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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is be Joey P joe P Zapeia

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. We're here. We made it

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Speaker 1: real football, boys and girls, and Thursday Night the season

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Speaker 1: opens with the reigning, defending, undisputed Philadelphia Eagles raising the banner,

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Speaker 1: raising the flag at home as the champs, and the

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Speaker 1: division rival Dallas Cowboys coming to the town a little lighter.

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Speaker 1: Michael Parson's not there, and we'll see what else. Maybe

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Speaker 1: not much of a running game either, but we're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about all of it. And to help me do it,

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Speaker 1: of course, my best friend's got Bogman. Every single week,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna be talking Thursday Night football. We got Sunday

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Speaker 1: Night Football now too, because this show was so damn popular,

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Speaker 1: Bogs that they had to give us a standalone just

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Speaker 1: for Sunday Night too. I mean, the people's show. I

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Speaker 1: think that's what we are at the end of the day.

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Speaker 1: Am I right?

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Speaker 2: They love to fade me. I'm here for it. Let's go.

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Speaker 2: This is gonna be another fun year. So excited that

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Speaker 2: football is back. Joey. We had a full week of

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Speaker 2: college football last week. I enjoyed that outside of the

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Speaker 2: result of my Longhorns. And now I get to watch

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers all year. You know, I'm super excited for that.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be a long season for Scott Bogman. But again, entertaining,

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Speaker 1: and that's what it's about. It's about the views and

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Speaker 1: the ratings, and we're gonna get that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we're like the Cowboys. Yeah, as long as it's

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Speaker 2: a soap opera, business is good.

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Speaker 1: Right, Well, it's not Marie James. It's Kyle Brand's line

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Speaker 1: and it's so good, which is the Cowboys are a

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Speaker 1: content company that does football on the side. It is

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Speaker 1: the most perfect quintessential Cowboy and the Cowboys fans know it.

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Speaker 1: But he nailed it. I wish I came up with

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Speaker 1: that first. I did not, so shout out to Kyle.

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Speaker 1: Uh good dude. So let's get scream with some of

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Speaker 1: the picks. Here. We're gonna talk about the game. We

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Speaker 1: can talk about the props. I got my parlay this SGP.

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Speaker 1: But of course we want to encourage everybody to download

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Speaker 1: the Betting pros app use the new tools we got

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Speaker 1: to refresh on the Betting pros app. This year, just

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Speaker 1: in time for football season. It just dropped this weekend

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Speaker 1: and oh baby, it is good. So make sure if

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Speaker 1: app up data, because we're in it right now. And

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Speaker 1: this month we've got a signed Alvin kamaras Saints helmet

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Speaker 1: compete in that contest and complete the format. Either download

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app or leave a review of the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social media channels

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros on X, on TikTok and at Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros NFL on the IG. The more actions you complete,

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Speaker 1: the more entries you receive, and we'll be announcing the

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Speaker 1: winner right here on the channel, So make sure you

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Speaker 1: turn on those notifications so you can be alerted when

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Speaker 1: new episodes are up and you can claim your prize.

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Speaker 1: The Alvin Kamara autographed helmet from Pristine Auction dot Com.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the game. This is well,

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Speaker 1: we've been waiting for the Dallas Cowboys. Best number you're

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Speaker 1: getting on them on Betting pros plus eight and a

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Speaker 1: half at minus one oh six, the Eagles minus eight

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Speaker 1: at minus one oh two. The total here over. The

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Speaker 1: best number I see on VP is forty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half at even money, and then forty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half minus one two on the under. That's the

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Speaker 1: best number you're finding. And the Cowboys on the money

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Speaker 1: line if you like them and I don't, plus three

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Speaker 1: eighty one if you're looking for the upset, now, Boggs.

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Speaker 1: When it comes to these Indivision games, things do get tight.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure the Dallas Cowboys I've heard a lot.

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Speaker 2: Are you about to tell me to throw the records

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Speaker 2: out the window, Joe.

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Speaker 1: No, I don't want to throw the records out the window.

