Speaker 1: The Adventures of Kirby. Let's play ball. Welcome in, everybody
Speaker 1: to Fantasy Pros. This is leading off, brought to you
Speaker 1: by bet MGM, the King of sports books. It is
Speaker 1: b Joey, p Joe Pi's appia with me Today is
Speaker 1: the Welsh and it's a multiverse of madness on a
Speaker 1: Monday here. And that's just not a literation. That's the
Speaker 1: way things are going. Who knows what might happen. Who
Speaker 1: might play us later in the show. Maybe we'll ask
Speaker 1: Welsh who might play him in a different multiverse.
Speaker 2: That would be fun.
Speaker 1: But we're gonna break down all the weekend's action in
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball for you, and as always, we want
Speaker 1: you to subscribe to our YouTube channel YouTube dot com
Speaker 1: slash Fantasy Pros MLB, where we do this show every
Speaker 1: single day neon Eastern for you, for the people, for
Speaker 1: the Peanuts and Crackerjacks. And when you subscribe, you can
Speaker 1: be a peanut and a Crackerjack one or the other,
Speaker 1: who knows, and you can make your comments and talk
Speaker 1: and we'll make you famous on the show The Welsh.
Speaker 1: It's good to see you. I hope you had a
Speaker 1: nice Mother's day. You called your mother and your mother? Right,
Speaker 1: my mother is good. How's your mother is? Everyone? Mother
Speaker 1: is good, and.
Speaker 3: It was good. All the mothers are good.
Speaker 4: Actually, my mother and my wife's mother watched our kids
Speaker 4: while I took the mother of my kids out.
Speaker 3: To Sedona, Arizona.
Speaker 4: I have you saw my tweet also with this beautiful
Speaker 4: airbnb and it apparently had velociraptors there because we were
Speaker 4: sitting and there was this sound coming out of this
Speaker 4: waterfall that was next to where we were staying, and
Speaker 4: we just looked at each other for hours trying to
Speaker 4: find what it was, and it was the creepiest velociraptory
Speaker 4: or the you know, the remember the dinosaur that goes
Speaker 4: and then spits on whatever.
Speaker 3: The guy's you know, the guy was like yeah, yeah, exact.
Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly. It was wild. So that that was my
Speaker 4: mother's day. Dinosaur.
Speaker 2: I saw your tweet.
Speaker 1: I didn't have the sound on my phone because I
Speaker 1: was sitting and watching TV with the kids, but I
Speaker 1: was like, what is he talking about?
Speaker 2: I was like, I can go back to this later.
Speaker 1: So now I'm gonna definitely go back to it again.
Speaker 1: So and follow him at is it the Welsh for airbnb?
Speaker 1: Recommendations and other things as well.
Speaker 3: Apparently here, hold on, hold on, here it is here
Speaker 3: it is.
Speaker 1: Oh oh oh, you can see it on the show.
Speaker 3: Oh my, this is that night.
Speaker 2: Let's that's kind of terrifying.
Speaker 1: And I having spent some time in Arizona, I feel
Speaker 1: like at any point in time there could be some
Speaker 1: bizarre creature or things there and you never.
Speaker 3: Heard anything like it. Never heard anything.
Speaker 1: Sounds like a motor going in the waterfall, That's what
Speaker 1: it sounds like.
Speaker 3: I mean, it wasn't it was.
Speaker 4: It was some type of reptilian prehistoric dinosaur that was
Speaker 4: that was coming out.
Speaker 3: To get us.
Speaker 2: Oh goodness, it was. It was a hard ohsaurus. I'm
Speaker 2: pretty sure that's.
Speaker 3: What a Yes, the elusive heart o asaurus.
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, can only be found in Sodona. All right,
Speaker 1: let's get to some of the headlines from baseball for
Speaker 1: the weekend. The Texas Rangers manager Chris Woodward uh not
Speaker 1: too happy about Yankee Stadium, calling it a little league
Speaker 1: ballpark after Bert Torres hit his walk off home run.
Speaker 1: JA Carlos Stanton also hit to run homer as well
Speaker 1: against the Rangers. Walcarea Cole with ten and no decisions
Speaker 1: of the Yankee game was something everybody was talking about. Welsh,
Speaker 1: It's been a whiffleball field for years.
Speaker 2: I've always called.
Speaker 1: It that, and you know, I don't think it's gonna
Speaker 1: change anytime soon. What are your thoughts on Chris Woodwards
Speaker 1: sounding off. I kind of enjoyed this.
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know.
Speaker 4: I'm kind of over all of this stuff where it's like, uh,
Speaker 4: you see the one the other day where I'm forgetting
Speaker 4: who it was, if his affilies or the Yankees or
Speaker 4: whatever that ended up hitting, Like, yeah, I think it
Speaker 4: was the Yankees that hit like a homer and they
Speaker 4: were like they were up so much. Narcolo Stan didn't
Speaker 4: need to hit a homer. Like this complaining about ballparks
Speaker 4: and guys hitting homers late and any of the offense, Like,
Speaker 4: what does that serve except making you sound like a
Speaker 4: cry baby, Like, okay, whatever are you petitioning to get
Speaker 4: Yankee Stadium pushed back next year? It's cry baby stuff.
Speaker 4: You lost homers get hit. Uh, the big old little
Speaker 4: league ballpark.
Speaker 3: This isn't fair.
Speaker 4: The Texas Adium used to be kind of like that.
Speaker 4: It used to be a little baby ballpark until they
Speaker 4: changed it out and it's nonsense. It's absolute cry baby nonsense.
Speaker 1: I agree, and I gotta tell you it's like, that's
Speaker 1: that's loser mentality. It's like when you care about when
Speaker 1: the when a call goes against you. I mean, I
Speaker 1: coach the nine year old ten year old kids every
Speaker 1: weekend in football, and I was on the same thing.
Speaker 1: I don't care if you get called in a penalty
Speaker 1: or something like that, but don't complain about it. I mean,
Speaker 1: if we lose because of a penalty, they didn't play
Speaker 1: good enough to win. It's the same thing with this.
Speaker 1: It's like it's like, I'm sorry you gave up a
Speaker 1: home run to Labor Torres, who had been struggling for
Speaker 1: two years up until recently. I mean, what do you
Speaker 1: want from me? You're pitching socks. Go talk to the
Speaker 1: pictures about don't complain about the ballpark. Chris Woodward all right.
Speaker 1: Next on the list here, Mike Mayer put this in
Speaker 1: In Boston, an adult gave a young Red Sox fan
Speaker 1: a ball at Fenway Park over the weekend, and Mike
Speaker 1: Mayor wants to know why this isn't viral and why
Speaker 1: we're not all talking about it.
Speaker 4: Why does he full heel. Yeah, one hundred percent agree,
Speaker 4: Like I was gonna be the heel. Remember the first
Speaker 4: week I was here, it was like, hey, I mean
Speaker 4: I still have my heel. I'm more of like the
Speaker 4: anti hero, like you're kind of in that. Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah,
Speaker 4: like the old still stone cold where it's like sometimes
Speaker 4: he could be just a jerk and then sometimes he's good.
Speaker 4: But Mayor is like going full on Vince McMahon here,
Speaker 4: Like this is full on heel with just hating nice
Speaker 4: things to happen to anybody.
Speaker 3: He hates children.
Speaker 2: Too, children getting baseballs from adults. He hates all of it.
Speaker 1: George Kirby, he had some base balls and I don't
Speaker 1: know if he's an adult, maybe just barely. George Kerby
Speaker 1: six scirls hitnings in his debut on Sunday. He was
Speaker 1: a hot waiver wire pick up in a lot of
Speaker 1: leagues when he got the call, you know, Matt Brash
Speaker 1: was sent down. So what were your thoughts on the
Speaker 1: George Kirby performance. What's kind of the projectability for him
Speaker 1: in your opinion?
Speaker 3: Now, I'm actually a.
Speaker 4: Little The only thing I'm a tiny bit surprised about
Speaker 4: is that he beat Mike Max Mass would say Mike
Speaker 4: Max Mayor up to the majors, But the whole Brash
Speaker 4: movement kind of wait. I think we even talked about
Speaker 4: on the show. It was like get Ready with Brash
Speaker 4: moving not only to the miners but into a bullpen roll.
Speaker 4: It leaves open the possibility of George Kirby. George Kirby's
Speaker 4: phenomenal It is interesting to see where his vlo is
Speaker 4: gone because he started the game up.
Speaker 3: I think our Rob Silver had actually tweeted this out where.
Speaker 4: He'd started up right around in ninety six ninety seven
Speaker 4: on average, and then he ticked down innings two through
Speaker 4: four where he'd really upticked his velocity. When COVID ended
Speaker 4: and I was able to go to the backfields out
Speaker 4: here in surprise, the very first like the first person
Speaker 4: I saw after a year and a half of not
Speaker 4: in person looks was George Kirby. And George Kirby hit
Speaker 4: one hundred back here in the backfields, and everyone was
Speaker 4: their mind was blown. He was at ninety nine one hundred,
Speaker 4: and I think that took away a little bit from
Speaker 4: how he could really just pinpoint the zones. And I
Speaker 4: think in that time he's refined high end velocity with
Speaker 4: being able to just move the ball throughout the zone
Speaker 4: and be able to hit his spots.
Speaker 3: And that's what he did. He looked fantastic.
Speaker 4: He was moving that, he was cutting the ball, he
Speaker 4: was putting the ball in, he was getting his secondary stuff.
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm a big George Kirby guy. The only
Speaker 4: thing I'm a little bit cautious about is he really
Speaker 4: hasn't put.
Speaker 3: On a whole bunch of innings.
Speaker 4: The Mariners really kind of babied him ever since he
Speaker 4: got drafted off of Elon, so I'm not sure how
Speaker 4: far he can go into the season. So him coming
Speaker 4: up in May, I just don't know if he's a
Speaker 4: guy that is gonna stay in the rotation full on
Speaker 4: and just get unlimited innings for the rest of the year.
Speaker 4: I kind of feel like they might temper him down
Speaker 4: a little bit. So I would have used waiver. I
Speaker 4: would be picking him up. It was a killer start.
Speaker 4: I think he's going to be one of the better
Speaker 4: pitchers you can get as a rookie. I just don't
Speaker 4: know if he's gonna be reliable the whole year. So
Speaker 4: when people talk about fab like, you know, how much
Speaker 4: should I spend.
Speaker 3: I don't know.
Speaker 4: I'm not sure I would have gone more than twenty
Speaker 4: percent or something like that on a guy that I
Speaker 4: worry will not be able to finish out the year
Speaker 4: based on innings and you know in just a innings
Speaker 4: management from a Mariner's team, No.
Speaker 2: That's fair. In redraft leagues.
Speaker 1: I mean, we all know keeper dies is very different.
