1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: Bloombo Business News twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:09,040 Speaker 1: dot Com, the radio plus Mobile act and on your radio, 3 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:13,120 Speaker 1: this is a Bloomberg Business Flash. And I'm Karen Moscow. 4 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: US stock index Future is higher, so is oil. Let's 5 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: go to the first Word breaking news desk for today's 6 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: morning call, and here's Bill Maloney. Good morning Bill, Good 7 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: morning Karen. Futures are maintaining their games since the last 8 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,159 Speaker 1: time we spoke. De Futures hired by a hundred and 9 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: seventy six points, says that he's game twenty one and 10 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: Nazak Futures rise by forty eight. The US Tenniel at 11 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:37,480 Speaker 1: one point seven seven per cent. Main upay markets are higher, 12 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: led by two percent gains in Italy and Spain, and 13 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: on the US economic front at a thirty Chicago Fed 14 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: and at market, US manufacturer P. M. I Smith their 15 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: fifty two point five. Another new CDC says lumber Liquid 16 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: it is flooring has increased cancer risk. Shares it down 17 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 1: sixteen percent pre market, and in deual news, food distributor 18 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: Cisco to buy Brake Stroop for Bain for three point 19 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: one billion. Regarding airings this morning, Alegan EPs B and 20 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: Finally some of your key wall sheet upgrades and downgrades 21 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:10,480 Speaker 1: at Bank of America, Gene and wy Woming raised to neutral, 22 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: ces X and Union Pacific race to buy Express Scripts, 23 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 1: got to sell at Deutsche Bank, Parago cut to sell 24 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: Coalman Sacks, and finally trip It Bias and Expedia both 25 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,480 Speaker 1: cut to sell over at Steple Live in the first 26 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: breaking news desk, go on, Belle Maloney, Karen, all right, 27 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: thanks sabaillan to hear live breaking news over your Bloomberg 28 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,559 Speaker 1: type squawk A go on your terminal. That's s qu 29 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: a w K go and that's a Bloomberg business flash, 30 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 1: Tom and Mike, Karen, thanks so much. Curve flattening, we've 31 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:39,479 Speaker 1: seen the two stens spread come in nicely this morning. 32 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: Nine five A flatter yield curve all in all, that's 33 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 1: distance between the ten year yield and the two year yield. 34 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: You move the decimal point over two places. Dout Kiss 35 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: knows that Bloomberg surveillance brought you by Investco Factor based 36 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: strategies can help investors focus on high quality, low volatility 37 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: and more. Learn more at invesco dot com, Slash High Conviction, 38 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 1: Douglas cast with us with Sea breeze as we u 39 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 1: go through the emotions of being more active in the 40 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 1: market away from activity. Uh, the DOUG is a quarterly 41 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: ballet of financial engineering. It has become cannon that you 42 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: raise your dividend, you deploy cash, you know, you buy 43 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: back shares, et cetera. Are you a critic of financial 44 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 1: engineering or is it a good idea that they're moving 45 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 1: money back to shareholders. Well, I I disagree with Mario 46 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 1: because there ain't many Henry Singleton's from Telene around anymore. 47 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 1: There are a lot of people like Caterpillar, the bias 48 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: they stock at a hundred and five dollars a share. 49 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 1: I think they bought eleven of the stock a year 50 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:46,519 Speaker 1: and a half ago. I've been short for that period, 51 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: and the chefs have gone from a hundred and six 52 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: to sixty one. I think there's a broader question. The 53 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: broader issue is that the risks and the unintended consequences 54 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 1: of ever lower interest rates arising. The primary issue is 55 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: that capital spending. Capital spending has been abandoned in favor 56 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: of financial engineering. But there are other issues too. You know, 57 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 1: the risk of savings ourselves into a recession is expanding. 58 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: You know, they call that the paradox of thrift. And 59 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: when you get low rates like this, people are hoarding 60 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 1: cash and reducing their personal consumption expense, which is um 61 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: And finally, as Brad Hinton talked about earlier in an 62 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 1: earlier segment, when you have rates so low, with six 63 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: of the world's sovereign yields in negative territory, bank met 64 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: interest margins and profitability suffer. They become challenged and lending 65 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: is curtailed. So you know, we're in a tough stew 66 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 1: As James Taylor said in Steamroller, we're in a demolition 67 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 1: derby healthy hunk of steaming junk. Mike. What we like 68 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 1: to do is you have the hefty hunk of steaming junk. 69 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: Doug Casson, because he used his history. Henry Singleton, who 70 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: you just heard Mr cass speak of, is not only 71 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 1: one of the heroes of American finance, but a giant 72 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 1: of engineering. He was at Annapolis first in his class, 73 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 1: had to leave, went to m I t reinvented himself 74 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: and then did the oddest of things, Mike. He bought 75 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: shares when the stock was cheap and issued them to 76 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: the public when the shares were expensive. Is this this 77 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:34,360 Speaker 1: is a rare and beautiful thing. And then, and then, 78 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: when rates interest rates declined, he issued an enormous amount 79 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 1: of bonds in order to buy back stock in the future. 80 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:47,600 Speaker 1: Just a just a brilliant guy in a billionaire when 81 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 1: a billion dollars really meant something? What what you might today? No, 82 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: but what you see today was invented by Mr Singleton. 83 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 1: There was no other way to put it. A televide 84 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: Omega's Lee Koperman has done a eight job. In fact, 85 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:05,840 Speaker 1: he's to courses at Columbia Business School talking about Singleton's 86 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: allocation of capital strategy. Every one should get a hands 87 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 1: on their hands on it. By the way, Tom, I 88 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: notice you don't talk about the Red Sox anymore. You 89 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 1: talking about the Dodgers. You're talking about the giant to come. Well, 90 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 1: you remember last year, Doug he said in the beginning 91 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 1: of April that the Red Sox were done for the year, 92 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 1: and he actually turned out to be right. So he 93 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 1: thinks he's a baseball prognosticator. Now, a lot of people, 94 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: a lot of people would suggest maybe this year the 95 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 1: Red Sox are going to play a little better. I 96 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 1: didn't really know. Oh no, It's like Mike, save me 97 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: play Bowden? Did you get we wandered off the reservation? 98 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 1: So let's just ask Doug as you keep an eye 99 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 1: out on on the National League in particular. Um, your 100 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 1: uncle had sort of a soft spot for the New 101 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 1: York National League team, your cousin and and the h 102 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 1: and the Los Angeles team. Uh, do you have a 103 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 1: view on either one of their um performances coming up 104 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: in two thousands sixteen? I think the DoD just could 105 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:17,720 Speaker 1: go undefeated. It's like the Warriors, you know, you know 106 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 1: at this concert Saveny night, I know we're running out 107 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: of time. James Taylor saying Angels of Fenway, and I 108 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: love the opening line, which is a chiller to you. 109 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 1: Tom eight six Summer's gone by, Bambino put a hex 110 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 1: on the bean we were living on, a tear and 111 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 1: a sigh in the shadow of the Bronx machine. That's hateful, hateful? 112 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 1: Can our global technical director cut the line right now? 113 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: Did you see the The Yankees have the by far 114 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:49,040 Speaker 1: the highest season ticket price in all of baseball, and 115 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 1: the baseball they're playing does not justify Doug Cash. Thank 116 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 1: you so much, greatly appreciated, Sea Breeze partners. As we 117 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: get down and I don't catch some spring training gear, 118 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: we can lead Cass. He can guest host with us 119 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 1: for like the five or six days it'll need for 120 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 1: us to visit every park. Yeah exactly. Um, I think 121 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 1: anybody's listening that could affect that trends A yeah, yeah. 122 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: Our boss is saying, are you out of your mind? 123 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 1: At point? Okay, features up twenty duve features up seventy one. 124 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: It's a very nice correlated screen with one screaming exception, 125 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 1: and that is curve flattening. Two stents spread ninety point seven. 126 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: The difference of deal between the tenure and the two 127 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: year point points that's a big deal. Curve flattening is 128 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 1: something different this morning. Economic data next, Bloomberg surveillance coming 129 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 1: up there. 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