WEBVTT - An Ex-CIA Officer Explains How to Spot a Lie in Business

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the All Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Tracy Alloway.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm Joe Whysenthal.

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<v Speaker 1>Joe, I'm kind of nervous about this episode.

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<v Speaker 2>I am too.

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<v Speaker 3>About fifteen minutes ago, the same thought flashed through my mind,

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<v Speaker 3>I too, am a little nervous about this episode.

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<v Speaker 1>Believe it or not, we do some preparation for our episodes,

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<v Speaker 1>although maybe it doesn't always show this particular episode, I

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<v Speaker 1>haven't done a lot of reading into this topic, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm really hoping the guest doesn't notice. But I think

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<v Speaker 1>my chances are very low because we are literally going

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<v Speaker 1>to be speaking to someone whose whole career is about

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<v Speaker 1>basically spotting lies.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean that's essential. Like in the business world, if

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<v Speaker 3>you really think about it, you know, companies come on

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<v Speaker 3>their calls. I think they don't typically lie per se.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think executives lie that much, but you know,

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<v Speaker 3>they shade the truth. They highlight some things, they don't

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<v Speaker 3>highlight the other things. I feel like it would be

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<v Speaker 3>a pretty good skill to have in life to just

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<v Speaker 3>generally and especially in business, to just generally know whether

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<v Speaker 3>someone is being honest with you or not.

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<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, it feels like a sort of module they should

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<v Speaker 1>have at Wharton if you're doing a business degree in

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<v Speaker 1>an MBA.

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<v Speaker 2>That I've never seen in an MBA program.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, the person we're going to be speaking to actually

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<v Speaker 1>came to us via Brad Jacobs. You might remember him

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<v Speaker 1>from the episode in which he was talking about his

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<v Speaker 1>latest acquisition and the new part of his logistics empire.

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<v Speaker 1>And he's written a new book and we were reading

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<v Speaker 1>it and one of the things that we thought was

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<v Speaker 1>really interesting was there was a mention that he was

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<v Speaker 1>working with a man called Dick or Phil Houston, an

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<v Speaker 1>ex CIA person who was basically a polygraph examiner for

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<v Speaker 1>a long time, and Brad and Phil were working together

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<v Speaker 1>as part of the due diligence process for Brad's many, many,

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<v Speaker 1>many serial acquisitions. So the idea was he might go

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<v Speaker 1>in and buy a company and then Phil would interview

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<v Speaker 1>some of the senior execs and basically try to see

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<v Speaker 1>whether or not what they were saying about the company

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<v Speaker 1>was true.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, you know, speak of nice skills to have. There's

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<v Speaker 3>always that information asymmetry, whether you're just an investor or

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<v Speaker 3>whether you're buying out a whole company, and you know,

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<v Speaker 3>the seller is always going to know more. Sort of

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<v Speaker 3>classic problem in economics. But if you knew the result

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<v Speaker 3>of an answer is going to be one hundred percent true,

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<v Speaker 3>then that would be pretty great.

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<v Speaker 2>So that would be nice.

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<v Speaker 1>What's that TV show with the Girl who Can Spot

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<v Speaker 1>a Love?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh? Oh, poker face? Poker face pretty?

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, it's pretty. It's kind of entertaining. It's kind of

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<v Speaker 3>like it's it's fun.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a fun It does seem like a useful scar too.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, another reason I'm slightly terrified of this

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<v Speaker 1>episode is I used to know an XCIA person who

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<v Speaker 1>then went into another profession. I don't want to give

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<v Speaker 1>too much way, but it was finance related, so I

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<v Speaker 1>used to speak to him about financial things. And I

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<v Speaker 1>remember I met him once for lunch after a particularly

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<v Speaker 1>terrible mourning where something really really bad had happened in

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<v Speaker 1>my professional life. And I sat down and I was like, Hi,

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<v Speaker 1>how are you. How's it going? I can't wait to

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<v Speaker 1>have lunch. We're going to talk about capital markets or whatever.

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<v Speaker 1>And he immediately leaned forward and was like, Tracy, tell

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<v Speaker 1>me what's wrong. Something bad happened. And I asked him

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<v Speaker 1>how he knew, and he was like, oh, you got

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<v Speaker 1>this like little crease in the middle of your forehead.

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<v Speaker 1>And this wasn't you know, this was like a casual

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<v Speaker 1>source meeting. This wasn't someone I knew really really well,

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<v Speaker 1>but he knew he knew that I was upset. Anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>So on that note, very very pleased to say that

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<v Speaker 1>we are going to be speaking to Phil Houston. He

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<v Speaker 1>is a career CIA officer and also the author of

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<v Speaker 1>the book Spy the Lie. Former CIA officers teach you

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<v Speaker 1>how to detect deception, so we're going to learn how

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<v Speaker 1>to spot the bi Phil, thank you so much for

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<v Speaker 1>joining all thoughts.

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<v Speaker 4>Tracy, thanks a ton for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>So just to begin with, how do you become a

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<v Speaker 1>lie detection expert? What is this career path?

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<v Speaker 4>When I joined the agency fairly early on, I was

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<v Speaker 4>called over to the head of polygraph in the agency

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<v Speaker 4>and they had spotted the fact that I had developed

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of information doing background investigations and they thought

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<v Speaker 4>that I would be a very good candidate for such

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<v Speaker 4>a position.

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<v Speaker 3>There's so much to get into. Tracy mentioned that we

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<v Speaker 3>came across you talking to former guest Brad Jacobs, who

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<v Speaker 3>you apparently have worked with a lot. How do you

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<v Speaker 3>deploy LIE detection skills in the corporate context.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, we use them in every single day. It's not

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<v Speaker 4>just in a regimen of due diligence protocol. We're looking

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<v Speaker 4>day in and day out. It's continuous of value, especially

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<v Speaker 4>with new companies that Brad acquires, because we never know

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<v Speaker 4>if we've missed something in the due diligence process, so

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<v Speaker 4>we're always paying attention. And Brad has been highly trained

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<v Speaker 4>now by us and my team in the lie detection

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<v Speaker 4>model that I developed when I was at the agency.

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<v Speaker 1>What kind of things are you looking out for specifically?

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, if Brad says he wants to buy

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<v Speaker 1>a company, I'm sure he gets lots of information like

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<v Speaker 1>printed information as part of the due diligence process, and

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<v Speaker 1>then he has interviews with senior executives. What type of

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<v Speaker 1>questions would you be asking them.

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<v Speaker 4>There are multiple areas of probing that we do. Number

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<v Speaker 4>one is first and foremost, is are there any problems

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<v Speaker 4>or circumstances associated with the acquisition that are not a

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<v Speaker 4>matter of record that no vera one has come forth

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<v Speaker 4>and said, hey, this is a problem or might be

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<v Speaker 4>a problem going forward. And so to gather that information

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<v Speaker 4>Usually the first encounter is with a management meeting, where

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<v Speaker 4>we sit down in front of management and ask them questions. Now, granted,

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<v Speaker 4>the topics are fairly traditional, but the way that we

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<v Speaker 4>word questions sometimes are very different. For example, on the

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<v Speaker 4>really key issues, we rarely will ask a did you

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<v Speaker 4>or do you so? For example, we won't say do

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<v Speaker 4>you have any concerns in this area? We use what

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<v Speaker 4>we call presumptive questions. And a presumptive question might sound

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<v Speaker 4>simply like what concerns do you have in this area?

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<v Speaker 4>It presumes that there's potential for a concern. The beauty

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<v Speaker 4>of that type of a question is that if a

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<v Speaker 4>person is telling the truth, it's still a very easy

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<v Speaker 4>and fair question to answer. However, if a person is

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<v Speaker 4>concealing something and we ask it presumptively, it generally and

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<v Speaker 4>often plants what we call a mind virus. The mind

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<v Speaker 4>virus is that thing that we've all been victims of.

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<v Speaker 4>It's when you know, somebody walks in the door in

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<v Speaker 4>the morning and their coworker comes running up and says,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, Joe, the boss wants to see you, and

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<v Speaker 4>you say, well, what's that about, and you know, they say,

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know but but right away and as Joe's

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<v Speaker 4>walking down there, is he likely thinking more, Geez is

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<v Speaker 4>going to be a great day, I'm going to get

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<v Speaker 4>a bonus, I'm going to get a promotion. Or does

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<v Speaker 4>he immediately start thinking what's wrong? Or is there a problem?

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<v Speaker 4>And if it is, then he's inventorying mentally what the

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<v Speaker 4>problems might be and how he's going to deal with that.

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<v Speaker 4>That mind virus triggers if someone's lying, it often triggers

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<v Speaker 4>the exhibition of deceptive behaviors, both verbal and nonverbal behaviors.

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<v Speaker 3>I already love this conversation so much, but let's continue

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<v Speaker 3>to pursue. I imagine that when you're doing due diligence

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<v Speaker 3>on a company, you know it's the unknown unknowns, it's

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<v Speaker 3>the things that aren't written down. But you don't even

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<v Speaker 3>know the right question to ask because it's not written down.

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<v Speaker 3>But as you say the presumptive approach, talk to us

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<v Speaker 3>about like, okay, take the example further with a question

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<v Speaker 3>like that, what are the types of responses that would

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<v Speaker 3>say trigger warning lights of either it's verbally or physically,

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<v Speaker 3>this looks.

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<v Speaker 2>Like a lie?

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<v Speaker 3>Like what might be gleaned in the response and to

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<v Speaker 3>such a question, sure.

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<v Speaker 4>In working with Brad, we've had all kinds of when

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<v Speaker 4>people are lying, all kinds of crazy responses. We've had

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<v Speaker 4>responses where we've said or made just simply the statement

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<v Speaker 4>listen in describing our diligence, we are also going to to,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, come in and take a look at your accounting,

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<v Speaker 4>and the person immediately says, oh, there's no need to

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<v Speaker 4>do that. And you'd think that they would realize how

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<v Speaker 4>obvious that that dodge is the spot, But at the

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<v Speaker 4>moment they're on the spot and they need it out,

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<v Speaker 4>and so they're not realizing the kinds of responses they give.

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<v Speaker 4>They'll also say, well, why do you need to go there?

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<v Speaker 4>Or why are you asking that? Or how much do

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<v Speaker 4>you need to know? Or here's what I can tell you.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's an interesting statement we hear and we listen for,

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<v Speaker 4>because if you think of the literal interpretation of that

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<v Speaker 4>statement here's what I can tell you, it immediately in

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<v Speaker 4>our world conjures up. What can't you tell us?

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<v Speaker 1>Do people try to deflect? Having interviewed many people on

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<v Speaker 1>this podcast, the most problematic response that we tend to get,

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully not outright lies at least not often, but you

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<v Speaker 1>ask a question and someone will say, oh, that's very

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<v Speaker 1>very interesting. Now let me talk about this entirely different

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<v Speaker 1>point that has nothing to do with what you just asked.

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<v Speaker 4>That could be a product of their media training, but

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<v Speaker 4>it also could be if it's accompanied by other deceptive behaviors.

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<v Speaker 4>And if we talk a little bit later about the

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<v Speaker 4>model for detecting deception, clusters are an important component of

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<v Speaker 4>that model. So more than just one deceptive behavior in

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<v Speaker 4>response to a stimulus, meaning a question or a statement,

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<v Speaker 4>that's what gets our attention. And so when they start

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<v Speaker 4>that deflection, deceptive people know that they can't just sit

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<v Speaker 4>there like the proverbial bump on a log and say nothing.

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<v Speaker 4>They have to say something. And so what they often

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<v Speaker 4>do is we'll try to lead us as stray by

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<v Speaker 4>talking about something they can comfortably talk about that you

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<v Speaker 4>might be interested to you and perhaps even a suage.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, what concerns they think you might have.

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<v Speaker 1>Are lies in the business world different or do they

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<v Speaker 1>exhibit different qualities to lies outside of the business world.

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<v Speaker 1>So I guess in criminal activity or maybe in intelligence gathering,

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<v Speaker 1>going back to your career at the CIA, are there

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<v Speaker 1>differences in the way those lies benifest.

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<v Speaker 4>The primary difference is tracy are the topics, but in reality,

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<v Speaker 4>the lying the behaviors remain the same. They're intrinsic to

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<v Speaker 4>human nature, and we have a very specific list of

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<v Speaker 4>behaviors that we are looking for. The biggest problem in

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<v Speaker 4>spotting lies if people are not trained, is when they

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<v Speaker 4>see something odd that happens, or something different or uncomfortable,

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<v Speaker 4>their instincts may kick in, but they might not recognize

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<v Speaker 4>what's going on, and they're only guessing at that point

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<v Speaker 4>as to whether they've just heard a line or not.

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<v Speaker 3>Why do we back up and talk about the framework

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<v Speaker 3>or the model that you first developed at the CIA.

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<v Speaker 3>I imagined that over the years it's been refined more

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<v Speaker 3>examples and you get better and better at applying it.

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<v Speaker 3>Why don't you just sort of just bring us back to, like,

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<v Speaker 3>what are the core, like underpinnings of your approach.

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<v Speaker 4>The core is that we have codified the behaviors, so

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<v Speaker 4>meaning that we've picked the behaviors that we know through

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<v Speaker 4>research and anecdotal evidence are the most reliable indicators. What

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<v Speaker 4>we learned in the early days is that many of

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<v Speaker 4>the traditional behaviors that we thought were good were not

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<v Speaker 4>and for example, take an eye contact for exams. Eye

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<v Speaker 4>contact is not nearly as reliable as people would think

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<v Speaker 4>it to be. Fact.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, now, both me and Tracy a big relief on that.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah yeah. Eye contact can be very different, especially in

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<v Speaker 4>different cultures, in different regions. I'm here in New York City.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, if I were to walk down the street,

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<v Speaker 4>you know and smiling and saying hi to people and

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<v Speaker 4>so forth, that wouldn't look very good, right, or it

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<v Speaker 4>probably wouldn't go over very well. But in the little

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<v Speaker 4>town where I live in the reverse would be true.

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<v Speaker 4>If I if I didn't smile, or if I didn't

0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:39.480
<v Speaker 4>you know, nod, or even you know, verbally greet someone,

0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:43.360
<v Speaker 4>they'll walk away with a different opinion. And so the

0:13:43.480 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 4>eye contact piece is just simply not as reliable as

0:13:48.080 --> 0:13:50.839
<v Speaker 4>we need it to be. The anecdotal evidence in our

0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:54.880
<v Speaker 4>world uh supports that, as as well as some major

0:13:54.920 --> 0:13:58.040
<v Speaker 4>research studies. Two in particular, one in the US and

0:13:58.080 --> 0:14:03.200
<v Speaker 4>one in London, strongly suggests that the deceptive person often

0:14:03.280 --> 0:14:07.160
<v Speaker 4>has better eye contact than the truthful person does, highly

0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:08.760
<v Speaker 4>likely because they're forcing it.

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 2>You know.

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 1>Earlier I was using the term bs and lie sort

0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 1>of interchangeably, but they're not exactly the same thing. And

0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:20.840
<v Speaker 1>in the business world, one thing that tends to happen

0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:25.920
<v Speaker 1>is you have people telling a good story about their business,

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:29.240
<v Speaker 1>and the story, you know, it might even be true.

