WEBVTT - The People Who Defined Global Business in 2022

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanabek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube and now also on Bloomberg Quick Take. Yes, alright,

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<v Speaker 1>so I've got to say it's the most wonderful time

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<v Speaker 1>of the year for many many many reasons, including it's

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<v Speaker 1>when Bloomberg Business Week comes out with the Bloomberg fifty,

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<v Speaker 1>a list of those who define business in too. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a list we're both the real and the reality world

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<v Speaker 1>can co exist, so that puts both the President of

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine and Kim Kardashian on the list. It's one. We're

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<v Speaker 1>a Bad Bunny and the James Webb Space Telescope make

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<v Speaker 1>the cut, as do Tom Cruise and John Ray the

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<v Speaker 1>third both in storing roles this year. So let's get

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<v Speaker 1>into it. It is really a list I love to

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<v Speaker 1>go over. We got with us Bloomberg business Week Senior

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<v Speaker 1>editor Brett Vegan and Bloomberg Business Week Editor Joel Webber,

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<v Speaker 1>both joining us this afternoon from Brooklyn. Joel, I want

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<v Speaker 1>to start with you and give us the overarching theme

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<v Speaker 1>for for for the year that was two if we

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<v Speaker 1>can say this, two weeks before the end of the year,

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<v Speaker 1>when you look back on the year and put in

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<v Speaker 1>together this list, what was top of mind for you?

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<v Speaker 1>Oh geez, that's a big question. Um hard hard not

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about Crypto right now, I think you know.

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<v Speaker 1>And and uh, we have a certain someone on the

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<v Speaker 1>list who, um has really emerged as the dominant figure

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<v Speaker 1>in sort of the f X, and that's the new

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<v Speaker 1>CEO of the X. But of course, like the beauty

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<v Speaker 1>of this list is that you have to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>like rewind the clock and start from the beginning of

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<v Speaker 1>the year. And I don't think that there's any more

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<v Speaker 1>dominant theme across this list than Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>And again and again and again people emerged from that situation.

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<v Speaker 1>One Dames the Lynskey and how could you not talk

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<v Speaker 1>about when you talk about two? But there are many,

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<v Speaker 1>many more, And Brett Vegan is pass lift on the

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week team is canvassing the newsroom to help put

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<v Speaker 1>spotlights on important people, some of which you probably know.

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<v Speaker 1>And then a lot of people the special part of

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<v Speaker 1>this list, like Carol said, it's like this little cross

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<v Speaker 1>section that happens when you bring together a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>various people in themes, and there's just there's these gyms

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<v Speaker 1>that sort of emerge that are not household names. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's what I love is like you take a Lynskey

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<v Speaker 1>and you put them next to bread. Take your pick.

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<v Speaker 1>Who's who's an unheralded name that people will surprise people.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's see, someone like Pinky Cole is probably someone that

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of listeners haven't heard of. So Pinky Um

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<v Speaker 1>is the founder of a vegan fast food restaurant chain

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<v Speaker 1>called I think I'm allowed to say this on the air,

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<v Speaker 1>Slutty Vegan. She started the year with four restaurants and

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<v Speaker 1>by the end the next year, we'll have more than twenty.

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<v Speaker 1>These are vegan fast food burger chains. Um and she's

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<v Speaker 1>just a great story. Basically raised million dollars this year

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<v Speaker 1>with the help of Danny Meyer. UM, famous of course

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<v Speaker 1>for many reasons, including shake shack and valuing the company

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<v Speaker 1>now at about a hundred million dollars. She's undergoing a

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<v Speaker 1>massive expansion. I don't know. And then another name is

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<v Speaker 1>someone like Tom Oxley, who founded synchron Uh. Tom is

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<v Speaker 1>both an entrepreneur but also someone with a deep medical background,

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<v Speaker 1>and they did something kind of crazy this year where

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<v Speaker 1>they were able to implant something in someone's brain that

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<v Speaker 1>allowed them essentially to communicate via bluetooth and share their thoughts.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a patient who was suffering from Luke Garrig's disease. Hey, Brett, UH,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I want to know about how you put

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<v Speaker 1>the list together. And I know a lot goes into this,

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<v Speaker 1>and I know you reach across the newsroom. My experience

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<v Speaker 1>with sending you names over the last few months is like, thanks,

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<v Speaker 1>but no thanks because and there's always a great reason why.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, somebody I spent hours thinking about and I

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<v Speaker 1>write you up this little bio and you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>I get this email back that's, you know, a gentle

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<v Speaker 1>sort of let down. UM. It's pretty incredible though, to

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<v Speaker 1>see this list and how it comes together. Um, how

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<v Speaker 1>many people do you think you consider before you're coming

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<v Speaker 1>up with getting it down to fifty? Well, I just

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<v Speaker 1>want to say thank you, of course for your country.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll try again next year. Okay. We are always always

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<v Speaker 1>looking for uh people next year. So, um, I don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>I would say that probably we wind up giving about

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred and fifty or so people will look. And

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<v Speaker 1>the thing it really separates those who wind up on

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<v Speaker 1>the list from those who don't is data. We look

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<v Speaker 1>for a hard data point, We look for a metric.

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<v Speaker 1>We look for something that underpins the nomination, something that

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<v Speaker 1>we can point to and say in this is a

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<v Speaker 1>fact that really deserves recognition. And um merritt. There are

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people that we consider who had good

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<v Speaker 1>years maybe last year, or expected to have good years

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<v Speaker 1>next year. But we don't have that sort of hard metric,

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<v Speaker 1>and without that it is really hard to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>get on the list. But now you know, right, so

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<v Speaker 1>we know for for next year. Thank you. Well, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and sometimes it's Popeye's chicken sandwich or something that makes

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<v Speaker 1>the list. You always have something that's not quite human

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<v Speaker 1>and thank you, Joel Weber, I kind of always loved

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<v Speaker 1>Joel that you can include these kind of things on

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<v Speaker 1>the list. I think it makes it charming. But Brett,

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<v Speaker 1>how did how did we approached the inanimate object in

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<v Speaker 1>the wake of Meme Stock last year? You know, you

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<v Speaker 1>would think that this would be the hardest one to

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<v Speaker 1>find every year, and for some reason, it's always one

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<v Speaker 1>of the first things that I think of every year

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<v Speaker 1>and get very excited once I figured it out. So,

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<v Speaker 1>as Joel said, we did the Meme Stock last year,

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<v Speaker 1>we did SPACs H two years ago, we did the

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<v Speaker 1>Popeye's Chicken Sandwich year before that. Um, this year, it

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<v Speaker 1>was kind of a no brainer to put the James

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<v Speaker 1>Webb Telescope on the list in July. I think we

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<v Speaker 1>can all think back and remember just how loud we

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<v Speaker 1>were by some of these, uh, some of the first

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<v Speaker 1>pictures that we saw, which were some of the deepest

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<v Speaker 1>and sharpest ever taken of the universe, and um, we

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<v Speaker 1>are I actually was when I was in the office

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<v Speaker 1>the other day. I'm noticing now that and some of

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<v Speaker 1>the TVs and computers were using some of these photos

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<v Speaker 1>as screensavers. So if you can imagine, that's the impact

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<v Speaker 1>that this has had so that to me was kind

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<v Speaker 1>of kind of our no brainer inanimate object. Although I

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<v Speaker 1>guess technically it is moving right because it's in space. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's not alive. It is not a line that's correct. Correct. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So I think we can't really talk about two without

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<v Speaker 1>a certain blockbuster that it was actually kind of decades

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<v Speaker 1>in the making. Uh, you want to bring us up

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<v Speaker 1>to speed on why a certain Maverick filmmaker ended up

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<v Speaker 1>on the list. Yeah, I mean this is a great

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<v Speaker 1>example of I think someone who everybody knows. Everybody knows

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<v Speaker 1>Tom Cruise, and everybody knows the movie Top Gun. What

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<v Speaker 1>you may not know is that Top Gun Maverick is

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<v Speaker 1>actually the biggest movie of his career. And if you

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<v Speaker 1>think back to all of the huge movies he's been in,

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<v Speaker 1>the Mission Impossible, Risky Business, the original Top Gun, this

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<v Speaker 1>is actually number one and it's the biggest movie all year.

