WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - November 17th, 2023

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg business Week Inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus.

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<v Speaker 2>Global business, finance and tech news.

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<v Speaker 1>The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>Hi, everyone, Welcome to the Bloomberg Business Week Weekend Podcast.

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<v Speaker 3>A very busy few days in global markets on Capitol

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<v Speaker 3>Hill and in geopolitics in the US, we got data

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<v Speaker 3>showing inflation easing and growth softening, and we also saw

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<v Speaker 3>Congress coming to terms on a temporary funding measure to

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<v Speaker 3>avert a government shutdown.

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<v Speaker 4>The agreement delayed a partisan clash over federal spending until

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<v Speaker 4>the new year, well leaving out emergency a to allies

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<v Speaker 4>Ukraine and israel I had this hour, we'll look at

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<v Speaker 4>the Warren Gaza through an economic lens and then discuss

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<v Speaker 4>what hundreds of global leaders fear most as the two

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<v Speaker 4>hot wars.

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<v Speaker 3>Ray John Overshadowing all of that, however, was the San

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<v Speaker 3>Francisco summit between US President Joe Biden and his Chinese

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<v Speaker 3>counterpart Ji Jimping, And that is where we begin.

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<v Speaker 4>After an hour's long meeting Wednesday, she dined with business

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<v Speaker 4>leaders alongside the Apex Summit and made some welcome remarks,

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<v Speaker 4>saying China wants to be friends with the United States.

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<v Speaker 4>He also stated that his nation won't fight a cold

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<v Speaker 4>or hot war with anyone. It was one of his

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<v Speaker 4>clearest remarks yet, proclaiming a desire for peaceful ties between

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<v Speaker 4>the world's two largest economies.

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<v Speaker 3>President Biden meanwhile said the talks yielded progress and repairing

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<v Speaker 3>strained ties between the two superpowers, while reiterating that he

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<v Speaker 3>considers you a dictator in an apparent off the cuff

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<v Speaker 3>from Mark. But keep in mind, apparently it's not the

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<v Speaker 3>first time he has said that, basically making the distinction

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<v Speaker 3>between how the Chinese government is run and how the

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<v Speaker 3>US government is run. Well, a lot to digest here

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<v Speaker 3>and to help us interpret what we saw and heard

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<v Speaker 3>from the two leaders. We welcome back David Riedl. He's

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<v Speaker 3>president and founder of Retal Research Group. David, really great

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<v Speaker 3>to have you back so timely. This meeting significant or

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<v Speaker 3>just a photo op, which many would also say has

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<v Speaker 3>value in seeing these two leaders together and on US

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<v Speaker 3>soil specifically, Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>That's exactly right. I'm not denigrating the photo op. That's

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<v Speaker 5>an important part of diplomacy. But I think some important

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<v Speaker 5>things have happened here. I think a floor has been

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<v Speaker 5>put in the relationship. I think things stop getting worse,

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<v Speaker 5>and I think we have the building blocks of recreating

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<v Speaker 5>at least a functioning US China relationship, which is very

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<v Speaker 5>important for us, for them, and for the rest of

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<v Speaker 5>the world.

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<v Speaker 4>Well point out what in the past couple of years

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<v Speaker 4>has not been functioning, and what you think now that

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<v Speaker 4>there is a floor in the relationship will start functioning soon.

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<v Speaker 5>David Well, the most dangerous thing is ongoing disputes in

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<v Speaker 5>the South China Sea and in.

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<v Speaker 6>The Taiwan Straits.

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<v Speaker 5>You may remember that China lost an international court ruling

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<v Speaker 5>that they ate where they lay claim to most of

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<v Speaker 5>the South China Sea all the way to the borders

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<v Speaker 5>with the Philippines and Vietnam and other allies of the US,

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<v Speaker 5>really saying that that is essentially part of their country

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<v Speaker 5>and no one should pass through it without their permission. Also,

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<v Speaker 5>the Taiwan Straits, they've determined that that is what they

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<v Speaker 5>consider an inland waterway which is part of their country.

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<v Speaker 5>And those are things, of course, that the US strongly

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<v Speaker 5>disagrees with, as does most of the rest of the world,

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<v Speaker 5>and they've been conducting these freedom of navigation acts, which

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<v Speaker 5>have really rankled China because we've continued to sail warships

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<v Speaker 5>through both the Straits and the South China See and

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<v Speaker 5>that's caused a lot of problems. That's actually one of

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<v Speaker 5>the more important things that was accomplished here begin the

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<v Speaker 5>re establishment of military communications. So I think the first

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<v Speaker 5>thing that's hopefully off the table is some sort of miscoup,

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<v Speaker 5>calculation or accident or problem that results in an actual

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<v Speaker 5>military conflict because of an accident in one of those

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<v Speaker 5>two areas.

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<v Speaker 6>That's something that's gone really wrong.

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<v Speaker 5>Trade policy, other things about rhetoric in both political systems

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<v Speaker 5>have been troublesome but real. The danger in the South

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<v Speaker 5>China Sea and the Taiwan Straight has been my main concern.

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<v Speaker 3>So, like a relationship that goes bad, you can have

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<v Speaker 3>where the two individuals don't talk, or at least they're talking,

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<v Speaker 3>and so you get to a better way.

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<v Speaker 7>Is that kind of where we are with the US

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<v Speaker 7>and China right now.

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<v Speaker 6>That's exactly right, and they're talking at every level.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, it's important that Biden and She sit down,

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<v Speaker 5>but it's also important that the high level officials, sit down,

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<v Speaker 5>middle level officials, people up and down the trade and

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<v Speaker 5>commerce arena as well as the military arena. So communication

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<v Speaker 5>and connection at every level is critical to avoiding a problem.

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<v Speaker 7>Panda diplomacy that is going to go there.

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<v Speaker 8>We lost the look we.

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<v Speaker 3>Have had the pandas leaving the US been here for

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<v Speaker 3>decades now maybe coming back.

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<v Speaker 7>Are we right to laugh? Or that sharing of something

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<v Speaker 7>that is native and unique to China so important and

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<v Speaker 7>a big deal.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, I'm reminded of how important it was during

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<v Speaker 5>the nineteen seventies when we were first establishing contact with

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<v Speaker 5>China what they call ping pong diplomacy. And you can,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, you can sort of nicker at the idea

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<v Speaker 5>of ping pong players founding forming the basis of a

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<v Speaker 5>relationship between two great, two large, very large economies like this.

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<v Speaker 5>But it is important to have those person to person

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<v Speaker 5>connections and that sort of sentiment.

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<v Speaker 6>Pandas are a part of the of.

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<v Speaker 5>The the quiver of resources that China has, and I

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<v Speaker 5>am glad for one to see them using it.

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<v Speaker 6>But let's look for other ties.

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<v Speaker 5>Ties between students and researchers and scientists and so and

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<v Speaker 5>so forth.

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<v Speaker 6>That's what really can help.

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<v Speaker 5>That's what helped build the original relationship and can rebuild

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<v Speaker 5>it now.

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<v Speaker 4>But where are we with the panda diplomacy Because what

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<v Speaker 4>happened recently was China took back it's pandas, and now

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<v Speaker 4>we had she yesterday talking about potentially sending them back

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<v Speaker 4>to the US. It seems like, I mean, was he

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<v Speaker 4>using this for leverage that recently?

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<v Speaker 5>You know, I think that the pannas are always on

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<v Speaker 5>loan as you know, our pieces and so and so

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<v Speaker 5>forth between different countries, so it is their right and

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<v Speaker 5>progative to take them back.

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<v Speaker 6>I'm not exactly sure what's burred that.

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<v Speaker 5>It might have been a moment of national pride or

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<v Speaker 5>something that led them to do that last year or

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<v Speaker 5>just a few months ago. But the idea that he's

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<v Speaker 5>opening back up to sending other panda, sending more pandas

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<v Speaker 5>back to US Zeos, I think is an important next step.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey David, what does the narrative or headlines get right

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<v Speaker 3>about this relationship?

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<v Speaker 7>What does it get wrong?

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<v Speaker 5>It's super complicated and very synergistic. We both need each other.

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<v Speaker 5>We need them for large workforce, the ability to produce

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<v Speaker 5>things like iPhones and other pieces of technology that are

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<v Speaker 5>in all of our pockets and on all of our desks.

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<v Speaker 5>We absolutely China for that. They need us to be

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<v Speaker 5>part of the group that it consumes their products and

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<v Speaker 5>keeps their workers busy. We need them to buy our

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<v Speaker 5>US treasuries and things like that, and they need us

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<v Speaker 5>to provide a place to put some of the reserves

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<v Speaker 5>in the savings that they have in their country.

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<v Speaker 6>We need each other, you know.

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<v Speaker 3>I believe it was Arshinelli Bask in our conversation with

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<v Speaker 3>Citadel's Ken Griffin this week who where he basically said,

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<v Speaker 3>just imagine if TSMC just cuts off its supply of

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<v Speaker 3>chips to the world, everything shuts down, Every production line

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<v Speaker 3>shuts down. You know, we talk about Apple the close

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<v Speaker 3>connectivity between the two nations, but you think about TSMC,

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<v Speaker 3>It just you know, provides chips for everybody.

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<v Speaker 5>And that is actually absolutely the most critical part of

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<v Speaker 5>the US channel relationship going forward. Taiwan and what happens there.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, we have stuck to a one China policy

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<v Speaker 5>where we recognize just the government in Beijing and don't

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<v Speaker 5>have official recognition of the government Taiwan. We don't recognize

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<v Speaker 5>China's claim to Taiwan, but we just don't talk about that.

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<v Speaker 5>She of course says that he wants to fold Taiwan

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<v Speaker 5>sort back into the Motherland, as he would refer to it,

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<v Speaker 5>and apparently during the communicate the discussions, she said, look,

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<v Speaker 5>piece is all well and good, but at some point

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<v Speaker 5>we need to move towards resolution more generally. So I

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<v Speaker 5>don't think, you know, this is certainly not off the table.

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<v Speaker 5>Maybe it's not pressing this month or the next, sorry,

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<v Speaker 5>this year or the next couple of years, but China

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<v Speaker 5>does have their eyes on Taiwan, and TSMC makes that

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<v Speaker 5>a super complicated situation for the US as well as

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<v Speaker 5>the rest.

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<v Speaker 6>Of the world.

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<v Speaker 3>Speaking of tables, there are a lot of people who

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<v Speaker 3>shared a very important table with President g last night.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, certainly a who's who of executives there yesterday,

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<v Speaker 4>not just at the dinner.

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<v Speaker 1>Right.

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<v Speaker 4>Elon Musk wasn't there at the dinner. Mark Benioff wasn't there,

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<v Speaker 4>but they did sort of a drive by greeting during

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<v Speaker 4>the cocktail hour. We had Sander Pichaya b Alphabet City's

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<v Speaker 4>Jane Frasier. Larry Fink was at President She's table. Tim

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<v Speaker 4>Cook of Apple, of course, who didn't know, by the way, Carroll,

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<v Speaker 4>if he was actually going to bet.

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<v Speaker 7>He didn't think he was going to come on.

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<v Speaker 8>He was in China.

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<v Speaker 4>Twice this year.

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<v Speaker 2>He was there.

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<v Speaker 4>He's going to be explained to us. You know, the

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<v Speaker 4>takeaways from who was there last night, and who wasn't

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<v Speaker 4>there last night, and who was at at she's table.

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<v Speaker 8>Well he is the.

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<v Speaker 5>Interest saying that how important financial services were in that.

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<v Speaker 5>That actually struck me how many financial services people were

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<v Speaker 5>there because that's an area where US banks were involved early.

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<v Speaker 5>Some of them got burnt. But it's a growing part

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<v Speaker 5>of the of the Chinese economy, and of course a

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<v Speaker 5>huge part of US services exports into China, so that's

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<v Speaker 5>a important balancing part of our of our good goods

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<v Speaker 5>deficit with China is our services. So I keep an

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<v Speaker 5>eye on the financial services industry. That's pretty interesting to me.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm not surprised that Cook was there. He knows what's

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<v Speaker 5>important to him in his future at Apple.

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<v Speaker 7>It's like I think I can move my schedule around.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, of course, I'll make it happen. I'll make it happen. David,

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<v Speaker 3>Thank you so appreciate it. David Reedel, President of Retal

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<v Speaker 3>research on zoom in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com, the iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg Business App,

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<v Speaker 3>Master Low with Tim Stanevik life here on Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 3>Week Bloomberg News. You might have caught this story over

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<v Speaker 3>the weekend talking about the cost of the war between

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<v Speaker 3>Israel and Hamas. Obviously the cost to lives, no way

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<v Speaker 3>to measure that, no doubt about it. But it also

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<v Speaker 3>has an economic cost, and Israel's war gets to mass

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<v Speaker 3>costing the economy about two hundred and sixty million dollars

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<v Speaker 3>every day. It's become more expensive for Israel than first

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<v Speaker 3>predicted and is putting a strain on Israel's public finances.

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<v Speaker 4>We have with us near Barkad right now for Israel

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<v Speaker 4>Minister of Economy. He was the mayor of Jerusalem from

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<v Speaker 4>two thousand and eight to twenty nineteen. Before that, served

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<v Speaker 4>as a member of the Jerusalem City Council. He's got

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<v Speaker 4>a background in tech, though, having founded an antivirus software

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<v Speaker 4>company back in the nineteen eighties. He was also the

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<v Speaker 4>first chairperson Carol of Checkpoints Software Technologies. It's the American

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<v Speaker 4>Israeli IT security company that's listed here in the US.

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<v Speaker 3>On the next deck, mister minister, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 3>for coming with us. Tell us how I think we're

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<v Speaker 3>going to get your mic on for you. There you go.

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<v Speaker 3>First of all, welcome, welcome, Thank you for being with us.

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<v Speaker 3>You do have to be thinking about there are some nervousness,

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<v Speaker 3>certainly among investors in terms of the Israeli economy. What

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<v Speaker 3>can you tell us about it today and where you

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<v Speaker 3>see it going from here?

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<v Speaker 9>Well, thank you for hosting me. I think we have

0:11:17.360 --> 0:11:19.000
<v Speaker 9>to have the perspective.

0:11:19.040 --> 0:11:22.600
<v Speaker 8>First. We imagine you have a neighbor.

0:11:23.440 --> 0:11:28.360
<v Speaker 9>That goes and rapes your wife, takes your child and

0:11:28.400 --> 0:11:32.280
<v Speaker 9>puts it in an oven, and then it takes your

0:11:32.360 --> 0:11:37.439
<v Speaker 9>children hostage. This is a neighbor that wants to wipe

0:11:37.440 --> 0:11:41.720
<v Speaker 9>out Israel off the map. We have fourteen hundred people killed, murdered,

0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:47.000
<v Speaker 9>and two hundred and thirty nine abducted and now are hostages. Okay,

0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:50.040
<v Speaker 9>so Israel has made a decision They're going to wipe

0:11:50.120 --> 0:11:52.920
<v Speaker 9>these monsters off the map, off the face of the earth.

0:11:53.720 --> 0:11:54.800
<v Speaker 8>By the way, the.

0:11:54.800 --> 0:11:58.280
<v Speaker 9>Radical Islamic jihadists are not only threatening Israel, They're threatening

0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:01.800
<v Speaker 9>all over the world. We're on the same line, Israel

0:12:02.040 --> 0:12:04.480
<v Speaker 9>and the US, as this is a big Satan where

0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 9>the little Satan and Europe is also in the same line.

0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 9>So we're not just fighting our own battle. We're fighting

0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:15.760
<v Speaker 9>a battle between good and evil, between the West, civilized

0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:20.240
<v Speaker 9>world and radical Islamis jihadis that want to kill everyone else.

0:12:20.720 --> 0:12:23.680
<v Speaker 9>I'm saying this because this is the perspective. We're going

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:26.280
<v Speaker 9>to win this war. We're gonna wipe them off the

0:12:26.280 --> 0:12:28.520
<v Speaker 9>face of the earth like the world did with the

0:12:28.600 --> 0:12:32.080
<v Speaker 9>Nazis after, you know, at the tail end of the

0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:35.280
<v Speaker 9>Second World War. And once we do that, and we

0:12:35.320 --> 0:12:37.520
<v Speaker 9>will do that, the world is going to be a

0:12:37.559 --> 0:12:39.920
<v Speaker 9>much much better world for everyone, not just for Israel.

0:12:40.360 --> 0:12:43.920
<v Speaker 9>And so you have to look at the economic perspective

0:12:43.960 --> 0:12:47.200
<v Speaker 9>as a derivative of that goal. So yeah, we're now

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:52.320
<v Speaker 9>focusing our energy in our economy on the war, where

0:12:52.520 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 9>it's going to cost us two to three percent of

0:12:55.880 --> 0:13:01.440
<v Speaker 9>the GDP, which is something that Israel could relatively easier manage.

0:13:01.480 --> 0:13:05.520
<v Speaker 9>We had sixty percent debt to GDP entering this war.

0:13:06.320 --> 0:13:10.080
<v Speaker 3>And let me forgive me, because you know, second, that

0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:11.960
<v Speaker 3>should have been like our second or third or fourth question,

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:15.320
<v Speaker 3>because obviously our hearts and our minds go out to

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 3>what's been happening and the conflict on both sides, and

0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:21.280
<v Speaker 3>it seems like we've had many conversations about trying to

0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 3>figure a better way forward for what's going on there.

0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:29.080
<v Speaker 3>And you know, when we start talking about the future,

0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:30.880
<v Speaker 3>people like, well, wait, we've got to figure out what's

0:13:30.920 --> 0:13:34.319
<v Speaker 3>going on right now and deal with it, the situation.

0:13:34.800 --> 0:13:38.480
<v Speaker 3>And so let me go back there and say, when

0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 3>you think this conflict, this war will be done.

0:13:41.920 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 8>Well, we're taking time because we don't want collateral damage.

0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:45.600
<v Speaker 8>We have to deal with.

0:13:45.559 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 7>We's already been collateral damage well.

0:13:48.440 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 9>And the reason and no, there's no collateral damage on

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:54.240
<v Speaker 9>our side. It's an intent to kill Israelis and wipe

0:13:54.320 --> 0:13:57.800
<v Speaker 9>us off the map. We don't want to target innocent civilians.

0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:02.719
<v Speaker 9>We deal with Hamasa hiding behind you know, in our shelters.

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:06.960
<v Speaker 9>We put our citizens in Gaza. The militants use the

0:14:07.000 --> 0:14:09.959
<v Speaker 9>shelter and they don't care about their civilians.

0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:10.520
<v Speaker 8>They don't care.

0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:15.719
<v Speaker 9>Actually they're using as human shields. We hide our we

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 9>protect our civilians they don't, and so entering Gaza, focusing

0:14:21.640 --> 0:14:24.480
<v Speaker 9>on the militants that are by the way, using the

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 9>hostages as human shields. It's a challenge. So we're taking

0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:30.920
<v Speaker 9>our time. We want to make sure that we only

0:14:31.000 --> 0:14:36.320
<v Speaker 9>hit the militants and enable the people to leave the

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 9>northern part of Gaza, you know, their quarters, helping them

0:14:39.560 --> 0:14:42.000
<v Speaker 9>go to the southern part. Because we don't we care

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:45.040
<v Speaker 9>about every human life, every human life, and we don't

0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:47.720
<v Speaker 9>feel comfortable if there's collateral damage.

0:14:47.720 --> 0:14:51.680
<v Speaker 8>That's why we're taking our time and the war. We

0:14:51.720 --> 0:14:54.120
<v Speaker 8>will win this war. There's no doubt in my mind.

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:57.280
<v Speaker 4>What happens, what happens to Gaza when, as you say,

0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.560
<v Speaker 4>you win that war, who ends up ruling Gaza.

0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:03.640
<v Speaker 9>Anybody that says that in its charter is not to

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:09.360
<v Speaker 9>wipe Israel off the map. Hamas will not be there

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 9>after this war. We're waiting to see. You know, Israel

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:16.360
<v Speaker 9>struck a peace deal with Egypt, which was our biggest

0:15:16.600 --> 0:15:19.840
<v Speaker 9>enemy at the time. They recognize the State of Israel

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:23.040
<v Speaker 9>our right of existence, and we have forty years peace

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:26.560
<v Speaker 9>with them. Similarly with Jordan we have twenty five years piece.

0:15:28.120 --> 0:15:29.920
<v Speaker 9>I remember I was seven years old when they attacked

0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:34.440
<v Speaker 9>us in sixty seven, okay, but we came to terms

0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 9>with them. We have the Abraham Accords, and hopefully expand

0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:40.800
<v Speaker 9>that once somebody will come in Gaza and recognize the

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:43.400
<v Speaker 9>right of the state of Visul to live and seek peace,

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 9>we will collaborate with them like we did in the past.