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Speaker 1: But look, it is the first week of the season,

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Speaker 1: it is an Indivision game, it is Thursday night. There's

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Speaker 1: a lot happening here. So to me, I'm more interested

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Speaker 1: in the individual performances than the game itself. From that perspective,

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Speaker 1: That's where I'm betting this one, and I'm staying very clear.

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Speaker 1: You can check out the short that I've already put

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Speaker 1: together two over on our social media, but bogs, walk

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Speaker 1: me through your thoughts on the spread, on the total

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Speaker 1: and who knows Cowboys upset? I doubt it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, not my favorite game of the week, but I

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Speaker 2: feel fairly confident in Philly. Dak is back, and Dallas

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Speaker 2: did get spacked twice last year by Philly. I think

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Speaker 2: it was uh forty one to six in that last game,

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Speaker 2: uh forty one to seven, excuse me, in the last game,

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Speaker 2: thirty four to six in the first game. So they

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Speaker 2: failed to score double digits against yeah, Philly, quite understatement.

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Speaker 1: Without they got They got out DAC seventy five to

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Speaker 1: thirteen in those games.

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Speaker 2: But I think I'm pretty sure both those games were

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Speaker 2: without that, right, So yeah, Look, Dak being back is

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Speaker 2: enormous for the Cowboys, but losing Micah Parsons on this

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Speaker 2: defense is you know, it's the impact that everybody says

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Speaker 2: it is and everyone is making a big deal about it.

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Speaker 2: You've seen this line move out already well over a

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Speaker 2: touchdown out at eight and a half, and I think

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys are going to be a little Bengals ish

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Speaker 2: this year. I think their defense is better than Cincinnati,

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Speaker 2: but their offense isn't they have. They lack a run,

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Speaker 2: a real run game. They lack an offensive line to

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Speaker 2: dominate a defensive line. So all of this is going

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Speaker 2: to be on the back of deck. And I think

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Speaker 2: you're asking this passing game to do too much against

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Speaker 2: the best defense in the league, one of the best defenses.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we called Denver or Pittsburgh up there too, but

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Speaker 2: one of the better defenses in the league Week one. Now,

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Speaker 2: you know, you get the whole offseason to prepare for

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Speaker 2: this game. I'm sure we're gonna see some tricky stuff

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Speaker 2: on both sides, So maybe I'm less likely to love

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Speaker 2: the under in this game a little bit. But if

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Speaker 2: it's anything like college, we had a lot of unders

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Speaker 2: in Week one, a lot of people betting over, so

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Speaker 2: Vegas made a bunch of money. But I think that

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Speaker 2: this week I'm okay with Philly. I don't really want

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Speaker 2: to touch the total.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to touch the total. I almost don't

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Speaker 1: want to touch a spread. But Mike Lee is certainly

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Speaker 1: the eagle side in the eight.

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Speaker 2: I think it has to be.

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Speaker 1: I think, look, can they win by ten or something?

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Speaker 1: I think they can. But again, this is not where

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Speaker 1: I want to make my strong investment. I'm just being

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Speaker 1: really just clear, and I'm the king of cave. It

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Speaker 1: it real. Everybody knows on the show. I love some

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Speaker 1: things on the weekend, the under on the Jets game.

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Speaker 1: I love that can't give enough of the Steelers Jets

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Speaker 1: that pace of play. I think the Giants are gonna cover.

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Speaker 1: I think that the Seattle is really plucky as a

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Speaker 1: home underdog. There's a lot of good things. I think

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Speaker 1: Denver's gonna just kick the crap out of a rookie

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Speaker 1: QB at home. I think that's a dangerous There's a

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Speaker 1: lot of stuff on something that's my survivor pick mine too,

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Speaker 1: mine too, Denver, I mean to make a first start

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Speaker 1: in Mile High week I don't.

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Speaker 2: Okay, well, here here's what we differ in this game.

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Speaker 2: I actually don't think cam wored is gonna be too bad.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's.

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Speaker 1: Gonna be awful. I just think it's gonna be hard

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Speaker 1: to operate.

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Speaker 2: They are not gonna be able to stop Denver at all.