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<v Speaker 1>And the thing that I think is kind of cool

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<v Speaker 1>about including someone like Tom Cruise for this is that

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<v Speaker 1>you know, this is actually a story about COVID in

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<v Speaker 1>many ways a story about the pandemic, because many streaming

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<v Speaker 1>services attempted to buy this movie during the early days

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<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic. When there wasn't. Uh, we're a ton

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<v Speaker 1>of blockbusters coming out, obviously, people weren't going to theaters,

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<v Speaker 1>and Tom Cruise, because of his power in Hollywood, basically

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<v Speaker 1>said no, I make movies for the big screen and

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<v Speaker 1>this is gonna be in movie theaters when the time

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<v Speaker 1>is right. And he got his wish. And that's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a story that I like, where you have a celebrity,

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<v Speaker 1>but it actually touches on a much sort of larger story. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and we just got about thirty seconds left, just quickly.

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<v Speaker 1>We know you guys are down in the last second

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<v Speaker 1>when you put this list together, because on it is

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<v Speaker 1>John Red the Third. Yeah, I don't I know, Joel

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<v Speaker 1>and I did not expect that John Read the Third

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<v Speaker 1>would wind up on this list about a little more

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<v Speaker 1>than a month ago. Um, somebody. We might have been

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<v Speaker 1>considering somebody else for the list at that point. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>but yeah, you know, we have to be reactive to

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<v Speaker 1>the news. And he deserved the spot and wound up

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<v Speaker 1>being just about the last one on. It is such

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<v Speaker 1>a fun list and always fun to go through. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>one more Brett, who who's one to watch? In ten seconds?

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<v Speaker 1>Who's one to watch? Keep an eye on these people

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<v Speaker 1>because they could be on next year's Bloomberg fifty. Oh

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I love Jimmy O'Brien from John Boy Media.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know if you guys ever follow them, but

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<v Speaker 1>they do these meticulous reconstructions of sports plays that are

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<v Speaker 1>so fun to watch on one. Alright, great stuff as always, guys,

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much. Brett Began, Senior Editor Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week via zoom in New York City, Joe Weber. He's

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<v Speaker 1>the editor of Bloomberg Business Week on the Access Line

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<v Speaker 1>in Brooklyn. The Bloomberg Fifty is featured on The Big

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<v Speaker 1>Take podcast at Bloomberg dot com or wherever you get

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<v Speaker 1>your podcasts, and do not miss The Big Take on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio weeknights at eleven pm Wall Street Time. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week, Carol Master, Jimsdanovich. This is Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stenovic on Bloomberg Radio. Earlier this year,

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<v Speaker 1>as the world began to reopen, Bloomberg Live hosted its

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<v Speaker 1>first in person event in New York City. Since that

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<v Speaker 1>was back in March, we're kind of reminded that at

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<v Speaker 1>a media town hall today. Uh, the event was called

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<v Speaker 1>work Shifting two point a Redefining Normal. And at that event, Tim,

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<v Speaker 1>you talked with our next guest, Rob Thousand, vice chair

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<v Speaker 1>Prudential Financial. We talked about the state of the American workforce.

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<v Speaker 1>And I remember that one, Carol, because back in March

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<v Speaker 1>of one, when was it, I think it was probably

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<v Speaker 1>March of I did I did an event with Rob

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<v Speaker 1>that was virtual, so this was actually the first time

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<v Speaker 1>I got to meet him in person, and to us,

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<v Speaker 1>it really represented, you know, a reopening and look how

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<v Speaker 1>far we've come since then. This discussion though, about reopening,

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<v Speaker 1>it's ongoing, it's debated, it's in terms of how we

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<v Speaker 1>work post pandemic. Rob Thousand is Prudential as a vice chairman,

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<v Speaker 1>and he joins us once again with an update on

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<v Speaker 1>the latest Prudential Pulse survey. He joins us via zoom

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<v Speaker 1>from New Jersey. Rob, How are you, um well, Tim,

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<v Speaker 1>how are you doing that? We're doing really pol Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>some for joining us. It's good to talk with you

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<v Speaker 1>again as well. So take us into the high level

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<v Speaker 1>stuff when it comes to the new poll survey here,

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<v Speaker 1>because you guys get a great view on the American

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<v Speaker 1>workforce and the American worker. What did you find this year? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we've been doing it for a long time,

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<v Speaker 1>as you know, it goes back to two thousand seven

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<v Speaker 1>team when we started doing this, and we've been trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get insights around you know, two themes around how

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<v Speaker 1>people are thinking about career and career development and trajectory,

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<v Speaker 1>and then around financial security. And so in this particular survey,

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<v Speaker 1>what we did is we actually doubled the population size

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<v Speaker 1>that we were you know, sample population size that we're

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<v Speaker 1>looking at, and wanted to get better insights on what

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<v Speaker 1>was happening from a demographic slicing standpoint, and particularly focused

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<v Speaker 1>on sort of the younger generations millennials UH and Gen

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<v Speaker 1>gen zers UM there the you know, they're the largest

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<v Speaker 1>cohort in our workforce today, UH, and so understanding what's

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<v Speaker 1>going through their minds and UH and how they're faring

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<v Speaker 1>and sort of we thought was an important set of

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<v Speaker 1>observations to be able to get UH And and what

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<v Speaker 1>we found, uh sort of interestingly is um they are

0:12:00.880 --> 0:12:04.840
<v Speaker 1>their their experiencing some pretty notable shifts in their attitudes

0:12:05.240 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 1>towards work UM less loyal, more mobile um than prior generations.

0:12:12.200 --> 0:12:16.320
<v Speaker 1>Uh and uh, and they're also quite financially insecure, and

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:20.760
<v Speaker 1>it's it's leading to sort of behavior um that Uh.

0:12:21.000 --> 0:12:24.199
<v Speaker 1>You know that that is also challenging from from a

0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:26.880
<v Speaker 1>risk standpoint as well, and trying to make up some

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:30.079
<v Speaker 1>of the ground that they that they've lost by virtue

0:12:30.080 --> 0:12:31.599
<v Speaker 1>of sort of when they came into the workforce and

0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:35.200
<v Speaker 1>the experience that they've had since they've been in the workforce. So,

0:12:36.040 --> 0:12:37.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, one of the things we love, Rob, Rob

0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:40.120
<v Speaker 1>is that you have kind of been a gut check

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.439
<v Speaker 1>for us in terms of how we think about work

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:46.520
<v Speaker 1>and what it means post pandemic. What are the trends

0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:50.600
<v Speaker 1>that you think are going to stay with us based

0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:55.360
<v Speaker 1>on some of the survey results. Well, it's it's really clear, Carol,

0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:58.560
<v Speaker 1>as I've talked about before, We've talked about before that

0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:02.199
<v Speaker 1>the most must a trend going forward is going to

0:13:02.280 --> 0:13:05.319
<v Speaker 1>be this hybrid work environment. As I've lost and reflected

0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:07.439
<v Speaker 1>on before. In two thousand and nineteen, we all knew

0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:10.280
<v Speaker 1>how to work in the office and that worked okay, Uh,

0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:13.120
<v Speaker 1>and then in two thousand and twenties through through you

0:13:13.160 --> 0:13:17.160
<v Speaker 1>know earlier this year, Um, we learned how to work remotely.

0:13:17.200 --> 0:13:19.440
<v Speaker 1>It started pretty rough, but but by the end of

0:13:19.440 --> 0:13:21.640
<v Speaker 1>that period of time, not only learn to do it,

0:13:21.960 --> 0:13:24.760
<v Speaker 1>people learn to enjoy doing it that way. And so

0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:27.960
<v Speaker 1>the challenge we have going forward is how do we

0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:31.360
<v Speaker 1>create an environment, a work environment going forward where we

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 1>get the best of what we did have in two

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 1>thousand nineteen combined with the best of what we've learned

0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:39.160
<v Speaker 1>during the pandemic and people have have developed remote skills

0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:42.080
<v Speaker 1>and have enjoyed the flexibility that's associated with being able

0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:44.000
<v Speaker 1>to work remotely, in order to come up with a

0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:46.040
<v Speaker 1>new model going forward so that we get the best

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 1>of all that. I believe that we believe that that

0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:52.400
<v Speaker 1>is h an absolute critical component to sort of the

0:13:52.440 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>future of the workplace going forward and success at doing that.

0:13:55.840 --> 0:13:58.280
<v Speaker 1>It's going to help you to attract talent and retain it.

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 1>And if you're not successful in doing it, you're gonna

0:14:00.400 --> 0:14:02.719
<v Speaker 1>lose talent. Well, and when you say best, is it

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:05.840
<v Speaker 1>best from the employee's perspective or from the employer's perspective,

0:14:05.880 --> 0:14:07.319
<v Speaker 1>or a little bit about I don't, I don't, Yeah,

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:08.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't. I don't think it's a it's an either

0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:11.199
<v Speaker 1>or I think it can be both. Um. You know,

0:14:11.240 --> 0:14:14.000
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting. I was just having a talk with a

0:14:14.080 --> 0:14:17.240
<v Speaker 1>number of our employees in the town hall earlier this week. Uh,

0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:19.080
<v Speaker 1>and I was I was calling. I was saying, you know, listen,

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:21.920
<v Speaker 1>what we learned is that the remote does work. You

0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 1>guys were very productive remotely productive. Productivity went up. Productivity

0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:28.280
<v Speaker 1>went up across the country, but productivity and our company

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:30.360
<v Speaker 1>went up. We saw it. I mean, is that because

0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:32.440
<v Speaker 1>people are commuting and they're spending that extra time working

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:35.320
<v Speaker 1>what is absolutely Jim absolutely, and and they're more focused

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:37.240
<v Speaker 1>when they're home once they got through that initial period

0:14:37.240 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 1>of the distraction to the kids and all that kind

0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 1>of stuff. When instructions, I don't know who these people are,

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:43.920
<v Speaker 1>these once who are more focused when they're at home.

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm like, oh, I guess I gotta put the laundry

0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:50.880
<v Speaker 1>in the dryer. I guess I gotta make myself some lunch.

0:14:51.680 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure there are actually they're absolutely aspects of that.

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:56.680
<v Speaker 1>But the reality is there are a lot of distractions

0:14:56.720 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 1>during their workplace if you're trying to be at the

0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>computer getting things done. And what we saw is productivity

0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 1>held up despite concerns that we would dramatically lose productivity.

0:15:04.040 --> 0:15:06.640
<v Speaker 1>Some of its sustainable because it came about tim because

0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:10.600
<v Speaker 1>we enhanced technology to enable people to work remotely. That's sustainable.

0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Some of it's by the longer work day they reinvested

0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 1>their commute, plus some in many instances not all that sustainable. Right,

0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:20.840
<v Speaker 1>people need to realty regain balance. But but the point

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.280
<v Speaker 1>being at the end of day they were increase their productivity.

0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:26.840
<v Speaker 1>The challenges that short term productivity. Um, what we're concerned

0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:28.600
<v Speaker 1>about is not only productivity in the short term, but

0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:31.440
<v Speaker 1>productivity in the long term. We need to ensure that

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:35.800
<v Speaker 1>we're having the sort of creativity, ideation, strategic planning that

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:38.000
<v Speaker 1>that that was going to make us competitive and successful

0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.800
<v Speaker 1>in the future. That doesn't happen as well remotely. Learning

0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:45.680
<v Speaker 1>for junior employees is stifled on a fully remote basis.

0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:47.880
<v Speaker 1>They learned better in person when they get the benefit

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:50.880
<v Speaker 1>of apprenticeships and mentorships and can see and talk to people.

0:15:50.880 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 1>And so we've got to find the right balance between

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>the two. They're not mutually exclusive. We can get great

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.920
<v Speaker 1>enhancements and productivity by giving people flexibility. We can develop

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:01.280
<v Speaker 1>loyalty and one of the statistics that came through which

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:05.720
<v Speaker 1>I found really quite interesting. Loyalty scoring UM hybrid workers

0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:08.400
<v Speaker 1>have the highest loyalty to their employers. It was like

0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:13.840
<v Speaker 1>UM the fully remote workers UM so at ten point

0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 1>differential between the two, and full time workers were in

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 1>between the two. So you can create loyalty by adopting

0:16:19.040 --> 0:16:20.880
<v Speaker 1>that hybrid model that will be to the benefit of

0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.240
<v Speaker 1>the company in terms of retaining your talent. You're gonna

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 1>get They're gonna they're gonna enjoy that flexibility, they'll have loyalty,

0:16:26.160 --> 0:16:29.280
<v Speaker 1>they'll stay with you. They have high productivity when they're remote,

0:16:29.400 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 1>but bringing them in can also be a win for

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:33.320
<v Speaker 1>the company and a win for them because it gives

0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 1>them that socialization, that culture that they need, helps with

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:39.520
<v Speaker 1>retention and that will help with the long term productivity

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 1>of the company. Hey, I want to go back to

0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:44.800
<v Speaker 1>something that you said Rob at the beginning of our conversation,

0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:48.280
<v Speaker 1>and it's about the decisions that the youngest people you survey,

0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 1>the gen z and millennials, are making when it comes

0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:54.480
<v Speaker 1>to UH their finances. It got me a little concerned

0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:56.360
<v Speaker 1>about the way that that gen zers are thinking about

0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:58.880
<v Speaker 1>their finances and where they are in terms of how

0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:02.280
<v Speaker 1>stable they are, what are they doing so. UM, so

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:05.040
<v Speaker 1>they're not very stable. Um. Less than half have any

0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of emergency savings. Um, you don't listen. We have

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:10.720
<v Speaker 1>a lack of emergency saving savings across the entire population.

0:17:11.359 --> 0:17:15.399
<v Speaker 1>But it's it's it's more acute in the younger generations. Uh,

0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:18.000
<v Speaker 1>it's the bank of mom and dad when it comes

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:20.560
<v Speaker 1>to those emergency savings. Is what the surveys? Could you

0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:22.639
<v Speaker 1>have said the same thing though about millennials, you know,

0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:25.280
<v Speaker 1>fifteen years ago and then you know, jen X twenty

0:17:25.359 --> 0:17:28.040
<v Speaker 1>five years ago. I didn't do the survey then, but

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:29.640
<v Speaker 1>could you have said the same We didn't know those

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:31.639
<v Speaker 1>service you don't know. I'm sure there was some aspect

0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 1>of that. It seems to be more acute now and

0:17:34.880 --> 0:17:38.440
<v Speaker 1>that uh that you know, there's a because that's kind

0:17:38.440 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>of more horrible. They're more vulnerable. It's a little scary.

0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:44.240
<v Speaker 1>We think it is scary. And what's more scary is

0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:47.360
<v Speaker 1>that there's this risky behavior that's occurring. That the only

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:49.320
<v Speaker 1>way I'm able to rationalize it is it's sort of

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:51.960
<v Speaker 1>like it's a gambling phenomena. When you've got nothing to lose,

0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:54.680
<v Speaker 1>there's not really risk associated with gambling, you know, they're

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:56.840
<v Speaker 1>in such a state of being behind on their own

0:17:56.840 --> 0:17:59.359
<v Speaker 1>career development because you know, they came out of school

0:17:59.600 --> 0:18:02.520
<v Speaker 1>either right at or right after the the the the

0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:06.720
<v Speaker 1>the the Great Financial crisis. UM. So they were dislocated

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:08.359
<v Speaker 1>in the starts of their careers just as they're getting

0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 1>to what you're supposed to be their highest earning years.

0:18:10.800 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, we hit a recession, we hit a pandemic

0:18:13.440 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>where we could be hitting another recession, and so they've

0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:19.679
<v Speaker 1>been they've been disenfranchised from what has otherwise been a

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.600
<v Speaker 1>social contract of you know, work hard, go to a

0:18:22.600 --> 0:18:24.520
<v Speaker 1>good school, get good grades, you'll get a good job,

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:26.440
<v Speaker 1>and you'll get financial security or like, you know, none

0:18:26.440 --> 0:18:29.119
<v Speaker 1>of that's happening for us. Uh. And so what you know,

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:31.840
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna try something different. Uh. And something different is

0:18:31.840 --> 0:18:36.239
<v Speaker 1>they're not using traditional financial advice um. Uh. Prior to

0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:38.919
<v Speaker 1>what we've seen in the last several weeks, UM, they

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:42.040
<v Speaker 1>owned more bitcoin than they did make neutral funds. UM.

0:18:42.320 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>That's probably been um, you know, rebalanced quite materially from markets. UM.

0:18:46.760 --> 0:18:48.560
<v Speaker 1>So it's it's it's a little bit of kind of

0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:52.680
<v Speaker 1>risky behavior and how they're managing their finances because they're

0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:55.440
<v Speaker 1>so far behind Hey, Rob, just thirty seconds left here. Um.

0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:58.320
<v Speaker 1>Tim and I are like, wow, this is really rough. Um.

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:00.440
<v Speaker 1>If we get we just came off the FED meeting

0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:03.320
<v Speaker 1>J Powell. You know, possibility of a recession couldn't get

0:19:03.320 --> 0:19:06.960
<v Speaker 1>worse next year? And just again really quickly if you could. Yeah,

0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:09.560
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a there's a risk of recession is

0:19:09.600 --> 0:19:12.119
<v Speaker 1>going to take that financial security that's already on the

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:15.200
<v Speaker 1>edge and push it over the edge for many. Uh.

0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:18.440
<v Speaker 1>And the combination of recession with ongoing high inflation would

0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:21.320
<v Speaker 1>be particularly disastrous because you know, to date, well wages

0:19:21.359 --> 0:19:23.439
<v Speaker 1>have been increasing, they've not kept up with inflation. So

0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:26.159
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a really bad outcome for you know,

0:19:26.560 --> 0:19:30.040
<v Speaker 1>for for workers across the country. Fifteen seconds you guys,

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:33.760
<v Speaker 1>do you guys are you expecting a recession next year? Uh.

0:19:34.160 --> 0:19:36.439
<v Speaker 1>We have a variety of views on that. It's gonna be.

0:19:36.600 --> 0:19:38.520
<v Speaker 1>It's a high wire act for the Fed to avoid one.

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:41.120
<v Speaker 1>I'll say that all right, Rob. Always good to get

0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 1>some time with you. Tim and I both appreciate it.

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:46.320
<v Speaker 1>Happy holidays, be well, Happy New Year. Rob thousand. He's

0:19:46.400 --> 0:19:48.639
<v Speaker 1>vice here at Prudential Financial, joining s v A Zoom

0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:51.240
<v Speaker 1>from New Jersey. Some sobering comments though right, yeah, I

0:19:51.320 --> 0:19:55.240
<v Speaker 1>really are. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:19:55.280 --> 0:20:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Earlier.

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, we talked with Brett Began and Jill Weber

0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:05.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week about the Bloomberg Fifty, the sixth annual

0:20:05.800 --> 0:20:09.240
<v Speaker 1>look at those in business, politics, science and technology, finance,

0:20:09.280 --> 0:20:14.080
<v Speaker 1>and entertainment whose accomplishments deserve recognition. Our next guest is

0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:16.400
<v Speaker 1>on that list. We're talking about Michelle Eisen, a lead

0:20:16.480 --> 0:20:19.640
<v Speaker 1>organizer of Starbucks Workers United. She joins us this afternoon

0:20:19.720 --> 0:20:21.760
<v Speaker 1>via zoom from Buffalo. Michelle, it's good to have you

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:24.800
<v Speaker 1>on the program. How are you. I'm great, It's great

0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:27.120
<v Speaker 1>to be here. Thank you so much. Welcome. Well, let's

0:20:27.119 --> 0:20:29.040
<v Speaker 1>talk about what the past year has has been like

0:20:29.160 --> 0:20:31.639
<v Speaker 1>for you, uh, and and and your efforts and in

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:35.760
<v Speaker 1>the union's efforts Starbucks Workers United to to get workers

0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:39.720
<v Speaker 1>at Starbucks across the country unionized. How's it been. Well,

0:20:39.760 --> 0:20:43.560
<v Speaker 1>it's been a crazy here, certainly. Uh, not every year

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:48.080
<v Speaker 1>I anticipated. Um. A little over a year ago, there

0:20:48.080 --> 0:20:51.920
<v Speaker 1>were zero unionited Starbucks locations in the United States, and

0:20:52.040 --> 0:20:55.840
<v Speaker 1>as of today we're over two seventy UM. So it's

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:59.399
<v Speaker 1>just been fast and furious and and hard, probably the

0:20:59.400 --> 0:21:02.240
<v Speaker 1>hardest here of my life so far. So when we

0:21:02.280 --> 0:21:04.440
<v Speaker 1>talk about two undred and seventy locations, first of all,

0:21:04.480 --> 0:21:06.400
<v Speaker 1>do you expect it to continue? And then how many

0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:10.320
<v Speaker 1>workers are we talking about? Michelle, So we're up over

0:21:10.960 --> 0:21:15.680
<v Speaker 1>seven thousand. That encompasses seven thousand new unionized Starbucks workers

0:21:15.880 --> 0:21:19.399
<v Speaker 1>in just over a year, which is a big number.

