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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. What's up? Welcome in to another episode

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt to follow me across all socials and

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice being brought to you by omah Steaks

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Speaker 1: I will say this, I have already cracked a beverage.

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Speaker 1: I'm very happy right now. Weight it's been lifted. We

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Speaker 1: had a winning day. The losing streak is over. So

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Speaker 1: we lost on Monday, lost on Tuesday, lost on Wednesdays,

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Speaker 1: done Thursday, one, on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. We are

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Speaker 1: down about I think like two point eight units for

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Speaker 1: the week. So Virginia, look, when you're going cold, you

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Speaker 1: like you just think you're dead. The first two drives

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Speaker 1: fourteen points. We were dead. I was dead. I was like,

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Speaker 1: I tweeted it, that's it. Another loss, losing day because

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Speaker 1: I knew Army. You watched that first two drives for Army,

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Speaker 1: it was like, oh gosh, utsa can't stop. Anybody watch

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Speaker 1: this guy's Army, Navy, air Force and noone knows what

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Speaker 1: they're doing. They're scoring a ton. Like these teams are

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Speaker 1: scoring right now. It's bizarre. Don't know what to make

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Speaker 1: of it, but it's it's amazing. I mean, Army was

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Speaker 1: awesome offensively last night. Navy was great the night before,

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Speaker 1: so an air Force was air Force. I mean they crushed.

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Speaker 1: I did not bet the plus nine and a half

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Speaker 1: on Utah State. I'm glad that I dodged that. I

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Speaker 1: wanted to bet a live. By the time I went

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Speaker 1: to go bet at live, it was sixteen nothing. Air

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Speaker 1: Force now was like, okay, I'm done not touching that game.

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Speaker 1: So it was an easy punt on that. But Baseball

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Speaker 1: came in to make it a two and one day.

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Speaker 1: Dodgers win over seven and a half. Look, I told

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Speaker 1: you last night, this is just a we're blind. We're

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Speaker 1: betting that game again, Okay, Dodgers over seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Over again, mice one to fifteen. Again, bet it over.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't care if it's Kershaw, I don't care.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter to me. Okay, it's betted six to three.

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Speaker 1: Final right for the Dodgers. Nine runs were scored. Mariners

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Speaker 1: will score a bunch of runs probably tonight off Kershaw.

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Speaker 1: Even if they don't, they'll hit the bullpen, I think.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just taking the over again. So there's your

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Speaker 1: first play. Dodger's over seven and a half. Got that

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Speaker 1: last night, betting that again here tonight. We'll have four

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Speaker 1: place going four tonight. Right, four plays are going to

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Speaker 1: a five place. You have five plays going for tonight,

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Speaker 1: so we'll have a bigger car than normal for that reason.

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Speaker 1: But baseball Bam, Dodgers over seven and a half mine

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Speaker 1: one fifteen. I'm not even gonna break it down for you, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna tell you. It's just it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a bet every time the Dodgers are on the road

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Speaker 1: for the rest of the season. Regular season, the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: were betting over until the books wise up here with

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers on the road, So doing that here for

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Speaker 1: that's bet number one. The under was never closed. That

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Speaker 1: was a bad bet, dead wrong two and one day,

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Speaker 1: zero point nine up point nine units for the night.

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Speaker 1: So stop the bleeding. Let's see if we can turn

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Speaker 1: things around here. And we're going with five plays. As

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Speaker 1: I mentioned. First bet over seven and a half Dodgers

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Speaker 1: and the Mariners. Same bet as last night, betting it again.

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Speaker 1: Second play college football, Penn State taking on Illinois. Illinois

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Speaker 1: is bad. Okay, we I was on. I bet Illinois

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Speaker 1: with Kansas. I watched the game. They lost by eleven.

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Speaker 1: They were laying seven and a half points. Sorry three

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Speaker 1: sorry sorry, catching three and a half points. They lost

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Speaker 1: by eleven. They were laying seven and a half to Toledo.

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Speaker 1: In the first game, they won by two. Penn State

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Speaker 1: was at home against West Virginia. They laid twenty one.

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Speaker 1: They won by twenty three. Against Delle at home, they

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Speaker 1: were laying forty four. They won by fifty six. Penn

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Speaker 1: State's on the road. It's their first road game of

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Speaker 1: the years. He might go, Matt, that's a little bit scary.

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Speaker 1: I don't think so. I don't think Illinois will have

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Speaker 1: any shot at stopping Penn State. Okay, And I'm not

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Speaker 1: jo Illinois scores very much against this Nitney Lions defense.

