Speaker 1: Check it on Man Now Down Now Friday, June two.
Speaker 1: It is the Meeting the Book podcast. Gil Alexander, thank
Speaker 1: you so much for joining us today for tennis's third
Speaker 1: major of the year, obviously the one on grass, tennis's
Speaker 1: shortest surface season, the grass season, but always culminating at
Speaker 1: the Championships at Wimbledon, the fortnight at Wimbledon. And what
Speaker 1: I love about doing these tennis pods so much, and
Speaker 1: we have committed to an addition to our megapod and
Speaker 1: guessing lines during football season, to doing all the tennis Slams,
Speaker 1: because this is for me again the ultimate nirvana, because honestly,
Speaker 1: there are two people on earth that I would like
Speaker 1: to talk about this subject with always and they are
Speaker 1: kind enough to join us once again on this podcast
Speaker 1: from England. You can follow him on Twitter at Tennis Ratings.
Speaker 1: He does gray stuff for Bedfair, the finest tennis handicapper,
Speaker 1: to which I owe tons of inspiration for doing it myself.
Speaker 1: Dan Weston is with us, fresh off a magical cruise
Speaker 1: through the Mediterranean. How are you doing, Dano? Yeah, I'm good, Gil, Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: we did into it. The cruise now ready for within Oh,
Speaker 1: by the way, should I can I say the name
Speaker 1: of the CRUI ship? Should I? Should I give him
Speaker 1: a plug free? Feel free? What is it? What is it?
Speaker 1: I don't want to batch it the wonder? What is it?
Speaker 1: Under the wonder of the seas? Which will be in
Speaker 1: Cape Canaveral, Florida staid in November for those who are interested.
Speaker 1: So the European seasons from from I think May till November,
Speaker 1: and then American season, Credian season from from there once
Speaker 1: for months as well. I love it. A Caribbean season.
Speaker 1: I love that. Sadly, it's in the middle of our
Speaker 1: pro football season, so I'm out of luck as as
Speaker 1: this gentleman probably is out of luck. The other one
Speaker 1: here that I'd love to talk to about this sub
Speaker 1: and others, by the way, which I probably start with you.
Speaker 1: Followed on Twitter at Whale Underscore. Kapper is co host
Speaker 1: of both The Deep Dive and NBC Sports at the
Speaker 1: Edge podcast, which he does respectively with with his buddies
Speaker 1: with his buddy Andy Molitor and then with Sarah Perlman.
Speaker 1: It is Drew Dinsic. How you doing Drew from his
Speaker 1: backyard in Long Bitch. Yeah, no no complaints here. Feeling
Speaker 1: great funny as you guys are talking about both, I'm
Speaker 1: going boat shopping this hafternoon, so you know it's not
Speaker 1: not really what what a what a great what a
Speaker 1: great draft? The NBA draft was unfreaking believable last night.
Speaker 1: Best one of the best nights I've had as a
Speaker 1: as a sports better, without question. And um, you know
Speaker 1: what do you do when you when you have a
Speaker 1: night like that, you buy a morning you know, you
Speaker 1: get up the next morning you start grinding tennis. That's
Speaker 1: right back, right back into the grinds. So let me,
Speaker 1: let me explain to people since there's gonna be a
Speaker 1: lot of people who are just too near for tennis.
Speaker 1: And Dana is probably like, wait, what is this? So
Speaker 1: last night we had our National Basketball Association Draft, which
Speaker 1: typically from a betting perspective, takes a huge back seat
Speaker 1: to our National Football League draft, which is a betting
Speaker 1: extravaganza for those of us who met that kind of thing.
Speaker 1: And this year's draft. The reason that Drew is beyond
Speaker 1: belief happy today and as he mentioned, slightly hungover, uh
Speaker 1: is is that this year's draft, which you know, up
Speaker 1: until about a week ago was very quiet, as as
Speaker 1: typical then within the last five or six days, there's
Speaker 1: been a there was a monumental move on the person
Speaker 1: that uh ultimately did get drafted number one last night.
Speaker 1: But about a week ago he was twenty two one.
Speaker 1: Four days ago he was still double digits, twelve to one,
Speaker 1: and then there was this unbelievable dip in his price
Speaker 1: through the Year's name is through the week. His name
Speaker 1: is Paula bun Carol from Duke Ensa. Being the numb
Speaker 1: one pick in the NBA draft goes to Orlando and
Speaker 1: I gave a passionate speech on Mondays to why I
Speaker 1: thought he would be the first pick of the draft.
Speaker 1: Drew made out like a bandit. Um bet, I'm going
Speaker 1: to guess more than I did on this even and
Speaker 1: I've been a lot. Uh. We also have a friend
Speaker 1: Bill cracker Burger who made out big time. But anyway,
Speaker 1: it becomes one of the greatest betting case studies and
Speaker 1: results in probably both of our betting lives. It's up there,
Speaker 1: it's on them. It's It's one of those ones you'll
Speaker 1: remember for years to come, wouldn't you say, Drew, Oh yeah,
Speaker 1: without question. It would be like if if the market
Speaker 1: was looking at this Wimbledon field and priced Djokovic at
Speaker 1: one like it was at fifty chance. Man, he should
Speaker 1: be you know, he should have been. Uh, he should
Speaker 1: have been a pick um and you could have got
Speaker 1: it at just an absurd price for point on a
Speaker 1: week and it just so happened to be the most
Speaker 1: liquid market in all the draft two, which was just on.
Speaker 1: You know, I don't know that that's going to come
Speaker 1: along again. I hope it is, but yeah, but that, yeah,
Speaker 1: that was that was something to be to, something to see.
Speaker 1: Guy at Caesar's Sports Books said the market for the
Speaker 1: number one pick in the NBA draft ended up at Caesar's.
Speaker 1: I don't know about other books, but at Caesar's ten
Speaker 1: times the handle for the NFL draft number one, which
Speaker 1: is mind numbing, right, just could you could never have
Speaker 1: predicted that. I definitely wouldn't have had a lost a
Speaker 1: lot of money on that. Yeah, that was an upset anyway, Dan,
Speaker 1: I'm sure this was riveting to you. But otherwise, But
Speaker 1: of so, now extra extra extra liquidity in my accounts
Speaker 1: to dunk on tennis. So I'm in good shape and
Speaker 1: I have I have old missed this weekend at a
Speaker 1: d one in college Baseball for an amount of money
Speaker 1: that will make William Hill notice if I win. Yeah,
Speaker 1: let's just put it that way. So between the Warriors,
Speaker 1: Bunk Hero and this, this could be the greatest betting
Speaker 1: stretch ever. And as you point out, and now there's Wimbledon,
Speaker 1: which real is like, oh my god, and the tennis
Speaker 1: tournament hasn't even started, and so let's get to that.
Speaker 1: The draws are out. Unlike the last time, Daniel, you
Speaker 1: weren't you weren't able to be here for the French draw.
Speaker 1: Drew and I were actually doing this podcast while the
Speaker 1: draw came out for the French and if you recall,
Speaker 1: that was the draw where it sits Apost basically got
Speaker 1: his own half, and so we were just w we
Speaker 1: were mind blown while this was coming out, this one.
