1 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. So Frank, yesterday we 2 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 1: did a live recording of Votonomics here at Bloomberg and 3 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: it was very, very striking because at one point John Michaelswaye, 4 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 1: who's the editor in chief, he asked the audience of 5 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: about one hundred and fifty people in the room, how 6 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: many of you know somebody who who's thinking of leaving 7 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: the UK because of possible changes to taxes. And you know, 8 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: normally in those kinds of questions, you get a handful 9 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: of hands go up, but it was it looked to 10 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: us from the stage like at least three quarters. I 11 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 1: don't know whether that's accurate, but it looked it looked 12 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 1: like every sort of almost not everybody, but a lot 13 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 1: of people put their hands up. 14 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:44,560 Speaker 2: And so I wonder whether it's like non dame rules 15 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 2: or people, or whether people actually go through or they're 16 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 2: just saying that they know people that are vibes kind 17 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 2: of angry, bad vibes, good vibes only on this podcast, 18 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 2: so or whether they'll actually follow through totally agree. 19 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: Like, firstly, there's there's a number of things being discussed, 20 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: and each one of them things could be worrying the 21 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: very well off, but equally it could be the kind 22 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 1: of whole package and this sense of is this any 23 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,199 Speaker 1: more going to be the place to call my home? 24 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: So this week we're going to unpack all of that 25 00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 1: what might be driving the very well off or super 26 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:19,760 Speaker 1: rich to leave the United Kingdom. I'm Alagri Stratton. I'm 27 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 1: Francy Laqua and this is in the City. 28 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 3: Welcome to the City of London, the city of the 29 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 3: City of London. 30 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: Leave mine a gap between the and the financial heart 31 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 2: of the country. 32 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 3: The city, the city. 33 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: Welcome to in the city. Then clear of the doors. 34 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 3: Pe okay. 35 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 1: So with us in the studio, we've got City Editor 36 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: Katherine Griffiths, who's familiar I think to lots of in 37 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: the city listeners, and reporter Ben Stupples. Now, Ben, you 38 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 1: have a brilliant title. You're you're not just a super 39 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: rich reporter, but you're an ultra rich reporter, ultra wealth reporter. 40 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 2: Forgiven wealth. 41 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 1: Is there a difference. 42 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:13,799 Speaker 3: It sounds really snooty, doesn't it, But it actually does 43 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,359 Speaker 3: make a difference. If you're a banker and you're a 44 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 3: private banker, obviously, if you're serving someone who's worth five 45 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 3: hundred thousand. With liquid assets, it's different. You can do 46 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 3: you can do a fewer things and say someone who's 47 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 3: worth five hundred million and above. So the banker's definition 48 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,360 Speaker 3: would be thirty million pounds of dollars and above in 49 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 3: liquid assets. So that's my game, is above that threshold. 50 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: I love it. 51 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 2: Liquid assets is usually worth five percent of their re portfolio. 52 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, do the math. 53 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 2: So it's basically the billionaires of the world. 54 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, oh the Yeah, the people who we read about, 55 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 3: the newsmakers of this world. People we read about the 56 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 3: newspapers are sort of the people I cover. The founders, 57 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 3: business founders, all that sort of stuff. They keep me, 58 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 3: keep me pretty busy at the moment. 59 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 1: So just quick fire, Catherine. Are the super rich worried 60 00:02:57,480 --> 00:02:57,839 Speaker 1: right now? 61 00:02:59,240 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 3: Yeah? 62 00:02:59,520 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: They are. 63 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 4: They are worried, definitely. I think before the election they 64 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 4: had been encouraged to get comfortable with Kissed Arma and 65 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 4: Rachel Reeves saying that they loved the wealthy, they loved profits, 66 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 4: they loved success, wealth creation. Wealth creation was fantastic. There 67 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 4: was sort of Tony Blair vibes going on, and now 68 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:22,080 Speaker 4: they're hearing is all doom and gloom in the UK 69 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:24,639 Speaker 4: and they've heard the Prime Minister talking about those with 70 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 4: the broadest shoulders having to take the biggest burden. So 71 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:28,519 Speaker 4: they are somewhat worried. 