Speaker 1: But yeah, in redraft leagues, I agree with you. I mean,
Speaker 1: I think right now you always by the end of June,
Speaker 1: you have to evaluate your pitching staff and say how
Speaker 1: many innings realistically do I have and do I want
Speaker 1: to flip these guys that I have now for maybe
Speaker 1: guys haven't pitched as well, but I think are going
Speaker 1: to pitch in offense, so.
Speaker 3: Much more likely, so much more.
Speaker 4: Likely to move these rookie pitchers very early on to
Speaker 4: try to get and maximize my assets over everything else
Speaker 4: because of everything you just said. If I can go
Speaker 4: and get them for maybe underperforming pitchers, injured guys. Castille's
Speaker 4: about to come back, Jack Flaherty hasn't return in trades
Speaker 4: like those, that's what I would try to do. I mean,
Speaker 4: here's the only thing we don't fully know. This is
Speaker 4: kind of this new world of baseball where all the
Speaker 4: rookies are coming up early and they're being relied on.
Speaker 4: Could this change how teams manage their pitchers? Could management
Speaker 4: finally be a more understood thing possible? Because under that circumstance,
Speaker 4: if you have a guy that if teams were more
Speaker 4: reliant on maybe just pushing one start, you know, and
Speaker 4: then letting the guy finish out the year and not
Speaker 4: sending them down or shutting them down, that makes.
Speaker 3: Them like something I would want more. But we just
Speaker 3: don't know. We don't know.
Speaker 4: How enough teams have moved into managing their young pictures
Speaker 4: and or is there a new thought process with all
Speaker 4: the new collective bargaining agreements and take out manipulation a
Speaker 4: little bit more? Are teams willing to push these guys
Speaker 4: a little bit further with how the last couple of
Speaker 4: years have gone, and that could change it. But regardless
Speaker 4: of the point, I would still be the person that's
Speaker 4: trying to move some of these young pitchers in redraft.
Speaker 1: All right, before we move on to the rest of
Speaker 1: the headlines, I got to bring up this quote here
Speaker 1: from Walkee Penguin. Over in the chat, Mike Mayer would
Speaker 1: catch a foul ball and give it to someone else's
Speaker 1: kid just to teach his own son a lesson about evil.
Speaker 2: I agree that is that is the.
Speaker 1: Winner of the day right there.
Speaker 4: I feel like you would take the ball from a
Speaker 4: kid and then throw it on the field.
Speaker 1: Like, yeah, the kid catch it, or you would catch it,
Speaker 1: walk over to the kid and then just.
Speaker 3: And then go back on the field stare at the
Speaker 3: kid too in the face.
Speaker 2: Yeah, just stare the right Yeah.
Speaker 1: Cody Bellinger had three hits and Sunday Walker Bueller fan
Speaker 1: six over the Cubs, and Pete Alonzo hit two homers
Speaker 1: and a win over the Phillies, while Jake Odorezi combines
Speaker 1: in a one hitter with the Tigers. Oil Boy, that
Speaker 1: little conversation for Jake Odorezi with Justin Erlander certainly turned
Speaker 1: things around for him.
Speaker 2: How shocking is that? Bad news?
Speaker 1: Carlos Korea unlikely to returned Tuesday, But the good news
Speaker 1: was that the X rays were negative, so hopefully we'll
Speaker 1: be back sooner than later. I want to talk about this.
Speaker 1: We're gonna get into a little bit of a FIP
Speaker 1: versus E ra, the X FIP versus era, because I
Speaker 1: always think this is a good time of year to
Speaker 1: start looking at guys who've gotten off to some terrific
Speaker 1: stars with the era looks really good, and then the
Speaker 1: vice versa where you're like, hmm, the x FIP not
Speaker 1: so much. And to me, that's always where you're looking
Speaker 1: at pictures where you have to be a little bit
Speaker 1: concerned about potentially when that all meets back up. So
Speaker 1: we're gonna be yeah, yeah, exactly. The pictures were beating
Speaker 1: their FIP and buy a lot. And I always think
Speaker 1: this is a good thing to take a look at
Speaker 1: because tomorrow we're gonna do the inverse of this. We're
Speaker 1: pictures who are have high a eras, but the X
Speaker 1: ship is pretty good, and you're kind of like, okay,
Speaker 1: well let's take a look.
Speaker 4: The biggest beating them but Russia and Russia yeah drive
Speaker 4: you yeah, exactly, yes.
Speaker 1: In Russia closer. No, never, let's get to some of
Speaker 1: these guys in some of these names here, uh, some
Speaker 1: of them Michael Kopek as a one point one seven
Speaker 1: e RA right now, this is again minimum of twenty
Speaker 1: innings that we're doing here.
Speaker 2: X FIP is at four point thirty.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 1: Then you have a couple other pictures here that I
Speaker 1: thought were really worth talking about.
Speaker 2: Madison Bumgunners.
Speaker 1: The RAS one fifty, the FIP is four a two,
Speaker 1: the x FIP is five oh one. Huge difference there
Speaker 1: for him in terms of the variants. Another big variance
Speaker 1: Tony Gonsol in a picture that again you know, he
Speaker 1: is so razor thin in terms of I think the
Speaker 1: margin for error with a picture like Gonsolin is not
Speaker 1: a dominating kind of guy. He's at one six four
Speaker 1: in the RAH. The FIP is at three three nine,
Speaker 1: the XPIP is at four o six right now, So
Speaker 1: big variants. Any of these guys pop to you? Or
Speaker 1: is there another one too? I mean Julio Urius too
Speaker 1: one eight eight versus A four to three one x
Speaker 1: fIF that's a big variance also, So there's some guys
Speaker 1: out there, Yeah, crushing life in terms of era, but
Speaker 1: there's some underlining issues. Are you worried about any of
Speaker 1: those guys? And why is it Tony Gonsolin?
Speaker 4: I mean Gonsolin like Bumgarner, It speaks for itself. It's
Speaker 4: like a completely uh I mean he's Bumgarner, you know
Speaker 4: what I mean. It's like, what is that three and
Speaker 4: a half run difference between RA and except you know what,
Speaker 4: the one that kind of jumped out to me, I
Speaker 4: think it's interesting is Alec Manoa. And Manoa has been
Speaker 4: phenomenal this year. He's been exceptional, probably from a rank perspective,
Speaker 4: one of those guys that I think a lot would
Speaker 4: put inside the top ten. But I do look and
Speaker 4: I see he's got a one seven to five ERA,
Speaker 4: an x FIP of three six three, which is not
Speaker 4: horrible by any means. It's not bad, Yeah, it's not.
Speaker 4: But I take a look at a couple other things.
Speaker 4: He's got an under nine K per nine, so it's
Speaker 4: not elite. You know, there's nothing to lead there, and
Speaker 4: also a very unsustainable left on base percentage of over
Speaker 4: ninety percent, like that will not stick. So it's one
Speaker 4: of those things where I look at Manoa and I
Speaker 4: he's gonna regress. I mean, and I think it's kind
Speaker 4: of obvious. You can sometimes look at some of these
Speaker 4: numbers and you can go, well, you're going to retract,
Speaker 4: but you know, going compare to like Clayton Kershaw, I
Speaker 4: would think, and I could be I could be speaking
Speaker 4: out of turn here. I think a lot of people
Speaker 4: would value this season Manoa over Kershaw d to age
Speaker 4: due to kind of some of the dominance. Sure, and
Speaker 4: Kershaw's got a small variant between ERA and x FIP.
Speaker 4: He's got a better K per nine, he's walking under
Speaker 4: one per nine. He's got a little bit more realistic
Speaker 4: left on base rate. It's just it's one of those
Speaker 4: things where I don't think you're trying to unload a
Speaker 4: guy like Manoa, but you should know that the regression
Speaker 4: is gonna come. Manoa is going to backtrack a little bit.
Speaker 4: And he also doesn't He's not, at least right now
Speaker 4: exhibiting like some exception like Eric Lauer, Like Eric Laher's
Speaker 4: got like a twelve k per nine right now, or
Speaker 4: Corbyn is eleven peras dominant. Yeah, it's an average K
Speaker 4: per nine that's boosted up by four wins right now
Speaker 4: and an unsustainable left on base rate.
Speaker 3: So like he's gonna come back down to earth a
Speaker 3: little bit. So what does that mean to you?
Speaker 4: Do you just hold on and go for the ride
Speaker 4: because you know, a three and a half VRA with him,
Speaker 4: he's gotta be great this year.
Speaker 3: Or do you sell at the height.
Speaker 4: And you know, try to pick up some pieces, you know,
Speaker 4: maybe maybe no maybe you could get a kershaw plus
Speaker 4: a little bullpen arm or something like that. You never
Speaker 4: know what those trades can be. So I think a
Speaker 4: lot of these are a kind of obvious names, especially
Speaker 4: when you put out like the Bumgarner and the Gonsolin,
Speaker 4: Like those are guys that it's like.
Speaker 1: You can't even surprised me a little bit, to tell
Speaker 1: you the truth.
Speaker 2: Kopek was when it surprised me.
Speaker 1: Gonsolin did not. But Gonsolin's one where I look at it,
Speaker 1: and once again, a guy who pitches to contact a
Speaker 1: lot on a good team I think has more value
Speaker 1: on the trade market than people realize. And I think
Speaker 1: perception wise is greater than reality when it comes to Gonsolin.
Speaker 1: So's that's a pitcher, and specifically that I would say,
Speaker 1: you know, I'd love to move him with another guy
Speaker 1: and get somebody better that I just feel better about tomorrow.
Speaker 1: Like I said, we're gonna be the inverse of these,
Speaker 1: But these are some of the guys to be a
Speaker 1: little aware of in terms of regression. Also, I want
Speaker 1: to talk about this because Buster Posey caught the first pitch,
Speaker 1: which was fun. His kids went out there to throw
Speaker 1: the first pitch, this weekend, and then throwing a first
Speaker 1: pitch after that was Brian Wilson, the old crazy beard
Speaker 1: guy I haven't seen or heard about in a very
Speaker 1: long time, who is super entertaining. The beard is gone,
Speaker 1: He's replaced it with incredibly long hair. One of the
Speaker 1: great characters in baseball who I feel like completely disappeared
Speaker 1: off the grid. Just shut it up, and I'm here
Speaker 1: for it. Wel I thought this was super fun, man.
Speaker 3: You I know, a funny story.
Speaker 4: So I've worked in this building that is right next
Speaker 4: to a major hotel where ballplayers stay, basketball players, a
Speaker 4: lot of baseball players would stay. And one time, you know,
Speaker 4: I'm like walking it's just like this corridor down there
Speaker 4: where there's restaurants and stuff. And I'm walking down and
Speaker 4: this is in the summer, and it is one hundred
Speaker 4: and nine, one hundred and ten something like that out
Speaker 4: here in Arizona.
Speaker 3: It's absurd. It's absurd, And.
Speaker 4: I'm walking down this long like outdoor hallway and it's
Speaker 4: just me and one person walk up. You can guess
Speaker 4: who that person was, and it's Brian Wilson. And as
Speaker 4: he walks up, Brian Wilson in one hundred and let's
Speaker 4: just round it up to one hundred and ten degree weather,
Speaker 4: has full on jeans, he's got a button shirt that
Speaker 4: is open to his chest, and he's wearing a beanie
Speaker 4: with the long beard. And I knew who he was
Speaker 4: as I was walking up. I'm like, I could tell
Speaker 4: this is Brian Wilson. And he never looks at me.
Speaker 4: He looks straight ahead the whole time. And he's just walking,
Speaker 4: mind you, his chest is out of his shirt and
Speaker 4: he's wearing a beanie in one hundred and ten degree weather.
Speaker 4: And I was like, this is the most Brian Wilson moment,
Speaker 4: probably of all time. Doesn't give me the time. It
Speaker 4: doesn't even look and acknowledge that. I think he looks ridiculous.
Speaker 4: He is full on buying into his bit. That's just
Speaker 4: like it's like a wrestling bit, Joe, Like he fully
Speaker 4: bought into his He's had.
Speaker 2: Theme music going on in his head. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I think that Mike Mahyer probably would not approve of
Speaker 1: the children throwing out first pitches either.
Speaker 2: I imagine he would be against it.
Speaker 3: I probably ag yeah, probably wrote a letter, wrote a letter.
Speaker 1: Here's a giants, here's a It was becoming like Chuck
Speaker 1: Norris things you like, Chuck Norris can do this, and
Speaker 1: I was like, how how Helish can Mike Mayor be
Speaker 1: That's like the equivalent now what we're doing. Here's a
Speaker 1: question for one of the Peanuts and the Cracker Jacks
Speaker 1: from Adam Schalm. Uh so high on Pablo Lopez and Bregman.
Speaker 1: For Jose Ramirez, that's a lot to give. I say
Speaker 1: too much. As great as Jose Ramirez is, Bregman and
Speaker 1: Pablo Lopez, those are two really good pieces. I would
Speaker 1: say no to this, even though Pablo Lopez has been great.
Speaker 1: I believe in Pablo Lopez and pitching's hard to find.
Speaker 1: I'm a no for this deal. I get it if
Speaker 1: you want to make it. If it's a keeper league,
Speaker 1: I get it. More your thoughts on.
Speaker 4: This, I'm probably doing this. I mean this is a
Speaker 4: first like if you want to break it down to rounds,
Speaker 4: this is the first round for a six and an
Speaker 4: eighth round. Let's call it valued player. Paul Lopez has
Speaker 4: been phenomenal. He was on this cra list, he had this.
Speaker 3: He has the second way.
Speaker 1: Alex Bregman's on a sixth round player.
Speaker 4: Uh yeah, Alex Brett, Well, like in a twelve man.
Speaker 4: He was going around like the seventh.
Speaker 2: He should have been. That was stupid, but he's not.
Speaker 4: I mean two years breaking it down from there, I mean, okay,
Speaker 4: two years ago, all right, Well, Jose Ramirez this year.
Speaker 3: Is a first round been one of the best players.
Speaker 4: I don't think the gap is close between Bregman and Ramirez,
Speaker 4: but there are situations where I agree with you on this.
Speaker 4: If this is like a sixteen team league or twenty
Speaker 4: team league, this is an impossible These are impossible type
Speaker 4: of trades. But you want to talk about the regression,
Speaker 4: like we talked about, Pablo Lopez is one of those guys.
Speaker 4: He's almost got a two run differential between Cray and
Speaker 4: x set at the top.
Speaker 1: He's number two in the league right now in ERA
Speaker 1: at one. But like a x FIP is two a two,
Speaker 1: it's still sterling.
Speaker 3: I guess it's still great. He's still good. He's been
Speaker 3: striking out guys.
Speaker 4: Bregman has been okay, But in a ten to twelve
Speaker 4: twelve team league, I'm gonna do this for the advantage
Speaker 4: of Jose Ramirez, even though I would love to try
Speaker 4: to push back or get something back on it. Keep
Speaker 4: your league it might even be a little bit more difficult.
Speaker 4: Points league is even a little it's even tougher with
Speaker 4: getting rid of Pablo Lopez.
Speaker 3: But I think I will all right.
Speaker 2: Let's do all right.
Speaker 1: Some of the weekend stat heroes from the pitching side.
Speaker 1: Luis Garcia nine ks, seven innings, Merle Kelly, our boy,
Speaker 1: Merle boy.
Speaker 2: I never thought he would be this good.
Speaker 1: Eight k's, one earned run, boy, I wish I had
Speaker 1: to share him. Eric Lowers, we talked about, continues to dominate.
Speaker 1: Eight k's one earned and six innings. Pablo Lopez eight innings,
Speaker 1: five k's, zero earned runs. Eduardo Rodriguez. I just wrote
Speaker 1: a thing last week about he's a guy that I
Speaker 1: would buy on for numerous reasons, the slow start last year,
Speaker 1: all this nonsense. He'll figure it out. He'll be fine
Speaker 1: as the weather heats up. And look at this eight k's,
Speaker 1: one earned six and two third so by if you
Speaker 1: can on Eduardo Max Reid's seven innings, one earned run,
Speaker 1: eight k's yet, Garrett Cole's good performance, show Manaia and
Speaker 1: Joe Musgrove both at eight k's and both came out
Speaker 1: pretty good. The hitting side, who was hot this weekend
Speaker 1: Mandy Margo was hot OI model and three home runs
Speaker 1: this weekend for Mandy Margo at a stolen base, Colin
Speaker 1: Morana two home runs, a Lonzo ed to Mookie Betts
Speaker 1: at a home run in five ribies, so did Brandon Drury.
Speaker 1: Dylan Carlson four for ten and a homer. Is Dylan
Speaker 1: Carlson showing some signs of life here, Welsh.
Speaker 3: That might be some signs of life.
Speaker 4: Remember at the beginning of the year too, this team
Speaker 4: was willing to drop him and pop him at the
Speaker 4: leadoff spot, which made his value phenomenal. He's now up though, too,
Speaker 4: twenty with one homer and one stolen base.
Speaker 3: Low k rate, which.
Speaker 4: Again I think whenever I see these guys that are struggling,
Speaker 4: but I see really low k rates and walk rates
Speaker 4: that are kind of skewed.
Speaker 1: Well the water rate. To me, the high walk rate
Speaker 1: is always something because whenever you see a guy I
Speaker 1: always used to say this on the Daily Fantasy Show,
Speaker 1: when every guy starts walking who's been struggling, to me,
Speaker 1: that's always like the beginning of the breakout because he's
Speaker 1: starting to get disciplined again, he's starting to wait for
Speaker 1: good pitches to hit. That is always the first indicators
Speaker 1: when you see that walk rate to where you see
Speaker 1: a guy you know he went oh for you know
Speaker 1: two but he had two walks in the day. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's a good sign, so go ahead.
Speaker 4: But that's no, I mean, And the walk rate's it's
Speaker 4: a little skewed, but it's starting to come back up.
Speaker 4: With a insanely low strikeout rate, he had a twenty
Speaker 4: four almost twenty five percent if we round up k
Speaker 4: rate last year, it's only had sixteen and a half
Speaker 4: percent right now with a really low babbot bround two
Speaker 4: point fifty. He was like a three thirty guy last year.
Speaker 4: So I do think these are signs. The only thing though,
Speaker 4: is he really needs to pick it up because you
Speaker 4: got like Wanya Pez who is starting to heat up.
Speaker 4: You've got guys like Lars Noobar who are waiting in
Speaker 4: the wings, and you've also got Nolan Gorman coming up
Speaker 4: positionally to move all around. But I think they're committed,
Speaker 4: and I think I am. I think I'm encouraged by it,
Speaker 4: but I'm not going nuts. And even right there, I
Speaker 4: point out the villain. Mike Mayer even pointed out that
Speaker 4: Carlson swing rates are way up. He's swinging everything, but
Speaker 4: I think that was a lot of early on stuff.
Speaker 4: I think we might be slowing down.
Speaker 3: And I'd point out if you have kind of.
Speaker 4: Swinging at everything crazy swing rates with low k rates,
Speaker 4: that's actually kind of a good thing. And I mean
Speaker 4: not that he's swinging in everything. He's got to adjust,
Speaker 4: but if those aren't coming within sane K rates, like oh,
Speaker 4: I don't know, Jared Kelnick or something like that, I
Speaker 4: think that's encouraging to the future. But Dylan Carlson is
Speaker 4: also I've never been the biggest guy on him.
Speaker 3: People with nuts, Oh, it gonna be a thirty to
Speaker 3: thirty guy.
Speaker 4: I just think the still base and the homer rates
Speaker 4: are over inflated. I don't think he's that exciting. I mean,
Speaker 4: Manny Margo has been exceptionally more valuable than him.
Speaker 1: I think it's in a long line of underwhelming Saint
Speaker 1: Louis Cardinal outfield prospects between gritchik Piscatti. I mean, we
Speaker 1: could do this for days with those guys. They're just
Speaker 1: like a factory for mediocre outfielders over the years. Ronald
Speaker 1: Acunya two home runs, two stolen basis is so much
Speaker 1: for slow to steal bases again, Ronald Acunya, What a
Speaker 1: joke that is? Jared Kelnick as aforementioned one home run
Speaker 1: in a stolen base, three for eight over the weekend,
Speaker 1: fingers cross things get better for him. Forddie Freeman was
Speaker 1: six for twelve, Dever six for eleven, and the for
Speaker 1: Animal Don't look now Kids six for ten, one home run,
Speaker 1: stad zero's wall, eight earned runs for Steven Mattz Shane
Speaker 1: Bieber seven earned runs, zero strikeouts.
Speaker 3: What up with that? Well, what up with that would be?
Speaker 4: Remember those low spin rates and that big Vlo tip
Speaker 4: and he wasn't getting hit up early. Now he's getting
Speaker 4: hit up and they're taking advantage of it. Ball might
Speaker 4: be flying a little bit as the weather's uncooling off
Speaker 4: and heating up a little bit. I am not the
Speaker 4: biggest Biaber guy. I really wish I wasn't preseason, but.
Speaker 3: This is a bad warning sign.
Speaker 4: I don't know if you can get out from under
Speaker 4: Bieber right now, even at all, after a bad one.
Speaker 3: Like this, because people have been waiting for this.
Speaker 4: But you know, maybe he'll heat up off a couple
Speaker 4: and then maybe you can move him if you are
Speaker 4: worried I'm a bit worried, as I have been since
Speaker 4: the start of the year.
Speaker 1: Aaron Ashby six earned runs, Theo Castillo zero innings, pitch
Speaker 1: didn't get one out the game of five earned runs.
Speaker 2: Good, good job, Diego.
Speaker 1: Keller five earned runs. Spring Training Darling turning into a pumpkin.
Speaker 1: The Renz in with five earned and here we go.
Speaker 1: The Zeros on the hitting side for the weekend. Here
Speaker 1: you go, ready for this? Chris Taylor one for eleven,
Speaker 1: eight strikeouts, Brett Phillips, oh for eight, eight strikeouts, the
Speaker 1: perfect Weekend's tough? Just wh fantastic, Brett Phillips. I mean,
Speaker 1: why would we want to put a ball in play?
Speaker 1: Why would we wan? What is that?
Speaker 3: You know what I say? Like the golden sombrero is
Speaker 3: like what, oh for four?
Speaker 2: I don't know what it is.
Speaker 1: That's that's like a platinum sombrero if you get eight,
Speaker 1: because that's for each time.
Speaker 3: It's like a space space helmet eight.
Speaker 1: Yeah, spa, it's a platinum sombrero. Tyler Nate win one
Speaker 1: for ten with seven k's. I dropped him today in
Speaker 1: the league. Trevor's story won for twelve six k's. Again,
Speaker 1: we talked about Trevor story last week, it's not been good.
Speaker 1: Say a Suzuki told you so, two for ten, five strikeouts.
Speaker 1: Kyle Tucker had a bad weekend as well, rendone two
Speaker 1: for thirteen, and Rowdy t lez Al. Rowdy went south
Speaker 1: two for thirteen over the weekend.
Speaker 2: Three k's but that.
Speaker 1: Was bound to happen because he was so hot. Let's
Speaker 1: get to the home run board, shall we and see
Speaker 1: who is at the top of it. And there it
Speaker 1: is Niking in the north, still at the top with twelve.
Speaker 2: All I do is win at eleven.
Speaker 1: JP is still at eleven as well, and Dee Bloom
Speaker 1: is at ten. So those are our double digit people
Speaker 1: and looking forward to the rest of these.
Speaker 4: I did pull by the way, I want to point
Speaker 4: out I did pull off a homer on Friday with
Speaker 4: my Luis Robert. He hit a bomb and that would
Speaker 4: be number five, so I'm up at five two.
Speaker 2: Did you both have that? So I can't know.
Speaker 3: We had Schwarver the day before mayor pick something.
Speaker 1: Oh that's what it was, right, Okay. The Bloom actually
Speaker 1: got two runs from Unio Suarez of all people, and
Speaker 1: Flooringe Socks had two home runs from Brandon Laws move
Speaker 1: up to nine. So good job on y'all. Let's get
Speaker 1: to the prop bets here and again use that promo
Speaker 1: code leading off and download bet mgm, the King of
Speaker 1: sports Books. Ten bucks to bet wins you two hundred
Speaker 1: when you bet on any game regardless of the out.
Speaker 1: That's a special offer for new users when you use
Speaker 1: the promo code leading off at betmgm dot com or
Speaker 1: on the app bet mgm again bet ten win two
Speaker 1: hundred with leading off. And today I got Carlos rodon
Speaker 1: on Fandel the over at plus one ten at six
Speaker 1: and a half on the K's. I got Brandon Woodruff
Speaker 1: against Cincinnati six and a half even money on him
Speaker 1: on the over as well. I've also got young Carlos
Speaker 1: Stanton over at bet mgm for Ribby's at point five.
Speaker 1: I've got the over at plus one forty five. Me
Speaker 1: lovey that because Stanton's hot. He just gets one RBI
Speaker 1: boom plus one forty five. Welsh, what you got your
Speaker 1: eye on in the prop market today.
Speaker 4: Well, I want to tell you on yours. I like
Speaker 4: all three of yours, I think, man, I think the
Speaker 4: Stanton RBI one I think I like the most.
Speaker 3: But I really like those k Ones.
Speaker 4: I was gonna tell you I didn't like the Woodroff one,
Speaker 4: but then I didn't realize it was against Cincinnati.
Speaker 2: Cincinnati I do.
Speaker 4: And I like the Redon one as well. Those are
Speaker 4: all three really good bets.
Speaker 3: Two that I like here, I like Julio Urias K's
Speaker 3: at five and a half over versus Pittsburgh.
Speaker 4: But it's minus money. It's minus one twenty, but that's
Speaker 4: not too bad. He's hit this in three of his
Speaker 4: five appearances, and this is against the Pirates. And like
Speaker 4: Luis Roberts total bases one and a half over versus Cleveland,
Speaker 4: that's plus money. And Louise Robert is hitting a cool
Speaker 4: over five hundred over Zach Kleisak on his career. So
Speaker 4: Luis Robert total bases and gimme Luise Arias strikeouts. And
Speaker 4: I might even want to kind of like have some
Speaker 4: fun with it. You want to really have some fun.
Speaker 4: Maybe you could find those numbers probably not too far
Speaker 4: off in maybe the Luis Arius one on FanDuel and
Speaker 4: then I don't know, maybe just parlay have a nice
Speaker 4: little strikeout. Parlay put all three of those together, put
Speaker 4: just a couple bucks on it.
Speaker 3: You have to pull full unit or anything like that.
Speaker 4: But if you like to usually bet twenty five bucks
Speaker 4: on a game, put five bucks on it and put
Speaker 4: all three of those together and see what happens.
Speaker 3: Because those are some really really good K props for mine.
Speaker 1: Indeed, all right, let's talk a little bit dfs.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: The DK schedule starts in the main at six o'clock hour,
Speaker 1: FanDuel starts at seven. So Vandel is gonna lose that.
Speaker 1: Dodger gave him the main slate tonight, a couple others
Speaker 1: in there. So looking at this urius on DK's eight
Speaker 1: point two woodroff against the Reds at nine point three,
Speaker 1: I think it's a good investments, especially with Castillo making
Speaker 1: his first return. And I can't imagine, you know, here
Speaker 1: you go, gid go go pitch against the Brewers, and
Speaker 1: I don't know what I actually you want to know
Speaker 1: the leash is gonna be on him to throw to
Speaker 1: throw that out on I want to say it was DraftKings.
Speaker 4: His strikeout prop is at five and a half. I
Speaker 4: don't usually like to go unders. I saw that really
Speaker 4: like the under I didn't put it onto here, but
Speaker 4: I really am interested in that under k prop on
Speaker 4: Luis Castillo at five and a half.
Speaker 1: The other big money arms are cars Verdona ten k,
Speaker 1: which again I can justify getting in there. Urius is
Speaker 1: better at eight point two, though just just from a
Speaker 1: return on investment standpoint against the Pirates. Beckenzie Gore at
Speaker 1: nine point seven, Copek at nine point five. Also, Paul
Speaker 1: Blackburn is the secondary arm at seven point five. Continues
Speaker 1: to pitch well, so until he, you know, goes south,
Speaker 1: just keep riding this wave, I mean, you just keep
Speaker 1: doing it. The strikeout to walk ratio has been impeccable,
Speaker 1: and I understand that the might league track record doesn't
Speaker 1: support it, but who knows, maybe he has found something.
Speaker 1: This happens sometimes to pitchers well at last, probably not,
Speaker 1: but until it breaks down at seven point five on
Speaker 1: DK's the secondary arm, I'm in same thing. On Fando,
Speaker 1: he's eight point six in the minslate. He's pretty cheap
Speaker 1: there if you want to go all in, but I
Speaker 1: would prefer to go with rodn even though he's eleven
Speaker 1: point one. I would still go that route. Mackenzie Gore
Speaker 1: a ten k and Copeic at nine point two. If
Speaker 1: you want to split the difference. Tonight, the lineup builders
Speaker 1: on dk Aj Pollock three point seven, Sheldon Noisy at
Speaker 1: three point eight, Rhys Hoskins at three seven, and then
Speaker 1: on the FanDuel side David Peralta just two point five,
Speaker 1: Joey Wendell hit and clean up two point five, and
Speaker 1: Ramon Loreano at two point six. For me, I'm going
Speaker 1: against Chris Flexen today with my home run call. Give
Speaker 1: me Bryce Harper. That's who I want. Chris Flexen number
Speaker 1: two in the league in terms of giving up fly balls.
Speaker 1: I think one of them goes over the fence for
Speaker 1: Bryce Harper today. He's my pick. Welsh, who you're going
Speaker 1: with for your home run call.
Speaker 4: I'm going with big bad Gean Carlos Stanton, who has
Speaker 4: got a little bit of a track record in eleven
Speaker 4: played appearances versus John Gray.
Speaker 3: Three of those are extra base hits, and it is.
Speaker 4: Just Gean Carlos Stanton, big power against John Gray, who.
Speaker 3: You know, give up some homers.
Speaker 2: There you have it.
Speaker 1: Mike Maher's doing Mike Trout tonight. That's his call, and
Speaker 1: I was contemplating I had Trout. I changed it to
Speaker 1: Harper after looking a little deeper at the Chris Flexen numbers.
Speaker 1: So we shall see how that all shakes up. And
Speaker 1: if you want to get involved, make sure you go
Speaker 1: ahead and you subscribe to our Fantasypros dot com as
Speaker 1: a pro member. If you just got to upgrade your
Speaker 1: membership there, you can get into our discord at Fantasypros
Speaker 1: dot com slash chat. It's free to join discord, but
Speaker 1: if you want to get access to all the other channels,
Speaker 1: the stages, the AMA channels, and the home run calls,
Speaker 1: you have to be a pro member at Fantasy Pros.
Speaker 1: And again it's Fantasypros dot com slash chat to join
Speaker 1: the discord for free and just go check it out.
Speaker 2: Poke around.
Speaker 1: Also, I want to announce a winner of our April giveaway,
Speaker 1: because we had an April giveaway from the podcast from
Speaker 1: Pristine Auction. That winner is where is it? It is
Speaker 1: Chris from Ontario. I assume not theon Great Joy, just
Speaker 1: Theon from Ontario. So he gets Vladimir.
Speaker 3: Pretty that would be from Winterfell.
Speaker 2: Not I don't know.
Speaker 1: I mean he he did go way north at one point,
Speaker 1: you know.
Speaker 3: From Ontario. What's just you know what kind of north?
Speaker 1: Kind of north? Last time I checked? So theon from
Speaker 1: Ontario all you gotta do is email us. UH. Send
Speaker 1: an email to at mail bag. It's just Mailbag at
Speaker 1: Fantasypros dot com. Again mail Bag at Fantasypros dot com.
Speaker 1: Theon from Ontario. Congratulations that Vlad Guerrero autograph ball is yours.
Speaker 1: So thanks for joining us all today on the program.
Speaker 1: We hope to do it all again tomorrow, same time,
Speaker 1: newn Eastern at Fantasypros dot com. UH, and our MLB
Speaker 1: channel over on YouTube, Fantasy Pros MLB. That'll do it
Speaker 1: for us, but the story of the game goes on
Speaker 1: for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time, kids,