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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Parolt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. This podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: our friends at DraftKings. Not a good Thursday. We had

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Speaker 2: a good Monday, good Wednesday. We took a step backwards yesterday.

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Speaker 2: And I mean, look, I shouldn't have bet anything on

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Speaker 2: that game last night with the Saints and the Broncos.

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Speaker 2: I wanted no part of it. I would have bet

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Speaker 2: the under. I would have gotten that wrong. I would

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Speaker 2: have probably bet the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know.

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Speaker 2: That is thirteen consecutive road favorites that have won and

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Speaker 2: covered in the NFL. Thirteen. That's the most we've seen

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Speaker 2: since nineteen seventy. All right, we start saying that I

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Speaker 2: was born in seventy seven. We've never seen that, not

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Speaker 2: ten and three, not nine and four, thirteen in oh

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Speaker 2: road teams covering. So if you want to follow trends,

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Speaker 2: there's your trend bet for Sunday bet road favorites. Will

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Speaker 2: that come around? I don't know. Will that go back

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Speaker 2: to Dog's barking. I don't know, but right now, oh

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Speaker 2: my Kamara didn't score. Bonicks could have scored, had a

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Speaker 2: thirty two yard run got tripped up on a three

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Speaker 2: yard line. If he scores, there would have been a

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Speaker 2: different type of night for US. So instead we lose

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Speaker 2: the Kamara and the Bonnicks anytime touchdown. VOTEC wins easily

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Speaker 2: over Boston College. Dallas could not get that tying goal

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Speaker 2: in the third period for Nashville, and they just sat

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Speaker 2: on the lead. And it was a frustrating game to

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Speaker 2: watch three to two, And once Nashville got that lead,

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Speaker 2: they just sat on it and Dallas couldn't do anything

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Speaker 2: about it. And then four to the win for Edmonton

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Speaker 2: over Nashville, and Nashville's now oh and four. How about

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Speaker 2: you guys bet in Nashville win the Cup. How do

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Speaker 2: you feel about that they couldn't get the game tying

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Speaker 2: goals three to two, we get the game time goal

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Speaker 2: from Nashville, that game goes over, couldn't do it for

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Speaker 2: two final Instead, open net goal goes in for the

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Speaker 2: Emzon Oilers. So we're down two point five to two

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Speaker 2: units on the day. We are still up for the week. Slightly,

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Speaker 2: but we're still up for the week, one in four

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Speaker 2: for the day as we head here into a Friday. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so today I've got two college football bets going for tonight,

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Speaker 2: one NHL bet going for tonight, and I've got two

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Speaker 2: of our bets for Saturday because the number is moving

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Speaker 2: and I want to get on the board here and

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Speaker 2: have you guys take the best number available for two

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Speaker 2: games coming up on Saturday. So kind of a bigger

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Speaker 2: card for us here on a Friday. I'll try to

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Speaker 2: go relatively fast, so I'm not here for thirty minutes

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Speaker 2: breaking down all these games for you guys, but five

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Speaker 2: picks to give you guys here on the podcast. Three

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Speaker 2: for tonight and two four Saturday. By the way, thank

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Speaker 2: you for all you guys who showed up, who listened

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Speaker 2: to the chat for the pregame show, and then for

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Speaker 2: those of you guys who went to betting pros dot

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Speaker 2: com slash Matt and you grab the extra play.

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Speaker 1: Appreciate you guys for doing that. Sorry it lost.

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Speaker 2: We'll do that again coming up for Saturday and Sunday

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Speaker 2: for the extra plays. But that was a bummer to

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Speaker 2: lose that over it was four to two as we

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Speaker 2: come up a half a half a goal short.

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Speaker 1: There.

