WEBVTT - MLB Team Futures and Awards (Ep. 81) 0:00:00.360 --> 0:00:15.080 It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 0:00:16.079 --> 0:00:19.799 Welcome everybody to betting Pros. It's me Joey p joe Pisapia, 0:00:19.840 --> 0:00:21.959 and we've got a great show for you today. It 0:00:22.079 --> 0:00:24.720 is me, it is Dan Harris, and it's you, and 0:00:24.760 --> 0:00:28.040 we're talking major League Baseball. Dan Harris and I are 0:00:28.040 --> 0:00:31.120 going to take you through the winners for the divisions, 0:00:31.200 --> 0:00:33.479 the odds that we like. We're going to talk about 0:00:33.840 --> 0:00:37.239 World Series and playoffs as well, and we're gonna talk 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:40.120 about some of the big awards. We're talking MVP, Rookie 0:00:40.120 --> 0:00:43.559 of the Year, Cy Young, all the biggies. So, Dan Harris, 0:00:43.800 --> 0:00:46.199 it's a little betting pro's action for you today. Are 0:00:46.240 --> 0:00:49.280 you excited to talk a little baseball here and change 0:00:49.280 --> 0:00:51.120 things up? Because I know it's March nevery long. Everyone 0:00:51.240 --> 0:00:53.440 wants to talk about is basketball, but I don't. I 0:00:53.479 --> 0:00:54.840 want to talk some baseball today. 0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:57.560 I have been enjoying March madness. I will admit even 0:00:57.600 --> 0:01:00.600 more than I usually do. But now now I am ready. 0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:03.920 We are recording this on Tuesday. The season starts on Thursday. 0:01:04.040 --> 0:01:06.680 I am ready to go. I have very strong feelings 0:01:06.680 --> 0:01:08.560 on a lot of this stuff. So let's do it. 0:01:08.800 --> 0:01:11.520 I like when Dan has strong feelings. That's what I like. 0:01:12.040 --> 0:01:14.280 I don't like weak feelings. You take those weak feelings 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:16.440 to get out of my show. Get out, Get out 0:01:16.440 --> 0:01:19.000 with the weak feelings. Only the strong survive here. And 0:01:19.120 --> 0:01:20.760 of course, if you want to get some of these 0:01:20.760 --> 0:01:23.160 odds here, the great thing about Betting Pros is it 0:01:23.160 --> 0:01:25.399 takes all the different ads from all these different places. 0:01:25.480 --> 0:01:28.440 You get the Betting Pros consensus lines too, and then 0:01:28.480 --> 0:01:30.840 you can look for lines that you want to exploit. Basically, 0:01:30.880 --> 0:01:33.520 whether it be on FanDuel or DK or Fox Better 0:01:33.880 --> 0:01:37.080 or MGM, all these kind of different sites, they've got 0:01:37.120 --> 0:01:39.280 them all here in one condensed spot on Betting Pros. 0:01:39.319 --> 0:01:41.080 And that's why you hang out with us here on 0:01:41.120 --> 0:01:43.919 the show. So let's start with the American League East. 0:01:44.040 --> 0:01:47.040 The Yankees are a consensus minus two hundred. That's no fun. 0:01:47.360 --> 0:01:49.720 Then the Rays plus three fifty, the Blue Jays are 0:01:49.760 --> 0:01:52.560 the same plus three fifty, Red Sox at twenty to one, 0:01:52.840 --> 0:01:55.400 and the Orioles forget it, five hundred million to. 0:01:55.640 --> 0:01:57.520 They don't have a number high enough for the orders. 0:01:57.560 --> 0:02:02.360 Actually it's actually broken. The site's it's plus fifty two 0:02:02.440 --> 0:02:05.240 hundred just in case you wanted to see it. But 0:02:05.720 --> 0:02:08.240 you know, let's talk about the Yankees, Dan, because you 0:02:08.280 --> 0:02:11.440 always pay attacks on the Yankees because they're the Yankees, 0:02:11.480 --> 0:02:13.480 and you know, to wager two hundred just to wait 0:02:13.520 --> 0:02:15.320 one hundred. To me, I'm never a big fan of that. 0:02:15.520 --> 0:02:17.920 And plus the Yankees have some question marks in that rotation. 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:20.400 I mean, you know, you got Tion's innings, question, you 0:02:20.440 --> 0:02:23.400 got Klueber's health, you got whether or not herman, can 0:02:23.520 --> 0:02:25.320 you know, do it for a whole season? And I 0:02:25.360 --> 0:02:27.080 don't know, Man, this just does not feel like a 0:02:27.120 --> 0:02:29.880 smart wager to me. Now that being said, that kind 0:02:29.880 --> 0:02:31.920 of opens the door for maybe the Rays or maybe 0:02:31.960 --> 0:02:33.720 the Blue Jays. So do you have any feelings about 0:02:33.720 --> 0:02:36.320 either of these two? We're both basically at three and 0:02:36.320 --> 0:02:37.799 a half to one, all right, So I know. 0:02:37.760 --> 0:02:39.680 I said I had strong feelings about this is not 0:02:39.720 --> 0:02:42.320 a division of strong feelings. To be as fair as possible, 0:02:42.320 --> 0:02:44.079 I will have it later. I agree with you. The 0:02:44.160 --> 0:02:47.000 Yankees at minus two hundred definitely not worth it. Do 0:02:47.080 --> 0:02:49.160 I think they're the favorite to win the division? I do, 0:02:49.320 --> 0:02:51.840 but it's not something that I feel comfortable enough with 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:54.960 those odds. I don't mind either the Rays or the 0:02:54.960 --> 0:02:57.280 Blue Jays at plus three fifty. Now, the Blue Jays 0:02:57.280 --> 0:02:59.440 are already dealing with a bunch of injuries. They're gonna 0:02:59.440 --> 0:03:01.320 lose Springer a little bit at the start of the season. 0:03:01.320 --> 0:03:04.080 They have already lost Kirby Yates. Robbie Ray is going 0:03:04.120 --> 0:03:06.160 to miss his first couple of starts after he fell 0:03:06.240 --> 0:03:08.840 and heard his elbow on the stairs. So I think 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:10.600 if I were going to go somewhere, and maybe I'm 0:03:10.639 --> 0:03:13.520 just overrating the fact that the Rays always managed to 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:16.600 figure out how to maximize their potential. But I do 0:03:16.720 --> 0:03:18.120 like the Rays, and again you mentioned it, Joe, the 0:03:18.120 --> 0:03:20.280 consensus line is three to fifty. You look at the 0:03:20.280 --> 0:03:23.320 different books which we have on bettingpros dot Com at BETMGM, 0:03:23.400 --> 0:03:25.919 theyre plus four fifty and at points bet their plus 0:03:25.960 --> 0:03:27.680 six hundred if you can get that at points bet 0:03:27.720 --> 0:03:30.480 at plus six hundred, I really like that at plus 0:03:30.560 --> 0:03:32.960 three fifty, I still think it's worth a sprinkle on 0:03:33.000 --> 0:03:34.880 them to win the division. We'll talk about it. I 0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:37.280 like the Rays in some different features a little bit later, 0:03:37.440 --> 0:03:39.600 but if I'm looking at this division, not one of 0:03:39.600 --> 0:03:42.360 the more enticing divisions, I think I probably would favor 0:03:42.360 --> 0:03:44.080 the Rays at plus three fifty, and again, if you 0:03:44.080 --> 0:03:46.040 can get it at one of these higher numbers, I would. 0:03:46.440 --> 0:03:48.640 I'm gonna go with the Blue Jays here. I think 0:03:48.640 --> 0:03:51.720 they've got enough goods down there in the farm system 0:03:51.800 --> 0:03:53.440 to keep making some more moves, and I think they're 0:03:53.440 --> 0:03:55.640 going to acquire some more pitching at some point in 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:58.280 this season. So to me, I think there's a young 0:03:58.280 --> 0:04:00.600 team that doesn't know any better. Doesn't They're not supposed 0:04:00.600 --> 0:04:01.960 to compete with the Yankees, and I think that makes 0:04:02.000 --> 0:04:04.920 them very dangerous. I'm off the Rays this year. You 0:04:05.000 --> 0:04:07.120 lose more than you lose Snell. That's a lot to lose. 0:04:07.160 --> 0:04:08.960 This is in my opinion, So I just I can't 0:04:09.000 --> 0:04:12.080 get there. They were built for sixty game season. Last year. 0:04:12.160 --> 0:04:14.880 The Rays were made for that one sixty two is 0:04:14.920 --> 0:04:16.880 a different animal. I'm gonna go with the Blue Jays 0:04:16.880 --> 0:04:18.760 here as the best wager, and that's where I would lean. 0:04:18.839 --> 0:04:22.560 Now on the central side, the White Sox consensus minus 0:04:22.600 --> 0:04:25.159 one twenty. Then you have the Twins at plus one 0:04:25.279 --> 0:04:28.320 twenty five, Cleveland at seven to one at plus seven hundred, 0:04:28.560 --> 0:04:31.760 the Royals at plus four thousand, and the Tigers at 0:04:31.800 --> 0:04:35.680 plus six. Now, for me, Cleveland is they're really intriguing 0:04:35.720 --> 0:04:38.559 one because yes, they did lose Lindor, but you're getting 0:04:38.600 --> 0:04:41.080 basically seven to one in some places, even seven point 0:04:41.040 --> 0:04:44.920 fifty or eight on points bet. But they've got Shane Bieber, 0:04:44.960 --> 0:04:47.560 who is, in my opinion, the best pitcher in that division, 0:04:47.600 --> 0:04:49.920 one of the best pictures in baseball. And on top 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:51.440 of that, you got a great manager who's been there 0:04:51.480 --> 0:04:53.960 and done that in Terry Francona. They did bring in 0:04:54.000 --> 0:04:57.320 some more offense there to replace what they lost with Lindor. 0:04:57.560 --> 0:05:00.799 Is there replacing Lindor. No, but Jimenez be a nice player, 0:05:00.839 --> 0:05:03.000 I think, And on top of that, Eddie Rosario was 0:05:03.040 --> 0:05:05.880 a good bat. So to me, I think Cleveland's got 0:05:05.960 --> 0:05:09.000 enough pitching to really make this interesting. At the end 0:05:09.040 --> 0:05:11.159 of the day, I think the White Sox are markedly 0:05:11.240 --> 0:05:14.640 better the Twins. I am completely lukewarm on. To me, 0:05:14.720 --> 0:05:17.599 there's too many problems there. But the interesting wager here 0:05:17.680 --> 0:05:20.200 is maybe you bet the White Sox and then take 0:05:20.279 --> 0:05:22.160 a little bit and, as you like to say, sprinkle 0:05:22.400 --> 0:05:24.400 and sprinkle a little bit on Cleveland at those higher odds, 0:05:24.400 --> 0:05:26.000 because I think there's an outside chance that they could 0:05:26.040 --> 0:05:26.760 surprise people. 0:05:27.160 --> 0:05:29.839 Cleveland is my favorite bet actually at plus seven hundred 0:05:29.839 --> 0:05:32.320 to win the division, don't We talked about the White 0:05:32.320 --> 0:05:34.440 Sox before Joe. We did an episode a couple of 0:05:34.480 --> 0:05:38.120 weeks ago about sort of the win totals, and you know, 0:05:38.160 --> 0:05:40.040 it was ninety one and a half I think at 0:05:40.040 --> 0:05:42.920 the time. Obviously, the White Sox have since lost Eloy 0:05:43.040 --> 0:05:45.200 Jim Andez, which is a big loss. It's not a 0:05:45.240 --> 0:05:47.760 critical loss to them necessarily, but it's a big loss. 0:05:47.760 --> 0:05:49.240 And again that's going to open up more playing time 0:05:49.279 --> 0:05:51.920 for Andravaon who you know, I like very much. I 0:05:52.200 --> 0:05:54.640 just don't think that either the White Sox or the 0:05:54.680 --> 0:05:57.200 Twins is significantly better than the other one. So I 0:05:57.200 --> 0:05:59.000 don't have a great feel for one of those teams. Well, 0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:01.640 what I do know is that Cleveland is always able 0:06:01.920 --> 0:06:04.839 to outperform what it should be able to do. And 0:06:04.880 --> 0:06:07.919 maybe say that is Francona, or maybe it's just you know, 0:06:08.000 --> 0:06:09.800 the front office knowing what to do. 0:06:09.920 --> 0:06:13.200 Pitching two. I mean, they've always got good starting pitching. 0:06:13.279 --> 0:06:13.920 Every year. 0:06:14.160 --> 0:06:16.839 They are able to take these command guys and just say, 0:06:16.880 --> 0:06:19.520 what if you have the command, we can mold you 0:06:19.760 --> 0:06:22.120 into a successful major league pitcher. They do it every 0:06:22.160 --> 0:06:24.440 year they did it with Plisak, who again you know, 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:27.360 I'm not a huge polea sack guy, but no, but 0:06:27.440 --> 0:06:29.760 we like Savallee pretty much, you know, in that rotation. 0:06:29.839 --> 0:06:32.560 Of course, Bieber is, if not the best pitcher in 0:06:32.600 --> 0:06:35.400 the American League, then the second best behind Garrett Cole. 0:06:35.560 --> 0:06:38.080 But again, their bullpen's pretty good. Karen Jak has some 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:40.840 control issues, but he can strike out everybody. Nick Whickgren 0:06:40.960 --> 0:06:43.800 is sort of a quiet cog there. And the addition 0:06:43.839 --> 0:06:47.200 of Eddie Rosario was really key because again he's just 0:06:47.279 --> 0:06:50.279 kind of this forgotten guy. When he plays all around 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:53.520 solid baseball, he really lengthens that lineup. He gives them 0:06:53.560 --> 0:06:56.800 another hitter behind Jose Ramirez, and again you are going 0:06:56.839 --> 0:06:58.800 to have Andres Himinez, who I think is going to 0:06:58.839 --> 0:07:02.320 add that nice extra speed dimension. Plus these are Hernandez, 0:07:02.560 --> 0:07:04.479 decent guy at the top of the order. They're a 0:07:04.480 --> 0:07:06.520 team that I don't expect to win the division, but 0:07:06.600 --> 0:07:09.240 at plus seven hundred, those are the odds I like best. 0:07:09.480 --> 