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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PJA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris

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Speaker 1: along with Bau mcbrair. We are off and running with

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Speaker 1: the main part of the PGA Tour season. Sony Open

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Speaker 1: kick things off in Hawaii last week, and now the

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Speaker 1: tour returns to the mainland with the American Express in

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Speaker 1: the California Deserts. We'll give you a full betting preview

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Speaker 1: in just a moment, but first a quick recap of

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Speaker 1: the Sony Chris got her Up wins. It seemed like

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Speaker 1: we were going to have a shootout on Sunday. There

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Speaker 1: were a lot of players in contention going into the

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Speaker 1: final round, but Chris got her up removed a lot

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Speaker 1: of the drama with a terrific final round. This one

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Speaker 1: really wasn't in question. Down the stretch, got her Up

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Speaker 1: shot a six under par sixty four to finish sixteen

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Speaker 1: under and win by two shots over Ryan Girard, who

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Speaker 1: bow To outed last week and talked me into betting.

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Speaker 1: I know bo was going to go deeper than just

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Speaker 1: a bet to win, so that was a really good call.

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Speaker 2: Three spots, top five, top two.

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Speaker 3: Nice, that's a ladder.

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Speaker 2: I would have been nice to get the top run

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Speaker 2: that ladder.

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Speaker 3: I know, man, so that was a good call.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Rodgers finished solo third, three shots back. It looks

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Speaker 1: like Chris got her Up is here to stay. He

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Speaker 1: did an impressive breakthrough season in twenty twenty five. He

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Speaker 1: won the Scottish Open, then finished third at the Open

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Speaker 1: Championship the following week. There was some talk that he

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Speaker 1: might be in consideration for a Ryder Cup spot. He

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Speaker 1: didn't make the team, but he's already staking acclaim for

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Speaker 1: a spot on the President's Cup team later this year.

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Speaker 1: It was impressive that got her Up won the Sony

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Speaker 1: because Wili Country Club wouldn't seem to suit his game

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Speaker 1: generally favors accuracy off the tea rather than distance. Got

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Speaker 1: her up as a bomber. He ranked seventh and driving

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Speaker 1: distance last season in one hundred and fifty, fourth in

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Speaker 1: driving accuracy. It was also outside the top one hundred

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Speaker 1: and strokes game putting, but got her Up found enough fairways.

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Speaker 1: He's a good wind player, and it was breezy all

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Speaker 1: week in Hawaii, and also got her Up was really

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Speaker 1: dialed in with the potter. I think it's fair to

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Speaker 1: say that he's a good win player. You know, after

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Speaker 1: doing well in Scotland last year and you know now

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Speaker 1: he conquered the breezy conditions, we saw a whylie. But

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Speaker 1: what did you make of godarr Up's victory and the

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Speaker 1: first PGA Tour event of twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 2: Well, we might classify him as a bomber because of

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Speaker 2: his stats last year. If you look at a macro

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Speaker 2: view of his stats last year, sure he's a bomber.

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Speaker 2: Not the most accurate player off the tee, struggles with

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Speaker 2: putting it at moments, but the way he finished last

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Speaker 2: season was a totally different profile of a player. This

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Speaker 2: is still very young player of believes it's still in

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Speaker 2: his early twenties, tons and tons of talent and so

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Speaker 2: maybe he's taking that next step where we're seeing improvement

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Speaker 2: year over year or even event over event from Chris Godrup.

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Speaker 2: And for him to win in a breezy course that

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Speaker 2: doesn't necessarily fit his game style, it just shows that

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Speaker 2: the cream rises to the top. He got hot and

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Speaker 2: when the wind is up and everybody else is kind

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Speaker 2: of hanging around par he went nuclear and shot sixty

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Speaker 2: four and it was a very impressive performance and I

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Speaker 2: don't think anybody should take Chris gotta up lightly no

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Speaker 2: matter where the event is being held, if he's in

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Speaker 2: the field, if he gets hot, or if the breeze

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Speaker 2: picks up, We're looking at a formidable player that can

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Speaker 2: win a tournament.

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Speaker 1: Yes, indeed, now let's get into the American Express preview,

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Speaker 1: where we're probably not going to see a lot of

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Speaker 1: wind in the California desert.

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Speaker 3: This is a unique event.