72 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: Yes, and what about your people? 73 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:33,920 Speaker 3: They are? I think it's very safe to say that 74 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 3: they are really concerned. There wasn't really a any We 75 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 3: have lobby groups for all sorts, but actually the non doms, 76 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 3: just to categorize what they are, there's a typically artcha 77 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 3: hein not worth individuals the type that I cover, they 78 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 3: when they come to the UK obviously the normally from overseas, 79 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 3: they don't pay UK tax and that overseas wealth that's 80 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 3: their income and earnings. It's a good tax perk in exchange. 81 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:58,120 Speaker 3: Initially they can claim it for free. In the long 82 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 3: run it costs them as much as sixty They are worried. 83 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 3: They didn't really have a lobby group before. Now they do, 84 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 3: which she wrote about this week's Yeah, that's a big deal. 85 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 3: So they have broken cover through us to say that 86 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 3: they are really concerned, and they actually met for the 87 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 3: first time as a group at UK Treasury officials and 88 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:20,039 Speaker 3: HMRC UK tax officials last week. It's a big deal 89 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 3: because unlike previous reforms the UK, the government isn't actually 90 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 3: offering any official consultation here, so they're really knocking on 91 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 3: the door literally. 92 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: But then so this is, you know, they have a 93 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 2: new government to lobby who've been in power Central lifeifs, 94 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 2: but essentially it was actually the previous government that changed, 95 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 2: you know, initially the non dom rules. So are they 96 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,719 Speaker 2: upset now because they don't really know what happens because 97 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 2: there's no official consultation or are they upset because they 98 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 2: don't understand what labor actually want to do with their group. 99 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, they've been caught up in a like previous reforms, 100 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 3: I would say a bit of cat and mouse between 101 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 3: the Tories and labor. Now, the crucial thing to understand 102 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:01,799 Speaker 3: here is that labor have gotten further than the Tories 103 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 3: and they have said if you have assets that you 104 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:07,799 Speaker 3: held offshore in trusts, so that could be for example, 105 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 3: your shares if you're own a clothing business over in India, 106 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 3: for example, the shares that you hold in Jersey or 107 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,840 Speaker 3: guns or maybe even Switzerland, Labor have said that they 108 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 3: will impose UK inheritance tax that's forty percent on those assets. 109 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 3: That is massive, So that's making a lot of families 110 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 3: go hang on. I love the UK. I love living 111 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 3: in the UK, my kids are here, I've been living 112 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 3: here for the last ten years. Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah, 113 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 3: stable climate whatever. I love the political stability. That's why 114 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 3: they came here in the first place. Suddenly all those 115 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 3: reasons have washed away like the Thailand Sea for them. 116 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: Is it actually mission critical or is it, Oh, I'm 117 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 1: going to be a little bit less ultra wealthy than 118 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: I was before, or is it? You know, when you 119 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: talk about these inheritance tax bills that could be quite 120 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: kind of game changing. 121 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 3: That is a game changer. The inheritance tax factism is 122 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 3: the game changer because it's not just the founder or 123 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,839 Speaker 3: the patriarchs and matriarchs of the family anymore. It's the 124 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 3: it's the planning about life for the next twenty years. 125 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 3: That's a massive decision that's making people think, Okay, where 126 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:09,040 Speaker 3: I want to settle myself and my family for the 127 00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 3: next ten years at. 128 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:13,720 Speaker 2: Least, Catherine, how does the labor government actually think of this? 129 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 2: So that they want and they've said this, you know repeatedly, 130 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 2: they want a fair of society, but they're also they 131 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 2: want to be seen as pro business friendly. What does 132 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 2: that mean for the ultra wealthy. 