1 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: I promise you you don't have to care about what 2 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: other people think about you. You don't have to care 3 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 1: what other people say about you. I am not talking 4 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: to you, my lovely audience. I'm actually talking to certain 5 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: head coaches out there. We will discuss tonight. We are 6 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:28,880 Speaker 1: jam packed high top, a gloomy, a gray, but somewhat clearing, 7 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: downtown Nashville, Tennessee. It's Tuesday, October seventeenth. Hear of Our Lord, 8 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. 9 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 2: Listen to this. 10 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 1: That was unimpressive. There's a stack of papers in front 11 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 1: of me. Though it's a jam packed show. We got 12 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 1: full week eight predictions, big games, consequential games, not just 13 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: the marquee, not just PennState, Ohio State, not just Tennessee Bama. 14 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 1: Do you have any idea how uncomfortable it's about to be, Nay, 15 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: how toxic it's about to be for the loser of 16 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: Clemson Miami. Someone's about to carry their third l of 17 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: the season. I got a JP pole tonight that will, 18 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 1: you know, essentially drive the rest of the show into 19 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: the ground. 20 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 2: It will be speaking of the T word, very toxic. 21 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 1: We've got a new number one, Arizona's in the top 22 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: twenty five, and we've got some teams that have beaten 23 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,919 Speaker 1: other teams that are still below the teams they've beaten. 24 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 1: And what more can you do? What more can you say? 25 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: I got to say some things about Debo swinny tonight. 26 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:22,960 Speaker 1: I got to say some things about Shane Beemer tonight. 27 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,479 Speaker 1: I've got added best bets tonight, and we are all 28 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 1: going to get it in in a reasonable amount of time. 29 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: They're watching us in Tallahassee, Florida, Seaside, California, Abilene, Texas, Canton, Ohio. 30 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 1: Are they watching us in Manhattan? Are they watching us 31 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: in NYC? Don't know, but we will be there tomorrow morning. 32 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: I'm doing Inside College Football tomorrow night. Don't worry because 33 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 1: we will be back here in Nashville in time for 34 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: the Thursday show. But if you are so inclined CBS 35 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: Sports Network tomorrow night, if you're catching that Sam Houston 36 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: State FIAU game, which if you're following the ram Noodle Express, 37 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: you should be. I'm told I'll be on the desk 38 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: at halftime, some halftime breakdown there. I'll try to maintain 39 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: professionalism there. So at late kick, Josh, if you want 40 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 1: some behind the scenes coverage on Instagram. I have no 41 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 1: more time to waste. Not that that was wasted time, 42 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: but man, we got so many paper poppers tonight. 43 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 2: Let's dive in. 44 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 1: I think the game of the week the game we're 45 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 1: going to be at Penn State at Ohio State Saturday 46 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 1: high noon, big noon kickoff there on Fox once Upon 47 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: a Saturday tour in the Horseshoe. We are making our 48 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 1: long anticipated return. Last time we were up there, it 49 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 1: was the Michigan game. It did not go well for 50 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:34,079 Speaker 1: the home team. Let's see if it turns out any different. 51 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: What if I told you this is a playoff game? 52 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 2: What if I. 53 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: Told you not necessarily losers, hopes and dreams are dashed, 54 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: but they take a huge blow here because the more 55 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 1: it's setting up, the more it looks like it's going 56 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: to be really tough for the Big Ten East to 57 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 1: get two teams in the playoff. Some of us predicted 58 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: that would happen in the preseason. Knot's looking a little 59 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 1: tougher than it did at the outset, So I don't 60 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: even want to walk you down the whole tie breaker 61 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: doomsday scenario is a scenario where Penn State and Michigan 62 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: and Ohio State all beat each other around robinstyle. 63 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:05,839 Speaker 2: They're all eleven and one. 64 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 1: I had producer Jesse walked me through the tiebreaker today. 65 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: He got down to bullet points five or six, and 66 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 1: at that point I was already in my bottle of 67 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 1: tailand all, and I said, stop, We'll just cross that 68 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:20,839 Speaker 1: bridge when we get to it. I had someone telling 69 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: me earlier today as they knew I was going to 70 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: break this game down. Both head coaches are pretty much 71 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 1: sitting in the same boat. Both head coaches have about 72 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: the same thing to prove you're crazy, I told him, 73 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 1: And if anyone thinks that, you may not be a 74 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:37,119 Speaker 1: crazy person, but that is a crazy thought. Ryan Day 75 00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: is thirty five and zero in Big Ten games, not 76 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: facing Michigan. James Franklin's four and fourteen versus Ohio State 77 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: and Michigan. These are not the same coaching profiles. Now, 78 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 1: I got to mention respect for both guys, but make 79 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: no mistake. 80 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 2: About it, there's. 81 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 1: A ton of pressure in all of these games. There's 82 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 1: a lot more to prove on the side of James Franklin, 83 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 1: I think even than there is of Ryan Day. Now 84 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: you can come back at me and say, well, James 85 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 1: Franklin has built his program up from scratch, whereas Ryan 86 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: Day inherited what he's got in many cases from urban mark. 87 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 2: Okay, got no problem with that. 88 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: I'm just saying we've seen coaches inherent programs before and 89 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 1: then they went downhill because they. 90 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 2: Weren't the real deal. Ryan Day is the real deal. 91 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:18,359 Speaker 1: Thirty five and zero in games not featuring Michigan, and 92 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: they're not interested in hearing that stat up there because 93 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: they say, you can't be discounting Michigan. That's the game 94 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 1: we care about the most in the country every year. 95 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: So ironically, as we look at these defenses and we 96 00:04:27,440 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: look at these ground games, ironically, I think this game 97 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: is about passing the football. I think it's by throwing 98 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: the football through the air. Penn State's offense is eightieth 99 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 1: in past yards per game. Not the end all, be 100 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: all metrics. Some of you don't care at all about 101 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 1: yards per game. I kind of don't. I was just 102 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: using that as an example to show you they haven't 103 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:46,239 Speaker 1: thrown the ball all over the yard. They're one hundred 104 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,919 Speaker 1: and twenty ninth and explosive play rate this year. The 105 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 1: follow up, you don't need to yell at me from Harrisburg. 106 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: I know what you're saying. The follow up is, well, 107 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 1: we haven't had to, and that's true. Here, here's what 108 00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 1: I'm asking you. If you're saying that to me right now, 109 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 1: If you're saying, well, we Penn State have not had 110 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: to throw the ball, my follow up is, are you 111 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 1: suggesting you do possess that ability? Are you suggesting you've 112 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: done the whole spring game approach of well, let's just 113 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 1: keep the offense vanilla. If you are, we'll find out Saturday, 114 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:15,159 Speaker 1: won't we. Because if you're holding anything back, certainly this 115 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: is where you debut it. 116 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 2: Right. 117 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,160 Speaker 1: I think to some small degree, there may be some 118 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,160 Speaker 1: of that, but by and large that's just not how 119 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 1: they win football games, and it served them well so far. 120 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: Can you run the ball to win on Ohio State? 121 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 1: You know, some people me kind of included that feel 122 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: like maybe there's a different gear to the Penn State 123 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 1: ground game we haven't seen yet. Can you run it 124 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 1: to win, not just get in the red zone, not 125 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 1: just getting plus territory? Can you run it to win 126 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:43,119 Speaker 1: here Ohio State's ground game. And this kind of bleeds 127 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: back into why I think throwing the football is the 128 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,840 Speaker 1: key here. Ohio State's ground game is not going to 129 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 1: magically find itself against Penn State. They've been decent this year, 130 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 1: and that's about it. They have not been dominant running 131 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: the ball. They're ninety fourth in rush yards per game. 132 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: There are injury concerns here. Three point seven yards per 133 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 1: carry right now against power five competition. That's not good 134 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: enough to take over a game on the ground. And 135 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 1: I don't think necessarily we're all of a sudden gonna 136 00:06:06,920 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: see it show up and see them figure things out 137 00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:12,720 Speaker 1: Saturday against Notre Dame and Maryland and Purdue. Though a 138 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: little ray of sunshine here for Penn State. Maybe Ohio 139 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: State did give up one seventy six, one oh six 140 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: and one to twenty three. 141 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 2: Some of those games. 142 00:06:19,960 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: Were were already out of hand, and so you make 143 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 1: of that what you will. 144 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 2: I got several just thoughts here. 145 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: Sometimes I'll do two or three keys. This game's so big. 146 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 1: I had like nineteen thoughts on this, and I tried 147 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:33,919 Speaker 1: to condense it as much as I could. But I 148 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,479 Speaker 1: am telling you, I think it's about throwing the football 149 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:37,239 Speaker 1: to win this game. 150 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 2: No one's gonna do it. 151 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,480 Speaker 1: To the tune of three hundred and seventy five yards 152 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 1: and four touchdowns, mind you, But explosive plays or conversely, 153 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:47,159 Speaker 1: scrambling out of that pocket and just throw into a 154 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:48,919 Speaker 1: tight end seven and a half yards down the field 155 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 1: to move the sticks and set you stuff up for 156 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 1: a fresh shout of downs. Those sorts of things are 157 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 1: gonna matter a lot. 158 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 2: Here. 159 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: The pressure profiles in this game favor Penn State. What 160 00:06:57,279 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 1: I mean by that is the ability you have shown 161 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: to get after the quarterback so far this year. The 162 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: ability or inability your offensive line has shown to protect 163 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 1: the quarterback. Both of those profiles favor Penn State. Here's 164 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: where you see my handshaking a little bit. Here's where 165 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: I'm a little bit hesitant. I believe in all that. 166 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 1: I believe it's true. Penn State's been absolutely that team. 167 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: Ohio State has been questionable at times. In fact, the 168 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: offensive line has been very questionable. But here's what I 169 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 1: wonder on the other side of that. I remember this 170 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: game last year. I remember who took it over. It 171 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 1: wasn't an offensive player, it was JTT and he took 172 00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 1: it over in a big way. And Ohio State ends 173 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: up winning a game that it looks like they're done 174 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 1: for in Penn State had all the momentum, it feels good, 175 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: and one defensive player for Ohio State takes the game over. Okay, 176 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: so this is a classic case maybe of what has 177 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:51,000 Speaker 1: been so far this year, which is what we have 178 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: on paper right now. 179 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 2: This is what has been. Is that what will be Saturday? 