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 1>That might be the way particularly ambitious executive sees things unfolding.

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:37.520
<v Speaker 1>I guess what I'm getting at is, how do you

0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:41.720
<v Speaker 1>tell the difference between an outright lie saying something fraudulent

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:45.880
<v Speaker 1>about their business versus someone who's like trying to sell

0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:49.800
<v Speaker 1>the optimistic best case scenario story.

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.440
<v Speaker 4>Okay, first of all, let me go back to the

0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 4>model itself. In the model, we're monitoring both their verbal

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.680
<v Speaker 4>behavior or what's commonly been refined to a body language,

0:15:02.040 --> 0:15:07.920
<v Speaker 4>and we're also monitoring their nonverbal behavior. What I said earlier,

0:15:07.920 --> 0:15:10.560
<v Speaker 4>we're monitoring their verbal behavior is what they say. The

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:15.000
<v Speaker 4>nonverbal is obviously what they don't say. And those both happened,

0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:20.080
<v Speaker 4>you know, often simultaneously or or in conjunction with a

0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 4>single response to a particular stimulus, and we're picking up

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:28.040
<v Speaker 4>on both of those. Now, what are we picking up?

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:32.520
<v Speaker 4>All of the behaviors that we use fit into five

0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:39.160
<v Speaker 4>psychological buckets. The first bucket is the evasion bucket. Okay,

0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 4>these are These are behaviors such as, you know, failing

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 4>to answer the question or qualifying the question. They're not

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 4>giving you some or all of what you want from them.

0:15:51.440 --> 0:15:55.680
<v Speaker 4>The second one is this persuasion bucket. And this is

0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 4>kind of tracy where you were leading to if I

0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:01.920
<v Speaker 4>if I heard you correctly, where someone's trying to tell

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:05.960
<v Speaker 4>you something positive or good because they can't tell you

0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:09.320
<v Speaker 4>the truth because the truth has consequences to it, so

0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:14.040
<v Speaker 4>they start using convincing statements, Oh, we would never do that.

0:16:14.160 --> 0:16:17.520
<v Speaker 4>We're a great company, we've been around forever, We've got

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:21.200
<v Speaker 4>the best team in the industry. And they're trying to

0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 4>convince you that you don't have to worry about, you know,

0:16:25.280 --> 0:16:28.720
<v Speaker 4>whatever it is or whatever topic that you surface to them.

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:33.720
<v Speaker 4>The third behavior is aggression behavior, sometimes referred to as

0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:39.720
<v Speaker 4>attack behavior. Sometimes it's very visibly or visible, other times

0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:42.480
<v Speaker 4>it's more nuanced. So for example, you ask someone a

0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 4>question and they say why are you asking that? And

0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:49.720
<v Speaker 4>or sometimes they say why are you asking me that?

0:16:50.200 --> 0:16:54.520
<v Speaker 4>You guys always ask these things. I've gone from you know,

0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 4>to five different banks today, and it seems like every

0:16:57.240 --> 0:17:01.040
<v Speaker 4>single person has this has fixated on this issue, and

0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:04.359
<v Speaker 4>so forth. They're trying to get you to back off.

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:08.840
<v Speaker 4>The fourth behavior is what we call manipulation. This is

0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 4>where they're manipulating the circumstances of the interaction to their favor.

0:17:14.240 --> 0:17:17.240
<v Speaker 4>A good example of that is when you ask them

0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:22.720
<v Speaker 4>a question and they repeat your question. Now, you might say, well, geez,

0:17:22.720 --> 0:17:25.640
<v Speaker 4>what value does that bring to them? Well, the value

0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 4>is that we think about ten times faster than we talk,

0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 4>So in that second or two to repeat the question

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:40.240
<v Speaker 4>could equate to twenty seconds of material to say or

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:43.919
<v Speaker 4>strategy to pursue, and that's how they stay up with it.

0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:46.359
<v Speaker 1>That was good media training, right. If you need to

0:17:46.359 --> 0:17:48.960
<v Speaker 1>buy yourself a little bit of time to formulate the

0:17:48.960 --> 0:17:51.240
<v Speaker 1>thoughts in your head, you repeat the question or say

0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 1>something nonscript what a great point, Joe, thank you so

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:56.760
<v Speaker 1>much for bringing that up.

0:17:57.119 --> 0:18:00.720
<v Speaker 4>A non answer statement is another one in the manipulation bucket,

0:18:01.000 --> 0:18:05.159
<v Speaker 4>and for the same purposes, it's buying time. The fifth

0:18:05.160 --> 0:18:09.720
<v Speaker 4>and final bucket is the reaction bucket, and this is

0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 4>again the body language when people respond either as a

0:18:15.320 --> 0:18:19.239
<v Speaker 4>result of the fight, flight or freeze response, or there

0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:22.040
<v Speaker 4>are a couple of other things that aren't caused necessarily

0:18:22.080 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 4>by that response. For example, something we call a verbal

0:18:26.160 --> 0:18:30.880
<v Speaker 4>nonverbal disconnect, where you ask someone a question and they're

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:34.520
<v Speaker 4>saying no, I wouldn't do that, and at the same

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 4>time they're nodding their head yes in response to the question.

0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:40.720
<v Speaker 4>You see that kind of thing. But the other big one,

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:45.120
<v Speaker 4>two big ones in the reaction bucket are when people

0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 4>have anchor point movements in response to something you ask

0:18:49.280 --> 0:18:52.400
<v Speaker 4>them or see them. I remember, early in the early

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:55.359
<v Speaker 4>days when I first started working in the investment world

0:18:55.800 --> 0:18:58.479
<v Speaker 4>at a hedge fund, and I was sitting there with

0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 4>the hedge fund manager interviewing a management team, and I

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 4>remember he asked someone a very direct question about what

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:10.760
<v Speaker 4>the street was saying was a problem, and the moment

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:14.520
<v Speaker 4>he started answering the question, he reached across the table

0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:19.480
<v Speaker 4>and started making huge sweeping gestures on the table. And

0:19:19.640 --> 0:19:23.919
<v Speaker 4>we call those grooming gestures or anchor point movements. And

0:19:23.960 --> 0:19:27.200
<v Speaker 4>it can be as simple as a swivel in the chair,

0:19:27.600 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 4>a leaning forward after answering, or in the midstore or

0:19:31.640 --> 0:19:34.719
<v Speaker 4>in preparation for answering your question leaning backwards.

0:19:35.920 --> 0:19:38.200
<v Speaker 3>In the case of the sweeping of the table that

0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:42.919
<v Speaker 3>they has, what is the respondent doing there implicitly or

0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:45.800
<v Speaker 3>why is that what makes that a tell or a edwy.

0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:49.280
<v Speaker 4>From a psychological standpoint, what he's doing is cleaning up

0:19:49.320 --> 0:19:53.359
<v Speaker 4>the surroundings. He in his mind, is making life better

0:19:53.440 --> 0:19:56.960
<v Speaker 4>at that moment, because right now life's terrible because he

0:19:56.960 --> 0:20:00.960
<v Speaker 4>doesn't have a great answer to the question. And that example,

0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:03.400
<v Speaker 4>by the way, the company went under a few weeks

0:20:03.480 --> 0:20:08.440
<v Speaker 4>later for the exact issue that he was doing. That's sweeping. Now,

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:12.800
<v Speaker 4>we don't rely on any one of these behaviors in

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:15.960
<v Speaker 4>response to the question. We're looking for a cluster two

0:20:16.080 --> 0:20:21.080
<v Speaker 4>or more deceptive indicators will tell us immediately that we

0:20:21.200 --> 0:20:24.960
<v Speaker 4>have more work to do. More work simply means not

0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:28.199
<v Speaker 4>that we're leaping to judgment, but that we're going to

0:20:28.240 --> 0:20:31.960
<v Speaker 4>ask more questions, We're going to follow up, or we're

0:20:31.960 --> 0:20:34.680
<v Speaker 4>going to talk to somebody else once they leave whatever,

0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:38.720
<v Speaker 4>or do research whatever. More work means. But the beauty

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:42.679
<v Speaker 4>of it is is that we don't get snookered, so

0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 4>to speak.

0:20:44.080 --> 0:20:47.960
<v Speaker 1>How often do you get false positives where you're interviewing

0:20:47.960 --> 0:20:51.159
<v Speaker 1>someone and you think this person is lying or there

0:20:51.200 --> 0:20:53.840
<v Speaker 1>are some bread flags here to suggest that maybe he's

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 1>not being one hundred percent truthful, and then you go

0:20:56.680 --> 0:20:59.960
<v Speaker 1>out you do additional info gathering as you were just describe,

0:21:00.280 --> 0:21:02.840
<v Speaker 1>and you find out, actually, maybe he's just a weird

0:21:02.880 --> 0:21:05.200
<v Speaker 1>guy or socially awkward or something like that.

0:21:05.280 --> 0:21:07.160
<v Speaker 2>Sure, Sure, he just likes to straighten up the table.

0:21:07.320 --> 0:21:14.160
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, very meticulous individual. More often than not not likely

0:21:14.240 --> 0:21:16.240
<v Speaker 4>to see. But if we're going to see one, it's

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:19.720
<v Speaker 4>likely going to be in a situation where we're dealing

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:24.880
<v Speaker 4>with multiple issues. So, for example, for Bradford years, we've

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:28.080
<v Speaker 4>done a ton of employment pre employment screening, especially for

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:32.359
<v Speaker 4>the senior executives, and there may be more than one

0:21:32.520 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 4>lie or more than one problem that they're worried about,

0:21:35.720 --> 0:21:40.280
<v Speaker 4>but because of something called psychological set, it means that

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:45.840
<v Speaker 4>they have a fixation or fear on one particular area

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:49.120
<v Speaker 4>of deception and they're not nearly as worried as much

0:21:49.119 --> 0:21:53.240
<v Speaker 4>about the other areas, And so most of their behavior

0:21:53.320 --> 0:21:57.400
<v Speaker 4>comes out on that particular issue that they're worried about,

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:01.320
<v Speaker 4>and as a result, we may miss you know, which

0:22:01.320 --> 0:22:05.280
<v Speaker 4>would be a false negative. But if our bias has

0:22:05.440 --> 0:22:08.240
<v Speaker 4>the pitchfork effect, in other words, we're thinking, oh, that

0:22:08.320 --> 0:22:11.200
<v Speaker 4>this guy's not telling the truth about anything, then we're

0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:14.960
<v Speaker 4>starting to see false positives, and it happens I.

0:22:14.920 --> 0:22:17.960
<v Speaker 3>Mean, I know you mentioned that eye contact is not

0:22:18.359 --> 0:22:22.199
<v Speaker 3>as robust as maybe people imagine in popular belief. But

0:22:22.280 --> 0:22:24.720
<v Speaker 3>I'm curiously in a world where more and more is

0:22:24.760 --> 0:22:29.560
<v Speaker 3>done zoom digitally, et cetera. Have you had to update

0:22:29.640 --> 0:22:32.119
<v Speaker 3>your tactics at all our approach? Can you talk a

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 3>little bit about lie detection in the pre and post

0:22:35.400 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 3>zoom era.

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:40.240
<v Speaker 4>Sure. We always, if we can, want to be doing

0:22:40.280 --> 0:22:44.080
<v Speaker 4>the interaction in person and in particular when we're there,

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:48.280
<v Speaker 4>whether we can do it overtly or even covertly, we

0:22:48.359 --> 0:22:52.040
<v Speaker 4>want to head to toe observance of them as we're

0:22:52.040 --> 0:22:55.600
<v Speaker 4>talking to them, because the behavior can leak out anywhere.

0:22:55.920 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 4>For example, you know, we know that the feet are

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 4>always an anchor point, and if the fight or flight

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:06.639
<v Speaker 4>response kicks in, it will often go to the feet first,

0:23:06.720 --> 0:23:11.120
<v Speaker 4>because that's our primary anchor point in life, and that's

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:13.840
<v Speaker 4>what gets us out of trouble, that's the escape mode

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:16.760
<v Speaker 4>and so forth. So we want to be able to

0:23:16.760 --> 0:23:21.159
<v Speaker 4>see those In the zoom we lose a lot. We

0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:25.040
<v Speaker 4>lose at least fifty percent of the reaction bucket, and

0:23:25.119 --> 0:23:28.320
<v Speaker 4>so we rely very heavily then or more heavily even

0:23:28.680 --> 0:23:32.359
<v Speaker 4>on the other four buckets, because those are all almost

0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:35.480
<v Speaker 4>completely related to the verbal activity.

0:23:36.080 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 1>What about eye contact in zoom, because I will admit

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:42.000
<v Speaker 1>I have a hard time focusing my eyes on zoom calls,

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:44.159
<v Speaker 1>partially because I don't want to look at the screen

0:23:44.320 --> 0:23:47.200
<v Speaker 1>and see myself when I'm talking. It's just very awkward,

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:49.200
<v Speaker 1>so I sort of look off in the distance.

0:23:49.240 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 4>Does that mean anything, No, Tracy, there are people that

0:23:52.880 --> 0:23:57.080
<v Speaker 4>will tell you the opposite, But our research and again

0:23:57.119 --> 0:24:00.280
<v Speaker 4>the anecdotal evidence, and a lot of your taxpayers he

0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:03.880
<v Speaker 4>has gone to, you know, to invalidate some of that.

0:24:04.480 --> 0:24:07.439
<v Speaker 4>When you're on zoom, one of the biggest problems you

0:24:07.560 --> 0:24:10.840
<v Speaker 4>have both as the interviewer, if you're the person asking

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:14.240
<v Speaker 4>the questions, or you know, if it's just a conversation,

0:24:14.840 --> 0:24:17.560
<v Speaker 4>one or the other is likely to experience what we

0:24:17.600 --> 0:24:22.440
<v Speaker 4>call mental drift, where when you're sitting there, you have

0:24:22.720 --> 0:24:27.639
<v Speaker 4>all kinds of distractors that are drawing your attention, whether

0:24:27.680 --> 0:24:30.600
<v Speaker 4>it's an email that pops up or a dialogue box

0:24:30.640 --> 0:24:33.919
<v Speaker 4>that pops up, whatever the case may be, or someone

0:24:34.000 --> 0:24:37.679
<v Speaker 4>sticks their head in the door or a sound outside

0:24:37.760 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 4>or whatever. It's so easy to become distracted, and it

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:44.919
<v Speaker 4>happens a lot and so we have to be very

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:49.080
<v Speaker 4>careful with, you know, using eye contact as a lie behavior,

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:49.840
<v Speaker 4>so to speak.

0:24:50.080 --> 0:24:53.080
<v Speaker 3>So in the CIA context, obviously a lot of people

0:24:53.119 --> 0:24:55.880
<v Speaker 3>engaged in intelligence gathering, it's good to.

0:24:55.880 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 2>Know if someone is being honest or not.

0:24:57.480 --> 0:24:59.560
<v Speaker 3>But I also have to imagine that in the CIA

0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:02.199
<v Speaker 3>content there are a handful of people for whom the

0:25:02.240 --> 0:25:05.400
<v Speaker 3>ability to lie is actually a valuable skill, including save

0:25:05.440 --> 0:25:08.880
<v Speaker 3>people who are going undercover in some situation which case

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:10.159
<v Speaker 3>deception is actually.