133 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 4: Yeah. I think, well, we'll find out a lot more 134 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 4: with the budget which is coming very soon on October 135 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 4: the thirtieth. I think Labor is keen to say that 136 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 4: it wants to promote wealth creation. It wants to create, 137 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 4: you know, the sort of the NASDAC of Europe. It 138 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 4: wants to sort of have startups. It's very conscious of 139 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 4: how Britain's big companies are all created probably one hundred 140 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 4: or more years ago. It wants to sort of have 141 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 4: these new vibrant companies which begins with entrepreneurs and startups, 142 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 4: and it wants to sort of through that help the 143 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 4: whole country create growth, which wants to sort of see 144 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 4: filtering down to communities around the country. But at the 145 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 4: same time, I think people take the view that Kiss 146 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:17,679 Speaker 4: Starmer and maybe Rachel Reeves are definitely more left leaning, 147 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 4: certainly Kiss Starmer than the previous Labor government and probably 148 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 4: does in a more fundamental sense believe in a fairer society, 149 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 4: and probably is less sympathetic therefore to some of these 150 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 4: people and some of these arguments than they would like. 151 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: And there's something particularly going on with private equity, isn't there, Catherine, 152 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 1: which you follow a. 153 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 4: Lot, yes, so, as well as the inheritance tax issue 154 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 4: for non doms, as Ben has been highlighting, which seems 155 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:46,360 Speaker 4: to be a massive sort of hot rod that everyone 156 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 4: is very worried about. On private equity, Labor has said 157 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 4: that it's going to close what it's calling the loophole, 158 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 4: which is at the moment private equity people pay carried 159 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 4: interest tax relief at capital gains tax rate of twenty 160 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 4: eight percent. Labor is going to change that. We don't 161 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 4: know what to. Potentially, they could raise the rate up 162 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 4: to forty five percent, the top rate of income tax. 163 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 4: They could go somewhere in the middle. We don't know 164 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 4: whether they will make a distinction between people who put 165 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 4: their own money into funds and those who don't. They 166 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 4: probably will make that distinction, but then it's really not 167 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 4: very clear at all how they will exactly define the rules. 168 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 4: And then there's a big issue as to when the 169 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 4: rules will start. They could start immediately with the budget, 170 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 4: maybe in January, or maybe with the tax year. 171 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 2: You speak to the big bankers and they say, well, rightly, 172 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:38,199 Speaker 2: so private equity to be taxed, right, do they have 173 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 2: a fair advantage? And actually, you know, some of the 174 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 2: big banks and asset managers don't. Does the city of 175 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:46,839 Speaker 2: London actually lose a lot if private equity either has 176 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 2: to pay this extra, will they actually leave or do 177 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 2: they just suck it up? 178 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 4: I think I think a lot of the senior private 179 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 4: equity people in London will suck it up. I think that, 180 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 4: you know, there's a sort of a tranch of them 181 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 4: at the top of the big firms who have already 182 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 4: made an absolute king's ransom and have their lives in London, 183 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 4: have their very nice Kensington homes, and who don't want 184 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 4: to leave for other countries. They may well be from 185 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:17,079 Speaker 4: other countries, but they've chosen to live in London for 186 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 4: certain reasons. There's a whole load of other people who 187 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 4: work for those firms, who are younger, who may well 188 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 4: be more mobile, and who may well think about other countries. 189 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 4: But it's really very unclear, I think, as to what 190 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 4: that will really mean for investment in the UK, because 191 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 4: there will still be big funds that are looking at 192 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 4: opportunities in the UK. Some of private equity's biggest investments 193 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 4: in this country are actually run out of funds that 194 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 4: are not based here in London. They may be global 195 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 4: funds or US funds. So there's an awful lot of 196 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:51,679 Speaker 4: sort of threats and warnings, but the reality could be 197 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 4: quite different. 198 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 1: But the fundamental thing, right is, do you two, as 199 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,160 Speaker 1: people who cover this stuff day and day out, we 200 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 1: have a government that came in saying they want to 201 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 1: be on the side of wealth creation. It's kind of 202 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 1: one of their top three points they were making. Do 203 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 1: you think right now they're getting the balance right? 204 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 4: Well? I think no. I think is at the moment 205 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 4: because it's all this kind of rhetoric and we don't 206 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 4: really know what they're going to do in any of 207 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 4: these areas. I think we're sort of massively waiting for 208 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:22,120 Speaker 4: the budget. 209 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: It is this period which is quite familiar preer brudshet 210 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: where they know they scare the horses, they make everyone 211 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 1: think it's going to be terrible, and then in the 212 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: end it's not as bad as all that. But I'm 213 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 1: getting some vibes from yourselves but also your colleagues in 214 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg newsroom that actually this period is damaging too. 215 00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 3: Yeah. 216 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 4: I think definitely. People in the city do feel it's damaging. 217 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:50,520 Speaker 4: People who have been pretty interested and supportive of the kids. 218 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:54,680 Speaker 4: Arma Rachel Reeves Project are now quite cross. 219 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:57,920 Speaker 3: I have no doubt actually that labor will create British 220 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 3: wealth out of the UK. What labor court in here 221 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,440 Speaker 3: is two different worlds. We've got British businesses, British business 222 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 3: owners creating businesses, jobs great. What labor maybe haven't factored 223 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 3: in as much is that in this global world where 224 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:13,320 Speaker 3: we have offshore wealth, there's existing wealth that exists globally. 225 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:17,040 Speaker 3: It's a global market and London, well, the UK in particular, 226 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 3: London is part of that market. For a long time 227 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 3: we've been number one. We haven't really had to look 228 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 3: over our shoulders so much. But now we've got other 229 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:28,679 Speaker 3: territories actively courting London algehin at Worth individuals who do 230 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 3: create wealth here because they come here, they set up businesses, 231 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 3: because they've been here for tenth for the last ten years. 232 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 3: But that's the difference that labour caught between two different 233 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,120 Speaker 3: types of old I think they haven't quite got it. 234 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:43,320 Speaker 3: I think to get over the line. For the UK election, 235 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 3: it was a good pitch to say we want to 236 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 3: get UK wealth's creation because a lot of them were voters. 237 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 3: Now that they're in government, they're having to reconcile with 238 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 3: the fact that to keep the wheels turning for the UK. 239 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 3: There's this other part where they may not be voters, 240 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,319 Speaker 3: but their UK residents and they do contribute a big 241 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 3: part of the UK economy. 242 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 2: But haven't we lost so many people in high finance 243 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:06,840 Speaker 2: in these type of jobs with gregsit anyway, I mean, 244 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 2: there were so many relocations right in the last couple 245 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:11,559 Speaker 2: of years. I don't know what's left. I know, I've 246 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:14,320 Speaker 2: been speaking to you know, contacts and sources, and for 247 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 2: years I didn't even know they were nondumb because they 248 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:19,200 Speaker 2: were here for such a long time, or you know, 249 00:12:19,280 --> 00:12:23,040 Speaker 2: so often that they took every meeting in London. Then 250 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:25,440 Speaker 2: when they you know, when they were angry about some 251 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 2: of the proposals, Wait, wait, you're NONDMB. So it's difficult 252 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:33,439 Speaker 2: to see how many have already gone in these high 253 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 2: finance jobs, and actually how many non doms are left 254 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 2: here in London and the UK. 255 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 3: We have about seventy five thousand at the moment. That's 256 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 3: already halved from a bad a decade ago. But that's 257 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 3: partly because if you remember, don't go into the weeds 258 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:50,400 Speaker 3: too much. But Edmond abandoned, George Osborne traded blows and 259 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 3: eventually George Osborne stopped permanent use of NONDMN status. But 260 00:12:56,160 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 3: I think what's happening here is Yeah. I think it 261 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 3: is difficult to quantify exactly how damaging this is going 262 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,439 Speaker 3: to be, but there's still seventy five thousand people who 263 00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:06,359 Speaker 3: are paying. 