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Speaker 3: Let's talk about stock options. Will the options market crash,
Speaker 3: the stock market and index bubble collapse the stock market?
Speaker 3: So JP Morgan, analyst, states that the national value of
Speaker 3: options has surpassed the volume of the stock market and
Speaker 3: a collapse could occur soon. So all right, stock options
Speaker 3: very popular, became very popular during the pandemic. If anybody
Speaker 3: doesn't know what the stock option is, that's when you are,
Speaker 3: for lack of a better term, you're kind of betting
Speaker 3: on the future price of a stock. So the stock
Speaker 3: is at one hundred dollars, you're buying an option for
Speaker 3: May twenty twenty four for it to get the two
Speaker 3: hundred dollars. And it's if it trends in the right direction,
Speaker 3: then you can make money. If it trends downwards, then
Speaker 3: you can lose money, and you can actually end up
Speaker 3: losing all of your money. So options became you know,
Speaker 3: it's a way to earn a lot more money than
Speaker 3: investing in just traditional stocks and just riding it up.
Speaker 3: But it's also a lot more volatile as well. So
Speaker 3: what are we making about this option situation?
Speaker 2: This is really tricky.
Speaker 4: I was talking to Liz about this over the weekend
Speaker 4: and partially today. When a couple of things I always
Speaker 4: want you guys to look for when they're promoting any
Speaker 4: asset class derivative coin product, who is going to be
Speaker 4: the winner, and if things fall apart, who would they
Speaker 4: blame as a result, I will not be surprised when
Speaker 4: this recession begins to happen that if they do not
Speaker 4: blame option traders, robinhood traders, and speculators as part of
Speaker 4: the reason why the market fell apart. So when a
Speaker 4: notion of value is higher than the actual volume of
Speaker 4: buying stocks long term, it just really means that more
Speaker 4: people are trading than they are are buying long term.
Speaker 4: That's really tricky because a lot of people are doing
Speaker 4: like options that are expiring in the same day.
Speaker 2: So if you hit it, oh my god, you make
Speaker 2: a killing. Right.
Speaker 4: I've seen some people make two three thousand percent in
Speaker 4: a day that I've also seen some people get.
Speaker 2: Margin called right.
Speaker 4: But the reason why most people are trading so much
Speaker 4: goes back to what we talked about on a previous
Speaker 4: episode is that once we came off that gold standard like,
Speaker 4: it began to road an overall dollar economy, and people
Speaker 4: don't trust the stock market or the overall economy because
Speaker 4: for the first time in history, every signal of a
Speaker 4: recession is there and they're actively telling us no, everything's started.
Speaker 4: This is one of the strongest job markets we've ever
Speaker 4: had in history. I'm like, what job market are you
Speaker 4: looking at? So when there's a disconnect or dispersion in
Speaker 4: truth from the media versus what is really occurring, people
Speaker 4: are saying, hey, let me run and get a bag
Speaker 4: right now. As a result, if the market does crash,
Speaker 4: it's going to make the margins on futures go up.
Speaker 4: It's going to make the margins on option it's going
Speaker 4: to go up. Some of these companies will be wrecking
Speaker 4: bud business. And of course, I once again I'll always
Speaker 4: say it, as soon as we got into crypto, Uber, Airbnb,
Speaker 4: crypto NFT media, they found a way to crash every
Speaker 4: market at the same time while profiting from it at
Speaker 4: the same time. Off of us, we have to be
Speaker 4: very careful for all my options. Traders, Please be careful
Speaker 4: over the next three to four months, and there will
Speaker 4: be regulation that comes out around this as an active
Speaker 4: quote unquote safety when this market does crash. Now, on
Speaker 4: the other side, I do think the same thing is
Speaker 4: going to happen on the indexes. I think Vanguard will
Speaker 4: be safe. But as a result of all this auto
Speaker 4: and robo investing over the last ten years and with
Speaker 4: interest rates being low, when all of those companies like
Speaker 4: Well Run and Well Simple got launched, will not be surprised.
Speaker 4: In the next four years we see a smaller index.
Speaker 3: Erners.
Speaker 2: What's up.
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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
Speaker 1: in men, Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al
Speaker 1: Salvador accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged
Speaker 1: with filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are
Speaker 1: just some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of
Speaker 1: President Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United
Speaker 1: States Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal
Speaker 1: border crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and
Speaker 1: over one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If
Speaker 1: you are here illegally, your next you will be fined
Speaker 1: nearly one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You
Speaker 1: will never return. But if you register using our CBP
Speaker 1: home app and leave now, you could be allowed to
Speaker 1: return legally. Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump,
Speaker 1: America's laws border and families will.
Speaker 2: Be protected sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.
Speaker 4: Collapse as a result, and it's happened before you can
Speaker 4: go look at SVXY back in the day, there have
Speaker 4: been some indexes or ETFs that are drawing down eighty
Speaker 4: percent in one month because of liquidity issues.
Speaker 5: So please, I mean, if you look at the percentages
Speaker 5: of people that actually have profitable option trades, it's like
Speaker 5: less than ten percent, right, less than five percent. I
Speaker 5: believe it's one of those things, man, you when you
Speaker 5: speak about regulation, it makes me think and I always
Speaker 5: thought this, right, if people are obviously making money, there's
Speaker 5: going to be a pullback, and we're going to try
Speaker 5: to get as many people out of the space if
Speaker 5: you look at the value numbers, right, but what does
Speaker 5: regulation look like? Does it become a new barrier to
Speaker 5: even trade derivatives? Does it become right, Yo, you have
Speaker 5: to have a certain amount of money to even become
Speaker 5: an optionent trated. Those are the type I'm looking and
Speaker 5: I'm like, Okay, I'm watching the space. I'm like, all right,
Speaker 5: something's coming. Something's coming because you're right, like, people are
Speaker 5: looking at it. I mean we could just be honest.
Speaker 5: They're looking at it because of the percentage of gains
Speaker 5: in a short period of time. And that's great, But
Speaker 5: what happens when it goes the wrong way? And quote
Speaker 5: unquote you lose shirt, right, Like, you lose it all.
Speaker 5: Like even today a great example, right, we had a
Speaker 5: hell of a swing in an astec. I had a
Speaker 5: call that was up I think thirty two hundred dollars
Speaker 5: by four fifteen when I checked it was down eighty
Speaker 5: one negative eighty one dollars. It was a hell of
Speaker 5: a swing. And these are the things, like there's so
Speaker 5: much volatility. I mean, we always talked to people about
Speaker 5: not putting, you know, everything in your portfolio into options, right,
Speaker 5: because the volatility is too strong and most people aren't
Speaker 5: even experienced, and so it can you make money, yes,
Speaker 5: can you lose money yes, be very very very cautious
Speaker 5: and make sure that you do your due diligence trading
Speaker 5: daily options. That that's for I mean, we talked about it.
Speaker 5: That's for live man like you really should be experienced
Speaker 5: if you do it, even if you're doing weekly calls
Speaker 5: like I don't suggest it. I still do it myself because,
Speaker 5: like I said, again, there's no way to predict the market.
Speaker 5: If there was, I mean, obviously there would pee a
Speaker 5: lot more wealthy people. So be very careful man trading,
Speaker 5: hask civil risk.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I know I beat up on options before.
Speaker 4: That's why I brought up the ETF example. You guys
Speaker 4: can go look at the ticker svxy, which is pro
Speaker 4: shares short vix ETF. From in twenty sixteen, it was
Speaker 4: at seventy five dollars and fifty five cent. By twenty
Speaker 4: eighteen it got to five hundred and fifty seven dollars.
Speaker 4: I remember people were riding high. All of a sudden,
Speaker 4: all the volume went out of it. It went from
Speaker 4: in one quarter from five to thirty three all the
Speaker 4: way down fifty six dollars in one quarter that was
Speaker 4: in twenty eighteen and twenty twenty three.
Speaker 2: Pars to sixty six dollars.
Speaker 4: So if an institution or bank moves all of their
Speaker 4: money out of an asset class, there's not enough retail
Speaker 4: investors to keep it afloat. Always been alive. It's always
Speaker 4: been a misconception. I don't want you guys to end
Speaker 4: up in being cannon are for one of these atfs
Speaker 4: or options as a result, And there is even in
Speaker 4: the morning when they're actually on the floor and we've
Speaker 4: been there, there aren't as many people even on the
Speaker 4: floor traded anymore like eleven o'clock. Whenever I go see
Speaker 4: Peter and go see everybody, it's quiet. The volume has
Speaker 4: come out so much because of algorithms. Please be careful,
Speaker 4: and a lot of these options, the market makers are
Speaker 4: better than against you, and the algorithms are well.
Speaker 3: Please be careful, all right, Be mindful. Be mindful, ladies
Speaker 3: and gentlemen. It's the only thing.
Speaker 4: And we will monitor the situation.
Speaker 3: My graduates from my school being forced back drop drop
Speaker 3: drop backdrop.
Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador
Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with
Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States
Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you
Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly
Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will
Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home
Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.
Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,
Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.
Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Mansecurity,