WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off May 8th, 2022 (Ep. 506) 0:00:00.360 --> 0:00:17.680 The Adventures of Kirby. Let's play ball. Welcome in, everybody 0:00:17.680 --> 0:00:20.400 to Fantasy Pros. This is leading off, brought to you 0:00:20.480 --> 0:00:23.560 by bet MGM, the King of sports books. It is 0:00:23.600 --> 0:00:26.479 b Joey, p Joe Pi's appia with me Today is 0:00:26.560 --> 0:00:29.080 the Welsh and it's a multiverse of madness on a 0:00:29.120 --> 0:00:31.600 Monday here. And that's just not a literation. That's the 0:00:31.600 --> 0:00:34.319 way things are going. Who knows what might happen. Who 0:00:34.360 --> 0:00:36.559 might play us later in the show. Maybe we'll ask 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:39.120 Welsh who might play him in a different multiverse. 0:00:39.159 --> 0:00:39.920 That would be fun. 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:41.960 But we're gonna break down all the weekend's action in 0:00:41.960 --> 0:00:43.880 Major League Baseball for you, and as always, we want 0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:46.879 you to subscribe to our YouTube channel YouTube dot com 0:00:46.880 --> 0:00:50.280 slash Fantasy Pros MLB, where we do this show every 0:00:50.320 --> 0:00:53.559 single day neon Eastern for you, for the people, for 0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:55.760 the Peanuts and Crackerjacks. And when you subscribe, you can 0:00:55.800 --> 0:00:58.440 be a peanut and a Crackerjack one or the other, 0:00:58.520 --> 0:01:00.720 who knows, and you can make your comments and talk 0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:02.880 and we'll make you famous on the show The Welsh. 0:01:03.040 --> 0:01:04.320 It's good to see you. I hope you had a 0:01:04.400 --> 0:01:08.520 nice Mother's day. You called your mother and your mother? Right, 0:01:08.800 --> 0:01:11.120 my mother is good. How's your mother is? Everyone? Mother 0:01:11.200 --> 0:01:11.920 is good, and. 0:01:12.000 --> 0:01:13.480 It was good. All the mothers are good. 0:01:13.560 --> 0:01:17.400 Actually, my mother and my wife's mother watched our kids 0:01:17.400 --> 0:01:20.160 while I took the mother of my kids out. 0:01:19.959 --> 0:01:21.560 To Sedona, Arizona. 0:01:21.640 --> 0:01:24.160 I have you saw my tweet also with this beautiful 0:01:24.200 --> 0:01:29.200 airbnb and it apparently had velociraptors there because we were 0:01:29.200 --> 0:01:32.360 sitting and there was this sound coming out of this 0:01:32.480 --> 0:01:34.960 waterfall that was next to where we were staying, and 0:01:35.000 --> 0:01:37.120 we just looked at each other for hours trying to 0:01:37.160 --> 0:01:40.240 find what it was, and it was the creepiest velociraptory 0:01:40.319 --> 0:01:42.840 or the you know, the remember the dinosaur that goes 0:01:43.959 --> 0:01:46.199 and then spits on whatever. 0:01:46.240 --> 0:01:49.080 The guy's you know, the guy was like yeah, yeah, exact. 0:01:48.840 --> 0:01:51.680 Yeah, exactly. It was wild. So that that was my 0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:53.000 mother's day. Dinosaur. 0:01:53.400 --> 0:01:54.279 I saw your tweet. 0:01:54.880 --> 0:01:56.920 I didn't have the sound on my phone because I 0:01:56.920 --> 0:01:59.080 was sitting and watching TV with the kids, but I 0:01:59.360 --> 0:02:00.440 was like, what is he talking about? 0:02:00.440 --> 0:02:01.760 I was like, I can go back to this later. 0:02:01.600 --> 0:02:03.440 So now I'm gonna definitely go back to it again. 0:02:03.520 --> 0:02:06.520 So and follow him at is it the Welsh for airbnb? 0:02:06.640 --> 0:02:08.160 Recommendations and other things as well. 0:02:08.160 --> 0:02:10.200 Apparently here, hold on, hold on, here it is here 0:02:10.200 --> 0:02:10.400 it is. 0:02:10.440 --> 0:02:11.839 Oh oh oh, you can see it on the show. 0:02:11.840 --> 0:02:14.120 Oh my, this is that night. 0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:16.440 Let's that's kind of terrifying. 0:02:16.760 --> 0:02:18.720 And I having spent some time in Arizona, I feel 0:02:18.720 --> 0:02:20.320 like at any point in time there could be some 0:02:20.400 --> 0:02:22.680 bizarre creature or things there and you never. 0:02:22.600 --> 0:02:24.360 Heard anything like it. Never heard anything. 0:02:24.360 --> 0:02:26.480 Sounds like a motor going in the waterfall, That's what 0:02:26.480 --> 0:02:27.000 it sounds like. 0:02:27.040 --> 0:02:28.800 I mean, it wasn't it was. 0:02:29.120 --> 0:02:33.920 It was some type of reptilian prehistoric dinosaur that was 0:02:34.120 --> 0:02:35.040 that was coming out. 0:02:34.919 --> 0:02:35.359 To get us. 0:02:36.919 --> 0:02:39.880 Oh goodness, it was. It was a hard ohsaurus. I'm 0:02:39.880 --> 0:02:40.680 pretty sure that's. 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:44.359 What a Yes, the elusive heart o asaurus. 0:02:44.440 --> 0:02:48.800 Yes, yes, can only be found in Sodona. All right, 0:02:48.880 --> 0:02:51.560 let's get to some of the headlines from baseball for 0:02:51.600 --> 0:02:56.360 the weekend. The Texas Rangers manager Chris Woodward uh not 0:02:56.480 --> 0:02:59.200 too happy about Yankee Stadium, calling it a little league 0:02:59.200 --> 0:03:01.919 ballpark after Bert Torres hit his walk off home run. 0:03:02.120 --> 0:03:04.800 JA Carlos Stanton also hit to run homer as well 0:03:04.840 --> 0:03:07.800 against the Rangers. Walcarea Cole with ten and no decisions 0:03:07.840 --> 0:03:12.200 of the Yankee game was something everybody was talking about. Welsh, 0:03:12.560 --> 0:03:14.920 It's been a whiffleball field for years. 0:03:14.960 --> 0:03:15.840 I've always called. 0:03:15.680 --> 0:03:18.680 It that, and you know, I don't think it's gonna 0:03:18.720 --> 0:03:21.440 change anytime soon. What are your thoughts on Chris Woodwards 0:03:21.440 --> 0:03:22.880 sounding off. I kind of enjoyed this. 0:03:23.240 --> 0:03:24.000 I mean, I don't know. 0:03:24.040 --> 0:03:27.160 I'm kind of over all of this stuff where it's like, uh, 0:03:27.360 --> 0:03:29.760 you see the one the other day where I'm forgetting 0:03:29.760 --> 0:03:31.760 who it was, if his affilies or the Yankees or 0:03:31.760 --> 0:03:34.600 whatever that ended up hitting, Like, yeah, I think it 0:03:34.600 --> 0:03:36.480 was the Yankees that hit like a homer and they 0:03:36.480 --> 0:03:39.200 were like they were up so much. Narcolo Stan didn't 0:03:39.200 --> 0:03:42.880 need to hit a homer. Like this complaining about ballparks 0:03:43.200 --> 0:03:47.240 and guys hitting homers late and any of the offense, Like, 0:03:47.840 --> 0:03:50.640 what does that serve except making you sound like a 0:03:50.720 --> 0:03:54.160 cry baby, Like, okay, whatever are you petitioning to get 0:03:54.240 --> 0:03:57.680 Yankee Stadium pushed back next year? It's cry baby stuff. 0:03:57.880 --> 0:04:02.160 You lost homers get hit. Uh, the big old little 0:04:02.200 --> 0:04:02.960 league ballpark. 0:04:03.040 --> 0:04:03.800 This isn't fair. 0:04:05.560 --> 0:04:07.680 The Texas Adium used to be kind of like that. 0:04:07.800 --> 0:04:10.160 It used to be a little baby ballpark until they 0:04:10.280 --> 0:04:14.119 changed it out and it's nonsense. It's absolute cry baby nonsense. 0:04:14.880 --> 0:04:17.880 I agree, and I gotta tell you it's like, that's 0:04:18.000 --> 0:04:20.720 that's loser mentality. It's like when you care about when 0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:22.960 the when a call goes against you. I mean, I 0:04:23.040 --> 0:04:25.719 coach the nine year old ten year old kids every 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:28.080 weekend in football, and I was on the same thing. 0:04:28.120 --> 0:04:29.680 I don't care if you get called in a penalty 0:04:29.720 --> 0:04:32.800 or something like that, but don't complain about it. I mean, 0:04:33.200 --> 0:04:35.279 if we lose because of a penalty, they didn't play 0:04:35.279 --> 0:04:36.760 good enough to win. It's the same thing with this. 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:38.880 It's like it's like, I'm sorry you gave up a 0:04:38.880 --> 0:04:41.640 home run to Labor Torres, who had been struggling for 0:04:41.680 --> 0:04:44.320 two years up until recently. I mean, what do you 0:04:44.360 --> 0:04:46.279 want from me? You're pitching socks. Go talk to the 0:04:46.279 --> 0:04:49.160 pictures about don't complain about the ballpark. Chris Woodward all right. 0:04:49.240 --> 0:04:52.280 Next on the list here, Mike Mayer put this in 0:04:52.279 --> 0:04:54.480 In Boston, an adult gave a young Red Sox fan 0:04:54.560 --> 0:04:57.520 a ball at Fenway Park over the weekend, and Mike 0:04:57.520 --> 0:04:59.560 Mayor wants to know why this isn't viral and why 0:04:59.560 --> 0:05:00.520 we're not all talking about it. 0:05:01.240 --> 0:05:04.559 Why does he full heel. Yeah, one hundred percent agree, 0:05:04.680 --> 0:05:06.480 Like I was gonna be the heel. Remember the first 0:05:06.520 --> 0:05:08.280 week I was here, it was like, hey, I mean 0:05:08.320 --> 0:05:10.440 I still have my heel. I'm more of like the 0:05:10.520 --> 0:05:13.960 anti hero, like you're kind of in that. Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah, 0:05:14.000 --> 0:05:16.680 like the old still stone cold where it's like sometimes 0:05:16.720 --> 0:05:18.680 he could be just a jerk and then sometimes he's good. 0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:22.880 But Mayor is like going full on Vince McMahon here, 0:05:23.000 --> 0:05:26.039 Like this is full on heel with just hating nice 0:05:26.080 --> 0:05:27.520 things to happen to anybody. 0:05:27.520 --> 0:05:28.880 He hates children. 0:05:28.520 --> 0:05:33.080 Too, children getting baseballs from adults. He hates all of it. 0:05:33.360 --> 0:05:35.680 George Kirby, he had some base balls and I don't 0:05:35.680 --> 0:05:38.600 know if he's an adult, maybe just barely. George Kerby 0:05:38.680 --> 0:05:40.800 six scirls hitnings in his debut on Sunday. He was 0:05:40.800 --> 0:05:42.240 a hot waiver wire pick up in a lot of 0:05:42.360 --> 0:05:44.520 leagues when he got the call, you know, Matt Brash 0:05:44.600 --> 0:05:45.960 was sent down. So what were your thoughts on the 0:05:46.000 --> 0:05:49.560 George Kirby performance. What's kind of the projectability for him 0:05:49.560 --> 0:05:50.160 in your opinion? 0:05:50.400 --> 0:05:51.000 Now, I'm actually a. 0:05:50.960 --> 0:05:52.880 Little The only thing I'm a tiny bit surprised about 0:05:52.960 --> 0:05:55.920 is that he beat Mike Max Mass would say Mike 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:59.440 Max Mayor up to the majors, But the whole Brash 0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:01.479 movement kind of wait. I think we even talked about 0:06:01.520 --> 0:06:04.040 on the show. It was like get Ready with Brash 0:06:04.120 --> 0:06:07.520 moving not only to the miners but into a bullpen roll. 0:06:07.880 --> 0:06:11.520 It leaves open the possibility of George Kirby. George Kirby's 0:06:11.520 --> 0:06:15.240 phenomenal It is interesting to see where his vlo is 0:06:15.279 --> 0:06:17.120 gone because he started the game up. 0:06:17.160 --> 0:06:20.080 I think our Rob Silver had actually tweeted this out where. 0:06:19.880 --> 0:06:22.320 He'd started up right around in ninety six ninety seven 0:06:22.400 --> 0:06:25.320 on average, and then he ticked down innings two through 0:06:25.320 --> 0:06:29.240 four where he'd really upticked his velocity. When COVID ended 0:06:29.240 --> 0:06:31.080 and I was able to go to the backfields out 0:06:31.080 --> 0:06:34.880 here in surprise, the very first like the first person 0:06:34.960 --> 0:06:36.599 I saw after a year and a half of not 0:06:36.720 --> 0:06:39.840 in person looks was George Kirby. And George Kirby hit 0:06:39.839 --> 0:06:41.920 one hundred back here in the backfields, and everyone was 0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:44.320 their mind was blown. He was at ninety nine one hundred, 0:06:44.680 --> 0:06:47.000 and I think that took away a little bit from 0:06:47.279 --> 0:06:50.359 how he could really just pinpoint the zones. And I 0:06:50.400 --> 0:06:53.359 think in that time he's refined high end velocity with 0:06:53.560 --> 0:06:55.680 being able to just move the ball throughout the zone 0:06:55.720 --> 0:06:57.080 and be able to hit his spots. 0:06:57.120 --> 0:06:59.640 And that's what he did. He looked fantastic. 0:06:59.720 --> 0:07:01.640 He was moving that, he was cutting the ball, he 0:07:01.760 --> 0:07:04.719 was putting the ball in, he was getting his secondary stuff. 0:07:04.720 --> 0:07:07.120 I mean, I'm a big George Kirby guy. The only 0:07:07.160 --> 0:07:10.160 thing I'm a little bit cautious about is he really 0:07:10.160 --> 0:07:10.880 hasn't put. 0:07:10.720 --> 0:07:11.920 On a whole bunch of innings. 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:14.000 The Mariners really kind of babied him ever since he 0:07:14.000 --> 0:07:16.640 got drafted off of Elon, so I'm not sure how 0:07:16.840 --> 0:07:18.920 far he can go into the season. So him coming 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:21.160 up in May, I just don't know if he's a 0:07:21.200 --> 0:07:23.960 guy that is gonna stay in the rotation full on 0:07:24.080 --> 0:07:26.040 and just get unlimited innings for the rest of the year. 0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:28.560 I kind of feel like they might temper him down 0:07:28.600 --> 0:07:30.280 a little bit. So I would have used waiver. I 0:07:30.320 --> 0:07:32.760 would be picking him up. It was a killer start. 0:07:32.880 --> 0:07:34.200 I think he's going to be one of the better 0:07:34.240 --> 0:07:36.400 pitchers you can get as a rookie. I just don't 0:07:36.440 --> 0:07:38.400 know if he's gonna be reliable the whole year. So 0:07:38.440 --> 0:07:41.240 when people talk about fab like, you know, how much 0:07:41.240 --> 0:07:41.960 should I spend. 0:07:42.080 --> 0:07:42.520 I don't know. 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:44.440 I'm not sure I would have gone more than twenty 0:07:44.440 --> 0:07:46.320 percent or something like that on a guy that I 0:07:46.720 --> 0:07:49.040 worry will not be able to finish out the year 0:07:49.080 --> 0:07:52.080 based on innings and you know in just a innings 0:07:52.120 --> 0:07:54.160 management from a Mariner's team, No. 0:07:54.240 --> 0:07:55.600 That's fair. In redraft leagues. 0:07:55.640 --> 0:07:57.640 I mean, we all know keeper dies is very different. 0:07:57.680 --> 0:08:01.240 But yeah, in redraft leagues, I agree with you. I mean, 0:08:01.280 --> 0:08:03.800 I think right now you always by the end of June, 0:08:04.200 --> 0:08:06.160 you have to evaluate your pitching staff and say how 0:08:06.160 --> 0:08:08.600 many innings realistically do I have and do I want 0:08:08.600 --> 0:08:11.520 to flip these guys that I have now for maybe 0:08:11.600 --> 0:08:13.760 guys haven't pitched as well, but I think are going 0:08:13.800 --> 0:08:15.560 to pitch in offense, so. 0:08:15.520 --> 0:08:18.400 Much more likely, so much more. 0:08:18.320 --> 0:08:21.880 Likely to move these rookie pitchers very early on to 0:08:22.040 --> 0:08:25.840 try to get and maximize my assets over everything else 0:08:25.880 --> 0:08:27.720 because of everything you just said. If I can go 0:08:27.800 --> 0:08:32.280 and get them for maybe underperforming pitchers, injured guys. Castille's 0:08:32.280 --> 0:08:35.679 about to come back, Jack Flaherty hasn't return in trades 0:08:35.760 --> 0:08:37.760 like those, that's what I would try to do. I mean, 0:08:37.960 --> 0:08:40.360 here's the only thing we don't fully know. This is 0:08:40.480 --> 0:08:43.400 kind of this new world of baseball where all the 0:08:43.480 --> 0:08:46.000 rookies are coming up early and they're being relied on. 0:08:46.679 --> 0:08:51.079 Could this change how teams manage their pitchers? Could management 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:56.240 finally be a more understood thing possible? Because under that circumstance, 0:08:56.280 --> 0:08:58.760 if you have a guy that if teams were more 0:08:58.760 --> 0:09:01.640 reliant on maybe just pushing one start, you know, and 0:09:01.640 --> 0:09:03.240 then letting the guy finish out the year and not 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:05.640 sending them down or shutting them down, that makes. 0:09:05.440 --> 0:09:08.280 Them like something I would want more. But we just 0:09:08.320 --> 0:09:09.520 don't know. We don't know. 0:09:09.440 --> 0:09:12.840 How enough teams have moved into managing their young pictures 0:09:12.920 --> 0:09:16.000 and or is there a new thought process with all 0:09:16.000 --> 0:09:19.000 the new collective bargaining agreements and take out manipulation a 0:09:19.040 --> 0:09:21.920 little bit more? Are teams willing to push these guys 0:09:22.120 --> 0:09:23.839 a little bit further with how the last couple of 0:09:23.880 --> 0:09:26.640 years have gone, and that could change it. But regardless 0:09:26.640 --> 0:09:28.719 of the point, I would still be the person that's 0:09:28.760 --> 0:09:31.960 trying to move some of these young pitchers in redraft. 0:09:32.480 --> 0:09:33.959 All right, before we move on to the rest of 0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:35.960 the headlines, I got to bring up this quote here 0:09:36.720 --> 0:09:39.680 from Walkee Penguin. Over in the chat, Mike Mayer would 0:09:39.720 --> 0:09:41.559 catch a foul ball and give it to someone else's 0:09:41.640 --> 0:09:44.440 kid just to teach his own son a lesson about evil. 0:09:44.840 --> 0:09:46.560 I agree that is that is the. 0:09:46.559 --> 0:09:47.720 Winner of the day right there. 0:09:47.760 --> 0:09:49.559 I feel like you would take the ball from a 0:09:49.640 --> 0:09:53.240 kid and then throw it on the field. 0:09:52.200 --> 0:09:55.080 Like, yeah, the kid catch it, or you would catch it, 0:09:55.280 --> 0:09:56.959 walk over to the kid and then just. 0:09:56.960 --> 0:09:59.199 And then go back on the field stare at the 0:09:59.240 --> 0:10:00.000 kid too in the face. 0:10:00.040 --> 0:10:01.800 Yeah, just stare the right Yeah. 0:10:01.960 --> 0:10:04.959 Cody Bellinger had three hits and Sunday Walker Bueller fan 0:10:05.080 --> 0:10:07.800 six over the Cubs, and Pete Alonzo hit two homers 0:10:07.800 --> 0:10:10.040 and a win over the Phillies, while Jake Odorezi combines 0:10:10.040 --> 0:10:12.240 in a one hitter with the Tigers. Oil Boy, that 0:10:12.240 --> 0:10:15.680 little conversation for Jake Odorezi with Justin Erlander certainly turned 0:10:15.679 --> 0:10:16.520 things around for him. 0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:18.720 How shocking is that? Bad news? 0:10:18.720 --> 0:10:21.760 Carlos Korea unlikely to returned Tuesday, But the good news 0:10:21.920 --> 0:10:24.640 was that the X rays were negative, so hopefully we'll 0:10:24.679 --> 0:10:27.800 be back sooner than later. I want to talk about this. 0:10:28.240 --> 0:10:30.559 We're gonna get into a little bit of a FIP 0:10:30.640 --> 0:10:32.719 versus E ra, the X FIP versus era, because I 0:10:32.720 --> 0:10:34.079 always think this is a good time of year to 0:10:34.120 --> 0:10:36.480 start looking at guys who've gotten off to some terrific 0:10:36.520 --> 0:10:38.920 stars with the era looks really good, and then the 0:10:39.000 --> 0:10:40.840 vice versa where you're like, hmm, the x FIP not 0:10:40.920 --> 0:10:43.480 so much. And to me, that's always where you're looking 0:10:43.480 --> 0:10:45.400 at pictures where you have to be a little bit 0:10:45.880 --> 0:10:49.480 concerned about potentially when that all meets back up. So 0:10:50.160 --> 0:10:53.320 we're gonna be yeah, yeah, exactly. The pictures were beating 0:10:53.320 --> 0:10:55.960 their FIP and buy a lot. And I always think 0:10:56.000 --> 0:10:57.400 this is a good thing to take a look at 0:10:57.440 --> 0:10:59.400 because tomorrow we're gonna do the inverse of this. We're 0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:01.480 pictures who are have high a eras, but the X 0:11:01.520 --> 0:11:03.360 ship is pretty good, and you're kind of like, okay, 0:11:03.400 --> 0:11:04.400 well let's take a look. 0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:10.120 The biggest beating them but Russia and Russia yeah drive 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:12.200 you yeah, exactly, yes. 0:11:11.960 --> 0:11:17.640 In Russia closer. No, never, let's get to some of 0:11:17.679 --> 0:11:20.120 these guys in some of these names here, uh, some 0:11:20.240 --> 0:11:23.400 of them Michael Kopek as a one point one seven 0:11:23.440 --> 0:11:26.000 e RA right now, this is again minimum of twenty 0:11:26.000 --> 0:11:27.320 innings that we're doing here. 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:30.080 X FIP is at four point thirty. 0:11:30.679 --> 0:11:31.000 Uh. 0:11:31.040 --> 0:11:33.320 Then you have a couple other pictures here that I 0:11:33.320 --> 0:11:35.000 thought were really worth talking about. 0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:35.880 Madison Bumgunners. 0:11:35.920 --> 0:11:38.320 The RAS one fifty, the FIP is four a two, 0:11:38.360 --> 0:11:41.080 the x FIP is five oh one. Huge difference there 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:44.720 for him in terms of the variants. Another big variance 0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:48.040 Tony Gonsol in a picture that again you know, he 0:11:48.160 --> 0:11:51.080 is so razor thin in terms of I think the 0:11:51.080 --> 0:11:52.880 margin for error with a picture like Gonsolin is not 0:11:52.920 --> 0:11:55.440 a dominating kind of guy. He's at one six four 0:11:55.440 --> 0:11:58.040 in the RAH. The FIP is at three three nine, 0:11:58.120 --> 0:12:00.720 the XPIP is at four o six right now, So 0:12:00.840 --> 0:12:03.720 big variants. Any of these guys pop to you? Or 0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:05.840 is there another one too? I mean Julio Urius too 0:12:05.960 --> 0:12:08.440 one eight eight versus A four to three one x 0:12:08.440 --> 0:12:10.720 fIF that's a big variance also, So there's some guys 0:12:10.760 --> 0:12:14.720 out there, Yeah, crushing life in terms of era, but 0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:17.480 there's some underlining issues. Are you worried about any of 0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:19.440 those guys? And why is it Tony Gonsolin? 0:12:19.760 --> 0:12:24.280 I mean Gonsolin like Bumgarner, It speaks for itself. It's 0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:27.680 like a completely uh I mean he's Bumgarner, you know 0:12:27.679 --> 0:12:29.280 what I mean. It's like, what is that three and 0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:32.280 a half run difference between RA and except you know what, 0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:33.640 the one that kind of jumped out to me, I 0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:37.560 think it's interesting is Alec Manoa. And Manoa has been 0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:42.520 phenomenal this year. He's been exceptional, probably from a rank perspective, 0:12:42.559 --> 0:12:44.640 one of those guys that I think a lot would 0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:47.160 put inside the top ten. But I do look and 0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:49.080 I see he's got a one seven to five ERA, 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:51.400 an x FIP of three six three, which is not 0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:53.720 horrible by any means. It's not bad, Yeah, it's not. 0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:56.280 But I take a look at a couple other things. 0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:59.000 He's got an under nine K per nine, so it's 0:12:59.040 --> 0:13:01.200 not elite. You know, there's nothing to lead there, and 0:13:01.240 --> 0:13:05.280 also a very unsustainable left on base percentage of over 0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:09.120 ninety percent, like that will not stick. So it's one 0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:11.760 of those things where I look at Manoa and I 0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:14.520 he's gonna regress. I mean, and I think it's kind 0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:16.200 of obvious. You can sometimes look at some of these 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:18.440 numbers and you can go, well, you're going to retract, 0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:21.200 but you know, going compare to like Clayton Kershaw, I 0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:23.240 would think, and I could be I could be speaking 0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:25.640 out of turn here. I think a lot of people 0:13:26.240 --> 0:13:30.120 would value this season Manoa over Kershaw d to age 0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:32.120 due to kind of some of the dominance. Sure, and 0:13:32.559 --> 0:13:36.760 Kershaw's got a small variant between ERA and x FIP. 0:13:36.880 --> 0:13:39.360 He's got a better K per nine, he's walking under 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:42.880 one per nine. He's got a little bit more realistic 0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:45.040 left on base rate. It's just it's one of those 0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:47.520 things where I don't think you're trying to unload a 0:13:47.559 --> 0:13:49.960 guy like Manoa, but you should know that the regression 0:13:50.000 --> 0:13:52.520 is gonna come. Manoa is going to backtrack a little bit. 0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:55.040 And he also doesn't He's not, at least right now 0:13:55.080 --> 0:13:58.319 exhibiting like some exception like Eric Lauer, Like Eric Laher's 0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:00.200 got like a twelve k per nine right now, or 0:14:00.240 --> 0:14:04.199 Corbyn is eleven peras dominant. Yeah, it's an average K 0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:07.559 per nine that's boosted up by four wins right now 0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:09.720 and an unsustainable left on base rate. 0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:12.240 So like he's gonna come back down to earth a 0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:13.480 little bit. So what does that mean to you? 0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:16.199 Do you just hold on and go for the ride 0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:18.319 because you know, a three and a half VRA with him, 0:14:18.320 --> 0:14:19.440 he's gotta be great this year. 0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:22.119 Or do you sell at the height. 0:14:22.520 --> 0:14:25.440 And you know, try to pick up some pieces, you know, 0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:28.320 maybe maybe no maybe you could get a kershaw plus 0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:30.280 a little bullpen arm or something like that. You never 0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:32.920 know what those trades can be. So I think a 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:35.600 lot of these are a kind of obvious names, especially 0:14:35.640 --> 0:14:37.520 when you put out like the Bumgarner and the Gonsolin, 0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:38.960 Like those are guys that it's like. 0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:41.160 You can't even surprised me a little bit, to tell 0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:41.560 you the truth. 0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:42.920 Kopek was when it surprised me. 0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:46.920 Gonsolin did not. But Gonsolin's one where I look at it, 0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:48.880 and once again, a guy who pitches to contact a 0:14:48.880 --> 0:14:52.800 lot on a good team I think has more value 0:14:52.800 --> 0:14:55.560 on the trade market than people realize. And I think 0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:59.320 perception wise is greater than reality when it comes to Gonsolin. 0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:01.880 So's that's a pitcher, and specifically that I would say, 0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:04.080 you know, I'd love to move him with another guy 0:15:04.120 --> 0:15:07.080 and get somebody better that I just feel better about tomorrow. 0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:08.760 Like I said, we're gonna be the inverse of these, 0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:09.880 But these are some of the guys to be a 0:15:09.880 --> 0:15:12.600 little aware of in terms of regression. Also, I want 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:16.520 to talk about this because Buster Posey caught the first pitch, 0:15:16.600 --> 0:15:18.200 which was fun. His kids went out there to throw 0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:21.360 the first pitch, this weekend, and then throwing a first 0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:24.760 pitch after that was Brian Wilson, the old crazy beard 0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:27.240 guy I haven't seen or heard about in a very 0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:31.240 long time, who is super entertaining. The beard is gone, 0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:34.080 He's replaced it with incredibly long hair. One of the 0:15:34.080 --> 0:15:37.240 great characters in baseball who I feel like completely disappeared 0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:39.880 off the grid. Just shut it up, and I'm here 0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:41.880 for it. Wel I thought this was super fun, man. 0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:42.920 You I know, a funny story. 0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:46.680 So I've worked in this building that is right next 0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:51.280 to a major hotel where ballplayers stay, basketball players, a 0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.880 lot of baseball players would stay. And one time, you know, 0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:57.040 I'm like walking it's just like this corridor down there 0:15:57.080 --> 0:16:00.320 where there's restaurants and stuff. And I'm walking down and 0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:03.160 this is in the summer, and it is one hundred 0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:06.120 and nine, one hundred and ten something like that out 0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:06.720 here in Arizona. 0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:08.640 It's absurd. It's absurd, And. 0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:12.040 I'm walking down this long like outdoor hallway and it's 0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:15.080 just me and one person walk up. You can guess 0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:18.840 who that person was, and it's Brian Wilson. And as 0:16:18.840 --> 0:16:21.520 he walks up, Brian Wilson in one hundred and let's 0:16:21.520 --> 0:16:23.160 just round it up to one hundred and ten degree weather, 0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:27.720 has full on jeans, he's got a button shirt that 0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:31.680 is open to his chest, and he's wearing a beanie 0:16:32.320 --> 0:16:35.040 with the long beard. And I knew who he was 0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:37.120 as I was walking up. I'm like, I could tell 0:16:37.160 --> 0:16:40.280 this is Brian Wilson. And he never looks at me. 0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:43.520 He looks straight ahead the whole time. And he's just walking, 0:16:43.800 --> 0:16:46.600 mind you, his chest is out of his shirt and 0:16:46.640 --> 0:16:49.320 he's wearing a beanie in one hundred and ten degree weather. 0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:52.080 And I was like, this is the most Brian Wilson moment, 0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:54.800 probably of all time. Doesn't give me the time. It 0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:57.640 doesn't even look and acknowledge that. I think he looks ridiculous. 0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:00.800 He is full on buying into his bit. That's just 0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:03.240 like it's like a wrestling bit, Joe, Like he fully 0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:05.159 bought into his He's had. 0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:07.200 Theme music going on in his head. Yeah. 0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.480 I think that Mike Mahyer probably would not approve of 0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:11.400 the children throwing out first pitches either. 0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:12.720 I imagine he would be against it. 0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:17.040 I probably ag yeah, probably wrote a letter, wrote a letter. 0:17:17.160 --> 0:17:20.120 Here's a giants, here's a It was becoming like Chuck 0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:22.200