Speaker 1: And let's start on. I want to start on the
Speaker 1: women's side, because I think what I saw today on
Speaker 1: the men's draw made trigger to bet for me on
Speaker 1: the men's side. But I want to start on the
Speaker 1: women's side, where oh you go up, surprise, your surprise.
Speaker 1: We'll see women's side my real quick reaction to the draw,
Speaker 1: and and we'll get yours immediately, which is quarter one
Speaker 1: with Ega, egas Fiantec pretty favorable for Ega. I have
Speaker 1: a again, a nine to one ticket from the night
Speaker 1: that ash Party retired. I was looking for any stray
Speaker 1: Egan French Open numbers. I didn't find any of those,
Speaker 1: but I did find a nine to one at Wimbledon.
Speaker 1: She's never one on grass before. Her word looks pretty
Speaker 1: good to me. Um quarter four going all the way
Speaker 1: to the bottom, I think Maria Soakery should be telling
Speaker 1: herself or her camp should be telling her, Look, we
Speaker 1: should be able to win this. Then I'd say quarter
Speaker 1: two going back is a really difficult one. Simona Hallips
Speaker 1: quarter if you will, for lack of a better term,
Speaker 1: is even though she's not seating, it isn't her tournament,
Speaker 1: it isn't it shouldn't be called her quarter. I think
Speaker 1: that's a really difficult one. And I think quarter three
Speaker 1: is pretty difficult. I'm curious Dan will start with you
Speaker 1: what your reaction was to the women's side. Um, it's
Speaker 1: so interesting because obviously we swear Take just hasn't played
Speaker 1: a lot on gross at all. She hasn't played the
Speaker 1: warm up events, and for me, I think that men
Speaker 1: said a real risk for anyone. Her short prices over
Speaker 1: the coming couple of weeks. So I had to look
Speaker 1: at the pricess on bat Fair at the moment, and
Speaker 1: she's she's two point eight for um, pretty similar rule
Speaker 1: and in that cool to one if if you've some threats,
Speaker 1: I do think she's had a client drawer for sure. Um.
Speaker 1: Historically on grass, someone like mother will will challenge her,
Speaker 1: push her robe akina, maybe at a big price, uh
Speaker 1: andre asking potentially uh heck of her. If she's playing
Speaker 1: while unfit, that could be some options for challenging her,
Speaker 1: some tough and tough opposition there potentially, But I think
Speaker 1: she's she's gonna be pretty happy with her draw Yeah.
Speaker 1: And by the way, just let me interject for those
Speaker 1: listening American audience listening, Um, when Dan says short prices
Speaker 1: by our parlance, what he means is a long price
Speaker 1: opposite based on the on the fraction system. But I'm
Speaker 1: with you completely. I think anybody jumping in right now
Speaker 1: on ego for the tournament in our bedding parlance plus
Speaker 1: one fifty issue, I just don't think you make that bet.
Speaker 1: You just don't make that bet. Yeah, what did you
Speaker 1: think about what do you think about the Simona Hallip
Speaker 1: quarter number two there. That seems really competitive to me. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and interestingly, how has barely played on grass at all
Speaker 1: over the last couple of years prior to this year
Speaker 1: where she's she played a couple of warm up events. Um,
Speaker 1: I like, I like Hallett in terms of but she
Speaker 1: actually got pretty good numbers on away from clay this year,
Speaker 1: which is not always the case. But obviously we've got
Speaker 1: the injury doubt on her room from Bad Homburg, so
Speaker 1: that's a uh something of a red flag. Although wait
Speaker 1: to see how she she kind of maybe plays in
Speaker 1: that first round game against Matova. It was a tough
Speaker 1: first round game. If you're going to yeah, yeah she's yeah,
Speaker 1: she has she has. Of course Katie Balter has been
Speaker 1: playing very well and that she does have. Amanda and
Speaker 1: this Amova perhaps most prominently Coco Golf, who has been
Speaker 1: playing great tennis, is in their Coco Golf, by the way,
Speaker 1: with the exception of a Shapur, the shortest shot beyond
Speaker 1: Igasia Tec and then there's Arena. What do we do
Speaker 1: with Serena? Do we have to give her any credence
Speaker 1: here going for slam, any any credence at all? Or
Speaker 1: is this just a tighter woods on a on the
Speaker 1: wrong course kind of thing now, even though this would
Speaker 1: be the right surface for her, I guess bad analogy. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I have an opinion on all I'll jump in. Um.
Speaker 1: I think the draw was a little not as imbalanced
Speaker 1: as the men's French Open, but I do think all
Speaker 1: of the dangerous players outside of onster Boar ended up
Speaker 1: in the top. Um And I think Q two is
Speaker 1: the kind of the quarter of death on the women's straw.
Speaker 1: Basically every kind of every player with a high enough
Speaker 1: ceiling to really give it to Ega kind of sitting
Speaker 1: in that Q two. So Ega, if she comes out
Speaker 1: of Q one, it's going to have a very very
Speaker 1: challenging semifinal head to head. Whoever emerges now that player
Speaker 1: may have that they may have fired so many bullets
Speaker 1: to get there that he can dispatch them and make
Speaker 1: a final here. But I shared Dan's concern and skepticism
Speaker 1: about EGA's lack of experience on this surface. I don't
Speaker 1: think her game especially lends itself to being a strong
Speaker 1: grass player. Um. And I think EGA's camp's decision to
Speaker 1: have her basically, you know, more or less throw up
Speaker 1: the white flag for grass season was probably strategically good,
Speaker 1: like she'll get some reps on grass this year, but
Speaker 1: it's not, you know, she's not going for a calendar
Speaker 1: slam or anything. She's going to be the world number
Speaker 1: one easily for the next you know year and time, um,
Speaker 1: and so saving up some of her bullets and then
Speaker 1: going for a US Open I thought was very very
Speaker 1: you know, potentially, like I'm assuming that's what they're doing.
Speaker 1: I thought that was strategically smart because she can, she
Speaker 1: can and should be a massive favorite to win the
Speaker 1: US open. Um slower hardcore, that's that that should be, uh,
Speaker 1: you know you want to you want to run it
Speaker 1: back all the good feelings about how easy was that
Speaker 1: Ego won the French Open, Like, save your bullets for
Speaker 1: for the U s Open. I don't think Wimbledon's your
Speaker 1: your time to to go after this with aggressiveness. Completely
Speaker 1: agree with that. I am also with Dan that there
Speaker 1: are a number of potential challengers in Q one that
Speaker 1: are going to make for tough outs. The one that
Speaker 1: I circled for based on price was andrew Esque just
Speaker 1: because she has a slam in her career, like she's
Speaker 1: proven that she can find a speed. You know, she's
Speaker 1: proven that she can find a level on you know,
Speaker 1: in in a slam pressure environment that is good enough
Speaker 1: to be a head to head surely. Uh. And I
Speaker 1: think her price is pretty favorable to come out of
Speaker 1: the first quarter and really frankly out of the top
Speaker 1: half because of what we mentioned, like quarter two is
Speaker 1: the quarter of death. Um. Serena, as you kind of
Speaker 1: alluded to, is a was sort of the land mine
Speaker 1: in the draw. So whatever quarters she landed in was gonna,
Speaker 1: you know, it was gonna automn actually make that a
Speaker 1: challenging quarter. And she had played warm up doubles with
Speaker 1: Bonds Jabor in Eastbourne, but only really played those two matches.
Speaker 1: And I watched a lot of that. I watched a
Speaker 1: lot of that tennis and more tennis doubles than I've
Speaker 1: watched in years, just to try to get some read
Speaker 1: on it. Uh. And Serena looked like she was in
Speaker 1: really quite good shape. Um. Not the kind of fitness
Speaker 1: level that you can win seven matches over two weeks,
Speaker 1: but at fitness level that she's going to make some
Speaker 1: seated player miserable in the in the first week. Um.
Speaker 1: And so I think penciling her into week two is
Speaker 1: not crazy. Uh six one for the tournament is crazy.
Speaker 1: I don't think you can expect her to be able to,
Speaker 1: you know, not play a tournament in a year and
Speaker 1: then come in and find form that you know that
Speaker 1: that can persist for uh two weeks stretch. Um. So
Speaker 1: my general read on Serena is she's gonna upset some
Speaker 1: players with with with hopes of going deep in this tournament,
Speaker 1: but then ultimately fizzle out in week two. Um. And
Speaker 1: I'm circling Plushkova as a as a you know, a
Speaker 1: victim here. Uh, Coco Golf could be in trouble if
Speaker 1: they meet head to head in a quarterfinal here. But
Speaker 1: Coco Golf again got kind of the worst of the
Speaker 1: draws of anyone who was considered yeah, of anyone who
Speaker 1: is considered potentially live outside of the top two. And
Speaker 1: Egan on Coco got the worst of it. And by
Speaker 1: the way, I feel the need just to interject this,
Speaker 1: I think I know the answer. But the reason for
Speaker 1: Jabor and Serena pulling out of the doubles effectively was
Speaker 1: a enterbore knee injury. You completely believe that that's just
Speaker 1: the week before Wimbledon. I want to take a few
Speaker 1: days off the injury kind of thing. I mean, I hope. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I got a lot of enterboard and the thirties three
Speaker 1: to one range, so I'm hoping that that was precautionary. Um,
Speaker 1: she hasn't shown any signs and anything I watched where
Speaker 1: I was concerned about her fitness for sure. Um, but
Speaker 1: you never know. I mean I think injury, you know,
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't. We haven't talked much about the
Speaker 1: bottom so far. Um, but let me ask you about
Speaker 1: that anyway. I was gonna say, you know, injury. Injury
Speaker 1: scares me more than anyone she has to run into
Speaker 1: between here in the final. Oh so that's interesting because
Speaker 1: because I was I'm just gonna throw out some names
Speaker 1: in her draw and I'll get you and you're you're
Speaker 1: showing no fear whatsoever. But I'll just throw out some names.
Speaker 1: Danielle freaking college not not no no fear, a little
Speaker 1: bit of should give her a match, keys can keys
Speaker 1: can make a quarterfinal, but I think she ultimately gets
Speaker 1: beaten straights. Yeah. Now we we have a bit of
Speaker 1: a different opinion on Emma rad Oukanu. You do not
Speaker 1: believe her to be a threat. I don't know. I
Speaker 1: mean it's the same she's obviously she kind of came
Speaker 1: burst onto the scene at Wimbledon last year. People remember
Speaker 1: her US Open title run, but her Wimbledon run was
Speaker 1: pretty special, and she gave Ego. Ego, by the way,
Speaker 1: who's won thirty five matches in a row, I should
Speaker 1: point out fifty two, fifty four sets, six titles this year.
Speaker 1: Emma gave Ego pretty good match. People remember samson Ova
Speaker 1: taking a set off of Ega, but Emma was pretty
Speaker 1: pretty freaking good in that match, and I remember being impressed, like, Okay,
Speaker 1: maybe this isn't some blip. By the way, the one name,
Speaker 1: the one name that I haven't mentioned in the draw,
Speaker 1: which is probably the biggest one if you go into
Speaker 1: her data, her grass court data, and again grass court
Speaker 1: data not as robust as other services, but Angelique Kerber
Speaker 1: and I think you've pointed this out as well, Drew,
Speaker 1: and we'll bring in Dan for this as well. Her
Speaker 1: grass court numbers twelve months, six month, however you slice it,
Speaker 1: our spec tack killer, Dan, I'm not sure how you
Speaker 1: feel about any of these threats. Of all, I agree
Speaker 1: with Drew and that and that injury I think is
Speaker 1: the biggest threat to jabb And it's interesting to see
Speaker 1: that on the bet fair market her price is now
Speaker 1: the lowest that it's ever been, So the betfair market
Speaker 1: is not remotely spooked about this injury issue at all.
Speaker 1: She's she's been well supported and and so they're not concerned.
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, Peak Curber, you would, you would say
Speaker 1: probably would be a bigger threat than most in that
Speaker 1: third third quarter. I am also on the anti Rabicanu position. Um,
Speaker 1: I just can't get behind the player who has has
Speaker 1: one of service points on hard or indoor hard this season.
Speaker 1: That's just that's just nowhere near good enough. And what
Speaker 1: do you need to do well on gross? You've gotta
Speaker 1: serve well, you've gotta sound consistently, and I think it's
Speaker 1: asking a great deal of her to to turn that
Speaker 1: around in a short term bottom draw, bottom bottom quarter.
Speaker 1: Do you agree with what I said about this earlier
Speaker 1: is that if I'm if I'm a Ria Saceres camp
Speaker 1: and she has not had a tremendous stretch here of
Speaker 1: tennis of late, and I'm like, okay, well there is
Speaker 1: Blenda bench itch. If I've got the right draw here
Speaker 1: and a Contumatacy is the high seat in that in
Speaker 1: that quarter, in that quarter. But Blenda bench Itch is
Speaker 1: in there, Beatrice Haddad Maya my girl Drew Uh, she's
Speaker 1: seasoned there as well, and she has just had a
Speaker 1: spectacular run. Uh. And then Elena Stapenco can't be uh
Speaker 1: can't be overlooked either. But if I'm if, I'm Maria
Speaker 1: Saces girl, I mean, isn't this like okay, like all
Speaker 1: these players, if you're if you are as good as
Speaker 1: you as we think you are, shouldn't she get out
Speaker 1: of this? Or or is she just not that good
Speaker 1: enough to do that. I'm gonna go with the I
Speaker 1: don't mind putting a line through Saccary and contivate here.
Speaker 1: Your top two seeds in this draw to me are
Speaker 1: upset special candidates. Um Zachary is a weird one because
Speaker 1: for all of her tools, all of her strength, she
Speaker 1: should be one of the best grass players on tour,
Speaker 1: but it just has never manifest And she also has
Speaker 1: this weird thing going where the further she goes into
Speaker 1: these slam tournaments, the more the pressure builds, the more
Speaker 1: likely she is to come, you know, to to succumb
Speaker 1: to the to the pressure. And that's not to say
Speaker 1: things couldn't break well for her here or gets hurt
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you know, saccary uh you know,
Speaker 1: comes through with an easier path than expected to a
Speaker 1: final and faces someone who is either battle weary, will
Speaker 1: be on battle warn or or just you know, not
Speaker 1: ready for the moment like she could win. Sure, there's
Speaker 1: not it's not crazy, but m M, I guess if
Speaker 1: Zachary wins this title, I'm gonna lose a lot of
Speaker 1: money betting against her in the later stages, surely, just
Speaker 1: because I'm gonna be expecting her to ultimately capitulate. She's
Speaker 1: done it every time she's been there. True, you have
Speaker 1: you have your board at thirty three to one, as
Speaker 1: I recall, yes, yeah, and I again kind of the
Speaker 1: Cerber comment, So okay, let's just pretend that something happens
Speaker 1: is your board. Kerber is my immediate favorite to win
Speaker 1: Q three, like, no question, no question for me, And
Speaker 1: it was a shame she got put where she got
Speaker 1: put up against your board in round four potentially, and
Speaker 1: that should be a really good match. Kerber's got the
Speaker 1: experience on grass, which is something that takes years and
Speaker 1: years of playing on grass to get and she has
Speaker 1: proven that she can get it done on grass. Her
Speaker 1: game and you know, sure her grass game is awesome.
