1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,440 Speaker 2: coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, 7 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 2: it just means the absolute world to have your support. 8 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 2: But enough with that, let's get to the show. 9 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 3: Good morning everyone. 10 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 4: Soccer is still out getting married in India, so I'm 11 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 4: here wait for one more day, right, it's just so rude. No, 12 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,199 Speaker 4: he's excited to come back, Crystal. Thanks for having me 13 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 4: once again. Huge though, because we were on a little 14 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 4: bit of a break over the Fourth of July. I 15 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 4: hope everyone had a great Fourth of July. But lots 16 00:00:58,320 --> 00:00:59,279 Speaker 4: coming up on today's show. 17 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure, we missed a few of the major 18 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: Supreme Court decisions, so we'll dig into the remainder of 19 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 1: what those rulings were, including one on student debt, so 20 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 1: that'll be interesting. 21 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:10,199 Speaker 5: In one on. 22 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:15,119 Speaker 1: LGBT rights and religious liberty, so we'll get into all 23 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,680 Speaker 1: of that. Also, there is a whole lot going on 24 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 1: in the social media space. So threads the potential Twitter 25 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: killer from Mark Zuckerberg that just launched, So we'll tell 26 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: you about that. I actually tried it out, give you 27 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 1: a sense of what's going on there. We also had 28 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: another major ruling a judge, a federal judge actually saying 29 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 1: that the Biden administration can no longer flag tweets another 30 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,839 Speaker 1: social media posts for censorship. So that is very interesting. 31 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 1: We'll tell you about that. A lot going on in 32 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: terms of the whole Disantas Trump wore pretty wild ad 33 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 1: that the Santas team put out. They got a lot 34 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: of reaction looming major strike from ups workers. This could 35 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: be the largest strike or near the largest strike in 36 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 1: American history, so something we definitely want to keep an 37 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: eye on. 38 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 5: There. 39 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 1: A bit of a mystery unfolding at the White House 40 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: as cocaine was found, law enforcement saying we may never know. 41 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 5: How what got there. 42 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 3: It's going to be like clue. 43 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 5: We'll give you those details. 44 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,079 Speaker 1: Also, we have a great guest in the show to 45 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,079 Speaker 1: break down what is going on in Israel as they've 46 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: launched the latest of their deadly raids on a Palestinian town. 47 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 1: So we'll tell you about the fallout there. So let's 48 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 1: to get to you this morning, but we wanted to 49 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 1: start with those Supreme Court rulings the very latest, so 50 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 1: to give you a kind of top line scoreboard of 51 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:26,079 Speaker 1: some of the major decisions that happened here. We've got 52 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 1: some graphics from the New York Times about what some 53 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 1: of the key rulings here were and how they broke 54 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,239 Speaker 1: down partisan lines or whether there was more overall new majority. 55 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 1: Let's put the first one up on the screen. This 56 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 1: one we did have a chance to talk about with 57 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: our great panel. Thank you guys so much for the 58 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,519 Speaker 1: feedback on that. I thought both of those gentlemen really 59 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,079 Speaker 1: offered a lot of insight and represented their views well. 60 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: Firmative action the use of race in college admissions struck 61 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 1: down six to three, So this was a partisan vote. 62 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and put the next one up on 63 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: the screen. In terms of rulings, this one we're going 64 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: to get into more so. President Biden's student loan debt 65 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 1: cancellation program also struck down six to three. So again 66 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: along those ideological or partisan lines. Let's put the next 67 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: one up on the screen. This is another one we'll 68 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:14,919 Speaker 1: talk about today. So it has to do with a 69 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 1: creator business owner who was requested maybe to create a 70 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: website for a gay couple and did not want to 71 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: do it because she said it violated her beliefs as 72 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 1: a Christian. This one also was a partisan decision six 73 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 1: to three. And let's put this last one up on 74 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: the screen. This was an interesting one. You had state 75 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 1: legislatures and federal elections. 76 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 5: This was the independent state legislature theory. 77 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: A lot of concerns here that this if the court 78 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: upheld this idea of the independent state legislature, this could 79 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: be used next time around if Trump tries to steal 80 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 1: the election again, because this was some of the rationale 81 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 1: that went into the last attempt to steal the elections. 82 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: So you had some liberals joining with conservatives here to 83 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 1: say no, we're not going in that direction, and also 84 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 1: to maintain the power of the judiciary over state and 85 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: federal elections. So an interesting one there, But let's go 86 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: and dive into this student debt decision. Put this next 87 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 1: element up on the screen that I just mentioned. So 88 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: as you guys recall, Joe Biden issued an executive order 89 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 1: to cancel ten to twenty thousand dollars in student loan 90 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 1: debt for people below a certain income threshold. Major Biden initiative. 91 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 1: You know, something that was promised on the campaign trail, 92 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: something that was really pushed for by activists, now struck 93 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: down six to three along partisan ideological lines. Here, So 94 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,919 Speaker 1: the details within this piece they talk about how the 95 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 1: Court rejected the thinking because the language was not specific enough. 96 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: You had Chief Justice John Roberts writing for the majority, 97 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: saying that the court's precedent quote requires that Congress speak 98 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: clearly before a Department secretary can unilaterally alter large sections 99 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:53,720 Speaker 1: of the American economy. The context here is student loan 100 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,279 Speaker 1: repayments are actually set to begin again at the end 101 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: of August. That was part of that debt sealing deal 102 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: that was struck with Kevin McCarthy after having been put 103 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: on pause during the COVID nineteen pandemic. First payments not 104 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 1: due though until October. So at a moment when student 105 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: loan payments are about to restart, and when obviously you 106 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 1: still have this massive amount of debt hanging over many 107 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: former college and current college students, this plan has been 108 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: struck down. Emily, the Biden administration has already responded they 109 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 1: have a new plan in place. This is kind of 110 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,600 Speaker 1: the plan, the approach, so to speak, put this up 111 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 1: on the screen. So, as I mentioned before, they had 112 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: chosen to use the Heroes Act, which was this pandemic 113 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 1: era legislation. It was always a little perplexing to me 114 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 1: that they went in that direction. But as I mentioned before, 115 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: they thought, all right, since Trump did it, maybe this 116 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 1: is the easiest way to sneak one by the court. 117 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: Now they're saying, all right, we're going to try it again. 118 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 5: We're going to use the. 119 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 1: Higher Education Act of nineteen sixty five. The language there 120 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 1: is a little more clear. The Act says that they 121 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: can compromise, wave or release student loans, so it's fairly direct. 122 00:05:56,240 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 1: It says the Education Secretary has the authority to do that. 123 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 1: The Higher Education Act of nineteen sixty five has. 124 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 5: Been used in the past. 125 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: To cancel some student loan debt, although admittedly not as 126 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: sweeping a program as what the Biden administration is pushing here. 127 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: In addition, he has also announced a twelve month grace 128 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 1: period to help borrowers who might struggle after payments restart. 129 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 1: There's some indication that there are quite a number of 130 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: student loan debt holders who will have trouble making their payments, 131 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 1: So there is a twelve month grace period. However, interest 132 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: will continue to accrue. It will resume in September, So 133 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 1: whether or not you are making payments, that interest is 134 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: going to continue to mount. And there's another piece of 135 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: this that I'll get into in a moment that's a 136 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: little bit complicated, but basically, the bottom line is for 137 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:49,239 Speaker 1: this Higher Education Act the new direction to go through, 138 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 1: it's going to be a lengthy process that is going 139 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: to push this out almost certainly beyond twenty twenty four 140 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: and p on the next election. 141 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 4: And that's exactly what Biden seemed to be struggling with. 142 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:00,479 Speaker 4: His quote on this was basically, I think think using 143 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 4: the Higher Education Act is going to take longer than 144 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 4: the original plan. But quote, in my view, it's the 145 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 4: best path that. 146 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 3: Remains, providing as many borrowers as possible with debt relief. 147 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 4: Now, the David Dayan peace that we had from Prospect 148 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 4: up on the screen just a moment ago is fascinating 149 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 4: because he makes a very persuasive case that this was 150 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 4: always the way the Biden administration should have gone. And 151 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 4: when you have people whose lives are on the line, 152 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:29,400 Speaker 4: and this is something I think conservatives get long get 153 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 4: wrong a lot. They don't recognize how consequential the student 154 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 4: loans are. They well, people made this decision, and they 155 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 4: can deal with the consequences of it. Well, if you 156 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 4: want people to buy homes and start families and join 157 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 4: the middle class and be members of their communities constructively, 158 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:46,920 Speaker 4: you don't want them to be saddled with tens of 159 00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 4: thousands of dollars of debt just to get their ticket 160 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 4: into the middle class. And so this is obviously hugely consequential, 161 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 4: and Biden has left these people in the larch for 162 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 4: years at this point and will continue to be years 163 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 4: in the future. So not only I think is that 164 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 4: election date important for Joe Biden, but it's just another 165 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 4: indication of how I think silly sometimes this administration has 166 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 4: been when approaching these questions. 167 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 1: I never understood why they went in the direction of 168 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: the Heroes Act. Their justification to make the case that 169 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: they would make is that it would be quicker and 170 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 1: that since Trump had used it to justify some student 171 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: loan debt relief, perhaps the court would look more favorably 172 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 1: upon it. I've always thought that was a little bit foolish, 173 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 1: because you know, I view the Court as basically like 174 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 1: a partisan operation, you know, to the extent that they 175 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 1: tries to like balance their decisions, it is because Chief 176 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: Justice John Roberts is afraid of their getting more win 177 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 1: in the sales of something like court packing and you know, 178 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 1: completely undermining legitimacy of the court. So I find it's 179 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: sort of precious when people go in and like analy 180 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 1: who was it correctly decided based on the Constitution, Because 181 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:53,679 Speaker 1: to me, the idea that they're just calling like legal 182 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: balls and strikes here is completely farcical. But you know, 183 00:08:57,080 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 1: there's some real questions. I think about how much Biden 184 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: actually wants the student loan debt to be canceled based 185 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 1: on his history, his ideological history. I mean, this is 186 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 1: diavingable neoliberal debt cancelation not really something that neoliberals have 187 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 1: historically been on board with. He was kind of drag 188 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: kicking and screaming to this. Only the only reason he 189 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 1: made this promise on the campaign trails because he was 190 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: facing pressure from Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren and others 191 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 1: to do something. His plan was always the least of 192 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: the crew in the twenty twenty primary, but he did 193 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,680 Speaker 1: make a really clear promise here, and then even once 194 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 1: he gets into office, this is something he had the 195 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 1: unilateral ability to effectuate. 196 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 5: And still drive his feet drag his feet dragged his. 197 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 1: Feet really reportedly was very reluctant to undergo any of 198 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 1: this debt cancelation. Decides to do it using the Heroes 199 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: Act for you know, the administration. 200 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 5: Justifications that you would give. 201 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: But even with the direction that they're going in now, 202 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: David Dayan points us out in his piece, they want 203 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,080 Speaker 1: to issue it as a rule. And part of the 204 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 1: reason why apparently they have to do that is because 205 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: they want to do all this like complicated means testing 206 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 1: and stuff, and so they feel like it may be 207 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 1: on stronger legal footing. This is their their justification. If 208 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: you go through the rule making process, now that requires 209 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:16,600 Speaker 1: a public comment period, It requires this like negotiated rule 210 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 1: making period. It takes a lot of time. There is 211 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 1: another way they could do it as an order, but 212 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 1: it would be faster, but perhaps on less solid legal footing. 213 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: Is the analysis now, Again, I think it's sort of 214 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 1: silly to really imagine that the Supreme Court is just 215 00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:34,439 Speaker 1: looking at this and calling you balls and strikes and 216 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 1: analyze oh, this is on stronger legal footing, and this 217 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:40,480 Speaker 1: is on weaker ground. So in my opinion, they should 218 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 1: push the you know, push the envelope issue and order 219 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 1: cancel the debt as quickly as they possibly can. But 220 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 1: if you want to be a little bit conspiratorial, or 221 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 1: you know, consider Peter I guess a little bit cynical 222 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 1: about this, you could also say, well, it's kind of 223 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: convenient for them that this pushes it down past the 224 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 1: next election, when this is a really critical issue for 225 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 1: so many voters, very motivating for so many voters who 226 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:07,719 Speaker 1: feel direct, tangible material pressure and possible material benefit from this. 227 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,959 Speaker 1: So if you have this as a live issue going 228 00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: into the election, you can see how that might be 229 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 1: appealing to them politically, above and beyond their rationalizations about oh, 230 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 1: this is the best way legally forward. 231 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 4: And they can continue to blame the court. They continue 232 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 4: to can continue. 233 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 3: To say, Joe Biden or I, if you're Joe Biden. 234 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 4: Did everything in my power to give you this relief, 235 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 4: and yet the Conservative Supreme Court blocked it. So right 236 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 4: now what I'm doing is everything else that's in my power. 237 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 3: I'm working really hard on it. 238 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,320 Speaker 4: And you can continue to make that pitch continue to 239 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:42,720 Speaker 4: make this issue part of that. Listen, I mean, I'm 240 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 4: not I think what depresses me most about all of 241 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,560 Speaker 4: that is, you know, one of the reasons I oppose 242 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 4: categorical relief or relief in ways like this is because 243 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 4: the system is a joke. It's I mean, it is 244 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 4: the neoliberal idea that you can take you know, that 245 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:00,280 Speaker 4: college education is your ticket to the middle class. 246 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 3: Everything's going to be okay. That was a lie. 247 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 4: It was a lie from our politicians, the entire political class, 248 00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 4: the media, it was a lie from. 249 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 3: The culture for years and years and years. 250 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 4: And college education has just gotten more expensive, so there's 251 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:14,679 Speaker 4: no incentives to take down the cost of it. And 252 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:17,439 Speaker 4: for me, what's really depressing about that is nobody even 253 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 4: has the will like not only it's interesting because the 254 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 4: Biden administration is sort of halfway approach, like we're not extreme, 255 00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 4: but we're also you know, not you know, super like 256 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 4: we're not that liberal, but we're also going to do 257 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:30,679 Speaker 4: stuff for our activist base. 258 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 3: We're also listening to Bernie et cetera, et cetera. 259 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 4: It's the worst of both worlds, you know, like go 260 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:38,080 Speaker 4: all in or go all out. Be honest, with voters 261 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:40,680 Speaker 4: say we're not actually going to do this, or yeah, 262 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 4: we're going to do it and you're going to live 263 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 4: with it, and a lot of people are going to 264 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 4: like it, and a lot of people are going to 265 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,560 Speaker 4: hate it. But this, like split the baby approach by Biden, 266 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 4: which he does not just this issue but other issues, 267 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 4: is the worst of both worlds because now people's personal livelihoods, 268 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 4: their material reality is in the lurch and will continue 269 00:12:57,880 --> 00:12:59,880 Speaker 4: to be in the lurch for electoral reasons for years to. 270 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 1: I think those are really important points, and I think 271 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 1: all of that is fair. I mean, the reason I 272 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 1: come down in a different place than you do and 273 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 1: then that Soccer does on the actual possibility of debt 274 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 1: relief is because listen, I would love it if there 275 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: was broader reform on the table. 276 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 5: I would love it if there was free public college 277 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 5: and trade school on the table. There's not. 278 00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:21,440 Speaker 1: So at least if there's you know, a little bit 279 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 1: of relief that's on the table for a lot of people, 280 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 1: that would make huge different in their difference in their lives. 281 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, let's do that, because that's the 282 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 1: best we can get right now. But the big picture 283 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 1: here is a story of institutional failure. I mean, you 284 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 1: have a White House that sort of bungled the direction 285 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 1: of this from the beginning, that dragged their feet, that 286 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 1: could have provided a lot more relief. So you've got that, 287 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,440 Speaker 1: You've got Congress is really the place where you should 288 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,800 Speaker 1: have broader legislation to deal with the fact that college 289 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 1: education costs continue to skyrocket, that you even have a 290 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:51,560 Speaker 1: thing that is student debt, and that it is crushing 291 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:55,199 Speaker 1: for multiple generations, sets them back in terms of families, 292 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:57,520 Speaker 1: which you know you're talking about marriage today, in terms 293 00:13:57,559 --> 00:13:59,160 Speaker 1: of being able to buy a house, in terms of 294 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,719 Speaker 1: being able to start a business and be entrepreneurs if 295 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: that's the direction that they want to go in. So 296 00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:06,480 Speaker 1: this absolute crushing level of debt, that's something Congress should 297 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 1: be able to deal with. You know, that's the appropriate 298 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:12,000 Speaker 1: place to really formulate a comprehensive solution. No one has 299 00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 1: any expectation that that's coming anytime soon. And then you 300 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 1: have a court that has, you know, its own massive 301 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 1: corruption issues and total loss of credibility, that is not 302 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 1: interested in calling bills and strikes, that is interested in 303 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 1: advancing their own ideological agenda. So you just have like 304 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 1: every branch of government kind of failures all around, and 305 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 1: I think that's the big picture of student loan debt relief. 306 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 1: I want to talk about this next decision though, and Amiliana, 307 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,960 Speaker 1: you have some interesting insight into this one. Gon put 308 00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 1: this next one up on the screen. This is this 309 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: case of you know, tension between all right, where does 310 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: where do religious rights turn into overt discrimination? And this 311 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 1: is something that the Court has wrestled with, of course, 312 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 1: many times. 313 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 5: In its history. You have the Supreme Court. 314 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 1: This is the ap headline ruling for a designer who 315 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 1: does not want to make wedding websites for gay couples. 316 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 5: Let me read you a little bit from this appiece. 317 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: They see say, in a defeat for gay rights, the 318 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 1: Supreme Court's conservative majority, and this was along partisan idy 319 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 1: logical lines, ruled on Friday that a Christian graphic artist 320 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: who wants to design wedding websites can refuse to work 321 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,400 Speaker 1: with same sex couples. One of the Court's liberal justices 322 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 1: wrote in a descent that the decisions effect is to 323 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: mark gays and lesbians for second class status, and that 324 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:23,920 Speaker 1: the decision opens the door to other discrimination. The decision 325 00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: to get into the specific s here suggests that artists, photographers, videographers, 326 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 1: and writers are among those who can refuse to offer 327 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 1: what the court called expressive services if doing so would 328 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 1: run contrary to their beliefs. But that's different from other 329 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 1: businesses not engaged in speech and therefore not covered by 330 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:45,600 Speaker 1: the first amendments, such as restaurants and hotels. So, Emily, 331 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:48,720 Speaker 1: I know you have actually spoken with this designer, so 332 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 1: it give us. 333 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 5: A little bit of the backstory on this particular case. 334 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, so this is, as a lot of conservatives seen it, 335 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 4: an attempt to really write the wrongs the Masterpiece cake shop, 336 00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 4: you know, the bake, the origin of the bake, the 337 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 4: dam cake meme that is so popular now. So Jack 338 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 4: Phillips who had a cake shop and said, I will 339 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 4: serve absolutely everyone. I'm not going to make a cake 340 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 4: for a gay wedding. I'll happily serve gay customers. This 341 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 4: is a really similar situation, and it's basically a stress 342 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,800 Speaker 4: test of the laws that Colorado had in place after 343 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 4: Masterpiece and Masterpiece was decided in a way that conservatives 344 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 4: weren't entirely happy with. Justice Kennedy wrote the opinion, and 345 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 4: it allowed Colorado and states like it to have laws 346 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 4: that conservatives still felt, Christian still felt, were allowed the 347 00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 4: state to sort of infringe on their beliefs. And so 348 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 4: Laurie Smith is a website designer. She just like graphic 349 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 4: design basically, and because. 350 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 3: Of Colorado's law, felt that she. 351 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 4: Was going to be in a position where she would 352 00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 4: have to make or would be forced into the situation 353 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 4: where she would have to make wedding websites for gay weddings. Now, 354 00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 4: this is where it gets interesting because recently, I think 355 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 4: it was the Daily Beast dug into the original request 356 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 4: that was cited in the lawsuit, and the customer's request 357 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 4: basically turns out he was surprised to learn that it 358 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 4: had been cited in the filing, the court filing. You know, 359 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:07,880 Speaker 4: his request for her to make it was like through 360 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 4: the form on a website. Yeah, when you go to 361 00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:11,560 Speaker 4: somebody's website and you just have to go through the 362 00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 4: form then you submit it. It wasn't ever, it looks 363 00:17:15,080 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 4: like it wasn't never validated or verified. 364 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:18,640 Speaker 3: He says he's not gay. 365 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 6: He's married to a for like fifteen years, right, And 366 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:23,360 Speaker 6: so there were a lot of laughs about that online 367 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 6: and it is quite interesting but it also wasn't the 368 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 6: basis for the original lawsuit. 369 00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 4: This is from the Associated Press. The would be customer's 370 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 4: request was not the basis for St. Missile original lawsuit, 371 00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:35,359 Speaker 4: nor was it cited by the High Court as the 372 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:38,360 Speaker 4: reason for ruling in her favor. The Tenth Circuit Court 373 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,760 Speaker 4: of Appeals, they said that Colorado had a history of 374 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 4: past enforcement quote against nearly identical conduct, so masterpiece, and 375 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,080 Speaker 4: that the state declined to promise that it wouldn't go 376 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 4: after Smith, So the state didn't prove that it would 377 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:52,879 Speaker 4: not go after her if she violated their law and 378 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:54,679 Speaker 4: said I'm not going to make this wedding website for you. 379 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 4: So it is funny, but also wasn't really the basis 380 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 4: for the lawsuit. And that said, I actually really think 381 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 4: this should have been a nine to oh. I think 382 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 4: if you flipped a nine zero decision, I think, you know, 383 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 4: in a in a saner world, the ACLU would have 384 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 4: been all over this. Just in the different in a 385 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,679 Speaker 4: different direction. I think if you flipped her Laurie Smith 386 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 4: into if you turned her into a Muslim, or like 387 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:20,360 Speaker 4: in a hypothetical world, or somebody who was like episcopalian 388 00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 4: supported gay marriage, and was asked by a Christian to 389 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 4: do an anti gay marriage cake. I think you would, 390 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:30,640 Speaker 4: actually would we would have our sort of ideological blinders 391 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,960 Speaker 4: off and say, yeah, that, like she's an artist, she's 392 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:36,360 Speaker 4: allowed to do what she wants. It's not Michaelangelo obviously 393 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:38,680 Speaker 4: creating wedding websites. But I think the left would be 394 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 4: pretty defensive of her ability to create expressive websites, et 395 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:45,960 Speaker 4: cetera if she weren't Christian. 396 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:50,119 Speaker 3: I think that just like kind of changed everybody's. 397 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:51,640 Speaker 4: Uh, you know for and I get I get why 398 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:55,879 Speaker 4: people are suspicious of that, you know, after in recent history, 399 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:57,479 Speaker 4: but at the same time, I really think that they 400 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 4: would be defending her ability as an artist to say, no, 401 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 4: I don't want to make a website for an anti 402 00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:06,879 Speaker 4: gay organization, or I don't want to create a website 403 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 4: for the event of an anti gay organization. I'll make 404 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:12,239 Speaker 4: the people a cake for anything else, or I'll make 405 00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 4: the people a website for anything else, but not for 406 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 4: this anti gay demonstration that they want to do. And 407 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 4: that's where I think it probably should have been nine zero. 408 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 5: So I also think it should have been nine zero. 409 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,399 Speaker 1: But in the other day the other direction, because I mean, listen, 410 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:29,120 Speaker 1: the bedrock of the civil rights era was the idea 411 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 1: that you cannot discriminate against people in terms of public accommodations. 412 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,640 Speaker 1: And so while I acknowledge that it can be tricky 413 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 1: to strike the balance between all right, where does religious 414 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:42,439 Speaker 1: liberty end and where does discrimination begin, I think at 415 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:45,919 Speaker 1: this point in American history, we've all acknowledged that, you know, 416 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 1: discrimination against LGBTQ people is a thing that it should 417 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 1: be prevented. This Court has affirmed us multiple times, and 418 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,760 Speaker 1: so you know, it's they're trying to draw this line 419 00:19:56,920 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 1: of oh, this is expressive, and this is first this 420 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:04,239 Speaker 1: is a First Amendment free speech issue. But you know, 421 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 1: there are a lot of things that could be theoretically 422 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 1: construed as speech, including baking a cake, including making a website, 423 00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:14,080 Speaker 1: including you know, printing up the programs for the wedding. 424 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:18,399 Speaker 1: Any part of that could theoretically be called free speech. 425 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 1: And so I think this is much more about just 426 00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,640 Speaker 1: you have an obligation as a business owner to serve 427 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,200 Speaker 1: the public, and you cannot fall back on your religion 428 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 1: as your justification for discrimination. Because listen, the Bible has 429 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:34,439 Speaker 1: been used to justify overt discrimination many times in American history. 430 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:36,640 Speaker 1: I mean it was used arguments from the Bible were 431 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:38,359 Speaker 1: used to say, oh, this is God is. 432 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:39,880 Speaker 5: Against interracial marriage. 433 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,119 Speaker 1: So to me, this is you know, way over the 434 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:46,359 Speaker 1: line in terms of where religious freedom lies. But you know, 435 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 1: court sees it otherwise, So we will, I'm sure, have 436 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 1: additional probably legislation about what exactly the bounds are here. 437 00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:55,439 Speaker 1: I do think the piece, you know, I hear what 438 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 1: you're saying about this, The actual mechanics of how this 439 00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,880 Speaker 1: request came to be didn't end up being central. 440 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 5: To the decision. 441 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: But I do think the fact that number one, she's 442 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 1: actually never made a wedding website for anyone. 443 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 5: She's never made one. 444 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 1: She said, oh I might, I'm thinking about theoretically maybe 445 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 1: getting into the wedding website business is like okay, And 446 00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:18,400 Speaker 1: then the request itself is fake. I mean, this guy 447 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,680 Speaker 1: did not submit request. He's not gay, he's been married 448 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,840 Speaker 1: for fifteen years, and this is the only request that 449 00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:25,760 Speaker 1: they could cite. 450 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 5: So, I mean, listen, this is the way that our 451 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 5: legal process works. 452 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 1: Activists, you know, have something that they want to test, 453 00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: they look for a test case in order to do it. 454 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: It's actually embarrassing and humiliating for the court though, that 455 00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:40,640 Speaker 1: they never even did the basics that this got all 456 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 1: the way to the Supreme Court without anyone doing the 457 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,919 Speaker 1: basics of checking in on whether this was actually a 458 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:49,639 Speaker 1: real request or not. So it is embarrassing. And I 459 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:53,360 Speaker 1: think also if the reality of that had come out, 460 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:55,479 Speaker 1: I don't know that the case would have gone any differently, 461 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:57,679 Speaker 1: because again I think this is more ideological than it 462 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,000 Speaker 1: is actually doing you know, any sort of real justice, 463 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:03,399 Speaker 1: ye legal analysis. But it may have called into questions 464 00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,199 Speaker 1: some of the other arguments, It may have put it 465 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:08,640 Speaker 1: on sort of shakier ground when you have a designer 466 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 1: who doesn't actually making websites with a request that isn't 467 00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:13,760 Speaker 1: actually a real request, there's you know a lot of 468 00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:15,119 Speaker 1: those pieces that kind of fall apart. 469 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:18,200 Speaker 4: So she was represented by Alliance Defended Defending Freedom, which 470 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:22,200 Speaker 4: has worked really closely with Jack Phillips. And my assumption 471 00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 4: is that so this is what's happened with Jack Phillips 472 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,200 Speaker 4: Christian Baker over and over again, that you have people 473 00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:30,400 Speaker 4: on the left coming in and making obscene requests of him, 474 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:33,560 Speaker 4: and it just like things that I won't even describe here, 475 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 4: like just obscene requests of him to test the system and. 476 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 3: To test the law. 477 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,280 Speaker 4: And so I think it's it's really been happening in 478 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,360 Speaker 4: both directions. And my assumption is that, you know, that's 479 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 4: that's sort of what we all understand is happening with 480 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:48,920 Speaker 4: these like speech laws in places like Colorado or Washington 481 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,879 Speaker 4: State where everyone's just sort of stressed testing the system 482 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 4: and seeing where they can come out. 483 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 3: And I think it was Elena Kagan that said in 484 00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 3: this term. 485 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:57,880 Speaker 4: I think she was referring to the student debt case, 486 00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,199 Speaker 4: but she said, one of the interesting things actually is 487 00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,320 Speaker 4: not the way the conservative majority ruled in the case, 488 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,800 Speaker 4: but their decision to take up the case at all. 489 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:06,760 Speaker 3: And I really think that's worth thinking. 490 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:09,159 Speaker 4: Yeah, that is true because we've had courts ruled differently 491 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,719 Speaker 4: on affirmative action in recent years and sort of punt 492 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,639 Speaker 4: in different cases, you know, punt on Obamacare in a 493 00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 4: way that was really really displeasing to conservatives, like you know, 494 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 4: a Chief Justice John Roberts. And so I think actually 495 00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:21,920 Speaker 4: part of what's really interesting about this is that is 496 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 4: the cases that the Court took up this session. 497 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:27,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that that is very true. And you know, 498 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 1: just my last point on this is I really do 499 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 1: agree with the dissent that this puts gays and lesbians 500 00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:35,320 Speaker 1: on kind of second class footing, because it's not like 501 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:37,639 Speaker 1: a gay couple that's looking to have a wedding website. 502 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,119 Speaker 1: It's not like they're trying to make some like activist 503 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:41,399 Speaker 1: ideological point. 504 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:42,560 Speaker 5: They're just trying to live. 505 00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:46,200 Speaker 1: Their lives, right, and the fact that they are entering 506 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 1: into a gay marriage makes it political. When you know 507 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 1: a heterosexual couple that was getting married, it's seen as 508 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: just like normal and non political. Well, these are all 509 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 1: just people, not trying to be activists, not trying to 510 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 1: make ideological points, just trying to live their lives. And 511 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,359 Speaker 1: now if you're a gay couple, you've got to sort 512 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,399 Speaker 1: through which vendors are going to be willing to serve you. 513 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 1: And the Supreme Court has said that that is perfectly 514 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 1: fine and that can be the law of the land. 515 00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 4: This is why my one remaining libertarian take on things 516 00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:19,239 Speaker 4: is that I don't think marriage should be sanctioned by 517 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:25,200 Speaker 4: the government at all. But anyway, a lot, as Chris 518 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 4: Well mentioned earlier in the show, we have social media 519 00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,479 Speaker 4: on the docket today. Speaking of the court, let's talk 520 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,159 Speaker 4: about the social media docket because there was a huge 521 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:38,159 Speaker 4: ruling actually against the Biden administration when it comes to 522 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:42,919 Speaker 4: their meddling or their pressure on U. There's pressure on 523 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,720 Speaker 4: these major tech corporations to police speech. So a federal 524 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:50,600 Speaker 4: judge ruled on Tuesday that they're going to be restricting 525 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:54,120 Speaker 4: some agencies and officials. This is from reuters in Biden's 526 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 4: administration from meeting and communicating with social media companies to 527 00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:01,640 Speaker 4: moderate their content. According to to a court file filing, 528 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,239 Speaker 4: the injunction came in response to a lawsuit brought by 529 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 4: Republican Attorney's General in Louisiana, Mississippi, who alleged that US 530 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,400 Speaker 4: government officials went too far in efforts to encourage social 531 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,480 Speaker 4: media companies to address posts they worried could contribute to 532 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 4: vaccine hesitancy during the COVID nineteen pandemic or. 533 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 3: Up end elections. 534 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,199 Speaker 4: Now, the White House has said the Justice Department is 535 00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:23,479 Speaker 4: taking a look at the order and is going to 536 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,200 Speaker 4: evaluate its options. But we actually got reporting just last 537 00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 4: night from the Washington Post that the Biden administration had 538 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:32,199 Speaker 4: canceled some of its meetings with these companies, which we 539 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 4: learned from the Twitter files were regular. For instance, you 540 00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 4: regularly had Twitter meeting with the FBI in the lead 541 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 4: up to the twenty twenty election, so that in and 542 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:43,480 Speaker 4: of itself is interesting. 543 00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:45,159 Speaker 3: That it's already has some teeth to it. 544 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 4: But of course this was not met with cheers by 545 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 4: a lot of people in the corporate press. Let's run 546 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 4: B two right now. It's a pretty hilarious freakout from 547 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 4: I think this one's CNN, but it might be MSNBC. 548 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:57,320 Speaker 3: Take a listen. 549 00:25:57,640 --> 00:25:59,880 Speaker 7: If they find something that you know, they're flagging this post, 550 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 7: say hey, this, they're not explicitly saying you need to 551 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 7: take this down. Often there's sort of an implicit implication 552 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,240 Speaker 7: there if saying just you know, bring this to your attention, 553 00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:11,160 Speaker 7: and then the social media company can decide independently whether 554 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,959 Speaker 7: or not that violates their ongoing standards. But I mean, 555 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,240 Speaker 7: it's a really new area and a really complicated one, 556 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,520 Speaker 7: and one that there should be close guardrails on to 557 00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 7: make sure that the government is not overreaching. But the 558 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:23,840 Speaker 7: idea that the government can't have any communication with these 559 00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:26,360 Speaker 7: social media companies, I don't think it's something as really 560 00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:27,639 Speaker 7: a world that we would want to live in. 561 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:31,920 Speaker 4: It's not really a world world doesn't it sound nice, 562 00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:34,600 Speaker 4: sort of utopian. At this point, let's put B three 563 00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:36,959 Speaker 4: up on the screen, and this is from rubbiswave over reason. 564 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:39,600 Speaker 3: This is a great headline. 565 00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:43,320 Speaker 4: The FBI frequently flagged stroke tweets and asked for moderation. 566 00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:45,480 Speaker 3: Again, we know that this is the case. 567 00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,199 Speaker 4: And actually what's kind of interesting here is that CNN 568 00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:50,879 Speaker 4: had a similar sort of freak out panel. I genuinely 569 00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:54,239 Speaker 4: don't know if the legal analysts that are overpaid at 570 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:57,480 Speaker 4: CNN and MSNBC have read stories like this, have like 571 00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:00,880 Speaker 4: truly thoughtfully combed through the Twitter file. One thing that's 572 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 4: a little bit frightening is that they very very well 573 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,000 Speaker 4: may have and they may actually think, yes, that the 574 00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 4: FBI should be policing jokes on Twitter, should be reporting 575 00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:11,879 Speaker 4: parody accounts, all. 576 00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:12,160 Speaker 3: Of those things. 577 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:14,159 Speaker 4: I think one of them was like a parody account 578 00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,520 Speaker 4: about Joe Biden's niece or granddaughter. 579 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, we need it down immediately. 580 00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,879 Speaker 4: And the entitlement that the government approached these corporations with 581 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:24,960 Speaker 4: that like you listen to us, we're bullying you into submission. 582 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 4: That's part of what the judge is ruling on here 583 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:30,000 Speaker 4: is like, this is not the appropriate relationship between government 584 00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:34,239 Speaker 4: and these platforms, But I honestly, honestly don't know if 585 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,560 Speaker 4: they actually realize the full extent of the censorship requests 586 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,200 Speaker 4: as laid out there. Like we're talking about jokes, We're 587 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:42,720 Speaker 4: not talking about matters of national security in every case? 588 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 4: Are there some legitimate reasons that the White housemen want 589 00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:46,280 Speaker 4: to fly something to Twitter? 590 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 3: Sure? Is that really what they were doing? 591 00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 5: Absolutely not right? Well, because there's two levels here. 592 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 1: There's like the amount that the government was communicating with 593 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:58,760 Speaker 1: Twitter in particular about Also we know, you know, Mark 594 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: Zuckerberg has sad things about their interactions at Facebook as 595 00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:06,440 Speaker 1: well that is very dystopian and should be really unnerving, 596 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:10,160 Speaker 1: and you know, really came into play during elections during 597 00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:13,719 Speaker 1: the Hunter Biden stuff, also during COVID. You know, these 598 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:16,680 Speaker 1: social media platforms were trying to try to really sort 599 00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,399 Speaker 1: through fact from fiction during a pandemic when you know, 600 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 1: science was unsettled and there were a lot of things 601 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:24,399 Speaker 1: that they just blatantly got wrong and ended up with 602 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,399 Speaker 1: egg on their face and really proved themselves to be 603 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,400 Speaker 1: poor at being able to handle that function. So there's 604 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 1: like the dystopian aspect of it. Then there's also just 605 00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,479 Speaker 1: like the farcical embarrassing aspect of it, which is that 606 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 1: many of the tweets and posts that came out that 607 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:43,880 Speaker 1: they had flagged were obvious satire from accounts that had 608 00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 1: like three followers and clearly made no difference to anyone whatsoever. 609 00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:53,240 Speaker 1: And it's like, what, like, there's there's real crime, there's 610 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:56,600 Speaker 1: really actual bad stuff happening in the country and in 611 00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 1: the world, and this is what you people are spending 612 00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 1: your time on. That's just that's embarrassing. So to give 613 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:05,480 Speaker 1: you one example, the fbid flagged a user named Claire 614 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 1: Foster who tweeted, quote, I'm a ballot counter in my state. 615 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 1: If you're not wearing a mask, I'm not counting your vote. 616 00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,880 Speaker 1: Hashtag safety first. And also for every negative comment on 617 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: this post, I'm adding another vote for the Democrats. 618 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 5: Obvious satire. 619 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,280 Speaker 1: Right, it was an obvious, like maybe potentially lame joke 620 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 1: that did not even get a lot of interactions. But 621 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 1: this is the sort of stuff that they were spending 622 00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 1: their time flagging. 623 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:29,960 Speaker 5: But you know, the more important part. 624 00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:33,200 Speaker 1: Is just the u when the government sends you a request, 625 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 1: even if they don't it doesn't have the force of. 626 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 5: Law behind it. 627 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:40,400 Speaker 1: Obviously, that is very heavy handed and it has obviously 628 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,600 Speaker 1: shaped the type of posts that were allowed on Twitter 629 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:45,800 Speaker 1: and on other platforms. And Emily, I think your point 630 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 1: about the fact that many of these so called analysts, 631 00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:51,440 Speaker 1: you know, former like deep staters that they pay now 632 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,760 Speaker 1: see it at an MSBC. I don't think they did 633 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,160 Speaker 1: engage with the Twitter files content, and listen, I had 634 00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 1: some issue with the Twitter Twitter files content as well. 635 00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 1: Obviously Elon was you know, kind of selective about it 636 00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:03,240 Speaker 1: and did not provide like a. 637 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:04,959 Speaker 5: Full picture of everything that was going on. 638 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,840 Speaker 1: All of that transparency into the previous regime has not 639 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 1: continued into the current regime. 640 00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:11,840 Speaker 5: I think is probably the biggest critique of all of it. 641 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:16,480 Speaker 1: But there were some real revelations there that were actually important, 642 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:20,880 Speaker 1: and the fact that the mainstream press just completely ignored 643 00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:24,320 Speaker 1: it means that, you know, they're ignorant of it, and 644 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 1: their audience is also ignorant of it. I also think 645 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,400 Speaker 1: you can see in the reaction here the way that 646 00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:34,160 Speaker 1: so much of the public discourse is just completely rotted 647 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:37,600 Speaker 1: by partisanship. If this had been during the Bush era, 648 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 1: you would have had Democrats cheering on this decision, and 649 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,320 Speaker 1: you would have had Republicans lamenting it and saying this 650 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:45,040 Speaker 1: isn't the world we want to live in, and national 651 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:45,760 Speaker 1: security et. 652 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:46,640 Speaker 5: Cetera, et cetera, et cetera. 653 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 1: Since it's the Biden era, you have the total reverse 654 00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 1: reverse reaction where Republicans cheer it and Democrats are wringing 655 00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:54,880 Speaker 1: their hands. 656 00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 5: They're very concerned about it. 657 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 1: And this all does really go back to the you know, 658 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:03,200 Speaker 1: Patriot Act and the type of surveillance that became mainstream 659 00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:07,960 Speaker 1: during the War on Terror era. So in any case, 660 00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,080 Speaker 1: bottom line is you should have a consistent principle here. 661 00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 1: If you are concerned about freedom of speech, if you're 662 00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,680 Speaker 1: concerned about the First Amendment, this is a win for 663 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:19,840 Speaker 1: all of those things and hopefully will stand and push 664 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,800 Speaker 1: back on the government's ability to use a heavy hand 665 00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:27,040 Speaker 1: to censor things that have no business whatsoever being censored, flagged. 666 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 5: Monitored, etc. 667 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 4: And I was gonna say, I mean, one of the 668 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:31,200 Speaker 4: best examples, here's the lab leak, the conversation about the 669 00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 4: lab leak, that people in our government, in our federal 670 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,720 Speaker 4: government were using their power to talk to these social 671 00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:40,000 Speaker 4: media companies, the Hunter Biden laptop story, all of these things, 672 00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 4: they were exerting their power, wielding it over these tech 673 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:46,760 Speaker 4: companies that have proven they have gone from conspiracy theories 674 00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 4: so called conspiracy theories, to basically being substantiated by a 675 00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:54,040 Speaker 4: lot of facts, a lot of reporting. And that's important 676 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,000 Speaker 4: because we have to be able to have those conversations 677 00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 4: to get to the truth. Something may sound shady, it 678 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,320 Speaker 4: may sound like a conspiracy theory, and it may well 679 00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 4: turn out to be true, especially if people in power 680 00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,040 Speaker 4: are telling you look over there like this is no, 681 00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 4: this really isn't real, And I just want to read 682 00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:11,320 Speaker 4: from Matt Tayibi. He had a really good article about 683 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:14,000 Speaker 4: this in Racket, obviously because he was doing a lot 684 00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:18,240 Speaker 4: of the Twitter FILEWS work. He said basically that the investigation, 685 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 4: which was led by these two Republican Attorneys General Jeff 686 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:24,360 Speaker 4: Landry and Andrew Bailey, produced documents showing overt government requests 687 00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 4: to censor people like RFK Junior, a White House official 688 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:29,960 Speaker 4: expressing frustration of Facebook they weren't removing bad information from 689 00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:32,200 Speaker 4: the search and emails in which a Facebook official please 690 00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 4: with the White House to understand that they're already quote 691 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:38,240 Speaker 4: reducing the virality of often true content that might promote 692 00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:43,280 Speaker 4: vaccine hesitancy, among many other things. So again, just some 693 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:44,960 Speaker 4: of this stuff. It doesn't even have to be a 694 00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,440 Speaker 4: partisan issue. It's just that like, if we can't have 695 00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:49,440 Speaker 4: these conversations, we're never going to get to the truth, 696 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:51,440 Speaker 4: and people in power will have a monopoly on what 697 00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:54,000 Speaker 4: we believe is true and what we believe is not true. 698 00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:55,400 Speaker 3: That said, there is. 699 00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:59,000 Speaker 4: A new platform that everyone is clamoring for. 700 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:01,200 Speaker 3: Just so excited about this. 701 00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:04,800 Speaker 1: Got a new oligarchic run Twitter competitor that we can 702 00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:05,840 Speaker 1: get on board with. 703 00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 5: Guys, that's right, get excited. 704 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:12,320 Speaker 3: There's more. Okay, so let's go to befour here. This 705 00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 3: is from the Guardian. 706 00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:18,800 Speaker 4: You know, it's it's worth noting the cage match is 707 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:21,400 Speaker 4: probably canceled, but as the Guardian says, quote, the real 708 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,680 Speaker 4: battle between the two billionaires will begin on Thursday when 709 00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:27,400 Speaker 4: the soccer Perglan just threads his company's Twitter competitor. 710 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:27,600 Speaker 7: Now. 711 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 4: Crystal and I both jumped on threads last night. 712 00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:34,480 Speaker 3: Pretty impressed with it. Aesthetically is good, Yeah, it looks good. 713 00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:35,480 Speaker 3: It looks good. 714 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:40,320 Speaker 4: Michael Schellenberger actually already was reporting this morning that people 715 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 4: conservative activist type posters are getting red flag warnings or 716 00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,640 Speaker 4: people who try to follow them are getting red flag 717 00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:50,360 Speaker 4: warnings that could be I'm not ready to say that 718 00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:52,960 Speaker 4: they are, but they could be, you know, sort of 719 00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,040 Speaker 4: being applied with a double standard conservative versus liberals, saying, 720 00:33:56,080 --> 00:33:58,040 Speaker 4: are you sure you want to follow this this account, 721 00:33:58,040 --> 00:33:59,840 Speaker 4: they've posted a lot of disinformation. 722 00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:02,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, And remember. 723 00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,880 Speaker 4: Zuckerberg obviously has talked a big game about free speech 724 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,160 Speaker 4: in the past and has not Sometimes he's reflective about 725 00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:09,800 Speaker 4: it after the fact, but he has not always followed 726 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:11,719 Speaker 4: through on that. Hunter By and Laptop is a great 727 00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:15,319 Speaker 4: example of that. So again, there's a lot of reasons 728 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 4: to be suspicious about this, but Zuckerberg is coming in 729 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,080 Speaker 4: hard and saying, you know, a lot of people are 730 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:25,319 Speaker 4: really frustrated with Elon's version of Twitter. Twitter is a 731 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,840 Speaker 4: hub for very powerful people, a lot of very powerful 732 00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:31,160 Speaker 4: liberal people who are extremely frustrated with the situation, and 733 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:35,360 Speaker 4: they've been courting influencers like mega mega popular celebrities, saying, 734 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,719 Speaker 4: if we get you over here and we integrate it 735 00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:39,440 Speaker 4: with Instagram, you know, we're not asking you do on 736 00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:42,719 Speaker 4: something new like blue Sky or something totally foreign to 737 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,040 Speaker 4: you that you have to like download create an account, 738 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:46,879 Speaker 4: but it's just all of your followers are to be there. 739 00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:48,920 Speaker 4: You can already follow the people that you're following. 740 00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:50,320 Speaker 3: Can it work? 741 00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 4: I would say probably it can, like actually monk some 742 00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:55,880 Speaker 4: competition on Twitter. 743 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think you might be right about that. 744 00:34:58,080 --> 00:34:59,879 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm kind of a boomer at this point 745 00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,440 Speaker 1: terms of my social media uptick, Like I'm really not 746 00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 1: ready to learn a whole new. 747 00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,640 Speaker 5: Platform TikTok or what I like. I'm old at this point. 748 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,920 Speaker 1: But I was able to All you do is you 749 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:13,640 Speaker 1: download the app if you're already on Instagram. I didn't 750 00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:16,360 Speaker 1: even have to remember my password for it to like integrate. 751 00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:17,400 Speaker 3: It was just like is this you? 752 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:19,200 Speaker 1: And I was like yeah, And then it asked you 753 00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,040 Speaker 1: if you want to follow the same people you're following 754 00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:24,240 Speaker 1: on Instagram? Said yes, and then you're off to the races. 755 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:27,279 Speaker 1: It looks exactly like Twitter, you know. I mean, it's 756 00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,000 Speaker 1: just it's a total carbon copy of Twitter, basically. And 757 00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:33,759 Speaker 1: I think the reason that I feel like this has 758 00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:37,959 Speaker 1: more of a shot than other efforts is just because, look, 759 00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:43,360 Speaker 1: meta is huge, way more users on Instagram and Facebook 760 00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:43,960 Speaker 1: than there are on. 761 00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:46,320 Speaker 5: Twitter, way more orders of magnitude. 762 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,839 Speaker 1: More so, the fact that it's so easy for people 763 00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,400 Speaker 1: that are already there to pick it up and that 764 00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,279 Speaker 1: they seem to have been pretty strategic about making sure 765 00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:58,000 Speaker 1: some of those big influencers, not even like political people, 766 00:35:58,040 --> 00:35:59,279 Speaker 1: but you know I jumped on there and I saw 767 00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,960 Speaker 1: Shack on there, threading or whatever. It shows you they 768 00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:06,480 Speaker 1: put some strategic savvy thought into this, because the whole 769 00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,960 Speaker 1: thing with the social media network is that you need 770 00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:10,840 Speaker 1: people to be there. That's why they're kind of natural 771 00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,319 Speaker 1: monopolies and why it's been hard to supplant Twitter even 772 00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,920 Speaker 1: as you had free speech concerns or you know, concerns 773 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,759 Speaker 1: about Elon's management, et cetera, because it's just like, well, 774 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:21,560 Speaker 1: this is still where the people are, and I'm still 775 00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:22,879 Speaker 1: getting some benefit out of. 776 00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:24,799 Speaker 5: Seeing breaking news tweets or. 777 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:28,160 Speaker 1: You know, elite journalists or whoever the you know, political 778 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:31,400 Speaker 1: influencers that you find interesting. That's where they are, so 779 00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:34,320 Speaker 1: I'm still getting that benefit. I mean, the other reason 780 00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:38,080 Speaker 1: that this might succeed is because Twitter didn't have a 781 00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:39,279 Speaker 1: good last week. 782 00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:40,839 Speaker 5: Let's put this up on the screen. You guys might 783 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:41,319 Speaker 5: know about this. 784 00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,319 Speaker 1: I mean, first there was a shut down, like it 785 00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,920 Speaker 1: was not working at all, and then this is the 786 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,560 Speaker 1: headline here is Elon Musk tries forcing Twitter users to 787 00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:53,279 Speaker 1: use less Twitter, and then people were getting these error 788 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 1: messages that their rate limit had been exceeded, and they 789 00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:58,200 Speaker 1: were like, what the hell's going on here? And then 790 00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 1: Elon tweeted that a parent currently they had put in 791 00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:04,160 Speaker 1: these hard limits of you couldn't view not tweet, you 792 00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:08,560 Speaker 1: couldn't view more than six hundred tweets unless you pay 793 00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,200 Speaker 1: for the blue check mark, and then it was like 794 00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:12,959 Speaker 1: six thousand, and then they up the limit a bit. 795 00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 1: But this Twitter is really run Most of the content 796 00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:22,279 Speaker 1: is created by this small percentage of power users, and 797 00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:25,840 Speaker 1: so you're effectively cutting them off in terms of revenue. 