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Speaker 1: Warning. E'rerope about to enter the arena and join the

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Speaker 1: Battle to Save.

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Speaker 2: America with your host Sean Carnell.

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Speaker 1: Good evening, America, Welcome to battle Ground Live. This is

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Speaker 1: the show where we kick ass, we take names, we

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Speaker 1: lock horns with the radical left. We never quit, we

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Speaker 1: never surrender. From sea to shining Sea and everybody in between.

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Speaker 3: Welcome patriots on this glorious, glorious Savage Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: Also, you have a new nickname, didn't you hear it?

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Speaker 1: I'm sure that you did. What's up, my fellow, pieces

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Speaker 1: of garbage? What's my fellow? You floating pieces of garbage? You?

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Speaker 1: So this comes on the heels, I mean of the

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Speaker 1: left calling us Obama calling us bitter clingers, we cling

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Speaker 1: to our guns and our bibles, and Hillary Clinton callelling

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Speaker 1: us deplorables. You ever notice how the left is constantly

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Speaker 1: rolling back the things that they say about us when

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Speaker 1: they just so happened to slip out publicly. They really

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Speaker 1: mean those things. That's how they really feel about us.

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Speaker 1: And now to Joe Biden, we're big, floating, floating, I guess,

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Speaker 1: piles of garbage. So of course listen, we've got savage

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Speaker 1: Rich Barris on deck. He's on deck, So make sure

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Speaker 1: you smash that like button, that little green thumb beneath

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Speaker 1: the video. Don't forget about official Sean Parnell dot com.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget about jumping over to my locals follow subscribe there.

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Speaker 1: If you can be building out some really cool stuff,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to talk to you about. Oh man, folks, listen,

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Speaker 1: Biden calling half the nation garbage? Yes, of course, but

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Speaker 1: also we got under a week to go in the

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Speaker 1: most important election of our lifetime. And this, ladies and gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: is the final Savage Wednesday prior to the election. Can

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Speaker 1: you believe that the final one? It feels like we've

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Speaker 1: been doing Oh my gosh, I can't believe how fast

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Speaker 1: the year has gone. Right, We started doing Savage Wednesday

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Speaker 1: a little under a year ago, and it is fast

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Speaker 1: become probably the most popular, if not one of the

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Speaker 1: most popular nights of Battleground Live. It's people look forward

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Speaker 1: to it. I get text messages and I get emails,

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Speaker 1: and I get people in the live chat super excited

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Speaker 1: about it. But this is the last one before election day.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, Biden called the nation half the nation garbage.

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Speaker 1: If you didn't hear it, already, which I'm sure you did.

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Speaker 4: Listen now or Puerto Rico where I'm in my home

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Speaker 4: state of Delaware. They're good, decent, honorable people. The only

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Speaker 4: garbage I see floating now there is his supporters. His

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Speaker 4: demonizational scene is unconstable and it's not American.

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Speaker 1: So Tim Walls was asked about that comment this morning.

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Speaker 5: I want to put it into a larger context of

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Speaker 5: your recent comment comparing the Sunday Trump rally to a

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Speaker 5: Nazi rally, and I would also throw in there Obama's

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Speaker 5: bitter clingers, guns and religion comment from a while back,

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Speaker 5: the deplorable line from Hillary Clinton's campaign, and the way

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Speaker 5: that Democrats are seen by some voters has disrespecting them,

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Speaker 5: and I have to ask, does that undercut this closing

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Speaker 5: message of unity from your campaign?

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Speaker 3: No, certainly not, and caging Listen, I'll show you all this,

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Speaker 3: this natural progression of things because the Democrats, Biden says

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Speaker 3: something batshit crazy, batshit crazy that by the way.

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Speaker 1: Kamala gave her speech at the Ellipse yesterday in Washington, DC,

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Speaker 1: the same place that Donald Trump gave his January sixth speech.

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Speaker 1: I means she talked about all sorts of absurd, crazy bullshit.

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Speaker 1: That's not even the point. The point is the fact

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Speaker 1: that Biden called half the nation garbage completely sucked all

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Speaker 1: the air out of the room of a Kamala Harris's speech.

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Speaker 1: Nobody's even talking about that shit today. But the media

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Speaker 1: made a huge deal about an insult comedian who specializes

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Speaker 1: in roasting other people making a joke about Puerto Rico.

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Speaker 1: By the way, the America First crowd didn't like the joke.

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Speaker 1: They booed the joke, So kudos to those American patriots

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Speaker 1: for doing that. But I don't care. It's a joke, right,

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Speaker 1: It was a joke from a comedian. The media for

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Speaker 1: days like banged that drum. But here you have a

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Speaker 1: sitting president of the United States calling half the nation garbage.

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Speaker 1: Not only is it it's not only is it not crickets, right,

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Speaker 1: it is that they are all in on pretending like

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Speaker 1: it didn't happen. So listen to KJP. Just to dress

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Speaker 1: the President's comments yesterday referring to Trump's supper garbage, thanks.

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Speaker 6: A couple of things.

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Speaker 7: So just to clarify, he was not calling trump supporter's

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Speaker 7: garbage garbage.

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Speaker 8: Icy float down. There's your supporters.

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Speaker 7: Which is why he put out This is why he

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Speaker 7: wanted to make sure that we put out a statement

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Speaker 7: that clarified what he meant and what he was trying

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Speaker 7: to say.

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Speaker 8: The only garbage icy float down there's your supporters.

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Speaker 7: So just want to make that very clear for folks

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Speaker 7: who are watching.

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Speaker 6: And I just want.

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Speaker 7: To read that out to folks. So he was regarding

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Speaker 7: to the comedian and I quote, I refer to the

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Speaker 7: hateful rhetoric about Porto Rico spewed by Trump's supporter at

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Speaker 7: his Madison Square Garden rally as garbage, which is the

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Speaker 7: only word I can think of to describe it. His

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Speaker 7: demonization of Latino's is unconscionable. That's all I meant to

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Speaker 7: say the comment, the comments at the rally don't reflect who.

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Speaker 6: We are as a nation.

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Speaker 7: And to your question, your other question that you asked, No,

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Speaker 7: he does not view Trump's supporters or anybody who supports

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Speaker 7: Trump as garbage.

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Speaker 6: That is not what he views.

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Speaker 8: Not only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters.

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Speaker 1: He definitely said it, and the media, for the most part,

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Speaker 1: is giving him his flying cover for him. I am

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Speaker 1: convinced this is just one more data point in my theory,

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Speaker 1: it's well, it's not a theory. Biden hates Kamala. Joe

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Speaker 1: gotten an altercation with Kamala and her staff in the

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Speaker 1: White House. I know this is true, but I'm convinced

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Speaker 1: that Joe Biden. I mean, I oscillate back and forth

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Speaker 1: because I mean, the guy can't complete a sentence without

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Speaker 1: pooping his pants. So if that's the case, then is

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Speaker 1: he really cognitive enough to be have the cognitive capability

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Speaker 1: to strategize on a level that we're talking about. I

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Speaker 1: don't know, but guy clearly doesn't want Kamala to win.

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Speaker 1: I'm completely bought in on that hook line and sinker,

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Speaker 1: So okay, listen, I got Savage Rich Barris in the

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Speaker 1: waiting room before I get to him aviation or age

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Speaker 1: sixty four. Thank you for the rumble rant tip, he says,

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Speaker 1: when this show finally makes it big like you deserve,

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Speaker 1: don't forget this group of awesome people right here now.

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Speaker 1: You don't ever have to worry about that with me.

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Speaker 1: I promise you that, And Buzz said, keep up the

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Speaker 1: great garbage work. From one proud garbage supporter. Thanks Buzz,

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Speaker 1: we love you, my friend, and thanks to all the

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Speaker 1: battle Crew and folks from that are coming over. Who

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Speaker 1: are Savage Rich Bearris, People's pundit fans? Thanks to mcgroin Nation,

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Speaker 1: thanks to the Wendy Bell Radio Army. Okay, so we

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Speaker 1: got Savage Rich Barris on deck. He's the director of

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Speaker 1: Big Data pol And he's the host of a great

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Speaker 1: show on Rumble and many of you all by the way,

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Speaker 1: Hey Rich, what's going on? Brother?

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Speaker 6: What's up?

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Speaker 1: Brother? The lighting looks good.

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Speaker 6: On you. Man. It's the LEDs are back, you know. Uh,

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Speaker 6: they're they're They're in the right position. I'm telling you

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Speaker 6: got to get this place organized before election night.

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Speaker 1: You look like you got some color for election night.

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Speaker 1: This is this modes well.

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Speaker 6: I told you, bro, I told you he was the

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Speaker 6: trick of the camera.

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Speaker 1: People have been writing me about this all week. I

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Speaker 1: swear to God, people, but like it's not the lights.

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Speaker 1: You need to get Polster Rich out of his basement,

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Speaker 1: tell them to stop crunching.

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Speaker 6: Some anothers are really true. Both are really true. I

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Speaker 6: mean that's because I used to be a lot darker

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Speaker 6: than this. Guys. I've just been stuck in this. I've

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Speaker 6: been stuck in these walls for a long time. Laura

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Speaker 6: doesn't let me out. Listen right now, don't let her

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Speaker 6: hear us. She taps me in here.

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Speaker 1: No, So okay, So you got to tell me, what

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Speaker 1: do you think of Biden calling half the nation garbage?

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Speaker 1: I said in the lead in before you got in

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Speaker 1: the waiting room. I thing. You know, Obama calls everyone

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Speaker 1: bitter clingers. Hillary Clinton calls everyone bed the basket of deplorables,

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Speaker 1: and now Biden calls us floating piles of garbage. This

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Speaker 1: is how these communists, leftists really think about us.

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Speaker 6: It is though, you know that, come on, let's be honest.

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Speaker 1: It's how they feel. It's completely how they feel.

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Speaker 6: This is what happened and old see a lot of

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Speaker 6: times this happens with older statesmen anyway, Newt Gingridge, Bob Beckle,

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Speaker 6: they both got you know, Nut just did it the

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Speaker 6: other day. Bob Beckle before obviously you know he's not

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Speaker 6: here anymore, but you know, back in twenty fourteen, when

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Speaker 6: he was still an election night guest on Fox, the

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Speaker 6: resident Democrat. These guys get old and just start saying

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Speaker 6: stuff that you know, they really everyone you know in

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Speaker 6: their circles believe. And Bob Beckle gave away that you

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Speaker 6: know Fairfax County fills in absentee ballots at will. You know,

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Speaker 6: that's why they hold the vote and stop counting. He

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Speaker 6: just he told everybody that on Election Night Live. A

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Speaker 6: new grengag brought it up the other day, like Trump

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Speaker 6: can't lose if people vote, you know, even with the cheating,

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Speaker 6: people are going to try. I mean, of course, I mean,

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Speaker 6: really they just get old and start saying stuff Biden

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Speaker 6: said with all Democrats think about most of the country

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Speaker 6: behind closed doors. Don't take my word for it. You think,

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Speaker 6: by the way, liberals, non whites, you think he's just

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Speaker 6: talking about white people. Go readesta emails. Go read Potesta's

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Speaker 6: emails that are on wiki leagues to this day. Why

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Speaker 6: don't you type in Hispanic voters all right and see

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Speaker 6: what they have to think about Hispanics. You're a bunch

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Speaker 6: of dumb, needy people who care only about machismo. And

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Speaker 6: if you if we don't hold your hand, you don't

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Speaker 6: know where to walk or where to crawl, Like it's disgusting.

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Speaker 6: This is what they really do think of you. And

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Speaker 6: Joe Biden is old and he's senile, and he's not controllable,

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Speaker 6: like he has no filter and he can't control it anymore.

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Speaker 6: So he just blurted it out of course, for you know,

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Speaker 6: this woman to go to that microphone. I mean, that's

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Speaker 6: another level, bro.

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Speaker 1: He said it. He said it in the middle of

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Speaker 1: her closing message speech. And I'm telling you, but I

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Speaker 1: think nobody's talking about her speech. Nobody, No.

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Speaker 6: And this is what is so different. I mean, this

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Speaker 6: phone does not stop. I'm going to throw it against

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Speaker 6: the wall very soon. It's unbelievably bad. I'm about to

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Speaker 6: turn it off. I can't. It gets to the point

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Speaker 6: where you can't get your work done. Everyone wants to

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Speaker 6: talk to you and wants a piece of you, and

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Speaker 6: it's like, that's great, but I have a job to do,

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Speaker 6: you know. But honestly, Sean, what makes I hate to

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Speaker 6: say this? You know, one hand, it's the fourth time

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Speaker 6: the guy's flip flopped and said that something caused this

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Speaker 6: person the election. Right, Uh, the debate cost Donald Trump

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Speaker 6: the election. Then this cost Joe Biden or Harris the election.

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Speaker 6: Franklin's been doing this back and forth for weeks now.

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Speaker 6: But he did make a good point. He made a

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Speaker 6: good point, and he said, what's so different here is

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Speaker 6: this is like an off the cup joke that they

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Speaker 6: made a huge deal about seventy two hours the number

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Speaker 6: one story in America. Okay, and then that's just a

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Speaker 6: joke from like an obscure, largely unknown comedian, which, as

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Speaker 6: you pointed out before, fell totally flat on the magacrow.

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Speaker 6: They didn't find it funny at all, probably because it's

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Speaker 6: pretty non white now and people don't And by the way,

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Speaker 6: my wife, for people don't know most two she's Puerto Rican.

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Speaker 6: She's actually thought it was funny. Most of her family

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Speaker 6: thought it was funny. There used to be Clinton supporters

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Speaker 6: in her family. They're now Trump supporters. Nobody who heard

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Speaker 6: that comment is now going to vote for Harris because

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Speaker 6: of that, Like they feel it's insulting. I am smart

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Speaker 6: enough to see the clip. They were all watching parts

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Speaker 6: of the rally anyway, They're not dumb. There's a big

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Speaker 6: difference between that and the president of the United States,

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Speaker 6: as Lonz pointed out, in his official capacity as president

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Speaker 6: and the supporter of his vice president, who is the

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Speaker 6: Democratic nominee, did not misspeak. He went out there and

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Speaker 6: he called half the country garbage.

