WEBVTT - Matt Levine on Why 'Everything Is Securities Fraud'

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to What Goes Up, a weekly markets podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>My name is Mike Reagan. I'm a senior editor at Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 2>Now Meldonna Hirich across asset reporter with Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>And this week on the show, Well Weil Donna. You

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<v Speaker 1>know what I always say, one of the best perks

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<v Speaker 1>of being a journalist is that you get to meet

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<v Speaker 1>these very smart people and ask these very smart people

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<v Speaker 1>some dumb questions. Yes, one of the being a journalist,

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<v Speaker 1>and what's great about working at Bloomberg is we have

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<v Speaker 1>so many very smart people just sitting a few rows away.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and we can chitchat with them whenever we feel

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<v Speaker 2>like it.

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<v Speaker 1>And ask them dumb questions.

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<v Speaker 2>So many dumb questions, and they give us smart answer

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<v Speaker 2>smart answers.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right. There are no dumb answers, just dumb questions.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>Just for me and you, I think, yeah, yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Well you can have a smart answer to a dumb

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<v Speaker 1>question if I've learned anything from Mad magazine.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, I think, as you're talking about our guests, right,

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<v Speaker 1>I am talking about our Yes, yes.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm so happy to have him he is. Can I

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<v Speaker 2>say he's famous in our circles. Absolutely, yeah, Yeah, he's

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<v Speaker 2>a big deal our guest this week. He is famous

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<v Speaker 2>in our circles. We all talk about him in the

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<v Speaker 2>nicest possible ways.

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<v Speaker 1>The suspense.

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<v Speaker 2>I know, I'm dragging this out, like I want people

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<v Speaker 2>at home listening to be like, who is it? It's

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<v Speaker 2>no other than Matt Levine, our colleague and Bloomberg opinion columnists.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm so happy to have him on the show.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much for joining us, Thanks for having me. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>The New York Times famously wrote about you a couple

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<v Speaker 2>of years ago. They don't typically profile financial newsletter writers.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think so it was a big deal. But

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<v Speaker 2>maybe we can just start with you telling us like

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<v Speaker 2>how did you become a columnist at Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I was a lawyer a long time prior to that.

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<v Speaker 3>I left law for investment banking because it was two

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<v Speaker 3>thousand and seven and if you were a corporate lawyer,

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<v Speaker 3>it felt like the sort of right thing to do

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<v Speaker 3>is to get into finance. And I didn't really know

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<v Speaker 3>much about like the financial industry, like what people did

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<v Speaker 3>all day. Someone offered me a job at Goldman and

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<v Speaker 3>I was like, well that seems like it can't hurt.

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<v Speaker 3>And I did it for like four years, like structuring

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<v Speaker 3>equity derivatives for corporate clients, and I learned a lot

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<v Speaker 3>and like it was fun and interesting, but over time

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<v Speaker 3>you like learn less and become more of a like

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<v Speaker 3>just salesperson, like at senior levels. The job is like

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<v Speaker 3>you get on planes and fly around to clients and

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<v Speaker 3>make small talk and try to convince them to do deals.

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<v Speaker 3>And I was much less good at that, and so

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<v Speaker 3>I was kind of tired of it, and I wanted

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<v Speaker 3>to get out. And I'd always vaguely imagined being a

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<v Speaker 3>writer without ever doing anything about it, and so I

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<v Speaker 3>wanted to leave Goldman at the same time that a

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<v Speaker 3>job was opening up a deal Breaker, which is this

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<v Speaker 3>small like finance and comedy blog that I was reading religiously,

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<v Speaker 3>as was everyone on Wall Street two thousand and eleven

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<v Speaker 3>when I was leaving, and so I applied and they

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<v Speaker 3>hired me, and I sort of took a leap of

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<v Speaker 3>faith and went to do that. And I did that

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<v Speaker 3>for a couple of years, and then eventually Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 2>Noticed me, and thank god they noticed you.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, it does give you such a unique perspective both

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<v Speaker 1>the law background and the sort of derivatives background at Goldman,

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<v Speaker 1>It really puts you in a great position to do

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<v Speaker 1>what you do and analyze basically the news flow. But Matt,

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<v Speaker 1>my first question for you is what is the total

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<v Speaker 1>market value of pepperoni in the United States in any

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<v Speaker 1>given year?

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<v Speaker 3>So I read about this the other day because this

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<v Speaker 3>guy like did this cacamami calculation for his consulting firm,

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<v Speaker 3>which I thought was so wonderful because this is a

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<v Speaker 3>stereotypical question, like there's some like just random thing and

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<v Speaker 3>that you get to a consulting interviewer, like you've asked

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<v Speaker 3>some random question about like how many washing machines there

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<v Speaker 3>are in the United States. Right, They just like to

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<v Speaker 3>try to like judge your thought process.

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<v Speaker 1>It was an intern, right, wasn't an intern?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah? He was an inn.

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<v Speaker 1>Anyway.

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<v Speaker 3>He had like heard somewhere like a Pepperoni CEO saying

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<v Speaker 3>we sell enough pepperoni to blanket the entire US and

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<v Speaker 3>in a thin layer of pepperoni, And so he did

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<v Speaker 3>that math. And if you do that math, you get

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<v Speaker 3>like the market for pepperoni is larger than entire economy

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<v Speaker 3>of the world for the entire history of the world,

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<v Speaker 3>Like more pepperoni is sold in a year than all

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<v Speaker 3>goods and services sold in the world in all of

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<v Speaker 3>human history.

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<v Speaker 2>It's probably true, right, I don't know.

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<v Speaker 3>You can go to the Domino's website and probably get

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<v Speaker 3>most of what you need to know. Yeah, it's like

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<v Speaker 3>two dollars that pepperoni to a pizza and they sell

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<v Speaker 3>like a million pizzas a day, and then you're kind

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<v Speaker 3>of in the ballpack.

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<v Speaker 1>Or Hormel's earnings transcripts. Maybe I don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>I like who sells pepperoni.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't even know, Like figure Hormel I think is

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<v Speaker 1>the main But I like computing the entire square inch

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<v Speaker 1>the United.

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<v Speaker 3>States, Right, that's just like if you think about that

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<v Speaker 3>for a moment, like the United States has not covered

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<v Speaker 3>wall to wall and cows or anything like it, Like

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<v Speaker 3>not even one percent of the land in the US

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<v Speaker 3>is covered by gues and so like you'd really need

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<v Speaker 3>to like squish kas pretty thin to make that much pepperoni.

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<v Speaker 1>Anyway, I don't know. Anyway, I forgot a lot about this.

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<v Speaker 1>For one, I know you did. That's why I forget.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it was two quadrillion dollars. Was the addressable. Yeah, right,

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<v Speaker 1>But I bring it up because that is That's what

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<v Speaker 1>Matt's so good at, is like finding some random financial

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<v Speaker 1>news story and really dissecting it and unpacking.

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<v Speaker 2>It and u and teaching us all how things work

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<v Speaker 2>or how they were done, or how the calculations.

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<v Speaker 1>Happened, how the pepperoni's made.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, but I'm so interested. As Mike said, that's a

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<v Speaker 2>really good example of a recent story that you did

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<v Speaker 2>that was really fun and fun for people to read.

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<v Speaker 2>Your entire column every day is some dissecting some very

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<v Speaker 2>very interesting story or aspect of something that's happening in markets.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm curious about your process, like what do you do?

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<v Speaker 2>Where do you look for these stories? Do people send

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<v Speaker 2>them to you? I've always been so curious about how

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<v Speaker 2>this worked, and I'm obviously trying to rip you off.