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Speaker 1: It's early start time, twelve noon Eastern time kick nine

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Speaker 1: am kick on the West coast, so it's a first

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Speaker 1: game out of the gate. But Penn State's offense is

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Speaker 1: just really good. They're scoring thirty eight points per game.

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Speaker 1: Illinois is giving up thirty one points per game. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna give up. You want to bet another game? Another

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Speaker 1: angle is Penn State team total over You bet that

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Speaker 1: you like. I think Penn State's going to score a

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Speaker 1: ton against Illinois. Thirty one points per game given up

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Speaker 1: by the aliin I the Illine I are scoring twenty

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Speaker 1: six point five points per game. That's not very good

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Speaker 1: given the level of talent they've played. And Penn State's

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Speaker 1: giving up fifteen points per game and they've already taken on,

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Speaker 1: you know, a pretty good team, pretty good FBS team.

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Speaker 1: Penn State's only giving up four point four yards per

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Speaker 1: play that's thirty second in college football. Three point seven

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Speaker 1: yards per rush that's fifty sixth in college football. Six

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Speaker 1: yards per pass play that's forty first in college football.

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Speaker 1: They are just an unbelievable defense. But offensively, they're going

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Speaker 1: to run the ball four point two yards per rush

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Speaker 1: is fifty eighth best in the country. They pass eleven

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Speaker 1: point one yards per pass play for Penn State because

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Speaker 1: of the play action, that's fourth best. Drew Aller is

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Speaker 1: going to have a big game. I think here. I'm

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Speaker 1: laying the fourteen points Penn State on the road minus

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Speaker 1: fourteen one point one units down on this. If it

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Speaker 1: goes below third, if it goes below fourteen, I love this.

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Speaker 1: Thirteen and a half, it'd be awesome. I get why

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Speaker 1: the Pros took fourteen and a half just based on principle.

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Speaker 1: I understand that, but they're going to try to play

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Speaker 1: around it and get on both sides of fourteen. It

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Speaker 1: may drop down to thirteen and a half. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if he does. I like it even more, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the fourteen point tier. I do feel

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Speaker 1: comfortable betting Penn State because I like Penn State a lot.

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Speaker 1: We're on the Penn State team total team wins, so

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Speaker 1: total wins over nine and a half. I think they

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Speaker 1: get another one here against Penn State. I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's games against Illinois. Brother, I don't think this is close.

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Speaker 1: Penn State minus fourteen big win on the road against

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Speaker 1: Illinois second play in college football. Iowa is on the road,

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Speaker 1: by the way, Iowa State on the road at Ohio.

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Speaker 1: The numbers two. I can't bet this because the number

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Speaker 1: is gone, but there's a monster trend against Iowa State

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Speaker 1: on the road where the spread is between plus four

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Speaker 1: and minus four. They're six and twenty. I believe the number.

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Speaker 1: I think they've lost like six straight games doing this.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State I think loses outright to Ohio. You want

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Speaker 1: an extra college football bet, go ahead and jump in

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Speaker 1: on that. I'm gonna live bet that game. Personally, I

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Speaker 1: want to watch and see just with that Ohio, with

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Speaker 1: the Iowa State offense looks up against Ohio's defense. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if Iowa score. If Ohio scores, the under

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Speaker 1: forty two and a half might be a good play too,

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Speaker 1: but I want to watch that game before. I'll give

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Speaker 1: me a couple of series and if Ohio looks like

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Speaker 1: they're hanging, I'll take Ohio money line to beat Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: But speaking of Iowa, let's go to Iowa, not University

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Speaker 1: Iowa State, University of Iowa and what they're going to

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Speaker 1: do up against a team in western Michigan that is

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Speaker 1: just overmatched. The team total for Western Michigan is six

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Speaker 1: and a half. The number is twenty eight. Iowa is

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Speaker 1: laying twenty eight points. Forty two and a half is

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Speaker 1: the total for this game. I mean, this is ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what to make of this. Iowa's at home.

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Speaker 1: They may want to run the score up. You can

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Speaker 1: maybe like Matt look out, they might run the score

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Speaker 1: up here Iowa, though, I don't know if they're going

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Speaker 1: to Iowa's one in one. They covered against Iowa State

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Speaker 1: winning by seven last week laying three and a half,

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Speaker 1: but they won by ten against Utah State at home.

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Speaker 1: Western Michigan is kind of similar to Utah State. Their

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Speaker 1: defense is okay, their offenses isn't very good. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how many points I I was going to score,

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Speaker 1: like Iowa may not score twenty eight points, so I

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Speaker 1: don't want to lay twenty eight points. I think the

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Speaker 1: under is the best play in this game. Western Michigan.

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Speaker 1: So far this year, they scored thirty five against Saint

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Speaker 1: Francis in seven against Syracuse. If you score seven against Syracuse,

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Speaker 1: how many points you can score against Iowa three. Their

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Speaker 1: offense is bad. Iowa was both games for Iowa have

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Speaker 1: gone under by five and a half and by two

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Speaker 1: points thirty five. The total for Iowa State forty. I

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Speaker 1: mean that game I closed, That game closed a thirty five.

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Speaker 1: No mean we got it forty two right till that

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Speaker 1: game plummeted. Utah State was forty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: We bet the under in that game too. It's the

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Speaker 1: same thing with the Syhawk. It's the third straight game

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Speaker 1: I'm betting under Iowa. I'm betting trends. I don't like

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Speaker 1: Iowa's offense, I love Iowa's defense. Don't think Western Michigan's

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Speaker 1: gonna score all that much. Hawkeys are at home. Don't

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Speaker 1: think they run the game. They run the you know,

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Speaker 1: run the score up all that much. But they can

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Speaker 1: win thirty to three. They won't cover, you know, twenty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half. They'll cover twenty eight. They'll push

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Speaker 1: on twenty eight. That's what the books are saying, right,

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Speaker 1: thirty to three. Why go through that sweat? Just bet

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Speaker 1: the under forty two and a half under minus one

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Speaker 1: ten for Iowa and Western Michigan and the nightcap, the

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Speaker 1: late game. Everyone betting it. Ninety five percent of the money,

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Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the bets. By the way, those

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Speaker 1: bet percentages mean nothing. I do not care about bet percentages.

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Speaker 1: That number. That information is garbage. Anyone giving it to you,

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Speaker 1: it's garbage. Throw it away, don't listen to it. It's

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Speaker 1: complete nonsense. The data is literally out of date the

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Speaker 1: second that someone tells you about it. And well, it's

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Speaker 1: always a moving target. It's never accurate. The numbers never there.

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Speaker 1: So by the time you hear about it an hour

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Speaker 1: after it's been printed out, you know, regurgitated numbers move

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Speaker 1: three or four times, four or five bets have come in.

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Speaker 1: Doesn't matter, however, everyone is on Colorado. I don't need

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Speaker 1: the bet percentage to tell me that everyone's on Colorado.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's on Colorado team total over forty and a half points,

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Speaker 1: everyone's on the over over fifty nine. I get all

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Speaker 1: of that. Okay, I'm gonna be the fly in the ointment.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Colorado State. I think they got a shot here.

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Speaker 1: I think Jay norvel knew exactly what he was doing

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Speaker 1: when he poked the bear. I think he wants to

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Speaker 1: make sure his kids are not intimidated by Colorado by

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Speaker 1: all the attention fulsome field's gonna be rocking. There's no debating.

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Speaker 1: It's a night game. This is a night game. Colorado's

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Speaker 1: laying twenty four points in a rivalry game. In a

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Speaker 1: rivalry game, this is I mean, look, they may never stop,

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Speaker 1: and I may look back on this and be like, man,

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Speaker 1: that was a bad bet. But the contrarian in me,

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Speaker 1: I'll make this play every time. This is either a

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Speaker 1: rams play or a no play. Sixty two and a

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Speaker 1: half the toe right now? Fifty nine? Would it opened that?

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Speaker 1: I don't mind, wouldn't mind betting over fifty nine. I

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Speaker 1: can't bet over sixt two and a half. And I'm

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Speaker 1: not betting an under with that Buffalo defense. There's no

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Speaker 1: way in hell I'm doing that. That's asking for trouble

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and jump in on that. So far,

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Speaker 1: for Colorado State, they played Washington State. They gave up

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Speaker 1: fifty points to them, they lost twenty four. They lost

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Speaker 1: fifty to twenty four. Okay, in that game they got

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Speaker 1: worked over. I'm not going to debate this that. You know.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure if carl State's defense is gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to slow down Colorado. They were catching eight and

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Speaker 1: a half points in that game. They lost by twenty six.

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Speaker 1: Colorado's two and zero against the spread, plus twenty one

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Speaker 1: points against TCU. They won the game by three. They

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Speaker 1: were laying two and a half. Against Nebraska Home, they

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Speaker 1: won by twenty two points. Twenty four points is a

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Speaker 1: lot of points. Okay, it's a lot of points. If

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Speaker 1: I get twenty points out of CSU, which I think

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Speaker 1: I'm going to Okay, I think we could be okay here, Okay,

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Speaker 1: twenty points. How many points will Colorado score? That's gonna

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Speaker 1: be the big question. I don't think they get to fifty.

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Speaker 1: Just being honest, I don't think they get to fifty.

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Speaker 1: And I think forty might be their hot it might

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Speaker 1: be there high. I think Colorado's gonna take a big step.

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Speaker 1: Carlo State is gonna take a big step four defensively

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Speaker 1: to the point where they can keep it within twenty

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Speaker 1: four points. Maybe we get a back door on it

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Speaker 1: if carl gets out to a big score. But I've

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Speaker 1: been around college football long enough to know that in

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Speaker 1: these rivalry games, you don't throw the records out. But

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Speaker 1: these kids, you know, the Rams hate Colorado right now.

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Speaker 1: Jay Norvel hates what's going on right now, and so

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Speaker 1: this is a way of drawing a line in the

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Speaker 1: sand and saying we're on this side, you're on that side.

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Speaker 1: Call it a gut play, call it a field. Call

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Speaker 1: it just a contrarian bet. That's what it is. I'm

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Speaker 1: taking the points. You give me twenty four points. I

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Speaker 1: don't care who it is. In college football in a

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Speaker 1: rivalry game, give me the plus twenty four one point

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Speaker 1: one units down on Colorado State on the road at

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Speaker 1: Colorado in Boulder, Okay. So one baseball bet over seven

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Speaker 1: and a half Dodgers Mariners. Three college football bets, Penn

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Speaker 1: State minus fourteen under forty two and a half, Iowa

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Speaker 1: Western Michigan, Colorado State plus twenty four and one bet.

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Speaker 1: In mixed martial Arts UFC Noche here in Vegas, it's

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Speaker 1: on a pay per view, it's a fight Night card.

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Speaker 1: It's on ESPN Plus, so it's not on regular TV.

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Speaker 1: It's a title fight, which is actually kind of remarkable

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Speaker 1: that this is where this fight is because, to be

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Speaker 1: honest with you, this is a good card. It's a

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Speaker 1: good fight, and it's Alexa Grosso against Valentina Shevchenko. If

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Speaker 1: you remember, back in March, we bet the over in

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Speaker 1: this fight. We bet Valentina in this fight it's the

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Speaker 1: same handicap. Grosso found a hole in Chipchenko's weekness in

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Speaker 1: Chefcheko's game, and the weakness was exposed. You just pissed

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Speaker 1: off the wrong woman. Okay. Valentina Chiptenko is unfreaking believable.

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Speaker 1: And while I will bet her at minus one fifty

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Speaker 1: five to win this fight on the money line, I

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Speaker 1: think it's an unbelievable price on Valentina. I think the

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Speaker 1: over is the better play, just in case, because it's

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Speaker 1: going to be an all Mexican crowd. I have seen

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Speaker 1: this in Las Vegas during Mexican Independence weekend. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: have seen this. I've been at multiple Canelo Avarez fights. Yes,

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Speaker 1: he's won all of them. Okay, you can say, Matt

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Speaker 1: there wasn't really one that he really was worried about.

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Speaker 1: But Canelo Triple G happened both times here in Vegas

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Speaker 1: during this weekend, and I thought Triple G won the

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Speaker 1: first fight. I thought Triple G won the second fight. Okay.

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Speaker 1: When you bring people, Las Vegas can be pretty hospitable

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Speaker 1: to you on the score card arts, and this is

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Speaker 1: going to be an all Mexican crowd. Mexican card. They're

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Speaker 1: pushing it heavily. They're calling it UFC note Ja, so

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Speaker 1: no fight night, It's into into the UFA evening, you know,

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Speaker 1: no Jay evening. Alexi Grosso is sixteen and three, Valentina

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Speaker 1: is twenty three and four. Four and a half is

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Speaker 1: the total here for this. I think you can bet

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Speaker 1: this game. This fight goes to the cards. If you

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Speaker 1: want at MIS one thirty, you can bet Valentina to

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Speaker 1: win at MIAs one twenty five. But I think the

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Speaker 1: over four and a half rounds at MIS one fifty

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Speaker 1: is the better play. Why well, generally speaking at the

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Speaker 1: flyweight division, when you look at Valentina in the way

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Speaker 1: that she has fought, Valentina has fought a lot of

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Speaker 1: fights that have gone the distance. Jennifer Maya went the

