1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,240 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: your bets. This meet Joe. We paid Joe p Zapia, 3 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: and it's time we look ahead at week seven in 4 00:00:07,600 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: the NFL. Get all the stats, get all the numbers 5 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:13,039 Speaker 1: that gonna impact your bets, and of course are good pal, 6 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: the data scientist Sam Hoppin is here to help all 7 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:19,120 Speaker 1: of you get those numbers right in week seven. Sam, 8 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: before we dig deep into the week ahead of us, 9 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: we got to kind of look at a big piece 10 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: of news that just dropped here as we were recording 11 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: the show, which is Devonte Adams now officially a Jet. 12 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 1: I'm so disappointed in DeVante Adams. I mean, come on, 13 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: if you want to go to the playoffs, I don't 14 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:37,519 Speaker 1: know if the Jets is the way to go, but 15 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers continues to be a coach, general manager, possibly 16 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: even owner of the team. I'm not exactly sure where 17 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:46,519 Speaker 1: things are. But Sam, let's take a look at the 18 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 1: numbers and maybe if you see any value here at all, 19 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: the Jets to make the playoffs is at plus one 20 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: thirty eight for a yes, minus one seventy for a no. 21 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: Just to win the AFC East is at plus four ninety, 22 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 1: so I don't know if any of these numbers really 23 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: click for you. And of course the win total is 24 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: seven and a half over his mine as one sixty two, 25 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 1: but the under is plus money at one thirty. So 26 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: what do you make of this move for Adams the 27 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: impact it has, if any, on some of these jets futures. 28 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 2: I actually don't think it moves the needle for me 29 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:21,039 Speaker 2: that much. I mean, Adams is thirty two years old, 30 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 2: you know, coming off of a hamstring injury. How real 31 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 2: that hamstring injury was. I guess we'll see in a 32 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:30,319 Speaker 2: couple of weeks here, but I still just like, don't 33 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 2: trust this offense a ton. I mean, watching them on 34 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 2: Monday Night Football, it was Breesehall one yard rush, Breese 35 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:42,200 Speaker 2: Hall two yard rush, pass incomplete and they go three 36 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:47,119 Speaker 2: and out and it just seems discombobulated still. I mean, 37 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 2: maybe it moves Allen Lissar down the depth Charte a ton, 38 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 2: but he had been playing pretty decently and has that 39 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 2: connection with Rodgers already. I think this probably has more 40 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 2: of a football impact than betting, which is what we're 41 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: talking about here today, and I think it probably raises 42 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 2: the floor a little bit of the Jets offense, but 43 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 2: it's not going to unlock this new ceiling that we 44 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 2: haven't seen from the Jets already. So I don't see 45 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 2: any value in many of the features right now. I 46 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 2: think you just attack this situation more on the player 47 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 2: pop side of things, try to get ahead of where 48 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 2: you think Adams or who you think Adams might impact 49 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 2: the usage of the most. So still waiting to see 50 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:42,079 Speaker 2: if he's going to be active this upcoming week two. 51 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: I imagine he's active, You're going to try a third 52 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 1: round pick for him, and I imagine Mike Williams might 53 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: be the odd man out after last night's slippage. Before 54 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 1: we get into the numbers here four Week seven, just 55 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 1: a reminder of Michael Stroehan Jersey is up for grabs. 56 00:02:57,320 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 1: It's free and if you want a chance to win it, 57 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 1: thanks for are good for Pristineauction dot Com. All you 58 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:03,680 Speaker 1: need to do is head over to Bettingpros dot com 59 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: slash contest, complete the form and either download the Betting 60 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: Pros app, leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, 61 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 1: or subscribe to our social media channels at Betting Pros 62 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: on x on TikTok and of course betting Pros NFL 63 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 1: on the IG. More actions you complete, the more entries 64 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 1: you receive, and we'll be announcing the winner right here 65 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: in the channel. So subscribe to Betting Pros YouTube, bring 66 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: the Belt to lickos Ding, and of course always drop 67 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: your comments below. Sam. Let's dig into week seven here. 68 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: We've got the Colts versus the Dolphins. How the Dolphins 69 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: are coming off that buy, We're hopefully getting closer and 70 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: closer to a two of return. Goodness knows, the Miami 71 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: Dolphins want that in the worst way. And the Colts 72 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: still some uncertainty who their quarterback will be for week seven. 