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Speaker 2: That Denver's gonna run the ball right down their throat

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Speaker 2: because at the improvements that Tennessee made. The offensive line

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Speaker 2: is good. Obviously, the quarterback is going to bring everybody

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Speaker 2: up on offense. No, Harold Landry, I don't know where

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Speaker 2: they're getting their pass rush from. And Lugarious Need has

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Speaker 2: just been consistently hurt as a Titan. So the secondary's bad.

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Speaker 2: The line is bad. I don't know who their second

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Speaker 2: linebacker is gonna be. It's it's rough in Tennessee right

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Speaker 2: now on defense.

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Speaker 1: So what we're trying to say is pace yourself. It's

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Speaker 1: the first game. Yes, you know, you don't want to

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Speaker 1: be like Chris Farley and Tommy Boy Jojo the idiot

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Speaker 1: this boy, and you're just really excited about every You

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Speaker 1: don't want to do that, Okay, you just want to

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Speaker 1: pay It's the first night. Everyone's excited. People bet too much.

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Speaker 1: Don't do that. We're gonna walk you through some of

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Speaker 1: the props. Go ahead, box.

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Speaker 2: I talked about this on a college football show and

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Speaker 2: we were talking about, like what do you do early

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Speaker 2: in the season, And I said, look, you bet less

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Speaker 2: early because you don't want to, you know, screw up

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Speaker 2: your whole role that you're gonna bet for for the year.

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Speaker 2: I know we're all excited We're all we all want

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Speaker 2: this to be awesome. We all want to all of

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Speaker 2: our bets to hit. But Week one tells us more

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Speaker 2: than any other week, right, So we go in more

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Speaker 2: blind in week one than any other week.

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Speaker 1: All see every year stuff that like, I see so

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Speaker 1: much and bring on the forty nine ers, and I

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Speaker 1: keep going no, like, I just don't like I like,

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Speaker 1: maybe maybe I'm wrong. We'll see. We'll talk more about

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Speaker 1: those games later in the week. Obviously, a Thursday Friday,

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Speaker 1: we're here to talk about Thursday night football, and we're

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Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight

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Speaker 1: eight eight Admit it. In Indiana. If you are somebody

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Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call

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Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler and hour Zona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

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Speaker 1: All right, Bogs, let's dig a little deeper here. We

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Speaker 1: will keep you, of course honest here as we always do.

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Speaker 1: Bogs is very good. Also about keeping it real. Last

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Speaker 1: year above five hundred, that's all that matters. At the

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Speaker 1: end of the day, did we win or we lost?

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Speaker 1: We won? Hey, above five hundred last year, So take

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Speaker 1: you through the season and the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Fifty four is incredible in long term betting.

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Speaker 1: In long term and again, we have to do this

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Speaker 1: every single week, right, this is our job. Yes, so

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Speaker 1: some weeks where again this game. I told everybody I'm

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Speaker 1: not eating this game. Some of the individual stuff I do. Like,

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Speaker 1: let's start here with Jalen Hurts first time touchdown score

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Speaker 1: plus four to twenty five. That's a pretty good number, bogs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, listen this, Uh, I like this because of the payout. Right,

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Speaker 2: this is the one where I look at this and

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Speaker 2: I go, I don't need a lot of stats. I

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Speaker 2: did look things up, like I don't know, Saquon scored

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Speaker 2: a lot of first time touchdowns. I think Hurts maybe

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Speaker 2: did it twice last year. Cavante Terp is an amazing

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Speaker 2: kick returning. You might return the opening kickoff back for

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Speaker 2: a touchdown, like you know, But what happens if the

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Speaker 2: Eagles get to the one we know, we know exactly

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Speaker 2: what happens. They tried to ban it, that's how good

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Speaker 2: they are at the tush push and Jalen Hurts is

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Speaker 2: going to go over the top and score a touchdown

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Speaker 2: and get it. So I'm hoping that that is the

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Speaker 2: first drive of the game for the Eagles. It gets

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Speaker 2: him down close to the goal line, they get near

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Speaker 2: the one, and we know exactly what happens. So you know,

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Speaker 2: paying four to one on that I think is a

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Speaker 2: pretty good risk. So I love this bat.

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Speaker 1: Now, look, the anytime touchdown score for Jalen Hurts is

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Speaker 1: minus one sixty, but I want to find that first time. Yeah, well, Robbie. First,

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Speaker 1: you know, we all think Jalen Hurts is gonna score,

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Speaker 1: but I don't like minus one sixty. But Boggs plus

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Speaker 1: four something is also a little bit more, you know,

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Speaker 1: cowboys shooting his guns in the air. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: find the happy medium. I'm gonna flip that one sixty

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Speaker 1: to a plus one sixty five. You can bet him

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Speaker 1: to score first in the first half. Score for excuse me,

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Speaker 1: anytime touchdown Jalen Hurts in the first half of this

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Speaker 1: game at plus one sixty five. So to me, that's

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Speaker 1: kind of like the happy medium. I'm the more conservative

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Speaker 1: better And you know what, I'm also making a concertive

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Speaker 1: effort week one to really be conservative. Last year Week one,

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Speaker 1: I was way too balls to the wall, way too excited,

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Speaker 1: and it took me a little while to dig myself

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Speaker 1: out of that hole. But then I dug myself out

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Speaker 1: and it was fantastic, But that first week was too much.

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Speaker 1: I've really honed in on a couple of things I like.

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Speaker 1: I mentioned them a runny on the show, but this

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Speaker 1: one in particular, I think is a great way to

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Speaker 1: get exposure to it in a better number. Take the

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Speaker 1: first half again, we know what they do when they

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Speaker 1: get to the one. Is it as sexy as Bogman's? No,

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Speaker 1: but it's plus money, so I'll take it.

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Speaker 2: Go ahead, box, Yeah, I mean, I was just gonna say, like,

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Speaker 2: if you want to go crazy, go crazy week two.

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Speaker 2: You have at least a whole weeks of a week

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Speaker 2: of information, a real injury report. You'll see how a

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Speaker 2: lot of those guys are playing, so you know, I

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Speaker 2: mean the injury reports for week one are like, you know,

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Speaker 2: what do they want to tell us?

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Speaker 1: The injury off the season of sucked? Okay, the injury

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Speaker 1: news is just freaking terrible at this point, and I

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Speaker 1: don't know what. Like, look, NFL needs to do a

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Speaker 1: better job of this because it's annoying. I'm just annoyed.

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Speaker 1: From a fantasy investment standpoint, from a wagering investment standpoint,

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Speaker 1: from a fan investment standpoint, it's annoying. Just tell me

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Speaker 1: the truth of what's going on, and they have not.

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Speaker 1: Nobody's forthcoming. I mean, I'm still not even sure what's

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Speaker 1: wrong with Joe Mason. Nobody's really told me what the

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Speaker 1: hell's wrong with Joe Mixon's it's an ankle foot, it's

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Speaker 1: it's somewhere between the knee and his little toe. Something's

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Speaker 1: wrong there. Can we get a little more information, I'd

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Speaker 1: love to find out, But anyway, let's talk more Jalen

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Speaker 1: Hurts here, you've got the twenty six and a half

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Speaker 1: past attempt going over or under.

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Speaker 2: Let's go under on this one. I'm not big on unders,

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Speaker 2: but and this one was twenty seven and a half yesterday.

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Speaker 2: I think they saw me writing notes for this. But

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Speaker 2: over the first four weeks in twenty twenty four he

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Speaker 2: hit this. He did this three times, I think three

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Speaker 2: times in four weeks, and then over the rest of

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Speaker 2: the season, including the playoffs, three times for the rest

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Speaker 2: of the year. Two of those were twenty eight, one

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Speaker 2: was thirty two. So everything else under this twenty six

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Speaker 2: and a half, no twenty sevens. So I just think

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Speaker 2: that a team like Philly at home, if this starts

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Speaker 2: to get gross. Why would we need Hurts to pass

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Speaker 2: the ball. This is what happened all fourth quarter last year.