180 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 2: Or could you. 181 00:07:56,960 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 1: See them look at Olufushano at left tackle and say 182 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: not going after him. But Penn State on the right 183 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 1: side of their offensive line looks a little more susceptible. 184 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 1: Let's put to him Aloaio over there and let's just 185 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:08,239 Speaker 1: see what happens. And maybe he breaks a game open, 186 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: maybe he ends up with a scoop and score, maybe 187 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 1: he forces a couple of turnovers, and so it doesn't matter. 188 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 1: My point is, it doesn't matter what your pressure profiles 189 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: have said. If you just have a matchup that favors you, 190 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 1: you got to match up that favors you. And that's 191 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 1: the kind of player that can wreck a game. Is 192 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:26,240 Speaker 1: he giving you the consistent book ind to bookend. 193 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 2: Performance this year? You hope for it. Maybe maybe not, 194 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 2: but he can take over a game like this. 195 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: Another thought I had was there are gonna be times 196 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: in this game where Kyle mccorr that Ohio State quarterbacks 197 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 1: just got to look down the barrel and not blink. 198 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,479 Speaker 1: He's gonna get lit up. It will happen. It absolutely 199 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 1: will happen. Just gotta make plays, not two dozen of them, 200 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:48,440 Speaker 1: but you gotta make some plays here. They're not all 201 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: drop back, clean pocket, take two looks and throw that 202 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: ball fifty yards down the field. It's not always gonna 203 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 1: look like that. In fact, very often it won't look 204 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 1: like that. But he's gonna have to do it enough. 205 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: He's got the guys throw it to. I don't know 206 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:01,719 Speaker 1: if he's got the offensive line to give him a 207 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:03,959 Speaker 1: ton of time. He'll have guys in his face. Can 208 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:07,079 Speaker 1: you imagine Manny Diaz, the defensive coordinator for Penn State, 209 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: having all this time. They had a bye week, then 210 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 1: they had UMass last week, and so they've been dialing 211 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 1: things up for Ohio State for the better part of half. 212 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 2: A month now. 213 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: Plus let's be real, when we were up there, they 214 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:20,840 Speaker 1: were working on it in the spring, So it's been 215 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: on the radar for a long time. I'm almost certain 216 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: defenses will decide the game now. I don't think that's 217 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 1: any bit of breaking news. I think most people who 218 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: have watched these teams play understand that's how Ohio State 219 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 1: played against a Notre Dame, and that's probably how both 220 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: of these teams will play in this game. Penna State 221 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 1: was minus four turnovers last year in this game, so 222 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: who forces him this year? There's no system out there 223 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 1: that's going to quantify that. I got a model right here. 224 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: It's as good as useless when I ask it. Who's 225 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,199 Speaker 1: going to win the turnover battle? That stuffs so randomized 226 00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: week on week. Also, starting field position, Penn State's been 227 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 1: really really good near the top of the country. Ohio 228 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: State hasn't been quite as good. Does that play out 229 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: this Saturday? 230 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 2: A lot of. 231 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: Randomization over a four quarter game. I don't know how 232 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,079 Speaker 1: you watch football most of the time. I think most 233 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: people follow the ball. I think most coaches try and 234 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:14,839 Speaker 1: use their peripheral or they trans zoom out, or maybe 235 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 1: they'll just watch the secondary, or some of you just 236 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:18,680 Speaker 1: focus on the line of scrimmage. There are different ways 237 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:20,480 Speaker 1: to watch a game. A lot of times, if you 238 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:24,679 Speaker 1: coached or played the position you played greatly determines how 239 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 1: you watch a game. I'd encourage you to do something 240 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 1: Saturday if you're one who typically follows the ball. Just 241 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 1: watch kaylen King when Penn State's on defense, Watch kaylen King, 242 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:38,480 Speaker 1: Watch Johnny Dixon. Those are the two corners and just 243 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: let your eyes focus on them against this wide receiver 244 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 1: stable for Ohio State. They're gonna be scouts from almost 245 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 1: every NFL team there. Those dudes will be watching that. 246 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:49,800 Speaker 1: That's what a lot of them are going to be 247 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: there for, because you got multiple guys both sides of 248 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: the ball that are going to be high round draft picks. 249 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,959 Speaker 1: And they're not rookies. These are not true freshmen. We're 250 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 1: not talking about three or four years down the line. 251 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 1: They are very very well developed and it will be 252 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 1: worth the price of admission, which I'm told is very 253 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:07,319 Speaker 1: very high. 254 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:08,079 Speaker 2: But worth the. 255 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 1: Price of admission or worth your time if you're at 256 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 1: home to watch that. This is Drew Isler's third road start. 257 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: Heard Ryan Day earlier today imploring the fans there in 258 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 1: the Horseshoe to make it a hostile environment. Hey, I 259 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:24,439 Speaker 1: was in Seattle last week, so that's a hostile environment. 260 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 1: This time last year, I was in Kneeland Stadium watching 261 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:27,839 Speaker 1: Tennessee takedown Bama. 262 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 2: That was a hostile environment. 263 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 1: There's no reason why the Buckeyes should not have that 264 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,720 Speaker 1: kind of edge at home against Penn State, because I 265 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,439 Speaker 1: guarantee a Penn State gave the home team that edge 266 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 1: last year. It's just Ohio State's defense overcame it. What 267 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:42,719 Speaker 1: if Penn State's offense does have another gear? Just a 268 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 1: random thought here, What if there is a different gear. 269 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: What if all of a sudden, the numbers on this 270 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,199 Speaker 1: sheet of paper in front of me they've reached by 271 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 1: the end of three quarters? You know, Penn State. I 272 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 1: saw our buddies' college football nerves. They made an interesting point, 273 00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:59,079 Speaker 1: and they were talking about yards per play. A lot 274 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 1: of the critical metrics you look at to determine how 275 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: good an offense is. Penn State is not through the 276 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: roof in those metrics, and they're still beaten teams handedly. 277 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 1: And so sometimes that means you've played inferior competition, But 278 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 1: other times that means you got a different gear. You 279 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 1: could kick it in or put another way. If you're 280 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:21,200 Speaker 1: already this good when you're putting up you know, by 281 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 1: any discernible scale average to above average yards per play metrics, 282 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 1: what happens when you what happens when everything's in gear 283 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: one Saturday afternoon. You pull away and you blow someone out. 284 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 1: You do what you do what on the scoreboard. Mario 285 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 1: and Oregon did to Ohio State a couple of years 286 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:39,199 Speaker 1: ago when they came in there. 287 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:39,719 Speaker 2: That's that game. 288 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,480 Speaker 1: No one talks about that anymore, but that was like 289 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:44,440 Speaker 1: a jaw dropping result where a road team out of 290 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: nowhere comes in as an underdog and wins going away 291 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 1: and ran the ball to do it in the process. 292 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 2: So it's not my prediction. 293 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:54,840 Speaker 1: I'm just saying if that is there with Penn State, 294 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 1: will know Saturday, because this is the game it'll show 295 00:12:56,760 --> 00:13:02,199 Speaker 1: up in. Also, Marvin Harrison's side, I think would greatly 296 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 1: concern me. It concerned me last year he went for 297 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 1: ten and one hundred and eighty five against Penn State. 298 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: That against those corners, Like if we're talking about maybe 299 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:13,840 Speaker 1: a specific matchup advantage, Marvin Harrison's got about what four 300 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: or five inches on the corner that he'll probably match 301 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:20,679 Speaker 1: up against with Penn State. Now, sometimes that matters, sometimes 302 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 1: it doesn't. You get down into the red zone, you 303 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 1: get those fifty to fifty balls, you get back shoulder stuff. 304 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 1: A lot of times that's where that comes into play. 305 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 1: A lot more than your typical slant route over the middle. 306 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 1: I think obviously Ohio State and Penn State both aware 307 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 1: of that. But Kyle mccorr versus Manny Diaz is another 308 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:38,560 Speaker 1: thing that just I can't get out of my head. 309 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 1: I'm thinking about Ohio State on third down five plus 310 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,640 Speaker 1: obvious passing downs. I'm thinking about what Manny Diaz, the 311 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,960 Speaker 1: defensive coordinator of Penn State, can potentially bait him into. 312 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:49,880 Speaker 1: Because you got a couple of young quarterbacks here in 313 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 1: terms of starting experience. And that's why I keep going 314 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: back to turnovers, special teams play, but really turnovers, defensive scoring, 315 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:01,640 Speaker 1: that kind of stuff deciding this game is why it's 316 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:04,400 Speaker 1: so hard to pick. It's hard to pick because nobody 317 00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 1: predicts that. Stuff's hard enough to predict games as it is. 318 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 1: You don't have a model that predicts that you, just 319 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 1: like you don't have a model that said JTT was 320 00:14:11,920 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: going to do what he did in this game last year. 321 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 1: But having said that, Colin, let's take a look at 322 00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: what the model does. Think the Vegas number right now 323 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 1: is Ohio State minus four and a half. We've got 324 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 1: Ohio State minus six and a half in the model, 325 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: so I went back and forth like four times today 326 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: Producer Jesse and this will shock you has a pretty 327 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 1: strong feel on this game. Producer Jesse walked in with 328 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 1: the what four pages of notes? Five pages of notes? 329 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,160 Speaker 1: The overhit on terms of pages of notes for Jesse. 330 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 2: And he's on the Nitney Lions. 331 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 1: There was a time about three forty five or four 332 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 1: o'clock today I was Penn State, and then again in 333 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 1: the five o'clock hour, I went Penn State, but I 334 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 1: ended up landing on Ohio State. Pretty simple feeling here. 335 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 1: Went to the model because I don't have a strong feel. 336 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 1: I'm just happy to be there. I went to the model. 337 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 1: And if we've got a team power rated ahead of 338 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:05,480 Speaker 1: another team and they have home field advantage, I'll go 339 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 1: with them. That's really the long and short of it. 340 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 1: There are many many paths I see for Penn State 341 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: winning this game. There are many maybe a couple more 342 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 1: for Ohio State winning this game. I'll take Ohio State 343 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,560 Speaker 1: to win it. I guess I'll take them to cover. 344 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 1: I don't have any feel, no dimes, we'll be bet 345 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: out of my pocket on this game. Really looking forward 346 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: to this. This is what we've been waiting for this 347 00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 1: right here in the big ten is what. 348 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 2: We've been waiting for. The shirt. 349 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 1: The shirt that we have for this game is already 350 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 1: sold a great deal. I think it will continue to 351 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: sell a great deal once upon a Saturday tour heading 352 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: to Columbus, Ohio at Ohio Stadium this Saturday. This is 353 00:15:42,680 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 1: available right now paidstatemterial dot com. 354 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 2: It's gone Saturday night. 