0:07:12.120 That's a pretty good middle up up the middle defense too, 0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:15.560 with Hernandez and Jimenez as well. So I don't know 0:07:15.600 --> 0:07:17.560 what they're gonna do with Rosario. It doesn't look like 0:07:17.640 --> 0:07:20.120 not much, but yeah, at this point, I think Jimenez 0:07:20.200 --> 0:07:22.000 is clearly the guy that they were targeting in that 0:07:22.040 --> 0:07:24.640 deal when they moved Lindor went onto the West. Here, 0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:26.840 the Astros are the favorite at plus one twenty five, 0:07:26.920 --> 0:07:30.080 the A's plus one forty five. Again this is the 0:07:30.080 --> 0:07:33.320 consensus at betting pros, and then the Angels at plus 0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:35.840 three seventy five, with the Mariners bringing up the rear 0:07:35.880 --> 0:07:39.600 plus twenty six, and the Rangers that you're nice old 0:07:39.720 --> 0:07:42.560 sixty to one. So we'll forget about the bottom feeders here. 0:07:43.480 --> 0:07:45.120 It's really whether or not you want to make a 0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:47.680 case for the Angels because the A's are tricky. The 0:07:47.840 --> 0:07:49.640 is are always a tricky wager because you're not getting 0:07:49.680 --> 0:07:51.600 huge odds on them because they're always kind of hovering 0:07:51.640 --> 0:07:54.080 around that. The Astros are the favorites for a reason 0:07:54.160 --> 0:07:57.120 I think they should be. They still have mcolors and 0:07:57.160 --> 0:07:59.040 Granky at the top of that rotation. They still got 0:07:59.080 --> 0:08:01.560 a ton of talent. That it's whether or not you 0:08:01.560 --> 0:08:03.600 want to make a case for the you know somewhere 0:08:03.640 --> 0:08:06.360 around three and a half or even to four to 0:08:06.400 --> 0:08:09.640 one Angels odds, So for them to win this division 0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:11.440 a lot of things would have to break right. I'm 0:08:11.480 --> 0:08:13.560 still the stay away. If anything, I would still go 0:08:13.600 --> 0:08:15.640 with the Astros because I just think, you know, the 0:08:15.640 --> 0:08:18.080 Astros are that team that just doesn't want to go away, 0:08:18.120 --> 0:08:19.480 and I know a lot of people want them to. 0:08:19.560 --> 0:08:21.400 But I still think they're very good and I think 0:08:21.720 --> 0:08:23.720 Dusty Baker's gonna have them right back in the playoffs, 0:08:23.720 --> 0:08:25.280 and I do think they're gonna win this division. So 0:08:25.320 --> 0:08:27.560 I'm going chalk here with the Astros. What do you 0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:29.320 think about the Angels and the Astros or even the 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:30.119 A's in this one. 0:08:30.360 --> 0:08:32.760 Yeah, I'm I'm with you. I'm on the Astros and 0:08:32.800 --> 0:08:34.640 know they're the favorite at plus one twenty five as 0:08:34.640 --> 0:08:36.840 you mentioned, and again, you can't get much better than that. 0:08:36.880 --> 0:08:39.199 Maybe plus one thirty out there at bet MGM, but 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:41.120 that's pretty much where you're at. But I still think 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:44.240 there's value there the A's. Look, they always outperform what 0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:46.920 they're supposed to do, but they're just not going to 0:08:46.960 --> 0:08:49.000 be as good as they have been in previous years. 0:08:49.000 --> 0:08:50.760 They would need a lot of things to go right. 0:08:50.800 --> 0:08:52.880 I think losing Hendrix at the back end of that bullpen. 0:08:52.960 --> 0:08:55.240 I know Trevor Rosenthal is there but they're not the 0:08:55.280 --> 0:08:57.719 same caliber pitcher, and I just think there's gonna be 0:08:57.760 --> 0:09:00.320 some fall off for them. The Angels. Again, we talked 0:09:00.320 --> 0:09:03.439 about this at the wind totals like the the You know, 0:09:03.480 --> 0:09:06.520 the Angels basically haven't gone above five hundred in like 0:09:06.679 --> 0:09:09.720 six seasons at this point, and yes, could show hal 0:09:09.840 --> 0:09:13.040 Tani completely transform them, it's possible. We'd love to see it. 