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Speaker 2: We got hooked on that game for the bonus bet,

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Speaker 2: but we'll do that again for Saturday and Sunday. Betting

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Speaker 2: pros dot com slash Matt to go and follow me

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Speaker 2: to You guys will see when I post those bonus

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Speaker 2: plays there. You can fade or follow those plays. Do

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Speaker 2: what you want with it for all these plays for

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Speaker 2: that matter. But appreciate you guys showing up. We do

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Speaker 2: a live chat again Saturday morning at eleven am Eastern

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Speaker 2: Time on the Discord channel. This podcast is being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by our friends at draftkins. Have you guys

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Speaker 2: play five dollars, you'll get fifty dollars in pick six credits.

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Speaker 2: called one hundred Gambler Help is available for problem gambling

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Speaker 2: called eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven

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Speaker 2: seven or visit CCPG dot org. In Connecticut. Must be

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Speaker 2: eighteen plus age and eligibility restrictions varied by jurisdictions, available everywhere,

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Speaker 2: at pick six dot draftings dot com, slash promos. Okay,

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Speaker 2: let's start with the first game tonight. There are four

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Speaker 2: good college football games going on tonight. Let's start with

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Speaker 2: BYU hosting Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State under Mike Gundhy is tremendous,

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Speaker 2: tremendous with extra rest.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma State stinks. They're in real trouble.

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Speaker 2: They lost by twenty four points to West Virginia at

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Speaker 2: home before the break for the buye.

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Speaker 1: They lost by.

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Speaker 2: Twenty two points on the road to Kansas State as

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Speaker 2: six point dogs by you, on the other hand, is

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Speaker 2: six and oh straight up six and oh against the spread.

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Speaker 2: They covered last week against Arizona as two and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorites. We were on them. They won by

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Speaker 2: twenty two. We took them at three point dogs. Against Baylor,

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Speaker 2: they won by six. We took them at seven a

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Speaker 2: half point dogs against Kansas State they won by twenty nine.

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Speaker 2: Against Wyoming, they won by twenty, covering the nine and

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Speaker 2: a half point number. Against SMU they won by three

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Speaker 2: as twelve point dogs. And they open the year against

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Speaker 2: Southern Illinois at home. They won by twenty eight. As

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Speaker 2: sixteen and a half point favorites. This team is smash mouth.

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Speaker 2: This team is maybe the best team in the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 2: People aren't really buying it, but they might be BYU

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Speaker 2: right now. Yes, I know Iowa State's got the little

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Speaker 2: nine next to their name, and I know Iowa States

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Speaker 2: being predicted to win the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 1: I get all that.

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Speaker 2: But games in Provo, Utah, boy oh boy ah, this

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Speaker 2: is a lot to ask for Oklahoma State, even with

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Speaker 2: the extra by Mike Gundy. Might be swapping quarterbacks here.

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Speaker 2: Mike Gundy during the bye week got headbutted by a cow.

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Speaker 2: I'm not kidding you, got headbutted by a cow. He

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Speaker 2: has like a cut under his eye. Yeah, a lot

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Speaker 2: of bad mojo going on here. This number was seven

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Speaker 2: and a half at open. It's nine and a half

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Speaker 2: and climbing. It's at ten at certain books. I took

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Speaker 2: it at nine and a half. I won it below ten,

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Speaker 2: But I think BYU rolls here tonight in Provo, Utah

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Speaker 2: on Friday night, give me the Cougars at home. Party

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Speaker 2: time in Provo BYU minus nine and a half for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. Second bet going tonight, Oregon is

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Speaker 2: at Purdue. The total is sixty. Get this stat excuse me.

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Speaker 2: College totals this season at sixty or more are eighty

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Speaker 2: three and forty four to the under. That is the

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Speaker 2: best start for an underrun with games at sixty or

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Speaker 2: higher in the last twenty years. This is a big

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Speaker 2: bit of a letdown spot for Oregon. Okay, this is

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Speaker 2: a West Coast team going to the Central time zone.

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Speaker 2: We've seen this. This doesn't go well. The numbers twenty

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Speaker 2: eight and a half, all right, right now overs four

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Speaker 2: and two for Purdue. Oregon is three and three, but

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Speaker 2: they're two and two at home and they're one in

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Speaker 2: one on the road. On the against UCLA it was

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Speaker 2: fifty four and a half. They went under by seven

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Speaker 2: and a half points. Now against Oregon State it was fifty.