355 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:50,680 Speaker 1: We're done. It'll never be sold again. So I don't 356 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 1: know that we'll be back at Ohio State this year. 357 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 1: Maybe one stop only for us up there this year. 358 00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: In fact, I'm fairly certain it will be. So if 359 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 1: you want to commemorate it there it is pay state 360 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 1: material dot comments right there on the front page right now. 361 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 1: Those always go really fast because we only sell them 362 00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 1: for one week at a time. 363 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 2: Let's move on. We've got other big games to talk about. 364 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 2: Oh computer froze over here, Hold on just a second. 365 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 2: All right, we're back. 366 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 1: If you could do me the slightest favor, click the 367 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 1: thumbs up button, click the light button there. 368 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 2: If you're watching live, had a major slip up in 369 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 2: the show the other night. It's my fault. I take 370 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 2: full responsibility. I know. 371 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 1: I don't typically like to take any of the blame. 372 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: And I'm not gonna repeat what I said. If you 373 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 1: missed it, you missed it. But the chalice of choice 374 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 1: liquid over here was corrupted because I actually slipped up 375 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 1: and said the name of the product that's in this 376 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 1: glass and not happy about it. But we're live, so 377 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: we can't go back and edit it out. I'm gonna 378 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 1: take a sip from this chalice and if you know 379 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: at this point, I guess you know, but I would 380 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:57,040 Speaker 1: encourage you to forget what you know. Theater of the 381 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: Mind is a lot better for. 382 00:16:58,240 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 2: Us Tennessee at Alabam. 383 00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: I'm a Saturday three thirty Eastern CBS Game of the Week, 384 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:06,439 Speaker 1: third Saturday in October. You remember this time last year 385 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:09,880 Speaker 1: when I was trying to teach the younger children amongst 386 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: us what the third Saturday in October once meant, and 387 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,239 Speaker 1: we had varying degrees of buy in on that. Some 388 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:18,119 Speaker 1: people just said, now tendal seal suck forever. I don't 389 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 1: believe it. Well, then we went over to Knoxville and 390 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 1: Director Colin was there. I was there about seventy some 391 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,679 Speaker 1: one thousand people ended up being right around us on 392 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 1: the field and before the sun came up, I had 393 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 1: participated in taking one of the goalposts out and tossing 394 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 1: it into the river, and hoops amongst us thought that 395 00:17:41,880 --> 00:17:43,959 Speaker 1: I would ever be a part of that. Look at 396 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:47,680 Speaker 1: the goalpost just sinking down into a sea of orange. 397 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,919 Speaker 1: All that's missing is the Titanic music. And we couldn't 398 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 1: get in touch with Celine Dion in time today for licensing. 399 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:55,840 Speaker 1: But man, you tell me you're going to see this 400 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:57,639 Speaker 1: on Sunday. You tell me you're going to see some 401 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 1: random dude smoking a cigar surfing a goal post out 402 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 1: of a tunnel in Niland Stadium. My guess is no, 403 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 1: you won't find that on Sunday, but we sure did 404 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 1: last year. So anyway, I hope you enjoyed revisiting last year. 405 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:13,920 Speaker 1: This year will be nothing like last year. I don't 406 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,399 Speaker 1: think we can invert the profile of this game this 407 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,160 Speaker 1: year to last year anymore. If we tried, fifty two 408 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 1: to forty nine was the final last year, no one's 409 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,920 Speaker 1: scoring fifty two total in this game this year, In fact, 410 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 1: the totals down to forty eight and a half started 411 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 1: in the low fifties. I'd lean under even now, and 412 00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 1: that's not a great value bet at this point. Bama, 413 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 1: I just don't think we'll do much in the run 414 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,159 Speaker 1: game here. Why would I expect that. It's kind of 415 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 1: the same thing I said about Ohio State. They're not 416 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:44,680 Speaker 1: gonna find their legs against Penn State. Well, why should 417 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 1: I think Alabama's all this. I'm going to figure out 418 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 1: how to run the ball more explosively against Tennessee. Tennessee's 419 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,119 Speaker 1: got a really good defensive front, so they kind of 420 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: are what they are there. Alabama Cublic put it very 421 00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:59,240 Speaker 1: well the other day. They're a run, run to varying 422 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 1: degrees of six says sack, run for no game, seventy 423 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 1: yard bomb, pop play over the top. 424 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:06,880 Speaker 2: That's their offense now, and. 425 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:08,920 Speaker 1: It's worked because they've got thirty eight plays of twenty 426 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:12,040 Speaker 1: plus yards. So that's how they're winning right now. It's 427 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:15,720 Speaker 1: not ideal, but it's how they're winning. Jalen Milroe listen 428 00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:18,440 Speaker 1: to this, by the way, this is crazy. Jalen Milroe 429 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,879 Speaker 1: on throws of twenty or more yards in the air 430 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:27,080 Speaker 1: is a sixty one percent completion guy seven hundred and 431 00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 1: thirty seven yards, nine touchdowns and no interceptions. All four 432 00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 1: of his picks have come on balls that go less 433 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 1: than twenty yards in the air. I'm not talking about 434 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:37,960 Speaker 1: yards after catch now, I'm talking about. 435 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:40,840 Speaker 2: Throwing the football physically twenty yards or more in the air. 436 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 2: He's perfect. 437 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,120 Speaker 1: He's perfect because if no one can if your guy 438 00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 1: didn't catch it, no one's cashing it. Cluse, you can 439 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 1: throw the ball out of the stadium if he wants to. 440 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 1: I have real concerns, and this is going to shock you. 441 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:55,520 Speaker 1: I have real concerns about Alabama's offensive line. Gasp, there're 442 00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:58,919 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirtieth in sacks allowed. We could do 443 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 1: this show twenty more years, and my feel on Alabama's 444 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 1: offensive line this year will go down as one of 445 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 1: the most regrettable feels that I've had on any position unit. 446 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,159 Speaker 2: It is what it is. It is what it is. 447 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,919 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go as far as to take the 448 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,440 Speaker 1: blame for it. I'm just gonna say I got bad intel. 449 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,720 Speaker 1: So in this case, either a coach, a kid, or 450 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 1: an official screws it up. Sounds like a coach screwed 451 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 1: it up here not my fault anyway. In this game, 452 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 1: Tennessee's defensive front's been nasty and it travels. I have 453 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 1: no doubt it will travel. They are fourth in sacks 454 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: per game. They got two dudes, I mean, Pierce and 455 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 1: barn are both top twenty individually in the country in sacks. 456 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,720 Speaker 1: So Jalen Milroe's gonna get hit. Jalen Milroe's probably gonna 457 00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:42,200 Speaker 1: get sacked. 458 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:42,400 Speaker 2: Now. 459 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:45,080 Speaker 1: That's happened a lot this year, and they figured out 460 00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 1: how to win games in spite of it. It's just 461 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 1: can you imagine. Can you imagine a lifelong Alabama fan 462 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 1: sitting at home in his or her recliner on a 463 00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 1: Saturday afternoon, and they know the Alabama way, they know 464 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 1: protecting the quarterback, they know running the football, and they 465 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:07,680 Speaker 1: know slowly just bleeding your opponent to death. And this 466 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,639 Speaker 1: is what they're watching. Penalties all over the place, sacks 467 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:15,160 Speaker 1: constantly behind the chains, can't run the ball to save 468 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 1: your life. Had twenty three total yards against A and 469 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 1: M still won the game though, finding ways to win 470 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:23,679 Speaker 1: the game. I'm very interested on the other side to 471 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,920 Speaker 1: see Tennessee's ground game here because I was ultra impressed 472 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,240 Speaker 1: last week when they ran it like they did against 473 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:29,879 Speaker 1: Texas A and M. 474 00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:30,520 Speaker 2: Texas A and M. 475 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 1: Like I just said, hell Bama to twenty three on 476 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,680 Speaker 1: the ground, Tennessee had over two hundred and two hundred 477 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 1: and thirty. I think it was very impressive, and they 478 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:40,880 Speaker 1: have to do it. They can't throw the football either. 479 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,920 Speaker 1: Tennessee can't throw the football at any consistency. In case 480 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: you haven't seen Tennessee this year, I regret to inform 481 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:50,320 Speaker 1: you it's not your MEM's Tennessee. They actually play defense 482 00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,200 Speaker 1: this year. They cannot throw the football in some cases 483 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:55,920 Speaker 1: to save their life. And yet because they can run 484 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,639 Speaker 1: the ball and play defense, they've been winning games too. 485 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:00,679 Speaker 1: And that two hundred and thirty two the number on 486 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 1: the ground versus A and M. Last year I was 487 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,719 Speaker 1: at this game. Neeland Stadium was about as incredible as 488 00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,240 Speaker 1: any environment we've ever been in. Brand Any stadium gonna 489 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,440 Speaker 1: feel like that Saturday. I've been at this game a 490 00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 1: number of times at these venues. Those folks get up 491 00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:17,880 Speaker 1: for this game. You guys saw what a hostile road 492 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:19,640 Speaker 1: environment did to your team last year. 493 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 2: Try and do it to them this year. What a novel. 494 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 1: Concept that would be. Let's take a look at what 495 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,440 Speaker 1: the model thinks. Let's take a look at what Vegas thinks. 496 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 1: The number in the desert as of seven to twenty 497 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 1: two pm on Tuesday night is Alabama minus eight and 498 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 1: a half. 499 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:34,480 Speaker 2: We agree completely. 500 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:39,240 Speaker 1: The Pate State model has Bama minus eight. I think 501 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 1: points are going to be at a premium in this game, 502 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:46,919 Speaker 1: so I am not laying over a touchdown. But I 503 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,640 Speaker 1: do think Alabama will win the game. I just think 504 00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:51,440 Speaker 1: when I say Bama's going to win the game, it'll 505 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 1: feel a lot like that A and M game where 506 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 1: you find a way in a very very ugly rock fight, 507 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,200 Speaker 1: back and forth kind of affair to win by a possession. 508 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 2: And so I think Alabama will win. 509 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 1: If I had to bet the game on the spread, 510 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 1: I would take Tennessee. I am not doing that thing 511 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 1: that I just said. I'm not betting on this game, 512 00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:15,200 Speaker 1: and so yeah, I guess survive in advance is the 513 00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:18,280 Speaker 1: name of the game here. If Tennessee wins this thing. Now, 514 00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 1: if I'm wrong in Tennessee wins it, take a look 515 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 1: at their schedule. They'd go to Kentucky next week, and 516 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 1: then their next they got at Kentucky and at Missouri 517 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,480 Speaker 1: as their next two conference games. Then they'd get Georgia 518 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 1: in there. Hoops knows, Hoops knows. We'll find out a 519 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 1: lot this Saturday. I have in my hand some really 520 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:43,119 Speaker 1: good news for you guys. You know, I just noticed 521 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: Colin keep this shot for a second. Two bits of 522 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:49,160 Speaker 1: good news. The first bit of good news is, although 523 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:50,800 Speaker 1: we're not going to break the game down tonight for 524 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 1: what are probably obvious reasons, it is Iowa Minnesota week, 525 00:23:57,359 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 1: It's Floyda of Rosedale Week. It's really really important week. 526 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:02,960 Speaker 1: Dare I say a holiday week on this show? Because 527 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: that right there is the greatest trophy in sports, not 528 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: just college football. Stanley Cup takes a back seat to 529 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:13,679 Speaker 1: Florida Rosdale. The Lombardi Trophy, all due respect, takes a 530 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,119 Speaker 1: back seat to Florida Rosdale. Whatever that thing is we 531 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,240 Speaker 1: have in lieu of the Crystal football now takes a 532 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:20,479 Speaker 1: back seat to Florida Rosdale. 