Speaker 1: Her loss to Alisa Corne was weird. I don't know
Speaker 1: what happened there. I don't know if she didn't really
Speaker 1: like if she wasn't really into that match, didn't feel
Speaker 1: like she needed it anymore, she was ready to kind
Speaker 1: of move on to Wimbledon or what. But I thought
Speaker 1: she was gonna win that Homburg. Frankly, that win the
Speaker 1: whole tournament. Um, So to see her go out was strange. Um,
Speaker 1: but I don't know that that's a red flag. I
Speaker 1: think ultimately Cerber goes down to Jabor and I think, uh,
Speaker 1: but I think, let's say it's Sacchary Kerber as a
Speaker 1: semi final. Just for the purpose of making a price,
Speaker 1: I would I would personally bet Cerber at any dog
Speaker 1: price there. Um. I think I would make her a
Speaker 1: decent favorite over Sachary at that stage of a tournament
Speaker 1: like this, Oh dog approves okay, yeah, dog likes the
Speaker 1: other dog. And that's if that's where you get. I
Speaker 1: don't know, I mean, maybe maybe Dan, do you have
Speaker 1: a different opinion on Zachary's chances. Yeah, yes and no,
Speaker 1: Um yeah, I can go with you certainly for the
Speaker 1: latter stages. But she has like probably the biggest gift
Speaker 1: first week that you could ever wish to see. And
Speaker 1: you look at Q four and you think, Okay, ustr
Speaker 1: Penco ben Chitch had admyre conservation. Who hasn't played a
Speaker 1: glass warm up event at all? Ben Chit has been injured. Um,
Speaker 1: there's there's a few if spots and maybe he's around
Speaker 1: a lot of the guys in that quarter. And I think,
Speaker 1: if you're looking at this key four, this is the
Speaker 1: quarter where maybe it could open up for somebody and
Speaker 1: she might not actually have to play anyone half decent
Speaker 1: till the semifinal. That's that was my thinking. When I
Speaker 1: saw this, I'm like, okay, if you're just I don't
Speaker 1: know why I placed myself. Okay, this is the one
Speaker 1: like this. We have no excuse anymore in this draft
Speaker 1: right here, based on everything you just said. Um so, now,
Speaker 1: if you don't have Drew's thirty three to one on on,
Speaker 1: if you don't have my nine to one on to
Speaker 1: be I tech get it, those aren't available. What's the
Speaker 1: best bet either in the futures or in the quarter
Speaker 1: market right now as you see it, DAM will start
Speaker 1: with you quarter market. I haven't got prices for yet.
Speaker 1: They haven't they haven't been they're not available on exchange.
Speaker 1: Um yeah. Um for me, I like sakari Q four
Speaker 1: because I think it will open up for her um
Speaker 1: a really really big price. I'm quite happy to take
Speaker 1: tech on with someone like Elina right Backina or just
Speaker 1: just just just someone who's actually a competent player with upside,
Speaker 1: who could who could come through that key one where
Speaker 1: there's not a great deal of really high level players.
Speaker 1: Just there's a there's a couple of thoughts there. If
Speaker 1: you've got obviously, if you've got Jabbor at thirty threes,
Speaker 1: like like Drew has, you're very very happy with life
Speaker 1: right now, um and obviously spits up at nins. You
Speaker 1: might want to looking at it row. You might want
Speaker 1: to hedge a part of it in week two. I
Speaker 1: don't know, but the yeah, but I think that there's
Speaker 1: I mean, I wouldn't want to switch the current process
Speaker 1: that way. Drew the same question. Yeah, I think, Um,
Speaker 1: there's I've seen some of the kind of smaller shops
Speaker 1: in the UK hand quarter prices and if those end
Speaker 1: up going you know, anything like that hits the exchange,
Speaker 1: then I'm very much gonna have beyond Bianca Andrea asqu
Speaker 1: Q one and top half. I think she can make
Speaker 1: the final here good enough, high enough feeling like Dan's
Speaker 1: dan set up of who has the upside, you know,
Speaker 1: and that that for me, the answer is pretty squarely
Speaker 1: beyond andrescue. You know, I've felt that way about Bianca
Speaker 1: for so long now that I'm that, I'm kind of
Speaker 1: I'm kind of fatigued by it. To be honest with you,
Speaker 1: I think the market is too, which is giving you
Speaker 1: the opportunity to get her at a pretty cheap price. UM.
Speaker 1: Like the like the case against your bor is pretty straightforward.
Speaker 1: She's never done it at the slam level, like this
Speaker 1: would be a maiden slam. Doing a maiden slam at
Speaker 1: Wimbledon's not easy. Very few you know players have won
Speaker 1: their first slam at Wimbledon. UM, certainly in this in
Speaker 1: today's day and age especially, UM. So you know, will
Speaker 1: the moment, you know, will the will the lights be
Speaker 1: bright on Center court in week two? And will she
Speaker 1: uh you know, be able to find what is to me,
Speaker 1: at least has clearly been the best grass tennis on
Speaker 1: the women's tour over the last two seasons. Now, um,
Speaker 1: you know that that's the that's the bear case for Ans.
Speaker 1: And I think if you're looking for an upside against her,
Speaker 1: then you're looking for someone who at least has a
Speaker 1: slam in their pocket, who is playing their best tennis
Speaker 1: this spring and summer so far. And I think Bianca
Speaker 1: checks those boxes. So um at a at a, at
Speaker 1: a long shop price, I think it's worth the worth
Speaker 1: a look. All right, Drew by the way, broadcasting from
Speaker 1: his backyard, I can't tell you how awesome this is
Speaker 1: in a morning after NBA draft shot. He's going to
Speaker 1: buy a boat later today, Ladies and gentlemen, by a boat.
Speaker 1: I got a lot of taxes to big go okay,
Speaker 1: So let's go to the men's side and i'll get again.
Speaker 1: I'll give you my first impressions off the top, and
Speaker 1: we'll see what you guys think. One um, Novak Djokovic
Speaker 1: the rightful favorite for sure, as I think we all agree,
Speaker 1: of this tournament. He didn't have he didn't get the
Speaker 1: easiest draw at all here in this bracket in terms
Speaker 1: of like what you could throw at him. Anyway. It's
Speaker 1: I mean, listen, I'm not saying he's gonna lose at
Speaker 1: any point here, but I'm just saying Carlito's I get it.
Speaker 1: Not Carlitos is number one surface, but uh, Carlos Alcarez.
Speaker 1: Don't call me Carlos, call me Carlitos or Charlie Alcarez.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Charlie. Charlie Alcarez is in there.
