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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perolt. Here

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Speaker 2: on bettingpros dot com. We're always being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by BETMGM. You can follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt, and we are here right after the Dodgers

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Speaker 2: game just ended. A couple of things happened with that

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Speaker 2: Dodger's victory. First, it was a two and two night.

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Speaker 2: We got the Dodgers on the run line at plus

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Speaker 2: one oh two on that one. We got the under

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Speaker 2: at minus one twenty correct for the hockey game Toronto

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Speaker 2: and Winnipeg, and hockey in basketball was a disaster on

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Speaker 2: a point spread basis. Both the Mavericks and the Warriors

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Speaker 2: do not cover. So two and two pretty much just

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Speaker 2: down the juice a little so, a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a losing night, except the parlay hit. Okay, some of

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Speaker 2: you got it at plus eight point fifty because once

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Speaker 2: the Warriors pulled everybody, their money line dropped dramatically, so

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Speaker 2: the odds on the parlay went up significantly. The Dodgers win,

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Speaker 2: and so the over in the Rockies game comes in

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Speaker 2: and the Wizards the Mavericks, the Grizzlies, and the.

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Speaker 1: Warriors all win.

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Speaker 2: Those all hit two baseball bets, hit six leg parlay

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Speaker 2: plus six hundred more. Really, it was probably plus seven

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Speaker 2: to fifty for most of you guys if you played it.

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Speaker 2: I don't play it, but congratulations, because that's now four

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Speaker 2: and thirteen for the parlay. So if you're betting one

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Speaker 2: hundred dollars on this, you've won twenty four hundred and

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Speaker 2: you've lost thirteen hundred, meaning you're up eleven hundred dollars

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Speaker 2: on the parlay, which is the complete opposite of what

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Speaker 2: I'm trying to prove to you guys, saying parlay is

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Speaker 2: a bad idea.

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Speaker 1: Don't bet parlays. It's dumb.

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Speaker 2: But now I'm four and thirteen, and if I had

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Speaker 2: been betting one hundred dollars, I'm not betting on a

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Speaker 2: hundred dollars, but if I was, you could be way

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Speaker 2: way up. I know a bunch you guys cast on this,

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Speaker 2: and so look, you know the way, don't you know?

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Speaker 2: Buy a T shirt, Okay, fantasypros dot Com slash shop,

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Speaker 2: go buy daily juice gear. Okay, if you want a

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Speaker 2: grand if you won more than that, whatever, you won

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Speaker 2: last night, whatever you were able to. You know, if

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Speaker 2: you won five hundred bucks, thousand, two thousand, whatever you

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Speaker 2: wound up winning last night. The tip is to go

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Speaker 2: buy a T shirt. Okay, go buy a Daily Juice

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Speaker 2: T shirt. Spread the word, tell your friends, get people involved,

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Speaker 2: get your brother, mother, sisters, whoever. Get him involved listening

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Speaker 2: to Daily Juice, keep throwing the audience, bring him into

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Speaker 2: the discord channel, have him be a part of the community.

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Speaker 2: And that's all the thanks I need for that if

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Speaker 2: you did wind up playing that. So it's kind of

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Speaker 2: crazy that I've hit four at four out of seventeen

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Speaker 2: of those, given that they are such long shot hail Mary's.

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Speaker 1: But that was one I told you last night.

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Speaker 2: I got on it and I said, hey, I feel

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Speaker 2: really good about that parlay.

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Speaker 1: If you go back and listen to last night's podcast.

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Speaker 2: I told her yesterday's podcast, I told you I felt

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Speaker 2: pretty good about it, and I was like.

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Speaker 1: M you know, and then man, that Warriors game.

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Speaker 2: I was pretty confident that that Warriors game was gonna

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Speaker 2: burn us because they were falling apart late. The Raptors,

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Speaker 2: not sorry, not other Raptors, but who are they playing?

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Speaker 2: I forget who they were playing, Oh, the Pelicans. The

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Speaker 2: Pelicans really started to come on strong and then man

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Speaker 2: at home.

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Speaker 1: They played hard.

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Speaker 2: We don't get that six and a half and they

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Speaker 2: win by one, right or three?

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Speaker 1: The one by three? Yeah? Three.

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Speaker 2: So if you bet the let the closing number, you cashed.

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Speaker 2: If you got two and a half or two, you cashed.

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Speaker 2: I would have still. I still liked the Warriors last

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Speaker 2: night minus two, and they did cover that. But I

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Speaker 2: bet overnight six and a half. The number completely cratered

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Speaker 2: on me because of everybody's sitting out for both teams.