533 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:23,199 Speaker 2: We salute Floyd. But the other bit of. 534 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,880 Speaker 1: Good news is I got a ten thousand dollars Academy 535 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,119 Speaker 1: gift card for you. I got tickets to the SEC 536 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:32,000 Speaker 1: Championship game for you. So listen to me very closely. 537 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 1: It's so official. I have it written on a piece 538 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 1: of paper. There's a paper pop for you. This is 539 00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 1: gonna sound kind of corporate, but it's because it's prepared 540 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:40,560 Speaker 1: for me. 541 00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:42,280 Speaker 2: Enter for your. 542 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 1: Chance to win a ten thousand dollars There are five 543 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,639 Speaker 1: zeros on this ten thousand dollars Academy gift card plus 544 00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: SEC Championship game tickets. All you gotta do is sign 545 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 1: into the Academy app Academy Sports and Outdoors out look 546 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,080 Speaker 1: for it, Download it for free, Sign in for free. 547 00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:01,119 Speaker 1: This thing runs from October eighth through November eighteenth. 548 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 2: You got plenty of time. 549 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:06,560 Speaker 1: I've always wanted to say the next sentence, No purchase necessary, 550 00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,119 Speaker 1: kind of like our show, because Academy is our partner. 551 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: No purchase necessary now. Odds depend on entries received. Contest 552 00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 1: ends eleven, eighteen twenty three. You can find complete rules 553 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 1: at academy dot com. I think I made that sound 554 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 1: pretty authentic. At least we didn't speed my voice up 555 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,119 Speaker 1: two and a half times. But real talk, I know 556 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 1: a lot of you want to go to that game. 557 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:28,439 Speaker 1: What are we gonna have? 558 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 2: Lsu George, We're gonna Bama Tennessee Part two? How why 559 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 2: will that be? 560 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 1: I'm not sure that it's possible mathematically maybe, but in 561 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 1: any event, big game, Why don't you enter for a 562 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 1: chance to go and get a ten thousand dollars Academy 563 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,840 Speaker 1: gift card. You how much Big League two ten thousand 564 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 1: dollars buys Jesse, do me a favor? Can you email them? 565 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:56,560 Speaker 1: Just ask if I can enter the contest, No purchase necessary, 566 00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:58,040 Speaker 1: Ask if I can enter the contest. 567 00:25:58,440 --> 00:25:59,399 Speaker 2: All right, let's move on. 568 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 1: Oh I would I would just prefer not talk about this, 569 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:05,439 Speaker 1: but we've got to. 570 00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 2: We don't have to. It makes sense because a lot. 571 00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:09,720 Speaker 1: Of you were asking about it, and I serve you. 572 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:13,080 Speaker 1: I live to serve, you know me. I live to serve. 573 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:14,880 Speaker 2: Let me take a ship out of the chalice. 574 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 1: It's about Dabbo, and I got some stuff about Shane 575 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 1: biember tonight too. So the entire Palmeadow State is talking 576 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:28,720 Speaker 1: and I've been listening, had my ears peeled. All right, 577 00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:37,320 Speaker 1: I've got a quote here, so you know how at 578 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,679 Speaker 1: the beginning of the year, I said, it's a really 579 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:42,160 Speaker 1: big inflection point kind of season for Clemson and Dabbo, 580 00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:47,280 Speaker 1: and then they lost to Duke, and then I said, 581 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:49,439 Speaker 1: this is really where the rubber is going to meet 582 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:51,959 Speaker 1: the road, because if they lose to Florida State, there 583 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 1: are folks who have been in his corner for a 584 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,520 Speaker 1: long time who are not gonna sound like they're in 585 00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,160 Speaker 1: his corner anymore. And they lost to Florida State. They 586 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 1: played a really good game, they may have outplayed Florida State, 587 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,840 Speaker 1: but they lost, and now they're a two loss team. 588 00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:08,639 Speaker 1: And I at the time took a lot of questions 589 00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,159 Speaker 1: about what I thought was wrong with Clemson, and I said, well, 590 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 1: nothing's like it's not catastrophically wrong, but there are things 591 00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,640 Speaker 1: that I think could use tweaking or overhauling. And I said, 592 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,040 Speaker 1: even though I can't prove that what I'm focused on 593 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,640 Speaker 1: has lost them games, I do think their portal approach 594 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 1: needs work, like. 595 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:29,680 Speaker 2: I think they need to use it. Now. 596 00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: Some Clemson fans have come back and said, what you're 597 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:38,119 Speaker 1: forgetting is we didn't have any roster space. I'm going 598 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 1: to put this as diplomatically as possible. There are ways 599 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:45,879 Speaker 1: to create roster space in college football. Now, it's dirty 600 00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,880 Speaker 1: and no one wants to talk about it, but there 601 00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:52,520 Speaker 1: are ways to make roster space in college football. And 602 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 1: I'm going to leave it at that. Daboswiney has chosen 603 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 1: not to go down that road, and I've had all 604 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 1: the respect in the world for it. Like I've said, 605 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 1: I'm not going to sit here and fish on the 606 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:02,160 Speaker 1: table and say Dabo's wrong. 607 00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:03,439 Speaker 2: He is an idiot. I don't do any of that. 608 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,640 Speaker 1: His way has worked, all right, Will his way continue 609 00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,640 Speaker 1: to work? Has been the question I've had, and I've 610 00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 1: had some doubts about it. So anyway, now that Clumbs 611 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 1: has lost a couple of games, Dabo was I believe 612 00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:17,240 Speaker 1: on his coaches Show, Jesse. 613 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:18,919 Speaker 2: This is from his Coaches Show. Yeah, he was on 614 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:19,840 Speaker 2: his radio show. 615 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 1: On Tuesday and he said, quote, we're at a point 616 00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 1: where if you don't go undefeated, you are losers. You're terrible, 617 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:31,159 Speaker 1: and that is such a terrible mindset. Honestly, maybe we 618 00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 1: need to lose a few games and lighten up the bandwagon. 619 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 1: Sometimes the bandwagon can get a little too full. Now, 620 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 1: as you can imagine, people who already don't like daboswiney 621 00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: Z wote in on this and said, there he goes, 622 00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 1: Paul Simon just slipped sliding away, fading into the abyss. Well, 623 00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:53,600 Speaker 1: I'll say this one. No one thinks like that. No 624 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 1: one thinks if you go undefeated, or if you don't 625 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:59,160 Speaker 1: go undefeated, you're a loser. The fringe two percent think that, 626 00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 1: and we called fringe two percent for a reason. So 627 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,800 Speaker 1: outside of that, all right, there is a general truth 628 00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 1: to what he's saying, and the general truth is Dabos 629 00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:14,280 Speaker 1: Sweeny's suffering from the consequences of his own success. We 630 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 1: use the phrase consequence of success on the show all 631 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 1: the time because there's this very, very flawed logic out 632 00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:23,880 Speaker 1: there that once you start winning, things get a lot easier, 633 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,120 Speaker 1: once you get up to cruising altitude, things get a 634 00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,960 Speaker 1: lot easier. That's not true. It's never been true. Nick 635 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 1: Saban proved that it wasn't true. Kirby's proven it's not true. 636 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:37,120 Speaker 1: Dabo's proven it's not true. When you win, some things 637 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 1: get easier, but then they are offset by a whole 638 00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 1: new basket of problems and challenges you have that only 639 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:48,000 Speaker 1: present themselves once you win. No one ever complained about 640 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,280 Speaker 1: going ten and to it Clemson before, but now they do. 641 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 2: Well, why is that? Because you want a couple of championships, 642 00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:55,719 Speaker 2: that's why. And all of a sudden you set a 643 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 2: new standard. They didn't. You set a new standard, and 644 00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 2: you ought to become amended for it. 645 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:03,600 Speaker 1: But you also you gotta understand, now, yeah, there's gonna 646 00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 1: be some heat, would you rather revert back to the 647 00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:06,320 Speaker 1: old way. 648 00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:07,000 Speaker 2: That's where he. 649 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:09,520 Speaker 1: Does not mean what he just said. Yeah, he didn't 650 00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:12,160 Speaker 1: need to lose a few games. There's no way I 651 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:14,200 Speaker 1: understand he's speaking out of emotion. 652 00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:16,080 Speaker 2: I get all. You don't need to tell me that. 653 00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:20,040 Speaker 1: And I do also understand he's in the fox hole. 654 00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 1: He's in the fight. The people who criticize him are not. 655 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 1: And there is a certain level of that that even 656 00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:30,240 Speaker 1: if people happen to be making the right points, you know, 657 00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 1: there's no possible way they have all the information at 658 00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 1: their disposal needed to understand the full context of the situation. Again, 659 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:40,680 Speaker 1: I side with coaches a vast majority of the time 660 00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 1: on this stuff. Here's what I'm gonna say. Quit listening, 661 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,920 Speaker 1: just stop listening to people who criticize you. 662 00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 2: You cannot be this stint skin, this deep into your career. 663 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:50,520 Speaker 2: You just can't. 664 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 1: If they criticize you, they criticize you like your check's 665 00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 1: gonna cash every two weeks. 666 00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,000 Speaker 2: You'll be fine. No one's sneaking in the facility at 667 00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:00,360 Speaker 2: night and taking away those trophies. You're gonna be fine. 668 00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:03,080 Speaker 2: But the question to me. 669 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,000 Speaker 1: Is is there going to be any change, Like does 670 00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:10,320 Speaker 1: Dabos when he think philosophically, any change is needed. 671 00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:12,920 Speaker 2: And this is where I've had a pretty strong opinion. 672 00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 2: I think the answer is no. 673 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 1: And every bit of his action since the season started, 674 00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:21,000 Speaker 1: and every time he opens his mouth and he starts 675 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:24,160 Speaker 1: to talk about it, everything he says kind of reinforces 676 00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:24,640 Speaker 1: my point. 677 00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 2: He doesn't see it the way you do. He doesn't 678 00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:28,240 Speaker 2: see it the way I do. 679 00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:30,240 Speaker 1: I don't think he looks and says there's a whole 680 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 1: lot of change needed around here, because I believe Dabos 681 00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 1: when he thinks the way he's done it is still 682 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,800 Speaker 1: the way that works. They just may be slightly dipping 683 00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:42,400 Speaker 1: right now, but they'll get back there. And you know what, 684 00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 1: maybe he's right, but maybe he's wrong. And I think 685 00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:50,680 Speaker 1: there's also a pride element here that that may have 686 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 1: blinded him a little bit, and no one's immune to that. 687 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,080 Speaker 1: Like you can talk and I can sit here and 688 00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:58,239 Speaker 1: tell you all I want to, Oh, Dabo's got an 689 00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 1: edge on me talking about X's and no, Dabbo knows 690 00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 1: how to build an organization a lot better than me, 691 00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:04,440 Speaker 1: and he does, and he does, but that doesn't make 692 00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 1: him immune to this stuff. It doesn't make him immune 693 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 1: to pride getting in the way. And once you start 694 00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:12,719 Speaker 1: getting criticized by outsiders, sometimes you can get rooted in 695 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,440 Speaker 1: your way of thinking and then there can be all 696 00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 1: kinds of counterinformation and counter logic that flies in the 697 00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 1: face of it. But at that point you're too prideful 698 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,840 Speaker 1: to come off your stance. I think he's too prideful 699 00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:25,640 Speaker 1: to come off a stance on things like the portal, 700 00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:27,920 Speaker 1: and it's going to cost him. 701 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 2: It's going to continue to cost him. 702 00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:33,360 Speaker 1: I respect the value system, I respect the principles he's 703 00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:37,520 Speaker 1: built that program on. I'm just telling you it would 704 00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:42,000 Speaker 1: be very, very misguided to think the formula to win 705 00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,719 Speaker 1: in this sport is always written in pen It's not. 706 00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:48,200 Speaker 1: It's written in pencil, and it's ever changing. And the 707 00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 1: fact of the matter is the right way or the 708 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:53,680 Speaker 1: most effective way to do things in twenty fifteen may 709 00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 1: not be the most effective way to do things in 710 00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:59,240 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, and there's no might to that. I'm 711 00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 1: absolutely telling you the truth. I'm absolutely telling you your 712 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 1: biggest rival in the ACC right now just put their 713 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,120 Speaker 1: team together in a manner that couldn't have been done 714 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: in twenty fifteen. And they just came into your house 715 00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,440 Speaker 1: a few weeks ago and beat you. What's your response 716 00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 1: is gonna be because they're not gonna stop, nor is 717 00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:17,840 Speaker 1: the rest of the sport. They're not gonna stop using 718 00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:20,800 Speaker 1: that transfer portal. If you're not going to use it, 719 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 1: more power to you. It is go to be a 720 00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 1: solid program and to take a long time to fully 721 00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 1: unravel what Clemson's built there, But they're not going to 722 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,719 Speaker 1: be a championship contender anymore doing it that way. I 723 00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 1: just I don't believe that you can voluntarily handcuff one 724 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:40,720 Speaker 1: hand behind your back in terms of ignoring a talent 725 00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:44,280 Speaker 1: acquisition apparatus that is available to you and watch your 726 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,960 Speaker 1: opponents use it and you still keep up with them. 727 00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:47,880 Speaker 1: It's unrealistic. 728 00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:49,400 Speaker 2: It's not gonna happen. 729 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,719 Speaker 1: So the Dabbo comments don't They don't surprise me. They 730 00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 1: don't surprise me because I think he's really dug in 731 00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:58,240 Speaker 1: on this and I don't think much is gonna change. 732 00:33:58,400 --> 00:33:59,080 Speaker 2: That's where we are. 733 00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:01,080 Speaker 1: I did want to hit on this. We're going to 734 00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:03,560 Speaker 1: get back to game predictions in the second. The brock 735 00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:05,600 Speaker 1: Bauers stuff. A lot of you asked me about this, 736 00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:08,000 Speaker 1: and so I'll talk to you about it for just 737 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:14,040 Speaker 1: a second. So if you missed it, Colin, here's your 738 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,600 Speaker 1: better endpoint for you. If you missed it. Brock Bauers 739 00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:19,360 Speaker 1: is going to be out for a while for Georgia, 740 00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:23,839 Speaker 1: having the tightrope surgery on the ankle, and we don't 741 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:27,239 Speaker 1: know when he's going to be back, Maybe towards the 742 00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,680 Speaker 1: end of the regular season, maybe not at all in 743 00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 1: the regular season. I would bet against the regular season. 744 00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:33,360 Speaker 2: Personally. 745 00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,040 Speaker 1: There are some folks out there who don't think he'll 746 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,279 Speaker 1: play college football again. 747 00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:39,000 Speaker 2: So anyway, it's. 748 00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:41,560 Speaker 1: Going to be very very iffy if they get him back. Well, 749 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:43,920 Speaker 1: the question is what Georgia going to look like without him. 750 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 1: They would have lost the Auburn game without him. 751 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,200 Speaker 2: I'll tell you that. That doesn't tell me anything moving forward. 752 00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 1: But they got Florida coming up in two weeks and 753 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:54,799 Speaker 1: they've still got to play who they still got to play, Colin. 754 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:55,960 Speaker 2: I know they got Georgia Tech at the end of 755 00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:56,160 Speaker 2: the year. 756 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 1: They still got to play at Tennessee later, they got 757 00:34:58,239 --> 00:35:01,759 Speaker 1: Old miss coming town, they got Missouri, They've you've got 758 00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:03,520 Speaker 1: I'm telling you they got four teams right now. They're 759 00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:05,719 Speaker 1: the top twenty five caliber teams lined up in a row. 760 00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,719 Speaker 1: I think Florida at this point is a top twenty 761 00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:12,280 Speaker 1: five caliber team. And you lost your best football player. 762 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:14,840 Speaker 1: You may have lost the country's best football player. So 763 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:18,040 Speaker 1: it's a very young team. They've been beat up all year. 764 00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 1: They just hadn't lost the star power the likes of 765 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:21,320 Speaker 1: brock Bauers. 766 00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:23,759 Speaker 2: Boy Carson Beck's. 767 00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:25,640 Speaker 1: About to have to shine. That defense is about to 768 00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:29,759 Speaker 1: have to shine. It's a very imperfect team. But imperfection 769 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,080 Speaker 1: at Georgia is kind of a first world problem because 770 00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:34,120 Speaker 1: it's still a really good team. They're gonna have to 771 00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:37,399 Speaker 1: play complementary. There is not a superstar that you can 772 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,239 Speaker 1: look at to just take things over here. They are 773 00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:42,960 Speaker 1: loaded in their tight end room. Raw talent in their 774 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,640 Speaker 1: tight end room is not a problem. The complete package 775 00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:47,799 Speaker 1: that brock Bauers gives you you do not have with 776 00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:49,920 Speaker 1: Oscar Dealt. You don't have that with Loss and Lucky 777 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 1: and those two even Lucky even the freshmen would start 778 00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:55,960 Speaker 1: at ninety five percent of programs in college football right now. 779 00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:56,560 Speaker 2: They're that good. 780 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,719 Speaker 1: But I think anyone who has watched brock Bower understands 781 00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:02,919 Speaker 1: you don't have another one of those in the tight 782 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:06,520 Speaker 1: end room. I said the same thing after the Auburn game. 783 00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:09,440 Speaker 1: I'll say again, you got to look around that receiver's 784 00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:12,120 Speaker 1: room and you got to get someone to step up. Man, 785 00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,760 Speaker 1: Like I'm watching, Bowers have to take over that Auburn 786 00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:16,880 Speaker 1: game because no one else does. You got to look 787 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,400 Speaker 1: around that running back room. You gotta have folks step up. 788 00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,480 Speaker 1: You got to put on film of what Georgia football 789 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:24,239 Speaker 1: has looked like in their vintage moments when they've won 790 00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:27,280 Speaker 1: titles the past two years, and you got to show them, 791 00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:30,719 Speaker 1: dudes like this, we still got the talent here. You 792 00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:32,600 Speaker 1: just got to step up and play like that. That 793 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:35,200 Speaker 1: offensive line. You're trying to get a Marius Mems back 794 00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:38,120 Speaker 1: right now. Maybe you get him back for the Florida game. Look, 795 00:36:38,560 --> 00:36:41,200 Speaker 1: I know that from a fans perspective, whether you're a 796 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:43,560 Speaker 1: Georgia fan or not, this kind of it just sucks 797 00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 1: because you. 798 00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:45,480 Speaker 2: Hate to see the best players go down. 799 00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:47,239 Speaker 1: You hate see any player go down, but you hate 800 00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,440 Speaker 1: to see the best players go down because you're always 801 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,719 Speaker 1: left wondering in your mind what would have happened? If 802 00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 1: Georgia fans hate to hear Bama fans say what would 803 00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,280 Speaker 1: have happened? If Jamison Williams was healthy for the National 804 00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,279 Speaker 1: title game in twenty twenty one. It's a valid it's 805 00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,560 Speaker 1: a valid thought. It's irrelevant because injuries are a part 806 00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,319 Speaker 1: of the game. But that's my whole point. I would 807 00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:08,600 Speaker 1: rather there not be major injuries and we just see 808 00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:12,719 Speaker 1: the games play out perfectly clean. Everyone's healthy. I also 809 00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:18,040 Speaker 1: believe in unicorns. And so two weeks less than two 810 00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:22,000 Speaker 1: weeks now Jacksonville, Florida, you got Florida versus Georgia, and 811 00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:25,520 Speaker 1: then they got two or three more opponents Old miss Missouri, Tennessee. 812 00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:29,040 Speaker 1: They got two or three more They can lose every 813 00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:30,840 Speaker 1: one of those games. Every one of those games is losable, 814 00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:33,200 Speaker 1: make no mistake about it. They'll be favored in every 815 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:35,680 Speaker 1: one of them. But there is no one in that 816 00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:39,360 Speaker 1: four game stretch that's not capable of biting Georgia. Because 817 00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:41,680 Speaker 1: if the Auburn Tigers take them to the wire, I 818 00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:43,839 Speaker 1: can promise you, on their best days, those teams can 819 00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,160 Speaker 1: take them to the wire, especially if Georgia is b 820 00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:48,920 Speaker 1: minus or less on that particular Saturday. 821 00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:51,800 Speaker 2: And then the question, and I don't. 822 00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:54,640 Speaker 1: Know the answer to it, is will you get them back? Now, 823 00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:58,200 Speaker 1: that's an elite phenomenal athlete. They heal differently, They've. 824 00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:00,440 Speaker 2: They've got different equipment. 825 00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:06,040 Speaker 1: At Georgia, I without sharing state secrets, because I am 826 00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:06,720 Speaker 1: from that state. 827 00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:08,520 Speaker 2: I was up there last year. 828 00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 1: I've toured Georgia's medical facility. I've seen what they have 829 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:16,560 Speaker 1: in there, and I'm not saying that there are two 830 00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:18,920 Speaker 1: or three steps ahead of NASA. I do think there 831 00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:21,560 Speaker 1: are at least one step ahead of NASA. Some stuff 832 00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:24,319 Speaker 1: the likes of which you wouldn't believe unbelievable. I wanted 833 00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,399 Speaker 1: to play around with it, but for some reason, there 834 00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:29,960 Speaker 1: was not time for that on my tour that day. 835 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:32,640 Speaker 1: Texas is pretty out of this world too. 836 00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:34,440 Speaker 2: Fascinating stuff. 837 00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:37,000 Speaker 1: I can't even you got seven or eight syllable words 838 00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 1: for what those machines are called. 839 00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,840 Speaker 2: Rock bowers. I'm gonna have to utilize every bit of it. 840 00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:47,520 Speaker 1: All right, let's get back to predicting games. There's a 841 00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:50,560 Speaker 1: game in front of me right now, and this one 842 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,920 Speaker 1: has major consequence. Look at the page, just dripping off 843 00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:59,160 Speaker 1: the page. Clemson at Miami, Saturday, eight o'clock. This thing's 844 00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:03,799 Speaker 1: on AC network, and the reason is because there are 845 00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:07,520 Speaker 1: four combined losses here and I have it on good authority. 846 00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:09,440 Speaker 2: Someone's got to lose their. 847 00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:12,920 Speaker 1: Third game Saturday night, believe it or not, And it's 848 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:14,560 Speaker 1: gonna take a stretch for you to believe this. But 849 00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:16,680 Speaker 1: believe it or not, I think both teams are in 850 00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:19,719 Speaker 1: a good spot in this particular game. Clemson's in a 851 00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:22,160 Speaker 1: good spot because they've done nothing but win since the 852 00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,040 Speaker 1: Florida State game and they're off a bye. Dabo said 853 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:27,239 Speaker 1: they're as healthy as he thinks they've been all year. 854 00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:28,319 Speaker 2: So there's that. 855 00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:32,560 Speaker 1: Miami is what we would call double doo up. In 856 00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:34,840 Speaker 1: other words, we don't believe that you just keep having 857 00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:39,080 Speaker 1: turnover misfortune forever. Eventually there comes a game where you 858 00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,720 Speaker 1: get it right or maybe you're even imagine this plus 859 00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:45,840 Speaker 1: one or plus two in turnovers, and your outcome radically 860 00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:49,239 Speaker 1: shifts based on that. Well, the logic for a long 861 00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:51,880 Speaker 1: time that's been pretty sound is the more bad turnover 862 00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,239 Speaker 1: games you stack on top of each other percentage wise, 863 00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:56,359 Speaker 1: the more likely you are to springboard into a good 864 00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:59,759 Speaker 1: one eventually. And we're gonna say eventually is this week. 865 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,720 Speaker 1: So I think wounded animal mode, to say the least, 866 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:06,279 Speaker 1: is what you've to find Miami in right now. But 867 00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:11,120 Speaker 1: now comes the very, very unfortunate task I have of 868 00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:13,640 Speaker 1: informing you that Miami has not won an acc home 869 00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:18,000 Speaker 1: game under Mario Christball Paper pop stat number one, paper 870 00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:23,920 Speaker 1: pop Stat number two. Miami's last home win against Clemson 871 00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:28,200 Speaker 1: was nineteen fifty six. That was the year Morocco gained independence. 872 00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,160 Speaker 1: That was the year the Philadelphia Warriors beat the Fort 873 00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:34,799 Speaker 1: Wayne Pistons for the NBA title. And that was the 874 00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:37,360 Speaker 1: year and the Hoops could forget this one. That was 875 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:40,200 Speaker 1: the year whipper Billy Watson beat Luths for the NWA 876 00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:41,440 Speaker 1: World Heavyweight Championship. 877 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:45,400 Speaker 2: Great match. Luths Press was probably broken. 878 00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:47,960 Speaker 1: Out at some point, so it's been a while in 879 00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:49,840 Speaker 1: the words of staying in the early two thousands. 880 00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:51,520 Speaker 2: But what does all that mean? 881 00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:55,040 Speaker 1: Well, it just means that Clemson's one hundred and thirteenth 882 00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 1: in explosive plays, and if you can limit that and 883 00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:59,200 Speaker 1: not turn the ball over, you got a good shot 884 00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:01,399 Speaker 1: to win the game. So that's what all those stats mean. 885 00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:04,879 Speaker 1: Mima always told me stats are good at predicting the past. 886 00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:06,000 Speaker 2: Predict the future. 887 00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:08,719 Speaker 1: Joshua, don't look in the rearview mirror, live in the windshield. 888 00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:12,800 Speaker 1: So let's live in the windshield. One hundred and third 889 00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:16,560 Speaker 1: in turnover margin. That's Miami this year terrible. There's been 890 00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:18,520 Speaker 1: given the ball away. You want a ball, here's the ball. 891 00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:20,120 Speaker 1: You want a ball, there's a ball. They are one 892 00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:24,359 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty fourth in penalties this year. Very undisciplined team. 893 00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:26,759 Speaker 1: Now I would say that that's a death sentence, but 894 00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:28,440 Speaker 1: Bama's right down there and they're still in the thick 895 00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:31,640 Speaker 1: of the National Championship conversation. So it's not the death 896 00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:35,560 Speaker 1: sentence that it seems like. But I just wonder, can 897 00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:39,120 Speaker 1: you give me a clean game? Can you play mistake 898 00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:41,799 Speaker 1: not not mistake free, but can you limit them? 899 00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:43,800 Speaker 2: Can you force them? Maybe you force. 900 00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:46,799 Speaker 1: Clemson to make some mistakes. You've got the number one 901 00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:50,040 Speaker 1: offense in the ACC versus the number one defense in 902 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,719 Speaker 1: the ACC. In terms of yards per game. I know 903 00:41:52,800 --> 00:41:56,200 Speaker 1: everybody who watched that North Carolina offense the other night 904 00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,200 Speaker 1: would tell you I'll take that offense over anyone. Yeah, 905 00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:02,040 Speaker 1: I would too, speaking strictly in terms of yards per game. 906 00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:06,520 Speaker 1: And the advanced crowd always loves when I talk yards 907 00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 1: per game. It's about to be really bad for the 908 00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:13,799 Speaker 1: loser here, really bad. Think get through with me for 909 00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:18,480 Speaker 1: a second. If Miami loses this third straight loss, third 910 00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:21,239 Speaker 1: straight conference loss. Still haven't beaten Clemson at home since 911 00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:24,160 Speaker 1: nineteen fifty six, Still don't have a home conference win 912 00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:27,560 Speaker 1: under Morio, and it'd be really bad, really quickly. 913 00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:28,200 Speaker 2: It already is. 914 00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:31,880 Speaker 1: They need to salvage a season down there. If Clemson loses, 915 00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:36,360 Speaker 1: that's a third conference loss for them too. And we're 916 00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:39,520 Speaker 1: still a couple of weeks away from Halloween. What are 917 00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:41,200 Speaker 1: we saying about Clemson? I know what I'd be saying. 918 00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:42,120 Speaker 1: What are you saying about Clemson? 919 00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:43,799 Speaker 2: What are they? What is Dabbos Swinny. 920 00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:47,560 Speaker 1: Saying about his own program at that point? My advice, 921 00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:51,319 Speaker 1: if anyone up there and Clemson is listening, is don't 922 00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:52,759 Speaker 1: let this game come down to a field goal. 923 00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:53,799 Speaker 2: Four of ten this year. 924 00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:55,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think I need to tell you that, 925 00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:58,160 Speaker 1: because you remember how those games have come out in 926 00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:01,400 Speaker 1: the past. We've got a situation here, We've got a 927 00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:04,880 Speaker 1: wrong team, favorite situation. You remember how this turned out 928 00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:07,960 Speaker 1: the last time we said that, chaos Monday through Friday 929 00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,200 Speaker 1: and then we look like geniuses on Saturday. So Colin, 930 00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:12,640 Speaker 1: let's see what the model thinks. The Vegas number right 931 00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:15,600 Speaker 1: now is Clemson minus four. We think the wrong team's favored. 932 00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:17,879 Speaker 1: We think Miami minus one is the right number. 933 00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:18,560 Speaker 2: It's just been. 934 00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:22,520 Speaker 1: Horrifically skewed because of very poor turnover luck the past 935 00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:25,480 Speaker 1: two weeks. Not luck, it's undisciplined, like they've given. 936 00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:26,960 Speaker 2: The ball away. 937 00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,960 Speaker 1: We're gonna roll some dice here. We're gonna say the 938 00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:35,600 Speaker 1: turnover monster does not completely devour Miami like an unstoppable 939 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,160 Speaker 1: rebel force this week. I hope I've been vivid enough 940 00:43:38,600 --> 00:43:40,960 Speaker 1: and we're going to not only take Miami to cover, 941 00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:44,080 Speaker 1: we're gonna take them to win the game outright now. 942 00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:46,919 Speaker 1: Either way, it's gonna be a topic on the Sunday Show, 943 00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:51,400 Speaker 1: because either way, it's just gonna be grossly toxic around 944 00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:52,480 Speaker 1: the losing program. 945 00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:56,080 Speaker 2: Here. That's the beauty and terror of college football. 946 00:43:56,560 --> 00:44:00,440 Speaker 1: So you may think I'm crazy riding with Miami's That's okay, 947 00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:04,440 Speaker 1: that's okay. I what I don't want to do is 948 00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:07,200 Speaker 1: be on him one week, got the bad turnover, look, 949 00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:08,920 Speaker 1: so then I'm off of them the next week, and 950 00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,160 Speaker 1: then the turnover thing flips, and then they win, and 951 00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:12,080 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, You're like. 952 00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:13,920 Speaker 2: Why can't I get a read on Miami? 953 00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,080 Speaker 1: I think I know the quality of team they have, 954 00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:18,359 Speaker 1: they have to play that quality of game. 955 00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:19,799 Speaker 2: That's what I'm saying. 956 00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:26,000 Speaker 1: Let's take a brief detour again from talking about, you know, 957 00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:30,960 Speaker 1: real football games, to talk about another coach with the 958 00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:34,400 Speaker 1: antenna list a little bit too high, with the volume 959 00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:35,839 Speaker 1: turn up just a little bit too much. 960 00:44:36,640 --> 00:44:38,239 Speaker 2: We have time for a sip, Jesse, Yeah, we got 961 00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:43,200 Speaker 2: time for a sip. Why do I have to do this? 962 00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:46,040 Speaker 1: I should not have. This should not fall on me, 963 00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:52,839 Speaker 1: but it does. Harley hit me up and said, why 964 00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:56,080 Speaker 1: haven't you talked about Shane Beemer whining so much after 965 00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:59,640 Speaker 1: losing to Tennessee and now he's laughing about breaking his foot. 966 00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:02,400 Speaker 2: Both of these things happen. 967 00:45:02,520 --> 00:45:06,520 Speaker 1: I regret to inform you there was a tinge of 968 00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:10,200 Speaker 1: windiness from Shane after losing the Tennessee game. Now he 969 00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:13,000 Speaker 1: has since addressed that, so I'm not talking about anything 970 00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:16,680 Speaker 1: he hasn't talked about. And yes, he did confirm today 971 00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:18,919 Speaker 1: that he kicked something he shouldn't have in his words, 972 00:45:18,920 --> 00:45:19,680 Speaker 1: and broke his foot. 973 00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:21,480 Speaker 2: But you don't need to take my word for it. 974 00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:25,440 Speaker 1: I have had director Colin cleverly splice these two things together. 975 00:45:26,040 --> 00:45:29,719 Speaker 1: First the whining, then the admission of the foot breakage 976 00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:30,440 Speaker 1: roll it, Colin. 977 00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:33,120 Speaker 3: I saw the main problem, David. We call pressures and 978 00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:37,120 Speaker 3: we don't run them. We play man coverage and didn't 979 00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:39,239 Speaker 3: do a great job of keeping leverage. I mean just 980 00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 3: in the first half alone, we ran a pressure where 981 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,120 Speaker 3: the corner came and for some reason he stopped and 982 00:45:44,160 --> 00:45:46,480 Speaker 3: we gave up an explosive pass because we didn't continue 983 00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:48,160 Speaker 3: to run the pressure. After the game, I broke my 984 00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:52,520 Speaker 3: foot on Saturday, so I'd rather just get it out 985 00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:54,920 Speaker 3: there and say it and not have you all speculating. 986 00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,000 Speaker 3: And then after the game on Saturday in Missouri, you 987 00:45:57,080 --> 00:45:59,840 Speaker 3: ask I called coach Tanner, told him make sure he 988 00:45:59,920 --> 00:46:01,719 Speaker 3: was okay with it, and he died laughing when I 989 00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,080 Speaker 3: told him so. Obviously there's not a lot of empathy 990 00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:06,080 Speaker 3: from him. 991 00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:06,719 Speaker 2: It was. 992 00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:11,400 Speaker 3: After the game, and certainly that was a gut wrenching 993 00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:16,239 Speaker 3: emotional loss, and I was frustrated and kicked something that 994 00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:19,960 Speaker 3: I shouldn't have kicked and thought I was okay. But 995 00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:23,080 Speaker 3: journaling of the game wore off, and before anybody starts 996 00:46:23,120 --> 00:46:26,880 Speaker 3: the narrative like the head football coach is frustrated and 997 00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:29,920 Speaker 3: lost his poise and all that, No I care and 998 00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:34,000 Speaker 3: I care about these kids, and I was really upset 999 00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:35,520 Speaker 3: on Saturday night because I didn't do it enough to 1000 00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:40,319 Speaker 3: help them get over the hump and win the football game. 1001 00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,360 Speaker 3: So I don't think I have to have surgery. But 1002 00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:44,880 Speaker 3: there is a broken bone in my foot. It hurts 1003 00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:46,759 Speaker 3: like you know what, but you know I've got to 1004 00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:48,520 Speaker 3: show toughness and fight through it. 1005 00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:54,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, the talk is he seems a little bit too 1006 00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:56,320 Speaker 1: chipper for a guy who just lost a football game. 1007 00:46:56,600 --> 00:46:58,560 Speaker 2: Our coach seems like a clown right now. 1008 00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:00,680 Speaker 1: This is what I have been in an with in 1009 00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:03,200 Speaker 1: the inbox. Truthfully, I wasn't gonna address this tonight, but 1010 00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:06,120 Speaker 1: Harley was not the only one who asked about this. 1011 00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:10,719 Speaker 1: So here's what the Less Miles era taught me, and 1012 00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:12,800 Speaker 1: me maw had already taught me this. The Less Miles 1013 00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:17,120 Speaker 1: era reinforced that if you got unique personality traits, the 1014 00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:19,680 Speaker 1: same personality traits that get you praised when you win 1015 00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:23,359 Speaker 1: get you roasted when you lose. So nothing changes about 1016 00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:26,759 Speaker 1: your personality. It's just your idio secrecies either get you 1017 00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:30,160 Speaker 1: propped up or get you beat down. It's all dictated 1018 00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:32,960 Speaker 1: on outcome on the field. It's never been about anything 1019 00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:34,680 Speaker 1: other than that. You can be the greatest guy in 1020 00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:37,040 Speaker 1: the world. If you lose, they're canning you. You can 1021 00:47:37,080 --> 00:47:40,400 Speaker 1: be a complete jerk. If you win, they're building statues 1022 00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:44,400 Speaker 1: of you. So your personality really doesn't matter. Here's what 1023 00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:49,800 Speaker 1: does matter. I don't care that. Why haven't I commented 1024 00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:52,960 Speaker 1: because I don't care. I don't care if he winds 1025 00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:56,319 Speaker 1: in postgame press conferences. I know what it's born out of. 1026 00:47:56,440 --> 00:48:01,040 Speaker 1: He's very passionate about his program. The difference in the 1027 00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:03,279 Speaker 1: way in an ideal world that I would have Shane 1028 00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:05,440 Speaker 1: Biemer run his program versus the way he does is 1029 00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:07,640 Speaker 1: I just think he cares what people say about him 1030 00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:11,520 Speaker 1: too much. And I know folks like that. I am 1031 00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:15,479 Speaker 1: very blessed to not think that way. I don't care. 1032 00:48:16,239 --> 00:48:19,080 Speaker 1: I have fun with it, but otherwise I don't care 1033 00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,839 Speaker 1: about it. Make what other people think about you none 1034 00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:24,440 Speaker 1: of your business. It is golden advice I got a 1035 00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:27,560 Speaker 1: long time ago. Fortunately I've applied it. I don't care. 1036 00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:30,560 Speaker 1: Say whatever you want to say. Leave Jesse and Colin 1037 00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:33,239 Speaker 1: out of it. You can trash Bradley, but say whatever 1038 00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:35,680 Speaker 1: you want to say about me. That's how I wish 1039 00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:37,839 Speaker 1: Shaneiemer would go about it. It's very obvious he hears 1040 00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:40,040 Speaker 1: a lot of stuff that's said about him, and I 1041 00:48:40,120 --> 00:48:42,080 Speaker 1: know it gets under your skin. Same thing I said 1042 00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:44,879 Speaker 1: about Dabbo. Some of the fools talking trash about you 1043 00:48:45,160 --> 00:48:47,880 Speaker 1: could not talk themselves intellectually out of a wet paper 1044 00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,239 Speaker 1: bag when it comes to football. You'd run circles around him. 1045 00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:52,440 Speaker 2: You know it. They don't know it because they're idiots. 1046 00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:56,520 Speaker 1: But in some cases, maybe there's accurate criticism they're levying 1047 00:48:56,560 --> 00:49:00,600 Speaker 1: against you, whether it's right or wrong. If you care 1048 00:49:00,920 --> 00:49:04,200 Speaker 1: that much what fans think, you will end up sitting 1049 00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:06,920 Speaker 1: with them. It is an age old adage for a reason. 1050 00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:07,680 Speaker 2: It's true. 1051 00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:10,080 Speaker 1: You gotta tune it out. You just got to tune 1052 00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:15,040 Speaker 1: it out now. As for the broken foot prayers up, 1053 00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:20,759 Speaker 1: I don't necessarily know what to say about this. He 1054 00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:22,879 Speaker 1: did seem a little happy about it. There was there 1055 00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:24,120 Speaker 1: was a little smile on the face. 1056 00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:28,000 Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know. 1057 00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:29,560 Speaker 1: I know what a lot of you think about it, 1058 00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:33,560 Speaker 1: because I'm looking at my phone even as I'm doing this, 1059 00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:35,440 Speaker 1: I'm looking at my phone and I. 1060 00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:38,160 Speaker 2: Got I gotta. 1061 00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:41,359 Speaker 1: I got a head coach texting me about this right now. 1062 00:49:41,719 --> 00:49:44,600 Speaker 1: I am not sharing the identity, Nor am I sharing 1063 00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:48,279 Speaker 1: the body of the text, but it was it was 1064 00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:50,759 Speaker 1: not exactly pro game cap. 1065 00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,800 Speaker 2: Let me just put it that way, and it wasn't debo. Uh. 1066 00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:57,360 Speaker 1: They are way better to me than they were before 1067 00:49:57,400 --> 00:49:57,960 Speaker 1: he got there. 1068 00:49:58,080 --> 00:49:59,040 Speaker 2: That's what I care about. 1069 00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:01,760 Speaker 1: This year's not gonna be good in the record column, 1070 00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:04,040 Speaker 1: and when lost column is not gonna be good. Progress 1071 00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,640 Speaker 1: isn't always linear. So he said that the other day, 1072 00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:09,640 Speaker 1: we're way better than we were before I got here. 1073 00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:11,960 Speaker 1: He did, I'm paraphrasing he said a version of that. 1074 00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:15,319 Speaker 1: I think he's right. That's what I care about. Don't 1075 00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:17,680 Speaker 1: care about what he sounds like postgame. I would prefer 1076 00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:20,000 Speaker 1: he not break his foot. But even having said that, 1077 00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:25,000 Speaker 1: guys have coached under more stringent physical ailments before, Hugh 1078 00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:28,040 Speaker 1: Freeze once coached from a hospital, bed up up in 1079 00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:31,240 Speaker 1: the press box, thumbs up to go for it, thumbs 1080 00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:33,239 Speaker 1: down not to go for it, as shamee Beamer. I 1081 00:50:33,239 --> 00:50:35,080 Speaker 1: don't know if he's using the handicap parking up there, 1082 00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:37,040 Speaker 1: but I guarantee you he'll still be on the sidelines 1083 00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:43,200 Speaker 1: on Saturday. So speedy recovery, but all seriousness, they're they're okay. 1084 00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:45,080 Speaker 2: They're not gonna have a good record this year. 1085 00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:48,200 Speaker 1: Like I said, the dips, like the ebbs and flows 1086 00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:51,960 Speaker 1: in football, are eternal. Every program has them. It's just 1087 00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:55,239 Speaker 1: that when you're in the top five program, when you 1088 00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:58,799 Speaker 1: get when you really get the engine revved, there's a 1089 00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:02,960 Speaker 1: pretty high floor, like you can be so insanely talented. 1090 00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:05,719 Speaker 1: Kirby's got Georgia right now at a place where even 1091 00:51:05,719 --> 00:51:08,040 Speaker 1: in their down year, it would be nine to three. 1092 00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:11,200 Speaker 1: That is not South Carolina right now. So if they 1093 00:51:11,200 --> 00:51:13,799 Speaker 1: have a down year, which they're having, they could miss 1094 00:51:13,840 --> 00:51:16,279 Speaker 1: a bowl game. It doesn't mean it's the end of 1095 00:51:16,280 --> 00:51:18,560 Speaker 1: the world. It does if you do it three years 1096 00:51:18,600 --> 00:51:20,640 Speaker 1: in a row, but I don't think that's the case there. 1097 00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:25,040 Speaker 1: I also think press conferences aren't football, yet we spend 1098 00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:28,759 Speaker 1: a vast majority of our time talking about what coaches say. 1099 00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:31,400 Speaker 2: This is why, at its core, I don't. 1100 00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:34,320 Speaker 1: Get jacked up about SEC media Days. I have never 1101 00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:38,200 Speaker 1: done a biggest winners and Losers of Media Days segment. 1102 00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:41,520 Speaker 1: There are no winners and losers. I would argue there 1103 00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:46,240 Speaker 1: are losers, but it's mainly the nope. I'm not saying 1104 00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:49,080 Speaker 1: that some of those folks are my friends and I'm 1105 00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:52,000 Speaker 1: not gonna say that, but by and large, I don't 1106 00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:53,480 Speaker 1: care what said at press conferences. 1107 00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:54,600 Speaker 2: I just I don't. 1108 00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:58,359 Speaker 1: Maybe it's a fatal flaw of mine, but I really don't. 1109 00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:02,840 Speaker 1: They're watching us in Murphysboro, Tennessee. Yanked in South Dakota 1110 00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:03,400 Speaker 1: is tuned in. 1111 00:52:03,440 --> 00:52:04,400 Speaker 2: Good people in yankedon. 1112 00:52:04,560 --> 00:52:07,120 Speaker 1: They're watching us in Seattle, Washington. There is a city 1113 00:52:07,160 --> 00:52:09,799 Speaker 1: in Japan I won't even try to pronounce, but they're watching. 1114 00:52:09,600 --> 00:52:13,000 Speaker 2: Us there as well. We've got a big game out West. 1115 00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,760 Speaker 1: I've also got the Jpephole coming up momentarily, and best bets, 1116 00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:18,960 Speaker 1: we've got a big game in the coliseum Saturday, Utah 1117 00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:21,359 Speaker 1: at USC. This is an eight o'clock Eastern time kick 1118 00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:26,799 Speaker 1: on Fox Total desperation spot for USC. Total desperation Now, 1119 00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:30,160 Speaker 1: on one hand, got two hands here. On one hand, 1120 00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:34,000 Speaker 1: they're still undefeated in conference play. On the other hand, 1121 00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:36,480 Speaker 1: they have several tough conference games coming up, and they 1122 00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:40,719 Speaker 1: just got housed by Notre Dame, so you would think 1123 00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:43,440 Speaker 1: this is a bounce back spot. History would indicate that 1124 00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:46,640 Speaker 1: minus five turnovers last week, they had another two turnovers 1125 00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:49,520 Speaker 1: on downs. They're back home and wounded. Animal mode. You 1126 00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:51,960 Speaker 1: know how much we love that spot. It's a revenge 1127 00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:54,080 Speaker 1: moment because they lost to Utah on the PAC twelve 1128 00:52:54,120 --> 00:52:58,920 Speaker 1: championship game last year. We'll know early what kind of 1129 00:52:58,960 --> 00:53:02,080 Speaker 1: game this is going to be. Will know early because 1130 00:53:02,120 --> 00:53:04,560 Speaker 1: the first quarter is all important. In this game, USC 1131 00:53:05,040 --> 00:53:07,719 Speaker 1: can play catch up. I don't know that Utah cam 1132 00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:10,920 Speaker 1: and so if USC jumps out to an early lead 1133 00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:12,600 Speaker 1: like they did in the PAC twelve title game, but 1134 00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:15,640 Speaker 1: Kayleb Williams stays healthy, I don't think Utah's coming back. 1135 00:53:15,680 --> 00:53:18,239 Speaker 1: They don't have Cam rising. I know because he's in 1136 00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:20,680 Speaker 1: this other room right now. It is Producer Jesse. They're 1137 00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:22,759 Speaker 1: one and the same, and Producer Jesse does not look 1138 00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:25,520 Speaker 1: how he's ready to start for Utah Saturday. So if 1139 00:53:25,520 --> 00:53:27,640 Speaker 1: you get out to an early lead, think USC is 1140 00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:29,400 Speaker 1: going to have a good night. And it's not the 1141 00:53:29,480 --> 00:53:30,800 Speaker 1: end of the world if they don't get out to 1142 00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:34,520 Speaker 1: an early lead. But the problem is USC's eighty eighth 1143 00:53:34,640 --> 00:53:39,000 Speaker 1: in run defense. If they don't start scoring early and 1144 00:53:39,080 --> 00:53:41,040 Speaker 1: force Utah to throw the ball to stay in the game, 1145 00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:42,480 Speaker 1: all of a sudden you look down and you say, 1146 00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:43,840 Speaker 1: what is that I feel on my ankles? 1147 00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:45,160 Speaker 2: What is that on my shins? What is that on 1148 00:53:45,200 --> 00:53:45,600 Speaker 2: my knees. 1149 00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:49,000 Speaker 1: It's quicksand, and you stepped into it again against Utah. 1150 00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:52,240 Speaker 1: So don't let it happen to yourself. Don't let yourself 1151 00:53:52,320 --> 00:53:55,319 Speaker 1: do that. Get out to an early lead. This is 1152 00:53:55,360 --> 00:53:57,880 Speaker 1: my advice. If Lincoln Riley has not thought of this 1153 00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:00,279 Speaker 1: already scoring early. 1154 00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:02,880 Speaker 2: Try it. Try it. It works, Try it. 1155 00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:06,680 Speaker 1: Utah is ninth and turnover margin USC seventy fifth. Notice 1156 00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:09,320 Speaker 1: how that little stat changed in a hurry. USC was 1157 00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:12,880 Speaker 1: running away with turnover margin last year. They were plus 1158 00:54:12,920 --> 00:54:14,239 Speaker 1: double digits by this time. 1159 00:54:14,280 --> 00:54:15,879 Speaker 2: I think not this year. 1160 00:54:16,680 --> 00:54:19,120 Speaker 1: And as I said in the preseason, this team could 1161 00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:20,000 Speaker 1: stay the exact same. 1162 00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:21,400 Speaker 2: If you just flip. 1163 00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:24,319 Speaker 1: Turnover margin, everything changes. It could be the difference in 1164 00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:27,440 Speaker 1: three or four games. Well you see what it looks like, 1165 00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,600 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, your minus five and turnovers against 1166 00:54:30,680 --> 00:54:32,879 Speaker 1: Notre Dame. Notre Dame doesn't even have to have three 1167 00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:35,680 Speaker 1: hundred yards offense against you to hang nearly half one hundred. 1168 00:54:36,160 --> 00:54:38,520 Speaker 2: I believe Caleb Williams will bounce back in this game. 1169 00:54:38,560 --> 00:54:39,520 Speaker 2: I truly believe that. 1170 00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:41,680 Speaker 1: But I also believe it takes more than Caleb Williams. 1171 00:54:41,840 --> 00:54:44,680 Speaker 1: USC's offensive line has been bad. They have gotten him 1172 00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:47,520 Speaker 1: assaulted they have given up ten sacks the last two games. 1173 00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:51,520 Speaker 1: Utah is top ten in sacks this year. They cannot 1174 00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:54,520 Speaker 1: all just rely on Caleb Williams. It can't be like 1175 00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:57,000 Speaker 1: Bama a couple of years ago. Remember when they had 1176 00:54:57,000 --> 00:54:59,799 Speaker 1: Bryce Young and it seemed like that whole team Just 1177 00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:02,400 Speaker 1: look to Bryce Young to make a play. Feels like 1178 00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:04,319 Speaker 1: what us he does right now. Just look at Caleb 1179 00:55:04,320 --> 00:55:06,640 Speaker 1: Williams to bail me out. No, man, you got a 1180 00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:08,160 Speaker 1: scholarship to play at Southern Calcoluse. 1181 00:55:08,200 --> 00:55:08,960 Speaker 2: You're pretty good too. 1182 00:55:09,280 --> 00:55:10,879 Speaker 1: Why don't you shoulder a little bit of the weight. 1183 00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:13,799 Speaker 1: I'm talking to the offensive line. Well, give him a 1184 00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:16,680 Speaker 1: couple of seconds. Just watch what happens. Run the ball 1185 00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:19,480 Speaker 1: plus turnovers plus defense. If you allow Utah to do 1186 00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:22,640 Speaker 1: that against you, Quick Sam, it's not gonna be It's 1187 00:55:22,640 --> 00:55:25,319 Speaker 1: not gonna be a pretty outcome for you. Utah needs 1188 00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:26,120 Speaker 1: to find big plays. 1189 00:55:26,160 --> 00:55:26,399 Speaker 2: Though. 1190 00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:29,640 Speaker 1: There are one hundred and twenty ninth in explosive plays. 1191 00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:33,720 Speaker 1: USC is one hundred and twenty fifth in explosive plays allowed. 1192 00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:38,719 Speaker 1: So if it's gonna happen, maybe it happens here for Utah. 1193 00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:41,160 Speaker 1: Let's look at what the model thinks. Colin USC's minus 1194 00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:44,080 Speaker 1: six and a half on the Vegas board right now, 1195 00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:46,560 Speaker 1: and the model is dead on the money with Vegas 1196 00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:50,280 Speaker 1: USC minus six and a half. I've got no confidence 1197 00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:50,960 Speaker 1: whatsoever here. 1198 00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:52,279 Speaker 2: I can see either style of game. 1199 00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:55,640 Speaker 1: I can literally see thirty eight seventeen USC or I 1200 00:55:55,640 --> 00:55:58,040 Speaker 1: can see twenty one to twenty Utah have no feel 1201 00:55:58,080 --> 00:55:58,520 Speaker 1: for the game. 1202 00:55:58,920 --> 00:56:02,040 Speaker 2: I am going to with USC to win. 1203 00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:07,040 Speaker 1: On principle, I'm gonna take Utah to cover, just because 1204 00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,520 Speaker 1: if I'm that close in my mind, I expect one 1205 00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:13,240 Speaker 1: possession game. But really, there's so much variation in outcomes. 1206 00:56:13,280 --> 00:56:16,920 Speaker 1: If we played this twenty times, it would be stunning 1207 00:56:17,040 --> 00:56:19,200 Speaker 1: to see how wide the gap is in the most 1208 00:56:19,280 --> 00:56:21,520 Speaker 1: extreme score one side versus the other side. 1209 00:56:21,920 --> 00:56:22,840 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take USC. 1210 00:56:23,080 --> 00:56:24,600 Speaker 1: They have the third best odds to win the PAC 1211 00:56:24,600 --> 00:56:26,880 Speaker 1: twelve right now, Utah has got the fifth best odds. 1212 00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:31,000 Speaker 2: Let's just see what happens next. 1213 00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:33,919 Speaker 1: Up, it's that time. Put the women and children to bed. 1214 00:56:34,640 --> 00:56:37,240 Speaker 1: Got the new JP pole in my hand. Here, community 1215 00:56:39,360 --> 00:56:42,120 Speaker 1: JP pole time is once again upon us. Not a 1216 00:56:42,200 --> 00:56:45,200 Speaker 1: ranking system. I don't know why I just shout into 1217 00:56:45,200 --> 00:56:47,279 Speaker 1: the wind and explain this, but I will once more. 1218 00:56:47,680 --> 00:56:50,160 Speaker 1: This is just favorability on a neutral field has nothing 1219 00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:52,319 Speaker 1: to do with the rankings. There's no merit involved here. 1220 00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:56,000 Speaker 1: It's just future facing. So we're not looking in the 1221 00:56:56,040 --> 00:56:59,680 Speaker 1: review mirror. We care about what would happen moving forward, 1222 00:57:00,120 --> 00:57:03,440 Speaker 1: and power ratings are what they are. Let's take a 1223 00:57:03,440 --> 00:57:05,680 Speaker 1: look at twenty five through twenty one. 1224 00:57:05,840 --> 00:57:10,160 Speaker 2: Guess who's back. Florida's back. The Florida Gators are rated again. 1225 00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:11,280 Speaker 2: Welcome back, guys. 1226 00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:16,160 Speaker 1: They've got Georgia next. The University of Arizona is number 1227 00:57:16,160 --> 00:57:19,720 Speaker 1: twenty four. I cannot believe I just said that sentenced. 1228 00:57:19,720 --> 00:57:24,280 Speaker 1: The University of Arizona under Jedfish is power rated in 1229 00:57:24,280 --> 00:57:27,920 Speaker 1: the jpeople first time, I believe ever, and no one 1230 00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:31,840 Speaker 1: thought this would happen this year. They've got Oregon State, UCLA, Colorado, Utah, 1231 00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:36,160 Speaker 1: and Arizona State left. Let's see what happens. Congrats already. 1232 00:57:36,240 --> 00:57:38,480 Speaker 1: I know the season's not over. They haven't accomplished anything 1233 00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:42,680 Speaker 1: they have on this show. TCU, inexplicably is still in 1234 00:57:42,720 --> 00:57:45,000 Speaker 1: the top twenty five. I don't know what the model sees. 1235 00:57:45,040 --> 00:57:48,800 Speaker 1: I have no idea. I would absolutely pick Duke over 1236 00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,920 Speaker 1: TCU today, so this is sort of me versus the 1237 00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:55,720 Speaker 1: model thing. But I am not a tamperer. I am 1238 00:57:55,880 --> 00:57:58,520 Speaker 1: not going to tamper with this. TCUs at twenty third, 1239 00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:01,720 Speaker 1: Utah twenty two. Amy didn't really drop because your your 1240 00:58:01,760 --> 00:58:05,320 Speaker 1: minus turnover performance is terrible, but it's just it's not 1241 00:58:05,520 --> 00:58:07,800 Speaker 1: going to drop you a whole lot. The model thinks 1242 00:58:07,840 --> 00:58:10,040 Speaker 1: there's a lot of randomness in turnovers, which there are. 1243 00:58:11,200 --> 00:58:11,960 Speaker 2: We go top. 1244 00:58:11,800 --> 00:58:17,640 Speaker 1: Twenty, who's twenty colin, Yeah, ole miss is twenty so 1245 00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:21,479 Speaker 1: ole miss. UCLA US here sort of in the same 1246 00:58:21,520 --> 00:58:25,080 Speaker 1: spots they were last week. USC didn't drop a whole 1247 00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:29,840 Speaker 1: lot because they were essentially minus seven in turnovers and 1248 00:58:30,080 --> 00:58:33,000 Speaker 1: we didn't think highly of USC to begin with, so 1249 00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:35,760 Speaker 1: where everyone else plummeted USC, we kind of already had them, 1250 00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:38,320 Speaker 1: So we feel pretty justified. Clemson still seventeen. 1251 00:58:38,800 --> 00:58:39,160 Speaker 2: A and M. 1252 00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:42,000 Speaker 1: I know you're going to struggle with that. They're sixteenth 1253 00:58:42,040 --> 00:58:44,960 Speaker 1: even though they have three losses. It is about what 1254 00:58:45,080 --> 00:58:48,080 Speaker 1: point spreads would be tomorrow. A and M's losses are 1255 00:58:48,080 --> 00:58:50,840 Speaker 1: to the number sixteen, number fourteen team, and number twenty 1256 00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:54,440 Speaker 1: one team. Two of those have been by one possession. 1257 00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:58,120 Speaker 1: It's just that they're not a terrible team, and talent 1258 00:58:58,360 --> 00:59:02,120 Speaker 1: is baked into this and an ultra talented team that's 1259 00:59:02,120 --> 00:59:04,600 Speaker 1: had a couple of close losses to top twenty five competitions. 1260 00:59:04,640 --> 00:59:06,240 Speaker 1: Not going to plummet out of this thing. It's not 1261 00:59:06,360 --> 00:59:10,040 Speaker 1: the ap This is not what this is. What else 1262 00:59:10,080 --> 00:59:10,520 Speaker 1: is notable? 1263 00:59:10,520 --> 00:59:12,640 Speaker 2: There not really anything. Let's move on Colin. 1264 00:59:13,160 --> 00:59:17,160 Speaker 1: Top fifteen, Oregon State unchanged, Tennessee pretty much the same 1265 00:59:17,200 --> 00:59:18,200 Speaker 1: as they were last week. 1266 00:59:18,560 --> 00:59:19,439 Speaker 2: Notre Dame as well. 1267 00:59:19,520 --> 00:59:23,080 Speaker 1: Now the model is still really high on LSU is 1268 00:59:23,720 --> 00:59:26,400 Speaker 1: It's the reason I keep talking about LSU the way 1269 00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:28,919 Speaker 1: I do. The model keeps screaming, don't give up on them, 1270 00:59:29,440 --> 00:59:31,640 Speaker 1: don't give up on them. Played probably their best game 1271 00:59:31,680 --> 00:59:34,360 Speaker 1: of the year against Auburn. They got army this week, 1272 00:59:34,680 --> 00:59:36,880 Speaker 1: and then I think a bye and then they play Alabama. 1273 00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:41,320 Speaker 2: Let's see what happens. North Carolina's eleven. 1274 00:59:41,400 --> 00:59:43,680 Speaker 1: We already had North Carolina really high, so there was 1275 00:59:43,720 --> 00:59:46,200 Speaker 1: no reason to change them. They won big, but it 1276 00:59:46,240 --> 00:59:48,320 Speaker 1: was a lot of plus turnovers, so model takes that 1277 00:59:48,360 --> 00:59:49,280 Speaker 1: into account. 1278 00:59:49,520 --> 00:59:50,280 Speaker 2: Top ten time. 1279 00:59:51,840 --> 00:59:54,840 Speaker 1: I thought it was really interesting that Bill Connolly put 1280 00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:57,880 Speaker 1: his full numbers out this morning because it helped to 1281 00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:00,680 Speaker 1: reinforce something I've been saying. So people see US put 1282 01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:04,560 Speaker 1: FSU at number ten and they think it's some anti 1283 01:00:04,560 --> 01:00:09,120 Speaker 1: FSU bias sort of thing, like I don't care one 1284 01:00:09,160 --> 01:00:11,360 Speaker 1: way or the other. I would much prefer FSU to 1285 01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:13,600 Speaker 1: win because it's good for the show. If you want 1286 01:00:13,640 --> 01:00:18,320 Speaker 1: my honest thoughts. My whole point in pointing out Connolly's 1287 01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:21,400 Speaker 1: ratings this morning is he has him number eleven. It's 1288 01:00:21,440 --> 01:00:26,680 Speaker 1: not just an outlier rogue model opinion that FSU is 1289 01:00:26,720 --> 01:00:30,160 Speaker 1: not a top five team power rating wise. If I 1290 01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:32,120 Speaker 1: were an AP voter, I'd have them up there. I 1291 01:00:32,160 --> 01:00:36,840 Speaker 1: would absolutely rank FSU above Alabama. Power ratings wise, the 1292 01:00:36,880 --> 01:00:39,080 Speaker 1: model would favor Alabama if they played them tomorrow. 1293 01:00:39,280 --> 01:00:40,440 Speaker 2: That's all that's about. 1294 01:00:40,800 --> 01:00:46,560 Speaker 1: Penn State is nine, Oklahoma is at eight, Washington. Washington 1295 01:00:46,560 --> 01:00:50,680 Speaker 1: bumped up one point, but because of fluctuation around them, 1296 01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:53,800 Speaker 1: they stayed at number seven. Bama's at number six. Not 1297 01:00:53,920 --> 01:00:57,320 Speaker 1: a lot changed ten through six last week. Top five, 1298 01:00:57,960 --> 01:01:01,920 Speaker 1: and let's once again address something. Oregon I think dropped 1299 01:01:01,920 --> 01:01:02,560 Speaker 1: a spot. 1300 01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:03,479 Speaker 2: We draw. 1301 01:01:04,240 --> 01:01:09,320 Speaker 1: So Oregon Washington both increased their power rating. Oregon increased 1302 01:01:09,320 --> 01:01:11,720 Speaker 1: a quarter of a point, Washington increased a full point. 1303 01:01:11,800 --> 01:01:14,720 Speaker 1: So both of them went up from last week. Oregon 1304 01:01:14,800 --> 01:01:18,840 Speaker 1: is still ahead of Washington. You know what I'm saying, 1305 01:01:19,000 --> 01:01:21,960 Speaker 1: you know what that means neutral field model would slightly 1306 01:01:22,040 --> 01:01:26,200 Speaker 1: lean Oregon tomorrow, not by much, like fractions, not by much. 1307 01:01:26,760 --> 01:01:29,280 Speaker 1: Texas is still ahead of Oklahoma. Let me go back 1308 01:01:29,280 --> 01:01:32,560 Speaker 1: to Connley. Not that either of these is the end 1309 01:01:32,600 --> 01:01:34,360 Speaker 1: all be all, but I mean Bill Connley is as 1310 01:01:34,400 --> 01:01:37,560 Speaker 1: respected as it gets in this profession at doing the 1311 01:01:37,600 --> 01:01:40,720 Speaker 1: whole math and numbers and power ratings thing. He's got 1312 01:01:40,720 --> 01:01:44,480 Speaker 1: Texas above Oklahoma doesn't mean you negate the result a 1313 01:01:44,480 --> 01:01:46,760 Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago, nor does it mean Texas will 1314 01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:48,760 Speaker 1: beat him if they play in the Big twelve championship game. 1315 01:01:48,880 --> 01:01:50,800 Speaker 1: It just means if they played the game today, Texas 1316 01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:54,880 Speaker 1: would be favored, and some people kind of gear their 1317 01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:59,360 Speaker 1: models towards that. So Michigan's number one is the big 1318 01:01:59,400 --> 01:02:02,160 Speaker 1: takeaway here new number one. It's the first time Michigan's 1319 01:02:02,160 --> 01:02:05,560 Speaker 1: been number one. Not only that, there is a one 1320 01:02:05,640 --> 01:02:08,400 Speaker 1: and a half point gap between Michigan and the field, 1321 01:02:09,160 --> 01:02:11,600 Speaker 1: And just out of curiosity, I went back to last 1322 01:02:11,640 --> 01:02:14,400 Speaker 1: year around this time, and I always love to look 1323 01:02:14,400 --> 01:02:17,160 Speaker 1: at the ten point gap. So if I subtract ten 1324 01:02:17,200 --> 01:02:19,800 Speaker 1: points off of the number one team, how far do 1325 01:02:19,840 --> 01:02:22,480 Speaker 1: I have to go down before I find a team 1326 01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:25,440 Speaker 1: they'd be favored by ten points over you got to 1327 01:02:25,440 --> 01:02:28,000 Speaker 1: go all the way down to number fourteen right now. 1328 01:02:28,680 --> 01:02:30,960 Speaker 1: The ten point gap gets us all away from Michigan 1329 01:02:31,000 --> 01:02:33,720 Speaker 1: to Tennessee. Last year, it was like the top six 1330 01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:35,640 Speaker 1: teams and that was it. So there was a very 1331 01:02:36,000 --> 01:02:38,680 Speaker 1: very clear Tier one and then there was a huge 1332 01:02:38,760 --> 01:02:39,400 Speaker 1: drop off. 1333 01:02:40,160 --> 01:02:42,680 Speaker 2: We don't necessarily have that right now, which. 1334 01:02:42,440 --> 01:02:46,600 Speaker 1: Means October's already been crazy about to be insane. When 1335 01:02:46,600 --> 01:02:48,280 Speaker 1: a bunch of these teams play each other, November is 1336 01:02:48,280 --> 01:02:51,160 Speaker 1: going to be out of this world insane. Like I said, 1337 01:02:51,200 --> 01:02:53,960 Speaker 1: Oregon gained a quarter point, I think I said half 1338 01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:57,320 Speaker 1: point a quarter point and Washington gained a full point 1339 01:02:57,680 --> 01:03:00,800 Speaker 1: one point five point gap between Mission again and Georgia 1340 01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:03,200 Speaker 1: right now, So Michigan minus one and a half against 1341 01:03:03,240 --> 01:03:05,160 Speaker 1: Gegia if they played neutral field according to the model. 1342 01:03:05,560 --> 01:03:08,479 Speaker 1: Let's talk about best bets and let's wrap this up. 1343 01:03:09,360 --> 01:03:10,280 Speaker 2: We're already on two. 1344 01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:12,760 Speaker 1: We already got on two the other night, Sam Houston 1345 01:03:12,760 --> 01:03:15,240 Speaker 1: State minus four and a half and we're on wake 1346 01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:19,840 Speaker 1: Forest at a pick. Let's add two more Wisconsin. We're 1347 01:03:19,920 --> 01:03:22,720 Speaker 1: jumping on the Badgers minus two and a half, and 1348 01:03:22,880 --> 01:03:25,560 Speaker 1: we are also adding Miami told you. We think the 1349 01:03:25,600 --> 01:03:27,640 Speaker 1: wrong team's favored in that game, We're gonna put our 1350 01:03:27,640 --> 01:03:28,600 Speaker 1: money where our mouth is. 1351 01:03:28,720 --> 01:03:29,480 Speaker 2: That's the best bet. 1352 01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:33,680 Speaker 1: Miami plus four at home against Clemson Miami Wisconsin. Wait 1353 01:03:33,760 --> 01:03:36,560 Speaker 1: for Sam Houston State. Okay, I got to go to 1354 01:03:36,600 --> 01:03:39,880 Speaker 1: bed because I have a flight in eleven hours to 1355 01:03:39,960 --> 01:03:42,200 Speaker 1: New York and we're gonna be on Inside College Football 1356 01:03:42,200 --> 01:03:47,320 Speaker 1: tomorrow night. CBS Sports Network got pre posting halftime duties 1357 01:03:47,360 --> 01:03:49,440 Speaker 1: in the Sam Houston State FIU game over there on 1358 01:03:49,480 --> 01:03:51,360 Speaker 1: CBS Sports Network, So looking forward to that. And we'll 1359 01:03:51,400 --> 01:03:55,320 Speaker 1: be back here Thursday night. So our schedule is unchanged. 1360 01:03:55,360 --> 01:03:58,080 Speaker 1: It's just I'm extremely busy, and then we'll jet off 1361 01:03:58,080 --> 01:04:00,080 Speaker 1: to Columbus, Ohio on Friday. 1362 01:04:01,080 --> 01:04:02,880 Speaker 2: Just your standard week, just your typical week. 1363 01:04:03,120 --> 01:04:05,720 Speaker 1: Appreciate you guys for making it all possible for director Colin, 1364 01:04:05,800 --> 01:04:06,479 Speaker 1: producer Jesse. 1365 01:04:06,760 --> 01:04:08,960 Speaker 2: I'm Josh Pate. Take care, have a great rest of 1366 01:04:08,960 --> 01:04:10,120 Speaker 2: your evening, and God bless