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<v Speaker 3>I go to a little website I like to call

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg dot com. No, I mean, like I don't know,

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<v Speaker 3>like probably seventy five percent of what I write about

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<v Speaker 3>is stuff that is kind of recognizably in the financial news.

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<v Speaker 3>Stuff that's like on the front page of Bloomberg or

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<v Speaker 3>the Wall Street Journal or the Ft or Delburg are

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<v Speaker 3>often all of them, and so like there's no like

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<v Speaker 3>particularly interesting process for finding like the big stories people

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<v Speaker 3>sent me stuff, and there's there's stuff that I'm just

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<v Speaker 3>like attuned to. Like I have a genre of stories

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<v Speaker 3>called everything is securities fraud, which is where public companies

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<v Speaker 3>do like random bad things and people sue them for

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<v Speaker 3>securities fraud, like anything from like sexual harassment to like

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<v Speaker 3>animal welfare stuff to pollution to it. Now there's a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of like anti Dei backlash where Republicans have gotten

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<v Speaker 3>into the game of suing companies for securities fraud because

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<v Speaker 3>they like use transgender influencers in advertising and all that

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<v Speaker 3>stuff gets a certain amount of media coverage. But to me,

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<v Speaker 3>it's like indicative of this like really big interesting trend

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<v Speaker 3>in like American securities laws, where like all conduct gets

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<v Speaker 3>reflected through through like the notion of securities fraud because

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<v Speaker 3>it is easy to bring cases and like the damages

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<v Speaker 3>can be really large and so you can like litigate,

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<v Speaker 3>you can fight over all sorts of like political and

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<v Speaker 3>social issues by calling them securities fraud. I think that's

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<v Speaker 3>like really weird and interesting, and so each individual case

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<v Speaker 3>might be kind of dumb, but like the theme is

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<v Speaker 3>big and interesting, so you do get some of that.

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<v Speaker 3>Occasionally people will be like, I'm sure at this company

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<v Speaker 3>you should write about how they're bad, and like sometimes

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<v Speaker 3>that's annoying and ignore it. And sometimes it's like, oh,

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<v Speaker 3>this is a really funny company. I tell people that

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<v Speaker 3>my favorite email to gain or my favorite like IB

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<v Speaker 3>messages to gat is you will enjoy this eight K

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<v Speaker 3>because like that has like one hundred percent hit rate

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<v Speaker 3>because like someone who sends me that message one knows

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<v Speaker 3>what an eight K is. So if someone sends me

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<v Speaker 3>an aking it's a funny AK, it's probably funny EK,

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<v Speaker 3>and I will probably enjoy it. I am a columnist

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<v Speaker 3>and I don't do a lot of like you know,

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<v Speaker 3>breaking of news, and so when someone's like, oh you

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<v Speaker 3>should look into this company they're really scammy, I'm like, yeah, okay,

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<v Speaker 3>but like who I got a call to confirm that, right.

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<v Speaker 3>Whereas like if someone's like, look at this ak, like

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<v Speaker 3>the funny thing is like there in the public domain,

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<v Speaker 3>publicly filed, it's sort of right in my wheelhouse to.

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<v Speaker 2>Write about, Yeah, what's the funniest AK you ever read?

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<v Speaker 3>It's not an eight K, but there's this public company

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<v Speaker 3>that was like this sort of like tiny, shallow of

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<v Speaker 3>public company was run by like one guy and he

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<v Speaker 3>filed like, I don't know, thirty ten cues and ten

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<v Speaker 3>k's like periodic reports all at once, Like he was

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<v Speaker 3>way behind on the on the annual filings for his company,

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<v Speaker 3>and so he filed them all at once. And they

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<v Speaker 3>were just like complaining about how hardy was working, like

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<v Speaker 3>all of this stuff was like mister so and so

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<v Speaker 3>it gets no support and he's doing all these ten

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<v Speaker 3>cues by hand, and they were very like there's a

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<v Speaker 3>range of public companies and most of their filings are

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<v Speaker 3>sort of carefully loyal, lured and sensible, and then at

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<v Speaker 3>the far tael there's a lot of very weird stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>What I find fascinating is, you know, you've always kind

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<v Speaker 1>of focused on some of the absurdities of finance and

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<v Speaker 1>the markets, but I feel like the markets are getting

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<v Speaker 1>more and more absurd and more more and more Matt

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<v Speaker 1>Levine esque as as the years go on. And I'll

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<v Speaker 1>give you an example. You know, you're talking about securities fraud.

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<v Speaker 1>One of my favorite columns of years recently was about

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<v Speaker 1>Ryan Cohen, who is the meme stock He basically he

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<v Speaker 1>was long bed, Bath and beyond, right, and uh to

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<v Speaker 1>some big amount of dollar amount. And they tweeted. Someone

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<v Speaker 1>tweeted something about bad, Bath and Beyond, and he replied

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<v Speaker 1>with a funny quip and he included the moon face emoji,

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<v Speaker 1>which I'm that and to your point, Matt, I think

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<v Speaker 1>in the commn I've never even seen that emoji before.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think it translates to every device.

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<v Speaker 3>Like everyone who was calling it the moon face the emotion,

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<v Speaker 3>and I looked at it, like it's a smiley face.

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<v Speaker 3>Apparently it's a moon.

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<v Speaker 2>I thought it was a smiley face too.

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<v Speaker 3>Actually it's just a smiley face. But like there's like

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<v Speaker 3>if you like hover over it, it says it's a muonomiji. Anyway, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>he treated this moon emigi, which I guess in like

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<v Speaker 3>the code of memestacks means that the stock will go

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<v Speaker 3>to the moon. And then he sold the stock like

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<v Speaker 3>the next day, basically like two days later. Yeah, And

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<v Speaker 3>so they sued him for securities for i'd saying that

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<v Speaker 3>he was telling people to buy even as he was telling.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it's all funny and it's absurd and it's

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<v Speaker 1>fun to talk about because that. But I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>there's a bigger issue. Let me just read a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of lines from your column. You said, back in the

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<v Speaker 1>olden days, I learned that securities fraud meant lying about

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<v Speaker 1>things that would be material to quote a reasonable investor.

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<v Speaker 1>But in the world of memestocks, there are no reasonable investors.

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<v Speaker 1>What matters is not cash flows or business plans, but

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<v Speaker 1>memes and influencers, and so the standards for fraud are

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps different.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I think it's reasonable to say, to a

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<v Speaker 3>large extent, the memestock was a phenomenon of a particular

0:10:56.040 --> 0:10:59.040
<v Speaker 3>macroeconomic and also social environment where like people were stuck

0:10:59.080 --> 0:11:03.120
<v Speaker 3>at home. They were Yeah, Robinhood had sort of recently,

0:11:03.160 --> 0:11:05.120
<v Speaker 3>like relatively reasonally come on the scene and like built

0:11:05.160 --> 0:11:07.760
<v Speaker 3>a good product for gamifying stock trading, and like people

0:11:07.800 --> 0:11:10.120
<v Speaker 3>are getting stimulus checks. There are a lot of factors

0:11:10.120 --> 0:11:13.360
<v Speaker 3>combined to allow like a bunch of retail traders to

0:11:14.200 --> 0:11:18.160
<v Speaker 3>get really into sort of irrational trading. And I don't

0:11:18.200 --> 0:11:20.760
<v Speaker 3>think that's like the main factor that is driving like

0:11:20.800 --> 0:11:24.200
<v Speaker 3>the price of Nvidia or whatever, or like of treasury bills. Yeah,

0:11:24.280 --> 0:11:26.640
<v Speaker 3>like that's the thing, Like, and absolutely I've spent more

0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:28.959
<v Speaker 3>time writing about dumber stuff than I would have five

0:11:29.000 --> 0:11:32.280
<v Speaker 3>years ago, and that dumber stuff is often the meme

0:11:32.360 --> 0:11:33.319
<v Speaker 3>stocks are crypto.