0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:10.560
<v Speaker 2>Part of the job.

0:25:10.920 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 3>Can we learn to be better liars? Can we learn

0:25:13.280 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 3>to identify our own leaks and tells and behaviors and

0:25:16.800 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 3>sweeps and anchors and pivots so that we come off

0:25:20.840 --> 0:25:23.160
<v Speaker 3>more trustworthy than we should be in some situations.

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:28.960
<v Speaker 4>Most of the time, when people try to avoid light detection,

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:33.280
<v Speaker 4>they're doing two things. Number one is they're trying not

0:25:33.440 --> 0:25:38.600
<v Speaker 4>to do things that everyone believes is obviously a deceptive behavior.

0:25:39.440 --> 0:25:43.959
<v Speaker 4>The second is they try to do things that and

0:25:44.000 --> 0:25:48.680
<v Speaker 4>focus on things that mask or carve out the other

0:25:48.800 --> 0:25:52.439
<v Speaker 4>behaviors that sound better, so to speak. And we know

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:57.440
<v Speaker 4>that because once we develop this methodology in the CI

0:25:57.560 --> 0:26:01.520
<v Speaker 4>was the principal developer of both the model and the training,

0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:06.960
<v Speaker 4>we started training federal law enforcement, and they loved the

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:10.480
<v Speaker 4>training we in fact did years ago before Homeland Security

0:26:10.960 --> 0:26:15.240
<v Speaker 4>with the US Customs down at the southern California border.

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:17.480
<v Speaker 4>We did a lot of training for them, and they

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:20.480
<v Speaker 4>actually did a study, a little mini study, to see

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:25.040
<v Speaker 4>how well this worked, and it showed that their agents

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 4>were much much more better skilled at spotting who has

0:26:30.040 --> 0:26:32.439
<v Speaker 4>the contraband versus who doesn't.

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:50.040
<v Speaker 1>I mentioned in the intro that we hadn't done much

0:26:50.080 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 1>prep for this particular conversation. That was in fact a lie,

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:54.880
<v Speaker 1>because I've done a little bit of prep. But one

0:26:54.880 --> 0:26:56.720
<v Speaker 1>of the things I saw that I thought was really

0:26:56.760 --> 0:27:00.719
<v Speaker 1>interesting was a bit where you were talking about cognitive

0:27:01.040 --> 0:27:05.280
<v Speaker 1>dissonance and how that feeds into asking the right questions

0:27:05.480 --> 0:27:10.480
<v Speaker 1>or interrogation techniques. And you are basically suggesting that someone

0:27:10.840 --> 0:27:15.320
<v Speaker 1>who is lying or misrepresenting the facts is dealing with

0:27:15.400 --> 0:27:18.400
<v Speaker 1>cognitive dissonance because more likely than not, they still think

0:27:18.440 --> 0:27:21.560
<v Speaker 1>of themselves as a good person even though they've done

0:27:21.760 --> 0:27:25.399
<v Speaker 1>or are doing a bad thing. And so the idea

0:27:25.440 --> 0:27:28.960
<v Speaker 1>is to allow them space to sort of deal or

0:27:29.000 --> 0:27:33.080
<v Speaker 1>sort through that cognitive dissonance out loud to you and

0:27:33.280 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 1>provide a narrative that explains their behavior. Is that a

0:27:37.760 --> 0:27:40.520
<v Speaker 1>useful technique in business as well, like the idea of

0:27:40.560 --> 0:27:44.880
<v Speaker 1>just providing people space to try to walk through their

0:27:44.920 --> 0:27:46.679
<v Speaker 1>mindset at a particular time.

0:27:47.400 --> 0:27:51.919
<v Speaker 4>If you really want them to be truthful with you, your

0:27:51.080 --> 0:27:57.200
<v Speaker 4>demeanor is very important, number one. Number two, you need

0:27:57.280 --> 0:28:03.320
<v Speaker 4>to present yourself as doing your job, whatever your job.

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:06.480
<v Speaker 4>If you're an investment analyst, you know, for example, if

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:11.600
<v Speaker 4>you simply you know, present the questions or the opening monologue,

0:28:11.680 --> 0:28:14.119
<v Speaker 4>you know, to the meeting, saying hey, listen, you know,

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:16.439
<v Speaker 4>let me just say up front, we're really interested in

0:28:16.480 --> 0:28:20.280
<v Speaker 4>you guys, but I really need to ask some direct questions,

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:22.480
<v Speaker 4>so please if I don't mean to offend you or

0:28:22.520 --> 0:28:25.800
<v Speaker 4>anything of that nature. And then you lower their guard

0:28:25.880 --> 0:28:29.760
<v Speaker 4>a little bit. And it's amazing. Just simply opening up

0:28:29.840 --> 0:28:34.800
<v Speaker 4>the conversation that way and then presenting your question in

0:28:34.840 --> 0:28:39.320
<v Speaker 4>a non threatening manner, you can begin to get people

0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:44.520
<v Speaker 4>to open up. There is another methodology that we use

0:28:45.200 --> 0:28:49.160
<v Speaker 4>if and when we think that someone is lying and

0:28:49.200 --> 0:28:52.200
<v Speaker 4>we have the green light from the client to use

0:28:52.240 --> 0:28:57.160
<v Speaker 4>that methodology, and it is much different than what you

0:28:57.200 --> 0:29:02.400
<v Speaker 4>would think of as interrogation. It's a persuasion technique that

0:29:02.560 --> 0:29:06.720
<v Speaker 4>is enormously effective, and sometimes you get the whole story.

0:29:06.760 --> 0:29:09.200
<v Speaker 4>Most of the time, though you get at least more

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 4>than they'd given up at that particular point.

0:29:11.960 --> 0:29:13.960
<v Speaker 3>Could you explain that a little bit further? What's this

0:29:14.080 --> 0:29:14.760
<v Speaker 3>approach about?

0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:18.400
<v Speaker 4>Sure? I once had a hat in my office It said,

0:29:18.440 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 4>if your lips are moving, you're lying, okay, And in reality,

0:29:24.240 --> 0:29:27.480
<v Speaker 4>if I think the person's lying, I want to go

0:29:27.560 --> 0:29:29.959
<v Speaker 4>for a period of time where their lips are not moving.

0:29:30.600 --> 0:29:33.640
<v Speaker 4>I want to be the one talking to them, and

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:36.960
<v Speaker 4>I'm going to be not saying random things. I'm going

0:29:37.000 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 4>to be using very selective influence techniques that will help

0:29:44.040 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 4>me make it easier in their mind at that moment

0:29:48.960 --> 0:29:54.200
<v Speaker 4>to fess up. And we've used these techniques on spies,

0:29:54.560 --> 0:29:59.520
<v Speaker 4>on criminals, on double agents. I know I have three

0:29:59.600 --> 0:30:03.960
<v Speaker 4>confess essions from double agents in my career at the agency,

0:30:04.120 --> 0:30:07.440
<v Speaker 4>and to get a confession from a double agent is

0:30:08.080 --> 0:30:11.440
<v Speaker 4>like solving the most major crime you can you know

0:30:11.520 --> 0:30:13.440
<v Speaker 4>you can solve, so to speak, in our world.

0:30:13.480 --> 0:30:14.719
<v Speaker 2>So what does that sound like?

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:14.800
<v Speaker 4>Like?

0:30:14.840 --> 0:30:16.240
<v Speaker 3>How do you like what are some of the things

0:30:16.240 --> 0:30:16.520
<v Speaker 3>you say?