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:49.720
<v Speaker 9>If they continue to say and their charter is destruction

0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 9>of Israel, will fight them until we beat them, and

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:56.000
<v Speaker 9>we'll wait for somebody to come and replace those radical

0:15:56.080 --> 0:15:57.520
<v Speaker 9>jihadis that will seek peace.

0:15:57.600 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 7>What is the economic way forward?

0:15:59.080 --> 0:16:02.520
<v Speaker 3>And no one would dispute hamas terrorists, right that must

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 3>be put to an end, not Palestinians that are there

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 3>in Gaza. So what is the economic way forward for

0:16:11.000 --> 0:16:17.560
<v Speaker 3>Israel and Palestinians to exist economically we're both thrive because

0:16:17.560 --> 0:16:20.920
<v Speaker 3>many would argue that that's not the situation for many

0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:22.880
<v Speaker 3>in Gaza right now.

0:16:23.320 --> 0:16:26.280
<v Speaker 9>So see, there are good examples of how we collaborate.

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:31.840
<v Speaker 9>Until October seventh, we had one hundred and twenty thousand

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:33.960
<v Speaker 9>Palestinians that used to cross the fence every day and

0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:36.040
<v Speaker 9>work in Israel, Okay.

0:16:36.440 --> 0:16:39.800
<v Speaker 3>And we've had tech entrepreneurs who have talked about working

0:16:40.600 --> 0:16:43.680
<v Speaker 3>you know, Israeli tech entrepreneurs who have worked with individuals

0:16:44.120 --> 0:16:44.720
<v Speaker 3>in God right.

0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 9>We believe in civil separation, they should manage their lives,

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 9>and we believe in collaboration on the economic side. At

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:53.560
<v Speaker 9>least we did until October seventh. Now it's much more

0:16:53.640 --> 0:16:56.280
<v Speaker 9>challenging because there's a deep concern between ISRAELA.

0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 8>We don't trust our neighbors. We don't trust our.

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:01.560
<v Speaker 9>Neighbors, and it's a could you imagine going through what

0:17:01.600 --> 0:17:04.160
<v Speaker 9>we did in October seven and trying to go back

0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:06.800
<v Speaker 9>to before October seven, It's not going to happen. And

0:17:06.840 --> 0:17:13.760
<v Speaker 9>so what we were more optimistic on economic collaboration, they

0:17:14.080 --> 0:17:16.000
<v Speaker 9>it's very difficult to work well.

0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:19.760
<v Speaker 3>In an economic situation where both sides benefited as well,

0:17:20.040 --> 0:17:23.760
<v Speaker 3>of course, and there was thriving because many would argue,

0:17:23.760 --> 0:17:26.040
<v Speaker 3>we see it certainly in the US and not apples

0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:28.360
<v Speaker 3>to apples, But you know when people feel like they're

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:33.879
<v Speaker 3>economically left behind, that's when chaos candidates come out. So

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:36.560
<v Speaker 3>that's what I'm trying to understand. Many would argue there

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:39.920
<v Speaker 3>needs to be two states where two separate states can

0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:42.160
<v Speaker 3>thrive economically on their own.

0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:43.879
<v Speaker 8>Let me give you a statistic.

0:17:44.320 --> 0:17:49.480
<v Speaker 9>Jeans really average salary is fifty four thousand dollars on average.

0:17:49.800 --> 0:17:53.680
<v Speaker 9>The Arabs relies is probably close thirty five to forty

0:17:53.720 --> 0:17:58.240
<v Speaker 9>thousand dollars average salary the Palestinians they used to cross

0:17:58.280 --> 0:18:01.960
<v Speaker 9>the fence every day was sixteen thousan dollars. The pedacedes

0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 9>of the work and collaborate in Judean and Samaria with

0:18:05.080 --> 0:18:07.280
<v Speaker 9>the Jewish cities and.

0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 8>Towns was about eleven to twelve thousand.

0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:15.360
<v Speaker 9>In the Judean Samari the Arab side was about seven thousand,

0:18:15.440 --> 0:18:18.520
<v Speaker 9>and Gaza before the war was three thousand dollars a.

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:19.040
<v Speaker 8>Person a year.

0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:23.639
<v Speaker 9>So that demonstrates that the more they collaborate with the

0:18:23.720 --> 0:18:25.800
<v Speaker 9>Jewish state, the better off they are. And we want

0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:29.320
<v Speaker 9>to collaborate. We wanted to collaborate, but they have to decide.

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:33.199
<v Speaker 9>If they want to wipe us off the map, we

0:18:33.280 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 9>will fight them until we take them off the face

0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:37.920
<v Speaker 9>of the earth.

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:39.120
<v Speaker 8>It's their decision to make.

0:18:39.880 --> 0:18:43.200
<v Speaker 9>Our hands are always open to collaborate and create peace,

0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 9>and we have peace with the Arab countries. It's their

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:48.560
<v Speaker 9>decision to make. If they want to fight, they'll lose.

0:18:48.680 --> 0:18:50.240
<v Speaker 9>If they want to collaborate, we will.

0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 4>Mister minister, I want to ask about these art.

0:18:52.520 --> 0:18:55.720
<v Speaker 3>You're not talking homoster dragon, Palestinians right to collaborate talking.

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 9>Anybody that wants to wipe us off the map of

0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:01.680
<v Speaker 9>the Earth will haunt them down until they raise the

0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 9>white flag.

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:05.439
<v Speaker 4>In the economy, I wanted to ask about the coalition funds,

0:19:05.440 --> 0:19:10.439
<v Speaker 4>this discretionary spending that's earmarked to the five parties of

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:15.360
<v Speaker 4>Netanyahu's government. Do you think those should be scaled back

0:19:15.440 --> 0:19:17.919
<v Speaker 4>to make more room for war financing?

0:19:19.040 --> 0:19:21.440
<v Speaker 9>Right now, we have a unity government, and I think

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:25.000
<v Speaker 9>one of the biggest challenges we have is expanding unity

0:19:25.040 --> 0:19:28.680
<v Speaker 9>government throughout the war and after the war. One of

0:19:28.680 --> 0:19:32.720
<v Speaker 9>the biggest challenges we have is unification. And when you

0:19:32.720 --> 0:19:36.679
<v Speaker 9>have unification, people make concessions to each other to a

0:19:36.760 --> 0:19:39.679
<v Speaker 9>degree that we all agree on how to create the budget.

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:42.119
<v Speaker 9>So I think that you were going to see in

0:19:42.160 --> 0:19:46.840
<v Speaker 9>twenty twenty four we're restructuring the budget to focus on

0:19:46.880 --> 0:19:49.160
<v Speaker 9>the war and to focus on economic growth. Immediately after,

0:19:49.920 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 9>we will make the concessions needed so that everyone's happy.

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:55.719
<v Speaker 4>These are pretty controversial payments, three point six billion dollars

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.639
<v Speaker 4>worth of transfers. They were approved last May. They're partly

0:19:58.680 --> 0:20:01.320
<v Speaker 4>going toward religious schools, some of those schools are exempt

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:04.840
<v Speaker 4>from teaching subjects like English and math. Where do you

0:20:04.880 --> 0:20:05.600
<v Speaker 4>fall in this debate?

0:20:06.960 --> 0:20:09.520
<v Speaker 9>As I said earlier, there's no doubt in my mind

0:20:09.560 --> 0:20:10.959
<v Speaker 9>that we will expand the coalition.

0:20:11.080 --> 0:20:12.320
<v Speaker 8>We need to expand the collision.

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:15.199
<v Speaker 9>And when you do that, there's more collaboration, more consideration,

0:20:15.720 --> 0:20:17.359
<v Speaker 9>and you do things with wide acceptance.

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 8>That is what's going to happen.

0:20:19.560 --> 0:20:23.400
<v Speaker 9>In other words, we'll agree together on how to focus

0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:26.560
<v Speaker 9>the funds on the necessary challenges Israel has.

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 3>How complicated or how is this become complicated? If I

0:20:31.640 --> 0:20:35.359
<v Speaker 3>think about the cost to ensure Israeli bonds right, sovereign

0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:38.720
<v Speaker 3>bonds against a default more than double what it was

0:20:38.760 --> 0:20:42.159
<v Speaker 3>before the war began, So how is that complicating the mission?

0:20:42.240 --> 0:20:46.439
<v Speaker 3>As you think about the economy after well.

0:20:46.320 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 9>I think smart money understands that after a war there's

0:20:49.800 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 9>usually thriving entrepreneurship. Extremely if you look at the past wars,

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 9>people when they go to war, they become very creative.

0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:01.640
<v Speaker 8>You'll see an array of.

0:21:01.520 --> 0:21:04.160
<v Speaker 9>New companies, not just in the defense side. I think

0:21:04.240 --> 0:21:09.720
<v Speaker 9>Israel's mastered the defensive and how to come up with

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:18.040
<v Speaker 9>new creative ideas. We've tested the new space war and

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:20.119
<v Speaker 9>a couple of other things. And I think you're going

0:21:20.160 --> 0:21:23.040
<v Speaker 9>to see a lot of interest around the world on

0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:28.520
<v Speaker 9>Israeli technology exiting from the war. I believe you already

0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 9>see more and more Israelis go back to business doing

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:34.400
<v Speaker 9>their own you know business like before we had six

0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:37.600
<v Speaker 9>percent loss of labor now or less than three percent,

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 9>and it's becoming such account.

0:21:40.359 --> 0:21:42.840
<v Speaker 4>Is that because of soldiers who are being deployed.

0:21:42.680 --> 0:21:46.359
<v Speaker 9>Both soldiers, schools were out, so parents needed to stay

0:21:46.359 --> 0:21:47.400
<v Speaker 9>with their children.

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:49.560
<v Speaker 4>But what is the effect on the economy when you

0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:51.919
<v Speaker 4>know you have hundreds of thousands of Israelis are who

0:21:51.960 --> 0:21:53.399
<v Speaker 4>are fighting rather than working.

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:56.160
<v Speaker 9>So I said, short term, it's probably going to cost

0:21:56.200 --> 0:22:01.000
<v Speaker 9>us two to three percent of the GDP, so our

0:22:01.040 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 9>debt to GDP will go from sixty to sixty three.

0:22:05.080 --> 0:22:08.720
<v Speaker 9>We have buffer, We have the capability to deal with

0:22:08.760 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 9>this because of our tech sector. The tech sector in

0:22:10.800 --> 0:22:16.400
<v Speaker 9>Israel is sort of an isolated, independent sector and usually

0:22:16.480 --> 0:22:19.600
<v Speaker 9>we don't lose a day of delivery on the tech side,

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:22.440
<v Speaker 9>so the companies are used to having some of the

0:22:22.480 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 9>people in the reserves. This is something that I remember

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:28.760
<v Speaker 9>when I was in a company commander and the paratroopers,

0:22:29.080 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 9>I did seven years reserve duty. That's on top of

0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:34.960
<v Speaker 9>the six years on regular army, and then the people

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:37.320
<v Speaker 9>filled in for me, and you know, when I was

0:22:37.359 --> 0:22:41.479
<v Speaker 9>away doing whatever I needed to do. There is a

0:22:41.640 --> 0:22:44.040
<v Speaker 9>redundancy in the way we work in the tech side,

0:22:44.320 --> 0:22:46.439
<v Speaker 9>and I think that the tech side looking into the

0:22:46.440 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 9>future is one of the best bets smart.

0:22:49.440 --> 0:22:50.200
<v Speaker 8>Money can make.

0:22:50.960 --> 0:22:54.640
<v Speaker 9>I've just had a few meetings today with some entrepreneur

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:57.160
<v Speaker 9>investors and they all understand that this is a good

0:22:57.160 --> 0:22:58.040
<v Speaker 9>opportunity to buy.

0:22:58.200 --> 0:23:00.440
<v Speaker 4>Do they feel differently about investing in his real because

0:23:00.440 --> 0:23:01.040
<v Speaker 4>of stability.

0:23:02.160 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 10>No.

0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:05.560
<v Speaker 9>On the contrary, they understand that if you look back

0:23:05.640 --> 0:23:09.520
<v Speaker 9>at the history of Israel throughout the wars, no one

0:23:09.520 --> 0:23:11.440
<v Speaker 9>has liver, never lost a day of delivery.

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:14.000
<v Speaker 4>It does feel a little different though, And forgive me,

0:23:14.080 --> 0:23:16.560
<v Speaker 4>I haven't been there in years, but you know, when

0:23:16.600 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 4>I visited is Reel years ago, there weren't rockets that

0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:22.440
<v Speaker 4>could reach Tel Aviv. And then in the beginning of

0:23:23.200 --> 0:23:27.040
<v Speaker 4>this and Tel Aviv felt totally cut off from areas

0:23:27.040 --> 0:23:29.600
<v Speaker 4>of conflict. That's not the case right now.

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:32.320
<v Speaker 9>Well, I was in Tel Aviv a week and a

0:23:32.320 --> 0:23:34.480
<v Speaker 9>half ago. Two weeks ago, there was sirens. We went

0:23:34.520 --> 0:23:37.400
<v Speaker 9>into the safe room and came back and everyone's used

0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:40.400
<v Speaker 9>to moving on with their lives. I mean, we're Israelis.

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.439
<v Speaker 9>We understand how to get you know, how to challenge.

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:46.960
<v Speaker 9>We have a challenging neighborhood, a tough neighborhood, but we're

0:23:46.960 --> 0:23:49.359
<v Speaker 9>tougher than them, and we know to be good with

0:23:49.400 --> 0:23:52.359
<v Speaker 9>the good guys and extremely aggressive with the bad guys,

0:23:52.760 --> 0:23:54.919
<v Speaker 9>and we know how to differentiate between the two. And

0:23:54.960 --> 0:23:57.280
<v Speaker 9>I think that that's you know, the smart people in

0:23:57.320 --> 0:24:00.280
<v Speaker 9>the room understand that. You know, there's a lot of

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:02.680
<v Speaker 9>people that are moving with the waves, you know, ups

0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:05.199
<v Speaker 9>and downs, and they hear the news and they but

0:24:05.280 --> 0:24:08.600
<v Speaker 9>the guys I speak to understand the competitive advantage Israel

0:24:08.640 --> 0:24:10.840
<v Speaker 9>has in the tech side. They see that we have

0:24:10.920 --> 0:24:15.159
<v Speaker 9>ten thousand startups. That's one to every thousand Israeli is

0:24:15.200 --> 0:24:17.840
<v Speaker 9>there's a startup by far, the highest ratio in the

0:24:17.840 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 9>world of entrepreneurship. We have eighteen hundred startups and health

0:24:21.560 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 9>life sciences alone, leading in security, cybersecurity, and now with

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:29.359
<v Speaker 9>all of the after this war, you're going to see

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:33.919
<v Speaker 9>a huge growth in many many sectors that Israel has

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:37.479
<v Speaker 9>and once we beat Hamas, it's going to be one

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:41.040
<v Speaker 9>of the safest areas to invest in the South, and

0:24:41.119 --> 0:24:43.320
<v Speaker 9>people are already saying to me, we want to move

0:24:43.320 --> 0:24:47.200
<v Speaker 9>to the south to show those monsters that they're lost

0:24:47.240 --> 0:24:51.240
<v Speaker 9>big time because right in that region in the South,

0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 9>there's going to be I believe, huge growth and interest

0:24:57.200 --> 0:24:58.400
<v Speaker 9>of residents and businesses.

0:24:58.760 --> 0:25:02.560
<v Speaker 3>Minister Barcott ask you, though, when Prime Minister Benjamin Netnah

0:25:02.600 --> 0:25:05.680
<v Speaker 3>who says he's committed to paying whatever economic price this

0:25:05.760 --> 0:25:08.840
<v Speaker 3>war exacts on us, though it does that though give

0:25:09.480 --> 0:25:13.159
<v Speaker 3>people pause when they get a little concerned about some

0:25:13.240 --> 0:25:16.159
<v Speaker 3>of the instability, and we've certainly seen it play out

0:25:16.160 --> 0:25:16.679
<v Speaker 3>in the markets.

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:18.680
<v Speaker 7>Does that make it a little bit more complicated?

0:25:19.400 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 8>There's full consensus payment in Israel.

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:25.400
<v Speaker 3>Everyone understands the mission and doesn't question that. But when

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:29.119
<v Speaker 3>he says whatever economic price for investors, they have this

0:25:29.200 --> 0:25:32.560
<v Speaker 3>ability to make a dividing line between maybe what they

0:25:32.560 --> 0:25:35.640
<v Speaker 3>perceive is what's right and also though what what makes

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:37.600
<v Speaker 3>sense from an investment perspective. I hate to be so

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:40.600
<v Speaker 3>black and white just got tight five seconds here.

0:25:40.600 --> 0:25:46.159
<v Speaker 9>Where if there's no security, there's no economy. So security

0:25:46.960 --> 0:25:50.160
<v Speaker 9>is one step before economy, and that's why we're willing

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:53.199
<v Speaker 9>to put all of what would need to do to

0:25:53.280 --> 0:25:55.879
<v Speaker 9>bring security back to the to the southern region, and

0:25:55.880 --> 0:25:58.000
<v Speaker 9>then we have to deal with the northern region and

0:25:58.200 --> 0:25:58.800
<v Speaker 9>other threats.

0:25:58.880 --> 0:26:01.800
<v Speaker 3>Thank you so much, appreciate it. Near Barcott He is

0:26:01.880 --> 0:26:03.600
<v Speaker 3>the Israel Minister of Economy.

0:26:08.480 --> 0:26:12.040
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:26:12.080 --> 0:26:16.200
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg Radio,

0:26:16.280 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business app, and YouTube. You can also listen

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station.

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:26.000
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:26:28.080 --> 0:26:29.200
<v Speaker 7>Well, we want to switch.

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:32.120
<v Speaker 3>Gears to a story that's in the upcoming new issue

0:26:32.119 --> 0:26:35.520
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg BusinessWeek. It's about the smuggling networks that ferry

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:38.639
<v Speaker 3>migrant over the US Mexico border. They've long relied on

0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:42.320
<v Speaker 3>vulnerable Americans to do the driver, figuring that they are

0:26:42.440 --> 0:26:45.560
<v Speaker 3>the people most inclined to risk criminal charges for quick cash.

0:26:45.880 --> 0:26:49.280
<v Speaker 3>After all, drivers can be paid thousands of dollars per passenger.

0:26:49.520 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:26:49.760 --> 0:26:52.720
<v Speaker 4>In fact, in such cities as Tucson and Corpus Christi, Texas,

0:26:52.720 --> 0:26:56.920
<v Speaker 4>recruiters troll homeless shelters, welfare offices, and secondhand cell phone

0:26:56.920 --> 0:27:00.640
<v Speaker 4>shops for prospective drivers. But real world recruit is time

0:27:00.680 --> 0:27:03.679
<v Speaker 4>consuming and tedious, and now those recruiters have turned to

0:27:03.720 --> 0:27:06.160
<v Speaker 4>a more efficient tool carol social media.

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:06.439
<v Speaker 11>They have.

0:27:06.520 --> 0:27:06.800
<v Speaker 8>Indeed.

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 3>Julia Love is a technology reporter at Bloomberg News. In

0:27:09.600 --> 0:27:12.280
<v Speaker 3>the new issue at Bloomberg Business Week on newsstands tomorrow,

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:16.280
<v Speaker 3>she writes about the cartel backed networks that are using Snapchat,

0:27:16.320 --> 0:27:20.200
<v Speaker 3>TikTok and some other apps to entice drivers into transporting migrants.

0:27:20.320 --> 0:27:22.679
<v Speaker 3>She joins us from our San Francisco bureau. Jill Weber

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:25.119
<v Speaker 3>is the editor of Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:27.359
<v Speaker 3>here in our interactive broker studio. As we mentioned, it's

0:27:27.400 --> 0:27:30.720
<v Speaker 3>in the upcoming new issue on newsstands tomorrow, but also

0:27:30.760 --> 0:27:33.280
<v Speaker 3>online at Bloomberg dot com, Slash BusinessWeek and already on

0:27:33.400 --> 0:27:34.359
<v Speaker 3>the Bloomberg terminal.

0:27:35.040 --> 0:27:37.520
<v Speaker 7>A bit of a sober story, a real story.