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Speaker 2: It went over by thirteen points, forty nine to fourteen.

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Speaker 2: The last home game for Purdue against Nebraska, the total

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Speaker 2: was forty seven. They scored ten points. Guess whose defense

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Speaker 2: is better than Nebraska's. Oregon's game went under by nine

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Speaker 2: points twenty eight ten. The final. Oregon is an unbelievable

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Speaker 2: football team, but they just survived. A crazy win at

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Speaker 2: home against arguably a top five team in the country.

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Speaker 1: They had.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the INNSAA literally changed their rule book after

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Speaker 2: Dan Lanning for some reason told them what he did

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Speaker 2: run the clockout. He told publicly what he did, so

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Speaker 2: they changed the rule on him. But this is I mean,

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Speaker 2: if you're the Ducks, how are you not overlooking perdue here?

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Speaker 1: You're at home.

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Speaker 2: Against Illinois next week, and then you've got Michigan, Maryland,

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin in Washington for the rest of your Big Ten slate.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Purdue is not good.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Purdue is bad, and yet this Oregon DUC team

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Speaker 2: they can go and hang a number. Okay, they've scored

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Speaker 2: thirty two, thirty one, thirty four, forty nine, thirty seven,

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Speaker 2: and twenty four points so far this season.

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Speaker 1: How many points do they need to score to win

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Speaker 1: this game? Thirty? I mean, if they win the game

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Speaker 1: thirty to ten, is theyone?

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Speaker 2: Like?

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Speaker 1: Oh oh, Oregon's not very good.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think there's any incentive to get to

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Speaker 2: sixty points here for Oregon. Not that they're gonna let

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Speaker 2: down or lose this game, but forty to ten, forty

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Speaker 2: five to ten, we're still good again.

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Speaker 1: You can lay the.

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Speaker 2: Twenty eight points if you want, but I'm not really

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Speaker 2: looking to lay that. That could be a backdoor type situation.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna follow that trend of sixty points or higher.

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Speaker 2: Go into the under a ridiculous eighty three and forty four.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna come in here and take it again under

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Speaker 2: sixty Oregon in Purdue for one point one units hockey Tonight,

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Speaker 2: Hurricanes are at the Penguins total six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Now, you can bet the over in this game. But

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Speaker 1: here's the problem.

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Speaker 2: Anderson's probably going to be in net for the Hurricanes,

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Speaker 2: and Bloomquist is probably going to be in net dot

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Speaker 2: Jari for the Penguins. Jory was horrible, got pulled in

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Speaker 2: the last game. Bloom Quiz came in. He gave up

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Speaker 2: a couple of goals, but he gave the team enough

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Speaker 2: stability to come back and win the game six to

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Speaker 2: five in overtime. So I think the team will start

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Speaker 2: Bloomquist tonight. This is a division matchup with the Hurricanes,

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Speaker 2: who were one in one. Pittsburgh's played five games, they're rested,

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Speaker 2: they played at home. They're one and one at home,

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Speaker 2: three and two overall. And while you could play the

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Speaker 2: over if you want. I'm going to actually do what

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Speaker 2: we did a couple of days ago and go team

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Speaker 2: total for heavy juice. The Penguins this season, in their

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Speaker 2: five games, have scored zero, six, two, six, and six goals.

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Speaker 2: In three of the five games, they've scored six goals. Okay,

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Speaker 2: over two and a half is juicy, But just like

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Speaker 2: the Bruins played from a couple of days ago, I'm

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Speaker 2: willing to pay the juice because I think they score

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Speaker 2: three or four goals here tonight. My question is the

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Speaker 2: Hurricanes because they could score a lot. But Bloomquist also

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Speaker 2: might be good. He has a two point eight six

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Speaker 2: goals against average. He's two and one. I mean, what

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Speaker 2: if he stands on his head here and plays well

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Speaker 2: and gives up two goals, a four to two win

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Speaker 2: goes under for the Penguins. So I'm not really in

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Speaker 2: love with playing the over six and a half. Instead,

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Speaker 2: I'll play the juice Penguins team total over two and

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Speaker 2: a half for minus one to fifty.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay the mist one.