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Speaker 1: It's a pro am, one of only two pro ams

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Speaker 1: on the tour schedule. It's played on three different courses,

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Speaker 1: one of four events.

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Speaker 3: To use multiple venues.

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Speaker 1: It has a giant field one hundred and fifty six players,

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Speaker 1: and it has a fifty four hole cut rather than

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Speaker 1: a thirty six hole cut. Everyone plays one round at

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Speaker 1: each of the three courses, then the cutmakers play the

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Speaker 1: final round of the peate Die Stadium Course in Lakita, California.

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Speaker 1: The peat Die Stadium Course par seventy two seventy two

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Speaker 1: hundred and ten yards. It's a fairly short course by

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Speaker 1: tour standards. The greens are poa they're on the small side.

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Speaker 1: Water comes into play on seven holes, including the seventeenth,

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Speaker 1: the par three with an island green. The rough is

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Speaker 1: pretty tame, as a pro am after all, they don't

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Speaker 1: want to. They don't want to punish the amateurs too

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Speaker 1: much and make six and seven hour rounds out there.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, the stadium course pretty easy track by PGA

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Speaker 1: Tour standards, but yet it is still the hardest of

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Speaker 1: the three courses. At the American Express Lakina Country Club

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Speaker 1: par seventy two, measuring only seven sixty yards, very short course,

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Speaker 1: the par threes are challenging, the par fours and par

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Speaker 1: five's very birdy friendly. The greens at Lakina CC are

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Speaker 1: tiny and they are also the greens are.

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Speaker 3: Poe on all three courses.

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Speaker 1: So final track the Nicholas Tournament Course seven forty seven

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Speaker 1: yard par seventy two. Same story here, short course, non

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Speaker 1: penal roffs, small greens, some tricky par threes, a lot

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Speaker 1: of easy par four's and par fives. Sepstrac is the

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Speaker 1: defending MX champ. He finished twenty five under par last year,

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Speaker 1: two shots better than Justin Thomas Nick Dunlap won in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four when he finished twenty nine under par.

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Speaker 1: John Rahm was the MX champ in twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: he was minus twenty seven. These scores you have to

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Speaker 1: go low. The sepstrac is twenty five under par last year,

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Speaker 1: the highest or the worst.

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Speaker 3: Winning score of the last three years.

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Speaker 1: The weather should be perfect all week highs in the

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Speaker 1: low eighties, a lot of sun light wins. Normally most

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Speaker 1: of the top players skip the American Express, but this

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Speaker 1: year we're getting one of the best MX fields we

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Speaker 1: have ever seen. I suspect it's because the Century was

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Speaker 1: canceled this year. That event normally kicks off the main

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Speaker 1: part of the PGA Tour schedule. It's a signature event

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Speaker 1: that draws a lot of the A listers, but with

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Speaker 1: the Century canceled this year, most of the A listers

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Speaker 1: skip the Sony and now they want to get dialed

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Speaker 1: in before some of the big events in the California Swing. Clearly,

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Speaker 1: we're going to need a lot of birdie makers this week.

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Speaker 1: Bow your thoughts on the American Express and the stat

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Speaker 1: categories you are emphasizing this week.

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Speaker 2: Birdie or better percentage is number one on my list,

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Speaker 2: and it's very heavily weighted in my model. Proximity on

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Speaker 2: approached distances between one hundred and one hundred and fifty yards.

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Speaker 2: There are going to be the vast majority of the

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Speaker 2: approach distances. I'm not looking at maybe approach statistics as

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Speaker 2: a whole, more of the proximity stats giving themselves opportunities

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Speaker 2: for birdie's opportunities gained birdies are better gained, and then

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Speaker 2: your general ball striking. A little bit of a separator

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Speaker 2: stat for this event is par three strokes gain on

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Speaker 2: par three's because of the only difficult holes being par three's.

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Speaker 2: It's not either they're long or overly complicated, they're just

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Speaker 2: tougher than the par fours and fives. And so I'm

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Speaker 2: kind of looking to say, okay, who makes the most birdies,

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Speaker 2: and then who also scores well or gain strokes on

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Speaker 2: par three's. Surprisingly enough, Scotty Shuffler is not even in

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Speaker 2: the top twenty five in strokes gain par three in

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Speaker 2: this field in my model, which makes it a little

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Speaker 2: interesting for the rest of this field because he's number

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Speaker 2: one or top five in every other category. But it's

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Speaker 2: gonna come down to making tons of birdies. We know

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Speaker 2: Scotty can do that. We know a lot of these

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Speaker 2: guys can do that. All the way down this field,

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Speaker 2: we've seen pretty much top to bottom this entire field

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Speaker 2: of one hundred and fifty six win golf tournaments recently,

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Speaker 2: so I don't think anybody's really out of it, even

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Speaker 2: though Scotty's here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know, with Scotty here and with some

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Speaker 1: of the other big names, there are some interesting values

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Speaker 1: at longer odds, and we are gonna get into that.

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Speaker 3: Wait yeah, same here, same here.

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Speaker 1: Bo, you might be able to outflank me on the

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Speaker 1: long shots, but we've got a couple at better longer

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Speaker 1: than one hundred to one.

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Speaker 3: I'm kind of intrigued by.

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Speaker 2: It's a teaser.

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Speaker 1: Yes, Now, we will get to the odds for the

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Speaker 1: AMX in just a moment, but first.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to the odds. Scotty Scheffler is the favorite

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Speaker 1: at plus two point fifty. Ben Griffin is eighteen to one.

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Speaker 1: Sam Burns and Ludwig Oberger are twenty to one. Russell

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Speaker 1: Henley and Patrick Cantley are twenty five to one, Robert

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Speaker 1: McIntyre's twenty eight to one, Matt Fitzpatrick thirty to one,

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Speaker 1: Harry Holland sepstrac at thirty five to one, Taylor Pendrith

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Speaker 1: forty to one.

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Speaker 3: But are we getting.

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Speaker 1: Any value on Scotty at two and a half to one?

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Speaker 1: And is there anyone you especially like from this group

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Speaker 1: other than Scotty?

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Speaker 2: Well, Scotty. I did find him on DraftKings right now

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Speaker 2: plus two seventy five. Oh big, big, huge difference there, U.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, this is gonna be. Yeah, you can bet

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Speaker 2: on Scotty. Just don't expect much in the way of

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Speaker 2: returns because the odds are so short. But a win's

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Speaker 2: a win. I don't fault anybody for betting Scotty Scheffler

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Speaker 2: because honestly, he does have kind of a fifty to

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Speaker 2: fifty shot to win here. It's he's that good. He's

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Speaker 2: that much better than everybody else overall. I think on

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Speaker 2: a week to week basis, we can look at guys

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Speaker 2: like Russell Henley, who obviously scores just as well on

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Speaker 2: par three. He's a better part three scorer. He's almost

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Speaker 2: as good at making birdies. He's just not quite the

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Speaker 2: ball striker or putter that Scotty Scheffler is. And that's

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Speaker 2: surprising because Henley is widely regarded as a great putter.

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Speaker 2: Scotty Schefler figured that out last year and that's why

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Speaker 2: he's been so dominant. And so I think Russell Henley

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Speaker 2: at twenty five to one's a great value for Scotty.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to try to hunt the live betting markets

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Speaker 2: throughout the tournament. If he slips behind after so so

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Speaker 2: round on one of these golf courses, you might get

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Speaker 2: a little bit of relief on value there. But I

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Speaker 2: wouldn't expect him at any point to slip more than

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Speaker 2: to five to one. So happy hunting. I think if

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Speaker 2: I'm being a fun better where I feel a certain

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Speaker 2: way about maybe enough different sporting event. It is a

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Speaker 2: championship weekend in the NFL, and I think the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: and Patriots are going to win, so I might parlay

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Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler's outright win with Patriots and or the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: in a DraftKings parlay. I was able to get a

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Speaker 2: lot better odds parlaying those three legs together and twenty bucks.

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Speaker 2: Instead of paying you fifty bucks, it could pay you

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Speaker 2: up to one hundred and two one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 2: to two hundred and fifty bucks, depending on where you

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Speaker 2: land those odds. So have a little fun with it.

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Speaker 2: You're not going to get much win out of value

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Speaker 2: out of a win with Scotti Scheffler, but if you

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Speaker 2: have a strong lean towards something.

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Speaker 3: Else, by all means have some fun.

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Speaker 2: This is obviously we're playing for money, but we're also

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Speaker 2: playing to have some skin in the game and watch

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Speaker 2: watch more sports. What's not to like?

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Speaker 3: I like that you're working in your NFL tow it's here,

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Speaker 3: baul hey. I mean it's a multi sport show here.