0:27:37.560 --> 0:27:40.320
<v Speaker 12>Very much so. It's actually kind of a sequel to

0:27:40.800 --> 0:27:44.120
<v Speaker 12>a story that Julia wrote earlier in the year, which

0:27:44.280 --> 0:27:50.000
<v Speaker 12>was just a magnificent feature about an American coyote. And

0:27:50.560 --> 0:27:53.760
<v Speaker 12>we kept in touch because we really wanted to see

0:27:53.800 --> 0:27:55.879
<v Speaker 12>what else she could find and loan and behold, this

0:27:55.920 --> 0:28:01.160
<v Speaker 12>one connects directly to her beat and and it shows that,

0:28:01.560 --> 0:28:05.080
<v Speaker 12>you know, the tech companies that are the platforms that

0:28:05.160 --> 0:28:07.639
<v Speaker 12>so many of us use to talk with one another

0:28:08.680 --> 0:28:15.920
<v Speaker 12>are also a way that cartel back groups are recruiting coyotes.

0:28:16.520 --> 0:28:20.200
<v Speaker 12>So take us to the border and how this plays out, Julia.

0:28:20.960 --> 0:28:25.320
<v Speaker 13>Essentially, human smuggling networks need a lot of drivers to

0:28:25.760 --> 0:28:29.679
<v Speaker 13>transport migrants after they cross into the United States on

0:28:29.800 --> 0:28:33.000
<v Speaker 13>the last light of the journey, and they have long

0:28:33.080 --> 0:28:37.800
<v Speaker 13>recruited vulnerable US citizens to do this work. In the past,

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:41.600
<v Speaker 13>they would recruit people in person at bars. They would

0:28:41.640 --> 0:28:45.160
<v Speaker 13>also go to homeless shelters, you know, places where they

0:28:45.200 --> 0:28:47.680
<v Speaker 13>knew they could find people who were in a tough spot.

0:28:47.920 --> 0:28:50.880
<v Speaker 13>But now social media is enabling them to do that

0:28:51.040 --> 0:28:53.080
<v Speaker 13>with much greater efficiency.

0:28:53.760 --> 0:28:54.360
<v Speaker 8>How do they.

0:28:54.240 --> 0:28:57.400
<v Speaker 4>Find, Julia, these people on social media? You highlight a

0:28:57.400 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 4>few of them in your story. It's again incredible recording.

0:29:00.880 --> 0:29:03.760
<v Speaker 4>I really encourage our body go read it. But how

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:09.120
<v Speaker 4>do these orchestrators actually find these people on social media?

0:29:09.240 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 13>It's a midst of different techniques. Sometimes they will post

0:29:16.320 --> 0:29:20.920
<v Speaker 13>ads that appear briefly that users respond to. The post

0:29:21.000 --> 0:29:24.320
<v Speaker 13>might say something like want to make quick cash, message

0:29:24.360 --> 0:29:28.400
<v Speaker 13>me drivers needed. Other times they will reach out to

0:29:28.440 --> 0:29:32.640
<v Speaker 13>people proactively. There's certain types of users who they seem

0:29:32.720 --> 0:29:37.720
<v Speaker 13>to target. Young Men are a desirable demographic. They see

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:40.560
<v Speaker 13>them as a little bit more impulsive and willing to

0:29:40.640 --> 0:29:43.280
<v Speaker 13>take a risk. And so our main character for this

0:29:43.360 --> 0:29:47.240
<v Speaker 13>story is a young man who was recruited on Snapchat.

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:50.880
<v Speaker 13>He had been struggling to pay his bills and when

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:53.200
<v Speaker 13>he got this offer to make you know, a few

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:55.360
<v Speaker 13>thousand dollars, he found it enticing.

0:29:55.960 --> 0:29:56.760
<v Speaker 7>Did he do it?

0:29:56.800 --> 0:29:59.160
<v Speaker 3>Tell us about the process, like how he found out about,

0:29:59.680 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 3>you know, kind of what it was all about, or

0:30:01.080 --> 0:30:02.440
<v Speaker 3>what he thought it was about, and then maybe what

0:30:02.520 --> 0:30:03.520
<v Speaker 3>it really was about.

0:30:04.440 --> 0:30:07.280
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, so he gets a message on Snapchat, you know,

0:30:07.360 --> 0:30:10.480
<v Speaker 13>asking if he wants to make some easy money, and

0:30:10.520 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 13>then he expresses interest, and the conversation is then shifted

0:30:15.320 --> 0:30:19.280
<v Speaker 13>to WhatsApp where it becomes clear that he will be

0:30:20.040 --> 0:30:25.040
<v Speaker 13>transporting migrants and he has some reservations, but he ultimately

0:30:25.080 --> 0:30:28.040
<v Speaker 13>decides to do it, you know, under under some pressure

0:30:28.400 --> 0:30:32.480
<v Speaker 13>from the recruiter. And Yeah, he sets out on a

0:30:32.520 --> 0:30:35.440
<v Speaker 13>trip and he's he's arrested on his very first drive,

0:30:35.800 --> 0:30:36.960
<v Speaker 13>which is often how these.

0:30:36.840 --> 0:30:40.720
<v Speaker 12>Trips end, which is, you know, such a sober way

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:44.480
<v Speaker 12>for this to go. But I'm curious because he even

0:30:44.560 --> 0:30:49.680
<v Speaker 12>thought about maybe not doing it as he was considering it, right,

0:30:49.760 --> 0:30:51.920
<v Speaker 12>and he was appro you know, some of his friends

0:30:51.960 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 12>were approached too, right, and so what drew him to

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 12>ultimately do this.

0:30:58.960 --> 0:31:02.280
<v Speaker 13>So what defense lawyers have really understored to me is that,

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:06.320
<v Speaker 13>you know, these smuggling networks are ultimately they operate with

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:09.960
<v Speaker 13>the permission of the cartels, their criminal groups, and so

0:31:10.960 --> 0:31:14.080
<v Speaker 13>you can't really back out of this work. You know,

0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:16.160
<v Speaker 13>they often desert desert pressure.

0:31:16.440 --> 0:31:17.000
<v Speaker 5>You know, there's a.

0:31:17.080 --> 0:31:20.880
<v Speaker 13>Huge power and balance between these young people and the

0:31:20.920 --> 0:31:24.080
<v Speaker 13>folks who are recruiting them. And so that's that's what

0:31:24.160 --> 0:31:28.120
<v Speaker 13>happened to our main character. He did have second thoughts,

0:31:28.200 --> 0:31:33.400
<v Speaker 13>but the the recruiter, you know, send him his address

0:31:33.440 --> 0:31:35.600
<v Speaker 13>and just indicated, you know, you're going to go through

0:31:35.640 --> 0:31:35.960
<v Speaker 13>with this.

0:31:37.080 --> 0:31:40.120
<v Speaker 4>I mean, how do they find like it's it's kind

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:42.680
<v Speaker 4>of scary stuff here because one, you're dealing with the

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:46.880
<v Speaker 4>cartel or cartel backed group, I should say, Julia. Two

0:31:47.560 --> 0:31:50.200
<v Speaker 4>they already know this identifying information about someone. So in

0:31:50.240 --> 0:31:53.160
<v Speaker 4>that case, he certainly felt pressured to move forward with it.

0:31:53.720 --> 0:31:57.800
<v Speaker 4>Your technology reporter too, so and this is the story

0:31:57.920 --> 0:32:01.080
<v Speaker 4>is much about technology and the way that that's certainly

0:32:01.160 --> 0:32:04.880
<v Speaker 4>changed many many lives. What do the tech companies say

0:32:04.960 --> 0:32:07.320
<v Speaker 4>about the way these platforms are being used?

0:32:07.920 --> 0:32:11.560
<v Speaker 13>So the tech companies stress that this issue is a

0:32:11.600 --> 0:32:15.600
<v Speaker 13>priority to them, that they do not allow human smuggling

0:32:15.760 --> 0:32:18.880
<v Speaker 13>on their platforms, that they're working closely with law enforcement

0:32:18.920 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 13>and doing everything they can. But workers tell me that

0:32:22.520 --> 0:32:25.720
<v Speaker 13>behind the scenes, you know, these trust and safety teams

0:32:26.280 --> 0:32:31.680
<v Speaker 13>are tasked with so many big issues elections, child safety,

0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:34.680
<v Speaker 13>and so it's tough for them to find the resources

0:32:34.680 --> 0:32:37.440
<v Speaker 13>for a problem like this, and it can be a

0:32:38.000 --> 0:32:39.840
<v Speaker 13>tough thing to get to the bottom of. You know,

0:32:39.880 --> 0:32:43.040
<v Speaker 13>the posts use veiled language, it can be a little

0:32:43.080 --> 0:32:46.320
<v Speaker 13>bit tricky at stale to determine, you know, will are

0:32:46.360 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 13>they trying to recruit a coyote or are they recruiting

0:32:50.040 --> 0:32:53.520
<v Speaker 13>a private chauffeir, And so, yeah, it's tough.

0:32:55.240 --> 0:32:57.040
<v Speaker 3>Well, and you know what I thought was interesting is

0:32:57.080 --> 0:33:00.040
<v Speaker 3>and you include this in your story, Tulia, is that

0:33:00.120 --> 0:33:02.680
<v Speaker 3>you make a point of like this stuff we post

0:33:02.720 --> 0:33:07.320
<v Speaker 3>on social media can actually make you a target for recruiters.

0:33:07.360 --> 0:33:09.640
<v Speaker 7>Talk to us a little bit about that oversharing.

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:13.880
<v Speaker 13>Right, Yeah, yeah, So one story that we feature in

0:33:13.960 --> 0:33:18.320
<v Speaker 13>the piece is a young woman in the Phoenix area

0:33:18.360 --> 0:33:21.200
<v Speaker 13>who she was a single mom going through a very

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:25.080
<v Speaker 13>tough time, and she's approached by an acquaintance on Facebook

0:33:25.600 --> 0:33:28.680
<v Speaker 13>who asks if she wants to make some extra money.

0:33:28.720 --> 0:33:30.960
<v Speaker 13>And so I think that's just an example of how,

0:33:31.800 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 13>you know, young people can kind of unwittingly make themselves smarts.

0:33:38.160 --> 0:33:40.760
<v Speaker 12>What about the companies and all of this, Julie, Because

0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:46.880
<v Speaker 12>obviously the a company like Snap or Meta like I mean,

0:33:46.960 --> 0:33:51.040
<v Speaker 12>and you could almost use any messaging platform to you know, post,

0:33:51.400 --> 0:33:54.640
<v Speaker 12>you know, and lure people into this kind of underworld.

0:33:56.120 --> 0:33:59.040
<v Speaker 12>What are the companies capable of doing? What do we

0:33:59.120 --> 0:34:02.120
<v Speaker 12>know about what they have I've done? And how are

0:34:02.120 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 12>they limited?

0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:08.320
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, so the companies can certainly moderate content. They filter

0:34:08.600 --> 0:34:13.160
<v Speaker 13>by emoji and keywords. So one emoji that's often used

0:34:13.160 --> 0:34:16.240
<v Speaker 13>in these cases is an emoji of a little chicken,

0:34:16.440 --> 0:34:21.040
<v Speaker 13>which stands for poytos slain for migrants used along the border.

0:34:21.120 --> 0:34:23.560
<v Speaker 13>So there are some tools they can use, and yet

0:34:23.600 --> 0:34:27.799
<v Speaker 13>the posts really seem to be proliferating. Law enforcements frustrated.

0:34:28.120 --> 0:34:30.799
<v Speaker 13>They do feel like there's more that the companies could

0:34:30.800 --> 0:34:34.560
<v Speaker 13>be doing, and lawmakers have been done to pay attention

0:34:34.640 --> 0:34:38.919
<v Speaker 13>to this issue. Kirsten Cinema, a senator in Arizona, has

0:34:39.360 --> 0:34:43.759
<v Speaker 13>proposed a bill that would make it easier for companies

0:34:43.800 --> 0:34:49.719
<v Speaker 13>to report these posts to law enforcement. And so, you know,

0:34:49.719 --> 0:34:51.959
<v Speaker 13>I think there really is pressure on the companies to

0:34:51.960 --> 0:34:53.359
<v Speaker 13>deterb the activity, all.

0:34:53.320 --> 0:34:55.720
<v Speaker 3>Right, And while Kim Kardashian probably doesn't have to be worried,

0:34:56.160 --> 0:34:58.480
<v Speaker 3>there are some influencers that are out there on social

0:34:58.520 --> 0:35:01.880
<v Speaker 3>media that have been targeted as well well and recruited.

0:35:02.640 --> 0:35:05.760
<v Speaker 7>Talk to us about this, yes.

0:35:05.840 --> 0:35:09.880
<v Speaker 13>So there it does seem that the networks are interested

0:35:09.920 --> 0:35:13.279
<v Speaker 13>in having their message boosted by people who already do

0:35:13.400 --> 0:35:17.120
<v Speaker 13>have a large following online. And so there's one case

0:35:17.160 --> 0:35:18.919
<v Speaker 13>we know in the story where there was a young

0:35:19.440 --> 0:35:23.960
<v Speaker 13>rapper in southern Arizona who had a big following on

0:35:24.000 --> 0:35:27.680
<v Speaker 13>social media and he was ultimately hired to be a

0:35:27.719 --> 0:35:31.440
<v Speaker 13>recruiter and to you know, post and coordinate these jobs

0:35:31.840 --> 0:35:35.880
<v Speaker 13>on on social media. And you know, his defense lawyer

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:39.040
<v Speaker 13>maintains that he was targeted like anyone else that the

0:35:39.239 --> 0:35:43.279
<v Speaker 13>that they appealed to his to his vanity. And he's

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:44.239
<v Speaker 13>now in prison.

0:35:44.160 --> 0:35:47.000
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, thirty six months sentenced in federal prison.

0:35:47.160 --> 0:35:49.840
<v Speaker 12>So what's it like when you go down to you

0:35:49.880 --> 0:35:52.640
<v Speaker 12>know Arizona, and I mean you did spend some time

0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:55.120
<v Speaker 12>in the courthouse there, like, how how many of these

0:35:55.160 --> 0:35:58.360
<v Speaker 12>cases are coming through and what kind of luck is

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:01.919
<v Speaker 12>law enforcement having in actually cracking down.

0:36:03.760 --> 0:36:07.600
<v Speaker 13>Yes, so I spent about a week in southern Arizona.

0:36:08.000 --> 0:36:10.799
<v Speaker 13>It was really striking to be in the courthouse. It

0:36:10.840 --> 0:36:13.400
<v Speaker 13>felt like, you know, at least half of the judge's

0:36:13.440 --> 0:36:18.440
<v Speaker 13>calendars were filled up with these tases defendants being indicted

0:36:18.480 --> 0:36:21.880
<v Speaker 13>and sentenced. And I also went for a ride along

0:36:21.920 --> 0:36:26.680
<v Speaker 13>with a local sheriff's deputy who was trying to catch

0:36:27.000 --> 0:36:30.879
<v Speaker 13>human smuggling drivers in the act. He didn't have any

0:36:30.960 --> 0:36:34.319
<v Speaker 13>luck during my ride along with him, but he was

0:36:34.920 --> 0:36:38.520
<v Speaker 13>kind of longingly looking at his phone on Snapchat where

0:36:38.560 --> 0:36:42.040
<v Speaker 13>he could see the posts in action, and the challenge

0:36:42.200 --> 0:36:45.360
<v Speaker 13>was just was just actually finding those drivers.

0:36:45.680 --> 0:36:48.040
<v Speaker 4>Hey, can you talk Julia a little more about how

0:36:48.760 --> 0:36:50.960
<v Speaker 4>how you reported this story. I mean, don't give away

0:36:51.000 --> 0:36:54.680
<v Speaker 4>all your secrets here, but how you reported it and

0:36:54.719 --> 0:36:57.920
<v Speaker 4>how this got on your radar post the American coyote

0:36:58.000 --> 0:36:59.439
<v Speaker 4>story that you wrote earlier this year.

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:01.359
<v Speaker 14>Sure.

0:37:01.440 --> 0:37:05.000
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, Well, so I was previously a foreign correspondent in

0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:08.760
<v Speaker 13>Mexico and one of the big revelations of my time

0:37:08.800 --> 0:37:12.640
<v Speaker 13>at the border was just realizing that the operations of

0:37:12.680 --> 0:37:16.880
<v Speaker 13>these human smuggling networks extended really deep into the United States,

0:37:16.920 --> 0:37:21.360
<v Speaker 13>and so I just became really fascinated by that shadow economy.

0:37:22.200 --> 0:37:25.440
<v Speaker 13>And I have spent a lot of time looking through

0:37:25.920 --> 0:37:30.719
<v Speaker 13>court cases and those became kind of the seeds of

0:37:30.719 --> 0:37:31.400
<v Speaker 13>my reporting.

0:37:32.160 --> 0:37:32.520
<v Speaker 5>Juliet.

0:37:33.239 --> 0:37:35.399
<v Speaker 7>One thing I wonder is it working though?

0:37:35.480 --> 0:37:38.480
<v Speaker 3>Are a lot of individuals ultimately getting smuggled in a

0:37:38.480 --> 0:37:42.000
<v Speaker 3>lot of immigrants or and you get into this in

0:37:42.040 --> 0:37:45.120
<v Speaker 3>the story too, that law enforcement there's some really easy

0:37:45.200 --> 0:37:48.400
<v Speaker 3>red flags when they know someone is doing it, like

0:37:48.560 --> 0:37:51.440
<v Speaker 3>out of state licenses. But I'm just curious if it is, though,

0:37:51.520 --> 0:37:54.040
<v Speaker 3>ultimately successful and bringing word they even know or if

0:37:54.080 --> 0:37:54.839
<v Speaker 3>they even know right.

0:37:58.000 --> 0:38:01.520
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, it's a tough problem. I think law enforcement feels

0:38:01.760 --> 0:38:07.400
<v Speaker 13>like they only apprehend a tiny fraction of the cars

0:38:07.560 --> 0:38:13.080
<v Speaker 13>that are transporting migrants. And yet for these young drivers

0:38:13.160 --> 0:38:16.600
<v Speaker 13>who you know, don't really know their way, you know,

0:38:16.640 --> 0:38:19.400
<v Speaker 13>there is a good chance they'll get todd especially if

0:38:19.520 --> 0:38:22.799
<v Speaker 13>they if they go out on multiple drives. And if

0:38:22.800 --> 0:38:24.759
<v Speaker 13>you're offered, you know, the chance to make a few

0:38:24.840 --> 0:38:28.360
<v Speaker 13>thousand dollars, well, not only will you be enticed to

0:38:28.400 --> 0:38:30.480
<v Speaker 13>do it once, but you might very well decide to

0:38:30.520 --> 0:38:31.040
<v Speaker 13>try your hand.

0:38:31.200 --> 0:38:31.680
<v Speaker 10>Editor again.

0:38:32.680 --> 0:38:33.080
<v Speaker 8>What are the.

0:38:33.080 --> 0:38:36.880
<v Speaker 4>Economics here, Julia? When it starts with the person who's

0:38:36.920 --> 0:38:40.680
<v Speaker 4>paying to be smuggled across the border, they these people

0:38:40.760 --> 0:38:43.240
<v Speaker 4>certainly save money for a very long period of time.

0:38:44.560 --> 0:38:47.120
<v Speaker 4>Who are they paying? How much do and to what

0:38:47.160 --> 0:38:50.000
<v Speaker 4>extent do the cartels sort of take that and I'm

0:38:50.040 --> 0:38:51.680
<v Speaker 4>kind of wondering, like how it ends up being a

0:38:51.680 --> 0:38:54.600
<v Speaker 4>couple thousand dollars per person when it gets to that

0:38:54.680 --> 0:38:55.320
<v Speaker 4>actual driver.

0:38:57.200 --> 0:39:00.200
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, so prices for the journey to the United States

0:39:00.280 --> 0:39:04.799
<v Speaker 13>have really skyrocketed. It all depends on where migrants who

0:39:05.360 --> 0:39:08.960
<v Speaker 13>you know, are departing from those who are coming from

0:39:09.239 --> 0:39:13.920
<v Speaker 13>outside of the Americas pay a lot more. But the

0:39:13.920 --> 0:39:16.160
<v Speaker 13>the money is kind of, you know, partitioned out along

0:39:16.200 --> 0:39:21.600
<v Speaker 13>the way. Typically that there's a fee that goes directly

0:39:21.640 --> 0:39:25.200
<v Speaker 13>to the cartels in order to cross the border, and

0:39:25.320 --> 0:39:30.120
<v Speaker 13>then the drivers ultimately will be paid a certain rate.