264 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,600 Speaker 2: Yeah psychologically And this always fascinates me because you speak 265 00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 2: to a lot of these high flyers and I think 266 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 2: there's there's a deep wanting to be almost loved or 267 00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:19,680 Speaker 2: cared for in the country, and so I wonder again 268 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 2: whether they just need to get used to that things 269 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 2: are changing. I know I've had conversations with you know, 270 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:28,240 Speaker 2: very ultra high networth that feel slighted. 271 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:31,080 Speaker 1: Do they think it's fast and in that context do 272 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:33,319 Speaker 1: they think, hold on a second, this is my wealth 273 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 1: from outside the UK, so of course I would keep 274 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: it text elsewhere. Do they do they actually have a 275 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:39,719 Speaker 1: kind of intellectual response to it or is it just 276 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:41,080 Speaker 1: a kind of I've been getting away with it for 277 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 1: a long time, Just let me carry. 278 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 2: On getting away with it. I think it sends a message. 279 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:46,840 Speaker 2: I think if you feel like you're you know, you're 280 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,199 Speaker 2: at the top of your game because you've made a 281 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,319 Speaker 2: lot of money and manage a lot of money. You 282 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 2: maybe just want that level of respect, respect or just 283 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 2: a little bit of love right from the people in charge. 284 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 2: But I don't know then whether it really translates into 285 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 2: people packing and leaving right. 286 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 4: What's so? 287 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 3: There is a nondum who we've reported on who has 288 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:11,560 Speaker 3: left or finalized his plans ready to leave the UK. 289 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 3: He said he'd be willing to pay more than double 290 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 3: the cost it was taking him to claim non non 291 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 3: status in the UK. He was actually saying I'd go 292 00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 3: above and beyond rival regimes in Italy and in Greece 293 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 3: one hundred thousand years a year to claim that effectively 294 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 3: non non status there now just to circle back on. 295 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 1: So that rather than the inheritance tax. 296 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 3: But the inheritance tax thing is to kill a blow 297 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 3: for him. It's a case study and literally why people 298 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 3: are going this is an art China Worth, who's a 299 00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 3: business founder, He's got international assets and the IHT forty 300 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 3: percent inheritance tax on his global assets. I'm going to go, 301 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 3: but just to circle them back on the other regimes. 302 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 3: Non norms are often caught between these worlds in politics. 303 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 3: Italy has just doubled the amount it's going to cost 304 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 3: for those coming to Italy to claim non non status. 305 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 3: So you've already got a pushback folks or wanting to 306 00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 3: leave the UK going gosh, okay, where do I go? 307 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:07,440 Speaker 3: Suddenly their opportunities, if they're factoring in politics as an issue, 308 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 3: then their options are far narrower. 309 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 2: Well where do they go? I mean again, these are 310 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 2: countries or you don't think they do well? I mean, 311 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 2: you know, it has a huge budget hall. I mean 312 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 2: every country is going to try and find money, and 313 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 2: so they're easy targets. 314 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 3: That is the problem, and it's forcing non norms to go. Okay, 315 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 3: I don't Monico is great for the tax, but hey 316 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 3: it's a bit smaller than Central Park and I've got 317 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 3: up my wife and kids to go, you know what, 318 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 3: my husband and kids to get to this place. It's 319 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:40,160 Speaker 3: making them make uncomfortable choices. Do they go to Dubai? Okay, yeah, 320 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 3: they can go to Dubai, but it's actually so hot 321 00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 3: for them in the summer, and you know, their children 322 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 3: like the friends that they have in London or or 323 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 3: elsewhere in Europe. So it's making non norms really compromise 324 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 3: on some key parts of their lifestyles. 