WEBVTT - Inside OpenAI, the Architect of ChatGPT

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<v Speaker 1>How does all this talk about, you know, relationships and AI, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>could you see yourself developing a relationship with an AI?

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<v Speaker 2>I'd say yes, as a reliable tool that enhances my life,

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<v Speaker 2>makes my life better.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Emily Chang, and this is the circuit. We're inside

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<v Speaker 3>a nondescript building in the heart of San Francisco where

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<v Speaker 3>one of the world's buzziest startups is making our AI

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<v Speaker 3>powered future feel more real than ever before. It's giving

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<v Speaker 3>me very West World Spa vibes. It's almost like suspended

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<v Speaker 3>in space and time a little bit. They're behind two

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<v Speaker 3>monster hits, chat Gypt and Dollie, and somehow the biggest

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<v Speaker 3>tech giants to market, kicking off this competitive race that's

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<v Speaker 3>forced them all to show us what they've got. Is

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<v Speaker 3>it magic? Is it just algorithms? Is it gonna save

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<v Speaker 3>us or destroy us? To help us separate AI height

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<v Speaker 3>from reality, I sat down with LinkedIn co founder and

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<v Speaker 3>Facebook investor Reid Hoffman, who was an early backer and

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<v Speaker 3>board member of Open Ai. He also used Chatchi to

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<v Speaker 3>write a novel. But first, here's my conversation with Miramrati,

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<v Speaker 3>chief technology officer from inside open Ai.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, thank you so much. For doing us. It's really

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<v Speaker 4>great to have you, and you've been very busy.

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<v Speaker 1>I want you to take us back a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>when you were making the decision about releasing chat Gpt

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<v Speaker 1>into the wild. I'm sure there was like a go

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<v Speaker 1>or no go moment. Take me back to that day.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, we had chat gipt for a while, and

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<v Speaker 2>we had been exploring it internally and with a few

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<v Speaker 2>trusted users, and we realized that we sort of hit

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<v Speaker 2>a point where we could really benefit from having more

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<v Speaker 2>feedback and having more people try to break it and

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<v Speaker 2>try to figure out how best to use it. Let's

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<v Speaker 2>make sure that we've got some guardrails in place and

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<v Speaker 2>start rolling it out incrementally so we can get feedback

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<v Speaker 2>from how people are using it, what are the risks,

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<v Speaker 2>what are the limitations, and learn more about this technology

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<v Speaker 2>that we have created and started bringing it in the

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<v Speaker 2>public consciousness.

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<v Speaker 4>So you wanted people to break it or try.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, we definitely wanted people to try to break it

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<v Speaker 2>and find the fragilities in the system. We had reached

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<v Speaker 2>the point where we had done a lot of that

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<v Speaker 2>internally and.

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<v Speaker 5>With a small group of people.

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<v Speaker 2>External experts as well, and we wanted more external researchers

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<v Speaker 2>to play with it.

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<v Speaker 3>It became the fastest growing tech product in history. Did

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<v Speaker 3>that surprise you, I mean, what was your reaction to

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<v Speaker 3>the world's reaction.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it was a huge surprise for us. We were surprised.

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<v Speaker 2>By how much it captured the imaginations of the general

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<v Speaker 2>public and how much people just loved spending time talking

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<v Speaker 2>to this AI system and interacting with it.

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<v Speaker 3>I want to take a step back a little bit,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, because a lot of people still don't really

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<v Speaker 3>understand how it works. Chatgbts trained on you know, tons

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<v Speaker 3>and tons of data and text.

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<v Speaker 1>It can now mimic a human. It can write, It

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<v Speaker 1>can code at the most.

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<v Speaker 4>Basic level and in the most succinct way that you

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<v Speaker 4>can How does it work? How does this all happen?

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<v Speaker 5>So?

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<v Speaker 2>TUGBD is a neural network that has been trained on

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<v Speaker 2>a huge amount of data on a massive supercomputer, and

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<v Speaker 2>the goal during this training process was to predict the

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<v Speaker 2>next word in a sentence, and we found out that

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<v Speaker 2>by doing this we also got the ability to understand

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<v Speaker 2>the world in text more like humans do. The goal

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<v Speaker 2>here is to have these systems have more robust concepts

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<v Speaker 2>of reality, similar to how we think of the world.

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<v Speaker 2>We don't just think and reason in text. We also

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<v Speaker 2>obviously have the world in images, visual world around us.

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<v Speaker 2>That's been the goal over time, which is why we've

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<v Speaker 2>been adding more and more modalities. And it turns out

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<v Speaker 2>that as you trained larger and larger models and more

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<v Speaker 2>and more data, the capabilities of these models also increase.

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<v Speaker 2>They become more powerful, more helpful, and as you invest

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<v Speaker 2>more on alignment and safety, they become more reliable and

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<v Speaker 2>safe over time.

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<v Speaker 3>So I'd love to hear a little bit more about

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<v Speaker 3>your personal story. I know you grew up in Albania.

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<v Speaker 3>What was the road like from Albania to Silicon Valley.

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<v Speaker 2>I grew up in Albania, and when I was growing

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<v Speaker 2>up in Albania, it was a pretty tumultuous place politically

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<v Speaker 2>and economically, so I always knew that I wanted to

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<v Speaker 2>study abroad. I always loved learning, and in this pursuit

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<v Speaker 2>of knowledge, took me to Canada on a scholarship, and

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<v Speaker 2>from there I came to the US and I've stayed

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<v Speaker 2>in the US ever since.

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<v Speaker 1>You've worked on aerospace, you worked at Tesla, you worked

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<v Speaker 1>on virtual reality. How did you become CTO of Open Ai.

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<v Speaker 2>It's been My training has been in mechanical engineering. I've

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<v Speaker 2>always loved maths and physics and these were my favorite

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<v Speaker 2>subjects as a kid. So my training took me from

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<v Speaker 2>aerospace engineering to automotive engineering and then in applications in

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<v Speaker 2>virtual reality and augmented reality.

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<v Speaker 5>But there was always this.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, deep technological advancement in pursuit of some problem

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<v Speaker 2>that makes our lives a little better. And five years

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<v Speaker 2>ago that brought me to Opening Eye because I thought

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<v Speaker 2>that there is no other more important problem that I

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<v Speaker 2>could be working on than artificial general intelligence. And I

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<v Speaker 2>joined Opening Eye to help with leading research teams, and

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<v Speaker 2>from there I went on to build a product team.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know, after having done a few of the

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<v Speaker 2>roles in the company and having built a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>the technical teams, I'm now leading all of the technical

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<v Speaker 2>teams done.

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<v Speaker 1>So as CTO, how do you set the pace of

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<v Speaker 1>open AIS technology development? How do you balance speed versus

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<v Speaker 1>responsibility versus safety?

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<v Speaker 4>Like, how do you where are your priorities?

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<v Speaker 2>Essentially, so, I think today we are dealing with unprecedented

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<v Speaker 2>advancement in technology, and I think the most important thing

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<v Speaker 2>we can do is to manage its advancement and do

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<v Speaker 2>some in a way that's going to benefit people, maximize

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<v Speaker 2>the number of amazing applications that AI can bring, and

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<v Speaker 2>really fuel this energy that people have about interacting with

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<v Speaker 2>AI and making great use of AI, also giving people

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<v Speaker 2>the tools to do so in a reliable and safe way.

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<v Speaker 2>So Atpenyi, our safety teams and research teams collaborate very closely,

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<v Speaker 2>and safety teams are integrated in many of our research domains.

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<v Speaker 5>But we also.

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<v Speaker 2>Provide more room for long term research for safety and

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<v Speaker 2>policy research as well. It's important to work both on

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<v Speaker 2>kind of the near term present issues that we see clearly,

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<v Speaker 2>but also have make a lot of room for exploratory

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<v Speaker 2>and frontiers research when it comes to safety and policy.

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<v Speaker 1>So CHATGBT could revolutionize so many things, and obviously AI

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<v Speaker 1>more broadly, What are the things you're most excited about?

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<v Speaker 4>Like, what's the amazing What.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm most excited about is how it will transform education

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<v Speaker 2>and our ability to learn because you can really see

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<v Speaker 2>that advancing society in a way. You know, there are

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<v Speaker 2>many even the most advanced societies that they are quite

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<v Speaker 2>limited when it comes to education. There is this formula

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<v Speaker 2>on how people are supposed to learn and we all

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<v Speaker 2>learn very differently. We have different interests, and so I

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<v Speaker 2>think by using technologies like tragibiity the underlying models, we

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<v Speaker 2>can really build custom virtual tutors or virtual teachers that

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<v Speaker 2>can help us learn about the things that we are

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<v Speaker 2>really interested in, can really push our creativity, and by

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<v Speaker 2>pushing human knowledge and human creativity, I think we can

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<v Speaker 2>really transform the fabric of society.

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<v Speaker 5>What about the.

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<v Speaker 4>Scary stuff, like what are you most concerned about?

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<v Speaker 2>You know, whenever you have a technology that is so

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<v Speaker 2>powerful and so general, there's always the other side of it,

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<v Speaker 2>and there are always that we have to worry about.

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<v Speaker 2>And we've been very vocal about this since the beginning

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<v Speaker 2>of open AYE and very active in studying the limitations

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<v Speaker 2>that come with the technology. Right now, one of the

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<v Speaker 2>things that I'm most worried about is the ability of

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<v Speaker 2>models like jubid for to make up things. We refer

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<v Speaker 2>to this as hallucinations, so they will convincingly make up things,

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<v Speaker 2>and it requires you know, being aware and being.

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<v Speaker 5>And just really knowing.

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<v Speaker 2>That you cannot fully blindly rely on what the technology

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<v Speaker 2>is providing as an output.

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<v Speaker 5>But on the other hand.

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<v Speaker 2>It also makes it glaringly obvious that this is a

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<v Speaker 2>tool with which you're collaborating. People can misuse it in

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<v Speaker 2>various ways. They can spread misinformation, it can be misused

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<v Speaker 2>in high stakes scenario. So from GBD three point five

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<v Speaker 2>to GPT four we work very hard to reduce hallucinations

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<v Speaker 2>or increase the.

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<v Speaker 5>Factual output of the models.

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<v Speaker 2>And we worked on GBT four for over six months

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<v Speaker 2>just to make it more aligned, safer, more helpful, more accurate,

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<v Speaker 2>more reliable, and held back the release of the model

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<v Speaker 2>so that we could focus on these aspects of it.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's far from perfect, and we're continuing to work

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<v Speaker 2>on it and get the feedback from the daily use

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<v Speaker 2>and make the model better and more reliable.

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<v Speaker 3>I want to talk about this term hallucination because it's

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<v Speaker 3>a very human term. Why use such a human term

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<v Speaker 3>for basically an AI that's just making mistakes.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of these general capabilities are actually quite human like.

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<v Speaker 2>Sometimes and we don't know the answer to something, we

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<v Speaker 2>will just make up an answer. We will rarely say

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know a lot of human hallucination in a conversation,

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<v Speaker 2>and sometimes we don't do it on purpose. So we're

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<v Speaker 2>constantly borrowing from the way that we learn the way

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<v Speaker 2>we see the.

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<v Speaker 5>World to.

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<v Speaker 2>Have a more intuitive understanding of the systems.

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<v Speaker 3>Should we be worried about AI though that feels more

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<v Speaker 3>and more human like? Should AI have to identify itself

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<v Speaker 3>as artificial when it's interacting with us?

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's a different kind of intelligence. It is

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<v Speaker 2>important to distinguish output that's been provided by a machine

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<v Speaker 2>versus another humans. So you have that understanding, but we

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<v Speaker 2>are moving towards a world we are collaborating with these

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<v Speaker 2>machines more and more, and so output will be hybrid

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<v Speaker 2>from a machine and a human and so they're almost like,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, amplifying tools that are pushing the ability that

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<v Speaker 2>we already have, whether that's reasoning or creativity, and these

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<v Speaker 2>machines are helping us push the bounds of that even further.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's going to be difficult to you know, distinguish

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<v Speaker 2>the output once you have this collaborative engagement between the

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<v Speaker 2>human and the missione the.

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<v Speaker 4>Air of confidence.

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<v Speaker 1>Obviously that CHATGPT sometimes delivers an answer with is it

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<v Speaker 1>can take you off your toes a little bit, right,

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<v Speaker 1>why not just sometimes say I don't know, or program

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<v Speaker 1>that into che GIPT.

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<v Speaker 2>So it turns out that when you're building such a

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<v Speaker 2>general technology. Like with large language models, the goal is

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<v Speaker 2>to predict the next word in a sentence. The goal

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<v Speaker 2>is not to predict the next word reliably or safely.

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<v Speaker 2>Just from this simple goal, we got the ability to

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<v Speaker 2>understand language quite well. We got a lot of creativity,

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<v Speaker 2>ability to even code. And it turns out when you

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<v Speaker 2>have such general capabilities, it's very difficult to handle some

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<v Speaker 2>of the limitations such as what is correct. Also, the

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<v Speaker 2>model doesn't really know much about the user in terms

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<v Speaker 2>of their context and their preferences. But it's still the

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<v Speaker 2>early days, and that's why we're pushing out these systems slowly,

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<v Speaker 2>in a controlled way, but in a way that allows

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<v Speaker 2>us to get some feedback from how people are using them,

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<v Speaker 2>so we can use that, implement it and make them

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<v Speaker 2>better and more reliable. One thing that we did recently

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<v Speaker 2>with child jipt is we rolled out this ability to

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<v Speaker 2>browse the Internet so that it can become a bit

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<v Speaker 2>more reliable on questions that have factual nature. And this

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<v Speaker 2>is now offered as a plugin on child jipd plus service.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's still the early days and this feature is

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<v Speaker 2>only in alpha.

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<v Speaker 3>Some of these texts and some of the data is

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<v Speaker 3>highsed some of it may be correct. Isn't this going

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<v Speaker 3>to accelerate the misinformation problem? I mean, we haven't been

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<v Speaker 3>able to crack it on social media for like a

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<v Speaker 3>couple of decades.

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<v Speaker 5>Misinformation is a really complex heart problem. But you know,

0:14:11.679 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 5>these systems become smarter.

0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:18.959
<v Speaker 2>It's actually also easier to guide them because you can

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 2>give direction in just natural language and say I don't

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:29.400
<v Speaker 2>want you to do xting. Then the system, by being

0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:33.400
<v Speaker 2>more intelligent, more capable, has the ability to actually.

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:34.760
<v Speaker 5>Follow that particular instruction.

0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:40.960
<v Speaker 2>Obviously, with more powerful models, you're also expanding the profile

0:14:41.120 --> 0:14:44.800
<v Speaker 2>of risks, and so you have more risks that you

0:14:44.840 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 2>need to understand.

0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:46.520
<v Speaker 5>And deal with.

0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 2>There are several things that we are exploring. For example,

0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:55.680
<v Speaker 2>one of the things that we've been researching and exploring

0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 2>is water marketing. The output where you are able to

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:05.440
<v Speaker 2>you distinguish what is AI generated output versus human generated output.

0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 5>There are ways to deal with it.

0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:10.720
<v Speaker 2>Also from a policy standpoint, I think it's a complex issue.

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:16.120
<v Speaker 2>There needs to be addressed from research policy perspective. But

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 2>on the other hand, also you know, society needs to

0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:26.120
<v Speaker 2>adapt to these challenges and the capabilities that these models

0:15:26.200 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 2>are bringing just like we adapted, you know, to using

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:33.440
<v Speaker 2>calculators and other technologies.

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.280
<v Speaker 4>There's sort of like underlying anxiety. I feel like when

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:36.760
<v Speaker 4>you talk to.

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:39.680
<v Speaker 3>Most people about AI, you know that's cool, but it's

0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:40.560
<v Speaker 3>also scary.

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 4>And I've heard.

0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:44.680
<v Speaker 1>AI experts talk about the potential for the good future

0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:45.280
<v Speaker 1>versus the.

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:48.240
<v Speaker 3>Bad future, and the bad future gets kind of scary.

0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:48.520
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:15:48.560 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 4>There's talk about this lead leading to human extinction. Are

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:53.000
<v Speaker 4>those people wrong?

0:15:53.320 --> 0:15:57.240
<v Speaker 2>You know, there's certainly a risk that when we have

0:15:57.360 --> 0:16:00.720
<v Speaker 2>these AI systems that are able to set to then goals,

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 2>they decide that their goals are not aligned with ours

0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:09.160
<v Speaker 2>and they do not benefit from having us around and

0:16:09.520 --> 0:16:11.080
<v Speaker 2>could lead to human extinction.

0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:13.840
<v Speaker 5>I don't think this risk.

0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:17.120
<v Speaker 2>Has gone up or down from the things that have

0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:19.680
<v Speaker 2>been happening in the past few months. I think it's

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:24.560
<v Speaker 2>certainly been quite hyped and there is a lot of

0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 2>anxiety around it. Well, this risk is important, and we

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:32.120
<v Speaker 2>need to work on frontier research to figure out how

0:16:32.160 --> 0:16:36.280
<v Speaker 2>to deal with super intelligent AI alignments. We are dealing

0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:39.800
<v Speaker 2>with a lot of risks today that are very real,

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:47.280
<v Speaker 2>very present, very high probability that they impact us, and

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 2>I think if we cannot figure out how to handle

0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:53.240
<v Speaker 2>and deal with these risks while the stakes are low.

0:16:53.920 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 2>Then you know, we wouldn't have much hope to deal

0:16:57.280 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 2>with it when things are more complex. So my view

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:04.320
<v Speaker 2>is a bit more pragmatic that one, where you know,

0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:06.520
<v Speaker 2>we really need to figure out how to deal with

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:11.399
<v Speaker 2>the present risks that the systems pose, and coordinate among

0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:18.119
<v Speaker 2>developers and work with regulators, legislators and governments various countries

0:17:18.600 --> 0:17:24.160
<v Speaker 2>to come up with reasonable policies and regulation.

0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:24.919
<v Speaker 4>Around the are elon.

0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:28.439
<v Speaker 1>Steve Wosniak, a bunch of other you know experts have

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 1>called for six months pause on AI development. Do you

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:34.640
<v Speaker 1>have any intention of slowing down or what's your response

0:17:34.680 --> 0:17:35.480
<v Speaker 1>to that letter?

0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:40.440
<v Speaker 2>So the letter from FLI makes a lot of good

0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:45.360
<v Speaker 2>points about the risks that the technology poses, and we've

0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:46.720
<v Speaker 2>been talking about some of them.

0:17:47.119 --> 0:17:48.360
<v Speaker 5>Opening Eye is being.

0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:52.280
<v Speaker 2>Very vocal about these risks for many, many years, and

0:17:52.560 --> 0:17:55.720
<v Speaker 2>we've been doing active research on them. One of them

0:17:55.880 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 2>is acceleration. I think that's a significant risk that we

0:18:00.640 --> 0:18:04.200
<v Speaker 2>as a society need to grapple with. The Private companies

0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 2>and governments need to work together to figure out the

0:18:10.640 --> 0:18:17.880
<v Speaker 2>risks that acceleration brings building safe AI systems that are

0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:23.159
<v Speaker 2>in general is very complex. It's incredibly hard, and I

0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:28.200
<v Speaker 2>don't think that it can be reduced to a parameter

0:18:28.520 --> 0:18:33.080
<v Speaker 2>set by a letter. The question then becomes, you know

0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:39.720
<v Speaker 2>who is abiding to this letter? Is it all different

0:18:39.840 --> 0:18:43.120
<v Speaker 2>countries in the world? How is that happening? I think

0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:46.680
<v Speaker 2>the issuing reality is far more complex, and it requires

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:54.280
<v Speaker 2>coordination from private companies, from governments, and figuring out how

0:18:54.320 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 2>do you deal with these advancements in technology versus blocking advancement.

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:03.679
<v Speaker 1>There have been parallels drawn to the Manhattan Project, which

0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, they gathered the.

0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 3>Best scientific minds to develop nuclear weapons, and Robert Oppenheimer,

0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:13.680
<v Speaker 3>who led that project, said when he saw the first detonate,

0:19:13.920 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 3>a line from Hindu scripture ran through his head. Now

0:19:16.560 --> 0:19:20.119
<v Speaker 3>I am become death, the destroyer of worlds. I realize

0:19:20.119 --> 0:19:22.520
<v Speaker 3>the sound dramatic, but if we're talking about the risk

0:19:22.600 --> 0:19:25.639
<v Speaker 3>for human extinction, you know, not being totally out of

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:28.879
<v Speaker 3>the question. Like in your development of AI, have you

0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 3>had a moment like that where you're just like, Wow, this.

0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:32.600
<v Speaker 4>Is this is big.

0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:35.440
<v Speaker 2>I think a lot of us at Open AI joined

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:38.119
<v Speaker 2>because we thought that this would be the most important

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:41.240
<v Speaker 2>technology that humanity would ever creates.

0:19:42.240 --> 0:19:43.280
<v Speaker 5>I suddenly think.

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:48.720
<v Speaker 2>That now with that comes a lot of responsibility. Of course,

0:19:48.920 --> 0:19:51.400
<v Speaker 2>I think AI is going to be amazing.

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:52.280
<v Speaker 5>It already is.

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 2>It has this incredible potential to extend our creativity and

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:04.400
<v Speaker 2>human knowledge and make our lives better in so many vectors.

0:20:05.640 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 2>But of course the risks, on the other hand, are

0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:13.560
<v Speaker 2>also pretty significant, and this is why we're here.

0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 3>I just rewatched the movie her which has this very

0:20:16.680 --> 0:20:19.639
<v Speaker 3>vivid depiction of life with AI in ten years.

0:20:19.800 --> 0:20:21.960
<v Speaker 4>How will our lives be different? How will daily life

0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 4>be different?

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:29.080
<v Speaker 2>I haven't watched a movie herd a lot aboutime. I

0:20:29.119 --> 0:20:31.520
<v Speaker 2>hope ten years is a long time, but I hope

0:20:31.560 --> 0:20:34.679
<v Speaker 2>that in the next few years we will have a

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:41.400
<v Speaker 2>future where we use AI systems as tools to amplify

0:20:41.960 --> 0:20:46.840
<v Speaker 2>a lot of our own abilities. And I hope that

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 2>we have systems that help bring customized education to as

0:20:52.880 --> 0:20:56.040
<v Speaker 2>many people out there as possible, and I hope that

0:20:56.400 --> 0:21:01.280
<v Speaker 2>they You know, we can build tools, diagnostics, tools or

0:21:01.440 --> 0:21:07.240
<v Speaker 2>ways to understand diseases and the problems in healthcare much

0:21:07.320 --> 0:21:09.360
<v Speaker 2>much earlier and figure out how to deal with them

0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:13.760
<v Speaker 2>at scale. And you know, we're dealing with massive problems

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:18.480
<v Speaker 2>in climate change, figuring out new solutions figuring out ways

0:21:18.520 --> 0:21:22.639
<v Speaker 2>in which we can help reduce the risks that climate

0:21:22.680 --> 0:21:23.360
<v Speaker 2>change processes.

0:21:23.440 --> 0:21:27.439
<v Speaker 1>Could you put what you're developing here inside robots and

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:29.440
<v Speaker 1>could they combat loneliness?

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:33.159
<v Speaker 2>I think bringing these systems into the physical world is

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 2>a pretty significant step.

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:38.840
<v Speaker 5>Feels like we're a bit far from that.

0:21:39.720 --> 0:21:43.159
<v Speaker 2>But also, you know, just having a chatbot that you

0:21:43.280 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 2>can ask for advice suddenly, not in high stake scenarios

0:21:48.400 --> 0:21:51.639
<v Speaker 2>right now, seems like that would be helpful for a

0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 2>lot of people.

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:57.960
<v Speaker 3>That's quite profound that we could someday have relationships with computers.

0:21:57.520 --> 0:21:59.560
<v Speaker 5>In a way we already do.

0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:03.120
<v Speaker 2>Right We're spending so much time on our computers, We're

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:06.800
<v Speaker 2>always on our phones. We're almost like enslaved to this

0:22:06.920 --> 0:22:10.159
<v Speaker 2>interaction that we have with the keyboards and with the

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:10.919
<v Speaker 2>touch screen.

0:22:11.320 --> 0:22:14.080
<v Speaker 3>I think a lot about my kids and them having

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:17.480
<v Speaker 3>relationships with AI someday and this thing that has much

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:19.679
<v Speaker 3>more time to spend with them than I do. How

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 3>do you think about what the limits should be and

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:24.919
<v Speaker 3>what the possibility should be when you're thinking about a child.

0:22:25.320 --> 0:22:28.720
<v Speaker 2>I think we should be very careful in general with

0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 2>putting very powerful systems in front of more vulnerable populations,

0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:39.840
<v Speaker 2>people under thirteen cannot access it, and even under eighteen

0:22:40.080 --> 0:22:44.760
<v Speaker 2>requires parents of supervision. So there are certainly checks and

0:22:44.800 --> 0:22:49.159
<v Speaker 2>balances in place because it's still early and we still

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:52.600
<v Speaker 2>don't understand all the ways in which this could affect people.

0:22:52.920 --> 0:22:56.480
<v Speaker 3>There's also some business interests here, and by releasing chatgbt

0:22:56.960 --> 0:23:00.199
<v Speaker 3>open ays kind of turbo charge this competitive frenzy. Do

0:23:00.240 --> 0:23:01.920
<v Speaker 3>you think you can bet Google at its own game?

0:23:02.119 --> 0:23:04.800
<v Speaker 3>Do you think you can take significant market share and search?

0:23:05.200 --> 0:23:10.000
<v Speaker 2>You know, we didn't set out to dominate search when

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:14.280
<v Speaker 2>we build child jepet. In fact, it actually started as

0:23:15.160 --> 0:23:19.760
<v Speaker 2>a project around understanding and dealing with truthfulness of large

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:23.440
<v Speaker 2>language models, and then it evolved. But I think what

0:23:23.600 --> 0:23:29.200
<v Speaker 2>child gipt offers is a different way to understand information

0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:34.160
<v Speaker 2>and a different way to interact with the same tool.

0:23:34.520 --> 0:23:37.399
<v Speaker 2>And you could be, you know, searching, but you're searching

0:23:37.560 --> 0:23:41.720
<v Speaker 2>in a much more intuitive way versus keyword based. That

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:46.159
<v Speaker 2>is definitely an outcome that we saw afterwards, and we

0:23:47.040 --> 0:23:51.200
<v Speaker 2>built an interface that would allow people to interact with

0:23:51.240 --> 0:23:54.520
<v Speaker 2>it much more smoothly, and as we can see, it

0:23:54.600 --> 0:23:59.400
<v Speaker 2>is pushing other people to build more assistant like products

0:24:00.160 --> 0:24:03.679
<v Speaker 2>companies and small companies. I think the whole world is

0:24:03.720 --> 0:24:05.360
<v Speaker 2>sort of now moving in this direction.

0:24:05.960 --> 0:24:07.320
<v Speaker 5>I think our focus will.

0:24:07.119 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 2>Remain on building these general technologies and figuring out how

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:15.439
<v Speaker 2>we can bring them to the public in ways that

0:24:15.520 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 2>are useful.

0:24:16.560 --> 0:24:19.159
<v Speaker 3>So there's this report that these workers in Kenya we're

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:20.880
<v Speaker 3>getting paid two dollars an hour to do the work

0:24:20.880 --> 0:24:23.480
<v Speaker 3>on the back end to make answers less toxic. And

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:25.960
<v Speaker 3>my understanding is this work it can be difficult, right,

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:29.040
<v Speaker 3>because you're reading texts that might be disturbing and trying

0:24:29.080 --> 0:24:31.880
<v Speaker 3>to clean them up, right, Like, what's your response to that?

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:37.920
<v Speaker 2>So we need to use contractors sometimes to scale. You know,

0:24:38.040 --> 0:24:43.200
<v Speaker 2>in this particular case, we chose the particular contractor because

0:24:43.280 --> 0:24:47.159
<v Speaker 2>of their known safety standards, and since then we've stopped

0:24:47.160 --> 0:24:51.040
<v Speaker 2>working with them. But as you said, this is difficult

0:24:51.080 --> 0:24:55.200
<v Speaker 2>to work, and we recognize that, and we have mental

0:24:55.240 --> 0:24:59.760
<v Speaker 2>health standards and wellness standards that we share with contractors

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:02.280
<v Speaker 2>when we engage them.

0:25:02.600 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 3>All of the data that you're using, and this has

0:25:04.359 --> 0:25:05.879
<v Speaker 3>been talked about a lot, like all of the data

0:25:05.880 --> 0:25:07.639
<v Speaker 3>that you're training.

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:10.760
<v Speaker 1>This AI on, it's coming from writers, it's coming from artists,

0:25:10.760 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 1>it's coming from.

0:25:11.359 --> 0:25:13.679
<v Speaker 4>Other people have created who've created things.

0:25:13.920 --> 0:25:16.680
<v Speaker 1>How do you think about giving value back to those

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:17.640
<v Speaker 1>people when these.

0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:20.000
<v Speaker 3>Are also people who are worried about their jobs going away.

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:25.760
<v Speaker 2>These models are trained on a lot of public information,

0:25:25.880 --> 0:25:30.159
<v Speaker 2>a lot of data on the Internet, and also licensed data,

0:25:30.320 --> 0:25:33.320
<v Speaker 2>and the output that is generated by the models is

0:25:33.600 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 2>original our users.

0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:38.440
<v Speaker 5>They have all their rights to that output.

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:41.360
<v Speaker 2>I know Microsoft has been doing some research on this

0:25:41.760 --> 0:25:46.359
<v Speaker 2>on how do you make sure that you recognize the

0:25:46.600 --> 0:25:50.199
<v Speaker 2>value that people are bringing with their data, And there

0:25:50.240 --> 0:25:53.280
<v Speaker 2>is some research that has been done in this direction

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:59.680
<v Speaker 2>with the data dignity projects that some folks at Microsoft

0:25:59.680 --> 0:26:03.480
<v Speaker 2>have been working on, and there is some research of

0:26:03.640 --> 0:26:07.080
<v Speaker 2>figuring out the economics of this and how to do

0:26:07.160 --> 0:26:10.760
<v Speaker 2>that at scale. I don't know exactly how to work

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:14.440
<v Speaker 2>in practice that you can sort of account for information

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:19.040
<v Speaker 2>created by everyone on the Internet, but there is probably

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:23.560
<v Speaker 2>some other way where, you know, people contributing specific kind

0:26:23.600 --> 0:26:30.399
<v Speaker 2>of data can sort of have a share of the

0:26:30.840 --> 0:26:34.440
<v Speaker 2>gains produced by this model. I'm not sure exactly how

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:36.840
<v Speaker 2>that would work, but I think there is some research

0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:40.920
<v Speaker 2>on the economics of this, and I think it's definitely

0:26:40.960 --> 0:26:45.800
<v Speaker 2>worth exploring further. As far as the question of jobs goes,

0:26:46.040 --> 0:26:48.520
<v Speaker 2>I think there are definitely going to be jobs that

0:26:48.600 --> 0:26:51.399
<v Speaker 2>will be lost and jobs that will be changed. I

0:26:51.400 --> 0:26:53.440
<v Speaker 2>think there will be a lot of jobs that will

0:26:53.440 --> 0:26:55.920
<v Speaker 2>be created as well. We don't know exactly what they are,

0:26:55.960 --> 0:26:58.679
<v Speaker 2>and probably some of them we can't even imagine. Like

0:26:59.240 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 2>prompt engineer is a job today. That's not something that

0:27:02.359 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 2>we could have predicted totallyory.

0:27:05.200 --> 0:27:07.439
<v Speaker 4>So what does responsible innovation look like to you?

0:27:07.440 --> 0:27:10.040
<v Speaker 1>You know, like, would you support, for example, a federal

0:27:10.080 --> 0:27:14.640
<v Speaker 1>agency like the FDA that that's technology, like it that's drugs.

0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:18.560
<v Speaker 2>You know, having some sort of trusted authority that can

0:27:19.320 --> 0:27:25.119
<v Speaker 2>audit these systems based on some agreed upon principles would

0:27:25.119 --> 0:27:32.800
<v Speaker 2>be very helpful. And having some standards around predicting capabilities

0:27:33.800 --> 0:27:38.080
<v Speaker 2>and auditing these systems once they're trend could be helpful.

0:27:38.280 --> 0:27:41.240
<v Speaker 3>Do open AI employees still vote on AGI and when

0:27:41.280 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 3>it will happen?

0:27:42.520 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 5>I actually don't know. I believe that what they did.

0:27:46.200 --> 0:27:50.120
<v Speaker 2>I think we kind of do it, but I don't

0:27:50.160 --> 0:27:50.879
<v Speaker 2>know last time we did.

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:54.440
<v Speaker 1>What is your prediction about AGI now and how far

0:27:54.480 --> 0:27:57.080
<v Speaker 1>away it really is? This is when computers can learn

0:27:57.080 --> 0:28:01.400
<v Speaker 1>and reason and rationalize just as good as us, if

0:28:01.440 --> 0:28:01.879
<v Speaker 1>not better.

0:28:02.040 --> 0:28:05.480
<v Speaker 2>I think we're making a ton of progress on technology

0:28:05.680 --> 0:28:09.120
<v Speaker 2>and it is really helping us in so many ways,

0:28:09.200 --> 0:28:13.679
<v Speaker 2>But we're still quite far away from being a point

0:28:13.800 --> 0:28:19.520
<v Speaker 2>where you know, these systems can make decisions autonomously and

0:28:20.160 --> 0:28:24.360
<v Speaker 2>discover new knowledge that we couldn't have predicted previously.

0:28:24.560 --> 0:28:26.000
<v Speaker 4>So is that decades away?

0:28:26.960 --> 0:28:27.639
<v Speaker 5>I'm not sure.

0:28:28.040 --> 0:28:30.240
<v Speaker 4>Is it sooner than you thought when you started this work.

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:31.439
<v Speaker 5>I don't know if it's sooner.

0:28:31.680 --> 0:28:35.479
<v Speaker 2>I think I have more certainty around the advent of

0:28:35.960 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 2>having powerful systems in our future that we'll be able

0:28:40.400 --> 0:28:45.320
<v Speaker 2>to make decisions autonomously and discover new knowledge.

0:28:45.680 --> 0:28:49.080
<v Speaker 3>Should we even be driving towards agi? And do humans

0:28:49.120 --> 0:28:49.920
<v Speaker 3>really want it?

0:28:50.360 --> 0:28:53.040
<v Speaker 1>Do we want computers to be smarter than us ultimately,

0:28:53.480 --> 0:28:55.120
<v Speaker 1>even though we don't know what that really looks like

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:55.760
<v Speaker 1>or means.

0:28:55.840 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 2>I think that through the course of history, pushing human

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 2>knowledge has pushed our societies in so many different ways.

0:29:08.120 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 2>It's been key to advancing our society, and I think

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:18.080
<v Speaker 2>it would be a mistake to hold technological innovation or

0:29:18.160 --> 0:29:22.160
<v Speaker 2>our ability to pursue human knowledge further.

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:25.120
<v Speaker 5>And I'm not even sure.

0:29:24.880 --> 0:29:29.080
<v Speaker 2>That that's possible in the first place, but theoretically if

0:29:29.120 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 2>it were, I think it would be a mistake. A

0:29:31.840 --> 0:29:37.160
<v Speaker 2>lot of our inspiration and advancements in society come from

0:29:37.200 --> 0:29:40.560
<v Speaker 2>pushing human knowledge. Now that doesn't mean that we should

0:29:40.560 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 2>do so in careless and reckless ways. I think there

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 2>are ways to guide this development and manage this development

0:29:50.280 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 2>versus bring it to a screeching hold because of our

0:29:54.760 --> 0:29:55.920
<v Speaker 2>potential fears.

0:29:56.160 --> 0:29:58.000
<v Speaker 4>So the train has left the station and we should

0:29:58.000 --> 0:29:58.600
<v Speaker 4>stay on it.

0:29:58.760 --> 0:30:00.800
<v Speaker 5>That's one way to put it for now.

0:30:01.120 --> 0:30:03.240
<v Speaker 4>I'm sure Chatchpt would say it much more eloquent.

0:30:04.000 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 3>Beyond open AI, there's an artificial intelligence gold rush happening

0:30:08.320 --> 0:30:12.400
<v Speaker 3>in Silicon Valley. Venture capitalists are pouring money into Anything

0:30:12.440 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 3>AI startups, hoping to find the next big thing. Now

0:30:16.600 --> 0:30:19.600
<v Speaker 3>here's my conversation with Reid Hoffman, who knows a thing

0:30:19.680 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 3>or two about striking gold.

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:22.640
<v Speaker 4>Thank you so much for doing this.

0:30:22.680 --> 0:30:25.120
<v Speaker 3>I'm so grateful to have you, and obviously you've helped

0:30:25.200 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 3>us make sense of platform shifts over I mean, gosh,

0:30:28.040 --> 0:30:28.920
<v Speaker 3>twelve years.

0:30:29.200 --> 0:30:32.480
<v Speaker 6>We've been talking, maybe longer. That's awesome.

0:30:32.520 --> 0:30:32.960
<v Speaker 5>A long time.

0:30:33.160 --> 0:30:34.000
<v Speaker 6>More than a decade.

0:30:34.200 --> 0:30:38.240
<v Speaker 3>Generative AI has had two big hits so far, Dolly

0:30:38.840 --> 0:30:40.120
<v Speaker 3>and Chatchypt.

0:30:40.000 --> 0:30:42.480
<v Speaker 7>Both from open AI. Why do you think.

0:30:42.440 --> 0:30:46.200
<v Speaker 3>Chatchypt exploded more than Instagram, even.

0:30:46.000 --> 0:30:46.800
<v Speaker 7>More than TikTok.

0:30:47.120 --> 0:30:50.800
<v Speaker 6>Well, there's a couple of reasons. One is it's a

0:30:50.840 --> 0:30:52.960
<v Speaker 6>little bit like the movie industry, and each year has

0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:56.440
<v Speaker 6>a new biggest box office. The world's more connected, there's

0:30:56.520 --> 0:30:58.880
<v Speaker 6>more people, there's more curiosity of what's going on, so

0:30:59.160 --> 0:31:02.120
<v Speaker 6>you have your new biggest hit. So there's always that

0:31:02.160 --> 0:31:05.720
<v Speaker 6>as a backdrop. This will be the year as I

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:08.640
<v Speaker 6>kind of put on fireside chatbots where one or more

0:31:08.640 --> 0:31:11.880
<v Speaker 6>of the person of the Year lists will be a

0:31:11.960 --> 0:31:15.239
<v Speaker 6>chatbot or an AI or open AI or something like

0:31:15.240 --> 0:31:18.000
<v Speaker 6>this as a way of doing that. Because it's a

0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:22.080
<v Speaker 6>magical experience to say, suddenly I can have a conversation

0:31:22.200 --> 0:31:25.480
<v Speaker 6>with this thing, like I'm talking to another person and

0:31:25.600 --> 0:31:29.320
<v Speaker 6>it not being another person. Right. That's like that has

0:31:29.400 --> 0:31:34.840
<v Speaker 6>not happened in history till November sometime last year, Right,

0:31:35.120 --> 0:31:36.520
<v Speaker 6>And so that's why I think it exploded.

0:31:36.680 --> 0:31:38.360
<v Speaker 3>You have been on the ground floor of some of

0:31:38.400 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 3>the biggest tech platform shifts in history, the.

0:31:41.160 --> 0:31:43.320
<v Speaker 7>Beginnings of the internet mobile.

0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:45.680
<v Speaker 3>Do you think AI is going to be even bigger?

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:49.720
<v Speaker 6>I think so at minimum for the following reason, which

0:31:49.800 --> 0:31:54.640
<v Speaker 6>is it builds on the Internet, mobile, cloud data. All

0:31:54.680 --> 0:31:57.719
<v Speaker 6>of these things come together to make AI work, and

0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:02.600
<v Speaker 6>so that causes it to be the crescendo, the addition

0:32:02.800 --> 0:32:03.400
<v Speaker 6>to all of us.

0:32:03.560 --> 0:32:05.400
<v Speaker 7>So, hey, it's gonna be bigger than all those things. Yeah,

0:32:05.440 --> 0:32:06.640
<v Speaker 7>and that's kind of a big deal.

0:32:06.840 --> 0:32:10.040
<v Speaker 6>Yes, absolutely. But now part of it's because just like

0:32:10.080 --> 0:32:13.080
<v Speaker 6>we saw a chat GBT, we have billions of people

0:32:13.120 --> 0:32:15.040
<v Speaker 6>connecting in the world. They can all reach it very

0:32:15.080 --> 0:32:17.560
<v Speaker 6>quickly too, so all of a sudden you start interacting

0:32:17.600 --> 0:32:20.840
<v Speaker 6>with it, and then you begin to think, well, what

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:23.560
<v Speaker 6>could happen with AI here? I mean, one of the

0:32:23.600 --> 0:32:26.400
<v Speaker 6>problems with the current discourse is that it's too much

0:32:26.760 --> 0:32:31.280
<v Speaker 6>of the fear based versus hope based. Imagine a tutor

0:32:31.720 --> 0:32:36.479
<v Speaker 6>on every smartphone for every child in the world who

0:32:36.520 --> 0:32:40.400
<v Speaker 6>has access to a smartphone. Imagines a doctor on every

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:44.160
<v Speaker 6>smartphone where many communities don't have any access to doctors.

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:48.080
<v Speaker 6>That's line of sight from what we see with current

0:32:48.120 --> 0:32:49.560
<v Speaker 6>AI models today.

0:32:49.800 --> 0:32:53.240
<v Speaker 7>You coined this term blitzcaling. Does AI blitzcale?

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:55.720
<v Speaker 6>Well, it certainly seems like it today, doesn't it. The

0:32:55.760 --> 0:32:58.320
<v Speaker 6>speed at which we will integrate it into our lives

0:32:58.760 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 6>will be faster than only integrated the iPhone into our lives.

0:33:02.200 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 6>There's going to be a co pilot for every profession

0:33:05.920 --> 0:33:08.000
<v Speaker 6>and if you think about that, that's huge. Well, that

0:33:08.160 --> 0:33:10.680
<v Speaker 6>changes industries, that changes products.

0:33:10.160 --> 0:33:12.080
<v Speaker 3>And not professional activities, because it's going to write my

0:33:12.120 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 3>kids papers, right, it's high school papers.

0:33:14.680 --> 0:33:17.800
<v Speaker 6>Yes, although the hope is that in the interaction with it,

0:33:18.360 --> 0:33:21.040
<v Speaker 6>they'll learn to create much more interesting papers.

0:33:21.400 --> 0:33:22.720
<v Speaker 7>You and Ela must go way back.

0:33:23.200 --> 0:33:25.520
<v Speaker 3>He co founded open ai with Sam Waltman, the CEO

0:33:25.560 --> 0:33:26.120
<v Speaker 3>of open Ai.

0:33:26.760 --> 0:33:30.200
<v Speaker 7>What did Elon say that got you interested? So early?

0:33:30.440 --> 0:33:32.720
<v Speaker 6>Elon came and said, look, this AI thing is coming.

0:33:33.040 --> 0:33:35.200
<v Speaker 6>You know, I always trust people from my network were

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:36.959
<v Speaker 6>smart to say, go look at this. Go look. I'm

0:33:36.960 --> 0:33:40.160
<v Speaker 6>always curious. Once I started digging into it, I realized

0:33:40.160 --> 0:33:42.760
<v Speaker 6>that this pattern that we're going to see the next

0:33:42.800 --> 0:33:48.360
<v Speaker 6>generation of amazing capabilities coming from these kind of you know, computers,

0:33:48.400 --> 0:33:51.720
<v Speaker 6>computational devices, and that that's something that could shape a

0:33:51.800 --> 0:33:54.000
<v Speaker 6>much better society that we'd all be in. And that's

0:33:54.000 --> 0:33:56.360
<v Speaker 6>the reason I do technology. One of the things I

0:33:56.400 --> 0:33:58.520
<v Speaker 6>had been arguing with Elon at the time about was

0:33:58.520 --> 0:34:02.479
<v Speaker 6>that Elon was constantly using the word robocalypse, which you know,

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:05.360
<v Speaker 6>we as human beings, tend to be more easily and

0:34:05.440 --> 0:34:08.239
<v Speaker 6>quickly motivated by fear than my hope, So you're using

0:34:08.239 --> 0:34:11.520
<v Speaker 6>the term robocalypse, and everyone imagines the terminator and all

0:34:11.560 --> 0:34:11.799
<v Speaker 6>the else.

0:34:11.920 --> 0:34:12.760
<v Speaker 7>It sounds pretty scary.

0:34:12.760 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 6>It sounds very Scaredocalypse doesn't sound like something we want. Yeah,

0:34:15.560 --> 0:34:20.160
<v Speaker 6>stop saying that, because because actually, in fact, the chance

0:34:20.200 --> 0:34:22.400
<v Speaker 6>that I could see anything like a robocalypse happening is

0:34:22.440 --> 0:34:24.560
<v Speaker 6>so deminimous relative to everything else.

0:34:24.800 --> 0:34:27.719
<v Speaker 7>How remote is the chance of the robocalypse in your mind?

0:34:27.840 --> 0:34:30.000
<v Speaker 6>Let me put this away. I'm more worried about what

0:34:30.280 --> 0:34:32.960
<v Speaker 6>technology does in the hands of humans that I am

0:34:33.280 --> 0:34:36.840
<v Speaker 6>about a robocalypse. And what we've seen through the scaling

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 6>of these large language models is that the larger you get,

0:34:39.880 --> 0:34:42.160
<v Speaker 6>the easier it is to train them to be aligned

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:45.520
<v Speaker 6>to human interests. That's good, doesn't mean it's perfect, doesn't

0:34:45.520 --> 0:34:49.719
<v Speaker 6>mean we shouldn't be attentive. But that's exactly the kind

0:34:49.760 --> 0:34:51.759
<v Speaker 6>of thing where you can build to a really good

0:34:51.800 --> 0:34:54.959
<v Speaker 6>future and be motivated by hope and optimism versus fear.

0:34:55.400 --> 0:34:57.560
<v Speaker 7>So just on Elon for a second.

0:34:57.640 --> 0:34:59.640
<v Speaker 4>You did come together on open AI, and how did

0:34:59.640 --> 0:34:59.959
<v Speaker 4>that happen?

0:35:00.440 --> 0:35:02.680
<v Speaker 6>I think it started with Elon and Sam having a

0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:05.680
<v Speaker 6>bunch of conversations, and then since I know both of

0:35:05.719 --> 0:35:09.000
<v Speaker 6>them quite well, I got called in something should be

0:35:09.200 --> 0:35:12.160
<v Speaker 6>the counterweight to all of the natural work that's going

0:35:12.200 --> 0:35:17.880
<v Speaker 6>to happen within commercial realms, right within companies, you know, buildings,

0:35:17.880 --> 0:35:20.160
<v Speaker 6>which is by the way, as you know, a huge

0:35:20.160 --> 0:35:21.960
<v Speaker 6>fan that companies can build really good things. An I

0:35:22.040 --> 0:35:25.880
<v Speaker 6>int company and a different thing. But it's good to

0:35:25.880 --> 0:35:29.120
<v Speaker 6>have the counterweight too. And as part of having that counterweight,

0:35:29.719 --> 0:35:32.600
<v Speaker 6>what how do you bring in considerations like well, what

0:35:32.640 --> 0:35:34.759
<v Speaker 6>are we going to do for a bunch of people

0:35:34.800 --> 0:35:38.160
<v Speaker 6>who are not as well off economically or anything else,

0:35:38.239 --> 0:35:40.000
<v Speaker 6>and how do we make sure they're included? How do

0:35:40.040 --> 0:35:43.400
<v Speaker 6>we make sure that one company doesn't dominate the industry,

0:35:43.400 --> 0:35:46.480
<v Speaker 6>but the tools are provided across the industry so innovation

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:48.959
<v Speaker 6>can benefit from startups and all the rest. It was like, great,

0:35:49.680 --> 0:35:51.560
<v Speaker 6>and let's do this thing open Ai.

0:35:52.200 --> 0:35:53.880
<v Speaker 3>Sam Altman has said he thinks this is going to

0:35:53.920 --> 0:35:58.280
<v Speaker 3>usher in this new era of economic prosperity. It's obviously

0:35:58.280 --> 0:36:00.760
<v Speaker 3>going to change a lot of jobs, going to eliminate

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:03.440
<v Speaker 3>a lot of jobs. Is it going to create enough

0:36:03.560 --> 0:36:05.239
<v Speaker 3>jobs to balance all that out?

0:36:05.719 --> 0:36:10.240
<v Speaker 6>So you can't one hundred percent say absolutely yes, because

0:36:10.239 --> 0:36:13.920
<v Speaker 6>it's part of the uncertain part of human nature and

0:36:14.160 --> 0:36:18.640
<v Speaker 6>human progress. But the same question is confronted us multiple times.

0:36:19.120 --> 0:36:21.840
<v Speaker 6>It's confronted us in the move from agriculture to industry.

0:36:22.320 --> 0:36:25.799
<v Speaker 6>It's confronted us in computerization of things like you know,

0:36:25.840 --> 0:36:28.239
<v Speaker 6>And again fear first is like, oh my god, it's

0:36:28.239 --> 0:36:31.240
<v Speaker 6>going to employee change. And a lot of work is people

0:36:31.280 --> 0:36:35.319
<v Speaker 6>to people interaction, and people interaction can be education, it

0:36:35.360 --> 0:36:39.160
<v Speaker 6>can be medicine, it can be legal, it could be communications.

0:36:40.040 --> 0:36:42.600
<v Speaker 6>I think that all of that there's infinite demand for

0:36:42.640 --> 0:36:47.080
<v Speaker 6>that work. Entertainment media there's infinite demand for that, and

0:36:47.120 --> 0:36:52.080
<v Speaker 6>so those can open up new realms of jobs and

0:36:52.120 --> 0:36:54.520
<v Speaker 6>all the rest. Am I ultimately very optimistic that it

0:36:54.520 --> 0:36:57.360
<v Speaker 6>will create a lot more jobs than it will consume.

0:36:57.920 --> 0:37:00.879
<v Speaker 6>The answer is yes, but it doesn't mean it won't

0:37:00.920 --> 0:37:02.719
<v Speaker 6>consume jobs, and it doesn't mean that we have to

0:37:02.760 --> 0:37:06.560
<v Speaker 6>not navigate the transition, the revolution of moving from agriculture

0:37:06.560 --> 0:37:08.360
<v Speaker 6>and industry. We had a lot of suffering in the

0:37:08.400 --> 0:37:10.560
<v Speaker 6>cities as we've moved to manufacturing and all the rest,

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:13.960
<v Speaker 6>and you say, okay, let's try to minimize these transitions.

0:37:14.160 --> 0:37:16.719
<v Speaker 3>I did ask chat GPT what questions I should ask you.

0:37:17.400 --> 0:37:20.080
<v Speaker 3>I thought it's questions were pretty boring. Yes, your answers

0:37:20.080 --> 0:37:23.120
<v Speaker 3>were pretty boring too, So we're not getting replaced anytime soon.

0:37:23.200 --> 0:37:27.319
<v Speaker 7>Yes, but clearly this is really struck a nerve, this.

0:37:27.360 --> 0:37:30.759
<v Speaker 3>Baning thing, Bing's chatbot saying telling folks it's in love

0:37:31.160 --> 0:37:31.600
<v Speaker 3>with them.

0:37:31.840 --> 0:37:34.000
<v Speaker 7>Yes, there are people out there who aren't going to

0:37:34.080 --> 0:37:36.400
<v Speaker 7>fall for it. Yes, should we be worried about that?

0:37:36.960 --> 0:37:40.560
<v Speaker 6>So that's a deminimous worry. I think that's specific one.

0:37:41.239 --> 0:37:45.320
<v Speaker 6>And the reason is, Okay, so everyone's encountered a crazy

0:37:45.360 --> 0:37:47.640
<v Speaker 6>person who's drunk off their ass at a cocktail party

0:37:47.880 --> 0:37:50.440
<v Speaker 6>who says really odd things, or at least every adult has,

0:37:51.880 --> 0:37:57.919
<v Speaker 6>and you know that's not like the world didn't end right.

0:37:58.360 --> 0:38:01.160
<v Speaker 6>And so the real issues I think are things like

0:38:01.719 --> 0:38:04.120
<v Speaker 6>if we put in a whole bunch of computational systems,

0:38:04.160 --> 0:38:09.920
<v Speaker 6>that we are on our trajectory to improving areas of

0:38:10.080 --> 0:38:13.600
<v Speaker 6>racial bias or discrimination. Now, I think AI can be

0:38:13.600 --> 0:38:15.880
<v Speaker 6>a very positive tool in that because we can improve it,

0:38:15.960 --> 0:38:17.719
<v Speaker 6>we can learn it, we can fix it. We can

0:38:17.760 --> 0:38:20.560
<v Speaker 6>probably fix it better than we can fix for example,

0:38:21.360 --> 0:38:25.880
<v Speaker 6>systems of judges issuing paroles probably easier to do iteratively

0:38:26.400 --> 0:38:29.880
<v Speaker 6>by studying it and getting it better through an AI system,

0:38:29.920 --> 0:38:34.080
<v Speaker 6>which will function in partnership, not in replacement, but as

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:35.759
<v Speaker 6>a way of kind of improving those things. So those

0:38:35.800 --> 0:38:38.000
<v Speaker 6>are the things that really matter. We have to we

0:38:38.040 --> 0:38:40.520
<v Speaker 6>do have to pay attention areas or harmful. For example,

0:38:40.560 --> 0:38:44.000
<v Speaker 6>someone's depressed. The thing about self harm, you want all

0:38:44.239 --> 0:38:46.759
<v Speaker 6>channels by which they can get into self harm to

0:38:46.800 --> 0:38:50.640
<v Speaker 6>be limited. That isn't just chatbots, that could be communities

0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:53.759
<v Speaker 6>and human beings, that could be search engines. You have

0:38:53.800 --> 0:38:55.880
<v Speaker 6>to pay attention to all the dimensions of it. And

0:38:55.920 --> 0:38:57.200
<v Speaker 6>by the way, you can never get it perfect.

0:38:57.600 --> 0:39:01.120
<v Speaker 3>So I agree that computers don't have feelings. These chatbots

0:39:01.120 --> 0:39:03.320
<v Speaker 3>are just predicting the next word in a string.

0:39:03.440 --> 0:39:03.720
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:39:04.440 --> 0:39:06.920
<v Speaker 7>What does worry me as a mom.

0:39:07.040 --> 0:39:07.680
<v Speaker 4>Is my kids.

0:39:08.000 --> 0:39:10.640
<v Speaker 3>So what if my kid is spending more time talking

0:39:10.640 --> 0:39:15.040
<v Speaker 3>to a chatbot than me, or developing relationships with these chatbots,

0:39:15.360 --> 0:39:18.759
<v Speaker 3>or making decisions based on what a chatbot has told

0:39:18.800 --> 0:39:21.960
<v Speaker 3>them or nudged them to do, Like, why shouldn't I

0:39:22.040 --> 0:39:23.239
<v Speaker 3>be terrified of that?

0:39:23.560 --> 0:39:26.600
<v Speaker 6>Well, I think the question is is what kind of

0:39:26.640 --> 0:39:28.600
<v Speaker 6>relationship and what are they nudging them to do? So

0:39:28.640 --> 0:39:31.000
<v Speaker 6>for example, say you had your kid and the kid

0:39:31.040 --> 0:39:34.080
<v Speaker 6>was interacting with the chatbot that was causing them to

0:39:34.239 --> 0:39:36.399
<v Speaker 6>reflect on who they were and their feelings a little

0:39:36.400 --> 0:39:39.160
<v Speaker 6>bit better and help them discover themselves and you're like,

0:39:39.200 --> 0:39:42.040
<v Speaker 6>well that seems to be an okay relationship, maybe better

0:39:42.640 --> 0:39:45.120
<v Speaker 6>than their friends at school even in some ways, and

0:39:45.160 --> 0:39:48.959
<v Speaker 6>help them kind of be a to follow the path

0:39:49.000 --> 0:39:51.600
<v Speaker 6>they want to be doing. Or say, for example, it

0:39:51.640 --> 0:39:54.319
<v Speaker 6>was like, well, here's why actually, in fact, doing your

0:39:54.320 --> 0:39:57.600
<v Speaker 6>homework is actually useful to you and here you know,

0:39:57.680 --> 0:40:00.200
<v Speaker 6>let's let's help do that. You said, well, that's okay.

0:40:00.360 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 6>So it's not the it's not the fact that there's

0:40:03.520 --> 0:40:05.799
<v Speaker 6>an interaction there that bothers you. It's like, is the

0:40:05.840 --> 0:40:08.160
<v Speaker 6>interaction going to be in a positive direction? Is going

0:40:08.239 --> 0:40:08.879
<v Speaker 6>to be broadly there?

0:40:08.960 --> 0:40:11.600
<v Speaker 7>How are we overestimating AI right now?

0:40:11.960 --> 0:40:15.480
<v Speaker 6>Many ways that we're overestimating it, it still doesn't really

0:40:15.520 --> 0:40:18.920
<v Speaker 6>do something that I would say is original to an expert. So,

0:40:19.000 --> 0:40:21.399
<v Speaker 6>for example, one of the questions I asked was how

0:40:21.440 --> 0:40:25.080
<v Speaker 6>would Read Hoffman make money by investing in artificial intelligence?

0:40:25.600 --> 0:40:27.680
<v Speaker 6>And the answer gave me was a very smart, very

0:40:27.680 --> 0:40:30.680
<v Speaker 6>well written answer that would have been written by a

0:40:30.719 --> 0:40:34.520
<v Speaker 6>professor at a business school who didn't understand venture capital. Right,

0:40:34.560 --> 0:40:39.360
<v Speaker 6>So it seems smart would study large markets, would realize

0:40:39.360 --> 0:40:42.160
<v Speaker 6>what products would be substitute in the large markets would

0:40:42.239 --> 0:40:45.040
<v Speaker 6>find teams to go do that and invest in them.

0:40:45.120 --> 0:40:48.320
<v Speaker 6>And this is all written very credible and completely wrong.

0:40:49.239 --> 0:40:52.480
<v Speaker 6>And part of that's because the newest edge of the

0:40:52.520 --> 0:40:56.120
<v Speaker 6>information is still beyond these systems. Now. It's great when

0:40:56.160 --> 0:40:59.759
<v Speaker 6>I said something like what would read Hoffman say on

0:40:59.840 --> 0:41:04.719
<v Speaker 6>a German documentary about settlers of Katan, right, and it

0:41:04.760 --> 0:41:05.800
<v Speaker 6>gave a very good answer.

0:41:06.040 --> 0:41:08.759
<v Speaker 3>Billions of dollars are going into AI. My inbox is

0:41:09.280 --> 0:41:12.320
<v Speaker 3>filled with AI pitches. Last year it was crypto and

0:41:12.360 --> 0:41:14.560
<v Speaker 3>Web three. Before that it was self driving cars. Now

0:41:14.640 --> 0:41:17.000
<v Speaker 3>everyone's on the AI train. Yes, how do we know

0:41:17.080 --> 0:41:18.640
<v Speaker 3>this isn't just the next bubble?

0:41:18.880 --> 0:41:23.360
<v Speaker 6>Well, I think neither Web three or autonomous vehicles actually

0:41:23.360 --> 0:41:27.000
<v Speaker 6>think we're bubbles. I do think that the generative AI

0:41:27.239 --> 0:41:30.120
<v Speaker 6>is the thing that has the broadest touch of everything.

0:41:30.320 --> 0:41:30.400
<v Speaker 5>Now.

0:41:30.440 --> 0:41:32.680
<v Speaker 6>Obviously, as venture capitalists, part of what we do is

0:41:32.719 --> 0:41:34.920
<v Speaker 6>we try to figure that out in advance, you know,

0:41:35.080 --> 0:41:37.719
<v Speaker 6>years before the people seeing coming. But I think that

0:41:38.000 --> 0:41:40.840
<v Speaker 6>there will be massive new companies built.

0:41:40.960 --> 0:41:43.359
<v Speaker 3>Feces have played a role, and you know, you could

0:41:43.360 --> 0:41:46.360
<v Speaker 3>say in the hype cycles, how much is FOMO driving decisions?

0:41:46.440 --> 0:41:46.799
<v Speaker 5>Right now?

0:41:47.160 --> 0:41:50.560
<v Speaker 6>FOM will always drives some decisions, as you know, because

0:41:51.560 --> 0:41:54.759
<v Speaker 6>people who are not with it suddenly try to jump

0:41:54.760 --> 0:41:57.040
<v Speaker 6>on the train, and some byblay. Sometimes it works. And

0:41:57.120 --> 0:42:01.080
<v Speaker 6>it is true that when you study the sequence of technology,

0:42:01.560 --> 0:42:04.319
<v Speaker 6>what happens is there's a wave. There's an Internet wave,

0:42:04.360 --> 0:42:07.439
<v Speaker 6>there's a mobile wave, there's a cloud wave. There's these waves,

0:42:07.480 --> 0:42:09.759
<v Speaker 6>and that transforms the industries and that you need to

0:42:09.800 --> 0:42:12.760
<v Speaker 6>be on that wave. So whether you're an early adopter

0:42:12.840 --> 0:42:15.040
<v Speaker 6>or late adopter, everyone goes and tries to get on

0:42:15.040 --> 0:42:15.279
<v Speaker 6>the wave.

0:42:15.400 --> 0:42:17.799
<v Speaker 7>There's another concern, and I wonder if you share it.

0:42:17.800 --> 0:42:20.120
<v Speaker 3>It does seem in some ways.

0:42:19.920 --> 0:42:21.239
<v Speaker 7>Like a lot of AI is.

0:42:21.160 --> 0:42:24.040
<v Speaker 3>Being developed by an elite group of companies, and people

0:42:24.760 --> 0:42:25.239
<v Speaker 3>look in.

0:42:25.239 --> 0:42:29.359
<v Speaker 6>Some ideal universe. You'd say, for a technology that would

0:42:29.360 --> 0:42:33.080
<v Speaker 6>impact billions of people, somehow billions of people should directly

0:42:33.600 --> 0:42:36.359
<v Speaker 6>be involved in creating it. But that's not how any

0:42:36.400 --> 0:42:39.080
<v Speaker 6>technology anywhere anywhere in history gets built. It's a small

0:42:39.160 --> 0:42:42.560
<v Speaker 6>number of people. How do you offset that and how

0:42:42.560 --> 0:42:44.799
<v Speaker 6>do you expand that? And I think the way that

0:42:44.840 --> 0:42:48.919
<v Speaker 6>you do that is try to have broader conversations, try

0:42:48.960 --> 0:42:51.640
<v Speaker 6>to be more inclusive about what the concerns are, what's

0:42:51.680 --> 0:42:54.560
<v Speaker 6>going on, what their intents are. That's the thing that

0:42:54.680 --> 0:42:56.520
<v Speaker 6>I try to help push to.

0:42:57.040 --> 0:43:01.120
<v Speaker 3>So do you see an aim mafia form?

0:43:01.239 --> 0:43:04.680
<v Speaker 6>Hopefully not, especially in the exact term of mafia. I

0:43:04.800 --> 0:43:08.520
<v Speaker 6>definitely think that there is because you're firm the PayPal mafia.

0:43:09.239 --> 0:43:12.719
<v Speaker 6>I think that there's a network of folks who have

0:43:12.920 --> 0:43:16.600
<v Speaker 6>been deeply involved over the last few years and is broadening.

0:43:17.600 --> 0:43:22.160
<v Speaker 6>That will have a lot of influence on how the

0:43:22.200 --> 0:43:23.360
<v Speaker 6>technology happens.

0:43:23.600 --> 0:43:26.719
<v Speaker 3>Do you think AI will shake up the big tech

0:43:26.800 --> 0:43:30.799
<v Speaker 3>hierarchy significantly? It seems like the big tech giants, all

0:43:30.880 --> 0:43:32.320
<v Speaker 3>of them are on their toes.

0:43:32.520 --> 0:43:35.040
<v Speaker 6>Well. What it certainly does is it creates a wave

0:43:35.120 --> 0:43:39.240
<v Speaker 6>of disruption. For example, with these large language models in search,

0:43:39.560 --> 0:43:41.200
<v Speaker 6>what do you want? Do you want ten blue links

0:43:41.440 --> 0:43:43.239
<v Speaker 6>or do you want an answer? In a lot of

0:43:43.280 --> 0:43:46.720
<v Speaker 6>search cases, you want an answer and a generated answer

0:43:46.719 --> 0:43:51.000
<v Speaker 6>that's like a Mickey mini Wikipedia page is awesome. That's

0:43:51.040 --> 0:43:55.080
<v Speaker 6>a shift. When you're working in a document, do you

0:43:55.120 --> 0:43:57.040
<v Speaker 6>want to just be able to pull out a template

0:43:57.080 --> 0:43:59.000
<v Speaker 6>that says here's what a memo template is, or would

0:43:59.040 --> 0:44:01.120
<v Speaker 6>you like to say, give me a first draft of

0:44:01.160 --> 0:44:06.560
<v Speaker 6>a memo on how artificial intelligence can improve government services?

0:44:07.080 --> 0:44:09.160
<v Speaker 6>And it drafts something and then you go okay, and

0:44:09.239 --> 0:44:12.640
<v Speaker 6>startups work much more nimbly than large companies. So I

0:44:12.680 --> 0:44:16.040
<v Speaker 6>think we'll see a profusion of startups doing interesting things.

0:44:16.120 --> 0:44:19.120
<v Speaker 3>This Can the next Google or Facebook really emerge if

0:44:19.160 --> 0:44:21.920
<v Speaker 3>Google and Facebook or Meta and Apple and Amazon are

0:44:22.000 --> 0:44:23.719
<v Speaker 3>running the playbook and Microsoft?

0:44:24.400 --> 0:44:26.960
<v Speaker 6>Yes, as I tend to think we have five large

0:44:26.960 --> 0:44:30.359
<v Speaker 6>tech companies heading to ten, not five heading to two

0:44:30.400 --> 0:44:33.919
<v Speaker 6>or three, and it's competition, and that competition creates space

0:44:33.960 --> 0:44:36.439
<v Speaker 6>for startups and all the rest. So do I think

0:44:36.480 --> 0:44:39.080
<v Speaker 6>there will be another one to three companies that will

0:44:39.120 --> 0:44:42.840
<v Speaker 6>be the size of the five big tech giants emerging

0:44:43.239 --> 0:44:47.799
<v Speaker 6>possibly from AI? Absolutely? Yes, right now, does that mean

0:44:47.840 --> 0:44:50.800
<v Speaker 6>that one of them is going to collapse? No, not necessarily,

0:44:50.840 --> 0:44:53.080
<v Speaker 6>and it doesn't need to. The more that we have,

0:44:53.160 --> 0:44:53.520
<v Speaker 6>the better.

0:44:53.760 --> 0:44:54.919
<v Speaker 7>So what are the next big five?

0:44:55.320 --> 0:44:56.920
<v Speaker 6>Well, that's what we're trying to invest in.

0:44:58.719 --> 0:45:02.120
<v Speaker 3>You're on the board of Microsoft, obviously, you know Microsoft is.

0:45:02.120 --> 0:45:04.840
<v Speaker 7>Making a big AI push. How do you see the

0:45:04.840 --> 0:45:06.880
<v Speaker 7>balance of power between Microsoft and Google.

0:45:07.400 --> 0:45:11.400
<v Speaker 6>I think it unequivocally has a shot. But one of

0:45:11.440 --> 0:45:14.560
<v Speaker 6>the things that I think that Satis said very well

0:45:15.560 --> 0:45:19.400
<v Speaker 6>is at minimum with what you're seeing happening with you know,

0:45:19.440 --> 0:45:21.920
<v Speaker 6>bing Chad and everything else. And what means is is

0:45:21.960 --> 0:45:24.719
<v Speaker 6>all of a sudden, Microsoft's back in the game. It's here,

0:45:25.040 --> 0:45:28.000
<v Speaker 6>it's doing stuff, it's inventing, it's creating things. What is

0:45:28.280 --> 0:45:32.160
<v Speaker 6>pretty amazing to have had a seat watching how Sati

0:45:32.200 --> 0:45:35.800
<v Speaker 6>and his team are kind of bringing a tech company

0:45:35.840 --> 0:45:38.400
<v Speaker 6>back to where, you know, a few decades ago it

0:45:38.560 --> 0:45:40.560
<v Speaker 6>was one of the leading tech companies and then everyone's

0:45:40.600 --> 0:45:43.319
<v Speaker 6>not paying attention to anymore, back to being a leading

0:45:43.360 --> 0:45:44.640
<v Speaker 6>tech company, to doing search.

0:45:45.040 --> 0:45:47.160
<v Speaker 3>Did you bring Satia and Sam or have any role

0:45:47.160 --> 0:45:50.240
<v Speaker 3>in bringing Satia and Sam closer together? Because Microsoft obviously

0:45:50.239 --> 0:45:52.160
<v Speaker 3>has ten billion dollars.

0:45:51.800 --> 0:45:52.680
<v Speaker 4>Now in open Ai.

0:45:52.960 --> 0:45:55.120
<v Speaker 6>Both of them are close to me and know me

0:45:55.160 --> 0:45:57.720
<v Speaker 6>and trust me well, so I think I have helped

0:45:57.719 --> 0:46:01.759
<v Speaker 6>facilitate understanding and communication. And I would not want to

0:46:01.760 --> 0:46:05.120
<v Speaker 6>take anything away from how brilliant each of them is

0:46:05.480 --> 0:46:08.480
<v Speaker 6>and how much the thing they have architected is because

0:46:08.480 --> 0:46:09.120
<v Speaker 6>they're amazing.

0:46:09.560 --> 0:46:13.720
<v Speaker 3>The AI graveyard is filled with algorithms that got into trouble.

0:46:14.560 --> 0:46:18.640
<v Speaker 3>How can we trust open ai or Microsoft or Google

0:46:18.960 --> 0:46:21.239
<v Speaker 3>or anyone to do the right thing.

0:46:21.680 --> 0:46:25.680
<v Speaker 6>Well, there's a whole field of aix, AI, safety, etc.

0:46:26.960 --> 0:46:29.759
<v Speaker 6>There's people in all of these companies, a lot of

0:46:29.800 --> 0:46:32.960
<v Speaker 6>them employed with asking questions and making that work, so

0:46:33.040 --> 0:46:36.000
<v Speaker 6>we need to be more transparent. Well, everyone agrees that

0:46:36.640 --> 0:46:40.160
<v Speaker 6>we should be protective of children. Everyone agrees that we

0:46:40.200 --> 0:46:42.320
<v Speaker 6>should try to make sure self harm isn't there. Everyone

0:46:42.360 --> 0:46:47.120
<v Speaker 6>agrees that we should try to not have this lock

0:46:47.239 --> 0:46:50.840
<v Speaker 6>in economic classes or other kinds of things, and should

0:46:50.920 --> 0:46:54.680
<v Speaker 6>be more broadly provisioned. But on the other hand, of course,

0:46:54.680 --> 0:46:56.880
<v Speaker 6>a problem exactly as you're alluding to, is people say, well,

0:46:56.920 --> 0:46:59.800
<v Speaker 6>the AI should say that, or shouldn't say that, or

0:46:59.800 --> 0:47:02.040
<v Speaker 6>they I should allow people to say that, or shouldn't

0:47:02.040 --> 0:47:03.560
<v Speaker 6>allow people to say that, And you're like, well, we

0:47:03.600 --> 0:47:07.200
<v Speaker 6>can't even really agree on that ourselves, so we don't

0:47:07.239 --> 0:47:10.279
<v Speaker 6>want that to be litigated by other people. We want

0:47:10.320 --> 0:47:11.600
<v Speaker 6>that to be a social decision.

0:47:11.840 --> 0:47:14.960
<v Speaker 3>It's a minefield of ethics and fairness and governance issues.

0:47:15.719 --> 0:47:19.960
<v Speaker 7>Is the answer regulation and how can regulation possibly.

0:47:19.640 --> 0:47:20.399
<v Speaker 4>Even keep up?

0:47:20.640 --> 0:47:23.560
<v Speaker 6>When people think regulation, they think you must come and

0:47:23.560 --> 0:47:26.000
<v Speaker 6>seek approval before you do something, And that's the reason

0:47:26.040 --> 0:47:29.200
<v Speaker 6>why most of these regulated industries have all massively slowed

0:47:29.239 --> 0:47:32.560
<v Speaker 6>down on their innovation. So to start regulating now, I

0:47:32.560 --> 0:47:39.120
<v Speaker 6>think would be broadly dangerous and destructive and kind of

0:47:39.160 --> 0:47:41.920
<v Speaker 6>how do we create and own the industries of the future.

0:47:42.040 --> 0:47:43.879
<v Speaker 6>But that doesn't mean do nothing. Say, for example, you're

0:47:43.880 --> 0:47:46.839
<v Speaker 6>working with AI companies, we'd like to hear what your

0:47:46.880 --> 0:47:49.200
<v Speaker 6>top concerns are. Here are some of ours. We'd like

0:47:49.520 --> 0:47:51.799
<v Speaker 6>to have you figure out how to tell us about

0:47:51.840 --> 0:47:55.239
<v Speaker 6>how you're addressing our concerns and how you're making improvements

0:47:55.239 --> 0:47:57.239
<v Speaker 6>on it month by month, year by year. Maybe you

0:47:57.280 --> 0:47:59.640
<v Speaker 6>could have a dashboard. Maybe you could be telling us

0:47:59.680 --> 0:48:03.640
<v Speaker 6>about here's how you're measuring how racial bias might creep

0:48:03.640 --> 0:48:06.319
<v Speaker 6>into your systems from the data that you're training on.

0:48:06.480 --> 0:48:08.279
<v Speaker 6>And if, by the way, you're not doing that well enough,

0:48:08.520 --> 0:48:11.279
<v Speaker 6>then we'll talk about the next phase of regulation. But

0:48:11.480 --> 0:48:15.640
<v Speaker 6>started as a dialogue and positioning the concerns and kind

0:48:15.640 --> 0:48:17.719
<v Speaker 6>of what improvements we want to see and what we'd

0:48:17.719 --> 0:48:19.720
<v Speaker 6>like to see, and start that way.

0:48:20.239 --> 0:48:23.239
<v Speaker 3>Elon left open AI years ago and pointed out that

0:48:23.280 --> 0:48:26.560
<v Speaker 3>it's not as open as it used to be. He

0:48:26.600 --> 0:48:29.200
<v Speaker 3>said he wanted it to be a non profit counterweight

0:48:29.239 --> 0:48:33.400
<v Speaker 3>to Google. Now it's a closed source, maximum profit company

0:48:33.520 --> 0:48:35.400
<v Speaker 3>effectively controlled by Microsoft.

0:48:35.800 --> 0:48:38.759
<v Speaker 6>Does he have a point, Well, he's wrong on a

0:48:38.840 --> 0:48:43.160
<v Speaker 6>number of levels there. So one is it's run by

0:48:43.200 --> 0:48:45.560
<v Speaker 6>a fiber one C three. It is a nonprofit, but

0:48:45.640 --> 0:48:47.279
<v Speaker 6>it does have a for profit part. It has a

0:48:47.280 --> 0:48:51.000
<v Speaker 6>for profit but the for profit part as is structurally

0:48:51.320 --> 0:48:55.000
<v Speaker 6>controlled in every way that really matters by the nonprofit.

0:48:55.680 --> 0:48:59.600
<v Speaker 6>It's employees run to it's board. Governs too, are all

0:48:59.640 --> 0:49:02.520
<v Speaker 6>in on pre profit mission. The commercial system, which is

0:49:02.560 --> 0:49:05.440
<v Speaker 6>all carefully done, is to bring in capital to support

0:49:05.480 --> 0:49:09.360
<v Speaker 6>the nonprofit mission. Now get to the question of for example,

0:49:09.400 --> 0:49:13.600
<v Speaker 6>Open so Dolly, when it was ready for four months

0:49:13.680 --> 0:49:16.719
<v Speaker 6>before it was released, why did the delay for four

0:49:16.760 --> 0:49:18.279
<v Speaker 6>months and delayed for four months because it was doing

0:49:18.320 --> 0:49:20.919
<v Speaker 6>safety training. It said, well, we don't want to have

0:49:21.520 --> 0:49:24.359
<v Speaker 6>this being used to create child sexual material. We don't

0:49:24.400 --> 0:49:28.120
<v Speaker 6>want to have this being used for assaulting individuals or

0:49:28.200 --> 0:49:30.439
<v Speaker 6>doing deep fakes. We don't want it to have being

0:49:30.520 --> 0:49:33.239
<v Speaker 6>like revenge pornography or that kind of stuff. So we're

0:49:33.239 --> 0:49:35.320
<v Speaker 6>not going to open source it. We're going to release

0:49:35.320 --> 0:49:37.920
<v Speaker 6>it through an API so we can be seeing what

0:49:37.960 --> 0:49:39.799
<v Speaker 6>the results are and making sure it doesn't do any

0:49:39.840 --> 0:49:42.719
<v Speaker 6>of these harms. So it's open because it has open

0:49:42.800 --> 0:49:44.680
<v Speaker 6>access to the APIs, but it's not open because it's

0:49:44.680 --> 0:49:45.240
<v Speaker 6>open source.

0:49:45.400 --> 0:49:48.120
<v Speaker 3>You've resigned from the board of open AI because of

0:49:48.120 --> 0:49:49.760
<v Speaker 3>the appearance of a conflict of interest.

0:49:50.160 --> 0:49:53.560
<v Speaker 7>There are folks out there who are angry actually about.

0:49:53.440 --> 0:49:56.840
<v Speaker 3>Open AIS branching out from nonprofit to for profit.

0:49:57.120 --> 0:49:58.680
<v Speaker 7>Is there a bit of a bait and switch there?

0:49:58.960 --> 0:50:02.239
<v Speaker 6>The first thing is to make a difference in the

0:50:02.239 --> 0:50:06.879
<v Speaker 6>AI technologies and how to be a counterweight to all

0:50:06.920 --> 0:50:10.239
<v Speaker 6>of the commercial things. To do that, open AI needs

0:50:10.239 --> 0:50:13.320
<v Speaker 6>a lot of capital. The cleverness that Sam and everyone

0:50:13.400 --> 0:50:15.560
<v Speaker 6>else figured out is they could say, look, we can

0:50:15.600 --> 0:50:18.719
<v Speaker 6>do a market commercial deal where we say we'll give

0:50:18.760 --> 0:50:23.920
<v Speaker 6>you commercial licenses to parts of our technology in various ways,

0:50:24.640 --> 0:50:27.080
<v Speaker 6>and then we can continue our mission of beneficial AI

0:50:27.840 --> 0:50:31.520
<v Speaker 6>because we're not primarily motivated commercial. We're primarily and we're

0:50:31.560 --> 0:50:34.800
<v Speaker 6>primarily motivated by how do we make this great for society,

0:50:34.800 --> 0:50:35.600
<v Speaker 6>great for humanity?

0:50:35.800 --> 0:50:38.480
<v Speaker 3>So you don't think this nonprofit to for profit thing

0:50:38.880 --> 0:50:39.720
<v Speaker 3>was a bait and switch.

0:50:40.200 --> 0:50:43.320
<v Speaker 6>No, not at all. And I think that the question

0:50:43.880 --> 0:50:48.400
<v Speaker 6>about ok it was all done, I think very transparently.

0:50:48.560 --> 0:50:52.400
<v Speaker 6>And I think that the question about it is is

0:50:52.520 --> 0:50:56.279
<v Speaker 6>making sure that open AI can provide all of the

0:50:56.880 --> 0:51:01.680
<v Speaker 6>broad based kind of AI technology across multiple industries and

0:51:01.719 --> 0:51:03.560
<v Speaker 6>not be contained within one company.

0:51:04.200 --> 0:51:06.160
<v Speaker 7>It can't be all AI and rainbows.

0:51:06.600 --> 0:51:08.719
<v Speaker 3>There must be stuff that's keeping you up at night,

0:51:08.800 --> 0:51:10.480
<v Speaker 3>Like what keeps you up at night?

0:51:11.000 --> 0:51:14.520
<v Speaker 6>Do I pay attention to what are the unintended consequences,

0:51:15.239 --> 0:51:18.280
<v Speaker 6>how it might cement layers of power? Like, for example,

0:51:18.520 --> 0:51:20.200
<v Speaker 6>do I pay attention to the fact that it could

0:51:20.280 --> 0:51:24.480
<v Speaker 6>flood our media ecosystems with misinformation? Yes, I absolutely pay

0:51:24.480 --> 0:51:27.080
<v Speaker 6>attention to that. Of course, our media ecosystems are already

0:51:27.080 --> 0:51:31.560
<v Speaker 6>flooded with misinformation. It comes from Russians hacking our political stuff,

0:51:31.600 --> 0:51:36.640
<v Speaker 6>or Nigerians or you know, Philippine farms or weird conspiracy theories.

0:51:37.040 --> 0:51:39.680
<v Speaker 6>But what really keeps you up at night is in

0:51:39.719 --> 0:51:43.279
<v Speaker 6>our fears? Do we miss the things that could be

0:51:43.360 --> 0:51:46.399
<v Speaker 6>really valuable? Right? That's that's part of the reason why

0:51:46.400 --> 0:51:50.600
<v Speaker 6>I come out so clearly. And it's not because like

0:51:50.680 --> 0:51:53.120
<v Speaker 6>if you literally said, like, any money that I'm gonna

0:51:53.120 --> 0:51:55.920
<v Speaker 6>make from investing these days already kind of heads to

0:51:55.920 --> 0:51:59.000
<v Speaker 6>my foundation and all the rest. That's what I do.

0:51:59.440 --> 0:52:03.160
<v Speaker 6>It's not because I have any economic interests here. It's because,

0:52:03.840 --> 0:52:06.759
<v Speaker 6>like I think about first, you say, okay, so who

0:52:06.760 --> 0:52:08.880
<v Speaker 6>will the first AI tutors be. We'll probably be for

0:52:09.239 --> 0:52:12.480
<v Speaker 6>upper middle class families because of economic things, Well, can

0:52:12.520 --> 0:52:18.120
<v Speaker 6>we get them to everybody in developed countries? And then well,

0:52:18.160 --> 0:52:21.520
<v Speaker 6>what about the kids in you know, Nigeria, or what

0:52:21.560 --> 0:52:24.640
<v Speaker 6>about the kids in Indonesia, or what about the kids

0:52:24.680 --> 0:52:27.840
<v Speaker 6>in you know, all throughout India. Well can we do

0:52:27.920 --> 0:52:30.919
<v Speaker 6>that too? That that's the kind of thing, and how

0:52:31.000 --> 0:52:33.640
<v Speaker 6>quickly do we get there? Because I think, you know,

0:52:33.680 --> 0:52:37.239
<v Speaker 6>we had this old expression from the eighties. No, no,

0:52:37.239 --> 0:52:40.280
<v Speaker 6>it was nineties. I think the digital divide right, Well,

0:52:40.520 --> 0:52:42.560
<v Speaker 6>look we all have a digital divide issue. That kind

0:52:42.600 --> 0:52:45.439
<v Speaker 6>of thing definitely keeps me up. Now again, I don't

0:52:45.480 --> 0:52:48.680
<v Speaker 6>mean to be pollyannish about this, and I and I

0:52:49.200 --> 0:52:53.040
<v Speaker 6>put a lot of energy into making sure we're asking

0:52:53.080 --> 0:52:55.240
<v Speaker 6>the right what are you in only like alignment questions

0:52:55.360 --> 0:52:57.880
<v Speaker 6>or safety questions and so forth. But like when I

0:52:57.920 --> 0:53:01.040
<v Speaker 6>read a weird bing chat, I'm mostly just laugh.

0:53:02.360 --> 0:53:04.960
<v Speaker 3>Agi, when computers will be smarter than humans?

0:53:05.280 --> 0:53:06.160
<v Speaker 4>How far out is that?

0:53:06.520 --> 0:53:08.360
<v Speaker 6>So this is one of the kinds of things that

0:53:08.440 --> 0:53:11.319
<v Speaker 6>human beings are very bad at making judgments on. What

0:53:11.360 --> 0:53:14.360
<v Speaker 6>I mean is like, Agi, is there a percentage that

0:53:14.400 --> 0:53:18.320
<v Speaker 6>we will get a computer smarter than humans in our lifetime?

0:53:18.600 --> 0:53:22.080
<v Speaker 6>And the answer is yes. And the question is, well,

0:53:22.239 --> 0:53:24.560
<v Speaker 6>is it a large percentage or a small percentage, and

0:53:24.560 --> 0:53:27.799
<v Speaker 6>what counts as a large percentage of small percentage? You know,

0:53:28.200 --> 0:53:31.480
<v Speaker 6>I think that percentage is small, and who knows, maybe

0:53:31.480 --> 0:53:33.520
<v Speaker 6>it'll happen. Then it comes back to, well, what kind

0:53:33.560 --> 0:53:37.080
<v Speaker 6>of superintelligence? So if you're worried about things being hostile,

0:53:37.320 --> 0:53:40.839
<v Speaker 6>Terminix said, well, that's very concerning. But if you're like, oh,

0:53:40.960 --> 0:53:43.920
<v Speaker 6>well we could create a superintelligence that is a Buddhist

0:53:44.400 --> 0:53:47.439
<v Speaker 6>and thinks that sentient life is very good and goes, oh,

0:53:47.520 --> 0:53:50.040
<v Speaker 6>how do I work in collaboration with you? Well that

0:53:50.080 --> 0:53:53.120
<v Speaker 6>could be really good. Right. So the whole thing is,

0:53:53.480 --> 0:53:57.280
<v Speaker 6>I think it's never good to be driven by your fear.

0:53:57.400 --> 0:53:59.399
<v Speaker 6>I think it's much better to be driven by your

0:53:59.400 --> 0:54:04.040
<v Speaker 6>curiosity but being very diligent and work very hard at

0:54:04.040 --> 0:54:05.160
<v Speaker 6>trying to make the right things happen.

0:54:05.280 --> 0:54:08.120
<v Speaker 3>So does this mean you think super intelligence is quite

0:54:08.200 --> 0:54:09.120
<v Speaker 3>a ways out?

0:54:09.960 --> 0:54:12.239
<v Speaker 6>I would say that it's more likely outside of our

0:54:12.239 --> 0:54:13.560
<v Speaker 6>lifetimes than in our lifetimes.

0:54:13.760 --> 0:54:15.440
<v Speaker 7>Okay, I appreciate a definitive picture.

0:54:15.560 --> 0:54:18.480
<v Speaker 3>Thank you, Yes, thanks so much for listening to this

0:54:18.560 --> 0:54:21.479
<v Speaker 3>episode of the Circuit. I'm Emily Chang. You can follow

0:54:21.520 --> 0:54:24.160
<v Speaker 3>me on Twitter and Instagram at Emily Chang TV. You

0:54:24.200 --> 0:54:26.759
<v Speaker 3>can watch full episodes of the Circuit at Bloomberg dot

0:54:26.760 --> 0:54:30.120
<v Speaker 3>com and check out our other Bloomberg podcasts on Apple Podcasts,

0:54:30.200 --> 0:54:33.200
<v Speaker 3>the iHeartMedia app, or wherever you listen to shows and

0:54:33.280 --> 0:54:35.320
<v Speaker 3>let us know what you think by leaving us a review.

0:54:35.560 --> 0:54:38.400
<v Speaker 3>I'm your host and executive producer. Our senior producer is

0:54:38.440 --> 0:54:41.840
<v Speaker 3>Lauren Ellis. Our associate producer is Lizzie Phillip. Our editor

0:54:42.000 --> 0:54:44.480
<v Speaker 3>is Sebastian Escobar. Thanks so much for listening.