 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:03,719 Speaker 1: from the results from this election last twenty four hours 353 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 1: and we have this is gonna be very interesting, Randy. 354 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 1: Do we still have? Randy and Jupiter, Florida. He wants 355 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,120 Speaker 1: to wait on the constitutionality of the tariffs, actually, which 356 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 1: I find interesting, Randy in the lovely Jupiter, Florida, which, 357 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:22,120 Speaker 1: by the way, I hear great homes for sale New Yorkers. Yes, 358 00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 1: I'm sure that's true. What's up, Randy. 359 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 5: I live on the intercoastal, so please go Inland and Jupiter. 360 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 2: But yes, it's fair dice every day. 361 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 1: What you got for us. 362 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 5: Wanted to get some help here on the tariff thing. 363 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 5: The other night club forty seven USA posted Eric Trump speaking, 364 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:43,360 Speaker 5: and we were trying. 365 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 6: To figure this out. 366 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:49,719 Speaker 5: I thought that the Constitution gave the I don't know 367 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:54,360 Speaker 5: in the Constitution. Wasn't terriffs part of our original revenue 368 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:59,359 Speaker 5: source for the federal governments long before the income tax 369 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:03,119 Speaker 5: men it ever came about. I thought tariffs was a 370 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 5: legitimate revenue source. And uh, we're need some help to understand. 371 00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:11,720 Speaker 3: Okay, So that's a great question, and I'm sure that 372 00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 3: tariffs were incredibly impactful. I mean, look, the Boston Tea Party, uh, 373 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,960 Speaker 3: in many ways was funded by tariffs, right, if I'm 374 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 3: remembering correctly, the the cost that they were demanding that 375 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 3: the colonies pay in order to import tea and other substances. 376 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 1: Well, the stamp, the stamp the Stamp Act from ap 377 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:41,919 Speaker 1: AP American history, the intolerable acts. Uh, my understanding, and 378 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,399 Speaker 1: I will be one hundred percent transparent. I do not 379 00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: do tariff law and have never done tariff law is 380 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 1: a part of my legal practice. 381 00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,440 Speaker 3: Uh. I do know a little bit about maritime law, 382 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 3: by the way, which is maybe somewhat closely interlocked at times. 383 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 3: My understanding is that Trump has cited specifically a nineteen 384 00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:07,359 Speaker 3: seventies era law which was passed that gives the president 385 00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 3: the authority to mandate tariffs in times of emergency. My 386 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 3: understanding of this dispute is Trump has cited, among other things, 387 00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:19,199 Speaker 3: I think two primary things. And guys, I don't have 388 00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 3: the Wall Street Journal with me this morning, but I 389 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 3: was reading in their editorial breaking this down. If I 390 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 3: remember correctly, one of them is the drug crisis fentanyl 391 00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:30,240 Speaker 3: and the fact that it's been allowed to be brought 392 00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:32,199 Speaker 3: into this country, and he is saying that is a 393 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 3: crisis based on the number of people that are being killed. 394 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 3: And then I think there is an illegal immigration aspect 395 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,920 Speaker 3: associated with this as well that he has used as 396 00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:46,600 Speaker 3: the and by the way, Congress gave the authority to 397 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 3: the President to enact that those actions. The question, so 398 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 3: far as I understand it to be, and if there 399 00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:57,239 Speaker 3: is a constitutional scholar out there eight hundred and two 400 00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 3: A two two eighty two who can pronounce and discuss 401 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 3: this to a better degree, the question that is at 402 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 3: stake that the constitution that they debated this morning was 403 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:11,879 Speaker 3: has Trump exceeded the authority of that nineteen seventies Eras 404 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:17,120 Speaker 3: Statute in taking the power to mandate these emergency tariffs 405 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:21,159 Speaker 3: by basically taking away the power that otherwise would have 406 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 3: resided with Congress. So the argument against the tariffs is 407 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 3: that Congress has the power to levy the tariffs. 408 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:30,440 Speaker 1: Now, now maybe you're. 409 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 3: Talking about back in the day in the Articles of Confederation, day, 410 00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 3: in the colony days, and maybe even in the early 411 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:42,560 Speaker 3: days of the country, but the authority to enact tariffs, 412 00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 3: I believe is with Congress. And one reason they wanted 413 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:49,119 Speaker 3: that was obviously separation of powers in general, but I 414 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 3: think rooted historically in the fact that tariffs had been 415 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 3: such a significant issue for the colonies back in the day. 416 00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:01,200 Speaker 3: They didn't want one unitary executive necess early with the 417 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,359 Speaker 3: store with the ability and all of you who took 418 00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,399 Speaker 3: government back in the day, remember the power of the 419 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 3: purse historically and constitutionally has resided with the Congress. 420 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 1: I think Professor Clay's history class would be a well attended, 421 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 1: well attended seminar. I really do. 422 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,679 Speaker 3: I don't want to swear that every single element of 423 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:23,639 Speaker 3: that is one hundred percent correct, but I think I 424 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:25,600 Speaker 3: got most of it correct. But it's a smart question. 425 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 3: But Randy is asking a deep historical question. Again, this 426 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:33,440 Speaker 3: is rooted in the authority of a nineteen seventy statute 427 00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 3: that the Trump administration has cited as the authority for 428 00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:40,919 Speaker 3: the president to unilaterally imposed tariffs across a broad swath 429 00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:47,840 Speaker 3: of the global trade in commerce. Indeed, we have more 430 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 3: coming in here on this one, a lot of folks 431 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 3: with a lot of thoughts. 432 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:57,639 Speaker 1: Where we hear a second ago VIP email from Lewis 433 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,639 Speaker 1: election summary and one word hate A powerful emotion and 434 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,520 Speaker 1: it has been manipulated against core Americans. This just goes 435 00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: to show the Democrat Party has become the party of hate. 436 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: That was the platform in each race, and unfortunately the 437 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 1: Democrat Party is taught to hate from an early age 438 00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 1: or socially indoctored at embrace hate. Not one Democrat candidate 439 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:19,680 Speaker 1: had any solution for the people, just the platform to 440 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,160 Speaker 1: tear down and stop Trump. We need to take note 441 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 1: and fully understand what is coming. History is repeating itself. Lewis, 442 00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:30,439 Speaker 1: I think that there are there's certainly a lot of 443 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 1: anger and rage and hate on the left. I think 444 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:35,720 Speaker 1: that envy is one of the most unfortunately and one 445 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 1: of the most powerful political mobilization tools that exist, especially 446 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 1: for people who are of the leftist, redistributive, collectivist Marxist mindset. 447 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 1: That you can always find people because the truth is 448 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:56,480 Speaker 1: that the material conditions of the New Yorkers, even who 449 00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,159 Speaker 1: are all pro Mamdani. First of all, McLay read was 450 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 1: so hilarious. True. There are a lot of heiresses in 451 00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 1: Chappaqua who are like I have men Donnie, Yes, Mannie's 452 00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:09,200 Speaker 1: the best. You know, They're they're all all about it, 453 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 1: uh and they love pretending to be these radicals that 454 00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 1: care so much about the poor. I mean, they're gonna 455 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:19,480 Speaker 1: live in the highest income, most non diverse neighborhood they 456 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 1: possibly can personally, but they want everybody else to, you know, 457 00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:26,080 Speaker 1: have like community housing and no laws and no cops. 458 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,359 Speaker 3: Let me step back in, Professor Clay here a minute 459 00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 3: buck trade deficits was what one of and finnyl were 460 00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 3: the two emergencies that Trump cited nineteen seventy nine law 461 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 3: that was passed. Amy Cony Barrett talked about the challenges 462 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 3: of returning these tariffs. She said, what what how would 463 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:54,040 Speaker 3: the government refund billions of dollars in tariffs? And the 464 00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:59,199 Speaker 3: lawyer who is suing said representing small businesses, said the 465 00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 3: court could make it's ruling perspective only, meaning no refunds 466 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 3: would be necessary. 467 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 1: It would only start. That's kind of what I said. 468 00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,880 Speaker 3: It would start at a certain date, and I do 469 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 3: think that that is that is a huge part of 470 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 3: this as well. But again, the question is what is 471 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:17,440 Speaker 3: an emergency? 472 00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:17,840 Speaker 2: Right? 473 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,200 Speaker 3: There are many different levels here and this is kind 474 00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:23,880 Speaker 3: of a fun legal question, but what is an emergency? 475 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 3: And how long would an emergency last? Within the context 476 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:31,200 Speaker 3: of this law that the Trump administration has cited as 477 00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:36,480 Speaker 3: the legal authority. John in San Diego, this seems like 478 00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:38,440 Speaker 3: it could be a super nerd call, but I'm kind 479 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:42,600 Speaker 3: of impressed by it. John, you say you remember, well, 480 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:43,920 Speaker 3: tell us your take here. 481 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:49,480 Speaker 6: Okay, it's real simple. If the original Constitution only provides 482 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:53,879 Speaker 6: for imposts and X posts for taxes, and an impost 483 00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 6: is a tax on imports, which is a terriff, an 484 00:26:57,040 --> 00:27:02,600 Speaker 6: next post is an excise tax on domestic goods. 485 00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,679 Speaker 1: So thank you for the call. Sorry to continue. 486 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 3: You're the Initially the government was designed to be small, 487 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:13,080 Speaker 3: and we did not get the authority for the income 488 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:16,160 Speaker 3: tax it started. If I'm remembering correct, because I bet John, 489 00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:17,720 Speaker 3: you're going to be a nerd here and know this. 490 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:20,920 Speaker 3: If I remember correctly during the Civil War for Abraham 491 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,480 Speaker 3: Lincoln to pay for the Civil War, Am I correct 492 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:23,720 Speaker 3: in that? 493 00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:27,680 Speaker 6: And then it was canceled and yeah, permanent one started 494 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:29,680 Speaker 6: in nineteen thirteen with a sixteenth Amendment. 495 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:31,960 Speaker 1: Yes, okay, thank you for the call. 496 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:35,399 Speaker 3: A lot of people don't know that, Buck, there was 497 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,960 Speaker 3: no income tax in the United States until the Civil War. 498 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:41,640 Speaker 3: Abraham Lincoln has to pay for the Civil War. Once 499 00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:43,679 Speaker 3: the war's over, they do away with it, and then 500 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,399 Speaker 3: in the early nineteen hundreds they said, hey, we're going 501 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:48,439 Speaker 3: to go back to this and all of you are 502 00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 3: going to pay us, you know, thirty plus percent of 503 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:51,160 Speaker 3: everything you make. 504 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:53,800 Speaker 1: This reminds me very much of the discussion here in 505 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:57,439 Speaker 1: Florida about eliminating property for homesteaded properties. And I keep 506 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,400 Speaker 1: seeing the people say, but but where will the money 507 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:04,000 Speaker 1: come from. There's plenty of money and the property taxes 508 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:07,200 Speaker 1: that would you're talking about something like six percent of 509 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,800 Speaker 1: the actual budget the state of Florida. But everyone gets 510 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:13,159 Speaker 1: used to a tax and then thinks that that tax 511 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 1: is always going to be there. It's just a question 512 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 1: of what the number is. But this country operator just 513 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:22,960 Speaker 1: fine without an income tax for a long time, and 514 00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 1: you start to look at what's going on and where 515 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:28,640 Speaker 1: the expenditures are going, and increasingly, my friends, we're paying 516 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:32,479 Speaker 1: for a massive welfare state. Massive welfare state in this country. 517 00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:34,439 Speaker 1: We don't necessarily call off that, but that is what 518 00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:34,879 Speaker 1: is going on. 519 00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 3: Oh well, not only that, the challenge is whenever you 520 00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 3: try to restrain the welfare straight state, they're immediately the 521 00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 3: talking point is you're trying to cut trying to cut benefits. 522 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:49,640 Speaker 1: You can never and this is the truth. 523 00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 3: Psychologically, you can never give somebody something and then try 524 00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 3: to take it back without them willing to basically be 525 00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,960 Speaker 3: going go to war on you. I mean this is Look, 526 00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 3: this is the story of social security. The reality is 527 00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:07,520 Speaker 3: social Security relies on there always being way more young 528 00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 3: people than there are old people because it's basically one 529 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:15,200 Speaker 3: big pyramid scheme. And guess what's gonna happen. We're soon 530 00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:18,080 Speaker 3: going to start having a lot more old people than 531 00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 3: we are young people. So where does the money for 532 00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:23,480 Speaker 3: Social Security come from? And when you tell people that, 533 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 3: they say, well, no, no, no, no, no, this is like this 534 00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 3: is my money. I've been giving you social Security money 535 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 3: for everyone. Okay, but at some point in time, if 536 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:38,320 Speaker 3: the demographics reverse, then you can't take seventy percent at 537 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,120 Speaker 3: least in theory, you can't take seventy percent of what 538 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 3: somebody earns to pay it back out later. And by 539 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 3: the way, the fact that the government just takes huge 540 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:52,080 Speaker 3: amounts of money from us buck. If I die tomorrow, 541 00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 3: and god forbid my wife dies tomorrow, and once my 542 00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 3: kids are eighteen, I get no Social Security benefits, they 543 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 3: cease to exist. So really you're just rolling the dice 544 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 3: on how long are you going to live as to 545 00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 3: whether you ever get any of the money that the 546 00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 3: government takes for you from you on soid security and 547 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,920 Speaker 3: at least you have a possibility of getting that money back. 548 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,320 Speaker 3: All the other money they take and you're never getting 549 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:15,640 Speaker 3: it back. 550 00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:17,240 Speaker 1: It's an awful. 551 00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 3: Against your point, we just get used to the idea 552 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 3: of getting screwed by the government to such an extent 553 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:24,360 Speaker 3: that nobody ever. 554 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: Really takes a step back and says, do we have 555 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: to screw everybody like this by the government. To your point, 556 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 1: property taxes is ridiculous. You buy a home, you work 557 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,920 Speaker 1: your whole life, and you have to give the government 558 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:39,640 Speaker 1: a huge payment to be able to stay in the 559 00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,959 Speaker 1: home that you owe, that you own. I mean, it 560 00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: really is unbelieve. You're renting your home from the government 561 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,200 Speaker 1: and the government can take the government is your landlord. 562 00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,560 Speaker 1: If you don't pay your home fermies, they will take 563 00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:53,920 Speaker 1: your home. That you can never actually just own a 564 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,840 Speaker 1: home that you can live in. You have to always 565 00:30:56,840 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 1: do this thing of continuing to be extras did from 566 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:02,320 Speaker 1: you cannot just exist. 567 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:06,920 Speaker 3: And older people who retire it becomes brutal on them 568 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 3: because It's one thing to pay property taxes when you 569 00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:12,720 Speaker 3: and I are working age. I mean, I don't like it, 570 00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 3: but at least I'm working. But if I'm seventy and 571 00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:18,640 Speaker 3: I've lived in the same house for thirty years, those 572 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 3: numbers guess what, they ain't going down. They're gonna keep 573 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 3: going up. And it becomes more and more for many 574 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:25,520 Speaker 3: of you out there listening to us right now that 575 00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 3: are fortunate to own homes. 576 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 1: You're nodding along, You're saying this is crazy, but yes, 577 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,760 Speaker 1: we've just accepted that this should happen. And again, the 578 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:35,560 Speaker 1: fact that we didn't even have an income tax that 579 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 1: was in existence until the early nineteen hundred. It stuns 580 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:41,360 Speaker 1: a lot of people because they just presume that we've 581 00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 1: always been doing this. Indeed, indeed, Professor Clay, yes, anyway, 582 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 1: I can nerd out on this stuff, and I just 583 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:53,240 Speaker 1: like asking, why are we doing this? 584 00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,560 Speaker 3: Maybe I'm a little bit weird. Sometimes I take a 585 00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:57,600 Speaker 3: step back and I'm like, yes, this exists, but why. 586 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:00,560 Speaker 3: And kids are really great at this. Any of you 587 00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 3: out there, Buck, You're gonna get into this soon. You're 588 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 3: six month old is just going to ask the amount 589 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 3: of questions that kids can ask. They are just question 590 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 3: factories because they're experiencing everything anew and they actually see 591 00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:16,080 Speaker 3: the world through fresh eyes, and they ask lots of questions, 592 00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 3: and a lot of times you'll sit back and you'll say, 593 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:19,840 Speaker 3: you know what, that's a really good question. I never 594 00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:21,600 Speaker 3: thought about it because you're old and you got used 595 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,920 Speaker 3: to it. It's been go, go go in New York. 596 00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:29,120 Speaker 3: I've been NonStop, running everywhere. And if you're running NonStop everywhere, 597 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 3: you might be in favor of some chalk. It's a 598 00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:35,440 Speaker 3: Texas based family business, natural ingredients that helps you put 599 00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:39,680 Speaker 3: more energy in your life. C Hoq is the website, 600 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,720 Speaker 3: Chalk dot com, mail Vitality stacks the most popular product 601 00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,040 Speaker 3: they have. What is that you might be asking, Well, 602 00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:50,080 Speaker 3: it's a way to increase the unfortunately horribly diminished levels 603 00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 3: of testosterone and many different men. It's your body's natural 604 00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 3: source of energy, that is testosterone when your levels are low. 605 00:32:56,960 --> 00:33:01,320 Speaker 3: Every guy experiences this. As you age your testope levels decline. 606 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,720 Speaker 3: You can get just a twenty percent increase, a significant 607 00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:09,040 Speaker 3: twenty percent increase just by having this all natural treatment 608 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:11,640 Speaker 3: twenty percent in three months time. My name Clay is 609 00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,560 Speaker 3: the promo code go online to chalk dot com. That's 610 00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:18,640 Speaker 3: choq dot com. My name Clay. Massive discount on any 611 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 3: subscription for life. You can cancel at any time with 612 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 3: no penalties, no worries. That's chalk dot Com. My name 613 00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:26,280 Speaker 3: c Lay. 614 00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:31,400 Speaker 2: Keep up with the biggest political comeback in world history 615 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:35,360 Speaker 2: on the Team forty seven podcast Playin Book Highlight Trump 616 00:33:35,400 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 2: Free plays from the. 617 00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:38,120 Speaker 1: Week Sundays at noon Eastern. 618 00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 3: Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get 619 00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:42,320 Speaker 3: your podcasts. 620 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,640 Speaker 1: Welcome back in Thanks to all of you been buying Balls. 621 00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 1: It is selling like hotcakes. If you need Balls in 622 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,360 Speaker 1: your life, you can go to Amazon, you can go anywhere. 623 00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,479 Speaker 3: If you bought it, I'd like to hear your review. 624 00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:56,560 Speaker 3: You can let me know what you think. It was 625 00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 3: out yesterday. It is uh I think book that a 626 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 3: lot of you will enjoy, and I appreciate Buck posted 627 00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:04,920 Speaker 3: a photo. It's good to see that he has some balls. 628 00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:07,960 Speaker 3: And if you've got a photo and you like it, 629 00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 3: tag me. Tag There was never any there was never 630 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,840 Speaker 3: any doubt. We all knew that Balls was going to 631 00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:16,120 Speaker 3: be a part of my repertoire. You can tag Clay 632 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:18,120 Speaker 3: and Buck, you can tag me, you can tag Buck, 633 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:21,080 Speaker 3: if you got a funny picture or something of that 634 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:26,239 Speaker 3: nature clean U involving the book, then we would love 635 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:28,080 Speaker 3: to check it out, like to see where you're reading it. 636 00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 1: All those things. 637 00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 3: Okay, let's hit some of these calls. Shane and Buffalo. 638 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,880 Speaker 3: You don't want to hear about New Yorkers leaving? 639 00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:42,280 Speaker 1: Why not? Oh, they're a joke. If a pandemic didn't 640 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:44,480 Speaker 1: get these guys to leave, they'll never leave. They'll never leave. 641 00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:46,240 Speaker 6: They're gonna stay there. They're gonna root for the Jets 642 00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:48,440 Speaker 6: and be miserable for the rest of their lives. 643 00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 1: I bet you a dozen wings they never leave. Can 644 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:53,279 Speaker 1: I just say I love the Buffalo guy, not just 645 00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 1: throwing New York City, but Jets fans under the bus 646 00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 1: all at once. Clay, It's very It's it's a nice 647 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,279 Speaker 1: move for Bills fan. I gotta say, oh, man, you 648 00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:03,919 Speaker 1: want to get people fight. That is a very good 649 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,080 Speaker 1: line from the Bills. By the way, Josh Allen big 650 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,720 Speaker 1: win over the Kansas City Chiefs. Over the weekend, thirty 651 00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:12,800 Speaker 1: million people watched it fifty one million. Major League Baseball 652 00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:16,040 Speaker 1: just said Buck most watched major League Baseball game in 653 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:22,040 Speaker 1: Game seven in US, Canada and Japan in over thirty years. 654 00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:25,040 Speaker 3: This is going to get people fired up. Allison in 655 00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:30,920 Speaker 3: La k eib dd. Allison had this to say. 656 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,760 Speaker 7: Hey, this is Alison from LA. I want to second 657 00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:39,520 Speaker 7: that lady's notion about apologizing for women. I'm conservative, always 658 00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:44,160 Speaker 7: voted Republican twenty four to seven Rush listener, but I 659 00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:46,920 Speaker 7: have to say they never should have given women the 660 00:35:47,040 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 7: right to vote. It's just most of them are just 661 00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:52,080 Speaker 7: too emotional. 662 00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:55,960 Speaker 1: Oh fuck, I figure we could end in the show 663 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 1: with everybody losing their minds. That was what was their 664 00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:00,719 Speaker 1: name in LA. 665 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:05,320 Speaker 3: Imagine what percentage of LA residents agree with Allison? 666 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:08,360 Speaker 1: You think you Alison showing up for the end of 667 00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,960 Speaker 1: the show and just throwing a Molotov cocktail right in 668 00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 1: the middle of things, just to see what happens if 669 00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 1: you think you live behind the enemy lines. 670 00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:17,920 Speaker 3: Alison lives in LA and she just sent us a 671 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,120 Speaker 3: message saying women shouldn't have the right to vote. By 672 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:23,000 Speaker 3: the way she was reacting to Bonnie, I bet a 673 00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:26,080 Speaker 3: grandma from Charleston, South Carolina who called in an hour 674 00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:29,640 Speaker 3: one and wanted to apologize to the nation for women 675 00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 3: leading us all astray. 676 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:33,600 Speaker 1: Let me hit you with this buck as I flagged 677 00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:33,719 Speaker 1: this 678 00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 3: Born seconds Born in New York City fifty percent Cuomo 679 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:42,560 Speaker 3: thirty eight percent, Mom Donnie, less than five years here 680 00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:46,479 Speaker 3: eighty five percent, Mom Donnie, that's your election, buck,