Speaker 1: Both served Botso Pelka and uh and isn'er are in there,
Speaker 1: which is always fun. Van Reruehoven I feel the need
Speaker 1: I should bring him up. Uh Tim van Rerdehoven, who
Speaker 1: I believe played a nine a TP career matches and
Speaker 1: then won a grass court tournament in the Netherlands just
Speaker 1: a few weeks back. He's a wild card. The home favorite.
Speaker 1: Andy Murray is in that bracket as well, in that
Speaker 1: quarter as his Yonic center. Anyway, that's all in Djokovic's quarter.
Speaker 1: I feel like quarter two is completely wide open. I
Speaker 1: think Quarter three seems like a Barrett Teeny Curios head
Speaker 1: to head. If Curios decides once and for all in
Speaker 1: life to be serious about two weeks at Wimbledon. That's
Speaker 1: a huge if. And then here's my biggest macro thing here.
Speaker 1: And I'm curious because to me, I didn't have a
Speaker 1: bed in the outright market on the men's side. But
Speaker 1: Rafa Nadal is just sitting down there chilling in the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter. And I gotta tell you, guys, I'm making
Speaker 1: a bet on it because I feel like he got
Speaker 1: as favorable with draws you could possibly have gotten. And
Speaker 1: maybe that was predictable, right roph Nadal, who's halfway to
Speaker 1: a Grand Slam that hasn't happened since Rod Labor did
Speaker 1: in nineteen nine. It's clearly not his primary surface. We
Speaker 1: all know that Clay is, but I don't know. Man,
Speaker 1: that's about as good of a run to a semi
Speaker 1: as you can get, and you can still get him
Speaker 1: in about six to one, seven to one. I'm curious
Speaker 1: your thoughts, dan Um, I'm not so sure, to be
Speaker 1: honest with you. I mean, he played a walm up
Speaker 1: match hurting him yesterday, I think against Stanford. Rinka commented
Speaker 1: subsequently and said that the old Nadal was back, but
Speaker 1: I'm not so sure. We've got the injury doubts we've got.
Speaker 1: Then he hasn't won this tournament for over a decade. Um,
Speaker 1: these these issues don't go away. Now you're you're right,
Speaker 1: he's he's probably a Sam Quarry shock away from week two.
Speaker 1: I mean the old Sam Quarry would have given him
Speaker 1: a good game anyway. Um, but then you look at
Speaker 1: you look at week two and you think, okay, well
Speaker 1: there's some there's some hurdles. I think that I prefer
Speaker 1: Chilich rather than elisim As as the main threat in
Speaker 1: Q four. Tough opener for or j l sim against
Speaker 1: Maxine and Crazy and then m Dan Evans potentially around
Speaker 1: three as well, which is not going to be straightforward
Speaker 1: at all against a good glass quarter with a pretty
Speaker 1: partisan crowd, you would imagine. Um, but chill it should
Speaker 1: get through the earlier rounds um, And yeah, maybe Nadal
Speaker 1: in the fourth round would be a good game with soon.
Speaker 1: Chiliches has obviously done well recently in in in in
Speaker 1: Ronan Garros and as good a few wins under his
Speaker 1: belt in at Queen's Club as well. So yeah, I
Speaker 1: prefer Chilen at the prices to Nadal, who I just
Speaker 1: got so many doubts about it. I just he was
Speaker 1: never that great on cross at his peak, So it's
Speaker 1: only a fairly open kind drawer that you think he's
Speaker 1: he's some form of value. And Chileach along with Standard Rinka,
Speaker 1: the only two humans on Earth, I believe walking that
Speaker 1: are still playing that have a Grand Slam men single title,
Speaker 1: I guess, with the exception of Dominic team as well,
Speaker 1: besides the Big three. Right, so there always is that
Speaker 1: in chileags in child's bag. What else? What else were
Speaker 1: your impressions of those gars right there? Um? So with Djokovic,
Speaker 1: I obviously agree with what you said at the Union
Speaker 1: intro about him being a very justified favorite, but I'm
Speaker 1: not sure I like goods on I'm I'm very unsure
Speaker 1: if that. I mean, he's only won one title this year,
Speaker 1: so and I feel like the mark it's kind of
Speaker 1: pricing on the old joke of it if you like. Um.
Speaker 1: But the question is, yeah, he probably could barely have
Speaker 1: hand picked a better, better first quarter. He's got a
Speaker 1: clay quarter who's barely played on grass in Alcarez as
Speaker 1: the is the main seed in the quarter. Um Andy Murray,
Speaker 1: maybe he might provide a threat, But like you said,
Speaker 1: I think maybe a couple of surfboxs might cause him
Speaker 1: more trouble than anybody, um, you know in England. I
Speaker 1: don't know if you guys are aware, but in England
Speaker 1: we've had the hottest, driest last two or three months
Speaker 1: than we have had for years, So conditions I would
Speaker 1: imagine will be quite fast and that will obviously help
Speaker 1: the little guys like a Pelker Johnet's not. I mean,
Speaker 1: it's barely round here for we for weeks or months,
Speaker 1: honestly is It's very very unusual. And so that's that's
Speaker 1: that will probably die a lot. The pace a little
Speaker 1: bit drew your thoughts on all that interesting, interesting tidbit.
Speaker 1: They're on the pace. I thought Queens played exceptionally fast,
Speaker 1: so that kind of checks out. Umm. Q one. Djokovic
Speaker 1: is to lose, no doubt and I and you know
Speaker 1: them his section in particular, like his path to the quarterfinal.
Speaker 1: He's not dropping a set unless he feels like it.
Speaker 1: Like that's that is a very very straightforward quarterfinal appearance
Speaker 1: for Djokovic. He's a quarterfinal opponent is going to be
Speaker 1: someone of quality tennis quality, but not someone who can
Speaker 1: beat him head to head on grass. Um, all everything
Speaker 1: we said about IgA and lack of experience. She's got
Speaker 1: twelve grass matches as a pro, but she did win
Speaker 1: junior title, so it's not like she doesn't know how
Speaker 1: to win on grass. Al Karez has who grass matches
Speaker 1: in his career. He's deal he dealt with injuries after
Speaker 1: Roland Garris was over. Uh, and he does not have
Speaker 1: a junior record that suggests he has uh you know,
Speaker 1: a great some sort of grass form that will surprise us. Um.
Speaker 1: And he's I mean, frankly like his what makes his
Speaker 1: game so dangerous plays perfectly for Clive, plays perfectly for slow, hardcourt,
Speaker 1: but I don't know that it plays especially well for grass. Um.
Speaker 1: You know, his most effective drop shot. Uh, you know,
Speaker 1: it's not going to do well against a player like
Speaker 1: Andy Murray, who's so experienced on grass and you know,
Speaker 1: can can cover, you know, can come to the net
Speaker 1: um and you know, and and handle things perfectly well. Um.
Speaker 1: So I think, yeah, I think alcarez expecting him to
Speaker 1: you know, surprise shock the world and make a final
Speaker 1: or a quarterfinal, a semifinal. Here I think is is
Speaker 1: a or assumption. Um. And uh, you know, I don't
Speaker 1: hold out tond of hope for Wisner or a Pelca
Speaker 1: Pelca especially, it seems to be just wildly out of
Speaker 1: out of sorts last couple of last couple of tournaments.
Speaker 1: He just hadn't looked looked like what we saw from
Speaker 1: the guy in the winner. UM. So if he, if
Speaker 1: he shows up and plays well, it'll be a little
Speaker 1: bit of a shocker. Similarly for Wisner, um Andy Murray
Speaker 1: I think can fight his way to a quarterfinal where
Speaker 1: he probably gets summarily beaten down by Djokovic. That's kind
Speaker 1: of my vibe of the first quarter. UM quarter two
Speaker 1: weakest weakest. I actually, I actually will disagree with you
Speaker 1: about wide open. What do you like? I think should
Speaker 1: net them monster. He should be odds on to win
Speaker 1: this quarter And some of the shops are hanging like
Speaker 1: three point seven, like plus two seventy, which is bananas.
Speaker 1: If you can find a quarter price for her catch
Speaker 1: Q two that is north of plus two hundred, that
Speaker 1: is the best bet of the of the outrights in
Speaker 1: my opinion. And what he did in Halla was was
Speaker 1: extremely impressive. Uh, you know what he's got right now
Speaker 1: in terms of timing with Serve is awesome to watch.
Speaker 1: He's we know he has kind of you know, championship mentality,
Speaker 1: having taken already a Master's one thousand in his career.
Speaker 1: Um and uh, honestly, he beat Federer on center court
Speaker 1: at Wimbledon, which is something that I think gives you
Speaker 1: the confidence to, you know, maybe even give Djokovic a match.
Speaker 1: Who do you have a semi fin Who do you
Speaker 1: have as the biggest challenger that in that quarter? Who
Speaker 1: would you have? Honestly, I think they're the top half
Speaker 1: of that section. It could be anyone, and I like
Speaker 1: a guy like Francis Tiafa, who plays his best tennis
Speaker 1: in best of five could surprise. Yeah, there's somebody's going
Speaker 1: to surprise in the top half of that quarter and
Speaker 1: her catch is gonna just eat them for a lunch
Speaker 1: in the quarterfinal. That's my general. You think if or
Speaker 1: catch takes on like an Ugo oom Bear, he would
Speaker 1: eat him the lunch. Ugle and Bear could Ugo and
Speaker 1: Bear doesn't have the quality to do to what to
Speaker 1: go to a semifinal at a slam. Lovely guy like
Speaker 1: great player French brain though, uh, and I think realistically, uh,
Speaker 1: do you you don't know the old joke about the
Speaker 1: old tennis joke French brain. There's yeah, there's one French
Speaker 1: brain among all the men's tennis players and they just
Speaker 1: share it. You see who has it that day. That's
Speaker 1: that's it's not even a good joke. But the front
Speaker 1: the Frenchman's tennis don't scare me really. But the Yeah,
Speaker 1: Ugo could he could definitely make the quarterfinal here, but
Speaker 1: I think her cash would be minus against him probably,
Speaker 1: like that's that would be my guess, and what that
Speaker 1: market would look like, I mean realistically, yeah, I don't really.
Speaker 1: No one's dare jump in. I'm sorry. Yeah, they played
Speaker 1: at Heller, Yeah, and that was straight sets for for
Speaker 1: her catch Um, do you have a market chance? Yeah
Speaker 1: it was. He was about one point five that day.
Speaker 1: But I think that's that's changed a lot in the
Speaker 1: last sort of week since then, you know, having having
Speaker 1: done well in that tournament and also then unbear losing
Speaker 1: to Montero in Eastbourne and the fact that will be
Speaker 1: best to five. I think you probably will get that
Speaker 1: sort of one to five, one to six ish in
Speaker 1: a slam against against Dumbart, like like Juicy says, and
Speaker 1: don't forget with Humbert as well, that he's only one
Speaker 1: to his last ten matches, so so that he hasn't
Speaker 1: had a great year at all. The defending he was
Speaker 1: a defending champion. Heller wasn't he I believe going into
Speaker 1: this year were not mistaken. Oh, I was testing memory.
Speaker 1: They're the same. I couldn't. I couldn't have told you
Speaker 1: and bear every a title. He won a grass title
Speaker 1: last year. I just check, Yeah, you're actually right final
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, and Alexander spars on the player as well. Um,
Speaker 1: but no idea think that. Yeah. I agree with with
Speaker 1: Drew completely. That's that's the standout for me. It's it's
Speaker 1: openly in terms of the workout, who faces him and
Speaker 1: to win the to win the quarter. But it's for
Speaker 1: me cut and dried. As to him being an overwhelming
Speaker 1: favorite in Q two, would you say Nori was the
Speaker 1: biggest threat in his his bottom? Don't ask Drew about Nori, Dan,
Speaker 1: We don't do that. Nori. He's on upset nor. He's
Speaker 1: on upset alert every round, Dan, Drew, Tell tell Dan
Speaker 1: what you call him? Yes, scam scam nor Sam No, never,
Speaker 1: guy doesn't doesn't have a good win in his career.
Speaker 1: I'd like, seriously find go, go find his best ever win.
Speaker 1: I just I'm just saying, yeah, he'd he only Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's ready Basila Shapley for a title, right, that's true. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you got an Indian Wells, you got an Indian Wales title.
Speaker 1: That was the softest job and uh yeah. His biggest
Speaker 1: wins at Bautista did in Davis Cup on clay. When
Speaker 1: anything that's that's about. That's what I'm fine with that
Speaker 1: as as a character that answer, yes, yeah, fine with that.
Speaker 1: Losses when he's been a heavy dog, that's for sure. Yeah,
Speaker 1: a lot of those. Do you agree with the sentiment
Speaker 1: that I had before, which is with with apologies to Stefanos,
Speaker 1: tits about here, Um that peak curios peak, barretteny would
Speaker 1: be the match there. Q three is the quarter of death. Um,
Speaker 1: every every match in Q three, virtually every step of
Speaker 1: the way after round one is going to be must watch. Um.
Speaker 1: All of those look good. Everything looks good there. Barrett
Speaker 1: Teeny was a player who I had cautious optimism for
Speaker 1: when we started the grass cycle. He played his way
Speaker 1: into form at Stuttgard an impressive fashion is served by
Speaker 1: the end of that Stute Guard title. His serve was
Speaker 1: unreturnable and then he backed it up with a really
Speaker 1: impressive week in in London at Queens. UM. I thought
Speaker 1: I was like watching carefully every one of those Barrett
Speaker 1: Tenny matches and Queens, expecting that the layoff was eventually
Speaker 1: going to impact him in some way, that he was
Speaker 1: gonna slip up at some stage, like just get tired.
Speaker 1: Even never happened. He was incredible the whole week. Um,
Speaker 1: and when the going got tough against Kudla, he found
Speaker 1: another level in that match. Kudla, by the way, played
Speaker 1: his best tennis. I've seen him playing a long a
Speaker 1: long time in that match in particular. Um, he kind
Speaker 1: of treated in in Queens in general. UM, but I think, yeah,
Speaker 1: I think the very teeny with a favorable draw, I'm
Speaker 1: I'm futures for him at this tournament, but he didn't
Speaker 1: get one. His third quarter is going to be tough.
Speaker 1: He's gonna have tough matches at multiple steps of the
Speaker 1: way to get to a semifinal. Hair Um, Curios Sispas
Speaker 1: was the best grass tennis match we got this whole
Speaker 1: season so far. That match at Hall of was absolutely awesome. Um.
Speaker 1: For whatever it was worth, the tournament organizers gave Curios
Speaker 1: so much leash like they let him get away with wild,
Speaker 1: wild stuff on court, but in doing so we got
Speaker 1: a really great match, which is always fun. Um. The
Speaker 1: idea that Curios is somehow mentally got it figured out
Speaker 1: and is going to be able to win seven matches
Speaker 1: at this tournament is insane. That's a complete forest. Know
Speaker 1: the leash that he got Inhala on his way to
Speaker 1: almost winning a title. No chance he gets that here,
Speaker 1: No no chance, and so he'll have a meltdown at
Speaker 1: some stage, hopefully not, hopefully not before giving us a
Speaker 1: super entertaining match against um Uh against Sisipass again. I
Speaker 1: really want to see that head to head again will
Speaker 1: be just great tennis and entertaining as hell. And Sisipas
Speaker 1: honestly is sort of the perfect opponent for Curios in
Speaker 1: terms of bringing out his best and his most entertaining tennis.
Speaker 1: So very hopeful we see that um winner of that
Speaker 1: he tastes. I can't. I don't have the draw exactly
Speaker 1: from me. He goes up against Batista a goo next
Speaker 1: is that right would go up against it? Likely? I
Speaker 1: can't remember to sift through here. Yeah, so one whatever,
Speaker 1: A bunch of those guys in the in the Sisipas
Speaker 1: section are live, but I think Bear teeny ultimately comes
Speaker 1: through prices. Price isn't going to be good enough about it,
Speaker 1: I don't think. Yeah, Bautista Goot is is in like
Speaker 1: a chap of all Off little Pot, yeah, whereas Tits
Speaker 1: of Pots is in the Curios cressy pot if I'm
Speaker 1: not mistaken or no, maybe I have that wrong. No
Speaker 1: Curios Yeah yeah, Curios is in the titsupas uh pod.
Speaker 1: So they would meet Curios is round three, round four,
Speaker 1: and round and and quarterfinal. All three of those are
Speaker 1: extremely toss head to heads. Correct. I can't remember who
Speaker 1: would you play after sisuppossibly gets through Curios. He would
Speaker 1: play Do to Do to Do Shop all Off or
Speaker 1: Baltisto Goots Yeah, yeah, I think, but I think Bautista
Speaker 1: Goot's got to be the guy there. So yeah, I
Speaker 1: think realistically Curios probably takes out suppose maybe takes out
Speaker 1: a good but a Goo is sort of the patient
Speaker 1: iron man, kind of happy to go five, kind of
Speaker 1: a player that really frustrates Curios generally, So a Google
Speaker 1: probably gets in there, and if it's a good Barrettiny
Speaker 1: bettine a is a you know, is cleanly through to
Speaker 1: the semis in my opinion, But um, you know, I
Speaker 1: think I don't know. I guess have you been as
Speaker 1: impressed with bettany this run up as I am down? Yeah,
Speaker 1: for sure, absolutely, And I feel that if he plays
Speaker 1: Curios in the quarterfinals, then Curious will have the potential
Speaker 1: to be quite frustrated by how straw Serve Bettina is
Speaker 1: and the lack of opportunities he's going to get talking
Speaker 1: about wear him down mentally, and I'd make Bettina a
Speaker 1: solid favorite probably in that match as well. Yeah, so
Speaker 1: I think I guess where I'm going to draw. Aside,
Speaker 1: I had Bear teeny as the clear cut second choice
Speaker 1: for Wimbledon title after Djokovic, but with the draw being
Speaker 1: this tough, I don't think the price is worth betting
Speaker 1: in now right now? Yeah, so yeah, I'm with you,
Speaker 1: the with you that, And Drew, you don't like the
Speaker 1: flyer on the dog, do you? I mean, the way
Speaker 1: the tennis is gone to this point has been me
Speaker 1: doubting the doll and the flushing it back in my face.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna I'm gonna keep I gotta keep playing
Speaker 1: the bit right. Nadal doesn't have a chance here in
Speaker 1: my opinion. My Nadal Wimbledon, Nadal Nadal calendar Slam this
Speaker 1: year just bankrupt my entire tennis injuries. No, I can't um.
Speaker 1: When Nadal was peaking is my My highest ever rating
Speaker 1: for Nadal was I believe seen after he swept clay
Speaker 1: and was untouchable in front in French Open. Right going
Speaker 1: into that grass season. I was high enough on him
Speaker 1: overall as a player that I thought he should have
Speaker 1: been the favorite to win Wimbledon, even though it's not
Speaker 1: his best surface. And even when he was that good,
Speaker 1: he could not get it done here. So I think
Speaker 1: the days of Nadal contending for a title at Wimbledon
Speaker 1: are long gone. And he may make some you know,
Speaker 1: he'll he'll have some fun matches in this tournament. Surely
Speaker 1: he'll make it miserable for some players who are uh,
Speaker 1: you know, trying to make their names on grass in
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter surely, um, But I will be kind
Speaker 1: of leading the charge on Chili at a dog price
Speaker 1: head to head versus Nadal if that's your quarterfinal, and
Speaker 1: I think chill It should be the favorite for the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, even though his last match was not impressive.
Speaker 1: So then will you bet Chili at a at a
Speaker 1: quarter for the quarter, I didn't love the prices I saw, Um,
Speaker 1: I would need better than two to one, but you
Speaker 1: will bet or cuts to win the second quarter. The
Speaker 1: rest of that second quarter look to me looks too weak,
Speaker 1: and I think, yeah, so I think overall the men's
Speaker 1: draw is chalky. I think Djokovic over her Catch is
Speaker 1: a likely semifinal on the top. I think Arettini over
Speaker 1: Chile is the likely semifinal on the bottom. And then
Speaker 1: I think what looks to be potentially a boring two
Speaker 1: weeks of men's tennis will end with a really really
Speaker 1: good final between Djokovic and Bettini. Barrette almost got there
Speaker 1: last year, right. People will say that because people. People
Speaker 1: will say that because the score line, But that never
Speaker 1: really felt in doubt watching it life. I agree with you.
Speaker 1: Did you kind of felt like Djokovic was kind of
Speaker 1: playing with this food for the first set. Gave him
Speaker 1: one and then he and then he turned and he
Speaker 1: turned it up and it was it was sea later,
Speaker 1: buddy playing with his food like that? All right? Dan?
Speaker 1: Anything to add, yeah, A couple a couple of bits
Speaker 1: and pieces. Um, I just I just got the better
Speaker 1: for prices is up now on my someone has placed
Speaker 1: or assume it's one person at least has has has
Speaker 1: placed a twenty six thousand pounds order to back Sits
Speaker 1: a pass at thirty six is which would be the
Speaker 1: is the is the next price on the first price
Speaker 1: on the pink side. Um, So someone is obviously very
Speaker 1: keen about that and over eleven hundred pounds waiting on
Speaker 1: her cuts eighteens as well to back him too, and
Speaker 1: just had a three thousand pounds at Bretton at seven
Speaker 1: point eight. So a bit of market sentiment there, perhaps
Speaker 1: m one one looking at the kind of head to
Speaker 1: head games a little bit and one of the often
Speaker 1: often times in these early rounds are slams. You kind
Speaker 1: of you find a find a match between kind of
Speaker 1: two guys ranked outside the top fifty who but maybe
Speaker 1: the values in those matches rather than rather than any
Speaker 1: of the big names. And I don't know if you've
Speaker 1: followed the Ilky Challenge of this last week drew with
Speaker 1: zesie Bergs winning the event and getting a wild card
Speaker 1: by by winning that event. So he whoever wins the
Speaker 1: Eukley Challenger gets the wild card into Twin Wooden and
Speaker 1: he'd beat suck popper in and Seppi from quarterfinals onward.
Speaker 1: After after qualifying and uh he plays Jack Draper from
Speaker 1: Great Britain, who very well in in challenge events. In fact,
Speaker 1: he actually beat Bergs in Saint Brick. I think it
Speaker 1: was indoors in the final in March. Drope has done
Speaker 1: very well indoors. But if you look at and the people,
Speaker 1: I think the reason why I've highlighted this game a
Speaker 1: little bit, it's because being British and being knowing how
Speaker 1: the British react to this type of thing. He got
Speaker 1: to the semifinals of Eastbourne and he will be getting
Speaker 1: a lot of coverage in the run up to the tournament. Now,
Speaker 1: if you look at the the players he beat in
Speaker 1: in Eastbourne, he'd been a very out of touch Jensen Brooksby,
Speaker 1: he beat Garish Swartsman who's no grass quarter and he
Speaker 1: beat Ryan Peniston who is a very mediocre English player
Speaker 1: and was a heavy favorite to do so. So he's
Speaker 1: hardly beaten who's who have of glass court tennis to
Speaker 1: get to the semifinal where he lost to Cressey in
Speaker 1: the semifinal. The other tournaments he lost to Rousselvori round
Speaker 1: two of Queen's and lost in round two of the
Speaker 1: Service and Challenger to Peniston after beating a guy from
Speaker 1: Britain who has ranked outside the top three hundred in
Speaker 1: the first round. So I guess what I'm trying to
Speaker 1: say is I think the markets and the media attention
Speaker 1: will be on Draper for this. And he's playing against
Speaker 1: the guys bann Inform coming in having one a Glass
Speaker 1: Court Challenger title and at the moment I'm looking at
Speaker 1: the early prices and it's about one point three on Draper. Wow.
Speaker 1: So yeah, one wants to watch the thing with the
Speaker 1: market anyway that any Have you looked at first round
Speaker 1: matches at all, Drew, I have not yet. Only one
Speaker 1: I thought about betting was there's an interesting up and
Speaker 1: coming player that the that's been fun to kind of follow.
Speaker 1: Taiwanese guy Jason Sang. He is a he was a
Speaker 1: junior champ on both play and grass, which is one
Speaker 1: of those like somebody like this that's like the blend
Speaker 1: of bench it like path right, Like a player who
Speaker 1: wins both of the clay and grass juniors always catches
Speaker 1: my eye, like WHOA like this guy? You know there's
Speaker 1: something there and he's mostly stuck at the challenger level.
Speaker 1: Um again Jason Sang, and he got matched up against
Speaker 1: I think a very beautiful UM British qualifier. He was
Speaker 1: about minus on the open end. My my numbers said
Speaker 1: it should have been closer to minus two hundred, so uh,
Speaker 1: Sang definitely got my attention around one. UM and then uh,
Speaker 1: you know outside of that, I haven't gone through the
Speaker 1: prices very carefully that that's a great Shot'll just have
Speaker 1: a lift at this now, that's right, He's he's probably
Speaker 1: badly even challenge a level. Let Yeah, he's sayings weird
Speaker 1: because he elected instead of taking his game to grasp
Speaker 1: for the round to Wimbledon, he stayed on the Jake
Speaker 1: Clay challenger circuit. Um. He had mixed success on that.
Speaker 1: I don't know why he hasn't pushed harder onto Grass personally,
Speaker 1: but I think he does have a level that's a
Speaker 1: lot higher than Alistair. Greg. Yeah, I'm with you, sure
Speaker 1: this great shot? Well all right, I love it. I
Speaker 1: think we've all learned that Rofanadal is going to make
Speaker 1: a deep run. And Torment drew congratulations on Yeah Slam
Speaker 1: number three thirty six, thirty million year old Roan the doll.
Speaker 1: I'll catch you in like in thirteen days and be like,
Speaker 1: well there he is Drew again. Um yeah, I love that.
Speaker 1: Your Cotsah conviction for sure. Yeah, um find that. Find
Speaker 1: that second quarter price. That will be your best bet.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be awesome. Women's and men's. Can't wait Wimbledon starts.
Speaker 1: What are you talking about Monday? On Monday England time, Yes,
Speaker 1: which will be I guess, yeah, the Three Vegas. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, really early in the morning our
Speaker 1: time here in the Pacific time zone. I got an
Speaker 1: important question for Dan. Yes, what is Dan's opinion on
Speaker 1: the end of middle Sunday off manic Monday? Oh? Good,
Speaker 1: good question. Actually quite like the Sunday off. I don't know, yeah,
Speaker 1: because I don't have any you know, Sunday feelings in
Speaker 1: terms of being a special day or anything like that.
Speaker 1: I just like the day off to regroup. So it's
Speaker 1: so different to the Grand Slams. And you know, you
Speaker 1: have the French Open, which I really hate. The first
Speaker 1: Sunday start um with with would I like here? I
Speaker 1: like here? The old structure? Why did they make that change?
Speaker 1: Why did they get rid of manic Monday? They're trying.
Speaker 1: They're trying to ruin ruin the lives of us handicappers,
Speaker 1: and you know, we need a day off to spend
Speaker 1: with our families, and Sunday is a great day for that.
Speaker 1: Like Dan said, you need to regroup right in the
Speaker 1: middle of the tournament. And boyle boy, like, what a
Speaker 1: what a treat to get mac Monday where every single
Speaker 1: fourth round match is happening on the same day like
Speaker 1: that is usually it's usually the best day of tennis
Speaker 1: in the entire calendar year. I would agree, we don't
Speaker 1: get it this year. So yeah, kind of a bummer. Dan.
Speaker 1: What does Betfair say about Paulo bon Caro being the
Speaker 1: number one pick in the NBA draft? Do you have
Speaker 1: any other information on that? Oh man? All right, well, guys, listen,
Speaker 1: I appreciate that. Again, there's no one on planet Earth.
Speaker 1: I would rather do this within YouTube. Dan weston uh
Speaker 1: at Tennis Ratings on Twitter doing his thing for Betfair
Speaker 1: still and then Drew Dinsick at Wale Underscore Capper, where
Speaker 1: again you can find him on two podcasts, Deep Dive
Speaker 1: with Andy Molitor and of course NBC Sports at the Edge,
Speaker 1: which he does with Sarah proman gentlemen. I'm sure we'll
Speaker 1: be in touch during the fortnight of Wimbledon, and I
Speaker 1: appreciate it very much. Good luck to all, good luck
Speaker 1: with everything. Thank you guys, Bill, Alexander, thank you so
Speaker 1: much for listening. Next podcast, I'm guessing is a Major
Speaker 1: League Baseball Q two derivatives pod. Will talk to you
Speaker 1: then