73 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:48,119 Speaker 1: We assume Richardson, but then again, Flaco kind of keeps 74 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: getting the job done. So I don't know if there's 75 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: any quarterback controversy in your brain, but what are your 76 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: takeaways here where you start to dig deeper into this game? 77 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 2: So this this game open with the Colts favored by 78 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 2: four and a half, went down to Colts minus two 79 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 2: and a half, and now I believe it's it's Colts 80 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 2: minus three minus three and a half, depending on where 81 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 2: you look. Let's start on the cold side of things. 82 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 2: So Anthony Richardson was in line to start this past week, 83 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 2: and then Sunday morning it was a surprise for Joe 84 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 2: Flacco to be starting in that game. He obviously brought 85 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 2: them to victory over the Titans, and this week they've said, 86 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 2: barring any setbacks from Anthony Richardson, he is going to 87 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 2: be the guy. And I think, you know, while I 88 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 2: think Joe Flacco gives them the best chance to win, 89 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 2: that's not the Colts priority right now. They want to 90 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:47,680 Speaker 2: see what Anthony Richardson is. Make it just, you know, 91 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 2: gather more data about him and understand if he is 92 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 2: the guy for the future. And so I do think 93 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 2: if he is healthy, he is going to play. I 94 00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:01,280 Speaker 2: do see him as at this point a like downgrade 95 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 2: from from Flacco. I mean, we saw after they announced 96 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 2: Black of the starter, a bunch of money poured in 97 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 2: on the Colts, rightfully, so I think it'll be Richardson 98 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 2: would be shocked at this stage because Richardson did seem 99 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 2: close to starting this past week. But on the Dolphins 100 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 2: side of things, you mentioned they're coming off of their bye. 101 00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:23,280 Speaker 2: I think Week eight is the first week that Tua 102 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 2: is eligible to return from injured reserve, but a couple 103 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,679 Speaker 2: of injuries to monitor on their side of things. Devon 104 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 2: a chan Is had a concussion that he suffered in 105 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 2: week four prior to their by. Hopefully the extended time 106 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 2: gives him the ability to return, but we've seen with 107 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:45,720 Speaker 2: players like Malik Neighbors he hasn't been able to return 108 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 2: in several weeks now, and then safeties Jefon Holland and 109 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 2: Jordan Ployer also dealing with injuries that could impact the 110 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 2: secondary for the Dolphins. So I think again, with this 111 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 2: line sitting at three, it could fop either way depending 112 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:04,599 Speaker 2: on how some of these injuries play out. 113 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: All right, speaking of line movement here, as we go 114 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 1: to the second game, Vikings and Lions, this is a 115 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 1: huge marquee matchup for the division, the NFC North. The 116 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: Lions coming off a very impressive win. The Vikings are 117 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 1: undefeated off the bye week after traveling from London, so 118 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 1: a lot to unpack here. But what's looming the most 119 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: right now is the health of Aaron Jones and how 120 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:30,480 Speaker 1: that might impact the line one way or another potentially. Look, 121 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 1: the Viking has been great defensively. The Lions have been 122 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 1: great offensively, but that's not the only injury besides Aaron 123 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,359 Speaker 1: Jones to know Aden Hutchinson could have an impact to 124 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 1: on this line is more and more people have time 125 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: to digest that truth. So what are your thoughts on 126 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,039 Speaker 1: the Vikings Lions here, which again is going to have 127 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 1: huge attention on it this week. 128 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is the premiere matchup of the week, one 129 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 2: of if not the best offenses in the Detroit line 130 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 2: going against one of, if not the best defenses in 131 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 2: the Minnesota Vikings. This open with the Vikings favored by 132 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 2: one and a half, It's actually moved a little bit. 133 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 2: Vikings are favored by two and a half in the market, 134 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 