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Speaker 1: distance five rounds, Liz Carmuc Karamouch went to this distance,

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Speaker 1: went five rounds against Santos, five rounds against Murphy. It

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Speaker 1: went four almost into five where she knocked her out

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Speaker 1: and took care of alarm Murphy late. But yes, jess

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Speaker 1: A go on drage. Valentino won that pretty quickly back

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Speaker 1: in April of twenty twenty one. It just thinks she's

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Speaker 1: gonna be more more cautious because she got caught by

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Speaker 1: Grosso in the last fight, and Grosso can box. I

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Speaker 1: mean there's no debate Grosso can throw hands. You gotta

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Speaker 1: be I mean, she's gonna be very careful not to

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Speaker 1: get clipped. And if you look at the five fight

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Speaker 1: win streak, decision decision rear naked choke decision, rare naked

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Speaker 1: choke for Grosso. Okay, when she gets her w's, she's

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Speaker 1: gonna try to submit, and she's quote unquote a submission artist.

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Speaker 1: But I think her boxing is better than people think,

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Speaker 1: so I think Tako was gonna stay at distance. I

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a pretty boring fight. I didn't

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a point fight. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: trust the judges to give it to to Valentina officially.

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Speaker 1: I think she'll win it on the money line. If

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Speaker 1: you like Valentina, take the money line. I'll be on

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Speaker 1: it too, because it's a really cheap price. I think

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Speaker 1: on the better fighter. But over four and a half rounds,

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Speaker 1: I think this fight goes deep. I think this fight

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Speaker 1: probably goes to the scorecards. MIU one fifty or mice

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Speaker 1: one thirty. You can take your pick. On this. As

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Speaker 1: to what you want to bet, I'll take the potential.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the two and a half minutes that you'll

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Speaker 1: get from betting the over four and a half rounds

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Speaker 1: versus betting going to the distance, and maybe there's a

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Speaker 1: late stoppage, or maybe there's something that could get in

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Speaker 1: the way of it. I don't really think so. If

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Speaker 1: we get to the fourth and get to the fifth round,

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Speaker 1: to get halfway through, it would be surprising to see

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Speaker 1: the fight and there. But just in case, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go over four and a half rounds Chevchenko versus Garasso

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Speaker 1: in the main event at UFC Noce here in Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas t Mobile Arena at MIS one fifty. It's a

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Speaker 1: little juicy. I totally understand that you don't want to fit,

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Speaker 1: you want to fade that go right ahead, But I

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Speaker 1: like that fight. It's the same bet that I made

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Speaker 1: with Valentina in the over. The last time these two

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Speaker 1: two got going, it was trending directly to hit both

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Speaker 1: of them in March, and then Valentina got cute and

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Speaker 1: did a spinning roundhouse kick that got caught by Grosso.

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Speaker 1: She jumped on the neck and submitted her It was

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Speaker 1: a brilliant move, but I don't think that mistake happens

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Speaker 1: again for Valentina. So I'm going with the over four

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Speaker 1: and a half rounds Chefchenko and Grosso main event at

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Speaker 1: UFC Noe Chay coming up here tonight in Las Vegas. Okay,

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Speaker 1: five bets going for us. If we sweep the board,

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Speaker 1: we're doing great, we'd be profitable for the week. Doubt

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Speaker 1: will sweep the board, but I do like these bets

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Speaker 1: a lot. Over Dodgers seven and a half against the Mariners,

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Speaker 1: Penn State minus fourteen on the road against Illinois under

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Speaker 1: forty two and a half, Iowa hosting Western Michigan, Colorado

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Speaker 1: State plus twenty four on the road at Colorado over

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Speaker 1: four and a half rounds, Chefchenko in Grosso at minus

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Speaker 1: one fifty for UFC fight nights here in Las Vegas

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Speaker 1: with ESP with UFC no Cha. Let's hopefully have a

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Speaker 1: good Saturday and then head to Sunday. Remember the live

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Speaker 1: streaming at noon eastern nine am Pacific time on this

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Speaker 1: very YouTube channel for us every Sunday morning with me

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Speaker 1: in a revolving cast of characters. Come catch bets, prop bets,

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Speaker 1: long teasers and fun stuff. I went three and one

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Speaker 1: on our prop bets last week. From that Show's see

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Speaker 1: what We Do coming up this week here on a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: But for today, my name is Matt Perol to following

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Speaker 1: me on All Socials at Sports Talk Matt, each and

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Speaker 1: every morning the Daily Juice podcast. I was being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by Omaha stakes dot Com