0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean when you look at it in terms of

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:24.439
<v Speaker 1>the overall scope, that's that's massive, um And I do

0:21:24.560 --> 0:21:28.360
<v Speaker 1>expect it to continue because the momentum really hasn't slowed

0:21:28.440 --> 0:21:31.639
<v Speaker 1>what we've seen as increased interests from Starbucks workers to

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:36.720
<v Speaker 1>unionize their stores, because you know, things are hard, things

0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:39.080
<v Speaker 1>are even harder now than they were, you know, a

0:21:39.119 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 1>few years ago, to be a service worker, to be

0:21:41.640 --> 0:21:44.119
<v Speaker 1>anyone of the working class, And the reality of the

0:21:44.160 --> 0:21:48.240
<v Speaker 1>situation is that you know, the billionaires are not looking

0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:50.399
<v Speaker 1>out for the for the working man, and so we

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:54.360
<v Speaker 1>need to join together and um raise our voices and

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:58.480
<v Speaker 1>and fight for what we believe is fair in our workplaces. Starbucks,

0:21:58.480 --> 0:22:01.040
<v Speaker 1>i think, to a certain extent, has always predate itself

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:04.640
<v Speaker 1>on providing a at least publicly a good a good

0:22:04.640 --> 0:22:07.199
<v Speaker 1>place for people to work. So I'm curious, you know

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:10.640
<v Speaker 1>what your experience has been and and also what specifically

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:14.399
<v Speaker 1>you and other union organizers and people who join the

0:22:14.480 --> 0:22:17.280
<v Speaker 1>union are looking for from the company right now. I

0:22:17.280 --> 0:22:19.360
<v Speaker 1>think that you're correct, I think, and that's what has

0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:23.200
<v Speaker 1>become so apparently disappointing to me in the last year

0:22:23.280 --> 0:22:25.719
<v Speaker 1>is that I came to this company back in two

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:29.240
<v Speaker 1>thousand and ten because of who they prided themselves to be,

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 1>because they were this progressive company that you know, claimed

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:34.920
<v Speaker 1>to care about the environment and the community and most

0:22:34.960 --> 0:22:37.600
<v Speaker 1>of all their workers. And I think that that was

0:22:37.640 --> 0:22:40.760
<v Speaker 1>true when I started. But we've seen a very clear

0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:43.879
<v Speaker 1>decline in how workers are treated within the company in

0:22:43.880 --> 0:22:46.440
<v Speaker 1>the last few years, and the pandemic really shined a

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:49.640
<v Speaker 1>spotlight on just how how they actually feel about us.

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:52.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, we were we were called essential. Starbucks stayed

0:22:52.600 --> 0:22:56.080
<v Speaker 1>open through the entirety of the pandemic. Um these are

0:22:56.080 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 1>not remote jobs. We have to go in in person

0:22:58.640 --> 0:23:02.040
<v Speaker 1>and customer phasing positions to perform these job duties. And

0:23:02.080 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 1>they kept saying, you know, you're essential, You're essential to

0:23:05.040 --> 0:23:07.679
<v Speaker 1>keep the world running. But we were continually treated like

0:23:07.720 --> 0:23:11.760
<v Speaker 1>we were disposable, and we'd had enough. It was time to,

0:23:12.520 --> 0:23:16.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, hold the company accountable. These are billion dollar corporations.

0:23:17.119 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 1>Billions of dollars are made off of the backs of

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:22.360
<v Speaker 1>the labor that is in the floor of these cafes

0:23:22.400 --> 0:23:26.160
<v Speaker 1>every single day, and yet you've got workers who can't

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:29.000
<v Speaker 1>pay their rent and put groceries in their fridge. There's

0:23:29.040 --> 0:23:31.280
<v Speaker 1>just there's an imbalance there and something needs to be

0:23:31.320 --> 0:23:33.880
<v Speaker 1>done about it. And Michelle, I'm gonna play devil's advocate

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:36.720
<v Speaker 1>a little bit here, but I do wonder publicly held

0:23:36.720 --> 0:23:39.439
<v Speaker 1>companies right there held to these standards that if they

0:23:39.440 --> 0:23:42.280
<v Speaker 1>don't meet their numbers, they're going to get beaten down

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:45.480
<v Speaker 1>by Wall Street and investors, and potentially that could lead

0:23:45.480 --> 0:23:48.359
<v Speaker 1>to more job cuts. It's a fair argument. I see

0:23:48.359 --> 0:23:50.919
<v Speaker 1>it happen, you know, over and over and over again.

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:53.879
<v Speaker 1>So is it always going to be problematic that you

0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:56.840
<v Speaker 1>will have these wide gaps in terms of what workers

0:23:56.880 --> 0:23:59.399
<v Speaker 1>are paid if it's a publicly held company. Is that

0:23:59.440 --> 0:24:03.160
<v Speaker 1>part of the problem in your view? You know, I don't,

0:24:03.280 --> 0:24:05.399
<v Speaker 1>I personally don't believe that it should be part of

0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:09.439
<v Speaker 1>the problem. Because we're talking about billions upon billions of

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:14.600
<v Speaker 1>dollars um, the company could afford to pay the entirety

0:24:14.600 --> 0:24:16.679
<v Speaker 1>of the health care for all of their employees and

0:24:16.760 --> 0:24:19.440
<v Speaker 1>still be far from in the red. So I think

0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:22.359
<v Speaker 1>it's just more of looking at, you know, what is

0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:25.879
<v Speaker 1>a fair discrepancy between what the workers who bring in

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:28.399
<v Speaker 1>these billions of dollars are making and what the people

0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:30.840
<v Speaker 1>at the absolute top are making. There's got to be

0:24:30.920 --> 0:24:34.160
<v Speaker 1>some sort of middle ground we can reach where everybody

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:36.600
<v Speaker 1>feels like they're being taken care of. What do you

0:24:36.600 --> 0:24:39.840
<v Speaker 1>make of the wider unionization drive that's taking place across

0:24:39.880 --> 0:24:41.679
<v Speaker 1>the United States right now? And I should note it

0:24:41.760 --> 0:24:43.560
<v Speaker 1>is a far cry from what we saw, you know,

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:46.760
<v Speaker 1>at the peak of labor using unions decades ago, but

0:24:46.960 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 1>today we are seeing drives at places like Apple ri

0:24:49.920 --> 0:24:53.160
<v Speaker 1>E I and more. What do you make of that? Well,

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>I think you're seeing I mean, the the wealth gap

0:24:56.400 --> 0:24:58.880
<v Speaker 1>is significantly higher than it was even at the peak

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:02.000
<v Speaker 1>of the labor movement decades ago. So I think that's

0:25:02.040 --> 0:25:05.320
<v Speaker 1>part of the catalyst. Certainly, the pandemic and the fact

0:25:05.400 --> 0:25:09.160
<v Speaker 1>that the working class was put in a position where

0:25:09.200 --> 0:25:12.119
<v Speaker 1>their health and their family's health was at risk daily.

0:25:12.480 --> 0:25:14.399
<v Speaker 1>If you were a service worker, if you were a

0:25:14.440 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 1>worker and you know one of these shops that continue

0:25:16.800 --> 0:25:19.159
<v Speaker 1>to stay open and provide what they were calling these

0:25:19.240 --> 0:25:23.280
<v Speaker 1>essential services, and you had, you know, CEOs on these

0:25:23.320 --> 0:25:27.720
<v Speaker 1>financial shows boasting not only about profits but record breaking

0:25:27.720 --> 0:25:30.919
<v Speaker 1>profits in the middle of this pandemic, and workers are

0:25:30.960 --> 0:25:33.840
<v Speaker 1>starting to question what they're worth actually is. And there's

0:25:33.840 --> 0:25:38.320
<v Speaker 1>a realization that you know, we are We are the

0:25:38.320 --> 0:25:41.040
<v Speaker 1>people who bring in these billions of dollars. If the

0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:43.640
<v Speaker 1>working class just walked out of all of these businesses

0:25:43.720 --> 0:25:47.600
<v Speaker 1>right now, these businesses would essentially cease to exist. And

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:49.800
<v Speaker 1>so I think you're starting to see people stand up

0:25:49.960 --> 0:25:54.560
<v Speaker 1>and demand you know, fair wages and at the very

0:25:54.640 --> 0:26:00.560
<v Speaker 1>least safe working conditions, because these companies don't exist without us. Michelle,

0:26:00.600 --> 0:26:05.680
<v Speaker 1>in terms of in general, this is the momentum to unionize,

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:09.639
<v Speaker 1>above and beyond Starbucks. I'm curious if other companies or

0:26:09.640 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 1>people at other companies have been reaching out to you

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:14.480
<v Speaker 1>more and more about how to kind of unionize at

0:26:14.520 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 1>their own places. They are I mean, certainly the first

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:21.000
<v Speaker 1>to reach out to us after we won last December

0:26:21.040 --> 0:26:23.840
<v Speaker 1>were other Starbucks workers at other stores across the country.

0:26:24.119 --> 0:26:28.840
<v Speaker 1>And then you sat workers at a similar service industry jobs,

0:26:28.840 --> 0:26:32.399
<v Speaker 1>different restaurants and different coffee chains. But you're also seeing people,

0:26:32.560 --> 0:26:35.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, Chris is doing some amazing work with with

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 1>Amazon and the workers and factories, and people are just

0:26:40.359 --> 0:26:43.080
<v Speaker 1>wanting to know. I guess kind of the same questions

0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:45.439
<v Speaker 1>that you're asking, why now and what's different? And I

0:26:45.440 --> 0:26:49.639
<v Speaker 1>think what's different is that we were your world was

0:26:49.720 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 1>just put through the ringer, and we're all trying to recover,

0:26:53.320 --> 0:26:55.680
<v Speaker 1>and while we're doing that, we're questioning a lot about

0:26:55.680 --> 0:26:58.600
<v Speaker 1>how we devote and spend most of our time. Now.

0:26:58.760 --> 0:27:01.240
<v Speaker 1>It's a really good point. It's certainly conversation we've had

0:27:01.240 --> 0:27:04.159
<v Speaker 1>many many times here at Bloomberg throughout the pandemic, but

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:08.400
<v Speaker 1>continue in this post pandemic world, not post pandemic, because

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:11.400
<v Speaker 1>it's still out there on pandemic world. Michelle Eisen, thank

0:27:11.440 --> 0:27:14.120
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Congratulations, I mean part of the Bloomberg fifty.

0:27:14.200 --> 0:27:16.920
<v Speaker 1>She mentioned Chris Chris Smalls, who has also been very

0:27:16.960 --> 0:27:20.800
<v Speaker 1>active in labor unionization efforts. Check out the Bloomberg fifty.

0:27:20.920 --> 0:27:30.720
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. I'm roam a journal now, but you

0:27:30.800 --> 0:27:35.480
<v Speaker 1>let me drive no no, no home all night. Please.

0:27:35.600 --> 0:27:41.359
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the Ridings. I want to drive. It's a

0:27:41.400 --> 0:27:51.160
<v Speaker 1>good question. This is the Drive to the Clothes on

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:54.160
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, everybody, just about eleven minutes left

0:27:54.160 --> 0:27:58.879
<v Speaker 1>in today's trading session, wrapping up our simulcast coverage of

0:27:58.960 --> 0:28:03.680
<v Speaker 1>the fed's latest decision, the last FED decision of two

0:28:03.720 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>as expected fifty basis points after four consecutive hikes of

0:28:07.480 --> 0:28:11.880
<v Speaker 1>seventy five bases points. Markets gyrating moving a bit around today, Tim, Yeah,

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:14.200
<v Speaker 1>let's get into it with Alan. Alan Lands. It's time

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:16.080
<v Speaker 1>for our Drive to the close. He's research director at

0:28:16.160 --> 0:28:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Lands Global dot com, president of Allan B. Lanson Associates.

0:28:19.359 --> 0:28:22.560
<v Speaker 1>He joins us this afternoon from Toledo, Ohio. Alan, Good

0:28:22.560 --> 0:28:25.320
<v Speaker 1>to have you back with us. How are you doing well?

0:28:25.359 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Thanks Jim, Well, thanks for joining us. I was just

0:28:27.760 --> 0:28:30.280
<v Speaker 1>talking to Carol a little earlier and I said to her,

0:28:30.320 --> 0:28:32.639
<v Speaker 1>I don't quite get this market gyration that we're seeing

0:28:32.640 --> 0:28:35.040
<v Speaker 1>as a result of what we've heard from FED chair

0:28:35.119 --> 0:28:37.159
<v Speaker 1>j Powell. Today we are seeing the S and P

0:28:37.240 --> 0:28:39.760
<v Speaker 1>five hundred down about six tents of one percent right now.

0:28:39.800 --> 0:28:42.800
<v Speaker 1>But it did move into the green a little earlier

0:28:42.840 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 1>in the day after during the press conference, and then

0:28:45.520 --> 0:28:47.520
<v Speaker 1>moved into the red just in the last half hour.

0:28:48.160 --> 0:28:51.200
<v Speaker 1>What do you make of it. I think there's a

0:28:51.200 --> 0:28:55.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit of information for everybody, and a very similar

0:28:55.440 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 1>to yesterday's you know, as as far as report, we're

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:03.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, initially the headlines look like, oh, inflation is

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 1>is you know peaked, and and and and we don't

0:29:07.160 --> 0:29:09.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's much less of a concern. And when

0:29:09.240 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 1>you started looking at the numbers and he saw the

0:29:11.720 --> 0:29:16.600
<v Speaker 1>consumer inflation rate actually was you know, uh flat, and

0:29:17.080 --> 0:29:20.840
<v Speaker 1>if you take out uh certain items, it was even up.

0:29:20.960 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 1>And and this is the same way I mean Fitcher

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 1>Paul was talking about, you know, being more in restrictive territory,

0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:31.120
<v Speaker 1>and you even mentioned a twenty five basis points on

0:29:31.200 --> 0:29:34.040
<v Speaker 1>the table for for you know, February, so that was

0:29:34.160 --> 0:29:39.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, positive, you know, for for stocks. Yet you know, uh,

0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 1>there are also comments on you know that the inflation

0:29:44.080 --> 0:29:46.360
<v Speaker 1>is going to be sticky and and uh you know,

0:29:46.440 --> 0:29:49.680
<v Speaker 1>especially on the wage front and like on on the

0:29:49.680 --> 0:29:54.240
<v Speaker 1>consumer inflation side that you know that if they're gonna air,

0:29:54.280 --> 0:29:56.640
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna air on the side of caution. So so

0:29:56.680 --> 0:29:59.040
<v Speaker 1>I think you had a little parts for both, uh,

0:29:59.280 --> 0:30:01.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the bulls and the bears. That's why

0:30:01.680 --> 0:30:04.440
<v Speaker 1>you have that that kind of volatility. I know, I

0:30:04.440 --> 0:30:07.360
<v Speaker 1>feel like nitnet. You know. It's interesting. He said, we're

0:30:07.400 --> 0:30:10.600
<v Speaker 1>getting close to that level we think of sufficiently restrictive,

0:30:10.600 --> 0:30:13.200
<v Speaker 1>which kind of says to me, Alan, all right, maybe

0:30:13.240 --> 0:30:15.320
<v Speaker 1>we're getting there to at least the FED stopping in

0:30:15.400 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 1>terms of raising rates. But he also said the FED

0:30:18.200 --> 0:30:21.840
<v Speaker 1>still has quote ways to go, which what does that mean?

0:30:21.920 --> 0:30:24.560
<v Speaker 1>Higher for longer? Like how do we read between the

0:30:25.120 --> 0:30:27.840
<v Speaker 1>lines when I feel like you, like you said, you've

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:29.440
<v Speaker 1>got a little bit of it's a little bit of

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:33.680
<v Speaker 1>a Fed J. Powell buffet. Yeah, it is definitely a carol.

0:30:34.200 --> 0:30:36.239
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think the best thing is is just

0:30:36.320 --> 0:30:38.959
<v Speaker 1>to um. You know, you know you're getting closer to

0:30:38.960 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 1>the end, but you still have that um idea that

0:30:43.920 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 1>you know they're gonna err on the side of caution

0:30:45.760 --> 0:30:49.520
<v Speaker 1>and and you know inflation and higher rates are gonna

0:30:49.520 --> 0:30:52.160
<v Speaker 1>be with us a little bit longer than um. You know,

0:30:52.240 --> 0:30:54.760
<v Speaker 1>people expect or or you know, when you have the

0:30:54.880 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 1>nine point preopening, you know yesterday you know it's just

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:01.480
<v Speaker 1>out or if those are the times you want to

0:31:01.520 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 1>take some profits or light and exposure or risk uh,

0:31:05.000 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 1>and then you know if you get the market slammed, um,

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, take a take advantage of the opportunity. It

0:31:11.360 --> 0:31:13.440
<v Speaker 1>really hasn't been as bad of a year if if

0:31:13.480 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 1>you've been really selective, you know, if you look at

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:18.880
<v Speaker 1>the what we've talked about buying murk, you know this

0:31:18.960 --> 0:31:21.600
<v Speaker 1>summer and deer when when they were low in Goldman

0:31:21.640 --> 0:31:28.160
<v Speaker 1>sacks under three hundred and and um necessarily right, yeah, yeah,

0:31:28.160 --> 0:31:31.680
<v Speaker 1>I think anything sixty fort allocation or owning, you know,

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:34.200
<v Speaker 1>and I still think it is going to be difficult

0:31:34.240 --> 0:31:36.760
<v Speaker 1>as far as for passive investing. But if if you're

0:31:36.800 --> 0:31:40.120
<v Speaker 1>selective and disciplined, it really hasn't been you know, that

0:31:40.280 --> 0:31:42.640
<v Speaker 1>that bad a year. You've had some income opportunities with

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:45.320
<v Speaker 1>energy and and now I think, you know, the interesting

0:31:45.360 --> 0:31:48.320
<v Speaker 1>thing we've always talked interest in dividends and and you know,

0:31:48.560 --> 0:31:52.400
<v Speaker 1>high quality. I think with some of these good quality

0:31:52.440 --> 0:31:55.479
<v Speaker 1>companies that don't pay dividends that have just been totally

0:31:55.480 --> 0:32:00.960
<v Speaker 1>slam se, I think there's some good opportunities there that investors,

0:32:01.040 --> 0:32:04.160
<v Speaker 1>if there's tax less selling or or further pressure, uh

0:32:04.280 --> 0:32:06.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, pressure can if they have a two three

0:32:06.720 --> 0:32:08.920
<v Speaker 1>year time frame, can can really make a lot of money.

0:32:08.960 --> 0:32:12.040
<v Speaker 1>So so it's contrary to what most people are saying.

0:32:12.080 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 1>But again, I think that's where investors will make more

0:32:15.880 --> 0:32:18.640
<v Speaker 1>the most money in three and the risk reward isn't

0:32:18.680 --> 0:32:21.239
<v Speaker 1>that bad because these some of those companies have been

0:32:21.240 --> 0:32:24.280
<v Speaker 1>slammed so much and and have opportunity, not all of

0:32:24.280 --> 0:32:28.240
<v Speaker 1>them just by across the board because they're down. So

0:32:28.640 --> 0:32:31.200
<v Speaker 1>what did you make make of the update of the

0:32:31.200 --> 0:32:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Summary of Economic Projections that showed a revision of the

0:32:33.680 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 1>terminal rate to five point one percent reached last year.

0:32:37.960 --> 0:32:40.840
<v Speaker 1>Is that still optimistic in your in your head given

0:32:40.840 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 1>that we're still seeing inflation and generational highs right now. Yeah,

0:32:45.920 --> 0:32:47.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, but it's it's it's reachable. I mean, if

0:32:47.880 --> 0:32:50.480
<v Speaker 1>you if you looked him at a quarter point in February,

0:32:50.600 --> 0:32:52.720
<v Speaker 1>then then we're very you know, very close. So I

0:32:52.760 --> 0:32:55.800
<v Speaker 1>think it's a situation where you know that that is

0:32:56.280 --> 0:32:59.720
<v Speaker 1>one of the areas where investors can take a little

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:03.360
<v Speaker 1>for um and um, you know, might be feeling that

0:33:03.440 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 1>we're close to the end, but but I really think

0:33:06.760 --> 0:33:10.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, as we get into three that um, you

0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:13.680
<v Speaker 1>know that that this euphoria that you know it's behind

0:33:13.760 --> 0:33:18.160
<v Speaker 1>and you've got peak inflation, you know, behind us et cetera.

0:33:18.320 --> 0:33:21.760
<v Speaker 1>There's gonna be pockets of of inflation and the you

0:33:21.800 --> 0:33:24.720
<v Speaker 1>look at the weight in the consumer areas, Um, you

0:33:24.760 --> 0:33:27.960
<v Speaker 1>know they're gonna uh as far as you know, and

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:31.400
<v Speaker 1>even today he mentioned that, you know, we're you know,

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:36.800
<v Speaker 1>it's very difficult, you know, if we loosen too soon. Um.

0:33:36.920 --> 0:33:38.800
<v Speaker 1>So to the to me, that just tells you that,

0:33:38.920 --> 0:33:42.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, even if if we're where we're supposed to be, uh,

0:33:42.800 --> 0:33:44.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, there might be a pause and we'll keep

0:33:44.560 --> 0:33:48.160
<v Speaker 1>it higher for longer. And you know from the talk,

0:33:48.200 --> 0:33:50.520
<v Speaker 1>was that going to lower it? And I really don't

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:53.000
<v Speaker 1>see that, you know, as as far as the foreseeable future.

0:33:53.200 --> 0:33:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Do you think um J. Powell and the f O

0:33:55.560 --> 0:33:59.320
<v Speaker 1>m C are wrong to continue on their path for

0:33:59.360 --> 0:34:04.320
<v Speaker 1>that two percent inflation target? Is that not real considering

0:34:04.360 --> 0:34:10.279
<v Speaker 1>maybe that the global macroeconomic environment has changed. Yeah, I

0:34:10.560 --> 0:34:13.759
<v Speaker 1>think if he's stubborn on on that, Um, that's where

0:34:13.760 --> 0:34:17.520
<v Speaker 1>you get that, you know, higher for longer, and and

0:34:17.520 --> 0:34:21.000
<v Speaker 1>and and a real difficult environment where you could even

0:34:21.200 --> 0:34:24.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, not be talking you know, a slight recession,

0:34:24.480 --> 0:34:26.480
<v Speaker 1>but something worse. And I think that's in the back

0:34:26.520 --> 0:34:30.080
<v Speaker 1>of the mind minds of investors. So so so that

0:34:30.400 --> 0:34:32.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think we'll always you know, and we

0:34:32.480 --> 0:34:37.840
<v Speaker 1>started the year saying there's a ceiling and on valuations

0:34:37.880 --> 0:34:40.560
<v Speaker 1>and and and to be cautious and and that's why,

0:34:40.719 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 1>even with the market down so much, I still think

0:34:44.520 --> 0:34:47.600
<v Speaker 1>there's a ceiling on valuations because of that, Carol, what's

0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:52.759
<v Speaker 1>that ceiling? You know, the trading range that you've seen, um,

0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:54.920
<v Speaker 1>you know of late you know, like we're testing and

0:34:54.920 --> 0:34:57.440
<v Speaker 1>it looked like if if the market you know, held

0:34:57.440 --> 0:35:01.000
<v Speaker 1>their free market games yesterday, uh, you know, we could

0:35:01.040 --> 0:35:04.480
<v Speaker 1>could finally be breaking through you know, some some twouter

0:35:04.600 --> 0:35:07.520
<v Speaker 1>day moving averages and and and and look, you know,

0:35:07.600 --> 0:35:10.879
<v Speaker 1>more positive on the longer term front. And every time

0:35:10.960 --> 0:35:14.480
<v Speaker 1>we get close to those type of areas the market,

0:35:14.600 --> 0:35:17.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, faith's back, and and you know it's one

0:35:17.040 --> 0:35:19.920
<v Speaker 1>reason or another, whether it's such your fall or or

0:35:20.680 --> 0:35:24.719
<v Speaker 1>as far as something going on geo politically. But I think, uh,

0:35:25.120 --> 0:35:27.040
<v Speaker 1>you know that that says a lot, you know, just

0:35:27.200 --> 0:35:33.799
<v Speaker 1>even from a technical standpoint. All right, So well, you know,

0:35:33.920 --> 0:35:36.440
<v Speaker 1>we're halfway through December, we're getting ready to wrap up

0:35:36.440 --> 0:35:38.600
<v Speaker 1>the new year. It's funny we've been talking with our

0:35:38.640 --> 0:35:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week team for some of our year end

0:35:41.120 --> 0:35:44.239
<v Speaker 1>wrap up shows and how many of the stories that

0:35:44.280 --> 0:35:46.680
<v Speaker 1>are going to stay with us, whether it's business stories,

0:35:46.719 --> 0:35:52.200
<v Speaker 1>individuals and Elon Musk, a Twitter crypto, or global inflation

0:35:52.320 --> 0:35:56.960
<v Speaker 1>that just stays with us into does the conversation around

0:35:56.960 --> 0:36:01.239
<v Speaker 1>global monetary policy change significantly? Do you think ultimately in

0:36:02.200 --> 0:36:05.400
<v Speaker 1>which would then mean something different for valuations and just

0:36:05.480 --> 0:36:10.440
<v Speaker 1>kind about a minute left here, Yeah, I think you know,

0:36:10.640 --> 0:36:12.600
<v Speaker 1>it definitely could. And that's why you want to be

0:36:12.800 --> 0:36:15.400
<v Speaker 1>selective and you want to be a passive investor, you know.

0:36:15.520 --> 0:36:18.040
<v Speaker 1>So so I think you know, take advantage of it.

0:36:18.080 --> 0:36:20.040
<v Speaker 1>You know, you're buying a couple of like you know,

0:36:20.200 --> 0:36:24.239
<v Speaker 1>genera at that you know down you know last week

0:36:24.239 --> 0:36:26.879
<v Speaker 1>traded in the high eighties and you know you still

0:36:26.920 --> 0:36:30.360
<v Speaker 1>got a fifteen multiple. It's growing and and uh again

0:36:30.560 --> 0:36:33.040
<v Speaker 1>very unusual for us. It doesn't have a dividend. But

0:36:33.120 --> 0:36:36.000
<v Speaker 1>I think you know, those are are the opportunities, just

0:36:36.080 --> 0:36:39.719
<v Speaker 1>like you know deer in Golden Sax and and uh

0:36:39.800 --> 0:36:42.279
<v Speaker 1>you know Mark were the good opportunities you know, four

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:44.919
<v Speaker 1>or five months ago. So so I think that's gonna

0:36:44.920 --> 0:36:47.600
<v Speaker 1>be the most important thing for for your listeners, um,

0:36:48.320 --> 0:36:51.560
<v Speaker 1>rather than the mackerel. Well, Allen have a good New

0:36:51.640 --> 0:36:54.600
<v Speaker 1>Year and happy holidays. Allen Lancer at lants Global dot

0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:58.000
<v Speaker 1>com joining us on the phone from Toledo, Ohio. Thanks

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:00.600
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week down the the podcast

0:37:00.640 --> 0:37:03.840
<v Speaker 1>on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com. You can also

0:37:03.880 --> 0:37:06.279
<v Speaker 1>listen to our radio show at two pm Eastern on

0:37:06.360 --> 0:37:09.879
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio, or watch us live on YouTube and now

0:37:09.920 --> 0:37:11.239
<v Speaker 1>also on Bloomberg quick Take