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Speaker 2: That's a rare to me, right, I don't know wally

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Speaker 2: to lay this much juice, but we hit it two

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Speaker 2: days ago. I'm gonna try to hit it again here

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Speaker 2: minus one to fifty one point five units down on

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Speaker 2: this Penguins team total over two and a half goals

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Speaker 2: tonight at home against the Carolina Hurricanes. Okay, let's turn

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Speaker 2: the page. Let's go to Saturday. A couple of huge games.

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Speaker 2: There are some stats that are absolutely crazy. Let's talk

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Speaker 2: Maryland hosting USC. You ready for this. USC is zero

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Speaker 2: to ten straight up and one to nine against the

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Speaker 2: spread since two thousand and five in the Eastern or

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Speaker 2: Central time zones.

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Speaker 1: Okay, sorry, that's it does eleven? Excuse me?

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Speaker 2: Since it twenty eleven, they're zero and ten straight up

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Speaker 2: in one to nine ats in the Eastern or Central

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Speaker 2: time zones. This is the first game on the East

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Speaker 2: Coast since an outright seventeen point favorite loss to Boston

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Speaker 2: College in twenty fourteen. We've seen USC go to Michigan

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Speaker 2: and lose the game outright. They lost to Penn State

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Speaker 2: in their last game, crushing defeat, maybe tough loss at

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Speaker 2: home to Penn State. They led that game by a lot,

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Speaker 2: by double digits, and they lost that game. This is

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Speaker 2: a team in USC that doesn't have much to play

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Speaker 2: for anymore. Maryland not that they have a lot to

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Speaker 2: play for. But Maryland, in my opinion, is going to

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Speaker 2: be up for this game. It is still USC. There's

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Speaker 2: still going to be a lot of eyeballs in this game.

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Speaker 2: There's still going to be a lot of attention because

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Speaker 2: it is USC and Maryland doesn't get these are the

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Speaker 2: blue blood programs to come around all that often. I

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Speaker 2: want seven and a half. Okay, I don't want seven.

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Speaker 2: I want seven and a half. This team lost outright

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Speaker 2: to Minnesota in the Central time Zone on the road

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Speaker 2: as nine and a half point favorites. They lost by seven.

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Speaker 2: They were four point favorites against Michigan, they lost the

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Speaker 2: game outright by three. They've lost now to Penn State.

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Speaker 2: They have three losses. They're not going to the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Maryland has lost their last two games. Not been great.

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Speaker 2: I understand that not being great. They got shellacked by Northwestern.

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Speaker 2: But maybe they can lick their wounds here a little bit,

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Speaker 2: get up and play a hard fought Saturday afternoon Saturday

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Speaker 2: night game at home against USC, and the Trojans.

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Speaker 1: May have no air left in their balloon.

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Speaker 2: Taking the Maryland Terrapins at plus seven and a half

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Speaker 2: for one point one units and then finally Saturday, Michigan

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Speaker 2: at Illini one in five Michigan ats. When is Michigan

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Speaker 2: gonna start playing typical Michigan football.

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Speaker 1: Well, guess what they have?

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Speaker 2: The perfect opponent Illinois is for one in one ats. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I get it, the four one and one ats. They

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Speaker 2: won their last game against Perdue by one point. They

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Speaker 2: were laying, they were laying twenty two and a half points.

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Speaker 2: They won the game by one. Did you see the

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Speaker 2: final of that game? Final of that game was ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: Fifty to forty nine. Fifty to forty nine, that's ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: Back to back home games. That's big for Illinois. But

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Speaker 2: big win for Michigan last week, really impressive win where

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Speaker 2: they went and had an opportunity to well, I guess

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Speaker 2: they lost that game, right, Sorry?

