WEBVTT - Steve Rattner Talks Trump, Markets

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is Wall Street Week.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm David Weston.

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<v Speaker 2>The attempted assassination of former President Trump and the tragic

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<v Speaker 2>shooting of innocent bystanders shook a nation already in the

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<v Speaker 2>throes of a tumultuous presidential campaign and added to the

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<v Speaker 2>momentum that mister Trump was already experiencing in the race.

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<v Speaker 2>Take us through the market reaction and what a second

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<v Speaker 2>term of a Trump presidency could mean for investors. Welcome now,

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<v Speaker 2>Stephen Rattner, chairman of Willed Advisors, which invests the personal

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<v Speaker 2>and philanthropic assets of Michael Bloomberg, our founder and majority shareholder.

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<v Speaker 2>I always a treat to have you here, Steve. Thank

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<v Speaker 2>you for coming back.

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me, David.

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<v Speaker 2>So, one of the themes of this week is, so

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<v Speaker 2>this so called Trump trade, given what's going on, apparently

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<v Speaker 2>we don't know about what's going on. Apparently in the

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<v Speaker 2>campaign it seems like at least it's a substantial possibility

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<v Speaker 2>that Donald Trump will be our next president. What is

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<v Speaker 2>in the Trump trade? What are people reacting to in

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<v Speaker 2>the market.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, well, first of all, there's a number of different

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<v Speaker 3>things going on in the market at the moment. There

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<v Speaker 3>are a lot of cross currents and so forth. But

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<v Speaker 3>if we want to just focus on the Trump trade,

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<v Speaker 3>his probability of success is now close to seventy percent,

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<v Speaker 3>and that has made the market wake up and say, okay,

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<v Speaker 3>so what are we looking at? And so it really

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<v Speaker 3>spans a huge gamut of things, everything from gun manufacturers,

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<v Speaker 3>for profit education which thinks they're going to benefit if

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<v Speaker 3>he stops us through the loan forgiveness, to the GSS

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<v Speaker 3>Fanny and Freddie because maybe he won't, he won't take

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<v Speaker 3>the dividends sweep anymore, energy stocks, manufacturing companies that might

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<v Speaker 3>benefit from the tariffs, and so investors are rushing around

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<v Speaker 3>looking for all the different places they think they would

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<v Speaker 3>benefit from another Trump presidency.

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<v Speaker 2>One of the things I think we've seen is in

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<v Speaker 2>the bond curve, basically for treasuries, because there's a sense

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<v Speaker 2>that actually there's going to be higher rates out there

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<v Speaker 2>in the long end of the curve, which changes a

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<v Speaker 2>fair number of things. What is the possibility of a

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<v Speaker 2>Trump presidency with these economic policies leading to more inflation,

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<v Speaker 2>therefore the Fed baby having to raise rates again.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, the bond trades a little complicated because we did

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<v Speaker 3>have that good in the sense of being a slightly

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<v Speaker 3>soft jobs number, and the predicted number of FED rate

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<v Speaker 3>cuts is now up to something over two and therefore

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<v Speaker 3>the ten years started to come down. And now you

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<v Speaker 3>have the Trump piece layering on that, pushing it up

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit, but not hugely. But I don't think

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<v Speaker 3>there's a lot of doubt that his fiscal policies, as

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<v Speaker 3>expressed would be would be inflationary and therefore biased toward

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<v Speaker 3>higher interest rates.

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<v Speaker 2>So talk about that Tax Cutting Jobs Act specific We

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<v Speaker 2>had Scott Bessen on last week and he said, oh.

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<v Speaker 1>No, don't worry about it.

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<v Speaker 2>We're gonna save a lot of money. We're gonna save

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<v Speaker 2>a trillion dollars a year from the basically undoing the

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<v Speaker 2>Inflation Reduction Act. We're gonna save another trillion by redoing Medicare.

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<v Speaker 2>And now I will note that when President Trump had

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<v Speaker 2>came in the first time, he said they were going

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<v Speaker 2>to get rid of Obamacare. That would save us low money,

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<v Speaker 2>but one of the prospects that actually would cut back

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<v Speaker 2>into of the spending under the Bide administration.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, remember that we didn't get rid of Obamacare because

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<v Speaker 3>John McCain and because while he had technically had control

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<v Speaker 3>of both houses of Congress, lost a Republican that costs

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<v Speaker 3>him that. So a lot of this is going to

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<v Speaker 3>depend on what happens to Congress. If both houses of

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<v Speaker 3>Congress go Republican, then he's obviously got much more scope

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<v Speaker 3>to do a bunch of stuff. Whether he really would

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<v Speaker 3>do it or not, who knows. The record of the

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<v Speaker 3>first Trump presidency was not good from a fiscal point

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<v Speaker 3>of view. The deficit went up by hundreds of billions

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<v Speaker 3>of dollars before COVID ever arrived, in large part because

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<v Speaker 3>the TCJA never came close to paying for itself. It

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<v Speaker 3>was close to two trillion dollar costs with no offsets

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<v Speaker 3>in spending and no real revenues associated with it.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's all on the text, the revenue side, as

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<v Speaker 2>it were. What about tariffs? The one thing President Trouble

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<v Speaker 2>has always seemed to enjoy has been imposing tariffs, particularly

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<v Speaker 2>on China, but not only on China. Frankly, he likes tariffs.

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<v Speaker 2>That does, of course increase the cost to the consumers

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<v Speaker 2>and therefore I guess inflation.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure, And by the way, his last set of tariffs,

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<v Speaker 3>which were far less robust than what he's talking about

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<v Speaker 3>now rare. He's something like thirty billion of revenue. I

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<v Speaker 3>thought you were going to ask about revenue, very little

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<v Speaker 3>contribution to revenue.

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<v Speaker 1>The evidence is overwhelming.

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<v Speaker 3>Many economists have studied this that essentially one hundred percent

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<v Speaker 3>ninety five, one hundred and five percent something in that

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<v Speaker 3>ballpark was paid for by consumers. None of it was

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<v Speaker 3>paid for by China. Maybe a little of it came

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<v Speaker 3>out of the companies in terms of profit margins, but

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<v Speaker 3>essentially it was paid for by consumers and was therefore inflationary.

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<v Speaker 3>Now they were very limited tariffs. Start talking about ten

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<v Speaker 3>percent across the board on all imports, you're in a

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<v Speaker 3>different ballgame.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we talked about inflation. One of the things we

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<v Speaker 2>naturally think about is the feder reserve.

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<v Speaker 1>It's their job. Actually, it has price stability.

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<v Speaker 2>Right. There's a lot of speculation, not necessarily coming from

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump himself, it's from people around him like Peter.

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<v Speaker 1>Navarro who talked about firing J. Powell.

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<v Speaker 2>But what are the prospects of really undermining to some

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<v Speaker 2>extent the independence of the Fed.

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<v Speaker 3>That's to me incredibly scary. I think the independence of

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<v Speaker 3>the Fed. They don't get everything right, they got inflation wrong.

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<v Speaker 3>Will stipulate to that they got some stuff wrong in

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<v Speaker 3>twenty nineteen. They may have gotten some stuff wrong coming

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<v Speaker 3>out of the GFC, although they did a great job

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<v Speaker 3>generally in the GFC. But let's just stipulate independence of

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<v Speaker 3>the FED is critical and central to our economic success.

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<v Speaker 3>There's no sands or butts about that. You would not

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<v Speaker 3>want the Congress or the White House in charge of

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<v Speaker 3>monetary policy. And so any step to undermine the FED

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<v Speaker 3>by any president of either party should be something that

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<v Speaker 3>we all push back as strongly as possible.

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<v Speaker 2>So overall, why do we find so many investors who

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<v Speaker 2>are backing President Trump giving everything you just said? What

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<v Speaker 2>do you see they don't or what do they see

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<v Speaker 2>you don't?

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<v Speaker 3>They have a variety of reasons that I understand their reasons.

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<v Speaker 3>For example, one of the biggest reasons you hear is

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<v Speaker 3>the regulatory stuff. There's no question, and now, in fairness

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<v Speaker 3>to the President, although he appointed these people, they are

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<v Speaker 3>independent regulatory agencies. But nonetheless a lot of what the

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<v Speaker 3>FTC has been trying to do, a lot of what

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<v Speaker 3>the SEC has been trying to do, even the FCC,

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<v Speaker 3>the FDA really has upset business, and they simply feel

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<v Speaker 3>that this president is too progressive, and they feel that

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<v Speaker 3>his vice president, should she become president, is even more progressive,

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<v Speaker 3>and they don't like any of that.

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<v Speaker 1>And there are other reasons, but that's a good.

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<v Speaker 3>Example, maybe the main example of what they They just

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<v Speaker 3>don't think this is a pro business administration. I would say,

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<v Speaker 3>even though I do support the president, acting businessmen with

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<v Speaker 3>some regularity is really not the way to get their support.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think. That's not what my mother taught me.

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<v Speaker 2>Fair No, okay, Steve, I'm delighted to say he's going

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<v Speaker 2>to be staying with us as we turn to the

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<v Speaker 2>rest of the world, particularly whether investors might be falling

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<v Speaker 2>out of love with the so called Magnificent seven. That's

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<v Speaker 2>nextell Wall Street Week on Bloomberg. This is Wall Street Week.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm David Weston. Stephen Ratner of will It Advisors has

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<v Speaker 2>stayed with us. So see, let's talk about the rest

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<v Speaker 2>of the world as it were, and particularly those big

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<v Speaker 2>tech companies that have been getting so much money with

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<v Speaker 2>huge I would say huge capital investment about AI.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, look, those companies have had a great run.

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<v Speaker 3>Obviously in Vidia we all know about, but Microsoft, Google

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<v Speaker 3>and so forth Amazon, And the question really is whether

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<v Speaker 3>the market is valuing this situation appropriately. You're talking about

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<v Speaker 3>massive cap X by on estimates anywhere from six hundred

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<v Speaker 3>billion to one point two trillion dollars per year on

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<v Speaker 3>this kind of stuff. And the question the market is

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<v Speaker 3>starting to ask itself is are the revenues going to

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<v Speaker 3>be there to offset it? And that cap X is

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<v Speaker 3>not just a cash expense, but it runs through the

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<v Speaker 3>income statement and depreciation and so forth, and so.

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<v Speaker 1>It affects their margins.

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<v Speaker 3>It affects their profits, and you have to earn You

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<v Speaker 3>have to create a huge amount of revenue to justify

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<v Speaker 3>the magnitude of the cap X that is going on

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<v Speaker 3>right as we speak.

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<v Speaker 2>So see back in the olden days at capsities, for gimer,

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<v Speaker 2>when I was running budgets, if I had a capital expense,

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<v Speaker 2>I had to show what the projections were about when

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<v Speaker 2>I would save that money back just what And we

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<v Speaker 2>usually had a rule about a couple of years, maybe

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<v Speaker 2>two and a half years, we had to earn it back.

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<v Speaker 2>Is anybody taking pencil and paper, if they have it anymore,

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<v Speaker 2>and doing that with AI, Is anybody actually thinking about

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<v Speaker 2>where do we really see this in the real economy

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<v Speaker 2>in terms of increased productivity.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, that's exactly what's happening now to some degree, and

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<v Speaker 3>why you're starting to see a bit of a rotation.

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<v Speaker 3>It might be just a mean reversion after a big run.

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<v Speaker 3>It might be people doing what you talk about, but

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<v Speaker 3>people are doing it. And by the way, this is

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<v Speaker 3>a very debated subject. There's not a preponderance of view

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<v Speaker 3>on one side or the other. And I don't even

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<v Speaker 3>frankly have conviction myself. I think you could argue either way,

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<v Speaker 3>although I think the numbers are pretty daunting. But what

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<v Speaker 3>you're starting to see the analysts do is exactly what

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<v Speaker 3>you said. They're starting to pencil into their projections. This

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<v Speaker 3>is the level of capex, this is a level of

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<v Speaker 3>depreciation we're going to be taking for it. This is

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<v Speaker 3>the amount of revenue we have to generate to justify

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<v Speaker 3>that and achieve the kind of paybacks you're talking about.

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<v Speaker 1>And you say to yourself, is this really plausible?

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<v Speaker 3>Are we really going to you know, is Microsoft really

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<v Speaker 3>going to be able to generate thirty billion dollars of

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<v Speaker 3>revenue from AI? I think that's actually a roughly right number.

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<v Speaker 3>In the next over the two years from now, and

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<v Speaker 3>given that at the moment this stuff is essentially free,

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<v Speaker 3>you might pay ten dollars a month for this or that,

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<v Speaker 3>it's a real open question whether those kind of revenues

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<v Speaker 3>are there.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me just make one other point, which is.

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<v Speaker 3>That if you think back on the success of Microsoft, Google, Facebook,

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<v Speaker 3>they were essentially software companies. I mean, there was certainly

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<v Speaker 3>some Capex involved in that, but nothing on the scale

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<v Speaker 3>of what we're talking about here. And so we're in

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<v Speaker 3>a whole different world, a whole different boat all game

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<v Speaker 3>for these companies. And by the way, it's also a

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<v Speaker 3>competitive ballgame. Open AI is not going to own all

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<v Speaker 3>of AI. Microsoft is not going to own all of AI.

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<v Speaker 3>It's going to be very They all have to protect

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<v Speaker 3>their market share and it's going to be a pretty

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<v Speaker 3>competitive world.

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<v Speaker 2>So, Steve, I'm never going to ask you about specific

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<v Speaker 2>investments that you're making or not making it, but just

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<v Speaker 2>attitude investor. When you're looking at this phenomenon, you're looking

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<v Speaker 2>at the NVIDIAs of this world, and Microsoft and others

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<v Speaker 2>just take off like a rocket ship. It must be

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<v Speaker 2>difficult to stay out of it. I mean, if you're

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<v Speaker 2>running a big fund or something like that when you're

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<v Speaker 2>seeing the fear of being left behind must be enormous.

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<v Speaker 2>But what do you do when you don't know whether

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<v Speaker 2>it's going to work or not going to work?

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, this has been a challenge for active investors this

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<v Speaker 3>year because these big companies Microsoft is something like a

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<v Speaker 3>seven point three or seven point five percent waiting in

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<v Speaker 3>the SMP. Very few money managers have a seven percent

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<v Speaker 3>position in anything, and so it's very when you know,

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<v Speaker 3>you know the numbers, when you disaggregate the magnificent seven

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<v Speaker 3>from the rest of the market, what the differences are,

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<v Speaker 3>and so it's been very tough for active ma That's

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<v Speaker 3>point one point two is Look, this is no different

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<v Speaker 3>than any other investment. You do your best work, you

0:10:06.280 --> 0:10:07.960
<v Speaker 3>figure it out as best you can, and you make

0:10:07.960 --> 0:10:11.240
<v Speaker 3>a bet and sometimes you're right, sometimes you're wrong. I

0:10:11.280 --> 0:10:13.679
<v Speaker 3>would say we tend to be pretty conservative in our

0:10:13.760 --> 0:10:15.960
<v Speaker 3>view of this stuff, and a little bit of the

0:10:16.040 --> 0:10:18.760
<v Speaker 3>view that we've seen some of these movies before and

0:10:18.840 --> 0:10:21.280
<v Speaker 3>we want to be a little careful about piling in,

0:10:21.400 --> 0:10:23.040
<v Speaker 3>especially late in the game.

0:10:23.520 --> 0:10:26.840
<v Speaker 2>Is there a risk that the enormous success of that

0:10:26.880 --> 0:10:28.840
<v Speaker 2>Magnificent seven what are you going to call them, is

0:10:28.960 --> 0:10:32.120
<v Speaker 2>masking other weakness in stock markets. As you say, you

0:10:32.120 --> 0:10:33.720
<v Speaker 2>look at the rest of the market, it has not

0:10:33.840 --> 0:10:35.840
<v Speaker 2>done all that well. And yet we tend to gloss

0:10:35.840 --> 0:10:37.520
<v Speaker 2>over that and say a bit market and the aggregate

0:10:37.520 --> 0:10:38.280
<v Speaker 2>boys doing great.

0:10:38.400 --> 0:10:39.400
<v Speaker 1>It's totally masking it.

0:10:39.440 --> 0:10:41.880
<v Speaker 3>If you take the magnificent seven out and you start

0:10:41.920 --> 0:10:45.360
<v Speaker 3>looking at some sectors, especially things like manufacturing, industrial stuff

0:10:45.400 --> 0:10:48.240
<v Speaker 3>like that. Markets actually had a pretty poor run over

0:10:48.240 --> 0:10:50.600
<v Speaker 3>the last certainly this year and even I think last year,

0:10:50.920 --> 0:10:53.560
<v Speaker 3>and so yes, I think we're starting to see when

0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:58.000
<v Speaker 3>we listen to companies, we listen to our managers, we

0:10:58.040 --> 0:11:00.560
<v Speaker 3>are starting to see signs of softness in the economy

0:11:00.559 --> 0:11:04.000
<v Speaker 3>on the consumer side, on the manufacturing side, and so forth.

0:11:04.120 --> 0:11:06.160
<v Speaker 3>I don't think the economy is falling out of bed,

0:11:06.559 --> 0:11:09.599
<v Speaker 3>but we definitely are in the later stages of an expansion.

0:11:09.840 --> 0:11:12.080
<v Speaker 2>Let me ask about an ancillary part to the AI.

0:11:12.120 --> 0:11:14.439
<v Speaker 2>If I we talk about Nvidia and much of the things,

0:11:14.760 --> 0:11:19.360
<v Speaker 2>but the power required to drive this general AI is enormous.

0:11:19.400 --> 0:11:21.440
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I'm hearing stories now. They're just really in

0:11:21.440 --> 0:11:23.439
<v Speaker 2>a lot of story and that's really driving a lot

0:11:23.440 --> 0:11:26.400
<v Speaker 2>of demand for power. Is that an investment opportunity?

0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:31.000
<v Speaker 3>We have invested around this opportunity. I would say modestly.

0:11:31.040 --> 0:11:33.160
<v Speaker 3>We were actually kind of early to it. Others have

0:11:33.240 --> 0:11:34.600
<v Speaker 3>now caught on to it. And if you look at

0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:37.640
<v Speaker 3>the stocks, for example, of nuclear utilities that have less

0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:40.480
<v Speaker 3>regulated power and also clean power, which is important to

0:11:40.480 --> 0:11:43.560
<v Speaker 3>these hyperscalers, they've shot up. I think people have woken

0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:47.360
<v Speaker 3>up to the fact that the conventional projections of electricity

0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:50.400
<v Speaker 3>demand over the next five to ten years we're ridiculously

0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:53.120
<v Speaker 3>conservative relative to what's going to happen, and we're going

0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 3>to face a major I believe we're going to face

0:11:55.040 --> 0:11:59.040
<v Speaker 3>a significant power crunch in this country unless we do something,

0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:02.000
<v Speaker 3>and so running to the conflict between the desire to

0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:04.439
<v Speaker 3>reduce our dependence on fossil fuels and.

0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:06.360
<v Speaker 1>The need for power that's right in front of us.

0:12:06.360 --> 0:12:07.840
<v Speaker 2>That's just what I was going to ask, because this

0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:10.480
<v Speaker 2>goes right against the need to deal with the climate

0:12:10.640 --> 0:12:12.960
<v Speaker 2>where we were trying to give up the fossil fuels,

0:12:12.960 --> 0:12:14.720
<v Speaker 2>and this drives us back into it. Unless you go,

0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:18.319
<v Speaker 2>for example, the nuclear maybe there's small modular reactors.