0:39:30.640 --> 0:39:35.279
<v Speaker 13>Oftentimes it's per passenger, and I've seen that really run

0:39:35.280 --> 0:39:37.319
<v Speaker 13>the dam it. I think it depends a lot on

0:39:37.480 --> 0:39:42.279
<v Speaker 13>the on the driver's bargaining ability and and lawyers tell

0:39:42.360 --> 0:39:46.200
<v Speaker 13>me that especially with these with these young drivers. They

0:39:46.280 --> 0:39:49.600
<v Speaker 13>often aren't paid the wage that they're that they're promised

0:39:50.200 --> 0:39:52.640
<v Speaker 13>when they do complete the job, and I think the

0:39:52.680 --> 0:39:55.759
<v Speaker 13>attitude is essentially you know, well, what are you going

0:39:55.800 --> 0:39:56.440
<v Speaker 13>to do about it?

0:39:56.680 --> 0:39:59.600
<v Speaker 12>We've been talking about the border forever and I just

0:39:59.680 --> 0:40:03.440
<v Speaker 12>think that it's so interesting that there's this little wrinkle

0:40:03.440 --> 0:40:06.239
<v Speaker 12>in it, which is, you know, how does technology fit

0:40:06.239 --> 0:40:08.480
<v Speaker 12>into this? Well, listening maps that you use for everything

0:40:08.520 --> 0:40:11.719
<v Speaker 12>else are the ones that are being used to basically

0:40:11.760 --> 0:40:14.160
<v Speaker 12>bait people into making a couple bucks. And you know,

0:40:14.600 --> 0:40:18.319
<v Speaker 12>also that side of this of like less about the

0:40:18.360 --> 0:40:21.919
<v Speaker 12>migrants more about Americans being drawn into this is also

0:40:22.000 --> 0:40:22.760
<v Speaker 12>super interesting.

0:40:22.840 --> 0:40:26.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly, and right taking the risk, right to make

0:40:26.640 --> 0:40:27.280
<v Speaker 3>some money.

0:40:27.360 --> 0:40:29.640
<v Speaker 8>As this whole new generation of Kent.

0:40:30.000 --> 0:40:31.480
<v Speaker 3>It's funny that you said about the apps I've seen

0:40:31.520 --> 0:40:33.400
<v Speaker 3>about WhatsApp, right, because a lot of times the conversation

0:40:33.480 --> 0:40:35.239
<v Speaker 3>switches to that and I think about, okay, so what's

0:40:35.360 --> 0:40:37.640
<v Speaker 3>their responsibility encrypted in all of it?

0:40:37.760 --> 0:40:41.440
<v Speaker 7>I understand write, but it's just it's interesting. Julia.

0:40:41.480 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 3>Thank you so much taking us to a place that

0:40:43.760 --> 0:40:46.239
<v Speaker 3>many of us will never see or understand, but you.

0:40:46.239 --> 0:40:47.960
<v Speaker 7>Certainly have shed a lot of light on it.

0:40:48.040 --> 0:40:51.160
<v Speaker 3>Till you live love excuse me, of course, technology reporter

0:40:51.200 --> 0:40:53.719
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg News in our San Francisco bureau are thanks

0:40:53.719 --> 0:40:54.520
<v Speaker 3>to Jill Weber, the.

0:40:54.520 --> 0:40:55.880
<v Speaker 7>Editor of Bloomberg Business Week.

0:40:56.880 --> 0:40:57.080
<v Speaker 1>Cool.

0:40:57.200 --> 0:40:57.600
<v Speaker 6>You're welcome.

0:40:57.800 --> 0:40:59.920
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, thank you, Thank you. The story and the new ish.

0:41:00.160 --> 0:41:01.160
<v Speaker 7>It's on newstands tomorrow.

0:41:01.200 --> 0:41:03.759
<v Speaker 3>It's already online at Bloomberg dot com slash business weekend

0:41:03.800 --> 0:41:06.080
<v Speaker 3>of course, always on the Bloomberg terminal.

0:41:06.440 --> 0:41:07.160
<v Speaker 7>This is Bloomberg.

0:41:09.280 --> 0:41:12.839
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:41:12.880 --> 0:41:16.320
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen.

0:41:16.120 --> 0:41:19.000
<v Speaker 2>On Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, and.

0:41:18.960 --> 0:41:22.400
<v Speaker 1>The Bloomberg Business App, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:41:23.600 --> 0:41:26.720
<v Speaker 3>Former US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton criticized Chinese President

0:41:26.760 --> 0:41:29.960
<v Speaker 3>Jijiping's decision to keep power for longer than the two

0:41:30.080 --> 0:41:33.600
<v Speaker 3>terms of his immediate predecessors, while Citadel founder Ken Griffin

0:41:33.960 --> 0:41:36.200
<v Speaker 3>slammed the US for excessive debt and spending at the

0:41:36.200 --> 0:41:39.080
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg New Economy Forum in Singapore, which just wrapped up

0:41:39.400 --> 0:41:42.760
<v Speaker 3>it's sixth annual event in Singapore. Talking with Ken Griffin

0:41:42.800 --> 0:41:46.040
<v Speaker 3>and more, Bloomberg New Economy editorial director Eric Shatsker, who

0:41:46.120 --> 0:41:49.800
<v Speaker 3>joins us back from another world win, World win event,

0:41:50.080 --> 0:41:52.840
<v Speaker 3>he joins us here in your interactor, Brokers, do do

0:41:52.880 --> 0:41:53.080
<v Speaker 3>you know.

0:41:53.080 --> 0:41:54.320
<v Speaker 7>What time you're on right now?

0:41:55.800 --> 0:41:57.880
<v Speaker 14>I know what the clock says. I'm not sure. My

0:41:57.920 --> 0:41:59.120
<v Speaker 14>body feels the same way.

0:42:00.120 --> 0:42:04.200
<v Speaker 7>Just getting back yesterday, four hundred and fifty leaders from

0:42:04.200 --> 0:42:06.600
<v Speaker 7>across the region, the public and private sector.

0:42:06.640 --> 0:42:07.120
<v Speaker 8>That's right.

0:42:07.239 --> 0:42:08.240
<v Speaker 7>Tell us about this event.

0:42:08.280 --> 0:42:13.000
<v Speaker 3>Remind us, you, guys, bridge the divide between East and West,

0:42:13.000 --> 0:42:15.360
<v Speaker 3>as you like to say, and so much.

0:42:15.160 --> 0:42:19.400
<v Speaker 14>More, not just between East and west, global North, global South.

0:42:20.120 --> 0:42:23.640
<v Speaker 14>It is our flagship event, the biggest event, the most

0:42:23.719 --> 0:42:29.279
<v Speaker 14>high profile event we at Bloomberg hold every year. It was,

0:42:29.440 --> 0:42:32.000
<v Speaker 14>as you say, in Singapore. We've had it in Singapore

0:42:32.080 --> 0:42:35.719
<v Speaker 14>four times now, in Beijing once, and there's a possibility

0:42:35.760 --> 0:42:38.560
<v Speaker 14>we take it back to Beijing, but obviously the conditions

0:42:38.600 --> 0:42:40.719
<v Speaker 14>under which we would do so are quite challenging. At

0:42:40.719 --> 0:42:43.160
<v Speaker 14>the moment. We spent a lot of time talking about

0:42:43.160 --> 0:42:46.160
<v Speaker 14>the US China relationship. It's on the minds of pretty

0:42:46.239 --> 0:42:54.040
<v Speaker 14>much everybody, right. We had so many CEOs come to Singapore, HSBC, UBS, Volvo, Franklin, Templeton, McCrory,

0:42:54.080 --> 0:42:57.080
<v Speaker 14>the list goes on. Some big name investors you mentioned

0:42:57.600 --> 0:43:02.120
<v Speaker 14>Ken Griffin. I would also add Mark Karney, right, who

0:43:02.320 --> 0:43:04.080
<v Speaker 14>is He happens to be the chairman of our board,

0:43:04.120 --> 0:43:05.840
<v Speaker 14>but he's also the chairman of the board of Brookfield

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:09.520
<v Speaker 14>Asset Management. Lim Choo Kiat who's the CEO of g

0:43:09.680 --> 0:43:14.320
<v Speaker 14>I C, the gigantic Singaporean sovereign wealth manager. Some technologists,

0:43:14.640 --> 0:43:18.680
<v Speaker 14>the fascinating guy Nubar Afayon who's the co founder of Maderna.

0:43:18.719 --> 0:43:22.120
<v Speaker 14>You may have spoken to him in the past. Jeffrey Katzenberg,

0:43:22.239 --> 0:43:26.040
<v Speaker 14>the Hollywood mogul who's now moved into technology investing. Kai

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:28.960
<v Speaker 14>Fu Lee whom you know, one of the pioneers and

0:43:29.040 --> 0:43:32.560
<v Speaker 14>artificial intelligence. It all added up to an amazing three

0:43:32.640 --> 0:43:36.799
<v Speaker 14>days of programming, great one on one interviews, great conversations,

0:43:36.800 --> 0:43:39.440
<v Speaker 14>great breakout sessions off the stage.

0:43:39.520 --> 0:43:42.800
<v Speaker 4>Hey, Eric, you mentioned you know certainly US China relations

0:43:42.800 --> 0:43:44.920
<v Speaker 4>being a focus, not just there, but certainly for us

0:43:44.960 --> 0:43:47.880
<v Speaker 4>this week with potentially I think you know it's actually

0:43:47.880 --> 0:43:51.360
<v Speaker 4>going to happen all but happened already President Biden and

0:43:51.360 --> 0:43:55.160
<v Speaker 4>President chijiin Ping meeting on Wednesday in San Francisco. But

0:43:55.239 --> 0:43:58.520
<v Speaker 4>it also happened against the backdrop of Israel and Hamas

0:43:58.800 --> 0:44:03.440
<v Speaker 4>and Israel's war against Tamas and vice versa. What did

0:44:03.440 --> 0:44:05.200
<v Speaker 4>you hear from leaders around the world when it came

0:44:05.239 --> 0:44:05.680
<v Speaker 4>to Israel.

0:44:06.160 --> 0:44:09.359
<v Speaker 14>Well, I would say this, a year ago, we were

0:44:09.400 --> 0:44:11.839
<v Speaker 14>talking about the war in Ukraine. We're still talking about

0:44:11.880 --> 0:44:15.920
<v Speaker 14>the war in Ukraine. It's still happening. Tragically. What the

0:44:16.120 --> 0:44:20.560
<v Speaker 14>attack on Israel by Hamas and Israel's subsequent offensive against

0:44:20.600 --> 0:44:25.400
<v Speaker 14>Tamas in Gaza has done is complicate the geopolitical backdrop.

0:44:25.800 --> 0:44:30.680
<v Speaker 14>It has made geopolitics are always unpredictable and always unmanageable.

0:44:31.440 --> 0:44:34.400
<v Speaker 14>But now that you have two wars going on and

0:44:34.440 --> 0:44:39.359
<v Speaker 14>the possibility of something else breaking out on say a

0:44:39.400 --> 0:44:42.560
<v Speaker 14>third front, if you will, and I'm not going to

0:44:42.640 --> 0:44:44.640
<v Speaker 14>predict what that might be, but there are lots of

0:44:44.640 --> 0:44:48.440
<v Speaker 14>people thinking that perhaps Vladimir Putin, or perhaps even Chi

0:44:48.560 --> 0:44:52.040
<v Speaker 14>Jinping or you know, North Korea, might decide to take

0:44:52.040 --> 0:44:54.200
<v Speaker 14>advantage of the fact that the US is stretched on

0:44:54.280 --> 0:44:57.040
<v Speaker 14>a couple of fronts and try to open up a third.

0:44:58.239 --> 0:45:05.200
<v Speaker 14>It really is world of incalculable outcomes. Geopolitics, unlike say

0:45:05.239 --> 0:45:09.120
<v Speaker 14>interest rate risk right is pretty much, at least at

0:45:09.160 --> 0:45:12.560
<v Speaker 14>at a top level like that impossible to hedge, and

0:45:12.600 --> 0:45:19.160
<v Speaker 14>that is a major concern for the CEOs, multinational leaders

0:45:19.480 --> 0:45:21.680
<v Speaker 14>you know who attended the forum. They're trying to run

0:45:21.719 --> 0:45:24.400
<v Speaker 14>companies in this kind of a climate. And also for

0:45:25.400 --> 0:45:28.760
<v Speaker 14>public sector leaders this heads of state or the senior

0:45:28.800 --> 0:45:32.000
<v Speaker 14>ministers who who talked about the difficulty of trying to

0:45:32.239 --> 0:45:35.359
<v Speaker 14>you know, create economic policy, foreign policy in this kind

0:45:35.360 --> 0:45:36.040
<v Speaker 14>of an environment.

0:45:36.320 --> 0:45:39.720
<v Speaker 3>Was there a feeling or takeaway in terms of tone

0:45:39.800 --> 0:45:44.399
<v Speaker 3>of nervousness, concern that this does kind of get out

0:45:44.440 --> 0:45:46.680
<v Speaker 3>of control? In terms of the geopolitics that are there

0:45:46.840 --> 0:45:51.240
<v Speaker 3>are feeling that you know, smarter heads figure it their.

0:45:51.080 --> 0:45:53.080
<v Speaker 7>Way, would say, just lots of questions.

0:45:53.440 --> 0:45:57.319
<v Speaker 14>The point around which there seems to be little doubt

0:45:57.360 --> 0:46:00.480
<v Speaker 14>is that there is a greater chance of things getting,

0:46:00.600 --> 0:46:03.120
<v Speaker 14>as you put it, out of control than perhaps at

0:46:03.160 --> 0:46:08.840
<v Speaker 14>any point maybe since before maybe since before the Second

0:46:08.880 --> 0:46:13.600
<v Speaker 14>World War. Certainly, you know, if you look at global

0:46:13.640 --> 0:46:17.280
<v Speaker 14>relations since then, you know, maybe since the Cuban missile crisis.

0:46:17.560 --> 0:46:21.359
<v Speaker 14>It feels as uncertain then now as it perhaps did

0:46:21.400 --> 0:46:22.480
<v Speaker 14>at any point since then.

0:46:22.560 --> 0:46:25.680
<v Speaker 3>We have had more guests who talk about a World

0:46:25.680 --> 0:46:28.840
<v Speaker 3>War three than I feel like I've had in a

0:46:28.880 --> 0:46:32.959
<v Speaker 3>loge so much rational people. Yeah, just because of there's

0:46:33.000 --> 0:46:35.120
<v Speaker 3>so many kind of flashpoints around the world.

0:46:35.160 --> 0:46:37.239
<v Speaker 14>What Ken Griffin told me, and I think sums it up,

0:46:37.360 --> 0:46:39.200
<v Speaker 14>is that the peace dividend is at the end of

0:46:39.200 --> 0:46:41.919
<v Speaker 14>the road. This period of time that we enjoyed since

0:46:41.960 --> 0:46:44.640
<v Speaker 14>the Second World War, the so called Pax Americana, where

0:46:44.840 --> 0:46:49.880
<v Speaker 14>US hegemity even during the Cold War, made the world

0:46:49.960 --> 0:46:51.800
<v Speaker 14>a relatively safe place.

0:46:51.960 --> 0:46:52.120
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:46:52.160 --> 0:46:55.719
<v Speaker 14>If you look at the continuity of human history, very

0:46:55.840 --> 0:46:58.759
<v Speaker 14>rarely have you had a seventy five year period in

0:46:58.800 --> 0:47:02.000
<v Speaker 14>which there were no major wars. And in his mind,

0:47:02.080 --> 0:47:06.000
<v Speaker 14>all of the benefits that we enjoyed of that peace

0:47:06.239 --> 0:47:10.560
<v Speaker 14>dividend are now very quickly coming to an interest rates arising.

0:47:10.640 --> 0:47:17.839
<v Speaker 14>For example, geopolitical risk, as we've discussed, is intensifying. Globalization

0:47:18.040 --> 0:47:20.560
<v Speaker 14>is in reverse. All of these things that were features

0:47:20.600 --> 0:47:24.200
<v Speaker 14>of that post war environment are now changing, and they're

0:47:24.280 --> 0:47:27.839
<v Speaker 14>changing at a very rapid clip. And the world is

0:47:27.880 --> 0:47:32.080
<v Speaker 14>to a large degree both companies and governments unprepared for

0:47:32.239 --> 0:47:33.560
<v Speaker 14>change at that pace.

0:47:34.120 --> 0:47:36.799
<v Speaker 4>How should we be looking at the meeting later this

0:47:36.840 --> 0:47:40.320
<v Speaker 4>week by President Biden and President Chijin Ping at San Francisco,

0:47:40.400 --> 0:47:40.719
<v Speaker 4>I mean.

0:47:40.600 --> 0:47:45.840
<v Speaker 8>That has to be It looks like progress on the surface.

0:47:45.920 --> 0:47:49.160
<v Speaker 14>Yes, the best I think the best way to look

0:47:49.200 --> 0:47:53.800
<v Speaker 14>at it was through the lens that the Singaporean Foreign

0:47:53.800 --> 0:47:58.880
<v Speaker 14>Minister actually described, which is the lens of whether believe

0:47:58.880 --> 0:48:03.440
<v Speaker 14>it or not. He said, the weather is improving, but

0:48:03.480 --> 0:48:07.120
<v Speaker 14>the climate is not in terms of US China relations,

0:48:07.160 --> 0:48:10.360
<v Speaker 14>and so it feels better, but on the underlying trend

0:48:10.440 --> 0:48:12.920
<v Speaker 14>is still negative. And we had a bit of a

0:48:12.960 --> 0:48:17.759
<v Speaker 14>preview of what President she might say in San Francisco,

0:48:17.880 --> 0:48:21.160
<v Speaker 14>because Vice President Han Jong of China came to the

0:48:21.200 --> 0:48:25.399
<v Speaker 14>New Economy Form and delivered a speech, and in it

0:48:25.480 --> 0:48:31.719
<v Speaker 14>he he wistfully, I would say, called for, or at

0:48:31.800 --> 0:48:35.279
<v Speaker 14>least hoped for a return to what now feels like

0:48:35.320 --> 0:48:39.799
<v Speaker 14>a time of one's distant memory, which is to say,

0:48:39.840 --> 0:48:43.680
<v Speaker 14>the pre pandemic period when let's say, before the Trump

0:48:43.800 --> 0:48:48.080
<v Speaker 14>tariffs were first levied, everyone seemed to be getting along,

0:48:48.200 --> 0:48:53.320
<v Speaker 14>you know, the the chimerica, remember that portmanteau. He said,

0:48:53.400 --> 0:48:55.120
<v Speaker 14>and I'm going to quote him directly. We need to

0:48:55.160 --> 0:48:59.040
<v Speaker 14>follow the laws of economics, support multilateralism, promote the free

0:48:59.040 --> 0:49:01.600
<v Speaker 14>flow of production actors in the global market, and build

0:49:01.640 --> 0:49:05.280
<v Speaker 14>industrial and supply chains that are convenient, efficient and secure.

0:49:05.440 --> 0:49:07.720
<v Speaker 14>He sounds like a nineteen nineties free trader.

0:49:08.120 --> 0:49:08.279
<v Speaker 5>Right.

0:49:08.280 --> 0:49:11.040
<v Speaker 14>That era is over and we're not going back there

0:49:11.120 --> 0:49:14.560
<v Speaker 14>is simply nowhere near enough trust between the United States

0:49:15.560 --> 0:49:21.080
<v Speaker 14>or the West and China for anyone to feel compelled

0:49:21.120 --> 0:49:26.680
<v Speaker 14>to rely on that unidirectional, effectively flow of trade that

0:49:26.760 --> 0:49:29.960
<v Speaker 14>we had after or at least at the moment of

0:49:30.280 --> 0:49:33.800
<v Speaker 14>peak globalization. Whenever that was twenty sixteen, twenty seventeen, twenty eighteen,

0:49:33.840 --> 0:49:35.720
<v Speaker 14>it was certainly prependem and I think many.

0:49:35.600 --> 0:49:37.799
<v Speaker 3>Would argue President gi has also got his sites on

0:49:38.000 --> 0:49:39.040
<v Speaker 3>a different way forward.

0:49:40.080 --> 0:49:43.080
<v Speaker 14>Well, China is changing, right, the Chinese economy is changing,

0:49:43.080 --> 0:49:46.279
<v Speaker 14>and in fact, Chinese companies. I don't know whether this

0:49:46.440 --> 0:49:50.920
<v Speaker 14>is necessarily a reflection of Chinese government policy or just

0:49:50.960 --> 0:49:54.799
<v Speaker 14>a reality for Chinese companies, but China isn't waiting for

0:49:54.840 --> 0:49:56.720
<v Speaker 14>the world to come to its s door step any longer.

