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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrelt. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back after

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Speaker 1: a winning day, a two in one day for us.

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Speaker 1: Last night we should have swept, but that was kind

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Speaker 1: of annoying. Texas Tech was fouling up big late in

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Speaker 1: that game that ended up with free throws pushing it over.

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Speaker 1: It fell one sixty two. We played under one sixty

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Speaker 1: and a half, so the hard rock bet of the

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Speaker 1: day drops to eleven and eight, but both of our

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Speaker 1: NBA player props came in. We took down two units there,

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Speaker 1: so it's up point nine units on the day for us.

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Speaker 1: On Wednesday, it is still not a good week. We

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Speaker 1: still need to get out of the hole, but it's

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Speaker 1: a winning day or first winning day of the week.

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Speaker 1: Monday loser, Tuesday loser Wednesday winter So three and oh

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Speaker 1: would have gotten us right back on track, but unfortunately

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Speaker 1: we go two and one there, so that was kind

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Speaker 1: of a bummer break, but up almost a unit, so

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Speaker 1: that cuts into the deficit a little bit. Now Thursday,

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Speaker 1: as I told you, I'm going to give you the

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Speaker 1: plays for Sunday, like we gave you the plays for

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Speaker 1: Saturday yesterday. So if you're curious about the bets for Saturday,

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Speaker 1: go back to Wednesday's podcast Thursday. Here today, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to give you the bets for Sunday. Then I have

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Speaker 1: two NBA player props which will be on the app

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Speaker 1: coming up later on today. When two and oh yesterday,

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Speaker 1: Let's see if we can do it again here today

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Speaker 1: for us, So just two bets going. I don't love

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Speaker 1: anything with college basketball or the NHL today, so we're

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Speaker 1: going to avoid both of those bets and just take

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Speaker 1: some NBA player props and keep us rolling because obviously

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Speaker 1: over the last two years that has been an extremely

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Speaker 1: profitable thing for us to do with the prop, bet

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Speaker 1: chie sheet and other things factoring the bets. So that's good.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep it rolling. Two plays going for today. I've

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Speaker 1: got three bets for us coming up on Sunday, and

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Speaker 1: then two player props tonight, and then we'll go to

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Speaker 1: tomorrow for a Friday and we'll figure out what we're

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Speaker 1: going to do for Friday. Tomorrow. Live stream will happen

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Speaker 1: on Saturday Saturday for the live stream will take you

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Speaker 1: up to kickoff of the first game for the Cup

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Speaker 1: for the NFL playoffs on Saturday, and so make definitely

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Speaker 1: make that note. I think that's a three point fifteen

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Speaker 1: kickoff right from a time perspective for four time that

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Speaker 1: game will be starting. Let me see that first game

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Speaker 1: kicksoff at four thirty Eastern, so it'll be a three

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Speaker 1: fifteen or three o'clock to four fifteen, so like last week,

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Speaker 1: same time as last week. So three o'clock eastern noon

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Speaker 1: Pacific time. Live stream coming up on our Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel on Saturday, not Sunday. The following week for

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl or start for the championship games. Two

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Speaker 1: games on Sunday. A pregame show or the live stream

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Speaker 1: will be on Sunday for that off on the bye

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Speaker 1: week and then to the super Bowl. More on the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl here in just one second, but let's start

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Speaker 1: talking about the first game on Sunday, and that is

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Speaker 1: the Patriots taking on the Houston Texans. The numbers three,

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Speaker 1: the total is forty one. Okay, let's talk about this

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Speaker 1: for a little bit. We have an eleven to one

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Speaker 1: future on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl. We

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Speaker 1: have to bet the Texans, like we just have to

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Speaker 1: take Houston at plus three. Why because there's a decent

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Speaker 1: shot the Patriots lose this game. Okay, you have Drake May,

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Speaker 1: you have a young offensive line and the defense. For

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Speaker 1: the Texans, it took them three quarters, but finally they

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Speaker 1: got to the fourth quarter and they eviscerated the Steelers. Now,

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Speaker 1: Drake May, I like Drake May a lot more than

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, and I like the Patriots overall. I like

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Speaker 1: their offense better than the Steelers offense. But you can't

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Speaker 1: underestimate Will Anderson. You can't underestimate to what this offensive

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Speaker 1: line is going to face from a defensive front that

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Speaker 1: arguably is the best in football. Now, the secondary can

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Speaker 1: be had at times, but I don't think the Patriots

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Speaker 1: will score more than about seventeen to twenty points in

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Speaker 1: this game. It's hard to see the Patriots offense after

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Speaker 1: what they did last week, even with them being at home.

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Speaker 1: They had a rough start. Drake May had a rough

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Speaker 1: start to his playoff career. Now, the defense was good enough,

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Speaker 1: and the Chargers defense with their pass rush is very good.

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Speaker 1: So it's not like the Patriots are playing a cream

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Speaker 1: puff defense, but it wasn't again, I bet the Patriots

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Speaker 1: because I didn't like the Chargers defense all that much.

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Speaker 1: And the Patriots only scored sixteen points in that game,

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Speaker 1: but they won sixteen to three. So there's a couple

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Speaker 1: different ways. We're going to play this. Knowing that we

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Speaker 1: have that plus, that we have the plus eleven to

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Speaker 1: one or or eleven hundred bet on the Patriots to

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Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl, We're going to start to work

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Speaker 1: off of that. Okay, so we have eleven units to

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Speaker 1: play with. We're going to bet one or one point

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Speaker 1: one here on the Texans at plus three. There are

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Speaker 1: some decent reasons why to take the Patriots, just because

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Speaker 1: it's tough for the Patriots, I think to beat a

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Speaker 1: really good defense. The numbers are pretty good though, if

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Speaker 1: you want to talk about how the Pats are going

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Speaker 1: to see with the Texans, the Texans are zero to

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Speaker 1: six straight up in their franchise in this round. CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stroud is oh to two. He's been blown out both

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Speaker 1: games he's played in the divisional round. Mike Vrabel has

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Speaker 1: coached three home playoff games, one with the Patriots and

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Speaker 1: two with the Titans. His defense has given up a

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Speaker 1: grand total of forty five points. Okay, forty five points.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty good. So that's been all about their defense.

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Speaker 1: The Patriots allowed three points last week, which is pretty impressive.

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Speaker 1: The Patriots are a team at home in January. In

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Speaker 1: the postseason, they've been very difficult. Drake May as a

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Speaker 1: three point favorite or more this season is eleven to

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Speaker 1: zero straight up and nine and two against the spread.

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Speaker 1: As a favorite overall, Drake May is eleven. The Patriots

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Speaker 1: are eleven and one and nine in three. In those games,

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Speaker 1: they are fifteen and three straight up and thirteen and

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Speaker 1: five against the spread. And they're entering the season where

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Speaker 1: they were tremendous this season and their win total has

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Speaker 1: jumped from four wins all the way up here to fifteen.

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Speaker 1: Drake May, does he keep rolling like this? Maybe? Drake

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Speaker 1: May became the twenty six quarterback to win their first

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Speaker 1: playoff starts since two thousand and two. Of the previous

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Speaker 1: twenty three qbs who started the next playoff game after that,

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Speaker 1: they went ten and thirteen against the spread and seven

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Speaker 1: and sixteen ats. So when the next playoff game was

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Speaker 1: at home, they're two and four straight up and two

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Speaker 1: and four against the spread. Jimmy Garoppolo and Brock Purty,

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Speaker 1: both with the forty nine ers, were the teams to win.

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Speaker 1: The other four quarterbacks lost. So Drake May played the

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Speaker 1: Texans last year and they got destroyed forty one to

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Speaker 1: twenty one in that game. So I think we have

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and jump in on this. When it

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Speaker 1: comes to thee the Texans plus three as a hedge

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Speaker 1: off of the Patriot future, so I think we have

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Speaker 1: to do that. And the Texans have won ten games

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Speaker 1: in a row. When a team is on a ten

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Speaker 1: plus game straight up winning streak entering a playoff game

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Speaker 1: and they're the dog in that situation, they're zero to

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Speaker 1: four straight up since two thousand, So another thing, it's

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Speaker 1: good for the Patriots. But I mean Tabiko Ryans in company,

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Speaker 1: they've been very good in the first half. Since twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three, the Tabiko Ryan led Texans are thirty seven

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Speaker 1: and nineteen against the spread in the first half, So

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Speaker 1: expect a pretty fast start for the Texans here on this.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, I don't know, it's dangerous. Favorites in

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Speaker 1: the divisional round who have covered seventy or more percent

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Speaker 1: of their games are just nine to fifteen ats since

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Speaker 1: two thousand and three. It gets even worse when you

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Speaker 1: go back to a team that covered in their previous

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Speaker 1: playoff game and then in the divisional round or later

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Speaker 1: they're just three to eight against the spread. So there's

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Speaker 1: just some numbers there that don't factor in well when

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Speaker 1: they talk about the Texans defense. But equally, I think

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Speaker 1: it comes down to and under under forty one. I

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Speaker 1: think it's the best bet in this game. I feel

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Speaker 1: most confident about the under with the Texans and the

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Speaker 1: Patriots because I don't think the Patriots are going to score.

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Speaker 1: But CJ. Stroud fumbled four times and a half. That's

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Speaker 1: a record in the NFL playoff game. He fumbled five

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Speaker 1: times overall through a pick in the red zone. And

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Speaker 1: the Texans ran the ball highly effectively against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 1: They will not run the ball on the Patriots. Mitt

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Speaker 1: Williams was unbelievable. Roberts Perlane the Patriots were a top

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Speaker 1: ten defense when they're healthy. Christian Gonzales practiced this week.

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Speaker 1: Nico Collins is out for this game. He's not going

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Speaker 1: to play for the Texans, as Adam Schefter reported yesterday,

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Speaker 1: So no Nico Collins a suspect CJ. Stroud an zero

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Speaker 1: to six straight up team for the Texans in this round.

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Speaker 1: They're not scoring much. Now they'll score more than three points,

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Speaker 1: but they're not scoring much. Equally, the Patriots aren't scoring

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Speaker 1: much either. It could be a seventeen fourteen, seventeen, thirteen,

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Speaker 1: thirteen ten type football game. The weather's not going to

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Speaker 1: be a problem. But I'm playing the under in this game.

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Speaker 1: I think that's the best play. We're going to hedge

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Speaker 1: with the Texans at plus three. Take the Patriots under

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Speaker 1: forty one here for two bets. In the first game

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Speaker 1: on Sunday, Game number two Stafford versus Williams Bears versus

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Speaker 1: the Rams. I have a really hard time with LA.

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Speaker 1: On paper, the Rams are the better team period. The

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Speaker 1: Bears got off to such a slow start against the

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Speaker 1: Packers three points in the first half, they were down eighteen,

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Speaker 1: they rallied, they won the game. I don't believe they

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Speaker 1: can do that again against the Rams. They better start fast,

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Speaker 1: they better get their offense going against the Rams. But

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Speaker 1: here's the problem. I just can't get past what happened

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Speaker 1: last year to Matthew Stafford in Philadelphia, where the weather

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Speaker 1: was a huge problem. This has the potential to be

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Speaker 1: a historically cold game for the La Rams at Soldier

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Speaker 1: Field in Chicago. Dome team in la where today in

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Speaker 1: LA it was eighty degrees, it might be eight or

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Speaker 1: five or zero degrees with a negative wind chill coming

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Speaker 1: up on Sunday night. This is not good for the

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Speaker 1: La Rams. Chicago is built for this. Chicago practices in it,

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Speaker 1: they live in it, they know it. I don't know

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Speaker 1: why the Bears would ever build a dome. It's the

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Speaker 1: dumbest thing ever. Giving up home field advantage in January

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Speaker 1: is such a big damn deal to me. Why in

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Speaker 1: the world would you give that up. This Bears team

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Speaker 1: is the Cardiac Bears. They're a second half team. For

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Speaker 1: whatever reason, they just play better in the second half.

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Speaker 1: The Bears have covered eight straight second half games ats

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Speaker 1: Wyse in the division going into the divisional round. Whatever

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Speaker 1: happens with the second half, bet the Bears in the

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Speaker 1: second half. Okay, they just it's what they do. I mean.

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Speaker 1: Stafford in his career has started five games under thirty

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Speaker 1: three weather. He's two and three straight up in two

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Speaker 1: and three against the spread. His coldest game came in

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Speaker 1: December of last year against the Jets at twenty three degrees.

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Speaker 1: They scored nineteen points in that game. Again, this is

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Speaker 1: being projected as the coldest game in the career of

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Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford, and I am I'm just afraid of it,

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Speaker 1: to be quite honest, I don't. I mean to me,

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Speaker 1: I just don't know this RAMS team can go and

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Speaker 1: play in the weather enough that I feel comfortable betting it.

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Speaker 1: I just don't play comfortable, you know. So. I mean

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Speaker 1: our guy Kevin Roth, who is a meteorologist on Twitter

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Speaker 1: who does a great job at Kevin Roth Wx. He's

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Speaker 1: saying that the temperatures are going to feel like single digits.

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Speaker 1: While the cold doesn't impact scoring as much as high

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Speaker 1: wind does, it is correlated to lower scoring games because

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Speaker 1: there is wind sustain winds of ten to fifteen miles

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Speaker 1: per hour with gusts around twenty to twenty five miles

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Speaker 1: per hour as the game goes on. The projection is

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Speaker 1: this is going to be a later game, with game

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Speaker 1: winds picking up. The later the game goes, the more

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Speaker 1: wind there's going to be. There's a chance for snow,

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Speaker 1: maybe not a lot of snow, but a flurry or

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Speaker 1: so it's going to be cold. It's gonna be windy,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be nasty. It's gonna suck for Matthew Stafford,

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Speaker 1: who has never played in temperatures this cold before. If

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Speaker 1: the Rams win, I don't think the Rams cover. They

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Speaker 1: didn't cover last week. They're on the road again, and

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Speaker 1: I just don't think home dogs of four points or

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Speaker 1: more in the playoffs over the last fifty years are

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Speaker 1: nine and oh, straight up, okay, this number is four

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Speaker 1: four points or more fifty years of playoff history in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Nine and oh, that is a pretty good

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Speaker 1: bet to make in my opinion, when you come down

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Speaker 1: to this, I just think the Rams defense is good.

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Speaker 1: But I think this is going to be a cold

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Speaker 1: weather game and maybe the Bears win, Maybe the Rams win,

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Speaker 1: but the Rams win, I think they want end up

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Speaker 1: getting themselves into a situation where they're winning by three

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Speaker 1: and the four points comes in Bears cover, Rams win.

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Speaker 1: I don't have a future on either team, on the

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Speaker 1: Rams or the Bears. I don't mind a bet on

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Speaker 1: the under on this. You could say that the Bears

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Speaker 1: played their super Bowl last week against the Packers, They're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a big emotional letdown this week up against

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Speaker 1: the Rams. Maybe that's possible, but I don't know. I

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Speaker 1: just think the weather to me, really is going to

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Speaker 1: be problematic for the Rams. I'll take the points. Give

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Speaker 1: me the Bears plus four for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a lot of public support

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Speaker 1: for the Rams, a lot of public money coming in

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Speaker 1: on LA. I'll take the plus four. So plays for today,

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Speaker 1: we are going Houston plus three the Patriots and the

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Speaker 1: Texans under forty one for the first game. On Sunday,

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Speaker 1: second game, Bears plus four. Don't hate to play on

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Speaker 1: the under. I'll probably do a same game teaser on

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Speaker 1: that and tease the Bears up to ten and take

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Speaker 1: the total up and go under. But that will be

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Speaker 1: later on, probably for Sunday's podcasts or the live stream

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Speaker 1: on Saturday. We'll save it for that, But for today,

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Speaker 1: two NBA player props will be found on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app Go and search at Sports Talk Matt. I

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Speaker 1: will put those props up at some point during the

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Speaker 1: day before the games tip off at Sports doc Mac.

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Speaker 1: Download the Betting Pros app to go ahead and do

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Speaker 1: that before we wind up going. Let me remind you

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Speaker 1: of a couple of things. First and foremost, this podcast

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Speaker 1: is being brought to you by our friends at hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet. It's a big week hard Rock Bet is

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Speaker 1: hosting the National Championship Game. It's going to be big

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Speaker 1: hard Rock Stadium, hard Rock Bet. If you're going to

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Speaker 1: to get in on the action. This is going to

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Speaker 1: be a big weekend obviously for the NFL. Great time

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Speaker 1: to get in. They've got basketball in the NBA and

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Speaker 1: college basketball as well for you, plus in game betting

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Speaker 1: as well. If you miss any kickoff, you can bet

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Speaker 1: in game five dollars bet if it wins, you get

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Speaker 1: the winnings plus one hundred and fifty bucks in bonus bets.

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Speaker 1: And as you know, there are promos that drop every

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Speaker 1: Bet app today.

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Speaker 2: Payble and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by

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Speaker 2: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be

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Speaker 2: twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply.

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Speaker 2: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three to

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Speaker 2: three play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you

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Speaker 2: know as a gambling problem, laws help called one eight

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Speaker 2: hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred

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Speaker 2: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

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Speaker 1: And speaking of the super Bowl, I told you guys this, uh,

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Speaker 1: I don't know a couple days ago. I'm excited. I'm

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Speaker 1: headed back to Radio Row for the Super Bowl. My

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Speaker 1: other show, The Bostonian Versus the Book. We will be

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Speaker 1: live on Thursday and Friday from one pm to three

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern on the YouTube channel at Boston Versus the

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Speaker 1: Book from Radio Row. I'll head up there on Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: I will be doing the Daily Juice from San Francisco

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Speaker 1: on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday of the week of the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl coming up in February. I cannot wait to

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Speaker 1: get up there and have that. I've got guest hosts

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Speaker 1: with me on Thursday and Friday. We are loading up

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Speaker 1: and lining up all big guests on Radio Row coming

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Speaker 1: up for us on Thursday. So if you have not

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Speaker 1: subscribed to the betting to the BVB YouTube channel yet,

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Speaker 1: please go and do that. Go and search at Boston

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Speaker 1: Versus the Book BVB on X and on YouTube, but

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Speaker 1: on YouTube, hit subscribe on the YouTube channel and then

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Speaker 1: hit the little bell and you'll be notified when I

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Speaker 1: go live from Radio Row Thursday and Friday. Give me

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Speaker 1: super fun. I'll do something on Wednesday, but I don't

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Speaker 1: know yet what I'm doing on Wednesday from Radio Row.

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Speaker 1: But I will be live from one to three Eastern

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Speaker 1: on Thursday and on Friday from San Francisco. It's the

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Speaker 1: fourth time I've broadcasted from the Super Bowl for Radio Row.

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Speaker 1: Looking forward to coming up in for the week of

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. For that for the Bostonian Versus the Book,

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Speaker 1: mineus Matt Parol, You guys and follow me across all

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you

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Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice