WEBVTT - Latest Trump-Harris Poll; Traders Ready for PCE

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Good Morning, I'm Nathan Hager.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today.

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<v Speaker 3>Karen, we begin with the latest on the presidential race

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<v Speaker 3>and a new poll showing sustained momentum for Vice President

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<v Speaker 3>Kamala Harris's campaign. The Bloomberg News Morning Consult survey shows

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<v Speaker 3>Harris leading former President Donald Trump by two percentage points

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<v Speaker 3>among registered voters in the seven states likely to decide

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<v Speaker 3>the election. The poll shows Harris ahead by one point

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<v Speaker 3>among likely voters.

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<v Speaker 2>That is a statistical dead heat.

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<v Speaker 3>The margin of error is one percentage point across the

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<v Speaker 3>seven states, but Bloomberg's Kaylee Line says for Harris, the

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<v Speaker 3>results are a big momentum swing.

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<v Speaker 4>It might be hard for Harris and her campaign to

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<v Speaker 4>claim now that she is the underdog in this race. Granted,

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<v Speaker 4>we are within the margin of error in basically all

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<v Speaker 4>of these states except Wisconsin, where this poll shows her

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<v Speaker 4>up eight points over Trump fifty two to forty four.

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<v Speaker 4>But any other states it is much closer.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeh.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloombergs Kaylee Lines notes Harris leads by four percentage points

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<v Speaker 3>in Pennsylvania and Nevada, three points in Michigan, two points

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<v Speaker 3>in Georgia and North Carolina, and the results show the

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<v Speaker 3>candidates are dead even in Arizona. Kaylee Line says, Harris's

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<v Speaker 3>electoral map is expanding beyond the so called blue Wall states.

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<v Speaker 4>Remember Joe Biden, when he was still in this race,

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<v Speaker 4>was essentially only focused on the so called blue Wall,

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<v Speaker 4>the rust belt stats Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. That was

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<v Speaker 4>really his only clear path to potential victory for Harris. Now,

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<v Speaker 4>looking at this map, it does open up the sun

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<v Speaker 4>Belt for her and potentially gives her more ways in

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<v Speaker 4>which she could go to two hundred and seventy electoral

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<v Speaker 4>College votes when Bloombriggs.

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<v Speaker 3>Kaylee Lines notes the poll shows Harris trimming Trump's advantage

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<v Speaker 3>by eleven points on the rising cost of everyday goods,

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<v Speaker 3>but survey participants still trust the former president more when

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<v Speaker 3>it comes to gas prices and the stock market.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, Nathan. The new survey comes as Kamala Harris sits

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<v Speaker 1>down for her first interview since take over the Democratic

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<v Speaker 1>ticket just over a month ago. Speaking with Dana Bash

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<v Speaker 1>of CNN, Harris doubled down on her pledge to target

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<v Speaker 1>price gouging and said her day one priority would be

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<v Speaker 1>to support the middle class.

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<v Speaker 6>Prices in particular for groceries, are still too high. The

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<v Speaker 6>American people know what I know it, which is why

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<v Speaker 6>my agenda includes what we need to do to bring

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<v Speaker 6>down the price of groceries, for example, dealing with an

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<v Speaker 6>issue like price gouging.

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<v Speaker 1>Vice President Harris also addressed criticism over shifting positions on

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<v Speaker 1>issues like energy and immigration. Harris was asked about her

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<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen pledge to ban fracking. She says she shortly

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<v Speaker 1>backed off that stance and isn't going back.

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<v Speaker 6>I made that clear on the debate station in twenty

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<v Speaker 6>twenty that I would not banfracking as vice president. I

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<v Speaker 6>did not banfracking. As president. I will not banfracking.

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<v Speaker 1>Vice President Harris also told CNN she believes voters are

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<v Speaker 1>ready to turn the page on former President Trump. Well.

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<v Speaker 3>Meanwhile, Karen, the former president, was at a town hall

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<v Speaker 3>in Wisconsin. He said he watched some of Vice President

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<v Speaker 3>Harris's interview and didn't like what he saw.

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<v Speaker 7>She didn't look like a leader to me.

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<v Speaker 8>I'll be honest, I don't see her negotiating with President

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<v Speaker 8>She of China. I don't see her with Kim Jonglun like.

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<v Speaker 2>We did with Kim Jonglun.

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<v Speaker 3>Former President Trump also tried to flip the script on

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<v Speaker 3>the weird label that Harris's running mate Tim Wallas has

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<v Speaker 3>put on him and his running mate JD.

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<v Speaker 2>Vance. Trump said Walls is the weird one.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, Nathan. The former president also looked to address areas

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<v Speaker 1>of concern for his campaign, repeating a new pledge to

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<v Speaker 1>have all in vitro fertilization costs covered for free for.

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<v Speaker 8>People that are using IVF, which is fertilization. We are

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<v Speaker 8>goment government is going to pay for it, or we're

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<v Speaker 8>going to get or mandate your insurance company to pay

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<v Speaker 8>for it.

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<v Speaker 1>Former President Trump has not provided details on how he'd mandated.

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<v Speaker 1>The new Bloomberg News Morning Console poll shows Swing state

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<v Speaker 1>voters trust Harris over Trump to protect personal freedom and

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<v Speaker 1>at her lead over Trump on the issue of a

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<v Speaker 1>abortion is widening. Fifty five percent of swing state voters

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<v Speaker 1>favor her position, compared to thirty four percent for Trump.

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<v Speaker 3>All Right, Karen, Let's turn down to markets and the economy.

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<v Speaker 3>The Dow closed Thursday session at a record high after

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<v Speaker 3>a slew of encouraging economic data. Today traders get another

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<v Speaker 3>key piece of data before the Fed's next rate decision.

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<v Speaker 3>The central banks preferred inflation gauge, the PCE deflator, is

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<v Speaker 3>due out at eight thirty am. Wall Street Time. Bloomberg's

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<v Speaker 3>Michael McKee has a preview.

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<v Speaker 9>Americans appear to have ramped up their spending as the

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<v Speaker 9>second quarter went on. Revisions to second quarter GDP released

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<v Speaker 9>yesterday suggest we'll see a healthy jump in both goods

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<v Speaker 9>and services consumption. At the same time inflation continues to

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<v Speaker 9>cool still, the central bankers have indicated they are more

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<v Speaker 9>focused on the labor market than prices at the moment.

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<v Speaker 9>While that will put more weight on next week's jobs report,

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<v Speaker 9>today's data are likely to cheer Fed officials and bias

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<v Speaker 9>them toward a quarter percentage point cut in the nation's

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<v Speaker 9>benchmark lending rate next month. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Mike, thanks, And While the DAL climbed yesterday,

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<v Speaker 1>the tech heavy Nasdaq finished lower, way down by in

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<v Speaker 1>Vidio's six point four percent drop after Wednesday's blowout earnings

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<v Speaker 1>and a tep at forecast. Gene Munster with Deep Water

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<v Speaker 1>Asset Management says investors should stick with the chip giant it's.

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<v Speaker 10>A belief, a strong belief. I'm staking my career that

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<v Speaker 10>AI is having a bigger impact than the Internet. At

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<v Speaker 10>some point, when you're a hardware only company, there is

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<v Speaker 10>a point of deceleration that needs to be taken into consideration.

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<v Speaker 10>And I think that two years, three years from now,

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<v Speaker 10>this may be a position that will trim, but we

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<v Speaker 10>think today is the time to own it.

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<v Speaker 1>Gene Munster with deep Water Asset Management, says in video

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<v Speaker 1>will continue to remain central to the artificial intelligence boom

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<v Speaker 1>and checking shares of Nvidia this morning, they're hire of

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<v Speaker 1>one and a half percent and.

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<v Speaker 2>Sticking with the AI theme.

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<v Speaker 3>Karen sources tell Bloomberg News and Videos discuss joining a

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<v Speaker 3>funding ground for open AI that would value the artificial

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<v Speaker 3>intelligence startup at more than one hundred billion dollars, and

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<v Speaker 3>Vidia has reportedly discussed investing about one hundred million. And

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<v Speaker 3>it's not the only big tech giant getting in on

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<v Speaker 3>the action, sources tell us Apple and Microsoft have also

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<v Speaker 3>been in talks about taking part in the financing. This

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<v Speaker 3>follows a Bloomberg report that the funding ground for open

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<v Speaker 3>Ai would be led by Thrive Capital, which is investing

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<v Speaker 3>about one billion.

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<v Speaker 1>Dollars elsewhere on the chip front. Here Nathan Intel now

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<v Speaker 1>discussing various scenarios to stem its losses, and Bloomberg John

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<v Speaker 1>Tucker joins us Now and John. Among the possibilities here

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<v Speaker 1>is a split.

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<v Speaker 11>Yeah, Karen, that's right. Our sources tell us the possibilities

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<v Speaker 11>include this split of its product design and manufacturing businesses,

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<v Speaker 11>as well as which factory projects might potentially be scrapped.

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<v Speaker 11>Intel's longtime bankers, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, they've been

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<v Speaker 11>providing advice on the possibilities, which could also include potential

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<v Speaker 11>m and a. Intel right now trying to navigate the

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<v Speaker 11>most difficult period in its fifty six year history. These

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<v Speaker 11>discussions have only grown more urgent since the company delivered

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<v Speaker 11>that grim earnings report. You recall that sent the shares

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<v Speaker 11>plunging to their lowest level since twenty thirteen. Potential separation

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<v Speaker 11>or sale of Intel's foundry division that would be an

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<v Speaker 11>about face for the CEO, Pat Gelsinger. Gelsinger's viewed that

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<v Speaker 11>business as key to restoring intel standing and gives you

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<v Speaker 11>some indication of just how serious this situation is. A

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<v Speaker 11>shares pre market right now, they are up just over

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<v Speaker 11>two percent. John Tunker, Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>Radio, All right, John, thank you. Time now for a

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<v Speaker 1>look at some of the other stories making news in

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<v Speaker 1>New York and around the world. And for that we're

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<v Speaker 1>joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good morning, Good morning, Karen.

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<v Speaker 1>The holiday travel rush is already underway for the long

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<v Speaker 1>Labor Day weekend. The TSAs has more than seventeen million

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<v Speaker 1>people expected to be screen at the nation's airports between

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<v Speaker 1>today and next Wednesday. Experts say those hitting the roads

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<v Speaker 1>will fare better too. A lot of people are driving

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<v Speaker 1>out of town, partly because of lower price at the

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<v Speaker 1>gas pumps. Gas prices are averaging three thirty six a

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<v Speaker 1>gallon nationwide, roughly forty six cents less than last year.

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<v Speaker 1>Triple A's jenet did well. Typically, with any holiday, eighty

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<v Speaker 1>five to ninety percent of travelers go by car. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the most convenient and likely the most cost effective for

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<v Speaker 1>a family.

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<v Speaker 5>If you're driving today, you'll want to leave before noon

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<v Speaker 5>or after seven pm. A Long Island man was arrested

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<v Speaker 5>after authorities accuse him of shooting his ex wife and

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<v Speaker 5>her boyfriend to death inside their home after calling his

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<v Speaker 5>teen daughter to warn her to leave. Police said that

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<v Speaker 5>Daniel Coppola forced his way into the Saint James home

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<v Speaker 5>late Wednesday of his ex wife Kelly Coppola and her partner,

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<v Speaker 5>Kenneth Pullman, and allegedly shot them dead. Coappola has been

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<v Speaker 5>charged with two counts of second degree murder. There are

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<v Speaker 5>growing concerns about mosquito born diseases ahead of the holiday weekend.

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<v Speaker 5>Health officials in Wisconsin confirmed two people have now died

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<v Speaker 5>from West Nile virus in that state this year. Cases

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<v Speaker 5>of West Nile now in more than thirty states. John

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<v Speaker 5>Proctor of Missouri says his teenage son is paralyzed from

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<v Speaker 5>the neck down after being diagnosed with West Nile earlier

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<v Speaker 5>this month, to see.

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<v Speaker 12>Him lethargic and struggle to do simple basic functions.

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<v Speaker 5>Hard In New York, crews say they will continue to

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<v Speaker 5>spray to prevent West Nile. In Massachusetts, health officials are

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<v Speaker 5>concerned after what's believed to be the country's sixth known

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<v Speaker 5>person infected with Triple E, another rare but potentially lethal

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<v Speaker 5>mosquito born virus. This week, one man died of TRIPLELI

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<v Speaker 5>in New Hampshire. Editor at Large for Public Health at

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<v Speaker 5>KFF doctor Celine Gownder.

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<v Speaker 1>Most people with triple E don't develop symptoms, but symptoms

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<v Speaker 1>of triple E may include headache, seizures, behavior changes, and drowsiness.

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<v Speaker 2>About thirty percent of people who get.

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<v Speaker 1>Triple E die, which is why it is so serious,

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<v Speaker 1>and many survive have long term neurological problems.

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<v Speaker 5>Doctor Gallander spoke to CBS Global News twenty four hours

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<v Speaker 5>a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 5>News Now, Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg Karen.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Sports Update with John Stashauer. John, Good morning.

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<v Speaker 7>Sopen moves into the third round today without the guy

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<v Speaker 7>who was favored to win the men's singles. Carlos Alcarez

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<v Speaker 7>won the Open two years ago. This year he won

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<v Speaker 7>the French Van Wimbledon for the second time, but last

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<v Speaker 7>night he was stunned in round two by an unknown

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<v Speaker 7>for the Netherlands guy with a very long last name,

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<v Speaker 7>Botic fun Deessentshal rank seventy fourth, came to the Open

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<v Speaker 7>of the record this year of.

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<v Speaker 2>Eleven and eighteen.

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<v Speaker 7>He not only beat Alcarez, he beat him handily six one, seven, five,

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<v Speaker 7>sixty four, here was Alcarez after the match.

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<v Speaker 13>So a fight against myself, you know, in my mind

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<v Speaker 13>during the during the mats. You know, in tennis, you

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<v Speaker 13>are playing against some that wants the same as you

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<v Speaker 13>is to win the mats, and you have to to

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<v Speaker 13>be as moss con as you can.

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<v Speaker 7>Last time, the Opens betting favorite lost this early the

0:11:10.120 --> 0:11:12.520
<v Speaker 7>tournament nineteen ninety nine. That was due to an injury.

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<v Speaker 7>Two time Open shape Naomi Osaku's back playing after long

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<v Speaker 7>layoff at Palin having a baby, lost her second round match.

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<v Speaker 7>The Mets won at Arizona three to two. Peter de

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<v Speaker 7>Lonzo hit his twenty ninth home run, and then Francisco

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<v Speaker 7>Lindor's twenty eighth, and then Jose Iglesias with a go

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<v Speaker 7>ahead hit with two outs of the ninth Andy. Now

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<v Speaker 7>the Mets get to play the White Sox, who have

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<v Speaker 7>a record of thirty one and one hundred and four.

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<v Speaker 7>The Yankees tonight host Saint Louis. Two Bay Area athletes

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<v Speaker 7>with contract. News Wide receiver Brandon Ayuk, who wanted a

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<v Speaker 7>train if he didn't get the deal he wanted for

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<v Speaker 7>the forty nine ers, signed for four years, one hundred

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<v Speaker 7>and twenty million and Steph Curry added another year onto

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<v Speaker 7>his deal with the Warriors, and in twenty twenty six

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<v Speaker 7>twenty seven, he'll make sixty two million. Scotti Scheffler's in

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<v Speaker 7>good shape to make twenty five million on Sunday, already

0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:59.000
<v Speaker 7>staked to the FedEx Cup lead based on what he's

0:11:59.000 --> 0:12:01.840
<v Speaker 7>done all year. Chefer then had the lowest score in

0:12:01.880 --> 0:12:04.040
<v Speaker 7>the opening round of the Toward Championship in Atlanta. So he's

0:12:04.080 --> 0:12:07.400
<v Speaker 7>sixteen under par and he leads by setting. John Stishawa,

0:12:07.480 --> 0:12:08.680
<v Speaker 7>Bloomberg Sports Canada.

0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:11.079
<v Speaker 1>Nathan all right, John, thank you well. If you're listening

0:12:11.120 --> 0:12:14.480
<v Speaker 1>to us in Boston, here's exciting news. Our new home

0:12:14.600 --> 0:12:17.679
<v Speaker 1>beginning September third, that's this coming Tuesday, will be ninety

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<v Speaker 2>On Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM.

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0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:39.400
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager.

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 3>Vice president Kamala Harris was pressed about her past positions

0:12:43.120 --> 0:12:46.040
<v Speaker 3>on issues like fracking and immigration reform as she sat

0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:49.600
<v Speaker 3>down for her first interview as a presidential candidate on CNN.

0:12:52.520 --> 0:12:56.920
<v Speaker 6>The most important and most significant aspect of my policy

0:12:57.000 --> 0:13:00.120
<v Speaker 6>perspective and decisions is my values to not change.

0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:03.240
<v Speaker 3>But the dynamics of the race have changed, as we're

0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:07.240
<v Speaker 3>seeing in the latest Bloomberg News Morning Consult Swing State poll.

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:09.880
<v Speaker 3>For more, we're joined by the man who wrote the

0:13:09.920 --> 0:13:14.000
<v Speaker 3>story about it, Bloomberg News National political reporter Gregory Cordy. Gregory,

0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:16.800
<v Speaker 3>good morning. I think we saw the beginnings of a

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:19.960
<v Speaker 3>momentum shift in this race the last time we did

0:13:20.000 --> 0:13:22.200
<v Speaker 3>this poll a month ago, as Harris joined it.

0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:24.320
<v Speaker 2>What does this newest poll show us?

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<v Speaker 12>Hey, good morning, Nathan. Yeah, so this is the poll

0:13:27.960 --> 0:13:32.080
<v Speaker 12>that we did immediately after the Democratic National Convention last week.

0:13:32.720 --> 0:13:35.480
<v Speaker 12>Polsters tend to look for moments like that to see

0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:40.160
<v Speaker 12>if there's a bounce. Traditionally, presidential candidates get a little

0:13:40.160 --> 0:13:42.480
<v Speaker 12>bit of a boost in the polls right after accepting

0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:46.760
<v Speaker 12>their priorities nomination for president, and in this case, we

0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 12>didn't really see a huge bounce. There's a one percentage

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:53.160
<v Speaker 12>point difference. I could be explained by the margin of

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:58.440
<v Speaker 12>error in Harris going up over the previous month, but

0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.360
<v Speaker 12>it certainly shows that the honeymoon is continuing for her.

0:14:01.400 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 12>As you said, when she entered the race a month ago,

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:09.600
<v Speaker 12>she really improved the Democrats' chances really across all of

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:13.400
<v Speaker 12>these seven swing states. We now see her at least

0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:17.120
<v Speaker 12>tide or winning in all seven states. Wisconsin is the

0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 12>one that she's doing the best in, and then Michigan.

0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:25.800
<v Speaker 12>Pennsylvania the blue Wall state she continues to do well in.

0:14:25.920 --> 0:14:28.880
<v Speaker 12>But the big difference between Harris and Biden is that

0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:34.720
<v Speaker 12>Harris now opens up the sun Belt. We're talking about Arizona, Nevada, Georgia.

0:14:35.120 --> 0:14:37.640
<v Speaker 12>And the really most interesting state in the poll this

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:41.160
<v Speaker 12>month is North Carolina, where she's up by two points.

0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:44.080
<v Speaker 12>That's a state that Donald Trump was leading by ten

0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 12>points as recently as April. So if she's competitive in

0:14:47.560 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 12>North Carolina, that really puts Donald Trump on the defensive

0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:53.640
<v Speaker 12>and makes it a whole.

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:56.160
<v Speaker 3>New race, which could explain why we were told by

0:14:57.160 --> 0:15:00.320
<v Speaker 3>Republican National Committee coachir Laura Trump this week they're going

0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:02.920
<v Speaker 3>to be pouring quite a lot of resources into North

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:06.160
<v Speaker 3>Carolina as well. What does this poll tell us about

0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:09.880
<v Speaker 3>where voters see the candidates on the issues that really

0:15:09.960 --> 0:15:11.880
<v Speaker 3>matter to them? I know, we've been focusing a lot,

0:15:11.920 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 3>particularly on the economy on inflation.

0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 2>What are we finding there.

0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, we really zoomed in on the economy in this

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:23.240
<v Speaker 12>tracking pole for two reasons. As one is, we're bloomberg, right,

0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 12>that's what we covered. But also it's the most important

0:15:26.360 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 12>issue for the voters in all of these playing states

0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:33.240
<v Speaker 12>and nationally, especially given the inflation that we've seen over

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:37.280
<v Speaker 12>the past couple of years. And the remarkable thing is

0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 12>that voters don't say that the economy is necessarily doing

0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 12>any better than has been the past year or so.

0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 12>They still say that inflation is too high, and they

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:51.840
<v Speaker 12>still say that they were better off under Trump than

0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:57.440
<v Speaker 12>they are under Biden. But what's remarkable here is that

0:15:57.440 --> 0:16:03.000
<v Speaker 12>that poor economy is not attaching itself to Kamala Harris,

0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:07.800
<v Speaker 12>the vice president, is not being held accountable for the

0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:12.800
<v Speaker 12>economy under this president, and so on a wide range

0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 12>of economic issues, who do you trust more on housing costs,

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:20.400
<v Speaker 12>who do you trust more on having wages go up?

0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:27.200
<v Speaker 12>On student loans and personal debt? Voters trust Harris now

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:31.360
<v Speaker 12>more than Trump across these swing states. And that's really

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:33.720
<v Speaker 12>going to be concerning to President Trump, because that was

0:16:33.720 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 12>going to be his major argument in this election. The

0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 12>fact that it's not sticking to Harris is something that

0:16:41.040 --> 0:16:42.600
<v Speaker 12>Trump is going to have to try to figure out

0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 12>how to hold Harris accountable for this administration's economic policies.

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:50.400
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm Karen Moscow.

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