0:49:57.320 --> 0:50:00.279
<v Speaker 14>You know, Foreign direct investment is into China is plumbing,

0:50:00.680 --> 0:50:02.959
<v Speaker 14>and it's the Chinese companies that are actually being able

0:50:02.960 --> 0:50:05.200
<v Speaker 14>to invest, whether it be here in the United States.

0:50:05.200 --> 0:50:09.240
<v Speaker 14>They are a number of examples of Chinese companies being active,

0:50:09.239 --> 0:50:12.120
<v Speaker 14>for example in evs and in particular the battery sector

0:50:12.360 --> 0:50:13.440
<v Speaker 14>or other parts of the world.

0:50:13.520 --> 0:50:15.359
<v Speaker 3>Well, certainly gives us a lot to think about, and

0:50:15.600 --> 0:50:17.120
<v Speaker 3>you just put it all together so well, and I

0:50:17.200 --> 0:50:19.520
<v Speaker 3>highly recommend for folks to just head to the Bloomberg

0:50:19.600 --> 0:50:21.000
<v Speaker 3>or Bloomberg dot com and check out some of the

0:50:21.000 --> 0:50:24.040
<v Speaker 3>interviews from Bloomberg New Economy. Welcome back, Thank you, Bloeberg

0:50:24.040 --> 0:50:26.120
<v Speaker 3>New Economy editorial director Eric Shatsker.

0:50:31.800 --> 0:50:35.359
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. Catch us

0:50:35.400 --> 0:50:39.520
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Easter on Bloomberg Radio,

0:50:39.600 --> 0:50:42.880
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0:50:46.560 --> 0:50:49.239
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0:50:49.040 --> 0:50:52.959
<v Speaker 3>Thirty plenty ahead in our second hour of the weekend

0:50:53.080 --> 0:50:56.400
<v Speaker 3>edition of Bloomberg Business Week, including an MIT scientist who's

0:50:56.400 --> 0:50:59.240
<v Speaker 3>developed a playbook for the brightest minds looking to innovate

0:50:59.239 --> 0:51:01.040
<v Speaker 3>their way to six and who.

0:51:00.920 --> 0:51:03.080
<v Speaker 7>Aren't afraid of being labeled as geeks.

0:51:03.080 --> 0:51:06.320
<v Speaker 4>It's kind of okay, yeah, it totally is the geek way. Plus,

0:51:06.320 --> 0:51:08.520
<v Speaker 4>we delve into the secret history of women in the

0:51:08.520 --> 0:51:11.480
<v Speaker 4>Central Intelligence Agency from the Cold War era to the

0:51:11.600 --> 0:51:13.160
<v Speaker 4>hunt for Osama bin Laden.

0:51:13.280 --> 0:51:14.880
<v Speaker 3>Leave it to women to get it done, all right.

0:51:14.920 --> 0:51:16.960
<v Speaker 3>First up this hour, the cover story of the new

0:51:17.040 --> 0:51:20.279
<v Speaker 3>double issue of Bloomberg BusinessWeek magazine, It's on newstands now

0:51:20.320 --> 0:51:23.080
<v Speaker 3>on the Bloomberg Terminal, an online at Bloomberg dot com

0:51:23.120 --> 0:51:27.120
<v Speaker 3>slash BusinessWeek. It's the culmination of an eleven month investigation

0:51:27.280 --> 0:51:30.440
<v Speaker 3>into a secret of London hedge fund manager who doubles

0:51:30.520 --> 0:51:32.160
<v Speaker 3>as a deep sea treasure hunter.

0:51:32.520 --> 0:51:35.319
<v Speaker 4>The financier has a marshal to high tech operation to

0:51:35.360 --> 0:51:40.040
<v Speaker 4>recover lost pieces of history spanning centuries and entire civilizations

0:51:40.239 --> 0:51:43.080
<v Speaker 4>from oceans around the globe, and he's managed to keep

0:51:43.080 --> 0:51:46.839
<v Speaker 4>in this remarkable enterprise a secret until now. For more,

0:51:46.920 --> 0:51:49.719
<v Speaker 4>let's welcome in Bloomberg News senior writer Kit Schillell and

0:51:49.800 --> 0:51:53.279
<v Speaker 4>once again the editor of Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Joel Weber. Joel,

0:51:53.320 --> 0:51:56.680
<v Speaker 4>I couldn't put this story down. It's got everything. Anonymous billionaire,

0:51:56.760 --> 0:52:03.319
<v Speaker 4>state of the art technology, and treasure fever. Not anonymous anymore, Yes,

0:52:03.440 --> 0:52:06.359
<v Speaker 4>not anonymous anymore. But tax Breaks is kind of where

0:52:06.360 --> 0:52:07.120
<v Speaker 4>it starts.

0:52:06.960 --> 0:52:10.360
<v Speaker 12>Kind of started there and look like Kit Chillil and

0:52:10.440 --> 0:52:12.600
<v Speaker 12>company on this one. Just incredible team.

0:52:12.880 --> 0:52:14.240
<v Speaker 8>Uh it does.

0:52:14.800 --> 0:52:17.359
<v Speaker 12>There's so much mystery in this and I think Kit,

0:52:17.520 --> 0:52:22.360
<v Speaker 12>as at his best, is like a heat seeking missile

0:52:22.400 --> 0:52:24.560
<v Speaker 12>for these mystery mysteries like this.

0:52:25.760 --> 0:52:27.560
<v Speaker 8>Everything happens underwater.

0:52:27.840 --> 0:52:28.080
<v Speaker 14>Here.

0:52:28.640 --> 0:52:31.840
<v Speaker 12>Mostly there's a few things that have ended up in courts,

0:52:32.280 --> 0:52:34.760
<v Speaker 12>which I'm sure we'll talk a little bit about. Uh,

0:52:34.800 --> 0:52:40.839
<v Speaker 12>there's rivalries, Uh, there's treasure. But here's the name that

0:52:40.960 --> 0:52:44.000
<v Speaker 12>you'll never heard of before, Anthony Clake, and he's a

0:52:44.000 --> 0:52:48.439
<v Speaker 12>forty three year old hedge fund executive in London. How

0:52:48.440 --> 0:52:52.640
<v Speaker 12>did he get into the space and how much does

0:52:52.640 --> 0:52:56.080
<v Speaker 12>he like, uh to get in the water kit?

0:52:57.719 --> 0:53:01.799
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, hi guys, Hi, Anthony Clake. There's actually a bit

0:53:01.800 --> 0:53:04.840
<v Speaker 15>of a history in the city of London of adventurous

0:53:04.960 --> 0:53:10.920
<v Speaker 15>business people, bankers, hedge fund types going after sunken treasure

0:53:10.960 --> 0:53:13.840
<v Speaker 15>in the pursuit of profits. But around the turn of

0:53:13.880 --> 0:53:18.279
<v Speaker 15>the century, an ingenious asset manager came up with an

0:53:18.320 --> 0:53:20.839
<v Speaker 15>idea of not only having fun looking for treasure at

0:53:20.840 --> 0:53:23.520
<v Speaker 15>the bottom of the sea, pulling out Spanish coins and

0:53:23.560 --> 0:53:25.080
<v Speaker 15>want to RaSE they could find, but they could also

0:53:25.120 --> 0:53:27.520
<v Speaker 15>get a nice tax break as well with the British government.

0:53:27.880 --> 0:53:30.000
<v Speaker 15>So they structured all these schemes and that got a

0:53:30.040 --> 0:53:33.240
<v Speaker 15>whole you know, hundreds of people in the city interested

0:53:33.280 --> 0:53:36.160
<v Speaker 15>in the idea of shipwreck harancing for profits. Now, these

0:53:36.200 --> 0:53:38.200
<v Speaker 15>tax schemes kind of died a depth and they never

0:53:38.239 --> 0:53:41.359
<v Speaker 15>really went anywhere. But it was through those initiatives that

0:53:41.480 --> 0:53:43.799
<v Speaker 15>Anthony Klake and the guys at Marshall waste which is

0:53:43.880 --> 0:53:46.560
<v Speaker 15>a huge hedge fund. First, I guess they first came

0:53:47.160 --> 0:53:49.640
<v Speaker 15>to the idea that they could make some money doing this.

0:53:51.080 --> 0:53:54.400
<v Speaker 12>Is it clear how much money has been made at

0:53:54.400 --> 0:53:56.960
<v Speaker 12>the bottom of the ocean, but these.

0:53:56.880 --> 0:54:00.000
<v Speaker 15>I meaning nothing about nothing about any of this is clear.

0:54:00.440 --> 0:54:07.719
<v Speaker 15>You know. One of the things the if you're a

0:54:07.760 --> 0:54:10.200
<v Speaker 15>wreck hunter, everyone wants to know what you're up to,

0:54:10.880 --> 0:54:14.360
<v Speaker 15>because basically, once you find some valuable stuff on the seafloor,

0:54:14.400 --> 0:54:16.320
<v Speaker 15>it's kind of yours to do what you want with really,

0:54:17.400 --> 0:54:19.360
<v Speaker 15>so if you find it, it's top secret, you know what,

0:54:19.440 --> 0:54:20.840
<v Speaker 15>anyone to know where it is. You want to be

0:54:20.880 --> 0:54:22.719
<v Speaker 15>able to come back later and collect it. So they

0:54:22.760 --> 0:54:25.040
<v Speaker 15>go to great lengths to kind of disguise what they're doing.

0:54:25.080 --> 0:54:28.160
<v Speaker 15>So it was incredibly difficult to piece together all the

0:54:28.200 --> 0:54:31.560
<v Speaker 15>different wrecks that that Anthony Klake has found. But you know,

0:54:31.800 --> 0:54:33.480
<v Speaker 15>we call him Lord of the Deep in the in

0:54:33.560 --> 0:54:36.000
<v Speaker 15>the story. If anyone can lay play to that title,

0:54:36.000 --> 0:54:39.160
<v Speaker 15>it's him. He's found thirty or more ship wrecks. The

0:54:39.239 --> 0:54:41.960
<v Speaker 15>value of the stuff that he's found thousands of men

0:54:42.040 --> 0:54:44.399
<v Speaker 15>to see runs into billions of dollars. You know, he's

0:54:44.480 --> 0:54:45.319
<v Speaker 15>right at the very top.

0:54:45.480 --> 0:54:47.320
<v Speaker 4>Okay, but it's not like he's jumping off a ship

0:54:47.320 --> 0:54:49.600
<v Speaker 4>and diving into the water to find these things. The

0:54:49.640 --> 0:54:53.320
<v Speaker 4>way he's doing it is extremely technical. It's high tech.

0:54:53.400 --> 0:54:56.080
<v Speaker 4>It involves some very expensive gear. Kit tell us how

0:54:56.080 --> 0:54:58.359
<v Speaker 4>he does it, Well, I'd.

0:54:58.080 --> 0:55:00.239
<v Speaker 15>Kind of assumed he was a yacht guy who he's

0:55:00.239 --> 0:55:01.799
<v Speaker 15>one of these people. He's always out on his yacht

0:55:01.960 --> 0:55:04.640
<v Speaker 15>or a sailing boat. That's not him at all as

0:55:04.640 --> 0:55:06.560
<v Speaker 15>far as I can I can tell, and speaking to

0:55:06.560 --> 0:55:08.719
<v Speaker 15>people who work with him, he doesn't even really like

0:55:08.800 --> 0:55:11.200
<v Speaker 15>the sea, doesn't go out on the boats. He sees

0:55:11.239 --> 0:55:13.320
<v Speaker 15>this as kind of a tech game, a data game.

0:55:14.120 --> 0:55:16.239
<v Speaker 15>He sees getting to the bottom of the ocean as

0:55:16.280 --> 0:55:19.719
<v Speaker 15>a technical and data challenge that he can solve better

0:55:19.719 --> 0:55:22.480
<v Speaker 15>than anyone else. And so he's built this, this sort

0:55:22.480 --> 0:55:27.120
<v Speaker 15>of swarm of undersea robots, well beating technology, side scammed sonar.

0:55:27.480 --> 0:55:30.880
<v Speaker 15>He's got artificially intelligent software. He deploys it all and

0:55:30.920 --> 0:55:32.360
<v Speaker 15>that kind of what makes him so good at what

0:55:32.400 --> 0:55:32.719
<v Speaker 15>he does.

0:55:33.120 --> 0:55:34.279
<v Speaker 7>But not every.

0:55:36.320 --> 0:55:42.160
<v Speaker 3>Exploration kit turns out to either find something or you know,

0:55:42.320 --> 0:55:44.920
<v Speaker 3>create a lot of money for him or returns if

0:55:44.960 --> 0:55:47.360
<v Speaker 3>you will, or even if he finds something right, it

0:55:47.360 --> 0:55:49.600
<v Speaker 3>doesn't necessarily means he owns it.

0:55:51.840 --> 0:55:53.319
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's contentious stuff this.

0:55:53.520 --> 0:55:56.080
<v Speaker 15>You know, governments don't really like it when rich guys

0:55:56.080 --> 0:55:59.200
<v Speaker 15>with expensive boats come pushing around in the you know,

0:55:59.239 --> 0:56:02.680
<v Speaker 15>outside their terwial waters looking for old shipwrecks. You know,

0:56:02.680 --> 0:56:06.319
<v Speaker 15>in anoised people, you tend to get attracted, You tend

0:56:06.320 --> 0:56:08.400
<v Speaker 15>to attract the attention of the local coastguard to come

0:56:08.400 --> 0:56:11.880
<v Speaker 15>out and ask what you're doing. So Claque's guys have

0:56:11.920 --> 0:56:15.640
<v Speaker 15>been arrested at a bunch of different places. Now I

0:56:15.640 --> 0:56:18.439
<v Speaker 15>should say none of this is illegal, you know, there's

0:56:18.440 --> 0:56:22.759
<v Speaker 15>no law against especially in international water going and salvaging shipwrecks.

0:56:23.040 --> 0:56:27.160
<v Speaker 15>But ownership is a very difficult issue. All the staff

0:56:27.160 --> 0:56:28.759
<v Speaker 15>that sinks to the bottle of the ocean ships was

0:56:28.800 --> 0:56:31.680
<v Speaker 15>once owned by someone, and all those people have a

0:56:31.719 --> 0:56:35.480
<v Speaker 15>potential legal claim to that cargo whenever it's pulled to

0:56:35.520 --> 0:56:38.959
<v Speaker 15>the surface. So there's an expression that modern shipwreck hunting

0:56:39.040 --> 0:56:41.960
<v Speaker 15>is done in the courtroom. And sometimes when you you

0:56:42.000 --> 0:56:44.239
<v Speaker 15>know you can, you can recover fifteen million dollars worth

0:56:44.239 --> 0:56:46.680
<v Speaker 15>of gold and then spend ten years in courts trying.

0:56:46.520 --> 0:56:46.960
<v Speaker 10>To keep it.

0:56:48.320 --> 0:56:51.560
<v Speaker 12>Okay, well you got my attention there with gold at

0:56:51.560 --> 0:56:54.680
<v Speaker 12>the bottom of the ocean. What's an example or or

0:56:54.880 --> 0:56:59.560
<v Speaker 12>multiple examples that you uncovered in your reporting about what

0:56:59.680 --> 0:57:02.640
<v Speaker 12>kind of stuff Click is looking for down there?

0:57:04.400 --> 0:57:06.480
<v Speaker 6>Well, he runs the gamut.

0:57:06.520 --> 0:57:09.000
<v Speaker 15>Really, you know, of course, there are three millionship wrecks

0:57:09.000 --> 0:57:10.920
<v Speaker 15>in the ocean going back thousands of years, so there's

0:57:10.960 --> 0:57:13.960
<v Speaker 15>all sorts of good stuff down there. He's found ming

0:57:14.080 --> 0:57:20.520
<v Speaker 15>vases down there, He's found like Spanish to balloons, jewelry.

0:57:20.840 --> 0:57:22.000
<v Speaker 6>And more straightforward.

0:57:22.240 --> 0:57:24.960
<v Speaker 15>You know, cargo of cut silver coins from the Bombay

0:57:25.000 --> 0:57:28.240
<v Speaker 15>Mint that sank in the Second World War and just

0:57:28.320 --> 0:57:30.520
<v Speaker 15>you know, was just left untouched for years. You know,

0:57:30.560 --> 0:57:32.280
<v Speaker 15>you can pull those to the surface and smelt them

0:57:32.320 --> 0:57:34.200
<v Speaker 15>down and sell them, and you've got let's say, twenty

0:57:34.280 --> 0:57:36.560
<v Speaker 15>million dollars worth of silver. So there's a whole range

0:57:36.560 --> 0:57:37.280
<v Speaker 15>of different things.

0:57:38.280 --> 0:57:39.000
<v Speaker 8>Okay, So.

0:57:40.440 --> 0:57:43.880
<v Speaker 12>No one's known this guy, but you managed to find

0:57:43.920 --> 0:57:46.640
<v Speaker 12>him and get him to talk to you. What did

0:57:46.680 --> 0:57:48.440
<v Speaker 12>you learn and how did you get him to talk

0:57:48.480 --> 0:57:48.640
<v Speaker 12>to you?

0:57:48.680 --> 0:57:52.000
<v Speaker 15>Actually, how did I get him to talk to me?

0:57:53.680 --> 0:57:56.560
<v Speaker 15>You know, he's spent a long time avoiding scrutiny. He

0:57:56.680 --> 0:57:58.840
<v Speaker 15>works really hard to keep his name out of the

0:57:58.840 --> 0:57:59.520
<v Speaker 15>public domain.

0:58:00.080 --> 0:58:00.280
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:58:00.800 --> 0:58:03.560
<v Speaker 15>The kind of invisibility that he has is an act

0:58:03.600 --> 0:58:06.120
<v Speaker 15>of will. He has chosen to remain in the shadows.

0:58:07.040 --> 0:58:07.200
<v Speaker 13>You know.

0:58:07.360 --> 0:58:09.160
<v Speaker 15>We came to him and just basically said, look, we're

0:58:09.160 --> 0:58:13.360
<v Speaker 15>writing about shipwrecks and your business. Would you like to

0:58:13.400 --> 0:58:16.200
<v Speaker 15>explain sort of the complexities to us? And so we

0:58:16.240 --> 0:58:19.520
<v Speaker 15>had an interesting brief conversation where he talks me to

0:58:19.960 --> 0:58:22.200
<v Speaker 15>through what he's been doing over the last few years.

0:58:22.600 --> 0:58:24.480
<v Speaker 15>But one thing he wasn't really able to answer. One

0:58:24.520 --> 0:58:27.400
<v Speaker 15>thing I still don't really know, is you know, why

0:58:27.520 --> 0:58:29.560
<v Speaker 15>go to all this trouble. He works at a sixty

0:58:29.560 --> 0:58:33.439
<v Speaker 15>two billion dollar hedge funds. He doesn't need extra money

0:58:33.480 --> 0:58:36.960
<v Speaker 15>from shipwrecks. He claims not to be particularly interested in

0:58:36.960 --> 0:58:40.000
<v Speaker 15>the historical side of things, so he's still kind of

0:58:40.000 --> 0:58:41.120
<v Speaker 15>an enigmatic character.

0:58:43.000 --> 0:58:45.400
<v Speaker 7>You've been there in the Ocean Infinity control room. Is

0:58:45.400 --> 0:58:45.920
<v Speaker 7>that correct?

0:58:47.040 --> 0:58:49.760
<v Speaker 15>It was one of my colleagues, Olivia got a tour. Yes,

0:58:49.760 --> 0:58:53.560
<v Speaker 15>it's an amazing high tech facility. It looks like a

0:58:53.680 --> 0:58:57.320
<v Speaker 15>sort of an e gaming areader. There's his giant shairs

0:58:57.600 --> 0:59:01.440
<v Speaker 15>and sort of Xbox style controllers, and it's from that

0:59:01.600 --> 0:59:06.400
<v Speaker 15>room they can they can remotely control under what's a

0:59:06.520 --> 0:59:10.320
<v Speaker 15>vehicle's robotic submarines. They're even building a fleet of new

0:59:10.360 --> 0:59:13.080
<v Speaker 15>ships now that can be completely unmanned, that can just

0:59:13.120 --> 0:59:15.480
<v Speaker 15>be at sea controlled from their HQ.

0:59:16.080 --> 0:59:20.000
<v Speaker 4>Hey, Kit, he told you that he thinks the world

0:59:20.040 --> 0:59:23.160
<v Speaker 4>has reached peak shipwreck and come out the other side

0:59:23.600 --> 0:59:25.360
<v Speaker 4>based on your reporting. Do you think that's true? Do

0:59:25.400 --> 0:59:26.240
<v Speaker 4>you believe him?

0:59:26.680 --> 0:59:28.640
<v Speaker 15>I mean, look, people have been doing this for hundreds

0:59:28.640 --> 0:59:30.760
<v Speaker 15>of years and the tech is just getting better and

0:59:30.800 --> 0:59:31.480
<v Speaker 15>better and better.

0:59:32.000 --> 0:59:32.880
<v Speaker 6>Do I think that.

0:59:33.760 --> 0:59:38.360
<v Speaker 15>If one of his robot submarines uncovered a very interesting

0:59:38.400 --> 0:59:42.840
<v Speaker 15>looking shipwreck that he thought might yield some interesting material, do.

0:59:42.840 --> 0:59:43.840
<v Speaker 6>I think he'd go for it? Yes?

0:59:43.880 --> 0:59:47.120
<v Speaker 15>Absolutely, I do. It's irresistible once you get the once

0:59:47.160 --> 0:59:48.959
<v Speaker 15>you get interested in this stuff, once you get hooked,

0:59:49.000 --> 0:59:50.560
<v Speaker 15>it's treasure fever. You have to go back.

0:59:50.680 --> 0:59:55.760
<v Speaker 12>Okay, Kit, So any sense of what might be on

0:59:55.840 --> 0:59:58.920
<v Speaker 12>his wish list for the next treasure hunt.

0:59:59.240 --> 1:00:02.760
<v Speaker 15>That I don't. You can play an interesting game with

1:00:02.840 --> 1:00:06.720
<v Speaker 15>Ocean Affinity, which is his company. Those vessels used the

1:00:06.920 --> 1:00:09.640
<v Speaker 15>AIS satellite location system, so you can actually see where

1:00:09.680 --> 1:00:11.760
<v Speaker 15>they are in the world, and we played this game

1:00:11.800 --> 1:00:13.800
<v Speaker 15>with a couple of ships that are charted by Ocean

1:00:13.800 --> 1:00:16.680
<v Speaker 15>Affinity or owned by Ocean Affinity, and sure enough they

1:00:16.680 --> 1:00:19.120
<v Speaker 15>were running ladder search formations in places where there are

1:00:19.160 --> 1:00:21.560
<v Speaker 15>lots of shipwrecks. You now, we don't know what they

1:00:21.560 --> 1:00:24.040
<v Speaker 15>were doing. Ocean Affinity doesn't share what they do for

1:00:24.120 --> 1:00:25.880
<v Speaker 15>their clients. They like to treat.

1:00:25.680 --> 1:00:28.720
<v Speaker 6>Their client copy and chelte very seriously.

1:00:29.520 --> 1:00:31.680
<v Speaker 15>So they could have been there just looking for undersea

1:00:31.760 --> 1:00:34.200
<v Speaker 15>cables or you know, looking for oil and gas or

1:00:34.240 --> 1:00:39.800
<v Speaker 15>something as simple as that. But you know who knows.

1:00:38.520 --> 1:00:45.440
<v Speaker 3>It's an unbloo pirates, really cool, unbelievable story. Bloomberg News

1:00:45.440 --> 1:00:48.080
<v Speaker 3>senior writer Kitchillell joining us on Zoom from London. Kit

1:00:48.120 --> 1:00:50.680
<v Speaker 3>thank you so much for being here with us. Angel Webber,

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<v Speaker 3>of course, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week, joining us

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<v Speaker 3>in studio.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three six Eastern Listen.

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<v Speaker 2>On Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, and the.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business app, or watch us live on YouTube.

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<v Speaker 7>We want to talk AI. We want to talk innovation,

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<v Speaker 7>kind of talk the next big thing.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, we got a great guest to do that. Andrew

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<v Speaker 4>McAfee as Principal Research scientist at MITS. He's out there

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<v Speaker 4>of a new book, The Geek Way, The radical mindset

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<v Speaker 4>that drives Extraordinary results. He's also the visiting a visiting

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<v Speaker 4>Fella or the visiting fellow, the only one in tech

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<v Speaker 4>and society at Google, where he's working with Google on

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<v Speaker 4>research related to the societal impacts of generitive AI. The

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<v Speaker 4>book is called The Geek Way. What is the geek Way?

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<v Speaker 6>The Geekway is an upgrade to the company.

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<v Speaker 11>It's a better set of philosophies and practices for running

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<v Speaker 11>this thing we call a company. And I decided to

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<v Speaker 11>write the book because I kept on seeing in industry

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<v Speaker 11>after industry the disruptors were beating the incumbents at their

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<v Speaker 11>own game. And I thought that was a really important

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<v Speaker 11>phenomenon and I wanted to understand it. And it turned

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<v Speaker 11>into this book.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey, listen, the word geek Like you're such a geek. Oh,

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<v Speaker 3>i'ms being so geeky, you know, like we kind of

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<v Speaker 3>toss it around.

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<v Speaker 7>But what exactly do you mean? I know, you've got

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<v Speaker 7>four norms to.

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<v Speaker 3>Talk about the geek Way. I mean, is that how

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<v Speaker 3>you define it no.

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<v Speaker 11>And this is a really important question because when I

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<v Speaker 11>was a kid, geek was an insult, and it was

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<v Speaker 11>usually when somebody who was way too into computers. So

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<v Speaker 11>I was guilty of that. And the thing that makes

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<v Speaker 11>me happy is that the definition has broadened out and

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<v Speaker 11>I don't think it's an insult anymore. A geek is

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<v Speaker 11>somebody with two characteristics. They get obsessed with a really

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<v Speaker 11>hard problem. They're tenacious, they can't let it go. And

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<v Speaker 11>if their solutions are unconventional or outside the mainstream, they

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<v Speaker 11>don't care. So my shorthand phrase for a geek these

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<v Speaker 11>days is any kind of obsessive maverick. And the geeks

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<v Speaker 11>that I wrote the book about are the geeks that

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<v Speaker 11>got obsessed with this really hard problem of how do

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<v Speaker 11>you run and keep succeeding with a company in today's

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<v Speaker 11>really uncertain, turbulent environment.

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<v Speaker 16>So elon musk A geek, geek, big geek, not perfect,

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<v Speaker 16>not by any stretch, but a here's deeply to a

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<v Speaker 16>couple of these norms that I talk about in the

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<v Speaker 16>geek way.

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<v Speaker 3>Well let's get to those norms. There's four of them, speed, ownership, science,

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<v Speaker 3>and openness. Speed you're talking about not doing necessarily something fast.

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<v Speaker 3>But you do something, create it in a meaningful way,

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<v Speaker 3>and then you get useful feedback on it. I feel

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<v Speaker 3>like it's every time I get like, hey, an iOS

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<v Speaker 3>update or something i I'm helping with that speeds.

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<v Speaker 6>That's exactly right.

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<v Speaker 11>And of all the norms, Elon and his companies epitomize

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<v Speaker 11>speed the most. For me, Tesla is willing to blow

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<v Speaker 11>up rockets. Now, no people are on those rockets, and

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<v Speaker 11>they don't have any loss of life yet, but they

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<v Speaker 11>will iterate and get feedback and learn from reality and

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<v Speaker 11>learn from physics and blow things up. And their results

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<v Speaker 11>really speak for themselves. And if you look at Tesla

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<v Speaker 11>and it's market value and its ability to build affordable

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<v Speaker 11>electric cars profitably, they are clearly disrupting the entire inhuman

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<v Speaker 11>automotive industry and taking it into a different chapter.

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<v Speaker 4>What about Tim Cook? Is Tim Cook a geek?

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<v Speaker 7>Tim Cook is a geek.

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<v Speaker 11>Apple is a very secretive company, and in some ways

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<v Speaker 11>that are a little hard to penetrate. But one thing

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<v Speaker 11>that I learned about Apple, in addition to being very

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<v Speaker 11>fond of this iterative approach, they also followed the norm,

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<v Speaker 11>the great geek norm of science and what I mean

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<v Speaker 11>by that is not do a bunch of fancy statistical

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<v Speaker 11>ab tests or anything, but settle your arguments based on evidence.

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<v Speaker 11>And there's a wonderful story about that portrait mode on

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<v Speaker 11>the iPhone and the fact that the background is blurry

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<v Speaker 11>and you can control the blur when you're setting up

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<v Speaker 11>the photo. There is a debated Apple and they're rolling

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<v Speaker 11>out that feature about whether we should have the ability

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<v Speaker 11>to control the blur in advance or only see the

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<v Speaker 11>effects after we take the picture. Someone in a big

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<v Speaker 11>meeting did a demo of the feature where you can

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<v Speaker 11>preview the blur, and that's settled the argument. That's what

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<v Speaker 11>science is. It's an evidence based argument. The geeks love

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<v Speaker 11>to argue and they love evidence, right.

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<v Speaker 7>I love that one. You write about a lot in

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<v Speaker 7>the book, which is really interesting.

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<v Speaker 3>The other thing I like is openness, which you know,

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<v Speaker 3>you've got to be able to share.

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<v Speaker 7>Be open to.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, wait a minute, maybe we should do something a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit differently, or and maybe we have to change.

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<v Speaker 3>It's so easy to be defensive with, you know, with

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<v Speaker 3>anything you do.

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<v Speaker 7>Talk us a little bit more about this.

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<v Speaker 11>Yeah, and maybe I'm wrong, and maybe we need to

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<v Speaker 11>pivot and maybe this thing that I've invested a ton

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<v Speaker 11>in and this thing that I'm hanging my reputation on

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<v Speaker 11>is not the right answering we need to change. So

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<v Speaker 11>for me, openness is just about exactly the opposite of defensiveness,

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<v Speaker 11>of clinging to what you have and never letting it go.

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<v Speaker 11>And that defensiveness is very clearly tied to an attitude

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<v Speaker 11>inside a company of winning all the time, of just winning,

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<v Speaker 11>winning the argument, winning the day, winning whatever. I don't

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<v Speaker 11>think it's a coincidence that Jack Welch's autobiography was called

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<v Speaker 11>winning and walking away from that. And it's not that

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<v Speaker 11>the Geeks love losing. These these are incredibly tough competitors,

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<v Speaker 11>but they realize that if you're going to win over

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<v Speaker 11>the long haul, you have to take risks. You have

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<v Speaker 11>to fail sometimes, you have to not punish people when

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<v Speaker 11>they are failing. And I think it's amazing that Jeff

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<v Speaker 11>Bezos and one of his shareholder letters a few years

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<v Speaker 11>ago said, look, if we are not incubating multi billion

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<v Speaker 11>dollars inside Amazon right now, we are not innovating at

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<v Speaker 11>the right scale. We are not taking enough risks. Now

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<v Speaker 11>it looks like Alexa was one of those multi billion

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<v Speaker 11>dollar failures, but the culture at Amazon is one that

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<v Speaker 11>not only tolerates that, but in any cases celebrates it.

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<v Speaker 4>One of those maybe that I don't know if we

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<v Speaker 4>can consider it a failure at this point, but one

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<v Speaker 4>of those that wasn't a failure was AWS and the

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<v Speaker 4>guy who was charged and tasks with building that out

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<v Speaker 4>is none other than Andy Jassey, who's now the CEO

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<v Speaker 4>of Amazon. Okay, so Andrew, tell us about some folks

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<v Speaker 4>who maybe aren't geeks that you've come across in your research,

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<v Speaker 4>who are high profile and we've heard of.

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<v Speaker 11>I mean, you can look at the unbelievable lyee short

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<v Speaker 11>lifespan of Quibi, which was this short video streaming quickly

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<v Speaker 11>launched with fair.

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<v Speaker 7>We all watched it from our homes during the pandemic,

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<v Speaker 7>but go ahead.

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<v Speaker 8>No, we didn't. That's why. That's why it is.

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<v Speaker 6>We didn't watch it.

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<v Speaker 7>Tube and Hit took, but not Quibi very much.

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<v Speaker 11>But think about that. Jeffrey Katzenberg, who's the founder of it,

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<v Speaker 11>is an actual Hollywood vision area, a huge string of

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<v Speaker 11>tape measure home runs in that industry. He drafted a

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<v Speaker 11>recruited Meg Whitman to be the CEO of Quibi. They

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<v Speaker 11>raised coming on two billion dollars to execute Katzenberg's vision

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<v Speaker 11>of short form entertainment. Now, they didn't do geeky things.

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<v Speaker 11>They didn't listen to a lot of evidence, they weren't

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<v Speaker 11>very open to changes in direction. They didn't build a

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<v Speaker 11>beta of their product. They just realized this full vision

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<v Speaker 11>and released it out there into the world, and it

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<v Speaker 11>lasted as a live streaming platform less than two hundred

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<v Speaker 11>days before they announced the shutdown of it. It was

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<v Speaker 11>just this really old fashioned approach where you just kind

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<v Speaker 11>of blindly follow the vision of the leader, come hell

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<v Speaker 11>or high water. And I contrast that with Netflix, which

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<v Speaker 11>is funded by this complete outsider to the entertainment industry

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<v Speaker 11>and is now disrupting that industry even as we speak.

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<v Speaker 7>Fascinating.

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<v Speaker 3>Is there some thought in terms of AI, we're all like,

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<v Speaker 3>agog it feels like over artificial intelligence.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, my John Tucker's looking at me. Yeah, a guy,

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<v Speaker 7>thank you. But how do you think about it? Especially?

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<v Speaker 3>Is there a geek to follow when it comes to

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<v Speaker 3>AI that you think is going to be on it.

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<v Speaker 11>Well, I think first of all that this period that

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<v Speaker 11>we're living through of unreal science fiction progress with AI

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<v Speaker 11>and in particular this latest chapter of Generative AI. These

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<v Speaker 11>are some of the most powerful tools we humans have

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<v Speaker 11>ever invented to help us accomplish our goals. We're living

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<v Speaker 11>through an astonishing period of innovation. Now what kinds of

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<v Speaker 11>companies are going to be successful at harnessing that technology.

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<v Speaker 11>I think they're geek companies. This technology is so new,

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<v Speaker 11>it's deeply weird. The future is very uncertain. I think

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<v Speaker 11>maybe the only way, but certainly the best way that

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<v Speaker 11>you're going to get smart about it and learn how

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<v Speaker 11>to use AI and generator AI is by following this

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<v Speaker 11>geeky approach of taking a little risk, trying something, getting feedback, iterating,

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<v Speaker 11>moving into the future. That way, I'll be astonished if

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<v Speaker 11>AIAH helps the people still following the industrial era playbook

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<v Speaker 11>come back against the geeks. I do not appredict.

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<v Speaker 7>I'm so dyna ask you about metaverse, but we've run

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<v Speaker 7>out of time. You're going to have to come back.

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<v Speaker 7>This was fascinating.

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<v Speaker 3>Andrew McAfee, Principal Research signs at MIT. His book is

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<v Speaker 3>called The Geekway, The radical mindset that drives extraordinary, extraordinary results,

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<v Speaker 3>extraordinary work, extraordinary too, really fascinating right in terms of

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<v Speaker 3>how you look at things.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

1:09:52.920 --> 1:09:56.320
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen.

1:09:56.160 --> 1:09:59.599
<v Speaker 2>On Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg

1:09:59.640 --> 1:10:02.320
<v Speaker 2>Business or watch us live on YouTube.

1:10:03.840 --> 1:10:06.160
<v Speaker 7>We've got a great interview before we head into the weekend.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I'm really excited about this one. I think when

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<v Speaker 4>people think of the work that the CIA did, you know,

1:10:10.920 --> 1:10:13.840
<v Speaker 4>in the second half of the twentieth century, they probably

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<v Speaker 4>think of the movies that they've seen, you know, spycraft

1:10:16.280 --> 1:10:18.519
<v Speaker 4>carried out during the Cold War. A lot of the

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<v Speaker 4>main characters, perhaps all of them, were men. I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>think about the network of the men at the top

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<v Speaker 4>good point of the CIA, Alan Dolas, White, Vandenberg.

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<v Speaker 7>Then at the top not women.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, let's get to our next guest. Actually, because she

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<v Speaker 4>discovered that there was another network at the CIA, one

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<v Speaker 4>built by women.

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<v Speaker 1>Here's what she wrote.

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<v Speaker 6>Quote.

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<v Speaker 4>These women, like the men, were manipulators and operatives by

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<v Speaker 4>instinct and training. During the Cold War and into the

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<v Speaker 4>modern era, women worked alone and together, laboring in secret,

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<v Speaker 4>running operations against the adversary as well as striking. Often

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<v Speaker 4>the organization they worked for love.

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<v Speaker 3>This please to have with us, Liza Monday. She's the

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<v Speaker 3>author of the new book The Sisterhood, the Secret History

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<v Speaker 3>of Women at the CIA, as well four other books,

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<v Speaker 3>including the New York Times bestseller Code Girls.

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<v Speaker 7>She joins us on Zoom from Washington, DC. Eliza, so

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<v Speaker 7>great to have you here with us.

1:11:09.600 --> 1:11:11.799
<v Speaker 3>You know, women have been a part of the CIA

1:11:11.920 --> 1:11:15.320
<v Speaker 3>since its inception in nineteen forty seven, just after World

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<v Speaker 3>War Two. They've been around. It's funny, though, that we

1:11:17.720 --> 1:11:20.160
<v Speaker 3>really haven't heard that much about it. Tell us how

1:11:20.600 --> 1:11:22.160
<v Speaker 3>you got kind of turned onto this story.

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<v Speaker 7>Yes, and thank you so much for having me.

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<v Speaker 10>Women have been around in American intelligence and espionage, even

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<v Speaker 10>since before nineteen forty seven, when.

1:11:31.840 --> 1:11:33.040
<v Speaker 7>The CIA was created.

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<v Speaker 10>My book, just as you said, my last book, Code Girls,

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<v Speaker 10>about women who came to Washington during the war to

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<v Speaker 10>work as codebreakers. There were more than ten thousand of

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<v Speaker 10>those women. That's really what turned me on to this

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<v Speaker 10>next book, because there was a parallel cohort of women

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<v Speaker 10>who came to Washington and then faned all over the

1:11:51.720 --> 1:11:54.880
<v Speaker 10>world during World War Two, the most famous of them

1:11:55.479 --> 1:12:00.360
<v Speaker 10>as the future chef Julia Child, who built America. Because

1:12:00.520 --> 1:12:04.280
<v Speaker 10>espionage agency during the war, it was called the Office

1:12:04.320 --> 1:12:05.479
<v Speaker 10>of Strategic Services.

1:12:06.000 --> 1:12:09.719
<v Speaker 7>After the war that that would morph into the CIA.

1:12:10.640 --> 1:12:14.000
<v Speaker 10>So there were women building our intelligence capabilities during World

1:12:14.040 --> 1:12:17.719
<v Speaker 10>War Two, which was very very important, women working in Europe,

1:12:17.760 --> 1:12:21.040
<v Speaker 10>women working in China, women working back in Washington, d c.

1:12:21.760 --> 1:12:25.280
<v Speaker 10>And then and then when the CIA was created, the

1:12:25.479 --> 1:12:29.519
<v Speaker 10>architects of the institution knew that they needed women to.

1:12:31.000 --> 1:12:36.080
<v Speaker 7>In some cases to run the vaults. They were called

1:12:36.120 --> 1:12:37.040
<v Speaker 7>the vault women.

1:12:37.479 --> 1:12:40.080
<v Speaker 10>People forget that when you're out, when spies are out

1:12:40.080 --> 1:12:43.360
<v Speaker 10>collecting intelligence, all the intelligence has to get passed back

1:12:43.400 --> 1:12:45.479
<v Speaker 10>to headquarters and it has to be kept track of.

1:12:45.600 --> 1:12:48.799
<v Speaker 10>And now, of course the CIA has a remarkable database

1:12:49.520 --> 1:12:53.360
<v Speaker 10>of intelligence information going back for decades. So that was

1:12:53.600 --> 1:12:55.679
<v Speaker 10>that that was sort of where they thought they could

1:12:55.880 --> 1:12:59.200
<v Speaker 10>keep the women channeled. But in fact, just as you

1:12:59.280 --> 1:13:02.920
<v Speaker 10>all sort of teased there, there were also women who

1:13:03.080 --> 1:13:07.360
<v Speaker 10>joined the clandestine Service who insisted that their gifts and

1:13:07.479 --> 1:13:11.519
<v Speaker 10>talents lay in spycraft on the street, and who proved

1:13:11.600 --> 1:13:16.640
<v Speaker 10>that women, far from being incapable of spycraft, which was

1:13:16.760 --> 1:13:20.000
<v Speaker 10>essentially what was said about them, proved in many cases

1:13:20.080 --> 1:13:22.160
<v Speaker 10>to be better or at least to do it differently,

1:13:22.280 --> 1:13:24.720
<v Speaker 10>because if you're an inc if you're a woman in

1:13:24.760 --> 1:13:30.080
<v Speaker 10>the nineteen sixties seventies, you're likely to be inconspicuous, underestimated

1:13:30.479 --> 1:13:32.439
<v Speaker 10>as you move, as you move about the streets, and

1:13:32.560 --> 1:13:34.559
<v Speaker 10>that turned out to be needless to say, a great

1:13:34.600 --> 1:13:36.040
<v Speaker 10>advantage if you're a spy.

1:13:36.600 --> 1:13:40.479
<v Speaker 4>What were the ways that women came into spying, like

1:13:40.560 --> 1:13:44.040
<v Speaker 4>how did they get recruited or how did they join

1:13:44.439 --> 1:13:46.840
<v Speaker 4>the CIA and then sort of rise through the ranks.

1:13:47.960 --> 1:13:51.800
<v Speaker 10>Yes, that's a great question. So during the Cold War era, women,

1:13:51.960 --> 1:13:56.840
<v Speaker 10>even college graduates, were often hired as clerks as GS four.

1:13:57.000 --> 1:13:59.840
<v Speaker 10>So one of the one of the principal women in

1:13:59.840 --> 1:14:03.360
<v Speaker 10>my book, Heidi August, was hired out of college as

1:14:03.400 --> 1:14:06.559
<v Speaker 10>a clerk. She was handed the same pamphlet she had

1:14:06.600 --> 1:14:08.839
<v Speaker 10>been given as a kid when she wrote the CIA

1:14:08.920 --> 1:14:11.640
<v Speaker 10>at age eleven, So even at this point she was

1:14:11.680 --> 1:14:13.840
<v Speaker 10>a political science major. They made her start as a

1:14:13.880 --> 1:14:17.680
<v Speaker 10>clerk basically running stations overseas, and her logistical gifts were

1:14:17.760 --> 1:14:20.120
<v Speaker 10>such that she learned really on the job.

1:14:21.560 --> 1:14:23.559
<v Speaker 7>You know, she was in Cambodia, she was in Libya.

1:14:23.680 --> 1:14:28.320
<v Speaker 10>She watched the uprising, the coup by more Marcadafi in Libya.

1:14:28.960 --> 1:14:31.760
<v Speaker 10>She was the first American officer to see that. But

1:14:31.840 --> 1:14:35.000
<v Speaker 10>it took her ten years to battle her way into

1:14:35.080 --> 1:14:37.880
<v Speaker 10>the spy ranks at the CIA, to convince the old

1:14:37.960 --> 1:14:41.040
<v Speaker 10>boys to let her flip from being a clerk and

1:14:41.200 --> 1:14:45.400
<v Speaker 10>essentially doing the work for her bosses to being an

1:14:45.439 --> 1:14:47.920
<v Speaker 10>operative and a spy herself. And I don't want to

1:14:47.920 --> 1:14:51.640
<v Speaker 10>give away too many spoilers from the book, but her

1:14:51.840 --> 1:14:57.040
<v Speaker 10>feminine techniques in some cases of realizing that women in

1:14:57.120 --> 1:14:59.920
<v Speaker 10>foreign countries could be very effective assets, that women who

1:15:00.120 --> 1:15:04.680
<v Speaker 10>were secretaries and clerks in offices overseas had access to

1:15:05.000 --> 1:15:07.680
<v Speaker 10>as much information as she had had when she was

1:15:07.720 --> 1:15:11.400
<v Speaker 10>a clerk. And so she looked at an asset is

1:15:11.439 --> 1:15:14.479
<v Speaker 10>the person who is a foreign national who essentially commitssed

1:15:14.479 --> 1:15:17.679
<v Speaker 10>treason by passing their country's information to the United States.

1:15:18.080 --> 1:15:22.479
<v Speaker 10>She realized that women in offices had access to a

1:15:22.560 --> 1:15:25.679
<v Speaker 10>lot of information, and she, let's just say, she proceeded

1:15:25.840 --> 1:15:28.040
<v Speaker 10>accordingly with remarkable success.

1:15:28.400 --> 1:15:28.599
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

1:15:28.960 --> 1:15:32.560
<v Speaker 3>What surprised you so much in doing this book in

1:15:32.680 --> 1:15:34.639
<v Speaker 3>terms of as you found out and kind of unfolded

1:15:34.680 --> 1:15:35.799
<v Speaker 3>all of these different stories.

1:15:37.520 --> 1:15:40.200
<v Speaker 10>It surprised me how many stories there were. It surprised

1:15:40.280 --> 1:15:44.760
<v Speaker 10>me how essential women had been to American spycraft during

1:15:44.800 --> 1:15:48.360
<v Speaker 10>the Cold War, when obviously the contest was with the

1:15:48.439 --> 1:15:54.160
<v Speaker 10>Soviet Union and nuclear war was at stake, and the

1:15:55.040 --> 1:15:59.479
<v Speaker 10>resourceful mass of women working, you know, often in very lonely,

1:16:00.479 --> 1:16:03.400
<v Speaker 10>lonely places where you have a lot of you know,

1:16:03.520 --> 1:16:06.720
<v Speaker 10>sort of decision sole decision making power over your operations

1:16:06.800 --> 1:16:07.800
<v Speaker 10>and the way you're going.

1:16:07.760 --> 1:16:09.920
<v Speaker 7>To proceed the ingenious way.

1:16:10.960 --> 1:16:13.320
<v Speaker 10>I will say also that one thing that surprised me

1:16:13.520 --> 1:16:16.880
<v Speaker 10>was the was the importance that wives played during the

1:16:16.960 --> 1:16:19.760
<v Speaker 10>Cold War. There's a chapter in the book called Housewife Cover.

1:16:20.400 --> 1:16:22.000
<v Speaker 7>And many of the.

1:16:22.520 --> 1:16:26.360
<v Speaker 10>Male spies who were sent overceives to places like Moscow,

1:16:26.479 --> 1:16:30.320
<v Speaker 10>which were very difficult places to operate because CIA officers

1:16:30.360 --> 1:16:34.400
<v Speaker 10>are suspected. CIA officers were being surveiled all the time

1:16:34.520 --> 1:16:37.720
<v Speaker 10>by their KGB counterparts, and so a lot of the

1:16:37.840 --> 1:16:41.879
<v Speaker 10>work of spycraft was simply shaking the surveillance, and wives

1:16:41.920 --> 1:16:45.560
<v Speaker 10>were absolutely critical. Wives could pick up what's called a

1:16:45.640 --> 1:16:48.560
<v Speaker 10>dead drop, a message that's left in some you know,

1:16:48.800 --> 1:16:52.479
<v Speaker 10>under a park bench or somewhere. There was one CAAA wife,

1:16:52.760 --> 1:16:56.559
<v Speaker 10>Shirley Sulik, who in Moscow would always carry a huge

1:16:56.640 --> 1:16:59.560
<v Speaker 10>purse and she would let fall from her purse you know,

1:16:59.720 --> 1:17:00.839
<v Speaker 10>lips or pen.

1:17:01.200 --> 1:17:03.600
<v Speaker 7>And then she would sweep up the dead drop to

1:17:03.720 --> 1:17:09.200
<v Speaker 7>help out her husband. So I assist for her husband, right, yeah, yeah,

1:17:09.280 --> 1:17:11.200
<v Speaker 7>full partner. Really it was.

1:17:12.640 --> 1:17:15.479
<v Speaker 10>And again you're incosbituous. They think you're just a housewived.

1:17:15.520 --> 1:17:18.559
<v Speaker 10>I think you're an important well you're not being in.

1:17:18.640 --> 1:17:23.360
<v Speaker 4>General, though, do spies know Do spies spouses know what

1:17:23.479 --> 1:17:24.439
<v Speaker 4>their spouses are doing?

1:17:24.520 --> 1:17:25.040
<v Speaker 6>In general?

1:17:25.439 --> 1:17:30.320
<v Speaker 10>I know these women did, but yes, sure, yeah, a

1:17:30.439 --> 1:17:33.120
<v Speaker 10>spouse would know that you're that your spouse is a

1:17:33.240 --> 1:17:37.840
<v Speaker 10>CIA officer. You wouldn't know that, you wouldn't, necessarily in

1:17:38.000 --> 1:17:42.040
<v Speaker 10>in sort of safer postings, the spouse wouldn't know where

1:17:42.880 --> 1:17:48.680
<v Speaker 10>where their CIA officer husband or now wife, husband.

1:17:48.479 --> 1:17:51.160
<v Speaker 7>Or wife was was going, you know, for days at

1:17:51.160 --> 1:17:52.320
<v Speaker 7>a time sometimes.

1:17:53.120 --> 1:17:56.720
<v Speaker 10>So that was one thing that surprised me and and

1:17:56.920 --> 1:18:00.839
<v Speaker 10>the the book also talks about some very famous female

1:18:00.960 --> 1:18:05.559
<v Speaker 10>led teams. The team of counterintelligence officers who pinpointed al

1:18:05.720 --> 1:18:09.200
<v Speaker 10>Rich Aims Rick Ames as the mole who was giving

1:18:09.240 --> 1:18:13.320
<v Speaker 10>away the identities of our Soviet assets. That was a

1:18:13.479 --> 1:18:19.479
<v Speaker 10>predominantly female team of basically hunters back at headquarters who

1:18:19.520 --> 1:18:22.280
<v Speaker 10>were determined to figure out who was causing the death

1:18:22.320 --> 1:18:25.760
<v Speaker 10>of these Soviet agents, and again, like my character of

1:18:25.840 --> 1:18:29.920
<v Speaker 10>Heidi August, they were able to spot something that their

1:18:30.000 --> 1:18:32.960
<v Speaker 10>male colleagues had not spotted, which is namely the trader

1:18:33.160 --> 1:18:36.120
<v Speaker 10>who was in their own ranks an old boy.

1:18:36.760 --> 1:18:41.920
<v Speaker 3>Are there common traits that make a certain a woman

1:18:43.000 --> 1:18:46.160
<v Speaker 3>good for intelligence work? Is there something you know about

1:18:46.240 --> 1:18:49.439
<v Speaker 3>women in particular? Is it just that they're unassuming, that

1:18:49.640 --> 1:18:51.080
<v Speaker 3>you know, kind of out in the world that people

1:18:51.160 --> 1:18:53.400
<v Speaker 3>just don't think that they're going to be doing intelligence work.

1:18:53.520 --> 1:18:55.640
<v Speaker 3>Is that what just makes them generally good? Or is

1:18:55.680 --> 1:18:59.920
<v Speaker 3>there a trait that women are very specialized? I guess

1:19:00.680 --> 1:19:02.080
<v Speaker 3>that that makes it even better.

1:19:03.160 --> 1:19:03.360
<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

1:19:03.439 --> 1:19:08.280
<v Speaker 10>So, so inconspicuousness is helpful when you're moving around the streets,

1:19:08.360 --> 1:19:16.280
<v Speaker 10>but also arguably uh women's caretaking experience. People forget that

1:19:16.600 --> 1:19:20.200
<v Speaker 10>that when a CIA officer recruits an asset, someone who

1:19:20.240 --> 1:19:22.800
<v Speaker 10>will pass the secrets, this person is going to be

1:19:22.880 --> 1:19:25.200
<v Speaker 10>doing it regularly over a long period of time, and

1:19:25.320 --> 1:19:28.760
<v Speaker 10>they might have, you know, difficulties psychologically or in their

1:19:28.800 --> 1:19:31.639
<v Speaker 10>personal life, and so they have to be what's called handled.

1:19:31.680 --> 1:19:33.880
<v Speaker 10>You have to handle your asset for a period of

1:19:33.920 --> 1:19:36.160
<v Speaker 10>a couple of years and watch out for their well being.

1:19:36.760 --> 1:19:37.800
<v Speaker 7>And the women that I.

1:19:37.960 --> 1:19:42.799
<v Speaker 10>Interviewed felt that they had certain feminine skills of empathy

1:19:43.360 --> 1:19:47.080
<v Speaker 10>and instinct, the ability to tell if someone was in

1:19:47.200 --> 1:19:50.800
<v Speaker 10>a good mental state or not. And so I think

1:19:50.840 --> 1:19:54.280
<v Speaker 10>it is arguable that those kind of female traits, along

1:19:54.400 --> 1:19:58.000
<v Speaker 10>with the ability to, as I said, to spot potential

1:19:58.080 --> 1:20:01.200
<v Speaker 10>assets that that that your male colleagues might not have

1:20:01.800 --> 1:20:05.680
<v Speaker 10>it might not have noticed. So I think both of

1:20:05.760 --> 1:20:09.880
<v Speaker 10>those traits can be very helpful. And also learning how

1:20:09.920 --> 1:20:12.960
<v Speaker 10>to play certain roles. Some of you know case officers

1:20:13.000 --> 1:20:15.920
<v Speaker 10>CIA case officers are also often very young. They're often

1:20:15.960 --> 1:20:18.839
<v Speaker 10>in their twenties. The case officers are there out recruiting

1:20:19.280 --> 1:20:23.840
<v Speaker 10>and so to appear sort of young and harmless and like, hey,

1:20:23.960 --> 1:20:26.960
<v Speaker 10>could you explain to me how that rocket system works? Like,

1:20:27.160 --> 1:20:29.280
<v Speaker 10>you know, to invite, I mean, if I may to

1:20:29.400 --> 1:20:33.280
<v Speaker 10>invite man's plaining is love it honored?

1:20:34.120 --> 1:20:37.400
<v Speaker 7>The verb that they use is elicit. That's your goal

1:20:37.760 --> 1:20:39.480
<v Speaker 7>is to elicit information.

1:20:40.120 --> 1:20:44.160
<v Speaker 10>And so the women would definitely invite man's plaining as

1:20:44.200 --> 1:20:48.519
<v Speaker 10>a way of eliciting information about all sorts of you know,

1:20:49.240 --> 1:20:51.240
<v Speaker 10>rock weaponry, like the oldest.

1:20:51.000 --> 1:20:51.640
<v Speaker 8>Trick in the l No.

1:20:51.760 --> 1:20:54.040
<v Speaker 3>No, it's like the Barbie movie right where the Barbie

1:20:54.120 --> 1:20:55.640
<v Speaker 3>movies like, how do you like, you know, kind of

1:20:55.640 --> 1:20:57.519
<v Speaker 3>get the men off course, it's like, could you.

1:20:57.520 --> 1:21:02.000
<v Speaker 7>Explain how the remote works? Like exactly, and it really

1:21:02.080 --> 1:21:03.519
<v Speaker 7>does work? Does work?

1:21:03.640 --> 1:21:06.760
<v Speaker 4>Hey, Liza, tell me about the reporting process here. You've

1:21:07.000 --> 1:21:10.280
<v Speaker 4>spent years as a reporter. You've written four other books

1:21:10.320 --> 1:21:13.519
<v Speaker 4>in addition to this one. Talked to about the reporting process,

1:21:13.680 --> 1:21:16.000
<v Speaker 4>who you spoke to, who you weren't able to speak to,

1:21:16.439 --> 1:21:17.479
<v Speaker 4>and how you got the information.

1:21:18.960 --> 1:21:22.680
<v Speaker 10>Well. I interviewed a lot of women's spies from different generations,

1:21:22.760 --> 1:21:26.360
<v Speaker 10>women who started as clerks or were recruited in the

1:21:26.479 --> 1:21:30.479
<v Speaker 10>nineteen sixties, even in the nineteen fifties. So because one

1:21:30.479 --> 1:21:31.960
<v Speaker 10>of the things I wanted to show was how the

1:21:32.040 --> 1:21:34.960
<v Speaker 10>women over a course of generations did build a network,

1:21:35.040 --> 1:21:38.320
<v Speaker 10>did build a sisterhood. The CIA is a very clubby place.

1:21:38.400 --> 1:21:42.000
<v Speaker 10>It always has been. It runs on networks. It's an

1:21:42.080 --> 1:21:44.240
<v Speaker 10>institution where there's a lot of you have to watch

1:21:44.240 --> 1:21:47.720
<v Speaker 10>out for your colleagues. There's potentially undermining from your colleagues,

1:21:48.040 --> 1:21:50.400
<v Speaker 10>and so it is important to have allies and to

1:21:50.520 --> 1:21:53.120
<v Speaker 10>have a network of people who will watch your back.

1:21:53.439 --> 1:21:56.000
<v Speaker 10>And it took women a long time to build that.

1:21:56.600 --> 1:22:01.040
<v Speaker 10>So I interviewed women from all generations about their spy work.

1:22:01.640 --> 1:22:06.200
<v Speaker 10>I also interviewed women who retired more recently who worked

1:22:06.200 --> 1:22:09.680
<v Speaker 10>as analysts. So it's important to remember that during the

1:22:09.800 --> 1:22:12.160
<v Speaker 10>nineteen eighties, so the Cold War is still going on

1:22:12.600 --> 1:22:15.960
<v Speaker 10>and the anti Communist struggle is really sort of where

1:22:16.040 --> 1:22:18.200
<v Speaker 10>you want to be in the top jobs. But there

1:22:18.280 --> 1:22:20.719
<v Speaker 10>was a group of women who were who became early

1:22:20.840 --> 1:22:24.920
<v Speaker 10>on interested in counter terrorism. The terrible plane hijackings of

1:22:24.960 --> 1:22:28.719
<v Speaker 10>the nineteen eighties, the emergence of these terrorist groups. People

1:22:28.800 --> 1:22:31.840
<v Speaker 10>may remember the locker be bombing, the bombing of PanAm.

1:22:32.760 --> 1:22:36.400
<v Speaker 10>Women were very troubled by the deaths of civilians, by

1:22:36.479 --> 1:22:40.879
<v Speaker 10>the willingness of terrorists to kill civilians, women, children, college students,

1:22:41.240 --> 1:22:42.880
<v Speaker 10>and so there was a group of women who began

1:22:43.040 --> 1:22:46.120
<v Speaker 10>looking at this before it was prestigious to do so

1:22:46.400 --> 1:22:48.720
<v Speaker 10>at the agency, and who were in place, and who

1:22:48.760 --> 1:22:51.840
<v Speaker 10>were calling attention to the threat posed by a little

1:22:51.920 --> 1:22:55.000
<v Speaker 10>known terrorist group called al Qaeda, you know, as early

1:22:55.120 --> 1:22:57.840
<v Speaker 10>as the nineteen nineties, and struggling to make their voices heard,

1:22:58.400 --> 1:23:00.920
<v Speaker 10>and that was frustrating for them. And because of the

1:23:01.040 --> 1:23:05.599
<v Speaker 10>techniques that they pioneered. It was the team much later,

1:23:06.120 --> 1:23:09.120
<v Speaker 10>the team of targeters, this new job at the CIA

1:23:09.880 --> 1:23:13.280
<v Speaker 10>that entailed man hunting, tracking down terras all over the world.

1:23:13.800 --> 1:23:15.200
<v Speaker 7>It was a predominant least.

1:23:15.360 --> 1:23:19.200
<v Speaker 10>It was a strikingly female team of targeters who pinpointed

1:23:19.240 --> 1:23:22.560
<v Speaker 10>the location of Osama bin Laden that led to the

1:23:22.640 --> 1:23:26.080
<v Speaker 10>successful raid on the compound. And I did interview women

1:23:26.120 --> 1:23:29.640
<v Speaker 10>who participated in that hunt who are still at the

1:23:29.760 --> 1:23:31.000
<v Speaker 10>CIA active office.

1:23:31.080 --> 1:23:32.639
<v Speaker 4>That's a perfect segue of what I wanted to ask

1:23:32.800 --> 1:23:36.040
<v Speaker 4>was how you navigated around stuff that's still classified versus

1:23:36.080 --> 1:23:38.040
<v Speaker 4>stuff that's not classified. I mean, you spoke to people

1:23:38.040 --> 1:23:39.599
<v Speaker 4>who are still at the CIA, so they couldn't tell

1:23:39.600 --> 1:23:40.080
<v Speaker 4>you everything.

1:23:41.000 --> 1:23:42.000
<v Speaker 7>They couldn't tell me everything.

1:23:42.080 --> 1:23:45.120
<v Speaker 10>But I had an extensive interview in the presence of

1:23:45.160 --> 1:23:48.479
<v Speaker 10>a public affairs office and officer, and they knew what

1:23:48.880 --> 1:23:50.760
<v Speaker 10>they could tell me and what they couldn't. And you know,

1:23:50.880 --> 1:23:54.639
<v Speaker 10>and that's twenty that's getting to be not old news

1:23:54.720 --> 1:23:57.200
<v Speaker 10>because I don't think the CIA considers anything old news.

1:23:58.960 --> 1:24:01.560
<v Speaker 10>And certainly some of the officers are involved today, you know,

1:24:01.680 --> 1:24:05.400
<v Speaker 10>in the counter terrorism effort. But they could they could

1:24:05.560 --> 1:24:08.479
<v Speaker 10>reveal about that operation. I mean, there have been books

1:24:08.520 --> 1:24:11.160
<v Speaker 10>written about that operation in the compound, so they could

1:24:11.280 --> 1:24:14.439
<v Speaker 10>certainly talk about the role that the targeters played in

1:24:14.600 --> 1:24:15.240
<v Speaker 10>that operation.

1:24:15.520 --> 1:24:17.840
<v Speaker 3>Hey, Liza, just have about a minute left. How dangerous

1:24:18.000 --> 1:24:20.160
<v Speaker 3>were some of these women, you know, the situations that

1:24:20.200 --> 1:24:21.439
<v Speaker 3>they were, they found themselves in.

1:24:22.640 --> 1:24:25.040
<v Speaker 10>Very dangerous and they were working in you know, the

1:24:25.120 --> 1:24:27.559
<v Speaker 10>counter terrorism effort is a very dangerous one.

1:24:27.640 --> 1:24:29.639
<v Speaker 7>These are jobs in lonely outposts.

1:24:29.680 --> 1:24:32.160
<v Speaker 10>One of the young women case officers I interviewed who

1:24:32.200 --> 1:24:34.920
<v Speaker 10>worked in Africa, she was one of her assignments was

1:24:34.960 --> 1:24:39.040
<v Speaker 10>to help bring home the Nigerian school schoolgirls who were

1:24:39.560 --> 1:24:42.200
<v Speaker 10>captured by the terrorist group Boko Haram. So it was

1:24:42.240 --> 1:24:45.000
<v Speaker 10>the humanitarian mission. And when she was stationed at a

1:24:45.040 --> 1:24:47.960
<v Speaker 10>lonely outpost, you know, she had a glock and she

1:24:48.080 --> 1:24:50.439
<v Speaker 10>was given fifty rounds of ammunition and they told her,

1:24:50.520 --> 1:24:52.280
<v Speaker 10>you know, forty nine or for the enemy, and then

1:24:52.320 --> 1:24:53.519
<v Speaker 10>the last one would be for you.

1:24:54.439 --> 1:24:56.800
<v Speaker 1>And so it was.

1:24:57.080 --> 1:25:02.360
<v Speaker 10>It was she it was extraordinarily difficult work and lowly

1:25:02.479 --> 1:25:04.800
<v Speaker 10>and she describes it as being the most important work

1:25:04.840 --> 1:25:06.160
<v Speaker 10>that she's ever done in her career.

1:25:07.720 --> 1:25:11.240
<v Speaker 3>What an amazing book, What an amazing you know, just

1:25:11.479 --> 1:25:13.600
<v Speaker 3>the stuff that goes on that we're just not aware of,

1:25:14.360 --> 1:25:15.880
<v Speaker 3>just really really fat fascinating.

1:25:16.240 --> 1:25:18.720
<v Speaker 4>Eliza Quickly next book what's it going to be?

1:25:19.360 --> 1:25:19.880
<v Speaker 7>Where do you go?

1:25:21.520 --> 1:25:23.600
<v Speaker 10>I've got some I've got some envelops at home that

1:25:23.680 --> 1:25:26.360
<v Speaker 10>are the results of some Freedom of Information Act requests

1:25:26.360 --> 1:25:28.320
<v Speaker 10>that I placed two years ago before the pandemic.

1:25:28.520 --> 1:25:30.160
<v Speaker 7>So I just want to open them and see what's

1:25:30.200 --> 1:25:32.519
<v Speaker 7>in them. Love it, Love it.

1:25:33.080 --> 1:25:34.879
<v Speaker 3>As we said, come back when it's out in paperback.

1:25:35.120 --> 1:25:37.439
<v Speaker 3>We'd love to continue this conversation with you. Eliza Mundy,

1:25:38.000 --> 1:25:40.200
<v Speaker 3>her new book, The Sisterhood, The Secret History of Women

1:25:40.400 --> 1:25:44.600
<v Speaker 3>at the CIA, joining us on Zoom from Washington, d C.

1:25:45.120 --> 1:25:47.280
<v Speaker 7>The whole Contrull Control Room, which was just like on

1:25:47.360 --> 1:25:49.280
<v Speaker 7>that last response that the last answer.

1:25:49.200 --> 1:25:51.120
<v Speaker 8>Was like what yeah, really cool stuff.

1:25:51.200 --> 1:25:52.599
<v Speaker 7>All right, this is Bloomberg Radio.

1:25:56.200 --> 1:25:59.680
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

1:25:59.760 --> 1:26:03.760
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg Radio,

1:26:04.000 --> 1:26:07.240
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business App, and YouTube. You can also listen

1:26:07.400 --> 1:26:10.479
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station,

1:26:10.960 --> 1:26:13.679
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

1:26:15.280 --> 1:26:16.960
<v Speaker 4>Our next guest is actually working to change that and

1:26:17.040 --> 1:26:20.280
<v Speaker 4>make financial services more accessible to recent immigrants, in addition

1:26:20.320 --> 1:26:23.880
<v Speaker 4>to minority owned businesses and individuals. Kate Howe spent more

1:26:23.920 --> 1:26:25.880
<v Speaker 4>than a dozen years on Wall Street before she left

1:26:25.960 --> 1:26:29.439
<v Speaker 4>us start Happy Mango, a company that's doings that. Kate,

1:26:29.439 --> 1:26:31.960
<v Speaker 4>who's also CEO of Happy Mango, joins us here in

1:26:31.960 --> 1:26:33.719
<v Speaker 4>the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio.

1:26:34.120 --> 1:26:35.800
<v Speaker 7>Kate, how are you very good?

1:26:35.920 --> 1:26:36.760
<v Speaker 17>Thank you for having me.

1:26:37.120 --> 1:26:39.000
<v Speaker 4>I want to get to your journey to start Happy

1:26:39.040 --> 1:26:40.519
<v Speaker 4>Mango in a few minutes, but first I want to

1:26:40.600 --> 1:26:43.400
<v Speaker 4>just get an update from you on what you're seeing

1:26:43.439 --> 1:26:46.880
<v Speaker 4>out there, if you're actually starting to see improvement here,

1:26:46.920 --> 1:26:49.120
<v Speaker 4>and tell us a little bit about what Happy Mango does.

1:26:50.000 --> 1:26:54.879
<v Speaker 17>Sure, so, Happy Mango is a technology company. We provide

1:26:55.000 --> 1:27:00.840
<v Speaker 17>technology to financial institutions that include banks and not for

1:27:01.000 --> 1:27:06.080
<v Speaker 17>profit financial organizations, and many of them are considered CDFIs,

1:27:06.520 --> 1:27:10.240
<v Speaker 17>which stands for Community development financial Institutions.

1:27:10.320 --> 1:27:13.080
<v Speaker 4>So is it a B to B or are consumers

1:27:13.120 --> 1:27:14.439
<v Speaker 4>actually interacting with Happy Mango?

1:27:15.320 --> 1:27:17.760
<v Speaker 17>Yes to both questions. Okay, So it's a B to

1:27:17.960 --> 1:27:21.240
<v Speaker 17>B to see kind of technology platform where we serve

1:27:21.280 --> 1:27:24.599
<v Speaker 17>and provide technology to the financial institutions which use Happy

1:27:24.680 --> 1:27:29.960
<v Speaker 17>Mangal's online platform to make affordable credit accessible to individuals

1:27:30.000 --> 1:27:32.120
<v Speaker 17>who struggle to get access to credit.

1:27:32.439 --> 1:27:34.960
<v Speaker 3>So to Tim's question, what are you seeing that among

1:27:35.040 --> 1:27:38.680
<v Speaker 3>those consumers are they strapped are in terms of their

1:27:38.760 --> 1:27:42.519
<v Speaker 3>financial situation? Just helps us give an idea maybe with

1:27:42.680 --> 1:27:45.639
<v Speaker 3>this sector is seeing in terms of the economic outlook

1:27:45.640 --> 1:27:46.400
<v Speaker 3>and market outlook.

1:27:47.920 --> 1:27:50.280
<v Speaker 17>So actually, well, I you know the market out look,

1:27:50.280 --> 1:27:52.280
<v Speaker 17>there's a lot of bad news out there right now,

1:27:52.400 --> 1:27:54.680
<v Speaker 17>but what we're seeing on our platform is actually kind

1:27:54.680 --> 1:27:58.600
<v Speaker 17>of encouraging. So when we first started Happy Mangal in

1:27:58.840 --> 1:28:04.200
<v Speaker 17>around two thousand sixteen, our target consumer borrowers were the

1:28:04.320 --> 1:28:08.360
<v Speaker 17>low to moderate income markets, people who have no credit

1:28:08.520 --> 1:28:10.720
<v Speaker 17>or have very low credit, who are struggling to get

1:28:10.800 --> 1:28:14.560
<v Speaker 17>a personal loan or credit card. So we provide technology

1:28:14.640 --> 1:28:18.839
<v Speaker 17>to help these community based financial institutions to extend affordable

1:28:18.920 --> 1:28:23.000
<v Speaker 17>credit to this segment of the market. But over time,

1:28:23.160 --> 1:28:27.600
<v Speaker 17>especially starting after the pandemic, we are seeing more consumers

1:28:27.680 --> 1:28:30.599
<v Speaker 17>from immigrants, which is how we started this segment. Right

1:28:31.960 --> 1:28:35.920
<v Speaker 17>right now, almost forty percent of our borrowers were not

1:28:36.439 --> 1:28:40.080
<v Speaker 17>from originally from the United States. These are recent immigrants

1:28:40.200 --> 1:28:46.360
<v Speaker 17>from displaced area being displaced from their home places, from Afghanistan,

1:28:46.760 --> 1:28:50.320
<v Speaker 17>from certain countries in Africa, from South America as well,

1:28:50.720 --> 1:28:53.519
<v Speaker 17>and we're seeing a lot of immigrants starting to use

1:28:53.640 --> 1:28:57.120
<v Speaker 17>happy Mango with the help of our clients who help

1:28:57.240 --> 1:28:59.720
<v Speaker 17>not get access to credit, and they are using these

1:28:59.800 --> 1:29:03.160
<v Speaker 17>low OANs to get a home, to build a business,

1:29:03.600 --> 1:29:06.640
<v Speaker 17>to buy their first car, to help them settle in

1:29:06.760 --> 1:29:07.599
<v Speaker 17>their new home.

1:29:08.040 --> 1:29:10.400
<v Speaker 7>So financial identity of sorts right.

1:29:10.600 --> 1:29:11.840
<v Speaker 17>Yes, exactly, how do you?

1:29:11.920 --> 1:29:13.040
<v Speaker 7>How do you help them though?

1:29:13.280 --> 1:29:15.320
<v Speaker 3>Help me understand make the jump for me in terms

1:29:15.360 --> 1:29:18.320
<v Speaker 3>of what your platform does that makes a bank or

1:29:18.320 --> 1:29:21.240
<v Speaker 3>a credit union feel comfortable to lend to people who

1:29:21.320 --> 1:29:24.080
<v Speaker 3>don't really have a financials If you will.

1:29:24.240 --> 1:29:27.720
<v Speaker 17>That's a great question. So when we first started, our

1:29:27.800 --> 1:29:30.479
<v Speaker 17>first client was a bank that was based in the

1:29:30.520 --> 1:29:33.920
<v Speaker 17>Bronx Spring Bank. You might have heard of them. It's

1:29:33.960 --> 1:29:37.120
<v Speaker 17>a very small community bank. But what they're trying, what

1:29:37.240 --> 1:29:39.320
<v Speaker 17>they saw in their community is that a lot of

1:29:39.360 --> 1:29:42.680
<v Speaker 17>their depositors, a lot of their customers are struggling to

1:29:42.760 --> 1:29:45.360
<v Speaker 17>get access to credit. They have to go to payday

1:29:45.439 --> 1:29:48.280
<v Speaker 17>lenders or rent to own right they pay three hundred

1:29:48.360 --> 1:29:51.120
<v Speaker 17>four hundred percent APR. These are the non bank financially

1:29:51.439 --> 1:29:56.480
<v Speaker 17>non bank exactly pay day lenders and then they oftentimes

1:29:56.600 --> 1:29:57.519
<v Speaker 17>these bars will have.

1:29:57.560 --> 1:29:59.760
<v Speaker 7>To say, OK, crks, Oh wait, can I say that?

1:30:02.479 --> 1:30:02.720
<v Speaker 11>Come on?

1:30:02.880 --> 1:30:04.879
<v Speaker 7>The rates are crazy, but anyway, please continue.

1:30:05.720 --> 1:30:09.040
<v Speaker 17>So in lead or technical terms out maybe correct in both.

1:30:09.320 --> 1:30:13.280
<v Speaker 17>But so our client Spring Bank, saw there is a need.

1:30:13.320 --> 1:30:14.960
<v Speaker 17>They want to change that. They want to get their

1:30:15.040 --> 1:30:18.519
<v Speaker 17>customers out of these dead traps, and they want to

1:30:18.600 --> 1:30:22.639
<v Speaker 17>start a loan program for their customers, a small dollar

1:30:22.800 --> 1:30:26.080
<v Speaker 17>affordable consumer loom. But when they were trying to do that,

1:30:26.960 --> 1:30:31.920
<v Speaker 17>the conventional underwriting software that's available, they could not lend

1:30:31.960 --> 1:30:34.800
<v Speaker 17>to anyone because everyone pretty much get turned off, turned

1:30:34.840 --> 1:30:37.080
<v Speaker 17>down because the way the software is cross it's all

1:30:37.160 --> 1:30:38.320
<v Speaker 17>based on credit score.

1:30:38.479 --> 1:30:40.960
<v Speaker 3>This is something we talked about like home ownership. A

1:30:41.000 --> 1:30:43.920
<v Speaker 3>lot of individuals don't have homes, but they rent and

1:30:44.080 --> 1:30:47.639
<v Speaker 3>they consistently pay their rent. Better metric for folks who

1:30:47.680 --> 1:30:49.160
<v Speaker 3>are on bank or underbanked.

1:30:49.320 --> 1:30:50.240
<v Speaker 7>That's true, that's true.

1:30:50.280 --> 1:30:51.960
<v Speaker 17>There are so many There should be so many ways

1:30:52.000 --> 1:30:56.760
<v Speaker 17>to measure someone's credit worthiness, right, but conventional way is

1:30:56.920 --> 1:30:59.840
<v Speaker 17>just a credit score. So that didn't really have help

1:31:00.280 --> 1:31:00.800
<v Speaker 17>Spring Bank.

1:31:00.840 --> 1:31:01.840
<v Speaker 7>That's how it first started.

1:31:01.920 --> 1:31:05.599
<v Speaker 17>We helped h them to develop a way to measure

1:31:05.680 --> 1:31:09.439
<v Speaker 17>someone's ability to pay, not just looking at their credit score.

1:31:09.800 --> 1:31:12.840
<v Speaker 4>How does your business work? How do you make make money?

1:31:13.240 --> 1:31:16.839
<v Speaker 17>So we our clients are the banks and credit unions

1:31:17.000 --> 1:31:21.280
<v Speaker 17>or so our clients would pay us for a subscription fee,

1:31:21.680 --> 1:31:24.559
<v Speaker 17>and then then the user is completely free for their

1:31:24.640 --> 1:31:25.960
<v Speaker 17>customers to use Happy Mangle.

1:31:26.520 --> 1:31:28.600
<v Speaker 3>When when somebody is on the platform or once a

1:31:28.680 --> 1:31:32.840
<v Speaker 3>bank using your particular platform and or credit union and

1:31:32.920 --> 1:31:36.240
<v Speaker 3>then give someone a loan or what have you, what's

1:31:36.320 --> 1:31:39.320
<v Speaker 3>the I guess default rate or I'm trying to figure

1:31:39.360 --> 1:31:41.080
<v Speaker 3>what's the metric? Is there a metric that you guys

1:31:41.120 --> 1:31:44.519
<v Speaker 3>can say, we do we measure default rate default rate?

1:31:46.080 --> 1:31:49.439
<v Speaker 3>What will be your guest fault rate for someone who

1:31:49.479 --> 1:31:49.920
<v Speaker 3>doesn't have a.

1:31:49.920 --> 1:31:50.679
<v Speaker 7>Credit score.

1:31:53.400 --> 1:31:56.480
<v Speaker 4>Less than less than for somebody who uses these traditional

1:31:56.640 --> 1:31:58.320
<v Speaker 4>banking services quote unquote, and.

1:31:58.600 --> 1:32:03.600
<v Speaker 7>What would that them or be goshi.

1:32:02.800 --> 1:32:06.040
<v Speaker 17>It's less than five percent. It's like these individuals who

1:32:06.160 --> 1:32:08.719
<v Speaker 17>don't have credit scores, they work really hard to build

1:32:08.800 --> 1:32:09.320
<v Speaker 17>up their credit.

1:32:09.400 --> 1:32:12.320
<v Speaker 4>Is it less than their bank counterparts or perhaps people

1:32:12.320 --> 1:32:13.479
<v Speaker 4>who do have a credit history.

1:32:13.880 --> 1:32:17.360
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, I think if we use credit card default grade

1:32:17.400 --> 1:32:19.280
<v Speaker 17>as a proxy, the credit card you fault grade right

1:32:19.280 --> 1:32:24.639
<v Speaker 17>now is higher than five percent. So it's really about

1:32:24.760 --> 1:32:27.639
<v Speaker 17>the customers you work with and the relationship you're building

1:32:27.720 --> 1:32:30.400
<v Speaker 17>in this process. And if I were lender, Happy Manga

1:32:30.479 --> 1:32:32.479
<v Speaker 17>is not a lender. We provide technology for lenders, but

1:32:32.600 --> 1:32:34.640
<v Speaker 17>if I were a lender, I would lend to the

1:32:34.760 --> 1:32:36.040
<v Speaker 17>kind of customers we lend.

1:32:35.960 --> 1:32:38.120
<v Speaker 7>How all day long? All right, we get twenty five seconds.

1:32:38.160 --> 1:32:39.160
<v Speaker 7>Why is it Happy Mango?

1:32:39.479 --> 1:32:39.639
<v Speaker 10>Oh?

1:32:39.920 --> 1:32:40.519
<v Speaker 7>Real quickly?

1:32:41.560 --> 1:32:46.880
<v Speaker 17>Okay, so Happy Mango it's really the nickname of me

1:32:47.000 --> 1:32:47.679
<v Speaker 17>and my husband.

1:32:51.479 --> 1:32:53.320
<v Speaker 7>And guess who is happy and who's mango?

1:32:55.240 --> 1:32:55.479
<v Speaker 8>Lootes?

1:32:55.520 --> 1:32:55.880
<v Speaker 4>Sound good?

1:32:55.920 --> 1:32:56.240
<v Speaker 9>I love it?

1:32:57.080 --> 1:32:59.760
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, that's good. We need to be a good story there.

1:33:00.600 --> 1:33:03.240
<v Speaker 3>We had to ask Kate really interesting, come back and

1:33:03.320 --> 1:33:04.800
<v Speaker 3>let us know how things are going well?

1:33:04.880 --> 1:33:05.800
<v Speaker 7>Do thank you Kate?

1:33:05.840 --> 1:33:08.280
<v Speaker 3>How she's found her and chief executive officer of Happy Mango,

1:33:08.400 --> 1:33:11.840
<v Speaker 3>which we now know the origin of her company. Here

1:33:12.040 --> 1:33:14.840
<v Speaker 3>in studio, you're listening and watching Bloomberg BusinessWeek, and this

1:33:15.040 --> 1:33:15.599
<v Speaker 3>is Bloomberg.

1:33:18.640 --> 1:33:23.240
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

1:33:23.439 --> 1:33:27.120
<v Speaker 1>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday

1:33:27.120 --> 1:33:29.479
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1:33:29.600 --> 1:33:32.920
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the

1:33:32.960 --> 1:33:34.080
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1:33:34.200 --> 1:33:37.120
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1:33:37.360 --> 1:33:39.600
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