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Speaker 2: It happened for Zay Flowers as well, you know, like

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Speaker 2: they just didn't need to pass the ball late the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: I think the Eagles are that way as well. I

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Speaker 2: think in their perfect game plan, Hurts probably throws the

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Speaker 2: ball somewhere between fifteen and twenty times, and they run

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Speaker 2: the ball the rest of the time, control the clock,

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Speaker 2: keep the defense fresh and on the sideline. That's the

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Speaker 2: game plan going in every single game for Philly. I

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Speaker 2: think it's gonna work against Dallas because I don't like

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Speaker 2: this defense.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about aj Brown. The number for

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Speaker 1: him for a seving yard seventy two and a half. Now,

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Speaker 1: he was dealing a little bit of a knee issue,

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Speaker 1: but it's gonna play in Week one. So Bob, you

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Speaker 1: want to go over or under the seventy two and

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Speaker 1: a half receiving.

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Speaker 2: Yards, I'll go over on this one. And he hit

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Speaker 2: this in eight of fourteen games last year, including one

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Speaker 2: hundred versus Dallas. When it Hurts started in that first

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Speaker 2: game because that second game they were resting their starters

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Speaker 2: because they already had home field, so hurts barely. I

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Speaker 2: can't remember if he didn't play or he barely played.

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Speaker 2: Whatever it was, it wasn't very long. So AJ Brown

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Speaker 2: over one hundred yards. I know he's questionable, but he

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Speaker 2: picks up yard or over seventy two and a half yards.

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Speaker 2: He picks up yards in big chunks. And if you're

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Speaker 2: focusing on stopping the run game which you trade for

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Speaker 2: Kenny Clark, apparently you're say more focus on stopping the

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Speaker 2: his his grade has gone down four straight years and

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Speaker 2: he's thirty. So I like Kenny Clark. He's a good player,

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Speaker 2: but I don't know about this man. And Mozzie Smith

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Speaker 2: has not made it work. So I think if Philly

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Speaker 2: is dominating or you know, if Philly is dominating the run,

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Speaker 2: that's gonna be the concentration you can hit AJ Brown

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Speaker 2: over the top. One big one for him will get

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Speaker 2: it most of this, I think, and then it's just

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Speaker 2: three or four catches after that. So look for the

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Speaker 2: big one for AJ Brown and then I think he

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Speaker 2: gets the rest of this on his normal You know,

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Speaker 2: what's a minimum line for AJ Brown? In most games?

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Speaker 2: Show you four for fifty three.

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Speaker 1: Fifty I think somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, four, somewhere in that range. Yeah, one big one

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Speaker 2: and the rest will play out, I think. So let's

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Speaker 2: just hope for that big one.

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Speaker 1: Let's move to the Dallas Cowboys box because there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of eagle stuff on this game as rightfully, So

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Speaker 1: let's talk about George Pickens new toy here. I know

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Speaker 1: sometimes you like to go for the over under on

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Speaker 1: the largest reception of a certain player. Two and look,

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Speaker 1: Pickens is a big play kind of guy. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be fasting to see how he operates in this offense

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Speaker 1: with Ceedee Lamb now as the number two target in Dallas.

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Speaker 1: So where are you going with Pickens here? You got

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Speaker 1: twenty two and a half of the longest reception you've taken.

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Speaker 2: That. Yeah, we're going over on that. He hit this

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Speaker 2: in twelve to fifteen games last year with Russell Wilson

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Speaker 2: and by the way, football Russell Wilson rooson ball, those

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Speaker 2: are great right His A dot last year, Russell's was

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Speaker 2: eight point four, Daxx was eight point three, and Dak

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Speaker 2: is going to be by far the best quarterback that

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Speaker 2: ceed that George Pickens has ever played with right, like

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Speaker 2: the quarterbacks of Georgia were okay, and then it was

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Speaker 2: Kenny Pickett and Mitch Trubisky and Russell Wilson is the

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Speaker 2: ghost of Russell Wilson, the old Russell Wilson is the

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Speaker 2: best quarterback that he's played with in his career so far. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: So I think Dak is awesome. You have the number

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Speaker 2: one guy covering Lamb on probably every single play. I

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Speaker 2: think he gets this. You know, he is a deep

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Speaker 2: play guy. And I think you're gonna see more effort

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Speaker 2: from Pickens this year because he's happy about his situation.

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Speaker 2: So I think those fifty to fifty balls that he

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Speaker 2: was let he was under fifty percent contested catches that

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Speaker 2: I'll never believe that. That is just anything effort from Pickens.

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Speaker 2: And he is a cry baby. We know that he's

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Speaker 2: a whiny, you know boy, And I just I don't

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Speaker 2: like a lot of his antics and stuff like that.

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Speaker 2: But I was still not happy that the Steelers traded

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Speaker 2: him because it's a net positive. So I've seen a

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Speaker 2: lot of Pickens. I think he hits this one easily

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Speaker 2: in this game.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Davonte Williams. The rushing yards

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Speaker 1: for him thirty six and a half. The rushing attempts

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. How do you want to approach

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Speaker 1: this one? Because it doesn't look like there's a whole

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Speaker 1: lot of help in this backfield, at least not in

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Speaker 1: week one.

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Speaker 2: That's it, right, Like you know, you have one vet

400
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Speaker 2: that isn't wholly and completely washed. Miles Sanders to me

401
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Speaker 2: is just nothing. You know, like every once in a

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Speaker 2: while he'll pop off a big play. I have to

403
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Speaker 2: say that because he did, you know, I say he's washed.

404
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Speaker 2: I think his last big run was against the Steelers,

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Speaker 2: of course, for a big touchdown. But I just I

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Speaker 2: don't believe in him at all. I think Jayden Blue

407
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Speaker 2: is a passing yard, passing down back when you're not blocking,

408
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Speaker 2: so I think his role is somewhat limited. Already. You

409
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Speaker 2: will change of pace for sure if you're holding the ball.

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Speaker 2: But I think Dallas is going to have to try

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Speaker 2: to run the ball, at least in the beginning of

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Speaker 2: the game. So I think Chavante is gonna see some

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Speaker 2: carries early. His total carries nine and a half. That's it.

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Speaker 2: Who else is touching the football here? Right?

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Speaker 1: I agree?

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Speaker 2: Maybe you run some reverses or something, but you're not

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Speaker 2: running dak Off an injury and so there's not gonna

418
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Speaker 2: be RPOs and things like that. I just think as

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Speaker 2: long as they have the ball for more than twenty

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Speaker 2: five minutes in this game, there's no way Javonte doesn't

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Speaker 2: hit this. Now, famous last words, maybe Jayden Blue is

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Speaker 2: the guy. This is why are tricky. But I just

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Speaker 2: see no other back that is reliable in Dallas, and

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Speaker 2: I think if you're playing Philly, you have to at

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Speaker 2: least show them the run game a little bit. So

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Speaker 2: nine and a half I think is an easy clear

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Speaker 2: for Chavante. But like I said, famous last words, it

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Speaker 2: is week one.

429
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 1: It is week one. If you're looking for more prop help,

430
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:03,119
Speaker 1: don't forget the prop bet cheat sheet. It allows you

431
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 1: to find the best plays every single day on every

432
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,919
Speaker 1: single game of view the rankings based on projections, and

433
00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,600
Speaker 1: that's the gold right there. So if you haven't used

434
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 1: it yet, please go use it. We use it all

435
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 1: year for MLB. We're using it for NFL bettingpros dot

436
00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 1: Com slash props, or just download the new and improved

437
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,639
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. I'm telling you it's sexy boys and girls,

438
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,119
Speaker 1: go get it and use the prop bet cheat sheet. Today,

439
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 1: let's take a look at some more fun here, and

440
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:31,680
Speaker 1: let's talk a little same game parlay. And I got

441
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:33,360
Speaker 1: this bad boy all the way up. If you want

442
00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,400
Speaker 1: to have some juice and a little bit of fun,

443
00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:39,360
Speaker 1: a small wager on this one. Again small, it's week one,

444
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 1: Game one. Pace ourselves, slowly, slowly plus seven seventy eight.

445
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 1: You can get this bad boy up to Jalen Hurts

446
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 1: anytime first half touchdown score. I talked about that before.

447
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 1: You can just bet this one separately. That's what I

448
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:56,120
Speaker 1: want to do first time, first game. Just just bet

449
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,359
Speaker 1: that and walk away with plus one sixty five and

450
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:00,800
Speaker 1: just walk away. That's what I would do on Thursday night.

451
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,359
Speaker 1: But I know you degenerates out there want more, so

452
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you more. Uncle Joey's got you. So

453
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:08,680
Speaker 1: take the Hurts anytime first half touchdown score. Take Davonte

454
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,840
Speaker 1: Williams over thirty six and a half rushing yards, Jalen

455
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 1: Hurts under to twelve and a half passing yards, and

456
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,880
Speaker 1: that's how I get to plus seven seven eight almost

457
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 1: plus eight hundred there on that one bog. So you

458
00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:23,400
Speaker 1: want to pick that one apart. You want to interchange,

459
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 1: you want to move out to Gavonte Williams rushing yards

460
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,119
Speaker 1: and replace it with the nine and a half rushing attempt.

461
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 1: I don't think that's a bad one necessarily that.

462
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 2: I think I would do that. And how far down

463
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:37,600
Speaker 2: does this go? If you just do hurts anytime touchdown.

464
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,480
Speaker 1: See, it goes down a lot because I yeah, no,

465
00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 1: it's more I think I will do that for it.

466
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 2: I don't think, yeah, please, please do because I think

467
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 2: it's gonna still be over five. If it's over five,

468
00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:51,480
Speaker 2: I would still I would want to change that, just

469
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 2: so we're not relying on one half or all right.

470
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna do this. I'm gonna take Bogman's

471
00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,240
Speaker 1: attempts here, all right, So let's see, let's go for

472
00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:02,359
Speaker 1: the rushing attempts nine and a half at nine and

473
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:04,479
Speaker 1: a half here, let's go for the over on that,

474
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:06,640
Speaker 1: which is actually ten and a half where I'm looking

475
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 1: at it right now, So that might be.

476
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 2: Moving a little bit, a little bit, it is moving

477
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,200
Speaker 2: in the right direction. So get it fast, get.

478
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 1: It fast, folks, get a fast get it all gets good.

479
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 1: I literally just saw it. We started this a half

480
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 1: hour ago, and obviously it's already changed. Things are moving,

481
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,920
Speaker 1: and then the under no, so hurts. Actually, I can't

482
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:27,119
Speaker 1: even put the attempts with it. It won't let me

483
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 1: put it with it. See, so let's go back to

484
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 1: the original. We're working. I don't hate and a half.

485
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 1: I mean color. If we can't get the look, if

486
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 1: he gets the ten attempts, he's averaging three and a

487
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,399
Speaker 1: half yards per carry. Look, one decent run should get up?

488
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:45,119
Speaker 2: Is he gonna average? He looked like he was running

489
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 2: in sand last year. That's why I went attempts over yard.

490
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:48,760
Speaker 1: I normally I would agree with you.

491
00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 2: All right, so let me see this though you put

492
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 2: these together.

493
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,560
Speaker 1: Past forty nine. That's your answer, so it's under five.

494
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 1: But you're not.

495
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:58,640
Speaker 2: You're far off ten and a half. I think ten

496
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 2: and a half versus thirty six and a half. Flip

497
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:03,680
Speaker 2: a coin man like whatever, like you said, like if

498
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,720
Speaker 2: he does get one decent one, like, he doesn't have

499
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 2: break it twenty oh, get.

500
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:11,639
Speaker 1: An eleven, eleven, one eleven, get eleven. You know everything.

501
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 2: There's a couple of zeros in there.

502
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,640
Speaker 1: So anytime touchdown score for hurts hurts under two twelve

503
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 1: and a half and then Javante over thirty six and

504
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:20,880
Speaker 1: a half plus four to forty nine. If you want

505
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 1: to change that up and get a little bit more conservative,

506
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,920
Speaker 1: because it's early and it's weak one and and that's okay,

507
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,440
Speaker 1: and it's game one. And if you're looking to build

508
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 1: the same game parlay, don't forget. We've got that for

509
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:33,639
Speaker 1: you too. Over a Betting Pros We've got all that

510
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,400
Speaker 1: you can stack, the logic, the high value combinations. Again,

511
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 1: one of the best things you can do when you're

512
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 1: trying to do an SGP is you're taking all these

513
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:41,440
Speaker 1: things that we're talking about, right, what's the story of

514
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 1: the game, how do we tell that story in the props?

515
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,119
Speaker 1: And then how do we put those things together? So

516
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,040
Speaker 1: the correlations are important here, And if you want to

517
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 1: find help with that, Betting pros dot com slash parlay

518
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,159
Speaker 1: is the place to help you. So, Bogs, this was

519
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:57,640
Speaker 1: a really good first effort here. I'm very excited about

520
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:00,959
Speaker 1: Thursday Night Football. I'm even more excited Sunday Night Football

521
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,680
Speaker 1: because that, my friends, that's a game I already bet

522
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,360
Speaker 1: my Derrick Henry props already. I'm already all in there,

523
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,960
Speaker 1: and I rewatched the playoff game too, and I forgot

524
00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:12,720
Speaker 1: that Mark Andrews had that big fumble in that big

525
00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 1: spot in the fourth quarter.

526
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 2: You don't remember that I drop. It was a drop

527
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 2: right now?

528
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 1: No, No, it wasn't punched out, punched out, ok. And

529
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:22,760
Speaker 1: you know, thinking back on it now, like it was

530
00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:24,600
Speaker 1: one of those things like you remember it happens, but

531
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 1: they're like, oh, yeah, that's right, that happened. And then

532
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,080
Speaker 1: he had that last moment for him where it fell short.

533
00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:30,639
Speaker 1: I wonder if that just got in his head or

534
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:32,440
Speaker 1: he was having trouble with the ball that night because

535
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 1: of the conditions. And I'm just saying, I think the

536
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 1: Ravens are gonna go out there and I think they're

537
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,359
Speaker 1: gonna smack her room buffalo. He is.

538
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 2: He is an Arizona boy. Uh Mark problems. Yeah, he

539
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 2: went to the same high school as the Welsh.

540
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 1: And Welsh has never seen snow either, right, so.

541
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 2: Uh no, I think he has now he's gone up

542
00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 2: to flag Staff. But I didn't see snow in my

543
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 2: life until we were decorating the tree and it snowed

544
00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 2: for the Christmas tree, and it snowed for like ten

545
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,360
Speaker 2: minutes in Phoenix. Is it snowed twice while I live there.

546
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 1: Ever, all right, so let's do the touchdown calls where

547
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,199
Speaker 1: you're going for your touchdown call here, we'll call it

548
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: a day.

549
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 2: At Javante, you were doubling up plus two fifteen. I

550
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,479
Speaker 2: do think if the Dallas Cowboys score, that is the

551
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,359
Speaker 2: most decent number for going like anytime touchdown, if we

552
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 2: don't have to attach a half to it, or a

553
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 2: first time or any other weirdness. Javante doubling up I

554
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 2: think is your best odds because I just you not

555
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:31,800
Speaker 2: getting good odds on Squon or Jalen.

556
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 1: I don't trust that, Okay, I'm all just dark throws

557
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,640
Speaker 1: after that. So I'm gonna try to keep it simple.

558
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:41,320
Speaker 1: I'm sticking with my Hurts plus one sixty five anytime,

559
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,880
Speaker 1: first half. I've got half a football game to get

560
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:47,680
Speaker 1: a touchdown from Jalen Hurts fingers crossed. We get down there, Saquon,

561
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 1: I want you to stop right at the one. Can

562
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 1: you do that for me? That would be very very

563
00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: helpful for me. All Right, hopefully we've been helpful for you.

564
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 1: Drop your comments below. Don't forget to get involved to

565
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,320
Speaker 1: when you are looking for that. Alvin Kamara helmet. We're

566
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,119
Speaker 1: giving away and give some love to our sponsor again.

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568
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569
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570
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Speaker 1: get one hundred and fifty bonus bets when you win that.

571
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 1: I'll do it for us, but the story of the

572
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 1: game goes on for Scott Bogwin. I'm Joey P. We'll

573
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids football is back, good.

574
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:24,120
Speaker 2: Luck, let's go.

575
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

576
00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:30,119
Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

577
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

578
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,480
Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

579
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 3: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

580
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros