Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. This meet Joey Paid, Joe Pi Zapia, and
Speaker 1: it's time to look ahead for some of the early
Speaker 1: line value. In Week three in the NFL, we still
Speaker 1: got to Monday night games ahead of us, and of
Speaker 1: course we're always here Monday night football at five pm.
Speaker 1: Easter's got bogging myself. We're gonna take you through those games.
Speaker 1: But it's time to already look ahead. A lot of
Speaker 1: injuries are gonna impact a lot of these games, say
Speaker 1: Kwan Barkley's injury, David Montgomery's injury, a whole lot of injuries,
Speaker 1: and maybe there's some opportunity where that lies. Of course,
Speaker 1: help me do it. Sam Hoppin is back again. We're
Speaker 1: seeing you what the Sammy Boys got for everybody today.
Speaker 1: Pat Fitzmorris is always joining me on the program to
Speaker 1: look ahead. And just a reminder, as you guys are
Speaker 1: all here watching the show on YouTube listening, make sure
Speaker 1: you subscribe to the channel. That's how you do it,
Speaker 1: and click that bell till it goes ding for notifications
Speaker 1: because we're giving away free stuff here all the time.
Speaker 1: Let's start with the first game straight out of the gate.
Speaker 1: We got some controversy because well, the New York Football
Speaker 1: Giants have not gone off to the great start of
Speaker 1: the year. Certainly a butt kicking in the first game.
Speaker 1: The second game, down considerably at halftime to the Arizona
Speaker 1: Cardinals on the road, granted, but still then of course
Speaker 1: the comeback victory, but at the cost of Saquon Barkley
Speaker 1: Pat fitz Morris. Here we go. The San Francisco forty
Speaker 1: nine Ers are ten point favorites in this game. I'm
Speaker 1: sure some of the Saquon news could even see this
Speaker 1: line continue to grow. The total is forty five right
Speaker 1: now in this short week with eight without Saquon, is
Speaker 1: hard to make an argument for the Giants, and the
Speaker 1: forty nine Ers might be looking like the best team
Speaker 1: in the NFC. Your thoughts on any value here? Do
Speaker 1: you want to lock in this ten because it might
Speaker 1: grow in the days ahead?
Speaker 2: You would think that ten points the forty nine Ers
Speaker 2: would look good as a favorite here, Joe. I mean,
Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers are one of the three I
Speaker 2: think elite teams in the NFC, the others being the
Speaker 2: Eagles and Cowboys. And we saw the Cowboys swab the
Speaker 2: deck with the Giants in Week one forty to nothing,
Speaker 2: you know, with the Giants being at home. So now
Speaker 2: the Giants have to go on the road. Stay on
Speaker 2: the road, I guess, since they were just in Arizona.
Speaker 2: But here's the thing. I could see this game being
Speaker 2: played around the ten point mark. And I just got
Speaker 2: burned on a Thursday night game with a backdoor cover
Speaker 2: last week when I thought the Eagles were a great
Speaker 2: beat against the Vikings at minus six and a half,
Speaker 2: and you know, the Vikings score late to make it
Speaker 2: a six point game and I lose that bet. So
Speaker 2: I'm a little gun shy. And Thursday night football can
Speaker 2: be a little quirky. You know, we know this. So
Speaker 2: maybe I don't know. Maybe the forty nine ers just
Speaker 2: aren't clicking offensively in Week three the way they have
Speaker 2: been so far. I'm not sure. I'm probably not going
Speaker 2: to play this game, although who am I kidding? It's
Speaker 2: a Thursday night staying alone game. I'm probably gonna end
Speaker 2: up playing this game.
Speaker 1: Well, look, last week I locked in the early line
Speaker 1: with the Vikings before it moved, and it did, so
Speaker 1: I was happy about that Vikings the moment there at
Speaker 1: the end. But Sam, look, I think the more time
Speaker 1: people have to marry it on this and how bad
Speaker 1: the Giant have been to start the season. Let's be honest,
Speaker 1: this seems like a really tough road for them on
Speaker 1: this Thursday night game, especially having to go on the road.
Speaker 1: I like the ten. I want to lock it in. Now,
Speaker 1: what do you think it's tough?
Speaker 3: I mean, I think the Saquon news is obviously going
Speaker 3: to impact this a little bit. I don't think he plays.
Speaker 3: The thing is New York has been pretty good this
Speaker 3: year at running the ball. There fourth in rushing success rate,
Speaker 3: while the San Francisco defense is thirtieth in success rate
Speaker 3: allowed on the ground. But again, I don't expect Saquan
Speaker 3: to play. I prefer the under here. I think this
Speaker 3: is a game where the Giants just really aren't going
Speaker 3: to be able to score that much. Of New York
Speaker 3: Giants are allowing forty five percent pressure rate, which is
Speaker 3: the fourth worst, while the San Francisco defense has a
Speaker 3: forty one percent pressure rate. The Giants could be without
Speaker 3: Andrew Thomas and Ben Braidson again, so I think this
Speaker 3: could be a thirty to nothing blowout type game, which
Speaker 3: I guess would would lean me towards taking the points
Speaker 3: for the Niners. But I just don't think the Giants
Speaker 3: have anything to be able to push this game over.
Speaker 1: I agree, I think the under is a really good
Speaker 1: point there. And this is worry about that Giants offense
Speaker 1: without Saquon, what that looks like with Matt Briden whoever
Speaker 1: else they decide to use running the football. And then look,
Speaker 1: I see this one being by the time we get
Speaker 1: to game time, like twelve and a half, Like, I
Speaker 1: think this is gonna be where it is, So I
Speaker 1: like san Fran at twenty ten. Now give me san Fran,
Speaker 1: give me the ten. Let's go. They're gonna beat up
Speaker 1: on the Giants. Moving on to the next game. Here,
Speaker 1: as we start to transition onto the Sunday games, we
Speaker 1: have the Indianapolis Colts uncertainty there with Anthony Richardson inconcussion protocol.
Speaker 1: We'll see how things go ahead for him, but as
Speaker 1: of right now, traveling to Baltimore, this number on betting
Speaker 1: pros right now, so you can get Baltimore minus eight
Speaker 1: and a half over at bet MGM and sugar House
Speaker 1: plus seven and a half for the Indianapolis Colts. The
Speaker 1: forty four and a half. Sam is where this number
Speaker 1: kind of lies if you like in for the upset.
Speaker 1: If Richardson is healthy, you can lock this in at
Speaker 1: plus three thirty. But it feels like this might be
Speaker 1: one we have to wait on some clarity. Gardner Minshew, though,
Speaker 1: I mean, is gonna be Gardner Minshew. He's going to
Speaker 1: have his moments obviously where he can certainly keep it competitive.
Speaker 1: Do you think that he keeps you competitive enough here
Speaker 1: that you think the Colts can go in here and
Speaker 1: maybe keep this close with the Baltimore Ravens.
Speaker 3: If Richardson is playing, I do think they can keep
Speaker 3: it close. That eight points is a lot for a
Speaker 3: Ravens team that has played well so far this year.
Speaker 3: They ranked sixth in success rate on offense and sixth
Speaker 3: and success rate allowed on defense. But I just think
Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson is so dynamic. Obviously the Ravens might know
Speaker 3: how to play it, given they have Lamar Jackson on
Speaker 3: the other side. I do think the over in this
Speaker 3: game is intriguing. If we find out that Richardson is
Speaker 3: going to play at the Colts continue to play extremely fast,
Speaker 3: have the fifth highest no huddle rate, the third quickest
Speaker 3: seconds per play, So I like the over. I'm not
Speaker 3: touching the points yet without knowing what the status of
Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson is, makes.
Speaker 1: A lot of sense. Fits what's your take on this
Speaker 1: game with the uncertainty of Richardson.
Speaker 2: I generally like betting the Ravens at home, especially when
Speaker 2: I feel like they're the superior team. I just wonder, like,
Speaker 2: is there any value to getting this at eight points?
Speaker 2: Because what is the Colt's incentive to hurry back their
Speaker 2: franchise quarterback for a tough road game when they're not
Speaker 2: going anywhere? Like they have no designs in a playoff
Speaker 2: spot there ETA is twenty twenty four and beyond, So
Speaker 2: I'm almost interested in grabbing this at eight. Like, I
Speaker 2: think the Ravens have a chance to cover it even
Speaker 2: if Richardson does play, but I think there's a pretty
Speaker 2: good chance the Colts exercise caution with Richardson and maybe
Speaker 2: hold him out a week now.
Speaker 1: This is a very important game obviously to keep an
Speaker 1: eye on the lines, and the best way to do that,
Speaker 1: don't forget, is always using that BP app because we
Speaker 1: have the line alerts, so you could set the notifications
Speaker 1: for certain games. This would be one of them too,
Speaker 1: as things will fluctuate depending on the health of Richardson
Speaker 1: if Minschew's in. So set your game notifications and then
Speaker 1: once that line changes, you'll get the update notification right
Speaker 1: to your phone Boom. You can make the bets, but
Speaker 1: again use the line alerts over on the VP app.
Speaker 1: It's very important. Let's get to the next bit of
Speaker 1: business here. The next game on the slate, the Tennessee Titans,
Speaker 1: coming off their first victory Cleveland, is going to play
Speaker 1: tonight on Monday night. As we're recording this in the
Speaker 1: morning on Monday. So far it looks like four and
Speaker 1: a half with Cleveland being the favorite. We'll see if
Speaker 1: that makes any impact after tonight's game. For forty one
Speaker 1: and a half, you're getting this number somewhere on FANDUL
Speaker 1: and Sugarhouse in that range. Not surprising here, Fitz, We'll
Speaker 1: start with you on this one. Tennessee Titans looked much better.
Speaker 1: Tannehill looked much better. I know the Chargers are always
Speaker 1: a frustrating team, we know that. But the Cleveland defense
Speaker 1: I think is for real. I think we all agree.
Speaker 1: So how do you want to approach this one? Do
Speaker 1: you see any early value in this game.
Speaker 2: I'm looking at the under, Joe. Yeah, two teams that
Speaker 2: like to run the ball a lot. Like I don't
Speaker 2: know how much I believe in the Titans defense overall,
Speaker 2: but I believe in the run defense, and we know
Speaker 2: the Browns want to run the ball. So I think
Speaker 2: it's two teams that are going to try to run
Speaker 2: quite a bit, and I don't know how successful they're
Speaker 2: going to be doing it. So yeah, the under is
Speaker 2: calling to me. I'm not really interested in the line.
Speaker 2: I just I don't like laying a lot of points
Speaker 2: to a Mike Rabel team. I get nervous about that.
Speaker 2: And I do think the Browns are good, but I
Speaker 2: don't know, like the degree to which they are good, Like,
Speaker 2: I don't know if they're good like contend for conference
Speaker 2: championship or just good enough to maybe sneak into the playoffs.
Speaker 1: To that point, Sam, the plus one to eighty money
Speaker 1: line right now on Tennessee is really what's intriguing me.
Speaker 1: Like this is almost two to one. You're getting on this,
Speaker 1: and I think this could be one of those games
Speaker 1: just like it teams like most as what have we
Speaker 1: learned about the Titans they're gonna play close games. That's
Speaker 1: the first two weeks of the seasons. What it told.
Speaker 1: It's abo how good they play, how bad they play,
Speaker 1: they're going to kind of be in it because they're
Speaker 1: well coached. Does that for you mean that maybe people
Speaker 1: should start to pivot their attention to that money line number.
Speaker 3: I'm on an island here. I like the Browns in
Speaker 3: this game. I think their defense is possibly a top
Speaker 3: five unit right now. Obviously have the game to play tonight,
Speaker 3: but I think the Tannehill we saw this past week
Speaker 3: against the Chargers is more the exception than what's going
Speaker 3: to be the rule this year with facing a what's
Speaker 3: a terrible Chargers defense, and I think there were a
Speaker 3: couple of coaching blunders from the Chargers side of things
Speaker 3: that let the Titans win that game. So I'd be
Speaker 3: laying the points here With Cleveland. I think their offense
Speaker 3: still has some stuff to figure out, but I don't
Speaker 3: think Tennessee's defense is really that good that they can
Speaker 3: stifle the Browns offense. So I'm laying the Browns year
Speaker 3: with the points. Might wait a little bit just to
Speaker 3: see if this number creeps down to maybe minus three,
Speaker 3: but I think at minus four, it's still a solid
Speaker 3: value right now.
Speaker 1: The Denver Broncos. Maybe they would be to and oh
Speaker 1: if he only played half of a game of football,
Speaker 1: But it seems like a second half struggle bus there
Speaker 1: for the Denver Broncos. They seem to have a hard
Speaker 1: time there keeping any leads. And of course now they
Speaker 1: have to go to Miami this week, could take on
Speaker 1: Tyreek Kill two thousand. They might be without Chris o'lave
Speaker 1: I'm just excuse not Chris Olavea. Jalen Wattle, pardon me.
Speaker 1: At some point this week we'll see more information coming
Speaker 1: out there on his injury. But the Denver Broncos, regardless,
Speaker 1: it's been a very frustrating I think opening to the
Speaker 1: season for them. They're going to go on the road
Speaker 1: in this game. Sam the number so far six and
Speaker 1: a half over at sugar House. Forty six and a
Speaker 1: half is the total. It's hard to necessarily think that
Speaker 1: you're not going to get Miami in this victory here.
Speaker 1: But do you think that Denver is going to continue
Speaker 1: to get better as the season goes on here and
Speaker 1: learn from some of these mistakes or is this a
Speaker 1: Miami blowout? Basically from what the lines are telling us
Speaker 1: early on.
Speaker 3: I do think this team is that the Broncos that
Speaker 3: is going to get better. But this Dolphins offense is
Speaker 3: just so good man. I mean their first or second
Speaker 3: in EPA per play, success rate, EPA per drive, all
Speaker 3: the passing stats as well, like they are clicking on
Speaker 3: all cylinders. I don't think the Broncos defenses is nearly
Speaker 3: as bad as they've shown, but they're also not I
Speaker 3: don't think good enough to be holding back this Dolphins offense.
Speaker 3: I love the Dolphins in this spot. I think you
Speaker 3: could pare it well with the over because the Broncos
Speaker 3: are have a seemingly competent offense right now, at least
Speaker 3: that's what they show. Russell Wilson had some of those
Speaker 3: prototypical deep pall deep ball airwell passes against the Commanders
Speaker 3: this past week, so I I do think that this
Speaker 3: game could be a shootout potential, but expect Miami to
Speaker 3: come away with the victory.
Speaker 1: Pat. What's yours perspective here? It does feel like Miami
Speaker 1: is a lot to handle and defensively, Look, Denver Key's
Speaker 1: given up a lead, so let's just call it what
Speaker 1: it is. As good as their defense is supposed to
Speaker 1: be on paper, they're giving up points and the commanders,
Speaker 1: they give it up points to the Raiders, you know,
Speaker 1: teams that we don't think they of as elite offenses necessarily.
Speaker 1: So what's your take on this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the interesting thing. Denver had one of the
Speaker 2: better pass defenses in the league in twenty twenty two,
Speaker 2: and they have not looked that way. They managed to
Speaker 2: make Sam Howell look like Joe thisman in Week two.
Speaker 2: So Denver has been disappointing. But I don't think they're
Speaker 2: one of the truly bad, truly odious teams of the NFL.
Speaker 2: They are not like dregs of the league bad. So
Speaker 2: seven is uh? It feels like a lot to lay here.
Speaker 2: I'm probably just staying away from either side, and as
Speaker 2: much as I want to like the under here, thinking
Speaker 2: that Denver might be equipped to, if not totally short
Speaker 2: circuit the Miami passing attack, at least slow it down
Speaker 2: a little bit, especially if Waddell doesn't play. I don't know,
Speaker 2: based on what we've seen and based on what we
Speaker 2: saw them allow Sam Howell to do in week two,
Speaker 2: I don't know if I can go there either. So
Speaker 2: I'm probably not going to touch this game.
Speaker 1: The next one here the New York Jets come back
Speaker 1: home take on the New England Patriots. Very low total here,
Speaker 1: thirty eight is this number here which I can understand.
Speaker 1: The last time these two teams met up, the final
Speaker 1: last November was ten to three. The time before that
Speaker 1: twenty two to seventeen. So I think this is why
Speaker 1: you're getting that thirty eight number. The New England Patriots
Speaker 1: are two point road favorites in this game. Here fits
Speaker 1: I agree that the New Englan patriotshould be favored in
Speaker 1: this game. I look at that thirty eight though, and
Speaker 1: that is a very low number. So do you think
Speaker 1: that is too low that we should be betting that
Speaker 1: over now? Or do you think maybe these two offenses
Speaker 1: really are going to live up to the expectations of
Speaker 1: what we said so far. I think the Pats, though,
Speaker 1: are getting better. I really do. What do you think?
Speaker 1: What do you take away the last two weeks of
Speaker 1: both of these teams?
Speaker 2: I want to smash the under here, Joe. Thirty eight.
Speaker 2: I mean it feels like I think it's I'm finding
Speaker 2: it hard to see how these teams get this game
Speaker 2: past thirty. I mean, I really do believe in the
Speaker 2: Jets defense. I think it's legit, and I think the
Speaker 2: Patriots offense has its limitations. And what did you tell me,
Speaker 2: Joe before backstage when we were talking about this game
Speaker 2: and I was kind of surprised the Patriots were road favorites.
Speaker 2: You reminded me about well Bill Belichick and you know,
Speaker 2: sub tier below average quarterbacks and maybe Zach Wilson's history
Speaker 2: against the Patriots.
Speaker 1: Yeah, lots of turnovers, three interceptions in that one game
Speaker 1: last year, and then a whole lot of other problems
Speaker 1: in the other one. But that's that's the thing, Sam, Like,
Speaker 1: you know, you're looking at what historically Bill Belichick has
Speaker 1: done to some of those lesser to your quarterbacks or
Speaker 1: youthful quarterbacks, and he has given them so many confusing
Speaker 1: looks that it does make it very difficult. And I know,
Speaker 1: you know the Jets were going to be heavy underdogs
Speaker 1: last week against Dallas. We all knew that. So in
Speaker 1: your opinion, do they get home and can they pull
Speaker 1: off an upset here?
Speaker 3: I mean, I think the Jets certainly can pull off
Speaker 3: the upset. One of my favorite picks for this game
Speaker 3: is teasing the new York Jets out to plus eight.
Speaker 3: That gets you through the three and seven. Again, you've
Speaker 3: talked about how this is a super low total, which
Speaker 3: means the game is likely going to be extremely close.
Speaker 3: The Jets defense is for real in my opinion, that
Speaker 3: the Cowboys played pretty well against them this past week,
Speaker 3: but again they're they're just stopping. They stopped the Buffalo Bills,
Speaker 3: who again played excellent this past week, and so I
Speaker 3: the only thing I wonder about with betting the under
Speaker 3: is New York or excuse me, New England has played
Speaker 3: pretty fast this year, and that may be because of
Speaker 3: the game scripts that they've been in, having to push
Speaker 3: the pace try to catch up against the Dolphins and
Speaker 3: the Eagles. But I don't think their offense is peak
Speaker 3: right now. I think there's still room for improvement. So
Speaker 3: I think they just keep it close and this could
Speaker 3: go either way.
Speaker 1: All right. By the way, everybody, if you're watching on
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Speaker 1: Let's get to the next game. Here on our list
Speaker 1: the Houston Texans with CJ. Stroud going against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Speaker 1: And this is an interesting one, Sam, I've got my
Speaker 1: eye on this one. I like what I've seen that
Speaker 1: c J. Stroud is competing. He is trying to get
Speaker 1: out there and compete with what he's got. He might
Speaker 1: not have a lot, but I think this is an
Speaker 1: interesting work in progress. I don't think he's got any
Speaker 1: quitting him. The number here is forty five and a
Speaker 1: half over on FanDuel. Currently the spread for this game
Speaker 1: you're looking at you can get plus nine on DK
Speaker 1: for the Houston side, minus nine and a half on
Speaker 1: sugar House. And this is why you use the VP
Speaker 1: app because you can make sure you're getting all the
Speaker 1: best lines wherever you go. So you know Jacksonville had
Speaker 1: a tall task ahead of them last week. Do you
Speaker 1: think Jacksonville just completely rolls Houston or can Houston actually
Speaker 1: keep this one a little closer than that nine? In
Speaker 1: your opinion, Sam.
Speaker 3: I do think they can keep it close. The Jaguars
Speaker 3: have a twenty four percent pressure rate, which is thirty
Speaker 3: thirtieth in the league on defense, and CJ. Stroud's numbers
Speaker 3: with and without pressure have been extremely stark. He's been
Speaker 3: much better with a clean pocket, obviously, but it is very,
Speaker 3: very bad when he is under pressure. So if Jacksonville
Speaker 3: came get home, I think CJ. Stroud has an opportunity
Speaker 3: to pick apart this Jaguars defense. In the game this
Speaker 3: past Sunday, the Jaguars went I think zero for four
Speaker 3: in the red zone, like they were just terrible in
Speaker 3: the red zone, couldn't finish drives, and I think they'll
Speaker 3: be able to do that against Houston's defense. So I
Speaker 3: think Houston can keep it close. I think this is
Speaker 3: another opportunity again to possibly tease tease Jacksonville down to
Speaker 3: minus two and a half.
Speaker 1: Okay, interesting, Now, I do agree that Houston could keep
Speaker 1: this close. Pat I'm not looking for Houston from pulling
Speaker 1: off the upset here, but I do think there's something
Speaker 1: for the Jags. You know, you come out there, you
Speaker 1: win that big first game on the road, and then
Speaker 1: you have the Kansasity Chiefs. I feel like they could
Speaker 1: be a little bit of a letdown here in this
Speaker 1: one where you start to relax a little bit, saying, ah,
Speaker 1: Houston's come into town, and you roll your eyes a
Speaker 1: little bit, and this game ends up being a little
Speaker 1: closer than you think. I like the nine on the
Speaker 1: Houston side, But what are your thoughts on this one? Pat?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the Jaguars struggled for part of Week
Speaker 2: one with the Colts, and then you know, the offense
Speaker 2: did not look crisp against the Chiefs. We thought we
Speaker 2: might get a shootout in that game, didn't get one.
Speaker 2: To Sam's point about CJ. Stroud's the stark difference between
Speaker 2: him under pressure and with a clean pocket. I'll be
Speaker 2: interested to see what the injury report looks like for
Speaker 2: the Texans and their offensive line. Like they've had a
Speaker 2: lot of banged up offensive linemen. If they start to
Speaker 2: get some of those guys back, maybe that's an argument
Speaker 2: to be made for taking the points here, because I
Speaker 2: don't know if the jag should be really giving nine
Speaker 2: points to anyone outside of maybe the Arizona Cardinals right
Speaker 2: now and CJ. Stroud overall. You know, even if the
Speaker 2: results haven't been as good with pressure, he's been impressive,
Speaker 2: like he is the real deal. So I don't know this.
Speaker 2: It seems like it's a little bit much to me.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's move on to the next one. Here, the
Speaker 1: Detroit Lions came home the conquering heroes, but unfortunately went
Speaker 1: home with a loss in overtime to the Seattle Seahawks.
Speaker 1: The Atlanta Falcons, however, they are too and zero. They're
Speaker 1: going to go to Detroit.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 1: Detroy is going to be without David Montgomery in this game.
Speaker 1: We know that, so you're going to see maybe some
Speaker 1: more Jamier Gibbs working or some Reynolds working, So it's
Speaker 1: gonna be a little different committee there. The Falcons are
Speaker 1: four and a half point underdogs here, which I think
Speaker 1: sounds right to me. Fitz forty six and a half
Speaker 1: is the number on this one gets some really great
Speaker 1: moments from John Robinson again. Last week, Raiders starting to
Speaker 1: look a little bit more comfortable throwing the football again.
Speaker 1: It's not perfect, but starting to look a little bit
Speaker 1: more confident as things go by. Do you think that
Speaker 1: the Lions just roll and bounce back here against the
Speaker 1: Falcons or do you see any value here where the
Speaker 1: Falcons maybe give the Lions all they can handle.
Speaker 2: I think the Falcons could give the Lions all they
Speaker 2: can handle. I mean, the Lions just got diced up
Speaker 2: by a Seattle Seahawks offense that was missing its two
Speaker 2: starting offensive tackles like that was kind of an alarming
Speaker 2: defensive performance by the Lions. So I actually sort of
Speaker 2: like the over in this one. And I kind of
Speaker 2: like the Falcons in any game against a non elite
Speaker 2: team where they're getting more than a field goal, which
Speaker 2: is the case here. I mean, I think the Falcons
Speaker 2: are just built to play in these close games and
Speaker 2: you know, keep it close, and I think they're going
Speaker 2: to do that here in Detroit.
Speaker 1: Well, I think whenever you have explosive playmakers too, like
Speaker 1: when you have the b Jeon Robinson's of the world,
Speaker 1: you have the Jamior Gibbs, like all of a sudden,
Speaker 1: these totals are never say forty six and a half
Speaker 1: is a good number, but I'm kind of where fits
Speaker 1: is here. I like this over in the forty six
Speaker 1: and a half minus one ten, you can get this
Speaker 1: a fan duel. What are your thoughts though about this
Speaker 1: forty six and a half in this game, Sam, and
Speaker 1: the spread as well.
Speaker 3: I think the over is the play here as well.
Speaker 3: Both defenses have shown a little bit of spunk. Obviously,
Speaker 3: the Lions basically, you know, shutting down the Chiefs offense.
Speaker 3: But I think the there was obviously there were a
Speaker 3: lot of drops that we talked about last week, but
Speaker 3: then got diced up again. To Pat's point, against the Seahawks,
Speaker 3: the Falcons defense again played well against rookie CJ. Stroud,
Speaker 3: but then played a not so great against future Hall
Speaker 3: of Famer Jordan Love. And I think Atlanta I.
Speaker 1: Can just slip that in there, future hall of Fame.
Speaker 1: I told Pat this morning when we did the Waiver
Speaker 1: Wire Show and Fantasy Bros. I said, I think the
Speaker 1: Packers are going to win this division. Pat, I have
Speaker 1: not bet anybody yet. I think the Packers are going
Speaker 1: to figure that out. So yeah, maybe the Hall of Fame.
Speaker 1: But I like where you're going here. Go ahead, keep going, Sammy.
Speaker 3: In any case, I do think Green Bay lost that
Speaker 3: game Sunday more than Atlanta ended up winning the game.
Speaker 3: So I'm Onlons minus four here. I think their offense
Speaker 3: is legit. I think they can again tear apart this
Speaker 3: this Falcons defense despite some of the additions they've made
Speaker 3: this offseason. So again the over and Detroit minus four
Speaker 3: right now, for me, that's.
Speaker 1: A good pick there. I like where Sam's heads at all. Right,
Speaker 1: make sure when you're making picks two that you're getting
Speaker 1: something out of it. So if you haven't already joined
Speaker 1: the NFL contest, I keep telling everybody to do it.
Speaker 1: It's a great fun thing. It's free, and you're getting
Speaker 1: free stuff just for picking games every week. You don't
Speaker 1: do anything to just make picks. That's it. Bettingpros dot
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Speaker 1: you just go to the community tab in the app
Speaker 1: and you just go and join the NFL Contest that way.
Speaker 1: We're giving away a grand prize with the Jackson Smith
Speaker 1: and Jigbit jersey autographed by JSN himself, and then we've
Speaker 1: also got some other prizes, weekly prizes, monthly prizes, free
Speaker 1: swag from betting pros from Fantasy Pros and also free
Speaker 1: premium upgrades to each as well. So get in there,
Speaker 1: get in that NFL contest, Join it today. It's free,
Speaker 1: it's fun. Don't you like free stuff? Everybody likes free stuff. Sam,
Speaker 1: Sam loves free stuff. I mean all the free stuff.
Speaker 1: Sam's got a whole closet in his house just full
Speaker 1: of all the free stuff since he came over and
Speaker 1: started working for us, all the free stuff we've been given.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next game here on
Speaker 1: our list. Here after Detroit, we go to Green Bay.
Speaker 1: I'm here with the two cheeseheads. This would be fun.
Speaker 1: So green Bay at home. Hall of Famer to be.
Speaker 1: Jordan Love and Sam put it is going to come home,
Speaker 1: and I think to a very warm reception. I think
Speaker 1: there's gonna be a nice moment for him. They're going
Speaker 1: to take on the New Orleans Saints. Green Bay is
Speaker 1: favored by two in this game minus one ten over
Speaker 1: on DK. You got forty three and a half is
Speaker 1: the numbers. So Sam, put your cheese hat down for
Speaker 1: a second and give us the skinny. From the data standpoint,
Speaker 1: can the Green Bay Packers go ahead and win this
Speaker 1: football game.
Speaker 3: I think that they can, you know, you remove home
Speaker 3: field advantage, and it's basically these two teams. Even from
Speaker 3: a power ratings perspective. Obviously, the Packers' offense has looked
Speaker 3: really good. Matt lafour has been great at scheming receivers
Speaker 3: open for Jordan Love. Jordan Love, I believe has the
Speaker 3: highest total EPA in the league, or is at least
Speaker 3: close to the top right now, and I think that's
Speaker 3: a lot of credit to Matt Lafleur. Now we have
Speaker 3: the Saints playing tonight, so we'll get another look at
Speaker 3: how they play against the Carolina Panthers. But their first
Speaker 3: game they played pretty well. I think the one interesting
Speaker 3: note here is the Packers have over a fifty percent
Speaker 3: pressure rate on defense. The Saints offensive line did not
Speaker 3: hold up well last week with a forty seven percent
Speaker 3: pressure rate allowed. So I think if they can get
Speaker 3: Derek Carr under pressure and locked down again a trio
Speaker 3: of great receivers on the Saints, then that is going
Speaker 3: to be the key for the Packers coming away with
Speaker 3: a victory.
Speaker 1: Fitz, if Christian Watson is active for this game, finally,
Speaker 1: who has not played in the first two, does that
Speaker 1: make any impact on your thoughts on trying to get
Speaker 1: some early value on this, Like, do you want to
Speaker 1: lock in Green Bay with the minus two now? And
Speaker 1: then if you get Watson back, does the line move
Speaker 1: you think to two and a half or maybe even three?
Speaker 2: Maybe that offsets the fact that this is a Jamal
Speaker 2: Williams revenge game.
Speaker 1: Joe, Yeah, for Jamal Williams, that's that's it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not sure the why in return would even
Speaker 2: move this line like a half point. I mean, I
Speaker 2: as much.
Speaker 1: As I wanted to Dynamicmaker though he's really exposive, like
Speaker 1: I don't. You might be right, it probably doesn't, but
Speaker 1: I think it should, and I think that's something people
Speaker 1: should consider.
Speaker 2: Yeah, as much as I want to have a strong
Speaker 2: take on this game as a Packers fan, like I
Speaker 2: think the line and the total are spot on, I
Speaker 2: just don't see any value.
Speaker 1: All right, You see any value in Buffalo Washington right now?
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills got back on track. They got a w
Speaker 1: Washington undefeated Washington two, and oh how about them Apples.
Speaker 1: They're at home, but they're six boyd underdogs on DraftKings
Speaker 1: right now. Forty five and a half is the number
Speaker 1: on fan duel. Brian Robinson's looked really good. I wish
Speaker 1: I had more shares. I thought it was going to
Speaker 1: be a lackluster split backfield. But it doesn't seem like that.
Speaker 1: It seems like Brian Robinson's the guy Buffalo seems to
Speaker 1: I've done a better job of starting to, you know,
Speaker 1: hand the ball off a little bit more. You got
Speaker 1: Cook getting involved, you got Olatavious Burray's. I mean, Harry,
Speaker 1: you got everybody kind of touching the football right now.
Speaker 1: So can Buffalo go in here on the road again
Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders and go ahead and keep this six?
Speaker 1: Or do you think this one is more on the
Speaker 1: Washington side?
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're the nice preamble for this game, Joe. And
Speaker 2: I'm looking at my notes on Buffalo at Washington with
Speaker 2: the line in total, and my notes say, nah, so yeah,
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't see any value at all in
Speaker 2: this game. Another one where I think the line in
Speaker 2: total are pretty spot.
Speaker 1: On, Sam, I actually want to wait on this one.
Speaker 1: That's my perspective is I think the longer we wait,
Speaker 1: the more confidence in the market on Buffalo grows, and
Speaker 1: I think this number gets bigger, and then the bigger
Speaker 1: gets then I want to bet the Washington side. But
Speaker 1: what do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I hate being on record with this, but I
Speaker 3: kind of like Washington here. I mean, their defense has
Speaker 3: played pretty well.
Speaker 1: I'm wearing the colors here. It might be Hogwarts I'm
Speaker 1: wearing here, but still it's the colored But you're with me.
Speaker 1: You're not on an island alone. Sam.
Speaker 3: It's fine, and they might need a little magic from
Speaker 3: Sam Howell to come away with a potential upset here,
Speaker 3: but I think their defense is again, Washington's defense is
Speaker 3: good enough to keep this close. Their offense has been
Speaker 3: spunky again I use that word again, but they've been
Speaker 3: frisky in these games. Sam Howell through a lovely dart
Speaker 3: to Terry McLaurin in the end zone this past week
Speaker 3: against Denver, and have been able to move the ball
Speaker 3: again against Denver and Arizona. So take that for what
Speaker 3: it's worth. But are throwing the ball quite a bit.
Speaker 3: Their defense is getting a ton of pressure as well,
Speaker 3: and I think getting pressure on Josh Allen is going
Speaker 3: to be huge because that's when you get him scrambling
Speaker 3: out of the pocket making some of the bonehead plays
Speaker 3: that he has made in the past, not having any
Speaker 3: regard for his health whatsoever. And that's going to That's
Speaker 3: what's going to be key for Washington is potentially forcing
Speaker 3: some of those turnovers that Allen has made in the past.
Speaker 1: I'm where Sam is on this one, but I'm gonna wait.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be patient. I don't think the values early
Speaker 1: on in this game. I'm gonna wait a little while
Speaker 1: and let this number get bigger because I think that
Speaker 1: you could eat see a scenario where everybody's just buying
Speaker 1: back into Buffalo after one week and I'm still not
Speaker 1: buying back into the Buffalo defense. Like, I'm still just
Speaker 1: not super impressed by them. The Los Angeles Chargers also
Speaker 1: not impressive. They're oh in two so with the Minnesota Vikings,
Speaker 1: so somebody theoretically has to win this football game, although
Speaker 1: ties do happen. This one right now is the Vikings
Speaker 1: plus one at home. You're getting even money right now
Speaker 1: on FanDuel and the minus one and a half excuse me,
Speaker 1: the minus one and a half on the Los Angeles Chargers.
Speaker 1: They are favored on the road home dogs here Minnesota
Speaker 1: at plus one pardon me, fifty one and a half
Speaker 1: is the number for this one, which is a high number,
Speaker 1: but I think they can get there considering the way
Speaker 1: these two defenses have played so far this year, especially
Speaker 1: that Vikings defense. Ooh wee, that's been a problem. Sam.
Speaker 1: I like the Vikings to win this game. Give me
Speaker 1: the Vikings on the money line at plus one oh seven,
Speaker 1: give me the over. I'm attacking this now because I'm
Speaker 1: worried that the over continues to grow as the week
Speaker 1: continues to go. Your thoughts.
Speaker 3: I don't have a pick for this game right now.
Speaker 3: I think later the week, when we get some more
Speaker 3: markets opening, I'd rather take an alternate spread on one
Speaker 3: of these teams to potentially win by a touchdown. This
Speaker 3: is going to be an extremely highly variable game. They're
Speaker 3: going to go back and forth. Neither team has been
Speaker 3: great at producing pressure, so if one team gets ahead,
Speaker 3: the other team should be able to climb back. I
Speaker 3: think again, this is another great game to target some
Speaker 3: potential in game lines with that variability, So I'm looking
Speaker 3: later in the week for some alternate spreads, probably on
Speaker 3: the Los Angeles side. I think I trust their offense
Speaker 3: a little bit more than Minnesota's.
Speaker 1: There's no trust at all in this game. Fits. I
Speaker 1: don't think I don't think you should trust either of
Speaker 1: these teams, which I understand makes it hard to invest.
Speaker 1: So this is just on instincts of Look, Minnesota should
Speaker 1: not have lost that first game at home. I don't
Speaker 1: think they're gonna lose this in the game at home,
Speaker 1: and I think the Chargers. It's hard for the Chargers
Speaker 1: not to hear that narrative of like, you just can't
Speaker 1: elevate yourself to that next level that you need to
Speaker 1: if you're the Charger. And Staley's job, I think is
Speaker 1: going to be in danger when they go oh to three,
Speaker 1: and I think they're going to be oh and three.
Speaker 1: But maybe you disagree. What do you think about Minnesota
Speaker 1: Los Angeles? I know this one's tight. Maybe the fifty
Speaker 1: one and a half is the best thing. You just
Speaker 1: go over and say, these two teams just make too
Speaker 1: many mistakes on defense.
Speaker 2: Joe's a lifelong Green Bay Packers fan. I'm morally obligated
Speaker 2: to hate the Minnesota Vikings. That said, I have already
Speaker 2: bet the Vikings in this game, but you know, US
Speaker 2: Bank Stadium a tough place to play. It is the
Speaker 2: Week one result, notwithstanding, with the Vikings stubbing their toe
Speaker 2: against the Buccaneers, and I think they're gonna want to
Speaker 2: wash that bad taste out of their mouth in this one.
Speaker 2: The Chargers are dead last in the league in defenseive
Speaker 2: DDA right now. And we actually saw the Minnesota Vikings
Speaker 2: offensive line hold up pretty well against the best pass
Speaker 2: rush in the league in Week two when they played
Speaker 2: at Philadelphia, and even without starting center Garrett brad Berry,
Speaker 2: even with starting tackle Christian Darisaw, their best offensive linemen
Speaker 2: playing at less than one hundred percent, they mostly kept
Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins pretty clean in that game. And you know
Speaker 2: that allowed the Vikings to hang with the Eagles in
Speaker 2: a tough environment. So I think they're going to put
Speaker 2: up points on this defense. I have to wonder about
Speaker 2: the Chargers morale. They could easily be two, and oh
Speaker 2: they're zero to two, and I think they're you know,
Speaker 2: bad head coach has a lot to do with that.
Speaker 2: So I wonder if the Esprie de Corps is going
Speaker 2: to be there for the Chargers this week. So yeah,
Speaker 2: I mean, and then Joe added to the fact that
Speaker 2: the Vikings have had the extra prep time after playing
Speaker 2: the Thursday night game in Week two, So I do
Speaker 2: like the Vikings here, and I like the over. I
Speaker 2: think there are going to be points in this game
Speaker 2: because we know the Vikings do have a pretty shaky defense,
Speaker 2: and I think they're going to be these two teams
Speaker 2: could march up and down the field.
Speaker 1: I can, let me tell you. I know the Vikings
Speaker 1: want to play a whole lot of man, but I
Speaker 1: just think that's what's going to also be the undoing
Speaker 1: of this over this game. Like it's just I don't know,
Speaker 1: it's just my feeling on this, but I'm glad you're
Speaker 1: with me on the Vikes here. So let's get to
Speaker 1: the next one. Seattle now one in one there home
Speaker 1: taking on the Carolina Panthers. This one I do like
Speaker 1: a lot early. I want to lock this four and
Speaker 1: a half in on the Seattle side at minus one
Speaker 1: ten on DK because Pat, I'm just look, I think
Speaker 1: Seattle always in a tough place to play. We talked about that.
Speaker 1: I think Seattle just kind of maybe didn't take the
Speaker 1: Rams as seriously as they should have out of the gate.
Speaker 1: And now, you know, coming off a big road win
Speaker 1: in overtime, I am not feeling the Panthers this year.
Speaker 1: You know that forty two and a half is this
Speaker 1: number for the total. You can find that over on
Speaker 1: FanDuel on the betting pros app fits your thoughts on
Speaker 1: Seattle Carolina.
Speaker 2: I'm with you, Joe, I thought this line was going
Speaker 2: to be around six. I think there's value to Seattle.
Speaker 1: How about you, Sam, what do you think you see
Speaker 1: any early value here to lock in Seattle? You with me?
Speaker 3: And Fitz, I'm with you both. Seattle has the eighth
Speaker 3: highest explosive pass rate, second highest passing success rate. Their
Speaker 3: offense looked a lot better against this Detroit Lions defense,
Speaker 3: and think they can have success against Carolina as well.
Speaker 2: And by the way, Joe short, short week arrest for Carolina,
Speaker 2: and then they have to go all the way across
Speaker 2: another point.
Speaker 1: Yep, great point, great point. Chicago Bears also talk about
Speaker 1: losing Shriek. Things are not going well for the Bears.
Speaker 1: There might be a coaching change coming there sooner than
Speaker 1: later as well. Forty nine and a half is the
Speaker 1: number at FanDuel minus one oh five. Then twelve and
Speaker 1: a half is the spread. You can get that over
Speaker 1: on DraftKings. Look, Sam, this should be an absolute smash
Speaker 1: by the Chiefs, but so far the Chiefs seem to
Speaker 1: me like a team that's still not in sync. I
Speaker 1: don't know if it's the new play calling, all the drops,
Speaker 1: whatever it is, if it's just Matt Nagy's presence just
Speaker 1: around them, but it is the Bears, in my goodness,
Speaker 1: they have been having some issues on that old line too.
Speaker 1: Now Chris Jones is back Swalvin. Half is a big number,
Speaker 1: But do you think it's the right number and you
Speaker 1: think Kansas City can still cover it?
Speaker 3: I do. I saw a stat this morning. This is
Speaker 3: from NFL on Fox. There have been teams to lose
Speaker 3: twelve straight games whilst running surrendering twenty five plus points
Speaker 3: in every single game in NFL history, and that is
Speaker 3: the Chicago Bears dating back to the end of last year.
Speaker 3: As well. Their defense is horrendous. I think this is
Speaker 3: a perfect get right spot for the Chiefs offense. Chris
Speaker 3: Jones is going to manhandle this Bears offensive line justin
Speaker 3: fields looks out of sorts, just holding onto the ball
Speaker 3: way too long. So I hit twelve and a half.
Speaker 3: Thirteen is a lot to lay. But this is potentially
Speaker 3: the best team against the worst team in the league.
Speaker 3: So I think you got to lay the points with
Speaker 3: Kansas City here and just expect them to be firing
Speaker 3: on all cylinders on Sunday.
Speaker 1: Keep expecting them to fire on cylinders, Pat, but they
Speaker 1: haven't yet. So are you concerned at all? As this
Speaker 1: twelve and a half too big for your taste?
Speaker 2: I mean, I do hate laying this many points, especially
Speaker 2: with the Chiefs, who sometimes have a bad Habit is
Speaker 2: a big favorite of being the cat that plays with
Speaker 2: the mouse, like not putting away the teams they should
Speaker 2: put away.
Speaker 1: That's good, But.
Speaker 2: I'm still taking the Chiefs. I mean, the Bears are
Speaker 2: a hot mess on both sides of the ball. Like,
Speaker 2: I want to lock this in a twelve and a
Speaker 2: half before it gets to fourteen.
Speaker 1: Especially in the arrowhead. All right, Dallas Cowboys go to
Speaker 1: and oh they are going to Arizona another twelve and
Speaker 1: a half spot here. Forty three and a half is
Speaker 1: the number over on DK So pat this one. I'm
Speaker 1: a little bit more confident in with the twelve and
Speaker 1: a half, although Arizona has shown some moxie. Maybe that's
Speaker 1: the best way to put it. So what do you
Speaker 1: think any early value here? Or is this a hard pass? Yeah?
Speaker 2: Again, the Cardinals have no incentive to win. So going
Speaker 2: against an elite team, I'm laying the points. And it
Speaker 2: was almost as if the Cardinals realized they were in
Speaker 2: danger of winning that game against the Giants and we
Speaker 2: two and said, wait, what are we doing? We're tanking.
Speaker 2: So yeah, with the talent gap between these two teams, yes,
Speaker 2: I want Dallas and I'm willing to lay anything under
Speaker 2: two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: All right, Sam, how about you another big spread here?
Speaker 1: Do you think this is investable? Yet?
Speaker 3: I'm a little bit more worried about this spread. I
Speaker 3: think again, Arizona's offense is, to your point, shown a
Speaker 3: little bit of boxy. This Cowboys defense, though, is just
Speaker 3: smothering opposing offenses. They're just so good. I think with
Speaker 3: the lower total, this could be a game where, you know,
Speaker 3: it just doesn't move that fast on either side of
Speaker 3: the ball. There aren't a ton of points scored, and
Speaker 3: so you know Dallas comes away with maybe a ten
Speaker 3: point victory and isn't able to cover.
Speaker 1: Now, the next one on this list here in the
Speaker 1: early look ahead is Las Vegas and Pittsburgh. They're in Vegas.
Speaker 1: Vegas is one point home underdog here at minus one nine.
Speaker 1: You get Pittsburgh at minus one and a half right
Speaker 1: now over on bet MGM tell you the truth. You know,
Speaker 1: the forty four and a half right now, Okay, that's
Speaker 1: the best number you can get minus one ten. But Sam,
Speaker 1: I'm looking at that plus one oh four on Fandel
Speaker 1: and that plus money on the Vegas Raiders to win
Speaker 1: this game. That's where I'm leaning now. But I'm really
Speaker 1: hands off on this game until I see what Steelers
Speaker 1: team shows up tonight, because they got their buck kicked
Speaker 1: at home by the forty nine Ers, and we all
Speaker 1: thought they were going to be competitive. They were not.
Speaker 1: So I am in the wait and see category on
Speaker 1: this particular game. How about you? This is tough.
Speaker 3: You know, we don't know what the status of Jacoby
Speaker 3: Myers or DeVante Adams is right now heading into the week. Like,
Speaker 3: if both of those guys are out, then I give
Speaker 3: it to the Steelers and I want that side. But
Speaker 3: if they are both active, then I'm for sure on
Speaker 3: the Raiders. So this for me is a stay away
Speaker 3: right now knowing that because if they are both healthy
Speaker 3: and able to play, then I'm definitely on the Raiders.
Speaker 3: Their past offense has looked pretty good, especially against the
Speaker 3: Broncos and the Bills this season. So I like the Raiders,
Speaker 3: but that's contingent on their two best wide receivers playing
Speaker 3: in the game.
Speaker 1: Well, look, if they're two best wide receivers are outfits
Speaker 1: and the Steelers don't play well, I still think this
Speaker 1: Vegas money line will continue to grow, which means maybe
Speaker 1: I'm just going to continue to wait on it. But
Speaker 1: what do you see about this? And was this wait
Speaker 1: and see what Pittsburgh Steelers team team shows up tonight? Yeah?
Speaker 2: I the Steelers are a mystery to me right now, Joe.
Speaker 2: So I don't want to bet either side here, but
Speaker 2: I am interested in the under, not only the Raiders
Speaker 2: wide receiver injuries, but the Steelers. I don't think they'll
Speaker 2: have Deontay Johnson back for this game, and we don't
Speaker 2: know what George Pickens status is. So with all these
Speaker 2: injured wide receivers, I saw forty four point total on
Speaker 2: DraftKings this morning and I grabbed it.
Speaker 1: All right, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are two and oh.
Speaker 1: The Philadelphia Eagles are two and oh. Right now, Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay is six and a half point home dogs here.
Speaker 1: Minus one oh five on DraftKings, you can get minus
Speaker 1: seven on the Philly side at Sugarhouse. Forty five is
Speaker 1: the total for this one. Look fits, I know Tampa
Speaker 1: has two wins. I don't care. I like the Eagles
Speaker 1: in this game.
Speaker 2: Your thoughts, Yeah, I actually think we're getting some value
Speaker 2: with the Eagles, and maybe so. There is some misplaced
Speaker 2: faith in Baker Mayfield right now because he hasn't thrown
Speaker 2: an interception and he's only been sacked once in the
Speaker 2: first two weeks. But oh, by the way, he was
Speaker 2: playing the Vikings and the Bears. Now he's going to
Speaker 2: play against the Eagles and the best pass rush in
Speaker 2: the league, which after a disappointing game against the Vikings
Speaker 2: where they really didn't get after Kirk Cousins and sort
Speaker 2: of let the Vikings do what they wanted to do
Speaker 2: with the passing game. I think things are going to
Speaker 2: be a lot different this week. I think the Eagles
Speaker 2: are just going to take it to the Buccaneers offense,
Speaker 2: and I do like Philly.
Speaker 1: That's two out of three.
Speaker 3: Sam, you on board, Let's make it three for three.
Speaker 3: I think you're here we go. You're selling the Bucks
Speaker 3: at their highest right now that they got extremely lucky
Speaker 3: with the turnovers in Week one, against Minnesota and then
Speaker 3: played the Bears last week. So I'm on the Eagles
Speaker 3: minus seven.
Speaker 1: I agree. I think this is when you jump on
Speaker 1: early too, because I think some of the sharper people
Speaker 1: are going to be on it and that line is
Speaker 1: going to make some movement. Last one here, Oh, this
Speaker 1: is a tough one. Cincinnati Bengals oh and two, just
Speaker 1: like last year, and then we get loled into a
Speaker 1: fall sense of security. The Rams are going to go
Speaker 1: to Cincinnati. Six and a half is the number here.
Speaker 1: Cincinnati is favored by six and a half. Forty six
Speaker 1: and a half is the total? Sam, Is this line wrong?
Speaker 3: I think it is. I mean, I think if you
Speaker 3: get the Rams on the other side of three at
Speaker 3: three and a half or better, I'm taking it. I mean,
Speaker 3: I know the Bengals offense looked a little better in
Speaker 3: the second half against Baltimore on Sunday, but the Rams,
Speaker 3: you know, beat the Seahawks out right in a game
Speaker 3: that shocked everyone. They were able to remain competitive against
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers. Again, what team we mentioned as
Speaker 3: potentially the best in the NFC. And I you know,
Speaker 3: the Bengals defense hasn't really played that great either. They
Speaker 3: have just a twenty seven percent pressure rate on defense
Speaker 3: and a forty eight and a half percent success rate allowed,
Speaker 3: which is twenty seventh. So I like the Rams. I
Speaker 3: mean ride with Puka Nakua, I guess and hope that
Speaker 3: he can diice up this Bengals secondary.
Speaker 1: Fitz, where are you at with this one? Because this
Speaker 1: one feels like maybe the Rams aren't getting enough credit,
Speaker 1: maybe the Bengals are getting too much.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, maybe I'm walking into a giant mouse
Speaker 2: trap here, Joe. But I am a Wisconsin native, so
Speaker 2: I'm always going to go for that cheese. The Bengals
Speaker 2: have not shown us much this year, and the Rams
Speaker 2: have been surprisingly plucky. Like six and a half feels
Speaker 2: like way too much, especially if Joe Burrow isn't totally healthy.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the thing. You gotta watch this Burrow injury.
Speaker 1: We'll see what happens and say on top of all
Speaker 1: of that too. With our Fantasy Pros News desk, you
Speaker 1: can say on top of all those injuries and again,
Speaker 1: download the new VP app. That way you can set
Speaker 1: the game notifications. You know exactly where the lines are
Speaker 1: moving on some of these really important games that we
Speaker 1: laid out here for you, and while you're on the app,
Speaker 1: join the NFL contest or go to betting pros dot
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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube and you just might win yourself at
Speaker 1: James cook autographed jersey. That'll do it for us, but
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Sam and Pat.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids,