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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: Monday is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and unfortunately, well, first, congratulations in Indiana.

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Speaker 1: What a win, Fernando Mendoza. You are going to be

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Speaker 1: the number one pick in the draft. Welcome to Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Come on down. You win the Heisman. Now, you win

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Speaker 1: the national championship, and you're going to be the number

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Speaker 1: one pick in the draft. We were one and a

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Speaker 1: half points away from going three to oh last night.

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Speaker 1: But this is a good thing when it comes to

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Speaker 1: like numbers. The Celtics game, they lost by one. They

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Speaker 1: had a shot at the end to win the game,

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Speaker 1: but they covered. That's a bucket, that's one way or

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Speaker 1: the other. Right, fell right in that little window. We

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Speaker 1: took two and a half game closed three, so we

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Speaker 1: got that right.

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Speaker 2: But then the.

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Speaker 1: Over we bet under forty seven and a half, it

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Speaker 1: lands forty eight. We laid seven, it landed six. Like

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Speaker 1: that is just gambling. Okay, that's just really the way

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Speaker 1: I've been in college football, which is just pit ice cold.

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Speaker 1: We go one in two on the day down one

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Speaker 1: point three units, and look for next year, I have

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Speaker 1: a really big goal. I'm gonna spend a lot of

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Speaker 1: time trying to really get back to being good and

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Speaker 1: betting in college football, because it's been the opposite for

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Speaker 1: most of my career. I went back and looked at

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Speaker 1: some of the numbers. So in the year of twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five, I wound up going one thirty two and

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Speaker 1: ninety five in the NFL. That's at a fifty nine

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Speaker 1: percent clip. I ended up going forty nine and sixty

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Speaker 1: two in college football in twenty and twenty five, and

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Speaker 1: then in twenty six in the NFL, I've gone fourteen

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Speaker 1: and eleven, and in college now I will go two

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Speaker 1: and four after the zero to two last night, I'll

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Speaker 1: go two and four in college football in twenty twenty six,

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Speaker 1: or at least start the year two and four in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. So clearly I'm not reading the board

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Speaker 1: well for college football. And it has a lot to

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Speaker 1: do with the transfer portal, it has a lot to

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Speaker 1: do with I am a trend better and we just

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Speaker 1: really don't have trends about.

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Speaker 2: What this new world is like.

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Speaker 1: Indiana and Miami wound up playing for the National Championship.

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Speaker 1: Indiana and Miami wound up going through the traditional blue bloods.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not saying it's a bad thing. I like

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Speaker 1: this new era, this new world where our final four

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Speaker 1: is made up of teams that you wouldn't think would

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Speaker 1: be there, and that the final twelve teams to get in,

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Speaker 1: you know, two of them were Group of five teams.

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Speaker 1: Now they didn't play well, but still you see Miami

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Speaker 1: getting in over Notre Dame. If somebody told you that

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Speaker 1: five years ago, you'd have gone, come on, that's not

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Speaker 1: going to happen. So and then Indiana with amazing story.

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Speaker 1: A kid that wasn't recruited by Miami goes in place

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Speaker 1: against Miami in Miami, in his home city and goes

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Speaker 1: and wins the National Championship.

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Speaker 2: Just really cool.

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Speaker 1: But from a betting perspective, this was a very hard

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Speaker 1: year for me, just with the evaluation and looking at

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Speaker 1: the talent, looking at the coaching, look at the teams.

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Speaker 1: So I got to obviously do something different. I gotta

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Speaker 1: work harder next year in college football the NFL, We've

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Speaker 1: got it pretty well locked down right now.

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Speaker 2: Have done very well with the NFL.

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Speaker 1: We have two future bets left with the Patriots and

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks both at double digit odds, so we're doing

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Speaker 1: well in NFL. We did very well this year in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, a winning year in the NFL, but college

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Speaker 1: was pretty poor. So on me, I entirely my responsibility

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Speaker 1: to get much better at this and to spend the

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Speaker 1: summer researching and reading and doing some different things, because

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Speaker 1: clearly last year did not work. So unfortunately, it's a

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Speaker 1: one and two day, down one point three units to

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Speaker 1: start the week, but plenty of time left to have

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Speaker 1: a winning week for us, as we had towards the weekend.

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Speaker 2: It's a Tuesday, I'm getting a little froggy.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, We've been kind of conservative lately, so

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Speaker 1: I kind of want to get after it here today.

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Speaker 2: Maybe it's a frustration or whatnot.

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Speaker 1: But I got three bets in three sports and then

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Speaker 1: there will be an NBA player prop, so we'll have

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Speaker 1: four bets officially going for tonight. So at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt on the Betting Pros app there will be one

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Speaker 1: NBA player prop that I will give you coming up

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Speaker 1: later on today on the Betting Pros apps to go

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Speaker 1: and download it and then search at Sports Talk Matt,

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Speaker 1: and you will see the play for the prop bet

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Speaker 1: for us. And look, prop bets have been pretty good

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Speaker 1: for us. You know we started off. Let's see what

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Speaker 1: will be this year for NBA prop betting. Hold on

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Speaker 1: a second, I will tell you NBA prop betting. We're

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Speaker 1: five and two so far this year with NBA prop betting,

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Speaker 1: so that's pretty good. Last year in twenty twenty five

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Speaker 1: we went up one, up seventy five and forty four.

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Speaker 1: That's a sixty three percent clip up thirteen and a

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Speaker 1: half units in NBA player props. So if you wonder

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Speaker 1: why we do this, and you know using the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet finding the right play that we've made,

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Speaker 1: hitting over sixty percent on anything is very profitable. Clearly

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Speaker 1: so NBA Player prop coming up later on today. But

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Speaker 1: let me tell you before we get to the picks,

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Speaker 1: about our friends at hard Rock Bet. They were the

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Speaker 1: two teams will punch their ticket to the big game

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Speaker 1: coming up this weekend. And when it comes to these

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Speaker 1: standalone matchups. There's nothing better than jumping in with a

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Speaker 1: Download the hard rock Bet app and make your first

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Speaker 1: deposit today. All right, let's start with college basketball in

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Speaker 1: Iowa State hosting Central Florida. Johnny Dawkins's team is pretty surprising.

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Speaker 1: They're a top fifty team with almost a whole new

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Speaker 1: roster for Central Florida. Iowa State's reeling. They've lost back

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Speaker 1: to back games, and while I do not think Iowa

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Speaker 1: State's going to lose this game to Central Florida, this

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Speaker 1: team from UCF has played really, really well.

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Speaker 2: They got a couple of really good guards.

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Speaker 1: They got a lot of guys who have transferred in

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Speaker 1: and really taken advantage of the transfer portal, much like

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Speaker 1: Iowa State has done. But Iowa State recently has really

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Speaker 1: had a hard time scoring the basketball and playing defense.

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Speaker 1: They lost eighty four to sixty three at KU and

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Speaker 1: then they just lost to Cincinnati seventy nine to seventy

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Speaker 1: Something is going on here with Iowa State and they

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Speaker 1: return home to Hilton where they are fourteen point favorites

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Speaker 1: over UCF. Now kempom has this as a twelve point

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Speaker 1: win over Central Florida fourteen point. The line is fourteen,

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Speaker 1: But I have a hard time getting behind this given

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Speaker 1: the fact that Iowa State at home this year against

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Speaker 1: the number is four, five and one. They're two and

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Speaker 1: three ATS in the Big Twelve. Central Florida has covered

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Speaker 1: their last two games. They're three and two ATS on

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Speaker 1: the road. They're three and two ATS in the Big twelve,

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Speaker 1: and they've covered at home against KU. They beat Kansas

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Speaker 1: at home by six. They covered against Kansas State, catching

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Speaker 1: two and a half they won by nine, and they're

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Speaker 1: coming off a home game against Arizona, the number one

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Speaker 1: team of the country, where they were catching nine and

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Speaker 1: a half and they lost by seven, so they covered.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State hasn't covered in the last three games and

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Speaker 1: they've lost back to back games. Didn't cover against Oklahoma State,

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Speaker 1: not a great Okie State team. They're laying twenty they

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Speaker 1: won by twelve, and the losses to KAYU in Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: They did cover against Baylor in West Virginia. But fourteen

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Speaker 1: points just seems to be too heavy. After reading some

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Speaker 1: of the comments from t. J Alsberger about his respect

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Speaker 1: for Johnny Dawkins's team and just how talented these guys

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Speaker 1: are and how they're kind of flying under the radar screen,

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Speaker 1: they're fourteen and three straight up. They're four and one

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Speaker 1: on the road this year. They're eight and two over

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Speaker 1: their last ten. I mean, haven't played just complete cupcakes again. Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: they beat Cincinnati seventy three seventy two at home. Mind you,

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Speaker 1: the same Cincinnati team that Iowa State just lost to

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Speaker 1: now was on the road, but they just lost to them.

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Speaker 1: Kansas beat Iowa State eighty four to sixty three. Central

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Speaker 1: Florida again at home, but they beat Kansas eighty one

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Speaker 1: to seventy five. I'm taking the points. This seems to

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Speaker 1: be too heavy. To me, I'm taking the points Central

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Speaker 1: Florida plus fourteen for one point one units. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: hockey with the Kings and the Rangers. Jonathan Quick has

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Speaker 1: been confirmed. He's in net tonight for the Rangers. This

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Speaker 1: is a return to the place where he won a

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Speaker 1: Stanley Cup, and you know he's going to be on

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Speaker 1: his game against the Kings. The good news is the

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Speaker 1: Kings are one of the best under teams in all

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Speaker 1: of hockey. Darcy Kemper going for the Kings tonight is

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Speaker 1: not great news for us. But the total is six

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Speaker 1: and Darcy Kemper is twelve nine to nine with a

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Speaker 1: two point four to eight goals against average. At home

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Speaker 1: he has a two point three four goals against average,

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Speaker 1: and you know he's gonna want to play well here

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Speaker 1: knowing that Jonathan Quick is on the other side. And

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Speaker 1: the Rangers have been awful, okay, and then you know

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Speaker 1: they're just sent a letter to their fans saying really sorry.

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Speaker 1: But the one thing that the Rangers have been good

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Speaker 1: with is on the road. They're sixteen nine and two

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Speaker 1: on the road, while the Kings are seven ten and

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Speaker 1: seven at home.

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Speaker 2: Which is a little bit weird.

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Speaker 1: If you look at the Kings and what they've done

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Speaker 1: here at home. The Kings are one of the best

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Speaker 1: under teams in hockey. They're fifteen and nine to the

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Speaker 1: under and over the last three games for the Kings,

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Speaker 1: they have gone under in their last three games. They

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Speaker 1: went way under their last five games, those three games

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Speaker 1: at home.

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Speaker 2: They've gone under.

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Speaker 1: Their last five games at home. The Kings are three

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Speaker 1: and two to the under and the Rangers. Even though

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Speaker 1: the Rangers give up a lot of goals and the

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Speaker 1: Rangers score a lot of goals. They're coming off a

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Speaker 1: six to three win over the Flyers. The final scorer

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Speaker 1: last four games for the Kings two to one, three

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Speaker 1: to two, three to two, and three to one. The

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Speaker 1: total this game is six. I think quick plays well.

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Speaker 1: I think Kemper plays well. I think we're for a

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Speaker 1: low scoring hockey game here. We're gonna go with the

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Speaker 1: under under six for the Rangers and the Kings here

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Speaker 1: tonight at minus one fifteen for one point one five

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Speaker 1: units to the NBA.

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Speaker 2: We go and let's talk.

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Speaker 1: A bit about well, there's a couple there's a couple

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Speaker 1: of games in the NBA that I like, but the

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Speaker 1: one that everyone's going to talk about is the Spurs

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Speaker 1: at the Rockets.

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Speaker 2: Something's up with the Rockets.

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Speaker 1: They've covered a grand total of two times in their

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Speaker 1: last ten games. Now, the Rockets are nine and one

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Speaker 1: to the under over their last ten games. You can

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Speaker 1: play the under in this game if you want. But

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Speaker 1: San Antonio, who equally is nine and one to the under,

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Speaker 1: this total feels just a little bit low, or a

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Speaker 1: little bit low at two twenty two and.

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Speaker 2: A half for an NBA game. I'm a little on.

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Speaker 1: The suspect side because you look at traditional you know

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Speaker 1: what we've seen from San Antonio two thirty eight, two

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Speaker 1: thirty four, two twenty four, two thirty two thirty two,

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Speaker 1: two thirty one, two thirty three, two thirty eight. I

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Speaker 1: feel like the books know this about the Spurs and

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Speaker 1: the Rockets, and they're putting the total really low. I mean,

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Speaker 1: two twenty two and a half seems to be really

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Speaker 1: low for these two teams. So instead, I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: ahead and take a look at even for the Rockets

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Speaker 1: two thirty two and a half to twenty two and

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Speaker 1: a half to twenty one. That game did go under

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Speaker 1: against OKC a one to eleven ninety one loss two

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Speaker 1: twenty four two twenty three to twenty one and a half.

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Speaker 1: Like you know, these are games that have been going

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Speaker 1: under even at two twenty one, So I don't hate

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Speaker 1: underplay on this game, but I'm just surprised to see

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Speaker 1: the Spurs catching three and a half points. The last

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Speaker 1: ten times these two teams have played, the Rockets have

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Speaker 1: covered seven of them. But in the previous game back

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Speaker 1: in November, the Spurs won the game one twenty one

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Speaker 1: to one ten as five and a half point dogs,

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Speaker 1: they won the game outright. The Spurs on the road

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Speaker 1: are eleven eleven and one ATS and the Houston Rockets

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Speaker 1: at home this year are seven in ten ATS. But

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Speaker 1: as I said, they've covered two times in their last ten,

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Speaker 1: just one time in their last five. They beat New

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Speaker 1: Orleans in their last game at home, didn't cover. They

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Speaker 1: did cover against Minnesota by laying three and a half

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Speaker 1: and winning by five, but that snapped one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,

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Speaker 1: eight game stretch where they didn't cover. This Rockets team

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Speaker 1: doesn't cover now. While the Spurs have not covered their

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Speaker 1: last two games, they've won three games in a row outright.

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Speaker 1: Didn't cover against Utah, they won, didn't cover against Minnesota,

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Speaker 1: they won, but they did cover against Milwaukee, laying seven

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Speaker 1: and a half and they won by eighteen. You know,

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Speaker 1: whenever we're talking about these teams and we're watching the

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Speaker 1: Rockets and the Spurs get together, there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: heat here. Wemby's playing, He's in this game. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the points. Give me the Spurs at plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Again, you want to play the under this game.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate an underplay in the game either. I

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Speaker 1: think you can see a very low scoring game, but

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Speaker 1: dog in the under. I think it's correlated here for

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Speaker 1: us going on with this, so plays for us here

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Speaker 1: on a Tuesday, We're going with the Golden Knights. You

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Speaker 1: see if the Knights the Knights UCF plus fourteen at

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Speaker 1: Hilton Coliseum, Iowa State wins, but I think that's too

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Speaker 1: many points at fourteen Kings with Jonathan Quick and net

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Speaker 1: for the Rangers, we're going under six at MIS one p.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen and the Spurs catching three and a half on

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Speaker 1: the road against the Rockets. One NBA player prop to

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Speaker 1: come at you coming up later on today on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. Go ahead and download Betting Pros theapp

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Speaker 1: jump out of here, or a reminder that if you

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Speaker 1: helmet what a week to do it NFTY Championship game

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