Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.
Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and
Speaker 2: whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 2: here's your host, Paul Chargion.
Speaker 1: So much stupid stuff, Scott Fish, lots of stupid stuff. Yeah,
Speaker 1: we probably we prode ourselves on stupid stuff here at
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. We only get to break down games, Scott. Yeah,
Speaker 1: this show and one more show, one more show, three
Speaker 1: games left, three games left, that's all.
Speaker 3: Yeah, what a bummer. And then we're going to talk
Speaker 3: about ardvarks and cox and badgers and stuff. Just the
Speaker 3: animal talk.
Speaker 1: Yeah, a lot of it. There'll be a lot of uh,
Speaker 1: there'll be a lot of this. A little little peacock
Speaker 1: in there. Yeah, So yeah, we'll work some stuff in.
Speaker 1: I think next week's show, Matt Harrison will joined to
Speaker 1: talk about ways to play fantasy and play around the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. And then the show after that will be
Speaker 1: the big Super Bowl preview show. Yes, not after that,
Speaker 1: we start looking at twenty twenty four already.
Speaker 3: Yes, I know, imagining Caleb Williams or Drake May and purple.
Speaker 3: I get it like that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you think the Ravens are going to change quarterbacks.
Speaker 3: It's you know, it's anything's possible now, not that No,
Speaker 3: not that really right, you're right, But we've got two
Speaker 3: full games to break down today, yes, and tons of
Speaker 3: tons of angles, and like we've done the last several weeks,
Speaker 3: we're not doing like letter grades on every guy.
Speaker 1: But I just I just want to hear about angles.
Speaker 1: You're interested in angles that fantasy players could exploit. Sometimes
Speaker 1: there might be betting angles for those of you that
Speaker 1: do that in a legal area. Great, but yeah, I
Speaker 1: just want to get your thoughts on the games and
Speaker 1: let's just let's talk through the sort of the fun
Speaker 1: angles that you've got. The first game is Kansas City Baltimore.
Speaker 3: Yes, sounds like a rainy, sloppy mess.
Speaker 1: It might be. It might be rainy, it might be ray.
Speaker 3: The most recent reports like it went from might be
Speaker 3: raining to it sounds like it's going to rain the
Speaker 3: entire game. Wow, so good, good thing for party. He's
Speaker 3: not at that one based on last.
Speaker 1: Week, right, Yes, and that's you know. This came up
Speaker 1: on My camfe In Show with the host Paul Allen
Speaker 1: Rock perty's had two of his last three games have
Speaker 1: been pretty bad. If he stinks in this one.
Speaker 3: The Ravens one, Yeah, the Christmas Ravens one, that must
Speaker 3: be the one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Christmas Ravens, and then last week's game was not good.
Speaker 1: If he lays an egg here, then what do the
Speaker 1: Niners do? Are they in the kirk Cousin sweet Steaks
Speaker 1: at that point?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 1: May you know what?
Speaker 3: You know?
Speaker 1: Where could what might they do at that point?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 1: Would be fascinating?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Wow, their off season would take a would become so
Speaker 1: much more complicated than what we expected.
Speaker 3: I feel like that team has faith in party, believe
Speaker 3: the party. I mean, he had a good playoff run
Speaker 3: until he you know, his arm fell off last year,
Speaker 3: and you know he's back in the NFC Championship game.
Speaker 3: I have trouble believing they make that move. But it's
Speaker 3: that's possible, Lamaro. But this one, this one, I can.
Speaker 3: This one is a little especially because pretty so cheap,
Speaker 3: you know, like.
Speaker 1: Right, and that's helped them in other areas, so they've
Speaker 1: been able to, you know, put big money towards you know,
Speaker 1: like Bosa and Christian McCaffrey. You know, they've got you
Speaker 1: know they've spent lavishly on there are heroes and Zero's
Speaker 1: roster with big, big money on like four or five players,
Speaker 1: and then everybody else is just cheap guys. And it's
Speaker 1: worked for San Francisco to this point. All right, let's
Speaker 1: let's talk Kansas City Baltimore. You mentioned rain could be
Speaker 1: a factor, and I like the running backs in this game. Yes,
Speaker 1: and this is before weather.
Speaker 3: Mister runs like he bites people. Did you hear about that?
Speaker 3: This week as the Poteco finally responded to all the
Speaker 3: things people talk about his running.
Speaker 1: No, I didn't hear that.
Speaker 3: Yeah, someone's like sub reporters, like people say, you run
Speaker 3: like you're trying to bite people. He's I et no,
Speaker 3: zombie man.
Speaker 1: That's really good. Come on, I know.
Speaker 3: Good.
Speaker 1: Well let's start with Pajaco. Sure, who runs like he
Speaker 1: bites people? Hey, I love that he just runs mad.
Speaker 3: Yes, it's I always worry about the career longevity of
Speaker 3: those types of runners. We've seen it a few times.
Speaker 3: But yes, he runs mad.
Speaker 1: Now I see lots of running coming. Here's why Ravens
Speaker 1: have lost four games this year? How did they get
Speaker 1: beat on the ground? Listen to this the four losses
Speaker 1: the opponents averaged thirty rushes, three zero rushes, one hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty three rushing yards. That's how you beat the Ravens.
Speaker 1: It's such a good second hear.
Speaker 3: Keep their keep their offense off the field and keep
Speaker 3: them off the field from making special plays.
Speaker 1: That's part of it. But also they're really good run
Speaker 1: a pass defense in and not they're not a great
Speaker 1: run defense.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so Hamilton, we're gonna talk about him in a minute.
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm fascinated by Kyle h.
Speaker 3: It's yeah, that's an interesting matchup there too.
Speaker 1: So if you're Andy Reid and the Chiefs and you're
Speaker 1: looking at how teams beat the Ravens, it's on the ground. Pacheckos.
Speaker 1: For those of you that are of a betting ill,
Speaker 1: can you like your prop bets? Pa Checko's over under
Speaker 1: on attempts is only fourteen and a half. As I mentioned,
Speaker 1: these losses, teams have averaged thirty rushing attempts. Add in
Speaker 1: some weather that could be a game that could be
Speaker 1: a rushing helper as well. Sixty three and a half
Speaker 1: rushing yards is prop number over the Now. Last week
Speaker 1: they shut down Singletary on this show, I said, I
Speaker 1: liked Singletary because of the reasons I'm mentioning, now, this
Speaker 1: is how you go beat them, you know, get your
Speaker 1: running game going. But the Texans got They were basically
Speaker 1: blown up by the third quarter. Singletary, I only got
Speaker 1: nine carries the five games prior to last week against
Speaker 1: the Ravens. They ranked this is his last five weeks
Speaker 1: of this season, not counting Week E teams, so they
Speaker 1: didn't play the starters. They ranked twenty ninth in rushing
Speaker 1: yards allowed, thirtieth in yards per carry, and they gave
Speaker 1: up five point two yards per rush.
Speaker 3: That's a lot.
Speaker 1: Isn't this a mandate to run?
Speaker 3: Pachecko does feel like it. It does feel like it. Yeah,
Speaker 3: and then they're a much more Yes, yes, it does
Speaker 3: feel like. I was trying to train my get my
Speaker 3: train of thought there, but I couldn't. But yes, it
Speaker 3: does feel like a really good spot for Pacheco.
Speaker 1: Ravens are good pass defense, the path of least resistance
Speaker 1: on the ground. Opposing runners average twenty four carries per
Speaker 1: game against Baltimore, and Pachecko again sitting at fourteen and
Speaker 1: a half, I think he won't need nearly twenty four
Speaker 1: to have an effective game here, So I like Pacheco
Speaker 1: to continue his hot streak. Yes, dude's good.
Speaker 3: Yep, assuming he assuming he's I assume he's gonna go.
Speaker 3: Like I know, he's had limited practices this week, but
Speaker 3: it he went last week, so I feel like it's
Speaker 3: gonna go goo.
Speaker 1: Let's talk Kyle Hamilton since you brought his term. So
Speaker 1: he's the best coverage safety in football. Yeah, you're two
Speaker 1: of his career. He's the best coverage safety in football.
Speaker 1: Let me give you some numbers. The average receiving game
Speaker 1: allowed in his coverage this year. You want to guess yards,
Speaker 1: give me the yards.
Speaker 3: Yes, I'm gonna go with just the yards. Okay, I'm
Speaker 3: gonna with twenty four yards.
Speaker 1: Fifteen yards went exactly exactly. He's allowed one touchdown in
Speaker 1: his eighteen games, so his per game average is zero
Speaker 1: point zero six touchdowns per game allowed Kyle Hamilton. But
Speaker 1: now here's the question for you. Hamilton's usage Scott has
Speaker 1: been like this this year. He plays in the slot,
Speaker 1: but sometimes if the opposing team has got a good
Speaker 1: slot receiver, he'll cover the receiver. If they don't, he'll
Speaker 1: cover the tight end. So what did he do here?
Speaker 1: When you have Travis Kelcey and Rashi Rice the two
Speaker 1: guys you need to take away from the Chiefs passing attack.
Speaker 1: If you take those two guys away, Chiefs passing attack
Speaker 1: is dead. So what would what do they do with
Speaker 1: Kyle Hamilton? Do you take away Rashi Rice, who runs
Speaker 1: over roughly half of his snaps from the slot, or
Speaker 1: do you take away Travis Kelcey?
Speaker 3: Yeah, this this this feels This feels like your classic
Speaker 3: old school Bill Belichick cover the two and uh put
Speaker 3: two people on the one. The question is which is which?
Speaker 3: But I feel like I feel like they'll probably they
Speaker 3: would probably just keep Kyle in the position he does
Speaker 3: more often this season and just keep him in the
Speaker 3: slot with Rice and probably just double keV Kelsey.
Speaker 1: Or Kelsey's also standing in the slot.
Speaker 3: Or Amanda bump on Kelsey and have someone over the
Speaker 3: top on him. But you could almost double both of them,
Speaker 3: both of them with the rest of that receiver.
Speaker 1: You really could, and just wait for MVS, who granted
Speaker 1: did not drop his passes last week, but just wait
Speaker 1: for him to drop his passes. Right, it's gonna be raining.
Speaker 1: I mean, this is not MVS territory right here, right,
Speaker 1: I don't think a slow track, a slow, muddy track.
Speaker 1: I don't think this is a good spot for MBS
Speaker 1: my opinion, and so I'll be fascinated. Either Rashi Rice
Speaker 1: or Travis Kelsey could be sitting on a really bad game,
Speaker 1: potentially Hamilton. Yeah, yep. So that's uh, that'll be one
Speaker 1: worth watching. I've got a couple others in this game
Speaker 1: for you, Lamar Jackson. Get this. Opposing quarterbacks against Kansas City.
Speaker 1: Seven straight opposing quarterbacks zero or one passing touchdownst.
Speaker 3: Kansas.
Speaker 1: That's how good that pass defense have been. Ten of
Speaker 1: the past eleven zeros in there too, which, yeah, yep,
Speaker 1: ten of the past eleven zero or one passing touchdown.
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson comes in. I think he's gonna run much
Speaker 1: more than pass. I think the passing totals are going
Speaker 1: to be low, particularly in this weather, and just given
Speaker 1: how good the.
Speaker 3: Chiefs are, I can see that.
Speaker 1: And that brings me to my favorite player of the week.
Speaker 3: Oh boy.
Speaker 1: Were I allowed to legally bet in Minnesota, I would
Speaker 1: be betting Justice Hills props. So Gus Edwards can't catch, right, Okay.
Speaker 1: Keithon Mitchell was the past catcher there, but he's dead.
Speaker 1: So they've been. They're using Justice Hill more as the
Speaker 1: pass catching back out of the backfield. He's running the
Speaker 1: triple the routes of Gus Edwards. Over the last month,
Speaker 1: Hill's averaging thirty three receiving yards per game. Justice Hill's
Speaker 1: prop numbers eleven and a half yards eleven and a half.
Speaker 1: He's averaging thirty three over the last month. Yep, So
Speaker 1: I see them doing, see them throwing well to throwing
Speaker 1: fairly off in anyway to Justice Hill. An opposing runner
Speaker 1: has topped that line in ten of the past eleven
Speaker 1: games against the Chiefs. Justice will be served.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's I like it. Justice like that. Yeah, he's
Speaker 3: gonna hit. He's gonna hit both of those. In fact,
Speaker 3: I'm willing to bet those, and I'm willing to bet
Speaker 3: both those probably go up in the next two days.
Speaker 3: And here here's here's one reason why. First off, Charge
Speaker 3: always does his own research. Like you always do your
Speaker 3: own research, right, Your rankings always have like stupid consensus
Speaker 3: and stuff like that. So this is I'm dumber than consensus.
Speaker 3: I'm prefacing this with Charge. This is a charge call.
Speaker 3: I have seen that Justice Hill reception props so many
Speaker 3: times this week. Really it's a very very talked about
Speaker 3: like okay, all right, so that might move. So you
Speaker 3: found your way on too, like you're like, yes, this.
Speaker 1: Is that's a hot button for other people.
Speaker 3: So I'm I get in on it now. If you're
Speaker 3: listening to this.
Speaker 1: His Justice Hill's rushing yards and by the way, dal
Speaker 1: McCook factored in and through the passing game. But it
Speaker 1: was the blowout time at the very end of the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter last so I don't see blowout coming. Although
Speaker 1: I prefer Baltimore in this game. Justice hills rushing numbers
Speaker 1: thirty three and a half and I think he gets
Speaker 1: over that as well. Just the eye test, he's so
Speaker 1: much more dynamic than gus Y really just straight ahead
Speaker 1: four yards per carry. Over the last five weeks, Justice
Speaker 1: Hill averaging five and a half yards per carry.
Speaker 3: Scott, Yeah, I'm always about three and a half four
Speaker 3: years earlier in these kinds of things, Nico Collins. Yes,
Speaker 3: So whatever I say now in twenty twenty seven, just
Speaker 3: take it, take it to the bank. Yeah, No, I've been,
Speaker 3: I've been. I liked Justice Hill a long time ago.
Speaker 3: He's underwhelmed, he's never quite made it. He's been hurt
Speaker 3: a lot, but he does have times when he's very
Speaker 3: efficient with the ball.
Speaker 1: I would agree with all of that. Chiefs run defense
Speaker 1: has been better lately, but it's still the easiest way
Speaker 1: to beat the Chiefs is on the ground, not through
Speaker 1: the air. We already talked about good that pass that
Speaker 1: pass defense was anything else you want to talk about
Speaker 1: with this game? Who do you think wins? I got
Speaker 1: Baltimore winning, assuming the fixes an in right, who knows.
Speaker 1: I'm sure you saw what Warren Sharp tweeted about how
Speaker 1: the referee, the referee they put show what's his name,
Speaker 1: Sean Smith yep, the referee who's got overwhelmingly the strongest
Speaker 1: trends towards road upsets, yes, than any other referee crew.
Speaker 1: So his crew's on it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's It's possible he just loves causing drama
Speaker 3: for home fans and it's and they like there, it's
Speaker 3: possibly not fixing the game on purpose. He just hates
Speaker 3: the home fans like, he loves the animosity of it,
Speaker 3: and the NFL put him there being like all right,
Speaker 3: let's make this happen.
Speaker 1: No, I'm not a.
Speaker 3: Big conspiracy theorist guy, but like, yeah, it is interesting.
Speaker 1: Isn't it interesting?
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think Baltimore should win.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 3: I think they're just the better overall team. But it's
Speaker 3: it's really tough to rule out and Andy reid led
Speaker 3: Mahomes offense, like, isn't it It feels it feels like
Speaker 3: the old far for Rogers days, where I know they
Speaker 3: only go ahead of super boyage, but no matter who
Speaker 3: they played, you felt there's a puncher's chance. Yeah, you know, yeah,
Speaker 3: I feel like that's what it is. I feel like
Speaker 3: I feel like the Ravens should win, but I'm not
Speaker 3: gonna rule out casey.
Speaker 1: I know, I know it's just the raven you know,
Speaker 1: the Ravens in addition to just winning way more games
Speaker 1: than the Chiefs. The Chiefs were the games they were winning,
Speaker 1: they're barely getting by mediocre opponents, are even losing to mediocre.
Speaker 3: That's my thing about the Chiefs. I wonder if their
Speaker 3: offense figured out like they're offense sputtered all y'all. Yeah,
Speaker 3: started to come along at the end basically when they realized, oh,
Speaker 3: Rashi Rice should be our number one wider. That helped, Yes,
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, I agree. I just feel like they
Speaker 3: didn't put away bad teams.
Speaker 1: They didn't, and here's the Ravens just smoking teams right.
Speaker 3: Smoke San Francisco, as we've just mentioned.
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, so I just I can't. I can't, I
Speaker 1: can't look past that. I just I just think the Ravens.
Speaker 1: If these two teams play the way they've played for
Speaker 1: the past two months, the Ravens are way better.
Speaker 3: Right Yep, yep, absolutely.
Speaker 1: Let's talk Detroit San Francisco.
Speaker 3: Yep, yep. We we get. We get a dry, warm,
Speaker 3: mid sixties or high sixties, mid seventies mix of sunny
Speaker 3: and cloudy day in San Francisco. I say this because
Speaker 3: we all know Jared Goff is a housecat. I like
Speaker 3: calling him a house cat. I We're gonna keep doing
Speaker 3: it until he catches odd. He's a house cat. He's
Speaker 3: way better.
Speaker 1: And his outdoor games he averages two hundred and ten
Speaker 1: yards and one passing touchdown.
Speaker 3: Yep.
Speaker 1: That's not gonna beat the forty nine.
Speaker 3: Ers, No, no, And this is you can say that,
Speaker 3: you know, some of those might have had more inclement
Speaker 3: weather than others, but also this is a really good
Speaker 3: forty nine Ers defense, so that kind of offsets that.
Speaker 3: In his last four against this forty nine ers defense
Speaker 3: where with the Rams. Yeah, and so the Ram not
Speaker 3: against the defense. But in San Francisco he had multiple
Speaker 3: scores in all of them, two of them really high
Speaker 3: yardage games, two of them not so much. But yeah,
Speaker 3: he's it's hard to bet on Jared Goff outdoors in
Speaker 3: general against a really good defense. It makes it a
Speaker 3: little bit harder it does.
Speaker 1: Now. The weather here San Francisco.
Speaker 3: Beautiful and almost no win too, which so it's just
Speaker 3: it's basically like almost an indoor game. Maybe the sun
Speaker 3: sun gets in his eyes. Maybe that's his problem. I
Speaker 3: don't know. Uh No, I actually I like both these
Speaker 3: teams to have a pretty close games here game here.
Speaker 3: But on the Lions side, let's just stay on the
Speaker 3: Lions side for a second. Did you know the only
Speaker 3: player on Detroit Lion, on the Detroit Lions who was
Speaker 3: alive the last time Detroit went to the NFC championship game?
Speaker 3: You don't have anyways, So there was there's one.
Speaker 1: There's one player, yes, who was alive from the nineteen fifties.
Speaker 3: Ninety one, wasn't it anyone?
Speaker 1: What was it that the Lions won the championship? I
Speaker 1: thought you said or no, went to the playoffs.
Speaker 3: Yeah, went to the NFC championship.
Speaker 1: Yeah, whatever, I don't I don't know.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's the it's the long snapper, Jake McQuaid. It's
Speaker 3: the only one all than that.
Speaker 1: Well, it's not Super Bowl era. It's got to be
Speaker 1: pre Super Bowl, right. They haven't been to an NFC
Speaker 1: championship game in.
Speaker 3: The Super Bowl era. Maybe it's a divisional round. Yeah,
Speaker 3: maybe I read that wrong either way. Yeah, Now I
Speaker 3: want to look it.
Speaker 1: Up because if it were in the nineties that most
Speaker 1: of the team would be alive, guys would still be
Speaker 1: be alive.
Speaker 3: Ninety one against Washington, they lost to Washington.
Speaker 1: In the that was the they. I didn't remember that
Speaker 1: the Lions had gone that far. You're telling me the
Speaker 1: only player alive.
Speaker 3: In nineteen ninety one was Jake McQuaid. But I mean,
Speaker 3: what would that realistically make him thirty two?
Speaker 1: Oh, I got to I thought, you meant it's still
Speaker 1: alive today. You met who was born on the.
Speaker 3: Team, on the team, it's still playing on the team
Speaker 3: that was alive for that ninety one Cha gotcha? Yeah,
Speaker 3: I know that the nineties for guys like us, feels
Speaker 3: like ten years ago. It was actually quite a while ago.
Speaker 3: One thing I think that's an interesting of note angle
Speaker 3: for this is golf is not dealt with pressure. Well.
Speaker 3: This year he's He's top five in the league in
Speaker 3: UH yards per attempt and e PA when not pressured.
Speaker 3: He's bottom five when pressured. And for a good stretch
Speaker 3: of the second half of the season, when you know
Speaker 3: they lost a bunch of their games, he was the
Speaker 3: worst quarterback in the NFL against pressure. And I know
Speaker 3: that the forty nine ers got zero sacks with you know,
Speaker 3: Hargrave and Warner and Bosa last week, but I think
Speaker 3: that they could bring some pressure, especially depending on Frank
Speaker 3: greg New who has ankle UH ankle injury, toe injury,
Speaker 3: knee injury, and back injury. So basically basically he's just me.
Speaker 3: He's just me out there shocking. He went back in
Speaker 3: to play that like he's a warrior.
Speaker 1: They showed when they showed his his ankle getting all,
Speaker 1: you know, crunched up and twisted the wrong way in game.
Speaker 1: I'm like, well, that's the end of his season series
Speaker 1: right now, out.
Speaker 3: There, get me out there. Yeah. So RAG news going
Speaker 3: to be an interest. I think we have to assume
Speaker 3: he's gonna play like.
Speaker 1: Yeah he is.
Speaker 3: He'll rest or whatever it takes to make sure he
Speaker 3: can suit up like this is this is this, Like
Speaker 3: every game in this playoffs feels like a super Bowl
Speaker 3: for the Lions, you.
Speaker 1: Know what I mean?
Speaker 3: So I think he goes. Another note, interesting note is
Speaker 3: the Lions have the lowest deep ball rate in the league.
Speaker 3: I don't know, they don't throw it low. And when
Speaker 3: you think about their offense with their Josh Reynolds, well,
Speaker 3: Josh Reynolds can rundy, but you know Saint Brown gives
Speaker 3: out of the backfield Montgomery, La think about it. Yes
Speaker 3: they don't.
Speaker 1: But they they take that deep shot every couple of times,
Speaker 1: you know, a couple of times a game.
Speaker 3: They are one of the best and most efficient when
Speaker 3: they do. They will over a fifty percent completion rate
Speaker 3: when they go over. All right, So maybe it's a
Speaker 3: little rope see how old I am dropping rope of
Speaker 3: it here, But yeah, top an explosive success rate and
Speaker 3: deep completion rate when they do go deep. So I
Speaker 3: found I found those those pretty interesting. When they get inside.
Speaker 3: If you're looking for any time scorer type props and
Speaker 3: stuff like that, they run over seventy percent of the
Speaker 3: time once they're inside the five. Wow, and they score
Speaker 3: a touchdown on thirty one percent of their drives, which
Speaker 3: that's great. Yes, it's a fantastic ridiculous. Now nearly a
Speaker 3: third of the times.
Speaker 1: They don't have to settle for many field goals because
Speaker 1: they're so efficient at scoring when they get in close,
Speaker 1: which is you know, credit to credit the Lions. David Montgomery.
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, Yeah. Over over on the other side, forty
Speaker 3: nine er side. I think a lot of the talk
Speaker 3: this week is going to be Party without debo. If
Speaker 3: he goes or not. You know, he was what he's
Speaker 3: been doing in practice as the point as of the
Speaker 3: point of the you know, the last time I checked
Speaker 3: before we're doing this was that he was working out
Speaker 3: on the side. He was not doing practices. He was
Speaker 3: just working out on the side. There's not a lot
Speaker 3: of optimism for him to go. But if he does go,
Speaker 3: it changes things. But if he doesn't go, like we're
Speaker 3: looking at guys like you garner a quarter of the
Speaker 3: target share from Party. Once he does go, I believe
Speaker 3: his props are somewhere in the five for eighty range
Speaker 3: right now. Yeah, So if Deebo doesn't go, I would
Speaker 3: be I'd be happy with both of those numbers. I
Speaker 3: feel like that both of those are in a shootout scenario.
Speaker 3: I think five for eighty is easily obtainable for him.
Speaker 3: Kittle twenty two percent, target shair CMC, Christian McCaffrey eighteen percent,
Speaker 3: Juwan Jenning's twelve percent. You correctly not hit that. During
Speaker 3: the season on Fantasy Football Weekly, on a week where
Speaker 3: where Deebo was going to be out, You're like, I
Speaker 3: think he was either you take a chance on me
Speaker 3: player or you had a starting great on him.
Speaker 1: You're like, this is why, Yeah it was I that
Speaker 1: was Viking this week. Actually, yeah, Jennings, by the way,
Speaker 1: one of the best blocking receivers in the league.
Speaker 3: My gosh, yeah he's good.
Speaker 1: Did you see him block some guy into the gatorade
Speaker 1: cart last week?
Speaker 3: I missed that.
Speaker 1: I Oh, it was glorious. It was glorious. Kittle's really
Speaker 1: fascinating in the games without Deebo. Samuel Basically he explodes,
Speaker 1: you know, when you know all that middle of the
Speaker 1: field stuff where Deebo tends to get the ball out
Speaker 1: just they siphon it all to Kittle. In six uh oh,
Speaker 1: I saw the stat from us somebody on my Twitter feed.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I don't remember who. Six career games without
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel, when George Kittle did play, he averages ninety
Speaker 1: one yards per game, three point three yards per route run.
Speaker 1: Gigantic number that is, that is huge. Those are big
Speaker 1: numbers for Kittle if Deebo doesn't play, or if he's
Speaker 1: a decoy. I also think Kittle's sitting on a big
Speaker 1: game and Deebo could be a decoy in this game.
Speaker 3: Yep, it's it's it's very possible if he goes in there,
Speaker 3: he could. He could just be a few notes on
Speaker 3: party without Deebo with and without Debo. Nineteen games with Deebo,
Speaker 3: seven without Peres. Passer rating drops from one nineteen to eighty.
Speaker 3: Wow without Debo.
Speaker 1: Wow, that's a big change.
Speaker 3: His yards per attempt nine point four to eight point
Speaker 3: three his Wow.
Speaker 1: Deebo extends the field because Debo's known.
Speaker 3: I have bubbles, screens and everything else, the yards after
Speaker 3: the catch or something, because this is yards per attempt,
Speaker 3: not a dot okay, so it must be that he
Speaker 3: gets the yards on it to make it a difference.
Speaker 3: Completion percentage drops from seventy with deebo to sixty two
Speaker 3: percent without debo.
Speaker 1: Because seventy is huge, sixty two is more like NFL norm.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so everything about him drops without debo. But I
Speaker 3: feel like that's probably fair for any team losing their
Speaker 3: wide receiver one or two. Okay, I'm listening to that.
Speaker 1: But yeah, you have Brandon Ayu, You've got George Kittle,
Speaker 1: You've got the best pass catching running back in football.
Speaker 1: McCaffrey absolutely, Party should able to be shine.
Speaker 3: He should be. He should be as long as he
Speaker 3: doesn't have a Ravens or Packers style. I blame the
Speaker 3: Ackers game on the web. I think he couldn't deal
Speaker 3: with that downpour. I think that is mostly it. Maybe
Speaker 3: maybe not maybe.
Speaker 1: Maybe, But if you're the Lions, do you play to
Speaker 1: just take away Christian McCaffrey. Go Look, we're not losing
Speaker 1: a Christian McCaffrey. Brock Purty's gonna have to go play
Speaker 1: hero ball.
Speaker 3: Right right? Yep. And unlike unlike Goff with the pressure,
Speaker 3: Party had the third It was the third best quarterback
Speaker 3: this year under pressure. Okay, which if any hunchins, I
Speaker 3: think they can bring some pressure. But just just a
Speaker 3: note I'm gonna throw two things at you from a
Speaker 3: couple of my friends over at Fantasy Life. There Dwayne McFarlane,
Speaker 3: and I believe the second one was Ian Hartitz, so
Speaker 3: maybe maybe they're not both from Fantasy Life. I mean
Speaker 3: both those guys are. But the last, uh, the last
Speaker 3: wide receiver is the last string of wide receiver ones
Speaker 3: versus the Lions. And this is a Brandon I you
Speaker 3: kind of goes here, maybe kill a little bit. Ceedee
Speaker 3: Lamb thirteen for two twenty seven, Justin Jefferson twelve for
Speaker 3: one ninety two, Puka Nikola nine eighty one, Yeah, Keenan
Speaker 3: Allen eleven for one to seventy five, Mike Evans eight
Speaker 3: for one forty seven, Justin Jefferson six for one forty one.
Speaker 3: And those guys scored about ten touchdowns combined. Unbelievable.
Speaker 1: That was so you should be sitting on a huge game.
Speaker 1: Should be Cam Sullivan their cornerbacks for the lines, Cam Sullivan, Kendallville.
Speaker 3: Door brutal, yep.
Speaker 1: So bad.
Speaker 3: It's so bad, yep.
Speaker 1: And that's uh. And that'll be priority number one in
Speaker 1: the offseason.
Speaker 3: For and the second part, and I believe it was
Speaker 3: Ena Hearts but if I'm crediting that wrong of this,
Speaker 3: that sucks. I'm sorry. It's the kind of stat I
Speaker 3: would have looked up anyway. Uh. But the last five
Speaker 3: quarterbacks against the Lions Baker Mayfield three forty nine and three,
Speaker 3: Matthew Stafford three sixty seven and two, Nick Mullens three
Speaker 3: ninety six and two, Dak Prescott three forty five and two,
Speaker 3: Nick Mullens four eleven and two.
Speaker 1: Yeah, how about that?
Speaker 3: So the worst gabe was three hundred and forty five
Speaker 3: yards at two Scotts. It's the Lions, and.
Speaker 1: You know, so that's forts Let's talk Christian McCaffrey, right,
Speaker 1: because you know the Lions are so easy to pass
Speaker 1: upon and so hard to run upon. I think McCaffrey
Speaker 1: could be sitting on a quiet game here.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's very possible. It's very possible.
Speaker 1: His his over under rushing number is eighty eight yards.
Speaker 1: Eighty seven and a half. Yes, you know how many
Speaker 1: runners topped eighty eight yards against Detroit?
Speaker 3: This I do because you heard it.
Speaker 1: Nobody, nobody, McCaffrey has to have for him to hit
Speaker 1: his his Vegas line on yards, he has to have
Speaker 1: the best game anybody's had. Against the Chiefs or sorry,
Speaker 1: against the Lions by nineteen yards.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I don't.
Speaker 1: Think it's happening.
Speaker 3: That's that's a it's a lot. The only the only
Speaker 3: wonderful caveat for McCaffrey, if you want to try to
Speaker 3: play the over on that line, is that he gets
Speaker 3: everything for them usually usually. Yeah. But yeah, and with
Speaker 3: de Bout, you know, he's he doesn't take too many,
Speaker 3: too many rushes anymore anyway.
Speaker 1: No, that's it. I think that's that's largely dried up.
Speaker 3: Right.
Speaker 1: Lions, uh finished number one in rushing yards allowed number
Speaker 1: three and yards per carry allowed number two in rushes attempted,
Speaker 1: in part because there their pass evens is so bad, right,
Speaker 1: why run? Now it's Christian McCaffrey, And that's a good
Speaker 1: reason to run. But maybe you just throw to McCaffrey
Speaker 1: instead as a possibility. But Lion's only giving up sixty
Speaker 1: rushing yards per game. It's just that's nothing. Yeah, So
Speaker 1: I wonder if McCaffrey is sitting on a quiet a
Speaker 1: quiet game here.
Speaker 3: You are, Chargian said that the.
Speaker 1: Idea Christian McCaffrey. What a bummer that is? Who wants
Speaker 1: to sit all game long?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 1: And just go, oh, man, I hope Christian McCaffrey doesn't score. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's so fun.
Speaker 3: I hope he doesn't do it right. That's there's no
Speaker 3: fun in that. That's why people love the overs and
Speaker 3: hate the unders. It's true. People know sharps don't care.
Speaker 3: But people, your casual betters.
Speaker 1: While we're talking lions for a second, did you know
Speaker 1: you can already bet the Super Bowl MVP?