798 00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,800 Speaker 5: And this is the total opposite. 799 00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,600 Speaker 1: Direction of what every social media company wants to go in, 800 00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:35,080 Speaker 1: because the whole thing is the money comes for advertisers, 801 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,040 Speaker 1: and for them to be able to serve their ads, 802 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:39,880 Speaker 1: you have to be on the platform. So every social 803 00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:42,680 Speaker 1: media company, their whole goal is to keep you locked 804 00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:45,759 Speaker 1: in on their platforms, scrolling endlessly. That's the whole goal. 805 00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:46,960 Speaker 1: Is that good for us? 806 00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:47,359 Speaker 3: No? 807 00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:48,920 Speaker 5: But is that the business model? 808 00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:49,359 Speaker 3: Yes? 809 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,600 Speaker 1: And so Elon and there's already a lot of reporting 810 00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:54,560 Speaker 1: about how their revenues are way down, et cetera, et 811 00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:57,480 Speaker 1: cetera for whatever reason. And there's a lot of speculation 812 00:37:57,640 --> 00:38:00,680 Speaker 1: about the real reason why these were limits were put 813 00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:03,040 Speaker 1: into place. Maybe didn't pay a server bill, or they 814 00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,799 Speaker 1: were having tech issues or whatever the actual reason was. 815 00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:09,400 Speaker 1: This is not a good direction to go in in 816 00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:12,560 Speaker 1: terms of the business health of the site. And for 817 00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:14,959 Speaker 1: people who you know, want to be able to scroll 818 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,640 Speaker 1: Twitter and want to use it for you know, like 819 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:21,120 Speaker 1: us use it for work, et cetera, this is. 820 00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:23,240 Speaker 5: This really hobbles the site. 821 00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:25,920 Speaker 1: It makes it a lot less useful for those power 822 00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,719 Speaker 1: users who are again are like the core of the 823 00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:31,240 Speaker 1: content creation and what makes this that useful and valuable. 824 00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:34,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's a completely like one of the things to 825 00:38:34,040 --> 00:38:36,319 Speaker 4: remember about Twitter is that not only is its user 826 00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:40,040 Speaker 4: base dwarfed by basically like by by Facebook and then 827 00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:44,280 Speaker 4: Facebook's Instagram and TikTok et cetera, et cetera, the vast 828 00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:48,399 Speaker 4: majority of daily users are a minority even of people 829 00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:50,080 Speaker 4: who use the platform. So if you're one of the 830 00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:52,800 Speaker 4: people that's on Twitter every day, you're in a small 831 00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:56,240 Speaker 4: minority of actually even people that have an account on Twitter, 832 00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:59,239 Speaker 4: let alone a small minority of the American population. And 833 00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,799 Speaker 4: so for that purpose, like this is actually pretty bad 834 00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,200 Speaker 4: timing for Elon Musk, right, when you have a competitor 835 00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:07,239 Speaker 4: that's serious popping up. And by the way, let's yes, 836 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:10,360 Speaker 4: it's if we're going from a monopoly to a duopoly 837 00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:14,720 Speaker 4: by you know, one, from one censorious oligarch to another. 838 00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:16,080 Speaker 3: You know that. 839 00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 4: I guess that's that's how low the bar is for 840 00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:22,480 Speaker 4: celebration at this point, that there's some measure of competition 841 00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:25,160 Speaker 4: on one platform to be better, on another platform to 842 00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 4: be better. 843 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,000 Speaker 3: But you know, it's it's the world that we live in. 844 00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:31,760 Speaker 4: Musk says that this is a quote temporary emergency measure, 845 00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 4: and it's aimed at getting rid of data pillaging by 846 00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,959 Speaker 4: quote several hundred organizations who were quote scraping Twitter data 847 00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:40,640 Speaker 4: extremely aggressively to the point where it was affecting the 848 00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:44,959 Speaker 4: real user experience. I actually don't have a good idea 849 00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:46,920 Speaker 4: of how it was affecting the real user experience in 850 00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:50,240 Speaker 4: a way that is quite as conspicuous as the blocks 851 00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:53,319 Speaker 4: the content limits for people who you know are scrolling 852 00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:56,600 Speaker 4: didn't pay. You can't even go down their own profiles 853 00:39:56,640 --> 00:40:00,680 Speaker 4: and look at their own property, essentially their own thought tweets, 854 00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:02,799 Speaker 4: because they've exceeded the daily limit. 855 00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:04,279 Speaker 3: And there's nothing you can do about that. 856 00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,200 Speaker 4: So I think it's genuinely really bad timing for Elon 857 00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:11,280 Speaker 4: Musk that Zuckerberg comes in with his competition, and Musk 858 00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,680 Speaker 4: has been doing this sort of startup atmosphere. He's been 859 00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:16,920 Speaker 4: like generating the startup atmosphere at Twitter, where it's like, 860 00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,680 Speaker 4: we're going to experiment with things, We're going to try 861 00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,560 Speaker 4: to address some of the stomach problems in Silicon Valley 862 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:26,319 Speaker 4: that made this platform unappealing, and that just drove this 863 00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:28,720 Speaker 4: platform to a place where it was so much smaller 864 00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:33,480 Speaker 4: than all the others. But at a certain point, you 865 00:40:33,520 --> 00:40:35,560 Speaker 4: can't say, well, it's going to take another year, it's 866 00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:37,480 Speaker 4: going to take another two years. When you're a year in, 867 00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 4: you have to actually have really, really conspicuously improved the 868 00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,279 Speaker 4: user experience, and you have to be able to put 869 00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,959 Speaker 4: your you have to be able to walk the walk 870 00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:48,400 Speaker 4: and say that the product has genuinely been transformed. And 871 00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,839 Speaker 4: I think he's coming up really closely on that sort 872 00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:52,920 Speaker 4: of deadline or de facto deadline with a. 873 00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:56,520 Speaker 1: Public Yeah, and obviously with threads launching like the sharks 874 00:40:56,520 --> 00:41:00,479 Speaker 1: are circling, you know, and there's clear weakness to explore here, 875 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,960 Speaker 1: and you know, also, it just bears repeating that all 876 00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:06,680 Speaker 1: the promises of this is going to be a free 877 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 1: speech platform, et cetera, et cetera. I mean, even like 878 00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,880 Speaker 1: putting these kind of limits on users is kind of 879 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:16,239 Speaker 1: antithetical to free speech. One of the theories about why 880 00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:18,560 Speaker 1: they put these rate limits in place is another ploy 881 00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,800 Speaker 1: to sort of force people into paying for the product. 882 00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:27,479 Speaker 1: But he's also been so antagonistic towards the Twitter user 883 00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:31,320 Speaker 1: base that it makes people out of spite not want 884 00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:34,759 Speaker 1: to pay for the blue check mark and get your 885 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:38,080 Speaker 1: expanded rate limits and your whatever you know, whatever else 886 00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:42,080 Speaker 1: you get with paying and your primary tweet placement and 887 00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:44,680 Speaker 1: algorithmic benefits, et cetera, which again is also sort of 888 00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:46,040 Speaker 1: contrary to the free speech thing. 889 00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:48,240 Speaker 5: But listen, I can say. 890 00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:51,040 Speaker 1: I'm like celebrating the idea that, oh, we've got another 891 00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:54,040 Speaker 1: potential billionaire savior for us, because, as I've said a 892 00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:57,120 Speaker 1: million times here before, whether it's Elon or Zuckerberger, Jack 893 00:41:57,200 --> 00:42:00,680 Speaker 1: or whoever it is, no billionaire oligarch is going to 894 00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,960 Speaker 1: secure our First Amendment rights because that's not what they're 895 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:04,279 Speaker 1: in for. 896 00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:05,680 Speaker 5: They're in to make money. 897 00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:09,440 Speaker 1: They're in for their own ego or narcissism or whatever. 898 00:42:09,600 --> 00:42:11,560 Speaker 5: It's all about them. 899 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:15,359 Speaker 1: Their bottom line. It's not really truly about any sort 900 00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:18,840 Speaker 1: of free speech or public town square, et cetera. Many 901 00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:22,160 Speaker 1: of the factors that shaped the current censorship regime at 902 00:42:22,200 --> 00:42:26,080 Speaker 1: places like Meta are also applied to Twitter, because it's 903 00:42:26,120 --> 00:42:30,080 Speaker 1: not really about the laws, it's about the advertisers and 904 00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,719 Speaker 1: what they are willing to accept. That's why so many 905 00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:36,319 Speaker 1: of these censorship regimes end up looking basically identical, no 906 00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:39,080 Speaker 1: matter which particular oligarch is in charge. 907 00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:40,399 Speaker 5: But just in terms of. 908 00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:42,800 Speaker 1: A business story, I think it's going to be fascinating 909 00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:44,920 Speaker 1: to watch and see whether Threads can actually make a 910 00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:47,759 Speaker 1: run at it, whether they could actually have a chance 911 00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:51,520 Speaker 1: at reaching parity with or even taking down Twitter, and 912 00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:54,880 Speaker 1: Elon has certainly left himself vulnerable to that kind of challenge. 913 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:55,719 Speaker 5: I guess that's what I'll say. 914 00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:58,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, Libertarians have said for years that Twitter's 915 00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:02,319 Speaker 4: competition is Facebook, like these places have competition because there's 916 00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:05,040 Speaker 4: Facebook and Instagram, so Twitter is not a monopoly. This 917 00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:07,960 Speaker 4: proves that completely wrong, by the way, because Twitter is 918 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:10,879 Speaker 4: a very particular product. People go to Twitter for very 919 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,840 Speaker 4: different reasons than they go to Facebook or Instagram. Or TikTok, 920 00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:17,000 Speaker 4: So it's never been true. That's always been a very 921 00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:20,120 Speaker 4: dubious argument to begin with, but actually competing on the 922 00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:23,080 Speaker 4: very same ground in a way that you know, if 923 00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:26,920 Speaker 4: you have this natural monopoly on people's time, attention, and 924 00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:30,640 Speaker 4: in this very specific way that actually I think we 925 00:43:30,680 --> 00:43:32,719 Speaker 4: could be looking at it at a duopoly if this 926 00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:36,160 Speaker 4: has legs, and I haven't seen any competitor, you know, 927 00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,680 Speaker 4: whether it's parlor, whether it's truth social, and truth social. 928 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:41,600 Speaker 4: By the way, it's hard to find somebody who is 929 00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:45,000 Speaker 4: as popular with a segment of the public than Donald Trump. 930 00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:46,239 Speaker 3: I mean, you can maybe talk about like. 931 00:43:46,200 --> 00:43:49,480 Speaker 4: Michelle Obama and Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, but with 932 00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,560 Speaker 4: some like twenty percent of the population the general population, 933 00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:56,520 Speaker 4: he's really popular. And he can't mount a successful competitor 934 00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:59,480 Speaker 4: to Twitter, where you have people like actually coming over 935 00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,920 Speaker 4: there and enough numbers to give something legs. It's again 936 00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:05,920 Speaker 4: like between parlor, true social, blue Sky, whatever else is 937 00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,200 Speaker 4: trying to do exactly what Twitter does, nobody's been able 938 00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,480 Speaker 4: to do it. And so I think again, if if 939 00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:12,480 Speaker 4: Zuckerberg is able to say I'm going to do exactly 940 00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:15,239 Speaker 4: what Twitter does, and we're going to become a doopoly 941 00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:18,400 Speaker 4: that again, like really shows a lot of those arguments 942 00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:19,960 Speaker 4: were wrong from the very the get go. 943 00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,400 Speaker 1: Zuckerberg claims that they got ten million sign ups in 944 00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:27,520 Speaker 1: the first seven hours. Obviously that's pretty impressive number. You know, 945 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:28,880 Speaker 1: it remains to be seeing a lot of those people 946 00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:29,600 Speaker 1: just be like. 947 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:30,480 Speaker 5: Me, like dry it out. 948 00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:33,240 Speaker 1: See if I you know, I have yet to thread, 949 00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:35,440 Speaker 1: so it's not like I'm an active user. I'm a 950 00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:39,759 Speaker 1: full on lurker at this point. But you know, I 951 00:44:40,120 --> 00:44:45,440 Speaker 1: just think we'll see what happens here. My fear is that, 952 00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:50,080 Speaker 1: like the rest of our media ecosystem, we will increasingly 953 00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:54,839 Speaker 1: separate into ideologically like safe spaces in terms of our 954 00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:57,920 Speaker 1: social media preferences as well. You know, the right will 955 00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,560 Speaker 1: stay on Twitter, go to True Social or whatever. The 956 00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:04,120 Speaker 1: left will migrate over to Meta or Blue Sky or 957 00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:08,600 Speaker 1: Masadon or whatever, and we'll have a duopoly, but it'll 958 00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:11,960 Speaker 1: be purely like split down along ideological line, sort of 959 00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:14,320 Speaker 1: the way that the cable news ecosystem or other media 960 00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:17,680 Speaker 1: ecosystems are. That could be the direction that we're going in, 961 00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:19,680 Speaker 1: and I think that would be a loss. And and also 962 00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:23,480 Speaker 1: just in terms of enjoyment of the platform, I mean, 963 00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:27,160 Speaker 1: part of the fun of Twitter is seeing what other 964 00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:31,240 Speaker 1: people who disagree with you say sometimes like they're hilarious stupid, 965 00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:33,880 Speaker 1: hilariously stupid things that they say, like the memes that 966 00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:37,080 Speaker 1: they're sharing and what's going on in their little ideological niche. 967 00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:39,600 Speaker 1: And so if you lose that, I do think it 968 00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:44,239 Speaker 1: takes some of the some of the importance, some of 969 00:45:44,280 --> 00:45:47,040 Speaker 1: the some of the power out of the site, and 970 00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:50,040 Speaker 1: some of what made Twitter a compelling place for some 971 00:45:50,080 --> 00:45:51,719 Speaker 1: subset of the population to start with. 972 00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:56,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, agreed, Well, if you haven't seen this Rhonda Santus video, 973 00:45:56,640 --> 00:46:01,040 Speaker 4: you're really missing out. We're going to talk about developments 974 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:03,160 Speaker 4: in twenty twenty four. Fourth of July weekend is always 975 00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:07,279 Speaker 4: a big weekend for presidential candidates, and it's in general, yes, 976 00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:10,640 Speaker 4: lots of parades, lots of parade outfits, which is another 977 00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:14,160 Speaker 4: fun thing to just sort of analyze what this person's 978 00:46:14,200 --> 00:46:19,040 Speaker 4: team thinks is a relatable Fourth of July parade outfit? 979 00:46:20,200 --> 00:46:22,439 Speaker 3: How should we dress run DeSantis for a Fourth of July. 980 00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:26,680 Speaker 4: But before we run this clip, because it is let's say, 981 00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:30,239 Speaker 4: in a word, homo erotic, But before we run it, 982 00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:31,880 Speaker 4: I want to say a lot of people said This 983 00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:36,320 Speaker 4: was an ad created by the Dysantas campaign. It's slightly 984 00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:38,680 Speaker 4: more nuanced than that doesn't necessarily make it better, but 985 00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,480 Speaker 4: it was an ad the Dstantus war room. So their 986 00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:43,799 Speaker 4: rapid response Twitter, which gosh, I don't even know why. 987 00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:47,480 Speaker 4: That's the thing that has to exist. They tweeted this 988 00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:50,400 Speaker 4: video out from like a random user who made it, 989 00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:53,680 Speaker 4: which may explain I guess the production quality. But they 990 00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:56,919 Speaker 4: still made the decision. The DeSantis campaign still made the decision. 991 00:46:56,600 --> 00:47:00,680 Speaker 3: Embraced it. They embraced it. Let's just the video and 992 00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:03,680 Speaker 3: we'll there'll be a lot to unpack. I will do 993 00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:11,000 Speaker 3: everything in my power to protect our lg EGQ citizens. 994 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:14,200 Speaker 8: But Caitlyn Jenner were to walk into Trump Tower and 995 00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:16,560 Speaker 8: want to use the bathroom, you would be fine with 996 00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:19,040 Speaker 8: her using any bathroom she'd choose. 997 00:47:19,160 --> 00:47:22,439 Speaker 1: Does that as correct in the future Karn's gender women 998 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:24,560 Speaker 1: compete in this union? 999 00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:26,680 Speaker 5: Yes, make America greater. 1000 00:47:27,400 --> 00:47:27,680 Speaker 7: Sick. 1001 00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:40,120 Speaker 4: This isn't just offensive for being so online, like they're 1002 00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:44,080 Speaker 4: putting Christian Bale Patrick Bateman in American Psycho juxtaposed with 1003 00:47:44,120 --> 00:47:46,160 Speaker 4: pictures of Ron DeSantis in a way that only. 1004 00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:47,520 Speaker 3: Works if you're like a thoroughly. 1005 00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:51,200 Speaker 4: Irony poisoned Twitter using zoomer, but not if you're an avatar. 1006 00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:53,239 Speaker 4: You're like, why are you comparing Rond de Stantis to 1007 00:47:53,719 --> 00:47:58,799 Speaker 4: a fictional serial killer? There's nothing that's politically palatable about that. 1008 00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:01,920 Speaker 4: Before we I think unpack that, let's also run and 1009 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,680 Speaker 4: we can talk about these two clips together. Let's run 1010 00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:08,439 Speaker 4: C two because this is reaction from CNN. A couple 1011 00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:11,880 Speaker 4: of women who are on CNN talking about their approach 1012 00:48:11,880 --> 00:48:14,000 Speaker 4: to DeSantis and maybe some places where there's a red 1013 00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:17,040 Speaker 4: line for them as moms when it comes to, you know, 1014 00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:20,719 Speaker 4: the balance between DeSantis pushing back on what they see 1015 00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:23,400 Speaker 4: as the excesses of wokesm but also being sort of 1016 00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:24,719 Speaker 4: a conventional conservative. 1017 00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:25,759 Speaker 3: Let's rull C two. 1018 00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:30,120 Speaker 5: I'm wondering if you think that DeSantis's you know, very 1019 00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:35,120 Speaker 5: public war on WOKE distracts from the message that you 1020 00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:35,960 Speaker 5: like about. 1021 00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:36,399 Speaker 3: It a little bit. 1022 00:48:36,520 --> 00:48:39,640 Speaker 4: I do, yeah, because I mean to be honest, I 1023 00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:41,839 Speaker 4: do feel like it would be really good to have 1024 00:48:41,920 --> 00:48:44,359 Speaker 4: a big public debate about what did we get wrong 1025 00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:45,319 Speaker 4: in COVID Like. 1026 00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:47,479 Speaker 5: The left doesn't want to have that debate. It'd sign 1027 00:48:47,560 --> 00:48:52,160 Speaker 5: a law that restricts transgender care for adults as well 1028 00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:53,440 Speaker 5: as kids. 1029 00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:57,759 Speaker 7: I have greater concerns about the six week abortion bad 1030 00:48:57,840 --> 00:48:58,480 Speaker 7: tell me about that. 1031 00:48:58,600 --> 00:48:58,759 Speaker 3: You know. 1032 00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:00,880 Speaker 5: I think if he made. 1033 00:49:00,680 --> 00:49:03,839 Speaker 1: It clear that he's a states rights person and that 1034 00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:06,680 Speaker 1: he's not looking to kind of pass a national law 1035 00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:07,880 Speaker 1: in this regard. 1036 00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:09,239 Speaker 5: I think that's dangerous. 1037 00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:13,479 Speaker 9: That's something that I cannot get behind, and I don't 1038 00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:16,280 Speaker 9: think that's going to bode well for his presidential campaign. 1039 00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:19,160 Speaker 9: I think that that might be a real impediment to 1040 00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,640 Speaker 9: bringing in moderate women. 1041 00:49:22,920 --> 00:49:25,239 Speaker 4: Okay, so the first woman you saw there is Jennifer Say, 1042 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:28,360 Speaker 4: and Sannon has this Chiron who said that says, you know, 1043 00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:32,200 Speaker 4: suburban moms, etc. I love Jennifer Say. She's a former 1044 00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:33,400 Speaker 4: executive at Levi's. 1045 00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:35,200 Speaker 3: She's great. People should read her book. 1046 00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:38,759 Speaker 4: Whether she's a representative of the average suburban mom as 1047 00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:40,919 Speaker 4: an executive at Levi's who now has a really big 1048 00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:44,000 Speaker 4: public platform, I don't know, But I do think she's 1049 00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:46,560 Speaker 4: she's speaking to something. Again, Like her book is really 1050 00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:48,839 Speaker 4: interesting on this how like during COVID and the way 1051 00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:51,359 Speaker 4: that people were talking about things, she sort of ended 1052 00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,799 Speaker 4: up getting getting pushed out at Levi's and has had 1053 00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:57,280 Speaker 4: a very very interesting career. But I think she's speaking 1054 00:49:57,320 --> 00:49:59,759 Speaker 4: to something that is real for a lot of women 1055 00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:02,319 Speaker 4: who look at, for instance, some of the things. This 1056 00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:04,400 Speaker 4: is why these two clips belong together. Some of the 1057 00:50:04,400 --> 00:50:08,000 Speaker 4: things that the first video is attempting to address, right 1058 00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:11,200 Speaker 4: like some of policies that your average mom probably does 1059 00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:13,640 Speaker 4: have a real problem with when it comes to locker 1060 00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:15,640 Speaker 4: rooms or bathrooms. Whether you agree with them on those 1061 00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:18,799 Speaker 4: issues or not, the country is pretty divided on them. 1062 00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:20,480 Speaker 4: So some of the things that video is trying to 1063 00:50:20,520 --> 00:50:23,239 Speaker 4: address while also being just completely. 1064 00:50:22,680 --> 00:50:24,280 Speaker 3: Off putting and in ways. 1065 00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:27,360 Speaker 4: Again I'm not saying Disantis, I'm I'm conservative, I'm you know, 1066 00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:31,320 Speaker 4: anti abortion. I'm not disputing what DeSantis did with the 1067 00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:36,520 Speaker 4: six week Band, But on the political level, that is 1068 00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:39,720 Speaker 4: a huge question mark, and whether or not he's able 1069 00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:42,880 Speaker 4: to sell it in a way that's politically popular is 1070 00:50:42,880 --> 00:50:45,400 Speaker 4: a huge question mark for him, and I think especially 1071 00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:48,920 Speaker 4: when you have a team that is so insulated in 1072 00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:52,920 Speaker 4: the online meme culture, that's like just the perfect example, 1073 00:50:53,040 --> 00:50:55,920 Speaker 4: Like if you're putting out ads like that, if you're 1074 00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:59,640 Speaker 4: reposting videos that are so deeply online that you're Jeux 1075 00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:03,080 Speaker 4: supposed DeSantis with a serial killer, your team actually might 1076 00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:06,040 Speaker 4: have very legitimate price like your ground game in Iowa 1077 00:51:06,080 --> 00:51:08,000 Speaker 4: can be really really good and you can be putting 1078 00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:10,279 Speaker 4: a lot of money there, which the Desantas campaign is doing, 1079 00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:13,080 Speaker 4: and you're going to have this stuff go viral. You're 1080 00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:15,760 Speaker 4: going to have certain things that if you just aren't 1081 00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:17,239 Speaker 4: on top of them and you aren't speaking to the 1082 00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:20,120 Speaker 4: average voter, it's going to not balance in the way 1083 00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:21,839 Speaker 4: that's politically viable for you. 1084 00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:24,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, there's I think a lot to say about this. 1085 00:51:24,520 --> 00:51:28,240 Speaker 1: So starting with the like anti gay, anti trans video, 1086 00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:32,480 Speaker 1: you'll recall that when DeSantis was doing the uh, you 1087 00:51:32,520 --> 00:51:34,640 Speaker 1: know what's been called the Don't Say Gay Bill, they 1088 00:51:34,680 --> 00:51:37,560 Speaker 1: were adamant that this wasn't actually about gay people, this 1089 00:51:37,760 --> 00:51:41,160 Speaker 1: was about parental choice. Yeah, for those of you who 1090 00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:44,440 Speaker 1: are just listening, if you watch that video, they're actually 1091 00:51:44,480 --> 00:51:48,080 Speaker 1: celebrating headlines that are like, yes, DeSantis passes the most 1092 00:51:48,120 --> 00:51:52,640 Speaker 1: extreme anti trans legislation in history, things like that. So 1093 00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:56,560 Speaker 1: instead of keeping their political framing of like, this is 1094 00:51:56,560 --> 00:51:59,719 Speaker 1: about parental choice, and this is about making sure that 1095 00:51:59,760 --> 00:52:01,640 Speaker 1: you know, parents know what's going on in their schools, etc. 1096 00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:03,719 Speaker 1: This isn't an attack on gay people, this is an 1097 00:52:03,719 --> 00:52:06,879 Speaker 1: attack on trans people. They're actually pulling the mask off 1098 00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:10,120 Speaker 1: and saying no, no, it is anti trans and not 1099 00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:12,120 Speaker 1: only that, we're really proud of that. We're going to 1100 00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:14,719 Speaker 1: we're going to celebrate that yet and it's funny, and 1101 00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:17,480 Speaker 1: you know, this is something that we're leaning into. So 1102 00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:21,359 Speaker 1: I've talked about this before on questions of you know, 1103 00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:27,960 Speaker 1: kids transitioning. Public pretty divided on questions of girls trans 1104 00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:31,880 Speaker 1: trans girls in sports. You know, this is an area 1105 00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:34,759 Speaker 1: where conservatives actually have the majority. However you feel about 1106 00:52:34,760 --> 00:52:37,600 Speaker 1: that question, Conservitives have the majority. So when you're staying 1107 00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:41,400 Speaker 1: on that ground, you're in a decent place politically, although 1108 00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:44,760 Speaker 1: I would say that leaning into that is a central 1109 00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:47,560 Speaker 1: issue is just not the core priority for most Americans. 1110 00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:49,040 Speaker 5: So I already think you're a little shaky there. 1111 00:52:49,040 --> 00:52:52,040 Speaker 1: But let's grant that those are areas where you have 1112 00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:54,120 Speaker 1: a majority of the public that might get behind your 1113 00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:57,520 Speaker 1: what your position is. When you get into i'm just 1114 00:52:57,520 --> 00:53:01,160 Speaker 1: against gay people, I'm just against trans people having equal rights, 1115 00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:04,920 Speaker 1: you are wildly opposite public opinion on gay marriage. You're 1116 00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:09,239 Speaker 1: actually opposite public opinion even within the Republican Party. So 1117 00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:13,319 Speaker 1: that's an example of these issues have become an absolute 1118 00:53:13,400 --> 00:53:17,960 Speaker 1: fixation for the online right. The fixation is at odds 1119 00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:22,240 Speaker 1: with the public, and the actual policy position is wildly 1120 00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:24,359 Speaker 1: at odds with the American public. So when you talk 1121 00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:27,279 Speaker 1: about being way too online, like, that's the specifics of 1122 00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:30,000 Speaker 1: the rub there. And why this video was I think 1123 00:53:30,080 --> 00:53:32,600 Speaker 1: such a problem for him is because it took away, 1124 00:53:32,640 --> 00:53:36,440 Speaker 1: it stripped away any pretense of moderation on the policy. 1125 00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:38,799 Speaker 5: So there's that piece. The other piece that I got 1126 00:53:38,800 --> 00:53:41,160 Speaker 5: from the quote unquote Suburban Moms, which. 1127 00:53:41,120 --> 00:53:43,320 Speaker 1: Was anytime you interview like two people like, take it 1128 00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:45,359 Speaker 1: all with a grain of salt. We're very careful about 1129 00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:47,399 Speaker 1: not taking anecdotes and extrapolating tone. 1130 00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:48,920 Speaker 5: But there is some polling to back this up. 1131 00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:51,719 Speaker 1: And I got a distinction that I hadn't really made 1132 00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:53,640 Speaker 1: a connection I hadn't really made before, which is that 1133 00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:57,959 Speaker 1: when Ronda Santis was really rising in popularity, and when 1134 00:53:58,120 --> 00:54:00,560 Speaker 1: you know, he was winning re election and his approval 1135 00:54:00,640 --> 00:54:02,520 Speaker 1: ratings and flour are really high, and he's rising and 1136 00:54:02,560 --> 00:54:06,440 Speaker 1: rising in the Republican primary, it wasn't so much when 1137 00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:10,799 Speaker 1: he was leaning hard into the culture war stuff. It 1138 00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:13,240 Speaker 1: was based on his COVID policies, and it was based 1139 00:54:13,239 --> 00:54:15,600 Speaker 1: on the fact that you know, at the time, there 1140 00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:17,719 Speaker 1: was you know, a stance that was taken from him, 1141 00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:19,640 Speaker 1: a public stance that was taken, and they decided to 1142 00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:22,719 Speaker 1: keep the schools open, and especially for parents. I mean, 1143 00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:25,600 Speaker 1: in retrospect, the school closures, especially the length of the 1144 00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:27,520 Speaker 1: school closures, just it's. 1145 00:54:27,360 --> 00:54:28,520 Speaker 5: An unmitigated disaster. 1146 00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:31,799 Speaker 1: It's one of the worst public policy decisions that's been 1147 00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:35,600 Speaker 1: made in quite a long time. So that was quite compelling. 1148 00:54:36,000 --> 00:54:38,360 Speaker 1: But we have now left the COVID era, so that 1149 00:54:38,440 --> 00:54:42,120 Speaker 1: stuff becomes less relevant. It's less you know, central to 1150 00:54:42,800 --> 00:54:45,239 Speaker 1: how people are making their political decisions, even among the 1151 00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:48,640 Speaker 1: Republican base that is both animated by COVID at this 1152 00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:52,319 Speaker 1: point by litigating COVID policies and what that looks like. 1153 00:54:52,680 --> 00:54:54,880 Speaker 1: Even for them, this is not a top priority. 1154 00:54:55,320 --> 00:54:56,360 Speaker 5: So as he's. 1155 00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:58,680 Speaker 1: Moved into okay, I'm going to lean into anti wokeness, 1156 00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:00,400 Speaker 1: I want to lean into anti trans I'm going to 1157 00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,240 Speaker 1: lean into anti abortion. 1158 00:55:03,080 --> 00:55:06,200 Speaker 5: That has been much that has not worked as well 1159 00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:06,600 Speaker 5: for him. 1160 00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:08,359 Speaker 1: And we see the way that the Poles are falling 1161 00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:11,120 Speaker 1: off in their Republican primary. Certainly, the way that the public 1162 00:55:11,160 --> 00:55:13,880 Speaker 1: image has changed and the questions that you know, some 1163 00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:16,520 Speaker 1: of these moms at least were raising to CNN, I 1164 00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:19,560 Speaker 1: think is reflected in also some of the polling of 1165 00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:23,040 Speaker 1: how Ronda Santis is doing and on how those various 1166 00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:25,400 Speaker 1: issues actually land with a general public. 1167 00:55:25,680 --> 00:55:28,160 Speaker 4: So this is a huge point because one of the 1168 00:55:28,200 --> 00:55:29,960 Speaker 4: things when you look at the COVID policy, when you 1169 00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:32,839 Speaker 4: look at, for instance, Glenn Younkin, who people compare Ronda 1170 00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:33,480 Speaker 4: Santis to a lot. 1171 00:55:33,600 --> 00:55:36,120 Speaker 3: They say, these are two people in purple states. 1172 00:55:36,160 --> 00:55:38,799 Speaker 4: I know, Florida, it looks like solidly read right now, 1173 00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:41,359 Speaker 4: but the demographics and like the way Florida has voted 1174 00:55:41,360 --> 00:55:43,160 Speaker 4: for a really long time, it's a purple set. 1175 00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:45,640 Speaker 3: I mean, Andrew Gillim almost beat Ronda Santis. I mean 1176 00:55:45,640 --> 00:55:45,920 Speaker 3: it was. 1177 00:55:45,920 --> 00:55:48,480 Speaker 4: Really really really close. Yeah, And people say, well, look 1178 00:55:48,480 --> 00:55:50,719 Speaker 4: at what Ronda Santis has done. He's turned Florida into 1179 00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:53,200 Speaker 4: a red state. And the big question was he was 1180 00:55:53,280 --> 00:55:55,840 Speaker 4: doing these anti woke policies, and it was more that 1181 00:55:56,200 --> 00:55:59,759 Speaker 4: it wasn't hurting the COVID sugar hide that he was 1182 00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:02,400 Speaker 4: on for having sane in reasonable COVID policies, just like 1183 00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:05,200 Speaker 4: Glenn Youngkin having sane in reasonable COVID policies. 1184 00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:07,400 Speaker 3: You could also do this sort. 1185 00:56:07,200 --> 00:56:09,600 Speaker 4: Of anti woke pro family or you know, however they 1186 00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:12,680 Speaker 4: want to pitch it legislation and you're not going to suffer. 1187 00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:14,360 Speaker 4: In fact, in some cases you may go up a 1188 00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:16,319 Speaker 4: little bit because people really like it. But it was 1189 00:56:16,400 --> 00:56:18,839 Speaker 4: always that way that like you can, you know, run 1190 00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:22,000 Speaker 4: a sane in reasonable economy, you can run a sane 1191 00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:23,840 Speaker 4: and reasonable like COVID regime. 1192 00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:25,920 Speaker 3: And still do this other stuff and be okay. 1193 00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:28,160 Speaker 4: And that to the right was what was really interesting 1194 00:56:28,200 --> 00:56:30,799 Speaker 4: is that you're not going to tank your prospects if 1195 00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:33,000 Speaker 4: you craft these policies and talk about them in a 1196 00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,880 Speaker 4: really particular way. Well, that really particular way is not 1197 00:56:35,960 --> 00:56:40,520 Speaker 4: Patrick Bateman and not sort of being cruel towards you know, 1198 00:56:40,800 --> 00:56:43,080 Speaker 4: in a country like they're getting dragged into this fight 1199 00:56:43,120 --> 00:56:45,080 Speaker 4: because they think it helps them against Donald Trump, to 1200 00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:48,880 Speaker 4: be like, we are more anti trans than Donald Trump, 1201 00:56:48,920 --> 00:56:51,240 Speaker 4: we are more so reasonable in these policies. 1202 00:56:50,840 --> 00:56:51,600 Speaker 3: Than Donald Trump. 1203 00:56:51,800 --> 00:56:55,400 Speaker 4: But just going full and using those headlines that you 1204 00:56:55,520 --> 00:56:57,680 Speaker 4: make around to stands that sound cruel. I understand they're 1205 00:56:57,680 --> 00:56:59,920 Speaker 4: probably like, this is about the media. We're showing that 1206 00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:02,400 Speaker 4: we don't give a damn about the media. Blah blah blah. 1207 00:57:02,440 --> 00:57:05,080 Speaker 4: It doesn't come across that way the average person whatsoever. 1208 00:57:05,120 --> 00:57:08,000 Speaker 4: I mean, this is like political maulpractice on another level, 1209 00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:10,480 Speaker 4: for the rapid response low a team to tweet this 1210 00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:13,440 Speaker 4: out because meme culture is really not the way when 1211 00:57:13,480 --> 00:57:15,680 Speaker 4: you still have a huge chunk of the voting population 1212 00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:18,720 Speaker 4: that are baby boomers and are right now sitting at 1213 00:57:18,760 --> 00:57:20,400 Speaker 4: home trying to figure out how to use threads. 1214 00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:23,360 Speaker 1: And we love you guys now they haven't even heard 1215 00:57:23,360 --> 00:57:26,000 Speaker 1: about it yet cultures. 1216 00:57:26,520 --> 00:57:31,080 Speaker 4: So anyway, just I think a really representative early misstep 1217 00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:34,080 Speaker 4: from the DeSantis campaign that gets symbolically to some of 1218 00:57:34,120 --> 00:57:36,600 Speaker 4: these other problems where they have this legion of online 1219 00:57:36,640 --> 00:57:38,959 Speaker 4: influencers that I think are going to do more harm 1220 00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:41,000 Speaker 4: than good in the long run, because they start to 1221 00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:45,480 Speaker 4: generate headlines like this video was covered in corporate press, 1222 00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:48,000 Speaker 4: the fact that they like it got coverage in legacy media, 1223 00:57:48,040 --> 00:57:50,200 Speaker 4: and so as normal people see stuff like that, they're 1224 00:57:50,240 --> 00:57:51,680 Speaker 4: just like, what the hell are you doing? 1225 00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:54,120 Speaker 3: I don't even speak this language, but it looks. 1226 00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:56,800 Speaker 1: Really dumb, right, Like I literally don't even know what 1227 00:57:56,960 --> 00:57:58,840 Speaker 1: is going on in this ad, but I don't like it. 1228 00:57:58,920 --> 00:58:00,000 Speaker 3: Wow, they're shirtless men. 1229 00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:05,800 Speaker 1: The Desanta's piece is the Youngkin piece is actually interesting 1230 00:58:05,800 --> 00:58:07,960 Speaker 1: to me because I always thought at the time when 1231 00:58:08,000 --> 00:58:11,560 Speaker 1: he won and beat Terry mccalliff. First of all, the 1232 00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:14,960 Speaker 1: downsides of Terry mccalluff were under sold. But second of all, 1233 00:58:15,640 --> 00:58:20,480 Speaker 1: I thought the critical race theory piece of Glenn Youngkin's 1234 00:58:20,560 --> 00:58:24,960 Speaker 1: victory was really oversold, and it was more about the 1235 00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:27,800 Speaker 1: fact that schools had been closed and parents wanted their 1236 00:58:27,840 --> 00:58:30,120 Speaker 1: kids to be in school, and it was more about 1237 00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:33,880 Speaker 1: the positioning on COVID policy. And I think as time 1238 00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:37,920 Speaker 1: has worn on and as Republicans have been unable to 1239 00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:41,280 Speaker 1: repeat the success of Glenn Youngkin and Ron DeSantis in 1240 00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:43,800 Speaker 1: Florida was an outlier in terms of the midterms, I 1241 00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:46,880 Speaker 1: think it has become clear that that was the piece 1242 00:58:46,920 --> 00:58:49,600 Speaker 1: that was really energizing. That was the piece that appealed 1243 00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:52,480 Speaker 1: to a lot of suburban moms who they had lost, 1244 00:58:52,640 --> 00:58:55,959 Speaker 1: you know, and during the Donald Trump years, much more 1245 00:58:56,080 --> 00:58:59,040 Speaker 1: so than the cultural pieces, because there was a lot 1246 00:58:59,080 --> 00:59:01,720 Speaker 1: of leaning into anti trans legislation, there was a lot 1247 00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:05,720 Speaker 1: of leaning into anti CRT legislation. In the midterms, there 1248 00:59:05,800 --> 00:59:08,560 Speaker 1: was a lot of money put behind it, school board races, 1249 00:59:08,600 --> 00:59:11,000 Speaker 1: all the rest, and it sort of fell flat. So 1250 00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:12,960 Speaker 1: I think at this point we've got a pretty good 1251 00:59:12,960 --> 00:59:15,320 Speaker 1: read on how the public feels about this landscape and 1252 00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:19,200 Speaker 1: which pieces are more appealing at which pieces are less appealing. 1253 00:59:19,840 --> 00:59:22,080 Speaker 1: The final final thing I want to say here is 1254 00:59:22,080 --> 00:59:24,960 Speaker 1: that you know this also example of like Trump can 1255 00:59:25,040 --> 00:59:27,560 Speaker 1: get away with things that other politicians, yes. 1256 00:59:27,680 --> 00:59:29,080 Speaker 3: Because it's not like Trump's true. 1257 00:59:29,080 --> 00:59:32,400 Speaker 1: I remember Trump after the dysantist failed launch thing, he 1258 00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:36,000 Speaker 1: posted something again that some other person had made, but 1259 00:59:36,080 --> 00:59:38,640 Speaker 1: he I think he directly reposted it, not even like 1260 00:59:38,680 --> 00:59:41,920 Speaker 1: his war room that was like a Twitter's faces with 1261 00:59:42,000 --> 00:59:43,760 Speaker 1: the Devil and Adolph Hitler. 1262 00:59:44,000 --> 00:59:45,120 Speaker 5: I mean it just like ridiculous. 1263 00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:48,240 Speaker 1: It was actually hilarious, but it was also totally over 1264 00:59:48,280 --> 00:59:52,880 Speaker 1: the top, totally ridiculous, and he can somehow get away 1265 00:59:52,920 --> 00:59:56,040 Speaker 1: with it because in addition to doing those things, he 1266 00:59:56,120 --> 00:59:59,480 Speaker 1: also sometimes has more of a normy sensibility where it's 1267 00:59:59,520 --> 01:00:02,920 Speaker 1: like he moderates on Social Security and Medicare, he moderates 1268 01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:07,360 Speaker 1: on issues like abortion where actually Republican activists and elites 1269 01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:10,520 Speaker 1: are at odds with a good part of the Republican 1270 01:00:10,560 --> 01:00:13,800 Speaker 1: base and certainly with the general public, and he just 1271 01:00:13,960 --> 01:00:16,000 Speaker 1: has He's one of those people that just has the 1272 01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:16,960 Speaker 1: chrismon and the skill to. 1273 01:00:16,880 --> 01:00:18,200 Speaker 5: Be able to pull some of these things off. That 1274 01:00:18,320 --> 01:00:19,360 Speaker 5: Ron de Sander's camp. 1275 01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:21,200 Speaker 4: And he spent the vast majority of his career outside 1276 01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:23,680 Speaker 4: of politics, and isn't pretending to be some sort of 1277 01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:28,320 Speaker 4: like extremely competent, like average politician, Whereas that's like part 1278 01:00:28,360 --> 01:00:30,680 Speaker 4: of the tension between DeSantis and Trump. Here he was 1279 01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:32,960 Speaker 4: going full Boom or Grampa over the weekend. I'm sorry 1280 01:00:33,040 --> 01:00:35,760 Speaker 4: to keep Harvey on boomers. It's just funny when we're 1281 01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:39,200 Speaker 4: talking about meme culture. He posted pictures of himself photoshoppedunder 1282 01:00:39,200 --> 01:00:42,840 Speaker 4: George Washington's body, all kinds of good stuff going on there, 1283 01:00:43,320 --> 01:00:46,280 Speaker 4: and just like an F Biden flag that again the 1284 01:00:46,280 --> 01:00:47,560 Speaker 4: media was very upset about. 1285 01:00:47,640 --> 01:00:49,400 Speaker 3: But again, if you're Donald Trump, you can do it. 1286 01:00:49,560 --> 01:00:51,960 Speaker 4: If you're Ron DeSantis, you really need to be a 1287 01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:54,880 Speaker 4: whole lot more careful because you did not host The 1288 01:00:54,920 --> 01:00:57,919 Speaker 4: Celebrity Apprentice, which I still miss to this day. 1289 01:00:58,240 --> 01:01:00,200 Speaker 3: Now, one person who was not doing. 1290 01:01:00,120 --> 01:01:03,480 Speaker 4: The sort of schlep the sweaty shlept down parades, although 1291 01:01:03,520 --> 01:01:04,160 Speaker 4: I think he did. 1292 01:01:04,040 --> 01:01:06,120 Speaker 3: Do a rally this weekend is Donald Trump. 1293 01:01:06,240 --> 01:01:08,560 Speaker 4: And this raises an interesting question that we wanted to 1294 01:01:08,600 --> 01:01:11,960 Speaker 4: talk about, which is, Uh, first of all, let's put 1295 01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:14,960 Speaker 4: up C three predict it, which I think is kind 1296 01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:17,160 Speaker 4: of a shameful company I don't think we should be betting 1297 01:01:17,120 --> 01:01:17,720 Speaker 4: our politics. 1298 01:01:17,880 --> 01:01:19,040 Speaker 3: I don't like that to begin with. 1299 01:01:19,040 --> 01:01:20,480 Speaker 5: Oh really, yeah, I don't. 1300 01:01:20,520 --> 01:01:21,040 Speaker 3: I don't like that. 1301 01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:24,640 Speaker 1: The free market on this one definitely not not really 1302 01:01:24,680 --> 01:01:26,640 Speaker 1: for the free market on gambling, period. 1303 01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:32,080 Speaker 4: But you see here that the odds of DeSantis unpredicted. 1304 01:01:32,160 --> 01:01:34,080 Speaker 4: So maybe you just predicted, maybe you don't. It's a 1305 01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:37,439 Speaker 4: it's like a New Zealand website that lets you bet 1306 01:01:37,440 --> 01:01:40,520 Speaker 4: on the outcome of elections and politics in general. 1307 01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:43,320 Speaker 3: They put the odds of. 1308 01:01:43,320 --> 01:01:48,440 Speaker 4: Gavin Newsom getting elected ahead of Ron DeSantis based on 1309 01:01:48,800 --> 01:01:50,760 Speaker 4: where things are right now. 1310 01:01:51,560 --> 01:01:53,360 Speaker 3: That's you know that people right now. 1311 01:01:53,480 --> 01:01:55,360 Speaker 4: The people who are predicted better is the group of 1312 01:01:55,360 --> 01:01:58,160 Speaker 4: people who are betting on that website. They're saying Newsom 1313 01:01:58,560 --> 01:02:01,120 Speaker 4: has a better chance. So DeSantis no dropped three cents 1314 01:02:01,160 --> 01:02:04,680 Speaker 4: and Newsom's have gone up a penny in recent betting. 1315 01:02:05,000 --> 01:02:05,880 Speaker 3: But on top of. 1316 01:02:05,840 --> 01:02:08,640 Speaker 4: That, the question of Fourth of July parades, you have Trump, 1317 01:02:09,280 --> 01:02:11,560 Speaker 4: as Axio says, we can put up the next I 1318 01:02:11,600 --> 01:02:14,640 Speaker 4: think this is C four actually says Trump is quote 1319 01:02:14,760 --> 01:02:17,640 Speaker 4: not campaigning at the pace of previous cycles, preferring to 1320 01:02:17,640 --> 01:02:19,200 Speaker 4: spend most of his days at mar A Lago and 1321 01:02:19,240 --> 01:02:22,000 Speaker 4: Bedminster that's in New Jersey rather than grip and grinning. 1322 01:02:22,080 --> 01:02:25,440 Speaker 4: In Iowa and other early primary states, their headline is 1323 01:02:25,480 --> 01:02:26,880 Speaker 4: Trump's basement campaign. 1324 01:02:27,520 --> 01:02:29,880 Speaker 3: The Trump team vigorously denies this. 1325 01:02:30,520 --> 01:02:34,080 Speaker 4: Acxio says that though that Trump campaign officials have said, 1326 01:02:34,080 --> 01:02:35,840 Speaker 4: part of the reason he is not holding many rallies 1327 01:02:35,880 --> 01:02:38,520 Speaker 4: is because they are expensive. Quote, they said something like 1328 01:02:39,480 --> 01:02:41,640 Speaker 4: half a billion dollars a rally, or not billion, half 1329 01:02:41,640 --> 01:02:43,440 Speaker 4: a million dollars a rally or something like that, like 1330 01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:49,640 Speaker 4: some crazy, crazy number. But Trump was He's held four 1331 01:02:49,640 --> 01:02:52,120 Speaker 4: events in Iowa, five in New Hampshire, two in South Carolina, 1332 01:02:52,200 --> 01:02:55,720 Speaker 4: and none in Nevada. DeSantis has had fifty five events, 1333 01:02:55,800 --> 01:02:58,080 Speaker 4: Nikki Haley has had fifty nine, Tim Scott has had 1334 01:02:58,120 --> 01:03:00,680 Speaker 4: thirty six, and the veck Wamaswami as an one hundred 1335 01:03:00,760 --> 01:03:03,920 Speaker 4: and two. But Trump has been at thirty despite being 1336 01:03:03,960 --> 01:03:07,720 Speaker 4: in the race longer than other people. So even so, 1337 01:03:07,960 --> 01:03:10,840 Speaker 4: Donald Trump, running what Access has dubbed a basement campaign, 1338 01:03:11,240 --> 01:03:14,200 Speaker 4: still has a really healthy lead over run DeSantis, who 1339 01:03:14,200 --> 01:03:16,080 Speaker 4: has a decent trunk of money and is heading these 1340 01:03:16,080 --> 01:03:19,520 Speaker 4: states really hard, and everyone else, In fact, everyone else. 1341 01:03:19,760 --> 01:03:21,800 Speaker 4: You can split up the votes and it's the opposite. 1342 01:03:21,800 --> 01:03:23,960 Speaker 4: We've talked about this before. Trump is still healthily in 1343 01:03:23,960 --> 01:03:25,480 Speaker 4: the lead as opposed to in the past. If you 1344 01:03:25,520 --> 01:03:28,520 Speaker 4: had combined all of those votes into one candidate, Trump 1345 01:03:28,560 --> 01:03:31,680 Speaker 4: would lose. It's the exact reverse of that this time around, 1346 01:03:31,840 --> 01:03:34,120 Speaker 4: and the guy's done thirty in person campaign events. 1347 01:03:34,440 --> 01:03:36,800 Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's a sign of the sclerotic 1348 01:03:37,120 --> 01:03:40,160 Speaker 1: decline of our nation that you've got two old men 1349 01:03:40,280 --> 01:03:42,840 Speaker 1: that the majority of the country don't want, that don't 1350 01:03:42,840 --> 01:03:45,760 Speaker 1: even feel the need to campaign or probably subject themselves 1351 01:03:45,800 --> 01:03:48,880 Speaker 1: to debate, and they're likely to win the party nominations. 1352 01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:49,680 Speaker 3: I mean, good point. 1353 01:03:49,800 --> 01:03:51,880 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know why Trump would do more events. 1354 01:03:51,920 --> 01:03:53,800 Speaker 1: He doesn't need to, right, I don't know why he 1355 01:03:53,840 --> 01:03:56,440 Speaker 1: would debate if he doesn't have to. He doesn't need to. 1356 01:03:56,520 --> 01:03:58,560 Speaker 1: I don't know why Biden would debate, you know, he 1357 01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:00,840 Speaker 1: feels like he doesn't need to. For all their talk 1358 01:04:00,840 --> 01:04:03,160 Speaker 1: of democracy, like when it comes down to it, they 1359 01:04:03,160 --> 01:04:06,400 Speaker 1: don't actually believe in it, None of them do. So Yeah, 1360 01:04:06,480 --> 01:04:09,040 Speaker 1: I think it's I think it's just a pathetic sign 1361 01:04:09,120 --> 01:04:13,200 Speaker 1: of the times. And probably Trump is correct in his 1362 01:04:13,360 --> 01:04:16,120 Speaker 1: analysis here. I mean, you've got the vacaramaswami running all 1363 01:04:16,160 --> 01:04:19,200 Speaker 1: over Iowa. If you look at that map, you know 1364 01:04:19,240 --> 01:04:21,480 Speaker 1: he's been there like eighty times or something like that. 1365 01:04:22,280 --> 01:04:26,320 Speaker 1: But you know, Trump just getting like getting indited and 1366 01:04:26,560 --> 01:04:30,920 Speaker 1: CNN doing lots of lots of panels outrage panels about him, 1367 01:04:30,920 --> 01:04:33,600 Speaker 1: which you know, listen, there's plenty to be outreached about. 1368 01:04:33,600 --> 01:04:37,360 Speaker 1: But that's all he really needs to do in order 1369 01:04:37,400 --> 01:04:41,400 Speaker 1: to secure the nomination. So, you know, on the predicted 1370 01:04:41,440 --> 01:04:45,160 Speaker 1: thing is also just sad. It's sad for ron It 1371 01:04:45,200 --> 01:04:46,960 Speaker 1: is obviously embarrassing for Rona Santis. 1372 01:04:47,160 --> 01:04:48,320 Speaker 5: But even the. 1373 01:04:48,280 --> 01:04:53,560 Speaker 1: Fact that people are floating Newsome, they must either think, like, nah, 1374 01:04:53,560 --> 01:04:54,520 Speaker 1: they really they. 1375 01:04:54,400 --> 01:04:55,520 Speaker 5: Can't just go with Bike. 1376 01:04:55,520 --> 01:04:57,480 Speaker 1: Come on, this guy can barely put a sentence together, 1377 01:04:57,600 --> 01:04:59,400 Speaker 1: like surely they're not going to stick with Biden. 1378 01:04:59,440 --> 01:05:00,920 Speaker 5: But guess what, guys, they are going to stick. 1379 01:05:00,760 --> 01:05:04,200 Speaker 1: With Biden, or they think it's likely enough that he 1380 01:05:04,240 --> 01:05:08,360 Speaker 1: would suffer some major health event or actually pass away, 1381 01:05:08,640 --> 01:05:11,640 Speaker 1: not something anyone is cheering for here, they think that 1382 01:05:11,760 --> 01:05:12,840 Speaker 1: is a likely enough. 1383 01:05:12,680 --> 01:05:15,200 Speaker 5: Outcome that they're like, and then I guess Newsum's in 1384 01:05:15,440 --> 01:05:19,680 Speaker 5: like the driver's seat. So yeah, it's kind of amazing. 1385 01:05:19,720 --> 01:05:21,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think that Gavin Newsom has a 1386 01:05:21,960 --> 01:05:25,120 Speaker 1: better shot at being president than Ron DeSantis. But I 1387 01:05:25,120 --> 01:05:27,080 Speaker 1: also don't really think either one of them has much 1388 01:05:27,080 --> 01:05:27,919 Speaker 1: of a shot at this point. 1389 01:05:28,000 --> 01:05:30,320 Speaker 4: I wonder if actually it's not even a statement so 1390 01:05:30,400 --> 01:05:32,760 Speaker 4: much on Destantus versus Trump as it's a statement on 1391 01:05:32,800 --> 01:05:33,800 Speaker 4: Biden's health in the. 1392 01:05:33,720 --> 01:05:35,840 Speaker 3: Predicted odds, there's a real question. 1393 01:05:35,960 --> 01:05:38,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, And I genuinely think that's also why you have 1394 01:05:38,240 --> 01:05:40,320 Speaker 4: a lot of Republican candidates who thought it was a 1395 01:05:41,200 --> 01:05:43,360 Speaker 4: lot of Republican candidates, and we're talking about this last week. 1396 01:05:43,400 --> 01:05:45,120 Speaker 4: A bunch of them are in the race more than 1397 01:05:45,120 --> 01:05:47,720 Speaker 4: people even like predicted would actually pull the trigger and 1398 01:05:47,800 --> 01:05:50,400 Speaker 4: jump into the race and like have a super pac, 1399 01:05:50,720 --> 01:05:53,720 Speaker 4: get the money whatever. I think that's partially the reason. 1400 01:05:53,720 --> 01:05:55,919 Speaker 4: Even on the Republican side. Donald Trump is also pretty old. 1401 01:05:56,120 --> 01:05:58,840 Speaker 4: He's facing a ton of legal challenges right now. I 1402 01:05:58,880 --> 01:06:01,640 Speaker 4: don't think anyone sees any one of those legal challenges 1403 01:06:01,680 --> 01:06:04,560 Speaker 4: individually is being something that could tank his campaign. He 1404 01:06:04,600 --> 01:06:07,920 Speaker 4: could do Don Blankenship right and probably still campaign in 1405 01:06:07,960 --> 01:06:12,160 Speaker 4: remprisent if any of these trials like progress to that point, right. 1406 01:06:12,240 --> 01:06:14,160 Speaker 4: But all that is to say, I actually think that's 1407 01:06:14,160 --> 01:06:16,480 Speaker 4: the reason why you've seen so many Republican candidates jump 1408 01:06:16,560 --> 01:06:19,600 Speaker 4: in too, because to your point, this is a really 1409 01:06:19,640 --> 01:06:23,320 Speaker 4: depressing sign of how sclerotic and just kind of. 1410 01:06:23,280 --> 01:06:24,280 Speaker 3: Productive how politics are. 1411 01:06:24,360 --> 01:06:27,919 Speaker 5: Right now, Yeah, all. 1412 01:06:27,880 --> 01:06:29,600 Speaker 1: Right, let's get to something that you know, we really 1413 01:06:29,640 --> 01:06:32,640 Speaker 1: want to keep our eye on here, which is potentially 1414 01:06:32,640 --> 01:06:35,720 Speaker 1: the largest strike in American history is looming in the 1415 01:06:35,760 --> 01:06:38,640 Speaker 1: next couple of weeks. This has to do with UPS, 1416 01:06:38,680 --> 01:06:42,840 Speaker 1: workers organized under Teamsters. Three hundred and forty thousand, I 1417 01:06:42,880 --> 01:06:45,960 Speaker 1: believe is the number of workers who could potentially be 1418 01:06:46,040 --> 01:06:46,959 Speaker 1: going on strike. 1419 01:06:47,040 --> 01:06:48,200 Speaker 5: Let's put this up on the screen. 1420 01:06:48,240 --> 01:06:52,280 Speaker 1: So they've been in active negotiations with UPS. This is 1421 01:06:52,320 --> 01:06:55,240 Speaker 1: the largest private labor. 1422 01:06:55,000 --> 01:06:56,440 Speaker 5: Contract in the country. 1423 01:06:56,520 --> 01:06:58,800 Speaker 1: So this is huge and I don't have to tell 1424 01:06:58,840 --> 01:07:02,000 Speaker 1: you guys how UPS is to the workings of our 1425 01:07:02,040 --> 01:07:07,040 Speaker 1: economy at this point. You know, huge carrier, huge potential implications, 1426 01:07:07,120 --> 01:07:10,200 Speaker 1: and really huge for not just these workers, but also 1427 01:07:10,320 --> 01:07:13,840 Speaker 1: for really all of labor to see what they you know, 1428 01:07:13,880 --> 01:07:16,120 Speaker 1: what kind of conditions they would be able to secure 1429 01:07:16,200 --> 01:07:18,160 Speaker 1: and whether they can push back on years and years 1430 01:07:18,160 --> 01:07:21,080 Speaker 1: of neoliberal labor union decline. Okay, so leave us up 1431 01:07:21,080 --> 01:07:22,480 Speaker 1: on the screen. Let me read this here. This is 1432 01:07:22,480 --> 01:07:26,560 Speaker 1: from the Teamsters. They say after marathon sessions, UPS negotiations 1433 01:07:26,840 --> 01:07:31,080 Speaker 1: collapse around four AM, and I believe this was on Saturday. 1434 01:07:31,280 --> 01:07:33,960 Speaker 1: UPS walked away from the marketing table after presenting an 1435 01:07:34,120 --> 01:07:37,680 Speaker 1: unacceptable offer to the Teamsters that did not address members needs. 1436 01:07:37,960 --> 01:07:42,440 Speaker 1: The UPS Teamsters National Negotiating Committee unanimously rejected the package. 1437 01:07:42,480 --> 01:07:44,160 Speaker 1: Put the next piece up on the screen, and this 1438 01:07:44,280 --> 01:07:49,640 Speaker 1: was a Twitter thread they go on. Following marathon negotiations, 1439 01:07:49,720 --> 01:07:52,520 Speaker 1: UPS refused to give the Teamsters a last, best and 1440 01:07:52,600 --> 01:07:55,120 Speaker 1: final offer, telling the union the company had nothing more 1441 01:07:55,160 --> 01:07:58,160 Speaker 1: to give. This multi billion dollar corporation has plenty to 1442 01:07:58,160 --> 01:08:00,640 Speaker 1: give American workers. They just don't want you, said Teamsters 1443 01:08:00,640 --> 01:08:03,680 Speaker 1: General President Sean O'Brien. UPS had a choice to make, 1444 01:08:03,720 --> 01:08:06,439 Speaker 1: and they have clearly chosen to go down the wrong road. 1445 01:08:06,480 --> 01:08:08,720 Speaker 1: I think we have one last piece of the thread 1446 01:08:08,880 --> 01:08:10,320 Speaker 1: that we can read here for you, they say. The 1447 01:08:10,360 --> 01:08:12,919 Speaker 1: UPS Teamsters contract covering more than three hundred and forty 1448 01:08:13,040 --> 01:08:16,240 Speaker 1: thousand full in part time workers expires July thirty one, 1449 01:08:16,360 --> 01:08:19,040 Speaker 1: so we're coming down to the wire here. No additional 1450 01:08:19,080 --> 01:08:24,240 Speaker 1: negotiations are scheduled. The Teamsters have repeatedly made clear UPS 1451 01:08:24,240 --> 01:08:27,080 Speaker 1: members will not work beyond the expiration of the current contract. 1452 01:08:27,280 --> 01:08:27,839 Speaker 5: In June. 1453 01:08:28,080 --> 01:08:31,240 Speaker 1: Rank and file UPS Teamsters authorized a strike by an 1454 01:08:31,280 --> 01:08:36,000 Speaker 1: overwhelming ninety seven percent. Now some of the context here 1455 01:08:36,320 --> 01:08:42,160 Speaker 1: is the last contract that Teamsters signed with UPS was 1456 01:08:42,600 --> 01:08:46,439 Speaker 1: really concessionary, so it created a two tier wage system, 1457 01:08:46,920 --> 01:08:49,880 Speaker 1: all kinds of problems with it. Rank and file workers 1458 01:08:49,960 --> 01:08:54,320 Speaker 1: actually voted it down, and leadership at the time went 1459 01:08:54,360 --> 01:08:56,519 Speaker 1: over their heads and said, now we're going to take 1460 01:08:56,520 --> 01:09:01,080 Speaker 1: this contract anyway. Sean O'Brien, the new General President, was 1461 01:09:01,160 --> 01:09:05,959 Speaker 1: elected on a promise to be more aggressive, more militant, 1462 01:09:06,240 --> 01:09:09,920 Speaker 1: and more adequately reflect the needs and desires of rank 1463 01:09:09,960 --> 01:09:14,519 Speaker 1: and file workers in these varied negotiations. We also know 1464 01:09:14,680 --> 01:09:18,840 Speaker 1: that they have already extracted some concessions out of this deal. 1465 01:09:19,560 --> 01:09:23,040 Speaker 1: One thing that we reported on here is huge problem 1466 01:09:23,200 --> 01:09:27,439 Speaker 1: for delivery workers UPS workers, parcel delivery workers in general, 1467 01:09:27,840 --> 01:09:31,560 Speaker 1: is heat and UPS trucks have never had air conditioning. 1468 01:09:31,720 --> 01:09:33,719 Speaker 1: And we're talking about you know, you're in the summer 1469 01:09:33,720 --> 01:09:35,599 Speaker 1: in Arizona. You're going in the back of that thing. 1470 01:09:35,800 --> 01:09:38,400 Speaker 1: They're showing temperature readings over one hundred and twenty degrees. 1471 01:09:38,600 --> 01:09:41,360 Speaker 1: You actually had a UPS worker die because of heat 1472 01:09:41,400 --> 01:09:45,240 Speaker 1: related injuries. You've had heat exhaustion, major problems. So they 1473 01:09:45,280 --> 01:09:48,519 Speaker 1: were able to secure some air conditioning at least in 1474 01:09:48,600 --> 01:09:50,000 Speaker 1: new trucks, new fan. 1475 01:09:49,920 --> 01:09:51,640 Speaker 5: Installs, so that was reported out. 1476 01:09:52,200 --> 01:09:55,280 Speaker 1: They also were able to do a way we know 1477 01:09:55,640 --> 01:09:59,559 Speaker 1: with that two tier wage system. That is a huge 1478 01:09:59,560 --> 01:10:01,639 Speaker 1: deal because the whole reason that they try to get 1479 01:10:01,640 --> 01:10:03,800 Speaker 1: these two tier wage systems in places to break the 1480 01:10:03,840 --> 01:10:07,880 Speaker 1: solidarity of the workers. So getting that was a huge deal. However, 1481 01:10:08,640 --> 01:10:12,200 Speaker 1: it appears that UPS was still not willing to go 1482 01:10:12,280 --> 01:10:17,599 Speaker 1: far enough to provide adequate wages, adequate benefits for what 1483 01:10:18,000 --> 01:10:22,120 Speaker 1: these Teamsters workers actually wanted out of the negotiation. So 1484 01:10:22,479 --> 01:10:24,559 Speaker 1: now you're in a place where it's kind of a 1485 01:10:24,560 --> 01:10:27,160 Speaker 1: staring contest and a game of chick in and we'll 1486 01:10:27,160 --> 01:10:30,040 Speaker 1: see who if anyone blinks, or whether we are actually 1487 01:10:30,120 --> 01:10:34,080 Speaker 1: headed to this huge, very consequential strike that could come 1488 01:10:34,120 --> 01:10:34,960 Speaker 1: at the end of this month. 1489 01:10:35,000 --> 01:10:37,160 Speaker 4: And I think the teamsters are acting as they are 1490 01:10:37,240 --> 01:10:39,320 Speaker 4: because they have an enormous amount of leverage right now. 1491 01:10:39,360 --> 01:10:41,639 Speaker 4: So UPS says it covers about or it delivers about 1492 01:10:41,680 --> 01:10:45,000 Speaker 4: six percent of the GDP in the United States of America. 1493 01:10:45,040 --> 01:10:48,360 Speaker 4: And I'm reading from CNN here, so they're reflecting on 1494 01:10:48,400 --> 01:10:50,439 Speaker 4: that UPS strike back in nineteen ninety seven. 1495 01:10:50,479 --> 01:10:52,000 Speaker 3: Obviously, this would be the biggest strike. 1496 01:10:51,760 --> 01:10:54,400 Speaker 4: As you said, since nineteen fifty nine, the company was 1497 01:10:54,400 --> 01:10:56,840 Speaker 4: able to recapture ninety percent of its business once that 1498 01:10:56,920 --> 01:10:59,320 Speaker 4: strike ended. Back in ninety seven, he said it might 1499 01:10:59,360 --> 01:11:01,479 Speaker 4: be able to own to recover seventy percent of its 1500 01:11:01,479 --> 01:11:03,400 Speaker 4: business in a strike this time because of a greater 1501 01:11:03,600 --> 01:11:07,160 Speaker 4: number of alternatives. FedEx did not have a lower cost 1502 01:11:07,240 --> 01:11:10,000 Speaker 4: ground service in nineteen ninety seven, and the postal service 1503 01:11:10,320 --> 01:11:13,160 Speaker 4: was not set up to handle as many package deliveries. Amazon, 1504 01:11:13,240 --> 01:11:15,080 Speaker 4: of course, also has its own delivery service. 1505 01:11:15,120 --> 01:11:17,240 Speaker 3: Now. So when you see I think. 1506 01:11:17,080 --> 01:11:20,559 Speaker 4: You know the UPS has said, actually it's the team 1507 01:11:20,600 --> 01:11:22,639 Speaker 4: serters that have walked away from the negotiation, et cetera, 1508 01:11:22,680 --> 01:11:25,200 Speaker 4: et cetera. But even just looking at that thread, the 1509 01:11:25,320 --> 01:11:28,680 Speaker 4: union is really throwing its weight around here, yea. And 1510 01:11:28,760 --> 01:11:31,400 Speaker 4: I think that goes directly to the extreme amount of 1511 01:11:31,439 --> 01:11:33,519 Speaker 4: leverage that they have. UPS has had a lot of 1512 01:11:33,520 --> 01:11:36,920 Speaker 4: profits that they're asking for more of those to be 1513 01:11:36,920 --> 01:11:37,920 Speaker 4: passed down to workers. 1514 01:11:38,040 --> 01:11:39,519 Speaker 3: Perfectly reasonable thing to ask. 1515 01:11:39,840 --> 01:11:42,679 Speaker 4: And again, when you have six percent of the GDP, 1516 01:11:42,800 --> 01:11:47,120 Speaker 4: way more competition with FedEx, with Amazon, actually now the 1517 01:11:47,160 --> 01:11:51,679 Speaker 4: Postal Service, good luck letting this go into a strike position, 1518 01:11:51,720 --> 01:11:55,360 Speaker 4: because it's immediately catastrophic It's not that there is no 1519 01:11:55,640 --> 01:11:57,200 Speaker 4: like gray area here. 1520 01:11:57,240 --> 01:11:58,000 Speaker 3: It's black and white. 1521 01:11:58,000 --> 01:12:00,759 Speaker 4: It will immediately in one day be catastrophe for UPS. 1522 01:12:00,920 --> 01:12:03,280 Speaker 4: They know that, and the union knows that. And this 1523 01:12:03,439 --> 01:12:05,120 Speaker 4: is going very well, i would say, for the union 1524 01:12:05,120 --> 01:12:05,639 Speaker 4: at this point. 1525 01:12:05,720 --> 01:12:08,759 Speaker 1: And not only that, So you're one hundred percent correct 1526 01:12:08,800 --> 01:12:12,519 Speaker 1: on that aspect of leverage. You also have a National 1527 01:12:12,560 --> 01:12:16,000 Speaker 1: Labor Relations Board under the Biden administration that is, you know, 1528 01:12:16,080 --> 01:12:19,360 Speaker 1: much more worker friendly than the Trump administration. The Republican 1529 01:12:19,400 --> 01:12:21,759 Speaker 1: administration is always put in like you know, union busting 1530 01:12:21,800 --> 01:12:23,439 Speaker 1: lawyers some on the national labor relations boards. 1531 01:12:23,479 --> 01:12:25,280 Speaker 5: You have a national labor relations board that is likely 1532 01:12:25,280 --> 01:12:26,679 Speaker 5: to be in your quarter. That's critical. 1533 01:12:27,280 --> 01:12:32,040 Speaker 1: You have record breaking profits for UPS and other companies, 1534 01:12:32,120 --> 01:12:34,200 Speaker 1: so they can't cry poor, they can't pretell oh, we 1535 01:12:34,240 --> 01:12:35,680 Speaker 1: just can't do it. No, you can do it, like 1536 01:12:35,760 --> 01:12:38,200 Speaker 1: it's really clear you could do it. So you've got that. 1537 01:12:38,840 --> 01:12:41,559 Speaker 1: You have a tight labor market where you know, there's 1538 01:12:41,600 --> 01:12:44,240 Speaker 1: a lot of issues inflation eating into wages. People don't 1539 01:12:44,240 --> 01:12:46,559 Speaker 1: feel like they're doing that well, but there are a 1540 01:12:46,560 --> 01:12:49,000 Speaker 1: lot of jobs. Those jobs may not be good jobs, 1541 01:12:49,080 --> 01:12:51,559 Speaker 1: but there are a lot of jobs. And the fact 1542 01:12:51,600 --> 01:12:54,080 Speaker 1: that you have a tight labor market also helps to 1543 01:12:54,160 --> 01:12:57,280 Speaker 1: provide them with some leverage. And then of course, if 1544 01:12:57,320 --> 01:13:00,400 Speaker 1: you're Shot O'Brien and you were literally elected to this 1545 01:13:00,479 --> 01:13:03,200 Speaker 1: position on a mandate to take it to the wall 1546 01:13:03,360 --> 01:13:07,679 Speaker 1: and to be militant and be aggressive in these negotiations, Yeah, 1547 01:13:07,720 --> 01:13:09,960 Speaker 1: they feel like they have some room to work. And 1548 01:13:10,280 --> 01:13:12,280 Speaker 1: again on just reiterate last thing I'll say on this 1549 01:13:12,479 --> 01:13:15,840 Speaker 1: is that this matters obviously for these workers, and this 1550 01:13:15,920 --> 01:13:17,799 Speaker 1: is a lot of people, so that matters a lot. 1551 01:13:18,000 --> 01:13:21,320 Speaker 5: But you know, when the labor movement was at. 1552 01:13:21,200 --> 01:13:23,320 Speaker 1: Its height and at its peak, and hopefully what it 1553 01:13:23,320 --> 01:13:25,080 Speaker 1: could get back to. And I think why this would 1554 01:13:25,120 --> 01:13:28,000 Speaker 1: be impactful is because Number One shows to other workers like, 1555 01:13:28,040 --> 01:13:29,799 Speaker 1: this is why you want to be part of a union, 1556 01:13:29,880 --> 01:13:33,639 Speaker 1: because if you don't have this solidarity in this collective bargaining, 1557 01:13:33,920 --> 01:13:36,599 Speaker 1: you're not getting your air conditions, you're not getting your 1558 01:13:37,000 --> 01:13:40,519 Speaker 1: time paid, time off, you're you know, you're not getting 1559 01:13:40,640 --> 01:13:43,200 Speaker 1: increases in wages. You're getting these two you have no 1560 01:13:43,320 --> 01:13:46,320 Speaker 1: recourse basically, and then you also have this is going 1561 01:13:46,360 --> 01:13:50,519 Speaker 1: to cause competition among the other parcel carriers and among 1562 01:13:50,680 --> 01:13:52,880 Speaker 1: you know, the broader workforce. They're sort of lifting the 1563 01:13:52,880 --> 01:13:55,799 Speaker 1: floor for everyone so that's why this fight really matters. 1564 01:13:55,840 --> 01:13:57,479 Speaker 1: So we'll make sure and keep an eye on it. 1565 01:13:57,760 --> 01:14:00,840 Speaker 3: Next cocaine in the White House. I feel like Ron 1566 01:14:00,880 --> 01:14:03,840 Speaker 3: Burgundy right now, it's true. You've probably heard the. 1567 01:14:03,760 --> 01:14:06,120 Speaker 4: Story by now that there was cocaine found in the 1568 01:14:06,120 --> 01:14:09,639 Speaker 4: White House, actually in the West Wing on Sunday. Now 1569 01:14:09,680 --> 01:14:11,839 Speaker 4: we can throw this tear sheet up. Is the story 1570 01:14:12,080 --> 01:14:15,880 Speaker 4: continues to get complicated from Politico Dan Littman reporting here, 1571 01:14:16,000 --> 01:14:18,960 Speaker 4: quote law enforcement officials confirmed on Wednesday that cocaine was 1572 01:14:18,960 --> 01:14:20,640 Speaker 4: found at the White House over the weekend. So the 1573 01:14:20,680 --> 01:14:24,080 Speaker 4: confirmation came on Wednesday, But one official familiar with the 1574 01:14:24,120 --> 01:14:27,560 Speaker 4: investigation cautioned that the source of the drug was unlikely 1575 01:14:27,600 --> 01:14:30,120 Speaker 4: to be determined given that it was discovered in a 1576 01:14:30,240 --> 01:14:33,040 Speaker 4: highly trafficked area of the West Wing. Now you may 1577 01:14:33,080 --> 01:14:36,760 Speaker 4: think that sounds counterintuitive, because surely any highly trafficked area 1578 01:14:36,800 --> 01:14:39,040 Speaker 4: of the West Wing would also have a. 1579 01:14:39,040 --> 01:14:40,240 Speaker 3: Lot of surveillance. 1580 01:14:40,320 --> 01:14:45,000 Speaker 4: But no, this anonymous law enforcement official says. They said, 1581 01:14:45,080 --> 01:14:47,280 Speaker 4: quote it's going to be very difficult for us to 1582 01:14:47,320 --> 01:14:51,240 Speaker 4: do that because of where it was. Again, Politico says 1583 01:14:51,280 --> 01:14:53,200 Speaker 4: that it was found in a covey area. A quote 1584 01:14:53,240 --> 01:14:55,360 Speaker 4: small amount of cocaine was found in a covey area 1585 01:14:55,400 --> 01:14:58,880 Speaker 4: for storing electronics within the West exec basement entryway into 1586 01:14:58,960 --> 01:15:01,519 Speaker 4: the West Wing, where many people have authorized access, including 1587 01:15:01,560 --> 01:15:05,679 Speaker 4: staff or visitors coming in for West Wing tours. Quote 1588 01:15:05,680 --> 01:15:07,680 Speaker 4: again from the senior law enforcement official or the law 1589 01:15:07,720 --> 01:15:11,200 Speaker 4: enforcement official. Even if there were surveillance cameras, unless you 1590 01:15:11,240 --> 01:15:14,160 Speaker 4: were waving in around, it may not have been caught. 1591 01:15:14,280 --> 01:15:17,240 Speaker 4: It's a bit of a thoroughfare. People walk by there 1592 01:15:17,439 --> 01:15:18,160 Speaker 4: all the time. 1593 01:15:18,280 --> 01:15:18,400 Speaker 7: Now. 1594 01:15:18,439 --> 01:15:21,800 Speaker 4: White House Press Secretary Karine Jean Pierre responded to reporters 1595 01:15:21,920 --> 01:15:23,680 Speaker 4: questions about this yesterday. 1596 01:15:23,760 --> 01:15:25,519 Speaker 3: She said, quote, let's let. 1597 01:15:25,360 --> 01:15:27,720 Speaker 4: The Secret Service do their job, which we believe and 1598 01:15:27,800 --> 01:15:29,519 Speaker 4: have all the confidence that they will get to the 1599 01:15:29,520 --> 01:15:32,760 Speaker 4: bottom of this episode. Okay, So the White House is 1600 01:15:32,800 --> 01:15:37,840 Speaker 4: also saying the Biden family was not in the White House. 1601 01:15:37,960 --> 01:15:41,200 Speaker 3: They were. They left Friday and returned Tuesday. 1602 01:15:41,240 --> 01:15:43,719 Speaker 4: So if the cocaine was found Sunday, again, I feel 1603 01:15:43,760 --> 01:15:46,120 Speaker 4: like I'm playing maybe a game of clue that it 1604 01:15:46,160 --> 01:15:49,200 Speaker 4: was Hunter in the library with the whatever. 1605 01:15:49,000 --> 01:15:50,759 Speaker 5: The bag of cocaine, with the bag of cocaine. 1606 01:15:50,880 --> 01:15:53,000 Speaker 4: But actually that's one of the things that's interesting about 1607 01:15:53,000 --> 01:15:56,360 Speaker 4: this is at least Miranda Divine in the New York 1608 01:15:56,400 --> 01:15:59,240 Speaker 4: Post has reported that it's rumored Hunter Biden this was 1609 01:15:59,280 --> 01:16:00,880 Speaker 4: at least as like a couple of weeks ago, was 1610 01:16:00,920 --> 01:16:03,519 Speaker 4: living in the White House, perhaps to dodge papers in 1611 01:16:03,560 --> 01:16:07,040 Speaker 4: his child support case, which has since been settled. So 1612 01:16:07,200 --> 01:16:08,880 Speaker 4: and Hunter Biden has been a camp David with the 1613 01:16:08,920 --> 01:16:11,519 Speaker 4: President recently, has been traveling within them recently, has been 1614 01:16:11,560 --> 01:16:12,679 Speaker 4: at state dinners recently. 1615 01:16:12,880 --> 01:16:13,360 Speaker 3: So there's a. 1616 01:16:13,320 --> 01:16:15,920 Speaker 4: Genuine question as to whether Hunter Biden, who we know 1617 01:16:16,280 --> 01:16:20,240 Speaker 4: has sadly suffered from serious substance abuse issues, is living 1618 01:16:20,240 --> 01:16:21,960 Speaker 4: in the White House and the cocaine belongs to him. 1619 01:16:22,000 --> 01:16:24,639 Speaker 4: I think also Naomi Biden and her husband are living 1620 01:16:24,720 --> 01:16:26,599 Speaker 4: in the White House. Obviously there's a lot of staff 1621 01:16:26,600 --> 01:16:28,559 Speaker 4: and guests that are coming in and out. 1622 01:16:29,080 --> 01:16:32,080 Speaker 3: I do, however, think the idea that. 1623 01:16:32,280 --> 01:16:36,080 Speaker 4: Secret Service or that a law enforcement official anonymously got 1624 01:16:36,200 --> 01:16:39,800 Speaker 4: cover to speak to Politico and say listen, to sort 1625 01:16:39,800 --> 01:16:42,160 Speaker 4: of lay the groundwork for nobody being caught on this 1626 01:16:42,760 --> 01:16:46,759 Speaker 4: is rather hilarious because I guarantee you like that sounds 1627 01:16:46,760 --> 01:16:48,960 Speaker 4: to me very very strategic to say listen. 1628 01:16:49,200 --> 01:16:50,640 Speaker 3: It just doesn't make any sense. We're not gonna be 1629 01:16:50,640 --> 01:16:51,080 Speaker 3: able to find it. 1630 01:16:51,240 --> 01:16:53,760 Speaker 4: That excuse makes no sense because there are cameras all 1631 01:16:53,840 --> 01:16:55,960 Speaker 4: over the West Wing, even in the visitor areas. 1632 01:16:56,080 --> 01:16:57,160 Speaker 3: There are cameras everywhere. 1633 01:16:57,280 --> 01:16:57,599 Speaker 5: Yeah. 1634 01:16:57,640 --> 01:16:59,720 Speaker 1: Well, as someone who supports the legalization of drugs, I 1635 01:16:59,720 --> 01:17:02,240 Speaker 1: sup no one being caught and turned in for this 1636 01:17:02,439 --> 01:17:03,880 Speaker 1: except the. 1637 01:17:04,080 --> 01:17:08,000 Speaker 3: Has also like not hired people, we just legal in DC. Well, 1638 01:17:08,040 --> 01:17:08,599 Speaker 3: that is true. 1639 01:17:08,640 --> 01:17:11,479 Speaker 1: They are total hypocrites on the issue, aren't they. I mean, 1640 01:17:11,600 --> 01:17:13,840 Speaker 1: and I've always thought this about Joe Biden is like, 1641 01:17:14,040 --> 01:17:16,479 Speaker 1: you know, your own son struggles with this, and you're 1642 01:17:16,560 --> 01:17:19,559 Speaker 1: still like this war on drugs, dude, it's disgraceful one 1643 01:17:19,600 --> 01:17:21,960 Speaker 1: hundred percent. So they say the small amount of cocaine 1644 01:17:22,000 --> 01:17:25,479 Speaker 1: is found in a cubby area for storing electronics within 1645 01:17:25,600 --> 01:17:28,240 Speaker 1: the West exec basement entryway into the West Wing, where 1646 01:17:28,240 --> 01:17:31,160 Speaker 1: many people have authorized access, including staff or visitors coming 1647 01:17:31,160 --> 01:17:33,160 Speaker 1: in for West Wing tours. So I guess this is 1648 01:17:33,200 --> 01:17:35,040 Speaker 1: an area where, like you know, people are coming in 1649 01:17:35,080 --> 01:17:38,040 Speaker 1: through tours, they go through this area, they stick stuff 1650 01:17:38,040 --> 01:17:40,320 Speaker 1: in the cubby. I don't know, haven't really spent any 1651 01:17:40,360 --> 01:17:41,519 Speaker 1: time in the White House, so I don't know how 1652 01:17:41,520 --> 01:17:44,800 Speaker 1: all this works. It's sort of the story kind of 1653 01:17:44,800 --> 01:17:46,960 Speaker 1: sent me on a mental journey though that I started. 1654 01:17:47,000 --> 01:17:50,360 Speaker 1: I seriously because I started wondering, like, I wonder how 1655 01:17:50,360 --> 01:17:52,439 Speaker 1: often there is cocaine in the White House, Like I 1656 01:17:52,479 --> 01:17:56,200 Speaker 1: wonder how often various residents of the White House are, 1657 01:17:56,920 --> 01:17:59,720 Speaker 1: you know, doing various illicit drugs. And then it got 1658 01:17:59,760 --> 01:18:02,040 Speaker 1: me thinking about Joe Biden and how he could use 1659 01:18:02,080 --> 01:18:03,840 Speaker 1: a little bit of a pick me up and maybe 1660 01:18:03,840 --> 01:18:05,280 Speaker 1: it wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. It 1661 01:18:05,320 --> 01:18:07,559 Speaker 1: was the president he was actually protaking and had like 1662 01:18:07,560 --> 01:18:08,559 Speaker 1: maybe that would help him. 1663 01:18:08,600 --> 01:18:10,280 Speaker 3: It's like a dive bag with like a White House 1664 01:18:10,280 --> 01:18:10,840 Speaker 3: steal on it. 1665 01:18:11,120 --> 01:18:13,080 Speaker 5: I mean, listen, how many years old is he? 1666 01:18:13,320 --> 01:18:15,439 Speaker 1: Like, if you're not going to live a little right, 1667 01:18:15,840 --> 01:18:18,120 Speaker 1: maybe the problem is that there's not enough cocaine in 1668 01:18:18,120 --> 01:18:19,719 Speaker 1: the White House, Emily, That's what I'm saying. 1669 01:18:19,800 --> 01:18:23,840 Speaker 3: Whoa that's gonna take? That's a galaxy brain. 1670 01:18:23,960 --> 01:18:25,800 Speaker 4: Well, the other thing I thought about was the mid 1671 01:18:25,840 --> 01:18:28,200 Speaker 4: May break in at Jake Sullivan's house. So the National 1672 01:18:28,200 --> 01:18:32,439 Speaker 4: Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan, who had I believe, like twenty 1673 01:18:32,479 --> 01:18:36,800 Speaker 4: four hour security production protection, including at his home, a 1674 01:18:36,880 --> 01:18:41,280 Speaker 4: drunk dude got into his house past the security agents 1675 01:18:41,320 --> 01:18:46,400 Speaker 4: that were outside, and basically nobody knew how that happened. 1676 01:18:46,479 --> 01:18:49,720 Speaker 3: And so I again like Listen, when. 1677 01:18:50,240 --> 01:18:54,840 Speaker 4: You have issues like this, if you shouldn't probably be 1678 01:18:54,880 --> 01:18:56,880 Speaker 4: able to bring cocaine into the White House. If the 1679 01:18:56,880 --> 01:18:58,680 Speaker 4: White House says you're not supposed to bring cocaine to 1680 01:18:58,720 --> 01:19:00,280 Speaker 4: the White House, right, that means they're failing at their 1681 01:19:00,280 --> 01:19:01,520 Speaker 4: own security protocols. 1682 01:19:01,880 --> 01:19:04,280 Speaker 3: And I don't think that's great like all around. 1683 01:19:04,400 --> 01:19:06,320 Speaker 4: Like, I don't really care about there being a small 1684 01:19:06,320 --> 01:19:09,080 Speaker 4: amount of cocaine in the White House, but if it's 1685 01:19:09,080 --> 01:19:13,040 Speaker 4: a pattern of like security failures, there's like a basic 1686 01:19:13,120 --> 01:19:15,559 Speaker 4: question of competence. I don't think anybody in the United 1687 01:19:15,600 --> 01:19:17,600 Speaker 4: States of America wants to see something happen to the 1688 01:19:17,720 --> 01:19:21,200 Speaker 4: NSA or to the President or to anybody in the 1689 01:19:21,200 --> 01:19:24,400 Speaker 4: White House. And that's like bad period. I mean, it's 1690 01:19:24,400 --> 01:19:26,519 Speaker 4: bad for the individual and the family's involved. It's also 1691 01:19:26,520 --> 01:19:28,760 Speaker 4: bad for the country. It makes us look like people 1692 01:19:28,800 --> 01:19:32,880 Speaker 4: who can't perform basic functions, which we increasingly know is true. 1693 01:19:32,960 --> 01:19:34,880 Speaker 4: And so if this is part of a pattern of 1694 01:19:34,880 --> 01:19:38,280 Speaker 4: security breaches on the part of Secret Service, that's pretty 1695 01:19:38,280 --> 01:19:39,000 Speaker 4: bad for Secret Service. 1696 01:19:39,040 --> 01:19:41,200 Speaker 1: Secret Services had a lot of scandals in recent years 1697 01:19:41,200 --> 01:19:42,800 Speaker 1: as well. I mean, I think that those points are 1698 01:19:42,800 --> 01:19:45,559 Speaker 1: fair because when this first was reported, they didn't. 1699 01:19:45,360 --> 01:19:46,280 Speaker 5: Know it was cocaine. 1700 01:19:46,600 --> 01:19:48,880 Speaker 1: You know, They're like, oh, a powdery white substance was found, 1701 01:19:48,960 --> 01:19:52,240 Speaker 1: and immediately you're like, oh, like anthrax, like right, like 1702 01:19:52,360 --> 01:19:55,120 Speaker 1: what's going on here? So the fact that you know, 1703 01:19:55,200 --> 01:19:58,160 Speaker 1: can willly nearly like bring your drugs into the White 1704 01:19:58,200 --> 01:20:00,720 Speaker 1: House apparently, and it seems like a somewhat of a 1705 01:20:00,760 --> 01:20:01,920 Speaker 1: security risk there. 1706 01:20:01,800 --> 01:20:03,679 Speaker 3: When they say they're trying to prevent you from doing. 1707 01:20:03,600 --> 01:20:05,480 Speaker 5: It, right, Yes, exactly. 1708 01:20:05,560 --> 01:20:08,000 Speaker 1: So I mean I do, like, I just want to 1709 01:20:08,000 --> 01:20:08,800 Speaker 1: know the backstory. 1710 01:20:08,880 --> 01:20:09,720 Speaker 5: I do actually want to. 1711 01:20:09,760 --> 01:20:11,599 Speaker 1: I don't want anybody to get in trouble, you know, 1712 01:20:11,760 --> 01:20:13,479 Speaker 1: I don't want them to be like thrown in prison 1713 01:20:13,520 --> 01:20:16,519 Speaker 1: for their infraction against our stupid drug laws. But I 1714 01:20:16,560 --> 01:20:18,639 Speaker 1: do want to know the backstory of how it ended 1715 01:20:18,680 --> 01:20:21,240 Speaker 1: up there, Like whose was it, why did they bring it? 1716 01:20:21,560 --> 01:20:23,800 Speaker 1: How did they get left behind? Did they notice it 1717 01:20:23,840 --> 01:20:25,639 Speaker 1: was missing? Did they know it was in their bag? 1718 01:20:25,960 --> 01:20:26,599 Speaker 3: You know what I mean? 1719 01:20:26,720 --> 01:20:29,080 Speaker 5: Like was it intentional? I just I do want to 1720 01:20:29,120 --> 01:20:29,759 Speaker 5: know the details. 1721 01:20:29,800 --> 01:20:33,360 Speaker 1: I find it very creatively interesting to imagine the sequence 1722 01:20:33,360 --> 01:20:34,679 Speaker 1: of events that led to this situation. 1723 01:20:34,760 --> 01:20:36,280 Speaker 4: Maybe it could be really basic too, because I think 1724 01:20:36,320 --> 01:20:39,120 Speaker 4: like both Snoop Dogg and Tommy Chong and maybe Willie 1725 01:20:39,160 --> 01:20:41,639 Speaker 4: Nelson's wife think this was undo. The Carner administration said 1726 01:20:41,640 --> 01:20:43,240 Speaker 4: that they've smoked weed in the White House, Like there 1727 01:20:43,240 --> 01:20:44,960 Speaker 4: are people many people who have said that they've smoked 1728 01:20:45,000 --> 01:20:46,800 Speaker 4: weed in a handful of people who say they've smoked 1729 01:20:46,840 --> 01:20:49,040 Speaker 4: weed in the White House. So obviously there's there's a 1730 01:20:49,120 --> 01:20:52,679 Speaker 4: way for people to get illicit substances into the White House, 1731 01:20:53,040 --> 01:20:55,400 Speaker 4: especially if they're sort of privileged, if they're a very 1732 01:20:55,400 --> 01:20:56,200 Speaker 4: important person of. 1733 01:20:56,280 --> 01:20:58,880 Speaker 1: VIPA, Yeah, they're not getting the full pat down or whatever. 1734 01:20:59,240 --> 01:21:02,400 Speaker 4: Maybe and if that's the situation here, I also do 1735 01:21:02,520 --> 01:21:04,080 Speaker 4: think there can be a lot of people who have 1736 01:21:04,160 --> 01:21:07,320 Speaker 4: relatives like locked up for quote small amounts of cocaine, 1737 01:21:07,920 --> 01:21:11,080 Speaker 4: who the Biden administration pays zero attention to, despite the 1738 01:21:11,080 --> 01:21:13,120 Speaker 4: fact that Hunter Biden himself has suffered with this and 1739 01:21:13,160 --> 01:21:16,320 Speaker 4: has not been prosecuted on different drug charges. The other 1740 01:21:16,360 --> 01:21:18,320 Speaker 4: reason that they might be laying the groundwork is that 1741 01:21:18,360 --> 01:21:20,080 Speaker 4: there's a real question as to whether, if it is 1742 01:21:20,160 --> 01:21:23,880 Speaker 4: Hunter Biden's his settlement, his recent settlement gets upended because 1743 01:21:23,880 --> 01:21:25,960 Speaker 4: he has a drug offense or a recent drug offense. 1744 01:21:26,000 --> 01:21:28,479 Speaker 4: So there are legitimate reasons that you could have an 1745 01:21:28,479 --> 01:21:31,439 Speaker 4: anonymous law enforcement official who's you know, speaking in the 1746 01:21:31,520 --> 01:21:34,679 Speaker 4: present tense and referring to us as like secret service, 1747 01:21:34,760 --> 01:21:38,000 Speaker 4: apparently implicitly in the Politico article, going out and talking 1748 01:21:38,000 --> 01:21:40,800 Speaker 4: to the press and saying these things that could be 1749 01:21:41,240 --> 01:21:44,880 Speaker 4: really shady and nefarious behavior on part of the White House. 1750 01:21:45,000 --> 01:21:47,479 Speaker 3: We don't know that it could be the case, and 1751 01:21:47,520 --> 01:21:47,880 Speaker 3: I do. 1752 01:21:47,800 --> 01:21:49,599 Speaker 4: Think there are a whole lot of people that if 1753 01:21:49,680 --> 01:21:52,120 Speaker 4: this belongs to someone in the Biden family or one 1754 01:21:52,120 --> 01:21:54,240 Speaker 4: of their rich friends, people are going. 1755 01:21:54,200 --> 01:21:54,680 Speaker 3: To want to know. 1756 01:21:55,240 --> 01:21:56,719 Speaker 4: And I just don't think we're going to get answers 1757 01:21:56,760 --> 01:21:58,479 Speaker 4: to it, despite the fact that, give me a break, 1758 01:21:58,479 --> 01:22:00,599 Speaker 4: you found the cocaine in a very particular area. 1759 01:22:00,800 --> 01:22:02,400 Speaker 3: You have cameras focused on that area. 1760 01:22:02,600 --> 01:22:04,240 Speaker 4: You can look at the people who've gone past that 1761 01:22:04,280 --> 01:22:06,760 Speaker 4: area taking stuff out of their bags, things falling out 1762 01:22:06,800 --> 01:22:09,839 Speaker 4: of their bags. I just think that entire excuse is nonsense, 1763 01:22:09,880 --> 01:22:12,800 Speaker 4: and it tells me that they know and that they're 1764 01:22:12,800 --> 01:22:13,800 Speaker 4: protecting something else. 1765 01:22:13,960 --> 01:22:17,480 Speaker 1: I just want everybody to get the forgiveness and forbearance 1766 01:22:17,479 --> 01:22:19,960 Speaker 1: that Hunter Biden has done with regard to his drug problems. 1767 01:22:20,040 --> 01:22:24,400 Speaker 3: That's it, Crystal, What have you got for us? 1768 01:22:24,439 --> 01:22:27,200 Speaker 1: Shortly after the Supreme Court issued their rulings, striking down 1769 01:22:27,240 --> 01:22:30,719 Speaker 1: affirmative action in college admissions. A frequently viral liberal tweeter 1770 01:22:30,800 --> 01:22:34,920 Speaker 1: named Erica marsh offered up this very eyebrow raising analysis quote, 1771 01:22:35,120 --> 01:22:38,160 Speaker 1: Today's Supreme Court decision is a direct attack on black people. 1772 01:22:38,680 --> 01:22:41,760 Speaker 1: No black person will be able to succeed in a 1773 01:22:41,880 --> 01:22:45,160 Speaker 1: merit based system, which is exactly why firmative action based 1774 01:22:45,160 --> 01:22:49,080 Speaker 1: programs were needed. Today's decision is a travesty. No black 1775 01:22:49,120 --> 01:22:52,719 Speaker 1: person can succeed on merit. Yike's talk about the definition 1776 01:22:52,800 --> 01:22:55,479 Speaker 1: of the bigotry of low expectations. The tweet was almost 1777 01:22:55,600 --> 01:22:59,559 Speaker 1: perfectly calibrated to validate conservative arguments that liberals are the 1778 01:22:59,640 --> 01:23:02,600 Speaker 1: real racists, looking at minorities as a faithless blob in 1779 01:23:02,640 --> 01:23:05,040 Speaker 1: need of charity to suage their own white liberal guilt. 1780 01:23:05,360 --> 01:23:08,240 Speaker 1: And so naturally the tweet took off was quote tweeted 1781 01:23:08,280 --> 01:23:11,960 Speaker 1: tens of thousands of times, viewed over twenty seven million times. 1782 01:23:12,400 --> 01:23:15,720 Speaker 1: Prominent Republicans people like Matt Gates stoked this fire, and 1783 01:23:15,760 --> 01:23:17,519 Speaker 1: for some group of people who saw the tweet and 1784 01:23:17,680 --> 01:23:21,759 Speaker 1: undoubtedly served to harden their minds, beliefs about what liberals 1785 01:23:21,920 --> 01:23:25,599 Speaker 1: really think, who they really are, came a minor building 1786 01:23:25,640 --> 01:23:28,439 Speaker 1: block and their little mental caricature of Democrats or liberals 1787 01:23:28,520 --> 01:23:30,720 Speaker 1: or the left that is constantly being chiseled out by 1788 01:23:30,720 --> 01:23:33,439 Speaker 1: partisan media and these sorts of viral social media posts. 1789 01:23:34,080 --> 01:23:36,439 Speaker 1: But in a plot twist that should surprise no one 1790 01:23:36,520 --> 01:23:39,679 Speaker 1: in our current era of KFA pretend politics, the account 1791 01:23:40,000 --> 01:23:43,080 Speaker 1: probably a fake Washington posted a little investigation of this 1792 01:23:43,240 --> 01:23:45,960 Speaker 1: Erica Marsh character and found that she does not appear 1793 01:23:46,000 --> 01:23:49,639 Speaker 1: to actually exist. The quote proud democrat in Washington, as 1794 01:23:49,640 --> 01:23:52,000 Speaker 1: she described herself on Twitter, doesn't show up in any 1795 01:23:52,040 --> 01:23:55,320 Speaker 1: local phone or voting records. The Biden presidential campaign, where 1796 01:23:55,320 --> 01:23:57,519 Speaker 1: she said she worked as a field organizer, has no 1797 01:23:57,640 --> 01:24:00,439 Speaker 1: record of her. Neither does the Obama Foundation, where she 1798 01:24:00,479 --> 01:24:04,160 Speaker 1: claimed to have volunteered. The photos that she used appeared 1799 01:24:04,200 --> 01:24:06,760 Speaker 1: to be digitally altered. She refused to respond to the 1800 01:24:06,760 --> 01:24:09,519 Speaker 1: post or provide any evidence of her existence as a 1801 01:24:09,560 --> 01:24:12,000 Speaker 1: real human being and not a character being crafted by 1802 01:24:12,040 --> 01:24:14,400 Speaker 1: God knows who with a goal of accomplishing God knows what. 1803 01:24:15,120 --> 01:24:17,680 Speaker 1: The account has since been suspended from Twitter, but in 1804 01:24:17,720 --> 01:24:20,200 Speaker 1: her relatively short time there on that platform less than 1805 01:24:20,200 --> 01:24:23,280 Speaker 1: two years, Erica had amassed a really large following by 1806 01:24:23,320 --> 01:24:26,800 Speaker 1: tweeting the most hilariously stereotypical liberal dribble that you can 1807 01:24:26,840 --> 01:24:30,719 Speaker 1: possibly imagine. One tweet proudly declared that she still wears 1808 01:24:30,880 --> 01:24:34,160 Speaker 1: two masks whenever I go out and support Ukraine. She 1809 01:24:34,240 --> 01:24:37,080 Speaker 1: also had a habit of copying verbatim viral tweets from 1810 01:24:37,080 --> 01:24:39,280 Speaker 1: other users to attention farm her own cloud. 1811 01:24:39,560 --> 01:24:40,600 Speaker 5: You get the idea. 1812 01:24:40,680 --> 01:24:42,759 Speaker 1: Now we have no clue who is behind this account. 1813 01:24:42,800 --> 01:24:45,839 Speaker 1: The Washington Post floats some sort of foreign malign influence campaign. 1814 01:24:45,960 --> 01:24:48,400 Speaker 1: Maybe other Twitter users have positive could be a right 1815 01:24:48,439 --> 01:24:50,719 Speaker 1: wing opt to make Democrats look as dumb as possible. 1816 01:24:51,000 --> 01:24:53,759 Speaker 1: It's also possible that Erica Marsh is a pseudonym adopted 1817 01:24:53,760 --> 01:24:55,840 Speaker 1: by a real person to share their actual views under 1818 01:24:55,840 --> 01:24:58,000 Speaker 1: a cloak of anonymity. We don't know, and in a 1819 01:24:58,000 --> 01:25:01,480 Speaker 1: certain sense, who really cares loosing out the real identity 1820 01:25:01,479 --> 01:25:04,280 Speaker 1: of some random lib Twitter account A worthwhile use of 1821 01:25:04,280 --> 01:25:07,479 Speaker 1: the journalistic resources of the Washington Post almost certainly not, 1822 01:25:07,840 --> 01:25:09,840 Speaker 1: and the instinct to hunt down the truth of Erica 1823 01:25:09,880 --> 01:25:12,280 Speaker 1: Marsh is almost certainly from the same reflex that led 1824 01:25:12,280 --> 01:25:15,320 Speaker 1: reporters to credulously believe that some bad Facebook memes from 1825 01:25:15,320 --> 01:25:18,559 Speaker 1: a Russian troll farm were determinative in electing Donald Trump. 1826 01:25:18,960 --> 01:25:21,120 Speaker 1: To me, the bigger puzzle, though, is what this one 1827 01:25:21,200 --> 01:25:25,120 Speaker 1: fake lib stereotype rage bita account says about us, about 1828 01:25:25,120 --> 01:25:28,000 Speaker 1: our political dialogue, the weird ways it turns in on 1829 01:25:28,080 --> 01:25:31,719 Speaker 1: itself and becomes increasingly strange from reality, but then also 1830 01:25:31,760 --> 01:25:32,960 Speaker 1: somehow leaks. 1831 01:25:32,680 --> 01:25:33,880 Speaker 5: Into that reality. 1832 01:25:34,320 --> 01:25:37,840 Speaker 1: After all, Erica Marsh is a fake person, but politicians 1833 01:25:37,840 --> 01:25:40,640 Speaker 1: and journalists who very much do exist engaged with this 1834 01:25:40,720 --> 01:25:45,040 Speaker 1: fake person genuinely crafting reality out of the fakery. The 1835 01:25:45,080 --> 01:25:47,519 Speaker 1: real question to me is how much of what we're 1836 01:25:47,520 --> 01:25:49,880 Speaker 1: doing in politics at this point is the equivalent of 1837 01:25:50,000 --> 01:25:54,080 Speaker 1: having arguments with Erica Marsh, fake debates with fake people 1838 01:25:54,400 --> 01:25:57,559 Speaker 1: or political ideologies, craft or respond to fake cartoon character 1839 01:25:57,640 --> 01:26:01,080 Speaker 1: ideological stereotypes that we have allowed, propagated and algorithms to 1840 01:26:01,120 --> 01:26:03,760 Speaker 1: build up in our own minds. What exactly are we 1841 01:26:03,840 --> 01:26:06,800 Speaker 1: really doing here? I'm genuinely puzzled by it. When Biden 1842 01:26:06,880 --> 01:26:09,280 Speaker 1: ran in twenty twenty, his campaign's best and most effective 1843 01:26:09,320 --> 01:26:12,639 Speaker 1: insight was that Twitter is not real life. They didn't 1844 01:26:12,640 --> 01:26:15,479 Speaker 1: respond to the reactionary online discourse of the day. They 1845 01:26:15,560 --> 01:26:18,120 Speaker 1: read the normy mood pretty well did enough at least 1846 01:26:18,120 --> 01:26:20,160 Speaker 1: to scrape together enough votes to win the White House 1847 01:26:20,320 --> 01:26:24,080 Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis, as we discussed earlier, polar opposite of that spectrum, 1848 01:26:24,280 --> 01:26:27,360 Speaker 1: hyper online rolling out campaign videos that would be downright 1849 01:26:27,400 --> 01:26:30,320 Speaker 1: incomprehensible to the overwhelming majority of Americans who do not 1850 01:26:30,360 --> 01:26:33,559 Speaker 1: spend their days tilting at Erica Marsh's. The politicians who 1851 01:26:33,640 --> 01:26:36,960 Speaker 1: are too online, too enmeshed in the fantasy world of 1852 01:26:37,000 --> 01:26:39,599 Speaker 1: the Erica Marsh type. They're hobbled when trying to win 1853 01:26:39,720 --> 01:26:42,600 Speaker 1: national elections, at least today, but it is a surefire 1854 01:26:42,680 --> 01:26:46,759 Speaker 1: way to attract Cloud. So yeah, Twitter is not real life, 1855 01:26:46,800 --> 01:26:51,120 Speaker 1: but some parts of Twitter escape into the wild into 1856 01:26:51,200 --> 01:26:54,360 Speaker 1: real life, smuggled out by the politicians who build brands 1857 01:26:54,360 --> 01:26:57,040 Speaker 1: and chase cloud in that world. And so we can't 1858 01:26:57,120 --> 01:27:01,000 Speaker 1: just dismiss the Erica marshes as inconsequential. When politicians and 1859 01:27:01,000 --> 01:27:04,320 Speaker 1: their most devoted followers and thinking and speaking and legislating, 1860 01:27:04,320 --> 01:27:06,920 Speaker 1: they're all doing this as if this is all actually real. 1861 01:27:07,439 --> 01:27:09,920 Speaker 1: And the truth is, we're easy prey. We're easy prey 1862 01:27:09,960 --> 01:27:12,280 Speaker 1: because we spend less time actually engaging in real life 1863 01:27:12,280 --> 01:27:15,360 Speaker 1: with people who are not ideologically aligned with us. We 1864 01:27:15,439 --> 01:27:17,800 Speaker 1: believe the caricatures because they don't have to bump up 1865 01:27:17,840 --> 01:27:20,800 Speaker 1: against reality very often, and because we've been persuaded to 1866 01:27:20,920 --> 01:27:24,000 Speaker 1: largely abandon politics as a real thing done in the 1867 01:27:24,040 --> 01:27:27,320 Speaker 1: real world with real people to achieve a real objective. 1868 01:27:27,920 --> 01:27:30,840 Speaker 1: In bowling alone, Robert Putnam tracks how we've received it 1869 01:27:30,880 --> 01:27:33,360 Speaker 1: from the active part of politics. We treat it more 1870 01:27:33,400 --> 01:27:36,960 Speaker 1: like a spectator sport, and of course spectator sports a 1871 01:27:36,960 --> 01:27:40,080 Speaker 1: lot more exciting, with great villains to play great heels. 1872 01:27:40,600 --> 01:27:43,360 Speaker 1: Even the real people. Though on Twitter and on social media, 1873 01:27:43,600 --> 01:27:46,439 Speaker 1: we are also playing a part, responding to the reward 1874 01:27:46,560 --> 01:27:49,559 Speaker 1: generated by algorithms and platform design in terms of service, 1875 01:27:50,000 --> 01:27:52,840 Speaker 1: treating ourselves on a daily basis to great moral conquests 1876 01:27:52,840 --> 01:27:55,080 Speaker 1: and pitch battles, and getting a sense that we're really 1877 01:27:55,080 --> 01:27:57,880 Speaker 1: doing something, approaching civic duty, playing our part in the 1878 01:27:57,880 --> 01:27:59,920 Speaker 1: great story that has our democracy, or at. 1879 01:27:59,880 --> 01:28:01,480 Speaker 5: LEAs so we imagine. 1880 01:28:01,680 --> 01:28:04,160 Speaker 1: Meanwhile, the big decisions are being taken at the Fed 1881 01:28:04,400 --> 01:28:06,919 Speaker 1: or the Treasury, on Wall Street, or in corporate boardrooms, 1882 01:28:06,960 --> 01:28:11,840 Speaker 1: where very real people take action to achieve very real goals, most. 1883 01:28:11,600 --> 01:28:13,240 Speaker 5: Often at our expense. 1884 01:28:14,360 --> 01:28:16,800 Speaker 1: In other news, this July fourth was the hottest day 1885 01:28:16,800 --> 01:28:20,559 Speaker 1: and recorded human history, the ocean hotter than ever. Scientists 1886 01:28:20,560 --> 01:28:23,120 Speaker 1: are warning that the Earth's vital signs are flashing code 1887 01:28:23,120 --> 01:28:27,000 Speaker 1: read wonder what Erica marsh might have said about it, Emily. 1888 01:28:27,520 --> 01:28:33,200 Speaker 1: This one really really got me thinking, all right, Emily, 1889 01:28:33,240 --> 01:28:33,760 Speaker 1: what are you looking at? 1890 01:28:33,880 --> 01:28:37,799 Speaker 4: Well, there's new research on marriage, and I guess people 1891 01:28:37,960 --> 01:28:38,719 Speaker 4: not getting married. 1892 01:28:38,720 --> 01:28:40,000 Speaker 3: That's probably the best way to put it. 1893 01:28:40,040 --> 01:28:43,360 Speaker 4: I want to start by actually Washington Examiner article by 1894 01:28:43,400 --> 01:28:46,280 Speaker 4: Brad Wilcox with the University of Virginia and the Institute 1895 01:28:46,280 --> 01:28:49,479 Speaker 4: for Family Studies on this new Pew research. We'll get 1896 01:28:49,520 --> 01:28:51,080 Speaker 4: to the Pew research in a second, but I first 1897 01:28:51,080 --> 01:28:53,400 Speaker 4: wanted to read the way Brad put it because I 1898 01:28:53,400 --> 01:28:57,000 Speaker 4: think he adds really really important framing not just that 1899 01:28:57,040 --> 01:28:59,680 Speaker 4: the left misses, but also that the right misses and 1900 01:28:59,720 --> 01:29:02,200 Speaker 4: has missed for years and years and years. So Brad writes, 1901 01:29:02,400 --> 01:29:04,920 Speaker 4: a record high twenty five percent of forty year olds 1902 01:29:04,920 --> 01:29:07,479 Speaker 4: in the United States were never married in twenty twenty one, 1903 01:29:07,640 --> 01:29:10,679 Speaker 4: according to sobering new statistics from the Pew Research Center. 1904 01:29:10,920 --> 01:29:14,200 Speaker 4: That statistic, and this is really important, compares to just 1905 01:29:14,360 --> 01:29:18,080 Speaker 4: six percent of never married forty year olds in nineteen eighty. 1906 01:29:18,200 --> 01:29:22,200 Speaker 4: So twenty five percent now six percent in nineteen eighty. Now, 1907 01:29:22,240 --> 01:29:24,320 Speaker 4: Brad goes on to say, digging further into the Pew 1908 01:29:24,360 --> 01:29:26,800 Speaker 4: data reveals that this retreat for marriage and family has 1909 01:29:26,920 --> 01:29:32,400 Speaker 4: hit vulnerable populations and the hardest, including minorities, the working class, 1910 01:29:32,439 --> 01:29:33,640 Speaker 4: and poor Americans. 1911 01:29:33,840 --> 01:29:35,720 Speaker 3: The upper classes continue. 1912 01:29:35,320 --> 01:29:38,479 Speaker 4: To marry, forge stable unions, and enjoy reasonable, reasonably happy 1913 01:29:38,520 --> 01:29:41,280 Speaker 4: family life, with the lower classes drift into a world 1914 01:29:41,320 --> 01:29:44,680 Speaker 4: of relational chaos. So some folks might not agree that 1915 01:29:44,720 --> 01:29:48,120 Speaker 4: marriage is essential to happiness and stability, and we'll get 1916 01:29:48,160 --> 01:29:50,479 Speaker 4: to that in just a second. But first let's zoom 1917 01:29:50,520 --> 01:29:54,400 Speaker 4: in on Brad's framing about who's being hit the hardest 1918 01:29:54,479 --> 01:29:56,960 Speaker 4: by this decline in marriage, at least at the age 1919 01:29:57,000 --> 01:30:00,000 Speaker 4: of forty. So let's put Pew's data up on the screen. 1920 01:30:00,160 --> 01:30:02,880 Speaker 4: So this is as of twenty twenty one. According to 1921 01:30:02,960 --> 01:30:06,639 Speaker 4: a recent a new Ugh analysis of Census Bureau data, 1922 01:30:06,760 --> 01:30:08,679 Speaker 4: as of twenty twenty one, twenty five percent of forty 1923 01:30:08,720 --> 01:30:10,679 Speaker 4: year olds in the US had never been married. As 1924 01:30:10,800 --> 01:30:14,160 Speaker 4: Brad said, but that was just from twenty ten. You 1925 01:30:14,240 --> 01:30:18,160 Speaker 4: get a five percent increase. Now look at these demographics, 1926 01:30:18,160 --> 01:30:20,320 Speaker 4: So black forty year olds were much more likely to 1927 01:30:20,439 --> 01:30:23,559 Speaker 4: have never married than Hispanic, White, Asia and Asian forty 1928 01:30:23,640 --> 01:30:26,720 Speaker 4: year olds. Education level forty year olds without a four 1929 01:30:26,800 --> 01:30:29,719 Speaker 4: year college degree were much more likely to have never 1930 01:30:29,760 --> 01:30:32,879 Speaker 4: married than those who had at least completed a bachelor's degree. 1931 01:30:33,000 --> 01:30:34,720 Speaker 4: One third of those with the high school diploma or 1932 01:30:34,800 --> 01:30:37,000 Speaker 4: less had never married, compared with twenty six percent of 1933 01:30:37,000 --> 01:30:39,639 Speaker 4: those with some college education and eighteen percent of those 1934 01:30:39,880 --> 01:30:43,240 Speaker 4: with a bachelor's degree or more education. Now, the overall 1935 01:30:43,280 --> 01:30:45,360 Speaker 4: decrease in the shriff four year olds who have married 1936 01:30:45,600 --> 01:30:48,040 Speaker 4: is especially notable, Pew says because the shriff forty year 1937 01:30:48,040 --> 01:30:50,640 Speaker 4: olds who had completed at least a bachelor's degree was 1938 01:30:50,800 --> 01:30:53,840 Speaker 4: much higher. So there's more people in that position in 1939 01:30:53,880 --> 01:30:56,559 Speaker 4: twenty twenty one than in nineteen eighty. That went from 1940 01:30:56,800 --> 01:31:00,160 Speaker 4: eighteen percent to thirty nine percent. So that's huge. It's 1941 01:31:00,200 --> 01:31:04,240 Speaker 4: a bigger group in a really powerful way. PW does 1942 01:31:04,320 --> 01:31:08,160 Speaker 4: conclude their article on this new analysis with some note 1943 01:31:08,200 --> 01:31:08,519 Speaker 4: of caution. 1944 01:31:08,680 --> 01:31:09,519 Speaker 3: They say, we. 1945 01:31:09,479 --> 01:31:12,200 Speaker 4: Can't assume that if someone is not married by age forty, 1946 01:31:12,439 --> 01:31:15,120 Speaker 4: they never will. In fact, they continue, about one in 1947 01:31:15,240 --> 01:31:16,800 Speaker 4: four forty year olds who had not married in two 1948 01:31:16,800 --> 01:31:19,120 Speaker 4: thousand and one had done so by age sixty. If 1949 01:31:19,160 --> 01:31:21,639 Speaker 4: that pattern holds, a similar sheriff, today's never married forty 1950 01:31:21,680 --> 01:31:24,439 Speaker 4: year olds will marry in the coming decades. 1951 01:31:24,840 --> 01:31:26,519 Speaker 3: That is a really big if. 1952 01:31:26,760 --> 01:31:30,000 Speaker 4: So while I appreciate Pugh, especially the social scientists at 1953 01:31:30,040 --> 01:31:32,200 Speaker 4: Pugh putting that in there, it is a really, really, 1954 01:31:32,200 --> 01:31:34,120 Speaker 4: really big if because of where we see the trend 1955 01:31:34,160 --> 01:31:37,400 Speaker 4: lines going. That said, it's still even if people are 1956 01:31:37,439 --> 01:31:41,599 Speaker 4: simply delaying marriage to forty or later, that can come 1957 01:31:41,680 --> 01:31:44,679 Speaker 4: with serious complications for their life and less than ideal 1958 01:31:44,680 --> 01:31:46,840 Speaker 4: complications for their life in ways that we're going to 1959 01:31:46,880 --> 01:31:50,360 Speaker 4: talk about right now, because that's what's really important. So 1960 01:31:51,120 --> 01:31:53,839 Speaker 4: education by social scientists is used as a really helpful 1961 01:31:53,840 --> 01:31:57,559 Speaker 4: proxy for class and you can see that born out 1962 01:31:57,600 --> 01:31:59,040 Speaker 4: in a whole lot of data. And so what we're 1963 01:31:59,080 --> 01:32:02,320 Speaker 4: really looking at here is exactly what Brad describes wealthy 1964 01:32:02,360 --> 01:32:04,559 Speaker 4: people who have taken to the pages of and I 1965 01:32:04,560 --> 01:32:07,479 Speaker 4: did a little look yesterday at some recent articles where 1966 01:32:07,640 --> 01:32:11,880 Speaker 4: marriage has been disparaged as an institution, disparaged as outdated 1967 01:32:12,160 --> 01:32:17,280 Speaker 4: and not of much use anymore, Business Insider, the Atlantic, Teen, Vogue, 1968 01:32:17,320 --> 01:32:19,400 Speaker 4: the New York Times. The people who are taking to 1969 01:32:19,439 --> 01:32:24,920 Speaker 4: the pages of those elite media outlets are actually getting 1970 01:32:24,920 --> 01:32:27,640 Speaker 4: married at higher rates and really always have been. My 1971 01:32:27,720 --> 01:32:30,320 Speaker 4: old boss Tim Carney over at the Washington Examiner wrote 1972 01:32:30,360 --> 01:32:33,280 Speaker 4: a great book called Alienated America which is always behind 1973 01:32:33,280 --> 01:32:35,080 Speaker 4: me on the shelf. Here on the new set, he 1974 01:32:35,120 --> 01:32:37,800 Speaker 4: wrote about what he calls the Lena Dunham fallacy, which 1975 01:32:37,840 --> 01:32:40,519 Speaker 4: is just a wonderful turn of phrase, but he also 1976 01:32:40,560 --> 01:32:42,760 Speaker 4: defines it in a really important way as quote, the 1977 01:32:42,760 --> 01:32:47,000 Speaker 4: tendency to attribute to decadent elites social phenomena really located 1978 01:32:47,080 --> 01:32:50,280 Speaker 4: among the working class, and the inclination to quote blame 1979 01:32:50,320 --> 01:32:53,679 Speaker 4: cultural shifts away from the traditional norms on highly educated, 1980 01:32:53,960 --> 01:32:57,960 Speaker 4: wealthy white liberals. So you know, we're typically people on 1981 01:32:58,000 --> 01:33:00,920 Speaker 4: the right, especially if you look at sort of the 1982 01:33:00,960 --> 01:33:04,120 Speaker 4: narrative in the language around like welfare queens. You say, oh, 1983 01:33:04,200 --> 01:33:09,679 Speaker 4: these welfare queens and welfare communities are destroying American culture, 1984 01:33:09,720 --> 01:33:12,320 Speaker 4: et cetera, et cetera. It's just a completely ridiculous argument 1985 01:33:12,360 --> 01:33:15,480 Speaker 4: because what you have actually are elites who are conditioning 1986 01:33:15,560 --> 01:33:19,600 Speaker 4: all of us over and over again with cultural messaging 1987 01:33:20,160 --> 01:33:24,840 Speaker 4: in media and elsewhere to say, oh, marriage not really 1988 01:33:24,880 --> 01:33:26,559 Speaker 4: that important, but it is. 1989 01:33:26,760 --> 01:33:28,160 Speaker 3: And this is where again. 1990 01:33:28,160 --> 01:33:31,000 Speaker 4: Maybe some folks agree, but I think it's really important 1991 01:33:31,400 --> 01:33:35,879 Speaker 4: to zoom in and realize that the bulk of research 1992 01:33:36,040 --> 01:33:39,639 Speaker 4: suggests that marriage and happiness actually are coordinated. 1993 01:33:39,640 --> 01:33:41,519 Speaker 3: They actually are. They go together. 1994 01:33:41,760 --> 01:33:44,559 Speaker 4: Marriage actually is a source of great happiness for people, 1995 01:33:44,640 --> 01:33:46,560 Speaker 4: even though you know, people have been told for a 1996 01:33:46,600 --> 01:33:51,160 Speaker 4: really long time that you can you find happiness outside marriage, 1997 01:33:51,320 --> 01:33:54,799 Speaker 4: et cetera, et cetera. That's true, But the research shows 1998 01:33:54,880 --> 01:33:57,720 Speaker 4: us that marriage is one of the best predictors of 1999 01:33:57,800 --> 01:34:01,680 Speaker 4: happiness and also one of the best predictors of stability 2000 01:34:01,720 --> 01:34:05,240 Speaker 4: for children being raised in a household with two married parents, 2001 01:34:05,400 --> 01:34:09,120 Speaker 4: especially upward mobility. People who grow up with less money 2002 01:34:09,120 --> 01:34:12,720 Speaker 4: but in a household with two married parents are more 2003 01:34:12,800 --> 01:34:16,080 Speaker 4: likely to experience upward mobility and escape the cycle of poverty. 2004 01:34:16,320 --> 01:34:19,400 Speaker 4: And that's another essential element of all of this in 2005 01:34:19,439 --> 01:34:21,640 Speaker 4: the class framework that again the right misses and the 2006 01:34:21,680 --> 01:34:24,120 Speaker 4: left definitely misses. This is also from the Institute of 2007 01:34:24,120 --> 01:34:27,880 Speaker 4: Family Studies quote. The story is straightforward. They're obviously pro marriage, 2008 01:34:27,880 --> 01:34:29,680 Speaker 4: but taking a look at the sort of research here, 2009 01:34:29,720 --> 01:34:32,559 Speaker 4: they say married respondents are much happier, and consistent with 2010 01:34:32,640 --> 01:34:35,400 Speaker 4: prior research, parents are a little less happy than non 2011 01:34:35,439 --> 01:34:39,280 Speaker 4: parents provided they are unmarried. So parents are a little 2012 01:34:39,320 --> 01:34:42,519 Speaker 4: less happy than non parents when they're unmarried. And again, 2013 01:34:42,680 --> 01:34:45,639 Speaker 4: like this is sometimes very logical, it's really really hard 2014 01:34:45,920 --> 01:34:48,640 Speaker 4: to single parent, it's really hard to deal with the 2015 01:34:48,640 --> 01:34:54,439 Speaker 4: complications of you know, that entire system and to deal 2016 01:34:54,479 --> 01:34:57,160 Speaker 4: with you know, in so many cases, you know the 2017 01:34:57,760 --> 01:35:00,680 Speaker 4: pain that women experience when they delay marriage to the 2018 01:35:00,680 --> 01:35:04,160 Speaker 4: point where as Limeonstone has demonstrated for ifs as well. 2019 01:35:04,080 --> 01:35:06,240 Speaker 3: They're not having as many kids as they say they want. 2020 01:35:06,760 --> 01:35:08,800 Speaker 4: It's one thing for women to have fewer kids and 2021 01:35:08,840 --> 01:35:11,519 Speaker 4: to say, you know, women are able to exercise choice 2022 01:35:11,760 --> 01:35:14,160 Speaker 4: and are making these decisions on their own, and they're 2023 01:35:14,200 --> 01:35:16,960 Speaker 4: able to plan it thanks to technology in ways that 2024 01:35:17,479 --> 01:35:18,360 Speaker 4: makes them happier. 2025 01:35:18,400 --> 01:35:21,040 Speaker 3: Sure, but it's also a problem. 2026 01:35:20,680 --> 01:35:22,200 Speaker 4: When you get to the point where women want to 2027 01:35:22,240 --> 01:35:25,000 Speaker 4: have more children than they're actually able to have. In 2028 01:35:25,040 --> 01:35:28,320 Speaker 4: some cases, because let's talk about it, student loans, something 2029 01:35:28,320 --> 01:35:30,240 Speaker 4: the right doesn't want to talk about. Being saddled with 2030 01:35:30,320 --> 01:35:33,360 Speaker 4: tens of thousands of dollars of debt in student loans 2031 01:35:33,400 --> 01:35:35,280 Speaker 4: by a system that lied to you and so this 2032 01:35:35,360 --> 01:35:37,679 Speaker 4: was your ticket to the middle class. You graduate college 2033 01:35:37,720 --> 01:35:39,680 Speaker 4: with tens of thousands of dollars in debt, you're not 2034 01:35:39,720 --> 01:35:42,679 Speaker 4: able to buy a home, you don't feel stable, and 2035 01:35:42,760 --> 01:35:45,599 Speaker 4: in some cases, as polling suggests, you're putting off marriage 2036 01:35:45,640 --> 01:35:48,840 Speaker 4: specifically because you're saddled with a crazy amount of student 2037 01:35:48,880 --> 01:35:51,920 Speaker 4: loan debt. All of these things are contributing to a 2038 01:35:51,960 --> 01:35:54,479 Speaker 4: place where, you know, if P is correct and this 2039 01:35:54,600 --> 01:35:57,839 Speaker 4: trend picks up, you know, people are marrying after forty 2040 01:35:57,960 --> 01:36:00,439 Speaker 4: at a rate that's similar to in the eighties or 2041 01:36:00,439 --> 01:36:03,320 Speaker 4: even before that. We'll see that has yet to be determined, 2042 01:36:03,520 --> 01:36:06,760 Speaker 4: but even that is barely a positive metric, because you'll 2043 01:36:06,880 --> 01:36:09,559 Speaker 4: end up again worsening this cycle of women having fewer 2044 01:36:09,640 --> 01:36:13,280 Speaker 4: children than they want to and people experiencing a lot 2045 01:36:13,280 --> 01:36:17,959 Speaker 4: of really unhappy years, unnecessarily so because of the cultural 2046 01:36:18,000 --> 01:36:19,559 Speaker 4: and social conditions. 2047 01:36:19,360 --> 01:36:20,360 Speaker 3: That they were. 2048 01:36:21,320 --> 01:36:24,040 Speaker 4: Basically like that you should these are the waters that 2049 01:36:24,080 --> 01:36:26,240 Speaker 4: we swim in. As Crystal use that phrase in an 2050 01:36:26,240 --> 01:36:28,800 Speaker 4: earlier segment, this is not a culture. This is not 2051 01:36:28,840 --> 01:36:31,840 Speaker 4: a political system that incentivizes these things. It's not a 2052 01:36:31,880 --> 01:36:36,040 Speaker 4: political system or a culture that has created healthy conditions 2053 01:36:36,040 --> 01:36:38,240 Speaker 4: for any of it. And I think what's absolutely essential 2054 01:36:38,280 --> 01:36:41,519 Speaker 4: to realize is that this is a system being rigged 2055 01:36:41,560 --> 01:36:44,840 Speaker 4: by elites who are not themselves practicing what they preach 2056 01:36:45,000 --> 01:36:48,120 Speaker 4: to absolutely everyone else, which is marriage is and all 2057 01:36:48,120 --> 01:36:51,000 Speaker 4: that important. It's not essential to happiness. You can find 2058 01:36:51,000 --> 01:36:55,120 Speaker 4: your happiness in work. That's a huge Sheryl Sandberg line. 2059 01:36:55,400 --> 01:36:57,800 Speaker 4: That's what you hear all the time from corporate executives. 2060 01:36:58,240 --> 01:37:00,920 Speaker 4: And you see that even in Jacobin, a review of 2061 01:37:01,000 --> 01:37:04,040 Speaker 4: a new Pixar movie this month that you talked about 2062 01:37:04,040 --> 01:37:07,439 Speaker 4: how Pixar often depicts people finding their happiness in work. 2063 01:37:07,479 --> 01:37:09,240 Speaker 4: They compared it to like a Rand novel, which I 2064 01:37:09,240 --> 01:37:12,040 Speaker 4: think is maybe a little bit far. But the point remains, 2065 01:37:12,040 --> 01:37:14,680 Speaker 4: this is a culture that talks excessively about finding your 2066 01:37:14,680 --> 01:37:17,840 Speaker 4: happiness in work and not in family life. And that 2067 01:37:17,960 --> 01:37:19,880 Speaker 4: is the pendulum swinging way too far back in the 2068 01:37:19,920 --> 01:37:23,360 Speaker 4: other direction. And again, it is hurting the working class 2069 01:37:23,439 --> 01:37:26,400 Speaker 4: more than elites, and elites know that because they are 2070 01:37:26,439 --> 01:37:31,120 Speaker 4: not following the same patterns that they prescribe for everybody else. Crystal, Yes, 2071 01:37:31,479 --> 01:37:32,280 Speaker 4: this is frustrating. 2072 01:37:33,000 --> 01:37:33,760 Speaker 3: From the right, and. 2073 01:37:36,840 --> 01:37:39,600 Speaker 1: The nation of Israel just completed a deadly assault on 2074 01:37:39,640 --> 01:37:41,120 Speaker 1: the Palestinian city of Jeanine. 2075 01:37:41,200 --> 01:37:42,760 Speaker 5: Let's go and put this up on the screen from 2076 01:37:42,760 --> 01:37:43,439 Speaker 5: Common Dreams. 2077 01:37:43,439 --> 01:37:48,719 Speaker 1: Their headline here, catastrophic Israeli forces unleash humanitarian disaster in Janine. 2078 01:37:48,760 --> 01:37:50,679 Speaker 5: Let me read you a little bit of this. They say. 2079 01:37:50,680 --> 01:37:52,760 Speaker 1: Thousands of people who live in that city, in the 2080 01:37:52,800 --> 01:37:56,200 Speaker 1: occupied West Bank, are reportedly fleeing the poverty stricken refugee 2081 01:37:56,200 --> 01:37:59,880 Speaker 1: camp as Israeli military forces Tuesday continued to batter the cities, 2082 01:38:00,120 --> 01:38:04,000 Speaker 1: water power, and healthcare infrastructure. Mohammad Abu Talal, a resident 2083 01:38:04,040 --> 01:38:06,160 Speaker 1: of the camp, told Middle East I on Tuesday, a 2084 01:38:06,240 --> 01:38:08,559 Speaker 1: day after a large scale assault by the IDF left 2085 01:38:08,600 --> 01:38:11,160 Speaker 1: at least ten Palestinians dead and scores more wounded, that 2086 01:38:11,200 --> 01:38:14,160 Speaker 1: the refugee camps quote streets are all dug up and 2087 01:38:14,240 --> 01:38:18,840 Speaker 1: uprooted by bulldozers used by the Israeli forces. We're lucky 2088 01:38:18,880 --> 01:38:20,640 Speaker 1: to be joined by a great guest this morning who 2089 01:38:20,680 --> 01:38:22,479 Speaker 1: can help break down the situation and what we know 2090 01:38:22,560 --> 01:38:24,800 Speaker 1: at this point. O Marsha care serves as the Israel 2091 01:38:24,840 --> 01:38:27,960 Speaker 1: and Palestine director at Human Rights Watch. He investigates their 2092 01:38:28,120 --> 01:38:32,200 Speaker 1: human rights abuses in Israel, the West Bank and Gaza. Welcome, Omar, glad. 2093 01:38:32,000 --> 01:38:33,679 Speaker 3: To have you, Thanks for having me. 2094 01:38:34,240 --> 01:38:35,639 Speaker 5: So just tell us what we know so far? 2095 01:38:36,280 --> 01:38:37,160 Speaker 3: Sure, So, what we know. 2096 01:38:37,240 --> 01:38:40,320 Speaker 8: Is in this two day military incursion into the Janina 2097 01:38:40,360 --> 01:38:44,160 Speaker 8: refugee camp in the occupied West Bank, Israeli forces killed 2098 01:38:44,600 --> 01:38:50,880 Speaker 8: twelve Palestinians. Scores more were injured, including children. Children are 2099 01:38:50,880 --> 01:38:53,439 Speaker 8: among those killed. We know that more than three thousand 2100 01:38:53,600 --> 01:38:58,000 Speaker 8: five hundred Palestinians were displaced from their homes in the 2101 01:38:58,080 --> 01:39:01,799 Speaker 8: refugee camp. We know that thousands more had their access 2102 01:39:01,800 --> 01:39:05,280 Speaker 8: to electricity and water cuts, and we know that for 2103 01:39:05,560 --> 01:39:10,479 Speaker 8: long stretches, ambulances were blocked from entering the refugee camp 2104 01:39:10,520 --> 01:39:15,000 Speaker 8: to provide health services. Hospitals were struck by tear guest canisters. 2105 01:39:15,360 --> 01:39:18,040 Speaker 8: And this isn't some one off event. Janine has been 2106 01:39:18,120 --> 01:39:20,680 Speaker 8: for much of the last year and a half frequently 2107 01:39:20,760 --> 01:39:24,320 Speaker 8: targeted by the Israeli army. In fact, we're seeing unprecedented 2108 01:39:24,800 --> 01:39:28,320 Speaker 8: numbers of Palestinians gunned down in the West Bank. And 2109 01:39:28,360 --> 01:39:32,240 Speaker 8: this is in year fifty seven of an occupation that's 2110 01:39:32,280 --> 01:39:34,400 Speaker 8: been going on for far too long. 2111 01:39:35,320 --> 01:39:37,960 Speaker 3: So I want to ask about the counterpoint here. 2112 01:39:38,000 --> 01:39:41,080 Speaker 4: This is from Lisa Daftari, which is obviously she's a 2113 01:39:41,160 --> 01:39:44,559 Speaker 4: very vigorous defender of Israel. Her publication reported that Israel 2114 01:39:44,600 --> 01:39:47,880 Speaker 4: reviewed details revealed details about an underground terris route that 2115 01:39:47,920 --> 01:39:50,360 Speaker 4: was uncovered in a mosque. Lisa said, the mainstream media 2116 01:39:50,360 --> 01:39:51,800 Speaker 4: only times and now to tell you about the so 2117 01:39:51,880 --> 01:39:54,640 Speaker 4: called war crimes Israel's committed by going into Janine. They 2118 01:39:54,720 --> 01:39:57,120 Speaker 4: leave out these small details. So argument is that this 2119 01:39:57,200 --> 01:39:59,360 Speaker 4: is on the heels of a sort of broader assault 2120 01:39:59,439 --> 01:40:03,160 Speaker 4: on Israel and its retaliation, et cetera, et cetera. What 2121 01:40:03,360 --> 01:40:08,000 Speaker 4: is your response to that line of argumentation. I'm sure 2122 01:40:08,040 --> 01:40:10,400 Speaker 4: I disagree with it, but what are people who claim 2123 01:40:10,400 --> 01:40:12,240 Speaker 4: there's validity to that getting wrong? 2124 01:40:12,760 --> 01:40:13,000 Speaker 3: Sure? 2125 01:40:13,000 --> 01:40:14,360 Speaker 8: I think part of it is, like, you know, we 2126 01:40:14,439 --> 01:40:17,360 Speaker 8: see this argument being used all the time in Gaza, 2127 01:40:17,400 --> 01:40:20,920 Speaker 8: for example, and it's been seventeen years of continuous rounds 2128 01:40:20,920 --> 01:40:22,800 Speaker 8: of assaults and escalations. 2129 01:40:22,880 --> 01:40:23,000 Speaker 6: Right. 2130 01:40:23,040 --> 01:40:26,600 Speaker 8: The reality here is this is part of a methodical policy. 2131 01:40:27,000 --> 01:40:32,640 Speaker 8: Human rights organizations, including Israeli human rights organizations Palestinian International 2132 01:40:32,760 --> 01:40:35,680 Speaker 8: upset that the Israeli government is committing the crime of 2133 01:40:35,760 --> 01:40:40,519 Speaker 8: aparthet against Palestinians. There is no security justification for Israel 2134 01:40:40,600 --> 01:40:44,760 Speaker 8: exproporating Palestinian land to build settlements. There is no security 2135 01:40:44,840 --> 01:40:48,800 Speaker 8: justification for giving building permits to build settlements which are 2136 01:40:48,800 --> 01:40:52,439 Speaker 8: illegal and denying them for Palestinians to add extensions to 2137 01:40:52,479 --> 01:40:56,439 Speaker 8: their own. There is no security justification for policies that 2138 01:40:56,520 --> 01:41:01,120 Speaker 8: deny residency rights for Palestinians to live with their Israeli 2139 01:41:02,160 --> 01:41:05,200 Speaker 8: partner in Israel, but allow it to foreigners of any 2140 01:41:05,240 --> 01:41:10,200 Speaker 8: other nationality. Security is frequently invoked. It's often pretextual, and 2141 01:41:10,360 --> 01:41:13,960 Speaker 8: even when security is part of the consideration, and of 2142 01:41:13,960 --> 01:41:16,080 Speaker 8: course there have been Israelis who have been who have 2143 01:41:16,160 --> 01:41:19,680 Speaker 8: been killed, the Israeli government goes so far beyond with 2144 01:41:19,840 --> 01:41:24,280 Speaker 8: international law authorizes, right, you know, actions that affect thousands 2145 01:41:24,320 --> 01:41:28,960 Speaker 8: of people, that displace them, that they no more justify 2146 01:41:29,080 --> 01:41:32,439 Speaker 8: these actions, you know, than torture invoked in the name 2147 01:41:32,479 --> 01:41:35,360 Speaker 8: of security would justify those particular actions. 2148 01:41:36,640 --> 01:41:38,760 Speaker 1: Talk to us a little bit about this current net 2149 01:41:38,880 --> 01:41:42,479 Speaker 1: Yahoo government, which has been described, I think justifiably so 2150 01:41:42,760 --> 01:41:45,320 Speaker 1: as the most far right, especially some of the coalition 2151 01:41:45,439 --> 01:41:48,080 Speaker 1: partners that are part of this government, and the most 2152 01:41:48,080 --> 01:41:51,680 Speaker 1: far right government in Israeli history. Do you see this 2153 01:41:51,840 --> 01:41:56,439 Speaker 1: action as a character different from some of the assaults 2154 01:41:56,479 --> 01:41:59,240 Speaker 1: that have gone on under previous administrations. 2155 01:42:00,120 --> 01:42:03,479 Speaker 8: So you're right to highlight the continuity these policies. I mean, 2156 01:42:03,520 --> 01:42:07,439 Speaker 8: the difference is one of scale, not kind, right, So 2157 01:42:07,479 --> 01:42:10,560 Speaker 8: I think this government has been very explicit. The founding 2158 01:42:11,040 --> 01:42:14,880 Speaker 8: texts that created the coalition sets out that their primary 2159 01:42:14,920 --> 01:42:19,160 Speaker 8: objectives ensuring the exclusive and that's in quotes right of 2160 01:42:19,200 --> 01:42:22,040 Speaker 8: the Jewish people to the land between the Jordan River 2161 01:42:22,080 --> 01:42:25,200 Speaker 8: and the Mediterranean Sea. The problem is half that population 2162 01:42:25,240 --> 01:42:28,680 Speaker 8: who lives there are not Jewish, They're Palestinian. And the 2163 01:42:28,680 --> 01:42:33,400 Speaker 8: government has been very explicit about expanding settlements, about demolishing 2164 01:42:33,439 --> 01:42:38,000 Speaker 8: Palestinian homes, about relaxing the use of force standards that 2165 01:42:38,160 --> 01:42:42,000 Speaker 8: make it more easy to kill Palestinians. They're not hiding it. 2166 01:42:42,040 --> 01:42:46,040 Speaker 8: They're saying that the current reality is the you know, 2167 01:42:46,200 --> 01:42:49,000 Speaker 8: is the final solution. There is no you know, sort 2168 01:42:49,040 --> 01:42:50,080 Speaker 8: of peace process. 2169 01:42:50,120 --> 01:42:51,040 Speaker 5: There is no plan. 2170 01:42:51,400 --> 01:42:55,200 Speaker 8: There's just a transparent policy to ensure the well being 2171 01:42:55,240 --> 01:42:57,880 Speaker 8: of the Jewish people at the expense of Palestinians. And 2172 01:42:57,960 --> 01:43:00,520 Speaker 8: more and more people are calling this out as apartheid. 2173 01:43:01,200 --> 01:43:03,639 Speaker 8: And that's sort of where the conversation shifting. I think 2174 01:43:03,680 --> 01:43:06,360 Speaker 8: in the US that conversation is not caught up with 2175 01:43:06,439 --> 01:43:07,920 Speaker 8: where it is in the rest of the world. But 2176 01:43:08,200 --> 01:43:12,200 Speaker 8: it's the transparent consensus within the human rights movement and 2177 01:43:12,240 --> 01:43:15,360 Speaker 8: by more and more voices from the former UN Secretary 2178 01:43:15,439 --> 01:43:19,360 Speaker 8: General to leading former Israeli government officials, to governments like 2179 01:43:19,400 --> 01:43:22,639 Speaker 8: South Africa and Indonesia, governments across the world. 2180 01:43:23,439 --> 01:43:27,080 Speaker 4: So what's the immediate future look like for Janine on 2181 01:43:27,160 --> 01:43:29,519 Speaker 4: the heels of all of this, you know, in the 2182 01:43:29,560 --> 01:43:32,240 Speaker 4: coming days, the coming weeks, the coming months, what can 2183 01:43:32,840 --> 01:43:34,880 Speaker 4: observers expect to see out of the region. 2184 01:43:35,600 --> 01:43:38,040 Speaker 8: I'm afraid I don't have much optimistic to share with you, 2185 01:43:38,160 --> 01:43:44,000 Speaker 8: because this situation is in some ways unprecedentedly bad. And 2186 01:43:44,120 --> 01:43:47,640 Speaker 8: the problem we have here is that when these cycles 2187 01:43:47,640 --> 01:43:51,400 Speaker 8: of violence take place, when war crimes and other abuses 2188 01:43:51,439 --> 01:43:52,920 Speaker 8: take place, and by the way, not just by the 2189 01:43:52,960 --> 01:43:56,719 Speaker 8: Israeli government, sometimes these abuses are committed by Palestinian actors, 2190 01:43:56,960 --> 01:44:02,559 Speaker 8: there is systematically no accountability, so that fuels a cycle 2191 01:44:02,600 --> 01:44:05,880 Speaker 8: of impunity. So we see the same kinds of things 2192 01:44:05,920 --> 01:44:08,879 Speaker 8: happening again and again. People forget that the Gene refugee 2193 01:44:08,960 --> 01:44:12,040 Speaker 8: camp twenty years ago was the site of an Israeli 2194 01:44:12,080 --> 01:44:16,080 Speaker 8: incursion that left scores of Palestinians killed. So until you 2195 01:44:16,160 --> 01:44:20,080 Speaker 8: actually address the lack of accountability and you deal with 2196 01:44:20,120 --> 01:44:24,080 Speaker 8: the root causes to the systemic violence, which include at 2197 01:44:24,120 --> 01:44:28,479 Speaker 8: its core, Israel's apartheid against Palestinians, I'm afraid you're going 2198 01:44:28,520 --> 01:44:33,559 Speaker 8: to continue to see cycles of these violence take place, 2199 01:44:33,680 --> 01:44:38,719 Speaker 8: more raids, more killings, you know, more limited collective punishment 2200 01:44:38,760 --> 01:44:42,240 Speaker 8: that amounts to less access to electricity, water, et cetera. 2201 01:44:42,360 --> 01:44:46,240 Speaker 8: The solution is to recognize the reality of systematic rights 2202 01:44:46,240 --> 01:44:50,679 Speaker 8: abuse and complicity and ensure accountability for those serious abuses 2203 01:44:51,280 --> 01:44:51,799 Speaker 8: and OMAR. 2204 01:44:51,840 --> 01:44:56,840 Speaker 1: Finally, we tracked closely here huge protests across Israel bringing 2205 01:44:56,880 --> 01:44:59,600 Speaker 1: together are a lot of different groups in reaction to 2206 01:44:59,720 --> 01:45:02,639 Speaker 1: what is widely seen and I think justifiably so as 2207 01:45:02,640 --> 01:45:07,960 Speaker 1: a sort of judicial takeover attempt from NETANYAHUU and his government. 2208 01:45:08,479 --> 01:45:12,639 Speaker 1: Do you see any signs of similar pushback against these 2209 01:45:12,680 --> 01:45:17,479 Speaker 1: types of deadly assaults? Is their widespread public support for 2210 01:45:17,680 --> 01:45:20,080 Speaker 1: these type of actions from the Israeli people. 2211 01:45:20,880 --> 01:45:24,400 Speaker 8: So look, there's a minority, but there is a contingent 2212 01:45:24,400 --> 01:45:27,240 Speaker 8: of Israelis that show up every week at these protests 2213 01:45:27,280 --> 01:45:31,280 Speaker 8: with signs that make the linkage between the judicial overhaul 2214 01:45:31,439 --> 01:45:36,680 Speaker 8: and the repression apartheid occupation of Palestinians. There's still a minority. 2215 01:45:36,760 --> 01:45:40,719 Speaker 8: The majority protest movement has largely focused on the issue 2216 01:45:40,760 --> 01:45:43,559 Speaker 8: of the judiciary, but more and more people are drawing 2217 01:45:43,640 --> 01:45:47,200 Speaker 8: the connections that understand that what's happening in Israel is 2218 01:45:47,200 --> 01:45:52,880 Speaker 8: the inevitable result of decades of illegality, in the West Bank, 2219 01:45:52,920 --> 01:45:56,400 Speaker 8: of impunity, and in many of these forces that have 2220 01:45:56,520 --> 01:46:00,000 Speaker 8: risen to power that are pushing the judicial overhaul actually 2221 01:46:00,160 --> 01:46:03,000 Speaker 8: you know, come from the settler movement, actually want to 2222 01:46:03,040 --> 01:46:07,160 Speaker 8: import you know, these values there. So some linkages are 2223 01:46:07,160 --> 01:46:09,880 Speaker 8: being drawn. It's not enough, and I think it's quite 2224 01:46:09,960 --> 01:46:12,640 Speaker 8: important that we continue to make the connection, you know, 2225 01:46:12,680 --> 01:46:16,479 Speaker 8: between these issues because ultimately, yes, the judiciary has been 2226 01:46:16,520 --> 01:46:19,120 Speaker 8: a rubber stamp on many if the abuse of policies 2227 01:46:19,160 --> 01:46:21,559 Speaker 8: of the occupation, you know, But at the same time, 2228 01:46:21,680 --> 01:46:25,800 Speaker 8: obviously removing even that limited check you know, could make 2229 01:46:26,040 --> 01:46:31,559 Speaker 8: the situation dramatically worse, and always Palestinians receive, you know, 2230 01:46:31,600 --> 01:46:34,839 Speaker 8: the brunt end of those kinds of of changes. 2231 01:46:35,880 --> 01:46:37,880 Speaker 1: Omar, thank you so much for taking the time to 2232 01:46:37,960 --> 01:46:40,679 Speaker 1: join us and break down this complicated and very time situation. 2233 01:46:40,840 --> 01:46:42,719 Speaker 5: Thank you, Thank you all. 2234 01:46:42,640 --> 01:46:44,920 Speaker 1: Right, guys, thank you so much for watching Emily. Thank 2235 01:46:44,960 --> 01:46:47,240 Speaker 1: you for filling in for Sager. You did a fantastic job. 2236 01:46:47,240 --> 01:46:47,800 Speaker 5: It was a lot of fun. 2237 01:46:47,840 --> 01:46:49,400 Speaker 3: Thanks for having me. It's always a pleasure. 2238 01:46:49,560 --> 01:46:51,880 Speaker 4: And as a viewer of Breaking Points, I'm honestly really 2239 01:46:51,920 --> 01:46:52,960 Speaker 4: excited to have soccer back. 2240 01:46:53,760 --> 01:46:56,040 Speaker 1: Soccer will be back, and we think at least on 2241 01:46:56,160 --> 01:46:59,360 Speaker 1: Monday it'll be a married man and we should have 2242 01:46:59,400 --> 01:47:02,080 Speaker 1: a normal shows next week with all the you know, 2243 01:47:02,200 --> 01:47:04,360 Speaker 1: normal hosts in the normal places, et cetera, et cetera. 2244 01:47:04,400 --> 01:47:06,559 Speaker 5: As far as I know, I've been Ryan yes, and 2245 01:47:06,640 --> 01:47:08,040 Speaker 5: Ryan is allegedly going to be. 2246 01:47:08,000 --> 01:47:09,759 Speaker 3: Back as well. Drag them back from Vermont. 2247 01:47:11,520 --> 01:47:14,400 Speaker 1: Thank you, guys so much again for making all of 2248 01:47:14,400 --> 01:47:17,000 Speaker 1: this possible. If you are not a premium subscriber, we 2249 01:47:17,000 --> 01:47:19,200 Speaker 1: would love your support there. That is what enables the 2250 01:47:19,240 --> 01:47:20,840 Speaker 1: set in the show and all of the things we're 2251 01:47:20,840 --> 01:47:23,559 Speaker 1: trying to do for twenty twenty four Breakingpoints dot Com. 2252 01:47:23,920 --> 01:47:25,920 Speaker 1: Love you guys, have a wonderful weekend, and we'll see 2253 01:47:25,920 --> 01:47:26,479 Speaker 1: you next week.