1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 2: This is the closing bell on the stock movers report 3 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 2: the company's making moves at the close of US trading, 4 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 2: with Carol Masser, Tim Stenoveck, Romain Bostik, and Katie Greifel. 5 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 3: All Right, guys, let's go do some individual gainers, if 6 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 3: we may marvel that is your number one gainer in 7 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 3: the Nasdaq one hundred, a gain of about eighteen percent 8 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 3: for the Friday trade, chip maker, saying it's year over 9 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:37,839 Speaker 3: year revenue growth rate we'll accelerate each quarter throughout fiscal 10 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 3: twenty twenty seven, so definitely seen as a bullish sign, 11 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 3: but also a bush target that shows soaring demand from 12 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 3: data center related application, So some enthusiasm on that and 13 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:52,159 Speaker 3: what has been some nervousness certainly with the AI spend trade. Hey, 14 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 3: let's go on over to Costco. This was a top 15 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 3: performer a little bit earlier in the Nasdaq one hundred, 16 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:00,040 Speaker 3: but still finishing the day with a game of a 17 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 3: one point six percent. Quarterly profit rose more than expected 18 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 3: membership fees something that was being watched closely, totaling one 19 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 3: point thirty six billion during the quarter, beating expectations and 20 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 3: The company says it's gained market share as it's bulk 21 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 3: sizes and unique selection of goods draw in shoppers looking 22 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 3: for value. I also heard something about selling cakes or 23 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 3: something that apparently that is something of interest. 24 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: So anyways, cakes sold cakes. 25 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:26,639 Speaker 3: I guess it's a strategy going forward. 26 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 4: I don't know. 27 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 3: I mean, who doesn't love a cake. Let's go on 28 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,679 Speaker 3: over to Boeing up about four percent. Number two gainer, 29 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 3: I know, no segue there, Number two gainer in the 30 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 3: S and P five hundred. Boeing closing in on a 31 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 3: five hundred. 32 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 5: Grede delivery Carol. 33 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:44,319 Speaker 3: That's the cake delivery on a plane on a Boeing. Wow, 34 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 3: no moss grown over there? Well done, well said, He's always. 35 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 4: Here for me. 36 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 3: Boeing closing in on a five hundred aircraft order for 37 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 3: seven thirty seven Max Decks to be unveiled when President 38 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 3: Trump travels to Beijing for his first state visit to 39 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 3: China SITS twenty seventeen. Two sides are said to be 40 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 3: in talks for a wide body sale that includes about 41 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 3: one hundred and Boeing seven eighty seven Dreamliners and Triple 42 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:09,519 Speaker 3: seven ex Jets, which would likely be announced at a 43 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 3: later great date. If this materializes, keep in mind this 44 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 3: is not a confirmation. It would capy years of negotiations 45 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 3: between Boeing and China's airlines and a lengthy and a 46 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 3: lengthy order drought from the world's second biggest aviation market. 47 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 3: This is big news. If this ultimately happens, it's a 48 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 3: huge order and it's a huge market for Boeing. And 49 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 3: as we know, China is also working on developing its 50 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 3: own jet market. 51 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 5: Yeah the Comac Yeah, okay, this guy loves me to 52 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,640 Speaker 5: compete with the seven thirty seven. Let's talk about some 53 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 5: alternative asset managers, including Blackrock, that took a hit today, 54 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 5: down seven point seven percent. This after a series of 55 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 5: negative private credit eventstered fresh concerns over the health of 56 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 5: the industry. For Blackrocks, specifically, it was about the company, 57 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 5: the asset manager, curbing withdrawals from its twenty six billion 58 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 5: dollar HPS corporate Lending fund after client requests for redemption 59 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 5: spiked at CAPRI purchases at five percent. It just adds 60 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 5: to the worries that have been plaguing the private credit industry, 61 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 5: and we saw other alternative asset managers fall today as well, 62 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 5: taking a look at airlines because they have been under 63 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 5: serious pressure in recent days over the war in Iran. 64 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 5: We saw travel stocks take a hit online travel agencies 65 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 5: are sliding to oil pricing prices higher. That's a bad 66 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 5: thing for all of these companies. Also add on that 67 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 5: jobs report that we got earlier today, and that could 68 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 5: mean a consumer that is less willing to spend on 69 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 5: stuff like this. The airlines industry and actually airline stocks 70 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 5: down a little more than twenty percent from the highs 71 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 5: just about a month ago. This is the S and 72 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 5: P fived S ANDP fifteen hundred Airlines index. That's down 73 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 5: twenty two percent from February six, so that's officially in 74 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 5: a bear market. We also did get a note from 75 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 5: an analyst over at Deutsche Bank that said that the 76 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 5: price of jet fuel and oil the spread between those 77 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 5: during the war, poses an existential threat to US airlines. 78 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 5: So keep an eye on airlines as we do enter 79 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 5: a bear market for that industry. And finally, Chairs of 80 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:16,039 Speaker 5: Gap taking a hit today, falling more than fourteen percent, 81 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:18,559 Speaker 5: this after the company reported fourth quarter sales and profit 82 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 5: that came in slightly below expectations. Old Navy and Athleta 83 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 5: missed comp sales estimates gap and been at a Republic 84 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 5: did beat the company though, forecasting a better profit than 85 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,239 Speaker 5: expected for their current year and sales within estimates. 