0:11:40.080 --> 0:11:42.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious how you think about that. I mean crypto

0:11:42.280 --> 0:11:46.440
<v Speaker 1>obviously it's a very similar storyline. But a regulator's kind

0:11:46.480 --> 0:11:49.560
<v Speaker 1>of a sleep at the switch on policing this stuff.

0:11:49.679 --> 0:11:52.679
<v Speaker 1>Or should it be up to these PLANEFFS attorneys. Should

0:11:52.720 --> 0:11:55.440
<v Speaker 1>we just allow the markets to have this sort of

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.600
<v Speaker 1>absurd element to them without really doing anything to correct it.

0:12:00.080 --> 0:12:02.080
<v Speaker 3>Think that regulators are not in the business for the

0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:05.840
<v Speaker 3>most part of like correcting mistakes in financial markets, right, Like,

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:08.839
<v Speaker 3>if you think that people are buying stocks for irrational reasons, like,

0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:10.440
<v Speaker 3>there's not so much you can do about it, right,

0:12:10.600 --> 0:12:13.760
<v Speaker 3>And it's hard because like the regulatory paradigm has always

0:12:13.760 --> 0:12:19.800
<v Speaker 3>been in the US about disclosure, and so when you

0:12:19.840 --> 0:12:22.560
<v Speaker 3>know they're in sort of the early days of memestocks,

0:12:23.559 --> 0:12:26.760
<v Speaker 3>some memestocks, I think it was kind of this is

0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:29.559
<v Speaker 3>more or less true of Game Stop. We're nervous about

0:12:29.840 --> 0:12:32.240
<v Speaker 3>their sock had gone up ten ten x and they

0:12:32.240 --> 0:12:34.320
<v Speaker 3>needed money, and they were a little nervous about raising

0:12:34.360 --> 0:12:36.520
<v Speaker 3>money because they're like, our stock is at really weird

0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:38.679
<v Speaker 3>prices and it's gonna it just feels like fraud to

0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 3>raise money, and then other memestocks were like, great, people

0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:43.080
<v Speaker 3>want to buy a stock, We're going to sell it

0:12:43.120 --> 0:12:45.760
<v Speaker 3>to them, right, And that was like AMC was big

0:12:45.800 --> 0:12:48.400
<v Speaker 3>on that. But also like Hurts were bankrupt and their

0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:50.439
<v Speaker 3>stock got mamed up, and they're like, Okay, we're selling stock.

0:12:50.800 --> 0:12:53.760
<v Speaker 3>I think they shut that down. Didn't shut that down? Yeah,

0:12:54.000 --> 0:12:56.160
<v Speaker 3>but it turns out you would have done well buying

0:12:56.160 --> 0:12:59.080
<v Speaker 3>the stock. But anyways, in response to the SEC basically

0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 3>said you need to put out more disclosure, like if

0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:04.120
<v Speaker 3>you're if you are selling stock because you're a memestock,

0:13:04.640 --> 0:13:06.680
<v Speaker 3>and they phrase it differently, you know what they mean.

0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:09.040
<v Speaker 3>Then you have to put out in your perspectives like

0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:12.440
<v Speaker 3>we don't know why our stock is trading this high.

0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:15.959
<v Speaker 3>It's probably for no good reason. You probably shouldn't buy it, right,

0:13:16.240 --> 0:13:18.200
<v Speaker 3>And so like companies would do that, they like put

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:20.800
<v Speaker 3>out a perspective saying, our stock is trading at random

0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:23.840
<v Speaker 3>prices for no reason. We don't understand it either, but

0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 3>like nobody reads that. Like the whole disclosure regime just

0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:30.480
<v Speaker 3>sort of falls apart in the face of like the

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:33.560
<v Speaker 3>memestock phenomenon because you can say whatever you want in

0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:36.160
<v Speaker 3>this perspective, but nobody is reading it or deterred by it,

0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 3>and like that's the bullet that the SEC has and

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:40.679
<v Speaker 3>after that, like, Okay, you want to buy it, you

0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:41.040
<v Speaker 3>buy it.

0:13:41.280 --> 0:13:42.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:46.200
<v Speaker 3>I think it's really hard, and I think they feel

0:13:46.320 --> 0:13:49.560
<v Speaker 3>obligated to say stuff and do stuff and commission reports

0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:52.120
<v Speaker 3>and like testify it in front of Congress and like

0:13:52.800 --> 0:13:54.720
<v Speaker 3>creat the impression they're doing stuff. To the extent you

0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 3>diagnose the memestock phenomenon as like a bunch of people

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:01.079
<v Speaker 3>online decided to be fine to buy stocks at really

0:14:01.160 --> 0:14:04.480
<v Speaker 3>high prices. It's just not something the SEC has any

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:07.200
<v Speaker 3>any like authority to stop, right, And so they go

0:14:07.280 --> 0:14:10.600
<v Speaker 3>to after they talk about things that are ancillary to that.

0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:12.280
<v Speaker 3>There's a lot of talk about payment for order flow

0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:17.120
<v Speaker 3>and market structure and somehow you think if you change

0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:20.000
<v Speaker 3>how the stock market orders get routed, that will somehow

0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:21.760
<v Speaker 3>solve the memes. But it's had nothing to do with it, right,

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 3>It's just some people get mad about online or they

0:14:24.360 --> 0:14:28.960
<v Speaker 3>like the SEC has looked into short selling rules because

0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:32.640
<v Speaker 3>some of the early name stock phenomenon was about trying

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 3>to squeeze short sellers. But regulating short selling more harshly

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:38.120
<v Speaker 3>is a strange response to that, because like the short

0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:40.760
<v Speaker 3>sellers weren't really the they were the victims there as

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:42.880
<v Speaker 3>it were. They looked into a little bit like is

0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 3>there some sort of collusive market manipulation here? And I

0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 3>just think the answer is clearly no. Right, it's people

0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:51.040
<v Speaker 3>online saying I like the stock, so there's not a

0:14:51.040 --> 0:14:54.520
<v Speaker 3>lot they can do. And I think they're keenly aware

0:14:54.520 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 3>that it's embarrassing. Right if you want your capital markets

0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 3>to look sophisticated and professional and driven by fundamentals, and

0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 3>then when they're just meming around, you feel embarrassed about

0:15:04.800 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 3>it is it's not a it's not something they can fix.

0:15:07.400 --> 0:15:10.680
<v Speaker 1>But you know, I mean, there is this cohort of

0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:15.200
<v Speaker 1>people posting on Reddit these wild conspiracy theories to help

0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 1>pump up the stock. But even with that, I'm not

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 1>sure there's a lot they can do about that.

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:22.800
<v Speaker 3>And they regularly go after like true pumping numbers. Yeah,

0:15:22.840 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 3>people who are who are pumping stocks while they're selling them,

0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:29.400
<v Speaker 3>men who are lying about the fundamentals of the business.

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:32.440
<v Speaker 3>But I think in a lot of the memestock stuff

0:15:32.600 --> 0:15:35.240
<v Speaker 3>in some combination of people who seem to be genuinely

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:38.720
<v Speaker 3>and often like pretty well informed believers in the business,

0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:42.320
<v Speaker 3>plus like just the random enthusiasts and like they're not lying.

0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:44.160
<v Speaker 3>They're just like to the moon. It's not a lie,

0:15:44.200 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 3>there's nothing, there's nothing deceptive about that, And so it's

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 3>just hard, hard to police that.

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 2>When I went to see the Barbie movie, they played

0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:53.880
<v Speaker 2>the preview for the Game Stop movie. Did you know

0:15:53.960 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 2>it's coming out?

0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:55.840
<v Speaker 1>I knew there was one.

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:58.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't even want to see it. What I love

0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:02.040
<v Speaker 2>when I read your column, and I read them every day.

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:06.160
<v Speaker 2>I'm your number one reader. I think we Mike probably

0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:09.560
<v Speaker 2>can't say the same about himself. I read all of

0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:11.960
<v Speaker 2>them every day. I read you read all the way

0:16:11.960 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 2>through thenoe bottom, oh yeah, just in case, because sometimes

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:19.560
<v Speaker 2>he saves like the funniest stuff for the last.

0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:22.920
<v Speaker 3>Often people would tell me they.

0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 2>Read it and reverse, Oh, that's not a bad idea.

0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 2>I might start doing so I can get a good

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:28.240
<v Speaker 2>laughing At first.

0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>I usually go in and make sure he's not making

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 1>fun of me for something.

0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:37.400
<v Speaker 2>Oh searched, Yeah, when if my yeah, you sometimes mentioned

0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 2>my articles and my heart stops. I'm like, oh no,

0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:44.520
<v Speaker 2>did I do this calculation correctly? But anyway, what I

0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:47.000
<v Speaker 2>love is that you do have these recurring themes. So one,

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:50.600
<v Speaker 2>like we were just talking about his memes talks everything

0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 2>is security is fraud. Another one is proximity to Elon Musk.

0:16:55.480 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 3>I don't talk about that one so much because like

0:16:58.640 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 3>that magic has gone away a little bit. Like for

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 3>a while I was saying that the most important factor

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:07.879
<v Speaker 3>in financial markets was not cash flows, but proximity to

0:17:07.920 --> 0:17:09.800
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk. And what that meant is like when he

0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:13.840
<v Speaker 3>would like tweet about a word a company who's stock,

0:17:14.119 --> 0:17:16.120
<v Speaker 3>the company whose name was nearer to that word would

0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:19.719
<v Speaker 3>stock would go up, like fans of Elon Musk would

0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:22.840
<v Speaker 3>buy stuff he tweeted about. And so he really did

0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:25.359
<v Speaker 3>have the ability to manipulate the prices of things like

0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 3>doage coin and to some extent Bitcoin and to a

0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:33.760
<v Speaker 3>larger extent the price of Tesla stock and a lot

0:17:33.800 --> 0:17:38.000
<v Speaker 3>of other stuff. And I thought that was fascinating in

0:17:38.040 --> 0:17:40.399
<v Speaker 3>part just because like I would like to have that power,

0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:42.919
<v Speaker 3>I would use it to make money. Doesn't it's not

0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:44.400
<v Speaker 3>clear that he ever did use it to make money.

0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:45.320
<v Speaker 3>He just sort of wanted to.

0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:46.840
<v Speaker 2>That would be securities fraud.

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:49.440
<v Speaker 3>That would probably be securities for it that it depends,

0:17:49.800 --> 0:17:52.560
<v Speaker 3>but Yeah, that has dissipated a little bit. I think

0:17:52.560 --> 0:17:54.679
<v Speaker 3>partly because that's just a memes stock phenomenon, right, and

0:17:54.720 --> 0:17:57.560
<v Speaker 3>people who are less bored and don't have stimulus strikes

0:17:57.560 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 3>are just less interested in throwing money at whatever Elon

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:03.080
<v Speaker 3>Musk mentions, And then partly because a lot of those

0:18:03.240 --> 0:18:06.640
<v Speaker 3>trades have not gone particularly well. He pumped doge coron

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:09.960
<v Speaker 3>and didn't do that great for people, and he did

0:18:10.000 --> 0:18:15.240
<v Speaker 3>this ridiculous Twitter acquisition that I think went terribly for him,

0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:18.679
<v Speaker 3>and so he might be less inclined to just invest

0:18:18.760 --> 0:18:21.879
<v Speaker 3>with everything he's tweeting about. But I think most of like,

0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 3>I don't think people were buying dogecoin because they thought

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:26.240
<v Speaker 3>he had a genius investing idea in doge grain. I

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:27.600
<v Speaker 3>think they were buying it because he was like a

0:18:27.600 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 3>meme king and they liked participating in the meme. And

0:18:30.400 --> 0:18:33.320
<v Speaker 3>I think that whole phenomenon has just lessened.

0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 2>But what does keep happening is every time you go

0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:38.879
<v Speaker 2>on vacation, he does have like the biggest news of

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:41.440
<v Speaker 2>the year, and then you are full time.

0:18:42.280 --> 0:18:46.639
<v Speaker 3>I was out last week and he did only a

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:50.000
<v Speaker 3>few crazy things, including he did tweet that he was

0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:52.320
<v Speaker 3>going to drive from Mark Zuckerberg's house and beat him up,

0:18:52.359 --> 0:18:55.320
<v Speaker 3>which is pretty crazy, but not like core financial news

0:18:55.320 --> 0:18:57.920
<v Speaker 3>that I felt obligated to cover in previous vacations. He's

0:18:57.920 --> 0:19:00.800
<v Speaker 3>done things like by Twitter, and so like those I

0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:02.800
<v Speaker 3>have to write about even from vacation.

0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:06.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well, Mett, one of your perennial themes that I've

0:19:06.480 --> 0:19:10.680
<v Speaker 1>always enjoyed. It used to be anyway, people are worried

0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:14.280
<v Speaker 1>about bond market liquidity. I don't know how many stories

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:17.720
<v Speaker 1>we've all seen about people worried about bond market liquidity,

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:20.760
<v Speaker 1>and then sure enough, last year we have the worst

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:24.320
<v Speaker 1>bond market of any of our lifetimes, bear market in

0:19:24.359 --> 0:19:27.520
<v Speaker 1>all manner of bonds. I don't think I heard liquidity

0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:31.359
<v Speaker 1>blamed ones for any of it. Are those worries over?

0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 3>I hope that I embarrassed people out of writing something,

0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:37.000
<v Speaker 3>But also I do think that like the theories, and

0:19:37.400 --> 0:19:39.480
<v Speaker 3>there's like two veins of bond market people are worried

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 3>about bomb market liquidity. One is just like worried about

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:44.120
<v Speaker 3>bomb market liquidity. It's just there's a story of like

0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:47.439
<v Speaker 3>pre two thousand and eight, banks had a lot of

0:19:47.440 --> 0:19:50.400
<v Speaker 3>balance sheet to commit to market making and bonds, and

0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:55.360
<v Speaker 3>they did that by like absorbing losses and making tight

0:19:55.440 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 3>markets and generally making it so that if you wanted

0:19:57.600 --> 0:20:00.399
<v Speaker 3>to move a lot of bonds even into following you

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:03.359
<v Speaker 3>could do so efficiently. And post two thousand and eight,

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:07.159
<v Speaker 3>with higher capital requirements and more regulation of prop trading

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:11.000
<v Speaker 3>and just less risk mapnite from banks, there's no shock

0:20:11.000 --> 0:20:12.840
<v Speaker 3>observers anymore. And now if you want to sell a

0:20:12.880 --> 0:20:15.720
<v Speaker 3>lot of bonds, you'll drive down the price by twenty

0:20:15.720 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 3>percent and it'll be a bloodbath. And like, I think,

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:20.119
<v Speaker 3>like there's truth to that at some margin, right, But

0:20:20.240 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 3>like it used to be fairly cheap to trade bonds,

0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:26.480
<v Speaker 3>like investors were subsidized by essentially banks underpricing liquidity risk,

0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:28.120
<v Speaker 3>and like that led to two thousand and eight, right,

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 3>And now it's like a little bit more expensive to

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:33.680
<v Speaker 3>trade bonds because banks don't under underprice liquidity provision as much.