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:15.920 He obviously had the blister yesterday, but I don't think so. Man, 0:09:15.960 --> 0:09:17.520 It's not even worth a sprinkle to me. At close 0:09:17.559 --> 0:09:20.160 to four to one. To me, this is the Astros division. 0:09:20.360 --> 0:09:22.560 They're gonna be fine. And again we'll talk about this 0:09:22.559 --> 0:09:24.960 little later because I like some other futures with the Astros, 0:09:25.000 --> 0:09:27.480 but they have the ability to trade and do whatever 0:09:27.480 --> 0:09:29.320 they want because they've got a good form system and 0:09:29.320 --> 0:09:32.160 they will go forward here. So I do like the Astros, 0:09:32.160 --> 0:09:34.200 even as the favorite at plus one twenty five. 0:09:34.480 --> 0:09:36.920 All right, so let's do our winner in the American 0:09:36.960 --> 0:09:38.920 League then, because the Yankees are the favorites at plus 0:09:38.920 --> 0:09:42.200 two thirty, the White Sox at three eighty, the Twins 0:09:42.200 --> 0:09:44.760 at plus seven fifty, and then after that you got 0:09:44.760 --> 0:09:46.960 the Rays at eight fifty, the Blue Jays of plus 0:09:46.960 --> 0:09:49.400 eight seventy five plus nine hundred for the A's and 0:09:49.400 --> 0:09:51.480 then ten to one for the Astros, which is funny 0:09:51.480 --> 0:09:54.559 because I think people kind of discounting the Astros a 0:09:54.600 --> 0:09:56.920 little bit. Yeah, the Astros at ten to one is 0:09:56.960 --> 0:10:00.240 fascinating because they could absolutely get back in this and 0:10:00.280 --> 0:10:03.200 be super annoying and piss off Major League Baseball and say, hey, 0:10:03.240 --> 0:10:04.800 look at us, everybody. If they were in the playoffs 0:10:04.840 --> 0:10:07.400 last year and they caused problems. So I'm just throwing 0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:09.400 that out there. But in terms of short series, I 0:10:09.440 --> 0:10:12.280 really like the White Sox plus three eighty. That's where 0:10:12.320 --> 0:10:14.360 I'm gonna go. That's my lean, and I feel strongly 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:18.240 about it because they added Lancelynn along with Gilito and Kaiko. 0:10:18.320 --> 0:10:20.680 Those are three pitchers I believe in. You could add 0:10:20.679 --> 0:10:23.520 in a guy like Michael Kopek. If you do indeed 0:10:23.559 --> 0:10:26.600 get Alloy back healthy, what a boost that is in 0:10:26.640 --> 0:10:30.240 September potentially, And again that's a big if. But still, 0:10:30.280 --> 0:10:32.040 this is a great team, and it tells you how 0:10:32.080 --> 0:10:34.920 good they are because they lost Aloy and they're still 0:10:34.920 --> 0:10:37.679 the favorite in this division by a fair amount. So look, 0:10:37.800 --> 0:10:39.800 I think the White Sox are the fascinating bet because 0:10:39.800 --> 0:10:42.520 I think in a short series, this team is in again, 0:10:42.559 --> 0:10:45.280 it's young, it's hungry. They've got the closer now to 0:10:45.520 --> 0:10:47.800 that shutdown guy in Hendrix. So I like the White 0:10:47.840 --> 0:10:50.040 Sox here the Yankees of the Chalk. I don't think 0:10:50.080 --> 0:10:52.280 the Chalk is bad here. But to me, I think 0:10:52.320 --> 0:10:55.000 the nice in between is that plus three eighty about 0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:56.920 consensus you're getting with the White Sox. Who do you 0:10:57.080 --> 0:10:59.760 like to represent the American League in the World Series. 0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:02.040 Favor bet and it's clear favorite bet for me, and 0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:04.600 this one is the Astros at plus one thousand. Again, 0:11:04.960 --> 0:11:07.120 I think there are a couple of things. Number One, 0:11:07.120 --> 0:11:09.480 I think you want to avoid a team that might 0:11:09.520 --> 0:11:11.840 be a wild card, right because you're sure you can 0:11:11.920 --> 0:11:15.160 get bounced, which is one of the reasons, by the way, 0:11:15.200 --> 0:11:16.760 why I worry a little bit about the White Sox 0:11:16.800 --> 0:11:18.720 because I don't know that they're going to win that division. 0:11:18.760 --> 0:11:20.960 I feel pretty common and maybe I shouldn't, but I 0:11:20.960 --> 0:11:23.280 feel pretty confident that the Astros are going to win 0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:25.640 their division. And if they do, they've got two things 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:28.160 really working for them. Number One, I guarantee you if 0:11:28.200 --> 0:11:31.240 they're there, they're going to add a significant piece. And 0:11:31.280 --> 0:11:34.160 again Franber Valdez, who was originally out for the entire season. 0:11:34.400 --> 0:11:36.120 He's not going to be out for the season now anymore. 0:11:36.120 --> 0:11:38.400 I mean he may miss a significant chunk, but coming 0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:40.240 back late in the season, that's going to be a 0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:44.839 significant ad as who also might be is Verlander. It's 0:11:44.880 --> 0:11:47.079 possible that he's going to come back in the playoffs 0:11:47.080 --> 0:11:49.120 at this point, even if he's just a bullpen piece, 0:11:49.160 --> 0:11:52.199 even if he's a closer, perhaps even in there, given 0:11:52.200 --> 0:11:54.400 that he's going to come back, he could be another 0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:56.920 addition that can make them really difficult. We talked about 0:11:56.920 --> 0:11:59.560 Carlos Carey on previous podcasts. We really like him. The 0:11:59.559 --> 0:12:02.400 Astros were abysmal last year. They couldn't hit anything, and 0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:05.200 they still made the playoffs. So I think they're gonna 0:12:05.240 --> 0:12:07.200 make it back. I think they're gonna do some damage 0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:09.800 here in the playoffs. So they are my pick at 0:12:09.880 --> 0:12:13.120 plus one thousand to win the American League. 0:12:13.200 --> 0:12:16.240 So if I gave you odds of plus or minus 0:12:16.280 --> 0:12:18.640 one inning for Justin verlind Or in twenty twenty one, 0:12:18.760 --> 0:12:19.760 you're going the over. Hunh. 0:12:19.800 --> 0:12:22.319 I think I Well, all right, if the postseason counts, 0:12:22.320 --> 0:12:24.280 I'm gonna take the over. Yeah, I'm gonna say that 0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:26.119 he pitches in this postseason. 0:12:26.440 --> 0:12:28.360 Wow, I love that. That would be a great story. 0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:31.040 I love this. I love the scripture writing for twenty 0:12:31.080 --> 0:12:34.600 twenty one. Okay, let's talk a little National League East here. 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:37.840 The Braves at plus one twenty consensus number one, while 0:12:37.880 --> 0:12:40.240 by the Mets at plus one forty, the Nats at 0:12:40.280 --> 0:12:43.120 plus six hundred, the Phillies eight to seventy five, and 0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:45.720 the Marlins plus twenty five hundred. So we'll leave the 0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:48.160 Marlins and the Phillies alone here. I don't think either 0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:51.600 of us really want to go there. Yes, baseball, anything 0:12:51.600 --> 0:12:53.600 can happen, but let's not get crazy here with some 0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:56.680 of these. The Braves are the easy chalk, and I 0:12:56.679 --> 0:12:59.480 don't think it's a bad idea. The Braves of the pitching. 0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:02.960 The Brave have consistency, and look, they're built for the 0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:05.400 regular season. I'm always worried about them in the postseason though. 0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:08.480 That's always where and it's always been the case. You know, 0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:11.160 it's been bullpen issues. It's also they strike out a ton, 0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:14.040 it's creating runs. Sometimes it's a problem for the Braves. 0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:15.839 Now the Mets are doing a better job. I think 0:13:15.880 --> 0:13:18.920 this year constructing a lineup to create runs this year 0:13:18.920 --> 0:13:21.360 for little Door is very good. But to me, this 0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:24.520 is kind of like the I guess, the same version 0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:27.719 of the Cleveland situation in the American League. Yeah, if 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.160 everything breaks right for the Gnats, they have the best 0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:32.760 rotation in this division, and that is what's built for 0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:35.720 one sixty two. Not to mention Josh Bell and Schwarber 0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:39.199 coming over to join Sodo and Turner and Victor Roblez 0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:41.880 hopefully bouncing back and still your very young player. So 0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:44.360 the Nats at plus six hundred some places can get 0:13:44.360 --> 0:13:47.440 them for six fifty. Also, Dan, that's very tempting for me. 0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:50.200 Yeah, man, I got it. It's almost annoying that we 0:13:50.240 --> 0:13:52.160 see things. So I'd eye on this one just because 0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:53.800 it'd be great to have more back and forth. But 0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:56.040 I agree with you. Do I expect the Nationals to 0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:58.960 win this division? No, but it's very much like Cleveland, 0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:01.080 and actually it's better in Cleveland, which is why their 0:14:01.080 --> 0:14:02.760 odds are a little shorter at plus six hundred. And 0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.320 again you mentioned plus six fifty at bet MGM, plus 0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:07.080 six fifty at points bets. You can get even better 0:14:07.080 --> 0:14:09.000 if you go there. But I agree with you there 0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:12.200 is there is a very very clear path for them 0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:15.679 to win this division. It takes their starters getting back 0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:17.600 to what they do best. Shurezer looks good and healthy 0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:20.720 right now. Hopefully Strasburg is fine. Corbin hasn't had the 0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:23.440 greatest spring, but again, if he gets back, it's going 0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:25.400 to be good. Their bullpen, obviously, with the addition of 0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:29.640 Brad Hannon you mentioned Josh Bell having a monstrous, monstrous spring, 0:14:29.720 --> 0:14:33.240 really lengthn's that lineup. Adding Schwarber to maybe the best 0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:36.280 player in baseball in Lon Soto, they can really make 0:14:36.320 --> 0:14:38.760 some noise. So it's something where if I had to 0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:40.840 do between the Braves and the Mets, I don't really know. 0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:43.080 It might be the Mets a little bit, just because 0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:44.880 I feel like, again you're seeing it right now, Carlos 0:14:44.880 --> 0:14:47.640 Carrasco goes out. In past years, it would be, oh 0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:49.560 my god, They've got to go into the minor leagues 0:14:49.600 --> 0:14:52.280 and get this reliever and have them spot start for 0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:54.880 you know, two months. But they have lu Casey, they 0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:55.920 have depth right now. 0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:59.680 They walk Peterson, they've got it, They've got they've got options, 0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:01.320 which is smart, and you know what, I think they've 0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:04.360 done a very good job of you know, continuously building 0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:07.240 this offseason for the depth. And I'll say this too, 0:15:07.240 --> 0:15:08.680 I think the depth of the bench for the Mets 0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:09.200 is very good. 0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:09.960 Yes, yea. 0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:13.320 The versatility, the athleticism that they have on that bench, 0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:16.040 the Mets are a decent you know. It's funny the East. 0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:17.720 You can really make a case for all three teams 0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.040 at the top. Obviously, the Nats are the one where 0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:21.920 it's kind of boom or bust there, but the six 0:15:21.960 --> 0:15:24.360 to one odds there. But look there, this is one 0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:26.440 where you could hedge if you wanted to a little bit, yea, 0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:28.800 because I think there's some opportunity there depending on how 0:15:28.880 --> 0:15:31.480 you want to strategically wager and how much you want 0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:33.440 to put on each one of these teams. Let's move 0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:35.600 over to the central where the Cardinals, of course being 0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:38.120 a national team, are r at the top there plus 0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:40.400 one oh five, the big addition of Aeronauto that's great 0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:41.920 and all, but we'll get to that in a second. 0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:44.840 Brewers at plus three hundreds, the consensus for them, Reds 0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:47.000 at plus three thirty, which is kind of surprising to me. 0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:50.840 I don't get that. Nuts nuts, the Cubs four twenty five, 0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:54.520 and the Pirates sixty five hundred. So Pittsburgh, gum, sorry, 0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:56.680 it's gonna be a rough home. The Cubs are out 0:15:56.680 --> 0:15:58.520 of it too, I'm sorry. They're a team that's going 0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:01.600 to Jettis and everybody as soon as they can, which 0:16:01.680 --> 0:16:04.320 leaves us the Brewers and the Cardinals. And I mean, 0:16:04.320 --> 0:16:07.480 what are we gonna learn that? The Brewers are always 0:16:07.520 --> 0:16:10.200 going to be good. I mean they as long as 0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:13.200 Christian Yellwich is healthy, this team's gonna compete. And now 0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:15.360 Freddy Parolta looks like he might be putting it together. 0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:18.760 And if he does, you got him. Cormyn Burns and 0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:21.240 Woodrof at the top of that rotation, with arguably the 0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:24.320 best bullpen in the league. Right with Devid Williams and 0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:27.760 Josh Hater. This is a good team. Cold Wong and 0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.480 Jackie Bradley shure up the defense. It's all about saying 0:16:30.520 --> 0:16:33.240 healthy now. But still, man, I like this Brewers three 0:16:33.240 --> 0:16:35.320 to one in some spots can get like on Fox 0:16:35.360 --> 0:16:38.000 bet plus three seventy five at fox. 0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:40.680 Bet, Joe, the Brewers have longer odds to win the 0:16:40.720 --> 0:16:43.960 division than the Reds. In what universe are we in 0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:47.680 where the Reds should have better odds? You know where 0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:49.200 are we? Where are we? 0:16:49.960 --> 0:16:52.840 Where are we? Where? The Cardinals are such a prohibitive favorite. Yes, 0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:55.200 I think it's just easy. What's the rest of this rotation? 0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:56.640 Because it's not great? 0:16:57.040 --> 0:16:59.320 No, I mean I was shocked when I saw it, 0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:01.000 and I get that. The Cardinals, you know, they added 0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:04.359 aeronauto and they have a strong lineup and their rotation 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:07.600 is okay, I guess, But the. 0:17:07.560 --> 0:17:11.760 Brewers, Pitcher, do you feel good about besides Flowerty on 0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:12.200