2: and I think some more money could come in on Minnesota, 135 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 2: especially if they do get healthier. Now, not all points 136 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 2: are created equal, So getting from two and a half 137 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 2: to three to three and a half on the back 138 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 2: of Aaron Jones' health, I don't know if that necessarily 139 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: will happen. I think it would be just more confidence 140 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 2: in the Vikings overall, but he is a massive upgrade 141 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 2: over the likes of Touch Handler and Miles Gaskin in 142 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 2: the backfield there. I also wonder if the market realizes 143 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 2: that we shouldn't necessarily upgrade Detroit's offense after their blowout win, 144 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 2: like they were already one of the better offenses in 145 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 2: the league, and the Cowboys defense is not what it 146 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 2: used to be, so blowing them out like that is 147 00:07:56,280 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 2: just not as impressive, I think as it might have shown. 148 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 2: I mean, they were they were playing with their food 149 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:04,679 Speaker 2: at the end. They're trying, you know, throwing. 150 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: Its defense was missing Parsons and Lawrence, Like, I mean, 151 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: it's not at full strength clearly, but still another embarrassing 152 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: loss at home for them. But you're right, I mean, 153 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 1: the offense for the Lions is already you know, top tier, 154 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: so maybe that doesn't change too much in terms of 155 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 1: people's concepts. 156 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 2: And then to your point in Hutchinson, losing him is huge. 157 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:28,640 Speaker 2: He was the favorite for Defensive Player of the Year 158 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 2: before leaving. I think the Lions could be in the 159 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 2: market for another edg Rusher. Now, there were reports this 160 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,680 Speaker 2: morning that Hassan Reddick could be seeking a trade from 161 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 2: the Jets, who he hasn't played it down for yet. 162 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 2: I could see the Lins. 163 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: Just got to get some picks back. 164 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 2: Now, say, yeah, I could see the Lions being in 165 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 2: the market for them. But one other thing on this 166 00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 2: Jared Goff has been one of the worst quarterbacks in 167 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:56,959 Speaker 2: terms of up to play when he's in obvious passing situations, 168 00:08:57,080 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 2: and I think Minnesota could take huge advantage of that. 169 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 2: I mean, we haven't seen the Lions really in some 170 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:10,439 Speaker 2: massively negative game scripts so far this season, So I 171 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:13,439 Speaker 2: like the Vikings this week. I think I'd rather get 172 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:16,319 Speaker 2: it now, obviously, when it's at two and a half 173 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 2: under that three, before it moves further, and and think 174 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 2: these teams could be trending in slightly opposite directions. 175 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: Now. The next game we're going to talk about from 176 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: line movement standpoint is not a marquee matchup. I don't 177 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 1: believe it anyway. It's the Saints and the Broncos, and 178 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:35,679 Speaker 1: injuries are really the story here when it comes to 179 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 1: the Saints, just a ton of them. Shaheed Lave with 180 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 1: the concussion. We know cars out already, So this is 181 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:45,719 Speaker 1: a weird one here. I thought that the Denver Broncos 182 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 1: at home would be the upset special of the week. 183 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 1: They did not perform to my expectations. Still a little 184 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: bitter about that one, Sam, But when you're digging into 185 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: this matchup here and all the injuries of the Saints. 186 00:09:56,920 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 1: What does that mean from a line standpoint. 187 00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 2: Yep, so Solave up to concussion on Sunday, I would 188 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 2: imagine he's out, especially on a short week. Taysom Hill 189 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 2: was out this past week with his rib injury. I 190 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 2: don't know whether he's going to play or not. Rashid 191 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:17,200 Speaker 2: Shaheed also now dealing with a knee injury, and it 192 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 2: sounds like that is a bit more serious than initially thought, 193 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:24,839 Speaker 2: so I doubt he plays in this game. And then 194 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 2: we've got Spencer Rattler, a fifth round rookie quarterback and 195 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,040 Speaker 2: his second over ever start on a short week. Without 196 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 2: all of these playmakers, and we've seen the line move 197 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 2: from the Saints being favored by one and a half 198 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 2: points to now being one and a half point underdogs. 199 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 2: So I again, this is a really tough situation for 200 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 2: the Saints. Now. The Broncos offense is dreadful. I mean 201 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:54,440 Speaker 2: bo Nicks, I mean we're six games into his career, 202 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 2: but it's it's not looking great right now. So the 203 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:01,839 Speaker 2: question is whether that the Saints defense can do enough 204 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:06,960 Speaker 2: to keep the Saints in this game. But I think 205 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 2: there's there's a better chance that the Broncos somehow moved 206 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 2: the ball a little bit, and that Broncos defense, which 207 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 2: has been quite incredible this year. Patzertan, I, if he's injured, 208 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:24,080 Speaker 2: could change some things as well. But I think the 209 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:26,719 Speaker 2: Broncos rightfully should be favored. That it's going to be 210 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 2: an ugly game. He says, it's not Marquee. It is 211 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:31,800 Speaker 2: prime time Thursday night football. Hey, I can't wait to 212 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:33,360 Speaker 2: three hours of this. 213 00:11:33,440 --> 00:11:36,199 Speaker 1: I might have to, I can. I can definitely multitask. 214 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:38,840 Speaker 1: I'll be watching the baseball playoffs instead, and. 215 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 2: That's that's not a bad idea. But again, I think 216 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 2: it makes sense. I don't know that this crosses three. 217 00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 2: I think we've seen most of the line movement that 218 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 2: we're getting from an injury standpoint. I don't know if again, 219 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 2: fully don't expect a lobby of shiki to play Taysom 220 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 2: Hill playing is not going to move the thing the 221 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 2: line enough to get the Saints being favored again, all. 222 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 1: Right, before we get into the futures and some movement 223 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: there in those markets. If you're looking for a way 224 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:12,080 Speaker 1: to get cash back to load funds on your favorite 225 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:16,079 Speaker 1: sportsbook or daily fantasy site, our partner edge boost, the 226 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:19,200 Speaker 1: financial platform for smart Betters allows you to do just that. 227 00:12:19,520 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 1: Here's how it works. 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Go sign up today. 254 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:47,000 Speaker 1: Back to the futures and back to Aiden Hutchinson in 255 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:49,560 Speaker 1: that injury we were just talking about. It feels like 256 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:51,599 Speaker 1: now if you're looking at you know, TJ. Watt's the 257 00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:53,760 Speaker 1: favorite plus one fifty. Those guys were kind of neck 258 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:55,959 Speaker 1: and neck, and now there's a huge divide. It's TJ 259 00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:58,839 Speaker 1: Watt in the field, Chris Jones at plus seven hundred, 260 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 1: Will Anderson at plus So really it feels like TJ 261 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:04,920 Speaker 1: Watt's to lose, and the only way he loses it, 262 00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 1: especially after a performers where he's knocking balls out of 263 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 1: people's arms last week, to me is just health, which 264 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: has been the one thing that TJ. Watt has struggled 265 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 1: with in recent seasons. So how has this Hutchinson affected 266 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 1: this market and where do you want to go Do 267 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 1: you want to just take the plus money on TJ. 268 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 1: Watt or do you have your eyes set somewhere else? 269 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, very very timely forced fumbles there by TJ Watt. There, 270 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 2: it's the Hutchinson injury. But I at this point again, 271 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:36,040 Speaker 2: laying plus one point fifty on a favorite for an 272 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 2: awards market six weeks into the season is not really 273 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 2: where I want to tie up money. So there's a 274 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 2: couple of guys a little further down the list, and 275 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 2: I'm looking for sort of a specific profile. First, you've 276 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 2: got to be a pass rusher. I mean, in the 277 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 2: last ten years, only Stefan Gilmour in twenty nineteen is 278 00:14:56,960 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 2: the non defensive lineman to win the award. I want 279 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 2: a defensive lineman who can convert pressures to sacks, has 280 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 2: some name value, and is on a team with a 281 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 2: good enough offense that is going to be forcing other 282 00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 2: teams to pass because if their opponents are passing, they've 283 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 2: got a chance to generate pressures and generate sacks. So 284 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 2: the first one that sticks out to me is Nick Bosa. 285 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 2: When I pulled the odds this morning, he was eighteen 286 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 2: to one per Next Gen Stats. He leads the league 287 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 2: with thirty four pressures. He only has three sacks, but 288 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 2: he has fifteen quick pressures, which is third most Trey Hendrickson. Look, 289 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 2: I know the Cincinnati Bengals defense has been terrible, but 290 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 2: he's seventh in pressures. He already has five sacks. And 291 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 2: I think again, with the way that the Bengals offense plays, 292 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 2: they're able to put up points, it's going to force 293 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 2: other teams or their opponents to pass the ball as 294 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 2: well to play catch up or keep pace. And Hendrickson 295 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 2: has been probably the lone bright spot on that defense. 296 00:15:56,280 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 2: And then if you really really want to go down 297 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:04,160 Speaker 2: the ball, Will McDonald and this is from He's won 298 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 2: thirty to one. This from Seth Walder. This was prior 299 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 2: to last night's game, so I don't have the updated stats, 300 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,760 Speaker 2: but for Seth Walder, Will McDonald has a nineteen percent 301 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,320 Speaker 2: pressure rate this season, and if he kept up that pace, 302 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 2: it would be the highest pressure rate by a player 303 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 2: in a full season in their pressures data set since 304 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 2: twenty seventeen. He's currently tied with Dexter Lawrence for the 305 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 2: most sacks among active players. He's got seven. Obviously, Hutchinson 306 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 2: no longer active he at seven and a half. But again, 307 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 2: if you think this Jets offense can turn it around 308 00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 2: and the team in general, he's Will McDonald is having 309 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:46,600 Speaker 2: a really, really good year so far and think he 310 00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 2: could potentially lead the league in sacks, which is a 311 00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 2: huge check mark for defensive player of the year. 312 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, Dexter Lawrence right now is an interesting one. He's 313 00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 1: got seven sacks. You mentioned Will McDonald. The other guy 314 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:03,480 Speaker 1: too that I think has an outside shot that's kind 315 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,720 Speaker 1: of interesting is Daniel Hunter. He kind of fits the 316 00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 1: bill of what you're talking about too, which is pretty 317 00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:10,679 Speaker 1: good offense, a team that's got some expectations around it, 318 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:14,160 Speaker 1: and Hunter recently at least, seems to look like he's 319 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:16,560 Speaker 1: getting back into his old form. That would be another 320 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 1: guy that I would kind of circle on this list. 321 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:20,679 Speaker 1: It's still TJ. Watts to lose everybody at the end 322 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 1: of the day. Go ahead, samm you look like you 323 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 1: got more to add on that. 324 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 2: I think the issue with both Lawrence and Hunter is 325 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 2: there competing with other defensive linemen that are having well. 326 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 2: I mean, sure Will Anderson playing well for the Texans. 327 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 2: The Giants have Brian Burns and unfortunately came on. Thibodeau 328 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:42,360 Speaker 2: is injured right now, so I think some of that 329 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 2: could potentially confuse voters a little bit, but and potentially 330 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 2: like split some of those votes. But both good looks 331 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 2: for sure. 332 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:56,639 Speaker 1: Yeah. Again, it's it feels like TJ wats to lose folks. 333 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,640 Speaker 1: So and plus money. I actually bet it today because 334 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: I want to see what it was gonna be when 335 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 1: all the doest settled on everything. And I'm almost surprised 336 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,200 Speaker 1: to settled at plus money at all. It's plus one fifty. 337 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,720 Speaker 1: In most markets, sometimes you get a little bit better 338 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:12,080 Speaker 1: number somewhere else, but I thought it might even be 339 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:15,160 Speaker 1: like a minus one ten, this point minus one twenty, 340 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,719 Speaker 1: and it's not yet, it's not so as long as 341 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 1: he stays healthy, that's the key. All right, Let's get 342 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: into some of the stats, some of the numbers. Let's 343 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:26,280 Speaker 1: start with Joe Burrow versus the Blitz, because you've got 344 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:27,439 Speaker 1: some numbers here on that. 345 00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, So the Bengals this week will play the not 346 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 2: mighty Cleveland Browns, but the Browns do blitz at the 347 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 2: third highest rate in the league, and Joe Burrow is 348 00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:42,440 Speaker 2: averaging point two one EPA for play against the blitz 349 00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:46,120 Speaker 2: that's tied for seventh best in the league. The Browns 350 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:49,199 Speaker 2: also play a ton of man coverage on defense, and 351 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 2: the Bengals have two receivers in Jamar Chase and t 352 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 2: Higgins who can win easily against man coverage. Again, we 353 00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 2: talked about the Browns at length week, so I won't 354 00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 2: get into their side of things, but I really like 355 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 2: Joe Burrow his passing alts and the alt spreads for 356 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:15,400 Speaker 2: the Bengals because the Browns again are facing a terrible 357 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:18,640 Speaker 2: Bengals defense, but we've also seen them play some other 358 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 2: terrible defenses and not be able to move the ball. 359 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 2: So really love the Bengals this week, and I think 360 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:28,439 Speaker 2: the way that Joe Burrow plays and excels matches up 361 00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:30,400 Speaker 2: well against this Brown defense. 