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Speaker 3: So what did I say?

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Speaker 1: These greens were both POA and you're looking about Russell

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Speaker 1: Henley on non Bermuda greens are what are we doing here?

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean he's instead of tenth best on overall

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Speaker 2: or Bermuda, he's fourth best. He's twenty ninth on poet

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Speaker 2: so that's not bad.

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Speaker 3: That's not bad.

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Speaker 1: So Scotty skipped this event last year, but he had

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Speaker 1: played in each of the previous five seasons. He finished

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Speaker 1: third at the MX in twenty twenty, but was outside

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Speaker 1: the top ten the other four years. Then again, that

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Speaker 1: was kind of back in the day before Scotty turned

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Speaker 1: into a cyborg, so we can't really hold it against

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Speaker 1: him that he hasn't hasn't won here. Ben Griffin is

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Speaker 1: kind of interesting. He finished seventh Yere last year, ninth

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Speaker 1: and twenty twenty four. His strokes game numbers in this

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Speaker 1: event have been excellent, and he's coming off a nineteenth

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Speaker 1: place finish at the Sony. Bob john Ram called this

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Speaker 1: a putting contest a while ago, and yeah, if so.

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Speaker 1: Sam Burns two top tens and four top twenties in

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Speaker 1: his last six stops at this event, and he's one

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Speaker 1: of the best putters in the world, so he is

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Speaker 1: a guy. If it is in fact a putting contest.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind putting money on Sam Burns at a

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Speaker 1: putting contest. Ludwig Oberg interesting, he's making his debut here.

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Speaker 1: This is the guy who seems to be at his

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Speaker 1: best on tough courses. I'm not sure we're getting great

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Speaker 1: value on ober Get twenty to one in a tournament

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Speaker 1: that's going to be a birdie fest. Patrick Cantley, he's

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Speaker 1: been pretty good here over the years, with four top

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Speaker 1: tens in his last six stops at the American Express.

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Speaker 1: California native seems very comfortable here. Who else a couple

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Speaker 1: couple euros who had good showings at the Sony. Robert

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Speaker 1: McIntyre missed the cut in his only previous American Express,

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Speaker 1: but he's one of the best players in the world

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Speaker 1: now and very sharp in Hawaii last week. And your

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Speaker 1: guy bo Harry Hall sixth at the Sony could have

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Speaker 1: been even better. I think it was the tenth hole

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Speaker 1: on Sunday where he clunked a tree with his second

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Speaker 1: shot after missing the fairway, and that kind of kind

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Speaker 1: of ruined his chances. Great putter and Harry Hall ranked

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Speaker 1: fifth in par three scoring last year. I think that's

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Speaker 1: an important category in this event since the par threes

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Speaker 1: are generally the toughest holes on all three of these courses.

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Speaker 1: And oh, by the way, we've got the defending Champs

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Speaker 1: Epstraca who Yeah. In his last events, the hero World

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Speaker 1: Challenge last month, he finished third. So there are some

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Speaker 1: interesting names at the top for sure.

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Speaker 2: So can I add one more thing on Harry Hall.

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Speaker 2: I was able to get him on DraftKings just now

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Speaker 2: at forty five to one, so he's in a whole

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Speaker 2: different tier now for pricing. So thirty five is good,

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Speaker 2: forty five is even better.

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Speaker 1: Wow, Yeah that is And I mean you called it

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Speaker 1: bo He is a good player. He can really roll

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Speaker 1: the rock and not a bad ball striker.

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Speaker 2: There, Birdie Macon machine love it all right.

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Speaker 1: Let's look at some more of the odds. We've got

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Speaker 1: Harris English, Rasmus Hoyguard, Alex Norin and Kurt Kitti Yama

283
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Speaker 1: at forty five to one. Seawoo, Kim, Ricky Fowler and

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Speaker 1: Michael Thorbjornsen are fifty to one. Davis Thompson and minwou

285
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Speaker 1: Lee are fifty five to one. Justin Rose, Jason Day,

286
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Speaker 1: akshe Batia and Adam Scott sixty to one.

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Speaker 3: JT.