86 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, and just how honorable mention too. I just want 87 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:33,720 Speaker 1: to just point out the chip stocks here. We did 88 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,799 Speaker 1: see the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index close down about four percent, 89 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 1: and of course a big drag lower here because of 90 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 1: a lot of those issues with apparently whether that AI 91 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 1: spend is continuing a great scoop earlier today, that Oracle 92 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 1: and Open Ai apparently dialing back their plans for that Stargate, 93 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,239 Speaker 1: that big Stargate data center down there in Texas. Meanwhile, 94 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: we take a look at the yield space, and it 95 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,239 Speaker 1: was quite an interesting week. In fact, the biggest weekly 96 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:59,160 Speaker 1: sell off that we've seen in benchmark treasury yields since 97 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 1: at least all last April amid all of the Liberation 98 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: Day ructions. Those are the numbers on a daily basis, 99 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 1: and the reason why they're basically flat is because there 100 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 1: was really the push pull because between the concerns about 101 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:12,719 Speaker 1: what's going on in the Middle East and concerns about 102 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,159 Speaker 1: of course what's going on with that Job's report. Of course, 103 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 1: the job support that would actually suggest the potential for 104 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: a cutting rates, But of course the inflationary pressures and 105 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: what's going on in Iran actually maybe potentially making the 106 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 1: case to actually hike rates overall or higher on a 107 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 1: weekly basis on your two year by about eighteen points 108 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: on your tenure by about twenty points from where we 109 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:32,800 Speaker 1: were just last Friday. 110 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we're at this interesting moment in time, 111 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,600 Speaker 3: and I think everybody says I was reading a Bloomberg column. 112 00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 3: You know, we have to get an idea of how 113 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 3: long this war's going to last, because that's going to 114 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:45,160 Speaker 3: certainly determine the impact. I mean, we're looking at what 115 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 3: WTI crewed up almost forty percent this week alone. So 116 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 3: you know, you think about the jobs report this morning 117 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 3: that was weaker than forecast. You've got inflationary pressures that 118 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 3: are still out there, you know, dare we say stagflation, 119 00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 3: and you just think about the predicament this presents not 120 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 3: only for the US economy, but the global economy and 121 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 3: for central bankers around the world. 122 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,720 Speaker 5: We spoke to ellen Wald of Transversal earlier. She wrote 123 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 5: the book on Saudi Arabia and at Ramco Bailey and 124 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 5: She said, if this crisis, at least from an oil perspective, 125 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 5: from an energy perspective, doesn't get solved next week, we're 126 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 5: already on the cusp of a crisis, and we could 127 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 5: see a full blown crisis, she said, We could see 128 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 5: hundred and twenty dollars a barrel oil in a very 129 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 5: short period of time if this doesn't get figured out. 130 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 4: And I have to imagine the knock on effect, Like 131 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 4: we've been talking, what does that ultimately mean for inflation? 132 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 4: What does that mean for consumers? And certainly when you 133 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:35,279 Speaker 4: see a VIX that's getting back towards thirty and you 134 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 4: see investors selling down companies exposed to the AI bubble, 135 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 4: what does that mean? 136 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:42,880 Speaker 1: But also on the energy front too. I mean, we 137 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: talk about that ninety eight dollars a barrel ninety one, 138 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 1: Carol Masser. We were at eighty one yesterday and we 139 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: were like, what at like sixty just a little while ago. 140 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 1: But it's already fed through. I mean, if you look 141 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 1: at on your Bloomberg terminal triple A gas prices on 142 00:06:55,880 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 1: a weekly basis, they're up by about ten to eleven percent. 143 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 1: Here that's the price that you see at the pump 144 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:03,279 Speaker 1: the average price, we should point out, but it's actually 145 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 1: now up six straight sessions that had already been rising 146 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: prior to that. In fact, it had actually been up 147 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 1: for about four straight weeks prior to this week here, 148 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: and that starts to become the real impact, you know, 149 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: the potential economic drag that I think a lot of 150 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: us were hoping we would avoid. That's why you had 151 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 1: folks like Muhammadalarian talking about stagflationary winds blowing. And I 152 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 1: don't know if you saw all the FED speakers that 153 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: Mike had on today. I mean, look, it's front and center, 154 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: and when's that meeting. That's like a week and a half. 155 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 1: But they got to meet and start talking about this stuff. 156 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly right, And so what do they do? So, 157 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 3: you know, with inflationary pressure still above the Fed's target, 158 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 3: it continues to be that way, you've got to kind 159 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 3: of assume that the FED is going to be very 160 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 3: careful and certainly not do anything. Certainly not a cut, 161 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 3: but certainly you know, have to be on their inflation watch, 162 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:46,960 Speaker 3: right Cole exactly? 163 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 4: Yeah? 164 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 1: What has kel? She said? Are they going to pay 165 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: out if I win? 166 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 5: It's a good question. 167 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 2: This stock mover's report from Bloomberg Radio. 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