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Speaker 2: And that's just the treachery of betting NBA basketball right now,

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Speaker 2: and it's one reason why I'm not betting the NBA

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Speaker 2: again today, although on Sunday I might get involved that

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Speaker 2: Warriors game against the Memphis Grizzlies. I'm probably going to

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Speaker 2: be involved with that one, and I may be involved

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Speaker 2: with a game or two, but NBA player props will

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Speaker 2: come back. I didn't bet the NBA player props simply

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Speaker 2: because it was stupid. Everyone was sitting, the numbers were

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Speaker 2: all out of whack. It just was it was too tough.

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Speaker 2: I couldn't do it. So that's why I didn't do

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Speaker 2: NBA player props, and we just had four bets going

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Speaker 2: out of half a unit yesterday to go two and

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Speaker 2: two on our bets. But the headliner, obviously is the

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Speaker 2: don't bet Parlay's parlay cash is sixth leger a six

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Speaker 2: leg I can't cash three leggers mostly now it is

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Speaker 2: hit a six legger. But it's just one of those

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Speaker 2: you know, you could see it coming right, just the

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Speaker 2: money lines in the NBA, given who was playing for

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Speaker 2: something and who is not, it does come through for us.

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Speaker 2: So not bad, not bad, all right, is where we

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Speaker 2: are with today's podcast. This is another Saturday where we've

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Speaker 2: got a variety of things going on.

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Speaker 1: I have got picks for UFC two sixty two.

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Speaker 2: I have got a trifectave box that I'm gonna give

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Speaker 2: you that's really not that impressive, but just what everyone's

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Speaker 2: telling me to do. So for the Preakness. So if

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Speaker 2: you want to know what I'm betting on the Preakness,

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what I'm betting for the Preakness, and

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Speaker 2: then I've got one hockey play for you, and then

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Speaker 2: we will have two NBA player props coming up.

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Speaker 1: On the other side.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to bet baseball today unless I add

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Speaker 2: something late, but right now I'm not going to bet baseball. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so let's just start with the main event between Charles

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Speaker 2: Olivera and Michael Chandler. I've been pretty spiredly arguing this fight.

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Speaker 2: Michael Chandler is a hell of a fighter, Okay. I

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Speaker 2: don't really like the guy. I'm gonna be honest. I

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Speaker 2: don't like him, but he's good, okay. I I don't

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Speaker 2: like people who come over from Bellator and start running

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Speaker 2: their mouth. Michael Chandler is a dude that could come

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Speaker 2: in and becomes sort of the heel of the division,

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Speaker 2: which is maybe what the UFC wants him to be,

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Speaker 2: and kind of bringing the UFC mix, you know, WWE

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Speaker 2: combination connection together. He's gonna run around with the American

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Speaker 2: flag and blah blah blah. Okay, sure whatever, but they

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Speaker 2: need it because the UFC lightweight division is not that

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Speaker 2: interesting right now. Charles Olivera has been fighting for a

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Speaker 2: really long time, ten years in fact, and he finally

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Speaker 2: gets a title shot here tonight against Michael Chandler. Charles

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Speaker 2: Olivera has fought a much higher caliber of competition than

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Speaker 2: what we have seen Michael Chandler fight. Okay, Michael Chandler

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Speaker 2: has beaten up X washed up UFC fighters in Bellator

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Speaker 2: and a bunch of guys you never heard of.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Charles Olivera in his last fight defeated Tony Ferguson. Okay,

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Speaker 2: he has fought really tough fighters. He's earned this title

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Speaker 2: title shot. He's waited and waited and waited. Okay, his

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Speaker 2: striking has improved. But this is a guy who has

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Speaker 2: not gone past three rounds. Okay, Michael Chandler has gone

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Speaker 2: five rounds a bunch of times. He's been you know,

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Speaker 2: a belt holder at Bellator. Okay, so he I think

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Speaker 2: he has a gas tank that's a little bit maybe deeper.

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Speaker 2: I thought about betting the over in this game, but

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Speaker 2: in this fight. But here's how I'm gonna play this fight.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to put a half a unit down

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Speaker 2: on Charles Olivera. So what I'm gonna do is a

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Speaker 2: quarter unit on Charles Olivera to submit Michael Chandler. I

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Speaker 2: know he's never been submit before, but it's this is

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Speaker 2: a different type of dude. Okay, this is what this

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Speaker 2: guy does. He has incredible His takedown average two point

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Speaker 2: sixty four per round. His takedown accuracy is forty four percent.

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Speaker 2: He attempts two point eight submissions every single fight. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is a guy who's gonna try to tap you out.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: He has records on records on records for submission in

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Speaker 2: the UFC and finishes in the UFC and just he's

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Speaker 2: all over the record books.

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Speaker 1: Okay. He is longer.

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Speaker 2: He's gonna have a three inch reach advantage over Michael Chandler,

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Speaker 2: which is a little bit weird because he's the grappler.

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Speaker 2: Michael Chandler is the striker, so their body types are

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Speaker 2: a little bit backwards to how they should be. But

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Speaker 2: the over on this fight, sorry, Olivera for a quarter

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Speaker 2: unit to submit Michael Chandler. Okay plus two hundred, Okay,

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Speaker 2: you're getting good odds Olivera winning this fight. He's the favorite.

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Speaker 2: But if he wins it, he's winning it by submission.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I can't see him winning on the scorecards. I can't

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Speaker 2: see him winning it. I mean, if he's gonna win

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Speaker 2: this fight, he's winning it y submission. Okay, So a

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Speaker 2: sprinkle you would say on Olivera to submit Michael Chandler.

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Speaker 2: The full half unit bet on this fight is it

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Speaker 2: to go under?

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Speaker 1: Okay?

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Speaker 2: And I know I'm not jumping out on a limb

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Speaker 2: here by coming out and taking the under in this fight,

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Speaker 2: but I think you have to kind of find some

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Speaker 2: value here. It's minus one point eighty for this fight

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Speaker 2: to go under, so I'm gonna put a half a

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Speaker 2: unit down on.

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Speaker 1: It and expect that it's probably gonna go under.

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Speaker 2: So if we could hit him both, it would be

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Speaker 2: really kind of nice. Olivera to go ahead and get

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Speaker 2: a victory to a submission at plus two hundred and

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Speaker 2: then have it happen in the second round would be beautiful.

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Speaker 2: That would be an awesome thing to have happen. And

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Speaker 2: if we're wrong about Olivera and Michael Chandler is going

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Speaker 2: to wind up winning this fight, he's gonna win this

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Speaker 2: thing relatively quickly, okay. Michael Chandler's average fight time is

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Speaker 2: six thirty eight. He's a guy who lands four point

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Speaker 2: twenty nine strikes per minute. That's a full strike more

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Speaker 2: per minute than what Charles Olavera does. And Chandler's a wrestler, okay,

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Speaker 2: He's got a wrestling background. He's got eighty percent takedown defense. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this guy is difficult to bring down. I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to debate that in the least. And so that's why

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Speaker 2: Olivera is gonna have to overcome here. He's gonna have

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Speaker 2: to make it in a grappling match. I thought about

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Speaker 2: playing the over for that reason, but Olivera hasn't gone

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Speaker 2: five rounds, hasn't gone in the championship rounds. I don't

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Speaker 2: think he wants to go into deep water.

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Speaker 1: So I've got.

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Speaker 2: A quarter unit kind of hanging out there that I

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Speaker 2: haven't kind of got involved. I'm gonna leave that to

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Speaker 2: the side, and I may come back during leading into

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Speaker 2: the fight, leading it in the during the card, I

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Speaker 2: may come back with a quarter unit play here for

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Speaker 2: this fight. But right now I have a quarter unit

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Speaker 2: on Charles Olivera to submit Michael Chandler and a half

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Speaker 2: a unit on the under for this fight under two

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Speaker 2: and a half rounds at minus one point eighty. How

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Speaker 2: I'm playing the main event now, I do have a

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Speaker 2: half a unit parlay for you guys to jump into.

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Speaker 2: And this comes Gina Manzani has had her whole life

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Speaker 2: turned upside down.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I don't.

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Speaker 2: I don't know much about who she's fighting, except I

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Speaker 2: talk to some people. I know her brother really well.

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Speaker 2: In fact, I saw her brother. I saw his saw

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Speaker 2: our brother yesterday or two days ago, and asked him

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Speaker 2: how Gina was feeling. She's one of the biggest favorites

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Speaker 2: on the card. She's seven and four, but she got

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Speaker 2: dropped from the UFC. She was re signed. She won

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Speaker 2: her last fight. This fight probably goes the distance. This

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Speaker 2: fight probably winds up going to the cards. Manzani probably

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Speaker 2: wins it two rounds to one. Summer in that range here,

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Speaker 2: but I like Gina Manzani to win her fight at

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Speaker 2: minus two fifteen okay, again, one of the biggest favorites

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Speaker 2: on the entire card that you can jump in here

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Speaker 2: with her. But I think that she is I think

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Speaker 2: the company likes her, to be quite honest. I think

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Speaker 2: that the company is intrigued at least to keep her around.

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Speaker 2: She lives in Las Vegas, I guess part time now,

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Speaker 2: and she has rededicated herself to the sport.

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Speaker 1: She really has a good feel for it.

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Speaker 2: She's minus two hundred fandels at minus two hundred circus

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Speaker 2: of mis two ten.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: If you take that with Tony Ferguson and Benil del Rouche,

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Speaker 2: which is going to be a war of a fight.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: But if you take that and go to the over

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Speaker 2: over two and a half rounds and parlay that together,

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Speaker 2: you get plus one thirty odds. Okay. I cannot see

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Speaker 2: del Ruche stopping Tony Ferguson early. I can't see Tony

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Speaker 2: Ferguson being stopped period, but maybe in the later rounds

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Speaker 2: Tony Ferguson gets stopped or and then Ferguson to stop Deruche.

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Speaker 2: It would be like what like it would be kind

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Speaker 2: of shocking to have happened. So I think the over

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Speaker 2: in that fight is really really likely to hit between

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Speaker 2: Deruche and Ferguson, just because you can hit Tony with

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Speaker 2: a crowbar and he keeps on going. So this is

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Speaker 2: a half a unit two leg teaser Manzani to win

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Speaker 2: her fight, just win money line Manzani to win her fight,

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Speaker 2: and then the over for Deruche and Ferguson in their

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Speaker 2: fight over two and a half rounds, and that's a

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Speaker 2: half a unit plus one on that two leg parlay.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So you've got four.

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Speaker 2: Bets for you with one potentially coming a little bit

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Speaker 2: later on that I may jump into. I'm gonna hold

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Speaker 2: off that quarter unit on something else that I may

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Speaker 2: get involved that not there yet perfectly there.

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Speaker 1: Where I want to be.

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Speaker 2: But we have Olivera by submission at plus two hundred,

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Speaker 2: the under two and a half rounds for half a

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Speaker 2: unit at minus one eighty, and we've got Gina Mazani

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Speaker 2: to win her fight. Money line parlayed with the over

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Speaker 2: for the comin event for deruche in Ferguson going into

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Speaker 2: a plus one thirty on that for the place for

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Speaker 2: the UFC. I'm very interested and really excited to see

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Speaker 2: this card. It's full crowd in Houston, loud, loud, loud,

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Speaker 2: so it's gonna be awesome. I'm really looking forward to

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Speaker 2: watching this card. But Chandler Olavera's got a huge opportunity.

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Speaker 2: Michael Chandler very well can wind up winning this. A

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Speaker 2: lot of people like Michael Chandler taking the plus money.

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Speaker 2: Oli Era is the slight favorite minus one thirty minus

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Speaker 2: one forty. Really looking forward to watching that fight. So, okay,

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Speaker 2: let's talk about the Preakness and what am I betting

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Speaker 2: on the Preakness Okay, I'm just telling you what I'm doing,

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Speaker 2: and this is an eighteen dollars bet, so it's not

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Speaker 2: like we're going in heavy here. I'm going back to

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Speaker 2: the Trifecta box. Midnight Bourbon is now the favorite at

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Speaker 2: the time of taping here. Midnight Bourbon's the favorite to

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Speaker 2: go and win this horse, to win this race, and

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Speaker 2: there may be a lot of public money coming in

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Speaker 2: simply because Midnight Bourbon is not a Bafford horse. The

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Speaker 2: two Bafford horses are Concert Tour and Medina Spirit. They're

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Speaker 2: both very fast, They're both gonna go to the front

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Speaker 2: very quickly, and could Midnight Bourbon run them down?

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Speaker 1: Is the question?

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Speaker 2: Okay, Trifecta box, three dollars bet, eighteen dollars.

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Speaker 1: Okay, three dollars Trifecta box.

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Speaker 2: Concert Tour, Medina Spirit, Midnight Bermand in any order, one, two, three,

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Speaker 2: in any order. Okay. It's not gonna pay out big,

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Speaker 2: all right, It's not gonna be this monster payout. I

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Speaker 2: don't think we're going to see a long shot here.

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Speaker 2: Pretty much everyone I'm talking to that those three horses

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Speaker 2: are the three to beat, and they're going to finish

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Speaker 2: in some order and there aren't. There's not a lot

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Speaker 2: of room for long shots here, but Midnight Bourbon is

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Speaker 2: getting a lot. And I may take that extra quarter unit,

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Speaker 2: and I may come here and give you and may

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Speaker 2: take Midnight Bourbon to win the race. I don't know,

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Speaker 2: but I will play at least one bet at the Preakness,

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Speaker 2: and that is a trifecta box for three dollars eighteen

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Speaker 2: dollars bet Concert Tour, Medina Spirit, Midnight Bourbon in any order.

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Speaker 1: One two, three for a trifecta for the Preakness. Okay.

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Speaker 2: Medina Spirit passed the drug tests. Concert Tour did as well.

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Speaker 2: They're running. Bob Badford won't be there, but he could

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Speaker 2: have Media's Spirit again winning two legs, the triple crown

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Speaker 2: with that Kentucky Derby win very much in question. Bob

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Speaker 2: Badford getting sued by gamblers. It's a mess still, but

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Speaker 2: the horse doesn't know. What does the horse know? The

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Speaker 2: horse is like, hey, let's go run, so concert toar

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Speaker 2: Media at midnight pervn okay, and then one more bet

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Speaker 2: to give you Bruins capitals. Bruins are minus one twenty

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Speaker 2: on the money line here at the time of taping

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Speaker 2: against the Washington Capitals, and you know where I'm going here.

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Speaker 1: This is my team here. Okay, these guys have gone

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Speaker 1: back and.

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Speaker 2: Forth, back and forth, back and forth, four to four

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Speaker 2: the season series, in the eight games between Boston and

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Speaker 2: the Capitals. But tj Oshi is banged up. It may

320
00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,800
Speaker 2: not play in this game. Let's see about the injuries

321
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Speaker 2: for Washington. It's why the Bruins are favored. It could

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Speaker 2: be a little bit of a tough one. The Capitals

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Speaker 2: won two to one in the last game, but it

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Speaker 2: didn't really matter. Bruins won six' three the last time they.

325
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Speaker 2: Played when it really did, Matter capitols won the game

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Speaker 2: before that eight to, One bruins four to, Two bruins

327
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Speaker 2: five to, One capitals two to, One bruins five to,

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Speaker 2: three and The capitals four to. THREE i do think

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Speaker 2: the under five and a half is a good idea.

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Speaker 2: HERE i will be personally on that as. Well i'm

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Speaker 2: not gonna have it officially and miskakeing The bruins to,

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Speaker 2: win BUT i think the under five and a half

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00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,320
Speaker 2: is a decent play if you want a little extra

334
00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,240
Speaker 2: action on this. GAME i can't see The bruins wanting

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Speaker 2: to get into a firefight. HERE i think they'll wind

336
00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 2: up wanting to play, tighter and you, know a three to,

337
00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,439
Speaker 2: one three to two type of win For boston is

338
00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:13,119
Speaker 2: HOW i think this game is going to. Go but

339
00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:16,280
Speaker 2: because it's the, PLAYOFFS i don't want to get involved

340
00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:18,480
Speaker 2: officially with a full unit here BECAUSE i got to

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00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:22,000
Speaker 2: see what's gonna. Happen SO i Am i'm curious to

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00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:25,200
Speaker 2: see what ends up going down and how this whole

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Speaker 2: thing kind of unfolds. Here so, yeah, yeah So i'm

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Speaker 2: kind of, yeah so we're gonna see what happens with.

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Speaker 2: That and then, yeah so The bruins half a unit

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00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,439
Speaker 2: money line on The Boston prones and then the other

347
00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:38,240
Speaker 2: half of the unit will throw on THE nba player,

348
00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:40,560
Speaker 2: props two of them coming at you on The discord

349
00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,239
Speaker 2: channel by going To bettingpros dot com slast chat or

350
00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:47,040
Speaker 2: by hitting the link which is below me on YouTube

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00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:49,600
Speaker 2: for the video portion of The Daily juice.

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Speaker 1: Podcast, okay so to recap it, all here we Go

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Speaker 1: alivera by.

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Speaker 2: Submission plus two hundred at the underd in the main

355
00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:57,639
Speaker 2: event at two and a half, Rounds Gina mazzani to

356
00:17:57,680 --> 00:17:59,960
Speaker 2: win parlayed with the over two and a half rounds

357
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,679
Speaker 2: the comain event at plus one thirty ruins moneyline at

358
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:07,159
Speaker 2: minus one Twenty Concert, Tour Magina spirit And Midnight bourbon

359
00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:10,480
Speaker 2: come in with a trifecta box one two three eighteen buck.

360
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Speaker 2: Bet not a lot of, money just a flyer to

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Speaker 2: see if we can cash on that for the favorites

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Speaker 2: here With Concert Tourmaginia spirit In Midnight bourbon coming through

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00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 2: for The. Preakness my name Is Matt, parotz following me

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00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 2: On twitter At Sports Talk. Matt each and every, morning

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Speaker 2: it's The Deal Juice, podcast brought to you By BETT.

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Speaker 2: Mgm Here i'm bettingpros dot com