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Welcome 24 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: to the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 25 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 1: I am Shad Mellman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 26 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every week by my bff, 27 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter, Chad Brother. 28 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 1: We we did it. We ate the appetizers right, We 29 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 1: got done the Week zero preseason football. Finally here for 30 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 1: the real meal, the Week one college football slate, some 31 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: real ranked opponents and then not even what nine days 32 00:01:56,480 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 1: now NFL kicks off Bills Rams. It's it's all happening there. 33 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: It's been a long off season, but we're here. Can 34 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: I tell you something please? I don't know what's going on, 35 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:10,119 Speaker 1: but the last two nights I have woken up with 36 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 1: such anxiety dreams in the middle of the night. Can 37 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: we just start doing something that lives up to the expectation, 38 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: because I don't know if I can take the build 39 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: up to the season anymore. I think that's what it means. 40 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: That's hilarious. We're such different worlds. Where I woke up 41 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: to a sweat where I thought I bet whatever it was. 42 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: I think it was the Eagles Week one, and I 43 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 1: was like in my dream telling myself, No, you said 44 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: you're gonna put the lines. So it just show us 45 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 1: how me and chatted. Very different worlds right now. All right, Well, 46 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: guess what, people who never sweat. Two of our buddies, 47 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: Stucky Colin Wilson, hosts of the Big Bets on Campus podcast. 48 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus is essentially the original podcast for 49 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: the Action Network. These two guys have garnered such a 50 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 1: loyal audience, will get after the bleep voicemails from fans 51 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 1: who were in rare form already this past weekend. Your 52 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,959 Speaker 1: week zero, Big Bets on Campus Download the podcast. Watch 53 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: the live show Big Bets on Campus with Colin Stuckey 54 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 1: at ten thirty a m. Eastern Saturday morning, watching in 55 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: the Action Network app. Go download. We finally got week one. 56 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 1: We got ranked games, ranked teams and big games. We 57 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: got underdogs that they're both on. We got games Thursday. 58 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 1: We got games Friday, we got games Saturday. Colin, you're smiling. 59 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:29,679 Speaker 1: Stucky has not cracked since we got onto the zoom. Well, 60 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: I mean there's a difference thing. He looks like he 61 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: is in process. I'm trying to figure out a bet. 62 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: I think I'm done hitting lines until maybe Saturday morning. 63 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: So when you're in process and you've got it all 64 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: up here in your brain, you're not paying attention to anything. 65 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: You were just laser focused on winning that bet. So 66 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: that's what looks like Stucky's doing right now. Stucky, I 67 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: won't stop looking at lines until, say they kick off 68 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: on Saturday. Afraid to sleep and um, that's what That's 69 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 1: what football is like. You're afraid to go to sleep 70 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 1: and you might miss a line. Now, I also want 71 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 1: to promote Action Network podcast, right I don't know. We're 72 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 1: back next week's for NFL, And I want to correct 73 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: something Simon said. He said it last week was the advertiser. 74 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 1: I disagree. Last week it was like the house bread, 75 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: and this week is the appetizers. Good appetizers. If you 76 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: do get Sunday night and Monday night college football, it's like, 77 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: you know, shrimp cocktail. We got some maybe some lobster, 78 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,280 Speaker 1: some some good seafood apps for the table. Because it's 79 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:23,480 Speaker 1: still not the same waking up on Sunday on your 80 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: couch without NFL at one. So that's the entree in 81 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: two weeks. So I'll throw all the shout out for 82 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 1: action over podcasts as well. Listen, I love giving, I 83 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:35,280 Speaker 1: love pimping every podcast we have. They're all fantastic. Listen 84 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: to them all. How many bets, Stucky, Colin, You said 85 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: you're done, so let me start with Stucky, how many 86 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 1: bets do you think you will make in week one? 87 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: I mean probably five or six live bets, and then 88 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 1: I would say, I don't know, maybe you end up 89 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:52,239 Speaker 1: with like twelve to fourteen total. You have to remember 90 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: that Week one is loaded like with a lot of 91 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: marquee games, but it's still not our full slate that 92 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: will get you know, in a month or now, because 93 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:03,839 Speaker 1: about there's like I don't know, thirty count how many 94 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: thirty games where thirty FPS teams are playing SCS teams, 95 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: And I just don't dabble this early in the year 96 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 1: in the FCS market. Um, just how am I going 97 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: to keep up with everything? I have to draw the 98 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: line somewhere, So yeah, it won't be as big of 99 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 1: a card as I'll have, you know, say a month 100 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:25,720 Speaker 1: from now, when you have even more FPS verus FPS matchups, 101 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 1: but probably end up with like twelve to thirteen games. Yeah, 102 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 1: for me, every week it's about ten to twelve games. 103 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,480 Speaker 1: And a long time ago, I switched up my capping strategy. 104 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 1: I would bet on ninety games and I would wonder 105 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:39,920 Speaker 1: why at the end of the day I only had 106 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: plus minus twenty in my bank account. And about five 107 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: years ago, I would say, I thought, you know what, 108 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna focus in by Tuesday with my process, 109 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna identify about twenty games that have hit the 110 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 1: flag from everything from a stats analytics, from the way 111 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,159 Speaker 1: the market is reacting to what I know, what I 112 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: don't think the public knows. And then that gets shaved 113 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 1: down to about ten by Wednesday, and then Saturday morning 114 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 1: is all about, you know, reflexes to the market, right 115 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 1: some things. Sometimes these things happen. Kids come down with COVID. 116 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: We dealt with that for a few years. We have 117 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: first half suspensions the first week every year. So you know, 118 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 1: a long time ago, I decided I'm gonna shave it 119 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 1: down to about ten plays, and I'm gonna put all 120 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: my money into those ten plays. So if you're a 121 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,840 Speaker 1: hundred dollar gambler or a ten thousand dollars. You want 122 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 1: to have that in circulation. But I like a lot 123 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: less games. That's a lot less management. And now I'll 124 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: just let the market tell me on Saturday morning where 125 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: to go, and then the live bets just come and go. 126 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: As I see every game you guys are betting. One 127 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:39,720 Speaker 1: more shout out is tracked in the Action Network Gap. 128 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,920 Speaker 1: Go Follow Colin, Go Follow Stucky. Uh. Stucky has like 129 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 1: nine thousand followers in the app. Colin has like sixty. 