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Speaker 1: They lost that game to was Wathington. Yeah, they lost

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Speaker 1: by ten. Sorry.

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Speaker 2: Before that, Minnesota, Sorry they beat Minnesota. We were on

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Speaker 2: them on that didn't cover that game by eleven. The

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Speaker 2: USC win was impressive, but that was at home. It's

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Speaker 2: time for Michigan to go and play Michigan football because

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Speaker 2: Illinois wants to run the ball.

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Speaker 1: Illinois, he wants to run the ball.

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Speaker 2: Michigan's gonna be able to stop the run, make Illinois

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Speaker 2: be one dimensional, make Illinois pass, and they won't have

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Speaker 2: success doing that. Here, the number has climbed. It was three,

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Speaker 2: then three and a half, it's now four. It's going

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Speaker 2: up to four and a half. I want this number

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Speaker 2: before it gets to four. Over four and a half,

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Speaker 2: because twenty four to twenty is pretty much what this

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Speaker 2: number is gonna be. Okay, forty four and a half

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Speaker 2: is the total in this game. Tells me twenty four

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Speaker 2: to twenty is pretty much what the projection is gonna

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Speaker 2: be for this for Michigan. Look, there's a lot left

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Speaker 2: for Michigan to play for here. Okay, I know they're

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Speaker 2: four and two, but there's gonna be a bunch of

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Speaker 2: teams with two losses, and if they lose at Washington

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Speaker 2: in home to Texas, you can excuse those losses, you can,

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Speaker 2: and you can get into the playoffs with a two

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Speaker 2: loss schedule. Now, clearly that means they gotta beat Ohio

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Speaker 2: State on the road. Can they do that? Probably not?

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Speaker 2: But they've got Oregon at home coming up in November

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Speaker 2: that'll be gigantic. They have Indiana, who's still undefeated, by

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Speaker 2: the way, they have Indiana come in their month of

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Speaker 2: November is harsh. Oregon, Indiana, and Ohio State all in

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Speaker 2: the month of November. There's still a lot to play

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Speaker 2: for for Michigan here. I'm gonna lay the four points

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Speaker 2: Michigan minus four for one.

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Speaker 1: Point one units. Excuse me, okay, I know it was

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Speaker 1: a lot. I'm sorry, We're talking a lot and fast.

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Speaker 2: Let me recap the plays for US here BYU minus

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Speaker 2: nine and a half tonight at home against Okie State,

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Speaker 2: Oregon on the road under sixty at Purdue Pittsburgh Penguins

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Speaker 2: team total over two and a half goals minus one

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Speaker 2: fifty for one point five units. Saturday, Michigan minus four

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Speaker 2: on the road at Illinois and Maryland plus seven and

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Speaker 2: a half at home up against usc Those are the

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Speaker 2: plays for US here today on a Friday. Three for tonight,

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Speaker 2: two for Saturday, more tomorrow. On the full card will

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Speaker 2: have five or six plays, No more than six, that's

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Speaker 2: a max.

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Speaker 1: Probably five.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna have more than six or seven personally,

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Speaker 2: going the days of me betting ten games on a Saturday,

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Speaker 2: those days are gone. That's not gonna happen. I'm not

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Speaker 2: gonna have nearly as big of a card as I

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Speaker 2: did last week. I learned my lesson sharp numbers. These

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Speaker 2: numbers are sharp. We're getting into the better part of

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Speaker 2: the year where the books have enough data now, where

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Speaker 2: these numbers are starting to really get honed in. So

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Speaker 2: gotta be careful with going too big. I went too

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Speaker 2: big last week, got crushed, so hopefully so have a

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Speaker 2: better weekend here, have a better bounce back Friday than

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Speaker 2: a Thursday's Matt parolt to following us all socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every single morning, the Daily Juice podcast,

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Speaker 2: presented by DraftKings