0:12:18.440 --> 0:12:20.120
<v Speaker 3>As you know, I think you may even talk about

0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:21.760
<v Speaker 3>on your show. Bill Gates has a project I think

0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:24.920
<v Speaker 3>out in Wyoming or someplace to build not a small reactor,

0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:29.480
<v Speaker 3>but a new technology that involves less less heat and

0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:32.160
<v Speaker 3>less water and so on and so forth. But it's

0:12:32.160 --> 0:12:33.640
<v Speaker 3>going to be done in twenty thirty. He doesn't have

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:36.000
<v Speaker 3>a permit for it. So we're a long way. I

0:12:36.360 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 3>think we're a long way from nuclear happening. It could happen.

0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 3>I think the technology is there, whether it's small nuclear

0:12:42.120 --> 0:12:45.240
<v Speaker 3>reactors or different kinds of nuclear technology, but I see

0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:48.040
<v Speaker 3>no support at all from people to do it. And

0:12:48.120 --> 0:12:50.560
<v Speaker 3>so the result is we're going to have probably some

0:12:50.720 --> 0:12:52.680
<v Speaker 3>coal staying around longer than any of us would like,

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:57.080
<v Speaker 3>probably building more what it called ccgts natural gas generating

0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:00.520
<v Speaker 3>facilities in order to support the renewables, because obviously the

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:02.600
<v Speaker 3>sun doesn't always shine, the wind doesn't always blow. We

0:13:02.640 --> 0:13:04.960
<v Speaker 3>all know that, so you have to have baseload power.

0:13:05.360 --> 0:13:07.079
<v Speaker 3>And we're going to find that we are doing more

0:13:07.120 --> 0:13:08.960
<v Speaker 3>with fossil fuels than any of us would like.

0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 2>So so find as Steve gives us. Because you're a

0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:14.040
<v Speaker 2>long term investor, you're looking out their ways and you

0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:16.720
<v Speaker 2>look at the economy overall, and we've had extraordinary time

0:13:16.720 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 2>of growth from World War Two on, but certainly in

0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:22.240
<v Speaker 2>the last thirty years or so that's been challenged. More recently,

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:25.319
<v Speaker 2>productivity has sort of backed off a bit. Maybe it's

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:28.120
<v Speaker 2>coming back or maybe not. As you look long term,

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:30.959
<v Speaker 2>what do you think of the opportunities for an investor

0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:33.160
<v Speaker 2>in the economy. What do you think are likely to

0:13:33.200 --> 0:13:34.840
<v Speaker 2>be with us for a while and really grow.

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:37.080
<v Speaker 3>You have to have a view about some of the

0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 3>things you just said. We definitely the real problem in

0:13:40.720 --> 0:13:44.320
<v Speaker 3>the economy is slow productivity growth. In my opinion, there's

0:13:44.360 --> 0:13:48.280
<v Speaker 3>a decent chance that AI will change that. It could

0:13:48.320 --> 0:13:50.800
<v Speaker 3>be like the Industrial Revolution or lots of other periods

0:13:50.840 --> 0:13:53.839
<v Speaker 3>in our past where we really get a transformational kind

0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:56.320
<v Speaker 3>of change, and that would really be good for all

0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:59.920
<v Speaker 3>kinds of businesses, whether manufacturing business, consumer businesses and so forth.

0:14:00.679 --> 0:14:03.120
<v Speaker 3>And so that to me is really the most interesting

0:14:03.200 --> 0:14:05.560
<v Speaker 3>thing in front of us. Hard to invest around for

0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:08.280
<v Speaker 3>all the reasons we talked about, But beyond that, I

0:14:08.320 --> 0:14:11.720
<v Speaker 3>can't tell you there's a particular sector that I would

0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 3>focus on as being the place to go. I do

0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:16.880
<v Speaker 3>worry a lot in terms of economic challenges about the

0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:19.720
<v Speaker 3>budget deficit, the impact on interest rates, the fact that

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:21.160
<v Speaker 3>we are going to have to deal with this sooner

0:14:21.240 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 3>or later. But at the moment, I think we're actually

0:14:24.760 --> 0:14:25.680
<v Speaker 3>not in a terrible place.

0:14:26.120 --> 0:14:28.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, Steve, it's such a treat you have you here.

0:14:28.200 --> 0:14:30.680
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much that it's Stephen Rattner of will

0:14:30.680 --> 0:14:31.360
<v Speaker 2>It Advisors