362 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:34,200 Speaker 1: The next one we have on tap is the Ravens 363 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,160 Speaker 1: traveling to Tampa, and this should be a fun one 364 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:38,399 Speaker 1: at a conference game. But we were talking about this 365 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 1: yesterday on the Look Edge show. If you missed it, 366 00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:41,919 Speaker 1: go back and watch on YouTube or listen to it 367 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 1: on the podcast. But what Erics and I were talking 368 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,880 Speaker 1: about was, you know how the strengths of the Ravens 369 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 1: kind of play into a little bit of the strengths 370 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 1: of the Bucks, which makes us a really interesting game. 371 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 1: Derek Henry has been absolutely phenomenal. That nine to twenty 372 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:56,840 Speaker 1: five and a half number that I went over on 373 00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 1: for the rushing total of the year, it's looking pretty 374 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 1: good right now. Knock on, we'll see maybe another couple 375 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:04,159 Speaker 1: of games, we'll get there. But Sam, what are your 376 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:05,800 Speaker 1: thoughts on this one and what numbers jumped out of 377 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: you where you're starting to do the research into this context. 378 00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is gonna be a fun one. So 379 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:16,199 Speaker 2: Baltimore's offense ranks second in explosive pass right, So an 380 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,159 Speaker 2: explosive play here is a play of fifteen or more yards. 381 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay's defense ranks twenty seventh and explosive pass rate allowed. 382 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay also could be without Jamel Dean, their second 383 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 2: highest graded coverage defender. And then you have Tampa Bay's offense, 384 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 2: which ranks third in explosive pass right against Baltimore's last 385 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:42,119 Speaker 2: ranked explosive pass rate allowed. The Baltimore pass defense is 386 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 2: excuse me, The Baltimore defense is a pass funnel. Their 387 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 2: run defense has been to lead their fourth best, and 388 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 2: EPA per rush allowed first and success rate allowed thirteen 389 00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:54,000 Speaker 2: yards before contact allowed in first and explosive rush rateer allowed. 390 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 2: The way to attack both of these teams is through 391 00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 2: the air, and both of these team offenses have success 392 00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 2: doing so and doing so generate jaenerating explosive plays. They're 393 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 2: going to be able to move the ball again. Teams 394 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:10,960 Speaker 2: know that the way to attack the Ravens is through 395 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:13,600 Speaker 2: the past. They have the highest pass right over expectation 396 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:17,640 Speaker 2: against in the league. I think again, the way these 397 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,159 Speaker 2: teams are playing the over unders sitting at forty eight 398 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,600 Speaker 2: and a half, I got it at forty eight last 399 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:26,320 Speaker 2: night when I was looking through this. I honestly might 400 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 2: take some all overs even at this high number. I mean, 401 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:32,960 Speaker 2: when you're passing the ball to it's if you have 402 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 2: an incomplete pass, it's going to stop the clock possibility 403 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 2: for four more plays. I don't know how this isn't 404 00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 2: the highest total game on the board right now. I mean, 405 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 2: I haven't run my numbers in terms of what I 406 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,920 Speaker 2: make it. But this is again you mentioned there's some 407 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 2: strength on strength matchups. There are some strength on weakness 408 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 2: matchups as well, and I think these teams are going 409 00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 2: to exploit those. 