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Speaker 1: Posten is sixty five to one. Wyndham Clark, Daniel Berger,

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Speaker 1: Rico Hoey, Nick Taylor and Kevin You are seventy to one,

290
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Speaker 1: and Keith Mitchell, Christian Bazun, Dahaut, Pearson Coody, Max Grazerman,

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Speaker 1: and Denny McCarthy at seventy five to one. Anyone from

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Speaker 1: this group that you like.

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Speaker 2: I just have Harry Hall at forty five to one

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Speaker 2: in this tier. I like some of you guys in

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Speaker 2: this in this strange Actually Akha Battia again, another guy

296
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Speaker 2: who fell out of this tier and into the next one.

297
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Speaker 2: I just got him eighty to one on DraftKings. So

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Speaker 2: auk Sha Batiya for me, eighty to one is very

299
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Speaker 2: appealing because another guy who can make birdies and bunches,

300
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Speaker 2: and who has over the last couple of years stood

301
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Speaker 2: toe to toe with the best golfers in the world

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Speaker 2: at bigger events than this one. I think his upside

303
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Speaker 2: at eighty to one right now is great. I'd probably

304
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Speaker 2: go as short as sixty five to one, which is fine.

305
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Speaker 2: That's a really intriguing number.

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Speaker 3: And then the.

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Speaker 2: Rest of these guys are good but not great. Kevin

308
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Speaker 2: Ugh is interesting at seventy. I want to see him

309
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Speaker 2: a little bit longer. Maybe if he slips to eighty

310
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Speaker 2: or ninety, I'd be on Kevin. You because again Bertie

311
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Speaker 2: making upside and then Grazerman and McCarthy are okay, But

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Speaker 2: I just don't think they can win in a tournament

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Speaker 2: that Scottie Scheffler's in that these are guys that kind

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Speaker 2: of fall back a little bit when the competition is better.

315
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Speaker 1: We were talking about Seawoo Kim last week, Bo, and

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Speaker 1: you kind of said that you only like betting Seawoo

317
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Speaker 1: on Pete Die courses. Yeah, we got one of them,

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Speaker 1: got the Pete Die Stadium course, so we've got, you know,

319
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Speaker 1: at least one round maybe two on a peat Die course.

320
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Speaker 1: See Wu won here in twenty twenty one, finished top

321
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Speaker 1: twenty five in each of the next three years after that.

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Speaker 3: Bow, So I'm kind of intrigued by.

323
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Speaker 1: Sea Wu on a tournament that's going to be played

324
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Speaker 1: half on a peat Die course.

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Speaker 3: JT.

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Speaker 1: Post in strong record at the American Express ill Postino

327
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Speaker 1: has five top twenty fives and two top tens here

328
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Speaker 1: since twenty nineteen.

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Speaker 3: But can he win there? Is the question?

330
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Speaker 1: Might like him for a top ten or a top

331
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Speaker 1: twenty bet not sure about betting him to win outright.

332
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Speaker 1: Christian Bazuin, how kind of interesting, finished second here in

333
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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four and played pretty well in a couple

334
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Speaker 1: of DP World Tour events in December. And Daniel Berger

335
00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:55,320
Speaker 1: has been pretty solid here in the past and finished

336
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Speaker 1: sixth last week at the Sony. All right, now, let's

337
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Speaker 1: get to some of these You see long shots, bo

338
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Speaker 1: who do you like it eighty to one or longer?

339
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Speaker 2: So I have a list here. There's one, two, three,

340
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:12,760
Speaker 2: four guys and starting with like, I think you like

341
00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:17,600
Speaker 2: too big finn man Sammy Vallamaki. Yes, yes, so I

342
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Speaker 2: think you're looking at one hundred and thirty. I got

343
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Speaker 2: him at one hundred and forty. I'm also interested in

344
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Speaker 2: a top ten bet, which is plus eight hundred right now.

345
00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:29,920
Speaker 2: Sammy Volamaki is that perfect combination I'm looking for where

346
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,040
Speaker 2: he's a birdie making machine. He's eighth in this field

347
00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 2: in birdier better percentage on easy scoring conditions, and he's

348
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Speaker 2: number two in this field by the same metrics for

349
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:42,440
Speaker 2: stroke skiing Part three. Very interesting, loads and loads of talent.

350
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Speaker 2: Not the most consistent player, but this is the kind

351
00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:46,720
Speaker 2: of birdy fest for Sammy Volamaki is just going to

352
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Speaker 2: let it rip and the big Finn is going to

353
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Speaker 2: be making birdies. Will he have enough firepower to win.

