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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. I am Matt Parole,

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Speaker 1: chair host every single morning as we approach our one

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Speaker 1: year anniversary for the Daily Juice here on Bettingpros dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Always being brought to you by bet MGM with the

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Speaker 1: offer that always is right above me on YouTube twenty

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Speaker 1: bucks bet one hundred dollars guaranteed in free wagers to

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Speaker 1: be one on any event with the promo code Juice

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Speaker 1: one hundred. Use that promo cod Juice one hundred BETMGM

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Speaker 1: betmgm dot com or on the bet mgm app where

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Speaker 1: it is available. Okay, a one to one in one night.

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Speaker 1: So here's kind of what happened to me. So I

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Speaker 1: had a meeting that went longer than I thought it

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Speaker 1: was going to go, so I didn't get to bet

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Speaker 1: player props. And it's kind of funny because I wound

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Speaker 1: up after the meeting was over. I wounded up going

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Speaker 1: over to Circa and I was at Circa and I

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Speaker 1: was kind of like, that's when I clicked into my

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Speaker 1: brain of like, oh man, because I wanted to bet

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Speaker 1: Tray Young over two and a half three pointers. He

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Speaker 1: hit four in the game against the Bucks. We got

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Speaker 1: the plus eight, right, But as I said, sprinkle on

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Speaker 1: the money line not a bad idea to do that.

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Speaker 1: And I don't know if you guys do that, but

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Speaker 1: I think it's generally a good idea that when you bet,

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Speaker 1: let's just say you bet one hundred dollars on a

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Speaker 1: game on a dog, it's not a bad idea to

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Speaker 1: take twenty bucks and throw it on the money line. Like,

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Speaker 1: if you really like the plus eight, more often than not,

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Speaker 1: you're going to get a money line win more often

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Speaker 1: than not. More often than not. I would love to

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Speaker 1: see the stats in the postseason. But when you bet

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Speaker 1: the dog, how often does the dog just win? Outright?

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Speaker 1: And as I said, the Atlanta Hawks went to Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: in one game one and it took the Sixers some

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Speaker 1: time to figure out how to stop Tray Young, and

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Speaker 1: Trey Young went for a career high. So I think

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Speaker 1: the Bucks are dealing with the same problem. How do

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Speaker 1: you stop Tray Young? What type of defense do you

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Speaker 1: have to employ to stop his dribble penetration and his

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Speaker 1: outside shooting. He's a handful, he's tough, I mean, he's

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Speaker 1: shimmering and he's taken threes, and the dude just a

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Speaker 1: lot of fun. I like Trey Young a lot, and

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Speaker 1: he now has a one tozer lead in this best

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Speaker 1: of seven series, and he stole home court in Game

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Speaker 1: number one. So it's not a bad idea that when

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Speaker 1: you do bet the dog in basketball, whether it be

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Speaker 1: college basketball or NBA basketball, to sprinkle on the money

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Speaker 1: line as well. So maybe you get a double hit,

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Speaker 1: you get the cover, and you get the win on

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Speaker 1: the money line. That would have been pretty profitable if

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Speaker 1: you do that. Did it. I didn't do it last night.

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Speaker 1: I should have done that. I didn't take my own

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Speaker 1: device there, but I thought a play on the money

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Speaker 1: line wasn't that bad of an idea. I took the eight.

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Speaker 1: I also took the under two twenty six and a half,

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Speaker 1: and unfortunately, just too many threes were hit. It didn't

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Speaker 1: go over by a ways, but it did go over.

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Speaker 1: So we lost that and then we got the push

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Speaker 1: on the five between the Islanders and the Lightning. The

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Speaker 1: Islanders close out Nassau Coliseum. Maybe if they win Game

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Speaker 1: seven on the road, the Cup finals will be at

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Speaker 1: Nassau Coliseum. Why were they throwing beer cans at their

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Speaker 1: own team New Yorkers. I know you're drunk, but what

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Speaker 1: are you doing? That was pretty stupid. Don't throw beer

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Speaker 1: cans at your own team. You can hurt someone on

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Speaker 1: the team you're cheering for, ye wackos. But we end

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Speaker 1: up getting the push on that be It was a

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Speaker 1: three two win for the Islanders and the total of

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Speaker 1: five so a push there. So a one to one

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Speaker 1: in one night essentially down a little bit on the juice,

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Speaker 1: nothing too significant, but it was technically a losing night

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Speaker 1: with the one to one in one mark for Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: So we are back here again with two bets in

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Speaker 1: the NBA, one bet for the NHL, and then we'll

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Speaker 1: get to player props. I'll have a couple of player

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Speaker 1: props either baseball or or NBA basketball, but I'll definitely

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Speaker 1: have them in the Discord channel before the games go

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Speaker 1: off here for game number three of the Western Conference Finals,

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Speaker 1: and also the U for any baseball games that are

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Speaker 1: going on. So let's start with the NHL and the

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Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights in what might be the last game

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Speaker 1: of the year for the Vegas Golden Knights on the road,

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Speaker 1: Game six against Montreal. Now Vegas is still favored in

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Speaker 1: this game, but their dogs in the series. Okay, look,

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Speaker 1: I don't think this ends well for Vegas. But here's

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Speaker 1: the thing. This is the last time I'll be able

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Speaker 1: to take five and bet over for the Vegas Golden

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Speaker 1: Knights at five. So that's what I'm going to do.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take five. I'm gonna bet the five, and

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Speaker 1: we got to push last time betting over five or

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Speaker 1: was it under five? And they we have been under five,

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Speaker 1: but I can't ren it was over five on the

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Speaker 1: four to one game for Montreal and the Vegas Golden Knights,

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Speaker 1: and I'm going to do the same thing here with

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Speaker 1: potentially a three to two win for one of these

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Speaker 1: two teams, and maybe we get a flukey goal and

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Speaker 1: we go over. It is an elimination game, so if

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Speaker 1: Vegas is down, they most likely will pull the goaltender

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Speaker 1: and we'll get a goal. We'll get a bonus goal

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Speaker 1: late and something kind of cookie. Maybe it's a four

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Speaker 1: to two win for Montreal and it goes over. Okay,

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Speaker 1: here's the thing about the Golden Knights. I don't like

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Speaker 1: their body language. I don't like what they said after

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Speaker 1: the game. I don't like the way they played in

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Speaker 1: the third period. I just don't like anything about this

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Speaker 1: team right now, and that's when they play their best.

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Speaker 1: I mean, really, I'll throw a flyer personally on the

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Speaker 1: money line just because it may be the last time

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Speaker 1: I can bet on Vegas this season. But I don't

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Speaker 1: expect them to win. They could, and they could force

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Speaker 1: it back to Vegas for a game seven. We just

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Speaker 1: saw the Islanders do it, but they were at home

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Speaker 1: against Tampa. It's going to be tough, and I'm not

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Speaker 1: sure who's in net. It wouldn't shock me, by the way,

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Speaker 1: if we see Robin Lennard net tonight, wouldn't surprise me

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Speaker 1: at all. If they want up going back to Robin Lennard,

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Speaker 1: which maybe be a bad idea given the fact that

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Speaker 1: he played really well in the last game. But it

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Speaker 1: could be Mark Andre Fluury. It probably will be Mark

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Speaker 1: Andre Fleury, because I mean, essentially, you go down with

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Speaker 1: the ship, right if you're going to wind up losing,

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Speaker 1: you just you know, go down with Mark Andre Floury

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Speaker 1: and not Robin Lenner. So most likely it's going to

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Speaker 1: be Robin Lenner on the bench and Flurry to start.

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Speaker 1: Maybe maybe you see leonnar at some point. If they

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Speaker 1: go down to nothing or something, maybe they put Lennar in.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just going to go and bet five in

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Speaker 1: the over lay the mines one thirty juice and see

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Speaker 1: what happens, and personally sprinkle on the Vegas gold Knights

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Speaker 1: on the money line and hopefully that we see some

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Speaker 1: type of crazy game. But most likely we get a

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Speaker 1: push out of this, and most likely it's Montreal winning

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Speaker 1: three to two. That's probably what's going to happen here

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Speaker 1: in the Montreal will advance to the Cup finals and

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Speaker 1: the Vegas gold Knights will have to deal with the

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Speaker 1: fact that they were extremely large favorites and they did

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Speaker 1: not come through biggest favorites in thirty one years choking.

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Speaker 1: Now here's what's interesting. And I don't know the answer

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Speaker 1: to this, and I'm going to ask a book maker

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Speaker 1: on my show coming up. If Montreal lose wins, generally speaking,

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Speaker 1: the books will want the favorite to win because at

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Speaker 1: the price you could get Montreal, there was no point

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Speaker 1: in laying minus four point fifty juice on the Golden Knights.

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Speaker 1: So you're trying to find a number that would make

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Speaker 1: the perfessionals interested. So if you're coming back on the

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Speaker 1: other side, and it's plus two eighty plus two ninety

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that general range. Did they get professional money

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Speaker 1: on Montreal? Meaning did the books actually want the Knights

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Speaker 1: to win where a normal circumstances they never want the

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Speaker 1: Knights to win because the public here in Vegas, nobody

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Speaker 1: bets against the Knights. Really here in Vegas, it's all

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Speaker 1: one set of action. So I really wonder how if

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Speaker 1: Montreal does win, what's the actual reaction from the books.

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Speaker 1: Are they actually comfortable watching Montreal win? Or does that

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Speaker 1: wind up being a red number for them on their

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Speaker 1: ledger because of the plus money And you know, if

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Speaker 1: you bet one hundred dollars on Vegas to win the series,

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Speaker 1: you're not winning very much. At minus four fifty, you

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Speaker 1: bet one hundred dollars on Montreal to win the series

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Speaker 1: and it multiplies by fifteen, twenty thousand, whatever it might be,

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Speaker 1: it's a lot of money. You know, win two hundred

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Speaker 1: eighty bucks back. So that could be very costly for

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Speaker 1: the books, which is kind of odd because normally they

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Speaker 1: would cheer for the other team, not Vegas, but given

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Speaker 1: the numbers, or maybe Montreal winning is a bad thing

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Speaker 1: for the sportsbooks, So we'll see how that plays out.

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Speaker 1: But I do think Montreal wins. I will bet you

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Speaker 1: know with my with with the Knights, I bet them

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Speaker 1: all seasons. I'll bet one more time personally, but I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take Vegas and Montreal five and the over at

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Speaker 1: Mine one thirty for the first play, second play. The

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Speaker 1: Phoenix Suns are getting their guy back. We are going

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Speaker 1: to see Chris Paul in game three, and this is

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Speaker 1: bad news for the La Clippers. The number is one.

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Speaker 1: Phoenix this year is fifty one, thirty one and two

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Speaker 1: to the number. Hello twenty games over five hundred, Clippers

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Speaker 1: are forty eight, thirty eight and one. At home, the

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Speaker 1: Clippers are twenty five and eighteen. Clippers covered. In the

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Speaker 1: last game, they were catching four and a half points

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Speaker 1: and they lost by one, so they covered. We played

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Speaker 1: it at five and a half or I played it

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Speaker 1: at five and a half and it came through. We

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Speaker 1: wound up taking the under that came through as well.

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Speaker 1: At home, the Phoenix Suns are twenty eight and fifteen

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Speaker 1: to the number, but on the road they're three sixteen

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Speaker 1: in two over the last ten games. Phoenix eight and two.

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Speaker 1: The number over the last five. They're four and one,

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Speaker 1: and they're only laying a point on the road. I

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Speaker 1: think everyone's expecting the Clippers to play better at home,

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Speaker 1: but being down oh two, this is a different team.

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Speaker 1: This is not the same teams that the lle Clippers

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Speaker 1: have played Utah being banged up without Mike Conley and

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Speaker 1: for a banged up Donovan Mitchell. Not the same Dallas

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Speaker 1: with Luca and that's it. Not the same. This is

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Speaker 1: a deep team with weapons, Devin Booker now having Chris

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Speaker 1: Paul back. Uh oh, I'm laying a point. Phoenix Suns

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Speaker 1: go up three games to none. I'm taking Phoenix. Everyone's

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Speaker 1: going to take Phoenix. This is gonna be very popular play, Okay,

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Speaker 1: the public's all going to be on this side. Clippers

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Speaker 1: are going to be a monster contrarian. My guess is

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Speaker 1: this number will close it three or four by the

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Speaker 1: time it goes off. I don't like that. I didn't

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Speaker 1: like being with the public on the under last night

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Speaker 1: in the Bucks in the Hawks game. I would rather

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Speaker 1: have been on the professional side. I was on the under.

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Speaker 1: I was on the pro side or the public side.

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Speaker 1: It didn't come through. I'm on the late. I don't

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Speaker 1: care who it is give me minus one Phoenix with

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Speaker 1: Chris Paul coming back to go up three games to none.

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Speaker 1: It's very possible that our boy wearing the Sun's jersey

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Speaker 1: who got into the fight, who said sons in four

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Speaker 1: is going to be right. It feels like suns and four.

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Speaker 1: It really does with suns and four, and they will

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Speaker 1: have swept Denver and then we'll have slept swept the

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Speaker 1: Clippers on the way to the NBA Finals with a

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Speaker 1: chance for Chris Paul to win his first ever NBA championship.

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Speaker 1: And would it be crazy if was Phoenix versus Atlanta

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Speaker 1: Home My goodness, gracious, if that's what we get, little sunshine,

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Speaker 1: warm weather NBA Finals coming up in the month of July.

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Speaker 1: But we'll see. I'm laying the one point and then

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Speaker 1: one other half unit bet to give you guys. It's

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Speaker 1: on the total. So last night it was the dog

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Speaker 1: in the under. Tonight it's the favorite and the over.

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Speaker 1: So on the year, Phoenix forty six thirty seven and one,

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Speaker 1: Clippers forty three, forty two and one to the over.

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Speaker 1: Last game, went under over the last five, Phoenix two

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Speaker 1: times to the over, two and three over the last ten,

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Speaker 1: four and six, six and four for the Clippers to

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Speaker 1: the over three and two over the last five for

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Speaker 1: the La Clippers. So the last number was two twenty

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Speaker 1: five and a half and it went under by fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half points to one oh four to one

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Speaker 1: oh three win. But this number is two twenty and

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Speaker 1: a half. And if you look at the numbers, two

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Speaker 1: twenty and a half, generally speaking, when it comes to

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Speaker 1: the Clippers and it comes to the Suns, it was two.

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Speaker 1: It was two twenty in the first game, it went

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Speaker 1: over by fourteen. We came in, we got the first

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Speaker 1: game right, we got the second game right over under.

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Speaker 1: I'm not really playing a zig zag theory as much

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Speaker 1: as that which as I am taking a look at

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Speaker 1: the total at two twenty and a half and seeing

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Speaker 1: against Denver in game one when it was two twenty

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Speaker 1: two and a half, it went over. When it was

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Speaker 1: two toh eight against the Lakers, it went over. For

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Speaker 1: the Clippers, three of the last four games have gone over.

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Speaker 1: The last two games against Utah. In the first game

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Speaker 1: against Phoenix went over. They shoot much better at home,

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Speaker 1: as we saw with the with the closeout Game seven

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Speaker 1: win for the Clippers against the Utah Jazz, in which

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Speaker 1: they scored one hundred and thirty one points in the

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Speaker 1: total at two to twenty one, which is what it

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Speaker 1: is right now, went over by twenty nine points. I'm

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Speaker 1: playing the over here. I think we're gonna see with

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Speaker 1: Chris Paul back, I think the Clippers are going to

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Speaker 1: are going to be jacked to score. I think we're

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Speaker 1: gonna see a fast paced game, a lot of threes,

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Speaker 1: up tempo, much similar like Game one. I know they

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Speaker 1: play slower with Chris Paul on the floor, but on

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Speaker 1: the road, this is a Booker game. I think he

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Speaker 1: scores a lot of points, and I think this is

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Speaker 1: a big game for the three point shooters. For the

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Speaker 1: LA Clippers. I think the only way they can really

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Speaker 1: keep pace here they can't play slow. They got to

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Speaker 1: play up tempo. They got to hit a bunch of threes.

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Speaker 1: They got to play like they played in Game one

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Speaker 1: against Phoenix. And I think that them slowing it down.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they feel comfortable doing that, in particular

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Speaker 1: at home. So I'm going over to twenty and a

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Speaker 1: half for a half of units here in this game

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Speaker 1: between Phoenix and the LA Clippers. All right, three plays

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Speaker 1: for you guys over five minus one thirty for Vegas

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Speaker 1: and Montreal, over to twenty and a half for Phoenix

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Speaker 1: and the Clippers and Suns, minus one for the three

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Speaker 1: plays coming up here tonight. I will have at least one,

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Speaker 1: maybe two plays for you guys coming up for player

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Speaker 1: props in the Discord channel Bettingpros dot com slast chat

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Speaker 1: to get into the Discord channel or on YouTube. There

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Speaker 1: are links all underneath me, including one to get you

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Speaker 1: into the Discord channel. If you are watching this video

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Speaker 1: on YouTube. My name is Matt Parolt. Have a phenomenal Thursday.

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Speaker 1: We'll bad be back. Coming up for another Friday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daly Juice podcast coming up tomorrow. It's

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice, every single day. I'm Matt Paroltire, I'm

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com. Brought you by bettemg uh