325 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,000 Speaker 1: In a way, it sounds like they've given them the 326 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 1: off ramp, which is the flat tax. What's the chances 327 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 1: do you think of this treasury and this chancellor. It 328 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 1: would look like a climb down, wouldn't it. 329 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 4: I think, I mean, I think they will possibly tweak 330 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 4: both on the carried interest for private equity people and 331 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 4: maybe on the inheritance tax, maybe on things like amounts 332 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 4: of time or sort of certain details. They won't want 333 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 4: to completely climb down, even though maybe in both cases 334 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 4: actually they may end up not raising you know, in 335 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 4: both cases possibly it might be sort of a counterintuitive 336 00:16:31,400 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 4: measure in terms of how much tax is actually coming 337 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 4: in through the door. Which is how we get back 338 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 4: to this point that there is an ideological argument that 339 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 4: this labor government probably does feel there's a sort of 340 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 4: a fairness point at stake. But I do think Roan, 341 00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 4: you are absolutely right. And it's the same with Brexit. 342 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:49,560 Speaker 4: There's a lot of people in the city and in 343 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 4: the in the sort of wealthy financial world who do 344 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 4: just want to feel loved and if they want the 345 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 4: red carpet, they just want warm words, They want to 346 00:16:59,560 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 4: be invited. 347 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 1: They are welcoming on the in the City podcast. 348 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,119 Speaker 4: They can come in and tell us their waes. But 349 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 4: I think if so, to that point about the rhetoric 350 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 4: at the moment from this government, a lot more kind 351 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:14,159 Speaker 4: of rhetoric about opportunity and positivity and going back to 352 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:17,360 Speaker 4: those sorts of phrases will go a long way. 353 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 2: Do we know how much you know, these seventy five 354 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 2: thousand actually contribute. I mean I've heard from like you know, 355 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 2: it's difficult to say if you're again ultra hight do 356 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 2: you give. 357 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 1: Back to the law. 358 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 3: We do have some sense of the h MRC UK 359 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 3: Tax Authority publishers and your data. They have pretty big figure. 360 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:36,679 Speaker 3: It's more than ten more than ten billion pounds and 361 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 3: that's just in employment taxes, capital gains obviously not inheritance 362 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 3: tax for the moment, but we don't know, for example, 363 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:47,840 Speaker 3: and this is a crucial point, how much they're spending 364 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 3: in the at and you know, these aren't people who 365 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:54,440 Speaker 3: sit at home making cups of tea all day. They 366 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 3: are going out in Mayfair, Chelsea, Westminster. They're going and 367 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:00,959 Speaker 3: that these are the folks that are in top restaurants 368 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 3: really keeping key parts of you think about who serves 369 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 3: you at the table and when you go to a 370 00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 3: high end restaurant. There is a trickle down effect in 371 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:11,800 Speaker 3: terms of the economics that is impossible to quantify. You 372 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:13,640 Speaker 3: can make broader points about the fact whether the trickle 373 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 3: down economics works or not, but there is this sort 374 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 3: of part that we can't quantify that fits into what 375 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,159 Speaker 3: when people think about London, it's it's the glips and 376 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 3: the glamour. To an extent, non doms do contribute to 377 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:26,600 Speaker 3: sort of keeping the cocks turning, the wheel's turning, and 378 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 3: that's part of society. 379 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,080 Speaker 2: So I haven't figured out on the school fees that 380 00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 2: will go up for private schools by twenty percent, Catherine, 381 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 2: whether you know some people say well they will, whether 382 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 2: actually it's counterproductive because it means that more foreigners will 383 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:46,919 Speaker 2: put their kids less in UK educated you know school, 384 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 2: or that the kids will end up not being UK educated, 385 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 2: which goes to like the soft power of you know, 386 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 2: money around the world. Or whether again it's just a 387 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 2: fairness and people suck it up and just pay that 388 00:18:58,160 --> 00:18:59,760 Speaker 2: twenty percent extra as long as they can. 389 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,560 Speaker 4: I think they've sucked that one up. Actually, I think 390 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:07,280 Speaker 4: on the whole, you know, very broadly speaking, they're sort 391 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 4: of in a category of people who can afford that 392 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,360 Speaker 4: twenty percent and they pay it, and I don't think 393 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 4: it sort of goes to their feeling of not being 394 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:17,919 Speaker 4: loved and being rejected because because of course there's anyone 395 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 4: paying those school fees British or from any other country 396 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,439 Speaker 4: compared to these other points where they are feeling a 397 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,679 Speaker 4: bit targeted. 398 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, just to chime in there, that's not a big 399 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 3: deal really for the UK China Worth individual It sounds 400 00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,919 Speaker 3: really sorry, it's snooty to say that, but I've spoken 401 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,200 Speaker 3: to private bankers who've just scoffed at that and gone, 402 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 3: they just pay them upfront. And we've seen that with 403 00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,840 Speaker 3: We've actually reported that parents you know, with children are 404 00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 3: eating on the UK's top schools. They've seen an increase 405 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:49,720 Speaker 3: in parents paying fees upfront, and that's maybe one way labor. 406 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:52,320 Speaker 3: I've got one actually over there that as a policy 407 00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 3: does bring in fairness when you compare it to other sectors, 408 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:59,720 Speaker 3: and does contribute towards the UK's education's education system. It's 409 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 3: more issue for lower down the ranks of the well 410 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 3: spectrum people who you know, Tony Blow once upon a 411 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 3: time called you know the strivers, you know that sort 412 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:10,920 Speaker 3: of part of the UK population. 413 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: How much is Labor getting the vibes wrong on CGT 414 00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: and so on for the kind of small and medium 415 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 1: sized enterprises, for the kind of you know, back the 416 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,520 Speaker 1: small British business rather than the titans of the City 417 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 1: of London. 418 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 4: Well, I think that Labor will probably seek to make 419 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 4: sure that those people are not hit by changes a 420 00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:37,119 Speaker 4: CGT or ones. But I think the reality surely is 421 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 4: that somewhat sadly perhaps you know those folks, you know, 422 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:44,439 Speaker 4: they just stuck here doing their thing in London. They 423 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 4: can't really do very much. So we hear the people 424 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,880 Speaker 4: from the people who have leverage that at the higher 425 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:51,000 Speaker 4: end of the spectrum. 426 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 3: I think it's a really interesting point. People are catching 427 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 3: in capital gains now in anticipation of an increase in 428 00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:00,159 Speaker 3: capital gains at the budget, which is weeks of in 429 00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 3: our October thirtieth. I think lab and really needs Rachel Reeves 430 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 3: and Kissed Armor probably do need to sit down and 431 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 3: think what sort of Britain do we want to want 432 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:08,920 Speaker 3: to create. If you come into ten Downing Streets saying 433 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,640 Speaker 3: or you want to have the wealth creation for UK 434 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 3: businesses great and UK entrepreneurs wonderful that's great. But then 435 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,520 Speaker 3: when they want to crystallize that game and they've built 436 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 3: a business that employs hundreds of people, thousands, and they've 437 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:23,600 Speaker 3: seld it to a private equity firm, let's say US 438 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,719 Speaker 3: private equity firm sells it for a hundred million or 439 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 3: maybe even billions, but the founders cashing out and they're British. Okay, 440 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 3: Now are they going to be happy about the fact 441 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 3: that the Ratiaris raised capital gains at that budget their 442 00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 3: first one? I don't think so. 443 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: Thank you very much, Katherine Griffiths and Ben Stubbers. Have 444 00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 1: I pronounced your sign him correctly? 445 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:43,159 Speaker 3: The only one who does? Thank you? 446 00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 1: I've thought it could be stupid. I'm doing. Thanks for 447 00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 1: listening to this week's In the City from Bloomberg. This 448 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,959 Speaker 1: episode was hosted by me Allegri Stratton and Francine Laqua. 449 00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 1: It was produced by Someasadi, production support from Moses and Am, 450 00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:12,880 Speaker 1: and special thanks to Katherine Griffiths and Ben Stuffles. Please subscribe, rate, 451 00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 1: and review wherever you listen to podcasts.