354
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:55,800
Speaker 2: Hard to say, will he have enough firepower to get

355
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Speaker 2: top ten and pay off eight to one?

356
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Speaker 3: I think so.

357
00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 2: Sammy Volamaki's great for this tournament. Lee Hodges pops in

358
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Speaker 2: for me at one seventy to one. Top twenty is

359
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 2: plus three eighty. That's good value. You're going to talk

360
00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 2: about Luke Clanton two two hundred and fifty to one

361
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,280
Speaker 2: as where I got him top twenty numbers plus five

362
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:15,200
Speaker 2: point fifty. I like that top twenty number really well.

363
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Speaker 2: But I'll because Clanton has got so much upside, very

364
00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:22,640
Speaker 2: very inconsistent, erratic player, but he's got enough talent to win.

365
00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 2: I'll throw five bucks on him to win at two

366
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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty to one.

367
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Speaker 3: What's what?

368
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:28,719
Speaker 2: He can't really lose a cup of coffee over that.

369
00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:34,880
Speaker 2: And then before you go crazy with your guys here,

370
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Speaker 2: I'm going to drop Brian Campbell in here because he's

371
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Speaker 2: ticked us off multiple times by beating us as a

372
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Speaker 2: super duper long shot that nobody had any business. Nobody

373
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Speaker 2: has any business betting Brian Campbell ever, except for the

374
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Speaker 2: two times where he's burnt us on easy golf courses

375
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Speaker 2: that are birdie fests. And so Brian Campbell is coming

376
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Speaker 2: in at two thousand to one. Outright, he has two

377
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Speaker 2: PGA Tour wins. By the way, he's fIF fifty five

378
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,560
Speaker 2: to one for a top ten and nineteen to one

379
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,040
Speaker 2: for a top twenty. You don't have to invest much

380
00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:08,640
Speaker 2: in Brian Campbell. Put a dollar on each of those

381
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:12,520
Speaker 2: bets and just let it ride, because if he's going

382
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Speaker 2: to burn everybody else that doubts him, we're going to

383
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Speaker 2: cash in.

384
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Speaker 1: He's the little fella who pot geetered us last year

385
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 1: at the at the was it the Mexico Open?

386
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Speaker 3: Is that where it was? Yeah?

387
00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 1: So where he in uh sudden death, had a ball

388
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:33,240
Speaker 1: headed for the trees and it's spit it out and

389
00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:35,400
Speaker 1: he winds up making birdie on that par five.

390
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:35,960
Speaker 3: Yeah.

391
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:40,680
Speaker 1: I mean, all Campbell's got game except for distance off

392
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: the tee, and that's not going to kill you in

393
00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 1: this event, because now you know, other than par five,

394
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:50,520
Speaker 1: scoring distance doesn't mean much at these course.

395
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Speaker 2: Seventh and birdies are better number one in par three,

396
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:58,040
Speaker 2: scoring number four and putting. It's it's pretty crazy. This

397
00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 2: guy has almost no balls striking to speak of, but

398
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 2: his short game is so good that he makes a

399
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:04,479
Speaker 2: ton of birdies.

400
00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:09,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I dig it. So I like a couple

401
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:09,960
Speaker 3: of guys.

402
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Speaker 1: I mean I said eighty to one or longer two

403
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,560
Speaker 1: guys who are eighty to one or were last I

404
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:18,119
Speaker 1: checked will Zalatorus. He's had all sorts of problems with

405
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:21,400
Speaker 1: his back, but apparently he's healthy now. He finished fifteenth

406
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 1: in a DP World Event World Tour event last month.

407
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:28,919
Speaker 1: He's played the MX four times and has three top tens.

408
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,400
Speaker 1: Seems like a pretty good price for him at eighty

409
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 1: to one for a guy who's that could a ball striker,

410
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 1: because oh yeah, he can hit it close and you

411
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 1: need to hit it close this week and giving us

412
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,440
Speaker 1: Ryan Gerard again at eighty to one and he almost

413
00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 1: won last week. Yeah, I can get back on board that.

414
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Speaker 1: And let me just piggyback on your Sammy Vallamachi patch.

415
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Speaker 3: Here bo with the big Finn.

416
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,159
Speaker 1: No one pays attention to the false swing. We know that,

417
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,399
Speaker 1: But who was red hot during the false swing? It

418
00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 1: was Sammy Vallamachi. Over a three week stretch in November,

419
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:06,639
Speaker 1: Vallamachi finished second at the Worldwide Technology Championship, was eighteenth

420
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:12,240
Speaker 1: at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. And won the RSM. This

421
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:15,919
Speaker 1: guy's a terrific putter. He's good on approach. The weakest

422
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 1: part of his game is driving, and that weakness is

423
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,480
Speaker 1: somewhat mitigated at the MX because.

424
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:22,879
Speaker 3: You can leave the driver in the bag for a

425
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 3: lot of it. Yeah, you mentioned Luke Clanton. I just

426
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:28,400
Speaker 3: I think that's.

427
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 1: A guy with a lot of upside at a terrific price.

428
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:35,040
Speaker 1: And one more Bud Cawley one hundred and eighty to

429
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 1: one last I checked. Now, he has not played this

430
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 1: event since twenty twenty, but he had four top fifteen

431
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:44,200
Speaker 1: finishes here over a five year stretch from twenty sixteen

432
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:48,479
Speaker 1: to twenty twenty, including a third and a fourth. Collie

433
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 1: Strokes gain numbers here been excellent, and he's coming off

434
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 1: a pretty solid showing last week at the Sony.

435
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:55,400
Speaker 3: Where he was twenty sixth.

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00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,159
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Speaker 4: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be

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00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:36,200
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Speaker 4: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms of conditions apply.

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00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 4: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three three

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Speaker 4: as a gambling problem wants help, called one eight hundred

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00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,359
Speaker 4: and nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler

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00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 4: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

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00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 3: Bo Who do you have on your early betting card?

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00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:00,800
Speaker 2: I'm going to save Scotti for live betting and parlays

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00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 2: with football games because I'm a junkie. So Russell Henley

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00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 2: twenty five to one Harry Hall forty five to one.

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00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 2: Ok Shavatia eighty to one, Sammy Vallamaki one hundred and

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00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 2: forty to one with a top ten bet at eight

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00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 2: plus eight hundred, Lee Hodges one hundred and seventy to one.

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00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,959
Speaker 2: Top twenty bet is plus three eighty. Luke Clinton two

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00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 2: hundred fifty to one. His top twenty bet is plus

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00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 2: five fifty. And then we're going the cheap value ladder

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00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 2: on Brian Campbell two thousand to one outright, fifty five

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00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:32,560
Speaker 2: to one for a top ten bet and nineteen to

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00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 2: one for a top twenty.

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00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 3: Why not?

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00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 1: All right, I'm just gonna give my outrights right now.

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00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 1: I haven't decided on top fives or top tens, but

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00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 1: my card starts with a couple of thirty five to

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00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 1: one guys Sepstraca and Harry Hall see who Kim at

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00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 1: fifty to one, banking on that Pete die Thing, Boe

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00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 1: Ryan Gerard at eighty to one, Sammy Vallamaki at one

477
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 1: hundred and forty to one, and Bud Cawley at one

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00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,760
Speaker 1: hundred and eighty to one. All right, and now for

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00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 1: our one and done competition. Bo kicked off this year's

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00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 1: competition by taking Michael Kim. Last week at the Sony,

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00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 1: he tied for thirty first, good for forty nine, eight

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00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 1: hundred and ninety eight dollars. I took Nick Taylor. He

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00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,200
Speaker 1: was thirteenth and earned me one hundred and sixty three

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00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:21,719
Speaker 1: forty one dollars. I am up first this week. This

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00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,120
Speaker 1: feels cheesy taking two straight defending champions, but I'm gonna

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00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 1: do it again.

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00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Sepstraca, very true of you.

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00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go kind of a horse for the course.

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00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 2: I'm expecting a turnaround season to some degree.

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00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:41,400
Speaker 1: For Patrick Cantley, Oh nice, burning kind of a big gun,

491
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 1: although you know Can'tley has it.

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00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, They've been a big gun in years, so I'm

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00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 2: just hoping he finds something good points.

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00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: All right, that's gonna do it for this week's Betting

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00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 1: Pros PGAA podcast. We will be back next week to

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00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:58,120
Speaker 1: preview a big one, the Farmer's Insurance Open at Tory Pines.

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00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:00,439
Speaker 3: Until then, so long he everyone.

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00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,440
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

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00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

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00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

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00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.