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Speaker 1: He floated piles of garbage.

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Speaker 6: Just like, let's be real, Hillary Clinton wasn't misspeaking. Barack

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Speaker 6: Obama wasn't misspeaking when he looked at all of you,

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Speaker 6: like you're just bitter clingers to God and guns, like

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Speaker 6: your tiny, stupid people, the unwashed, uneducated masses, Like that's

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Speaker 6: who he thinks you are. That's who Joe Biden thinks

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Speaker 6: you are. The only difference is I thought I was.

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Speaker 6: I've been thinking about this Sean like Joe Biden is

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Speaker 6: a political whore, but he was never like one of

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Speaker 6: those elitist ass wipes. And I agree, I agree with

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Speaker 6: him what they do to him. Like he was cool, folks.

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Speaker 6: I'm telling you the guy you would shoot the ship with.

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Speaker 6: You would hang out with him, and you would shoot

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Speaker 6: the ship with him. He's a funny guy. Or he

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Speaker 6: was the Joe Biden like I remember when I was, like.

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Speaker 1: I think, I think, being from Delaware generally speaking, would

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Speaker 1: probably disagree with you. Think she thinks that Joe Biden.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I mean he fakes a good game. I

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Speaker 1: mean I'm sure like I'm a guy on the trail, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: if you were politicking on the trail, would probably be

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Speaker 1: pretty cool to have a beer with. But everybody in

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Speaker 1: Delaware and my wife is involved was involved in Delaware

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Speaker 1: Republican politics for some time, and she said, even Democrats

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Speaker 1: in that state and just absolutely revile a guy like

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Speaker 1: he's a huge douchebag. Like it's just a huge douchebag.

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Speaker 8: Yeah.

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Speaker 6: I mean I have totally different capacity than I'm speaking,

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Speaker 6: you know from you know, I'm a guy and in

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Speaker 6: his mind at the time, a potential voter. This was

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Speaker 6: Let's see, I just turned forty three. I was thirty

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Speaker 6: one years old, you know what I mean, like a

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Speaker 6: very very different situation. He was cool, you know. I

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Speaker 6: mean like he was cool to just talk to you,

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Speaker 6: and he was like not book smart smart, but witty

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Speaker 6: with like you know, like it was a great retail in.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he was cool.

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Speaker 6: You know. It was like, yeah, didn't you blow this

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Speaker 6: thing off, man, Let's go get pounded or something. You know,

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Speaker 6: Like he was cool. You know, he was I knew

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Speaker 6: I didn't ever like his policy, but I felt like

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Speaker 6: he was was probably an asset for Barack Obama to

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Speaker 6: have around because if I was a Republican senator, uh,

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Speaker 6: and I served with Biden when there was a problem

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Speaker 6: on the hill, like I would open my door for

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Speaker 6: Joe Biden and be like come in, you will go,

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Speaker 6: you know whatever, let's talk, let's hatch it out and

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Speaker 6: get it done, you know whatever, we got to do.

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Speaker 6: So I thought him as I thought, as you know,

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Speaker 6: that he was an asset. But I don't know when

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Speaker 6: they got to this guy like this again, he's always

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Speaker 6: been a political whore and whatever. Liar, he's a liar, he's.

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Speaker 1: A serial plagiarist. I don't think he's like I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's a terrible, terrible human being. I mean, yes, like

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Speaker 1: telling the lie.

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Speaker 6: One acknowledges grand granddaughter.

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Speaker 1: He wouldn't acknowledge his granddaughter. But also like the man

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Speaker 1: who got an accident with his with his wife called

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Speaker 1: him a drunk. That guy's whole, his entire life, ruined

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Speaker 1: his life, like Joe Biden is a is not a

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Speaker 1: good person. He is just he's not a good person

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Speaker 1: at all. And my theory is as he kids older,

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Speaker 1: he has an inability to fake it. Like the vaneer

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Speaker 1: comes off and now what you see is just his

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Speaker 1: you know what, is an exposed blackened heart and soul.

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Speaker 1: And he's out there calling half of America garbage and

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Speaker 1: completely stepping all over Kamala Harris's closing message, which by

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Speaker 1: the way, wasn't strong to begin with out there calling

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Speaker 1: Trump a petty dictator and everything else. I mean, do

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Speaker 1: you think let me ask you a question, Rich, do

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Speaker 1: you think that Biden saying that hurts Kamala Harris's chances

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Speaker 1: on election day?

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Speaker 5: Uh?

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Speaker 6: Look, they are very very few people who are really undecided.

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Speaker 6: I do think just like you could find one person

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Speaker 6: maybe who would be offended by the comments that they

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Speaker 6: heard from the media. Although I truly believe if somebody

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Speaker 6: is swayable from the media about something like that, Trump

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Speaker 6: really probably was not going to get there anyway. But

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Speaker 6: they're as far as who's truly, you know, persuadable. I

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Speaker 6: do think it can hurt because, you know, at first

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Speaker 6: I was kind of blowing it off, but I really

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Speaker 6: think Frank's right here. This is different. This is the

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Speaker 6: president coming out and trying to support his vice president

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Speaker 6: as denominee in his capacity as president, and he called

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Speaker 6: these people garbage. You know, I mean, think about this, Sean,

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Speaker 6: your wife is a moderate Democrat, right, and she's gonna

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Speaker 6: vote for Harris because she feels like.

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Speaker 1: Melanie is a no, no no.

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Speaker 6: I'm trying to campaign hypothetical here, okay, right, no, God forbid, No,

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Speaker 6: Melanie's not that stupid. But anyway, yeah, but like you know,

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Speaker 6: this is somebody who's just like a normy, all right,

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Speaker 6: but they're married to you and they know you're a conservative.

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Speaker 6: You guys, you know, love each other and respect each other.

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Speaker 6: You disagree on politics, and you can't sell out each

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Speaker 6: other's vote. She still doesn't really like Harris, because there

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Speaker 6: are plenty of them that don't. She's not sure maybe

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Speaker 6: if she's even going to vote, and she like you

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Speaker 6: at least says that Trump did a good job as president,

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Speaker 6: Like our latest retrospective approval rating hasn't the highest it's

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Speaker 6: ever been, including higher than last month when I was

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Speaker 6: on your show to talk about it. Would your wife

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Speaker 6: be pissed if she heard the president call you piece

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Speaker 6: of garbage, call you garbage? You know what I mean? Like,

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Speaker 6: I feel like she would, like, wait a minute, Not

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Speaker 6: all of Trump's supporters are garbage. So it's like not

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Speaker 6: all of so so so, like this is what that

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Speaker 6: person would say. Not all Harris's supporters are garbage, and

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Speaker 6: not all the Trump supporters are garbage, and that's wrong

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Speaker 6: to call it. Look deplorables hurt Hillary Clinton. That hurt

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Speaker 6: Hillary Clinton. And we keep talking. We always hear about

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Speaker 6: the Cally surprise, this that the other thing. Literally nobody

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Speaker 6: told us it was called me in our polling. WICKI

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Speaker 6: leaks had an impact, but only because it affirmed what

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Speaker 6: people thought of Hillary Clinton. The deplorables thing pissed people off.

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Speaker 6: It did, you know, Like, I'm not deplorable because I

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Speaker 6: oppose the modern trade regime that cost my community It's soul,

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Speaker 6: you know, I mean, I mean, you carved out the

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Speaker 6: soul of our neighborhoods and we're just supposed to sit

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Speaker 6: here and take it. And why because I don't like

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Speaker 6: legal immigration and I don't like what you've done with

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Speaker 6: trade and the WTO and NAFTA. I'm just I'm not

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Speaker 6: a bad person because of that. And that hurt Hillary Clinton.

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Speaker 6: It did, so, you know, I think far more than

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Speaker 6: any transcript of for getting a speech from Goldman Sachs

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Speaker 6: like way way worse her saying basket of deplorables. So,

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Speaker 6: I mean, I think this is not if you're Kamala,

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Speaker 6: this is not how you want to close out the campaign.

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Speaker 6: It's just not you know, I cannot stress that enough.

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Speaker 6: She's been all over the place, her message has been

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Speaker 6: totally muddled. Nobody knows what it is when we talk

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Speaker 6: to people beyond the partisans who just believe her message wholeheartedly,

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Speaker 6: which is Trump is bad. Vote for me as bad

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Speaker 6: as I am because I'm not Donald Trump. That's her message.

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Speaker 6: And there's a group of people out there who are

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Speaker 6: going to buy that. But guess what, that's forty five

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Speaker 6: percent the vote. How you getting the other six and

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Speaker 6: doing that is just not how it's going to get done.

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Speaker 1: So let's let's talk about the state of the race

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Speaker 1: here for a second, and I'll give you I am

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Speaker 1: First of all, I was telling the audience that I

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Speaker 1: have been completely immersed, just underwater since Monday in Pennsylvania,

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Speaker 1: dealing with the litany of issues of Democrat voter suppression

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Speaker 1: and Democrat attempts to cheat. I mean, there's absolutely no

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Speaker 1: doubt in my mind. I mean it is like, what's

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Speaker 1: amazing to me is the conspiracy theory that there's no

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Speaker 1: evidence of voter widespread evidence of voter fraud. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the evidence is everywhere. There are anomalies everywhere, And for

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Speaker 1: the first time in a long time, I feel like

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Speaker 1: we're actually being proactive about it and catching them before

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Speaker 1: election day, because if it happens after election day, you're

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Speaker 1: totally You're done. You're done.

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Speaker 6: And there already is instances of that. There will legal

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Speaker 6: votes that have been absolutely and it will not be removed.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, and we'll get I have, I've got some examples

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Speaker 1: of that here in a minute. But but my so

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Speaker 1: we are. I told you a little bit this morning,

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Speaker 1: like every data point looks good, the polling looks good,

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Speaker 1: the trends in the polling look good. Our early vote

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Speaker 1: and vote by mail numbers in all the swing states

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Speaker 1: look good. I realize you've got to be careful with

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Speaker 1: early voting. I get all that, But but we are

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Speaker 1: making headway and in some of these early vote and

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Speaker 1: vote vote by mail numbers that we've never made before.

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Speaker 1: And then you add to Kamala losing what are traditionally

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Speaker 1: historic Democrat voting blocks like young black men and Latinos.

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Speaker 6: What are they going to do?

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Speaker 1: It looks like Trump is winning those in numbers that

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Speaker 1: we haven't seen in quite some time. Every data point

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Speaker 1: looks better for Republic then it's ever looked. But something

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Speaker 1: in the back of my mind has me worried. I'm

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Speaker 1: not seeing anything that is like a bright, flashing red

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Speaker 1: light saying like this is very bad. I'm not seeing

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Speaker 1: anything like that yet, but something has me worried and

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Speaker 1: I can't quite put my finger on it. And I

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Speaker 1: was wondering if you feel the same way.

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Speaker 6: This is why I think I've been telling people, Look,

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Speaker 6: you really do have to swamp it. You have to

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Speaker 6: swamp it. And if you think you voted enough, you

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Speaker 6: didn't vote more like this is the way you have

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Speaker 6: to think about this now until the election is done.

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Speaker 6: And actually not even I don't know about you, Sean,

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Speaker 6: but you know we'll be helping a cure when this

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Speaker 6: is over, because for people who don't know what we're

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Speaker 6: talking about in a state like Nevada, for instance, Pennsylvania's

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Speaker 6: gonna have the same problem. But in Nevada they actually

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Speaker 6: got the court say you can accept ballads that aren't

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Speaker 6: postmarked by five pm on the third day after the election.

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Speaker 6: Why would you do that. There's literally no way to

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Speaker 6: know whether or not that's a legitimate ballad that somehow

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Speaker 6: didn't get there in time before election, maybe got set aside,

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Speaker 6: mailed a little late, and it's getting there by the deadline.

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Speaker 6: There's no way to know whether that's it or whether

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Speaker 6: it's Mark Elias and his disgusting team of election thiefs

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Speaker 6: paying people thousands upon thousands of dollars to fill in

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Speaker 6: ballads of people who did not vote for Kamala because

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Speaker 6: very clearly in the trend right now, we can see

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Speaker 6: she has a turnout problem. It's obvious and glaring to everybody.

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Speaker 6: So I think that's something in the back of your

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Speaker 6: mind showan because you know your opponent and in twenty twenty,

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Speaker 6: they never expected that vote to be that big, So

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00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,360
Speaker 6: they had to do what they did right and think

430
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 6: about everything that Trump was up against and how bad

431
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 6: the polling look how bad the early voting trend looked,

432
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 6: how bad everything looked, and yet he's still almost one

433
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 6: despite of it. But they know that. So it's like,

434
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 6: this is not These people may be tone deaf, and

435
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,680
Speaker 6: they may be stupid when it comes to common sense,

436
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 6: but they are not stupid when it comes to power,

437
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 6: and they are going to be aware of that as well,

438
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,480
Speaker 6: so they're gonna have believe me tricks. So it all

439
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 6: I can tell you is that the right has the numbers.

440
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:24,840
Speaker 6: Trump has the numbers. I'm not sure about some downball Republicans,

441
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 6: you know, in certain areas. I think some are certainly

442
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,200
Speaker 6: looking better than others, and that at one time may

443
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:34,359
Speaker 6: have thought to not been competitive, but they look great

444
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 6: now and probably if Trump wins their state, they're gonna

445
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 6: win it too. But you know, I mean, it really

446
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,360
Speaker 6: is Trump that's driving it. And we know this, and

447
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 6: you know what, some of the stuff I'm working on,

448
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 6: with things you're doing, we know it's him. All right.

449
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 6: They're not coming out. I don't mean to dog anybody

450
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 6: or I don't need to mention anyone's name down ballad.

451
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,040
Speaker 6: They are not coming out for you. They're coming out

452
00:24:56,080 --> 00:25:00,560
Speaker 6: for Donald Trump. And I know they know that. But

453
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 6: you need to make sure that they get out because look,

454
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,680
Speaker 6: if you do get them out, I mean, he's more

455
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,720
Speaker 6: than just a fifty five percent chance to win. Like this,

456
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 6: I just am trying to be very careful and not

457
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:20,080
Speaker 6: so any kind of complacency. He's more likely to win

458
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,880
Speaker 6: than she is. And if you get certain groups out

459
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,640
Speaker 6: to vote, think say it. I think that's a way

460
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 6: to say it. Yeah. And if you get these groups,

461
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,439
Speaker 6: and you know the groups that we're talking about, there

462
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 6: are some that traditionally do wait. They are still seemingly waiting.

463
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 6: Even though the vote looks better for Republicans. However, you

464
00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 6: still need to get them out. If that happens and

465
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 6: they do get out, he's more than fifty five percent,

466
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 6: He's eighty percent. Eighty five percent. I mean, Sean, I

467
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:53,199
Speaker 6: just looked at an internal poll in Pennsylvania that is

468
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 6: Trump plus four. All right, so this is an internal poll.

469
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 6: And I was told because I was immediately went and

470
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:03,639
Speaker 6: spoke to others about it, trying to see on the

471
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 6: other side, Hey, do you guys see it this bullish?

472
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 6: And somebody told me not for I'm not to blow

473
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 6: them up. I hope you don't care. But somebody told me, actually,

474
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:16,200
Speaker 6: I just saw mccormicks and McCormick said Trump up too

475
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,440
Speaker 6: by basically the same margin, So they know what they're

476
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:23,199
Speaker 6: facing going in. But again, you have to vote. I

477
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:23,840
Speaker 6: cannot strug.

478
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 1: I mean, the polls you have got the poles don't

479
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 1: reflect people actually showing up and.

480
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:29,439
Speaker 6: You have to go.

481
00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:31,800
Speaker 1: So let me give you a quick update, like just

482
00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:34,600
Speaker 1: a quick synopsis of what's been going on from like

483
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 1: from an election integrity standpoint. So in Pennsylvania, we won

484
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,359
Speaker 1: our case. Yes, so get this. So not just in bucks,

485
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 1: but ballots, like mail in ballots in Pennsylvania, they they

486
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,879
Speaker 1: must be returned by election day at eight pm. So,

487
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,880
Speaker 1: in other words, there's no cure in ballot they had

488
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,480
Speaker 1: like if so, if you put your they it's not

489
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 1: about being postmarked by election day. They have to reived

490
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 1: received by eight pm on election day. So if there's

491
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:06,080
Speaker 1: even a question of if people are listening, right, and

492
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:08,240
Speaker 1: you're a Republican and you're listening, if there's even a

493
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,879
Speaker 1: question that your mail in ballot might arrive late and

494
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 1: your vote might you're thinking that it will get banged,

495
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 1: Just walk it into your polling location and hand it somebody.

496
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:20,240
Speaker 1: That's the best way to do it now. But that

497
00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 1: all has to happen by the end of the day

498
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 1: eight o'clock at night on election.

499
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:28,439
Speaker 6: And if you mailed it, track it, use the state's website.

500
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,960
Speaker 6: Because we've heard all sorts of bonker things. I'm not

501
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:32,800
Speaker 6: going to get into it because I am not going

502
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:35,680
Speaker 6: to sow the same crap. Like, let's admit it, there

503
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 6: is an election fraud machine rift you know what I mean?

504
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:45,640
Speaker 6: On the right god rift, Yeah, right, that makes it

505
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,399
Speaker 6: very difficult for people like us who really are looking

506
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 6: out for legitimate concerns. And then what it also does,

507
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 6: which is what the left really wants out of it,

508
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 6: is it makes the normal American think their vote doesn't

509
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 6: count and there's no oh point why they're just gonna

510
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:05,119
Speaker 6: rig it. The machines are just gonna steal it. That's

511
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 6: what they want you to think, all right, because they

512
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:12,840
Speaker 6: cannot win if you vote. It really is that simple.

513
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 6: If you just vote, they will lose.

514
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,880
Speaker 1: And they know that you're so you're one hundred percent right.

515
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 1: There is an election fraud grift on the right. And

516
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 1: not only that, it makes it makes what we're looking at,

517
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 1: it makes people take us less seriously and painted with

518
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,959
Speaker 1: the same brush. Yeah, so okay, so we win our

519
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 1: case in Bucks County. We we we won in court

520
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 1: today in Bucks County after being forced to huge voting

521
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 1: lines were shut down early. My phone and and and

522
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,320
Speaker 1: you sent me a connection of somebody there who is

523
00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 1: who is fantastic. I'm glad I was able to connect

524
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: with him. But like my Bucks County, they closed down

525
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 1: the lines early. We won. They extended early voting there. Today,

526
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 1: the Supreme Court of the United States ruled in favor

527
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 1: of Virginia after KAMALA'SDJ attempted to reinstate self identified non

528
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 1: citizens on the Virginia voting roles, like which every Democrat

529
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 1: in Congress votes against the Save Act, which for a,

530
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 1: prohibit illegal alien invaders from voting in our election and

531
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,239
Speaker 1: require them to actually show a proof of citizenship. And

532
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 1: then so they say, and they and the reason why

533
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 1: they voted against. They say, it's already illegal. But then

534
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 1: the Biden DOJ and the Harris DOJ turns around and

535
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 1: sues Virginia to stop them from a.

536
00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:31,760
Speaker 6: Look with Mark Elias with Mark Mark Ollis, who, by

537
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 6: the way, is the dirtiest man in this business I've

538
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 6: ever stood niced I was forced to under court subpoena.

539
00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:41,920
Speaker 6: I had to stand next to him. Number one, he stinks.

540
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 6: He's like one of those guys who smell. I don't

541
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,160
Speaker 6: know if he doesn't wear deodorant or what. He just

542
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,000
Speaker 6: doesn't take care of himself. His ship was all wrinkled,

543
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 6: like he was a disgrace.

544
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 1: You know.

545
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:54,360
Speaker 6: He's like definitely that kind of guy, like a you

546
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 6: know whatever. He's just one of those disgusting people, like

547
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 6: inside and out, Like I think his soul smells so

548
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 6: bad that it reaks through his pores and it stinks

549
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 6: the whole room up, you know, like, I think his

550
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,800
Speaker 6: soul is rotten. And like we have said before, like

551
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 6: that he's complaining about the Supreme Court decision you're talking

552
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 6: about right now, And I said, what the headline here

553
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 6: is professional election thief denounces the Supreme Court for disallowing

554
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 6: him to give non citizens the right to vote, something

555
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 6: he claimed for years he was never trying to do.

556
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 6: He's a liar and a scumbag.

557
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:31,239
Speaker 1: He is.

558
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 6: He's one of those scummy people guys that you stand

559
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:37,120
Speaker 6: next to and you're like, I need a shower.

560
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 1: Like he is. He is a scumbag. So, but did

561
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:42,760
Speaker 1: you hear about the Colorado Secretary of State Jenna Griswold

562
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:48,080
Speaker 1: h leaked the voting system passwords online. Yeah, and then

563
00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 1: you had then you had a Michigan attorney. Uh oh yeah,

564
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 1: he identified single voter IDs being used to cast multiple ballots. Well,

565
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 1: the here's I want everybody to know that Laura Trump

566
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:04,960
Speaker 1: just talked about this. But the but Laura Trump and

567
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 1: the Trump campaign looked into this. It was a glitch.

568
00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: Those one hundred plus thousand votes aren't going to be counted.

569
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 1: But again, you don't have glitches when you have paper ballots.

570
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:17,720
Speaker 1: But I digress. How about Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn

571
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:21,120
Speaker 1: Benson and not announcing a nationwide issue that cannot be

572
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:24,240
Speaker 1: fixed with dominion voter ACAC big deal.

573
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 6: This is a huge This one is a huge deal.

574
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 6: It's going to impact you too in counties that are

575
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 6: using dominion, especially anywhere that has party tickets. All right,

576
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 6: what it essentially is doing I think I think this

577
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 6: glitch is to protect down ballid races. So in the

578
00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:46,680
Speaker 6: event they cannot stop the top of the ticket from

579
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:50,040
Speaker 6: rolling the way that this glitch works on, they could

580
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 6: legit not count. So like anyone who goes in there

581
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,880
Speaker 6: votes for Trump is a Nory me and then maybe says,

582
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 6: I don't really know. I guess I'll go McCormick because

583
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 6: he's a Republican too, you know, like that could impact this.

584
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:06,760
Speaker 6: So I mean, this such just a convenient glitch. Again,

585
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 6: just like yesterday and both Montgomery and Bucks and multiple

586
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 6: other places.

587
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: And quakers down I mean, look Quakerstown, PA. So you

588
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 1: want to get a sense of what happened in Bucks,

589
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 1: like watch this rich question quakers down.

590
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,880
Speaker 9: I have to bring someone here about four o'clock.

591
00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 1: So those badges that you see around their next to vote,

592
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: those aren't actual election officials. We talked about this. These

593
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 1: are activist democrats. But listen to how.

594
00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 6: They are thing right there. That's a w look. You

595
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:31,640
Speaker 6: could see it from here.

596
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, listen. Listen to how these activist democrats talk

597
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:37,360
Speaker 1: to voters who are waiting in line. And then there's

598
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:38,760
Speaker 1: this police officer there.

599
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 6: Watch are they going to ask you to.

600
00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 1: Talk to them?

601
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 9: They're going to turn everyone down.

602
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:43,719
Speaker 6: I want to ask you to talk to this gentleman

603
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 6: because the voting is closed right now, it's close. I

604
00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 6: just want you to talk to this gentleman.

605
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 9: We have the right to vote until four thirty.

606
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:52,240
Speaker 6: Why is it close?

607
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 1: Please? Okay, this process is very slow.

608
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:02,360
Speaker 9: Ruling doesn't matter if we're online, very slow and grueling.

609
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:05,720
Speaker 9: It doesn't matter if we're online by four point thirty.

610
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 1: We have the right to because a high volume of

611
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:09,800
Speaker 1: people want to do this.

612
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 9: Well, then they have to wait till everyone's line. They

613
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,880
Speaker 9: cut the line at one. You heard that, every one?

614
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 9: They cut the line at one.

615
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 1: Ridiculous.

616
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 6: Here, what's more ridiculous? Crown in a uniform is sitting

617
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:27,240
Speaker 6: there and passing on along this bullshit.

618
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 1: I mean, that's what he is. As Governor Shapiro said,

619
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 1: as long as you're in line by five o'clock. Democrat

620
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 1: Governor Shapiro is tweeting this stuff, and this cop is

621
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 1: saying that. And listen to how listen to how these

622
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 1: Democrats talk to this voter who's like, I'm just trying

623
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 1: to vote. Listen.

624
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 6: Yes, it is voter protection.

625
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 9: I heard about that on X Yeah, there's a lot

626
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 9: going on, vord protection.

627
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 1: Let's see what the untack.

628
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 6: The county commissioners to complain. This is a a Democrat

629
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 6: think this is by the way, Yeah, who are democrats?

630
00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 6: By the way, that's just what you all need to understand.

631
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 6: Bucks too, even though there's like you know you have

632
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 6: actually one of them went democratic. One of the other

633
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:13,200
Speaker 6: boards that was Republican that just went Democratic after a

634
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:17,879
Speaker 6: nasty fight. Unfortunately, it was really bad. It was gross.

635
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:20,879
Speaker 6: We shouldn't conduct ourselves like that, you know, especially over

636
00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:24,399
Speaker 6: local elections, but they did. Literally one Democrat flipped out

637
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:26,920
Speaker 6: and threw a chair at one of the incumbents. I

638
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,160
Speaker 6: had pictures of it, I got video, I posted on Twitter.

639
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:32,960
Speaker 6: It was hilarious. Buddy won or his wife won? His

640
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:36,319
Speaker 6: wife one. He's running this year now or not their

641
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:39,680
Speaker 6: off cycle. He's running this next off cycle coming up.

642
00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:44,720
Speaker 6: Not now, but yeah, I mean the problem is Democrats

643
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 6: in some of the rennest areas you would be shocked at.

644
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 6: She's a contact of border commissioners. You could be in

645
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 6: an R plus thirty area, folks, and your border commissioners Democrats.

646
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,879
Speaker 6: They're Democrats because for some reason the right is doing

647
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 6: a better job of it now. But in places like

648
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 6: Pennsylvania they're not. I mean, that's just the truth. They're

649
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 6: a little bit better, but not what it means in.

650
00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 1: The West, we're rolling up the row offices. We weak

651
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 1: the row offices. I mean, you're in neck, in my neck.

652
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: That is not good enough.

653
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:18,200
Speaker 6: Where we're southeast in it, That's right. That's what terrible.

654
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 6: It's it's absolutely terrible. So uh, even in where I

655
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:28,480
Speaker 6: vote as a little she's so funny. It it's basically

656
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:31,279
Speaker 6: all but one older man who I don't want to

657
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,400
Speaker 6: blow up anyone's name, but they're all Democrats. And this

658
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:38,760
Speaker 6: is a Trump plus thirty something district. It's like thirty

659
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,880
Speaker 6: two something like that. Uh, the county will be at

660
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 6: least Trump plus fifteen or more. And uh, you know,

661
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:47,960
Speaker 6: it's just it's unbelievable that that's the way it is.

662
00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:51,280
Speaker 6: But it is. Here's the real problem with their little excuse.

663
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,920
Speaker 6: And the cop should be ashamed of himself. He's supposed

664
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:57,040
Speaker 6: to protect and serve and enforce the law, and he

665
00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:59,400
Speaker 6: was helping them break the law. That's what he was

666
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:05,320
Speaker 6: obviously because a judge, you know, judges agreed in rich.

667
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: What kills me, what kisses me off multiple places, I mean,

668
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:12,000
Speaker 1: but what pisses me off about this is we've known

669
00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:13,840
Speaker 1: this shit was coming for a long time.

670
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:14,680
Speaker 6: This isn't a.

671
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:19,719
Speaker 1: Surprise you have that they are purposefully understaffing these locations

672
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 1: so they cannot process the early vote. This is exactly

673
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 1: what's happening the whole Oh, this is a slow, grueling process.

674
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 1: That is not an excuse. You knew this day was coming.

675
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 1: So what the hell's going on?

676
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 6: And get rid of early voting. You can get rid

677
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,720
Speaker 6: of early voting. If you couldn't tell, if you could

678
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:41,800
Speaker 6: not take on this task, then the government's not efficient

679
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,719
Speaker 6: enough at it. We can't just be disenfranchising people. Get

680
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 6: rid of early voting and deal with it on election day.

681
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:49,839
Speaker 6: But of course you're not going to do that right now,

682
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:51,840
Speaker 6: So how dare you try to make an excuse like

683
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 6: this and guess what? This was widespread again? I can't

684
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:57,399
Speaker 6: I'm going to repeat this again. This was not one

685
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,560
Speaker 6: or two locations. This was widespread. My phone was blowing

686
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:05,200
Speaker 6: up from people in Montgomery to Burks, to Delaware to Bucks.

687
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 6: This was going on in a lot of areas. One

688
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 6: of the reasons why Bucks got such a lot of

689
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:12,600
Speaker 6: attention is because they did it to a young man

690
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 6: who is the son of somebody important, and they dub

691
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 6: and that's what happened, all right otherwise, So he got

692
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:21,840
Speaker 6: on the phone and called a lawyer very quickly, and

693
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:25,239
Speaker 6: the ball got rolling, all right. So it's there are

694
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,399
Speaker 6: some signs and positive signs that Republicans have in place

695
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 6: mechanisms to catch this stuff. Like you know, it's not

696
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,120
Speaker 6: eight hours later you hear about a pipe bursting and

697
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 6: they closed an office. You couldn't vote, right, they know

698
00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 6: something about that day, And now because they did this,

699
00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:42,840
Speaker 6: they're going to be three extra days. A lot of

700
00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 6: people are losing it over the year. A lot of

701
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:46,399
Speaker 6: people on the writer are concerned that there are too

702
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 6: many females in early voting and that men aren't voting

703
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,360
Speaker 6: at high enough rates. I have the data right in

704
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 6: front of me, but I mean, yeah.

705
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:55,879
Speaker 1: Let me take a quick break. I want to get

706
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,560
Speaker 1: in rats, know that. Let me just I want to

707
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:01,800
Speaker 1: get into all of this and all of your latest polls.

708
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 1: Like I I've got to take a break. I'm like

709
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:08,840
Speaker 1: way over time, but I'll be right stay right there, man, Okay,

710
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 1: don't forget to smash that like button a little green

711
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 1: thumb beneath. The video also got flags from Aunt Cindy

712
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:21,879
Speaker 1: Boston Guy. So Boston is concerned with Savage Riches well being.

713
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:25,880
Speaker 1: He says, save Rich from Laura ha haha, kidding, And

714
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,360
Speaker 1: I can see Rich laughing in the waiting room. And Dorry.

715
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:33,160
Speaker 1: Dorry said, I thought the RNC hired thousands to be

716
00:38:33,160 --> 00:38:36,399
Speaker 1: at voting locations. Where are they, Dorry? We're watching, I mean,

717
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:40,319
Speaker 1: especially in swing states, we are watching like a hawk

718
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: and trying to do everything we can to catch things

719
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 1: ahead of time. But yeah, that's a good concern. But

720
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:49,760
Speaker 1: thank you, Dorry, and thank you Boston for the rumble

721
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:53,280
Speaker 1: rants tips. I'm want to bring Savage Rich Barris Back,

722
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: the director of Big Data poll and host of Inside

723
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:59,840
Speaker 1: the Numbers. So rich, couple things, you got some polling

724
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 1: at give us, just take us. Jump into that data

725
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 1: anyway that you want. What does it say? What's the

726
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:11,000
Speaker 1: state of the race as it stands right now under

727
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:11,680
Speaker 1: a week to go.

728
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 6: Yeah. So, I've long been a skeptic of a Republican

729
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,840
Speaker 6: winning the popular vote because Republicans simply cannot do that

730
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 6: if they don't do better with non whites. There's only

731
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 6: so much blood you can squeeze from the white vote stone,

732
00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 6: and it's not enough. Every year the share of the

733
00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 6: white vote shrinks as a percentage of the electorate, which

734
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 6: means you would have to continuously win more and more

735
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:35,160
Speaker 6: of it, and you cannot do that as it got

736
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:38,560
Speaker 6: more educated and really whatever you want to call it, credentialed,

737
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 6: the doctrinated, whatever you want to call it. So the

738
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 6: reason this has been a big deal, and I've been

739
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 6: on your show month after month after month talking about

740
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 6: Trump's share of the non white vote is because if

741
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 6: you know you're going to see these national polls, Trump

742
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 6: plus this her plus that it's bunk. If he doesn't,

743
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:03,720
Speaker 6: if he cannot, you know, win a certain x number

744
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:07,120
Speaker 6: of black votes x number of Hispanic votes, and that

745
00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:08,640
Speaker 6: white vote share in the poll is not going to

746
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,160
Speaker 6: hold up. I'm telling you it's not. And he may

747
00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:13,120
Speaker 6: even be understated a little bit, but it's not gonna

748
00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:14,759
Speaker 6: be enough to get him to a popular vote win.

749
00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 6: And typically that evaporates by the time we get closer

750
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:21,440
Speaker 6: to election day. Over the summer. If there's we call

751
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 6: it flirting, right, We've seen where there's been a flirt

752
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 6: with a Republican candidate, maybe they'll do better with non

753
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:30,239
Speaker 6: white votes, and then it vanishes. It evaporates over the

754
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:34,880
Speaker 6: summer and definitely honor around if not shortly after Labor Day.

755
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:36,520
Speaker 6: This is and here, I mean I could put it up.

756
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 6: I got it on the thing. If you want me

757
00:40:37,680 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 6: to show it, I will.

758
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:41,320
Speaker 1: There you go, but here on it.

759
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm gonna hear. I'm gonna zoom in on it.

760
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 6: I'm gonna go table by table here. But Trump is

761
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:50,239
Speaker 6: I know why you're seeing all these national polls that are, like,

762
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 6: you know, tied. That's the easy way out, Okay, I

763
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,319
Speaker 6: mean that's really all there is to it. It's the

764
00:40:57,440 --> 00:41:00,560
Speaker 6: easy way out to say that the race is tied.

765
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 6: The way that the raw data is coming back and

766
00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 6: with simple you know weights, and you're not going to

767
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 6: apply voter screens. If number one, if you're a liberal polster,

768
00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:12,520
Speaker 6: you want to help come out a little bit, so

769
00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 6: you don't you leave it and then you can head

770
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:17,320
Speaker 6: your bets right or you can do your damn job

771
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:19,560
Speaker 6: and try to project who's going to vote, because that

772
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,520
Speaker 6: is the that is the biggest part in my mind,

773
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,960
Speaker 6: since I'm definitely a school like a Gallop school polster.

774
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 6: Right after Labor Day it is time to decide it

775
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:31,279
Speaker 6: was going to come out and vote. That's what made

776
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:34,360
Speaker 6: Gallop so good after all these years. And a lot

777
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:37,359
Speaker 6: of posters aren't trying to do that, or worse, they're

778
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 6: using likely voter models that just don't make any sense.

779
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:42,799
Speaker 6: What I found to be really interesting with this is

780
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 6: that our early vote actually does reflect what you know,

781
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 6: the early vote as we know it is today, and

782
00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 6: a lot of these poles that you're seeing do not.

783
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:55,680
Speaker 6: Right the round of Matris polls in the sun Belt,

784
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:58,399
Speaker 6: they had Harris up x here with the early vote

785
00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 6: x there. We know that's not true, Sean, we know

786
00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 6: it's not true. So it's like we know that they

787
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 6: modeled it to liberal. It's a lot to get into.

788
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:09,360
Speaker 6: But if you just go for you know, by race,

789
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 6: I can just tell you Trump's black vote share has

790
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:15,640
Speaker 6: held if we do the five way generic I mean

791
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:19,799
Speaker 6: five way ballid with the generic someone else, because in

792
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 6: various states there can be other candidates. Trump's share of

793
00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:28,400
Speaker 6: the vote by race and white voters is Trump plus thirteen.

794
00:42:28,760 --> 00:42:30,760
Speaker 6: That's about what he won them by in twenty twenty.

795
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 6: So he hasn't lost any And the interesting thing is

796
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 6: is that Trump is typically underrepresented with white voters. He'll

797
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:40,280
Speaker 6: do better with white voters than he pulls. Why because

798
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,360
Speaker 6: it's easier to get white educated voters on the phone,

799
00:42:43,640 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 6: and it's very simple just trying to speak in layman's

800
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 6: here than it is to get people who live out

801
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 6: in western Pennsylvania and are like a steel workers union

802
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 6: outside of Pittsburgh and don't want to talk to you

803
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:55,160
Speaker 6: when they get off of work every day. All right,

804
00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:58,280
Speaker 6: But here it is, and he's got that thirteen percent,

805
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:01,279
Speaker 6: which is what he would need. That's his like, you know,

806
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,799
Speaker 6: that's his mark. He needs that. And then you can

807
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:07,279
Speaker 6: see with hispanics here, obviously he's increased his support among

808
00:43:07,320 --> 00:43:09,839
Speaker 6: Hispanics quite a bit. If you do the head to head,

809
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:10,880
Speaker 6: he's in the forties.

810
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 1: Oh wow, I was going to say, what's the number.

811
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:13,400
Speaker 1: One of the numbers.

812
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,520
Speaker 6: The number on the expanded is thirty nine point four.

813
00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 6: And the reason why you can pretty comfortably say that

814
00:43:21,200 --> 00:43:23,680
Speaker 6: that's not going to be a miss on the low

815
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:26,280
Speaker 6: end is because if you look at the standard ballot,

816
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 6: he actually gets in the low forties to forty three percent.

817
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 6: When there's no one else to choose from, she can

818
00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 6: only get to fifty seven. That is a major red

819
00:43:35,160 --> 00:43:38,520
Speaker 6: flag for a Democrat. Same thing with black voters. I

820
00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:40,160
Speaker 6: think he'll get a little, he'll get a little less

821
00:43:40,160 --> 00:43:40,759
Speaker 6: than this, but.

822
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:42,360
Speaker 1: This is exactly what's what.

823
00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:47,240
Speaker 6: Yes, So without another choice against Kamala Harris, he's getting

824
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:50,200
Speaker 6: twenty three point one percent of Black voters, which is

825
00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 6: driven by two things. It is men, but it is

826
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:57,440
Speaker 6: also women. Men obviously more. He's getting about thirty percent

827
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:00,560
Speaker 6: of the black male vote, which is insane but it

828
00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 6: is happening. And then with black women, he's getting the

829
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:07,759
Speaker 6: low to mid teens, which does make sense with the

830
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:10,799
Speaker 6: upward trend that he has experienced over the years. She

831
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 6: only got four in twenty sixteen, he got ninety in twit.

832
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,680
Speaker 1: Make What do you make of ABC's IPSOS poll. I

833
00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:21,280
Speaker 1: think it was coming out on Sunday saying that Kamala

834
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:25,359
Speaker 1: is getting more support from black men than Joe Biden did.

835
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:29,440
Speaker 6: That's bullshit. I don't even know what. Okay. First of all,

836
00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:32,919
Speaker 6: ITSOS is one of the worst. If SO is one

837
00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 6: of beat.

838
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:40,520
Speaker 1: Okay, well said, well, articulate shit.

839
00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:44,000
Speaker 6: I mean, there's a few reasons why one and the

840
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 6: first and foremost, IFSOS is one of the worst panels

841
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:50,360
Speaker 6: out there. Everybody knows it. They're only using the IPSOS

842
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:54,240
Speaker 6: panel because Gary Langer in his traditional methodology which produced

843
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:57,160
Speaker 6: the Biden plus seventeen in Wisconsin back in twenty twenty.

844
00:44:57,280 --> 00:44:59,840
Speaker 6: He didn't get fired for that, but oh no, having

845
00:45:00,719 --> 00:45:04,880
Speaker 6: two strong results for Donald Trump at ABC News on

846
00:45:05,000 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 6: the behest at the best of George Stephanopolis will get

847
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:10,399
Speaker 6: you fired. Now. They didn't want to fire him because

848
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:11,960
Speaker 6: they didn't want it to look so bad. I got

849
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 6: the whole story, so they just sidelined him. He started

850
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:17,520
Speaker 6: using the IPSOS panel and said, we're going to say

851
00:45:17,560 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 6: that your overseeing field work. It is not how Gary

852
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 6: Langer is conducted polls. Langer Research has never pulled like this.

853
00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:27,319
Speaker 6: They did this intentionally, and they went and not only

854
00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:31,239
Speaker 6: sought out another alternative, they sought out one of the

855
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:35,360
Speaker 6: worst track records with a democratic bias that you could

856
00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:39,200
Speaker 6: possibly find in this industry. And that is the truth.

857
00:45:39,560 --> 00:45:44,360
Speaker 6: And then secondly, I oversampled black and Hispanic voters a lot.

858
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:48,840
Speaker 6: All right, We overall Hispanics and black voters were about

859
00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:53,960
Speaker 6: twenty percent of this sample when they should only be about,

860
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 6: you know, ten to twelve thirteen whatever it is on

861
00:45:56,200 --> 00:45:58,600
Speaker 6: a given We did that on purpose. So right now

862
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:01,359
Speaker 6: it says two hundred and nine hundred and ninety two,

863
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 6: it's actually more than that because we oversampled them and

864
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,560
Speaker 6: weighted them down to make sure that they were representative

865
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:09,480
Speaker 6: of the base sample. Okay, and I know, I'm get

866
00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:11,880
Speaker 6: to live a bunch of a jargon, but they didn't

867
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:15,359
Speaker 6: do that. Another poll for Politico, however, did and they're

868
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:18,040
Speaker 6: in line with what we found. So like, we're not

869
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 6: just talking about metro non whites that they want to

870
00:46:21,920 --> 00:46:24,399
Speaker 6: speak to that are easier to get, you know, We're

871
00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:28,799
Speaker 6: talking about a very diverse group. And I'm just let

872
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 6: me just I'm very confident in it. I really am Sean,

873
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:33,080
Speaker 6: I'm just going to happen.

874
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,720
Speaker 1: What do you think, I know, I'm kind of throwing

875
00:46:35,840 --> 00:46:39,759
Speaker 1: pepper and you with questions here? What do you think

876
00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:42,759
Speaker 1: about Christians? Do you think Christians are turning out?

877
00:46:44,080 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 6: Christians always turn out at higher rates than others. Here

878
00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:53,040
Speaker 6: is religion detail. Let's look at it by the likelihood

879
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:57,720
Speaker 6: to vote. Overall, Protestants certain to vote eighty six point

880
00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:04,160
Speaker 6: seven percent. Catholics a point one Christian which are a Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian,

881
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:09,480
Speaker 6: Methodists and Adventists are lower, and so are Orthodox. Jews

882
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 6: are much higher, Mormons are much higher. Even Hell I

883
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:16,759
Speaker 6: mean Muslims are higher than those other secondary religions. But

884
00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:20,759
Speaker 6: as of right now, the lion's share, which is mainline

885
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:25,319
Speaker 6: and Evangelical, Protestant plus Catholic are in fact at this

886
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:29,360
Speaker 6: point are turning out, and that Protestants are up there

887
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:32,560
Speaker 6: with Jewish voters, and you know, not as quite as

888
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:36,800
Speaker 6: as Mormons. Mormons have a huge certainty to vote number

889
00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:41,359
Speaker 6: every year. It always happens, so there's nothing I'm not that.

890
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 6: And then by the way, Evangelicals are more likely to

891
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 6: vote than mainline Protestants, so I wouldn't be too concerned

892
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:52,839
Speaker 6: about that. I've heard this concern before. I think what

893
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:56,080
Speaker 6: we need to do is discuss in this is something

894
00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:58,640
Speaker 6: that's going to have to be a conversation for the future.

895
00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:01,760
Speaker 6: But there are there's been a lot of progress getting

896
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:07,200
Speaker 6: Republican constituencies to vote early. However, there was a lot

897
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:09,960
Speaker 6: we and you know this, but we have. We did

898
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 6: a lot of research on why Republicans don't vote early,

899
00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:15,319
Speaker 6: how you could get them to vote early. We've been

900
00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:18,040
Speaker 6: doing this by the scenes for a long time and

901
00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:22,880
Speaker 6: there have been groups that have displayed more challenges, okay,

902
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:26,400
Speaker 6: when getting them to vote early. They are more skeptical

903
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 6: of early voting, and that would be women. Some eat lots,

904
00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 6: not some, but a good chunk of evangelicals. They don't

905
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:38,920
Speaker 6: like and they don't trust some of those systems. For instance, Folks,

906
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:44,040
Speaker 6: if you use the term dropbox to a male Republican,

907
00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:48,040
Speaker 6: you are extremely likely to scare the shit out of

908
00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:50,560
Speaker 6: him and he will not drop that ballad in that box.

909
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:54,920
Speaker 6: If you say a secure location, you drop off your

910
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:58,360
Speaker 6: ballot at one of these secure locations. I had a

911
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,720
Speaker 6: pamphlet here, but you know you scan it on your phone,

912
00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:05,839
Speaker 6: find your secure location, they will be much more likely

913
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 6: to do it. You use the media's words, their buzzwords,

914
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:12,080
Speaker 6: and you know what, sadly, we were just talking about this,

915
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,800
Speaker 6: they're also the same buzzwords as that, like election fraud,

916
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:19,719
Speaker 6: grift class that the right is going on. You use

917
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:21,480
Speaker 6: that and you will turn them off.

918
00:49:21,680 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 1: All right.

919
00:49:22,040 --> 00:49:25,319
Speaker 6: So there's a couple of groups that are problematic, and

920
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:27,080
Speaker 6: in the future Republicans are going to have to do

921
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:30,399
Speaker 6: better and totally changed their language in order to get

922
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:32,399
Speaker 6: them on board the way they have with so many

923
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,160
Speaker 6: other groups. But a big part of the reason, and

924
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:37,200
Speaker 6: we can see it clear in our data here sean

925
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:40,959
Speaker 6: the big one of the big parts for the big

926
00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:45,720
Speaker 6: reasons that this electorate so far appears to be more

927
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 6: female than it has been in the past. And it

928
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:51,680
Speaker 6: is is simply because Republicans are doing a better job

929
00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 6: getting their people to vote, but their people who are

930
00:49:54,680 --> 00:49:57,480
Speaker 6: willing to participate and vote early for the first time

931
00:49:57,760 --> 00:50:02,240
Speaker 6: are also more female. So that is making it look

932
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:06,799
Speaker 6: like it's an extremely you know, female electorate. And oh,

933
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 6: by the way, that must mean abortion really is this

934
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:10,600
Speaker 6: big driving issue?

935
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:15,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Rich talk about the early voted women advantage for Dems,

936
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 1: talk about that, right.

937
00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:23,280
Speaker 6: So, actually, the truth is the Democrat advantage is extremely

938
00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:28,040
Speaker 6: narrow in overall early not even in overall early voting,

939
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:32,360
Speaker 6: in certain forms of early voting, regardless of the fact

940
00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 6: that it's extremely female, we see it too, all right,

941
00:50:36,160 --> 00:50:38,200
Speaker 6: men are telling us they're going to vote more as

942
00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:41,160
Speaker 6: it gets closer to the election in person, and then

943
00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:44,920
Speaker 6: we're already seeing some of that in like Michigan, for instance,

944
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:48,359
Speaker 6: We're just opened up on Saturday, and they still many

945
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:50,560
Speaker 6: of them still do want to vote in person on

946
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:54,799
Speaker 6: election day. So if you go to where's a vote

947
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:57,759
Speaker 6: method detail, which has a lot more detail on it, Hey,

948
00:50:57,800 --> 00:51:01,000
Speaker 6: this is the largest you know to posters will just

949
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:02,400
Speaker 6: say do you plan to vote early or do you

950
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:04,719
Speaker 6: plan to vote on election day? Yeah, we weren't doing

951
00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:07,280
Speaker 6: that because there are so many different tranchets of ballots

952
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:11,160
Speaker 6: that come in. We always prefer the expanded version of

953
00:51:11,200 --> 00:51:13,799
Speaker 6: this question, but we expanded it even more this year

954
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:16,759
Speaker 6: because of course there are more there's more options, right,

955
00:51:17,200 --> 00:51:21,560
Speaker 6: So we have already voted in person early, already voted

956
00:51:21,640 --> 00:51:23,319
Speaker 6: via absent y ballot. And by the way, you can

957
00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:25,239
Speaker 6: always tell some people are full of shit because of

958
00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:29,239
Speaker 6: these numbers. Already voted via early ballot by mail, plan

959
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:32,800
Speaker 6: to vote in person but early, plan to vote early

960
00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:36,479
Speaker 6: through absenty ballid and drop off location, plan to vote

961
00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:39,640
Speaker 6: early through just appsenty ballid by mail, plan to vote

962
00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:42,440
Speaker 6: in person on election day, and plan to vote on

963
00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:46,319
Speaker 6: election day via absenty ballot and drop off. You could

964
00:51:46,360 --> 00:51:48,520
Speaker 6: do the fifty to fifty, which is a cool exercise,

965
00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 6: just like the two party shares. But this is the

966
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:56,520
Speaker 6: entire ballot when it comes including third parties already voted

967
00:51:56,880 --> 00:52:01,600
Speaker 6: early in person. Actually, Trump leads all right, extra percentage,

968
00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:06,399
Speaker 6: fifty point two to forty five point two. But if

969
00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 6: you're looking at those who voted early at an absentee

970
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,840
Speaker 6: drop off location, Harris leads, it's just much more narrow

971
00:52:12,880 --> 00:52:15,680
Speaker 6: than it was in twenty twenty, even though again it

972
00:52:15,800 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 6: is more female. Forty eight point four to forty one

973
00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:23,239
Speaker 6: point two already voted early via absentee ballad by mail

974
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:27,320
Speaker 6: also Harris fifty four point five to forty one point eight.

975
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:31,840
Speaker 6: These are these sounds like they're big margins for Harris.

976
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:35,360
Speaker 6: They're not. And by the way, in some of these tranches,

977
00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:40,600
Speaker 6: Biden was winning by thirty five forty forty five points

978
00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:43,759
Speaker 6: in the polling trying to measure early voting and how

979
00:52:43,840 --> 00:52:46,480
Speaker 6: it was breaking down and when while Trump would lead

980
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:49,760
Speaker 6: by the way around sixty forty election day or sixty

981
00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:52,200
Speaker 6: five to thirty five and in a good margin for

982
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:56,200
Speaker 6: him in a certain poll, right, and skipping to that, actually,

983
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:59,160
Speaker 6: real quick plan to vote in person on election day

984
00:52:59,200 --> 00:53:01,840
Speaker 6: and plan to vot vote on election day through appsenty

985
00:53:01,920 --> 00:53:04,680
Speaker 6: ballad dropping it off at a location is really the

986
00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:08,120
Speaker 6: same margin and it's Trump plus fourteen fifty five to

987
00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:12,040
Speaker 6: forty one. Right, So what I want to how I

988
00:53:12,080 --> 00:53:15,640
Speaker 6: want to put this is like this, you're baking the

989
00:53:15,680 --> 00:53:21,399
Speaker 6: same cake that you baked in twenty sixteen, and you're

990
00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:25,360
Speaker 6: using the same ingredients. You're just putting the ingredients in

991
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:28,279
Speaker 6: in a different order. Okay, Like that's how I want

992
00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:30,920
Speaker 6: to try to explain this, But ultimately the recipe is

993
00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:34,759
Speaker 6: the same and you're still baking a cake. Now, if

994
00:53:35,440 --> 00:53:37,920
Speaker 6: you're going to win, the cake tastes good. You know,

995
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:40,719
Speaker 6: if you're going to lose, like in twenty twenty, it

996
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:43,879
Speaker 6: doesn't taste good, But you're still ultimately baking the same cake.

997
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:46,600
Speaker 6: You're just getting there a little bit differently this time.

998
00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:49,759
Speaker 6: That being said, though, the early vote does tell us.

999
00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:55,480
Speaker 6: I think more about democratic enthusiasm than Republican enthusiasm because

1000
00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:57,839
Speaker 6: and as the reason I say this is because the

1001
00:53:57,840 --> 00:54:01,200
Speaker 6: research is really clear. Guys, voters listen to their party

1002
00:54:01,280 --> 00:54:04,000
Speaker 6: leaders and strategists when it comes to how you vote

1003
00:54:04,080 --> 00:54:07,320
Speaker 6: your preferred vote methods. If the party and the party's

1004
00:54:07,400 --> 00:54:11,000
Speaker 6: leaders say vote early, the party's voters vote early. If

1005
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,480
Speaker 6: they say vote on election day, they vote on election day. Right,

1006
00:54:14,520 --> 00:54:17,920
Speaker 6: we can clearly there's actually research for this. But you

1007
00:54:17,960 --> 00:54:20,880
Speaker 6: could look back just yourself, guys, and perceive this in

1008
00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:23,600
Speaker 6: twenty twenty, and perceive it in twenty two. Right, you

1009
00:54:23,600 --> 00:54:25,879
Speaker 6: can see it with your own noyes. Now, this year,

1010
00:54:26,040 --> 00:54:27,000
Speaker 6: what did Trump say?

1011
00:54:27,360 --> 00:54:27,960
Speaker 1: Vote early?

1012
00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:31,759
Speaker 6: Vote too big to rig and vote early, Vote and

1013
00:54:31,880 --> 00:54:36,040
Speaker 6: vote early. Bring friends. They're listening. They are absolutely. It's

1014
00:54:36,160 --> 00:54:39,000
Speaker 6: so imperative that Trump did that and Don Junior did

1015
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:40,839
Speaker 6: it because I know he's been doing a lot too.

1016
00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:43,200
Speaker 6: This is who these people look up to. They will

1017
00:54:43,200 --> 00:54:45,520
Speaker 6: listen to them because they trust them, and they will

1018
00:54:45,560 --> 00:54:48,120
Speaker 6: do what they tell them to do. Now, Mitch McConnell

1019
00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:50,520
Speaker 6: said vote early, they'd say up yours, and they're gonna

1020
00:54:50,520 --> 00:54:52,279
Speaker 6: do what they want to do. But this is where

1021
00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:56,960
Speaker 6: they're at there's a lot of question about why Democrats

1022
00:54:57,120 --> 00:54:59,640
Speaker 6: are doing so poorly in this early vote. Here's what's

1023
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:03,080
Speaker 6: the most concerning thing for them and why this is

1024
00:55:03,160 --> 00:55:05,440
Speaker 6: why they're gonna, you know, do what they do or

1025
00:55:05,480 --> 00:55:09,480
Speaker 6: try anyway, because they're not gonna suddenly turn into election

1026
00:55:09,640 --> 00:55:12,759
Speaker 6: day voters. There are some areas where they still do

1027
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:16,360
Speaker 6: have an election day apparatus. But you cannot change human

1028
00:55:16,400 --> 00:55:20,200
Speaker 6: behavior with a tweet, all right, like not overnight. Hey guys,

1029
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:23,279
Speaker 6: we're down because you didn't vote for three weeks, for

1030
00:55:23,440 --> 00:55:25,840
Speaker 6: four weeks. We're gonna need you to get out there.

1031
00:55:25,800 --> 00:55:29,279
Speaker 1: To day, all right, that's not how it's hard. Yeah,

1032
00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:30,759
Speaker 1: I rich, I I.

1033
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:33,320
Speaker 6: Agree, we've got a major problem.

1034
00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:35,880
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not counting them out because they have

1035
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:38,920
Speaker 1: unlimited money and they have the volunteers and maybe you

1036
00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:39,759
Speaker 1: know they can do it.

1037
00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:41,200
Speaker 6: They also else.

1038
00:55:42,000 --> 00:55:43,920
Speaker 1: Then let me ask you a question I think I have,

1039
00:55:44,120 --> 00:55:46,480
Speaker 1: Like I've got like what I think is keeping me

1040
00:55:46,560 --> 00:55:52,240
Speaker 1: up at night? And okay, so what are the chances

1041
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:59,759
Speaker 1: that these polls today are overstating Trump's support and understating Democrats?

1042
00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 1: And let me explain to you my reasoning. And this

1043
00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:04,880
Speaker 1: is what I'm afraid of in sixteen and in twenty

1044
00:56:05,120 --> 00:56:11,239
Speaker 1: obviously the polls understated President Trump support significantly right, But

1045
00:56:11,360 --> 00:56:16,239
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two many polsters understated Democrat support right.

1046
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:20,640
Speaker 1: And my fear is that did these polsters try to

1047
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:24,319
Speaker 1: accommodate for Trump's underperformance by swinging the pendulum too far

1048
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:26,839
Speaker 1: in the other direction? And that's why you have all

1049
00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:30,359
Speaker 1: these Trump favorable polls. And are they understating the Democrats.

1050
00:56:30,719 --> 00:56:34,759
Speaker 1: That's a big fear of mine. Yeah, And is this

1051
00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:37,200
Speaker 1: all a false sense of optimism?

1052
00:56:37,600 --> 00:56:39,759
Speaker 6: Are we just it's a valid it's a look, it's

1053
00:56:39,760 --> 00:56:42,480
Speaker 6: a valid fear. I can't use one. You can't just

1054
00:56:42,520 --> 00:56:46,040
Speaker 6: outright dismiss, but I can tell you this one is

1055
00:56:46,280 --> 00:56:51,440
Speaker 6: there are reasons that the polls overstated Trump in sixteen

1056
00:56:51,440 --> 00:56:56,359
Speaker 6: and twenty an understated Republican or understated Democrats in twenty two.

1057
00:56:57,000 --> 00:57:02,040
Speaker 6: The reason is actually the same. They basically are having

1058
00:57:02,120 --> 00:57:05,200
Speaker 6: a difficult time they we all are having a difficult

1059
00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:09,680
Speaker 6: time reaching certain groups of voters. For instance, in twenty two,

1060
00:57:10,800 --> 00:57:14,800
Speaker 6: white working class Republicans did great with them. Their margin

1061
00:57:15,120 --> 00:57:20,000
Speaker 6: was basically what everyone expected that margin to beate Pulsters

1062
00:57:20,080 --> 00:57:22,760
Speaker 6: just expected there to be more of them, and there

1063
00:57:22,760 --> 00:57:26,240
Speaker 6: aren't in midterms anymore. It once upon a time used

1064
00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:29,120
Speaker 6: to be different. That would hurt Democrats. And that's why

1065
00:57:29,480 --> 00:57:33,640
Speaker 6: midterms and likely voter models used to help Republicans and

1066
00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:38,200
Speaker 6: typically Republicans but outperform polls in midterms because their likely

1067
00:57:38,280 --> 00:57:41,960
Speaker 6: voter model wasn't strict enough and there weren't those voters

1068
00:57:42,120 --> 00:57:45,840
Speaker 6: low propensity people who came out. They don't and without

1069
00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:48,760
Speaker 6: Trump on the like in eighteen in some areas Sean,

1070
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:51,480
Speaker 6: they did come out because Trump was president and he

1071
00:57:51,560 --> 00:57:54,480
Speaker 6: was running all over the country asking them, and many

1072
00:57:54,520 --> 00:57:56,880
Speaker 6: of them did for him for him, They did it

1073
00:57:56,920 --> 00:57:59,640
Speaker 6: for him, but he wasn't there in twenty two. And

1074
00:57:59,680 --> 00:58:03,160
Speaker 6: I can't tell you how many private conversations I had

1075
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:07,040
Speaker 6: with some of his people and saying, like, listen, I

1076
00:58:07,040 --> 00:58:10,480
Speaker 6: don't know where your confidence is coming from. If he

1077
00:58:10,520 --> 00:58:13,120
Speaker 6: doesn't get out and do what he did in eighteen,

1078
00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:15,840
Speaker 6: these voters are not going to show up for Oz.

1079
00:58:16,120 --> 00:58:19,320
Speaker 6: And like you could see, Oz's win was baked, like

1080
00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:22,000
Speaker 6: that cake was there that we were talking about before.

1081
00:58:22,280 --> 00:58:25,360
Speaker 6: Unfortunately for Oz, he did not get his voters out

1082
00:58:25,640 --> 00:58:27,480
Speaker 6: and he got creamed in the early vote and on

1083
00:58:27,560 --> 00:58:30,800
Speaker 6: election day he got a typical midterm turnout, and it

1084
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:34,400
Speaker 6: was nowhere near enough and he lost. And that's what happened.

1085
00:58:35,360 --> 00:58:39,960
Speaker 6: Jim Lee. It's Esquehanna myself. We expected more of those

1086
00:58:40,600 --> 00:58:44,880
Speaker 6: lower propensity voters to vote in twenty two but because

1087
00:58:44,920 --> 00:58:47,640
Speaker 6: of Trump's picked candidates, and some of them were telling

1088
00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:51,000
Speaker 6: us they were going to but they didn't. Here it

1089
00:58:51,040 --> 00:58:56,040
Speaker 6: was a gamble until a few weeks ago. Why because

1090
00:58:56,120 --> 00:58:57,800
Speaker 6: a few weeks ago we started to get early vote

1091
00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:02,320
Speaker 6: data and now it's very consistent. Republicans are outpacing Democrats

1092
00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:06,520
Speaker 6: with low propensity voters. It is very much in line

1093
00:59:06,840 --> 00:59:10,200
Speaker 6: when we ask people their vote history. The spreads that

1094
00:59:10,240 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 6: we're seeing between people who didn't vote in twenty twenty

1095
00:59:13,280 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 6: or only voted in two or one out of four

1096
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:20,320
Speaker 6: of the last four elections. It's very much in line

1097
00:59:20,640 --> 00:59:23,840
Speaker 6: with what we're seeing with the APS data, and they

1098
00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:26,760
Speaker 6: track and among the states that have early vote data.

1099
00:59:26,880 --> 00:59:30,680
Speaker 6: So it is possible. It's always possible that, you know,

1100
00:59:30,680 --> 00:59:35,280
Speaker 6: the polls could understate the Democrat this time, but the

1101
00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:39,040
Speaker 6: reasons for these misses do not suggest that will happen.

1102
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:43,240
Speaker 6: The reasons for the misses actually suggests that the polls

1103
00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:47,280
Speaker 6: are being too They could be too conservative. And I'm

1104
00:59:47,320 --> 00:59:50,439
Speaker 6: not trying to do this to pump anybody up. I'm

1105
00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:53,880
Speaker 6: telling you, if passed his prologue and if the early

1106
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:57,520
Speaker 6: vote data holds, I mean, the general pattern of what

1107
00:59:57,520 --> 01:00:01,640
Speaker 6: we're seeing holds, then we're gonna we're gonna understate this guy.

1108
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:04,400
Speaker 6: We're gonna do it again. I just question, as will

1109
01:00:04,440 --> 01:00:07,240
Speaker 6: it be u co tails for Republicans too, because we

1110
01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:07,960
Speaker 6: have them running.

1111
01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:10,560
Speaker 1: Well, what do you make of all these Democrats out

1112
01:00:10,600 --> 01:00:13,200
Speaker 1: there saying, oh my god, but look at Nebraska, Montana,

1113
01:00:13,240 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 1: South Carolina, Missouri, Alaska, kamos at forty percent there and

1114
01:00:16,960 --> 01:00:19,560
Speaker 1: Trump won those states by huge numbers. This is a

1115
01:00:19,600 --> 01:00:21,560
Speaker 1: warning design for Trump. What do you say to those

1116
01:00:21,600 --> 01:00:23,040
Speaker 1: people plow me?

1117
01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:27,880
Speaker 6: I mean, it's just not gonna happen. I've been around

1118
01:00:27,920 --> 01:00:32,000
Speaker 6: too long to take this shit seriously. Okay, I remember,

1119
01:00:32,440 --> 01:00:37,200
Speaker 6: I remember these stupid quacks throwing like Biden or Trump

1120
01:00:37,240 --> 01:00:41,200
Speaker 6: plus fours from Missouri in my lap. I remember being

1121
01:00:41,320 --> 01:00:44,680
Speaker 6: sent emails in twenty sixteen like you're a joke, your

1122
01:00:44,720 --> 01:00:47,280
Speaker 6: posts are gonna be wrong. Look, Trump's only up a

1123
01:00:47,320 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 6: few points in Utah. I remember this shit. I've been

1124
01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:53,439
Speaker 6: through this too many times. By the way, they had

1125
01:00:53,440 --> 01:00:57,800
Speaker 6: that talking point for Kansas, right. They had that talking

1126
01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:00,400
Speaker 6: point for all of twenty four hours before for a

1127
01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:04,560
Speaker 6: more credible poll came out that showed Trump up twenty points.

1128
01:01:04,920 --> 01:01:09,600
Speaker 6: It's a freaking joke. They're gonna you know, I've just

1129
01:01:09,680 --> 01:01:12,720
Speaker 6: been here before, brother, I mean, I've seen it all,

1130
01:01:12,840 --> 01:01:15,760
Speaker 6: I've heard it. It's the same tired shit. So yeah,

1131
01:01:16,200 --> 01:01:18,720
Speaker 6: answer is blow me. All right.

1132
01:01:21,560 --> 01:01:25,760
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, man, what's wrong with you?

1133
01:01:25,120 --> 01:01:26,680
Speaker 6: You'm getting old?

1134
01:01:26,920 --> 01:01:31,240
Speaker 2: You are half parts, half parts polster and half part

1135
01:01:31,560 --> 01:01:41,640
Speaker 2: professional curmudgeon and you're only forty three. Awesome, He's a

1136
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:46,160
Speaker 2: mean one pop actly like a floating pile of garbage.

1137
01:01:46,240 --> 01:01:46,479
Speaker 1: Rich.

1138
01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:50,640
Speaker 6: I'm telling you, man, well, Biden's got my number. Brother,

1139
01:01:50,760 --> 01:01:53,480
Speaker 6: What can I say? I just I'm over it. I'm

1140
01:01:53,520 --> 01:01:57,280
Speaker 6: getting too old to care anymore, you know, like I

1141
01:01:58,000 --> 01:02:01,120
Speaker 6: really have always been that way. Just then totally at

1142
01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:04,240
Speaker 6: this point, it's just like, you know, are there, you

1143
01:02:04,280 --> 01:02:07,240
Speaker 6: know two years? Seriously to your question, I think there

1144
01:02:07,240 --> 01:02:10,919
Speaker 6: probably are going to be some posters who over compensate,

1145
01:02:11,440 --> 01:02:13,880
Speaker 6: But I go through their polling data. I'm seeing what

1146
01:02:13,920 --> 01:02:17,480
Speaker 6: they're doing and there's nothing that's unjustifiable. You know, Like

1147
01:02:17,840 --> 01:02:21,120
Speaker 6: you and I were talking about Quineipiac before. Okay, they're

1148
01:02:21,120 --> 01:02:23,040
Speaker 6: gonna play little games, and they're gonna give her like

1149
01:02:23,040 --> 01:02:25,040
Speaker 6: a lead in Michigan in their fine act.

1150
01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:28,520
Speaker 1: The day wasn't I mean it was crazy the swing right.

1151
01:02:28,680 --> 01:02:32,960
Speaker 6: I mean that they cannot afford another election where they

1152
01:02:33,040 --> 01:02:34,760
Speaker 6: get every battleground state wrong.

1153
01:02:35,160 --> 01:02:37,560
Speaker 1: They had Trump up right nationally by.

1154
01:02:37,440 --> 01:02:40,160
Speaker 6: Two, and they got they got them up in Pennsylvania.

1155
01:02:40,360 --> 01:02:42,640
Speaker 6: And the trend is so clear. It was like Biden

1156
01:02:42,680 --> 01:02:47,280
Speaker 6: plus seven, Harris plus six, Harris plus four, Harris plus two,

1157
01:02:48,040 --> 01:02:51,920
Speaker 6: Trump plus two. The trend was so clear. They simply

1158
01:02:51,960 --> 01:02:54,560
Speaker 6: are thinking. To Tim molloy over there is thinking to himself,

1159
01:02:55,240 --> 01:02:58,960
Speaker 6: I cannot afford to understate Trump in every state again.

1160
01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:03,520
Speaker 6: So let's take the safe picks like Michigan, the safer ones.

1161
01:03:03,760 --> 01:03:06,520
Speaker 6: Let's give her a lead there this way. Still, if

1162
01:03:06,520 --> 01:03:09,720
Speaker 6: we're wrong, we'll say, look, our poll was closed Trump.

1163
01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:12,960
Speaker 6: You know, he overperformed by only like two or three points.

1164
01:03:13,160 --> 01:03:15,760
Speaker 6: That's a good poll. We had them up in Pennsylvania

1165
01:03:15,800 --> 01:03:18,560
Speaker 6: and Wisconsin, so we knew this was gonna have. This

1166
01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:21,800
Speaker 6: is what they're doing. And then who's the who is

1167
01:03:21,840 --> 01:03:26,480
Speaker 6: the sacrificial cap CNN? They come along, They pull ties

1168
01:03:26,800 --> 01:03:31,760
Speaker 6: everywhere everywhere's a tie except for Wisconsin. Oh shocker, shocker.

1169
01:03:32,080 --> 01:03:35,720
Speaker 6: Now there's an outlier in Wisconsin and Parris plus six.

1170
01:03:35,800 --> 01:03:39,760
Speaker 6: It's like such a such an obvious bullshit game. And

1171
01:03:39,800 --> 01:03:43,320
Speaker 6: I've been watching them play it for years. This time

1172
01:03:43,400 --> 01:03:45,960
Speaker 6: they're just doing it to hedge their bets. And they

1173
01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:50,800
Speaker 6: cannot afford not only a miss, they cannot afford another

1174
01:03:50,960 --> 01:03:52,680
Speaker 6: anti Trump miss.

1175
01:03:52,880 --> 01:03:53,439
Speaker 1: They can't.

1176
01:03:54,400 --> 01:03:55,680
Speaker 6: Everybody rich over.

1177
01:03:55,800 --> 01:04:02,200
Speaker 1: Tell everybody to smash the like button. They smashed the button. Yeah,

1178
01:04:02,240 --> 01:04:06,160
Speaker 1: we're like these shows, like, okay, listen, I want to

1179
01:04:06,200 --> 01:04:09,440
Speaker 1: do We're over time. I know you've been very, very embarrassed,

1180
01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:12,240
Speaker 1: but like, yeah, it goes way too fast. But check

1181
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:17,160
Speaker 1: this out. So so let's just say I'm trying to

1182
01:04:17,200 --> 01:04:19,120
Speaker 1: figure out here. Let's say Nevada.

1183
01:04:19,760 --> 01:04:21,600
Speaker 6: Let's see to Arizona, Nevada.

1184
01:04:21,640 --> 01:04:24,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna leave. I'm gonna say Nevada is blue. Okay,

1185
01:04:24,520 --> 01:04:27,720
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say it. Let's say let's say Georgia.

1186
01:04:28,320 --> 01:04:31,120
Speaker 1: My gosh, there's a delay here, because of course there is.

1187
01:04:32,440 --> 01:04:35,840
Speaker 6: You gotta put Georgia and North Carolina in his column.

1188
01:04:35,960 --> 01:04:39,240
Speaker 6: I I meant to bring I'm meant to bring that

1189
01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:42,520
Speaker 6: up before about North Carolina been difficult state to poll.

1190
01:04:43,240 --> 01:04:46,120
Speaker 6: It does tell us more about Democrats here because Republicans

1191
01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:48,960
Speaker 6: are up, but they're only up a little bit compared

1192
01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:52,240
Speaker 6: to twenty twenty. They're doing well as far as early voting,

1193
01:04:52,280 --> 01:04:54,560
Speaker 6: but they're not that far off there twenty twenty. They're

1194
01:04:54,560 --> 01:04:58,960
Speaker 6: exceeding it. So look down three hundred and change.

1195
01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:03,120
Speaker 1: Let's say New Mexico goes blue. Yeah, So look so

1196
01:05:03,240 --> 01:05:06,200
Speaker 1: now here you have an electoral map. You have Nevada

1197
01:05:06,240 --> 01:05:10,800
Speaker 1: going blue, you have New Mexico going blue, which let's

1198
01:05:10,800 --> 01:05:13,040
Speaker 1: say that Trump. Yeah, right, so there's a lot to

1199
01:05:13,200 --> 01:05:14,960
Speaker 1: there's a lot at play here, I think. But like

1200
01:05:15,280 --> 01:05:19,520
Speaker 1: here you have Arizona going red, Trump winning Arizona, Georgia,

1201
01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:23,520
Speaker 1: North Carolina, and then you have Kamala Harris winning Nevada

1202
01:05:23,560 --> 01:05:26,560
Speaker 1: and New Mexico in Virginia. And now you have the

1203
01:05:26,600 --> 01:05:29,600
Speaker 1: electoral map looking at two sixty two for Republicans two

1204
01:05:29,640 --> 01:05:33,919
Speaker 1: thirty two for Democrats. Rich that means that Trump has

1205
01:05:34,120 --> 01:05:36,400
Speaker 1: got to win one of the Blue Wall He has

1206
01:05:36,480 --> 01:05:37,280
Speaker 1: to win one.

1207
01:05:37,560 --> 01:05:40,080
Speaker 6: Or you look at it the other way. She cannot

1208
01:05:40,120 --> 01:05:44,000
Speaker 6: lose a single Blue Wall state. If she loses just one,

1209
01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:48,680
Speaker 6: she's done. The pass to two seventy for Trump are

1210
01:05:49,800 --> 01:05:52,920
Speaker 6: more their many and they're more you know.

1211
01:05:52,880 --> 01:05:53,280
Speaker 4: What I mean.

1212
01:05:53,320 --> 01:05:58,080
Speaker 6: Then Harris has because honestly, the truth is, most people

1213
01:05:58,120 --> 01:06:00,320
Speaker 6: don't think she's gonna win Nevada. All right, let's blow

1214
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:02,680
Speaker 6: it open. John Ralston is over there trying to find

1215
01:06:02,760 --> 01:06:03,880
Speaker 6: scandals and hoaxes.

1216
01:06:03,920 --> 01:06:06,400
Speaker 1: It's all right, so let's let's put let's put Nevada

1217
01:06:06,480 --> 01:06:09,320
Speaker 1: in the red column, and let's say Nevada, which, by

1218
01:06:09,360 --> 01:06:11,640
Speaker 1: the way, the reason why I'm always by the way,

1219
01:06:11,760 --> 01:06:14,600
Speaker 1: it's not. Yeah, Nevada is tough. But look that still

1220
01:06:14,640 --> 01:06:15,720
Speaker 1: doesn't put him over the top.

1221
01:06:16,120 --> 01:06:19,840
Speaker 6: It doesn't. And the reason why listen, uh that Nevada

1222
01:06:19,840 --> 01:06:22,760
Speaker 6: pole which I was allowed to share the result of

1223
01:06:23,600 --> 01:06:27,600
Speaker 6: basic stuff, but I really wish I was able to

1224
01:06:27,600 --> 01:06:30,760
Speaker 6: put it out. But in any event, I think we're

1225
01:06:30,880 --> 01:06:33,240
Speaker 6: going to come pretty close. We had Trump up by two,

1226
01:06:35,080 --> 01:06:38,560
Speaker 6: We did not have the electorate as Republican. We had

1227
01:06:38,640 --> 01:06:41,960
Speaker 6: more Republican leaning independent. So you know, sometimes the poll

1228
01:06:41,960 --> 01:06:44,760
Speaker 6: works that way. All things iron out. Uh, if we

1229
01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:47,960
Speaker 6: did remodel it to what we're seeing now, which is

1230
01:06:48,000 --> 01:06:51,240
Speaker 6: Republicans having more like a four or five point turnout advantage,

1231
01:06:51,560 --> 01:06:54,640
Speaker 6: then you're looking at more like a Trump plus four

1232
01:06:54,680 --> 01:06:57,919
Speaker 6: to six, depending on the independence. All right, we would

1233
01:06:57,960 --> 01:07:01,040
Speaker 6: have understated him there. This this is what John Ralston

1234
01:07:01,120 --> 01:07:04,240
Speaker 6: and everybody else didn't understand. And this is why Pennsylvania

1235
01:07:04,320 --> 01:07:07,840
Speaker 6: probably is still the easiest one for polsters to throw

1236
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:11,360
Speaker 6: Trump's lead to, all right, because we have party registration

1237
01:07:11,480 --> 01:07:14,560
Speaker 6: there and they're looking at the If he went to Pennsylvania,

1238
01:07:14,640 --> 01:07:15,280
Speaker 6: we go to bed.

1239
01:07:15,600 --> 01:07:19,280
Speaker 1: If yes, it's over, I mean it puts Trump. If Trump,

1240
01:07:19,520 --> 01:07:22,959
Speaker 1: let's say you keep Nevada blue. But if he wins

1241
01:07:22,960 --> 01:07:26,320
Speaker 1: Pennsylvania and carries the sun, if he carries Arizona, he

1242
01:07:26,440 --> 01:07:29,480
Speaker 1: carries Georgia, he carries North Carolina, he gets Pennsylvan.

1243
01:07:29,360 --> 01:07:34,200
Speaker 6: Actually lose Arizona. To watch click it. He can actually

1244
01:07:34,200 --> 01:07:35,640
Speaker 6: lose Arizona.

1245
01:07:36,920 --> 01:07:40,120
Speaker 1: That's so yeah, he can lose Nevada in Arizona.

1246
01:07:40,160 --> 01:07:44,880
Speaker 6: I'm telling you his pass are way more and more like.

1247
01:07:45,120 --> 01:07:48,920
Speaker 6: When we run these simulations, it'll give you. It depends

1248
01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:52,080
Speaker 6: on how many you run. But it's looking for combinations,

1249
01:07:52,480 --> 01:07:54,120
Speaker 6: and when you show them on the chart, which are

1250
01:07:54,120 --> 01:07:58,640
Speaker 6: shown to people, you'll see Kamala Harris's chart, right, is

1251
01:07:58,720 --> 01:08:02,240
Speaker 6: so much more narrow. The highest frequency is always where

1252
01:08:02,280 --> 01:08:05,480
Speaker 6: Harris wins three hundred plus three hundred and ten plus

1253
01:08:05,520 --> 01:08:09,760
Speaker 6: electoral votes. And that's because what they're what the model's

1254
01:08:09,760 --> 01:08:12,800
Speaker 6: telling you is if she's going to win, it's because

1255
01:08:12,840 --> 01:08:14,600
Speaker 6: she really is going to just run the table and

1256
01:08:14,640 --> 01:08:16,920
Speaker 6: take it all, because that's her only way to win.

1257
01:08:17,479 --> 01:08:20,839
Speaker 6: Because if she starts to lose of one of these states,

1258
01:08:21,040 --> 01:08:23,880
Speaker 6: if she loses in Pennsylvania, then not only is it

1259
01:08:23,960 --> 01:08:27,720
Speaker 6: likely she loses, it's likely she loses badly because of

1260
01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:31,439
Speaker 6: the demographic similarities between different states. All right, And by

1261
01:08:31,479 --> 01:08:34,400
Speaker 6: the way, there are these weird relationships which are really

1262
01:08:34,439 --> 01:08:37,639
Speaker 6: neat to model out. I've started talking about one before.

1263
01:08:37,680 --> 01:08:42,360
Speaker 6: It's like Duval County, Florida and Georgia. They trend together.

1264
01:08:42,479 --> 01:08:46,439
Speaker 6: It's insane, it's very cool. But also Wisconsin and Nevada

1265
01:08:46,600 --> 01:08:50,360
Speaker 6: very different demographics, yet they have moved and trended together

1266
01:08:50,640 --> 01:08:58,599
Speaker 6: in presidential cycles. She doesn't have the same X number

1267
01:08:58,720 --> 01:09:02,080
Speaker 6: or actually it's an N number of scenarios to win

1268
01:09:02,400 --> 01:09:06,559
Speaker 6: that he has. His spectrum is much wider, which means

1269
01:09:06,720 --> 01:09:10,880
Speaker 6: he has many different, more many different, far more combinations

1270
01:09:11,240 --> 01:09:13,040
Speaker 6: of states that he could put together to get to

1271
01:09:13,040 --> 01:09:14,840
Speaker 6: two seventy. I'm glad you did that, because we just

1272
01:09:14,880 --> 01:09:17,960
Speaker 6: stumbled upon one of them right. And here's the kicker.

1273
01:09:18,080 --> 01:09:22,280
Speaker 6: Most people think the sun belt is gone, sir, all right,

1274
01:09:22,360 --> 01:09:27,920
Speaker 6: most people think that. People, yes, they do, Democrats and Republicans,

1275
01:09:28,000 --> 01:09:30,320
Speaker 6: they think the sun belt is gone. It's a wrap.

1276
01:09:30,439 --> 01:09:34,960
Speaker 1: I have heard internal. I have heard rumblings from the

1277
01:09:35,000 --> 01:09:39,680
Speaker 1: Trump campaign that Trump is extremely strong as in Arizona,

1278
01:09:39,800 --> 01:09:43,719
Speaker 1: extremely strong in Georgia, and extremely strong in North Carolina.

1279
01:09:43,760 --> 01:09:44,360
Speaker 1: I have heard this.

1280
01:09:44,800 --> 01:09:47,160
Speaker 6: I just got in fact, they just got off the

1281
01:09:47,160 --> 01:09:53,880
Speaker 6: phone before with talking with somebody about what it looks

1282
01:09:53,920 --> 01:09:56,080
Speaker 6: like on the Democrats point of view in North Carolina.

1283
01:09:56,600 --> 01:10:00,880
Speaker 6: I had reported days ago, days ago that she was

1284
01:10:01,160 --> 01:10:03,519
Speaker 6: pulling money out of North Carolina because she needed to

1285
01:10:03,520 --> 01:10:05,920
Speaker 6: put it into Virginia. I got all sorts of like

1286
01:10:06,000 --> 01:10:09,479
Speaker 6: fanboy tweets, So you're an idiot, you're lying, and sit up.

1287
01:10:09,640 --> 01:10:11,480
Speaker 6: I'm like, I love you too, assholes.

1288
01:10:11,680 --> 01:10:13,400
Speaker 1: Anyway, my campaign confirmed it.

1289
01:10:13,360 --> 01:10:16,680
Speaker 6: Too, and then that ad M pac place, you know, like,

1290
01:10:17,360 --> 01:10:19,879
Speaker 6: of course, I wasn't pulling this out of my ass.

1291
01:10:20,080 --> 01:10:22,920
Speaker 6: I know people in the broadcast industry in the state.

1292
01:10:23,000 --> 01:10:25,719
Speaker 6: I live here. I know all the major media markets.

1293
01:10:25,800 --> 01:10:29,519
Speaker 6: I know the people. And they dished the tea all right,

1294
01:10:29,760 --> 01:10:34,240
Speaker 6: and the tea was she bailed in Greensboro, Wilmington, parts

1295
01:10:34,240 --> 01:10:37,320
Speaker 6: of Charlotte, parts of Raleigh, Newburn. She just bailed it,

1296
01:10:37,479 --> 01:10:40,240
Speaker 6: pulled all the money, and people ask, hey, what you

1297
01:10:40,240 --> 01:10:42,720
Speaker 6: know what happened. I hope we can do business again

1298
01:10:42,760 --> 01:10:46,960
Speaker 6: in the future, and some idiot inevitably opens their mouth

1299
01:10:47,000 --> 01:10:48,720
Speaker 6: and it's like, yeah, we're gonna take this and put

1300
01:10:48,720 --> 01:10:51,120
Speaker 6: this in Virginia, and then then it gets passed along

1301
01:10:51,360 --> 01:10:53,599
Speaker 6: and then it ends up in Politico two days, three

1302
01:10:53,720 --> 01:10:56,120
Speaker 6: days later, and it turns out I was telling the truth,

1303
01:10:56,439 --> 01:10:59,960
Speaker 6: no shit. When are people gonna learn I don't bullshit?

1304
01:11:00,560 --> 01:11:04,240
Speaker 6: I obviously was told that, and I usually only you know,

1305
01:11:04,280 --> 01:11:06,800
Speaker 6: it's one person, I better really trust that person, but

1306
01:11:06,840 --> 01:11:10,040
Speaker 6: it almost never is. I had that stone cold, and

1307
01:11:10,080 --> 01:11:14,320
Speaker 6: that's because democratic turnout, the polling is finicky and can't

1308
01:11:14,360 --> 01:11:17,320
Speaker 6: really be trusted. But it does look like Trump's pulling away,

1309
01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:23,000
Speaker 6: and also the Democratic turnout is being modeled to too favorably. Sean.

1310
01:11:23,360 --> 01:11:26,080
Speaker 6: I was trying to say before, like Republicans are doing

1311
01:11:26,120 --> 01:11:29,320
Speaker 6: better in early vote in North Carolina, but that's not

1312
01:11:29,360 --> 01:11:32,280
Speaker 6: really the full picture. They're only a little bit ahead

1313
01:11:32,320 --> 01:11:34,599
Speaker 6: of where they were in twenty twenty. I mean margin,

1314
01:11:34,680 --> 01:11:36,920
Speaker 6: I mean good, They're doing very well. It's very well,

1315
01:11:36,960 --> 01:11:40,639
Speaker 6: but it's nothing you know, extreme like in Arizona where

1316
01:11:40,640 --> 01:11:43,280
Speaker 6: it's like, oh my god, or Nevada, Oh my god.

1317
01:11:43,840 --> 01:11:47,000
Speaker 6: What's making it look worse is that Kamala Harris is

1318
01:11:47,040 --> 01:11:51,519
Speaker 6: doing really badly. Democrats are not voting so and they

1319
01:11:51,560 --> 01:11:55,639
Speaker 6: again vote early. They're not suddenly going to end up.

1320
01:11:55,840 --> 01:11:59,559
Speaker 1: I mean, rich today voday in Pennsylvania. And I know

1321
01:11:59,600 --> 01:12:02,400
Speaker 1: people and ragging on Pennsylvania for this, but it's it.

1322
01:12:02,479 --> 01:12:06,320
Speaker 1: This was an an extraordinarily tall mountain for me to climb,

1323
01:12:06,400 --> 01:12:08,720
Speaker 1: to cobble together this mail and ballot group and raise

1324
01:12:08,760 --> 01:12:11,679
Speaker 1: all this money that we've done here. But by the way,

1325
01:12:11,880 --> 01:12:15,120
Speaker 1: like we just found out today that the Democrats only

1326
01:12:15,200 --> 01:12:17,639
Speaker 1: have a three hundred and seventy nine thousand years lead

1327
01:12:17,800 --> 01:12:22,160
Speaker 1: on returns that work in the gap every day. Now listen,

1328
01:12:22,200 --> 01:12:25,479
Speaker 1: people are like, oh my god. Higher, they must have

1329
01:12:25,560 --> 01:12:29,400
Speaker 1: been higher, over eight hundred and thirty thousand person lead

1330
01:12:29,479 --> 01:12:33,000
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty. Yeah, it's so to your point, that's

1331
01:12:33,040 --> 01:12:37,439
Speaker 1: exactly right. It's exactly right, is not. I mean, I'm

1332
01:12:37,439 --> 01:12:39,840
Speaker 1: not counting them out. They can turn their voters out,

1333
01:12:40,240 --> 01:12:43,320
Speaker 1: but it's it's it's.

1334
01:12:42,880 --> 01:12:46,200
Speaker 6: They already did for Hillary Clinton when early voting wasn't

1335
01:12:46,240 --> 01:12:49,599
Speaker 6: even that prevalent. They are. They certainly did for Joe Biden.

1336
01:12:49,680 --> 01:12:51,800
Speaker 6: And I think there's part of the equation we're forgetting here.

1337
01:12:52,040 --> 01:12:52,800
Speaker 1: Two parts.

1338
01:12:53,040 --> 01:12:57,400
Speaker 6: One is nobody voted for this woman. This was a

1339
01:12:57,439 --> 01:13:04,240
Speaker 6: donor picked Hue aganda operation for the donors. They voted

1340
01:13:04,280 --> 01:13:08,880
Speaker 6: for Joe Biden. She's a usurper, she's an illegitimate nominee. Like,

1341
01:13:09,120 --> 01:13:15,320
Speaker 6: I agree, never forget that. And then number two, Number

1342
01:13:15,320 --> 01:13:20,000
Speaker 6: two is uh, if you hesitated, well, I'm yeah, let's

1343
01:13:20,080 --> 01:13:22,479
Speaker 6: leave it at this. There's a lot less there's a

1344
01:13:22,520 --> 01:13:27,519
Speaker 6: lot less Trump hate today than there was in twenty twenty. Yeah. Sure,

1345
01:13:27,680 --> 01:13:30,280
Speaker 6: there's still this group of people and they hate him,

1346
01:13:30,280 --> 01:13:32,519
Speaker 6: and they hate him with the fire of a thousand sons,

1347
01:13:33,080 --> 01:13:37,800
Speaker 6: but they're less. They're not impacting the normies the way

1348
01:13:37,840 --> 01:13:41,280
Speaker 6: that they had been all those years ago. Trumps now

1349
01:13:41,680 --> 01:13:45,320
Speaker 6: looked back at more favorably, and he's more popular now

1350
01:13:45,360 --> 01:13:49,320
Speaker 6: than he has ever been. So it's very difficult to

1351
01:13:49,479 --> 01:13:52,960
Speaker 6: motivate the peripheral voter, who you just like, are like

1352
01:13:53,040 --> 01:13:55,920
Speaker 6: man orange man, bad dude, get that ballot in, Like

1353
01:13:56,240 --> 01:13:59,440
Speaker 6: they're like, turn up yours, you're talking. You know that

1354
01:13:59,439 --> 01:14:02,120
Speaker 6: that I'm not going to use the language they would use.

1355
01:14:02,200 --> 01:14:05,160
Speaker 6: But it's like, I'm not voting for that bit. You know,

1356
01:14:06,000 --> 01:14:08,640
Speaker 6: the dude was senile, she knew all about it. Like

1357
01:14:08,680 --> 01:14:11,519
Speaker 6: that's a peripheral voter. I'm not voting for her. You

1358
01:14:11,560 --> 01:14:13,719
Speaker 6: don't want my ballad, man, I may mark in Trump.

1359
01:14:13,720 --> 01:14:16,040
Speaker 6: Get the hell off my porch, you know, Like that's

1360
01:14:16,120 --> 01:14:19,120
Speaker 6: the way that, like you lied to these people. You're

1361
01:14:19,120 --> 01:14:22,000
Speaker 6: gonna go knock on their door now again four years

1362
01:14:22,000 --> 01:14:24,960
Speaker 6: from now and tell them and tell them they need

1363
01:14:25,040 --> 01:14:29,759
Speaker 6: you to save the nation again. You know, Hitler's ascendant again.

1364
01:14:30,439 --> 01:14:33,760
Speaker 6: Come on, bro, shit don't work again. It doesn't, you know, and.

1365
01:14:33,920 --> 01:14:36,519
Speaker 1: Rich I love your passion and your optimism, man, I

1366
01:14:36,600 --> 01:14:36,960
Speaker 1: love it.

1367
01:14:37,240 --> 01:14:39,880
Speaker 6: Well again, you got to get these people to vote.

1368
01:14:40,120 --> 01:14:42,759
Speaker 6: But Harry Entton finally was honest with his people today

1369
01:14:42,880 --> 01:14:46,040
Speaker 6: and he said, look if next week on Wednesday, we're like, hey,

1370
01:14:46,040 --> 01:14:49,280
Speaker 6: it's President elect Donald Trump. All the signs were there,

1371
01:14:50,200 --> 01:14:52,479
Speaker 6: and I'm like thinking to myself, where the hell was this, Harry?

1372
01:14:52,720 --> 01:14:55,360
Speaker 6: Why were you lying to everybody for weeks? You know,

1373
01:14:55,520 --> 01:14:57,800
Speaker 6: like now people are staying in the live chat. You

1374
01:14:57,840 --> 01:15:01,000
Speaker 6: look a lot better and healthier with good lighting. Why

1375
01:15:01,040 --> 01:15:01,280
Speaker 6: thank you.

1376
01:15:06,400 --> 01:15:09,880
Speaker 1: God, you're such a maniac. Really tell us where we

1377
01:15:09,920 --> 01:15:11,519
Speaker 1: can find you. We're way over time.

1378
01:15:12,120 --> 01:15:13,680
Speaker 6: Oh as always, I told you.

1379
01:15:15,520 --> 01:15:16,960
Speaker 1: You're not only fans.

1380
01:15:16,680 --> 01:15:18,759
Speaker 6: People's pun into dot Com.

1381
01:15:18,800 --> 01:15:21,280
Speaker 1: You're using those twenty pound dumbbells to get ready for

1382
01:15:21,320 --> 01:15:22,680
Speaker 1: your only fans.

1383
01:15:22,960 --> 01:15:31,519
Speaker 6: Fifty coins and I lose the shirt People's locals dot Com.

1384
01:15:31,680 --> 01:15:34,120
Speaker 6: All right, all right, we'll tell Laura that she may

1385
01:15:34,120 --> 01:15:37,960
Speaker 6: pinp me out. Thank God I'm not married to with

1386
01:15:38,080 --> 01:15:40,760
Speaker 6: Joe Biden like figure. She would never do that to me.

1387
01:15:41,360 --> 01:15:42,040
Speaker 6: Thank the Lord.

1388
01:15:42,640 --> 01:15:44,960
Speaker 1: Rich, You're always awesome with your time, my friend. I'll

1389
01:15:44,960 --> 01:15:45,599
Speaker 1: see you next.

1390
01:15:45,439 --> 01:15:48,400
Speaker 6: Week anytime, brother, So see your Rich.

1391
01:15:48,479 --> 01:15:52,160
Speaker 1: Take care. That is Savage Rich Barris, the best polster

1392
01:15:52,280 --> 01:15:55,320
Speaker 1: in the business, giving us his take on the Final

1393
01:15:55,439 --> 01:15:58,559
Speaker 1: Savage Wednesday before eleven Day. Folks, I've kept you a

1394
01:15:58,640 --> 01:16:00,640
Speaker 1: long time, but I thought it was a important just

1395
01:16:00,680 --> 01:16:02,640
Speaker 1: to give you a sense of what was going on

1396
01:16:02,800 --> 01:16:06,479
Speaker 1: prior to this race coming to a close. Folks, before

1397
01:16:06,520 --> 01:16:10,479
Speaker 1: we leave, smash that like button that little green thumb

1398
01:16:10,640 --> 01:16:16,400
Speaker 1: beneath the video. So look, Rich just texted me. He's

1399
01:16:16,400 --> 01:16:19,880
Speaker 1: still on. Someone just texts me Ralston simulation seventy percent

1400
01:16:20,000 --> 01:16:23,439
Speaker 1: chance that Trump wins I'm not trying to make you

1401
01:16:23,520 --> 01:16:27,360
Speaker 1: all complacent. Get your asses out and vote. Bring ten

1402
01:16:27,439 --> 01:16:30,840
Speaker 1: people to the polls with you. In fact, make yourself

1403
01:16:30,880 --> 01:16:34,880
Speaker 1: accountable the thousands of people who are watching this show

1404
01:16:35,000 --> 01:16:38,880
Speaker 1: live and then listening to it thereafter. I'm asking you

1405
01:16:38,960 --> 01:16:42,240
Speaker 1: to make yourself accountable for getting ten people to the polls.

1406
01:16:42,640 --> 01:16:44,200
Speaker 1: If you think that people are going to be these

1407
01:16:44,240 --> 01:16:46,400
Speaker 1: people that you'll be getting reaching out to, we're going

1408
01:16:46,479 --> 01:16:49,519
Speaker 1: to vote for Republicans up and down the ballot, Get

1409
01:16:49,560 --> 01:16:52,599
Speaker 1: out your phone and text them to have a plan

1410
01:16:52,720 --> 01:16:55,519
Speaker 1: to get out on election day. It's only ten people.

1411
01:16:55,680 --> 01:16:58,479
Speaker 1: Are you voting today? Do you have a plan? I'm

1412
01:16:58,520 --> 01:17:01,599
Speaker 1: asking each in every one of you to do this, folks.

1413
01:17:01,760 --> 01:17:04,760
Speaker 1: It is go time. This is the time where the

1414
01:17:04,840 --> 01:17:09,120
Speaker 1: rubber meets the road. These final days, in the waning

1415
01:17:09,200 --> 01:17:12,320
Speaker 1: days before this election, the task falls to all of

1416
01:17:12,400 --> 01:17:15,160
Speaker 1: us to save this country. And my question for you

1417
01:17:15,240 --> 01:17:17,559
Speaker 1: all is are you up to it? And I know

1418
01:17:17,640 --> 01:17:20,880
Speaker 1: that you are. But make yourself accountable for getting ten

1419
01:17:20,920 --> 01:17:24,160
Speaker 1: people to the polls on election day, folks, So make

1420
01:17:24,200 --> 01:17:25,840
Speaker 1: sure you smash that like button on your way out.

1421
01:17:25,840 --> 01:17:28,800
Speaker 1: We're almost a six hundred likes, which has never happened before.

1422
01:17:28,880 --> 01:17:32,320
Speaker 1: On the show. Six hundred likes before the show closes

1423
01:17:32,360 --> 01:17:35,240
Speaker 1: out would be a record, but smash that like button

1424
01:17:35,280 --> 01:17:37,639
Speaker 1: on your way out. As always, folks, I will see

1425
01:17:37,640 --> 01:17:40,320
Speaker 1: you tomorrow night. It's gonna be another amazing show that

1426
01:17:40,360 --> 01:17:43,840
Speaker 1: we have planned. Don't forget about. Right night on Friday,

1427
01:17:45,320 --> 01:17:48,320
Speaker 1: and then the final weekend, final weekend before election day.

1428
01:17:48,360 --> 01:17:51,000
Speaker 1: All right, folks, God bless you all, God bless this

1429
01:17:51,120 --> 01:17:55,360
Speaker 1: amazing country that we call home. Take care, good night,

1430
01:17:55,840 --> 01:17:58,400
Speaker 1: and I will see you tomorrow night. In Battle Crew

1431
01:18:00,080 --> 01:18:00,120
Speaker 6: M