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:35.600
<v Speaker 1>And you know, it's.

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:38.280
<v Speaker 3>Fine, Like it's not like the worry was not it

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:40.600
<v Speaker 3>would be like ten bases points more expensive to trade bonds.

0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:42.800
<v Speaker 3>The worry was that like bond markets would seize up

0:20:43.080 --> 0:20:45.200
<v Speaker 3>if like rates went up or if their credit problems,

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:46.399
<v Speaker 3>and like no one would be able to sell and

0:20:46.440 --> 0:20:48.159
<v Speaker 3>it would be a blood bath, and it just never happened, right,

0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 3>Like grades went up, and it's that worry never really

0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:54.359
<v Speaker 3>came true. The other worry was that like bond ETFs

0:20:54.359 --> 0:20:57.399
<v Speaker 3>for some reason, was ETFs not mutual funds. The ETFs

0:20:57.840 --> 0:21:01.679
<v Speaker 3>created a liquidity illusion where people could day trade, you know,

0:21:01.960 --> 0:21:04.840
<v Speaker 3>in and out of the ETF, but like the underlying

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 3>bonds were less liquid and in a scenario where everyone

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:12.280
<v Speaker 3>wanted out of the ETF, the liquidity would dry up

0:21:12.320 --> 0:21:15.399
<v Speaker 3>and it would be a disaster. And I think, like

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:18.119
<v Speaker 3>in some of the dislocations around COVID, there was like

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:20.280
<v Speaker 3>a little truth to that, Like there was a little

0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 3>bit of like dislocations between ETF prices and bond prices,

0:21:23.880 --> 0:21:27.080
<v Speaker 3>but not in a way that caused the big crisis.

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:28.960
<v Speaker 3>And I think the sort of latest research is that

0:21:29.000 --> 0:21:33.600
<v Speaker 3>ETFs actually contribute to the liquidity of the underlying bonds.

0:21:34.240 --> 0:21:38.640
<v Speaker 2>I love ETFs, so I'm happy to hear that, yeah

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:41.159
<v Speaker 2>you hate bonds. When you said bond market liquidity, I

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:45.920
<v Speaker 2>tuned out. I can't believe how long we've gone without

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 2>really doing a deeper dive into crypto, which I feel

0:21:49.880 --> 0:21:53.840
<v Speaker 2>like is a very much recurring topic for you on

0:21:53.880 --> 0:21:56.920
<v Speaker 2>a weekly basis, because there's so much news in crypto

0:21:57.480 --> 0:22:03.240
<v Speaker 2>worth examining further, I guess writing about how do you choose,

0:22:03.359 --> 0:22:06.679
<v Speaker 2>even given everything that's going on in crypto, how do

0:22:06.720 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 2>you choose what to focus on, the answer.

0:22:09.280 --> 0:22:12.240
<v Speaker 3>To how do I choose is really simple. I'm not

0:22:12.280 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 3>that interested in crypto except that it is an amazing,

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:18.919
<v Speaker 3>amazing laboratory for understanding real finance, because it's just like

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 3>people rebuild like these schematic versions of stuff that exists

0:22:23.920 --> 0:22:26.320
<v Speaker 3>in the world. Like they're like, what if we had

0:22:26.359 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 3>margin lending, Let's build it in a really dumb way,

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:30.720
<v Speaker 3>and then you just see how it breaks, and it's

0:22:30.760 --> 0:22:32.760
<v Speaker 3>so fun, and they do that so much, and so

0:22:32.880 --> 0:22:35.760
<v Speaker 3>like I'm interested in crypto stories that are like that,

0:22:35.920 --> 0:22:39.600
<v Speaker 3>like illuminate, like good or bad financial market intuitions, and

0:22:39.600 --> 0:22:42.119
<v Speaker 3>there's so many of those. I mean, frankly, like what

0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:44.199
<v Speaker 3>I often write about in crypto is the sort of

0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:47.399
<v Speaker 3>big headline legal battles over whether it's legal in the US,

0:22:47.680 --> 0:22:50.040
<v Speaker 3>which I don't think is that interesting, which I think

0:22:50.080 --> 0:22:53.480
<v Speaker 3>is important, and which like I have kind of stayed

0:22:53.480 --> 0:22:55.600
<v Speaker 3>at a position there where like everyone in crypto thinks

0:22:55.640 --> 0:22:58.960
<v Speaker 3>that the SEC is like wildly overreaching in saying that

0:22:59.000 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 3>crypto most tokens or securities, and I think the SEC

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 3>is clearly right, and I think most crypto is not entirely,

0:23:07.680 --> 0:23:10.399
<v Speaker 3>but in the meaningful part a way to try to

0:23:10.440 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 3>get around the securities laws that have existed in the

0:23:13.680 --> 0:23:16.760
<v Speaker 3>US for one hundred years that are designed to prevent

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:19.080
<v Speaker 3>people from going out and raising a lot of money

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 3>from the public by selling shares of their business project

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:27.159
<v Speaker 3>without certain disclosures. And I think most crypto tokens are

0:23:27.200 --> 0:23:30.719
<v Speaker 3>clearly people raising money for their business projects without those disclosures,

0:23:30.800 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 3>and the SEC thinks that, and most people in crypto

0:23:33.080 --> 0:23:36.680
<v Speaker 3>I think that's crazy. So I find myself getting involved

0:23:36.680 --> 0:23:38.080
<v Speaker 3>in those debates and running about that a lot. But

0:23:38.119 --> 0:23:56.920
<v Speaker 3>I don't think it's that interesting, right.

0:23:54.680 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>Given all the enforcement actions we've seen, coinbase Finance, the

0:23:58.760 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 1>Ripple lawsuit, are you any more comfortable with saying what

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:06.720
<v Speaker 1>the SEC considers as a security and what isn't right now?

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Do you think that clarity is there yet or is

0:24:08.480 --> 0:24:09.159
<v Speaker 1>it still.

0:24:09.040 --> 0:24:11.320
<v Speaker 3>There's been there for years? They think they think every

0:24:11.359 --> 0:24:15.959
<v Speaker 3>cryptotoken is a security except Bitcoin, and like they're not

0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:18.000
<v Speaker 3>gonna say e theory it is, although they think it is,

0:24:18.240 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 3>and this is totally clear. Like there's no lack of

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:22.520
<v Speaker 3>clarity there. It's like just people are mad about it.

0:24:22.560 --> 0:24:24.840
<v Speaker 3>And by the way, like the SEC could well be wrong.

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 3>I think they're kind of right, but like they've had

0:24:27.520 --> 0:24:30.160
<v Speaker 3>a mixed record in court and they had one big

0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:33.359
<v Speaker 3>loss in some other cases where like they've won, but

0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:35.840
<v Speaker 3>it's like a little the language is bad for them.