0:30:16.680 --> 0:30:16.880
<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

0:30:16.920 --> 0:30:18.600
<v Speaker 1>Do they actually admit it? Do they go like, oh

0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:20.280
<v Speaker 1>you got me, I'm a double agent, but.

0:30:20.280 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 3>Like yeah, and how like what are the things you

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:23.880
<v Speaker 3>say to like put them in that framework.

0:30:23.480 --> 0:30:27.680
<v Speaker 4>Like that that is is a longer monologue, so to speak,

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 4>if you will. And so you know, if you think

0:30:30.360 --> 0:30:33.600
<v Speaker 4>about the interview and interaction, it's a dialogue. And so

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:36.080
<v Speaker 4>when we go in the monologue mode, we're in the

0:30:36.800 --> 0:30:42.560
<v Speaker 4>in that direct elicitation mode. And it sounds very low key,

0:30:43.240 --> 0:30:46.200
<v Speaker 4>so different than what you see in the movies where

0:30:46.480 --> 0:30:50.240
<v Speaker 4>somebody starts, you know, the conversation by yelling, you know,

0:30:50.280 --> 0:30:53.320
<v Speaker 4>screaming you better tell me or you know, we're gonna

0:30:53.400 --> 0:30:59.200
<v Speaker 4>and they list a series of consequences. We do the reverse.

0:30:59.760 --> 0:31:04.560
<v Speaker 4>We lower our voice, we start talking. We start telling

0:31:04.640 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 4>them reasons why people have done this and that we

0:31:08.400 --> 0:31:13.360
<v Speaker 4>understand those reasons. So there are just a lot of

0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:17.720
<v Speaker 4>different categories of things that we can say and do

0:31:18.680 --> 0:31:22.479
<v Speaker 4>that make it easier and over time to talk about it.

0:31:22.840 --> 0:31:26.240
<v Speaker 4>And often it doesn't come out as the big confession.

0:31:26.920 --> 0:31:31.360
<v Speaker 4>It often comes out as an admission about something related

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:35.160
<v Speaker 4>to it. And then we take that admission and it's

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:38.440
<v Speaker 4>like a thread or perhaps peeling the onion to use

0:31:38.480 --> 0:31:42.800
<v Speaker 4>another metaphor, and you start just peeling or tugging and

0:31:43.160 --> 0:31:46.680
<v Speaker 4>you begin to get the information.

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:48.960
<v Speaker 1>That reminds me, actually this is a little bit media

0:31:49.120 --> 0:31:52.440
<v Speaker 1>naval gaisy. But Joe and I have talked about this before,

0:31:52.480 --> 0:31:55.360
<v Speaker 1>but every once in a while we will get comments

0:31:55.400 --> 0:31:57.880
<v Speaker 1>saying like, Oh, I wish you'd pushed back on this

0:31:58.000 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 1>point a little bit more in the interviewer. Why didn't

0:32:00.680 --> 0:32:04.600
<v Speaker 1>you press them on this particular point. And it feels

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:09.280
<v Speaker 1>like people have an idea in their heads that like,

0:32:09.360 --> 0:32:13.880
<v Speaker 1>if you just ask the right question enough times, eventually

0:32:13.920 --> 0:32:17.520
<v Speaker 1>you'll get that kind of gotcha moment from the interviewee

0:32:17.520 --> 0:32:20.000
<v Speaker 1>and they'll just throw their hands up and say like, oh,

0:32:20.120 --> 0:32:23.080
<v Speaker 1>you're right, I'm completely wrong, blah blah blah blah. But

0:32:23.280 --> 0:32:27.000
<v Speaker 1>that hardly ever happens in my experience, Like even the

0:32:27.040 --> 0:32:31.440
<v Speaker 1>best interviewers in the world, it's difficult to elicit that

0:32:31.480 --> 0:32:35.760
<v Speaker 1>particular reaction because everyone is so on guard for that

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:39.120
<v Speaker 1>like major admission. So it's interesting that you sort of

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:42.320
<v Speaker 1>you go for the smaller admissions that maybe are tangential

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 1>to that, and then try to pull those threats.

0:32:44.840 --> 0:32:48.600
<v Speaker 4>In some cases yes, in some cases no, we're reading

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:51.960
<v Speaker 4>them very closely as we're talking to them. If we

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:56.840
<v Speaker 4>think that they're prone to confessing the you know, yes

0:32:56.920 --> 0:32:59.880
<v Speaker 4>I killed them, or yes I we cook the books,

0:33:00.120 --> 0:33:03.280
<v Speaker 4>or yes we did this, then we'll go for that.

0:33:03.920 --> 0:33:07.480
<v Speaker 4>But if it's clear that they're being cagey and they're

0:33:07.520 --> 0:33:11.160
<v Speaker 4>trying to dance around the issues and so forth, then

0:33:11.240 --> 0:33:16.360
<v Speaker 4>we'll go for much smaller chunks of information. And it's

0:33:16.440 --> 0:33:20.240
<v Speaker 4>very effective. And keep in mind the more questions you

0:33:20.520 --> 0:33:23.320
<v Speaker 4>ask someone a human being. But we know from the

0:33:23.320 --> 0:33:30.320
<v Speaker 4>behavioralist is that every time a person lies, their resistance doubles.

0:33:30.920 --> 0:33:33.880
<v Speaker 4>So if you were keeping score and you were lying

0:33:34.000 --> 0:33:36.920
<v Speaker 4>to me and I said, Tracy, did you do it?

0:33:37.480 --> 0:33:40.880
<v Speaker 4>And you say no, you get two points for your answer,

0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:43.480
<v Speaker 4>but I only get one for my question. And then

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:46.560
<v Speaker 4>I ask it again in some other other way, and

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 4>now the score is four to two, and then eight

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:50.360
<v Speaker 4>to three, and so on and so forth.

0:33:51.000 --> 0:33:52.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm sort of building up a wall.

0:33:52.560 --> 0:33:57.000
<v Speaker 4>I guess exactly. That's a great analogy, you're great metaphor.

0:33:56.760 --> 0:33:57.600
<v Speaker 2>Does everyone lie?

0:33:58.840 --> 0:34:02.480
<v Speaker 4>The research set as that in the western world, meaning

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:06.680
<v Speaker 4>in the in the Western hemisphere, that the average person

0:34:06.840 --> 0:34:11.560
<v Speaker 4>lies at least ten times every day. Now, now they

0:34:11.640 --> 0:34:15.920
<v Speaker 4>include in those lies, you know, in the metrics for

0:34:16.000 --> 0:34:19.319
<v Speaker 4>that research, they include what we call you know, the

0:34:19.360 --> 0:34:22.200
<v Speaker 4>white lies. I like to call them the smart lies.

0:34:22.280 --> 0:34:25.200
<v Speaker 4>If I go home from this trip and my wife

0:34:25.200 --> 0:34:28.240
<v Speaker 4>has a new hairdo and I and my immediate thought

0:34:28.360 --> 0:34:30.920
<v Speaker 4>is yikes, and she goes, hey, honey, how do you

0:34:31.000 --> 0:34:33.600
<v Speaker 4>like my you know, my hairdew, I'm definitely not going

0:34:33.680 --> 0:34:37.480
<v Speaker 4>to say yikes, but I'm going to try to soften

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:41.040
<v Speaker 4>the blow, you know, at a minimum. And if I

0:34:41.080 --> 0:34:43.880
<v Speaker 4>can get away with all, that's nice. And then you

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:47.279
<v Speaker 4>know she'll she'll pick up on something. She worked for

0:34:47.320 --> 0:34:48.200
<v Speaker 4>the agency as.

0:34:48.040 --> 0:34:51.360
<v Speaker 2>Well, So it's got to be Yeah, that's so easy.

0:34:51.400 --> 0:34:52.920
<v Speaker 4>It's a two hit short. You're going to be very

0:34:53.000 --> 0:34:53.640
<v Speaker 4>very careful.

0:34:53.920 --> 0:34:57.759
<v Speaker 1>Wow, communication in your household must be both excellent and

0:34:57.840 --> 0:35:01.160
<v Speaker 1>at times fraud but phil At times. You have been

0:35:01.200 --> 0:35:04.960
<v Speaker 1>described as the human polygraph. I think, can we play

0:35:05.040 --> 0:35:06.800
<v Speaker 1>a little game, a little live spotting?

0:35:08.160 --> 0:35:11.160
<v Speaker 4>You can, but I will tell you up front that

0:35:11.560 --> 0:35:17.400
<v Speaker 4>what causes deceptive behaviors is the fear of detection, and

0:35:17.480 --> 0:35:21.800
<v Speaker 4>so parler games, it's difficult, if not impossible, to spot

0:35:21.840 --> 0:35:25.120
<v Speaker 4>the deception because the person doesn't have any fear. The

0:35:26.120 --> 0:35:29.040
<v Speaker 4>game is and they know and they know how the

0:35:29.080 --> 0:35:29.960
<v Speaker 4>path to win it.

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Oh, maybe it's not a good idea.

0:35:32.000 --> 0:35:33.560
<v Speaker 3>Though, I want to know what your lie was going

0:35:33.600 --> 0:35:35.680
<v Speaker 3>to be, Tracy, I'll give it a shot as well.

0:35:35.719 --> 0:35:39.279
<v Speaker 1>And okay, all right, Three things. Number One, I went

0:35:39.320 --> 0:35:42.120
<v Speaker 1>on vacation to Brazil and it is my favorite place

0:35:42.120 --> 0:35:45.880
<v Speaker 1>in the world. Number two, I have a corky named Pablo.

0:35:46.239 --> 0:35:50.320
<v Speaker 1>He just turned four. Number three, I want saying karaoke

0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:51.960
<v Speaker 1>with sir Ian McKellen.

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:54.560
<v Speaker 2>I think I know the answer.

0:35:54.680 --> 0:35:56.400
<v Speaker 1>I think you might know something because I just like

0:35:56.400 --> 0:35:59.200
<v Speaker 1>of enough, like you're.

0:35:58.960 --> 0:36:04.360
<v Speaker 4>You're you're exhibiting almost zero deceptive behavior. So I if

0:36:04.400 --> 0:36:06.560
<v Speaker 4>I were forced, I would have picked number one.

0:36:06.920 --> 0:36:10.040
<v Speaker 3>Oh that's right, that's right, that's right. That was there

0:36:10.120 --> 0:36:11.120
<v Speaker 3>something at all in the way.

0:36:11.160 --> 0:36:15.200
<v Speaker 4>She said that absolutely, she she went to the persuasion bucket.

0:36:15.520 --> 0:36:19.000
<v Speaker 4>To the others, she didn't there was nothing persuasively.

0:36:19.000 --> 0:36:20.160
<v Speaker 3>Wait, what did she say?

0:36:20.640 --> 0:36:21.279
<v Speaker 2>How did she phrase?

0:36:21.480 --> 0:36:23.720
<v Speaker 4>She said? That was? She says, I went on vacation

0:36:23.880 --> 0:36:28.040
<v Speaker 4>to Brazil and that's my favorite place in the whole world.

0:36:27.800 --> 0:36:31.200
<v Speaker 1>I emphasized it, and I don't normally emphasize words.

0:36:31.840 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 3>That's really good. That was really good because like I

0:36:34.080 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 3>knew it because I had heard you talk about karaoke

0:36:36.160 --> 0:36:38.240
<v Speaker 3>and I know your dog, so I just knew it, Brazil,

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:41.719
<v Speaker 3>but I did not pick up on your embellishment of

0:36:41.800 --> 0:36:42.239
<v Speaker 3>that fact.

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:45.320
<v Speaker 1>So this is I swear, this is such a frightening

0:36:45.400 --> 0:36:47.760
<v Speaker 1>episode for people who talk for a living.

0:36:48.560 --> 0:36:51.480
<v Speaker 3>Do polygraphs work. You mentioned you're the human polygraph but

0:36:51.520 --> 0:36:53.960
<v Speaker 3>where do we stand the conventional wisdom on actual.

0:36:53.760 --> 0:36:58.160
<v Speaker 4>Polygraphs in the in the hands of a well trained polygrapher,

0:36:58.760 --> 0:36:59.839
<v Speaker 4>they're incredible.

0:37:00.120 --> 0:37:03.480
<v Speaker 1>Oh really, yeah, Maybe just to boil it all down,

0:37:03.680 --> 0:37:08.120
<v Speaker 1>what is your top tip for spotting lies in the

0:37:08.160 --> 0:37:08.880
<v Speaker 1>business world?

0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:14.480
<v Speaker 4>At a minimum, pay attention to the evasion bucket. So

0:37:14.680 --> 0:37:18.640
<v Speaker 4>whether it's in a pre employment interview you're doing, whether

0:37:18.719 --> 0:37:22.200
<v Speaker 4>it's in an m and A situation, whether it's in

0:37:22.200 --> 0:37:27.840
<v Speaker 4>an employee malfeason situation, if they don't answer your question,

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:32.640
<v Speaker 4>and if they don't answer it entirely, don't think of

0:37:32.680 --> 0:37:36.280
<v Speaker 4>yourself as a human light detector, but take that as

0:37:36.560 --> 0:37:41.000
<v Speaker 4>a catalyst for doing more work. I give you a

0:37:41.000 --> 0:37:45.960
<v Speaker 4>great example. I remember interviewing a very senior executive candidate

0:37:46.400 --> 0:37:51.320
<v Speaker 4>at a Fortune two hundred company, and they love this guy.

0:37:51.440 --> 0:37:54.920
<v Speaker 4>Everybody had interviewed him, they loved him. And when I

0:37:55.040 --> 0:37:58.560
<v Speaker 4>interviewed him after the one hour interview, I walked back

0:37:58.600 --> 0:38:01.120
<v Speaker 4>out into the CEO's office. They said what did you think?

0:38:01.200 --> 0:38:04.600
<v Speaker 4>And I said, well, he's got a lot going for him.

0:38:05.080 --> 0:38:08.280
<v Speaker 4>But the problem I'm concerned about is he's been either

0:38:08.440 --> 0:38:13.160
<v Speaker 4>fired or separated involuntarily from his last five jobs.

0:38:13.520 --> 0:38:14.279
<v Speaker 1>How did you know that?

0:38:14.719 --> 0:38:18.640
<v Speaker 4>Because when I ask him the first time, I asked

0:38:18.719 --> 0:38:22.040
<v Speaker 4>the normal questions, but then I ask a question that

0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:26.600
<v Speaker 4>no one typically asks. So somebody comes in and says, oh,

0:38:26.800 --> 0:38:31.080
<v Speaker 4>we had a restructuring and you know I was thinking

0:38:31.120 --> 0:38:34.440
<v Speaker 4>about maybe changing jobs. So I put up my hand

0:38:34.480 --> 0:38:37.279
<v Speaker 4>and said, I you know, hey, I'll be glad to

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:41.560
<v Speaker 4>take one of those or whatever and so, and people say, okay,

0:38:41.560 --> 0:38:43.080
<v Speaker 4>that makes sense. We hear a lot of people that

0:38:43.200 --> 0:38:47.800
<v Speaker 4>do that, but they fail to ask the simple question,

0:38:48.520 --> 0:38:51.479
<v Speaker 4>could you have stayed if you wanted to? Wow?

0:38:51.640 --> 0:38:54.120
<v Speaker 3>I just have one more small question, out of curiosity,

0:38:54.800 --> 0:38:57.640
<v Speaker 3>have you or anyone approached you or is there any

0:38:57.640 --> 0:39:01.360
<v Speaker 3>work on AI machine learning of pro just to lie detection?

0:39:01.440 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 3>If you have all these video of interrogations and texts

0:39:04.680 --> 0:39:07.520
<v Speaker 3>and documents other is there any work being done on

0:39:07.560 --> 0:39:08.040
<v Speaker 3>that approach?

0:39:08.160 --> 0:39:10.560
<v Speaker 4>Joe, I'm so glad you asked. We are working on

0:39:10.640 --> 0:39:15.560
<v Speaker 4>it furiously and we've already had some success and we're

0:39:15.600 --> 0:39:16.960
<v Speaker 4>making great progress.

0:39:17.440 --> 0:39:20.120
<v Speaker 1>Exciting stuff, all right, Phil Houston, thank you so much

0:39:20.200 --> 0:39:22.960
<v Speaker 1>for coming on all thoughts and telling us how to

0:39:23.320 --> 0:39:25.120
<v Speaker 1>spy the lie. I appreciate it.

0:39:25.320 --> 0:39:26.839
<v Speaker 4>Thank you guys. It's been fun.

0:39:26.880 --> 0:39:28.480
<v Speaker 2>That was really fun. Thank you so fun.

0:39:28.600 --> 0:39:44.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it was terrifying and fun. Joe, that was really fun.

0:39:45.000 --> 0:39:48.200
<v Speaker 3>I was super impressed that he caught your lie. I know,

0:39:48.360 --> 0:39:50.480
<v Speaker 3>especially because, as you said, you don't make sense that

0:39:50.600 --> 0:39:54.000
<v Speaker 3>parlor games when the stakes aren't really there, that you're

0:39:54.000 --> 0:39:55.560
<v Speaker 3>not going to have that same response, but that he

0:39:55.760 --> 0:39:59.239
<v Speaker 3>caught that embellishment your first question and flagged it.

0:39:59.600 --> 0:40:02.200
<v Speaker 1>And it's definitely going to make me think about what

0:40:02.280 --> 0:40:04.080
<v Speaker 1>words I'm emphasizing you.

0:40:04.920 --> 0:40:08.120
<v Speaker 3>Didn't mean to like at that point, right, No, Like

0:40:08.160 --> 0:40:09.840
<v Speaker 3>you didn't think I'm going to give a little clue

0:40:09.920 --> 0:40:11.600
<v Speaker 3>here on this one right now. No, I s not

0:40:11.800 --> 0:40:14.440
<v Speaker 3>voluntarily offered up a clue that, like you did not

0:40:14.520 --> 0:40:14.960
<v Speaker 3>intend to.

0:40:15.239 --> 0:40:18.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean I tried to make them like fairly neutral.

0:40:18.200 --> 0:40:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Obviously you have to say something, but I was trying

0:40:20.560 --> 0:40:23.640
<v Speaker 1>to make each of them like roughly similar to the others.

0:40:23.640 --> 0:40:27.279
<v Speaker 1>But he absolutely nailed it. No, I thought that entire

0:40:27.320 --> 0:40:31.360
<v Speaker 1>conversation was really interesting, especially given that our day jobs

0:40:31.520 --> 0:40:34.640
<v Speaker 1>is to interview people, and the idea of like, maybe

0:40:34.680 --> 0:40:38.520
<v Speaker 1>you don't seek out the big admission if people are

0:40:38.640 --> 0:40:41.680
<v Speaker 1>cagey or if they're in pr mode and you know

0:40:41.719 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 1>they have a story that they want to tell, but

0:40:43.640 --> 0:40:47.359
<v Speaker 1>maybe you try to nibble around the edges at smaller admissions.

0:40:47.440 --> 0:40:49.640
<v Speaker 3>Well. And the other thing too is even if we're

0:40:49.680 --> 0:40:51.880
<v Speaker 3>not in our jobs like trying to like, you know,

0:40:51.920 --> 0:40:54.520
<v Speaker 3>most of our interviews aren't like gotcha now views, But

0:40:54.600 --> 0:40:58.160
<v Speaker 3>I think that there's something to be gleaned about question

0:40:58.400 --> 0:41:02.200
<v Speaker 3>structure and what is it that's going to elicit the

0:41:02.239 --> 0:41:05.520
<v Speaker 3>most fruitful answer? And so even in his first example,

0:41:05.560 --> 0:41:08.520
<v Speaker 3>are you concerned about X? It seems like that's the

0:41:08.600 --> 0:41:11.160
<v Speaker 3>question we might ask on a range of things. Are

0:41:11.160 --> 0:41:13.239
<v Speaker 3>you concerned about what AI is going to do to

0:41:13.280 --> 0:41:15.880
<v Speaker 3>your business? Are you're concerned about what the energy transition

0:41:16.040 --> 0:41:19.040
<v Speaker 3>is going to do to your oil company? Versus? Maybe

0:41:19.120 --> 0:41:21.640
<v Speaker 3>we can frame it as what are your biggest concerns

0:41:21.680 --> 0:41:23.960
<v Speaker 3>about how AI will affect your business? What are your

0:41:24.040 --> 0:41:26.920
<v Speaker 3>biggest concerns about the energy transition? Even when we're not

0:41:27.000 --> 0:41:29.200
<v Speaker 3>trying to catch people in a lie, there's probably good

0:41:29.280 --> 0:41:32.000
<v Speaker 3>lessons and hear about higher quality questions.

0:41:31.640 --> 0:41:32.120
<v Speaker 4>Just in general.

0:41:32.320 --> 0:41:36.440
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely also asking the questions that other people haven't asked yet.

0:41:36.640 --> 0:41:38.640
<v Speaker 1>We do try to do that, Like sometimes we ask

0:41:38.719 --> 0:41:42.160
<v Speaker 1>the obvious questions. Yeah, and they're the most interesting ones,

0:41:42.200 --> 0:41:44.920
<v Speaker 1>but no one has asked them before because they seem

0:41:45.080 --> 0:41:48.920
<v Speaker 1>so obvious. Totally, Well, anyway, shall we leave it there?

0:41:49.000 --> 0:41:49.719
<v Speaker 2>Let's leave it there.

0:41:49.920 --> 0:41:52.880
<v Speaker 1>This has been another episode of the Odd Thoughts podcast.

0:41:52.960 --> 0:41:56.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway.

0:41:56.080 --> 0:41:58.960
<v Speaker 3>And I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me at the Stalwart.

0:41:59.320 --> 0:42:02.719
<v Speaker 3>Check out the book Spy the Live former CIA officers

0:42:02.760 --> 0:42:06.240
<v Speaker 3>teach you how to detect deception from our guest Phil Houston,

0:42:06.320 --> 0:42:10.160
<v Speaker 3>follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen armand Dashel Bennett

0:42:10.160 --> 0:42:13.319
<v Speaker 3>at Dashbot and kil Brooks at Cale Brooks. And thank

0:42:13.360 --> 0:42:16.680
<v Speaker 3>you to our producer Moses ondm and from our Oddlogs content.

0:42:16.760 --> 0:42:19.760
<v Speaker 3>Go to Bloomberg dot com slash odd Lots. Weable blog

0:42:19.920 --> 0:42:23.239
<v Speaker 3>transcription in the newsletter, and check out the Discord chat

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<v Speaker 3>twenty four to seven with fellow listeners Discord dot gg

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<v Speaker 4>In