130 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 1: Are you jealous, Colin? Well, technically I think he was. 131 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 1: He was here one day before me, so I guess 132 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:57,800 Speaker 1: I give him the nod on thirty thousand. But you know, 133 00:06:57,920 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: it's funny. It's like I was on Vanderbilt, he was 134 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: on a Why. So it's funny to follow us both 135 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:04,599 Speaker 1: because then you can find out why Stucky he's like 136 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:06,919 Speaker 1: sub tweeting me at eleven pm at night, you know, 137 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 1: but like he's always got a bet against me, So 138 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 1: that that's that would help if you followed us both. 139 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 1: You guys have one game. I went through your bets 140 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:17,360 Speaker 1: in the app that you have tracked so far. You've 141 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: got a couple of games that are the same. One 142 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 1: of them is a Thursday game. You also got a 143 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 1: game and underdog, not an underdog, but sort of like, 144 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: you know, one of those off the radar that only 145 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 1: professional betters would think about games. Will get to both 146 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 1: of those, Simon. I don't want to hug the conversation here. 147 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 1: Do you have any questions you want to ask before 148 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 1: we get to it. I know you want to ask 149 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: a real betting question, whereas I kind of want to 150 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 1: leave the table a little bit. I would say just 151 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 1: respect to stuck in Colin on their willpower. I mean, 152 00:07:45,480 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: for me week when NFL, I have hundreds of more 153 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: bets and I would normally make just because of how 154 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: long the off season is. It's like some more things. 155 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: You'll just wake up. You'll see a number moved half 156 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: a point in the direction you wanted to even though 157 00:07:57,520 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: you just bet it the other day, you have to 158 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: bet it again. So it's just I don't know. I 159 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 1: think they're teaching people get lesson here where you don't 160 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 1: need to go crazy. It's a long season, right, take 161 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 1: take your time money management. You don't need to bet 162 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: off twenty five games or whatever, thirty games this upcoming weekend, 163 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: pick your spots, and like suck you was saying, the 164 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: live thing for me is so huge in college football, 165 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: where not that these kids are all so young, but 166 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: it's just different. Right. We saw in that Nebraska Northwestern 167 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: game the momentum shifted after that onside kick, and I 168 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 1: feel like in college football you're always looking for those values. 169 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 1: So to me with the live betting, I love betting 170 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,559 Speaker 1: the number, like you know, plus eleven, plus seventeen, wherever 171 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: you might get do always throw a little on the 172 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: money line too, because it's just we've seen it time 173 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:41,319 Speaker 1: and time again. The kids feel the pressure like you 174 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 1: wouldn't believe it. So I love live betting college football 175 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 1: more so the NFL and NFL. You can get sucked 176 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 1: in a little bit little trapped college football. It's it's 177 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 1: kind of fun where so much random things can happen. 178 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: You can hit a number, next plays a pick six. 179 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 1: It's just it's very different than betting the other sports. 180 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:59,359 Speaker 1: There's a big difference between NFL and college football handicapping. 181 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:00,959 Speaker 1: If you're like, if you don't do both and you 182 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: don't know the difference. College football hides their injuries like 183 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:06,959 Speaker 1: Steve Sarkisian is not even putting out a depth chart 184 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 1: for Texas this week. All right, I mean, I mean, 185 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 1: and in the NFL you have to have a clear 186 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: injury report. So in college football you treat it like 187 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: the stock market, which is you buy the rumor, you 188 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: sell the news, and that applies way more collegurable than 189 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 1: it does NFL. Right, all right, let's get to some 190 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 1: marquee matchup. Stuck. I saw in the app in the 191 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 1: Action Network GAP, you and Colin both had a play 192 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: on West Virginia pit a play that I followed. That's 193 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: Thursday night, seven pm ESPN. Give me your take. Yeah, 194 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 1: I had the under under fifty one and a half, 195 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 1: tig you can still find that out there. Obviously a 196 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: key number in at a football. In general, college football 197 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:59,439 Speaker 1: also numbers, so chop around if there's a fifty one 198 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: or fifty one a half out there, you don't want 199 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:02,719 Speaker 1: to take the fifty and a half. But you know, 200 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,679 Speaker 1: if you look at Pitt's offense last year, they were 201 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 1: incredible with Kenny Pickett and offensive coordinator Mark Whipple. They 202 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:12,559 Speaker 1: threw the ball all over the field and they did 203 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:15,360 Speaker 1: it with great success. But who was the head coach 204 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: patent Our Doozy, and there was they were never philosophically 205 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: line or Doozy just wants to run the ball, play conservative, 206 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 1: lean on his defense, and he let Whip Whipple have 207 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: the reins last year. Whipples since moved on, gone to 208 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 1: Nebraska and incomes a new offensive coordinator that is just 209 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:35,559 Speaker 1: like Nardoozy. And by the way, they lost pick it 210 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 1: to the Steelers, and they lost the blitniakoff winner Addison 211 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 1: to USC their best receiver. So I think they're they're 212 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,240 Speaker 1: gonna lean on their run game, They're gonna lean on 213 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 1: their defense, going to play a lot slower, more conservative 214 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 1: on the other side of the ball. There's a lot 215 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: of questions that I have with this West Virginia offense. 216 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 1: And I don't think can take advantage of the pit defense, 217 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 1: really aggressive defense. You've got to kind of beat them deep, 218 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:58,679 Speaker 1: and I don't think West Virginia is really capable of 219 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: doing that. New coordinator a lot of changes, So I 220 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 1: think this ends up being a grinder. I think that 221 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,320 Speaker 1: there's some value on the under The market's not properly 222 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:10,480 Speaker 1: accounting for how Pitt is going to play this year. Colin, 223 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 1: you got it at fifty four and a half. Yeah, 224 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: that was put in the about two minutes after I 225 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,200 Speaker 1: was standing next to Patton our Doozy outside the Weston 226 00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: and Charlotte of Media Days when he told me specifically, 227 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 1: we don't want to do anything but run the ball 228 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 1: like crazy, and Kadon Slovis is only gonna need to 229 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 1: throw when he has to throw. Now, knowing that pit 230 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:34,200 Speaker 1: was a top ten tempo last year and Nardoozy now 231 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 1: with Frank Signetti coming over from Boston College, he wants 232 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: to make this a bottom ten tempo team. You know, 233 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: I mean that was a complete under right away because 234 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:43,840 Speaker 1: that number that Oddsmakers put out would have been the 235 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 1: total at the end of last year with the old 236 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 1: coaching staff. So knowing that in the back of my hand, 237 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 1: you know, I just turned around, make the bet put 238 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 1: it in. This is why you get in the action 239 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:54,559 Speaker 1: app and why you have ninety thousand followers for Stuck 240 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:56,960 Speaker 1: in sixty thou for me, because when I hear coach 241 00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 1: say we're going to slow it down, I'm going to 242 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,559 Speaker 1: turn around bet and immediately Yeah. And and their offensive 243 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 1: coordinator that came over from Boston College had at Boston 244 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 1: College last year, had a pro quarterback or a future 245 00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:12,599 Speaker 1: pro quarterback, Phil Jakovic, who has potential to go to 246 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 1: the NFL, and they were one of the slowest teams. 247 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 1: I don't want to that this is a perfect This 248 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 1: is a match made in heaven. Our Doozy and Signati. 249 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 1: They just let's run the ball beat Conservative. So I 250 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 1: think it sets up for a good underplay to open 251 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 1: up the season. I want to get this Saturday. Just 252 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 1: like fifteen games I want to talk about. I'm gonna 253 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,840 Speaker 1: try to keep it, try to keep it focused Simon. 254 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 1: The first game that I want to talk about on Saturday, 255 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: it's gotta be in Michigan. I want to hear where 256 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: you guys think of hardball right now. I want to 257 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:47,000 Speaker 1: think about what you think of this team's prospects. They 258 00:12:47,040 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: are thirty and a half point favorites. Obviously people are 259 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: expecting to win the game. I don't care if you 260 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: have an opinion on this game. I know neither of 261 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: you bet this game. But there's so much talk about Michigan, 262 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 1: so much talking about about getting biblical. Do you guys 263 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: have a take on the quarterback situation at Michigan, how 264 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 1: that may play out, and how that could impact Betters 265 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 1: over the course of the year. Colling you first, I 266 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:12,319 Speaker 1: don't think it has any impacts. I think it's all 267 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:14,559 Speaker 1: just white noise. Michigan is going to be as good 268 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 1: as they were last year. The two I know, there's 269 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 1: two new coordinators, and usually that's a sign that things 270 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 1: are going to change. But these two new coordinators are 271 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:24,319 Speaker 1: stepping into the shadows of what was run last year. 272 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 1: It's gonna keep being run now. They don't. You know, 273 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: head coaches in college football don't want kids transferring out. 274 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:33,319 Speaker 1: Look what dave A Randa did. He announced a starter 275 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:37,120 Speaker 1: in spring and Gary Bohannan decides to leave town. If 276 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 1: Harbaugh was going to announce Kate mcnam as a starter, 277 00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: Jenji McCarthy would have been out of town. So you know, 278 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 1: lip service. You start game one, you start game two, 279 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:47,839 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. They're running the same offenses last year. 280 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 1: They're running the same defenses last year. They're gonna be 281 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 1: favorite in eleven of twelve games. I think they're gonna 282 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: be just as effective, and they have a shot to 283 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:57,760 Speaker 1: get to college football playoff again. Wow, nobody has said that. 284 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 1: There's and we're gonna talk about like who you guys 285 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:04,720 Speaker 1: have going to the playoffs, and we'll talk about futures. 286 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 1: But I haven't seen one person say they believe Michigan 287 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 1: has the horses to get par bag back to the playoff. 288 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 1: Jim Harball, I think you mean bow dog Jim, which 289 00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 1: is what we refer to him on Big Bets on campus. 290 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 1: Our listeners will know that maybe our producer will drop 291 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 1: the clip in. Now, don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers, 292 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 1: abord it like the playing let's check in with bow 293 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 1: dog Jim. Look at play at Ohio State, a team 294 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: that they beat for the first time in a million 295 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 1: years last year. So I think of the receivers have 296 00:14:44,320 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 1: just Ronnie Bell goes back from injury, the receiver room 297 00:14:46,360 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: could be better and that raises their ceiling because they'll 298 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 1: have an excellent offensive line, they'll have an excellent rushing attack. 299 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,480 Speaker 1: But like you know, to beat the elites, you gotta 300 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 1: do a little bit more than run the ball effectively, 301 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 1: and we saw that end up biting in the College 302 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 1: double playoff. And by the way, just from a betting 303 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 1: perspective of a betting nugget, I don't have I make 304 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: the game about thirty one. But hardball historically loves running 305 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 1: it up on inferior opponents in Colorado State basically a 306 00:15:13,160 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 1: sort of Nevada now, like their coach came over a 307 00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: lot of their staff and they're changing offenses, running in 308 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 1: an air raid. So it'll be a lot of potential 309 00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 1: growing pains and then in some uncertainty there. But hardball historically, 310 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: we'll just he will run this up against inferior opponents 311 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 1: in front of the home crowd. But yeah, I think 312 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 1: it ultimately miss Michigan ceiling is limited by the fact 313 00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 1: that I think Ohio State is significantly better than them, 314 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: and they get to host Michigan in the finale with revenge, 315 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:43,120 Speaker 1: and if Michigan doesn't win that game, you don't win 316 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 1: the division, you don't go to the Big Ten Championship, 317 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 1: you're not going to the college playoff. So, um, Michigan 318 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: could end up they gotta replace some key defenders that 319 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: went to the NFL. But they're ceiling on. Offense could 320 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 1: be higher, but I just think that O'll hire a 321 00:15:56,680 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 1: state game they're not winning it. Kickoff NFL Week one 322 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 1: with FanDuel, America's number one sports book joint today to 323 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 1: get started with one hundred and fifty dollars and free 324 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 1: bets guaranteed when you place your first five dollar bet. 325 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 1: Just sign up with Promo Code Favorites to get in 326 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 1: on the action. Then you can turn game day into 327 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 1: pay day all season long personally with a hundred and 328 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 1: fifty bucks and free bets and drop it all on 329 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons over their season win total. 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So talking about my favorite games for 352 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: earlier Slate, my number one first game I saw when 353 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 1: all the schedules came out was the Oregon Georgia game, 354 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:52,200 Speaker 1: and I knew right away I was gonna be on 355 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:55,640 Speaker 1: Oregon because Georgia you won the national title, they'd be overvalued. 356 00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: Everyone'll be all over room. And then I love when 357 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 1: and looked in the action page on the app. It's 358 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 1: a public dog Oregon. All the money, all the tickets 359 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 1: is coming in on Oregon, and the pros have actually 360 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 1: becoming on the other side and taking Georgia. So very 361 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: interesting to see that the public loves Oregon. The number 362 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 1: to me is too big, right, anyone would take that week? 363 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 1: I mean, it's week one. These teams aren't what they 364 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: were last year. We know Oregon gets the recruits right, 365 00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:23,160 Speaker 1: they have the speed to keep up with the SEC 366 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:24,920 Speaker 1: team will be the interesting part. But seventeen and a a 367 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:27,120 Speaker 1: half is such a key number to me. I wouldn't 368 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:28,800 Speaker 1: hear what your view is on the number, stuck, What what 369 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:30,080 Speaker 1: what do you think when you see a seventeen a 370 00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 1: half plus two ranked teams first week? Don't we always 371 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 1: just take that dog? There? Like? Is there really much 372 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 1: to this liner? Is there a reason to actually take 373 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 1: Georgia in this matchup? No, I don't say it. I 374 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 1: mean to me, that doesn't matter to me and might 375 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:48,800 Speaker 1: not make the number twelve eight the round thirteen actually 376 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 1: a little less than thirteen. So yeah, I jumped on 377 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 1: Oregon early in the season. There's a little more uncertainty 378 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 1: with some of these teams in college football this year, 379 00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,639 Speaker 1: just the transfer, portal coaching news. So maybe there will 380 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:02,919 Speaker 1: be times where I'm not as confident the number, And 381 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:06,200 Speaker 1: in that case, if I show value, then I'll say, Okay, 382 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 1: is there other reasons why I like this game? And 383 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:11,320 Speaker 1: with Oregon I did. I wouldn't take seventeen six and 384 00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 1: a half. But over seventeen, I jump on Oregon and 385 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:17,439 Speaker 1: you get a full I really like this Oregan defense. 386 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 1: I love some of the additions they brought in. But 387 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:20,560 Speaker 1: they'll be good on the defensive line, will be good 388 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 1: at tackle. I mean, this Georgia team, it's gonna kind 389 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 1: of to me, it's gonna be like an Alabama situation 390 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:28,160 Speaker 1: where they dominate when the National Championship. Lose fifteen guys 391 00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:30,680 Speaker 1: in the NFL, They're gonna take a little step back. 392 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 1: It's gonna take some time now. Their defense is still 393 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 1: gonna be excellent. But Oregon has a great offensive line, 394 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 1: a guy in bow knicks, a quarterback who won't be 395 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:41,200 Speaker 1: afraid to play George at least will make some great 396 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:44,199 Speaker 1: plays and leave you scratching your head. But kind of 397 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:50,639 Speaker 1: the intangible here is Dan Lanning, the defensive coordinator for 398 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:54,960 Speaker 1: Georgia last year, went to Oregon and he's now their 399 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:59,159 Speaker 1: head coach. It's call it narrative whatever you want, but 400 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:01,960 Speaker 1: he's a human. What do you think he First of all, 401 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:04,720 Speaker 1: he knows the team very well. Second of all, it's 402 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:08,479 Speaker 1: the first opponent and you win this game. It's probably 403 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 1: the biggest game of the season. You have an inside 404 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,119 Speaker 1: track going to the couch Wall playoffs. I'm sure they 405 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:18,160 Speaker 1: spent he spent every waking hour crafting every single possible 406 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:22,160 Speaker 1: racling game plan to unleash in this game. Um so. 407 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,119 Speaker 1: And on the other side, I don't think if George 408 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:26,720 Speaker 1: is up big there will be a chance seventeen that 409 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:32,320 Speaker 1: they really want to embarrass their well so that there'll 410 00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,160 Speaker 1: be a chance for a back door here as well. 411 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 1: Um So, Yeah, I like the number. It might end 412 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:41,200 Speaker 1: up being a trendy dog um which you never want 413 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: to be on. But they does cover sometimes too, and 414 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 1: there's too much value to pass up. And I'm curious 415 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 1: to see what Landing has lined up here. And yes, 416 00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:51,600 Speaker 1: George is gonna reload, but there's gotta be some growing 417 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:55,920 Speaker 1: pains after all that talent they lost. Colin, you're laughing 418 00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:59,199 Speaker 1: when Stuff talks about this, Well, no, no, I mean 419 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,520 Speaker 1: I think he's exact correct. I agree with everything that 420 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,400 Speaker 1: he said. There's too much familiarity between these two programs. 421 00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:07,439 Speaker 1: I'm laughing because I actually have a runner texted me 422 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:09,520 Speaker 1: in the state of Pennsylvania right now because first half 423 00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,120 Speaker 1: totals just came out and I want the under first 424 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 1: half on this game pretty bad. Uh, there's way too 425 00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:18,399 Speaker 1: much familiarity between these two programs, especially from the coaching perspective. 426 00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: Mario Cristoval did not leave the cupboard empty when it 427 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,600 Speaker 1: came to the trenches to excellent defensive interior players, maybe 428 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,879 Speaker 1: the best in the Pac twelve, an offensive line that 429 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:29,959 Speaker 1: he was building to compete with the SEC in an 430 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 1: eventual playoff game. I don't know how Organs specifically is 431 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 1: going to deal with maybe the three best tight ends 432 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,879 Speaker 1: and all of college football. That's probably why I've spread 433 00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:41,679 Speaker 1: is seventeen. I make it a lot lower and make 434 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 1: it just a dad below fourteen. So yeah, I am 435 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 1: a proponent of taking Oregon here, but I think the 436 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,119 Speaker 1: best bet is the first half under because it's so 437 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,480 Speaker 1: much familiarity and what you know. I mean, you see 438 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:52,199 Speaker 1: this with these teams in Week zero. They come out 439 00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,359 Speaker 1: the first two quarters not sure what they're doing. Adjustments 440 00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:56,880 Speaker 1: are made at halftime points start to fly. I've seen 441 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,120 Speaker 1: that with Georgia billion times. I want the first half under. 442 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:01,880 Speaker 1: What you seeing the first half under? Add right now 443 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 1: twenty six and a half, and I'm told there that 444 00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:08,440 Speaker 1: this could get to twenty seven and a half, which 445 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:11,919 Speaker 1: I would happily wait for. There you go, that's why 446 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:13,640 Speaker 1: you listened to the podcast, That's why you get the app, 447 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,720 Speaker 1: because right now I'm seeing lines for so many different 448 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:20,359 Speaker 1: sports books, and I'm also seeing, to your point, Stuck, 449 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 1: I'm seeing a seventeen and a half. Just in the 450 00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 1: state of Connecticut, I'm seeing a seventeen, and I'm seeing 451 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,000 Speaker 1: a sixteen and a half. So if I want to 452 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: go get or again plus seventeen and a half, I 453 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,639 Speaker 1: can still get that right now. Yeah, there's no reason 454 00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:37,119 Speaker 1: not to. Just you're hurting yourself if you don't have 455 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: as many outs as possible, and especially with the legal market, 456 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: now open up these accounts. You don't even have to 457 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:45,199 Speaker 1: have money in them at all times if you're just 458 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,960 Speaker 1: the recreational better betting hunter the game. But open them 459 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,560 Speaker 1: up with money and take advantage of all the bonuses. 460 00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 1: And then if you have a bet you really like, 461 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,560 Speaker 1: it's two, it's really easy to put money in there 462 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 1: and then that this line that you have. But take 463 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:02,440 Speaker 1: advantage of the bone and give yourself options and out 464 00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:05,360 Speaker 1: to get the best of the number. If you want 465 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:06,800 Speaker 1: to take this a little more serious, because that stuf 466 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:08,880 Speaker 1: ads up over time. This is why I got married 467 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 1: because my wife's father lives in Arizona, can bet there. 468 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:15,119 Speaker 1: My wife's brother lives in Iowa, can bet there. So 469 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:16,639 Speaker 1: now I've got a brother in law and father in 470 00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:22,200 Speaker 1: law running bets for me. Ohio State Notre Dame. Everyone 471 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 1: is talking about this Ohio State team, probably the team 472 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,399 Speaker 1: people expect from the Big Ten to go to the 473 00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 1: college football Playoff. Notre Dame getting a weird amount of 474 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:44,120 Speaker 1: respect from voters for the AP rankings fourteen and a half. Colin, 475 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:48,359 Speaker 1: I saw on the APP you took Ohio State minus 476 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: fourteen and a half. Explain yourself. I don't know what 477 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,680 Speaker 1: the ceiling of this Ohio State team. I definitely know 478 00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,040 Speaker 1: what the ceiling is of the Notre Dame team. Uh. 479 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:00,520 Speaker 1: They don't have any weapons on the outside. There primary 480 00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 1: weapon is a tight end that is going to get 481 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,440 Speaker 1: you no more than ten to fifteen yards. Uh. Their 482 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 1: quarterback situation is extremely inexperienced. We're studying. I disagree is 483 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 1: I don't like Marcus Freeman as a head coach. I 484 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 1: think he's the best recruiter in the nation. But I 485 00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:17,280 Speaker 1: am not sold from an X as a OS perspective. 486 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 1: That he is the best defensive coordinator in the nation 487 00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 1: now a head coach allowing Tommy Greaves to call the 488 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:24,879 Speaker 1: place for Notre Dame probably the most conservative offense in 489 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 1: the nation. So when the Howse State gets up by fourteen, 490 00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,320 Speaker 1: you're gonna keep running the ball. When Howse State gets 491 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:32,400 Speaker 1: up by one, you're gonna keep running the ball. And 492 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 1: and the only way Notre Dame hangs around in these 493 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: games against these marquee programs is, for instance, in the 494 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 1: College Football Playoff when savan just decided to sit on 495 00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 1: the ball with the twenty one point lead because you 496 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 1: don't want to embarrass, you know, Notre Dame. I don't 497 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:45,919 Speaker 1: understand the Notre Dame love. I get it from the 498 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,760 Speaker 1: AP voters, I get it from everybody that's involved in 499 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: the non gambling world. But at the same time, I 500 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:56,159 Speaker 1: saw a team that completely was full, that had just 501 00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 1: had a horseshoe up there butt last year, and covering 502 00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: so many games and having so many turnovers in the 503 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: second half. They should not have been as good as 504 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 1: they were last year, especially in games against Cincinnati Wisconsin. 505 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:10,200 Speaker 1: So I think I don't know where Ohio States stopped scoring. 506 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 1: Here to tell you the truth, and I don't know 507 00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:13,719 Speaker 1: how Notre names offense can even try to keep up. 508 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:19,199 Speaker 1: That's a that's a aggressive take. Well, Colin said that 509 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 1: he only got married so his wife's family can bet 510 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 1: for him. But why why not become a polygamist and 511 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 1: then you have multiple families that you can benefit from 512 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,680 Speaker 1: in different states. But I think the line is about right. 513 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 1: I make it like seventy before, so I won't be 514 00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:35,160 Speaker 1: betting this game. But an interesting thing on the Action 515 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,359 Speaker 1: Network twitter handle, we tweeted out this this quote the 516 00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:41,320 Speaker 1: other day for Marcus Freeman who said, oh we're seventeen 517 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:42,919 Speaker 1: and a half one underdogs. I had no idea I'm 518 00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:45,479 Speaker 1: going to use that on in our meeting today as 519 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,640 Speaker 1: as motivation. So I tweeted out after that, I said, 520 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,240 Speaker 1: here's Mark mark soon an aggressive thing like if there 521 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,800 Speaker 1: doubts twenty four. You know, he came out and said, oh, well, 522 00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:56,639 Speaker 1: how are we seventeen and a half point under dogs? 523 00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,440 Speaker 1: Like I assume that he's gonna really try to get 524 00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: in the back door here. Um after he brought it up, 525 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 1: which is just a funny. I really want Notre Dame 526 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 1: to be the downs twenty four with the ball with 527 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 1: like a minute to go and see how aggressive they are. 528 00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 1: But um, yeah, the big question for me with Ohio 529 00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:12,920 Speaker 1: so I think this line is about right. I'm a 530 00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,359 Speaker 1: big fan of Freeman. I think that he's the right 531 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,600 Speaker 1: guy for this job. But the Ohio State is just 532 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:20,480 Speaker 1: so good. I mean, it's just Ohio State in Alabama. 533 00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,760 Speaker 1: It's one of those years where I would be surprised 534 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 1: if they were not the last two teams standing there. 535 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 1: They could end up by the end of the year, 536 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:30,440 Speaker 1: depending on if Georgia falls off en be two touchdowns 537 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 1: better than everyone else in all of college football. Is crazy, 538 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:39,320 Speaker 1: that sounds. But um, the Ohio State where why they're 539 00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 1: that this much better? I think? And close to Alabama 540 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:44,679 Speaker 1: is the higher Jim Knowles the new defensive coordinator. The 541 00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:46,600 Speaker 1: problem for a higher state the past couple of years 542 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,120 Speaker 1: has been their defense. It has been a mess. They 543 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: have had just no structure, no communication. And they bring 544 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: in know is one of the best defensive coordinators in 545 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,880 Speaker 1: off college football. We'll see how quickly the talents obviously there, 546 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 1: We'll see how quickly he can get every enough to speed. 547 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,560 Speaker 1: The good news for Knowles is that his last game 548 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 1: at Oklahoma State was in the pole game against this 549 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:10,080 Speaker 1: Notre Dame team. Um So, that's obviously helps from a 550 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 1: preparation standpoint, but the ceiling of this Ohio State team 551 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:15,120 Speaker 1: is significantly higher. Not only do you have a Heisman 552 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:19,640 Speaker 1: caliber quarterback, but you now have a coordinator, a competent 553 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,359 Speaker 1: coordinator in Columbus that should get this defense up to speed. 554 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,920 Speaker 1: I love that game. I just I just even thinking 555 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,239 Speaker 1: about the prestige of Notre Dame Ohio State. The sun 556 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: is gonna be setting when they're kicking off. It's just 557 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:36,320 Speaker 1: gonna be. That's the bestest college football. So going going 558 00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 1: through your guys picks, when that jumped out to me, 559 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:41,320 Speaker 1: it feels like my guy Collins walking right into a 560 00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 1: trap here. Florida Utah? What do you what are you 561 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 1: thinking here? What do you think? And taking Utah against 562 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:49,480 Speaker 1: Florida's Florida really that down? That bad? The game? You 563 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,160 Speaker 1: just you just pushed his button. Colin is the biggest 564 00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,119 Speaker 1: He's basically Utah lom. He's gonna become a polegamist and 565 00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 1: Utah making sense now, Yeah, I gotta know what's going 566 00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 1: on on the Utah though, I mean easy, it feels 567 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:03,840 Speaker 1: like an easy bet ring already bet us a couple 568 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,959 Speaker 1: of times on Florida and the public's with you. Are 569 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:09,320 Speaker 1: terrified right now you're bet on Utah when you know 570 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,280 Speaker 1: the public's gonna keep betting that all week. Apparently everyone 571 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:14,920 Speaker 1: hates Florida, which to me, it's just Florida after a 572 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:16,680 Speaker 1: down year. I love to be on a Florida team 573 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 1: after a down yere just they really so happy you 574 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 1: brought this game up. It's Colin's favorite team, Utah against 575 00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: his least heat. I don't even know if he'll say 576 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,080 Speaker 1: the coach of Florida's name the guy he hates the 577 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 1: most in college football. This will probably be his biggest 578 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:33,120 Speaker 1: bet of the weekend. Did you say ute? Listen when 579 00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,360 Speaker 1: you're when you're running up tempo offense with two minutes left, 580 00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 1: you're beating Ohio by fifty and I lose my under 581 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:41,640 Speaker 1: I will not repeat again. That really upset me last year. 582 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,960 Speaker 1: Scared money, don't make money. You know some people like 583 00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:47,280 Speaker 1: to do black Tar heroine. I like to do Utah football. 584 00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 1: I came on Chad's favorite show like two or three 585 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 1: years ago, and I said, Utah is gonna win the 586 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 1: Pact twelve. They're gonna go to the College Football Playoff. 587 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:57,920 Speaker 1: They get to the Pac TWEL Championship, their favorite over 588 00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 1: organ by a touchdown, and they blew it. They piste 589 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:03,040 Speaker 1: down their leg and and and you know Pack twelve 590 00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 1: does this to themselves all the time. And we know 591 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 1: the rules of college football, and SEC team is going 592 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 1: to dominate a Pack twelve team in Week one. It 593 00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 1: happens every time. But you see this, the market is 594 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 1: reacting to a heavy I mean enough wagers to move 595 00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,719 Speaker 1: this thing out to a field goal. Now, if you 596 00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 1: look at what Florida has and what they're bringing back. Yes, 597 00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,240 Speaker 1: they have Anthony Richardson. He's one of the most explosive, 598 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 1: dynamic quarterbacks out there. He's also extremely injury prone, and 599 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 1: there is nothing behind him whatsoever. There are holes on 600 00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: this defense from from the defensive line to the you know, 601 00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:35,640 Speaker 1: the back seven is gonna better than they were last year, 602 00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 1: but the whole Dan Mullen, Todd Grantham Era, just this 603 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 1: Florida roster is just completely blown up. I there's nothing 604 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 1: I can say good about them. This is a game 605 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 1: that I projected well over three even Utah on the 606 00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:49,720 Speaker 1: road cam rising. I don't know how you don't watch 607 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: at Rose Bowl and think that he's not a Heisman 608 00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:54,800 Speaker 1: dark horse contender, even saying that being west of the 609 00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: Mississippi River playing for a Pack twelve team, Uh if 610 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 1: if Utah plays to their potential, this game is not close. 611 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:08,360 Speaker 1: I I kind of disagree. Um. I think this game 612 00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:10,440 Speaker 1: is gonna be close, and I wouldn't be shocked at 613 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,600 Speaker 1: Florida wins. The one factor to keep in mind on 614 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:17,959 Speaker 1: these really weird early season matchups is I'll give another example, 615 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 1: South Florida against b y U. That game, everyone is 616 00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:24,280 Speaker 1: all over b y U laying twelve by the way, 617 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 1: by the top two receivers might be out. Um and 618 00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 1: b y U is you know what that they don't 619 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 1: have in Utah. They don't have humidity, and they don't 620 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 1: have they don't rain. And I think I think Utah 621 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:39,920 Speaker 1: by U s oh and one intent. I think the 622 00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 1: UCF one year in December, they never win in Florida 623 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,600 Speaker 1: the humidity. Think about the Packers last year when they 624 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 1: went they played the Saints in in then they played 625 00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 1: they played it in Jacksonville in the unit and they 626 00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:54,600 Speaker 1: look like they were still not ready for the season. 627 00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,640 Speaker 1: These teams from non humid weather going down in their 628 00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:03,080 Speaker 1: season opener in your humidity against teams that are practicing 629 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:06,040 Speaker 1: in it with rain and all that. For the first game, 630 00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 1: it's tough. Um So keep an eye on South Florida 631 00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 1: in that regard a couple of years ago early in 632 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 1: the season upset b y U and b y U 633 00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:19,680 Speaker 1: war down Lee. Um So cramps just not ready for it, fumble, 634 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 1: So keep that in mind. But I actually think that 635 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,200 Speaker 1: a Florida Utah game is gonna go right down to 636 00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:32,240 Speaker 1: the wire. Uh, We've hit polygamy, We've hit black tar heroin. 637 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:38,880 Speaker 1: If we can get like some kind of murder murder 638 00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,440 Speaker 1: dir er uh in the rest of the show, I 639 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 1: think we hit the trifecta. Uh. You guys are both 640 00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:52,959 Speaker 1: on Texas State as an underdog against Nevada before we 641 00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 1: get to college football playoff and any other futures that 642 00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:01,160 Speaker 1: you think are worth betting. I always like, like there's 643 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,640 Speaker 1: so many games in college football. I want to give 644 00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:06,080 Speaker 1: people a taste of how to look down the board 645 00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 1: and see value, because a unit win is a unit 646 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:12,720 Speaker 1: win no matter who you better. So Colin, give me 647 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 1: a Texas State take here. Jake's favotol multiple years at 648 00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:21,680 Speaker 1: Texas State has an offense established with a quarterback that 649 00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:24,360 Speaker 1: made a name for himself at Arkansas State. Uh, they're 650 00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:26,320 Speaker 1: going to be able to do more damage against the 651 00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:30,960 Speaker 1: Nevada defense that frankly had no business beating New Mexico State. 652 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:34,640 Speaker 1: And week zero a Nevada defense that has non scholarship 653 00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,360 Speaker 1: players in the too deep going through a scheme change, 654 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,160 Speaker 1: and then a Nevada offense that is the same thing, 655 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 1: all run based slow clock grind. Uh. This number was 656 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 1: six and a half. By the time Nevada was playing 657 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:49,960 Speaker 1: to Mexico State, it was down around five and a half. 658 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,960 Speaker 1: And by the time that game was over, win Nevada 659 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 1: one by what eleven? That line dropped all the way 660 00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: down to a pick. So what's going on right now? 661 00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:03,760 Speaker 1: With teams like Nevada, Arkansas State, Hawaii. Books cannot find 662 00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:05,680 Speaker 1: where the floor is and so you're gonna see this 663 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:08,320 Speaker 1: number move until they find somebody that they respect to 664 00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:10,440 Speaker 1: find this number. Is that a pick? I don't know 665 00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:12,200 Speaker 1: because right now I see a look, it's got Texas 666 00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 1: State minus one and a half. A sun belt eave 667 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:18,040 Speaker 1: a favorite on the road in elevation is crazy. But 668 00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:21,560 Speaker 1: the books are going to struggle to find the floor 669 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 1: and the market. And when they do, it's probably gonna 670 00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:25,520 Speaker 1: pay off him because this thing has moved a lot. 671 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:28,360 Speaker 1: It's moved a touchdown in just a few days. That's 672 00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:31,280 Speaker 1: an insane move. Stuff. What do you think of that? Yeah? 673 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,080 Speaker 1: And Nevada is awful. Um they last week they beat 674 00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 1: in Mexico State is one of the worst programs in 675 00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:40,240 Speaker 1: the country by eleven yet but they had five turnovers 676 00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 1: to New Mexico State zero. They turned it over themselves 677 00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:45,120 Speaker 1: with the refts, failed to review it. They fumbled it 678 00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:49,000 Speaker 1: twice recovered. Both were thoroughly outplayed the average three yards 679 00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:52,640 Speaker 1: per pass. There's an offense that lost, you know, pro 680 00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 1: pro potential strong at quarterback. Romeo dubs every seve that 681 00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,120 Speaker 1: was their whole team based their old staff, they're the 682 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:00,720 Speaker 1: fewest returning starters and off college football and a brand 683 00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 1: new staff as concert there's no depth Ivan and last 684 00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:05,560 Speaker 1: week they looked awful. I thought they were gonna be awful. 685 00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:08,239 Speaker 1: I bet season win total under and I downgraded them 686 00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:10,960 Speaker 1: last week. Um so, yeah, this team is gonna be 687 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:14,600 Speaker 1: bad and then or something an angle worth that only 688 00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:16,759 Speaker 1: comes up this week every year, and it's unique to 689 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:21,640 Speaker 1: college football. Is unlike the NFL, where everyone starts in 690 00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,399 Speaker 1: week one. In college football, you have a few teams 691 00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: that start in week zero and then you know they'll 692 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:30,480 Speaker 1: play a team that is playing their opener in week one. 693 00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:32,920 Speaker 1: And if you look back historically, I wrote this all 694 00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:35,759 Speaker 1: up and go really in depth on the action never 695 00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:39,000 Speaker 1: gap in action work dot com teams that are playing, 696 00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,480 Speaker 1: you might ask. You might sit back and ask yourself, Okay, 697 00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:43,319 Speaker 1: who has the advantage here? Maybe it's the team who 698 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:46,239 Speaker 1: already played, right They they got the rust out, they 699 00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:48,359 Speaker 1: got to get live game experience, and now they get 700 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,080 Speaker 1: to go play again. They're gonna have a leg up 701 00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:52,360 Speaker 1: on the team that hasn't played yet. Well, yeah, the 702 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,920 Speaker 1: opposite is actually true. The past twenty five years, the 703 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:58,680 Speaker 1: team playing their first game against an opponent has already played, 704 00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:03,759 Speaker 1: has covered a at the time FBS first FBS. The 705 00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:07,160 Speaker 1: reason for that, in my opinion, is twofold one. You 706 00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:09,600 Speaker 1: have a preparation advantage, right instead of while the other 707 00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:12,120 Speaker 1: team was preparing for another opponent last week, you were 708 00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:17,320 Speaker 1: preparing for your season opener. And most importantly, in my opinion, 709 00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:19,040 Speaker 1: you have a film advage. You get to see what 710 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 1: they did. And in college pole there's a lot of 711 00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,239 Speaker 1: turnover coaches, new players, so you get to see what 712 00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:25,600 Speaker 1: they did on film and adjust, and then you have 713 00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,600 Speaker 1: that advantage of the unknown. They haven't seen what you 714 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:30,560 Speaker 1: want to do yet, and you can kind of unleash 715 00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:35,600 Speaker 1: some of your wrinkles. So that applies here. Texas State 716 00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,600 Speaker 1: is playing their first game of the season. Nevada played 717 00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:40,879 Speaker 1: last week. They gotta get to see what they did 718 00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:46,120 Speaker 1: and adjust, and Nevada won't really have that edge. You 719 00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 1: know what it's time for right now? Little college football 720 00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:55,000 Speaker 1: plaft reveal stucky, you're college football Final four. I'm gonna 721 00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:56,879 Speaker 1: say Albama Ohio State first of all, and they're playing 722 00:35:56,920 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 1: for the national title, so they're in. And the other 723 00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:03,680 Speaker 1: two it really doesn't matter. It is really wide open. 724 00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:11,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna say, oh my gosh, Miami and Georgia. But 725 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:14,600 Speaker 1: I have no conviction in those other two teams. It 726 00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 1: is that wide open, Like I wouldn't be shocked if 727 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,400 Speaker 1: a number of teams getting that. I think the A 728 00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:23,320 Speaker 1: C C. I think the big twelves gonna catagorize itself. 729 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,200 Speaker 1: Do I trust anyone in the Pac twelve? Colin is 730 00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:29,600 Speaker 1: gonna tell you Utah, but not really. No Oregon hosts Utah, 731 00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 1: anything gonna beat them, and it's the PAC twelve one 732 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:33,759 Speaker 1: of the ever so then where are you left with 733 00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,200 Speaker 1: Like you're down of the a c C, A second 734 00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:40,239 Speaker 1: SEC team, like the big Tents not getting too So 735 00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:42,479 Speaker 1: it's I think it's gonna be And I don't trust 736 00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:46,960 Speaker 1: Clemson quarterback situation. If if DJ their quarterback ends up 737 00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:49,239 Speaker 1: taking a big stuff forward and they lost their coordinators 738 00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:51,200 Speaker 1: and they come out of the a SEC, they host 739 00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:52,920 Speaker 1: NC State, NC State will be in the mix to 740 00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,440 Speaker 1: win the a SEC. Then Clemson will come out of it. 741 00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:59,360 Speaker 1: But um, I'm gonna you know, you can't just go 742 00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:01,480 Speaker 1: all chalk I'm gonna throw Miami out coming out of 743 00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:05,319 Speaker 1: the a c C. And then I'll go with the 744 00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:09,920 Speaker 1: second SEC team, um boring Georgia. And then it's Alabama 745 00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,920 Speaker 1: High State Chalkie Chalkie national title game this year and 746 00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:15,680 Speaker 1: it should be the one. And then you expect Alabama, 747 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:22,879 Speaker 1: Ohio State h we want to uh, I'll say High 748 00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:28,000 Speaker 1: State colin you like Miami too, You're like Utah, who's 749 00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:32,680 Speaker 1: your who's your? Nobody believes it college football playoff pick. 750 00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,960 Speaker 1: And by the way, I subscribe to the theory when 751 00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:37,760 Speaker 1: I was the editor in chief of USP in the magazine, 752 00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:41,279 Speaker 1: as everybody knows, I was a pretty big deal. Yeah. 753 00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:44,640 Speaker 1: I used to always uh go with the most outrageous 754 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:48,120 Speaker 1: Super Bowl predictions because my theory was, at the end 755 00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:52,440 Speaker 1: of the year, who gives a funk if you're like wrong, 756 00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,560 Speaker 1: and if you're right, then it means you made the 757 00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:59,120 Speaker 1: outrageous choice and you didn't go with the Cowboys in 758 00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 1: the Niners or I mean, are the Cowboys and the 759 00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:04,359 Speaker 1: Patriots right, which is what everybody would do. So yeah, 760 00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,680 Speaker 1: but I'm going to disagree with you now on today's 761 00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:08,359 Speaker 1: day and age. And this is really funny you said 762 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:12,799 Speaker 1: that because on Saturday watching Game Day, I and you 763 00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,520 Speaker 1: can have a tweet saying, like, look, outrageousness was you know, 764 00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:18,840 Speaker 1: that's the whole premise of Freezing Cold Takes. Desmond Howard 765 00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 1: came out with his College wal playoff prediction. It was 766 00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:27,400 Speaker 1: the most outrageous thing I've ever seen. It was Baylor, UM, Michigan, 767 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:32,800 Speaker 1: Texas A and M and someone else and then Texas 768 00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:37,080 Speaker 1: A and M winning it. So I said, I took 769 00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:43,200 Speaker 1: my calendar out and put an event on the day 770 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,560 Speaker 1: that the College Toll play Off as announced and said, 771 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:50,640 Speaker 1: remember Desmond Howard tweet. Then I'm gonna go back and 772 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,120 Speaker 1: then say here it is so but I think back 773 00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:54,719 Speaker 1: in the day, you're right, um, but you just can't 774 00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:57,759 Speaker 1: be that crazy. It's college football, like you, there's there's 775 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:00,640 Speaker 1: been like eight teams in total I have ever made 776 00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:03,319 Speaker 1: the constball plowf It is like you'll have one like 777 00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:05,400 Speaker 1: Cincinnati last year. It's like whoa. You can't have like 778 00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:08,719 Speaker 1: four teams that never make it getting in all once, 779 00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 1: especially this year. Like if you think about it in 780 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:13,920 Speaker 1: years past, we've had like last year, Alabama and Georgia. 781 00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:16,080 Speaker 1: I had them like really close coming into the year. 782 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:18,840 Speaker 1: And you know, Ohio State's always been up there. Clemson 783 00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,600 Speaker 1: has always been up there up until last year and 784 00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:24,680 Speaker 1: then they took a big drop down. We've never had 785 00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:27,200 Speaker 1: this separation with Ohio State in Alabama at the top 786 00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,879 Speaker 1: is probably is as big of a gap going into 787 00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:34,000 Speaker 1: the season. Things can change, as we've seen from two 788 00:39:34,040 --> 00:39:36,040 Speaker 1: to three in a long time. And you're Greek com 789 00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:39,360 Speaker 1: oh absolutely yeah, like Ohio State in Alabama? Am I 790 00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:41,840 Speaker 1: pick in the National Championship Game? I have money on 791 00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,319 Speaker 1: Ohio State, But that's only because fan duel happened. Was 792 00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:47,440 Speaker 1: happy enough to put them out at eight to one 793 00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,920 Speaker 1: for me right after the national championship last year. But 794 00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:51,480 Speaker 1: I am going to fire in Alabama at some point 795 00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:53,319 Speaker 1: because that's your national championship game, and I do think 796 00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,440 Speaker 1: the Crimson Tide by then will be the ones that 797 00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:56,840 Speaker 1: win this. So stuck, you know, I'll go head to 798 00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,279 Speaker 1: head there. The other two teams, Like twelve teams have 799 00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,359 Speaker 1: made the College Froball playoffs, seven of them never had 800 00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:03,640 Speaker 1: a chance. So I'm glad that we're gonna talk about 801 00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:06,200 Speaker 1: expanding the playoffs. It doesn't matter. There's only a couple 802 00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:08,080 Speaker 1: of programs that can win the national title. Yeah, but 803 00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:09,719 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. But it's fun and we can bet 804 00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:13,879 Speaker 1: on it. So yes, Expand, Expand, expand please. I mean, 805 00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:17,319 Speaker 1: I would rather have the RNL Carrier's Bowl featuring app 806 00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:20,200 Speaker 1: State and somebody, you know, somebody from the a C. 807 00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:23,560 Speaker 1: Then then watch a quarterfinal game with Wake Forest in it. 808 00:40:23,640 --> 00:40:25,600 Speaker 1: But all right, so the other two only you don't 809 00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:28,399 Speaker 1: want to see Arkansas into plays you want a chance 810 00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:30,080 Speaker 1: to have, you gonna give him a playoff? Come on, 811 00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,319 Speaker 1: my Collins fading Arkansas, Chad, You've got to ask him. 812 00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:38,080 Speaker 1: We were talking about so many games. I didn't get 813 00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:40,160 Speaker 1: to ask him about Arkansas. I wanted Simon to ask 814 00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:42,840 Speaker 1: him about Arkansas, but he went on this tangent about Florida. 815 00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:48,439 Speaker 1: He started making his own decisions on the Goddamn podcast. Yeah, well, 816 00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:50,839 Speaker 1: since then, he's gonna cover against Arkansas, So get your 817 00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:53,600 Speaker 1: number there. Arkansas has got way too many questions on 818 00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:55,640 Speaker 1: the defensive line and Trail and Burks has gone, so 819 00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:57,400 Speaker 1: we don't know who k J. Jefferson wants to throw too. 820 00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:59,920 Speaker 1: But uh, you know, as far as my playoff picks go, 821 00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,640 Speaker 1: I agree with stucky Alabama, ohouse state, head and shoulders 822 00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:05,960 Speaker 1: above everybody else in college football. I'm gonna take uh 823 00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:10,200 Speaker 1: NC State beating Clemson in October. They've done it before, 824 00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:12,680 Speaker 1: they're gonna do it again. They're not scared. They're gonna 825 00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:14,200 Speaker 1: win the a SEC. They're gonna be in the College 826 00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:17,600 Speaker 1: Ball Playoff and then yeah, Utah, Sure, they go to Oregon, 827 00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:20,359 Speaker 1: but they also host USC and right circles. With one 828 00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,640 Speaker 1: loss heading into the Pack twelve Championship, they'll be right 829 00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:24,160 Speaker 1: at the door again and they will make it if 830 00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:28,040 Speaker 1: they can win that stupid championship game down in Vegas. Hopefully, 831 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:30,880 Speaker 1: they're pulling the rebel roller, uh and going to the 832 00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:35,440 Speaker 1: college football playoffs. Here it comes the rebel roller just 833 00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:40,439 Speaker 1: unfailed today a giant slot machine used to the wake 834 00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:43,759 Speaker 1: of any u n LV score or turnover forced. But 835 00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,640 Speaker 1: again I agree with Stuck. The alloy on House State 836 00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,280 Speaker 1: are so far ahead of everybody else. Collins phone at Chad. 837 00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:52,799 Speaker 1: He's you just say Utah every year, and then the 838 00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:56,319 Speaker 1: one time you get it right, eventually you say, I 839 00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,880 Speaker 1: said it was Utah. I knew it was Utah. Utah. Baby. 840 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:03,719 Speaker 1: Act's gotta get back in someday, like someday that I mean, 841 00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:05,680 Speaker 1: they're the refs have to know that. We gotta get 842 00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:10,439 Speaker 1: a team in like I mean someday Sunday. Yes, Chad, 843 00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:13,719 Speaker 1: I made an executive Chad. Chad wanted to ask you 844 00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:15,800 Speaker 1: about Arkansas. I thought, no one wants hear about that. 845 00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:17,560 Speaker 1: I want to hear about the Utah thing because I'm 846 00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:20,279 Speaker 1: trying to save Colin money. That's my goal here. I 847 00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:22,000 Speaker 1: wasn't on their show last week. I couldn't tell him 848 00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:25,040 Speaker 1: Northwestern lock of the Lifetime. I gets that fraud. I'm 849 00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:27,040 Speaker 1: trying to save them money here because the Utah As 850 00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:29,600 Speaker 1: soon as I saw the line stunk. Deadline stinks, It 851 00:42:29,680 --> 00:42:35,200 Speaker 1: smells of a trap. Nothing you can say. Simon Colin 852 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 1: turn red. As soon as I started going, I go, 853 00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:41,880 Speaker 1: I've made a huge mistake. But uh yeah, at this point, Chad, 854 00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:44,560 Speaker 1: it's week one. What do we want now? We want 855 00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:48,240 Speaker 1: their long shot futures, but their best bets either one works. 856 00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:51,040 Speaker 1: I mean I gave out was a Van Dyke eighty 857 00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,600 Speaker 1: one to be Heisman. Now, I mean I got guys 858 00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:56,000 Speaker 1: like Stucky tell me Miami actually might make it the playoffs. 859 00:42:56,239 --> 00:42:58,440 Speaker 1: Thank you, Stucky. I needed that. I needed that boost. 860 00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:01,160 Speaker 1: Give me some lunch. Because you know college football, I 861 00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:03,879 Speaker 1: mean we've had the Baker mayfields, the fifty to one 862 00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,440 Speaker 1: Heisman guys come out of nowhere. Is there anything like 863 00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:08,520 Speaker 1: that this year? You can see happening where it kind 864 00:43:08,520 --> 00:43:10,600 Speaker 1: of feels like the field is wide open. Go get 865 00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:12,759 Speaker 1: Southern miss at fifty to one to win the Sun Belt. 866 00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:16,719 Speaker 1: They are in a joke of a division. Uh. They 867 00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:19,879 Speaker 1: returned a ton ty keys at quarterback is amazing. Uh. 868 00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:22,080 Speaker 1: They didn't even have a quarterback last year after having 869 00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,200 Speaker 1: five of them injured, and they used two running backs 870 00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:27,320 Speaker 1: to run it under center. They have a proven coach 871 00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:29,960 Speaker 1: they from the offensive side of the ball, and like 872 00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:32,520 Speaker 1: I said, that division is an absolute joke and they've 873 00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:34,239 Speaker 1: got a stinker of a schedule to make it to 874 00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:38,000 Speaker 1: the championship game. Yeah that uh, I don't mind a 875 00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,360 Speaker 1: flyer there in Southern Miss week this week against Liberty, 876 00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:43,080 Speaker 1: everyal like them plus three and a half. So the 877 00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:45,600 Speaker 1: Miss also took liberties offensive line coach from last year, 878 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:49,000 Speaker 1: a really good offensive line coach who knows everything Liberty 879 00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:51,320 Speaker 1: does inside an out, and it's probably gonna help this summer. 880 00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:54,000 Speaker 1: I'll throw out. You gotta go with the Mac. Like 881 00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:56,680 Speaker 1: long shots in the MAC are it's the most wide 882 00:43:56,680 --> 00:43:58,640 Speaker 1: open conference, the conference. You can see the biggest turnaround. 883 00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:03,640 Speaker 1: Shameless plug, go reby MAC manifesto. If you're into reading 884 00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:08,760 Speaker 1: words about the MAC um but Ohio and or Eastern 885 00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:13,880 Speaker 1: Michigan whatever you know, if you they're both green, I 886 00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:16,080 Speaker 1: guess so yeah, I don't know. You've gade me throw 887 00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:18,319 Speaker 1: books people to pick both, but whatever, you have a 888 00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:23,560 Speaker 1: better number on I think I haven't like fifteen one. 889 00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:27,680 Speaker 1: I think both have upside. There's so much uncertainty in 890 00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:31,000 Speaker 1: the MAC this year. Ohio especially is in just an 891 00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:34,120 Speaker 1: horrendous division that's wide open and it's the MAC. It's 892 00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:37,400 Speaker 1: just gonna come down to like a couple of field 893 00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,279 Speaker 1: goals during weekdays, and that's going to decide who goes 894 00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:43,799 Speaker 1: to the MAC Championship. So yeah, Ohio Eastern Michigan throw 895 00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:48,280 Speaker 1: a dark I think, in this spirit of polygamy, in 896 00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:52,640 Speaker 1: the spirit of saving the environment, put put a couple 897 00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:56,879 Speaker 1: of shekels on both. Go green. See what I'm saying, 898 00:44:57,400 --> 00:45:00,600 Speaker 1: m h uh huh, go Green. I like it. I 899 00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:06,280 Speaker 1: like it a lot. Uh. Boys, as Howard Stern says, 900 00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:10,400 Speaker 1: you've said it all. We got long shots from the MAC. 901 00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:13,800 Speaker 1: We got long shots from the Sunbeat. We're betting against Arkansas. 902 00:45:14,120 --> 00:45:17,160 Speaker 1: We're on opposite sides of Florida. We got some college 903 00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:20,320 Speaker 1: football playoff long shots. We got some bets for Thursday. 904 00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:26,919 Speaker 1: We got some bets for Saturday. Whoa Colin Wilson Stucky? 905 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:28,960 Speaker 1: Go follow them both in the Action Network gap. You 906 00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:32,399 Speaker 1: can get every bet they make the second they make it, 907 00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:34,760 Speaker 1: so then you can get the best of the number 908 00:45:35,239 --> 00:45:39,360 Speaker 1: two wherever you are. Listen to them on the Big 909 00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:44,279 Speaker 1: Bets on Campus podcast to top two hundred sports podcasts 910 00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:47,920 Speaker 1: the podcast charts. You can see him Big Bets on 911 00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:50,520 Speaker 1: Campus ten thirty am Saturday Morning Live show get the 912 00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:54,120 Speaker 1: latest on what they're thinking, along with Brett McMurphy, the 913 00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:58,759 Speaker 1: mustache in the Action Network cap. Thanks boys, thanks for 914 00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:01,560 Speaker 1: having us. Cheers all right. This has been the favorite 915 00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:05,960 Speaker 1: podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Shad Millman 916 00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:10,040 Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter for producer extraordinarire Matt Mitchell. Download the 917 00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:15,400 Speaker 1: podcast from Apple Podcasts from Spotify, Rate us review, subscribe, 918 00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:18,120 Speaker 1: give us five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is 919 00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:20,960 Speaker 1: a gift. Until next time, I love you.