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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daly Juice Podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we're

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Speaker 2: back after a winning day. Amazingly enough, though I can't

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Speaker 2: get the parlay right to save my life.

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Speaker 1: It's annoying.

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Speaker 2: I just can't hit these things. U and LV was

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Speaker 2: the easiest bet of the night that comes in simply.

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Speaker 2: The second easiest was nc's day in the under that

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Speaker 2: was seven to three at halftime came nowhere near under

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Speaker 2: sixty there. Look at Florida State going forward for the

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Speaker 2: rest of their games, they are dead under team and

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Speaker 2: then the Cavaliers and the Thunder win, but the over

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Speaker 2: does not come in for Houston and Denver. Denver wins

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Speaker 2: the game. I would have bet moneyline Houston, so I

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Speaker 2: would have missed it anyway because I would have taken

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Speaker 2: the Rockets on the money line there in the Denver

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Speaker 2: Nuggets won. So two and one not bad for a

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Speaker 2: round robin, but not what you want for a parlay.

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Speaker 2: So two and one, we're up one unit for the

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Speaker 2: night as we head towards Saturday. Now today we have

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Speaker 2: the Discord Channel chat. This is sort of like the

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Speaker 2: calm before the storm. Okay, next week is a tremendous

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Speaker 2: week for college football. We have the Egg Bowl, the

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Speaker 2: Lane Kiffin story will come to it to a head

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Speaker 2: with Old Miss and Mississippi State, the rivalry game. We

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Speaker 2: have the Iron Bowl going on on Friday, which will

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Speaker 2: be gigantic. We have rivalry games all over the place,

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Speaker 2: Nebraska and Iowa. Like, there's just so much good football

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Speaker 2: about to be played. But we won't do a Discord

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Speaker 2: Channel chat next week because I'm going to be back

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Speaker 2: east in New England for the Holly and I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: be all over the place. So next week, because of

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Speaker 2: the way the games are, there won't be a Discord

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Speaker 2: Channel chat. So there will be one today. But I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna tell you I'm not in love with the card again.

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Speaker 2: Like we get to late November now it really is

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Speaker 2: about the Thanksgiving weekend games Thursday, Friday, Saturday. Then we

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Speaker 2: get into the conference championship games, which are gonna be gigantic.

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Speaker 2: And then we wait three weeks and we start the

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Speaker 2: college football playoffs on New Year's Day or right around

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Speaker 2: New Year's Day. So that's the different cadence than what

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Speaker 2: we have seen before. So that kind of diminishes Saturday

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Speaker 2: and really tomorrow. I love the card tomorrow. I love

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Speaker 2: the NFL card. I'm gonna have probably four to five

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Speaker 2: plays on the NFL card tomorrow. There's a lot of

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Speaker 2: really good games to bet tomorrow. Not so much today.

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Speaker 2: So these are days that like, Okay, I bet these games,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not like running to the window and being

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Speaker 2: like I love these plays. This is going to be

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Speaker 2: kind of a difficult day and a difficult day to

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Speaker 2: bet because there's a lot of big numbers. You know,

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Speaker 2: I want to bet Utah minus seventeen at home against

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Speaker 2: k State, Okay, but I can't lay seventeen like it

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Speaker 2: Just the little birdie in my head says, do not

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Speaker 2: ever lay seventeen points with anybody. So like, I like

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Speaker 2: Utah today, but I'm not betting it because I don't

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Speaker 2: know what to do with think it's too many points.

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Speaker 2: So examples like that as to how we're going to

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Speaker 2: jump in here when it comes to this podcast before

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Speaker 2: I give you the plays, you guys know who sponsors

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Speaker 2: your first deposit coming up here today. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: start with Penn State and Nebraska. The number was nine

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Speaker 2: and a half ten at certain books. It has been

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Speaker 2: steadily bet down and now we're at seven. And now

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Speaker 2: I'm taking Penn State because I do think Penn State

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Speaker 2: is going to win this game. I do think Penn

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Speaker 2: State is the better football team, and I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to back a freshman quarterback on the road at Happy Valley.

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Speaker 2: Why well, look at this is going to be a

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Speaker 2: rocking environment. The Indiana game was the last home game.

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Speaker 2: This is the end of the year for Penn State.

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Speaker 2: This is a emotional night for Penn State. They just

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Speaker 2: beat Michigan State by eighteen points on the road, so

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Speaker 2: they're playing hard. They nearly beat Indiana, they whipped up

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Speaker 2: on Michigan State. Yes, Nebraska went on the road and

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Speaker 2: beat UCLA. Yes, Nebraska covered at home against USC in

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Speaker 2: their last two games, and then they beat Northwestern at home,

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Speaker 2: but they pushed on the seven. I just don't like

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Speaker 2: Nebraska's offense on the road against this defense in this environment,

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Speaker 2: and I don't like Nebraska's ability to stop the run

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Speaker 2: that Penn State's going to focus on here and run

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Speaker 2: the football like they've been doing against Indiana and Michigan State.

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Speaker 2: I think Nebraska's gonna have a tough time stopping Penn State,

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Speaker 2: and I think Penn State gets a really big win here.

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Speaker 2: This is a Penn State team that's been playing hard.

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Speaker 2: This is senior Day. They go two Rutgers to end

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Speaker 2: the year. They're four and six. They're not going to

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Speaker 2: a bowl game. James Franklin just took a new job,

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Speaker 2: so he's going to be at VA Tech now, so

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Speaker 2: a lot of those coaches that are on that staff

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Speaker 2: are kind of toying with the idea of potentially going

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Speaker 2: to votech or staying seeing who gets the job at

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Speaker 2: Penn State. A lot of emotions there. But last home game,

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Speaker 2: I think Penn State wins. I think Penn State covers.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Nebraska will have enough defense to stop

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Speaker 2: this running attack, and I think Penn State's defense is

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Speaker 2: going to really slam the door shut. Michigan State only

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Speaker 2: scored ten points on this defense last week. They gave

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Speaker 2: up twenty seven points to Indiana. I think Nebraska scores

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Speaker 2: thirteen points in this game, a touchdown, two field goals,

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Speaker 2: and I like Penn State's ability to score a lot

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Speaker 2: more than that twenty four to thirteen somewhere in that

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Speaker 2: range from a final score perspective. I'm going to come

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Speaker 2: in and I'm jumping on Penn State.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 2: Penn State minus seven for one point one units bet

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Speaker 2: number two. Florida and Tennessee another team that's fired their coach.

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Speaker 2: They're at home. Florida has won ten consecutive games against

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Speaker 2: Tennessee in the swamp. That's a lot of games, Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's a domination and These kids who play for Florida

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Speaker 2: do not want to be the team that snaps this

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Speaker 2: streak Tennessee. If the game is going to go over,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee wins. If the game stays under, Florida is going

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Speaker 2: to win. But you look at the Gators and look

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Speaker 2: at the way that they've been playing. Yeah they're three

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Speaker 2: and seven, okay, and yeah they've got you know this

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Speaker 2: is they have one more home game next week up

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Speaker 2: against Florida State, which both these teams stink. But this

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Speaker 2: game against Tennessee as being a four point home dog.

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Speaker 2: They've lost three games in a row. They lost to

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss on the road, They lost to Kentucky on

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Speaker 2: the road, They lost to Georgia in Jacksonville. They beat

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Speaker 2: Missippi State twenty three to twenty one at home. Given

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Speaker 2: the domination that Florida has had over Tennessee, given the environment,

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Speaker 2: this is the last SEC game. Florida is not going

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Speaker 2: to a bowl game. You want to beat your rivals.

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Speaker 2: Beat Tennessee, beat Florida State. That would be a great

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Speaker 2: way to end the year for the Gators. I think

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Speaker 2: it's a three point win either way. Three point win

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Speaker 2: for Florida, three point win for Tennessee, and for that reason,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the points here. I got a home

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Speaker 2: dog that's been dominant, I'm taking the I'm taking the

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Speaker 2: points Florida plus four up against Tennessee for one point

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Speaker 2: one units.

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Speaker 1: Before I give you the last.

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Speaker 2: let's talk BYU in the Big twelve. You're going to

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Speaker 2: have a lot of excitements. Game Day is going to

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Speaker 2: be there in Cincinnati, or I guess it's going to be.

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Speaker 2: I guess it's not game Day, right, I guess it's

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Speaker 2: the Fox, one of the two that's there. Fox, I

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Speaker 2: think is there for their pregame show. BYU has been

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Speaker 2: a pretty interesting team this year. So BYU against numbers

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Speaker 2: five and five Cincinnati, Oh sorry, excuse me, no, sorry,

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Speaker 2: BBOU against the number is seven and three ats Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: is six and four. Over the last five games, BYU

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Speaker 2: is four and one. Since he is three and three.

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Speaker 2: On the road, BYU is three and two. Since he

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Speaker 2: at home is three and three. Huge win for BYU

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Speaker 2: at home against TCU last week. They killed them by

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Speaker 2: thirty one points, but that was after the loss Detective

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Speaker 2: TechEd by twenty two points. That was the only loss

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Speaker 2: so far on the docket for BYU. They're trying to

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Speaker 2: win games improved points. Here's the thing. Cincinnati is a

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Speaker 2: dangerous team at home. They lost to Arizona at home

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Speaker 2: in their last home game. They beat it sorted. They

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Speaker 2: lost to Utah by thirty one on the road, and

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Speaker 2: they beat Baylor by twenty.

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Speaker 1: One at home.

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Speaker 2: I think BYU at minus two and a half is

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Speaker 2: a pretty good bet. But something doesn't sit right. Something's

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Speaker 2: not looking right to me with this game. Like what

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Speaker 2: am I not seeing here with BYU on the road

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Speaker 2: winning at Iowa State BYU on the road winning at Arizona,

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Speaker 2: BYU winning but not covering against Colorado, BYU winning and

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Speaker 2: covering against East Carolina? Like what am I missing here

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Speaker 2: with BYU? This numbers should be more so, it's enough

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Speaker 2: that's kept.

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Speaker 1: Me off of it.

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Speaker 2: I do think BYU wins, However, I think we can

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Speaker 2: look at the total and be a little bit more

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Speaker 2: confident with the toll at fifty five and a half,

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Speaker 2: open up by fifty three and a half. It's now

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Speaker 2: fifty five and a half. Last game for BYU, they

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Speaker 2: scored forty four points. It went over by five and

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Speaker 2: a half points. Last home game for Cincinnati, last game

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Speaker 2: against Arizona, it was fifty seven. It landed thirty to

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Speaker 2: twenty four. That's fifty four. That would have fallen short

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Speaker 2: at fifty five and a half as well, but it

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Speaker 2: was three points short. In last game against Utah, it

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Speaker 2: went over by a point and a half. Forty five

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Speaker 2: to fourteen. I think we see offense here for both

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Speaker 2: these teams. I think we're going to see a pretty

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Speaker 2: high scoring game, pretty high tempo game. Since he averages

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Speaker 2: thirty point four points per game, BYU averages thirty point

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Speaker 2: two points per game. Defensively, Cincinnati gives up twenty five

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Speaker 2: points per game. BYU gives up twenty points per game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if we're talking to talking about an average

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Speaker 2: game here, we're at fifty and then we go from there. Right, So, offensively,

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Speaker 2: running the football bu fifty first in the country yards

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Speaker 2: per rush at four point four. They average one hundred

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Speaker 2: and sixty five yards on the ground per game. That's

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Speaker 2: fifty second. Since he gives up one hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: seven yards per game, that's ninetieth in the country. BYU

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Speaker 2: throws the ball at seven point eight yards per clip

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Speaker 2: and two hundred and thirty one yards per game, that's

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Speaker 2: sixty six best in the country. On the flip side,

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Speaker 2: since the defense giving up seven point four yards per

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Speaker 2: pass play in two hundred and fifty four yards through

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Speaker 2: the air, BYU should be able to move the football

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Speaker 2: on this Since the defense on the flip side, Cincinnati's

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Speaker 2: averaging five point eight yards per rush, one of the

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Speaker 2: best rush offenses in the country. They're averaging one hundred

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Speaker 2: and eighty nine yards on the ground per game, that's

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Speaker 2: twenty seventh best in the country. Seven point nine yards

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Speaker 2: per pass play that's top fifty in the country. And

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Speaker 2: they're averaging over two hundred and eighteen yards per game,

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Speaker 2: that's top one hundred in the country.

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Speaker 1: Since he I think can.

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Speaker 2: Move the ball well enough on BYU, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: play the over. Let's go BYU and Cincinnati. Let's go

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Speaker 2: over fifty five and a half for BYU and Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: So our plays for today just three of them Penn

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Speaker 2: State minus seven against Nebraska Florida plus four against Tennessee

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Speaker 2: and BYU over fifty five and a half on the

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Speaker 2: road at Cincinnati. I'm not really in love with those plays.

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Speaker 2: But we'll break downline movement, we'll talk about everything happening

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Speaker 2: in college football, take a look at potential upsets as well.

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Speaker 2: We've got some games I mentioned the Utah game, which

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Speaker 2: I like at my seventeen I'll give you other plays

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Speaker 2: leans and bets I like that you could make if

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Speaker 2: you would like.

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Speaker 1: On our Discord channel chat.

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Speaker 2: It is going to happen at eight o'clock in the

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Speaker 2: morning Pacific time eleven am Eastern time on our Discord channel.

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Speaker 2: To join it's Bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. To be

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Speaker 2: a part of it Bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. We'll

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Speaker 2: go over all the games, keep you betting options. People

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Speaker 2: will give out their own individual plays as to what

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Speaker 2: they like as well, so if you want more than

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Speaker 2: just my plays, you guys can listen in ask questions

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Speaker 2: and also see what other people are betting here today

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Speaker 2: for a college football Saturday.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parotic.

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Speaker 2: Guys and following me because all my socials at sports

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Speaker 2: Doc Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice