1 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 1: Welcome to tech Stuff, a production from I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: Hey there, and welcome to tech Stuff. I'm your host, 3 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 1: Jonathan Strickland. I'm an executive producer with I Heart Radio, 4 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,639 Speaker 1: and I love all things tech. And one thing that 5 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 1: consistently floors me in the tech world, specifically in the 6 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: tech startup world, is that a company doesn't have to 7 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: be profitable to seem valuable. And to me, this sounds 8 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: like a contradiction. You know, I mean, if a company 9 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: is not making a profit, it is either breaking even 10 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 1: so you know, things are just staying afloat, or it's 11 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: losing money. So you would think that a company that 12 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 1: was not making a profit couldn't be valuable. It would 13 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: at best be neutral, and worst, it would be an 14 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: ever growing cost to operate and require you know, consistent 15 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 1: investment to just keep going. And yet in the tech world, 16 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: we have plenty of examples of companies that are not 17 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: profitable and yet consistently reach crazy valuations and the billions 18 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 1: of dollars. So we're going to talk about a few 19 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: of those today, some of which I have covered in 20 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: other episodes, And I thought we would start off with 21 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: a company that actually has become profitable but only relatively recently, 22 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 1: and that is Twitter for those of you who are 23 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 1: blissfully unaware. Twitter is a social network platform upon which 24 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: people can post short messages called tweets to followers, and 25 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: originally Twitter limited these two characters in length because the 26 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: service was largely reliant on SMS, or Short Messaging Service 27 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 1: a k a. Old Ashen text messaging, and because SMS 28 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: has a limit to the number of characters it can support, 29 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 1: which is a hundred sixty characters. Twitter also had a 30 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 1: limit had a little buffer built in there so that 31 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: your user name could fit in. For example, in two 32 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 1: thousand seventeen, Twitter would actually increase that character limit to 33 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: two eight characters, so suddenly you could be twice as wordy, 34 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:27,519 Speaker 1: and for people like me, that was glorious. But here's 35 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:31,359 Speaker 1: the thing. While Twitter launched in two thousand six and 36 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: eleven years later expanded that character limit throughout that entire time, 37 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: it had never had a profitable year. So let's take 38 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 1: a quick look at the trajectory of Twitter. Back in 39 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 1: two thousand six, a company called Odeo created Twitter as 40 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,040 Speaker 1: kind of a side project. Some folks at Odeo kind 41 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: of got together to make it, but by the following year, 42 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: it was ready to kind of stand as its own thing, 43 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 1: particularly after having a big debut to the world at 44 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 1: large at south By Southwest in two thousand seven. South 45 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: By as you know, cool people call it. I just 46 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: call it south By Southwest because I am aware I 47 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 1: am not cool anyway. It's a big event in Austin, Texas, 48 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:23,079 Speaker 1: and it includes multiple tracks of content programming. So there's 49 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 1: a music track in which hundreds of bands come to 50 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: Austin and they play live gigs around the city. There's 51 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: a film track in which the theaters around town will 52 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: exhibit films from both new and unknown artists and famous filmmakers, 53 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 1: and whole discussions and things like that as well. And 54 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 1: then there's the interactive track, which includes all the computers 55 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 1: and apps and text stuff. Folks at the event adopted 56 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: Twitter pretty quickly, and that buzz really helped propel the 57 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 1: app and gave it a reputation as being this cool, 58 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 1: hip way to stay touch with friends, and later on 59 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: it became kind of seen as this tool in order 60 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 1: to send communications out too large numbers of people. So 61 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 1: it was relatively cool and hip. I mean, I would 62 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 1: say it was part of the interactive track. That gives 63 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: a cap on how cool and hip it can be, 64 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:19,040 Speaker 1: because I would argue that the tech track still wishes 65 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 1: it was as cool as the music and film tracks are, 66 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: and I say that as a tech guy anyway. Over 67 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 1: the past few years, Twitter would hold various rounds of 68 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 1: funding in order to attract investors to supporting the platform, 69 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: and the general thought was, let's grow this thing as 70 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: much as we can and then we'll figure out how 71 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: to monetize it later, which, honestly, I mean that might 72 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 1: sound crazy, but it's probably the only route that you 73 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 1: can take with some of these tech companies. You know, 74 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,160 Speaker 1: if you're launching a new app, it's hard to convince 75 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: people to jump on an untested, unproven app unless it 76 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: is free to use. Most folks are not super eager 77 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:02,919 Speaker 1: to spend money on something that hasn't had a proven 78 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 1: use case, and so finding a way to scale up 79 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: and then monetize, you know, your large user base was 80 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:16,080 Speaker 1: probably the most logical approach. Twitter co founder Jack Dorsey 81 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 1: led the company for a few years before handing the 82 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: control as CEO over to Evan Williams Now. In this 83 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: phase of Twitter's growth, which would be around two thousand eight, 84 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: two thousand ten, the company began exploring ways to use 85 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 1: promoted tweets as a type of advertising, so advertisers could 86 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: pay to promote a specific message a tweet so that 87 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: it would show up in the timelines of folks, even 88 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: if those folks weren't following that particular account. So I guess, 89 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:48,679 Speaker 1: for you know, those who don't use Twitter, I should clarify. 90 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 1: The way it generally works is that you make an account, 91 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:55,839 Speaker 1: assuming that you're making an account that can post publicly. 92 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 1: You can make a private account and then you can 93 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 1: dictate which people can actually see your tweets, but most 94 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: people have a public account. Then you end up following 95 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 1: accounts you want to follow. So maybe there's some notable people, 96 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 1: maybe there's some brands, maybe they're friends of yours that 97 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 1: are on Twitter. You go and you follow those and 98 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,720 Speaker 1: you click a little button to follow them, and now 99 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: whenever someone posting on those accounts posts a public tweet, 100 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 1: that tweet shows up in your little Twitter feed and 101 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:30,040 Speaker 1: you can read them. So let's take an example of Sally, 102 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:35,239 Speaker 1: June and Bob. So Sally follows June, but she doesn't 103 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: follow Bob. So whenever June sends out a public tweet, 104 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 1: Sally sees it. Now, June follows Bob, so June can 105 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 1: see all of Bob's public tweets. If June were to 106 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:52,160 Speaker 1: start a tweet with at Bob, so sending a Twitter 107 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:56,400 Speaker 1: message to Bob, not a direct message, but at reply message, 108 00:06:56,839 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: Sally would not see that tweet automatically because Sally is 109 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: not following Bob. Now Twitter didn't always work like this, 110 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 1: but over the years the service institute these rules where 111 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: you have to follow both parties in order to see 112 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 1: these at replies on the face of them. Now, if again, 113 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 1: if Sally had followed both Bob and June, she would 114 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: see June's at at Bob. But now, let's say that 115 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 1: Bob is running a business and he wants to promote 116 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: his business. So he goes and he purchases a promoted 117 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 1: tweet on Twitter, and he crafts a short message urging 118 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: people to you know, follow a link to his business, 119 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: and he pays Twitter and the message posts. Now Sally 120 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 1: logs in, she looks at her Twitter feed, and now 121 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: she sees at the top of that Twitter feed or 122 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 1: near the top, Bob's message, even though she does not 123 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: follow Bob. Because that tweet has been promoted into her timeline. Now, 124 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 1: as you might imagine, a lot of Twitter users were 125 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 1: not super keen on promoted tweets, as they were often 126 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: left wondering why am I seeing this? Mean? I don't 127 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: even follow this account? But it was one of the 128 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: ways that Twitter could make money, and it did make money. 129 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: It just wasn't making enough money to offset the cost 130 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 1: of operating the company, so it remained operating at a loss. 131 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: In two thousand thirteen, Twitter announced it was going to 132 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 1: go public. It was going to become a publicly traded 133 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: company and hold an I p O or initial public offering, 134 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 1: so that would mean that Twitter stock would be publicly 135 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: traded on stock exchanges. Now, keep in mind that this 136 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 1: was still several years from Twitter actually having a profitable year, 137 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 1: but this also meant the company could get a fresh 138 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: injection of investment money, as folks would buy up shares 139 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:45,959 Speaker 1: of stock. So everyone recognized that Twitter was providing a 140 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 1: valuable service, even if the company itself hadn't found a 141 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 1: way to leverage that to make the company profitable. Heck, 142 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: back in two thousand eleven, Twitter had a valuation of 143 00:08:56,559 --> 00:09:00,960 Speaker 1: eight billion dollars, but it was still seven years away 144 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 1: from a profitable year. In it launched a targeted advertising campaign, 145 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 1: a more focused approach to promoted tweets, and the following year, 146 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: the company held a round of layoffs, eliminating around nine 147 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 1: percent of its workforce. In the last quarter of Twitter 148 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: posted a quarterly profit of ninety one million dollars. The 149 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 1: company had been in operations since two thousand and six, 150 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 1: and this was the first profitable quarter for the company. 151 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:36,680 Speaker 1: So three months Twitter followed that up with a string 152 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 1: of profitable quarters, and so two thousand eighteen became the 153 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: first profitable year in the company's history. Now, to be clear, 154 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: the company still had about one point five billion dollars 155 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 1: in debt at that point. Two thousand nineteen was another 156 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: good year for Twitter, but then saw a step back. 157 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:01,439 Speaker 1: The company made larger expenditures in and despite bringing in 158 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 1: three point seven to billion dollars in revenue, it ended 159 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 1: the year with an operating loss of one point one 160 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 1: four billion dollars. Still, Twitter is a company that has 161 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 1: gone from start up to one that actually generated enough 162 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 1: revenue to at least sometimes cover all the costs of 163 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: operation and then some. But let's move on to a 164 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:26,960 Speaker 1: slightly younger company. One that's perhaps on the cusp of 165 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: having its first profitable year by the end of That 166 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: company is snap Incorporated, which of course is known for 167 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: its popular video social platform Snapchat. I should say video 168 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 1: and photo platform Snapchat. Snapchat launched back in two thousand eleven, 169 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: meaning this company is actually a decade old, which feels 170 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:53,559 Speaker 1: weird to say. Uh and uh, And in my mind 171 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: it's always like that thing that just came out a 172 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: couple of years ago, like I have such a bad 173 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: way of placing wind tech things launched to me, like 174 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 1: anything pre Twitter was only around a few years. But anyway, 175 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: three Stanford University students named Reggie Brown, Evan Spiegel, and 176 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:15,439 Speaker 1: Bobby Murphy created the app way back in the day. Now. 177 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 1: The story goes that Brown had come up with this 178 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 1: idea of a platform that would allow users to post 179 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: photos and videos that would have a limited shelf life, 180 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 1: so after a given amount of time, the content would disappear, 181 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: meaning you had to be actively engaged with the app 182 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 1: frequently or you'd end up missing out on stuff. Also, 183 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:38,319 Speaker 1: I should add that at least some of the stories 184 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 1: of the early days of this idea, In fact, a 185 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 1: lot of the stories I should argue really revolved around 186 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 1: the very things that concerned critics have raised about Snapchat, 187 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,680 Speaker 1: that being that the fact that you're you're talking about 188 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 1: video and photos that only stay active for a certain 189 00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 1: amount of time and then they go away forever or 190 00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:03,840 Speaker 1: apparently forever, meant that folks would take photos and videos of, say, 191 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:08,079 Speaker 1: less socially acceptable subjects. So, in other words, at least 192 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:12,199 Speaker 1: in one recounting of this idea, the primary use case 193 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 1: for the disappearing photos was that it might encourage people 194 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: to send racy pictures and videos to one another. Reading 195 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 1: some of the accounts about this is pretty disturbing in 196 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: some cases, like it. It feels gross. Not that people 197 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: shouldn't send whatever they want to whomever they want. I 198 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: don't mean that if they are consenting adults and and 199 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 1: it is welcomed. I have no issues with what people 200 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 1: send to one another, but rather that it was a 201 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: means of encouraging this behavior from people who might otherwise 202 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 1: resist it. You start getting into some territory that I 203 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 1: find pretty ski vy. However, there are lots of other 204 00:12:57,920 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: ways of using the app that don't involve, you know, 205 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 1: skivie related topics and worlds are turned on such thoughts 206 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 1: I suppose now, Honestly, if I dived into the background 207 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 1: of the founders and some of the emails that they 208 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: were sending to one another, back with them each other 209 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:19,720 Speaker 1: and with their fraternity mates, I would quickly need to 210 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,960 Speaker 1: slap an explicit tag on this episode. It is not 211 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,840 Speaker 1: a good luck, is all I'm gonna say, or rather 212 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 1: like some of it is like really reprehensible, but let's 213 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:34,680 Speaker 1: just move on. I've been soap boxing long enough. So 214 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 1: this was an app that was partly built on the 215 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:40,559 Speaker 1: premise of fomo, you know, the fear of missing out, 216 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 1: which was kind of brilliant because that kind of design 217 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:49,080 Speaker 1: encourages ongoing and increased engagement, and that is something that 218 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: can be monetized if it's treated properly. It's the thing 219 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 1: that every platform is out for. It's why the Facebook 220 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: algorithm works the way it does. It's why the YouTube 221 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:02,400 Speaker 1: algorithm works the way it does. It's designed to encourage 222 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:06,200 Speaker 1: you to stay there for as long as possible. In fact, 223 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 1: just to backtrack a little bit, while Twitter turned a 224 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:12,199 Speaker 1: profit in two thousand and eighteen, the company also saw 225 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 1: a drop in active users. In fact, that drop of 226 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 1: active users was bad enough that Twitter essentially said it 227 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: wasn't going to report on the number of active users 228 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 1: anymore and instead focus on profitability as a metric, possibly 229 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 1: because the company was also kind of saying that it's 230 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 1: long term profitability strategy hinged on building out a larger 231 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 1: community of active users, and it could be pretty upsetting 232 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: to investors to hear that the long term success of 233 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: a company is dependent upon something that is currently in decline. Anyway, 234 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 1: the story of snapchat then gets really rough. Originally the 235 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: idea was for a website, but the trio soon learned 236 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 1: that a mobile app would be far more useful and popular, 237 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 1: and the app that the you originally created with Bobby 238 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 1: Murphy actually doing the coding was called Peka boo p 239 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: I c A b o O. And then well, a 240 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 1: decision was reached, and that decision was to exercise Reggie 241 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 1: Brown from the group to kick him out. So out 242 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:21,120 Speaker 1: of the three, Brown had apparently made the fewest contributions 243 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: to actually building the product, though according to you know 244 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 1: the original story, it was his actual idea to make 245 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 1: this thing. He didn't do a whole lot of work 246 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 1: to build it. He did do some work with filing patents, 247 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 1: but even by his own admission, he said he didn't 248 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: do quite as much as as a Spiegel or Um 249 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 1: or Murphy had done. So he later would sue Snapchat, 250 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 1: which was essentially not even acknowledging his existence, and the 251 00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 1: company would ultimately reach a one fifty seven point five 252 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: million dollar settlement with him, which is, you know, not 253 00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:06,640 Speaker 1: that's not a bad amount of cash to take with 254 00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 1: you to say, like, yeah, I came up with the idea, 255 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 1: and then you could go and do whatever you wanted 256 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 1: with it. By the way, these guys were not like 257 00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 1: struggling college students either, I just want to point that 258 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,200 Speaker 1: out anyway. Brown and Spiegel then founded a company on 259 00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: September six, two thousand eleven that would be Snapchat, which 260 00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 1: was essentially a relaunch of Peekaboo, but with some you know, 261 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 1: changes to the look of it. The company Snap Incorporated 262 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 1: would follow a few years later as a sort of 263 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:41,480 Speaker 1: parent company for the purposes you like organizing and handling 264 00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 1: finance and things like that. The app, at first was 265 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 1: an iOS exclusive. It came to Android a year later 266 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 1: in two thousand twelve. In ten, Mark Zuckerberg reportedly made 267 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 1: an offer that the Snapchat founders actually could refuse, but 268 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,920 Speaker 1: that offer was allegedly for three billion dollars and they 269 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:05,199 Speaker 1: turned it down. Wowser's In two thousand seventeen, the company 270 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: held an I p O and got a massive cash 271 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:13,120 Speaker 1: injection and that created a company valuation of twenty four 272 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: billion dollars and had introduced advertising, So it was generating revenue. 273 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:22,679 Speaker 1: It was making cash, It just wasn't making enough to 274 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 1: cover all the costs in order to turn a profit. 275 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 1: But the app appeared to be on a rocket ship 276 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 1: to the moon. But then a couple of things ended 277 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 1: up causing the company some grief. One was that a 278 00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 1: spurned Mark Zuckerberg decided he would build out his own 279 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 1: Snapchat by having the Facebook owned business of Instagram introduced 280 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:48,920 Speaker 1: features that were let's just call it directly lifted off 281 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 1: of Snapchats feature list and so calling it something that 282 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 1: resembled Snapchats features as being kind Snapchats. Growth trailed off 283 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 1: weekly it dropped by so the company was actually still growing, 284 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: it was just growing at a much slower rate than 285 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:13,160 Speaker 1: it had been. Then there was the ultimate betrayal. Snapchat 286 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:17,160 Speaker 1: redesigned its user interface, and then Kylie Jenner sent out 287 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 1: a tweet saying she didn't even use it anymore, and 288 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:25,840 Speaker 1: that was the unkindest cut of all. Honestly, I'm still 289 00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:30,159 Speaker 1: goggling at a billion dollar company that is unable to 290 00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 1: turn a profit. I really just you know, business is 291 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:39,480 Speaker 1: beyond me. Obviously, I am not any sort of business genius. Anyway, 292 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 1: snap was going through some internal turmoil. The company lost 293 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,680 Speaker 1: to chief financial officers and the head of its human 294 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 1: resources department in short succession, and Instagram was eating into 295 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 1: Snapchat's growth, and then the double whammy of TikTok's emergence 296 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,240 Speaker 1: began to be an issue, and then the pandemic of 297 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:02,040 Speaker 1: really threw wrenches into the various works. The company wasn't 298 00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: falling apart, not by any means, but things were pretty tense. 299 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 1: In The Financial Times declared that Snapchat had about three 300 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: years to reach a cash flow neutral status or else 301 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 1: it would need to find a new way to raise 302 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,480 Speaker 1: money in order to stay in business. Its losses in 303 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:22,720 Speaker 1: twenty eight amounted to one point three billion dollars. Now, 304 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,200 Speaker 1: the good news for snap is that while the company 305 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 1: lost money in the years since, it was losing less 306 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 1: money per year in losses amounted to around nine hut 307 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:39,679 Speaker 1: five million dollars. That's not great, I get it. The 308 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 1: Motley Fool reported in January of one that Snap might 309 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,959 Speaker 1: actually turn a profit this year, though I glanced at 310 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:50,199 Speaker 1: the company's quarterly earnings reports, which the company has to 311 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 1: file publicly because it's a publicly traded company, and it 312 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 1: continues to operate at a net loss this year. The 313 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,920 Speaker 1: company continues to add revenue streams frequently in the four 314 00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:04,359 Speaker 1: of serving more ads per experience. But yeah, no profitable 315 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: year yet. When we come back, we'll talk about some 316 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,720 Speaker 1: other famous companies that have yet to turn a profit, 317 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 1: at least on an annual basis. But first, well, I 318 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 1: gotta have some profit. Let's take a quick break before 319 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 1: we get into our next company. Let me hit you 320 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 1: with a little fun tidbit that I came across while 321 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:32,680 Speaker 1: researching this episode. Business Insider has a two thousand nineteen 322 00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:36,879 Speaker 1: article that served as some of the inspiration for this episode. 323 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,720 Speaker 1: Although a lot of the things in that list are 324 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:43,120 Speaker 1: you know, have turned a profit since then. But in 325 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:46,520 Speaker 1: that article they cite a report from pitch Book, and 326 00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:49,239 Speaker 1: that report says that out of one startups that had 327 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 1: a valuation of at least one billion dollars, that is 328 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:58,400 Speaker 1: the Unicorn valuation only uh less than had become profitable. 329 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 1: In fact, sixty were unprofitable more than half. And the 330 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,880 Speaker 1: article also cites a stat from Recode that says unprofitable 331 00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 1: companies that went public actually performed better than profitable companies did. 332 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:16,199 Speaker 1: The market loves a highly valued underdog. I guess I 333 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:19,400 Speaker 1: mean I still don't understand business honestly. But let's move on. 334 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 1: Let's talk about a company that's not actually a tech 335 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: company but was treated like one. And of course I'm 336 00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 1: talking about we Work, a company that had the business 337 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 1: model of securing office space in various markets and then 338 00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:38,840 Speaker 1: essentially sub letting that space out to customers. And those 339 00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:42,159 Speaker 1: were typically smaller companies or sometimes companies that wanted to 340 00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 1: open up, say a small branch office in the city 341 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:49,119 Speaker 1: where they did not already have a presence. We Work 342 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:53,920 Speaker 1: has had a phenomenal journey, complete with drama and theatrics, 343 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:57,200 Speaker 1: and one of the strangest attempted I p O s 344 00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:02,439 Speaker 1: I have ever researched. Like Its bonkers, y'all. Now. The 345 00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 1: founder of the company was Adam Newman, and Israeli born 346 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: entrepreneur who moved to the United States in two thousand 347 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 1: one and got his start running a company called Crawlers 348 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 1: with a K and that specialized in clothing for babies. 349 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,440 Speaker 1: In two thousand eight, he created a new startup called 350 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 1: Green Desk, which was sort of a predecessor to we Work, 351 00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,479 Speaker 1: and the idea was to create office space that folks 352 00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:30,000 Speaker 1: like freelancers could rent out. So maybe you're a freelancing 353 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,640 Speaker 1: writer and you need a dedicated workspace, so you could 354 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,920 Speaker 1: rent out like a desk in a shared coworking environment 355 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:39,399 Speaker 1: with lots of other people. So that was the idea, 356 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: and it was called Green Desk because the focus was 357 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:46,959 Speaker 1: on sustainability, So the office space had recycled furniture in it, 358 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 1: and the idea was that the electricity was going to 359 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:52,239 Speaker 1: come from wind power, that kind of thing. Newman and 360 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:56,159 Speaker 1: his Green Desk co founder Miguel mcklvey sold off the 361 00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:59,760 Speaker 1: company for a few million dollars and around twenty or 362 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: an eleven because accounts very they launched a new company 363 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:07,399 Speaker 1: based around the idea of shared workspaces, and this was 364 00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,919 Speaker 1: we Work. And again, despite the fact that you know, 365 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: it was really a real estate company, the media was 366 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:17,399 Speaker 1: treating it like it was a tech startup, and it 367 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 1: was operating a lot like a tech startup, so I 368 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,919 Speaker 1: guess that was the reason for the media coverage. We 369 00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 1: Work expanded rapidly, securing office space in various cities around 370 00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 1: the world and then renting it out to their customers. 371 00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:33,639 Speaker 1: And this meant we Work was signing these really expensive 372 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 1: long term leases with lots of different office buildings, and 373 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 1: that made some investors nervous because this was a guaranteed expense. Right, 374 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,520 Speaker 1: You're doing a long term lease, that's a guaranteed cost 375 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:48,960 Speaker 1: to your company, and we Works business of renting out 376 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:53,159 Speaker 1: space to customers was not necessarily going to follow the 377 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 1: demand that would match the supply. In other words, there 378 00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,800 Speaker 1: might be years where fewer customers actually need that shared 379 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 1: office space, and yet you would still be saddled with 380 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:07,920 Speaker 1: this long term lease agreement. The company grew very quickly. 381 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 1: The Newman developed a reputation for having a bit of 382 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:15,119 Speaker 1: a lavish and some might say hedonistic lifestyle. He also 383 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: made some choices that made him a bit of a 384 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:20,240 Speaker 1: target in the business space. Now, I would argue that 385 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: targeting Newman based on those choices was sometimes unfair and disingenuous, 386 00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:32,000 Speaker 1: like you know, placing weird kind of moral uh decisions 387 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:34,960 Speaker 1: based upon some of his behavior, but he was also 388 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,879 Speaker 1: known for spending a lot of money, both in the 389 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 1: company and outside of it, so it was kind of 390 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 1: hard to to not criticize his behaviors in some cases. 391 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 1: In two thousand nineteen, things came to a head. The 392 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,720 Speaker 1: company was planning a public offering to go on to 393 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 1: the stock market. It had recently rebranded and became the 394 00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:02,439 Speaker 1: Wee Company. This is something that's since been essentially abandoned, 395 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,359 Speaker 1: but the idea was that it would have three divisions. 396 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:07,119 Speaker 1: There was the we Work division, that's the one with 397 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 1: the office space. There was we Grow, which was going 398 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,439 Speaker 1: to or which was running an elementary school in New 399 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,399 Speaker 1: York City. And there was we Live, which operated a 400 00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:19,520 Speaker 1: couple of apartment buildings. Now in the i p O filing, 401 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 1: the company revealed it had lost two point nine billion 402 00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:26,080 Speaker 1: dollars over the course of three years leading up to 403 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:30,320 Speaker 1: the i p O, so nearly three billion dollars lost. 404 00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:33,919 Speaker 1: At one point, the company was seeking evaluation of around 405 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:38,720 Speaker 1: forty seven billion dollars. That would drop down to around 406 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:42,280 Speaker 1: ten billion as they were still attempting to hold an IPO. 407 00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 1: By September of two thousand nineteen. We Work had delayed 408 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 1: the I p O T October, and an executive named 409 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:53,320 Speaker 1: Wendy Silverstein, who was part of the real estate investment 410 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:56,879 Speaker 1: leadership team quit like she was an high ranking executive 411 00:25:56,880 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 1: who walks out, and the board of directors was staring 412 00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:03,880 Speaker 1: to have actual discussions about the possibility of removing Newman 413 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 1: as the CEO of the company, seeing him as something 414 00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:11,160 Speaker 1: of a liability. Newman and his wife both had gained 415 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:15,239 Speaker 1: notoriety for unconventional behavior that is unconventional for, you know, 416 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 1: leaders of a business valuing itself in the billions of dollars. 417 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:23,280 Speaker 1: Some things were kind of skiezy, like he trademarked the 418 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:27,600 Speaker 1: term WE for WE Work just w E and then 419 00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 1: pushed the company to purchase the trademark from him for 420 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,280 Speaker 1: five point nine million dollars, which kind of looks like, 421 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,239 Speaker 1: you know, using the company you run to fund your 422 00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 1: personal life directly. It's not a good look. Another issue 423 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:44,840 Speaker 1: is that Newman apparently purchased properties and then would lease 424 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,360 Speaker 1: them back to WE Work, turning his purchases into revenue 425 00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:52,240 Speaker 1: generators with the company he was running. This was, to 426 00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 1: put it mildly, a conflict of interests and something that 427 00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,840 Speaker 1: would not fly for a publicly traded company, so that 428 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:02,720 Speaker 1: presented a potential problem for the I p O. Now, 429 00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:05,919 Speaker 1: this IBO struggle meant that we works largest investor, the 430 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:09,680 Speaker 1: mega corporation, soft Bank, would end up stepping into kind 431 00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: of acquire the company. This would largely be abandoned a 432 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 1: few months later, and part of that process involved extending 433 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:22,119 Speaker 1: a one point seven billion dollar golden parachute deal to 434 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:27,640 Speaker 1: Newman to vacate his position. So imagine being paid more 435 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:32,920 Speaker 1: than a billion and a half dollars not to work somewhere. 436 00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:38,920 Speaker 1: Please pay me not to work for you. I will 437 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,880 Speaker 1: cut you a much better deal than one point five 438 00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,639 Speaker 1: billion dollars to not work for you. Under the ownership 439 00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:49,680 Speaker 1: of soft Bank, we work downsized, laying off some two thousand, 440 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:53,120 Speaker 1: four hundred employees initially with more to follow. But then 441 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:56,600 Speaker 1: we get to twenty twenty and the other shoe drops 442 00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:00,280 Speaker 1: super hard. So we work was already kind of in 443 00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:04,920 Speaker 1: our choppy sees going into twenty right like, things were 444 00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:08,000 Speaker 1: not looking good for the company. The pandemic hits, and 445 00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: that necessitates many cities to initiate stay at home orders, 446 00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:15,119 Speaker 1: so work from home policies go into effect, and for 447 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 1: a company that focuses on subletting office space. It was 448 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,720 Speaker 1: a true catastrophe. According to the Guardian, the company saw 449 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,920 Speaker 1: a thirty percent decline in customers and losses of two 450 00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:31,440 Speaker 1: point one billion dollars in the first quarter of one. 451 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:34,959 Speaker 1: It's losses in the first quarter of twenty or fifty 452 00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:39,080 Speaker 1: six million, so when the pandemic starts, they lose a 453 00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,360 Speaker 1: little more than half a billion dollars in the first 454 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: quarter this year, first quarter losses of two point one 455 00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:50,560 Speaker 1: billion dollars. Now, the company still has plans to go public, 456 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,200 Speaker 1: but not through an I p O. Rather, the plan 457 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 1: was to use a spack s p a C. That's 458 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,959 Speaker 1: a special purpose acquisition company, also known as a blank 459 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 1: check company. So these are companies that don't actually do anything. 460 00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,960 Speaker 1: They just go public. So you get a bunch of 461 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:09,239 Speaker 1: investors to pour a whole bunch of money into a 462 00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 1: company which just kind of exists in name and on paper, 463 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 1: and you then take this company that just kind of 464 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:21,320 Speaker 1: exists on paper to go public. There's nothing wrong about that. 465 00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 1: And then once you go public, you use this company 466 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 1: to acquire some other private company and then through the 467 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:33,840 Speaker 1: transitive property of acquisition, that private company becomes a publicly 468 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 1: traded company, so it is a way to sidestep the 469 00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 1: I p O process. So if it's a company like 470 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:45,560 Speaker 1: we Work, which has lost all confidence in in the 471 00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,360 Speaker 1: market as far as you know, holding an I p 472 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:50,880 Speaker 1: O is concerned, it would be a way to become 473 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,120 Speaker 1: a publicly traded company without having to go through the 474 00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 1: I p OH. It sounds shady, but it's Tod's legal. Meanwhile, 475 00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 1: the new executive team that we Work has both reined 476 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:04,840 Speaker 1: in the cash burn practices of the past as well 477 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:08,360 Speaker 1: as cut back on operating expenses. So there is a 478 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,800 Speaker 1: possibility that the company will have a profitable fourth quarter 479 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:16,160 Speaker 1: this year, assuming occupancy rates improve. But then we're also 480 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:18,680 Speaker 1: in a stage of the pandemic that has become kind 481 00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:22,000 Speaker 1: of unpredictable and questionable again with the rise of the 482 00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:25,400 Speaker 1: delta variant UH, it has a lot of people concerned, 483 00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 1: so we'll have to see how that plays apart, even 484 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 1: with a profitable fourth quarter is going to end in 485 00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:35,280 Speaker 1: a loss for we Work, But if the company can 486 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:39,320 Speaker 1: build momentum, it might see an operating profit by the 487 00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:44,680 Speaker 1: end of two which it can put toward its considerable debt. 488 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 1: We've got some more companies to talk about. But before 489 00:30:49,320 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 1: I get into those, let's take another quick break. Oh okay, y'all. 490 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 1: For this next one, I have to give you all 491 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:08,240 Speaker 1: a disclaimer. See I work for I Heart Radio, say 492 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:11,280 Speaker 1: it at the beginning of every single episode, and one 493 00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:15,920 Speaker 1: of our competitors in the digital space at least is Spotify. 494 00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:20,120 Speaker 1: Now I'm gonna talk about Spotify and the fact that 495 00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 1: it has never posted an annual profit, but I'm gonna 496 00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 1: try to do my best to remove myself from comparing 497 00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:30,800 Speaker 1: it to the company I work for, because that would 498 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: just be tacky and biased, and it's not apples to apples, right. 499 00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 1: I Heart Radio is a huge company that includes hundreds 500 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,800 Speaker 1: of radio stations across the United States terrestrial radio stations. 501 00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,560 Speaker 1: The digital part of I Heart Radio is just one 502 00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:50,520 Speaker 1: part of a much larger company, so you can't really 503 00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:54,520 Speaker 1: compare apples to apples here. Spotify is a different beast. Plus, 504 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 1: I should acknowledge right out of the gate that while 505 00:31:57,080 --> 00:32:01,280 Speaker 1: Spotify has never posted an annual profit, the company has 506 00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:07,040 Speaker 1: had profitable quarters and trust me, that ain't nothing, it's something. 507 00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:12,040 Speaker 1: In other words, here's the super summarized story. Because I 508 00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 1: have actually done episodes about Spotify in the past, But 509 00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:18,680 Speaker 1: in two thousand and six a pair of developers named 510 00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:22,480 Speaker 1: Daniel Elk and Martin Lawrenson came up with this idea 511 00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 1: for Spotify, and the idea was to create a streaming 512 00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:30,320 Speaker 1: music platform, a service that would give music companies away 513 00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 1: to reach listeners a customers, and make it so easy 514 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:38,200 Speaker 1: to listen to their music that people would stop pirating 515 00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:41,440 Speaker 1: all the ding bang music. Because this was in the 516 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 1: wake of really a big era of digital piracy. You 517 00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:50,840 Speaker 1: had the giant peer to peer networks like Napster and Kazam, 518 00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:54,520 Speaker 1: which were largely used to pirate music, and you also 519 00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 1: had the rise of the torrent index site, the pirate Bay, 520 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,640 Speaker 1: and like the Pirate Bay, Spotify also calls Sweden Home. 521 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,959 Speaker 1: So you know, piracy was something that was really on 522 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:10,280 Speaker 1: the minds of people in Sweden who who were connected 523 00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,080 Speaker 1: to either you know, the entertainment industry or the tech 524 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:17,640 Speaker 1: world that would facilitate this sort of stuff. So the 525 00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:21,000 Speaker 1: concept actually had a really good use case, a platform 526 00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:25,640 Speaker 1: where music companies could generate revenue from digital music rather 527 00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 1: than see rampant piracy. Now people might end up listening 528 00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 1: to streaming music even if they weren't the type to download, 529 00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 1: you know, to pay for a download of the song, 530 00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:40,880 Speaker 1: and the landscape at that point was really fragmented. In 531 00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:44,680 Speaker 1: the mid two thousand's, there was Apple with the iTunes store, 532 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:48,440 Speaker 1: which launched in two thousand one. But you purchased songs 533 00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:52,600 Speaker 1: on iTunes, right, You weren't streaming from iTunes back then. 534 00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 1: You would just make a purchase, download it to your device, 535 00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,920 Speaker 1: and you would have it. And then you would have 536 00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:01,880 Speaker 1: a bunch of proprietary approaches from the various music labels 537 00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:04,400 Speaker 1: that were trying to operate their own digital store fronts. 538 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:08,000 Speaker 1: But again, it just meant that it was a fractured 539 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:12,600 Speaker 1: experience for users and not very satisfying. Spotify would launch 540 00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:15,879 Speaker 1: in two thousand eight, two years after they first came 541 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:19,080 Speaker 1: up with the idea, and users could either opt for 542 00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:23,279 Speaker 1: a free account that would include advertising between a certain 543 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:26,320 Speaker 1: number of songs and that would generate revenue right it 544 00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:30,600 Speaker 1: was just your their classic ads supported revenue generation, or 545 00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:34,399 Speaker 1: users could opt to go with an ad free experience 546 00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:39,160 Speaker 1: in return for a monthly subscription fee. Other streaming platforms 547 00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 1: would follow competing with Spotify, and some markets like the 548 00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,400 Speaker 1: United States, would not get access to Spotify for a 549 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:49,160 Speaker 1: few years. The US finally got Spotify in July two 550 00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:51,600 Speaker 1: thou eleven, so we had been hearing about it for, 551 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:54,400 Speaker 1: you know, nearly three years by the time we finally 552 00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:58,920 Speaker 1: got access to it. The company mostly operated at a loss, 553 00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:03,279 Speaker 1: except for the asional profitable quarter over the years. In 554 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:08,720 Speaker 1: Music Business World reported that Spotify's losses over its decade 555 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:12,080 Speaker 1: of existence at that point amounted to about two point 556 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:16,959 Speaker 1: eight billion dollars. The company has spent a great deal 557 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 1: of money on scaling and on purchasing content, including landing 558 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:25,960 Speaker 1: exclusive deals with some podcasters. People interested in those shows 559 00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:29,319 Speaker 1: can only get them through Spotify. It's kind of the 560 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:33,719 Speaker 1: opposite of how we do things. So for example, the 561 00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,960 Speaker 1: video game discussion show The Besties, which by the way, 562 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:41,279 Speaker 1: it's not one of our shows. I genuinely really love 563 00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:44,920 Speaker 1: the Besties, so shout out to those guys. They do 564 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:48,719 Speaker 1: a great show about video games. Anyway, for about for 565 00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: a year, the Bestie's was a Spotify exclusive, uh, and 566 00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:56,359 Speaker 1: that agreement eventually expired, but for a year, in order 567 00:35:56,360 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 1: to get new episodes you needed a Spotify account, and 568 00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:03,960 Speaker 1: those episodes are now available on other platforms because that 569 00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:09,320 Speaker 1: exclusivity deal expired. Spotify did not renew it um, so 570 00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,520 Speaker 1: it's a different story now. But at a time you 571 00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,120 Speaker 1: can only get them through Spotify. There are some that 572 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 1: are Spotify exclusives and they are pay for podcasts. You 573 00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:23,880 Speaker 1: have to pay a subscription fee in order to get them. Um. 574 00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,799 Speaker 1: I don't know the success rate of that, because in 575 00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:31,440 Speaker 1: my experience, the paid for model is one that's really 576 00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:34,480 Speaker 1: shaky for podcasts. But I'm curious. I'll have to look 577 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,800 Speaker 1: into that. Maybe I'll do an episode about it. Anyway, 578 00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 1: Spotify spent more than half a billion dollars acquiring podcast 579 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:46,680 Speaker 1: related companies like Anchor FM, gimblet Media, Podcast and more. 580 00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:49,960 Speaker 1: Elkas said that the company is still focused largely on 581 00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:53,640 Speaker 1: growth and will switch to a profit based strategy at 582 00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:57,279 Speaker 1: some point, presumably when the company has grown enough. And 583 00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 1: this gets back to that thing I was saying earlier 584 00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:04,600 Speaker 1: that sometimes concentrating on growth is the most important strategy, 585 00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:08,680 Speaker 1: because if you try and monetize too early, not only 586 00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:11,239 Speaker 1: will you not make enough money to cover costs, but 587 00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 1: you might inhibit the growth of your company. And in 588 00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:21,759 Speaker 1: the company posted a profitable first quarter. Now, according to Spotify, 589 00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:26,120 Speaker 1: it posted a fourteen million euro profit for quarter one 590 00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:30,240 Speaker 1: of one. That's about sixteen point six million dollars US, 591 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 1: and recently the company posted a twelve million euro operating 592 00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:37,719 Speaker 1: profit for the second quarter. That's about fourteen point to 593 00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,560 Speaker 1: five million dollars US. So if the rest of the 594 00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:44,520 Speaker 1: year follows, Spotify could actually see its first annual profit 595 00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:48,360 Speaker 1: by the end of twenty one, though of course it 596 00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:51,600 Speaker 1: still has a mountain of debt that it has to address. 597 00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:54,279 Speaker 1: It's not like it's completely out of the woods, but 598 00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:57,239 Speaker 1: it could be that's turned a very important corner by 599 00:37:57,239 --> 00:38:01,279 Speaker 1: the end of this year. And and next I think 600 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:05,440 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about a company that posted its first 601 00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:08,680 Speaker 1: annual profit in twenty twenty, but only if you put 602 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:12,600 Speaker 1: a big old asterisk next to that. And this company 603 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:16,439 Speaker 1: is Tesla. Now. The co founders of Tesla and yes 604 00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:20,040 Speaker 1: Elon Musk is one of them, launched the company in 605 00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:24,320 Speaker 1: two thousand three. And a startup automobile company is obviously 606 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:27,920 Speaker 1: a huge undertaking. As you might imagine, the startup costs 607 00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:32,440 Speaker 1: are considerable. So think of like a company that just 608 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:35,279 Speaker 1: you know, is not like a manufacturing company. You have 609 00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:38,880 Speaker 1: all your basic expenses, right, you have to have a 610 00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:42,120 Speaker 1: corporate headquarters, and you've got all the different departments that 611 00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:45,279 Speaker 1: you would expect to have, like sales and marketing, and 612 00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:49,280 Speaker 1: so you have operating costs associated with them. But with Tesla, 613 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,640 Speaker 1: you also have an auto manufacturing side of the business 614 00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:57,520 Speaker 1: that's enormously expensive to build out, and so the company 615 00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:01,120 Speaker 1: was making huge investments in itself year after year, which 616 00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:04,800 Speaker 1: meant that despite the high cost of the company's frequently 617 00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 1: highly desired cars, the company as a whole was operating 618 00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:11,960 Speaker 1: at a loss. And for some people like me, I'm 619 00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:15,279 Speaker 1: counting myself in here, it can be confusing, right, because 620 00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:19,040 Speaker 1: you think cars are expensive. Clearly, if you're selling enough cars, 621 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:22,520 Speaker 1: you're gonna be making tons of money. But making cars 622 00:39:22,640 --> 00:39:26,719 Speaker 1: is also expensive, especially when you're building out the manufacturing 623 00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:29,560 Speaker 1: capabilities of your company. So for a lot of you, 624 00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:31,920 Speaker 1: I'm sure that's not a big surprise, right, And a 625 00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:34,920 Speaker 1: Tesla vehicle does cost a lot. So, for example, the 626 00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 1: least expensive Tesla model is the Model three, which has 627 00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:45,719 Speaker 1: a base standard price of forty one one dollars, with 628 00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:49,040 Speaker 1: one two hundred of that being a destination fee to 629 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:54,280 Speaker 1: get the car to wherever you are buying it. But hey, actually, 630 00:39:55,200 --> 00:39:58,799 Speaker 1: right now, because of the crazy, screwed up world we 631 00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:03,239 Speaker 1: live in, because of the pandemic, because of the semiconductor shortage, 632 00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:06,759 Speaker 1: and thus because of a car shortage, that actually is 633 00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:10,080 Speaker 1: not that much more expensive than the average car price 634 00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:14,040 Speaker 1: in the United States. As of June one, the average 635 00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:18,000 Speaker 1: car price here in the US was forty two hundred 636 00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:22,680 Speaker 1: six dollars. So because of those issues, Tesla's prices, at 637 00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:26,320 Speaker 1: least for its you know, most inexpensive car are actually 638 00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:30,320 Speaker 1: pretty competitive compared to the average price in the United States. 639 00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:31,960 Speaker 1: So I guess I have to eat my words on 640 00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,879 Speaker 1: that one, although to be fair, the other Tesla models 641 00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:38,600 Speaker 1: are much more expensive. Now usually we do think of 642 00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:41,319 Speaker 1: Tesla's cars as being on the price e side. And 643 00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:44,759 Speaker 1: even so, that wasn't enough to push the company into profitability. 644 00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:47,840 Speaker 1: And again it's no wonder because the company was building 645 00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:50,520 Speaker 1: out new factories and all that kind of thing. But 646 00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:54,160 Speaker 1: then there's the other source of revenue that Tesla enjoys, 647 00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:57,200 Speaker 1: and it's a big one. In fact, it's a bigger 648 00:40:57,280 --> 00:41:01,359 Speaker 1: revenue source than what it generates from our sales, and 649 00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:06,440 Speaker 1: that revenue comes from regulatory credits. See some states here 650 00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:09,239 Speaker 1: in the United States, eleven of them, in fact, have 651 00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:13,480 Speaker 1: regulations that require automakers to sell a certain percentage of 652 00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:18,600 Speaker 1: their cars as zero emission vehicles by so, in other words, 653 00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,000 Speaker 1: if you want to sell a car in one of 654 00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:24,120 Speaker 1: those states, a certain percentage of the cars you make 655 00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 1: have to be zero emission vehicles. And I say certain 656 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:30,600 Speaker 1: percentage because it differs from state to state. And if 657 00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:33,239 Speaker 1: the automakers are not going to be able to make 658 00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:36,360 Speaker 1: that percentage number, you know, if they're not able to 659 00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:40,560 Speaker 1: produce enough zero emission vehicles to make up that percentage 660 00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:42,560 Speaker 1: of the cars they want to sell in those states, 661 00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:47,239 Speaker 1: they have to offset that by buying up regulatory credits 662 00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:52,280 Speaker 1: from some other automaker that does meet those requirements. Well, 663 00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:56,319 Speaker 1: all Tesla vehicles are electric, and so Tesla has a 664 00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:59,759 Speaker 1: big old heap in handful of regulatory credits that it 665 00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:05,120 Speaker 1: can sell to other manufacturers, and it does so. More 666 00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:09,439 Speaker 1: than half of Tesla's revenue in twenty twenty came not 667 00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:14,240 Speaker 1: from selling cars, but from taking money from other automakers 668 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:17,440 Speaker 1: that will not be able to meet those regulatory requirements 669 00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:22,360 Speaker 1: by twenty five. Just pretty wild, right anyway. Twenty twenty 670 00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:26,000 Speaker 1: was the first profitable year for Tesla, but the company 671 00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:28,640 Speaker 1: would have operated at a loss if it had not 672 00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:33,080 Speaker 1: been for those regulatory credits, and those credits are not 673 00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:37,000 Speaker 1: gonna stick around forever. In a few years, other automakers 674 00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:40,680 Speaker 1: will have caught up with those regulatory requirements because we're 675 00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:43,239 Speaker 1: going to see more states passing them. We might see 676 00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:46,160 Speaker 1: federal level. Other parts of the world are following suit. 677 00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:49,480 Speaker 1: So that means that eventually all the car companies are 678 00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 1: going to be on the same page, and those that 679 00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:54,760 Speaker 1: credit market will not even exist. It will go away. 680 00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:58,640 Speaker 1: So while Tesla is profitable for the moment, it will 681 00:42:58,680 --> 00:43:01,800 Speaker 1: not be able to rely up on that specific source 682 00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:04,600 Speaker 1: of revenue for much longer, and it will need to 683 00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:09,920 Speaker 1: find another roadmap to profitability. I have another pair of 684 00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:12,839 Speaker 1: companies to talk about, but before I get to that, 685 00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:24,000 Speaker 1: let's take one last quick break. Okay, finally, we've got 686 00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:27,160 Speaker 1: a pair of companies to consider, and I'm putting them together. 687 00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:31,000 Speaker 1: I'll talk about them separately, but they're they're paired together 688 00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:34,240 Speaker 1: because they're both in the same business. And those companies 689 00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:39,439 Speaker 1: are Uber and Lift, the ride sharing companies. Uh. These 690 00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:44,040 Speaker 1: companies have long been seen as huge disruptors to the 691 00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:47,839 Speaker 1: legacy taxi services around the world, right, I mean, there 692 00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:54,000 Speaker 1: are famous protests that taxi unions have held in response 693 00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:58,040 Speaker 1: to companies like Lift and Uber moving into their territories. 694 00:43:58,600 --> 00:44:02,200 Speaker 1: So they are seen as these massive disruptors, and disruptors 695 00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:06,800 Speaker 1: tend to get a particularly romantic portrayal in the tech sector. 696 00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:10,160 Speaker 1: They're thought of as being these, you know, giant companies 697 00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:12,640 Speaker 1: that can just stride in and shake the way things 698 00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:17,520 Speaker 1: are done and and just be incredibly profitable. But these 699 00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:23,600 Speaker 1: particular companies have been disruptive at a considerable loss. Uh heck, 700 00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:25,759 Speaker 1: a loss so considerable that even some of the most 701 00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:29,040 Speaker 1: creative accounting on the planet can only make those losses 702 00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:35,160 Speaker 1: look less bad. Let's take Uber for example. Uber started 703 00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:38,040 Speaker 1: in two thousand nine, and originally it was sort of 704 00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:41,160 Speaker 1: a black town car service, you know, kind of a 705 00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:45,000 Speaker 1: uh an upscale way to get around. It was not 706 00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:49,120 Speaker 1: quite frame the way it is today. And the story 707 00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 1: goes that the co founders of the company were sharing 708 00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,400 Speaker 1: stories about how hard it was to get a taxi 709 00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:57,840 Speaker 1: in Paris during a snowstorm, and wouldn't it be great 710 00:44:58,040 --> 00:45:00,880 Speaker 1: if someone could just create a company that could shake 711 00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:04,240 Speaker 1: up the way that car services work and that taxi 712 00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:07,239 Speaker 1: services work. And this led to this idea of a 713 00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,480 Speaker 1: ride sharing company, which really is more of a ride 714 00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:13,680 Speaker 1: hailing company. I think a right sharing company would be 715 00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:17,239 Speaker 1: more like something that would encourage car pools, but that's 716 00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:20,600 Speaker 1: not what Uber or Lift do. So while we often 717 00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:23,920 Speaker 1: call them ride sharing I think they're really more ride 718 00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:28,359 Speaker 1: hailing companies. And what followed was a meteoric rise in 719 00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:31,880 Speaker 1: terms of investment rounds and rolling out of services. The 720 00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:36,439 Speaker 1: company also earned itself a pretty ugly reputation. For one thing, 721 00:45:37,000 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 1: Uber insisted repeatedly that the people driving for Uber were 722 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:46,040 Speaker 1: not Uber employees, but rather they should be considered independent 723 00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:50,279 Speaker 1: freelance contractors, which meant they also would not qualify for 724 00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:54,560 Speaker 1: stuff like benefits. For another, the company became famous for 725 00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:59,680 Speaker 1: having a truly toxic corporate work environment, and it was 726 00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:04,160 Speaker 1: one that protected male executives from charges of harassment from 727 00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:09,120 Speaker 1: their female coworkers. You know, harassment and worse. The stories 728 00:46:09,160 --> 00:46:11,919 Speaker 1: are are truly terrible, and it became one of those 729 00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:15,520 Speaker 1: companies that prompted folks to say human resources is not 730 00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:20,000 Speaker 1: there to protect you, it's there to protect the company. Now. 731 00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:22,920 Speaker 1: That whole story is beyond awful, and it culminated in 732 00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:26,080 Speaker 1: the board of directors forcing the co founder and CEO 733 00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:32,360 Speaker 1: of the company out. He was he was highly encouraged 734 00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:36,320 Speaker 1: to resign. Let's say what followed was a new leadership 735 00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:39,880 Speaker 1: team that claimed to be dedicated to overhauling the corporate 736 00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:44,919 Speaker 1: culture and atoning for the past and building towards profitability, 737 00:46:45,120 --> 00:46:49,160 Speaker 1: because you know, Uber wasn't profitable at all. It was 738 00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:52,920 Speaker 1: losing money every year. So while we were hearing these 739 00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:56,600 Speaker 1: stories about Uber drivers seeing much of their fairs siphoned 740 00:46:56,719 --> 00:46:59,920 Speaker 1: to the company. In other words, the people doing the driving, 741 00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:02,640 Speaker 1: we're seeing a lot of the money they were bringing 742 00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:05,520 Speaker 1: in going not to them but to the company. The 743 00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:09,880 Speaker 1: expenses of the operations were such that Uber as a 744 00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:12,920 Speaker 1: whole still wasn't turning a profit. So it's kind of 745 00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:15,279 Speaker 1: like the worst of both worlds, right. You had the 746 00:47:15,360 --> 00:47:18,520 Speaker 1: drivers saying we should be keeping more of the money 747 00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:22,640 Speaker 1: that we generate, and the company, meanwhile, even taking the 748 00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:27,160 Speaker 1: you know that percentage, was losing money. Despite all this, 749 00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:30,480 Speaker 1: Uber still held an initial public offering and became a 750 00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:33,240 Speaker 1: publicly traded company. So once again we have a company 751 00:47:33,719 --> 00:47:36,319 Speaker 1: that was not profitable. It was operating in a loss 752 00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:39,160 Speaker 1: year over year, still holding an I p O, and 753 00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,880 Speaker 1: still generating crazy stock market prices. So it continued to 754 00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:46,440 Speaker 1: lose money on an annual basis. Despite all this, the 755 00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:50,000 Speaker 1: company's fiscal year for twenty nineteen was bleak. It had 756 00:47:50,040 --> 00:47:54,759 Speaker 1: a loss of eight point five billion dollars and have 757 00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:59,560 Speaker 1: billion dollars loss, but in early the hope was that 758 00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:02,239 Speaker 1: by the end of that year the company would be profitable. 759 00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:05,880 Speaker 1: And then the pandemic hit in full force, and as 760 00:48:05,960 --> 00:48:10,000 Speaker 1: you might imagine, was a tough year. Oddly enough, not 761 00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:13,440 Speaker 1: as tough a year as two thousand nineteen was for Uber, 762 00:48:13,920 --> 00:48:18,040 Speaker 1: so Uber posted a six point seven seven billion dollar 763 00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:22,919 Speaker 1: loss in unless you're paying attention to Uber's finance call 764 00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:28,399 Speaker 1: when discussing, because that's when the magical accounting comes into play. Now, 765 00:48:28,440 --> 00:48:32,200 Speaker 1: you see, Uber was being kind of loosey goosey with 766 00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:36,680 Speaker 1: the concept of ebida and ebida or e B I 767 00:48:36,719 --> 00:48:40,160 Speaker 1: T d A is an acronym that stands for earnings 768 00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:46,360 Speaker 1: before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. It's kind of a 769 00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:49,880 Speaker 1: way of saying how much cash a business generates or 770 00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,719 Speaker 1: loses over a given amount of time, So you could 771 00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:58,600 Speaker 1: have quarterly or annual, et cetera. It's not quite profit, 772 00:48:59,200 --> 00:49:01,960 Speaker 1: or at least it's not as simple as profit as 773 00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:04,680 Speaker 1: you do have these other factors like taxes and such 774 00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:08,480 Speaker 1: that will factor into the end result, but it's generally 775 00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:12,680 Speaker 1: used as a way of judging the comparative health of 776 00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:16,200 Speaker 1: a company at a given time. Well, Uber was working 777 00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:21,200 Speaker 1: with an adjusted EBIDA that included twelve categories of exclusion, 778 00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:24,800 Speaker 1: which in itself was pretty unusual. So with that, creative 779 00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:28,840 Speaker 1: accounting essentially saying here's how much we lost as long 780 00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:32,880 Speaker 1: as you ignore these twelve other factors, that collectively means 781 00:49:33,160 --> 00:49:36,640 Speaker 1: we actually lost more than this, those losses came down 782 00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:39,520 Speaker 1: from six point seven seven billion dollars to a more 783 00:49:39,560 --> 00:49:44,840 Speaker 1: modest two point five three billion dollars. Because creative accounting 784 00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:49,200 Speaker 1: can only get you so far. Now, Uber executives argue 785 00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:51,640 Speaker 1: that the company is on track to have a positive 786 00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:55,279 Speaker 1: EBIDA by the end of twenty one. But keep in 787 00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:59,640 Speaker 1: mind that's with all these exclusions in play. If we 788 00:49:59,680 --> 00:50:04,280 Speaker 1: actually include those factors rather than exclude them, we're likely 789 00:50:04,320 --> 00:50:07,759 Speaker 1: still talking about actual loss in the real world once 790 00:50:07,800 --> 00:50:10,719 Speaker 1: all the ink dries. Despite that, the shares for the 791 00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:13,160 Speaker 1: company have been on the rise since they're low of 792 00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:17,120 Speaker 1: fifteen dollars per share during an earlier time in the pandemic, 793 00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:21,080 Speaker 1: so that company could turn a quasi profit at the 794 00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:24,200 Speaker 1: end of one, but with you know, a big asterisk 795 00:50:24,360 --> 00:50:27,319 Speaker 1: behind that. If it can do that, and if it 796 00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:30,480 Speaker 1: can build upon that, then we might finally see a 797 00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:35,040 Speaker 1: ride sharing company emerge from operating at a loss despite 798 00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:38,359 Speaker 1: you know, that whole disruptive thing. But now let's talk 799 00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:43,120 Speaker 1: about Lift. Lift launched in two thousand and twelve, so 800 00:50:43,160 --> 00:50:46,480 Speaker 1: it came after Uber, and over the years has been 801 00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:50,120 Speaker 1: in a pretty nasty battle with Uber. Sometimes that battle 802 00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:54,560 Speaker 1: even included employees of one company actively trying to sabotage 803 00:50:54,640 --> 00:50:58,160 Speaker 1: the operations of the other company. It got ugly, y'all. 804 00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:02,680 Speaker 1: But that's a matter for different episode. Anyway. Like Uber, 805 00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:06,719 Speaker 1: Lift operated at a loss year after year, expanding into 806 00:51:06,719 --> 00:51:08,960 Speaker 1: new markets and holding its own I p O to 807 00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:12,600 Speaker 1: go public, but the company continued to lose money, not 808 00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:16,240 Speaker 1: turning a profit. In twenty nineteen, it lost two point 809 00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:20,520 Speaker 1: six billion dollars. In twenty the company saw revenue shrink, 810 00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:24,000 Speaker 1: so it was three point six two billion dollars in 811 00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:27,359 Speaker 1: two thousand nineteen, it shranked to two point three six 812 00:51:27,400 --> 00:51:31,520 Speaker 1: billion dollars in twenty twenty. That's revenue despital that even 813 00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:35,880 Speaker 1: though it's a less revenue, it actually also saw fewer losses. 814 00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:40,160 Speaker 1: In twenty nineteen, it came in at one point seven 815 00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:43,920 Speaker 1: five billion dollars in losses, still not great, but not 816 00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:47,520 Speaker 1: as bad as twenty nineteen. But like Uber, lift has 817 00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:51,400 Speaker 1: its own you know, accounting wizardry that it uses lifts 818 00:51:51,440 --> 00:51:55,319 Speaker 1: adjusted ebitas stated that it actually lost six hundred eighty 819 00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:59,279 Speaker 1: nine point nine million dollars in twenty nineteen, and surprisingly, 820 00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:03,760 Speaker 1: it lost seven fifty five point two million in twenty 821 00:52:04,040 --> 00:52:06,319 Speaker 1: Now I say surprisingly, I realize I'm throwing a lot 822 00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:09,399 Speaker 1: of numbers at you. It's kind of just becomes word 823 00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:11,919 Speaker 1: salad or numbers salad at a point. But the reason 824 00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:17,440 Speaker 1: I say surprisingly is because using lifts metrics, it looks 825 00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:20,560 Speaker 1: like the company lost more in than it did in 826 00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:24,319 Speaker 1: but using a different set of metrics, the opposite is true. 827 00:52:24,600 --> 00:52:27,640 Speaker 1: In both cases, It's still lost money both years, and 828 00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:32,240 Speaker 1: just the question is how much Like Uber Lifts, mathematic 829 00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:35,800 Speaker 1: wizardry suggests that the company will reach a positive EBITA 830 00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:39,000 Speaker 1: by the end of this year. But like Uber, without 831 00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:42,480 Speaker 1: that adjusted EBITA approach, the story is that the company 832 00:52:42,560 --> 00:52:44,840 Speaker 1: is going to continue to operate at a loss unless 833 00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:49,440 Speaker 1: things really change in the last quarter of one. In fact, 834 00:52:49,480 --> 00:52:52,000 Speaker 1: earlier this year, Lift announced that it had a net 835 00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:55,240 Speaker 1: loss of four d twenty seven point three million dollars 836 00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:58,959 Speaker 1: in the first quarter of one. Now I can't tell 837 00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:03,400 Speaker 1: you why their second quarter results are because I'm recording 838 00:53:03,400 --> 00:53:07,799 Speaker 1: this on the same day it publishes, August two, and 839 00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:10,560 Speaker 1: the company hasn't announced that yet because that announcement happens 840 00:53:10,560 --> 00:53:14,520 Speaker 1: tomorrow on August three, So we'll see then if things 841 00:53:14,560 --> 00:53:18,799 Speaker 1: have changed. But yeah, this is an odd thing, right, 842 00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:22,800 Speaker 1: It's weird to see these companies that get these incredible valuations. 843 00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:27,120 Speaker 1: There's this amazing amount of excitement and investment poured into 844 00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:30,719 Speaker 1: these companies, and they can go for a decade or 845 00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:33,719 Speaker 1: longer without turning a profit, and some of them might 846 00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:38,640 Speaker 1: never turn a profit. Now, the good news is that 847 00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:41,719 Speaker 1: for the ones that can stick around long enough, they 848 00:53:41,800 --> 00:53:45,160 Speaker 1: might be able to find a revenue path that does 849 00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:47,319 Speaker 1: work and that they can build on that, and so 850 00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:51,480 Speaker 1: that investment over the long term becomes a good idea. 851 00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:54,240 Speaker 1: But for a lot of people, I think they probably 852 00:53:54,280 --> 00:53:58,040 Speaker 1: feel like these companies feel like almost a Ponzi scheme 853 00:53:58,120 --> 00:54:01,400 Speaker 1: or pyramid scheme, and that you might get in early 854 00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:04,680 Speaker 1: on and invest in this company, and then you get 855 00:54:04,680 --> 00:54:07,239 Speaker 1: the sinking feeling that the company is never going to 856 00:54:07,280 --> 00:54:10,040 Speaker 1: turn a profit, But if you hype it up, then 857 00:54:10,080 --> 00:54:12,840 Speaker 1: other people are going to come in and invest, and 858 00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:14,719 Speaker 1: you might be able to get your investment back out 859 00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:17,080 Speaker 1: or even turn a profit on it. Right, Like if 860 00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:19,719 Speaker 1: you bought shares of stock when it was trading at 861 00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:23,520 Speaker 1: fifteen dollars and then it ends up trading at sixty dollars, 862 00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:26,839 Speaker 1: you can get out and make a profit on that. 863 00:54:27,120 --> 00:54:30,600 Speaker 1: Even if you deeply suspect this company is not going 864 00:54:30,640 --> 00:54:35,080 Speaker 1: to be profitable. It's crazy to me, like tech either 865 00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:38,920 Speaker 1: works or it doesn't work. Right, It's pretty simple to 866 00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:42,960 Speaker 1: describe the operations of tech when you really boil it down. 867 00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:46,800 Speaker 1: But business, you know, business just don't make no sense. 868 00:54:47,680 --> 00:54:49,719 Speaker 1: I mean, I guess it makes sense. End dollars. That's 869 00:54:49,719 --> 00:54:53,320 Speaker 1: a dad joke. I'm done. I'm sorry. Hey, this wraps 870 00:54:53,400 --> 00:54:56,799 Speaker 1: up this episode of tech Stuff. If you have a 871 00:54:56,800 --> 00:54:59,320 Speaker 1: suggestion for a topic I should cover in the future, 872 00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:01,680 Speaker 1: please each out to me. The best way to do 873 00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:04,920 Speaker 1: that is on Twitter, you know, the profitable one and 874 00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:09,200 Speaker 1: the handle there is text stuff h s W and 875 00:55:09,239 --> 00:55:18,120 Speaker 1: I'll talk to you again really soon. Y. Tech Stuff 876 00:55:18,200 --> 00:55:21,359 Speaker 1: is an I Heart radio production. For more podcasts from 877 00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:25,160 Speaker 1: my heart Radio, visit the I heart Radio app, Apple podcasts, 878 00:55:25,280 --> 00:55:27,240 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.