Speaker 3: Oh boy, you can, you can? Okay, So now they
Speaker 3: got four teams worth of players of odds.
Speaker 1: That's right, you have four teams, that's right. Now. Ten
Speaker 1: of the past fourteen have been quarterbacks. Ye tell me
Speaker 1: if any of these interest you, you'd have to place
Speaker 1: his wagers today. Lamar Jackson is the favorite. He's got
Speaker 1: two at two for one. Would you bet that he would?
Speaker 3: He would be, I was gonna say, even before I
Speaker 3: was going to try to guess him. But yeah, I
Speaker 3: figured Lamar would be the first.
Speaker 1: Brock Purty three to one. You're interested in that?
Speaker 3: Interesting? I guess a little bit. I mean, yeah, Patrick
Speaker 3: Mahomes is four to one. I'd rather put way less
Speaker 3: money on a longer shot.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I hear you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Yeah, that's it's Mahomes at four to one, four
Speaker 3: to one.
Speaker 1: If they get past the Ravens and get to the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, I think you'd be pretty happy to have
Speaker 1: that four to one. I'm Patrick Mahomes to win MVP
Speaker 1: since quarterbacks usually win it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I feel like Golf would be my fourth one,
Speaker 3: just because I feel like if the Lions make it,
Speaker 3: I feel like the Chiefs are Ravens should take care
Speaker 3: of them. I know that they lost. The Chiefs lost
Speaker 3: to them Week one, but.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a million years ago.
Speaker 3: Now, that's that's a different team.
Speaker 1: What do you think about Jared Goff nine to one
Speaker 1: and Super Bowl MVP?
Speaker 3: See, that's the one I would better, just because.
Speaker 1: It's I know right, that part feels pretty good.
Speaker 3: I feel like the order is correct though.
Speaker 1: But what a great story would be for Jared Goff
Speaker 1: who had the horrible Super Bowl game with the Rams
Speaker 1: and then they summarily go trade him, and you know,
Speaker 1: then with his new team he goes back to the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl and wins MVP. Oh, what a great That's
Speaker 1: such a typical NFL kind of storyline. Yep, it'd be
Speaker 1: a great.
Speaker 3: There are so many storylines with this these last four teams.
Speaker 3: It's just wonderful. It's just wonderful for that. But where
Speaker 3: do you stand as the Viking fan on the Lions?
Speaker 3: Like I am a I was Barry Sanders my favorite
Speaker 3: player of all time, Like the Lions are my second team.
Speaker 3: So like, I'm I'm fine if they win, I'm happy.
Speaker 3: But I know there are a lot of Vikings fans
Speaker 3: who are like, not another NFC North team before us,
Speaker 3: not another you know, not a team that hasn't won
Speaker 3: before us.
Speaker 1: I'm not that way. The Lions fans are so humble
Speaker 1: and they're yeah, you know, they've been beaten down for
Speaker 1: so long. They're so humble, they're so non arrogant.
Speaker 3: I will say I'm happy for them for the most. Yeah,
Speaker 3: ninety percent of the ones I know are that way.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I have found some that are not handling being good
Speaker 3: as well as you would expect. They're not used to
Speaker 3: being good, so they definitely have a but it's not
Speaker 3: many of them. Most almost all, You're right, almost all
Speaker 3: Lions fans are are wonderful.
Speaker 1: Yeah, because you know, they they just they don't have
Speaker 1: the arrogance here.
Speaker 3: Yep.
Speaker 1: And that's and that's you can'tnot be and the other factor,
Speaker 1: and it's a real one. My wife and I watch
Speaker 1: Hard Knocks, yeah, you know, the season before or last,
Speaker 1: and she fell in love with Dan Campbell. She's absolutely
Speaker 1: one percent rooting for the Lions because she loves Dan Campbell.
Speaker 3: Yep. I'm I'm generally, especially with this if the Bills
Speaker 3: were still in it, that make it a little more interesting,
Speaker 3: you know, a.
Speaker 1: Lose lose for Super Rights, yeah versus Lions, right versus.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that one. But I'm I'm more along the lines
Speaker 3: of I would love to see a fan base that
Speaker 3: has never had a championship get one for the whole
Speaker 3: fan base too. I'm for sure I like people being happy,
Speaker 3: you know.
Speaker 1: The other thing, uh, the other thing that and I
Speaker 1: think we may have mentioned this on last week's show,
Speaker 1: but as great as Patrick Mahomes is, and you know,
Speaker 1: his legacy's already set six championships, right, and it's just
Speaker 1: the league is healthier when you have Brady versus Manning,
Speaker 1: you know. And I wanted it to be Josh Allen.
Speaker 1: I wanted Josh Allen to win so we could have Brady,
Speaker 1: we could have we could have Mahomes versus Josh Allen.
Speaker 1: Didn't work out. Maybe it's gonna be Mahomes versus Lamar Jackson.
Speaker 1: It's just not as a competiti You want it as
Speaker 1: a competitive league. You want to have that other players
Speaker 1: who are good too, not just one team.
Speaker 3: Yep, yesep, absolutely well, let.
Speaker 1: Me give you one more Super Bowl MVP angle. Okay,
Speaker 1: if it's not going to be a quarterback, I told
Speaker 1: you ten of the last fourteen have been quarterbacks. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's not going to be a quarterback. It's got to
Speaker 1: be somebody who's explosive that can turn the game on
Speaker 1: two or three gigantic plays. Right, that's gonna pile up
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty yards.
Speaker 3: Jamison Williams, No, give me another Lion. I'm one. Rustlin Brown,
Speaker 3: Jamier Gibbs, Jamiir Gibbs.
Speaker 1: Okay, now, I told you what the quarterback odds were.
Speaker 3: Here's my tough thing with that. Hold on a second, Okay.
Speaker 1: I told you the the the quarterback odds like two
Speaker 1: to one, three to one, four to one. What do
Speaker 1: you think the odds are for Jamier Gibbs to win
Speaker 1: Super Bowl MVP one hundred and twenty five to one?
Speaker 1: All right, now, go ahead.
Speaker 3: See here's my problem James White scored as running back
Speaker 3: three touchdowns.
Speaker 1: And he caught like eighty passes.
Speaker 3: He had over one hundred total yards, and he scored
Speaker 3: the game winging touchdown.
Speaker 1: And they're like, nah, quarterback, I know, so I get it.
Speaker 1: Tom Brady was on the field, he was gonna win it.
Speaker 3: You do have a point, you know, It's it is
Speaker 3: kind of a different point though, Like it's I'm not
Speaker 3: comparing golf to like the you know, golf is not
Speaker 3: Brady like Brady. Like, if you don't give it to Brady,
Speaker 3: there's a thing there, you know. But if you don't,
Speaker 3: I still think they'd give it to golf. But I
Speaker 3: do like it. That's a that's incredible odd.
Speaker 1: Just the odds are so good. One hundred and twenty
Speaker 1: five to one. They played the super but they played
Speaker 1: out this weekend next week. One hundred and twenty five
Speaker 1: times Jimi or Gibbs would win MVP, like I don't know,
Speaker 1: nine times or ten times or something like that.
Speaker 3: Something I like.
Speaker 1: Something in the ballpark of nine time, nine times times.
Speaker 1: So you know, I mentored, you know, not one out
Speaker 1: of one hundred and twenty five, nine out of five.
Speaker 1: You get the idea.
Speaker 3: I get it. I like it. I like it's a
Speaker 3: it's a really deep I don't think it's happening, but
Speaker 3: it's no problem. I hope it happens. That'd be abvioazy,
Speaker 3: wouldn't be And then everybody, you get the peacock of
Speaker 3: all peacocks. If that happened, that so good. We'd have
Speaker 3: to find a super peacock. But super because it's a
Speaker 3: super Bowl, we need a super peacock.
Speaker 1: Good point.
Speaker 3: Maybe it's like an auto tune peacock.
Speaker 1: What what maybe we need more than one peacock. What
Speaker 1: is a group of peacocks call?
Speaker 3: I actually don't know this a pot of peacocks? I
Speaker 3: don't know.
Speaker 1: I mean there's like, uh, there's a pot of whales.
Speaker 1: There's a murder murder of throro, right, what is more than?
Speaker 1: What's a group of peacocks called? How do I and
Speaker 1: how do we not know this yet?
Speaker 3: Yeah? This is this is insane because we're a group
Speaker 3: of people that a muster A muster, you said, an
Speaker 3: ostentation or a muster?
Speaker 1: Oh, ostentation is way better an ostentation of peacocks?
Speaker 3: Yes, oh, I love it. Oh. And the plural is
Speaker 3: pea fowl. Is it really?
Speaker 1: I didn't know that we've been saying it wrong because
Speaker 1: all the time it's a fowl. There's no way, no way,
Speaker 1: it's not peacocks.
Speaker 3: It's p fowl. Females are p hens. What I'm not
Speaker 3: gonna believe. I'm not gonna geographic about peacock. I don't
Speaker 3: know anything.
Speaker 1: A muster of pe pe pe fowl, a mustard pie.
Speaker 3: I gotta imagine that's the correct one. But other people,
Speaker 3: but people, but you can use peacocks. I gotta believe
Speaker 3: that's a dual thing where you can use if you.
Speaker 1: Got to the end of this peacocks.
Speaker 3: Even the thing says group of what is a group
Speaker 3: of peacocks called so like? It doesn't even say p
Speaker 3: fowl in there.
Speaker 1: If you got to the end of this podcast, which right.
Speaker 3: Now a group of p hens is a harem?
Speaker 1: Is it really? Who comes up with this stuff?
Speaker 3: P fowl are members of the pheasant family? Interesting? No,
Speaker 3: it is definitely.
Speaker 1: You made it to the end of this podcast. Jesus
Speaker 1: on Twitter at Scott Fish twenty four at Paul Chargi
Speaker 1: in hashtag muster of pea fowl.
Speaker 3: God, oh beautiful. I don't know what I'm gonna I
Speaker 3: don't we said, what do we do with this information?
Speaker 1: I want to know if people actually get to this
Speaker 1: point or if they've long since turned this thing off.
Speaker 3: Gosh, we'll find out.
Speaker 1: Thank you for listening, everybody. We'll be back next week.
Speaker 1: We'll talk about super Bowl games you can play. Matt
Speaker 1: Harrison's already prepping it. He's very excited. Ways you can
Speaker 1: have fun with your Super Bowl parties and stuff like that.
Speaker 1: And then the week after that we'll be breaking down
Speaker 1: the super Bowl. Can't wait on our last chance to
Speaker 1: talk about football from the twenty twenty three season. And
Speaker 1: after that we're gonna start getting four heavy with a
Speaker 1: lot of a lot of rookie Yeah. Yeah, he's in
Speaker 1: Mobile this week Senior Bowl stuff, So that'll that'll be great.
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, everybody, talk to you soon. Fantasy Football
Speaker 1: Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio,
Speaker 1: visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen
Speaker 1: to your favorite shows.