0:24:35.960 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 3>But no, I think like the SEC's position is really

0:24:38.280 --> 0:24:41.400
<v Speaker 3>really really clear. They've been a little slow and enforcing

0:24:41.640 --> 0:24:44.479
<v Speaker 3>that position, but that's changing. But like the action right

0:24:44.520 --> 0:24:47.159
<v Speaker 3>now is whether courts will agree with the SEC and

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:49.120
<v Speaker 3>also whether Congress will will.

0:24:49.000 --> 0:24:51.760
<v Speaker 2>Ruin them in the loss you're talking about is is

0:24:51.760 --> 0:24:52.480
<v Speaker 2>the Ripple case?

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:54.080
<v Speaker 3>Right, sorry, the loss of the Rippel case.

0:24:54.119 --> 0:24:57.119
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so that's excerpt. So is XRPA security. That's a

0:24:57.200 --> 0:24:58.240
<v Speaker 2>Ripple token excerpt.

0:24:58.440 --> 0:25:00.720
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I don't know O is going to be appeal.

0:25:00.800 --> 0:25:04.919
<v Speaker 3>I mean the finding in court was incoherent, but I

0:25:04.960 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 3>mean it's kind of that XRP is not a security,

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:08.600
<v Speaker 3>and it's kind of that it's sometimes a security when

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 3>it's sold to institutional investors, but not when it's sold

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:14.399
<v Speaker 3>to retail investors, which is not really the way the security.

0:25:14.880 --> 0:25:17.919
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's that doesn't seem like that that will stand.

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:20.400
<v Speaker 1>I feel like that is too weird of a judgment.

0:25:20.480 --> 0:25:24.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, Like, do you see that getting overturned? Ultimately?

0:25:24.680 --> 0:25:26.080
<v Speaker 1>Where do you where do you see it all going?

0:25:26.119 --> 0:25:28.720
<v Speaker 1>Do you think Congress is going to sort of finally

0:25:28.760 --> 0:25:33.199
<v Speaker 1>get on the ball and and codify what is and

0:25:33.240 --> 0:25:35.320
<v Speaker 1>what isn't? Where is that? Is that wishful thinking that

0:25:35.320 --> 0:25:35.960
<v Speaker 1>that's going to happen?

0:25:36.160 --> 0:25:37.840
<v Speaker 3>Do you think there is a good chance Congress will

0:25:37.840 --> 0:25:39.520
<v Speaker 3>do that? Which I think is very weird because like

0:25:39.560 --> 0:25:43.520
<v Speaker 3>to me two years ago, one year ago, Crypto was

0:25:43.560 --> 0:25:47.560
<v Speaker 3>this like industry, like hot industry that had a huge

0:25:47.600 --> 0:25:52.199
<v Speaker 3>lobbying presence, and people could sort of align themselves with

0:25:52.200 --> 0:25:54.240
<v Speaker 3>it as the wave of the future. And I think

0:25:54.280 --> 0:25:57.280
<v Speaker 3>if you look at it today, much smaller than it was.

0:25:57.840 --> 0:26:00.000
<v Speaker 3>The way the future is AI now not Crypto. Every

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:03.320
<v Speaker 3>VC has pivoted from CRYPTOIII, And a lot of the

0:26:03.359 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 3>prominent crypto founders who were posing for panshakes with senators

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:12.080
<v Speaker 3>are at least their project has gone bankrupt when they're

0:26:12.080 --> 0:26:14.560
<v Speaker 3>suing each other, and like sometimes they're in prison, right

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 3>and so like, I don't know if I were a

0:26:17.560 --> 0:26:19.200
<v Speaker 3>Congress like I feel this as just someone who wrote

0:26:19.200 --> 0:26:22.399
<v Speaker 3>about crypto, like I feel burned by crypto. I'm like,

0:26:22.720 --> 0:26:24.159
<v Speaker 3>I'm not going to give these guys the benefit of

0:26:24.200 --> 0:26:25.960
<v Speaker 3>the data anymore. I'm not gonna advocate for them anymore,

0:26:25.960 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 3>because like they're all in prison. I think if I

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:30.720
<v Speaker 3>were a congressman, I would be like, man, I pose

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 3>shaking hands with a lot of people who are now

0:26:32.440 --> 0:26:35.320
<v Speaker 3>in jail, and I don't want to do that again.

0:26:35.600 --> 0:26:38.199
<v Speaker 3>So I'm not going to introduce the bill to like

0:26:38.480 --> 0:26:41.480
<v Speaker 3>make crypto more illegal. But that's not apparently what the

0:26:41.520 --> 0:26:44.639
<v Speaker 3>congressmen think. And there continues to be a lot of

0:26:44.640 --> 0:26:48.080
<v Speaker 3>support for crypto in Congress that I find to me,

0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:52.000
<v Speaker 3>it just seems like a strange political calculation, and maybe

0:26:52.000 --> 0:26:54.280
<v Speaker 3>some of it is like their remains lobbying money in crypto.

0:26:54.840 --> 0:26:57.040
<v Speaker 3>Six months ago, I would have been incredibly pessimistic about

0:26:57.080 --> 0:26:59.520
<v Speaker 3>Congress doing anything to regular crypto, just because like it

0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:02.760
<v Speaker 3>seemed after the Class of FTX, it just seemed so dead.

0:27:03.080 --> 0:27:07.800
<v Speaker 3>And now I have more optimistic that Congress will will

0:27:08.080 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 3>do stuff. There's also like away from the crypto industry,

0:27:10.520 --> 0:27:15.320
<v Speaker 3>there's just like the political dynamics of like Gary Gensler

0:27:15.359 --> 0:27:18.480
<v Speaker 3>at the SEC is a very aggressive regulator. There's a

0:27:18.520 --> 0:27:23.639
<v Speaker 3>strong deregulatory movement in the Republican Party in Congress and

0:27:23.640 --> 0:27:27.000
<v Speaker 3>also in the courts, and so away from the substance

0:27:27.040 --> 0:27:29.400
<v Speaker 3>of crypto, like there might be just a move to

0:27:29.480 --> 0:27:33.240
<v Speaker 3>limit the SEC's power and like limit just the effect

0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:35.439
<v Speaker 3>of regulation, and the crypto might be a sort of

0:27:35.480 --> 0:27:37.359
<v Speaker 3>like accidental beneficiary of that.

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:40.840
<v Speaker 1>Matt Levine of Bloomberg Opinion, such a treat to catch

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:43.440
<v Speaker 1>up with you. Just for the record, I did find

0:27:43.440 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 1>a research report from twenty twenty one the global pepperoni

0:27:47.160 --> 0:27:50.439
<v Speaker 1>market two billion dollars a year. That sounds low to me.

0:27:50.960 --> 0:27:52.360
<v Speaker 2>That's way too lowly, too low.

0:27:52.400 --> 0:27:55.600
<v Speaker 1>I think it's too quadrillion. It was the right answer. Well,

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:57.439
<v Speaker 1>now we can't let you go just yet though, with

0:27:57.640 --> 0:28:00.520
<v Speaker 1>abbutrition on this podcast where we all share the craziest

0:28:00.560 --> 0:28:03.159
<v Speaker 1>things we've seen in markets. I'll confess your column is

0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:05.800
<v Speaker 1>often a very good source of the craziest things.

0:28:05.560 --> 0:28:07.040
<v Speaker 2>Which is why the bar is high for you.

0:28:07.880 --> 0:28:10.600
<v Speaker 1>The bar is high. But when do you get us started?

0:28:10.800 --> 0:28:12.760
<v Speaker 2>Okay? I have a story from the Wall Street Journal.

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:19.240
<v Speaker 2>It says job hunters are invading dating apps, so people

0:28:19.280 --> 0:28:22.960
<v Speaker 2>looking for jobs they'll use dating apps, they'll connect with

0:28:23.359 --> 0:28:26.840
<v Speaker 2>people at companies they want to work for work at,

0:28:27.840 --> 0:28:31.879
<v Speaker 2>and when they get romantic messages, they'll feel ikey about it.

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:33.280
<v Speaker 1>They'll send their resume back.

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:37.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah exactly, no, but they'll feel ikey about the romantic messages.

0:28:37.080 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 2>But they're really looking to network and hopefully get a job.

0:28:41.280 --> 0:28:43.360
<v Speaker 2>Placement is so interesting?

0:28:43.480 --> 0:28:44.880
<v Speaker 1>Is it working for any of them?

0:28:45.200 --> 0:28:47.680
<v Speaker 2>There's a couple of examples in the story, and it

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:50.480
<v Speaker 2>says like this one moment, she didn't end up at

0:28:51.080 --> 0:28:54.360
<v Speaker 2>the company where she was like chatting this guy up.

0:28:54.600 --> 0:28:57.520
<v Speaker 2>I guess yeah, but it helped with the networking and

0:28:57.680 --> 0:28:59.240
<v Speaker 2>ultimately shehanded up with her job.

0:28:59.640 --> 0:29:01.360
<v Speaker 1>Huh, how do you know? They're not all the guy

0:29:01.480 --> 0:29:05.120
<v Speaker 1>Matt wrote about who was pumping up options for what

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:09.160
<v Speaker 1>was the name of that club, the so House the guy.

0:29:09.360 --> 0:29:10.880
<v Speaker 2>Oh that was a good story.

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, what did what did the guy do? He said

0:29:13.240 --> 0:29:18.400
<v Speaker 1>he created a bunch of fake female profile and then

0:29:19.200 --> 0:29:22.440
<v Speaker 1>he would match with guys and tell them.

0:29:22.480 --> 0:29:24.480
<v Speaker 2>To meet it so yes, so they would have to

0:29:24.520 --> 0:29:25.680
<v Speaker 2>buy the membership.

0:29:25.760 --> 0:29:31.120
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's a brilliant scheme. I don't know securities fraud, Matt.

0:29:31.600 --> 0:29:32.880
<v Speaker 3>I read the common to find out.

0:29:34.480 --> 0:29:34.840
<v Speaker 2>I didn't.

0:29:34.840 --> 0:29:37.120
<v Speaker 3>I don't even know if it was a joke. I

0:29:37.160 --> 0:29:39.960
<v Speaker 3>think like he clearly wasn't doing it. But yeah, yeah,

0:29:40.400 --> 0:29:41.560
<v Speaker 3>did he meme up the stock?

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:44.800
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. Yeah, if he didn't do it, I

0:29:45.080 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 1>don't know. It sounds like right, yeah, yeah, all right, Matt,

0:29:50.400 --> 0:29:52.240
<v Speaker 1>how about you see anything crazy this week?

0:29:52.760 --> 0:29:55.600
<v Speaker 3>Not to cheat and time I call him, but I've

0:29:56.920 --> 0:30:01.880
<v Speaker 3>a I'm fascinated by the situation with Sculptor Capital Management.

0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 3>Sculpture is this like publicly traded hedge fund firm and

0:30:05.320 --> 0:30:08.240
<v Speaker 3>it's got a you know, a hedge fund manager who

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:11.280
<v Speaker 3>runs it, and it's trying to go private. It is

0:30:11.320 --> 0:30:13.280
<v Speaker 3>agreed to sell itself to another firm that would keep

0:30:13.320 --> 0:30:16.120
<v Speaker 3>that manager in place, and like a bunch of other

0:30:16.160 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 3>hedge fund guys have just lobbed in a topping bid

0:30:19.160 --> 0:30:21.880
<v Speaker 3>saying no, no, we should buy it, we should kick

0:30:21.880 --> 0:30:23.840
<v Speaker 3>out that guy, and we should take over this fund.

0:30:23.920 --> 0:30:27.640
<v Speaker 3>It's such a it's like you you wonder why it

0:30:27.640 --> 0:30:30.239
<v Speaker 3>doesn't happen more often. An answer is basically because there

0:30:30.240 --> 0:30:32.240
<v Speaker 3>are not a lot of publicly traded hedge fund firms.

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:36.120
<v Speaker 3>But it's such a like aggressive move of these guys

0:30:36.120 --> 0:30:37.959
<v Speaker 3>wanting to buy a hedge fund firm because they think

0:30:38.000 --> 0:30:39.440
<v Speaker 3>they do a better job of running the hedge fund

0:30:39.440 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 3>than the guy who's running the hedge fund. And it's

0:30:40.920 --> 0:30:43.320
<v Speaker 3>also it's weird because it's like it's a bunch of them.

0:30:43.360 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 3>It's like Boas Weinstein and Bill Ackman and Mark Lazary

0:30:45.720 --> 0:30:47.959
<v Speaker 3>who are all big hedge fund managers teaming up together

0:30:48.240 --> 0:30:50.280
<v Speaker 3>to go in on this other hedge fund, and they're

0:30:50.320 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 3>doing it in their personal accounts, like they're not like

0:30:52.480 --> 0:30:54.320
<v Speaker 3>they all run hedge fund firms, but those firms are

0:30:54.320 --> 0:30:57.480
<v Speaker 3>not buying or not trying to buy the sculptor. They're

0:30:57.520 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 3>just they're doing it with their own money, I guess

0:30:59.760 --> 0:31:02.560
<v Speaker 3>because as like their hedgehund managers and their day job,

0:31:02.600 --> 0:31:04.680
<v Speaker 3>but they want to run a want to manage a

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:06.800
<v Speaker 3>different hedge fund as a hobby. I just think it's

0:31:06.800 --> 0:31:09.080
<v Speaker 3>so wild and it's going to be like a contested

0:31:09.200 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 3>mn A situation, and like there's all sorts of accusations

0:31:11.800 --> 0:31:13.720
<v Speaker 3>and just like the under like the just the basic

0:31:14.480 --> 0:31:17.560
<v Speaker 3>gist of these hedge fund guys trying to steal hedge

0:31:17.560 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 3>funds from each other is just is very unusual.

0:31:20.360 --> 0:31:22.840
<v Speaker 1>That is a great story, all right, I'll give you mine.

0:31:22.960 --> 0:31:25.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm always fascinated. I don't know about you guys. I

0:31:25.600 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 1>assume we all take public transportation to work, right, So

0:31:29.080 --> 0:31:30.480
<v Speaker 1>I've never been a big car guy.

0:31:30.680 --> 0:31:31.680
<v Speaker 2>I take a helicopter.

0:31:31.840 --> 0:31:34.360
<v Speaker 1>Oh of course you do. Yeah, I've never been a

0:31:34.360 --> 0:31:38.080
<v Speaker 1>big car guy. And especially people that buy these vintage

0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:42.120
<v Speaker 1>cars for a lot of money. That never quite got that.

0:31:42.920 --> 0:31:45.920
<v Speaker 1>But it's great for crazy things. I'll give you this

0:31:46.120 --> 0:31:51.200
<v Speaker 1>story from the BBC. This wasn't like a car. It

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:54.880
<v Speaker 1>was the burnt out shell of an old Ferrari. It

0:31:55.000 --> 0:31:59.040
<v Speaker 1>was from nineteen the nineteen fifties. It was a five

0:31:59.120 --> 0:32:03.200
<v Speaker 1>hundred Mandu Spider Series one, if that means anything to anyone,

0:32:03.320 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 1>one of thirteen made. It was driven by Ferrari's first

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:12.440
<v Speaker 1>like official race car driver, Franco quotes, who I doesn't

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:14.920
<v Speaker 1>sound like he was that very good at being a

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:18.640
<v Speaker 1>race car driver. Even he finished fourteenth in this thousand

0:32:18.680 --> 0:32:22.040
<v Speaker 1>mile race across Italy. He crashed the car a bunch

0:32:22.080 --> 0:32:26.440
<v Speaker 1>of times. Anyway, someone bought the remnants of this carb

0:32:26.520 --> 0:32:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Why wasn't burned out? I guess because he would crash

0:32:28.840 --> 0:32:31.520
<v Speaker 1>and much fire. But then it was. It was in

0:32:31.720 --> 0:32:36.040
<v Speaker 1>a big warehouse fire at some point and so finally

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:39.480
<v Speaker 1>what was left was basically a big heap of scrap metal.

0:32:39.760 --> 0:32:42.760
<v Speaker 1>All right, but it is the scrap metal of this

0:32:42.880 --> 0:32:47.040
<v Speaker 1>famous old school Ferrari racing car. Someone stuck it in

0:32:47.120 --> 0:32:49.440
<v Speaker 1>a barn in Florida and it just sat there with

0:32:49.520 --> 0:32:52.320
<v Speaker 1>these other busted up Ferraris for years and years, and

0:32:52.360 --> 0:32:55.680
<v Speaker 1>then hurricane comes along in a two thousand and four

0:32:55.760 --> 0:32:58.240
<v Speaker 1>blows the roof off of the barn and they discover

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:01.080
<v Speaker 1>these Ferraris, and then it's been a hot collector's.

0:33:00.640 --> 0:33:03.320
<v Speaker 2>Items, like frosty Ferraris rusty.

0:33:03.360 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 1>This isn't even like it's just basically the shell, like

0:33:06.240 --> 0:33:09.400
<v Speaker 1>the outer body of it, and it's no color. It's

0:33:09.440 --> 0:33:14.080
<v Speaker 1>like a gray and it's burnout. And you know they're

0:33:14.120 --> 0:33:19.040
<v Speaker 1>saying theoretically could refurbish it. I am highly doubtful of that.

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 1>I wish I could show you the picture on the podcast,

0:33:21.520 --> 0:33:26.320
<v Speaker 1>but I cannot. But you know what time it is, Yes,

0:33:26.600 --> 0:33:28.960
<v Speaker 1>it's I'm sorry to inform you, Matt, but you're now

0:33:29.240 --> 0:33:32.400
<v Speaker 1>a contestant on our game show. Here the price is precise.

0:33:32.720 --> 0:33:35.640
<v Speaker 1>What do you think At Sotheby's, the winning bid was,

0:33:36.280 --> 0:33:38.920
<v Speaker 1>We're basically a hunk of scrap metal that used to

0:33:38.920 --> 0:33:41.760
<v Speaker 1>be a Ferrari race car in the nineteen fifties.

0:33:42.680 --> 0:33:45.920
<v Speaker 2>How much does a regular Ferrari cost? Oh, I should

0:33:46.000 --> 0:33:47.120
<v Speaker 2>know because I own so many.

0:33:48.880 --> 0:33:51.120
<v Speaker 1>That is a good question. I don't know, dis guessing

0:33:51.480 --> 0:33:54.320
<v Speaker 1>they're probably half a million. Now, I don't have no idea.

0:33:54.320 --> 0:33:56.160
<v Speaker 2>Why are they? Yeah, so this would be more.

0:33:56.200 --> 0:33:58.960
<v Speaker 3>I think the vintage Ferrari is like a like a

0:33:59.000 --> 0:33:59.920
<v Speaker 3>real classic Ferrari.

0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:04.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, more right, right in the collector's market. Now, No, I'm.

0:34:04.720 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 2>Going with one point two million.

0:34:06.120 --> 0:34:10.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm going with one okay, one point one nine million,

0:34:10.520 --> 0:34:11.160
<v Speaker 1>and you said.

0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:13.240
<v Speaker 2>More one point two I was gonna go, MAT's.

0:34:13.120 --> 0:34:17.000
<v Speaker 1>Watch the prices right before two million dollars two million?

0:34:17.080 --> 0:34:17.399
<v Speaker 2>I win?

0:34:18.040 --> 0:34:18.480
<v Speaker 1>You win?

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:21.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Oh my gosh, I beat Matt Levine.

0:34:22.560 --> 0:34:25.880
<v Speaker 1>Wait, though, I'm questioning your strategy there. One point one

0:34:26.040 --> 0:34:28.759
<v Speaker 1>nine human one dollar.

0:34:29.000 --> 0:34:31.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you're right, and that's not actually prices right.

0:34:32.760 --> 0:34:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Over.

0:34:33.320 --> 0:34:35.680
<v Speaker 3>But I just want to be closest. Yeah, and as

0:34:35.800 --> 0:34:37.640
<v Speaker 3>close to that being because there's only two of us,

0:34:37.800 --> 0:34:39.439
<v Speaker 3>I figured it was less than that.

0:34:39.560 --> 0:34:40.880
<v Speaker 1>True. Well, yeah, you would have won if it was

0:34:40.960 --> 0:34:42.000
<v Speaker 1>less than that's that's fine.

0:34:42.320 --> 0:34:42.959
<v Speaker 2>It was two million.

0:34:42.960 --> 0:34:45.320
<v Speaker 1>I would have a worded him two million. Yeah, for

0:34:45.920 --> 0:34:50.080
<v Speaker 1>scrap a bunch of five hundred mondy Old Spider series one,

0:34:50.120 --> 0:34:52.680
<v Speaker 1>one of thirteen, never made two million.

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:53.640
<v Speaker 2>No comments million.

0:34:55.600 --> 0:34:59.000
<v Speaker 1>Maybe they'll make an n F two out of it. Yeah, anyway,

0:34:59.080 --> 0:35:02.759
<v Speaker 1>Matt Levine, thanks so much for your time. Always just

0:35:03.120 --> 0:35:05.919
<v Speaker 1>a pleasure to hear your thoughts about if we would

0:35:05.920 --> 0:35:09.680
<v Speaker 1>cover all the most absurd topics. I think really appreciate it. Matt,

0:35:09.719 --> 0:35:11.760
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Eric, thank you, thank you man.

0:35:19.640 --> 0:35:22.680
<v Speaker 2>What Goes Up. We'll be back next week. Until then,

0:35:22.719 --> 0:35:25.640
<v Speaker 2>you can find us on the Bloomberg Terminal website and app,

0:35:26.239 --> 0:35:29.279
<v Speaker 2>or wherever you get your podcasts. We'd love it if

0:35:29.280 --> 0:35:31.319
<v Speaker 2>you took the time to rate and review the show

0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:34.239
<v Speaker 2>so more listeners can find us. You can find us

0:35:34.320 --> 0:35:39.000
<v Speaker 2>on Twitter, follow me at Wildona Hirich. Mike Reagan is

0:35:39.040 --> 0:35:43.879
<v Speaker 2>at Reaganonymous. You can also follow Bloomberg Podcasts at podcasts.

0:35:44.680 --> 0:35:47.440
<v Speaker 2>What Goes Up is produced by Stacey Wong and our

0:35:47.440 --> 0:35:50.560
<v Speaker 2>head of podcasts is Stage Bauman. Thanks for listening.

0:35:50.680 --> 0:36:02.880
<v Speaker 4>We'll see you next week.

0:35:54.400 --> 0:35:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Thanks