410 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, good points there, and I'm with you on the 411 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,280 Speaker 1: over for this one too. I think it gets there last, 412 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: but not least another game that I am staying away 413 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,440 Speaker 1: from the game itself as a wagerer, but I am 414 00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,520 Speaker 1: running to the props on the Saquon Barkley game against 415 00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:16,280 Speaker 1: the Giants in New York or should I say New 416 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:18,840 Speaker 1: Jersey really in met life, I think sae Quan is 417 00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:22,320 Speaker 1: going to take that ball, shine it up real nice, 418 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,159 Speaker 1: and shove it straight up the Giants rear end. I 419 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,080 Speaker 1: just feel like that's what we're going to get here. 420 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:30,399 Speaker 1: But we were talking about the Giants defensive players and 421 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 1: we were talking about how they do get after the quarterbacks, 422 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:34,119 Speaker 1: So how can that impact this game? 423 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:38,720 Speaker 2: So prior to the season, actually I thought the Giants 424 00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 2: pass for us, pass rush excuse me was one of 425 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 2: the best in the league because of the players that 426 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,399 Speaker 2: they had, But I didn't think it would have that 427 00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:49,359 Speaker 2: big of an impact because they were going to be 428 00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 2: going against some of the best offensive lines in the 429 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:55,199 Speaker 2: league on their schedule. But they have been one of 430 00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:58,920 Speaker 2: the most impressive units so far and it's kept them 431 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,480 Speaker 2: in games. They only get sure at the eleventh highest 432 00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,360 Speaker 2: rate in the league, but their eleven point six percent 433 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,280 Speaker 2: sack rate does lead the league. I mentioned earlier they 434 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:10,439 Speaker 2: did lost lose Kaveon Thibodeau to ir last week, but 435 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,879 Speaker 2: they still pressure Joe Burrow on nearly fifty percent of 436 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 2: his dropbacks on Sunday and Night Football. The Philadelphia Eagles 437 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 2: just lost Jordan Mailatta to an injury. They could also 438 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 2: be without Dallas Goddard. Eagles offense still just hasn't clicked 439 00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:30,840 Speaker 2: quite yet, even though they got both of their star 440 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:35,119 Speaker 2: receivers back this past week. Their best method of moving 441 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 2: the ball has been their ground game, and I think 442 00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:43,679 Speaker 2: again Sakwon Barkley in this revenge game is going to 443 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,720 Speaker 2: be the way that they attack them. But ultimately I 444 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,080 Speaker 2: think that New York's pass rush will keep them in 445 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 2: this game. I think the Giants could keep this within 446 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 2: the current three point spread, especially if they get Malik 447 00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:00,399 Speaker 2: Neighbors back and they're able to regain some of that 448 00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:05,159 Speaker 2: explosiveness in the passing game on offense. So again, preseason, 449 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 2: you look at this a three point line between the 450 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:11,560 Speaker 2: Eagles and the and the Giants and you're like shocked 451 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 2: that that's the case. But I think it makes sense 452 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:15,439 Speaker 2: with where these teams are. 453 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 1: Now well, especially with the way Sirianni has made decisions 454 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 1: and the fact that Jalen Hurts's turnover prone doesn't help. 455 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 1: And when you factor in that to what you're talking about, 456 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:28,880 Speaker 1: which is the pressure on the quarterback, you know, bad 457 00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: decisions sometimes happen. Maybe start looking at some props for 458 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:35,119 Speaker 1: some turnovers, there some interceptions potentially for Jalen Hurts. That 459 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 1: might be an interesting way to go in this game 460 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,560 Speaker 1: as well. All right, before we jump into the Survivor 461 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 1: pool yet again four week seven and see if we 462 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 1: can get a lock w I want a quick reminder. 463 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:47,399 Speaker 1: When you sink your sportsbooks for free over the Betting 464 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 1: Pros app and you download that bad boy, you also 465 00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,439 Speaker 1: check out the Betting Systems tool that's out there. Our 466 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,159 Speaker 1: new Betting Pro Systems tool is designed to help you 467 00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,800 Speaker 1: find winning strategies and make smarter bets. You can customize 468 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: your betting systems I sport, bet type and timeframe to 469 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,160 Speaker 1: find the best opportunities. Using real time data and expert 470 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,440 Speaker 1: analysis from folks like Sam Hoppin himself, track the performance 471 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 1: of different betting systems over time, and you can optimize 472 00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,640 Speaker 1: your bets to increase your chances of success. So download 473 00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 1: the Betting pros app today elevate your sports betting strategy 474 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 1: and take advantage of first time too. We're getting a 475 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,000 Speaker 1: free month of premium on Betting Pros. So if you 476 00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 1: haven't downloaded the Betting Pros app yet, now's the perfect time. NFL, 477 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 1: college football, baseball, hockey, NBA, you name it, We've got it. 478 00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:33,359 Speaker 1: You could bet on it right now. So use the 479 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,399 Speaker 1: premium tools that we have available on Betting Pros for 480 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 1: free for the next thirty days. Just download it. Click yes, 481 00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: I want free stuff, and next thing you know, you're 482 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: making money. Sam survivor pools have been tough in twenty 483 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:47,199 Speaker 1: twenty four, There's no doubt about it. So where you 484 00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 1: going this week for your pick? 485 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the Los Angeles Rams, coming off 486 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:55,240 Speaker 2: the buy they place play the Las Vegas Raiders. The 487 00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:58,880 Speaker 2: Rams could get Cooper Cup back, which would be massive, 488 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,639 Speaker 2: but the Rams have one of the best rushing attacks 489 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,920 Speaker 2: in the league right now, especially with Kyron Williams. The 490 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 2: Raiders really struggling on defense, struggling everywhere. They're for sure 491 00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:15,320 Speaker 2: not going to have Defante Adams back now. They don't 492 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 2: have Christian Wilkins to help on the defensive line. I 493 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:23,800 Speaker 2: just again coming off to buy Sean McVay. I'm sure 494 00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:28,520 Speaker 2: has a lot of stuff cooked up. It's not an 495 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 2: advanced handicapped by any means, But I just think these 496 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,679 Speaker 2: are teams that I think the Raiders are just a 497 00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,240 Speaker 2: dead team at this point, Like I don't know what 498 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:42,119 Speaker 2: they are. They're just they're moving on to twenty twenty 499 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,720 Speaker 2: five already. So give me the Rams. 500 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 1: Whatever good vibe showed up last year when Pierce took over, 501 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:50,639 Speaker 1: they are dead in the water right now. It's just 502 00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:52,920 Speaker 1: like that. I'm gonna stay on brand with the hoodie today. 503 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:55,400 Speaker 1: If I was still alive in my survivor pool this week, 504 00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 1: I would take the Buffalo Bills at home against Will 505 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:01,240 Speaker 1: Levis and the Titans. Will Levis gift that keeps on giving. 506 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:04,760 Speaker 1: If that gift is turnovers and bad decisions, and that's 507 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,080 Speaker 1: what Will Levis has done, and maybe we'll see a 508 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 1: change of QB who knows. Put the Tennessee Titans on 509 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 1: the road. I just don't think they're gonna get it done. 510 00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,520 Speaker 1: So yeah, I know Tony Poller's look pretty good. That's 511 00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,320 Speaker 1: been positive, but it wasn't a big decisive, you know, 512 00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 1: blowout victory against the Jets. So I don't see this 513 00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 1: game as a trap. I see the buffalo Bill's focused 514 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,639 Speaker 1: on saying, Hey, this is a w at home. We 515 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,400 Speaker 1: should be able to get and continue to separate yourself 516 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:30,680 Speaker 1: from the pack of the AFC East. So go Bills, 517 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,120 Speaker 1: Let's go Bill's Mafia. My favorite thing I saw week 518 00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: two was the I don't know if you saw this, Sam, 519 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,320 Speaker 1: was the social media stuff where the guy had his 520 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,720 Speaker 1: baby's a Bills fan and he put it through like 521 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:43,439 Speaker 1: a styrofoam Bill's table as kind of like anointing the 522 00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:48,080 Speaker 1: child as the Bills fan. Different good stuff, a different 523 00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:50,720 Speaker 1: type of baptism for sure, baptism by fire without the 524 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,640 Speaker 1: fire than goodness because it's just a small child. But 525 00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:57,320 Speaker 1: Bill's Mafia never disappoints on the internet, that's for sure. Again, 526 00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 1: we love to hear from you. Subscribe to the channel 527 00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:01,760 Speaker 1: ring the bell to that goes ding and let us 528 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:03,640 Speaker 1: know what the numbers are you're looking at the most 529 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:05,679 Speaker 1: when you're making your bets in week seven, and of 530 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:08,879 Speaker 1: course check out Sam's workover at bettingpros dot com today. 531 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:10,760 Speaker 1: That'll do it for me and Sam. But the story 532 00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:13,159 Speaker 1: of the game goes on We'll see you next time. Kids, 533 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 1: have a great week seven. 534 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:17,800 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 535 00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,240 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 536 00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:23,639 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 537 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:26,560 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 538 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:30,320 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 539 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,879 Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.